2019 global health care outlook - deloitte united states · 2019 global health care outlook shaping...

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2019 Global Health Care Outlook Shaping the future Staffing can represent up to 70% of a hospital’s cost Recruiting, developing, and retaining top talent Top issues As data is becoming the new health care currency, protecting it will be key Clinical innovations, digital interconnectivity, and market complexity is heightening the need for new government policies, regulatory oversight, and risk management in health care Cybersecurity currently heads the list of regulatory issues for many health care leaders Maintaining regulatory compliance and cyber security Volume of data Interoperability Connected devices Quality Safety Cyber Privacy Experiencing a crisis teaches organizations to avoid them Leaders need more development for crisis management Confidence outstrips preparedness Being at the ready significantly reduces the negative impact of a crisis Third parties are part of the problem—and the solution Crises are on the rise. Are organizations prepared? increased demand/heavy workload poor work/life balance declining morale well-being concerns Causes of current staffing issues: Three dimensions shaping the future of work AI Cognitive tech Robotics What work can be automated? Telehealth Digital medicine Remote monitoring Where is the work done? Clinical recruitment Alternative models Who can do the work? Part-time Contractors Freelancers Crowdsourced Automated Key pointinnovative approaches to workforce planning, recruitment, skills development, and technology use will be key for the future of work About Deloitte Deloitte refers to one or more of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited, a UK private company limited by guarantee (“DTTL”), its network of member firms, and their related entities. DTTL and each of its member firms are legally separate and independent entities. DTTL (also referred to as “Deloitte Global”) does not provide services to clients. Please see www.deloitte.com/about for a more detailed description of DTTL and its member firms. Deloitte provides audit, consulting, financial advisory, risk management, tax and related services to public and private clients spanning multiple industries. With a globally connected network of member firms in more than 150 countries and territories, Deloitte brings world-class capabilities and high-quality service to clients, delivering the insights they need to address their most complex business challenges. Deloitte’s more than 200,000 professionals are committed to becoming the standard of excellence. Disclaimer This publication contains general information only, and none of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited, its member firms, or their related entities (collectively the “Deloitte Network”) is, by means of this publication, rendering professional advice or services. Before making any decision or taking any action that may affect your finances or your business, you should consult a qualified professional adviser. No entity in the Deloitte Network shall be responsible for any loss whatsoever sustained by any person who relies on this publication. About Life Sciences and Health Care at Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited The Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited’s life sciences and health care (LSHC) industry group is composed of more than 12,000 professionals in more than 90 countries. These member firm professionals understand the complexity of today’s life sciences and health care industry challenges, and provide clients with integrated, comprehensive services that meet their respective needs. In today’s environment, LSHC professionals from across the Deloitte network help companies to evolve in a changing marketplace, pursue new and innovative solutions, and sustain long-term profitability. For more information about the DTTL LSHC industry group, email [email protected] or access www.deloitte.com/healthcare. ©2019. For more information, contact Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited. There is an exponential increase in the pace and scale with which digital health care innovations are emerging Digital innovation impacting more than just clinicalalso impacting back-office operations like supply chain, finance, revenue cycle, HR Digital technologies are supporting health systems’ efforts to transition to new models of patient-centered care and “smart health” approaches to drive innovation, increase access and affordability, improve quality, and lower costs. Digital innovations that are helping reshape the future of health care by making health care delivery more efficient and more accessible How is digital helping? Investing in digital innovation and transformation Blockchain Cloud-based computing Virtual health Robotic process automation (RPA) Cloud-based software as-a-service (SaaS) AI Robotics Digital and virtual reality Internet of Medical Things (IoMT) diagnosis & treatment quality speed & accuracy accelerating the development of new drugs and devices personalization self-service patient experience training Digital innovation is supporting and augmenting workers and not replacing them. It is allowing highly trained resources to focus on more valuable, patient-facing activities. Creating financial sustainability in an uncertain health economy emergence of personalized medicine exponential technologies disruptive competitors expanded delivery sites revamped payment models Health care spending in 2019 will likely be driven by the shared factors of: aging and growing populations developing market expansion clinical and technology advances rising labor costs Financial disruptors How are providers addressing this issue? Health technology Health technology sector is expected to reach USD $280 billion by 2021, at a CAGR of 15.9% between 2016–2021 Mergers, acquisitions, and partnering Vertical and horizontal Alternative revenue sources Digital technologies can improve engagement, enable convenience-driven access to care, and nurture a two-way relationship for the long term Patient engagement strategiesdigital health, telehealth, wearable monitoring and fitness devices, online resources, social media New players in this areaconsumer, retail, and technology sectors There is emerging support for moving away from a reactive approach to chronic care management, in which coordination between stakeholders, therapy, and care is limited or ad hoc, to a proactive model in which engagement tools and support bolster both patients and health care providers Nudginga change in the way choices are presented or information is framed that alters people’s behavior in a predictable way without restricting choicesin increasingly seen as an option to help with patient adherence. Adapting to changing consumer needs, demands, and expectations Patients and caregivers appear to be demanding change. Dissatisfied with poor service and lack of transparency around price, quality, and safety, today’s health care consumers are expecting solutions that are coordinated, convenient, customized, and accessible. Transformation to value and outcomes-based health care Using new care delivery models to improve access and affordability 64% of consumers point to convenience and access as important benefits of virtual health improved patient access to care staying connected with patients and their caregivers improved patient satisfaction Virtual health Barriers of virtual health Physicians’ top benefits: A successful value-based payments strategy likely requires: virtual health/telehealth wearables sensors, biometrics Technology is helping in this transition: Continued transition from volume-based/fee-for-service (FFS) models to value-based care (VBC) Social determinants of health often have a greater impact on health outcomes than does health care payer/provider collaboration sharing of patients’ health data IT and analytical support lack of reimbursement complex licensing requirements high cost of the technologies reliability/errors privacy & security Social determinants of health factors Socioeconomic status Employment Social care networks Education/physical environment Neighborhood Health care access is projected to reach $10.059 trillion by 2022 2.9% 2013-2017 5.4% 2018-2022 Factors impacting health care costs The need to partner with other sectors such as employment, housing, education, and transportation to address the social determinants of health, and with new sectors such as retail, banking, and technology giants to improve data and platform interoperability “Superclusters” of public-private providers, payers, and market disruptor using a smart health community approach to collectively drive innovation, increase access and affordability, improve quality, and lower costs through more efficient delivery models. Shifting the focus from ‘sick’ care to one of ‘health’ care, supported by: Annual growth rate Global health care spending continues to increase dramatically life expectancy continues to climb—number of people aged over 65 globally is more than 668 million, or 11.6%, of the total global population Informed and empowered consumers Change agents and active caretakers of their health who have high expectations of their health care ecosystem These consumers will likely be “pulling” solutions rather than being “pushed” services (move from B2C to C2B). How will stakeholders respond? use innovative technologies and personalized programs to engage with consumers and improve the patient experience. data interoperability, security, and ownership moves to the forefront health care delivery and mobility may radically alter everything from the site of care to who delivers care and how. winning the fight against communicable diseases non-communicable diseases (NCDs)—most prominently, cancer, heart disease, and diabetes—continue to grow 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 Spending is expected to continue to be uneven Health care per person by 2022 $11,674 United States $54 Pakistan Well-being Prevention Early intervention

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Page 1: 2019 Global Health Care Outlook - Deloitte United States · 2019 Global Health Care Outlook Shaping the future Staffing can represent up to 70% of a hospital’s cost Recruiting,

2019 Global Health Care OutlookShaping the future

Staffing can represent up to

70% of a hospital’s cost

Recruiting, developing, and retaining top talent

Top issues

As data is becoming the new health care currency, protecting it will be key

Clinical innovations, digital interconnectivity, and market complexity is heightening the need for new government policies, regulatory oversight, and risk management in health care

Cybersecurity currently heads the list of regulatory issues for many health care leaders

Maintaining regulatory compliance and cyber security

Volume of dataInteroperabilityConnected devicesQualitySafetyCyberPrivacy

Experiencing a crisis teaches organizations to avoid them

Leaders need more development for crisis management

Confidence outstrips preparedness

Being at the ready significantly reduces the negative impact of a crisis

Third parties are part of the problem—and the solution

Crises are on the rise. Are organizations prepared?

increased demand/heavy workload

poor work/life balance

declining morale

well-being concerns

Causes of current staffing issues:

Three dimensions shaping the future of work

AI

Cognitive tech

Robotics

What work can be automated?

Telehealth

Digital medicine

Remote monitoring

Where is the work done?Clinical recruitment

Alternative models

Who can do the work?

Part-time

Contractors

Freelancers

Crowdsourced

Automated

Key point—innovative approaches to workforce planning, recruitment, skills development, and technology use will be key for the future of work

About DeloitteDeloitte refers to one or more of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited, a UK private company limited by guarantee (“DTTL”), its network of member firms, and their related entities. DTTL and each of its member firms are legally separate and independent entities. DTTL (also referred to as “Deloitte Global”) does not provide services to clients. Please see www.deloitte.com/about for a more detailed description of DTTL and its member firms. Deloitte provides audit, consulting, financial advisory, risk management, tax and related services to public and private clients spanning multiple industries. With a globally connected network of member firms in more than 150 countries and territories,Deloitte brings world-class capabilities and high-quality service to clients, delivering the insights they need to address their most complex business challenges. Deloitte’s more than 200,000 professionals are committed to becoming the standard of excellence.

DisclaimerThis publication contains general information only, and none of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited, its member firms, or their related entities (collectively the “Deloitte Network”) is, by means of this publication, rendering professional advice or services. Before making any decision or taking any action that may affect your finances or your business, you should consult a qualified professional adviser. No entity in the Deloitte Network shall be responsible for any loss whatsoever sustained by any person who relies on this publication.

About Life Sciences and Health Care at Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu LimitedThe Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited’s life sciences and health care (LSHC) industry group is composed of more than 12,000 professionals in more than 90 countries. These member firm professionals understand the complexity of today’s life sciences and health care industry challenges, and provide clients with integrated, comprehensive services that meet their respective needs. In today’s environment, LSHC professionals from across the Deloitte network help companies to evolve in a changing marketplace, pursue new and innovative solutions, and sustain long-term profitability.

For more information about the DTTL LSHC industry group, email [email protected] or access www.deloitte.com/healthcare.©2019. For more information, contact Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited.

There is an exponential increase in the pace and scale with which digital health care innovations are emerging Digital innovation impacting more

than just clinical—also impacting back-office operations like supply chain, finance, revenue cycle, HR

Digital technologies are supporting health systems’ efforts to transition to new models of patient-centered care and “smart health” approaches to driveinnovation, increase access and affordability, improve quality, and lower costs.

Digital innovations that are helping reshape the future of health care by making health care delivery more efficient and more accessible

How is digital helping?

Investing in digital innovation and transformation

Blockchain

Cloud-basedcomputing

VirtualhealthRobotic process

automation (RPA)

Cloud-based software as-a-service (SaaS)

AI

Robotics

Digital and virtual reality

Internet of Medical Things (IoMT)

diagnosis & treatment

quality

speed & accuracy

accelerating the development of new drugs and devices

personalization

self-service

patient experience

training

Digital innovation is supporting and augmenting workers and not replacing them. It is allowing highly trained resources to focus on more valuable, patient-facing activities.

Creating financial sustainability in an uncertain health economy

emergence of personalized medicine

exponential technologies

disruptive competitors

expanded delivery sites

revamped payment models

Health care spending in 2019 will likely be driven by the shared factors of:

aging and growing populations

developing market expansion

clinical and technology advances

rising labor costs

Financial disruptors

How are providers addressing this issue?Health technology

Health technology sector is expected to reach USD $280 billion by 2021, at a CAGR of 15.9% between 2016–2021

Mergers, acquisitions, and partnering

Vertical and horizontal

Alternative revenue sources

Digital technologies can improve engagement, enable convenience-driven access to care, and nurture a two-way relationship for the long term

Patient engagement strategies—digital health, telehealth, wearable monitoring and fitness devices, online resources, social media

New players in this area—consumer, retail, and technology sectors

There is emerging support for moving away from a reactive approach to chronic care management, in which coordination between stakeholders, therapy, and care is limited or ad hoc, to a proactive model in which engagement tools and support bolster both patients and health care providers

“Nudging”—a change in the way choices are presented or information is framed that alters people’s behavior in a predictable way without restricting choices—in increasingly seen as an option to help with patient adherence.

Adapting to changing consumer needs, demands, and expectations

Patients and caregivers appear to be demanding change. Dissatisfied with poor service and lack of transparency around price, quality, and safety, today’s health care consumers are expecting solutions that are coordinated, convenient, customized, and accessible.

Transformation to value and

outcomes-based health care

Using new care delivery models to improve access and affordability

64% of consumers point to convenience and access as important benefits of virtual health

improved patient access to care

staying connected with patients and their caregivers

improved patient satisfaction

Virtual healthBarriers of virtual health

Physicians’ top benefits:

A successful value-based payments strategy likely requires: virtual health/telehealth

wearables

sensors, biometrics

Technology is helping in this transition:

Continued transition from volume-based/fee-for-service (FFS) models

to value-based care (VBC)

Social determinants of health often have a greater impact on health outcomes than does health care

payer/provider collaboration

sharing of patients’ health data

IT and analytical support

lack of reimbursement

complex licensing requirements

high cost of the technologies

reliability/errors

privacy & security

Social determinants

of health factors

Socioeconomic status

Employment

Social care networks

Education/physical environment

Neighborhood

Health care access

is projected to reach

$10.059 trillion by 2022

2.9% 2013-2017

5.4% 2018-2022

Factors impacting health care costs

The need to partner with other sectors such as employment, housing, education, and transportation to address the social determinants of health, and with new sectors such as retail, banking, and technology giants to improve data and platform interoperability

“Superclusters” of public-private providers, payers, and market disruptor using a smart health community approach to collectively drive innovation, increase access and affordability, improve quality, and lower costs through more efficient delivery models.

Shifting the focus from ‘sick’ care to one of ‘health’ care, supported by:

Annual growth

rate

Global health care spending continues to increase dramatically

life expectancy continues to climb—number of people aged over 65 globally is more than 668 million, or 11.6%, of the total global population

Informed and empowered consumers

Change agents and active caretakers of their health who have high expectations of their health care ecosystem

These consumers will likely be “pulling” solutions rather than being “pushed” services (move from B2C to C2B).

How will stakeholders respond?

use innovative technologies and personalized programs to engage with consumers and improve the patient experience.

data interoperability, security, and ownership moves to the forefront

health care delivery and mobility may radically alter everything from the site of care to who delivers care and how.

winning the fight against communicable diseases

non-communicable diseases (NCDs)—most prominently, cancer, heart disease, and diabetes—continue to grow

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

6.0

7.0

8.0

9.0

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

6.0

7.0

8.0

9.0

Spending is expected to continue to be uneven

Health care per person by 2022

$11,674 United States $54 Pakistan

Well-being Prevention Early intervention