2007 virginia tech corn silage hybrid evaluation program brian jones agronomy extension agent
TRANSCRIPT
2007 Virginia Tech Corn Silage Hybrid Evaluation Program
Brian JonesAgronomy Extension Agent
Outline
The 2007 growing season in review Go over corn silage publication Introduce a helpful software tool
Growing Season in Review April began cool and wet, but ended
with warmer than average temperatures
Planting was generally ahead of schedule around most of the area
By mid-June, 40% of counties (including Rockingham and Augusta) reported being short of soil moisture
You know the rest…hot and dry just about everywhere
Growing Season in Review Augusta and Rockingham Counties
declared drought disaster areas Hot temperatures and no rain before
and after silking severely affected yields
Some areas did receive timely showers and I have seen extremes in corn yields
Good year to really test hybrid performance!
2007 Corn Silage Hybrid Performance Trials
Corn Silage Test
69 Hybrids from 11 Companies Down from last year More hybrids entered across locations
This is GOOD: Better DATA
4 locations 2 on farms (Special Thanks) 2 on experiment stations
Shenandoah Valley Test Details Hosted by the Phillips’ Family North Point Farms Soil Type: Frederick-Christian Silt Loam Planted April 30, 2007 Weed Control (April 26)
Preplant: 1 qt Roundup + 1 qt 2,4-D + 1 qt Aatrex + 3 qt Lumax + 1 qt Princep
Insecticide: 4.5 lb Force 3G at planting Fertilizer:
Preplant: 6000 gal slurry March 12 Planting: 17 gal 20-10-0-2.2S-.127B-.25Zn
Plot size: 2 30” rows x 25’ with 4 replications Seeding rate: 25,000
Shenandoah Valley Test DetailsHarvested August 23rd
THANKS TO:CHARLIE FRETWELL, ALL THE AG AGENTS!
Plots were sub-sampled for quality analysis performed at the Southern Piedmont Experiment Station.
MILK 2006 was run on the data.
Let’s Look at the Data Table 1 – Hybrid Information
Key Points: Sorted alphabetically (pick up corrected handout) IST/GT = insectide seed treatment or genetic
traits Number of different treatments this year to
compare DTM = days to maturity
As provided by the companies OBS = very important!
MORE OBSERVATIONS = MORE RELIABILITY
Tables 2, 3 and 4
Use these to COMPARE and PREDICT yield and quality
Table 2 = Yield (ton/acre) Table 3 = Quality (milk/ton) Table 4 = Yield x Quality
(milk/acre)
Tables 2, 3 and 4
Key Points: Values listed are RELATIVE
What does Relative mean?
Comparing actual numbers not appropriate Does not account for differences in sites
Levels the playing field A percentage:
RelativeYield = Yield/AverageYield * 100 100 = average >100 = above average <100 = below average
Tables 2, 3 and 4
Key Points continued Values listed are RELATIVE Look at the multi-site average
A good hybrid will perform above average over all sites and conditions
Remember: Every farm is different! Weather is not consistent!
Tables 2, 3 and 4
Key Points continued Values listed are RELATIVE Look at the multi-site average Look at the number of observations
MORE OBSERVATIONS = MORE RELIABILITY
Tables are ranked first by observations, then by multi-site average
Tables 2, 3 and 4
Key Points continued Values listed are RELATIVE Look at the multi-site average Look at the number of observations Look for astericks (*)
Indicate values that are significantly high
Tables 2, 3 and 4
Key Points continued Values listed are RELATIVE Look at the multi-site average Look at the number of observations Look for astericks (*) Look for shading
CONSISTENTLY high performers in that table
QUESTIONS?
Tables 5 through 7 Shenandoah Valley data ACTUAL instead of RELATIVE data QUALITY data found here Use to compare hybrids at one site only! Table 5: 2007 values Table 6: 2 yr average Table 7: 3 yr average
Tables 5 through 7
Key Points Look at DTM and DM at Harvest
Check DM before harvesting Maturity ratings differ between
companies!!
Tables 5 through 7
Key Points Look at DTM and DM at harvest Look at nutritional analysis
CP, ADF, NDF, etc. Milk2006 lb milk / acre
This tells you if the hybrid can milk as well as yield
Very important information!
Milk2006 Output
Caution: For comparing forage samples/hybrids
NOT for predicting actual milk production Use statistics
Keep magnitude of differences in perspective
“Is milk per acre difference of 1,000 lbs meaningful?”
Use statistics and LSD to guide you…
Tables 5 through 7
Key Points Look at DTM and DM at harvest Look at nutritional analysis Look at the statistics
Sound Methods
Statistical analysis of results Don’t assume all numerical differences
due to REAL hybrid differences… Minor differences may be due to
RANDOM errors How do we decide if difference is minor
or meaningful? Statistical models give LSD LSD = least significant difference
What’s an LSD (0.10)? Numerical differences smaller than
LSD are: Minor (“not significant”)
Can’t be 90% confident they are not due to random errors
Numerical differences same or larger than LSD are: Meaningful (“significant”)
Can be 90% confident they are not due to random errors
Example
Table 5 Maximum Yield at 35% DM is 24.79
ton/ac LSD is 5.25 24.79 – 5.25 = 19.54 So: If value is >=19.54, not
different from the top performer
QUESTIONS?
Average Relative Yield vs. Quality for all Test Sites in 2007
75
80
85
90
95
100
105
110
115
120
125
75 80 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125
Relative Quality (lbs milk / ton DM)
Re
lativ
e Y
ield
(to
n /
ac
@ 3
5%
DM
)
A Picture Is Worth 1000 Tables
Higher YieldLower Quality
Lower YieldLower Quality
Lower YieldHigher Quality
Higher YieldHigher Quality
High Yielding and High Quality Hybrids In At Least 3 Site/Year Combinations in 2007
99
101
103
105
107
109
111
113
115
99 101 103 105 107 109 111 113 115
Relative Quality (lbs milk / ton DM)
Re
lati
ve
Yie
ld (
ton
/ a
c @
35
% D
M)
12
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
1213
Point ID Brand Hybrid1 DEKALB DKC64-78(RR2/YGCB)2 Doebler's 785RB3 Augusta A-06-10HX4 Southern States SS 783 RR2YGCB5 Southern States SS 647 VT36 DEKALB DKC64-23(RR2/YGRW)7 DEKALB DKC61-73(RR2/YGCB)8 Southern States SS 746 RR2YGCB9 Augusta A5175CB10 Mid-Atlantic MA8088VT311 DEKALB DKC66-23(RR2/YGCB)12 Augusta A-04-102CB13 Augusta A-04-94CB
A Picture Is Worth 1000 Tables
QUESTIONS?
CornPicker Software Tool
Partial budget approach to fine-tuning hybrid selections
Developed at Michigan State University
Excel software program available at: http://www.msu.edu/user/mdr/cornpicker.html (see handout)
Let’s take a look…
Corn Grain Test
Publication laid out the same Tables 1, 2 and 3 are the relative yields
Use these for comparison Remaining tables contain data for each
site Shenandoah Valley test: Tables 19 to 21
Tables are split by relative maturity Statistical methods are the same
Thanks
Any Questions?