2014 and resort group/cbre-year-in-review-2014.pdf · altamer resort shoal bay west, anguilla march...
TRANSCRIPT
YEAR IN REVIEWG O L F & R E S O R T P R O P E R T I E S 20
14
CBRE Golf & Resort Transactions
JANUARY FEBRUARY MARCH APRIL MAY JUNE JULY AUGUST OCTOBERSEPTEMBER NOVEMBER DECEMBER
$265 million
Sequoia Golf Portfoliosold to Club Corp
$320 million
CNL Golf Portfolio sold to Arcis Equity Partners
$182.5 million
Park City Mountain Resort sold to Vail Resorts
$38 million
Bear Mountain & Snow Summitsold to Mammoth Mountain
Century Golf Portfolio sold to C-BONS International
$1.95 billion
Waldorf-Astoria NY under contract to Angbang Insurance Group
$219 million
American Golf Portfoliosold to Newcastle Investments
Troon Golf recapitalized by Kohlberg & Company
Heritage Golf recapitalizedby Tower Three Partners
AntiguaLand Portfolio
Grizzly Ranch California
Altamer Resort Anguilla
Mahaut Estate St. Lucia
Thousand Islands New York
S T . L U C I A C A R I B B E AN
MAHAUT ESTATE E A S T E R N
Jeff Woolson Managing Director CBRE Golf & Resort Properties
Bellwether Industry Transactions
2014 proved to be a consistent stream of Caribbean, golf, ski and second home land transactions that confirmed the return of a healthy real estate investment market. International buyers, including Chinese investors, closed on several of our listings, which bodes well for the U.S. and international economies. Our golf transactions in 2014 spanned the U.S. and Europe, including the iconic Fairmont St. Andrews in Scotland, Sonoma Golf Club in California, Sand Creek Country Club in Indiana and Thousand Islands Resort in upstate New York. As we move into 2015, several of our golf club and ski resort listings are under contract. We are excited about a full portfolio of marquee assets we will bring to market during the first half of this year.
The golf industry as a whole experienced a surge of sales activity in 2014, with private equity, hedge funds and REITs finally re-entering the space. The recapitalization of Heritage Golf and Troon Golf, plus several landmark portfolio transactions have demonstrated that investors are searching for better yields than can be achieved through conventional real estate investments. In 2015 we anticipate these trends to continue, driven by low interest rates, newly available debt and equity chasing bigger yields.
We hope you have a prosperous 2015 and please call if we can ever be of assistance. Cheers!
JANUARY FEBRUARY MARCH APRIL MAY JUNE JULY AUGUST OCTOBERSEPTEMBER NOVEMBER DECEMBER
$265 million
Sequoia Golf Portfoliosold to Club Corp
$320 million
CNL Golf Portfolio sold to Arcis Equity Partners
$182.5 million
Park City Mountain Resort sold to Vail Resorts
$38 million
Bear Mountain & Snow Summitsold to Mammoth Mountain
Century Golf Portfolio sold to C-BONS International
$1.95 billion
Waldorf-Astoria NY under contract to Angbang Insurance Group
$219 million
American Golf Portfoliosold to Newcastle Investments
Troon Golf recapitalized by Kohlberg & Company
Heritage Golf recapitalizedby Tower Three Partners
AntiguaLand Portfolio
Sonoma Golf Club California
Thousand Islands New York
Amaryllis Beach ResortBarbados
Montaluce WineryGeorgia
Fairmont St. AndrewsScotland
Land PortfolioAntigua
Sandy Bay Beach ClubBarbados
Sand Creek CC Indiana
El Conquistador Resort Arizona
Bear Valley MountainCalifornia
Ranch Club LotsMontana
Bellwether Industry Transactions
ALTAMER RESORT S H O A L B A Y W E S T , A N G U I L L A
March 2014Luxury Resort I Developable Land SO
LD
GRIZZLY RANCH LOTS P L U M A S C O U N T Y , C A L I F O R N I A
February 2014Developable Land SO
LD
SOLD
December 2014 Resort Hotel I Semi-Private Country Club
EL CONQUISTADOR RESORT EL CONQUISTADOR COUNTRY CLUBT U C S O N , A R I Z O N A
(45 Holes)
SONOMA GOLF CLUB S O N O M A , C A L I F O R N I A
May 2014Private Country Club SO
LD
ANTIGUA LAND PORTFOLIOS T . P E T E R , A N T I G U A
August 2014Developable Land SO
LD
SOLD
THOUSAND ISLANDS RESORT W E L L E S L E Y I S L A N D , N E W Y O R K
May 2014Golf Villas I Developable Land Marina I Golf Course (36 Holes)
SANDY BAY BEACH CLUB C H R I S T C H U R C H P A R I S H I B A R B A D O S
October 2014 Resort I Developable Land SO
LD
SOLD
AMARYLLIS BEACH RESORT C H R I S T C H U R C H P A R I S H , B A R B A D O S
June 2014Resort Hotel I Retail Center
THE RANCH CLUB LOTS M I S S O U L A , M O N T A N A December 2014Finished Lots
SOLD
SOLD
FAIRMONT ST. ANDREWSS T . A N D R E W S , S C O T L A N D
August 2014Luxury Golf Resort Manor Homes I Developable Land
(36 Holes)
BEAR VALLEY MOUNTAIN RESORTB E A R V A L L E Y , C A L I F O R N I A
December 2014Ski Resort SO
LD
MAHAUT ESTATE B E L V E D E R E , S T . L U C I A
March 2014Developable Land SO
LD
SOLD
SAND CREEK COUNTRY CLUBC H E S T E R T O N , I N D I A N A
October 2014Private Country Club (27 Holes)
MONTALUCE WINERY & ESTATES D A H L O N E G A , G E O R G I A July 2014Vineyard I Winery I Developable Land
SOLD
FOREIGN INVESTMENT IN THE U.S CHINESE INVESTMENT ACTIVITY IN THE U.S
2009 Through Q3 2014
From January 2009 through the 3rd quarter of 2014, U.S. commercial real estate investment from mainland China has totaled approximately $12 billion. Of that total, $9.7 billion or 78.4% has been invested since January 2013, illustrating the growing appetite for U.S. properties. Chinese investors have shown a major preference for primary gateway cities like New York, Los Angeles, San Francisco and Chicago. These four markets account for 95.8% of the total investment activity since January 2013, however Chinese investors are beginning to take advantage of opportunities in secondary and tertiary markets such as Phoenix, Baltimore, Tampa, Jacksonville and Hawaii. The preferred asset classes in these markets are multi-family, hospitality and resort properties.
INV
ES
TM
EN
T T
RE
ND
S
Asia Pacific34%
Latin America6%
Middle East12%
Canada22%
Europe26%
Q3 2014 Trailing 12 ($50 Billion Total Investment)
Sources: CBRE Research & Real Capital Analytics Sources: CBRE Research & Real Capital Analytics
$0.0
$1.5
$3.0
$4.5
$6.0
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
(Bill
ions
)
Q3 2014
HOTEL ASSET VALUE PER KEY GOLF COURSE SALES 2002 - 2014
Historical and Forecasted U.S. Hotel Sales 2004 –2016 Gross Revenue Multiples
Various metrics are used by investors and appraisers to analyze the financial performance of golf courses and resorts. Cap rates were utilized predominantly for many years until the devastating effects of the Great Recession impacted the financial performance of virtually every golf course. Over the last five years with fewer and fewer assets cash flowing, the most common metric has been the Gross Revenue Multiple (GRM). This graph reflects 58 of our golf-specific transactions since 2002, with two recent portfolio transactions (ClubCorp’s acquisition of Sequoia Golf, plus Arcis Equity Partners’ acquisition of CNL’s 48 golf clubs) added to better depict the GRM increase in 2014. We anticipate a continued increase in GRM in 2015.
Source: PKF Hospitality Research
$0
$50,000
$100,000
$150,000
$200,000
$250,000
$300,000
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Source: CBRE Research
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014F F
PKF Hospitality Research (PKF) a CBRE company, analyzed 7,000 U.S. hotel operating statements, revealing an NOI increase of more than 10% annually from 2010 to 2013. Based on the revenues projected in the November 2014 edition of PKF’s Hotel Horizons forecast, hotel NOI will continue to increase by double-digit percentages through 2016. The estimated 2014 nominal asset value of $202,789 per key is forecast to increase at a 7.7 % annual rate, due almost entirely to the resulting increases in NOI. With increasing NOI and stable cost of capital, hotel dividends should be quite attractive relative to other investment opportunities.
INV
ES
TM
EN
T T
RE
ND
S
F
Horseshoe Bay Resort, Texas
The Golf Club of Amelia Island, Florida Adam’s Rib Ranch, Colorado
Tallus - Mammoth Lakes, California
P R E V I E W20
15
Waldorf Astoria Park City, Utah Red Lodge Mountain Ski Resort, Montana
Glen Annie Golf Club, California
Mammoth Sierra Star Parcels, California The Ranch Club, Montana
Quechee Lakes, Vermont
Blue Marlin Cove, Grand Bahama Island
Sur Mer, Grand Bahama Island
CBRE GOLF & RESORT PROPERTIES www.cbre.com/golfandresort760 438 8500
CBRE GOLF & RESORT PROPERTIES 5780 Fleet Street, Suite 100Carlsbad, CA 92008
Morgan AbbottSenior Underwriter [email protected]
Jeff WoolsonManaging Director [email protected]