20101130 charm aharonson

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    Oded Aharonson (Caltech)Alex Hayes, Jonathan Lunine,Ralph Lorenz, Michael Allison,

    Charles Elachi, Cassini RadarScience Team

    Unveiling Titan:A World Strange and Familiar

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    HST, Wide Field Camera 2

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    Voyager 1 1980A Hazy world. Hemispheric Asymmetry,

    Polar Collar/Hood

    UV radiation and coronadischarge of N2/CH4mixtures

    End product - tholin(from Greek muddy, viaCarl Sagan)

    Image Credit: NASA/JPL/Caltech

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    Titan: A New World

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    Photo by K. Sturgill, Marion, Virginia

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    The Magnificent Seven:

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    Cassini VIMS: Titans spectral diversity

    Based on Barnes et al., 2007

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    Titans Dune1-2 km spacing

    150 m characteristic heights

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    Shuttle handheld digital cameraSTS107

    Linear Dunes in the Namib Desert

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    Titans Hydrologic Cycle

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    Elivagar FluminaBraided, sinuous channels

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    Analog Site - near Parker AZ(identified from airplane window, TUS-LAX circa 730am )

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    Titans Odds @ Caltech

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    The View from Huygens

    Credit: ESA, NASA, Descent Imager/Spectral Radiometer Team (LPL)

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    Image Credit: NASA/JPL

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    2010

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    0 375 750 1,125 1,500187.5km

    n

    Hayes et al. , 2008

    m

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    Courtesy NASA/JPL-Caltech

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    Image Credit: NASA / JPL / University of Arizona / DLR

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    Brown et al., Nature, 2008

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    Current Radar Mapping

    Aharonson et al. , 2009

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    Polewards of 55, now >50%coverage in both hemispheres

    North South

    Filled 10%

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    Zebker et al. , Science, 2009

    Global Shape

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    Mitchell et al. , 2008

    GCM

    2D GCM predicts:

    Eevap. ~ 2 W/m2

    i.e. 0.3 m/yr

    Numerical Predictions

    0 375 750 1 125 1 500187 5

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    0 375 750 1,125 1,500187.5km

    n

    Hayes et al. , 2008

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    R. Lorenz (Pers. Comm.)

    l l

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    t=0,Ls,p=277.7, e=0.054

    Solar Insolation

    Peak South Polar Insolation:7.48 W/m2

    Peak North Polar Insolation:6.04 W/m2haronson et al. , 2009

    400

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    -100 -80 -60 -40 -20 00

    50

    100

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    Time Since Present (kyr)

    Ls

    ofPerihelion

    -100 -80 -60 -40 -20 026

    26.5

    27

    27.5

    28

    28.5

    Time Since Present (kyr)

    Saturn'sObliq

    uity()

    -100 -80 -60 -40 -20 00

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    Time Since Present (kyr)

    Saturn'sEccentricity()(%)

    l l

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    t=0,Ls,p=277.7, e=0.054 t=-31.5 kyr, Ls,p= 97.7, e=0.046

    Solar Insolation

    Aharonson et al. , 2009

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    22-25

    -0.7-0.04

    0-6%

    440-570 W/m2

    O18

    http://www.globalwarmingart.com/wiki/File:Milankovitch_Variations_png

    Tit s Mil k it h P i ds

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    ~270 kyr ~45 kyr

    Titans Milankovitch Periods

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    MilutinMilankovi(1879 1958)

    Ice Ages

    JamesCroll

    (1821-1890)

    http://earth.rice.edu/mtpe/cryo/cryosphere/topics/ice_age.html

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    11-20 km Putative Craters Sinlap, 80 km

    Crater retention age:200 Myr (Wood et al., 2009) up to

    1 Gyr crater retention age

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    Putative Crater Distribution

    Wood et al., 2009

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    GCM Results

    Graves, Schneider, et al.

    Some Numbers

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    Hypothesis consistent with

    Hemispheric asymmetry in lakes Ontario Lake Ethane detection by VIMS

    Insolation function energetics

    Crater distribution latitudinal gradients

    Some Numbers The differential heat flux can evaporate:

    F~ 1.5 W/m2

    L = 510 kJ/kg = 422 kg/m3

    Ethane is significantly (x10,000) less volatile so is likelyto remain, and can retain residual methane in solution

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    Schaller et al., 2009

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    Hayes et al. , 201 0a in press)

    A M d lD

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    Hayes et al. , 201 0a in press)

    A ModelData

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    Hayes et al. , 201 0b in press)

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    Hayes et al. , 201 0b in press)

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    Hayes et al. , 201 0b in press)

    Ontario Reduction

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    Ontario Reduction

    Flux: 1.00.2 m/yrHayes et al. , 201 0b, in press)

    Summary

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    tan =(9.1+2.5)10-4

    Possible to obtain firstextra-terrestrialbathymetry of near-shore

    lake regions, correlate withgeology

    Seasonal methane loss rate

    from southern lakes Ontario: 1.00.2 m/yr

    Smaller lakes: 1.070.23,1.100.23, 1.030.25,

    1.090.34 m/yr

    -2.0

    Summary

    Summary

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    So far, no demonstrable lake

    height changes have beenidentified in the North(Although several putative changes areseen, in part may be due to incidenceangle variations)

    Climate models vary in theirpredictions, e.g. Newman etal., Graves et al., predict

    peak summer evaporation,Tokano et al. predict peak inthe winter

    Summary

    Summary

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    Summary Cassini revealed a statistically

    significant asymmetry in lakedistribution

    If the asymmetry is notinherent to the crust, we

    propose it is due to anasymmetry in Titans seasonsforced by the orbit

    The orbital parameters varywith 10s kyr periods,suggesting a dynamichydrologic methane cycle

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    Thanks