2013 real estate report

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The new 2013 Real Estate Report

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Page 1: 2013 Real Estate Report
Page 2: 2013 Real Estate Report

IND

US

TR

Y F

AC

TS

SO

UR

CE

S:

NA

TIO

NA

L A

SS

OC

IAT

ION

OF

RE

AL

TO

RS

®,

BU

SIN

ES

S W

IRE

, M

AR

KE

TW

AT

CH

, W

AL

L S

TR

EE

T J

OU

RN

AL

, C

NB

C

Bri

an

Bu

ffin

i’s R

ea

l E

sta

te R

ep

ort

PA

GE

1

7.1

mo

nth

s N

ov

em

be

r 2

01

11

.1 m

illi

on

in 2

01

3

1.4

mil

lio

n in

20

14

5.5

mo

nth

s N

ov

em

be

r 2

01

2

SU

PP

LY O

F L

IST

ED

IN

VE

NT

OR

Y:

EX

PE

CT

ED

HO

US

ING

STA

RT

S:

Ov

er

the

ne

xt

thre

e

yea

rs, h

om

e p

rice

s a

re

pro

ject

ed

to

ris

e

15

%

In Q

4 2

01

2, h

om

e p

rice

s

rose

in

12

0 o

ut

of

14

9

me

tro

ma

rke

ts

50

% of

co

nsu

me

rs

exp

ect

ho

me

-re

nta

l

pri

ces

to in

cre

ase

in 2

01

3

In 2

01

2, e

xist

ing

-ho

me

sa

les

we

re a

t th

e h

igh

est

lev

el

sin

ce 2

00

7 a

nd

up

9.2

% f

rom

20

11

Of

all

ho

me

pu

rch

ase

s,

ne

w h

om

es

com

pri

sed

16

%

43

%

of

Ech

o B

oo

me

rs

are

ho

me

ow

ne

rs

Bu

yin

g a

ho

me

ha

sn’t

be

en

as

aff

ord

ab

le

sin

ce 1

97

1

Av

era

ge

pro

ject

ed

ho

usi

ng

aff

ord

ab

ility

ind

ex

Av

Av

er

ing

e

e

pr

pro

jec

ect

eted

A m

ed

ian

-in

com

e f

am

ily

wo

uld

ha

ve

16

0%

of

the

inco

me

ne

ed

ed

to

pu

rch

ase

a m

ed

ian

-pri

ced

, exi

stin

g

sin

gle

-fa

mil

y h

om

e

32

%

of

ho

me

s

sold

in

No

ve

mb

er

20

12

we

re

on

th

e

ma

rke

t fo

r

less

th

an

a

mo

nth

20

%

we

re o

n t

he

ma

rke

t 6

mo

nth

s o

r

lon

ge

r

TH

E A

VE

RA

GE

HO

ME

PU

RC

HA

SE

D W

AS

:

1,9

00

squ

are

fe

et

20

yea

rs o

ld

3b

ed

roo

ms

2b

ath

roo

ms

Page 3: 2013 Real Estate Report

MO

RT

GA

GE

ST

AT

S

Bri

an

Bu

ffin

i’s R

ea

l E

sta

te R

ep

ort

PA

GE

2

SO

UR

CE

S:

US

CE

NS

US

BU

RE

AU

, N

AT

ION

AL

AS

SO

CIA

TIO

N O

F R

EA

LT

OR

, F

RE

DD

IE M

AC

, H

OU

SIN

GW

IRE

, F

AN

NIE

MA

E

37

% o

f co

nsu

me

rs

fee

l th

at

mo

rtg

ag

e r

ate

s w

ill in

cre

ase

in t

he

ne

xt

12

mo

nth

s

At

the

en

d o

f 2

01

2, t

he

30

-ye

ar

fixe

d r

ate

mo

rtg

ag

e

av

era

ge

d

96

%

of

bu

yers

fin

an

ced

th

eir

ho

me

pu

rch

ase

91

%

Th

e m

ed

ian

pe

rce

nta

ge

of

ho

me

pri

ce

fin

an

ced

WH

AT

BU

YE

RS

SA

ID A

BO

UT

TH

E M

OR

TGA

GE

PR

OC

ES

S:

37

%

of

ho

use

ho

lds

use

mo

re t

ha

n

30

% o

f th

eir

inco

me

fo

r

ho

usi

ng

18

%

use

mo

re t

ha

n

50

% o

f th

eir

inco

me

fo

r

ho

usi

ng

com

pa

red

to

3.9

4%

a y

ea

r

pri

or

In J

an

ua

ry 2

01

3, t

he

15

-ye

ar

fixe

d r

ate

mo

rtg

ag

e

av

era

ge

d

com

pa

red

to

3.2

1%

a y

ea

r

pri

or

17

%

ea

sie

r th

an

exp

ect

ed

44

%

no

t d

ifficu

lt/n

o

mo

re d

ifficu

lt

tha

n e

xpe

cte

d

23

%

som

ew

ha

t

mo

re d

ifficu

lt

tha

n e

xpe

cte

d

OF

BU

YE

RS

WIT

H A

MO

RT

GA

GE

:

92

%

cho

se a

fixe

d-r

ate

loa

n

49

%ch

ose

a

con

ve

nti

on

al

loa

n

33

%

cho

se a

n

FH

A lo

an

10

%

cho

se a

VA

loa

n

SO

UR

CE

S F

OR

A B

UY

ER

’S D

OW

N P

AY

ME

NT

:

65%

25%

14%

Sa

vin

gs

Pro

cee

ds

fro

m t

he

sale

of

an

oth

er

ho

me

Gif

t fr

om

a

rela

tiv

e o

r fr

ien

d

51

% o

f co

nsu

me

rs s

ay

it’s

ea

sie

r to

ob

tain

a m

ort

ga

ge

no

w t

ha

n in

th

e p

ast

Page 4: 2013 Real Estate Report

SO

UR

CE

S:

??

DIS

TR

ES

SE

D P

RO

PE

RT

IES

PR

ICE

IN

FO

RM

AT

ION

Bri

an

Bu

ffin

i’s R

ea

l E

sta

te R

ep

ort

PA

GE

3

SO

UR

CE

S:

NA

TIO

NA

L A

SS

OC

IAT

ION

OF

RE

AL

TO

RS

®,

CL

EA

R C

AP

ITA

, M

AR

KE

TW

AT

CH

, C

NN

MO

NE

Y,

RIS

ME

DIA

As

of

Oct

ob

er

20

12

, fo

recl

osu

res

we

re a

t a

5-y

ea

r lo

w

Th

rou

gh

20

13

na

tio

na

l ho

me

pri

ces

are

fo

reca

ste

d t

o

gro

w b

y

2.1

%

In 2

01

2,

the

me

dia

n

pri

ce o

f n

ew

an

d e

xist

ing

ho

me

s

rose

5

%

Me

dia

n p

rice

of

a n

ew

ho

me

pu

rch

ase

dM

ed

ian

pri

ce o

f a

n e

xist

ing

ho

me

pu

rch

ase

d

Na

tio

na

l ye

ar-

ov

er-

yea

r

pri

ce g

ain

s p

icke

d u

p

ste

am

in D

ece

mb

er,

com

ing

in a

t

4.9

%

33

% o

f h

om

e s

ale

s

in 2

01

2 w

ere

RE

Os

an

d s

ho

rt s

ale

s

RE

O P

RO

PE

RT

Y C

OM

PAR

ISO

N:

In 2

00

9:

67

0,0

00

In 2

01

2:

50

0,0

00

$2

32

,00

0$

17

9,9

00

Av

era

ge

pri

ce d

isco

un

t

on

a f

ore

clo

sure

Av

era

ge

pri

ce d

isco

un

t

on

a s

ho

rt s

ale

20

%

16%

Page 5: 2013 Real Estate Report

TO

DA

Y’S

BU

YE

R

SO

UR

CE

S:

NA

TIO

NA

L A

SS

OC

IAT

ION

OF

RE

AL

TO

RS

®

TOP

5 R

EA

SO

NS

BU

YE

RS

WA

NT

TO

MO

VE

:

45

% T

o li

ve

in a

larg

er

spa

ce

44

% T

o li

ve

in a

ho

me

be

tte

r su

ite

d t

o

the

ir li

fe p

ha

se

42

% T

o li

ve

in a

ho

me

be

tte

r su

ite

d t

o

the

ir s

tyle

30

% To

liv

e in

a b

ett

er

ne

igh

bo

rho

od

27

% F

or

a g

ree

ne

r,

mo

re

en

vir

on

me

nta

lly

sust

ain

ab

le h

om

e

Bri

an

Bu

ffin

i’s R

ea

l E

sta

te R

ep

ort

PA

GE

4

ME

DIA

N H

OM

E P

UR

CH

AS

ED

:

Bu

ilt in

19

92

11

mil

es

fro

m p

rev

iou

s re

sid

en

ce TOP

FA

CTO

RS

TH

AT

INF

LUE

NC

E

NE

IGH

BO

RH

OO

D C

HO

ICE

:

Qu

alit

y o

f n

eig

hb

orh

oo

d

Co

nv

en

ien

ce t

o jo

b

Ov

era

ll a

ffo

rda

bili

ty o

f h

om

es

Co

nv

en

ien

ce t

o f

rie

nd

s/fa

mily

Co

nv

en

ien

ce t

o s

ho

pp

ing

90

%

of

bu

yers

use

d t

he

Inte

rne

t to

he

lp t

he

m

fin

d a

ho

me

51

%

use

d t

he

ir

ag

en

t’s

we

bsi

te

42

%fi

rst

saw

th

e

ho

use

th

ey

pu

rch

ase

d o

n

the

Inte

rne

t

34

%

he

ard

ab

ou

t

the

ho

me

fro

m

the

ir r

ea

l est

ate

ag

en

t

On

av

era

ge

, a h

om

e b

uye

r

sea

rch

ed

fo

r

12

we

ek

sa

nd

vie

we

d 1

0 h

om

es

Th

e d

esi

re t

o o

wn

a h

om

e

rem

ain

s th

e m

ost

po

pu

lar

rea

son

fo

r a

ho

me

pu

rch

ase

89

% o

f b

uye

rs

use

d a

re

al

est

ate

ag

en

t o

r b

roke

r

78

%

of

all

bu

yers

se

e

the

ir h

om

e a

s a

go

od

fin

an

cia

l

inv

est

me

nt

46

% o

f b

uye

rs

exp

an

de

d

the

ir h

om

e s

ea

rch

to

incl

ud

e

ne

w a

rea

s b

eca

use

of

low

inv

en

tory

38

% to

ok

a b

rea

k

un

til m

ore

listi

ng

s ca

me

on

th

e m

ark

et

He

ati

ng

an

d

coo

ling

co

sts

En

erg

y e

ffici

en

t

ap

plia

nce

s

En

erg

y e

ffici

en

t

ligh

tin

g

EN

VIR

ON

ME

NTA

LLY

FR

IEN

DLY

FE

AT

UR

ES

CO

NS

IDE

RE

D V

ER

Y

IMP

OR

TAN

T:

Th

e a

ve

rag

e b

uye

r

pla

ns

to s

tay

in t

he

ir

ho

me

fo

r

15 y

ea

rs

Page 6: 2013 Real Estate Report

66600

%%d

esi

re t

o o

wn

ho

ho

me

me

11

%%

aff

aff

ord

ab

ililitytyty

o of

ho

me

s

9%%

cha

ng

e in

fam

ily s

itu

ati

on

40

%

Mid

we

st

37

%

So

uth

39

%

We

st

45

%

No

rth

ea

st

FIR

ST

TIM

E H

OM

E B

UY

ER

FA

CT

S

TH

E T

YP

ICA

L

FIR

ST–

TIM

E

BU

YE

R:

SO

UR

CE

S:

BE

TT

ER

HO

ME

S A

ND

GA

RD

EN

S R

EA

L E

ST

AT

E,

NA

TIO

NA

L A

SS

OC

IAT

ION

OF

RE

AL

TO

RS

®,

NB

CN

EW

S.C

OM

31

ye

ars

old

pu

rch

ase

d a

1,6

00

sq

ua

re

foo

t h

om

e f

or

$1

54

,10

0

Bri

an

Bu

ffin

i’s R

ea

l E

sta

te R

ep

ort

PA

GE

5

FIR

ST-

TIM

E B

UY

ER

S B

Y R

EG

ION

:

SA

CR

IFIC

ES

RE

NT

ER

S A

RE

WIL

LIN

G T

O M

AK

E F

OR

HO

ME

OW

NE

RS

HIP

:

62

% ea

t o

ut

less

40

% ta

ke o

n a

seco

nd

job

23

% m

ov

e b

ack

in w

ith

th

eir

pa

ren

ts

82

%

see

th

eir

ho

me

as

a g

oo

d fi

na

nci

al

inv

est

me

nt

75

%

of

firs

t-ti

me

bu

yers

be

liev

e

tha

t o

wn

ing

a h

om

e is

a

key

ind

ica

tor

of

succ

ess

71

% co

nsi

de

r h

om

eo

wn

ers

hip

som

eth

ing

th

ey

ha

ve

to

ea

rn,

rath

er

tha

n b

elie

vin

g it

is s

om

eth

ing

th

ey

de

serv

e

39

% o

f re

cen

t h

om

e

bu

yers

we

re

firs

t-ti

me

bu

yers

Th

e a

ve

rag

e fi

rst-

tim

e b

uye

r

pla

ns

to s

tay

in t

he

ir h

om

e f

or

10

ye

ars

Firs

t-ti

me

bu

yers

co

nta

cte

d

an

ag

en

t a

fte

r se

arc

hin

g f

or

a

ho

me

fo

r

3 w

ee

ks

3/4

o

f fi

rst-

tim

e

bu

yers

use

d

the

ir s

av

ing

s

for

a d

ow

n

pa

ym

en

t

1/4

use

d a

gif

t fr

om

a

rela

tiv

e o

r

frie

nd

Fin

din

g t

he

rig

ht

pro

pe

rty

& t

he

pa

pe

rwo

rk w

ere

th

e

mo

st d

ifficu

lt s

tep

s in

th

e

ho

me

bu

yin

g p

roce

ss

PR

IMA

RY

RE

AS

ON

S F

OR

BU

YIN

G A

HO

ME

:

66666 de

a 1 aff

aff

ho 99 ch fa

ho

me

fo

r

3 w

ee

kss

33/44

of

of

firsrs

t-t-ti

me

me

bu

yeyersrs

use

d

the

ie

ir s

av

ing

s

11/4

use

d a

gi

gif

tft f

rorom

a

rerelala

titiv

e o

r

Fin

pr

PR

BU

Page 7: 2013 Real Estate Report

4%

31%

10%

13%

8%

10%

8%

8%

WE

EK

S O

N T

HE

MA

RK

ET

:

1-4

5-8

9-1

2

13

-16

17

-24

25

-36

37

or

mo

re

WE

WE

WE

EK

EK

EK

EK

S

S O

NO

NO

N

SE

LL

ER

ST

AT

S &

TR

EN

DS

SO

UR

CE

: N

AT

ION

AL

AS

SO

CIA

TIO

N O

F R

EA

LT

OR

Bri

an

Bu

ffin

i’s R

ea

l E

sta

te R

ep

ort

PA

GE

6

WH

AT

SE

LL

ER

S B

OU

GH

T:

46

%

a la

rge

r, h

igh

er-

pri

ced

ho

me

62

%

a n

ew

er

ho

me

68

%

a h

om

e w

ith

in

the

sa

me

sta

te

Th

e t

yp

ica

l se

lle

r liv

es

in t

he

ir h

om

e f

or

9 y

ea

rs

40

%

of

sell

ers

off

ere

d in

cen

tiv

es

incl

ud

ing

ass

ista

nce

wit

h

ho

me

wa

rra

nty

po

licie

s

an

d c

losi

ng

co

sts

On

av

era

ge

,

sell

ers

so

ld t

he

ir

ho

me

fo

r

95

%

of

the

list

ing

pri

ce

$2

0,0

00

T

he

me

dia

n a

mo

un

t

of

eq

uit

y e

arn

ed

on

a h

om

e s

ale

25

%

red

uce

d it

on

ce

17

%

red

uce

d it

twic

e

40

%

of

sell

ers

did

no

t re

du

ce

the

ir a

skin

g

pri

ce

18%

re

du

ced

it

thre

e o

r

mo

re t

ime

s

88

%

of

sell

ers

use

d a

re

al

est

ate

ag

en

t to

se

ll

the

ir h

om

e

les

s

tha

n 1

Page 8: 2013 Real Estate Report

CO

NS

UM

ER

CO

NF

IDE

NC

E

Bri

an

Bu

ffin

i’s R

ea

l E

sta

te R

ep

ort

PA

GE

7

SO

UR

CE

S:

RE

DF

IN,

MA

RK

ET

WA

TC

H,

HO

US

ING

WIR

E,

BU

SIN

ES

S W

IRE

57

% o

f h

om

eb

uye

rs p

lan

to

bu

y

no

w t

o t

ake

ad

va

nta

ge

of

low

inte

rest

ra

tes

67

%

of

con

sum

ers

wo

uld

bu

y if

the

y h

ad

to

mo

ve

in t

he

ne

ar

futu

re

31

%

of

ren

ters

pla

n t

o

bu

y a

ho

me

wit

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