2019 ifrs financial results - metalloinvest...debt profile as of 31 december 2019 sources: ifrs...

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Resources create opportunities Resources create opportunities 2019 IFRS Financial Results March 17, 2020

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  • Resources create opportunitiesResources create opportunities

    2019 IFRS Financial ResultsMarch 17, 2020

  • 2

    Disclaimer

    The following USD/RUB exchange rates were used for the presentation of those financial results:

    Average over the period: Q1 2018 – 56.8803; Q2 2018 – 61.7998; Q3 2018 – 65.5323; Q4 2018 – 66.4822;

    Q1 2019 – 66.1271; Q2 2019 – 64.5584; Q3 2019 – 64.5685; Q4 2019 – 63.7192.

    End of the period: H1 2018 – 62.7565; 2018 – 69.4706; H1 2019 – 63.0756; 2019 – 61.9057

    This presentation of Metalloinvest’s financial results for 2019 (the “Presentation”) contains certain forward-looking statements, particularly those relating to anticipated

    demand and consumption, global economic conditions, commodity prices, management aims and objectives, strategy, production, anticipated investments and

    anticipated completion of previously announced transactions. Metalloinvest will not update these statements to reflect events and circumstances occurring after the date

    hereof. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that will or may occur in the

    future. Actual results may differ from those expressed in such statements depending on a variety of factors, including future levels of industry product supply, demand and

    pricing, operational problems, general economic conditions, political stability and economic growth in relevant areas of the world, changes in laws and governmental

    regulations, exchange rate fluctuations, development and use of new technology, changes in public expectations and other changes in business conditions, the actions of

    competitors, natural disasters and adverse weather conditions, wars and acts of terrorism or sabotage, other factors discussed elsewhere in this document, as well as

    other risks affecting Metalloinvest and its operations.

    The contents of this Presentation do not constitute or form part of any advertisement of securities, any offer or invitation to issue, sell, purchase, exchange or transfer or

    any solicitation of any offer to purchase or subscribe for, any securities of Metalloinvest in any jurisdiction, nor shall this Presentation nor any part of it nor the fact of its

    presentation, communication or distribution form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or investment decision. Any foreign securities which are

    mentioned in this Presentation are not and will not be registered in the Russian Federation by any state authority responsible for registration of such securities and such

    securities shall not be admitted to subscription nor shall be publicly available in the Russian Federation and cannot be the subject of any offer in the Russian Federation,

    except in the cases permitted by the law of the Russian Federation. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is given by Metalloinvest, its affiliates or any of their

    respective advisers, officers, employees or agents, as to the accuracy of the information or opinions or for any loss howsoever arising, directly or indirectly, from any use of

    these materials or their contents.

  • 3

    Contents

    I. Key Highlights………...….……….………………..………………………………….. 4

    II. Operational Results..…….....……………………………………………………….. 7

    III. Financial Results …...…………………………………………………………………. 11

    IV. Debt & Ratings ……...………………………………………………………………….. 15

    Appendix…………………………………………………………………………………… 20

  • 4

    KEY HIGHLIGHTS

  • 5

    180

    270

    360

    450

    2016 2017 2018

    Pig iron, FOB Black Sea HBI, import Italy

    • China is continuing to consolidate its steel industry, and the various cuts, location shifts, and mergers make for an unpredictable long-term outlook

    • The current economic environment is highly uncertain and is constraining supply growth, despite a deficit, due to uncertainty of demand going forward with slowing investment

    Iro

    n o

    re &

    p

    ell

    ets

    Me

    tall

    ics

    (pig

    iro

    n &

    HB

    I)S

    tee

    l p

    rod

    uct

    s

    Main drivers

    • Supply disruptions in Brazil and Australia pushed prices up

    • Uncertainty with recovery of Brazilian operations led to price stability amid falling demand in China

    • Iron ore suppliers cut prices on fears of declining global demand due to coronavirus outbreak

    • Due to strict environmental requirements in Europe pig iron consumption is being replaced by scrap and HBI/DRI

    • Deficit of DR grade pellets due to incident in Brazil combined with rapid growth of DRI production leads to moderate growth of metallic prices

    2.112.17

    2.252.13 2.15

    2.21

    1.6

    1.8

    2.0

    2.2

    2.4

    2017 2018 2019Demand Supply

    Iron ore products market balance, bn t

    Market trends

    94.4 97.6 91.9

    12.2 14.2 12.3

    10.3 11.59.7

    116.9 123.3 114.0

    0

    50

    100

    150

    2017 2018 2019

    Scrap Pig iron HBI/DRI

    0.77 0.84 0.90

    0.85 0.870.88

    1.63 1.711.78

    0.0

    0.7

    1.4

    2.1

    2017 2018 2019China RoW

    Price dynamics

    Trade of metallics, mn t

    Steel product consumption, bn t

    50

    100

    150

    200

    2016 2017 2018 2019

    Pellets, 65% Iron ore, 62% Iron ore, 65%

    USD/t, CFR China, indices

    Source: data provided by analytical industry agencies, ISSB, WSA

    300

    400

    500

    600

    2016 2017 2018 2019

    Steel billet, FOB Black Sea

    Market review

    USD/t, index

    USD/t, indices

    2017 2018 2019

    2017 2018 2019

    2017 2018 2019

  • 6

    Highlights

    Key financials, USD mnUSD mn 2019 2018 Change

    Revenue 6,960 7,187 (3.2%)

    Gross profit 3,766 3,919 (3.9%)

    EBITDA1 2,514 2,934 (14.3%)

    EBITDA margin 36.1% 40.8% (4.7 p.p.)

    Net income 1,731 1,647 5.1%

    Capex 517 441 17.2%

    USD mn, eop 31.12.2019 31.12.2018 Change

    Total debt 4,059 4,051 0.2%

    Short-term debt 70 221 (68.3%)

    Cash & equivalents 304 693 (56.1%)

    Net debt 3,755 3,358 11.8%

    Net debt / EBITDA 1.49x 1.14x 0.35x

    Notes: 1 Hereinafter EBITDA stands for EBITDA adjusted according to IFRS requirements. For more details please refer to IFRS Statements2 The indicator has an informational character and does not contain adjustments as per loan documentation

    Source: Fastmarkets

    Global iron ore & steel prices, USD/t

    6,2317,187 6,960

    Revenue2017 2018 2019

    2,1202,934 2,514

    EBITDA2017 2018 2019

    Net Debt/EBITDA2

    1.91x1.14x 1.49x

    300

    375

    450

    525

    600

    60

    80

    100

    120

    140

    03-Jan-17 03-Jan-18 03-Jan-19 03-Jan-20Iron ore index (65% Fe, CFR China)Steel billet index (FOB Black Sea), RHS

    2017 2018 2019

    88 90

    104436

    489

    407

  • 7

    OPERATIONAL RESULTS

  • 8

    40.3

    25.1

    7.0

    2.7

    4.8

    40.4

    27.7

    7.8

    3.0

    5.1

    40.2

    28.1

    7.9

    2.7

    4.9

    Iron ore

    Pellets

    HBI/DRI

    Hot metal

    Crude

    steel

    2017 2018 2019

    -0.3%

    +1.5%

    +0.5%

    -9.1%

    x%

    2019 key developments

    • Iron ore production volumes totaled 40.2 mn tonnes

    and remained almost flat (a decrease of 0.3% y-o-y1)

    following product mix changes in favour of high value-

    added concentrate and changes in mined ore quality

    • Pellet production increased by 1.5% y-o-y to 28.1 mn

    tonnes mostly due to completion of major maintenance

    works at Pellet Plant #2 at LGOK and reconstruction of

    Pellet Plant #3 at MGOK

    • HBI/DRI output increased by 0.5% y-o-y to 7.9 mn tonnes

    mostly driven by increase in production at HBI-3 Plant at

    LGOK

    • Hot metal production totaled 2.7 mn tonnes, a decrease of

    9.1% y-o-y following maintenance works at blast furnaces

    at Ural Steel

    • Crude steel production totaled 4.9 mn tonnes, a decrease

    of 3.7% y-o-y mostly due to plant reconstruction and hot

    tests of the FMF2 at Ural Steel

    Production volumes

    mn t

    Data on major plants: LGOK, MGOK, OEMK, Ural Steel

    Iron ore refers to iron ore concentrate and sintering ore1 Hereinafter comparison with FY20182 Flexible Module Furnace

    y-o-y change

    -3.7%

  • 9

    7.6 7.4

    14.0 14.9

    4.2 4.4

    25.9 26.7

    2018 2019

    HBI/DRI

    Pellets

    Iron ore

    1.1 0.61.5 0.91.1 5.8

    5.5

    5.4

    16.814.0

    25.9 26.7

    2018 2019

    Russia

    Europe

    Asia

    MENA

    Others 2.31.6

    0.40.4

    1.10.9

    1.11.5

    1.91.9

    6.86.3

    2018 2019

    Russia

    MENA

    Europe

    Asia

    Others

    Shipment structure

    Data on major plants: LGOK, MGOK, OEMK, Ural Steel

    Iron ore products

    Iron ore products

    Mining Segment Steel Segment

    Pig iron & steel products

    mn t

    mn t

    mn t

    mn t

    71% 72%

    HVA share

    Steel products

    2.3 2.5

    0.3 0.31.1 0.90.3 0.20.6 0.6

    4.6 4.6

    2018 2019

    Plate HVA

    Plate

    SBQ HVA

    Semi-finished product HVA

    Semi-finished product

  • 10

    Capital expenditure breakdown in 2019

    489441

    517

    450 area

    2017 2018 2019 2020F

    USD mn

    The Company is implementing its Industry 4.0 business

    transformation programme. Current progress includes:

    • Successful operation of the integrated financial andbusiness management system using the SAPS/4HANA business suite at LGOK and MGOK since July2018 and at OEMK, Ural Steel and the Company’strading and logistics operators since July 2019

    • Operation of data centre in Stary Oskol

    USD 19 mn

    Mining Segment

    Construction of HBI-3 Plant infrastructure facilities at LGOK

    Steel Segment

    USD 13 mn

    Purchase of new high productivity mining vehicles at LGOK & MGOK USD 96 mn

    Construction of conveyor facilitiesat MGOK & LGOK USD 47 mn

    Technical re-equipping of CCM #3 at OEMK

    Reconstruction of EAFs2 at Ural Steel

    Notes:

    Capex data on the graph for 2017, 2018 and 2019 refers to IFRS Statements, all other figures reflect management accounting1 Blast Furnace2 Electric Arc Furnace

    Project to develop wet magnetic separation with the launch of fine screening at MGOK

    USD 13 mn

    Construction of medium pressure boilers for the thermal power plant at Ural Steel

    USD 26 mn

    Construction of external electric power supply facilities at LGOK

    USD 22 mn

    USD 20 mn

    USD 13 mn

    USD 15 mn

    Modernisation of BF1 #2 and BF #3at Ural Steel

    Construction of the heat treatment facility for hot-rolled steel (SBQ) at OEMK USD 32 mn

  • 11

    FINANCIAL RESULTS

  • 12

    2,880

    1,632

    421

    782

    1,471

    2,834

    1,474

    966

    803

    884

    Russia

    Europe

    Asia

    Middle East

    Other

    countries2018

    2019

    Revenue composition

    2019 Revenue: USD 6,960 mn

    USD mn

    7%

    20%

    18%

    12%

    41%

    2%

    9%

    25%

    16%9%

    38%

    3%

    Iron ore Pellets

    HBI Pig iron

    Steel products Other revenue

    2019 – outer circle2018 – inner circle

    Revenue by region

    Export share59% in 2019

    vs.60% in 2018

    1 Others include Americas and CIS countries

    1

  • 13

    1,742

    406

    2,267

    654

    2,426

    118

    Mining Steel

    2017 2018 2019

    2,934

    2,514

    73

    19

    (227)

    (228)

    (57)

    EBITDA 2018

    Revenue

    Cost of sales

    Distribution

    expenses

    G&A expenses

    Other

    EBITDA 2019

    EBITDA y-o-y dynamics

    EBITDA composition

    2019 EBITDA: USD 2,514 mn

    USD mnDriven by positive dynamics of iron ore prices and

    negative performance of steel prices in 2019,

    Metalloinvest’s EBITDA remained resilient,

    demonstrating margin of 36%

    EBITDA by segment dynamics

    36.1%

    40.8%

    EBITDA margin

    USD mn

  • 14

    1,325 1,414

    2,934

    69

    2,514

    201

    9

    (317)

    (460)

    (461)

    (441)

    (290)

    (504)

    (517)

    EB

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    Taxe

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    Ch

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    Oth

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    Taxe

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    Ch

    g.

    in N

    WC

    Ca

    pe

    x

    Oth

    ers

    FCF

    Positive Free Cash Flow

    USD mn

    2018 2019

    Notes:

    EBITDA stands for EBITDA adjusted according to IFRS requirements. For more details, please refer to IFRS Statements

  • 15

    DEBT & RATINGS

  • 16

    Debt profile as of 31 December 2019

    Sources: IFRS data, management accounts1 Total Debt as of 31 December 2019 includes USD 115 mn of operational lease payments

    due to the implementation of a new IFRS 16 standard since 1 January, 2019 2 Undrawn credit lines

    Cash

    USD mn

    Cash

    *

    0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2

    0.62

    0.70.7

    0.9

    0.20.1

    0.9

    0.04

    0.40.7

    0.9

    1.2

    0.50.3

    0.02

    Liquidity 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 After 2026

    RUBUSD/EUR

    Debt maturity schedule as of 31 December 2019

    USD bn

    4,446

    4,051 4,05914,056

    3,358

    3,755

    1.91x

    1.14x1.49x

    31-Dec-17 31-Dec-18 31-Dec-19

    Total Debt Net Debt Net Debt/EBITDA

    Cash

    1.91x

    USD mn

    Net Repayment of borrowings (252)

    Operational lease payments (IFRS 16 adoption)

    +115

    Other (incl. FX changes) +145

    Total debt change (y-o-y) +8

    Total debt performance, y-o-y

  • 17

    Upgrade of all credit ratings in 2019

    In 2019, the Big Three international credit agencies – S&P, Moody’s and Fitch, and the Russian credit agency Expert RA upgraded Metalloinvest by one rating notch

    Mar. 2019Feb. 2019 May 2019 May 2019

    Stable Stable Stable StableBa1BB+ BB+ ruAA

    S&P Gl Moody's Fitch

    2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

    Ba1/BB+

    Ba2/BB

    Ba3/BB–

    Rating history

    Ba3 stable

    BB–stable

    BB–positive

    Ba1 stable

    BB+stable

    BB+stable

    Note: Credit ratings of AO Holding Company METALLOINVEST as of 31 December 2019

    Scale

  • 18

    Date Rationale Description

    Q3 2018 –Q2 2019 Refinancing

    – RUB 32 bn (Sberbank)+ RUB 27 bn (Gazprombank)+ RUB 5 bn (series BO-09 bond)

    Q2 2019 Reprice USD 250 mn(PXF-2017 tranche B)

    Q2 2019 Debt repayment– USD 62 mn(Eurobonds partial redemption)

    Q3 2019 –Q4 2019 Refinancing

    – USD 60 mn (PXF-2017)– USD 271 mn (Eurobonds-2020)+ EUR 300 mn (PXF-2019/1)

    Q4 2019 Refinancing – RUB 10 bn (series BO-01 bond)+ RUB 10 bn (series BO-03 bond)

    Q4 2019 Refinancing– USD 165 mn (PXF-2017)– RUB 3.3 bn (Sberbank)+ EUR 200 mn (PXF-2019/2)

    Q1 2020 Refinancing – RUB 10 bn (Sberbank, PXF)+ RUB 10 bn (series BO-04 bond)

    New instruments

    Apr. 2019

    Sustainability Improvement Loan

    Aug. 2019

    ECA-Framework

    general agreement with12 international banks

    on ECA-financing

    Interest rate depends onEcoVadis rating level

    Oct. 2019

    1st ECA-backed deal with MUFG under

    the framework agreement (~EUR 10 mn)

    USD mn

    100or EUR equivalent

    Proactive debt management and new sources of funds

    Key recent debt transactions

    Subsequent event

    57 points 60 points

  • 19

    ESG is an important element of the Company’s strategy

    1 CSR - Corporate Social Responsibility

    In December 2019, Metalloinvest's'Silver' CSR rating from EcoVadis,

    the international independent rating agency, was confirmed

    Metalloinvest is in the top-12% of companies rated by EcoVadis

    globally and is in the top 8% in the 'environment' category and in the

    top 4% in the 'labour & human rights' category among the producers in the manufacture of basic iron and

    steel industry

    The Sustainable Development Report was prepared in accordance with the GRI (the Global Reporting

    Initiative)

    The report is assured by an independent auditor (PwC)

    The report also has an official verification from the Russian Union of Industrialists and Entrepreneurs

    (RSPP)

    Metalloinvest undertakes programmes under the trilateral

    contracts of the Social and economic partnership with municipal and

    regional administrations in all regions where it is present

    In August 2019, Metalloinvestjoined the United Nations Global

    Compact (UNGC) – an international initiative in the fields of corporate

    sustainability and social responsibility

    Metalloinvest has undertaken voluntary commitments to comply with the fundamental principles

    of the UNGC

    In December 2019, the Company achieved 4th place in the WWF’s

    2019 transparency ratings of Russian M&M companies

    in the field of environmental responsibility

    This is the leading ranking for companies in the ferrous metallurgy industry. Last year the Company was

    ranked 6th

    In December 2019, Metalloinvestwas once again included as

    a leader in the RSPP Sustainability Indices for 2019 in the

    ‘Responsibility and Transparency’ and ‘Sustainable Development

    Vector’ categories

    The index judges how well companies disclose CSR info

    In December 2019, Metalloinvesttook 45th place in Interfax-ERA’s

    Fundamental Efficiency (environmental & energy) rating

    The rating covers the top 150 companies in Russia and

    Kazakhstan. Moreover, Metalloinvestranked 2nd among the top-5 steel

    companies in terms of steel production

    In April 2019, Metalloinvest signed a sustainable finance credit line for up

    to USD 100 mn (or EUR equivalent)until 30 November 2020.

    The interest rate of the ‘Sustainability Improvement Loan’ depends on the level of CSR rating

    from EcoVadis

  • 20

    APPENDIX

  • 21

    Well-balanced debt structure

    Source: management accounts1Credit facility guaranteed by Export Credit Agencies (ECA)

    By source

    8%8%

    7%

    29%32% 40%

    25%

    28% 20%

    16%

    14% 18%

    21%15% 14%

    31-Dec-17 31-Dec-18 31-Dec-19

    RUB bank loans

    RUB bonds

    Eurobonds

    PXF

    ECA

    Other

    Public debt

    41%42%

    38%

    By currency

    63%70% 67%

    37%30% 33%

    31-Dec-17 31-Dec-18 31-Dec-19

    RUB

    USD/EUR

    1

  • 22

    Committees

    Name Category Company AuditFinance, Budgeting

    & StrategyRemuneration

    Ivan StreshinskyChairman

    Non-executive

    Galina Aglyamova

    INDEPENDENTValery Kazikaev

    Dmitry Tarasov

    Uluç Ergin

    Non-executive

    Gleb Kostikov

    Irina Lupicheva

    Pavel Mitrofanov

    Vakhtang KocharovVice Chairman

    Executive

    Andrey Varichev

    C

    C

    CMember of a committee Committee Chairman

    C

    30% of BoD

    30% of the Board of Directors is independent

  • 23

    Key financial indicators

    USD mn H1 2018 H2 2018 FY 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 FY 2019 Y-o-Y

    Revenue 3,779 3,408 7,187 3,584 3,376 6,960 (3.2%)

    Gross profit 1,977 1,942 3,919 1,969 1,797 3,766 (3.9%)

    EBITDA 1,491 1,443 2,934 1,410 1,104 2,514 (14.3%)

    EBITDA margin 39.5% 42.3% 40.8% 39.3% 32.7% 36.1% (4.7 p.p.)

    Net Income 870 777 1,647 1,020 711 1,731 5.1%

    Capex 234 207 441 221 296 517 17.2%

    Total Debt 4,287 4,051 4,051 4,109 4,059 4,059 0.2%

    Short-term Debt 581 221 221 414 70 70 (68.3%)

    Cash & cash equivalents 477 693 693 528 304 304 (56.1%)

    Net Debt 3,811 3,358 3,358 3,581 3,755 3,755 11.8%

    Net Debt / EBITDA LTM1 1.49x 1.14x 1.14x 1.25x 1.49x 1.49x 0.35x

    1 Net Debt / EBITDA LTM is calculated based on EBITDA for the last 12 months;

    the indicator has an informational character and does not contain adjustments as per loan documentation

  • 24

    Investor Relations & Corporate Ratings Department

    Contacts

    Artem Lavrischev

    Director of Investor Relations & Corporate Ratings

    T: +7 (495) 981 55 55, ext. 7243

    [email protected]

    www.metalloinvest.com

    mailto:[email protected]://www.metalloinvest.com/