Three-Day Information Sharing & Analytics Orientation

www.oss.net www.earth-intelligence.net

Words for Each Slide in Notes

Security Risk Assessment

Security Risk Management ReportUnited Nations System in Lebanon

If and when the United Nations chooses to accept the US Department of Defense offer to fund the office of an Assistant Secretary General for Decision Support, this is the notional briefing that we would use to begin training toward the day when every element of the United Nations System is a collector, producer, and consumer of legal ethical decision support information and analysis.

DSS Mission Statement

• The Department of Safety and Security is responsible for providing leadership, operational support and oversight of the security management system to enable the safest and most efficient conduct of the programmes and activities of the United Nations System.

• Observation: Information is the modern means for achieving security, both for protection of UN personnel, facilities, organizations, and missions, and for the host member states and indigenous or migrant populations.

DSS Deficiencies of Concern• Threat Risk Assessments are

delayed & incomplete• Threat Risk Assessments do not

reflect 360° UN System view nor regional/adjacent threat information

• Threat Risk Assessments do not have a well-founded directory of Indicators, Accelerators, and Triggers relevant to UN System security.

• UN Missions & individual UN agencies or forces have no integrated decision-support mechanism helpful to one and all.

• UN System has no global directory of sources with defined biases, sponsors, or agendas.

• UN System is not perceived as having an effective but totally moral, legal, ethical information system helpful to both the UN System & Host Government.

• UN System does not have safe, efficient, or reliable (constant) means of sharing helpful information across all UN System boundaries (agencies, countries, missions, locations)

• UN System information is not efficiently acquired, exploited, or shared

• UN System has no means for identifying relevant sources, softwares, and services for multinational information sharing and internal analytics.

• UN System is not recognizing information as a major contributor to security.

DSS Host Overview

• We Must Connect– DPA– DPI– DPKO– DSS– All Other

• Participating Groups– UNIIIC– UNIFIL– ESCWA– DSS– UNTSO– UNDOF

• Three P’s– Posture– Perception– Political Compromise

• Fundamentals– Food & Water– Shelter– Clothing– Education– Security

• JOC/JMAC useful model• Member Nations creating

Open Source Intelligence units (e.g. Scotland Yard) that have been very effective in achieving improved security.

Sharing Legal Ethical Information Can Enhance Security & Performance for All

Nine Pillars of Vulnerability Mitigation in UN System Security• POLITICAL

COMPROMISE

• MEDIA MANAGEMENT

• MANDATE & MISSION

• POSTURE & PERCEPTION

• INFORMATION MANAGEMENT

• OPERATIONAL PROCEDURES

• PHYSICAL SECURITY

• TECHNICAL SECURITY

• HUMAN INTELLIGENCE (Defensive Passive Counter-Surveillance, Surveillance Detection, NOT Offensive Penetration)

Information—Open, Legal, Ethical Information—is the Essential Means for Mitigating All Nine UN System Vulnerabilities While Also Contributing to UN System Efficiency in Every Organization, at Every Level, for Every Function and Mission.

Conceptual Opportunity• IOSAS

– Integrated – Open – Source– Analytical– Support

• UNODIN– United– Nations– Open-Source– Decision-Support– Information– Network

Information should be the nerves, blood, and brain of the UN System.

Mission Joint Operations Centers and Force Joint Military Analysis Centersexist now, at an elementary level as conceptualized by MajGen Cammaert.

Our endeavors will over time dramatically improve both JOC & JMAC concepts, doctrine, manning, equipping, training, outsourcing, sourcing, & analytics. Our objective over the next 20 years is to establish a global grid that makes the UN System the world’s best Early Warning, Multinational Information Sharing, and Decision Support capability in support of peace and prosperity.

Goal of the Training Initiative

• The goal of this training initiative is to find ways to efficiently and effectively navigate the broad spectrum of open source material available, and to integrate pertinent elements of the 80% into the 20% available from currently recognized national and UN sources into an Integrated Open Source Analytic Support (IOSAS) mechanism.

Open Source Information

1

2

1. Host Country National/Military Security, Diplomatic Missions2. UNDSS, DPA, DPI, Other UN Agencies, Other NGO

Three-Day PlanThursday• Introductions of Participants• Strategic View of Multinational

Information Operations• Discussion of Two Online

Guides with Links:– www.oss.net/BASIC– www.oss.net/LIBRARY

• Discussion of Current Event Information

• Participant Identification of Top Issues for Discussion

• Sources & Methods (eg NATO)• How to Create a Wiki for Any

Mission (eg30 ExpertWiki)

NOTE: This gathering has three purposes:

1. To introduce six UN Lebanon groups to one another in person for improved sharing & support.

2. To identify global online and offline resources immediately available, free, to all participants.& their colleagues

3. To begin the process, with this “Class Before One” of defining how best to enhance UN access to and exploitation of multinational information among DSS, DPA, DPI, IM.

Friday• Sources

– 24/7 Call-In Number– Eight Sharing Tribes– Source Directory– Belief Systems– Financial Sources– Subscription Sources– Password-Protected

• Methods– Internet Speed– Online versus Personal– Cultural Factors– Creating Flow– Forecasting– Summaries & Opinions

• Indicators, Accelerants, & Triggers (Share & Improve)

• Empowering Technologies– Ingestion– Sense-Making– Sharing– SILOBREAKER

• Organizational Engineering– The Boss– The Source– The Budget– The Public

Saturday• Security Risk Assessment (Training Exercise)- Brief Senior Person from Each of Six UN Elements- Establish missing Essential Elements of Information (EEI)- Discuss the needs of senior officers (e.g. Commissioner, spokesperson for UNIFIL)• Open Dialog• Challenge Questions• Specify follow-up actions for instructor and for participants in next thirty days• Instructor to develop a proposed syllabus for UN DSS open source decision support information network (UNODIN) and with help from participants, a draft UN Handbook on Early Warning, Multinational Information Sharing, and Decision Support.

NOTE: all opinions are personal and off the record.

Class Before One

• A training concept—before the first “official” class, there is always a “Class Before One” that helps develop the need, the solution, and the presentation.

• You are the Class Before One. Be very proud of this, each of you is a UN System decision-support pioneer.

Open Everything:The Path to Peace & Prosperity

Information Management is the center of gravity for UN System.

We were here in 2006…

9-11 & Katrina, then multiple policy failures

Here in 2007!

US public scared back into reading and thinking; 75K amputees, GAO declares USA insolvent, 27 secessionist movements, “home rule” up, and corporate personality down.

Critical Junctures

Public Advantage I

TIME IMPACT SHORT

TIME IMPACT

LONG

MULTI-CULTURAL & TRANS-NATIONAL

EQUITIES

SINGLE-CULTURE SINGLE-ORGANIZATION

EQUITIES

LEADERS DECIDE

PEOPLE DECIDE

TOP-DOWN COMMAND & CONTROL

SECRET SOURCES & METHODS

BOTTOM-UP INFORMATION-SHARING

OPEN SOURCES & METHODS

OBVIOUS DETAIL

OBSCURE DETAIL

OLD

NEW

Public Advantage II

Localized Resilience

Sustainable Reality-Based Transpartisan Budgets

Weekly Review

Expert Forum

Distance Learning

Virtual Library

Shared Calendar

Virtual Budget

Shared 24/7 Plot

Shared Rolodex

Public Advantage III

Secrets

"Intelligence"

"Protected"

Open

Targeting

Signals

Imagery

Order of Battle

Mapping

Undercover

Investigation

Privacy

Metrics

Client Information

Pricing Information

Cost Information

External Information

National Military Law Enforcement Business

Secret

Sensitive

Private

Open

Secret

Sensitive

Private

Open

Secret

Sensitive

Private

Open

Academic NGO-Media Citizen+

Public Advantage IV

Advantage IIPublic Advantage VThis is the real “End Game”

Future Vision for Global Information Sharing & Management

• www.beta.silobreaker.com is the single best tool, free for now• Expect to pay $400 a year if UN does not make a special deal for all.• Instant 360° view of any topic, e.g. El Fatah al-Islam• Sense-making tools can be applied to both their content and yours.

Organizations Fateh Al-Islam Al Qaeda Gama´a al-Islamiyya Fatah Party Show More

Key Phrases Refugee Camp Terrorist Group Martyrdom Allotment Show More

Topics Civil Disruption / Riots Democratization Land Forces Territorial Disputes Show More

Cities Tripoli (Libya) Beirut Damascus ʿAmman Show More

Countries Lebanon Syria United States Israel Show More

Quotes ...near the Palestinian refugee camp of Nahr el-Bared where Fatah Islam militants have been fighting Lebanese soldiers for more than two months. "Cabinet was informed by Interior Minister Hassan Sabei that Lebanese security forces have killed the Fatah Islam's No 2 in the Abu Samra neighbourhood" in Tripoli, Aridi told reporters following a Cabinet meeting last night [08/07/2007] DDI News - Lebanon announces killing Fatah Islam deputy commander The group said it was bringing the 'good news to the Muslims of the martyrdom of a noble brother,' according to the statement. "We in the Fatah Islam movement and all the true mujahideen, pledge to God to avenge our brother's blood from the infidels and the renegades" The authenticity of the statement, posted on a Web site which commonly carries messages from Al Qaeda and other militant groups, could not be independently... [08/09/2007] FOXNews.com - Fatah Islam's No. 2 Killed by Lebanese Troops

Documents matching your search Documents |  Stories All (67) | News (67) | Reports (0) | Blogs (0) | Audio/Video (0) | Fact Sheets (0) Documents Sort by: Date | RelevanceWhile Gaza burns Haaretz   08/21/2007

Current Story Lebanon: Fatah al-Islam No. 2 killed

• Intelligence is a process that creates decision-support.

• It is NOT defined by secret sources & methods.

• The Brahimi Report, Military Advisors to the Secretary General, and The High Level Threat Panel all validate urgency of creating a UN/NGO global decision support and multinational information sharing network.

Intelligence = Decision Support

Orientation, Not Micro-Training

• You will learn more on your own, and by sharing with one another, than can be taught here in three days

• www.oss.net/BASIC has the primary links• www.oss.net/LIBRARY has 30,000 pages from

650+ speakers, this directory can be sorted and also searched

• Consider viewing the lectures and movies first, especially the lectures on Analysis & New Rules, and the movie on Creating the World Brain.

Analysis is a Profession

• Four D’s– Discovery– Discrimination– Distillation– Delivery

• If you do nothing else, read the Analytic Tradecraft booklet by Jack Davis, easily accessed online, free, via www.oss.net/BASIC.

• Facts Are Not Enough– History– Cultural Context– Adjacent Players– Localized Indicators,

Accelerators, Triggers– Sharing 24/7– Cast a Wide Net– Wild Cards Abound– Thinking Matters More

Than Technology

Ten High-Level Threats

• Poverty• Infectious Disease• Environmental

Degradation• Inter-State Conflict• Civil War

• Genocide• Other Atrocities• Proliferation• Terrorism• Transnational Crime

Every Mission Confronts These Ten Threats One Way or Another—

Avoid Narrow Focus, Always See the Forest, Not Just The Tree in Front of You

Open Sources & Ten Threats• Economic and social threats including 95%

– poverty, 99%– infectious disease and 95%– environmental degradation 90%

• Inter-State conflict 75%• Internal conflict, including 90%

– civil war, 80%– genocide and 95%– other large-scale atrocities 95%

• Nuclear, radiological, chemical, and biological weapons (proliferation) 75%

• Terrorism 80%• Transnational organized crime 80%

On balance, open sources are more than adequate to understand and address the ten high-level threats, but the UN System’s Information Management is not.

Twelve Action Areas

• Agriculture• Diplomacy• Economy• Education• Energy• Family

• Health• Immigration/Migration• Justice• Security• Society• Water

Every Mission Has Narrow Channels and Deep Bureaucracies.

Information Sharing is a Proper Ethical Means for Enhancing Effectiveness.

If Any Action Area is Overlooked, Boss Needs to Know This.

Prediction/Prevention

Self protection

Environmental Security

Retaliation

Analysis Cannot Do It All

You

EveryoneElse

1. Improve Sources2. Improve Sharing3. Improve Analysis4. Improve Decisions by

Supported Bosses

Model for Analytic Purpose

Probability

Casualty Potential

Surprise

Hezbollah, Iran, Regional SurpriseWarning, meaning, need, elsewhere

• 14 Aug 07 News Release• Sheikh Hassan Nasrallah

promises “surprise” if Israel attacks Lebanon again.

• Hezbollah has not been disarmed—15,000 rockets remain hidden (other source)

• Lebanon divided, Israeli soldiers still captive, situation is volatile

• Direct negotiations could help, truth & reconciliation

• Israel may not appreciate full extent of Iranian ability to provide supporting attacks, e.g. exploding buildings in Tel Aviv, cutting of US land supply line from Kuwait to Baghdad, Sunburn missile attack against Maritime Force.

• Israel, not Iran or Syria, is the most likely to take unilateral violent action that will trigger the “surprise.”

Probability: HighDamage: Very HighSurprise: Strikes Outside of Lebanon, Not by Hezbollah

Israel 9-11 in Tel Aviv

The New Intelligence Gap: the difference between what you can know and what you can use!

INFORMATION

TIME

Actionable Intelligence

Available Information

Complex Organizations are Drowning in Information.Analytic Tradecraft, Applied by Analysts, is the Solution.

Why Analysts Are Special

Over time and space

Channels & Borders

Of strategic value

Quantities & Distribution

Internally available for use

Volatility of sectors

Training & Maintenance

Mobility implications

Cohesion & Effectiveness

STRATEGIC Integrated Application

OPERATIONAL Selection of Time and Place

TACTICAL Application of Finite Resources

TECHNICAL Isolated Capabilities

Military Sustainability

Civil Allies

Geographic Location

Military Systems One by One

Climate Manipulation

Civil Power, Transport, Communications,

Finance

Military Availability

Civil Infrastructure

Geographic Terrain

Geographic Resources

Military Lethality

Military Reliability

Civil Psychology

Civil Stability

Geographic Atmosphere

Levels of Analysis: Threat Changes!

This is very important. The threat changes depending on the level of analysis,and the threat is distinct, more on this shortly, in relation to the UN Mission, fixed facilities, mobile units, and individuals with both fixed homes and mobile platforms.

Creating an Analysis CellCentral discovery, distributed exploitation

• Six people can leverage global open sources for an entire Ministry or Service or Command

• This reduces duplication while increasing decision support to all bosses

• Saves money and creates value that can be shared with host country and others

Senior All-Source Collection Manager

Internet Specialist

Commercial Online Expert

Primary Research

External Contracts

All-Source Analyst/ Presentation Manager

Seven Tribes (Eight)

Military

Law Enforcement

Business

Academic

National

NGOs

Religions, Clans, Labor Unions,

Citizen Observers

Media

New Decision-Support Paradigm

OLD• NGO’s Don’t “Do” • Policy Over Intelligence• Unilateral• Mostly Secret• Technical Emphasis• Collection Emphasis• One-language filter• Mistakes hidden• Short-term thinking

NEW• Brahimi Report ++• Intelligence Over Policy• Multilateral• Mostly Public• Human Emphasis• Analysis Emphasis• Multi-lingual filters• Mistakes acknowledged• Long-term thinking

Open Source Intelligence ILessons of History

I

Lessons of History

China, Islam, Ethnic, Etc.

• Neither the academics nor the government have done well here.

• We need to fund both specialists in history, and a massive digitization project for Chinese, Islamic, other key histories.

Open Source Intelligence IIMultinational Burden Sharing

II

Global Coverage

Cost-Sharing with Others--Shared Early Warning

• No one has the time, money, or ability to cover the world.

• We must find new means of sharing the burden of collection, translation, digitization of global open sources in 33+ languages.

• The Internet is vital.

• We must establish open protocols for linking and leveraging the other tribes: military, law enforcement, business, academic, NGO-media, and religious.

• A global intelligence federation is needed.

Open Source Intelligence IIILeveraging the Private Sector

III

National Intelligence

Harness distributed intelligence of Nation

Enhancing Performance IData standards and sharing matter

It’s the back and forth that allows DNA to define life.

OpenHuman

ImagerySignals

• From north to south, east to west, if the information is not entered digitally and according to some agreed upon standard, it will not be shared and will not contribute to UN early warning or decision support.

Tip of the hat to the Director of the NIA in South Africa for this important insight.

Enhancing Performance II24/7 Geospatial “Plot” is Vital

• There is no substitute for a 24/7 watch center that has a geospatial “plot” and can combine a knowledge of intelligence sources with a real-world depiction of locations, vehicles, targets, and individuals.

Enhancing Performance IIIFail in Isolation, Thrive in Combination

• We are our own worst enemy.

• Compartmentation and security are the enemy of timely intelligence.

• Sources achieve their greatest effect when combined, not when isolated.

“Okay, so maybe I was wrong not to tell you about my source--but you should have told me first…...”

TECHNICAL HUMAN

III - External InformationEXTERNAL

INTERNAL

OrganizationalMemory System

DataConversion

DataVisualization

HeterogeneousSearch & Retrieval

TripReports

Churning(Rotationals)

LocalKnowledge

Expert Hires“Just Enough,Just in Time”

Internal Reporting

Vendor Reporting

Government Monitoring

Customer Monitoring

Environmental Monitoring

Technology Monitoring

CHUNKS(Intellectual Property)

PERSONALITY(Insight/Intuition)

Patents, Etc.

Trade Secrets

Meta-Data

Knowledge Capital™

Rolodexes/E-Mail

Personal Brand

Out-Sourcing ofInformationProcessing

Project/GroupManagement

Training

BusinessIntelligenceInstitutionalized

E-Commerce

Automated Analysis

Cell #

IV - Organizational Intelligence

I - Knowledge Management II - Collaborative Work

The Big PictureFour processing quadrants

Processing Quadrant #1Knowledge Management

• Know what you know• Do not lose data,

insights, links• Integrate people,

projects, vendors, times, places, objects

• Optimize application of technology to internal information

INTERNAL

• Internal Reporting

• Vendor Reporting

• Project Management

• Data Conversion

• Automated Analysis

Processing Quadrant #2Collaborative Work

• Human Capital• Inherent in People• Who They Know• How They Know• When They Know• What They Do• Who They Tell• How They Feel

INSIGHT• Employee Brand Names

• Rolodexes

• E-Mail Directories

• Cell Telephone Networks

• Trip Reports

• Rotationals

• Training

Processing Quadrant #3External Information Acquisition

• Peter Drucker says this (external) must be the focal point for the next 50 years of innovation

• OLD: spend on bodies & technology

• NEW: spend on external information services in all languages, from all sources, all the time

EXTERNAL

• Local knowledge

• Expert hires “just enough, just in time”

• Customer monitoring

• Government monitoring

• Technology monitoring

• Environment monitoring

• Legal, ethical, open!

Processing Quadrant #4Organizational Intelligence

• Data standards• Data entry mandated• Storage & retrieval• Historical access

without legacy system training

• Employee shoeboxes integrated/not lost

MEMORY

• Intellectual Property

• Organizational Memory

• Meta-Data

• History of Information

• Electronic/Human Links

• Survive Human Turnover

Conversion of Paper Documents to Digital Form

Automated Extraction of Data Elements From

Text and Images

Standardizing and Converting Data Formats

Processing Images, Video, Audio, Signal Data

Automated Foreign Language

Translation

Open Literature Non-Text Data Restricted Information

Detection of Alert Situations

Clustering and Linking of

Related Data

Statistical Analysis to Reveal

Anomalies

Detection of Changing Trends

Interactive Search and Retrieval of

Data

Graphic and Map-Based Visualization

of Data

Modeling and Simulations

Collaborative Work

Notetaking and Organizing Ideas

Structured Argument Analysis

Desktop Publishing and

Word Processing

Production of Graphics, Videos and

Online Briefings

Revision Tracking and Realtime Group

Review

Finished Intelligence and Reporting

A

B

C

Processing Desktop:Analytic Toolkit

Eighteen Computer-

Assisted Capabilities

Processing DesktopNo Easy Solutions, Not Integrated

PlanPlan

ExtendExtend

ReportReport

ShareShare

OSALAT

Copernic CollectCollect

Excaliber

Topic

Analyst WorkbenchIdentifier, SIFT,

OnTopic, Labrador

GMS, AthensAerotext

Intelligent MinerFor Text

AnalyzeAnalyze

Content Extractor

Information Portal,Comprendium

ClearForest Suite

CrimeLink

I2 Analyst Notebook

**C-4-U Scout**CI Spider

**Knowledge.Works

**Market Signal Analyzer

**E-Sense**Corporate Intelligence Service

**TextAnalyst**Plumtree Corporate Portal

**Powerize

**Strategy!**Wincite

**WisdomBuilder

** Previously reviewed in the Fuld & Co. Software Report

Groove?

EDGE?

MindMap?

SYSTRAN+?

Other CATALYST

Elements?

DARPA STRONG ANGEL?

Google

Silobreaker

USSOCOM OSINT TOOLS• These are the specific products used now. They are not integrated.

• Collection: Copernic Pro (Internet search and download engine); Teleport Pro (Internet spider); Convera Spider (Spider -- downloads all or selected parts of a website); Inxight StarTree / Crawler (Internet web site relationship mapper)

• Process: Copernic Summarizer (Summarizes individual files); SummIT! (Specialty summarizer embedded within Retrievalware and Semio); Convera Retrievalware (Data indexing and free text search engine); Inxight ThingFinder (Categorizing entity extractor, allows for determination of relationships between known entities and unknown people, places, things, etc.); Semio Taxonomy (Automatically put data into pre-determined taxonomies for methodological retrieval); Apptek Machine Translation Database (Ibase / Ibridge) ((database for analyst notebook)); Inxight Categorizer (Smart categorizer)

• Analyze: Convera Retrievalware (Data indexing and free text search engine); Inxight ThingFinder (Categorizing entity extractor, allows for predetermination or relationships between known entities and unknown people, places, things, etc.); Semio Taxonomy (Automatically put data into pre-determined taxonomies for methodological retrieval)

• Visualize: Webtas (Allows you to put data into a timeline with corresponding map information); Analyst Notebook (De-facto standard product for link product development but manual in nature— Talend Extract, Transform, Load (ETL) is better tool); Spire (Visualization application with "terrain" map view of data; MapInfo (Mapping package); ARCView / ArcIMS (Mapping package); Propeller (data linages (primarily communications focused); Intranet Brain (Web site mapping); EnFish Onespace (Indexing engine for analyst pc's

Rule 7“Two levels down” is the new

standard• Nation-states are old

targeting standard• New standard is at

the province, company, and individual level

• This is a double order of magnitude increase in the difficulty of being adequate

State Targets -- Lots of Assets

Organizational Targets -- Very Few Assets

Individual Targets -- Virtually No Assets

Rule 13Cross-fertilization matters more

• Old approach: consumer to analyst to collector to source--the linear paradigm

• New approach is the diamond paradigm where collectors and analysts help consumers talk directly to sources

Consumer

Source

Collector Analyst

Rule 15Collaborative Work & Informal Deals Rise

• Intelligence collectors and analysts will have personal “brands”

• Peer to peer networks will form quickly to tackle new problems

• Electronic access more important than physical location

Rule 18Collection doctrine more sophisticated

• FIND the data if you already know it

• GET the data if it can be gotten free from an ally or NATO or the church

• BUY the data from the private sector

• TASK organic collectors as a last resort

FIND -- free, internal

GET -- free, allies

BUY -- low cost

TASK -- expensive

Rule 21Strategic intelligence matters more

• Estimative intelligence must be restored as one of the primary objectives of analysis

• Intelligence must support preventive action (in advance of the threat’s maturing), and budget trade-off decisions

FUTUREPAST

NOW OPTIONS

Security Risk Assessment

• Political: History, Incidents, UNIFIL Vital• Media: Local, Regional, International• Security: Mission, Facilities, Units in Motion,

Individuals (Vulnerabilities & Mitigation)• Important Points of Mention

– Place for anything not fitting template– Distinguish between facts and opinions

• DIME: Diplomatic, Information, Military, Economic (UN needs pro-active media strategy, media play, good & bad, vital)

SRA Process and Stages –Introduction–Stage One: Programme Assessment–Stage Two: Threat Assessment–A. Situational Awareness–B. Determination of Threats–Stage Three: Vulnerability Assessment–A. Vulnerabilities–B. Strengths–Stage Four: Risk Analysis–Stage Five: Select Options–A. General Options–B. Improved Minimum Operating Standards (MOSS)–Stage Six: Make Decisions–A. Step One: Determine Priorities and Create a Timeline–B. Step Two: Determine Funding and Resource Needs–Stage Seven: Implementation–Stage Eight: Review and Monitoring

1 2

3 4

AB

C

1: Mission2. Facilities3. Movement4. IndividualsA: BeirutB. NorthC: South

Remember: the Threat CHANGES Depending on the Level of Analysis(e.g. Local versus Provincial versus National)

Amazon Could Be World BrainAll Information, All Languages, All the Time

OPG VPN

Weekly Review

Expert Forum

Distance Learning

Virtual Library

Shared Calendar

Virtual Budget

Shared 24/7 Plot

Shared Rolodex

Weekly Review

Expert Forum

Distance Learning

Virtual Library

Shared Calendar

Virtual Budget

Shared 24/7 Plot

Shared Rolodex

Major Capabilities in India, Singapore, South Africa, Panama, Roving Collection Teams

One-Stop Shop Displaces Intermediaries & Triples Profit

360° 24/7 All Languages….UN Could Monetize Its Information

Become the Earth Intelligence Network

Tailored Decision-Support on Each Topic

Collect & Produce Real-Time Raw Information

Use Information to Stabilize & Enrich

Brazil

China

Indonesia

India

Indonesia

Wild Card(s)

Venezuela

Russia

USA

European Union

Inputs: Twelve Policies Actualized in All Budgets at All LevelsO

utp

uts: S

ustain

able S

olu

tion

s for T

en H

igh

-Level T

hreats

Solution: Abandon the War Metaphor & Secrecy, Move Directly to Information

Peacekeeping & Transparent Reality-Based BudgetingReal-world Real-time

Dollars & Sense

Political Compromise

• Implications for safety and security• Forget about “national” analysis• Focus on regions, tribes, clans, families.• Grasp history as a foundation.• Visualize competing equities.• Value transparency and integrity.• The UN System must always be perceived

as moral and free of bias.

Media Management

• Media is not just the broadcast “main” media but also the Internet, sermons, and other forms of narrowcast.

• Monitoring the media is an essential aspect of situational awareness.

• “Spin” is misunderstood as manipulation. The UN System must focus on getting its message into all forms of media, this is a vital aspect of “intangible” security.

Mandate & Mission

• The UN mandates and mission are inherently flawed for lack of adequate decision support, inclusive of a grasp of history and a nuanced understanding of all regional actors.

• Security comes from accuracy of understanding, before and during the mission.

Posture & Perception

• Posture defines perception. A lack of clear communication to every actor of relevance to the UN System is a death wish.

• Posture is a message.• Perception is the mission.• Every action the UN System takes to

communicate its goodness, its good works, is one less bullet, one less bomb.

Information Management

• The UN System is operating at less than 20% of capacity for two simple reasons:– Lack of 100MB Internet access for every UN

employee at work and at rest.– Lack of access to the 80% of the open source

information needed to be effective at the strategic, operational (regional), tactical, and technical levels.

• Information is security. Information is efficiency. Information will define the UN System of the future.

Operational Procedures

• The threat to the UN System is as follows:• Internal bureaucracy and big egos/small minds• Lack of full access to all relevant information• Recalcitrant Member Nations• Organized opposition groups• Internal espionage from Member Nations• Lack of employee training and situational awareness• Lack of focus by managers at all levels• Lack of funding or influence over external funds

• Information management can resolve all of these deficiencies.

Physical Security

• Physical security of fixed installation is the most tangible mission of DSS, and also the least important.

• Virtual security is much more important and demands total situational awareness and total efficiency.

• Morality, and the perception of the UN System as unbiased and totally for the good of the community being served, is the ultimate security.

Technical Security

• Defensive surveillance detection, and especially alert human intelligence able to observe and detect hostile surveillance of UN System sites and individuals, is the single most essential function of DSS.

• Technical surveillance detection requires both constant audio-visual coverage, and constant human and technical review of the captured images and sounds.

Human Intelligence

• DSS is best served by having the most intelligent, dedicated, and intuitive humans on the planet.

• There is no higher moral duty than to serve the UN System by protecting its missions, facilities, movements, and individuals.

• Security is not about guns.

• Security is about minds in constant action.

Information Peacekeeping #1Changing What Nations Spend Money On,

While Focusing $1T in Charitable Funding for Ten Threats & Twelve Action Areas

• Public intelligence can change public spending priorities

• Less on military, more on everything else

• Global intelligence can create global security forces and funds for sustaining Earth and Peace0 500

Health

Culture

Education

Assistance

Intelligence

Diplomacy

Military

Information Peacekeeping #2Changing When & How We Intervene

• Public warning can change public policy– More Prevention– More Peacekeeping– More Education– More Long-Term Aid– Less Corruption– Less Censorship

We have a sacred duty.

“Inconvenient Warning” & “Warning Fatigue” Are Obstacles.

Information Peacekeeping #3Changing Who Does the Thinking &

the Deciding on Public Budgets

® Conflict Facts for 200223 LIC+, 79 LIC-, 175 VPC

Source: PIOOM (NL), data withpermission © 2002 A. Jongman

• Public, not elites, must be the final judge of global security values

• Public intelligence will enable public understanding/action

• Berto Jongman’s map is Reference A--we must all support him.

Information Peacekeeping #4Changing How the World Views Intelligence

Weekly Review

Expert Forum

Distance Learning

Virtual Library

Shared Calendar

Virtual Budget

Shared 24/7 Plot

Shared Rolodex

Information Peacekeeping #5Changing the Strategic Focus

• Connectivity everywhere• Content is digitized• Coordination of

standards and investments

• C4 Security across all eight tribes--public safety at same level as safety of secrets

Information Peacekeeping #6:Creating Infinite Wealth for the Five Billion at the Bottom of the Pyramid

• Representative Books:– End of Poverty– Fortune at the Bottom of the

Pyramid (Prahalad)– Revolutionary Wealth– Infinite Wealth– Wealth of Knowledge– Wealth of Networks– How to Change the World

• Major Lecture:– “Open Everything” at

http://www.oss.net/GNOME

• Today’s economy:– Seven Trillion/Year– Focused on 1B “Rich”– Two Trillion Illicit

• Tomorrow’s economy:– Ten Trillion/Year– Focused on 5B Poor– Transparent Budgets

Eliminate Corruption– “Green” Capitalism

• “True Cost” Known• Cradle to Cradle• Re-Use Not Re-Cycle

Recommendations for Mission

• 100MB Internet access for every employee, at work and at home, is vital to both security & efficiency.

• Budget for outsourcing commercial decision-support

• Establish a 24/7 Watch Center with a widely-publicized email address and telephone number with language skills always on duty even if from home.

Recommendation for UN

• The Coalition Coordination Center, 70 nations, teams of 3-6 military analysts, is immediately available as the world’s first multinational information sharing and analytic support center.

United NationsEarly Warning, Multinational Information

Sharing, Decision Support

• Brahimi Report applies• Secretary General needs global

decision support network instead of 77 libraries & isolated data bases

• Information can prevent conflict, create stabilizing wealth and possibly fund all future UN operations through monetization of information.