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Ernst & Young CFO Roundtable M & A VAL U AT I O N AN D O P E R AT I N G T R E N D S I N T H E E N G I N E E R I N G & C O N S T R U C T I O N I N D U S T RY
S E P T E M B E R 2 0 1 7 | C O N F I D E N T I A L
Engineering & Construction Indices Engineering Services Industrial Services Infrastructure Services
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Engineering Services
(19.7%)
Industrial Services
(21.7%)
Infrastructure Services
(7.6%)
2016A – 2017E EBITDA Growth
Engineering Services
(1.7%)
Industrial Services
(7.3%)
Infrastructure Services
4.4%
2016A –2017E Revenue Growth
E&C Operating Performance
Source: Capital IQ as of August 31, 2017, and public filings Note: Selected numbers are the average of companies in sector
Engineering Services
(6.9%)
Industrial Services
(4.9%)
Infrastructure Services
15.9%
2015A – 2016A Backlog Growth
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Earnings Performance vs. Estimates (1,2)
Source: Capital IQ (1) Based on 2015 and 2016 actual performance and consensus estimates from Capital IQ (2) “Met” includes companies whose performance was within 10% of estimates
While most companies continue to miss estimates, Industrial Services companies have shown the greatest YoY improvement
92%
8% 0%
58%
25% 17%
Missed Estimates Met Estimates Beat Estimates
2015 2016
81%
6% 13%
93%
0% 7%
Missed Estimates Met Estimates Beat Estimates
2015 2016
89%
11%
0%
78%
11% 11%
Missed Estimates Met Estimates Beat Estimates
2015 2016
Engineering Services Industrial Services Infrastructure Services
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Trading Multiples – One Year Trend
2017 Multiples
EV / LTM EBITDA
EV / NCY EBITDA
12.3x 10.3x
EV / LTM EBITDA
EV / NCY EBITDA
8.8x 8.6x
EV / LTM EBITDA
EV / NCY EBITDA
12.2x 9.3x
Engineering Services
Industrial Services
Infrastructure Services
NCY
NCY
NCY
1%
Change
LTM
LTM
LTM
24% 17%
10% 11%
9%
Sources: Capital IQ as of August 31, 2017, and public filings
EV / LTM EBITDA
EV / NCY EBITDA
9.9x 8.0x
2016 Multiples
EV / LTM EBITDA
EV / NCY EBITDA
11.2x 9.3x
EV / LTM EBITDA
EV / NCY EBITDA
8.8x 7.9x
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Δ in Median Stock Price
2015 – 2016 2016 – 2017
18.1% 11.0%
2015 – 2016 2016 – 2017
4.6% (1.3%)
2015 – 2016 2016 – 2017
34.1% 7.4%
Trading Multiples – Five Year Trends
EV / EBITDA Median EV / EBIT Median
EBITDA Median EBIT Median
8.0x
6.2x 6.7x
12.6x
8.8x
12.4x
0.0x
3.0x
6.0x
9.0x
12.0x
15.0x
EngineeringServices
IndustrialServices
InfrastructureServices
2012
2017 8.3x 7.9x
13.3x
17.1x
12.9x
18.9x
4.0x
8.0x
12.0x
16.0x
20.0x
EngineeringServices
IndustrialServices
InfrastructureServices
2012
2017
Sources: Capital IQ as of August 31, 2017, and public filings
($ in millions) ($ in millions)
$337
$88 $76
$265
$77 $81
$0
$100
$200
$300
$400
EngineeringServices
IndustrialServices
InfrastructureServices
2012
2017
$427
$129 $123
$338
$125 $156
$0
$100
$200
$300
$400
$500
EngineeringServices
IndustrialServices
InfrastructureServices
2012
2017
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Trading Multiples – Five Year Trends (cont.)
Net Debt Median Diluted Shares Outstanding Median
$18 ($14)
$184
$141 $130
$237
($50)
$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
EngineeringServices
IndustrialServices
InfrastructureServices
2012
2017
143.0
44.1 47.6
139.9
44.2 54.3
0.0
50.0
100.0
150.0
EngineeringServices
IndustrialServices
InfrastructureServices
2012
2017
Sources: Capital IQ as of August 31, 2017, and public filings
(# in millions) ($ in millions)
2012 2017 CAGR
Engineering Services $2,805 $3,332 4%
Industrial Services $694 $1,604 18%
Infrastructure Services $1,006 $1,605 10%
Median Enterprise Value
2012 2017 CAGR
Engineering Services $18.87 $28.20 8%
Industrial Services $19.52 $28.61 8%
Infrastructure Services $10.04 $12.83 5%
Median Share Price ($ in millions)
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Market Valuation by End-Market (2012 vs. 2017) 2012 2017
Transportation
Water & Water Resources
Telecommunications
Commercial General Buildings
Power
Government Service
Midstream / Downstream
Oil & Gas
High
Valuation
Low High Risk
Industrial Facilities
Transportation
Water & Water Resources
Power
Environmental
Telecommunications
Commercial General Buildings
Midstream / Downstream
Oil & Gas
Government Service
Industrial Facilities
High
Valuation
Low High Risk
Upstream Oil & Gas
Sources: Industry Research and HL estimates
Commercial Facilities
Maintenance
Environmental
Upstream Oil & Gas
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$1,104 $1,167 $1,152
$1,068
$903 $805 $786
$850 $906
$1,006 $1,112
$1,164 $1,222
$1,282 $1,331 $1,370 $1,420
$500
$700
$900
$1,100
$1,300
$1,500
2005A 2006A 2007A 2008A 2009A 2010A 2011A 2012A 2013A 2014A 2015A 2016A 2017E 2018P 2019P 2020P 2021P
Source: FMI 2013 and FMI 2017 Construction Outlook
Spotlight on U.S. Construction Spending
($ in billions)
Consistent Growth in U.S. Infrastructure Spending
Aging Ownership Profile Historical Underinvestment in Infrastructure
Typically Strong Free Cash Flow Profile
E&C Investment Themes
Ongoing Demand For High Quality Management and
Employees
Estimated $4.0 trillion investment needed to sufficiently improve U.S. infrastructure by 2020
2005 – 2021 CAGR: 1.6%
2011 – 2021 CAGR: 6.1%
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Public Works $128 32%
Institutional $119 30%
Commercial $105 26%
Electric Utilities / Gas Plants
$30 7%
Manufacturing $18 5%
Spotlight on U.S. Construction Starts
Sources: Capital IQ, Dodge 2017 Construction Outlook, (1) Construction start sales by end-market excludes single and multi-family housing
Growth expected to continue in end-markets for U.S. construction industry
End-Market Single Family Housing Institutional Commercial Public Works Manufacturing Electric Utilities
/ Gas Plants
2016A Growth 9% 3% 12% (3%) (29%) (26%)
2017E Growth 12% 10% 6% 6% 6% (29%)
2017E Construction
Start Sales by End-Market(1)
($ in billions)
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Notable Market Transactions – Last 12 Months
Sources: Capital IQ and public filings
Acquirer Target Announced Date
08/02/17
07/06/17
6/19/17
04/03/17
03/31/17
03/17/17
03/20/17
02/28/17
EV ($ in millions)
$3,274
$175
NA
$2,735
$654
NA
$755
$3,286
EV / EBITDA
6.9x
NA
NA
13.0x
10.8x
NA
8.7x
9.4x
Integrity Maintenance Platform
(Apollo Global Management)
(Victory Park Capital Advisors)
(Odyssey Investment Partners) (Clayton Dubilier & Rice)
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Environmental 36%
Power 34%
Infrastructure 17%
Oil & Gas 13%
Houlihan Lokey constructed an efficient and comprehensive sale process, resulting in a premium valuation for TRC shareholders
Selected Case Study: TRC Companies
(1) 52-week high
Bid Summary The HL Impact
The final offer of $17.55 per share represented a substantial premium for TRC shareholders:
1 Day(1) – 47%
3 Month Avg. – 65%
12 Month Avg. – 106%
$6.00
$8.00
$10.00
$12.00
$14.00
$16.00
$18.00
12/12/16 12/30/16 01/17/17 02/04/17 02/22/17 03/12/17 03/30/17
TRC Share Price
NMC Final Bid: $17.55
03/30/17 Close: $11.95(1)
Refresh Midpoint:
$15.79 IOI Midpoint:
$15.30 Unsolicited
Strategic Offer: $14.00
Comprehensive and Diversified Service Offering
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Robust Sales Program with Identified Target Accounts
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Proven Acquisition History with Actionable Pipeline
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Recurring Blue-Chip Customer Base
2
Disruptive Technologies and Pursuing New Business Models
4
Experienced Executive Team with Clear Vision for Growth
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Earnings Contribution Value Drivers
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has completed a financing consisting of
$24,000,000Series D Convertible Preferred Stock
Placement Agent
has been acquired by
Sellside Advisor
Houlihan Lokey’s Recent Activity
Recent Deals Current Deals
Project Build
Sellside Advisor
Project Aqua
Sellside Advisor
Project Fission
Sellside Advisor
Project Tango
Sellside Advisor
Project Orange
Sellside Advisor
Project Tiger
Sellside Advisor
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a portfolio company of
has sold its integrity maintenance platform to
Sellside Advisor
has been recapitalized by
Financial Advisor
has been acquired by
Sellside Advisor
Heavy Civil Division
has been acquired by
Management and Other Investors
Sellside Advisor
a portfolio company of
has been acquired by
Sellside Advisor
has been acquired by
Sellside Advisor
has been acquired by
Sellside Advisor
a portfolio company of
has been acquired by
Sellside Advisor
has been acquired by
Sellside Advisor
International Investment Bank With Offices Across the World and Extensive Industry Coverage
Private Company Sale
Public M&A Advisory
Buyside Advisory
Corporate Divestitures
Equity / Debt Capital Markets
Special Committee Advisory
Debt Advisory
Strategic Alternatives Analysis
Fairness and Capital Adequacy Opinions
Business and Securities Valuations
Tax and Financial Reporting Valuations
Portfolio and Derivatives Valuation Services
Restructuring Debt and Equity
Plans of Reorganization
Re-negotiation of Debt
Capital Raising
140+ M&A Deals Annually and 50+ European Deals since 2005
No. 1 M&A Advisor for all U.S. Transactions (1)
No.1 M&A Advisor for All U.S. Industrials Transactions (1)
Industrials / Engineering & Construction
Financial Institutions Healthcare
Aerospace Defense
Government
Business Services Energy Consumer,
Food & Retail
Media & Telecom
Real Estate Lodging &
Leisure Technology Transportation
& Logistics
Financial Technology
Over 15 Dedicated Financial Sponsors Coverage Group Officers
No. 1 Investment Banking Restructuring Advisor (1)
No. 1 Provider of M&A Fairness Opinions (1)
Houlihan Lokey is now a public independent investment bank that is listed on the NYSE under the ticker “HLI”
M&A / Corporate Finance Financial Advisory
Financial Restructuring
Comprehensive Industry Coverage 1,200 Employees in 25 Total Offices Worldwide
Note: Houlihan Lokey holds an indirect minority investment in Leonardo & Co. S.p.A., with offices in Milan and Rome, and a minority investment in Avista Advisory, with offices in Mumbai and Singapore (1) Thomson Reuters
Atlanta Chicago Dallas Houston Los Angeles Miami
Minneapolis New York San Francisco Washington, D.C.
Beijing Hong Kong Mumbai Singapore
Sydney Tokyo
Amsterdam Frankfurt London Madrid
Milan Paris Rome
North America Europe Asia-Pacific
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Industrials Expertise
#1 ranked advisor by volume overall and to industrial companies
Active senior-level dialogue with key industry participants on a global basis
Expertise with Engineering & Construction companies
Over 600 institutional, strategic, and private equity investors
Over 50 public and private investors
Interaction with thought leaders in the industry and presentations by unique companies
Industry Relationships and Knowledge The Proven Leader in Industrials
12th Annual Global Industrials Conference
Broad Industrials Sector Coverage
Engineering & Construction
Plastics & Packaging
Environmental Services
Chemicals
Testing, Inspection & Certification
Distribution
Oilfield Services
Industrial Technologies
Metals & Mining
Transportation & Automotive
Houlihan Lokey’s Industrials Group will host its next annual Global Industrials Conference in May 2018
2013 M&A Advisory Rankings All U.S. Industrial Transactions
Advisor Deals
1 Houlihan Lokey 32
2 Lincoln International 27
3 Goldman Sachs & Co 26
4 Barclays 21
5 Lazard 20
Source: Thomson Reuters
2014 M&A Advisory Rankings U.S. Industrial Transactions Under $1 Billion
Advisor Deals
1 Houlihan Lokey 27
2 Goldman Sachs & Co 26
2 Citi 26
2 Barclays 26
5 Lincoln International 25
5 Generational Equity 25
Source: Thomson Reuters
2015 M&A Advisory Rankings All U.S. Industrial Transactions
Advisor Deals
1 Houlihan Lokey 39
2 Goldman Sachs & Co 31
2 Generational Equity 31
4 JP Morgan 29
5 Morgan Stanley 27Source: Thomson Reuters
2016 M&A Advisory Rankings All U.S. Industrial Transactions
Advisor Deals
1 Houlihan Lokey 35
2 Morgan Stanley 23
3 Goldman Sachs & Co 21
4 Generational Equity 20
5 Lazard 19
Source: Thomson Reuters
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Mr. Kolbrenner heads Houlihan Lokey’s Engineering, Industrial & Infrastructure Services practice and co-heads the Global Industrial Services practice. His recent transactions include sellside, buyside, financing, restructuring, and strategic advisory engagements, as well as fair market value, ESOP, fairness, and solvency opinions. Mr. Kolbrenner is a regular speaker at industry gatherings, including those sponsored by the American Institute of Certified Public Accountants, Associated Builders & Contractors, Associated General Contractors, Construction Financial Managers Association, Engineering News-Record, McGraw-Hill Construction, and many others. He was recognized by Investment Dealers’ Digest as a recipient of its “Forty Under Forty” award.
Before joining Houlihan Lokey, Mr. Kolbrenner was an Associate in the asset securitization group of Lehman Brothers Holdings, Inc., where he was involved in structuring, marketing, and executing medium- and short-term asset-backed securities transactions. Previously, he was an Associate in the corporate department of Sullivan & Cromwell LLP, where he focused on M&A, corporate finance, and financial derivatives.
Mr. Kolbrenner is a board member of Hollygrove Family Services, a nonprofit agency serving abused and neglected children in Los Angeles. He is also a member of the Young Presidents’ Organization, Golden West chapter.
Mr. Kolbrenner graduated summa cum laude with a B.A. in Psychology from the University of Colorado Boulder and holds a J.D. from Harvard Law School.
Scott Kolbrenner Managing Director Los Angeles
Qualifications
B.A. University of Colorado Boulder
J.D. Harvard Law School
PAST Lehman Brothers
Sullivan & Cromwell
Email [email protected]
Phone (310) 712-6524
Contact Information
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Disclaimer
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