18138 romania bog 4 - unfccc

198
ROMANIA Ministry of Environment and Water Management Romania’s Third National Communication on Climate Change under the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change

Upload: others

Post on 28-Oct-2021

9 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

ROMANIAMinistry of Environment and Water Management

Romania’s Third National Communication on Climate Change under the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change

Page 2: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

ROMANIAMinistry of Environment and Water Management

Romania’s Third NationalCommunication on Climate Change

under the United Nations FrameworkConvention on Climate Change

Page 3: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

ROMANIAMinistry of Environment and Water Management

Bucharest · February 2005

Romania’s Third NationalCommunication on Climate Change

under the United Nations FrameworkConvention on Climate Change

Page 4: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

Experts involved in the preparation of the Third National CommunicationChapter 1 Florentina Manea and Vlad TruscaChapter 2 Vlad Trusca and Madalina AlecuChapter 3 Ionela DraghiciChapter 4 Ionela Draghici and Vlad TruscaChapter 5 A. Popescu and Camelia VasileChapter 6 Aristita Busuioc and Vlad TruscaChapter 7 Aristita Busuioc and Vlad TruscaChapter 8 Vlad Trusca and Lavinia Andrei

Composition: Grue & Hornstrup, DK-Holstebro

Graphics, lay-out and printing:Thomsens Bogtrykkeri · Grafisk Idéhus, DK-Holstebro

Font: Sone Sans and Stone Serif

Paper: 130 g ProfiSilk

Denmark, 2005

ROMANIAMinistry of Environment and Water Management

Romania’s Third National Communication on Climate Change under the United Nations FrameworkConvention on Climate Change

Page 5: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

7 Introduction

9 Executive SummaryChapter 1

21 Romania General FactsChapter 2

67 Inventories of Anthropogenic Emissions andSinks of Greenhouse GasesChapter 3

91 Policies and Measures to Mitigate GreenhouseGas EmissionsChapter 4

125 Projections and Assessment of Measures Effects toMitigate Greenhouse Gas EmissionsChapter 5

151 Climate change Impacts, Vulnerability Assessmentand Adaption MeasuresChapter 6

183 Research and Systematic ObservationsChapter 7

201 Education, Training and Public AwarenessChapter 8

Content

Page 6: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

The submission to the UNFCCC Secretariat of Ro-mania's Third National Communication was pen-ding for a long period due to the lack of financial sup-port. As many other countries with economy intransition, Romania faces a lack of financial and human resources for climate change activities. There-fore, I wish to take this opportunity to express my gra-titude to the Government of Denmark, who throughthe Danish Environmental Protection Agency, hassupported Romania in editing, publishing and prin-ting the Third National Communication to theUNFCCC. This again proves that regional and inter-national cooperation in the field of climate changecan be very beneficial and efficient for the parties in-volved.

Environmental protection in Romania is the mainresponsibility of the Ministry of Environment andWater Management, developing and implementingalso the National Strategy and National Action Planon Climate Change, which are to be approved by theRomanian Government in 2005. Romania was thefirst Annex I Party to ratify the Kyoto Protocol and indoing so has committed to reduce greenhouse gasemissions by 8% in the first commitment period. Asshown in the last National Greenhouse GasInventory, submitted to the UNFCCC Secretariat inMay 2004, Romania's total aggregate greenhouse gasemissions decreased in 2002 to 50 percent of the1989 value.

This important decrease in emissions is mainlydue to reduced industrial activity and the promotionof pollution control measures, as a consequence of theimplementation of new regulations, which are har-monized, with those of the European Union. At thesame time, taking into account the increasing trendof Romania's economic growth in the last four years,the greenhouse gas emissions are expected to increaseslightly by 2012. In this respect, Romania's mainobjective is to decouple the increase of GHG emis-

sions and the industrial growth, by implementing co-herent measures for energy efficiency, renewableenergy and others, and to preserve achieved reduc-tions.

Romania has suffered from some climate relatedextreme events in previous years. In Romania, as inother regions of Europe, the change in the climateconditions may affect agriculture, water manage-ment, forests, and in general the way people live. Theexpected changes in average temperature and precipi-tation conditions may lead to changes in vegetationperiods as well as the displacement of the borderlinebetween grasslands and the forest areas. The changein precipitation regime may also increase the erosionand the compaction of the soil. It can be assumedthat extreme phenomena (e.g. floods, droughts) couldappear more often in the future and the risks and da-mages of such may become more significant.

In our vision, sustainable development should bethe driving force for a coherent integration of adapta-tion and mitigation measures. Therefore, the inter-national community should take full account of theneed for predictable and adequate levels of funding tohelp countries with economies in transition meetingtheir obligations under the Convention and the KyotoProtocol.

Romania recognizes the urgent need to strengthenthe national institutional and human capacity regar-ding climate change related activities, and considersthat the developed country Parties should take actionin this regard for a better understanding of the phe-nomena at the regional and national level. Romaniawishes also to contribute further to these internatio-nal activities, which would allow the properly imple-mentation of such international agreements relatingto climate change.

Mrs. Sulfina BARBUMinister of Environment and Water Management

Introduction

Page 7: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

1.1. Romania General Facts

Geographical positionRomania is located in the southeastern part ofCentral Europe, north of the Balkan Peninsula,on the Lower Danube and bordering the BlackSea. Parallel 45 crosses Romania 70 km north ofthe capital Bucharest and meridian 25 longitudeeast runs 90 km west of Bucharest. The total sur-face of Romania is 238,391 km2 (91,843 miles2).

Figure 1.1. Territory according to relief

Plains 33%

Mountains 31%

Hills and Plateaus 36%

The main relief components of Romania are:Carpathian Mountains, Sub-Carpathians, hillsand plateaus, plains, river meadows, the DanubeDelta and the Black Sea.

The Danube Delta is one of the most magnifi-cent deltas in the world, and in 1991 was decla-red as both a Natural World Heritage and Ramsarsite, and has a surface of 580.000 ha – 2,5 % ofRomania's surface (The 3rd largest delta inEurope). The Danube, the second longest river inEurope (2,860 km), flows on Romania's territory

along 1,075 km and empties into the Black Seathrough three arms (Chilia, Sulina, SfantuGheorghe), which form the Danube Delta.

The network of Romania's rivers is radial-sha-ped, with 98% of the rivers springing from theCarpathian Mountains and being collected di-rectly or through tributaries by the Danube. Inaddition Romania has around 3,500 lakes, butonly 1% of them have an area exceeding 1 km2.Romania is endowed with a wide range of natu-ral resources from crude oil to gold, with a specialcategory of resources being the large number ofmineral water springs and geothermal water de-posits.

The flora and faunaThe relief and pedo-climatic elements inRomania, being displayed in stairs, determinethe vegetation. Romania's fauna was and still isone of the richest and most varied in Europe,boasting some rare and even unique species onthe continent.

The climate profileRomania has a temperate-continental climate oftransitional type, specific to Central Europe,with four clearly defined seasons. The mean an-nual temperature is 11°C in the south of thecountry and 8°C in the north of the country. Theaverage annual precipitation slightly decreasesfrom west (over 600 mm/year in the WesternPlain) to east (below 400 mm/year in the DanubeDelta) and the mean annual rainfall totals 637mm. The duration of sun shine has a high valuein plain areas (2100 - 2200 hours yearly) and a lower one in mountain areas (1800 hours).

Territorial organizationAccording to Art. 3 of the Constitution, Ro-mania's territory is divided from an administra-

Executive Summary

Page 8: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

tive point of view into counties, cities, towns andcommunes. The Capital of Romania: Bucharestmunicipality has a population of 1,926,334(2002) and is the most important city inRomania. In 2002, Romania had a population of21,680,974 and ranked 43rd in the world and 13th

in Europe.

EnvironmentIn December 1989, Romania entered into a tran-sition to a free market economy. Previously, con-cepts like sustainable development and the hu-man dimension of sustainability were not wellknown or understood and were therefore neglec-ted. In this respect, Romania adopted in 1999 along-term National Sustainable DevelopmentStrategy (NSDS) and subsequently prepared aNational Action Plan for the implementation ofthe NSDS and the introduction of the LocalAgenda 21 process in the country. In protectingthe environment in the context of sustainabledevelopment and global warming, Romania ag-reed to respect the ratified multilateral environ-mental agreements. Then to implement theirprovisions through policies and measures in sec-tors and activities that result in the generation ofgreenhouse gas emissions, mainly in the produc-tion and consumption of energy and transportswhich are responsible for approximately 85% ofRomania's CO2 emissions.

Climate change related activities This type of activities are mainly the responsibi-lity of the Ministry of Water and EnvironmentalProtection (MWEP). The National Commissionon Climate Change was established in 1996 topromote the necessary measures and actions foran unitary implementation of the UNFCCC'sobjectives in Romania.

1.2. Inventories of anthropo-genic emissions and sinks ofgreenhouse gases

Romania will be able to meet its 8% GHG emis-sions reduction commitment under the KyotoProtocol as the trend for the period 1989-2001shows a decrease of 47% in the overall GHGemissions. The total value of the gross GHGemissions in 2001 was 148,202.41 Gg CO2 equi-valent, where the emissions inventory includesthe following gases: CO2, CH4, N2O, PFCs, andthe precursors NOX, CO, NMVOC, SO2. The year1989 was established as the base year forRomania, because 1989 best expressed, Ro-mania's economic output potential directly connected with the Romania's emissions poten-tial.

Originally, the inventories for Romania wereprepared by the National Research andDevelopment Institute for EnvironmentalProtection (ICIM-Bucharest) according to thepublished IPCC ”Draft IPCC Guidelines forNational Greenhouse Gas Inventories” metho-dology, which regulated only the calculation ofthe carbon dioxide (CO2), methane (CH4) and ni-trous oxide (N2O) emissions. In 2003, the ICIM-Bucharest prepared the National Inventory ofGreenhouse Gas Emissions for 2001, in compli-ance with a Ministry of Water and Environ-mental Protection contract.

The necessary information to perform the na-tional GHG inventory was provided by theNational Institute for Statistics in the form of theStatistical Yearbook. In May 2004 Romania willsubmit to the UNFCCC Secretariat the wholetime series inventories (1989 - 2002) completed.

10 Romania

Page 9: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

Executive Summary 11

Year 1989 2001

Total net GHG emissions (Gg) 261,355 139,171

- 50 .0 0 0

0

50 .0 0 0

1 00 .0 0 0

1 50 .0 0 0

2 00 .0 0 0

2 50 .0 0 0

3 00 .0 0 0

1 98 9 1 99 0 1 9 91 1 9 9 2 19 9 3 1 99 4 1 99 5 1 9 96 1 9 9 7 19 9 8 19 9 9 2 00 0 2 0 01

In 2003, the Ministry of Water and Environ-mental Protection of Romania asked theUNFCCC Secretariat to support the inventory development process in Romania by organizingan „in-country” review of the 2001 nationalGHG emissions inventory. This activity tookplace in the period 29 September - 3 October2003 at the ICIM Bucharest headquarters. Takinginto account that the 2001 GHG inventory wasthe first one submitted in time to the UNFCCCSecretariat, the main conclusions of this first re-view are very important for the future develop-ment of Romania's GHG inventory system.

1.3. Policies and Measures to Mitigate Greenhouse GasEmissions

In recent years, Romania has been preparing fora complex process of integration in the EuropeanUnion by reviving economic development wit-hin an international context. Environmentalprotection has a high priority in the develop-ment strategies and policies of the RomanianGovernment. Special attention is given to thecommitments resulting from international ag-reements signed and ratified by Romania. As

Energy Industrial processes Agriculture Waste Land use change and forestry

Figure 1.2. Various sector's contribution to the GHG emissions (Gg CO2 eq.)

The Energy sector represents the biggest share intotal GHG emissions, while the Solvent and OtherProduct Use sector includes emissions resulted fromthe paint application and other products use. TheAgriculture sector contains the emissions from domestic livestock enteric fermentation, animal

waste management systems, rice cultivation andfield burning of agricultural residues, while themunicipal waste management systems and the wa-stewater treatment provide the biggest amount ofemissions in the waste sector.

Table 1.1. Total net GHG emissions

Page 10: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

mentioned in article 20 of the Romanian Con-stitution, the provisions of international agree-ments adopted by Romania have priority forcompliance, even if there is no domestic regula-tion on that matter.

Romania signed the United Nations Frame-work Convention on Climate Change(UNFCCC), in 1992 at the Rio de Janeiro EarthSummit, ratified then by Law no. 24/1994.Romania was the first UNFCCC's Annex I Partyto ratify the Kyoto Protocol by Law no. 3/2001,thus committing itself to reduce the GHG emis-sions by 8% in the first commitment period 2008- 2012, comparing with the base year (1989),thus harmonizing with the EU reduction com-mitment.

According to the provisions of article 4.6 ofthe UNFCCC and Decisions 9/CP.2 and 11/CP.4,the year 1989 was established as the base year forRomania. In this context, Romania has to de-velop its institutional capacity and legal frame-work, so that in 2007 (according to the KyotoProtocol) a national system for the assessment ofgreenhouse gas emissions will be operational.

Greenhouse gas emissions mitigation is one ofthe most important activities presented in theRomanian Strategy on Atmosphere Protection.This Strategy is evidences of the commitmentRomania has made to meet its target for 8% re-duction of greenhouse gases emissions in the pe-

riod 2008 - 2012 comparing to the 1989 levels.Policies and measures to reduce CO2 and otherGHG emissions will deliver indirect benefits,including improvements in air quality. Somemeasures which target the reduction of green-house gas emissions have the added benefits ofreducing emissions of pollutants that are harm-ful to human health and environment. Thetransfer to more efficient forms of energy pro-duction, improvement in transportation system,such as better public transportation and betterengine technology for private and commercialvehicles, all result in reductions of greenhousegas emissions. While at the same time lead to re-ductions in pollutants such as nitrogen dioxide,carbon monoxide and particulates that have aproven adverse impact on human health.

Romania, represented by the Ministry ofEnvironment and Water Management (MEWM),has requested assistance from Denmark (DanishEnvironmental Protection Agency) in drawingup a National Strategy and Action Plan onClimate Change. Thus allowing for compliancewith the provisions and requirements derivingfrom the UNFCCC and the Kyoto Protocol,which are key concerns to the RomanianGovernment. The National Strategy and ActionPlan will serve as the overall document, whichreflects the strategic considerations, and practi-cal steps for climate change related activities that

12 Romania

Page 11: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

Romania will undertake. While taking into ac-count the commitments made by Romania un-der the UNFCCC and the Kyoto Protocol.

Joint Implementation (JI) is one of the three„flexible mechanisms” provided by the KyotoProtocol, for achieving greenhouse gas (GHG)emissions reduction commitments in a cost ef-fective manner. Joint Implementation is basedon the Kyoto Protocol's Article 6 and is a project-based economic instrument.

In order to realize sustained economic growth,Romania's GHG emissions are expected to in-crease slightly untill 2008. This increase maycontinue into the first commitment period un-less Romania is able to preserve the reductions ofemissions by implementing energy efficiencyand other GHG emissions reduction measures,and also by decoupling economical developmentand GHG emissions trends.

Following the signing of the Kyoto Protocol in1997 Romania started to cooperate with differentcountries on preparing for the implementationof the protocol's flexible mechanisms. Romaniawas involved in the Activities ImplementedJointly (AIJ) as a „pilot” stage for JI. The mainobjective of the cooperation between govern-ments in this phase was the need to understandthe possibilities of implementing these kinds ofprojects fin future stages. In this contextRomania carried out 5 AIJ projects.

Taking into account the possibilities identifiedin developing JI projects the first Memorandumof Understanding was signed with theSwitzerland in 1999, thus creating a frameworkfor JI project implementation. The first JI projectstarted in 2000 (initially as AIJ).

In the last several years Romania has signed anumber of Memoranda of Understanding withdifferent countries like: the Netherlands,Norway, Denmark, Austria, Sweden and theWorld Bank's Prototype Carbon Fund. To date, atotal of 11 JI projects have started implementa-tion or have already been commissioned inRomania, with the investments from some of thecountries mentioned above, as presented in thetable. Important investments will generate over7.5 million ERUs in the first commitment period(2008-2012).

1.4. Projections andAssessment of MeasuresEffects to MitigateGreenhouse Gas Emissions

The emission projections in Romania are influ-enced by the uncertainties related to the privati-zation process and the continuous efforts for theapproximation of national legislation with theEU acquis communautaire. The assumptions forthese projections are in accordance with the eco-nomical situation in the period 2000-2003, the„Road Map for the energy sector of Romania”elaborated by the Romanian Government onJuly 2003 and the „Romanian Government stra-tegy for the period 2004-2025”. The economicaldevelopment assessment up to 2020 is based onthe following main considerations:• structural change and modernization of the

economy;• different options for the energy supply and for

the development of the electricity generationcapacity;

• evolution of cogeneration;• energy intensity reduction.

The adopted measures for the reduction of GHGemissions were estimated and the projections ofGHG emissions for the period 2005-2020 werepresented using the following scenarios:• reference scenario – defined as „without mea-

sures” scenario;• low scenario – defined as „with measures”

scenario;• high scenario – defined as „with additional

measures” scenario.

Executive Summary 13

Page 12: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

It is obvious that the total GHG emission levelin 2020 for all scenarios will not exceed theaggregated emission level of the base year (1989)of 261,355 Gg CO2 eq. although all projectionsshow an increasing trend taking into considera-tion the Romanian Government's efforts regar-ding the economic growth and also the harmo-nization with the EU acquis communautaire inthe social and economic fields.

The small differences of about 7%, and respec-tively 10% between the projections in the „wit-hout measures” scenario and „with measures”scenario, are presented in the figure. These smalldifferences can be explained, as the „withoutmeasures” scenario is defined without any mea-sures for the reduction of GHG emissions. The„without measures” scenario reflects the progressof Romania towards a functional market eco-

14 Romania

Table 1.2. Aggregated GHG Emissions (CO2 eq.) for „without measures” scenario in Gg CarbonDioxide Equivalent/year

Parameter 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2005 2010 2015 2020

Total CO2 emission 89487,59 73388,34 76891,86 80218,13 89669,69 95200,00 107200,00 113550,00 119200,00Total CH4 emission 31213,49 30028,92 30015,44 29288,77 28378,35 29998,50 31707,90 33108,80 34305,90Total N2O emission 6128,00 6800,00 6768,00 7235,20 6262,40 6694,40 7340,80 7830,40 8192,00Total PFC emission 488,69 477,06 503,23 508,08 525,06 550,00 570,00 590,00 600,00

Total aggregated emissions 127317,77 110694,32 114178,53 117250,18 124835,50 132442,90 146818,70 155079,20 162297,90

Table 1.3. Aggregated GHG Emissions (CO2 eq.) for „with measures” scenario in Gg CarbonDioxide Equivalent/year

Parameter 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2005 2010 2015 2020

Total CO2 emission 89487,59 73388,34 76891,86 80218,13 89669,69 93100,00 101950,00 111400,00 115350,00Total CH4 emission 31213,49 30028,92 30015,44 29288,77 28378,35 29620,30 31040,00 32283,40 33395,70Total N2O emission 6128,00 6800,00 6768,00 7235,20 6262,40 6544,00 7104,00 7564,80 7990,40Total PFC emission 488,69 477,06 503,23 508,08 525,06 550,00 570,00 590,00 660,00

Total aggregated emissions 127317,77 110694,32 114178,53 117250,18 124835,50 129814,30 140664,00 151838,20 157396,10

Table 1.4. Aggregated GHG Emissions (CO2 eq.) for „with additional measures” scenario in GgCarbon Dioxide Equivalent/year

Parameter 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2005 2010 2015 2020

Total CO2 emission 89487,59 73388,34 76891,86 80218,13 89669,69 98500,00 110000,00 117950,00 129000,00Total CH4 emission 31213,49 30028,92 30015,44 29288,77 28378,35 30270,98 32653,35 34287,75 35532,11Total N2O emission 6128,00 6800,00 6768,00 7235,20 6262,40 6828,80 7603,20 8220,80 8582,40Total PFC emission 488,69 477,06 503,23 508,08 525,06 550,00 570,00 590,00 600,00

Total aggregated emissions 127317,77 110694,32 114178,53 117250,18 124835,50 136149,78 150826,55 161048,55 173714,51

Page 13: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

nomy through the implemented reforms in or-der to respond to the requirements of the EU acq-uis communautaire.

If the „without measures” scenario does notpresent the reorganization of the Romanian eco-nomy and is defined as an inertial scenario,which shows the evolution trends at the level ofyear 1996 without the structural adjustment ofeconomy and privatization. The difference bet-ween projections will be higher and will betterreflect the effects of the adopted measures for thereduction of GHG emissions.

1.5. Climate Change Impacts,Vulnerability Assessment andAdaptation Measures

The consequences of global warming on a timescale can only be roughly estimated, especially atthe regional level, due to the low performance ofGCMs in simulating the complex characteristicsof the climate system and the uncertainties rela-

ted to emissions scenarios. Like in other regionsof Europe, the change in climate conditions mayalso affect the Romanian agriculture, water ma-nagement, forests, human life etc.

The shift in temperature and precipitationconditions may result in the modification of ve-getation periods and the displacement of theborderline between the grassland and the forestareas. The change in precipitation regime mayalso increase the erosion and compaction of thesoil. It was assumed that extreme weather relatedevents (floods, droughts) may appear more oftenand their associated risks and damages may be-come more significant.

The improvement of water management andirrigation systems, the change of land use tech-nologies, and hybrids use, together with othermeasures presented as an integrated approach ina future national adaptation strategy, are expec-ted to mitigate most of the negative effects of cli-mate change in Romania's agriculture.

General Circulation Models (GCMs) are themost widely used tools to generate climatechange scenarios for impact assessment. Four eq-

Executive Summary 15

0.00

50000.00

100000.00

150000.00

200000.00

250000.00

300000.00

2005 2010 2015 2020 Year

R E F E R E NC E year

„Without measures“ scenario „Without additional measures“ scenario „With measures“ scenario

Figure 1.3. Aggregated emissions projections of all GHG

Page 14: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

uilibrium GCMs were considered by theRomanian experts: GISS (Godard Institute forSpace Studies), GFDL R-30 (Geophysical FluidDynamics Laboratory, GFD3), UK89 (UnitedKingdom Meteorological Office), CCCM(Canadian Climate Center Model) and as a tran-sient GCM the GFDL (GFD1) has been used. Allthe models showed the same climate signals ofincreases in air temperature as a consequence ofCO2 doubling, but there are some differencesbetween models regarding the warming inten-sity. From the precipitation point of view theproblem is more complex. Some models simula-ted precipitation closer to observed values in

some months and other models simulated betterin other months. The annual variation of preci-pitation in Romania was not well simulated byany model.

The changes in temperature and precipitationregime measured at long-term observational sta-tions are periodically evaluated. A significantwarming of about 0.8OC was identified at somestations in the extra-Carpathian region, showingthe relief influence. On the seasonal scale thechanges are highest in the winter season (rea-ching 1.9OC at Bucharest-Filaret station), and inautumn season a slightly downward shift in thewestern part was identified after 1969.

16 Romania

1920 1940 1960 1980 20008

10

12

14

oC

year

Figure 1.4. Temporal evolution of the annual mean temperature at Bucuresti-Filaret station over the period 1901-2000

Visible anthropogenic effects were noticed atseveral observational stations (e.g. Bucuresti-Filaret), at these stations the warming is moresignificant. Influence from other local factorsoverlaps in large-scale events, and similarconclusions result in mean maximum tempera-ture.

A spatial extension of the surfaces affected byvarious degrees of dryness was identified in thelast decades in Romania. Most of the droughtevents affected only some parts of the Romanian

territory and often in the same time there wereareas with floods. Droughts and floods have oc-curred oin the same territory, in the same year.Droughts represent a relative frequent phenome-non in Romania, like many other countries insoutheastern Europe. In the last decades theRomanian climate was characterized by the oc-currence of very short wet events (floods) withinlong dry periods, both of them producing a lot ofeconomic and social damages. A recent researchstudy showed that the extreme wet events were

Page 15: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

most frequent in the second half of the 20th cen-tury. Therefore, the annual frequency of very wetintervals (one-two days) exhibits an increasingtrend for some regions with an upward shift bet-ween 1990 and 2000.

During past years, due to financial constrains,vulnerability and adaptation related research ac-tivities were developed at a small scale for agric-ulture, water management and forestry in orderto continue the work initiated in this field. Likein other regions of Europe, the change in climateconditions may also affect Romanian agricul-ture, water management, forests, human life etc.

Among the reasons for relevant vulnerabilityassessments is the fact that climate changes arelikely to happen and many anticipatory measu-res that would be taken in response to climatechanges are „no regret actions” that will producebenefits even if the climate does not change. Theadaptation measures to mitigate the effects of cli-mate changes on agriculture and water manage-ment in Romania can be roughly classified intotwo groups. The first group is related to the na-tional decision level and it refers to various go-vernmental laws regarding the protection, con-servation and improvement of soil and waterresources and, therefore, indirectly refers todrought, desertification and soil degradation.The second group of strategies refers to those de-rived from the research studies.

Negative impacts of climate changes on agric-ultural crops can be reduced by using some tech-nological measures such as the application of ir-rigation, being the most reliable tool of droughtcontrol, regardless of drought intensity and du-ration.

1.6. Research and SystematicObservations

At the present time, research activities related toclimate change are not so developed in Romaniaas with other countries with economy in transi-tion in the region due to the lack of financial re-sources. There are also some problems with com-munication and dissemination of research

achievements like studies or reports that focuson different activities in the variety of climatechange related fields. Many involving some im-portant aspects on the development of the futurenational strategy on climate change. Some stu-dies relating directly or indirectly to climatechange were elaborated in recent years by someinterested research institutes or NGOs.

The most important actors in the climatechange related research are the Ministry of Water and Environmental Protection through itsnational research institutes (The NationalResearch and Development Institute for Envi-ronmental Protection - ICIM Bucharest and the

Executive Summary 17

Page 16: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

National Institute for Meteorology, Hydrologyand Water Management - INMH Bucharest) andthe Ministry of Education and Research. Some re-search work on climate change related activitieswas also initiated by the Romanian AcademyInstitutes, the Academy of Agriculture andForestry Sciences, the National Research andDevelopment Institute for Marine Activities„Grigore Antipa”, the National Institute forGeography, National Institute for Statistics andResearch Institute for Agriculture, Agro-chemis-try and Soil. The National Committee for GlobalEnvironmental Changes, under the RomanianAcademy is coordinating several institutes andorganizations and provides some opportunitiesfor financial support of the research studies ba-sed on international co-operation and projects.

The systematic observation in Romania is de-veloped on the basis of several projects imple-mented for addressing the reporting commit-ments made by Romania, but is still not directlylinked with climate change activities.

INMH coordinates the National Meteoro-logical Observations Network which includes:151 stations, 3 aero-logical stations, 7 radar cen-tres, 729 pluvial-metrical stations, 60 agro-me-teorological stations and 8 actinometrical sta-tions. The National Hydrological ObservationsNetwork, coordinated by the National Admi-nistration „Romanian Waters”, includes 956 hy-drometrical stations, 300 precipitation stationsand 57 hydrological stations.

One of the most important issues in the inter-national co-operation between the Romanianscientists and other international research cen-tres is related to the development of regional cli-mate change scenarios. In the last couple of ye-ars the research in the climate related activitieshas developed further and one of the most im-portant is the co-operation between Romanianexperts and international experts for developingresearch studies at the national and regionalscale.

18 Romania

Page 17: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

1.7. Education, Training andPublic Awareness

In Romania climate change related activities areunder the responsibility of the Ministry of Waterand Environmental Protection which has under-taken a series of activities in this field in recentyears in close co-operation with foreign partnerslike the Netherlands, Switzerland, Denmark andNorway and also with some NGOs. Some of theactivities developed in this regard were related todistributing the Second National Communi-cation to the UNFCCC, preparing the NationalGHG Inventory in the specified format (CRF andNIR), re-organizing the National Commission onClimate Change, publishing media articles onclimate change issues, and raising awarenessthrough the ministry web page. Awareness of thecauses and effects of climate change is not yet wi-despread in Romania due to a lack of capacityand financial resources.

The institutions involved in this process are the Ministry of Water and EnvironmentalProtection (MWEP), the National Commissionon Climate Change, the Environmental Protec-tion Agencies, the NGO „Infoterra” Romania andother Romanian NGOs.

The highest authority involved in educationin Romania is the Ministry of Education andResearch.

The climate change process is not specificallyaddressed in curricula, but it is presented in thebroad framework of environmental protectionand sustainable development education.Regarding higher education climate change acti-vities are addressed at the environmental depart-ments or faculties in the state owned or privateuniversities.

The Ministry of Waters and EnvironmentalProtection uses different channels for providinginformation to relevant target groups: mass me-dia, NGOs, business sector. One of the instru-ments is the ministry's website - www.mappm.ro.Three NGOs working groups on energy, trans-port and agriculture developed several nationalor small-scale public awareness campaigns on re-lated issues. Several training programmes andactivities were developed in Romania based ondirect co-operation between the government,NGOs and with international cooperation.

Public participation in addressing climatechange is under the responsibility of the MWEPand in the last years increased on the basis of req-uesting public inputs on Joint Implementationprojects. Some exercises have been developedalso on NGOs initiatives.

Executive Summary 19

Page 18: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

2.1. Geographical profile

Geographical positionRomania is situated in south-eastern part ofCentral Europe, north of the Balkan Peninsula,on the Lower Danube and bordering the BlackSea, it lies between 43°37'07“ and 48°15'06“ lati-

tude north and 20°15'44“ and 29°41'24“ longi-tude east. Parallel 45 (midway between the Equa-tor and the North Pole) crosses Romania 70 kmnorth of its capital Bucharest and meridian 25longitude east (midway between the Atlanticcoast and the Urals) runs 90 km west of Bucha-rest.

Romania General Facts

ItalySl.

Cr.

Serb.Mn.

B-H

Bulgaria

Mac.

Alb.

Greece

Spain

Portugal

Estonia

Latvia

Lithuania

Belarus

Ukraine

Mol.

Russian Federation

Sicily

Corsica

Sardina

Germany

Denmark

Norway

Sweden

Finland

U.K.

Ireland

Iceland

Neth.

Bel.Poland

Czech

Sl.France

Sw. AustriaHungary

Lux

Romania

Figure 2.1. Romania’s position in Europe and in the World

Page 19: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

Romania borders The Republic of Ukraine to the north and theRepublic of Moldova to the east. To the west isthe boarder with Hungary, and to the southweston Serbia and Montenegro. To the south Roma-nia boarders Bulgaria and to the southeast the

Black Sea. Two thirds of its frontiers follow thecourses of rivers (the Danube, the Prut and theTisa) and the seashore (the Black Sea) and onethird is traced by land. The total surface area ofRomania is 238,391 km2 (91,843 miles2).

22 Romania

BLACK

SEA

Mouth of th eD

anub

e

Gura Portifiei

LaculBrateç

Brafiul Chilia

Dunårea

Dunårea

Dunårea

Brafiul Sulina

Brafiul Sfintu Gheorghe

Buzåu

Ialomifia

Prahova

Argeç

Argeç

Vedea

Oltefi

Jiu

Olt

Timiç

Mureç

Mureç

Mureç

Mureç

Tirnava Mare

Olt

Olt

Siret

Moldova

Siret

Prut

Bistrifia

Prut

Bîrla

d

Someç

Someç

Someç

Criçul Repede

Cri çul Negra

Criçul A lb

Jiu

Olt

Danube

Danube

S ava

Ialomifia

Dimbovifia

Lacul Sinoe

D unårea

L. IzvorulMuntelui

LaculRazelm

Do

br

uj

a

Mo

ld

av

i

a

Ca

rp

at

hi

an

Mt

s

T r a n s y l v a n i a

W a l l a c h ia

T r a n s y l v a n i a n A l p s

Munfiii Cålimani

Munfiii Gurghiu

Munfiii Rodnei

Mfiii. Harghita

Mun

fiiiV

ranc

ei

Mfiii. Cåpåtanii

Mfiii. Cibinului Munfiii Fågåras

Munfiii Retezat

Munfiii Zarand

Mu

nfi i i

Ap

us

en

i

Mu n fi i i P l o p i ç

Mun

fiiiFå

get

Mfiii. Maramureçului

2303 Pietrosul

22791823

18592100

1784

1956

1664

2507 Omul2462

Ezeru

2543Moldoveanu

2144

1445

1378

2108

2509Peleaga

2059

2518

2244 Cîndrelu

1776

1836Vlådeasa

1825 Muntele Mare

1848 Curcubåta

1800

Constanfia

Galafii

Craiova

Cluj-Napoca

Timiçoara

Iaçi

Braçov

Ruse

Debrecen

Belgrade

Chisinau

Pleven

BUCUREÇTI(Bucharest)

Tîrgu JiuBråila

Ploieçti

Oradea

Bacåu

Tulcea

Piteçti

Focçani

BuzåuRîmnicuVîlcea

Sibiu

Tîrgu Mureç

Baia Mare

Alba Iulia

Drobeta-TurnuSeverin

Arad

Satu Mare

Piatra-Neamfi

BotoçaniSuceava

Tîrgoviçte

Reçifia

Cålåraçi

Slobozia

GiurgiuAlexandria

Slatina

ZalåuBistrifia

Sfîntu Gheorghe

Vaslui

Deva

SighetulMarmafiiei

BîrladOneçti

Mediaç

Lugoj

Turda

Hunedoara

Petroçani

Roman

Vîrfu Cîmpului

Dumbråveni

Nicolae Bålcescu

Hîrlåu

Mirçesti

Båltåfieçti

Tårcau

Bistricioara

Ditråu

Sîndominic

Toplifia CiucCristuru

Secuiesc

Iernut

TeacaDipça Borsec

Låzarea Podoleni

Bîrnova

Coropceni

Muntenii de JosSecueni

RåcåciuniDårmåneçti

Sînsimion

Båile Tuçnad

Ghimeç Fåget

Vlåhifia

Hendorf

Ungheni

Ernei

Bålåuçeri

Deda

NåsåudBeclean

Gilåu

Sålciua de Jos

Huedin

Apahida

Cîmpeni

Teiuç

Mihalfi

Abrud

Çard

Çugag

Çeica Mare

NocrichSålisfie

Tålmaciu

Cîineni

Cålineçti

Cålimåneçti

Cumpåna

Galicea

SlimnicÇibot

HafiegSarmizegetusa

Voislova

Ilia

Mociu

Beliç

Albac

Nucet

Beius

Sîmbåta

Chiçineu Criç

Sîntana

Nådlac

AraduNou

VingaOrfiiçoara

Recaç

Giroc Buziaç

Topolovåfiu Fåget

Obreja

Jebel

Gåtaia

Comoriçte Caraçova

Råcåçdia

Baziaç

Voiteg

Mehadia

Lovrin

Radna

Leç

Diosig

Satulung

Halmeu

Livada

Çomcuta Mare

Ocna Çugatag

Hidiçelu de Sus

Sålard

CehuSilvaniei

Mesteacan

Seini

Turt

Ardud

AcîçTåçnad

Surduc

BobotaSårmåçag

GîlgåuIleanda

Jibou

Valealui Mihai

Borç

Dr Petru Groza

Vaçcåu

Vîrfurile

flebea

Beliu

Reteag

Råstolifia

Sascut

Crasna

Dragomireçti

Frasin

PoianaStampei

Cîrlibaba

DorneçtiSiret

Dårmåneçti

Sucevifia

IacobeniSîngeorz BåiTelciu

Valea Viçeului

Vama

BroçteniSabasa

Såveni

OituzLemnia

Buteni

Deta

Dobra

RucårVoineasa

Båbeni Bistrifia

Cerbu

Lunca Corbului

Peretu

Prundeni

Grådiçtea

PucheniPietroçifia

Stîlpeni

CålineçtiTopoloveni

Negreni

Furculeçti

Mågura

Naipu

Dåifia

CålugåreniGhimpafii

Jilava

Råcari

Mihåileçti

Prundu

TigåneçtiCoçereni Cåzåneçti

Padina

Pogoanele

SmeeniCilibia

Fåurei

Çufieçti Traian

CîndeçtiCîndeçti

Ianca

DåeniOstrov

Garvån

Isaccea

Cataloi

Gorgova Sulina

SfîntuGheorgheBabadag

Sarichioi

Baia

Mihai Viteazu

Topraisar

VaduCorbu de Sus

CobadinOstrov

Negru Vodå

23 August

Eforie Sud

MamaiaOvidiu

Ion Corvin

ÇocariciuVlad flepeç

Råsvani

BudeçtiUlmu

Ciulnifia

Cocargeaua

Crucea

Horia

Jurilovca

Viziru

Insuråfiei

BudeçtiLieçti

Bereçti

Tîrgu Bujor

Folteçti

Soveja

Prisaca

Suraia

CiuçleaNereju

GeneralissimulNehoiaçu

Iazu

NalbantCiucurova

Måneciu Ungureni

Drågåneçti

Lipia

Bolintin Vale

Slåveçti

BujoruArsacheBragadiru

Beuca

Viçina Veche

Piatra

Coloneçti

Predeal

Sercaia Feldioara

IntorsuraBuzåului

HoghizRupea

BengesfiiScoarfia

Cåpreni

Melineçti

Radovanu

Segarcea

Bechetu

Rojiçtea

Leu

Galicea Mare

Hinova

Ciovîrnåçani

Balta

Baia de Aramå

Bumbeçti Jiu

Tîrgu CårbuneçtiRovinariPeçteana Jui

MofiåfieiCetate

Vînju Mare

Hurezani

Içalnita

Teregova

Armeniç

Cårbunari

CorneaNovaci

Bîrzava

Såvîrçin

Gurahonfi

Dej

Gherla

Tecuci

Mizil

Urziceni

Buftea

Vålenii de MunteBreazaCurteade Argeç

MotruOrçova

Filiaçi

Calafat Båileçti

Balç

Drågåçani

Drågånesti-Olt

Roçiori de Vede

Videle

Zimnicea

Oltenifia

flåndårei

Måcin

Cernavodå

MedgidiaNåvodari

Techirghiol

Mangalia

Feteçti

Caracal

CorabiaTurnuMågurele

Strehaia

ComarnicSinaia

BuçteniCîmpulung

Båicoi

Costeçti

Gåeçti

CîmpinaPucioasa

Moreni Urlafii

Rîmnicu Sårat

Adjud

Måråçeçti

Såcele

CodleaRîçnov

Zårneçti

Fågåras

Agnita

ReghinToplifia

Sovata

Viçeu de SusSåcel

Baia Sprie

Tîrgu Låpuç

Carei

Negresfii-Oaç

Marghita

ÇimleuSilvaniei

Salonta

Birtin

Borça

Cîmpia Turzii

Ocna MureçTîrnåveni

Ludus

Sighiçoara

Cugir

Bocça

Anina

Moldova Nouå

Oravifia

Lipova

Curtici Ineu

Jimbolia

Sînnicolau Mare

Sebeç

Cisnådie

Blaj

Aiud

OråçtieSimeria

Cålan

Ofielu Roçu

Caransebeç PetrilaVulcan

Lupeni

Brad

OdorheiuSecuiesc

BålanBuhuçi

Vatra Dornei

CîmpulungMoldovenesc

Gura Humorului

Tîrgu Neamfi

Bicaz

Tîrgu Frumos

Roznov

Huçi

ComåneçtiMoineçti

Paçcani

Fålticeni

Dorohoi

Darabani

Rådåufii

Tîrgu-OcnaMiercurea-Ciuc

Gheorghieni

Tîrgu Secuiesc

IALOMIflA

BRÅILA

GALAflIVRANCEA

BUZÅUPRAHOVA

BRAÇOV

DÎMBOVIflA

GIURGIUTELEORMAN

ARGEÇ

VÎLCEA

SIBIU

MUREÇCLUJ

ALBA

HUNEDOARATIMIÇ

ARAD

BIHOR

GORJ

MEHEDINflI

CARAÇ-SEVERIN

BISTRIflA-NÅSÅUD

MARAMURESSATU MARE

SÅLAJ

OLTDOLJ

COVASNA

VASLUIBACÅU

NEAMfl

HARGHITA

IAÇI

BOTOÇANI

SUCEAVA

CÅLÅRAÇI

CONSTANflA

TULCEA

BULGARIA

MOLDOVA

UKRAINE

UKRAINE

BULGARIA

YUGOSLAVIASERBIA

YUGOSLAVAVOJVODINA

HUNGARY

The reliefNature has been particularly generous withRomania, a country whose relief is not only va-ried but also harmoniously distributed. There arethree major well-differentiated relief levels: thehighest is represented by the Carpathian Moun-tains (the highest peak is Moldoveanu at 2544 m)the middle by Sub-Carpathians, hills and plateausand the lowest are the plains, river meadows andthe Danube Delta (the youngest relief unit underpermanent formation with an average height of0.52 m). The main feature of Romania's relief

components is their proportional distribution inthe form of an amphitheater. The mountainsstretch in the shape of an arch in central Roma-nia and cover 31% of the country's area. The hillsand plateaus which descend from them occupy36%, and the plains and meadows, which extendtowards the borders, make up the remaining33%. To the east and south are the Carpathianswhich are extended the Sub-Carpathians with asimilar genesis but lower altitudes (500 - 1,000m). To the west are the Western Hills which donot rise beyond 300 - 400 m. To the east and

Figure 2.2. Romania’s territorial map

Page 20: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

southeast lie the two plateaus - the MoldavianPlateau and the Dobrudja Plateau with altitudesof 400 - 600m.

The plains and meadows (formerly sea andlake bottoms) cover the southern and westernparts of the country and are low and extremelyflat. Between the Carpathians and the Danubelies the Romanian Plain, the principal granary ofthe country. To the west stretches the WesternPlain, which is crossed by many of Romania's ri-vers.

The multi-tiered relief disposition bringsabout a similar disposition of the climate, soil,vegetation, fauna and implicitly of the humansettlements.

The main relief components of Romania are:Carpathian Mountains, Sub-Carpathians, hillsand plateaus, plains, river meadows, the DanubeDelta and the Black Sea.

The Danube DeltaThe Danube Delta is one of the most magnificentdeltas in the world, and was declared in 1991 asboth a Natural World Heritage and Ramsar site.

Romania General Facts 23

Figure 2.3. Territory according to relief

Plains 33%

Mountains 31%

Hills and Plateaus 36%

Page 21: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

The Danube Delta has a surface area of 580,000ha – 2,5 % of Romania's surface (the 22nd deltain the world and the 3rd delta in Europe).

The Danube Delta Biosphere Reserve, at theend of a 2.860 km long river, is a labyrinth of wa-ter and land, made up of countless lakes, chan-nels, islands. The Danube Delta is the largestEuropean wetland which forms Europe's largestwater purification system. The area is particularlywell known for its abundance of birdlife: 312 im-

portant bird species are present in the delta.About 90 fish species are found here, includingpopulations of sturgeon. It is also one of the lastrefuges for the European mink, the wildcat andthe freshwater otter.

Natural resourcesRomania is endowed with a wide range of natu-ral resources, amongst which are a fertile agricul-tural base, crude oil, natural gas, large deposits of

24 Romania

Figure 2.4. The Danube Delta Biosphere Reserve

Page 22: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

brown coal and lignite, as well as mineral depo-sits, ferrous and non-ferrous ores, gold, silver,bauxite, salt, copper, limestone, kaolin sands, si-liceous sands, quartz, molybdenum, manganese,iron, graphite mica, etc. A special category of re-sources is considered to be the large number ofmineral water springs and geothermal water de-posits.

RiversThe Romanian network of rivers is radial-shaped,with 98% of the rivers springing from the Car-pathian Mountains and feeding directly orthrough tributaries to the Danube. The Danubeis the second longest river in Europe (2,860 km),and flows along 1,075 km of Romania's territoryand empties into the Black Sea through threearms (Chilia, Sulina, Sfantu Gheorghe) whichform the Danube Delta. The other main rivers inRomania are: Mures (761 km on Romania's terri-

tory), Prut (742 km on Romania's territory), Olt(615 km), Siret (559 km on Romania's territory),Ialomita (417 km), Somes (376 km on Romania'sterritory), Arges (350 km).

Romania General Facts 25

BLACK

SEA

Mouth of the Dan

ube

Gura Portifiei

LaculBrateç

Brafiul Chilia

Dunårea

Dunårea

Dunåre

Brafiul Sulina

Brafiul Sfintu Gheorghe

Buzåu

Ialomifia

Prahova

Arge

Arge

Vedea

Oltefi

Jiu

Olt

Timiç

Mureç

Mure

Mureç

Mure

Tirnava Mare

Olt

Olt

Siret

Moldova

Siret

Prut

Bistrifia

Prut

Bîrla

d

Someç

Someç

Someç

Criçul Repede

Criçul Negra

Criçul Alb

Jiu

Olt

Danube

Danub

Sava

Ialomifia

Dimbovifia

Lacul Sinoe

Dunårea

L. IzvorulMuntelui

LaculRazelm

Constanfia

Galafii

Craiova

Cluj-Napoca

Timiçoara

Iaçi

Braçov

Ruse

Debrecen

Belgrade

Chisinau

Pleven

BUCUREÇTI(Bucharest)

Tîrgu JiuBråila

Ploieçti

Oradea

Bacåu

Tulcea

Piteçti

Focçani

BuzåuRîmnicuVîlcea

Sibiu

Tîrgu Mureç

Baia Mare

Alba Iulia

Drobeta-TurnuSeverin

Arad

Satu Mare

Piatra-Neamfi

BotoçaniSuceava

Tîrgoviçte

Reçifia

Cålåraçi

Slobozia

GiurgiuAlexandria

Slatina

ZalåuBistrifia

Sfîntu Gheorghe

Vaslui

Deva

SighetulMarmafiiei

BîrladOneçti

Mediaç

Lugoj

Turda

Hunedoara

Petroçani

Roman

Vîrfu Cîmpului

Dumbråveni

Nicolae Bålcescu

Hîrlåu

Mirçesti

Båltåfieçti

Tårcau

Bistricioara

Ditråu

Sîndominic

Toplifia CiucCristuru

Secuiesc

Iernut

TeacaDipça Borsec

Låzarea Podoleni

Bîrnova

Coropceni

Muntenii de JosSecueni

RåcåciuniDårmåneçti

Sînsimion

Båile Tuçnad

Ghimeç Fåget

Vlåhifia

Hendorf

Ungheni

Ernei

Bålåuçeri

Deda

NåsåudBeclean

Gilåu

Sålciua de Jos

Huedin

Apahida

Cîmpeni

Teiuç

Mihalfi

Abrud

Çard

Çugag

Çeica Mare

NocrichSålisfie

Tålmaciu

Cîineni

Cålineçti

Cålimåneçti

Cumpåna

Galicea

SlimnicÇibot

HafiegSarmizegetusa

Voislova

Ilia

Mociu

Beliç

Albac

Nucet

Beius

Sîmbåta

Chiçineu Criç

Sîntana

Nådlac

AraduNou

VingaOrfiiçoara

Recaç

Giroc Buziaç

Topolovåfiu Fåget

Obreja

Jebel

Gåtaia

Comoriçte Caraçova

Råcåçdia

Baziaç

Voiteg

Mehadia

Lovrin

Radna

Leç

Diosig

Satulung

Halmeu

Livada

Çomcuta Mare

Ocna Çugatag

Hidiçelu de Sus

Sålard

CehuSilvaniei

Mesteacan

Seini

Turt

Ardud

AcîçTåçnad

Surduc

BobotaSårmåçag

GîlgåuIleanda

Jibou

Valealui Mihai

Borç

Dr Petru Groza

Vaçcåu

Vîrfurile

flebea

Beliu

Reteag

Råstolifia

Sascut

Crasna

Dragomireçti

Frasin

PoianaStampei

Cîrlibaba

DorneçtiSiret

Dårmåneçti

Sucevifia

IacobeniSîngeorz BåiTelciu

Valea Viçeului

Vama

BroçteniSabasa

Såveni

OituzLemnia

Buteni

Deta

Dobra

RucårVoineasa

Båbeni Bistrifia

Cerbu

Lunca Corbului

Peretu

Prundeni

Grådiçtea

PucheniPietroçifia

Stîlpeni

CålineçtiTopoloveni

Negreni

Furculeçti

Mågura

Naipu

Dåifia

CålugåreniGhimpafii

Jilava

Råcari

Mihåileçti

Prundu

TigåneçtiCoçereni Cåzåneçti

Padina

Pogoanele

SmeeniCilibia

Fåurei

Çufieçti Traian

CîndeçtiCîndeçti

Ianca

DåeniOstrov

Garvån

Isaccea

Cataloi

Gorgova Sulina

SfîntuGheorgheBabadag

Sarichioi

Baia

Mihai Viteazu

Topraisar

VaduCorbu de Sus

CobadinOstrov

Negru Vodå

23 August

Eforie Sud

MamaiaOvidiu

Ion Corvin

ÇocariciuVlad flepeç

Råsvani

BudeçtiUlmu

Ciulnifia

Cocargeaua

Crucea

Horia

Jurilovca

Viziru

Insuråfiei

BudeçtiLieçti

Bereçti

Tîrgu Bujor

Folteçti

Soveja

Prisaca

Suraia

CiuçleaNereju

GeneralissimulNehoiaçu

Iazu

NalbantCiucurova

Måneciu Ungureni

Drågåneçti

Lipia

Bolintin Vale

Slåveçti

BujoruArsacheBragadiru

Beuca

Viçina Veche

Piatra

Coloneçti

Predeal

Sercaia Feldioara

IntorsuraBuzåului

HoghizRupea

BengesfiiScoarfia

Cåpreni

Melineçti

Radovanu

Segarcea

Bechetu

Rojiçtea

Leu

Galicea Mare

Hinova

Ciovîrnåçani

Balta

Baia de Aramå

Bumbeçti Jiu

Tîrgu CårbuneçtiRovinariPeçteana Jui

MofiåfieiCetate

Vînju Mare

Hurezani

Içalnita

Teregova

Armeniç

Cårbunari

CorneaNovaci

Bîrzava

Såvîrçin

Gurahonfi

Dej

Gherla

Tecuci

Mizil

Urziceni

Buftea

Vålenii de MunteBreazaCurteade Argeç

MotruOrçova

Filiaçi

Calafat Båileçti

Balç

Drågåçani

Drågånesti-Olt

Roçiori de Vede

Videle

Zimnicea

Oltenifia

flåndårei

Måcin

Cernavodå

MedgidiaNåvodari

Techirghiol

Mangalia

Feteçti

Caracal

CorabiaTurnuMågurele

Strehaia

ComarnicSinaia

BuçteniCîmpulung

Båicoi

Costeçti

Gåeçti

CîmpinaPucioasa

Moreni Urlafii

Rîmnicu Sårat

Adjud

Måråçeçti

Såcele

CodleaRîçnov

Zårneçti

Fågåras

Agnita

ReghinToplifia

Sovata

Viçeu de SusSåcel

Baia Sprie

Tîrgu Låpuç

Carei

Negresfii-Oaç

Marghita

ÇimleuSilvaniei

Salonta

Birtin

Borça

Cîmpia Turzii

Ocna MureçTîrnåveni

Ludus

Sighiçoara

Cugir

Bocça

Anina

Moldova Nouå

Oravifia

Lipova

Curtici Ineu

Jimbolia

Sînnicolau Mare

Sebeç

Cisnådie

Blaj

Aiud

OråçtieSimeria

Cålan

Ofielu Roçu

Caransebeç PetrilaVulcan

Lupeni

Brad

OdorheiuSecuiesc

BålanBuhuçi

Vatra Dornei

CîmpulungMoldovenesc

GuraHumorului

Tîrgu Neamfi

Bicaz

Tîrgu Frumos

Roznov

Huçi

ComåneçtiMoineçti

Paçcani

Fålticeni

Dorohoi

Darabani

Rådåufii

Tîrgu-OcnaMiercurea-Ciuc

Gheorghieni

Tîrgu Secuiesc

IALOMIflA

BRÅILA

GALAflIVRANCEA

BUZÅUPRAHOVA

BRAÇOV

DÎMBOVIflA

GIURGIUTELEORMAN

ARGEÇ

VÎLCEA

SIBIU

MUREÇCLUJ

ALBA

HUNEDOARATIMIÇ

ARAD

BIHOR

GORJ

MEHEDINflI

CARAÇ-SEVERIN

BISTRIflA-NÅSÅUD

MARAMURESSATU MARE

SÅLAJ

OLTDOLJ

COVASNA

VASLUIBACÅU

NEAMfl

HARGHITA

IAÇI

BOTOÇANI

SUCEAVA

CÅLÅRAÇI

CONSTANflA

TULCEA

BULGARIA

MOLDOVA

UKRAINE

UKRAINE

BULGARIA

YUGOSLAVIASERBIA

YUGOSLAVAVOJVODINA

HUNGARY

Figure 2.5. Rivers and lakes

Page 23: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

LakesRomania has around 3,500 lakes, but only 1% ofthem have an area exceeding 1 km2. More impor-tant are the lagoons and the Black Sea coastal la-kes (Razim 41,500 ha, Sinoie 17,150 ha) and thelakes along the Danube bank (Brates 2,111 ha,Bistret 1,867 ha). Glacial lakes are mostly spreadin the Carpathian Mountains (Bucura is the lar-gest of them, 10.5 ha). Out of the man-made la-kes, the most important reservoir lakes for powergeneration are those on the Danube, at theHydro-Power Plants of Iron Gates II (40,000 ha)and Iron Gates I (10,000 ha – with a water vo-lume of 2,400 million cubic meters, which isthree times as much as that of Iron Gates II), plusthe reservoir lakes of Stânca-Costesti (5,900 ha)on the Prut and Izvorul Muntelui on the Bicaz(3,100 ha).

VegetationIn Romania, the vegetation is determined by therelief and pedo-climatic elements, being dis-played in stairs. The forests, which in ancient ti-mes and during the Middle Ages used to cover al-most the entire area of Romania (except for itssoutheast), were gradually cut to provide for far-ming land. Nowadays, forests account for 26.2%

26 Romania

Page 24: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

(6,367,000 ha) of the country's area, consistingof beech (1.95 million ha), common oak andevergreen oak (1.12 million ha), coniferous trees(1.85 million ha), hornbeam, elm, ashtree, lime-tree and other species (1.3 million ha). Alpine pa-stures cover extensive areas at altitudes higherthan 1,800 m and are used mainly for sheep bree-ding. Over 400,000 ha (6.3% of the total area) isaffected by drying as a consequence of pollution.

FaunaRomania's fauna was and still is one of the ri-chest and most varied in Europe, boasting someof the rare and even unique species on the conti-nent. Chamois, brown bears, Carpathian deer,wolves, lynx, martens, capercaillies populate themountains, while hares, foxes, wild boars, roes,partridges quails and several bird species are typi-cally found in the hills and plains. The DanubeDelta with an area of 5,050 km2 (of which 4,340km2 on Romania's territory) remains a sanctuaryof native and migrating waterfowl and of fish(carp, sheat fish, pike, zander, etc.). Sturgeons(which produce caviar) can be found in the lowercourse of the Danube with dolphins, herrings,

horse mackerels, grey mullets, gudgeon and ot-hers in the Black Sea. Intensive fishing and gro-wing pollution (to which poaching has added inthe past few years) have steadily diminished theamount of fish caught over the past two decades.The expansion of populated areas has reducedthe freedom of movement of animals and hun-ting resources have decreased by 10-20% in thepast few years.

Romania General Facts 27

Page 25: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

2.2. Climate profile

Romania has a temperate-continental climate ofa transitional type, specific to Central Europe,with four clearly defined seasons. Local differen-

ces are caused by altitude and by slight oceanic(to the west), Mediterranean (to the southwest)and continental (to the east) influences.

28 Romania

Figure 2.6. The climate Map of Romania

TemperatureIn Romania, the mean temperature in the winterperiod falls below – 3°C and in the summertimeit ranges between 22°C and 24°C. The mean an-nual temperature is 11°C in the south of thecountry and 8°C in the north of the country. Theabsolute minimum temperature registered was -38.5°C at Bod in the Brasov Depression, and theabsolute maximum temperature was + 44.5°C (atIon Sion in the Baragan Plain).

PrecipitationThe annual average precipitation slightly decrea-ses from west (over 600 mm/year in the WesternPlain) to east (below 400 mm/year in the DanubeDelta). The mean annual rainfalls total 637 mm,

with higher values in the mountain areas (1,400-1,000 mm/year) and lower values in the BaraganPlain (500 mm/year), and Dobrudja (400 mm/year).

The west slopes of the Carpathians that standin front of the wet oceanic air masses get themost important quantities of rainfall. An impor-tant part of rainfalls is represented by snowfall inthe mountain areas, where snow cover lasts 120-150 days a year.

WindsDirection and intensity of wind are very differentover Romania. The Carpathians represent an ob-stacle in air masses traveling. Heigh wind velocity can reach sometimes 30

Page 26: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

m/s, while in low regions it decreases intensely,the wind direction being substantially modifiedby the relief.

The prevailing winds are from the north tonortheast and are hot and dry during the sum-

mer, while in winter they are cold and severe.Humid winds from the northwest are most com-mon, but often the drier winds from the northe-ast are strongest. A hot southwesterly wind, the„Austru“, blows over Western Romania, particu-

Romania General Facts 29

Figure 2.8. Precipitation Annual amounts

Figure 2.7. Annual Average temparatures (OC)

Page 27: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

larly in the summer. In the winter, cold anddense air masses encircle the eastern parts of thecountry, with a cold wind known as the „Crivat“blowing in from the East European Plain, whileoceanic air masses from the Azores, in the west,bring rain and mitigate the severity of the cold.

SunshineTime of sun shine is highest in plain areas (2100-2200 hours yearly) and a lowest in mountainareas (1800 hours). The highest values are regi-stered on the Black Sea Coast (2300 hours) and inthe Danube Delta (2400-2500 hours).

30 Romania

Bucuresti Timisoara Constanta Cluj-Napoca

Mean air temperature (ºC)• January* -2.4 -1.6 0.0 -4.3• July* 22.8 21.4 22.1 19.1

Mean air temperature (ºC)• January 2001 1.4 2.3 4.1 -0.9• July 2001 24.6 22.2 25.8 19.7

Mean precipitation (mm)• Annual* 589.3 609.4 382.6 581.7• 2001 522.5 685.6 400.4 819.4• Driest month* 34.0 37.6 23.5 25.6• Wettest month* 86.0 81.1 41.7 90.0

* Annual average in the period 1901-1990

Table 2.1. Temperature and prescription values in selected cities of Romania

Page 28: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

2.3. State organization

The Constitution Approved by the Constituent Assembly on No-vember 1991 and ratified by the referendum of 8December 1991 proclaims Romania as a state oflaw, democratic and social, in which human dig-nity, civic rights and freedoms, the unhindereddevelopment of human personality, justice andpolitical pluralism are supreme and guaranteedvalues. The Constitution stipulates the separa-tion of the three public authorities (the legisla-tive, the executive and the judiciary). A new revi-sed Constitution will be adopted soon.

The two-chamber Parliament (the DeputiesChamber and The Senate)Elected by universal vote for a 4 years term, is thepeople's supreme representative body and theonly law-making authority.

The President of RomaniaElected by universal vote, for a 5 years term (thePresident can be elected only for two terms), re-presents the Romanian State, watches over theactivity of public authorities, fulfill the office ofSupreme Commander of the Armed Forces andChairman of the Supreme Defense Council.

The GovernmentEnsures the fulfillment of the countries domesticand foreign policies and provides general mana-gement of public administration. Public admini-stration in territorial administrative units isgrounded on the principles of local autonomyand decentralization of public services.

Local councils and mayorsElected by direct vote, are the public administra-tion authorities in communes and towns. Thecounty council is the public administration aut-hority that co-ordinates the activities of all com-mune and town councils in the county. TheGovernment appoints a prefect at the head ofeach county and of Bucharest municipality.

The judicial authority Comprises the law courts, the Public Ministry

and the Higher Council of Magistracy. The judi-ciary is made up of the Supreme Court of Justice,the County Courts and other law courts, andMilitary Tribunals. In the judicial activity thePublic Ministry represents the general interestsof the society and protects order under the law,as well as the citizens' rights and freedoms.

Climate change related activities Are mainly under the responsibility of theMinistry of Environment and Water Manage-ment (MEWM). The National Commission onClimate Change was established in 1996 to pro-mote the necessary measures and actions for anunitary implementation of the UNFCCC's objec-tives in Romania. It is an inter-ministerial con-sultative body under the coordination of theMEWM, which also provides the secretariat forthe Commission. The members of the Com-mission are the representatives of the relevantministries, several NGOs, universities, tradersand invited experts.

Romania General Facts 31

Page 29: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

2.4. Territorial and popula-tion profile

According to Art. 3 of the Constitution, Roma-nia's' territory is divided from an administrativepoint of view into counties, cities, towns andcommunes.

CountyAdministrative unit, headed by a County Coun-cil and by a Prefect. The County Council's func-tion is to coordinate the activities of communaland town Councils for securing the public servi-ces of county interest. In Romania there are 41

counties and the capital, Bucharest, with a statussimilar to that of a county. A county has an ave-rage area of 5,800 km2 and an average populationof 500,000 inhabitants.

TownAdministrative unit headed by an elected LocalCouncil and an elected mayor. The towns withan important function can be declared munici-palities. In Romania there are 262 towns and ci-ties of which 80 have been declared municipali-ties. The first cities, according to population, are:Bucharest (2,032,000), Iasi (349,000), Constanta(344,000).

32 Romania

BLACK

SEA

Mouth of the Dan

ube

Gura Portifiei

LaculBrateç

Brafiul Chilia

Dunårea

Dunårea

Dunåre

Brafiul Sulina

Brafiul Sfintu Gheorghe

Buzåu

Ialomifia

Prahova

Arge

Arge

Vedea

Oltefi

Jiu

Olt

Timiç

Mureç

Mure

Mureç

Mure

Tirnava Mare

Olt

Olt

Siret

Moldova

Siret

Prut

Bistrifia

Prut

Bîrla

d

Someç

Someç

Someç

Criçul Repede

Criçul Negra

Criçul Alb

Jiu

Olt

Danube

Danub

Sava

Ialomifia

Dimbovifia

Lacul Sinoe

Dunårea

L. IzvorulMuntelui

LaculRazelm

Constanfia

Galafii

Craiova

Cluj-Napoca

Timiçoara

Iaçi

Braçov

Ruse

Debrecen

Belgrade

Chisinau

Pleven

BUCUREÇTI(Bucharest)

Tîrgu JiuBråila

Ploieçti

Oradea

Bacåu

Tulcea

Piteçti

Focçani

BuzåuRîmnicuVîlcea

Sibiu

Tîrgu Mureç

Baia Mare

Alba Iulia

Drobeta-TurnuSeverin

Arad

Satu Mare

Piatra-Neamfi

BotoçaniSuceava

Tîrgoviçte

Reçifia

Cålåraçi

Slobozia

GiurgiuAlexandria

Slatina

ZalåuBistrifia

Sfîntu Gheorghe

Vaslui

Deva

SighetulMarmafiiei

BîrladOneçti

Mediaç

Lugoj

Turda

Hunedoara

Petroçani

Roman

Vîrfu Cîmpului

Dumbråveni

Nicolae Bålcescu

Hîrlåu

Mirçesti

Båltåfieçti

Tårcau

Bistricioara

Ditråu

Sîndominic

Toplifia CiucCristuru

Secuiesc

Iernut

TeacaDipça Borsec

Låzarea Podoleni

Bîrnova

Coropceni

Muntenii de JosSecueni

RåcåciuniDårmåneçti

Sînsimion

Båile Tuçnad

Ghimeç Fåget

Vlåhifia

Hendorf

Ungheni

Ernei

Bålåuçeri

Deda

NåsåudBeclean

Gilåu

Sålciua de Jos

Huedin

Apahida

Cîmpeni

Teiuç

Mihalfi

Abrud

Çard

Çugag

Çeica Mare

NocrichSålisfie

Tålmaciu

Cîineni

Cålineçti

Cålimåneçti

Cumpåna

Galicea

SlimnicÇibot

HafiegSarmizegetusa

Voislova

Ilia

Mociu

Beliç

Albac

Nucet

Beius

Sîmbåta

Chiçineu Criç

Sîntana

Nådlac

AraduNou

VingaOrfiiçoara

Recaç

Giroc Buziaç

Topolovåfiu Fåget

Obreja

Jebel

Gåtaia

Comoriçte Caraçova

Råcåçdia

Baziaç

Voiteg

Mehadia

Lovrin

Radna

Leç

Diosig

Satulung

Halmeu

Livada

Çomcuta Mare

Ocna Çugatag

Hidiçelu de Sus

Sålard

CehuSilvaniei

Mesteacan

Seini

Turt

Ardud

AcîçTåçnad

Surduc

BobotaSårmåçag

GîlgåuIleanda

Jibou

Valealui Mihai

Borç

Dr Petru Groza

Vaçcåu

Vîrfurile

flebea

Beliu

Reteag

Råstolifia

Sascut

Crasna

Dragomireçti

Frasin

PoianaStampei

Cîrlibaba

DorneçtiSiret

Dårmåneçti

Sucevifia

IacobeniSîngeorz BåiTelciu

Valea Viçeului

Vama

BroçteniSabasa

Såveni

OituzLemnia

Buteni

Deta

Dobra

RucårVoineasa

Båbeni Bistrifia

Cerbu

Lunca Corbului

Peretu

Prundeni

Grådiçtea

PucheniPietroçifia

Stîlpeni

CålineçtiTopoloveni

Negreni

Furculeçti

Mågura

Naipu

Dåifia

CålugåreniGhimpafii

Jilava

Råcari

Mihåileçti

Prundu

TigåneçtiCoçereni Cåzåneçti

Padina

Pogoanele

SmeeniCilibia

Fåurei

Çufieçti Traian

CîndeçtiCîndeçti

Ianca

DåeniOstrov

Garvån

Isaccea

Cataloi

Gorgova Sulina

SfîntuGheorgheBabadag

Sarichioi

Baia

Mihai Viteazu

Topraisar

VaduCorbu de Sus

CobadinOstrov

Negru Vodå

23 August

Eforie Sud

MamaiaOvidiu

Ion Corvin

ÇocariciuVlad flepeç

Råsvani

BudeçtiUlmu

Ciulnifia

Cocargeaua

Crucea

Horia

Jurilovca

Viziru

Insuråfiei

BudeçtiLieçti

Bereçti

Tîrgu Bujor

Folteçti

Soveja

Prisaca

Suraia

CiuçleaNereju

GeneralissimulNehoiaçu

Iazu

NalbantCiucurova

Måneciu Ungureni

Drågåneçti

Lipia

Bolintin Vale

Slåveçti

BujoruArsacheBragadiru

Beuca

Viçina Veche

Piatra

Coloneçti

Predeal

Sercaia Feldioara

IntorsuraBuzåului

HoghizRupea

BengesfiiScoarfia

Cåpreni

Melineçti

Radovanu

Segarcea

Bechetu

Rojiçtea

Leu

Galicea Mare

Hinova

Ciovîrnåçani

Balta

Baia de Aramå

Bumbeçti Jiu

Tîrgu CårbuneçtiRovinariPeçteana Jui

MofiåfieiCetate

Vînju Mare

Hurezani

Içalnita

Teregova

Armeniç

Cårbunari

CorneaNovaci

Bîrzava

Såvîrçin

Gurahonfi

Dej

Gherla

Tecuci

Mizil

Urziceni

Buftea

Vålenii de MunteBreazaCurteade Argeç

MotruOrçova

Filiaçi

Calafat Båileçti

Balç

Drågåçani

Drågånesti-Olt

Roçiori de Vede

Videle

Zimnicea

Oltenifia

flåndårei

Måcin

Cernavodå

MedgidiaNåvodari

Techirghiol

Mangalia

Feteçti

Caracal

CorabiaTurnuMågurele

Strehaia

ComarnicSinaia

BuçteniCîmpulung

Båicoi

Costeçti

Gåeçti

CîmpinaPucioasa

Moreni Urlafii

Rîmnicu Sårat

Adjud

Måråçeçti

Såcele

CodleaRîçnov

Zårneçti

Fågåras

Agnita

ReghinToplifia

Sovata

Viçeu de SusSåcel

Baia Sprie

Tîrgu Låpuç

Carei

Negresfii-Oaç

Marghita

ÇimleuSilvaniei

Salonta

Birtin

Borça

Cîmpia Turzii

Ocna MureçTîrnåveni

Ludus

Sighiçoara

Cugir

Bocça

Anina

Moldova Nouå

Oravifia

Lipova

Curtici Ineu

Jimbolia

Sînnicolau Mare

Sebeç

Cisnådie

Blaj

Aiud

OråçtieSimeria

Cålan

Ofielu Roçu

Caransebeç PetrilaVulcan

Lupeni

Brad

OdorheiuSecuiesc

BålanBuhuçi

Vatra Dornei

CîmpulungMoldovenesc

GuraHumorului

Tîrgu Neamfi

Bicaz

Tîrgu Frumos

Roznov

Huçi

ComåneçtiMoineçti

Paçcani

Fålticeni

Dorohoi

Darabani

Rådåufii

Tîrgu-OcnaMiercurea-Ciuc

Gheorghieni

Tîrgu Secuiesc

IALOMIflA

BRÅILA

GALAflIVRANCEA

BUZÅUPRAHOVA

BRAÇOV

DÎMBOVIflA

GIURGIUTELEORMAN

ARGEÇ

VÎLCEA

SIBIU

MUREÇCLUJ

ALBA

HUNEDOARATIMIÇ

ARAD

BIHOR

GORJ

MEHEDINflI

CARAÇ-SEVERIN

BISTRIflA-NÅSÅUD

MARAMURESSATU MARE

SÅLAJ

OLTDOLJ

COVASNA

VASLUIBACÅU

NEAMfl

HARGHITA

IAÇI

BOTOÇANI

SUCEAVA

CÅLÅRAÇI

CONSTANflA

TULCEA

BULGARIA

MOLDOVA

UKRAINE

UKRAINE

BULGARIA

YUGOSLAVIASERBIA

YUGOSLAVAVOJVODINA

HUNGARY

Figure 2.9. The Administrative Map of Romania

CommuneThe basic unit of administrative organization,being made up of one or more villages and beingheaded by an elected Local Council and an elec-

ted mayor. In Romania there are 2,686 commu-nes with 13,285 villages, with an average of fivevillages for one commune. Capital of Romania:Bucharest municipality with a population of

Page 30: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

1,926,334 (2002) is situated in the south of thecountry in the Romanian Plain (alt 85 m), and itis the most populous and most important town

in Romania, the principal political, administra-tive, economic, financial, banking, educational,scientific and cultural center of the country.

Romania General Facts 33

Table 2.2. Population 1989-2002 in millions

Year 1989 1990 1991 1995 2002

Population 23.151 23.207 23.185 22.680 21.681

Figure 2.10. Population according to age groups

Up to 14 years 17,6% 15-24 years 15,6%

25-59 years 47,5% Over 60 years 19,3%

PopulationIn 2002, Romania had a population of 21,680,974and ranked 43rd in the world and 13th in Europein this respect.

In urban areas there are 11,435,080 inhabi-tants (52.7% of Romania's population), in ruralareas there are 10,245,894 inhabitants (47.3%)and the ratio for male/female population is48.8/51.2%. Regarding the classification of loca-lities there are 24 towns which have over100,000 inhabitants covering 6,231,482 people,which represent 56% of the urban population.Population growth in the present-day territory ofRomania is presented through the following cen-sus years: 8,600,000 (1859); 12,923,600 (1912);14,280,729 (1930); 15,872,624 (1948); 17,489,450(1956); 19,103,163 (1966); 21,559,910 (1977);23,151,564 (1989); 22,810,035 (1992); 21,680,974(2002). Today around eight million Romanianslive outside the country's boundaries.

Density of population (2001): 91 inhabitants/km2, about the same density as Austria or Slo-venia, and ranks 74th in the world and 26th inEurope.

Vital statistics (rates per 1000 inhabitants):birth rate 9.8%, death rate 11.6%, and naturalgrowth – 1.8%. The negative natural growth regi-stered since 1992 has resulted in the diminishingof the country's population.

Life expectancy (1999-2001): 71.19 years ingeneral, and 67.69 years for males and 74.84 years for females, 71.94 years in urban areas,70.20 years in rural areas.

Structure of population by age (2002): 0-14 years – 17.6%, 15-24 years – 15.6%, 25-59 years –47.5%, 60 years and over – 19.3%.

Emigration329,783 Romanian citizens emigrated between1990 and 2001. In 1990, after Ceausescu's dicta-torship collapsed, 96,929 persons emigrated andin 2001 - 9,921 persons. During the same periodof time 81,526 persons repatriated themselves.

Between 1989 (the base year for Romania) and2002 the population decreased with 1.47 millioninhabitants and the projections show a continua-tion of this trend Unemployment has been regi-stered in Romania after the collapse of theCommunist regime and it represented 0.3 mil.persons in 1991 and about 1 mil. persons in 2002.

Page 31: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

2.5. Economical development

From 1948 until 1989, Romania had a Soviet-style planned economy in which nearly all agric-ultural and industrial enterprises were state con-trolled. During those years, it built an economybased largely on heavy industry. Romania re-mains one of the poorest European countries.Industry contributes to over half of the country'sgross national product (GNP) and accounts forone third of the labor force. Major manufacturesinclude steel products, machinery, transport ve-hicles and chemicals.

In real terms, Romania's economy grew by4.9% in 2002, far beyond expectations. Romaniathus achieved the highest growth rate among allEU candidate countries. The Romanian NationalBank has forecast a similarly high growth rate for2003 and 2004. However, it must be said that ac-cording to official estimates the undergroundeconomy accounts for roughly 30% of GDP.

Despite an overall favorable macroeconomicdevelopment during the last few years, there isstill a considerable need for reform in theRomanian economy. The main areas of favorableeconomic development in 2002 were industry (+7.2% compared to 2001) and the constructionindustry, which grew by 6.9% compared to 2001.

The service sector grew by 5.2%, a much higherlevel of growth than in 2001 (1.7%), due to therise in income and improved functional marketstructures. These three sectors accounted for78.8% of GDP. The agricultural sector fell to 3.9%as a result of drought and floods. The most im-portant industrial sectors are clothes and textileproduction, metallurgy, machine production, aswell as wood and food processing.

The main macroeconomic index is the GrossDomestic Product (GDP), which represents the va-lue of the goods and services resulted from theproduction processes which take place withinthe national economy in order to be consumed,invested, stored or exported.

• Gross Domestic Product: 1,167,242.8 (billion ROL current prices)

• Per capita Gross Domestic Product: 52,089.5(thou. ROL current prices)

Romania's foreign trade registered dramaticdisruptions after the 1989 revolution. The de-crease in domestic production, the dissolution ofthe Common market, and the costs of observingUnited Nations sanctions against Iraq and Serbia(two of Romania's traditional trading partners)were the main factors causing a sharp decline in

34 Romania

80

90

1 00

1 10

G ro s s Do me s tic P ro duc t 8 9 ,8 9 3 ,4 8 7 ,7 8 3,5 9 8,8 1 01 1 0 6,8

G ro s s v a lu e a dde d 9 2 ,4 9 6 89 8 4,2 9 9,5 1 0 1,7 1 0 8,1

1 9 95 1 9 96 1 99 7 1 99 8 19 9 9 2 0 0 0 2 0 01

Figure 2.11. The evolution of the Gross Domestic Product

Page 32: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

Romanian exports and a significant increase inthe country's balance of trade deficit. Romania'scurrent foreign trade policy aims at the country'sintegration into Western markets. Romania is anassociate member of the European Union (EU)and the Central European Free Trade Association(CEFTA).

Romania's foreign trade continued to growsubstantially in 2002. Among other things, theexport industry had an impact on growth. Theforeign trade volume, which totaled USD 31.726billion and represented a growth rate of 35.6%,(exports: USD 13.8 billion, + 21.8%; imports:USD 17.8 billion, + 14.8%). At the end of 2002,the foreign trade deficit was USD 3.98 billion(6.6% of GDP). It was thus slightly above the rateof the previous year.

As shown in following table, the inflation ratehas decreased since January 1998. The historicalincrease in the period 1990-1998 was determinedby factors such as price liberalization and the eli-

mination of direct and indirect subsidies for cer-tain products. Inflation was further induced bypoor economic performance, the increase of in-terest rates for circulating loans, high-energyconsumption per product unit, low productivityand the increase of wages under social and unionpressure.

In order to establish and implement efficienteconomic policies, which take into account eco-logical components, research and developmentactivities and technologies deployed are of ut-most importance. These determine both produc-tion capacities and the extent to which theobjectives regarding sustainable developmentare achieved and all the costs incurred. Most activities shall be undertaken by the private sec-tor. That is why signals coming from the marketare so important on the long run and price chan-ges measure still remains the most problematicissue.

Romania General Facts 35

Page 33: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

The above mentioned data present the extre-mely fluctuating and contradicting economic de-velopment within emerging markets, the decrea-sing role of the Government and the increase ofthe private sector, changes in the social sector aswell as signals of recovery and stabilisationtrends which have been revealed within the lasttwo years. As far as we can see, transition costs

are incurred by most of the population, which le-ads to a sense of impoverishment.

These situations are reflected in the evolutionof environment conditions, sometimes genera-ting apparently paradoxical phenomena. Thequality of certain environment factors, such asair and water has improved in the last few years,mostly due to accelerated economic downfall.

36 Romania

Figure 2.12. The Inflation Rate in Romania in the period 98-03

Figure 2.13. Trend of the exchange rate ROL/USD

Page 34: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

Unfortunately, the privatisation in part of the fo-rest stock has been followed by deforestation.

In December 1989, Romania moved to a freemarket economy. Since then, social and econo-mic development goals have been essential partsof the country's development strategy, but weredifficult to comprehend in an integrated way.Concepts like sustainable development and thehuman dimension of sustainability were not wellknown or understood and were therefore neglec-ted.

In this respect, Romania adopted in 1999 along-term National Sustainable DevelopmentStrategy (NSDS) and subsequently prepared aNational Action Plan for the implementation ofthe NSDS and the introduction of the LocalAgenda 21 process in the country.

Political factors are aware that the overall im-provement of economic and social conditions aswell as of the natural environment in Romaniacan be accomplished only by adopting a new de-velopment model - the sustainable development,focused on the improvement of the standard ofliving and of environment health (a new Stra-tegy for Sustainable Development in Romania is

under preparation and is going to be adopted in2004).

The essential benchmarks of Romania's devel-opment now and in the near future are definedwithin the national Strategy for medium termeconomic development (2000 - 2004), which ismainly aimed at the setting up of a functionalmarket economy, compatible with the princip-les, norms, mechanisms, institutions and poli-cies of the European Union. In doing so Romaniahas made significant steps in the process of joi-ning the European Union.

In order to accomplish its sustainable develop-ment, Romania needs besides its own funds,significant foreign investments and support.Romania has managed to set up favourable conditions in order to attract foreign investorsand to develop co-operation with other coun-tries.

The government has significantly improvedthe conditions for foreign investments and thelegislation regarding privatisation. Companiesthat are sold to private investors have been mademore attractive by means of different types of fa-cilities offered.

Romania General Facts 37

64.5

55.7

94.7

58.365.7

70.1

92

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Figure 2.14. Private sector weight (year 2000)

Gross Domestic Product

Industrial output

Total agricultural output Exports

Imports

Retail trade

Investment volume

Page 35: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

Regarding the protection of the environmentin the context of the sustainable development,in line with addressing global warming, Romaniaagreed to respect the multilateral environmentalagreements ratified and to implement such pro-visions through policies and measures in sectors

and activities that result in generating green-house gas emissions, mainly in the productionand consumption of energy and transports thatare responsible togheter for about 85% ofRomania's CO2 emissions.

38 Romania

Page 36: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

2.6. Energy

The energy sector in Romania has been plaguedby the specific problems faced by most countrieswith economies in transition:• High energy intensity combined with low

energy efficiency;• High marginal cost of energy production;• Low level of legislative, institutional and regu-

latory infrastructure leading to high transac-tion costs;

• Consistent energy price increases above therate of inflation;

• Low collection rates especially from industrialusers but also from individual consumers be-cause of the high share of energy bills in totalhousehold expenditure;

• Poor record on energy conservation and com-pliance with environmental requirements.

In the case of Romania these problems have be-come serious because of the stagnation of theeconomy, particularly over the past few years,high inflation rates and a disappointing level offoreign direct and portfolio investment. Themost important incentive for meaningful reformhas been the prospect of accession to the Euro-pean Union.

Institutional aspects As part of economic reform measures passed in1990, the energy sector was reorganized by esta-blishing two types of autonomous state enterpri-ses: Regia Autonomous (RAs) for the productionand supply of energy products, and CommercialCompanies (CCs) for support services and activi-ties. This enabled the government to separate po-licy and regulation from operational functions,to bring accountability, and to institute commer-cial practices in the energy sector. RAs are stateholding companies for sectors considered strate-gic by the Government of Romania includingelectric power, oil, natural gas, lignite and coal.CCs are joint stock companies established undercommercial law.

In June 1998 a restructuring programme wasadopted by RENEL, the Romanian Regis Auto-nomous for Electricity. This resulted in the crea-

tion of CONEL, the National Electricity Com-pany.

Also, in July 2000, the Romanian Governmentdecided to divide CONEL into four companies:• Transelectrica S.A. - National company for the

transport of electrical energy • Termoelectrica S.A. - Commercial company for

the production of electrical and thermal energy • Hidroelectrica S.A. - Commercial company for

the production and delivery of hydroelectricpower

• Electrica S.A. - Commercial company for theDistribution and supply of electrical energy.

Nuclear activities were split off from the formerRENEL and are now under the co-ordination ofthe Nuclear Power Company NuclearoelectricaS.A. and the National Regia for Nuclear Acti-vities. Under the structure before the decision,Termoelectrica, Hidroelectrica, and Electrica hadbeen 100%-owned by CONEL. The current go-vernment policy is to develop an energy sectorthat promotes a market-oriented economy.

The National Electric and Heat RegulatingAuthority (ANRE) established in October 1998, isthe independent institution to regulate the elec-tricity market and price. Romania is opening upits electricity market to be compatible with EUpractices. In February 2000, ANRE opened up10% of the Romanian electricity market by allo-

Romania General Facts 39

Page 37: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

wing ten large industrial companies to selecttheir electricity suppliers and granting electricitysupply licenses to five independent electricityproducers. In October 2001, the degree of libera-lization was increased to 20%, which cleared theway for more large users, of more than 100 giga-watt-hours (GWh) annually, to choose their sup-pliers of electricity. ANRE plans to open theenergy market up further in the next few years.

Energy Summary Romania has significant fossil fuel and hydroe-lectric resources, and has the potential to beenergy self-sufficient for several decades. An hi-storical summary of Romania's Total PrimaryEnergy Production (TPEP) and Consumption(TPEC) is shown in the next table.

40 Romania

Table 2.3. Romania’s TPEP and TPEC, 1990-2001 (in Quads)

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001

TPEP 1.87 1.62 1.49 1.47 1.43 1.46 1.43 1.41 1.26 1.21 1.20 1.21

TPEC 2.88 2.24 2.06 1.99 1.88 2.02 2.06 2.03 1.75 1.56 1.55 1.64

note: 1 Quad = 1 quadrillion BtuSource: DOE/EIA

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

3.5

T P E P

T P E C

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

Figure 2.15. Romania’s TPEP and TPEC, 1990-2001 (in Quads)

Energy ConsumptionThe evolution of energy indices in the period1989-2001 corresponds to the general develop-ment of the national economy, which had a dec-lining trend in the first 5 years of the period, fol-lowed by an increase in the last part of theperiod. The energy intensity of GDP, related toprimary energy consumption, decreased from

1.68 toe/$1000 in 1989 to 1.09 toe/$1000 in2001, which is a 3% average rate per year. Theenergy intensity of GDP related to final energyconsumption decreased in the same period with5 % per year.

The final energy consumption decreased signi-ficantly during in the same period. In 2001 thetotal energy consumption represented 46.7% of

Page 38: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

the 1989 consumption. Industry represents themost important energy consumer with a decrea-sed share in total consumption from 77% in1989 to 48% in 2001. During the period 1989-2001 the energy consumption in the industrialsector decreased significantly from 43x106 toe to12.7x106 toe. Household consumption represen-ted 10% of the total energy consumption in1989, 21% in 1994 and 32% in 2001. An oppo-site trend was identified regarding the finalenergy consumption by population in 2001which increased 1.5 times the consumption in1989.

The increase of final energy consumption wasrecorded not only in the case of household con-sumption, but also in transport - by more than76% in 1994 as compared to 1989 and by 94% in2001, compared with the same base year. As faras industry is concerned, the main branches cha-racterized by significant energy consumptionare: chemical industry and metallurgy, iron oresextraction and processing. Chemical industrywhich is the most important energy consumer inthe industrial sector decreased its consumptionmore than 6 times in 2001 compared with theconsumption in the base year.

As a matter of fact, all the industrial branchesas well as construction, services and agriculturediminished their final energy consumption in2001 as compared to 1989, due to their produc-tion decrease.

Energy supplyThe main types of primary energy in Romania inthe period 1989-2001 were natural gas, oil pro-ducts and coal. In 1989 the natural gas consump-tion represented about 32.3% from the total pri-mary energy consumption, the oil products andcoal about 17% each.

Primary energy consumption is suppliedmainly from domestic production. The importedenergy represents between 25.5% (year 1999)and 36.3% (year 1990) from the primary energyresources.

The evolution of the domestic production inthe period 1989-2001 shows a decrease from49.57x106 toe to 25.92x106 toe. The importedenergy decreased in the period 1989-2001 from32.98x106 toe to 7.6 x106 toe, that means about76% reduction. The biggest share in the importsis represented by the crude oil and other oil pro-ducts.

Romania General Facts 41

Page 39: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

OilProduction and consumptionRomania has crude oil reserves of about 1.4 bil-lion barrels. Oil production has decreased from294,000 barrels per day (b/d) in 1976 to 127,200b/d in 2001. With the opening of 15 oil and gasblocks for exploration in 1996, and the influx ofwestern technology, Romanian reserves and pro-duction are expected to rise slightly in the co-ming years.

Romania produces 10% of its crude from off-shore wells in the Black Sea, and more explora-tion is being done there. TotalFinaElf, a FrenchBelgian company signed a 30-year agreementwith SNP Petrom to explore the resources there,which started in 1998. Other foreign operatorsnow working in Romanian oil and natural gas fi-elds include Amoco (U.S.), Shell (Dutch), andEnterprise Oil (British).

Additional oil and gas have recently been di-

42 Romania

Table 2.4. Petroleum Production and Consumption in Romania, 1990-2001 (in thousand b/d)

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001

Production 171 148 143 137 142 141 142 141 138 132 128 127(total)*

Production 163 140 136 133 138 135 135 134 132 125 120 119(crude oil only)

Consumption 382 277 250 248 221 244 257 270 250 210 213 215

* includes crude oil, natural gas plant liquids, other liquids, and refinery processing gainSource: DOE/EIA

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

Figure 2.16. Petroleum Production and Consumption in Romania, 1990-2001 (in thousand b/d)

Production (total) Production (crude oil only) Consumption

Page 40: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

scovered in the Black Sea, but the find is claimedby Ukraine. Petroleum consumption had been ri-sing since reaching its lowest point in 1994, butexhibited another decline in the late 1990s. Oilconsumption for 2004 is predicted to be 310,000b/d. An historical summary of petroleum pro-duction and consumption in Romania is shownin the next table.

Refineries and Downstream MarketingRomania's refining industry is the largest inCentral and Eastern Europe. In the early 1990's,its 10 refineries had an annual crude distillationcapacity of 34 million tons, far exceeding dome-stic demand for refined petroleum products.

SNP Petrom is the vertically integrated oilcompany of Romania; it is presently 93% state-owned, and scheduled for privatization beforethe end of 2004. In 1999 and 2000, world oil pri-ces rose and state price ceilings on oil were remo-ved. This led SNP Petrom to restart some of itswells and introduce new technology. At the sametime SNP Petrom also began restructuring itsoperations and management.

Romania has a total refining capacity of522,000 b/d from its 10 refineries.

However, these refineries are operating undercapacity because of lack of oil supplies. Several ofthe refineries are in need of investments formaintenance and modernization. SNP Petromplans to invest $236 million over the next twoyears in upgrading its refineries. An historicalsummary of refined petroleum products outputby fuel type in Romania is shown in the next table.

Romania General Facts 43

Table 2.5. Output of Refined Petroleum Products in Romania, 1990-2000 (in thousands of b/d)

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000

Motor Gasoline 110 73 68 61 80 81 73 75 75 57 61

Jet Fuel 7 8 8 6 5 4 2 2 2 2 3

Kerosene 1 1 1 2 3 1 1 1 2 2 1

Distillate Fuel Oil 127 81 76 77 96 96 86 81 83 64 78

Residual Fuel Oil 156 101 90 73 65 58 47 41 39 36 29

Liquefied Petroleum 8 8 8 8 9 9 9 8 10 9 11Gases

Lubricants 7 6 5 5 4 4 4 3 3 0 n/a

Other * 69 39 19 40 35 46 47 53 52 58 53

Total Output 485 316 275 271 297 299 269 265 265 227 237

Refinery Fuel and Loss 24 12 11 17 11 12 10 10 10 9 9

n/a - not available* includes asphalt, coke, napthas, paraffin wax, and petrochemical feedstocks

note: components may not add to total due to rounding for year 2000, „lubricants“ included in „other“ categorySource: DOE/EIA

Page 41: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

Natural GasProduction and ConsumptionRomania has natural gas reserves estimated at13.2 trillion cubic feet, enough for about 25 ye-ars at the current consumption rate.

Natural gas consumption in Romania has fal-len sharply over the past decade, but now seemsto be leveling off as economic recovery is progres-sing. The two in-country production companies,Exprogaz and SNP Petrom cover about 80% ofRomania's natural gas needs; the rest is imported.

An historical summary of natural gas produc-tion and consumption in Romania is shown inthe next table.

Industry OverviewSlightly more than half of Romania's natural gasis extracted by Exprogaz (a unit of Romgaz), withthe remainder extracted by the national oil com-pany, Petrom. While Romgaz is the country's lea-ding gas producer, transporter and distributor ofnatural gas, it does not hold an exclusive mono-poly. Romania's future growth in natural gas pro-duction should be stimulated by European Bankfor Reconstruction and Development (EBRD)and World Bank projects aimed at introducingnew equipment and new production methods.

In June 2000, the Romanian government ap-proved restructuring Romgaz into six parts. Thereorganization of Romgaz opened the way for fo-

Table 2.6. Dry Natural Gas Production and Consumption in Romania, 1990-2001 (in TCF)

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001

Production 1.001 0.876 0.777 0.746 0.692 0.683 0.634 0.614 0.516 0.501 0.480 0.505

Consumption 1.261 1.040 0.936 0.908 0.851 0.901 0.894 0.830 0.650 0.622 0.600 0.696

note: „dry“ gas means gas with condensates removedSource: DOE/EIA

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

0,0

0,3

0,6

0,9

1,2

1,5

Figure 2.17. Dry Natural Gas Production and Consumption in Romania, 1990-2001 (in TCF)

44 Romania

Production Consumption

Page 42: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

reign investment. In July 2001, Ruhrgas ofGermany became the first foreign company todo so, investing in the Romanian natural gas dis-tribution network.

Recently, the Romanian Government signed ajoint venture with private foreign firms tolaunch an LPG project and potential importationof Liquified Natural Gas (LNG). The joint ven-ture plans a pipeline to carry Liquified PetroleumGas (LPG) to Bucharest, satellite terminals, deepwater facilities at the port city of Constanta, anda potential expansion to include the importation

of LNG when it becomes economic to do so.There are also downstream marketing ventures;Shell has a $4 million cooking gas-bottling plantin Romania.

CoalProduction and ConsumptionRomania has estimated coal reserves of 3.98 bil-lion short tons. Most of these reserves are ligniteand sub-bituminous coal, with the largest reser-ves located in the Jiu Valley. Less than 10% of thecoal produced in Romania is bituminous.

Romania General Facts 45

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

Figure 2.18. Coal Production and Consumption in Romania, 1990-2001 (in millions of short tons)

Table 2.7. Coal Production and Consumption in Romania, 1990-2001 (in millions of short tons)

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001

Production 42.09 35.72 42.30 43.82 44.70 45.33 46.15 37.27 28.91 25.22 32.28 33.08

Anthracite n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a

Bituminous 4.90 4.22 4.52 1.35 1.51 1.27 1.46 1.93 1.55 1.21 0.31 0.34

Lignite 37.19 31.50 37.78 42.47 43.19 44.06 44.69 35.34 27.37 24.01 31.97 32.74

Consumption 51.97 43.32 48.62 48.85 49.35 49.85 50.12 42.07 34.57 30.79 35.65 36.40

n/a - not applicablenote: components may not add to total due to rounding

Source: DOE/EIA

Production Consumption

Page 43: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

An historical summary of coal production andconsumption in Romania is shown in the nexttable.

Coal MiningThe Romanian coal industry has suffered fromdeclines in production, outdated infrastructure,and labor unrest. Miners' unions have protestedwage arrears, mine closures, and working condi-tions. However, the Romanian government ishoping for a resurgence of the coal industry, get-ting more output from existing mines.

This appears to have started in the year 2000,as Romanian coal mine output improved overthe previous year's total for the first time in seve-ral years.

NuclearRomania has one nuclear power plant underconstruction with 5 nuclear reactors (the Cerna-voda power station) 170 km east of Bucharest,where the Romanian Company Nuclearelectricais the power plant operator. The energy produc-tion at the first reactor (Cernavoda 1) started inDecember 1996, with an installed capacity of 700MWe. This reactor was the first Western-designed nuc-lear reactor in Eastern Europe. A consortium ofAtomic Energy of Canada and Ansaldo of Italybuilt the Cernavoda facility. Cernavoda 1 now

accounts for 10% of the electricity produced inRomania, and the fuel requirement for Cerna-voda is met by the Pitesti plant, which manufac-tures 100 metric tons of enriched uranium fuelannually.

Work on Cernavoda 2 is continuing and it isexpected to be completed in 2007. The secondreactor (Cernavoda 2) is now approximately 60%complete. Unfortunately, of the remaining units,Cernavoda 3 is 15% complete, Cernavoda 4 is10% complete, and Cernavoda 5 is 5% complete.Construction is not currently proceeding onthese last three units because they are still wai-ting financing.

Hydroelectric Power and Other Renewable EnergyHydroelectric PowerIn Romania there are 362 Hydroelectric PowerPlants (HPP) with an overall installed capacity of6120 MW, which means 27.9% of the overall in-stalled capacity of the Romanian power system(21905 MW).

The structure of these HPPs is the following:• 95% of them are owned by SC HIDROELEC-

TRICA SA and have an installed capacity of5899.3 MW;

• 2.5% are owned by SC ELECTRICA SA and havean installed capacity of 156 MW;

46 Romania

Page 44: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

• 1.9% are owned by SC TERMOELCTRICA SAand have installed capacity of 117.6 MW;

• 0.6% other producers.

Out of these 362 hydroelectric power plantsthere are:• 317 HPPs with capacities between 0 and 30

MW, totaling 1069 MW installed;• 32 HPPs with capacities between 30 and 100

MW, totaling 1529 MW installed;• 13 HPPs with capacities over 100MW, totaling

3552 MW installed.With its many rivers, Romania has great poten-tial for hydroelectric power (as much as 14,800MWe), but the current generating capacity onlycontributes to a relatively small amount of Ro-mania's power needs. The total hydroelectric po-wer potential is about 40 terawatt-hours (TWh)per year of which 12 TWh per year has alreadybeen developed. There may be as many as 5,000locations in Romania that are favorable for smallhydroelectric power plants.

The Romanian government has encouragedforeign investment in hydropower throughHydroelectrica, the state-owned hydropowerproducer. In 1999, Sulzer Hydro of Switzerlandwon a $154 million contract from Hydroelectricato refurbish six turbines at the Portile de Fier I(Iron Gates I) power plant on the Danube River.There are twelve turbines at the Iron Gates plant;Romania operates six and Serbia operates six. It isexpected that the project will be completed in2005 and the capacity of the six Romanian turbi-nes will increase to 1,290 MWe from their pre-sent capacity of 1,070 MWe. There is a small JI fi-nancing at this project, based on Romania’sco-operation with the Netherlands.

In addition to Portile de Fier, there are elevenother hydroelectric facilities with capacities of atleast 100 MWe, and dozens of medium-sized fa-cilities of at least 30 MWe. Collectively, these po-wer stations represent about 77% of Romania'scurrently operating hydroelectric generating ca-pacity. In addition to these larger hydroelectricfacilities, there are also many smaller power sta-tions. The Raul Mare River has a series of 10 hy-droelectric power plants, each between 10 and15 MWe. Similarly, the Strei River has a series of

seven small hydroelectric power plants, each lessthan 10 MWe. Hydroelectrica is looking for part-ners for about 15 hydropower projects with acombined capacity of 780 MWe. These projectswill include construction completions, upgra-ding and management.

Wind ResourcesA countrywide wind-atlas prepared by the Ener-gy Research and Modernizing Institute (ICEME-NERG SA) in 1993 is based on WASP software andmeteorological data deserved during the period1980-1990. Romanian wind atlas indicates windspeeds of 4.5 to 11.5 m/s at 50 m height in va-rious areas of the country, notably offshore.

The wind atlas developed by ICEMENERGidentifies huge areas with wind speeds over 11m/s depending on topography. Highest measu-red wind speed is at Calimani at an altitude of2022 m, with annual average of 10.3 m/s at 10 mabove ground.

As of today there are only two wind/solar de-monstration projects in Romania, consisting of 4kW of wind and 0.85 kW of solar. Both are auto-nomous projects supplying needs of a householdeach. There were also two demonstration pro-jects, at the Semenic Mountains and in Agigea (atBlack Sea offshore). Due to the lack of funds, lackof subsidies and a electricity production inferiorto the estimations, these two projects are not inoperation any longer. No other wind turbinesoperate in Romania.

Romania General Facts 47

Page 45: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

Solar ResourcesRomanian areas with high potential for solarenergy are: Black Sea coast (5.384 MJ/m2/year),South Plain (5.147 MJ/m2/year) and DanubeDelta (5.046 MJ/m2/year).

The average solar radiation in Romania rangesfrom 1.100 to 1.300 kWh/m2/year for more thanhalf of the country surface.

In Romania, starting from 1979, a large scaleprogramme for various solar applications hasbeen implemented (solar domestic hot water sy-stems for hotels at the Black Sea and for apart-ment blocks, solar house near Bucharest, solardrying for agricultural products in the SouthPlain, solar cooling for fish preservation inDobrogea region, industrial applications). A lotof efforts have been made in research and devel-opment activities and an important human po-tential and infrastructure were available. Thepeak of installations occurred in 1984-85.

The poor quality of the equipment and instal-lation and the lack of maintenance in many ofthe early installations resulted in a deep dissatis-faction, creating an additional barrier to furthersolar energy utilization. The manufacture, instal-lation and research & development activitieshave practically stopped this activity since 1990because of the market reforming and the resul-ting difficult economic situation.

Geothermal ResourcesThe Romanian hydrogeothermal systems are lo-cated in the Western part of the country wheremost of the proven resources and operating sche-mes exist, and in the Southern part of the coun-try where proven potential is identified.

Regarding the theoretical potential, the mainlocations are the West Plain, where most of theproven resources and operating schemes exist,and the South Plains where proven potential is

48 Romania

Figure 2.19. The Wind Map of Romania, ICEMENERG 1993

Wind A B C D EPotential High Mountains Open Sea Sea Coast Open Plain Hills

I >11.5 >9 >8.5 >7.5 >5II 10-11.5 8-9 7-8.5 6.5-7.5 5-6III 8.5-10 7-8 6-7 5.5-6.5 4.5-5IV 7-8.5 5.5-7 5-6 4.5-5.5 3.5-4.5V <7 <5.5 <5 <4.5 <3.5

Page 46: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

identified in the region of Bucharest, as well as inthe Carpathian Regions. From the theoreticalperspective, Romania is endowed with the 3rd(after Italy and Greece) highest geothermal po-tential of all European countries.

Biomass ResourcesThe biomass sector in Romania is characterized bya twofold regional distribution. About 90% of fuelwood and 55% of woodwaste are found in theCarpathians and Sub-Carpathians. About 54% ofagricultural wastes are found in the South Plainand Moldavia. About 52% of biogas resources arefound in the South Plain and the Western Plain.

In Romanian statistical records, all biomass isgrouped in two categories:• firewood & agriculture waste, which accounts

about 95%; and• wood waste from industrial processes with

about 5%.

From the total „firewood & agriculture waste”it is estimated that only a share of 30% is com-mercial biomass and the share of 70% representsthe contribution of the biomass harvested by theowners from private forests and gardens and ofthe agriculture waste coming from rural house-holds.

Great amounts of wastes are obtained at thecutting areas. According to the thickness of thewastes, wood materials are used for firewood, forproduction of plates from wood fibers, for pro-duction of plates from wood particles and forproduction of cellulose pulp and paper. Up tonow in Romania the industry for production ofpellets and briquettes was not so developed.

According to the strategy of the AutonomousForest Company „Romsilva” the annual harvestof standing timber may reach 18 million m3 bythe year 2020; the largest part is allocated for thedomestic wood and paper industry. The quanti-

Romania General Facts 49

Figure 2.20. The Romanian Solar Radiation Map, Energetica no 6, June 1999

Zone 0 peste 1250 kWh m-2 an-1

Zone I 1250-1150 kWh m-2 an-1

Zone II 1150-1050 kWh m-2 an-1

Zone III 1050-950 kWh m-2 an-1

Zone IV sub 950 kWh m-2 an-1

Page 47: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

ties of wood and wood wastes used as fuel are ex-pected to remain approximately constant untilthe 2020.

Humidity of wood varies to a large extent, re-lated to the moment of cutting, sort of wood, cli-mate, regions etc. So the humidity of brancheshaving diameters of 10-40 mm varies between73-86% for beech and 70 - 96% for fir-tree.

The calorific value of different sorts of woodwastes biomass varies in the limits of 4-7 MJ/kg.

Regarding the crop production structure, thearea under grain cereals has the highest share(66%).

The rest of surfaces are under fodder crops(14%) and technical (industrial) crops (13%).Taken together, these groups account for 93% ofthe entire cultivated area. This reflects the poordiversification of agricultural crops, requiring

measures for the enlargement of agriculturalcrops, especially of those incorporating a highrate of technicality.

Energy Transmission InfrastructurePetroleum PipelinesRomania's 2,796 miles of petroleum pipelines areunder the control of two state-owned compa-nies. There are two distinct crude pipeline sy-stems within Romania.

The first (owned and operated by Petrotrans) isfor transport of crude imported from the BlackSea port of Constanta to inland refineries, whilethe second (owned and operated by Conpet, ajoint stock company presently with 70% owners-hip by the Romanian State Ownership Fund),transports crude from producing fields in sout-hern and eastern Romania to refineries.

50 Romania

Page 48: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

Romania has long advocated building aConstanta-Trieste oil pipeline, which wouldmove Kazakh, oil to Italy by going through theRomanian refinery area and port at Constanta.This pipeline would be especially advantageousto Romania since it would utilize Romanian refi-neries, and Romania already has agreementswith Kazakhstan to refine Kazakh oil.

Natural Gas PipelinesThere are approximately 7,457 miles of gas pipe-lines with a capacity of about 4,767 million cubicfeet per day, or 1,412 Bcf per year. Gas pipelinestransport gas from Greece and Bulgaria at therate of about 388 Bcf per year. Romgaz has had aprogramme to replace some of its pipeline sy-stem. Most of the natural gas imported intoRomania comes from Russia, with some of thisgas arriving via a pipeline through Ukraine.Romania plans to upgrade its 9,000-mile pipelinenetwork and reduce natural gas leakage.

Electricity TransmissionRomania has an extensive interconnected powertransmission and distribution network with anoverall length of about 368,000 miles, and a to-tal transformer capacity of about 172,000 MVA(Megavolt-amperes). The national grid operateson 750 Kilovolt (kV), 400 kV, and 220 kV for

transmission and 20 kV, 10 kV, 6 kV, 1 kV and 0.4kV for distribution.

As a limited member of the InterconnectedPower System-Central Dispatching Organiza-tion, Romania has strong interconnections withUkraine and Bulgaria, substantial interconnec-tions with the former Yugoslavia, and weakerlinks to the Republic of Moldavia and Hungary.

The Romanian grid operator, Transelectrica, iscurrently cooperating with the electric power sy-stems of Greece and the former Yugoslavia (bothUCPTE members) and is working to becomemore fully integrated into the UCPTE system.

Romania's electricity distribution companiesare presently all state-owned, but this will likelysoon change.

ElectricityGeneration and ConsumptionRomania's demand for electricity has beenmostly flat over the past decade, unlike some ofits neighboring countries. The electricity supplyis dominated by thermal-electric sources, withhydroelectric power supplying about one-thirdof the generation. An historical summary of elec-tricity generation and consumption in Romaniais shown in the next table.

Romania General Facts 51

Table 2.8. Electricity Generation and Consumption in Romania, 1990-2001 (in billion kWh)

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001

Net Generation 60.6 53.8 51.5 52.8 52.5 56.6 58.1 54.6 51.1 48.5 49.6 50.9

hydroelectric 10.9 14.1 11.6 12.6 12.9 16.5 15.6 17.3 18.7 18.1 14.6 14.0

nuclear n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a 0.9 5.1 4.9 4.8 5.2 5.0

geo/solar/wind/biomass n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a

conventional thermal 49.7 39.7 39.9 40.1 39.6 40.0 41.6 32.2 27.5 25.6 29.8 31.8

Net Consumption 65.8 55.2 52.1 51.0 49.6 52.9 54.8 51.0 48.0 44.4 45.5 46.1

Imports 9.5 7.0 4.4 3.0 1.8 0.8 2.2 1.0 1.2 1.2 0.8 0.4

Exports 0.0 1.9 0.2 1.1 1.1 0.5 1.4 0.8 0.7 1.9 1.5 1.6

n/a - not applicablenote: generation components may not add to total due to rounding

Source: DOE/EIA

Page 49: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

52 Romania

0

20

40

60

8019

9019

9119

9219

9319

9419

9519

9619

9719

9819

9920

0020

01

Figure 2.21. Electricity Generation and Consumption in Romania, 1990-2001 (in billion kWh)

Net generation Net consumption

Table 2.9. Installed Electricity Generation Capacity in Romania, 1990-2001 (in thousands of MWe)

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001

Hydroelectric 5.58 5.67 5.72 5.69 5.87 5.91 5.87 5.84 5.93 5.93 5.93 6.08

Nuclear n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a 0.71 0.71 0.71 0.71 0.71 0.71

Geothermal/Solar/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00Wind/Biomass

Conventional Thermal 17.32 16.81 16.55 16.58 16.39 16.12 16.28 16.11 15.28 15.56 15.56 15.86

Total Capacity 22.90 22.48 22.27 22.27 22.26 22.04 22.85 22.66 21.91 22.19 22.20 22.65

n/a - not applicablenote: components may not add to total due to rounding

Source: DOE/EIA

Installed CapacityAn historical summary of installed electricity ge-nerating capacity in Romania is shown in thenext table.

Industry OverviewMost of the technology in place in Romania'sthermal plants is from the 1960's and early1970's. Because of the decline in demand, manyplants that have exceeded their operating lifehave been decommissioned or mothballed. Onlythe higher efficiency plants are operated. A num-ber of units are being refurbished to increase

availability and efficiency. Romania is activelyseeking foreign partners in an effort to moder-nize and refurbish their thermal plants.

It is estimated that 8,000 MWe of Romania'sthermal-electric capacity will need to be replacedor rehabilitated by 2010.

The Romanian Government plans to rehabili-tate ten thermal power plants with a combinedcapacity of 1,360 MWe by 2007, at a cost of $460million.

Many of the older power plants, representinga cumulative capacity of 5,900 MWe, will most li-kely be shut down.

Page 50: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

The Romanian Government has announcedthat it would seek $90 million in investments fornew gas turbines and heat recovery boilers fromindependent power producers; there is need fornew power generating facilities in the cities ofBucharest, Cluj, and Targoviste. As much as 100MWe of new capacity could be needed.

Additional challenges faced by Romaniainclude uncollected debt and environmental

problems. Romania hopes to get heavy industriesto pay for electricity consumed and improve itsgeneration efficiency so that it can reduce emis-sions.

Kyoto Protocol's Joint Implementation is animportant mechanism for financing in partenergy efficiency and rehabilitation projects atthermal power plants.

Romania General Facts 53

0 %

50 %

100 %

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

Figure 2.22. Net energy generation 1990-2001 (in billion kWh)

Hydroelectric Nuclear Conventional thermal

Page 51: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

2.7. Transports

Lying in the center of Europe, Romania contribu-tes to the achievement of international econo-mic exchanges between the West and East, Northand South of the continent, between Europe andthe Middle East.

The Carpathian Mountains are crossed by sco-res of railways. Bucharest is Romania's foremostrailway node, with 8 main lines leaving from theCity, most of which are connected to internatio-nal routes. Romania manufactures all kinds ofrailway cars, mainly electric and Diesel-electricengines.

The length of roads that add to the railwayand river transportation routes exceeds 72,800km, with an average density of 30.7 km perhundred km2. As in the railway system, Roma-nia's capital city is the no. 1 road junction, whereroutes which cross the territory extend in everydirection. Some of these roads are connected tomajor European roads, such as E60 running fromHamburg to Constanta, via Oradea and Bucha-rest.

River navigation is practiced on most of theDanube. Ships with a draught exceeding 7 m.can navigate on the maritime Danube down-stream from Braila. Upstream from Braila therenavigate ships with a smaller deadweight and adraught of up to 2-2.5 m.

The Danube-Black Sea Canal and the commis-sioning of the Danube-Main-Rhine Canal contri-buted to the creation of a waterway of Europeanimportance that connects the North Sea to theBlack Sea. The Iron Gates I an II hydropower andnavigation systems, which include a set of locks,facilitate more intense traffic.

Maritime navigation mostly involves big-de-adweight ships. Romania's fleet boasts 568 shipsof all categories, up to 165,000-170,000 tdw.Sixty percent of this country's imports and ex-ports pass the port of Constanta where big shi-pyards exist.

Besides the traditional partners (China,Greece, the Republic of South Africa andBelgium), new major outlets have emerged (theNetherlands, Germany, Sweden, Norway, SouthKorea).

54 Romania

Page 52: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

The internal airlines connect the Capital tomajor cities like: Craiova, Timisoara, Arad,Oradea, Cluj-Napoca. Several international linesconnect Bucharest to Budapest, Prague, Berlin,Copenhagen, Vienna, Frankfurt, Brussels,London, Moscow, New York, as well as to Rome,Sofia, Athens, Istanbul, Tel Aviv, Beijing, Cairo,etc.

Romanian civil aviation is comprised of com-mercial companies and regies autonomous, 17airports, as well as units for the training of per-sonnel. The Romanian fleet is one of the youn-gest in Europe with most of the planes being 3-5years old.

The Government has drawn up a bill of law onmodernizing the country's air and maritimetransports. 13 highways are to be built covering3000 km, and so are railway lines totaling anot-her 1200 km, bridges over the Danube and thePrut and four new airports at Brasov, Galati, AlbaIulia and Bistrita. Meanwhile railways will be up-graded to suit high-speed trains. Several pan-European corridors will cross the territory ofRomania: the Danube connected to the Rhine-Main-Danube Canal, the main railway lines, theWestward highway and the Bucharest-Chisinau-Kiev road.

Regarding freight cars, emphasis goes to thepurchasing of cars for combined traffic, so thatRomania may be connected to the majorEuropean axes of railway transport.

More than 40 maritime cargo ships, aggrega-ting 491,750 tdw under construction inRomanian shipyards. It was estimated that in2010 Romania will need 80 ships totaling4,500,000 tdw. The strategic fleet will make itpossible to maintain the national transport capa-city at 4 million tdw between 2003 and 2007.

2.8. Industry

Industry in Romania was state-owned until thefall of the Communist government in 1989.Privatization of state-owned businesses began in1991. The economy of Romania was dominatedby the big industry, especially in the period

1979-1990, covering almost all the industrialbranches: from those linked with oil extractionup to those representing fine mechanics.

At present the iron and steel industry, ma-chine, and petrochemicals are the country's lea-ding industries. A large investment in petroche-mical plants coincided with a decrease inRomania's reserves and the need to import oil.

The manufacturing industry produces trac-tors, motor vehicles, ships, machine tools, andother equipment. The textile industry is signifi-cant and produces clothing for export. The fore-stry industry supplies material to be used in themanufacture of furniture and pulp and paper.

After a period of profound restructuring,Romanian industry showed a recovery, especiallyin the high-tech domains (automatics, electro-nics and computer industry).

The main areas of favorable economic devel-opment in 2002 were industry (+ 7.2% comparedto 2001) and the construction industry, whichgrew by 6.9% compared to 2001.

Romania General Facts 55

Page 53: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

2.9. Agriculture

Since 1989, state farms have been retained aslarge units, but collective farms have been bro-ken up into individual peasant holdings-alt-hough in the main arable areas they have beenreplaced by loose cooperative associations.Romania faces major problems in improving thequality of farm production (especially livestockbreeding) and is setting up an efficient system formarketing.

The climate and relief of the extensive Ro-manian plains are most favourable to the devel-opment of cereal crops, although these also arefound in the Subcarpathians and in the Tran-sylvanian Basin, where they occupy a high shareof the total arable land. Wheat and corn (maize)are most important, followed by barley, rye, andoats.

Two-row barley is cultivated in the Brasov,Cluj, and Mures areas, where it is used for bre-wing. The tendency is for the acreage of cerealsto fall as yields increase and industrial crops req-uire more land.

Vegetables - peas, beans, and lentils - are plan-ted on a relatively small area. Peas are the predo-minant crop; maturing in time for an early har-vest, they allow a second crop, usually fodderplants, to be grown on the same ground.Vegetable cultivation is particularly markedaround the city of Bucharest, with specializationin the production of early potatoes, tomatoes,onions, cabbages, and green peppers. Similar gar-dening areas are found around major cities.Other important vegetables and technical plantsinclude potatoes, sugar beets, sunflower seeds,and hemp, flax, rape, soybeans, and tobacco.

Romania can be counted among the mainwine-producing countries of Europe. It speciali-zes in the production of high-quality wines,using modern methods; with the growth of thetourist trade, its wines are becoming known andappreciated by a larger international public.Large quantities are exported annually. The ma-jor vineyards are at Odobesti, Panciu, andNicoresti, with 5 or more other major centres.Both white and red wines have won various in-ternational awards.

56 Romania

0

5 0 0 0

1 0 0 0 0

1 5 0 0 0

2 0 0 0 0

2 5 0 0 0

C e r e a l g r a i n s 1 4 1 9 9 , 7 2 2 1 0 7 , 3 1 5 4 5 2 , 7 1 7 0 3 7 , 3 1 0 4 7 7 , 5 1 8 8 7 0 , 9

V e g e ta b l e s 2 7 2 7 , 5 2 4 2 7 , 6 2 8 1 9 , 1 3 0 4 9 , 4 2 5 2 7 , 8 2 8 7 7 , 4

O i l p l a n ts 1 2 1 8 , 7 1 0 0 1 , 6 1 3 1 7 , 6 1 6 0 6 , 6 8 6 8 , 5 1 0 0 5 , 5

P o ta t o e s 3 5 9 1 , 4 3 2 0 6 , 1 3 3 1 9 , 2 3 9 5 7 , 1 3 4 6 9 , 8 3 9 9 7 , 1

1 9 9 6 1 9 9 7 1 9 9 8 1 9 9 9 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 1

Figure 2.23. The dynamics of vegetal agricultural production

Page 54: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

At altitudes between 1,000 and 1,600 feet (300and 500 metres), orchards are found on almostall the hillsides on the fringe of the Carpathians.There is specialization in fruits with a high eco-nomic yield. Orchards have solved problems ofsoil erosion on many unstable hillsides.

Livestock breeding has a very long history inRomania. Sheep can be raised wherever grass isavailable, whether in the Alpine pastures or theDanube plain and valley. About half of the cattlestock is raised for beef, which is an important ex-port.

Romania General Facts 57

0

2 0 0 0

4 0 0 0

6 0 0 0

8 0 0 0

1 0 0 0 0

1 2 0 0 0

c a t t l e 3 4 9 6 3 4 3 5 3 2 3 5 3 1 4 3 3 0 5 1 2 8 7 0 2 8 0 0

i 7 9 6 0 8 2 3 5 7 0 9 7 7 1 9 4 5 8 4 8 4 7 9 7 4 4 4 7

s h e e p 1 0 3 8 1 9 6 6 3 8 9 3 7 8 4 0 9 8 1 2 1 7 6 5 7 7 2 5 1

g o a t s 7 0 5 6 5 4 6 1 0 5 8 5 5 5 8 5 3 8 5 2 5

h o r s e s 8 0 6 8 6 8 2 2 8 3 9 8 5 8 8 6 5 8 6 0

1 9 9 6 1 9 9 7 1 9 9 8 1 9 9 9 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 2 0 0 2

p g s

Figure 2.24. The number of animals in the period 1996-2002

Compared to 1989, a considerable reductionof animal livestock has been registered: by 48%for bovine, 44% for poultry, 36% for pigs and by27% for sheep. Only the number of horses recor-ded an increase by 23%. The reduction mani-fested also for breeding stocks, which is an extre-mely alarming trend. The decrease under theexisting level, which represents a technologicalminimum, can impair the animal breeding gene-tic fund. The average yields in livestock sector arefar from the technical and technological progressrecorded in the European Union Member States.

After 1989 the number of cows and heifers waskept at an acceptable level which linked with anadequate breeding practices in the private led to

the increase of average yield exceeding that ob-tained in the agricultural co-operatives produc-tion units.

The causes that determined the decrease ofpigs number were due especially to the problemsthat the huge complexes for fattening pig raisinghad faced. As these complexes belonged to thestate, the delivery prices have not been liberali-zed for many years and the prices were kept at levels under the production expenditure. Thisoccurred due to the lack of adaptation to the re-quirements of a market economy, plus throughcompetition with the prices of meat obtained inthe private sector and with meat imports at pri-ces which were subsidized in the countries of ori-

Page 55: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

gin. The privatization or the liquidation of theunits for fattening pig raising started after 1996.The industrial complexes of fattening pig raisinghad to become suppliers of piglets for fatteningby the individual farmers and by the small andmedium size farms. These complexes faced pro-blems related to pollution, equipment and shel-ter maintenance. They also have an oversizedadministrative structure, large supply costs andfinancial problems, so that they will hardly be-come competitive without implementing majorinvestments.

The evolution of sheep and goats number haspermanently shown a downward trend. The de-crease in the sheep stock was due to the samecauses as the decrease in the cattle stock. Theslaughtering and the export of live sheep wit-hout any restriction were also the causes that ledto this situation. The private sector maintainedthe animal numbers, especially for milk andmeat production. Regarding the wool produc-tion, it should be mentioned that not all of thestocks were traded and the prices obtained arenot welcome by the sheep breeders.

2.10. Land use and forestry

Land use The most important natural resource of thecountry is represented by its land stock, whichincludes all the land plots (including the areascovered with water), regardless of their use.

From the next figure and table we notice thatthe most important type of soil is represent byagricultural land (62%), followed by forests andother land with forest vegetation (27%). Othertypes of land occupy 11% of the total area of thecountry (waters, ponds, lakes, yards and buil-dings, means of communication, etc).

Agricultural surface has increased in the year2000 by 68,115 ha (0.46%) compared to 1996,while forest and water surface has decreased by233,009 ha (3.48%).

Arable land surface is about 63% of the totalagricultural area, while the rest is represented bypastures (about 23%), hay fields (about 10%), vi-neyards (1.95%) and orchards (1.83%). As a resultof the demographic index growth, during the last65 years arable area per inhabitant has decreasedfrom 0.71 ha (in 1930) to 0.42 ha in 2000. Accor-ding to the ownership structure in 2000, owners-

58 Romania

Page 56: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

Romania General Facts 59

Figure 2.25. Territory according to physical use in Romania

Agricultural lands 62,32%

Forests and other lands with forest vegetation 27,09%

Buildings, yards 2,65%

Roads and Railways 1,63%

Water, ponds and lakes 3,64%

Other surfaces 2,67%

Type of use Surfaceha %

Agricultural lands 14,856,845 62.32

Forests and other land covered by forests 6,457,283 27.09

Buildings and yards 632,856 2.65

Roads and railways 388,147 1.63

Waters, ponds, lakes 867,839 3.64

Other surfaces 636,101 2.67

TOTAL 23,839,071 100

Type of use Year (%)1996 1997 1998 1999 2000

Agricultural land 100 100.00 100.09 99.61 100.46

Forests and other types of land covered with forests 100 99.97 99.73 101.50 96.52

Buildings and yards 100 99.99 100.67 100.19 101.05

Roads and railways 100 100.03 100.67 100.19 101.05

Waters, ponds, lakes 100 99.90 99.28 99.14 97.85

Other areas 100 99.41 101.91 93.96 141.40

Table 2.10. Territory according to physical use in Romania (absolute value)

Table 2.11. Change in territory according to physical use in Romania

Page 57: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

hip is rather significant (10,548,726 ha, of which7,700,359 ha are arable), most of it belonging toindividual households and simple associations(9,157,596 ha, of which 6,301,176 ha are arable),while the rest belongs to companies or local andco-operative funds.

The existing data and the other environmen-tal factors provide an overall picture of the pro-blems caused by desertification in certain areasin Romania.

In certain areas, the soil humidity during thesummer-autumn season has reached the droo-ping coefficient level or levels close to this one. In the period 1990 - 2000 the irrigated areahas decreased from 62.5% to 9.4% of the totalarea. In 2001 about 400,000 ha were irrigatedwithout reaching the target in view.

The main problem facing the areas affected bydrought is that of adopting management policieswhich are adequate for drought forecasts in such

a way as to provide short term measures (thecompensation of the humidity deficit by meansof irrigation, the cultures structure, adjustmentof soil and fertilisation technologies, etc.) andmedium and long term measures (the provisionof water reserves for accumulation lakes, the set-ting up of forest covers for protection, etc.).

ForestryThe Romanian forest area is of approximately6,370 thousand ha of forest, to which approxi-mately 320 thousand ha of land is covered withwood vegetation (forested pastures, alignments,etc.) are added. The national forest stock occu-pies 26.7% of the total area of the country, and isnot uniformly divided in regards to geographicareas (65% mountain, 28% hill, and 7% field).

Due to the physical and geographical featuresof the natural environment (irregular relief, deepslopes, friable lithological sub-stratum, accentua-

60 Romania

Figure 2.26. Areas affected by drought in Romania

Intens drought affected areas Drought affected areas

Page 58: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

ted torrential character, etc.) and to the socialand economic requirements, approximately 52%of the Romanian forests are utilized for specialprotection functions, mainly hydrological, anti-erosion and climate protection.

Taking into account the role that forests playfor the preservation of biodiversity a number ofsteps will be taken in order to recover the ecosy-stems damaged through the ecological re-con-struction of degraded land and the expansion ofareas covered with forests. These steps includethe field area, by creating forest covers, fightingagainst drought and desertification, the increaseof the absorption capacity for carbon dioxideand to provide a greater climate stability.

Romanian forests have a high tourist and hun-ting potential. There are more than 400,000 haof virgin woods in Romania, and their resourcesare very valuable taking into account the naturalbio-diversity.

2.11. Waste management

One of the most important problems regardingenvironmental protection is the waste manage-ment. Due to increased consumption during thelast ten years, but also to old technology and in-stallations, Romania generates millions of tonsof waste products on a yearly basis. There are alsohuge amounts of waste stored in urban and indu-strial waste deposits, which cover a lot of spaceand negatively affect the quality of the environ-ment, especially that of underground and surfacewater.

Mining, industry and municipalities are themain waste generators. The significant decreasein waste generation has is a consequence of theeconomic decline due to decreased output.Municipal waste is constant, but the year 2002witnessed a slight decrease to 7.9 million tonsper year.

Romania General Facts 61

Figure 2.27. The map of forest covered areas (ICAS Bucharest)

Broad-leaved forests Coniferous forests

Page 59: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

Variation in waste composition is a functionof area and season.

In 1989, industry contributed more than 50%to the Gross Domestic Product (GDP), but todaythis weight is 10%. Industrial output dropped 30-50% in 2002 as compared to 1989. The main rea-son is the loss of some of the traditional outlets,as well as the failure to update technology. Allthese contribute to the incapacity to set up acompetitive and developed market economy, ta-king into account the fact that Romania's eco-nomy has accumulated long periods of liquiditycrises.

The privatization of the state-owned industrialsector has led to significant changes regardingownership and increased responsibility involvedin setting out environmental protection issues.Historical pollution is mainly the responsibilityof the state, and currently is emerging in severalfields of activity.

Industrial privatization and modernizationhas to be achieved together with the introduc-tion of best technologies and practices already

used in the EU Member States. Industrial outputgenerates the amount and the composition of in-dustrial waste. The situation may be highlightedas follows:

The main categories of industrially generated waste:• mine barren gangue;• ashes and thermal plant slag;• metal waste;• residual mud;• chemical waste;• iron waste;• construction waste.

Waste generating industrial activities:• the extracting industry;• the energy industry;• metallurgy;• the chemical industry;• machinery and chemical products industry;• the food industry;• crude oil refinery.

62 Romania

Figure 2.28. Waste production structure in 2001

Waste generated by exacting industry 48%

Waste generated by agriculture 8%

Other production waste 6%

Waste generated by processing industry 26%

Waste generated by energy industry 12%

A separate type of output waste is representedby hazardous waste. In Romania, 145 types of ha-zardous waste have been identified out of the237 listed in the European Waste Catalogue.

Over 380 million tons of waste have been ge-nerated during the year 2002 of which approxi-

mately 2% is represented by municipal waste, 7%is waste generated by industry, agriculture, con-struction, and 91% is mining waste.

Municipalities have collected over 7.9 milliontons of waste during the year 2002. The weight ofurban waste of the total of waste generated in

Page 60: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

Romania has increased during the last few years,due to the decrease in industrial and agriculturalwaste.

The separation of household waste in urbanareas is only in an experimental stage in sometowns. That is why, only 7% of the householdwaste made up of recyclable materials (paper,carton, glass, plastic, metals) was recovered for

reutilization, and the rest was eliminatedthrough storage. The burning of the municipalwaste is not so developed in Romania.

Medium index calculated for the municipalwaste is 0.38 tons/inhabitant/year representing1.04 kg/inhabitant/day. The urban populationwith direct access to the waste collecting servicesis around 10 million inhabitants.

Romania General Facts 63

In 2002 the recorded number of urban wastedeposits belonging to towns and municipalitieswas 252. Urban deposits lie on approximately125 hectares of land, which compose 10% of thetotal area used for waste deposits.

Most urban waste deposits are mixed (60%), asthey are used to store both urban waste and usu-ally not dangerous industrial waste.

Approximately 30% of urban deposits are sim-ple household deposits, while 10% are specialpurpose deposits for the treatment of urbanmud. 7% of the total urban waste deposits are si-tuated within built-up area, 87% are situated out-side town limits and 6% are situated on watershores.

Approximately 80% of deposits are situated onrelatively small areas (between 0.5 and 5 hecta-res), the remaining 20% are large urban depositsand lie on areas between 5 to 20 hectares. Thearea occupied by waste in the case of the Glinalandfill in Bucharest is 40 hectares (of the 110hectares used for depositing). 14 ecological ur-ban deposits are functioning in Romania in com-pliance with the EU Directive 1999/31/EC.

During the last few years, Romania has concen-trated on several important facts regarding envi-ronment protection and waste management.Thus, the Ministry of Environment and WaterManagement via its Waste and Dangerous Che-mical Substances Management Division pursues

Components % weight1975-1979 2001-2002 Differences

Paper 6.4 11.1 + 4.7

Glass 2.6 5.1 + 3.5

Plastic 3.3 9.9 + 6.6

Metals 2.9 4.5 + 1.6

Textiles 2.2 5.3 + 3.1

Other organic waste 70.4 50.6 - 19.8

Other non-organic waste 12.2 13.3 + 1.1

Characteristics

Humidity (%) 54.96 40.81 - 14.15

Ashes (%) 20.42 27.92 + 7.5

Inferior caloric power (kcal/kg) 693 1885 + 1192

Superior caloric power (kcal/kg) 1125 2267 + 1142

Table 2.12. Structure, composition and characteristics of waste in Romania

Page 61: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

the harmonization of the Romanian legislationin the field of waste management and has initia-ted the setting up of a national strategy and theimplementation of a National Activity Plan forthe Management of industrial and urban waste.

During the last few years, important regula-tions in the field of waste management havebeen passed. These regulations mainly regardewaste and dangerous waste management, themanagement of used oils, the management ofvarious compounds, the management of recycla-ble industrial waste, batteries and accumulatorswhich contain dangerous substances, the deposi-ting of waste, the burning up of wastes, packagesmanagement and public sanitation services. TheNational Strategy and the National Action Planfor Waste Management were adopted by theGovernment.

The Ministry of Environment and WaterManagement, via the National Institute of Re-

search and Development for Environment Pro-tection - ICIM Bucharest draws up annual reportsregarding waste management in Romania. ICIMand the district Environment Protection Divi-sions conduct annual surveys based on question-naires addressed to both industrial waste produ-cers and urban and industrial waste managers.

The transition from a centralized economy toa free market economy asks for the adoption ofnew financial management practices both in theprivate and in the public sector. Training courseson specific economic issues shall take place in or-der to provide for better waste management.These courses will mainly aim at the drawing upof the necessary business plans in order to claimexternal financing and long-lasting financial ma-nagement in the new market economy. JointImplementation, the Kyoto Protocol flexible me-chanism could have a positive impact in theshort term in the process of closing the old land-

64 Romania

Figure 2.29. The seperation of house-hold waste in urban areas experimentalstage 1975-1979

Paper

Glass

Plastic

Metals

Textiles

Other organic waste

Other non-organic waste

Figure 2.30. The seperation of house-hold waste in urban areas experimentalstage 2001-2002

Paper

Glass

Plastic

Metals

Textiles

Other organic waste

Other non-organic waste

Page 62: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

fills and also could provide economical benefitsfor the owners.

Waste management is one of the beneficiariesof the new partnerships between public and private entities in order to transfer clean techno-logies for the development of facilities such as selective collecting systems, recovery or incine-ration installations, waste deposits.

Bilateral co-operation programmes with diffe-rent international organizations, which aim atthe development of institutional capacity (twin-

ning and training) play a very important part inwaste management. These programmes will beoriented towards waste management with theapproval of both parties involved, and Nationaland international specific objectives will be thenestablished. In this regard Romania is determi-ned to use more effectively all the available exter-nal finances (until Romania will be an EUMember State and afterwards) in order to dealmore efficiently with the issue of waste manage-ment.

Romania General Facts 65

Page 63: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

3.1. Introduction

This chapter presents the results of Romania'sgreenhouse gas emission inventory within theperiod 1989-2001. The inventory was developedin compliance with the „Revised 1996 IPCCGuidelines for National Greenhouse Gas Inven-tories”.

Aggregate emissions of all greenhouse gases(GHGs) calculated in CO2 equivalent were eva-luated using global warming potentials (GWP).The emission inventory includes the followinggases: CO2, CH4, N2O, PFCs, and the precursorsNOX, CO, NMVOC, SO2.

The year established as the base year forRomania is the year 1989, because 1989 best ex-presses, Romania's economic output potential di-rectly connected with the Romania's emissionspotential. Since 1989 the country's economicdecline has resulted in a relevant decrease of theGHG emissions. When the new GHGs were alsodefined (HFC, PFC, SF6), it became necessary todetermine the base year for these gases, too.Romania has not determined yet the base yearfor these gases. It is considered very important toestablish the base year especially for HFCs, whichhave began to be used intensively since the mid-90s as a necessity to replace the Freon type gases.Therefore, 1995 shall be considered as the baseyear for these gases in accordance with the KyotoProtocol's Art. 3.8.

The lack of data concerning new GHGs still re-mains an important problem and it may be pos-sible to solve this for the next submission byasking for data from the companies producing

and importing the gases and not using NationalInstitute for Statistics documents.

In 2003, the Ministry of Environment andWater Management of Romania asked theUNFCCC Secretariat to support the inventory de-velopment process in Romania by organizing an„in-country” review of the 2001 national GHGemissions inventory. This activity took place inthe period from 29 September - 3 October 2003at the ICIM Bucharest headquarters. Taking intoaccount that the 2001 GHG inventory was thefirst one submitted in time to the UNFCCCSecretariat, the main conclusions of this first re-view are very important for the future develop-ment of Romania's GHG inventory system. Thefinal report of the expert review team is availableon the Secretariat's web page.

Inventories of Anthropo-genic Emissions and Sinks of Greenhouse Gases

Page 64: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

3.2. Inventory preparationprocess

Originally, the inventories were prepared by theNational Research and Development Institute forEnvironmental Protection (ICIM-Bucharest) ac-cording to the published IPCC ”Draft IPCCGuidelines for National Greenhouse Gas Inven-tories” methodology, which regulated only thecalculation of the carbon dioxide (CO2), met-hane (CH4) and nitrous oxide (N2O) emissions.Starting with 1996, the updated methodology„Revised 1996 IPCC Guidelines for NationalGreenhouse Gas Inventories” regulated in addi-tion the calculation of perfluorocarbons (PFCs),hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs) and sulphur hexaf-luoride (SF6) emissions.

This new methodology was used by Romaniato calculate the GHG emissions for the 1992-2001 period.

In 2003, the National Research and Deve-lopment Institute for Environmental Protection

(ICIM-Bucharest) prepared the National Inven-tory of Greenhouse Gas Emissions for 2001, incompliance with the Ministry's of Environmentand Water Management contract.

In the institutional framework of ICIM -Bucharest, the CCAMFDP Compartment (Com-partment for Air Quality Control, FluidsMechanics and Pollutants Dispersion) is incharge of preparing the National GHG Inven-tory. The IPCC software was simultaneously usedwith the new working methodology (Good Prac-tice Guidance, Reference Manual, and Guide-book). In addition, the new methodology alsoincludes the calculation of the precursor gasesemissions: NOX, CO, NMVOC and SO2.

In 1999, the UNFCCC Secretariat launched the„Common Reporting Format (CRF)” software,which was used to report the results of the GHGemissions inventory for 2001 and for the 1992-2000 inventories. The GHG emissions invento-ries for all the period 1992-2001 contain the fol-lowing gases: CO2, CH4, N2O, NOX, CO, NMVOC,

68 Romania

Page 65: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

SO2 and PFC (out of the PFCs, only CF4 and C2F6

emission could be estimated from the aluminumproduction). The HFC, SF6 and other PFC emis-sions could not be calculated due to the lack ofstatistical data referring to the halocarbons pro-duction and consumption or due to the confi-dentiality of data.

The trends of these gases emissions calculatedwith the „Revised 1996 IPCC Guidelines” arecompatible with the trends of the same gasesemissions calculated with the CORINAIR metho-dology in 2001.

The necessary information to perform the na-tional GHG inventory was provided by theNational Institute for Statistics in the form of theStatistical Yearbook. The National Research andDevelopment Institute for EnvironmentalProtection (ICIM - Bucharest) provided the sup-plementary data needed. The additional datarequested in the National Institute for Statisticswas provided in the form of „The Energy Balanceand the Structure of the Energetic Equipment”.

The emission factors were taken from the„Revised 1996 IPCC Guidelines”, as for this mo-ment, Romania has no national emission factorsdefined on the basis of some research made onthe existing emission sources. The needs to ela-borate a GHG inventory as close to reality as pos-sible give the reason to start research on nationalemission factors, which is very important for thenext submissions of the national GHG inven-tory.

Considering that the inventories were not cal-culated, for the 1989-1991 period, in accordancewith the „Revised 1996 IPCC Guidelines”, in thesame time with the elaboration of the 2002 GHGinventory, the same team from ICIM will per-form the recalculation of these first 3 years.Fortunately, by May 2004 Romania will submitto the UNFCCC Secretariat the whole time seriesinventories (1989 - 2002) completed.

Key sources analysisThe „Key-source” analysis gives a general over-view on the current situation and indicates themajor GHG emissions sources, which the futureactions must focus on. The main CO2 emissionssources are the fossil fuels combustion in the

„Energy Industries” and the „ManufacturingIndustries and Construction”. The CH4 emissionsare mainly provided by the Energy sector as fugi-tive emissions in the oil and natural gas extrac-tion, processing and distribution and the Wastesector in the „Solid Waste Disposal on Land”.The N2O emissions are provided in principal bythe „Agriculture” sector in the „AgriculturalSoils” and the „Industrial processes” sector in the„Chemical industry” (adipic acid and nitric acidproduction).

Choice of the methodologyThe CO2 emissions estimated in the „Energy”sector were calculated on the basis of two met-hods indicated in the guidelines: „ReferenceApproach” and „Sectoral Approach”. The secondmethod is more detailed needing input data (re-garding the fuels consumption) on each sub-sec-tor (thermal energy production, fuels consump-tion in the processing and construction industry,and transports, fuels consumption in trade, insti-tutional and residential sectors, as well as fuelsconsumption in agriculture and other economicbranches).

Inventories of Anthropogenic Emissions and Sinks of Greenhouse Gases 69

Page 66: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

The GHG emissions calculated by the „Sec-toral Approach” are bigger than those resultedfrom the general „Reference Approach” method.The difference occurs from the fact that the refe-rence method is not as detailed as the sectoralmethod. It uses in the calculation methodologythe fuels production, imports and exports, aswell as the stored amounts of fuels. In the 2001national GHG inventory the difference betweenthe GHG emissions values calculated with thesetwo methods is 2.9%.

The methods used to calculate the GHG emis-sions by sectors are those indicated in the„Revised 1996 IPCC Guidelines” methodology,except for the „Solvent and other product use”sector, where the methodology does not provideany calculation algorithm. In this case, in orderto estimate the emissions in this sector, the CO-RINAIR - 1996 methodology was used, but it doesnot provide any emission factors except forNMVOC. This is the reason for which the onlyemissions calculated in this sector were NMVOC(in fact, the largest part).

Emissions in the „Energy” and „Industrial pro-cesses” sectors were calculated according to thesame Tier 1 methodology. Emissions in the„Industrial processes”, „Agriculture”, „Land UseChange and Forestry” and „Waste” sectors werecalculated using the indicated methodology.

QA/QCThe GHG emissions inventories for the wholeperiod 1992 - 2001 have been archived in theICIM - Bucharest database. The inventories forthe period 1989 - 1991 were verified some timeago by an international specialized institution(calculations were performed on a contract basissigned with the Environmental ProtectionAgency - U.S.A.). Due to the delay in providingand gathering the statistical data and the dead-line for submitting the inventory there was notime left for an appropriate quality control of theinventory. For the following submissions it is im-portant to have a quality control before submit-ting the inventories to the UNFCCC Secretariat,taking also into account the recommendationsof the reviewing process.

Uncertainties calculationThe emission factors used are those recommen-ded in the calculation methodology for theEastern European countries, thus the uncertain-ties values are the specified ones presented in the„Revised 1996 IPCC Guidelines”. The NationalInstitute for Statistics didn't provide any infor-mation concerning the uncertainty assessmentof the input data.

International bunker fuels Romania included emissions from internationalcivil aviation and navigation under the respec-tive domestic source categories. No distinctionwas made between domestic and internationalfuel use because of the lack of data, and all emis-sions were included in the national total. In thisregard, Romania is applying a conservative ap-proach, since the national total is overestimated.Romania will try to report emissions from bun-ker fuels separately for the next submissions andto separate domestic and international bunkersemissions in civil aviation. Unfortunately, formarine bunkers no information exists at this moment in Romania or in the IEA and Eurostatsources.

70 Romania

Page 67: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

3.3. Trends in total GHG emissions

For the trend analysis the GHG emissions resul-ted from each sector were converted into CO2 eq-uivalent according to the IPCC's GWP. The nextfigure presents the GHG net emissions variationstarting with the base year (1989) to the last yearfor which the inventory was completed, takinginto account and subtracting the sinks resultingfrom the development process of the trees.

The first 3 years inventories (1989, 1990 and1991) were not recalculated yet, based on thenew „Revised 1996 IPCC Guidelines” and the re-vised values will be presented in the next submis-sion.

There are some small changes in the total CO2

equivalent net emissions in the period 1989 -2000, comparing with the NIR submitted in2002, due to the completion of the CRF's „Table10 - Emissions Trends” for the first time in 2003.

Inventories of Anthropogenic Emissions and Sinks of Greenhouse Gases 71

1 3 9 . 1 7 1

1 4 7 , 5 7 61 4 6 , 4 6 3

1 6 9 , 3 4 1

1 9 3 , 7 6 21 9 9 , 5 1 0

2 0 4 , 6 7 2

1 8 1 , 6 0 21 7 2 , 6 8 7

2 2 2 . 8 6 4

2 6 1 , 3 5 5

1 8 8 , 5 9 0

1 9 9 , 6 2 8

0

5 0 0 0 0

1 0 0 0 0 0

1 5 0 0 0 0

2 0 0 0 0 0

2 5 0 0 0 0

3 0 0 0 0 0

1 9 8 9 1 9 9 0 1 9 9 1 1 9 9 2 1 9 9 3 1 9 9 4 1 9 9 5 1 9 9 6 1 9 9 7 1 9 9 8 1 9 9 9 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 1

Figure 3.1. Total net greenhouse gas emissions in CO2 equivalent (with CO2 removals)

Calculated with the IPCC 94 draft guidelines Calculated with the IPCC 96 revised guidelines

The decrease of total GHG emissions over theperiod 1989-2001 was mainly due to a strongdecline of the economy in this period of transi-tion to a market economy, plus startup and ope-ration of the first reactor at the Cernavoda nuc-lear power plant (1996).

An unusual increase of the total annual emis-sions was recorded in 1995 compared to the pre-

vious year, which was the worst economical yearin the Romanian transition (1994); 1995 is con-sidered a special year in which consumption inthe energy sector and the production in variousindustrial branches increased significantly.

In 2001 a slight decrease of the total GHGemissions was recorded as compared with 2000,this increase is insignificant when is compared to

Page 68: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

the base year total GHG emissions. Based onthese observations, it is very clear that Romaniawill meet the commitments to reduce GHG emis-sions in the Kyoto Protocol's first commitment

period 2008-2012, as the trend for the period1989-2001 shows a decrease of 46.8% in theoverall GHG emissions.

72 Romania

Year 1989 2001

Total net GHG emissions (Gg) 261,355 139,171

- 50 .0 0 0

0

50 .0 0 0

1 00 .0 0 0

1 50 .0 0 0

2 00 .0 0 0

2 50 .0 0 0

3 00 .0 0 0

1 98 9 1 99 0 1 9 91 1 9 9 2 19 9 3 1 99 4 1 99 5 1 9 96 1 9 9 7 19 9 8 19 9 9 2 00 0 2 0 01

Energy Industrial processes Agriculture Waste Land use change and forestry

Figure 3.2. Various sector's contribution to the GHG emissions (Gg CO2 eq.)

Important changes regarding the GHG emissionsare not expected to occur in the first commit-ment period, but a geometrical increase of themcould be noticed. As some model assessments

presented, Romania's net GHG emissions in the2008 - 2012 period could be between 175,000 -200,000 Gg CO2 equivalent, if the pace of theeconomic growth increases.

In the base year 1989, 83% of the GHG emissionswere provided by the „Energy” sector. This sec-tor's contribution decreased in 2001 to 79%, stillremaining the main polluting sector in theRomanian economy.

In the „Industrial processes” sector, the biggestamount of the CO2 emissions occurred in the„Mineral products” sub-sector. The emissions

from the ferrous and non-ferrous metals produc-tion, the lime and cement production, the inor-ganic chemical compounds production (sulphu-ric acid, sodium carbonate, sodium hydroxide),organic chemical compounds (ethylene, propy-lene, dichlorethane, PVC, polystyrene, formalde-hyde, ethyl benzene, carbon black, cellulose andpaper) are also included in this sector.

Table 3.1. Total net GHG emissions in Romania

Page 69: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

The total GHG emissions, converted into CO2

equivalent, provided by the non-burning indu-strial processes represented some 6.4% of the to-tal 1989 GHG emissions and in 2001 they de-creased slightly to 6.3% of the total GHG

emis-sions. The total GHG emissions providedby the „Industrial processes” sector in 2001 aresmaller than those recorded in 2000, due mainlyto the lack of data regarding these activities.

Inventories of Anthropogenic Emissions and Sinks of Greenhouse Gases 73

0

50 .00 0

1 00 .00 0

1 50 .00 0

2 00 .00 0

2 50 .00 0

1 98 9 1 9 90 19 9 1 1 99 2 19 9 3 1 99 4 1 9 95 1 99 6 1 9 97 19 9 8 1 99 9 2 0 00 2 00 1

CO2 CH4 N2O PFC

Figure 3.3. GHG emissions variation by gas over 1989-2001

The difference between the 1989-1991 and1992-2001 periods regarding the total GHGemissions is due to the different ways of calcula-ting the inventories.

The annual CH4 and N2O emissions vary rela-tively constantly during the entire period consi-dered. The PFC emissions were calculated star-ting with 1992. In this moment, these emissionsare not so relevant, because of the lack of infor-mation regarding the halocarbons productionand consumption. The HFC, SF6 and the rest ofthe PFC could not be estimated due to the lack ofdata necessary to the calculation, to the limitedaccess to the information regarding the halocar-bons production, consumption and imports, andto the confidentiality of some information.

The inventories prepared until now are focu-sing on the GHGs in the Kyoto Protocol's AnnexA, which have the most important effect on theglobal warming. In the last years, the „precursor”gases were, as well, included in the inven-tory. These gases (CO, NOX and NMVOC) with effect on the global warming are helping the de-velopment of the tropospheric ozone and aremajor contributors in the aerosols formationprocess.

The annual GHG emissions (gross and netemissions), converted into CO2 equivalent, arepresented in the next tables. The CO2 removal effect in the forests was considered in order to determine the net emissions and 1989 was takenas the base year.

Page 70: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

74 Romania

YearGas

Table 3.2. Greenhouse gas emissions (a. CO2 equivalent Gg) (b. Gg)

1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994

CO2 194,826 172,510 135,660 153,875 145,798 144,894

CH4 48,965.9 41,031.1 36,059.4 44,950.3 42,944.5 39,309.6

N2O 20,488.5 14,969.0 7,557.6 8,187.4 8,269.2 6,074.1

PFC - - - 445.2 435.5 451.7

CO2 removals - 2,925.3 - 5,645.9 - 6,590.1 - 7,815.4 - 8,844.0 - 9,119.6

Net emissions 261,355 222,864 173,687 199,628 188,590 181,602

% of 1989 100 85 66 76 72 69

Total emissions 264,280 228,510 179,277 207,457 197,447 190,729

% of 1989 100 86 68 78 75 72

1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994

Net CO2 191,901 166,864 129,070 146,045 136,941 135,767

CH4 2,332 1,954 1,717 2,140 2,045 1,872

N2O 66.1 48.3 24.4 26.4 26.7 19.6

YearGas

Table 3.3. Greenhouse gas emissions by sectors and gases in 2001 (Gg)

Categories of CO2 CH4 N2O HFC PFC* SF6 NOX CO NMVOC SO2

sources

Emission/ 103427 1360 20.97 677.5 404.8 1344.2 301.6 1062.1Removals total

1. Energy 104812 565.7 1.32 - 393.1 1086.9 182.1 1055

2. Industrial 7646 0.88 3.28 677.5 2.43 35.18 12.3 7.13processes

3.Solvent and - - - - - - 107.2 -other productuse

4.Agriculture - 348.4 15.3 - 9.19 218.4 - -

5.Land-use - 9031 0.42 - - 0.11 3.71 - -change andforestry

6.Waste - 444.8 1.06 - - - - -

* only PFC emissions are in CO2 equivalent

Page 71: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

The economic collapse after 1989 meant amajor decline in the industrial production resul-ting in a similar decrease of the GHG emissions.The emissions values remained significantly un-der the reference level. Based on this observationand on some projections, Romania will be able tomeet its Kyoto Protocol commitment regardingthe 8% GHG emissions reduction.

The total value of the gross GHG emissions in2001 is 148,202.41 Gg CO2 equivalent. The„Energy” sector accounted for the largest part ofthe GHG emissions and within it the biggestshare belonged to the „Energy Industries” sub-sector.

„Agriculture” sector is the main N2O source,while CH4 comes mainly from the uncontrolledemissions of the oil and natural gas extractionand distribution, and also from the „Waste” sec-tor.

Information linked to the sources of produ-cing the fluorine compounds is incomplete. Itshould be considered that the single PFCs sourceis the aluminum industry.

Inventories of Anthropogenic Emissions and Sinks of Greenhouse Gases 75

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001

161,892 158,301 155,349 138,049 115,403 112,150 112,459

42,204.8 41,245.9 38,330.3 35,113.4 33,923.4 34,735.3 28,565.2

8,076.9 7,233.5 7,188.9 5,595.9 5,434.6 8,193.3 6,500.7

532.4 535.7 606.6 651.6 648.3 671.1 677.6

- 8,027.9 - 7,798.7 - 7,707.9 - 10,063 - 8,939.4 - 8,165.0 - 9,022.6

204,672 199,510 193,762 169,341 146,463 147,575 139,171

78 76 74 65 56 56 53

212,706 207,316 201,475 179,410 155,409 155,749 148,202

80 78 76 68 59 59 56

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001

153,858 150,495 147,636 127,980 106,457 103,976 103,427

2,010 1,964 1,825 1,672 1,615 1,654 1,360

26.1 23.3 23.2 18.1 17.5 26.4 21.0

Page 72: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

The net GHG emissions converted into CO2

equivalent in 2001 (139,170.96 Gg) represented53.2% of the total net GHG emissions in the baseyear 1989 (261,355.22 Gg).

This decrease is mainly due to:∞ the decline of the economic activity; ∞ the bringing into operation of the first reactor

at the Cernavoda nuclear power plant; ∞ the failure of some production units and the

rehabilitation and modernization of some oldtechnologies with reduced energy efficiency,in some industrial activities.

3.4. Energy sector

The „Energy” sector represents the biggest sharein the total GHG emissions. The energy sectoremissions decreased in the whole period compa-red with the base year 1989. A relevant increaseof the emissions was recorded in 1995, comparedto the previous year, due to the stock output in-crease.

In the „Energy” sector, the biggest percentageof the overall GHG emissions (117,104.27 GgCO2 equivalent), resulted mainly from the fossilfuels combustion, is accounted by the CO2 emis-sions and the most important sub-sector regar-ding the GHG emissions in the 2001 inventory isthe „Energy Industries”.

76 Romania

Table 3.4. GHG emissions by gas in 2001

GHG CO2 equivalent (Gg) Level Assessment Cumulative Total

CO2 112,458.91 0.759 0.759

CH4 28,565.25 0.193 0.952

N2O 6500.70 0.043 0.995

PFC 677.55 0.004 1.000

HFC 0 0 0

SF6 0 0 0

Total 148,202.41 1

Table 3.5. GHG emissions by sector in 2001

Sector CO2 equivalent (Gg) Level Assessment Cumulative Total

1. Energy 117,104.27 0.790 0.790

2. Industrial Processes 9,359.47 0.063 0.853

3. Solvent and other 0 0 0product use

4. Agriculture 12,060.24 0.081 0.934

5. Land-use change 0 0 0and forestry

6. Waste 9,669.61 0.065 1.000

Total 148,202.41 1

Page 73: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

Inventories of Anthropogenic Emissions and Sinks of Greenhouse Gases 77

0

5 0 . 0 0 0

1 0 0 . 0 0 0

1 5 0 . 0 0 0

2 0 0 . 0 0 0

2 5 0 . 0 0 0

1 9 8 9 1 9 9 0 1 9 9 1 1 9 9 2 1 9 9 3 1 9 9 4 1 9 9 5 1 9 9 6 1 9 9 7 1 9 9 8 1 9 9 9 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 1

Figure 3.4. GHG emissions from the „Energy” sector 1989-2001

0

10.000

20.000

30.000

40.000

50.000

60.000

70.000

80.000

90.000

100.000

1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001

Figure 3.5. Various sub-sectors contribution to the CO2 emissions in the „Energy” sector over 1989-2001

Energy industries

Transport

Manufacturing industries and construction

Other sectors (commercial, residential, agriculture)

The difference between the inventories from theperiods 1989-1991 and 1992-2001 regarding theCO2 emissions from the energy sector is due to thevarious methodologies used for the emissions cal-

culation. The „Revised 1996 IPCC Guidelines”was used as calculation methodology for the se-cond period, but for the first one the values consi-dered were calculated with the old methodology.

CO

2(G

g)C

O2(G

g)

Page 74: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

As presented in the above table, the „EnergyIndustries” and the „Manufacturing Industriesand Construction” sub-sectors are the main key-sources of the GHG emissions in the „Energy”sector. The fuels consumption in these sectorswere taken from the „The Energy Balance andthe Structure of the Energetic Equipment”, a do-

cument published annually by the NationalInstitute for Statistics of Romania.

The CO2 emissions were estimated in accor-dance with both methodologies indicated (the„Reference Approach” and the „Sectoral Ap-proach”) and the emission factors used are thoseindicated in the „Revised 1996 IPCC Guidelines”.

78 Romania

CO2 CH4 N2O

Total GHG emissions (A + B) 104,812.28 11,879.56 410.26

A. Fossil fuels combustion 104,812.28 619.48 410.26

1. Energy industry 62,179.56 22.37 209.53

2. Manufacturing industries and construction 23,715.39 44.67 62.63

3. Transports 11,625.35 38.02 33.00

4. Other sectors 7,291.97 514.42 105.11

B. Fugitive emissions 0 11,260.09 0

1. Solid fuels 0 3,331.65 0

2. Liquid and gaseous fuels 0 7,928.44 0

Table 3.6. GHG emissions in the „Energy” sector (year 2001) in CO2 equivalent

Year Gas

E n e r g y

In d u s t r ie sM a n u f a c tu r in g

In d u s t r i e sT r a n s p o r t

O t h e r s e c to r s

(c o m m e r c i a l ,

r e s id e n t ia l ,

a g r i c u l t u r e )

0

1 0

2 0

3 0

4 0

50

60

Figure 3.6. The various sub-sectors contribution (%) to the CO2 emissions in the „Energy” sector in 2001

Page 75: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

As the above figure shows, 59% of the totalCO2 emissions in the „Energy” sector comes fromthe „Energy Industries” (due to the importantconsumption of fuels used for electricity andheat production), 23% from the „ManufacturingIndustries and Construction” (due to the largeamounts of oil that are being refined), 11% from„Transport” and the rest of 7% from other sec-tors. Of these other sectors, the biggest part is re-presented by the „Residential” sector emissions(74%), followed by the emissions from the„Commercial/Institutional” sector with 25% and„Agriculture/Forestry” sector with 1%.

Fugitive emissionsFossil fuels extraction and distribution results ina large amount of methane emissions. The emis-

sions in this activity are so large because both theamounts of produced fuel and imported fuel areconsidered.

The emission factors used are those indicatedin the „Revised 1996 IPCC Guidelines”. The met-hane fugitive emissions decreased compared to1989 levels, both due to the quality improve-ment in the fuels distribution systems and to theproduction decline.

The N2O emissions in the energy sector resultonly from the fuel combustion activities, most ofthem in the „Energy Industries” sub-sector.Fugitive emissions have been decreased almostthree times, mainly due to the fuel consumptiondecrease, and also due to the modernization ofthe natural gas distribution systems (losses re-duction).

Inventories of Anthropogenic Emissions and Sinks of Greenhouse Gases 79

0

2 0 0

4 0 0

6 0 0

8 0 0

1 .0 0 0

1 .2 0 0

1 .4 0 0

1 .6 0 0

1 9 89 1 9 90 19 9 1 19 9 2 1 99 3 1 9 94 1 9 95 19 9 6 1 99 7 1 99 8 1 9 99 2 0 0 0 20 0 1

Figure 3.7. Fugitive CH4 emissions from fuels 1989-2001

3.5. Industrial Processes sector

The GHG emissions in this sector are mostly pro-vided by the „Mineral Products” sub-sector.Industrial processes have been drastically decrea-sed during the period 1989 -2001 due to the post-revolution social and economic problems (stri-

kes, lack of legislation, etc.). The decline of theproduction activities recorded in the last yearsled to the emissions decrease in this sector as it isshown in the next figure.

The „Mineral Products” sub-sector in Romaniaincludes the emissions from the cement and limeindustry, the production and consumption ofdolomite and limestone, and the soda ash pro-

CH

4(G

g)

Page 76: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

duction. The National Institute for Statistics pro-vided the input data and the emission factorsused are those indicated at the respective sub-sectors in the „Revised 1996 IPCC Guidelines”.

In the „Chemical Industry” sub-sector theemissions from the halocarbons production and

consumption could not be estimated due to thelack of necessary input data (these data are notavailable now, they are to be obtained). The CO2,CH4 and N2O emissions from the carbide produc-tion, the production of ammonia, nitric acid,adipic acid and other products (smoke black,

80 Romania

Table 3.7. Greenhouse gas emissions from the „Industrial Processes” sector, in CO2 equivalent (Gg)

Year 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994

Mineral 9223.0 7098.4 5169.4 5282.5 5116.2 4844.7Products

Chemical 7592.6 4034.9 2004.8 4950.8 4790.7 4938.8Industry

Metal 244.9 171.6 123.9 3524.8 3505.1 3774.0Production

Other 85.5 71.7 50.8 0 0 0Production

Total 17149.7 11377.6 7347.6 13757.6 13411.2 13557.5

0

1.000

2.000

3.000

4.000

5.000

6.000

7.000

8.000

9.000

10.000

1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001

Figure 3.8. Various sub-sectors contribution to the CO2 emissions in the „Industrial Pro-cesses” sector

Mineral Products Chemical Industry Metal Production Other Production

CO

2Eq

uiva

lent

(G

g)

Page 77: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

ethylene and methanol) were estimated in thissub-sector. The N2O emissions from the „Indu-strial processes” sector resulted from the nitricacid and adipic acid production.

The only PFCs emissions included in the in-ventory were estimated from the aluminum pro-duction in the „Metal Production” sub-sector.Considering this fact, PFCs emissions values arenot so important.

The most important industrial sources of CO2

emissions in Romania are cement and lime pro-duction. The CO2 emissions were calculated fromthe production of cement, lime, ferrous and nonferrous metals, some inorganic chemicals (hy-drochloric acid, sulfuric acid, sodium carbonate,

sodium hydroxide) some organic chemicals (ethylene, propylene, dichlorethane, vinyl chlo-ride, polyethylene, PVC, polystyrene, SBR, ABS,resins, formaldehyde, ethyl benzene) and wood,pulp and other products.

Methane emissions from the „Industrial pro-cesses” sector are not significant (less than 1 per-cent of the overall GHG emissions in 2001).During the last decade N2O emission from the„Industrial processes” sector has been decreasedby almost 89 percent.

Solvent and other product useThe „Solvent and Other Product Use” sector in-cludes emissions resulted from the paint applica-

Inventories of Anthropogenic Emissions and Sinks of Greenhouse Gases 81

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001

4831.0 5459.6 5213.4 5204.9 4875.4 4798.6 5483.8

4819.3 4756.6 3044.2 1135.0 1872.4 2903.3 2921.8

4314.2 4103.2 4407.9 4242.5 3138.1 3441.9 953.97

0 0 0 0 0 0 0

13964.5 14319.4 12665.5 10582.4 9885.9 11145.1 9359.5

Table 3.8. NMVOC emissions provided by the „Solvent and Other Product Use” sector

SOURCE NMVOC (Gg)

1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001

Paint Application 16.73 16.44 13.27 14.13 12.69 10.63 10.09 9.8 10.48 13.30

Degreasing and 9.95 9.95 9.94 9.93 9.91 9.89 9.88 9.87 9.87 40.36Dry Cleaning

Chemical Products, 5.45 5.63 7.00 8.75 8.68 8.6 2.22 8.01 8.21 8.09Manufacture and Processing

Other Solvents 49.64 49.92 49.10 49.58 49.72 49.84 51.25 51.68 51.64 45.45Use

TOTAL 81.7 81.9 79.3 82.3 81.0 78.9 73.4 79.3 80.2 107.2

Page 78: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

tion and other products use. The NationalInstitute for Statistics provided the necessary in-put data for the emissions calculation.

As the IPCC methodology does not indicateany calculation algorithm of the emissions resul-ted from this sector, the CORINAIR 1996 metho-dology was used, but it provides only the emis-sion factors for NMVOC. This is why for thissector only NMVOC emissions were calculated.In fact, this type of emissions represents the big-gest part in the „Solvent and Other Product Use”sector. At this moment, the GHG emissions inthis sector cannot be approximated, due to thelack of statistical data from the National Institutefor Statistics. The emissions are calculated onlyfor the period 1992 - 2001. The NMVOC emis-sion values are presented in the next table.

3.6. Agriculture sector

The agricultural sector in Romania has changeddrastically during the last decade. Privatizationhas been almost completed. Poverty, new lan-downers' lack of practice, unattractive living con-

ditions in the rural area, and natural calamitiescould be considered as the reasons for the seriousproduction cut in this sector and as a conseq-uence, the methane emissions decreased drama-tically.

The emission values from transports and otherequipment and installations used in agricultureare included in the „Energy” sector. This sectorcontains the emissions from domestic livestockenteric fermentation, animal waste managementsystems, rice cultivation and field burning ofagricultural residues.

The CH4 emissions in the „Agriculture” sectorAgriculture in Romania suffered several impor-tant changes in the last decade. Large decrease ofthe methane emissions in the „Agriculture” sec-tor could be explained by the agricultural pro-duction decline (animal breeding sector).Statistical data provided by the National Insti-tute for Statistics showed a relevant livestock decrease, as well as an agricultural productiondecrease.

As presented in the next figure, the agriculturemethane emissions in 2001 decreased almost to

82 Romania

Page 79: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

half of the similar emissions recorded in the baseyear (42% decrease). An insignificant decrease ofthe methane emissions was recorded in 2001compared to 2000 levels.

The trend shows a slowly decrease after 1992,with a slight increase in 1995. Because the met-hane emissions are mainly the result of domestic

livestock, the shape of the curves shows the si-tuation of this sector in Romania. The rice culti-vation - an important sub-sector in the past - hasbeen reduced significantly compared to the baseyear 1989. The emissions values for the field bur-ning of agricultural residues were calculated, butthey are small.

Inventories of Anthropogenic Emissions and Sinks of Greenhouse Gases 83

„Enteric Fermentation” is the main source ofmethane emissions in the „Agriculture” sector.The National Institute for Statistics provided theinput data on the domestic livestock and theemission factors used are those indicated in the„Revised 1996 IPCC Guidelines” methodology.

Regarding the animal waste management sy-stems, the same revised guidelines indicate seve-ral ways to calculate the manure managementemissions, which were adapted to the conditionsin Romania, depending on the number of farmbreed animals or on the small owners domestic

livestock. The classification of animals by stateproperty and private property is found in theStatistical Yearbook of Romania 2001 - annualpublication.

Due to the changes in methodology calcula-tion for the „Rice Cultivation” sector, the valuesfor CH4 emissions in the 1992 - 2000 period sub-mitted in 2002 were changed, and they will bereflected in the future recalculations of this pe-riod's inventories. The methane emissions provi-ded by the rice cultivation were calculated byusing the data in the National Institute for

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001

Figure 3.9. Various sub-sectors contribution to the methane emissions in „Agriculture” for 1989-2001

Enteric Fermentation

Rice Cultivation

Manure Management

Field Burning of Agricultural Residues

CH

4(G

g)

Page 80: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

Statistics Yearbooks and the emission factorsfrom „Revised 1996 IPCC Guidelines”.

The field burning of agricultural residues is notcommonly used in Romania and there is also alack of data for this activity. Using the handbook,emissions were calculated from the annual pro-duction and resulted in the amount of the bio-mass burnt.

N2O emissions in the Agriculture sector The „Agriculture” sector has the most important„contribution” to the N2O emission meaning 73percent of the whole N2O emission in the year2001. The N2O emissions values are presented inthe next table. The N2O emissions are mainlyprovided by fertilizer use the agricultural fields.

The general trend shows a relevant decreaseover the period 1989-2001 with a significant in-crease recorded in 2000 compared to 1999. Thisincrease could be explained through the atten-tion that the Romanian Government has beengiven to this sector through the funds allocatedfor increasing the overall agricultural produc-tion.

The emissions values for the period 1989-1991were calculated with the „Draft IPCC Guide-lines” and will be recalculated.

The largest part of the N2O emissions in the„Agriculture” sector are mainly provided by theagricultural soils fertilization and the rest by theanimal waste management systems and fieldburning of agricultural residues.

84 Romania

Table 3.9. Methane emissions in the Agriculture sector over the 1989-2001 period (Gg)

Year 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994

Enteric 519.85 453.81 399.13 391.13 331.58 327.17fermentation

Manure 80.53 77.48 69.35 149.73 126.53 125.52management

Rice cultivation 23.73 19.18 10.38 6.56 4.80 1.84

Field burning 10.690 9.804 9.582 6.472 8.414 9.713of agriculturalresidues

Table 3.10. N2O emissions in the „Agriculture” sector over the period 1989-2001

Greenhousegas sources 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994

Agriculture 25.29 20.75 6.73 16.96 17.26 8.81

EntericFermentation

Manure 0.187 0.178 0.103Management

Rice Cultivation

Agricultural 25.05 20.53 6.51 16.50 16.79 8.38Soils

Field Burning 0.24 0.22 0.22 0.28 0.29 0.33of AgriculturalResidues

Page 81: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

3.7. Land Use Change andForestry sector

In Romania, the forest areas cover about 6.2 mil-lion hectares, which means about 26% of the to-tal country area and a value of the forests/inha-bitant indicator of about 0.28 hectares/inha-bitant. The next table presents the variation ofCO2 removals (net sinks) over the period 1989-2001.

The main factors influencing CO2 removals inforests are the afforested area, the annual growthrate and the commercial harvest cuttings rate.

As shown in the next figure, there is a stronginfluence between the commercial harvest cut-tings and the amount of CO2 absorbed by the fo-

rests (net sinks). For the period 1989-1991 therewas no available data for commercial harvest.

Commercial harvest cuttings and firewoodwere taken into account for estimating the CO2

removals in the forests. The biggest amount ofCO2 removals was recorded in 1998, after whicha decrease was observed in 1999 and 2000, as aresult of the increase of the commercial harvestcuttings. In 2001 a decrease of harvest cuttingswas observed which meant an increase of CO2

removals comparing with the previous year.The grated cuttings (afforested areas that tur-

ned into grasslands) were calculated for the fo-rests and grasslands conversion sub-sector.

After the relevant decrease in 1998, the follo-wing years recorded a relatively strong increase

Inventories of Anthropogenic Emissions and Sinks of Greenhouse Gases 85

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001

318.34 314.09 306.64 288.19 268.65 270.80 255.23

134.98 114.80 115.64 104.21 103.12 92.56 82.33

2.48 3.40 1.60 0.68 0.64 0.56 0.48

10.803 6.816 11.214 8.242 8.379 6.054 10.381

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001

16.74 14.42 15.33 14.13 13.36 21.21 15.30

0.138 0.103 0.154 0.099 0.118 0.51 0.15

16.24 14.03 14.79 13.64 12.86 20.5 14.9

0.36 0.28 0.39 0.39 0.38 0.21 0.25

Page 82: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

of grated cuttings, which meant a decrease ofCO2 removals. The increase of CO2 removals in2001 could be compared with the similar increa-ses from 1994 and 1998.

Sinks were calculated by using the data fromthe National Institute for Statistics Yearbooks,additional data from the Forest Research andDevelopment Institute (ICAS) and the emissionfactors taken from the „Revised 1996 IPCCGuidelines”. Due to the lack of input data, whichcouldn't be taken from the National Institute forStatistics, the emissions from soils couldn't beestimated in this sector.

3.8. Waste sector

The „Waste” sector is an important methaneemissions source in Romania. The methaneemissions from this source represents approxi-mately 10% of the total CH4 emissions recordedin 1989 and 33% in 2001, due to the various con-tributions of other sectors and the increase ofmunicipal solid waste disposal. Land filling is byfar the most common technology applied inRomania, for the time being.

Municipal waste management systems andwastewater treatment provide the biggest

86 Romania

Table 3.11. The CO2 removals (net sinks) variation in the period 1989-2001 (Gg)

Year 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994

Net CO2 2925 5646 6590 7830 8857 9127removals

Commercial - - - 8487 7921 7555harvest

0

2,00 0

4,00 0

6,00 0

8,00 0

1 0,00 0

1 2,00 0

19 8 9 19 9 0 19 9 1 19 9 2 1 9 9 3 1 9 9 4 1 9 95 1 9 96 1 9 97 1 99 8 1 99 9 20 0 0 20 0 1

5 ,00 0

5 ,50 0

6 ,00 0

6 ,50 0

7 ,00 0

7 ,50 0

8 ,00 0

8 ,50 0

9 ,00 0

Figure 3.10. Relation between commercial harvest cuttings and CO2 removals (net sinks)

CO2 removals Commercial harvest

CO

2(G

g)

Page 83: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

amount of emissions in this sector. Waste incine-ration it is not applied on a large scale inRomania and this sector's GHG emissions werenot calculated due to the lack of data. The largedifference between the inventories from the pe-riods 1989-1991 and 1992-2001 is mostly due tothe different IPCC methodology used. The firstthree inventories (1989-1991) will be recalcula-ted for the next submission.

In this sector, the largest contributors for met-hane emissions are the municipal waste landfills.Urban solid waste is divided in two categories:waste disposed in fitted areas and waste deposi-

ted in unfitted areas (landfills >5m and pits<5m).

The relevant decrease occurred in 2001, com-pared with the same sector's emissions in 2000 isdue to the fact that in 2001 the National Institutefor Statistics didn't provide data concerning thegenerated quantity of municipal solid waste. Inthis case, the emissions in this sub-sector wereestimated based upon the indicated methodo-logy of the „Revised 1996 IPCC Guidelines”,using the number of population that benefitfrom waste collection and transfer to SWDS(Solid Waste Disposal Sites) and the MSW dispo-

Inventories of Anthropogenic Emissions and Sinks of Greenhouse Gases 87

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001

8034 7805 7713 10069 8946 8174 9022

7894 8472 8508 7178 7804 8216 7733

0

1 0 0

2 0 0

3 0 0

4 0 0

5 0 0

6 0 0

7 0 0

1 9 8 9 1 9 9 0 1 9 9 1 1 9 9 2 1 9 9 3 1 9 9 4 1 9 9 5 1 9 9 6 1 9 9 7 1 9 9 8 1 9 9 9 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 1

Figure 3.11. Methane emissions from the municipal solid waste disposal and wastewatertreatment in the period 1989-2001

Solid wsaste Disposal on Land Wastewater Handling

CH

4(G

g)

Page 84: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

sal rate recommended for Eastern Europeancountries.

The emissions from wastewater treatmentwere estimated considering the BOD (Oxygenbiochemical consumption) value, provided bythe population connected to the sewage system,as well as the treatment stations efficiency.

According to the statistical data provided, inRomania from 90 m3/second wastewater dischar-ged in the sewage system, only 42 m3/second isbiologically treated.

The BOD value of 54 grams/inhabitant/day isthe standard value for the assessment of the eq-uivalent inhabitants' number.

3.9. Indirect gases and SO2

emissions

The following gases are included in this category:NOX, CO, NMVOC and SO2. The SO2 emissionswere not calculated over the period 1989-1991.In the next submissions, when the inventoriesfor the period 1989-1991 will be recalculatedwith the new methodology „Revised 1996 IPCCGuidelines”, the SO2 emissions will be calculated,too. The SO2 emissions variation is caused by the utilization of fuels with various sulphur contents.

Power and heat generation in the „Energy”sector is the major source of SO2, NOX and COemissions. For NMVOC emission the most im-portant sources are coming from the „Solventand Other Product Use” sector as paint applica-tion, degreasing and cleaning of metals, chemi-

cal products manufacturing and processing andthe other use of solvents.

The NOX, CO, NMVOC, SO2 emissions in theperiod 1989-2001 are shown in the figure.

3.10. Conclusions

The most important cross-cutting issues for im-proving the GHG inventory that should be ad-dress by Romania in the next submissions are:• Re-calculation and time-series consistency - the

complete time series for all source categoriesfrom 1989 to the most recent year will be calcu-lated using the same methods and data sources;

• Documentation and transparency - the NIRwill be reviewed and will be adjusted takinginto account the requested information in theguidelines;

• Basic QA/QC and error checking;• Participation of other ministries and institutes

- A comprehensive national inventory systemrequires the full-time participation of inven-tory coordinators and the part-time participa-tion of experts with knowledge of specific sec-tors and sources;

• Resources and institutional support - The Ro-manian inventory will improve if additional re-sources and institutional support are providedto the review team;

• Selection of more appropriate default EFs - Theinventory development is mainly based on theuse of the average of IPCC default EFs for sourcecategories, but it was proved that the averagemight not be the most appropriate value.

88 Romania

Table 3.12. Methane emissions in the „Waste” sector over the period 1989-2001 (Gg)

Year 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994

CH4 total 240.6 229.7 228.6 699.1 700.0 703.1

Solid waste 222.2 210.8 209.8 599.8 602.0 594.1disposal on land

Waste water 18.4 18.9 18.8 99.2 98.0 109.0treatment

Page 85: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

Inventories of Anthropogenic Emissions and Sinks of Greenhouse Gases 89

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001

722.9 698.7 712.3 677.4 682.0 703.1 444.8

603.4 594.7 595.8 575.8 574.8 594.1 337.9

119.5 104.0 116.5 101.6 107.2 109.0 106.9

0

50 0

1 .0 0 0

1 .5 0 0

2 .0 0 0

2 .5 0 0

3 .0 0 0

3 .5 0 0

4 .0 0 0

4 .5 0 0

19 8 9 19 9 0 1 9 9 1 1 9 92 1 9 93 1 9 94 1 9 95 1 9 96 1 99 7 1 99 8 1 99 9 20 0 0 2 00 1

Figure 3.12. Emissions variation of the „precursor” gases over the period 1989-2001

NOX CO NMVOC SO2

CO

2(G

g)

Page 86: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

4.1. Introduction

In recent years, Romania was preparing for acomplex process of integration in the EuropeanUnion by reviving economic development wit-hin the international context. Environmentalprotection has a high priority in the develop-ment strategies and policies of the RomanianGovernment. Special attention is given to thecommitments resulting from the internationalagreements signed and ratified by Romania. Asmentioned in the article 20 of the RomanianConstitution, the provisions of international ag-reements adopted by Romania have priority forcompliance, even if there is no domestic regula-tion on that matter.

Air pollution prevention and control activitiesare based on the Environmental Protection Lawno. 137/1995, modified and completed by Law294/2003, and the Law 655/2001 regarding at-mospheric protection.

Romania signed the United Nations Frame-work Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), in 1992 at the Rio de Janeiro Earth Sum-mit, ratified then by Law no. 24/1994. Romaniawas the first UNFCCC's Annex I Party to ratifythe Kyoto Protocol by Law no. 3/2001, thus com-mitting itself to reduce GHG emissions by 8% inthe first commitment period 2008 - 2012, com-paring with the base year (1989), thus harmoni-zing with the EU reduction commitment.

According to the provisions of article 4.6 ofthe UNFCCC and Decisions 9/CP.2 and 11/CP.4,the year 1989 was established as the base year forRomania. In this context, Romania has to de-

velop its institutional capacity and legal frame-work, so that in 2007 (according to the KyotoProtocol) a national system for the assessment ofthe greenhouse gas emissions will be operatio-nal.

The total greenhouse gas emissions (withoutconsidering sinks) decreased by 48% in the pe-riod 1989-2001, and the net GHG emissions (ta-king into account the CO2 removals) decreasedwith 51.8% in the same period. Based on theseobservations, Romania will be able to meet the8% GHG emissions reduction commitment inthe first commitment period 2008-2012. The dif-ference in emissions is partially used by Romaniafor developing GHG emissions reduction pro-jects based on the Kyoto Protocol flexible mecha-nisms (Joint Implementation, Emission Trading).The Government of Romania decided in 1996(Governmental Decision no. 1275/1996) to esta-blish the National Commission on Climate

Policies and Measures to Mitigate GreenhouseGas Emissions

Page 87: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

Change, which is a consultative inter-ministerialbody coordinated under the Ministry of Envi-ronment and Water Management who has therole to promote the necessary measures for uni-tary implementation in Romania of theUNFCCC and Kyoto Protocol.

Greenhouse gases emissions mitigation is oneof the most important activities presented in theRomanian Strategy on Atmosphere Protection.This Strategy is evidence to the commitmentRomania has made to meet its target for 8% redu-cing of greenhouse gases emissions in the period2008 - 2012 comparing to the 1989 levels.Policies and measures to reduce CO2 and otherGHG emissions will deliver indirect benefits,including improvements in air quality. Somemeasures targeting reducing greenhouse gasemissions have the added benefits of reducingemissions of pollutants that are harmful to hu-man health and environment. The transfer tomore efficient forms of energy production, im-provement in transportation system, such as bet-ter public transportation and better engine tech-nology for private and commercial vehicles, allresult in reductions of greenhouse gases emis-

sions, but also lead to reductions in pollutantssuch as nitrogen dioxide, carbon monoxide andparticulates that have a proven adverse impacton human health.

Romania represented by the Ministry ofEnvironment and Water Management (MEWM),has requested assistance from Denmark (DanishEnvironmental Protection Agency) in drawingup a National Strategy and Action Plan onClimate Change. Thus allowing for compliancewith the provisions and requirements derivingfrom the UNFCCC and the Kyoto Protocol,which are key concerns to the RomanianGovernment.

The National Strategy and Action Plan willserve as the overall document, which reflects thestrategic considerations, and practical steps forclimate change related activities that Romaniawill undertake. While taking into account thecommitments made by Romania under theUNFCCC and the Kyoto Protocol.

The project to be financed by the DanishGovernment will support the Government ofRomania in the process of elaborating a NationalStrategy and Action Plan on Climate Change.

92 Romania

Page 88: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

The main expected benefits of the technical assi-stance are the following:• The development of a Strategy and Action Plan

will provide for a more coordinated approachto climate change in Romania.

• The process of designing the Strategy andAction Plan will help highlight the key challen-ges, opportunities, gaps and constraints in rela-tion to Romania's implementation of theUNFCCC/KP.

• The Strategy and Action Plan will provide anexcellent basis for targeted provision of furthertechnical assistance from international coope-ration partners.

The focus of the technical assistance provided bythe project will be on assisting the RomanianGovernment in planning and managing the pro-cess of elaborating the Strategy and Action Plan.Input for this support will be provided by a com-bination of international and local consultantswith expertise in climate change issues.

The Strategy and Action Plan will address theperiod from the time of its approval to January 1,2008. Approval of the Strategy is expected inMarch-April 2005, and of the Action Plan inOctober-November 2005. Subsequent updatesand revisions are to take place on a regular basisat the initiative of the Romanian Government.

A climate change strategy and an action planwere for a long time one of the most stringentobjectives of the MEWM. This kind support pro-vided by the Danish Government for achievingthis objective was greatly needed in Romaniaand was based on the bilateral cooperation regar-ding Joint Implementation projects and climatechange in general, and on the commitmentsmade by Denmark under the Convention andProtocol for capacity-building activities in eco-nomies in transition (EITs) and developing coun-tries.

The Romanian government has made signifi-cant progress since 2001 in the promotion of en-vironmental management and harmonization ofenvironmental legislations with the EU. Trans-position and implementation of the EU environ-mental acquis communautaire is a complex pro-cess due to its cross-sectoral nature and the

potential impact on the Romanian economycaused by bringing environmental standards inline with EU ones. The process involves signifi-cant costs and structural changes in the Roma-nian economy including both legal and govern-mental ones.

The first long-term objective of the EU strategyis to limit climate change, first by meeting thecommitments under the Kyoto Protocol andthen by reducing greenhouse gas emissions up to2020 by an average of 1% annually, comparedwith 1990 levels.

The European Union is implementing sustai-nable development by integrating environmen-tal concerns in all policies, as required by theAmsterdam Treaty and the 2002 WSSD Johan-nesburg Plan of Action. Several EU policies havebeen designed in this regard. They relate to agric-

Policies and Measures to Mitigate Greenhouse Gas Emissions 93

Page 89: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

ulture, energy, transport and market. Progress to-wards sustainable development is measuredthrough environmental indicators that are cur-rently being developed, such as:• total greenhouse gas emissions, emissions per

capita, by sector and by unit GDP; • energy consumption by means of transporta-

tion; • urban population exposure to air pollution

(ozone and particulate matter); • emissions of air pollutants (ozone precursors,

particulate matter and SO2);

These and further developments at the EU levelwill have to be taken into account as this strategyevolves over time. Romania will have to be inline with existing EU strategies and plans in thenear future.

4.2. Strategy and Policies

4.2.1. Strategy for economicdevelopment of Romania onmedium term

Chapter VI of the Romanian strategy for econo-mic development on medium term (adopted bythe Romanian Government in 2000) refers to en-vironmental protection territorial planning andregional development. The National Programmefor Environmental Protection has been designedas an integral part of the restructuring and devel-opment programme. In terms of the assessmentof the European Commission, Romania's annualspending requirements for environment protec-tion would amount to USD 60-70 per capita.

The medium-term programmes envisage, interalia, are the following:(a)„protection and preservation of nature, of bio-

logical diversity and the durable use of its ele-ments; development and good managementof the national network of protected areas inline with the strategies, policies and practicesapplicable at the European and internationallevels; implementation of the national techni-cal programme for evaluation and financingof costs incurred by the reduction of green-house gas emissions in accordance with theprovisions under the UN FrameworkConvention on Climate Change (1992) and itsKyoto Protocol (1997)”;

(b)enforcement of environmental legislation(Law no. 137/1995); adoption of a system ofnorms, standards and regulations in line withthe EU requirements;

(c) promotion of environmentally friendly pro-ducts and sustainable consumption;

(d)decentralization of the institutional system; (e)introduction and use of economic instru-

ments for environmental protection purposes.

In the period 2002 - 2006, Romania will pursuethe harmonization of its environmental policyand practice with EU environmental acquis com-munautaire. To this end, the following issuesneed to be tackled:(a)assessment of Romania's natural capital accor-

94 Romania

Page 90: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

ding to its current diversity and weak spots,development of the Protected Area NationalNetwork;

(b)promotion of measures to restore natural capi-tal in the damaged areas;

(c)development of a long-lasting management ofwater resources in accordance with the provi-sions of the Dublin Conference, the Rio deJaneiro Summit (1992) and the JohannesburgWSSD (2002);

(d)ensuring the integrity of national forestedareas while taking into account the shift inownership and management by enforcingtough legal regulations to stop the reductionof present forest-covered areas and develop anincrease up to 27.3 percent of the country's to-tal area by 2006;

(e)implementation of the national programmefor soil planning and the fight against soil ero-sion taking into account the sustainable use ofthis resource;

(f)implementation of the national programmefor the management of industrial and urbanwaste and recycling of materials and products;

(g)design and promotion of necessary financialinstruments related to environment for thegradual absorption of the EU acquis commu-nautaire, particularly in the field of water ma-nagement, environmental protection in indu-stry and agriculture, protection of soil anddegraded land, organic protection and certifi-cation of organic products;

(h)institutional capacity building and achieve-ment of the necessary skills and knowledge inorder to establish a viable partnership bet-ween the environmental institutions inRomania and those in the European Union,thus ensuring administrative support for be-nefiting from the opportunities provided bythe European Union by means of strategiesand financial instruments to supportRomania in the accession process;

(i)establishment and operation of theEnvironmental Fund as an instrument suitablefor achieving the main targets under theNational Plan for Environmental Protectionand the National Plan for Accession to theEuropean Union;

(j)setting up the legal and institutional frame-work to stimulate the dialogue between theauthorities and the civil society on the stra-tegy, the policies, the programmes and the de-cisions on the environment and the social andeconomic development of Romania.

Environmental policy in Romania is to shift fo-cus from recovery actions towards preventionones. From this angle, the following issues needto be tackled:(a)development of an integrated monitoring sy-

stem of the environment, and an informationsystem, a state-of-environment reporting sy-stem to implement environmental protectiondecisions and to assess the achievement of theenvironmental policy targets, informing alsothe public on environment-related issues;

Policies and Measures to Mitigate Greenhouse Gas Emissions 95

Page 91: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

(b)environmental-friendly products and sustai-nable consumption will stand out as the cen-terpiece of integrated prevention strategy forenvironment protection in the long term.

(c)decentralization of the institutional system isto be achieved by applying the principle of ad-ministrative autonomy and the „polluter paysprinciple”. All actions must be taken with aview to establish environmental protectionabilities for local communities, represented bylocal authorities, stimulating in the same timeprevention policies for environmental protec-tion to be developed by companies, thus en-tailing a cut in public spending;

(d)long-term environmental policy will resultmore frequently in economic instruments in-stead of command and control instruments.In this respect, budget subsidies will be re-structured by both reducing those subsidiesgranted to the activities having a negative im-pact on the environment and boosting thoseactivities that reduce polluting emissions orcontribute to ecological restoration and pre-

servation, by levying duties on pollutingemissions, and by spurring incentive-compa-tible regulations;

(e)Romania is to grant support from the interna-tional enforcement of economic instruments(foreign taxes or harmonized national taxes,negotiable quotas on greenhouse gas emis-sions, the joint implementation and emis-sions trading mechanisms in terms of theUnited Nations Framework Convention onClimate Change and the Kyoto Protocol).

Romania accepted the acquis communautaire inthe field of environmental protection (Chapter22), in force on December 31, 2000. Romania hasunilaterally assumed the date of 1st of January2007 as the date for its accession to the EuropeanUnion.

96 Romania

Page 92: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

4.2.2. Policies and measuresby sector

4.2.2.1. Energy

The main share of the GHG emissions inRomania is represented by the energy relatedCO2 emissions. The following measures are con-sidered in the Governmental Program for theenergy sector: • restructuring of the energy system by establis-

hing integrated power plants whose sphere ofactivity should include the production of elec-tric and heating power as well as heating coal,which will help control the price of energy andthe smooth flow of payments;

• privatization in the energy field will cover boththe production and distribution of energy,mainly by increasing the capital, and by stockexchange quotation, which provides a doubleadvantage, namely facilitating the capitaliza-tion of companies and, ensuring the value in-crease of the stock left in state property after aperiod of efficient private operation.

The secure access and efficient functioning of theenergy sector represents the basic and vital mile-stone for the Romanian economy. This is themain reason for the need of a coherent and eco-nomically viable strategy in the energy filed,which is a fundamental prerequisite for theachievement of the national objectives related to a sustainable growth and eradication of po-verty.

For the past decade, radical institutional, regu-latory and structural reforms were being carriedout all over the world with the main goal of de-regulation that will improve efficiency and qua-lity of services.

The energy market model approach of Ro-mania is based on the liberalization (gradual ope-ning) as an integral part of the overall philos-ophy of liberalization of the national economyand free movement of goods and services. Theaim is to create such structures and market envi-ronment to respond and cope with the increa-singly integrated European energy market, wherenational markets are step by step losing their tra-

ditional borders and are becoming part of a com-mon European market.

In the last three years, based on these trends,several important steps have been taken in theRomanian energy sector, by implementing a de-regulation process, based on the need of settingmore market principles and free competition, aswell as promoting a sustained privatization pro-cess.

In this respect the following activities have beenimplemented:• Unbundling of the vertically integrated power

companies into autonomous: generation,transmission, distribution and supply compa-nies: Electrica, Transelectrica, Hidroelectrica,Termoelectrica (based on GovernmentalDecision no. 627/2000);

• The National Power Grid Company - Trans-electrica S.A. that includes the transport opera-tor, the system operator and the market opera-tor- OPCOM. Transelectrica S.A. is independentfrom the energy producers. Its main activitiesare: power transport, dispatching, organizationand management of the energy market, inter-national power transit, transport system ex-ploitation and development. The commercial

Policies and Measures to Mitigate Greenhouse Gas Emissions 97

Page 93: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

transactions between energy producers and dis-tributors are concluded within the frameworkestablished by the market operator OPCOM;

• The Electricity and Heat Generation Company- Termoelectrica produces and distributes theelectric and heating power, obtained by usingfossil fuels;

• The Hydro Power Generation Company -Hidroelectrica produces and distributes the po-wer obtained in hydroelectric power stations;

• The Electricity Distribution and SupplyCompany - Electrica distributes the electricenergy.

• Further unbundling of the generation side into:5 thermal power producers, one hydro produ-cer, one nuclear producer and 14 cogenerationproducers, which where transferred to the localauthorities;

• Unbundling of the natural gas sector into auto-nomous: production and storage (Romgaz),transmission (Transgaz) and two distributioncompanies (Distrigaz North and DistrigazSouth);

• Reduction of the natural gas production andimport concentration by authorizing and li-censing of an increasing number of companies;

• The regulated third party access, on a non dis-crimination bases to the transmission systemboth for gas as well as for electricity has beensecured by law, in line with the trend in theEuropean Union;

• A decentralized market has been set up for longand medium term bilateral contracts, supple-mented by short term centralized markets,which were initially compulsory and becomingvoluntary on medium term;

• The National Energy and Heat RegulatingAuthority (ANRE) and also the National GasRegulating Authority (ANRGN) have been esta-blished in 1999 and 2000 respectively, with theaim of creating strong and transparent rules en-couraging commercial activity and safeguar-ding public interests, in accordance with therequirements of the EU Internal ElectricityMarket Directive 96/92/EC for the establish-ment of an independent regulatory body andof the Directive 98/30/EC of the EuropeanParliament and of the Council of 22 June 1998concerning common rules for the natural gasinternal market;

• In the oil sector, necessary commercial frame-work has been established, which fixed the fol-lowing aspects:• wellhead prices track international prices;• regulated tariffs for crude oil transmission;• consumer prices set by the market;• rules preclude oil pipeline transmission assets

and oil production, supply and refining.• Regulatory intervention on certain market par-

ticipants was promoted to ensure that all custo-mers are supplied with gas, including somegroups which may be less attractive as clients(e.g. isolated locations, low users);

• A defined strategy for privatization and attrac-tion of new investments was elaborated.

98 Romania

Page 94: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

Further actions should be taken in order to im-prove some specific issues, like:• Regulated prices in line with justified economic

costs;• Opening the energy prices to be formed freely

based on competition and negotiation;• Clear program for opening the energy market;• Transparent, solid and proper functioning of

the regulatory authorities and mechanisms;• Understandable market rules and structures;• Legal framework to respond the needs of trans-

parency and stability.

For the implementation of the EU Directive2001/80/EC, the Romanian Government hasprepared a Governmental Decision for the limi-tation of the emissions in the atmosphere co-ming from large combustion plants i.e. over 50MW, at the level of the EU Directives (for solid,SO2 and NOX emissions). These limits are com-pulsory for any new unit to be established.

Nuclear electricityFrom 1996 the „CERNAVODA” nuclear powerplant group no. 1. of 700 MW has been provi-

ding 7% of the total average annual electricitygeneration in Romania. This nuclear power plantis operating based on updated technologies(CANDU) and has an important contribution insatisfying the needs for electricity through reli-able operation.

In Romania the nuclear power development isdealt with by achieving the requirements of theacquis communitaire, including the Treaty of theEuropean Atomic Energy Community, as funda-mental instruments for the improvement of theliving standard in the Member States and devel-opment of relations with other countries. One ofthe Romanian Government priorities in the co-ming years is to start the operation activities atthe second group of the nuclear power plant(2006-2007) and also to start the third group inthe long term (2010-2015) having 707MW each.Nuclear energy is the main sector to cover the fu-ture increase of the energy demand. The nuclearenergy represents one of the most efficient ener-gies and is reducing the dependency of importedenergy resources. After Unit 2 becomes operatio-nal, Cernavoda Nuclear Power Plant will coverapprox. 20% of the national consumption.

Policies and Measures to Mitigate Greenhouse Gas Emissions 99

Page 95: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

Solid fuelsOne of the major objectives of the NationalStrategy for the development of the energy sector(adopted by the Romanian Government in 2000)is to modernize the coal industry and to make itefficient. According to this strategy, the restruc-turing process will continue and will include thefollowing objectives:• Improvement of the economic and financial

performance of the viable part of the sector,along with the environmental conservation;

• Implementation of a programme for closingnon-feasible mines and environmental rehabi-litation;

• Privatization encouragement;• Reduction of the social effects in the mining

areas affected by the restructuring process;• Enhancement of the managerial capacity in the

mining companies.

The Ministry of Economy and Trade is the res-ponsible authority for the implementation ofthis strategy in the energy sector. The NationalAgency for the Development and Implemen-tation of the Reconstruction Programme in theMining Areas is an agency under the subordina-tion of this ministry. The respective agency is theauthority responsible for the implementation ofthe governmental strategy for the reconstructionof the areas where the mining activity has cea-sed, by creating occupational alternatives for thehuman resources unemployed as a consequenceof the ceasing process.

The National Agency for Mineral Resources(ANRM), which issues the licenses for mineral re-sources exploitation, is the competent authorityin the coal sector, for the application of theMining Law (established in 1993), being subordi-nated directly to the Government.

ANRM has the following responsibilities: • administrate and survey the Romanian mineral

resources, the national geologic fund, all natio-nal property;

• compute, register and update all mineral re-sources of Romania in the Mining Book andPetroleum Book;

• negotiate the terms and conclude agreementsfor the exploration and exploitation of the mi-neral resources;

• regulate the activities and operations on the ba-sis of different agreements;

• establish legal taxes, royalties and prices forprospecting exploration and production activi-ties, as well as pipeline transportation tariffs;

• issue compulsory regulations and instructionsfor the mineral resources sector.

Law no. 143/1999 concerning state aid regulatesthe authorization of state aid granting in relationto its effects upon competition, as well as the su-pervision, registration, monitoring and repor-ting of state aid. The bodies responsible forapplying the provisions of the above-mentionedlaw are the Competition Council as an autono-mous administrative authority and the Com-petition Office as a specialized body subordina-ted to the Ministry of Public Finance, both being

100 Romania

Page 96: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

established according to the provisions of theCompetition Law no. 21/1996.

The production subsidies in the coal sector de-creased by more than 75% from 1998 to 2002.Approximately 82% of the annual coal produc-tion does not receive any subsidy for operation,receiving allowances only for social security, in-vestments, activity reduction or ecological reha-bilitation. The restructuring process of the coalsector shall continue whereas the state aid shallbe mainly directed to those mines that could be-come profitable on a medium term.

Natural gasThe National Natural Gas Regulatory Authority(ANRGN), established in 2000 (GovernmentalOrdinance no. 41/2000), ensures the regulation,authorization and control in the field of naturalgas. The main responsibilities of ANRGN are: • issuing authorizations and licenses in the natu-

ral gas sector, • setting up calculation methodology for the re-

gulated prices and tariffs, • developing the rules for eligible consumers.

In order to ensure the transparency of natural gasprices, ANRGN elaborated and published in theOfficial Journal no. 199/20.04.2001, the Metho-

dology for establishing the regulated prices andtariffs. According to this methodology, the priceand tariff calculation considers the operators ef-fective costs.

Energy efficiencyRomania aims, as mentioned in the NationalStrategy for the energy sector development, to in-crease the energy efficiency over the entire chain- natural resources, production, transport, distri-bution and consumption - by using the marketeconomy mechanisms at an optimum level.

The Romanian Agency for Energy Conser-vation (ARCE), established in 1990, is the specia-lized body of the central public administration inenergy efficiency under Government subordina-tion, having functional, organizational and fi-nancial autonomy. One of the ARCE's responsibi-lities is to reduce the negative impacts on theenvironment.

The Strategy for Energy Sector and EnergyEfficiency in Romania is based on setting long-term objectives, which are reflecting the needs ofthe National Economy for:• securing energy supply and safety;• promoting energy efficiency;• using renewable energy sources;• applying environmental protection.

Policies and Measures to Mitigate Greenhouse Gas Emissions 101

Page 97: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

Romania intends to develop a series of projectsbased on the use of renewable energy sources,such as biomass, micro hydro, geothermalenergy, solar and wind energy, these sources ha-ving a great potential to be benefited from in thecomming years.

In the next couple of years the following im-portant power projects should be considered:• Additional hydro power generation capacity,

economically feasible, estimated at 500-900MW;

• Power generation based on lignite and hardcoal by rehabilitation of some of the existingpower plants, where the upgrading costs areless than 50% than for a new capacity and/orbuilt of new units, at the following locations:Turceni, Rovinari, Isalnita, Deva-Mintia. Therehabilitation projects could represent 35-45%of the total newly needed power generation ca-pacity;

• Combined cycle gas turbines. Only 15% of thetotal power generation will be secured from na-tural gas.

ElectricityOne of the main objectives of the electricity sec-tor is to make the National Energetic System ope-rators more competitive and efficient. In this res-pect, the capacities that will not be rehabilitatedwill be closed. On the other hand, those feasiblecapacities will be modernized and new technolo-gies will be implemented. The results of suchmeasures will be cost reduction and some profitfor the operators.

The National Energy Regulatory Authority(ANRE), based on the methodologies issued, esta-blishes the power prices and tariffs. These met-hodologies are approved by the CompetitionOffice and are based on the following principles:• Consumer protection;• Ensuring the economic and financial feasibility

of the operators;• Encouraging the operators to increase the eco-

nomic efficiency;• Attracting investors.

102 Romania

Page 98: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

ANRE was established in 1998, as a national au-tonomous public institution having the mainobjective to establish and implement the set ofregulations in the energy sector, securing theoperation, authorization, and control of the elec-tricity and heat market taking also into accountthe needs for competition, efficiency, transpa-rency, and consumer protection.

The price and tariffs policy envisaged will begoverned only by economic criteria. The energyprices (gas and electricity) are fixed. An increasein the electricity production costs is expecteddue to the need of investment expenditures forsetting up new power generation capacities andupgrading the existing capacities addressing alsothe environmental protection requirements.

4.2.2.2 Industrial processes

Industrial processes sector adjustment is consi-stent with the overall objectives of increasing ex-ternal competitiveness and domestic producti-vity in terms of all production factors. In thisrespect, the following directions were addressedin the last period and will be pursued:

(a) extending the process of redesigning indu-strial capacity and structure, including devel-opment and promotion of co-operation withthe EU partners, backed by consolidating themarket economy, establishing a competitiveenvironment, and stimulating potentiallycompetitive small and medium-sized enter-prises;

(b) sequencing the process of selection and resca-ling the economic agents involved in the re-structuring process for ensuring an appro-priate business environment capable offulfilling the increasing internal demandspurring significantly in the same time theexport volume and efficiency for goods andservices;

(c) completing the privatization of industrialcompanies and exposing the remaining state-owned industrial units to market conditions,on the basis of strengthening the legal disci-

pline concerning competition issues (inclu-ding the Bankruptcy Act);

(d) restructuring the energy and material-inten-sive sectors, as well as those with under-utili-zed capacities by diminishing losses and re-cording substantial productivity gains,promoting in the same time energy savingtechnologies;

(e) reviving and efficient deployment of the na-tional research and technological develop-ment potential, including the microeconomicR&D;

(f) increasing the competition by promotingstrategic alliances, holdings, and group com-panies in view of including the Romanian in-dustry in the globalization process, conside-ring also the development of complexexports;

(g) rapid developing, outsourcing and speciali-zing of production-related services;

(h) accelerating growth in the volume and effici-ency of exports by encouraging exports ofhigh value-added manufactured products;setting a priority in supporting, within the li-mits provided by the international legisla-tion, the globally expanding industries orhigh-tech industries insufficiently developedin Romania;

(i) taking advantage of Romania's geographic po-sition by directing exports also to neighboringareas that may become strategic markets forEU.

Policies and Measures to Mitigate Greenhouse Gas Emissions 103

Page 99: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

A high level of environmental protection activityis the most important driver to sustainable devel-opment and increasing living standards and qua-lity. Environmental protection activities are sup-ported by a complex legal system, harmonizedwith the EU acquis communautaire. The Ro-manian Government considers environment as anatural resource, and the companies using it,must be prepared to pay for. Public authoritiesare assessing the price for this offer of environ-ment resources and are taking care that it is notoverused. The developing market for using theenvironmental resources, leads to the develop-ment of new instruments such as environmentalpermits and licenses, taking into account the„polluter pays” principle.

In this respect, the Government has takensome actions in recent years to grant necessaryassistance to companies in developing environ-mental protection strategies and integrating „en-vironmental friendly” technologies and pro-ducts in the concept of designing, productionand marketing. In order to decrease the pollu-tion levels and, where possible to remove pollu-tion, the Romanian Government will interveneat different companies, in geographic areas withsevere pollution problems and where difficultiesare noticed in complying with the environmen-

tal standards. This will be accomplished by ob-serving the legislation in force, either by directaid or by reducing taxes and duties or other mea-sures having an equivalent effect. However,meeting the condition that the funds should beused in compliance with the harmonized legisla-tion on state aids.

Two of the most important concerns of theGovernment in this field are: observing regula-tions on environmental protection and the widepromotion of „environmental friendly” techno-logies and services, as well as developing newproduction and consumption patterns. At thesame time increasing performance in environ-mental protection activities by supporting theimplementation of new environmental manage-ment systems (ISO 14000).

In this respect, the legislation was harmonizedwith the environmental acquis communautaireon industrial pollution control and risk manage-ment, developing and implementing program-mes to reduce industrial activities that are harm-ful to the environment, simultaneously withecological rehabilitation of the affected areas.

The Romanian Government considers instru-ments that are effective on general economic ef-ficiency and also on pollution reduction and ra-tional use of resources. Increasing the efficiencyof electric energy, even if this will imply highcosts for equipment updating, will have positiveconsequences both on companies' economic ef-ficiency and on environment protectionthrough limiting or reducing pollution.

Progress made for the implementation ofthe industrial policyThe most recent measures taken by theRomanian Government for achieving the objec-tives of the industrial policy are mainly the follo-wing:

Preparation and implementation of the newIndustrial Policy Paper• Establishing the Inter-ministerial Working

Group for the co-ordination of the preparationand implementation of the Industrial Policyand the Action Plan related to the Govern-mental Decision no. 660/2001.

104 Romania

Page 100: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

Improvement of business environment• Setting up the Working Group for the prepara-

tion and monitoring of the Action Plan relatedto the improvement of the business environ-ment - Governmental Decision no. 803/2001;

• Preparation and approval by the RomanianGovernment of the Action Plan for removingthe administrative barriers related to the busi-ness environment - Governmental Decisionno. 1189/2001 supplemented with the provi-sions of Governmental Decision no. 209/2002;

• Establishing the one-stop-shop, within theChamber of Commerce and Industry, in orderto eliminate the bureaucracy barriers in theprocess of setting up new business (authoriza-tion, setting up and registration of new compa-nies), resulting in an important decrease of theentrepreneurs efforts and waiting time -Governmental Emergency Ordinance no.76/2001 concerning the simplification of someadministrative formalities for the registrationand authorization of companies;

• Preparing a new fiscal code, aiming to ensurebetter coherence, transparency and flexibilityin the financial field;

• Convening public procurement agreementsthrough on-line auctions (GovernmentalOrdinance no. 20/2002), in order to enforcefree competition, increase of the efficient use ofpublic funds, transparency, equal treatment forall participants, commercial secret and intellec-tual property rights guarantee, as a way toavoid corruption;

• Modifying the Law no. 64/1995 concerning thelegal system re-organization and bankruptcyprocedure, through the Governmental Ordi-nance no. 38/2002;

• Strengthening Romania's private banking sy-stem by preparing for the privatization of theRomanian Commercial Bank in the coming ye-ars, according to the PSAL II program, this bankbeing the last and the most important state ow-ned bank.

Accelerating the privatization processIn order to speed up the privatization process,the Romanian Government undertook the res-ponsibility from the Parliament by Law 137 from

March 2002 concerning the speeding up of theprivatization process. This law supplements theexistent privatization legislation, introducingsome new elements, as follows:• Establishing the „special administration during

the privatization period” for the companieswhere the state still owns the share majority;

• Diversifying the methods whereby state invol-vement in the economy is diminished, by:• introducing the capital increase along with

the sale of shares, and the transfer upon pay-ment for the assets of social nature;

• introducing the sale of state owned shares inunattractive companies at a symbolic price.

• Restructuring companies debts;• Analyzing some problematic cases with priority

for strengthening the privatization process;• Limiting the Judicial Courts competences for

awarding decisions based on legality and noton opportunity;

• Simplifying some privatization procedures;• Shortening some procedural terms.

Attracting foreign investmentsOne of the important steps for attracting foreigninvestments was the establishment of theRomanian Agency for Foreign Investments, onMarch 2002, as the only institution for informa-

Policies and Measures to Mitigate Greenhouse Gas Emissions 105

Page 101: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

tion and promotion of foreign investment activi-ties in Romania. This agency was set up and it isfunctioning under direct co-ordination of theRomanian Government. Another step was theapproval of the Law no. 332/2001 concerningthe foreign direct investments with a high im-pact on the economy (investments with a valueexceeding 1 mil. USD).

The Investor's Code introduced by theGovernment as an useful instrument for inve-stors, includes mainly the needed guiding ele-ments regarding the legal and institutional fra-mework for starting new business and theprocess for setting companies.

Making industrial products more competitiveThe institutional framework adaptation in orderto apply the provisions of the Law no. 608/2001,concerning the evaluation of product confor-mity law for the market surveillance and productcertification has been seen as a driver for increa-

sing the competitiveness in the industrial sector.At the same time the conditions for starting thenegotiations with the European Union werecreated in the period 1998-2001 in order toconclude the product conformity evaluationprotocols. In this respect, the Government hasaccelerated the process of transposing and/or im-plementing the European Union directives, deci-sions, rules and standards.

Supporting the small and medium size en-terprises (SMEs) activityEstablishing the National Fund for SMEs creditsguarantee, financed from the budget of theMinistry for SMEs - Governmental Decision no.1211/2001 and setting up, through the Go-vernmental Decision no. 1240/2001, the Selec-tion and Training Center for the potential suc-cessful entrepreneurs (EMPRETEC/UNCTAD -Romania), meant also important steps promotedby the Romanian Government for this sector development.

106 Romania

Page 102: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

Environmental protectionThe Inter-ministerial Committee for the co-ordi-nation of the environmental protection activi-ties including the sectorial policies and strategiesat a national level was established through theGovernmental Decision no. 1097/2001 as a mea-sure for integrating environmental protection inoverall economical development.

The privatisation/restructuring process in thissector will continue with the following actions,as agreed with the World Bank in the frameworkof the PSAL I and II programmes:• offering for sale of the companies SC ALRO and

SC ALPROM Slatina (2 important actors in thealuminum production sector in Romania);

• continuing the privatization process, duringthe period 2002 - 2004, for the companies notyet privatized and included in the component„case-by-case privatization of the large state-owned commercial companies with the assi-stance of investment banks;

• continuing the implementation of the restruc-turing programmes for companies included inthe component „restructuring/liquidation ofthe large commercial companies”.

4.2.2.3 Transportation

The development of infrastructure, by takinginto account both the National Programme forTerritorial Planning and the connections withthe European Union's infrastructure system, willplay a major role in economic recovery and willcreate new working opportunities. Moder-nization, rehabilitation, and development oftransportation infrastructures was started in re-cent years in the context of increased EU finan-cial support (through the pre-accession instru-ments) and by attracting private resources. Thepriorities in this field are the following:(a) starting the development of highways, in ac-

cordance with the provisions of the TINAFinal Report, in order to integrate theRomanian transportation infrastructure intothe Pan-European Transport Network;

(b) modernizing the railway and road infrastruc-

ture, building of bridges and beltways aroundcities along the Pan-European TransportCorridors no. IV and IX, in order to ensure anincrease in the mobility of population, goodsand services;

(c) changing the current tax and tariff systems re-garding the railway and road transportation,in order to increase service accessibility, andto enhance the harmonization with theEuropean Union standards.

Romania is facing a series of problems in the fi-eld of road infrastructure, and the following is-sues are among the most important ones:• limited road capacity for absorbing the interna-

tional and interregional road traffic, especiallyin the urban areas;

• important increase in the vehicle fleet in thelast period;

• low quality of the road cover and minimal bea-ring capacity of the road infrastructure, exceptfor the road sectors that have been rehabilita-ted and declared as such, which meet the EUstandards;

• lack of bypass routes of the important townsand the existence of 400 level railways cros-sings, which constitute traffic bottlenecks.

Policies and Measures to Mitigate Greenhouse Gas Emissions 107

Page 103: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

In order to solve these problems, the road infra-structure policy takes into consideration the fol-lowing priority objectives:

On short and medium term:• completing the rehabilitation/modernization

of the Pan-European transport Corridor IV andconsequently increasing the transport suppor-ting capacity on this corridor;

• continuing the rehabilitation/modernizationof the Pan-European transport Corridor IX onBucuresti-Marasesti-Galati/Iasi sector andBucuresti-Giurgiu sector and consequently in-creasing the transport supporting capacity onthis corridor;

• facilitating the traffic flows by building bypassroutes to avoid the urban traffic jams, and mo-dernization/construction of bridges and over-passes;

• starting the construction of motorways on theTINA backbone network, priority being givento the Northern branch of the Pan-EuropeanCorridor IV (Nadlac-Bucuresti-Constanta) andthe Bucharest-Giurgiu sector (Pan-EuropeanCorridor IX).

On long term:• rehabilitation of the whole national road net-

work (14683 km) at European standards;• construction of motorways and express roads

on the whole TINA backbone network.

The main Romanian air carrier is the AirTransport National Company TAROM S.A. Theregistered capital of the company is owned bythe Romanian State, who exercises all the rightsderived from being a shareholder, through theMinistry of Public Works, Transportation andHousing. TAROM has one of the youngest fleetsin the world with 14 airplanes working on oneregular long-courier flight to New York, on regu-lar courses to Europe, mid-Asia and internal rou-tes.

Romania took the necessary steps in order toprivatize the TAROM Company before the end of2000. Therefore, in the autumn of 2000, the in-ternational bid for the privatization of the com-pany had been launched, but no sale contract re-sulted.

The project entitled „The restructuring of theTAROM Company and its preparation for priva-tization” started in October 2001. Following theinternational bid, the selected consultant isLUFTHANSA CONSULTING.

The objective of the project is the restructu-ring of the company with a view to increasing itsefficiency, aimed at restarting the privatizationprocess.

4.2.2.4 Agriculture

Agriculture is one of the key sectors in theRomanian economy. The contribution of agricul-ture and forestry to the GDP was constantly sig-nificant during the period 1998-2002. Its share

108 Romania

Page 104: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

increased from 13.7% in 1989 to 18.6% in 1992.This share was maintained until 1996 and it de-creased to 11.4% in 2000 and to 10.5% in 2002.

In the view of creating a competitive sector tomeet the common market requirements, thepriority objectives presented in the Govern-mental Program for the period 2001 - 2004 were:productivity and quality increase, maximizingthe agricultural producers incomes and enhan-cing the sustainable development of rural areas,in compliance with the environmental protec-tion requirements. Romania applied in the lastyears a policy aimed at privatizing and restructu-ring the agriculture sector, to support the agricul-tural production within the budgetary cons-traints and liberalize the trade in agricultural andfood products.

The strengthening of private property repre-sents the basis of structural reforms. The processhas been initiated in 1991, by the adoption ofLand Law no. 18, followed by Law no. 1/2000 re-garding the restoration of property rights onagricultural and forestry land. Law no. 54/1998regarding the legal procedure for circulation oflands facilitates the functioning of land market.The Emergency Governmental Ordinance no.102/2001 for the modification and completionof Law no. 1/2000 regarding the restoration ofproperty rights on agricultural and forestry land,and respectively of the Land Law no. 18/1991,was adopted in order to remove the problems inthe implementation of the Law no. 1/2000.

The main provisions of the Emergency Go-vernmental Ordinance are:• restoring of property rights will be completed

in former areas, if these are available and if notenough agricultural land is available, the re-storation is completed from the agriculturalland existing in the propriety of the respectivelocality;

• if the restoration of the property rights can notbe entirely achieved, compensations is grantedfor the remaining agricultural land;

• regulating of the legal status of natural and ar-tificial fish farming lakes, as well as of landswith greenhouses facilities or hops cultures, vi-neyards and orchards for which the restorationis performed on other areas, or compensationsare granted;

• restoring of propriety rights on forest lands iscompleted only based on documentary proofs;

• regulating of the case when the same agricultu-ral land is claimed by two applicants.

The National Office of Cadastre, Geodesy andCartography has taken the following measureson short term in order to speed up the imple-mentation of Law no. 1/2000 modified byEmergency Governmental Ordinance no.102/2001: • re-organizing the county offices of cadastre,

geodesy and cartography in order to providetechnical assistance and methodological gui-dance to the local commissions;

Policies and Measures to Mitigate Greenhouse Gas Emissions 109

Page 105: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

• elaborating the quantitative and qualitative in-ventory on administrative territories of landlaws implementation;

• establishing and implementing a monitoringand reporting system on the whole activity ofthe county offices of cadastre, geodesy and car-tography which should include indices regar-ding the accomplishments of Law no. 1/2000provisions with subsequent modifications;

• identifying the necessities for changing themethodological framework in the applicationof Law no. 18/1991 and Law no. 1/2000 andelaborating a draft Order of the Ministry ofPublic Administration and Ministry of Agri-culture, Food and Forestry regarding the appli-cation of Law no. 18/1991 and Law no. 1/2000with subsequent modifications.

The Romanian Government approved a draft lawsimplifying the privatization procedures in orderto speed up the privatization of state ownedagricultural societies, the former IASs (StateAgricultural Enterprises).

The agricultural production benefited in thelast years of state support through the allocationof 1.0 million lei for each cultivated hectare ofland, under the conditions of using certified se-eds and complying with specific agriculturaltechnologies. The financial support was 20.0

million lei for each cultivated hectare in green-houses. Additionally, the State subsidized up to50% of the purchase price of certified seeds andpropagating material and 55% of the price oftractors, and other agricultural machines and eq-uipments.

Other measures for supporting this sector referto the exemption of private farmers from incometax, subsidized credit interests intended to fi-nance agricultural production, support from thestate budget to cover storage and conservationexpenses for cereals, oilseeds and protein plants.In doing so, the state aid to agricultural produ-cers has not exceeded 10% of the total agricultu-ral production value, in compliance with theWTO provisions for the developing countries.

Investments in agriculture, in 2001, amountedto about 4,000 billion lei, out of which the pri-vate sector's share was 91.6%. The domestic tradewith agricultural products was liberalized.

Romania faced difficulties due to competitionwith highly subsidized products of its tradingpartners, both on domestic and internationalmarkets. As a consequence of limited budgetaryresources, Romania's possibilities to subsidize ex-ports are very low. Under these circumstances,Romania applied in 1999 the safeguard clausewithin CEFTA Agreement for its imports ofwheat and wheat flour from Hungary, and in1999, 2000 and 2001, for its imports of pork andpoultry meat from that country.

For solving problems in the agriculture sectorthe following measures were adopted:

•At macro economical level:a) modification of the legal and institutio-

nal framework;b) estalishment and development of some

financial-economical levers, also finan-cial perks - e.g. fee and tax reductionswere adopted for those who replace dan-gerous substances from the manufactu-ring process or for those who invest intechnological process or products resul-ting in the decrease of the negative im-pact on environment;

c) structural adjustment;d) production structures reform.

110 Romania

Page 106: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

•At micro economical level:a) Adopting measures related to the econo-

mical agent, responsible of implementingsome changes regarding the property, or-ganization and management;

b) Introducing new technologies and mo-dernizing the agricultural units.

Agricultural reform was structured on three pil-lars: re-organization, re-structuring and privati-zation.

In the recent past the Romanian agriculturewas dominated by subsistence agricultural units,which are characterized by the using of traditio-nal equipments, techniques and technologies.These traditional systems have similar characte-ristics with the ecological and biological types ofagriculture, and the biggest advantage for Ro-mania is just the opportunity to obtain ecologi-cal products based on recent clean practices inagriculture - the fertilizer and chemical substan-ces consumption for the last 12 years show somevalues which are 10 times lower than the Euro-pean countries' average.

4.2.2.5 Forestry

In Romania, the forestry area covers 6.6 millionha, representing about 28% of the country area.The distribution of forests on the relief is not uni-form. Plains are poor in forests with a share ofabout 7% while 28% of the forests are spread onhills and 65% on mountain areas. Forests inRomania are predominantly composed of hardwood - 69% and soft wood - 31%. In relation tothe total surface of forests, beech has the biggestshare - 31% in the leaf-bearing wood species. Outof coniferous species the spruce fir tree has themain share - 23% followed by common fir - 5%.

The volume of wood on trunk has an overallvalue of 1,341 million cm3, the average being 218cm3/ha, the average yearly growing rate is 5.6cm3/ha and the yearly output is 17 million cm3.The whole forestland in Romania is administra-ted on the basis of management forestry projects(forests arrangements).

Currently, most of the forests are in state ow-nership, being administrated by the NationalPublic Administration of Forests (RNP), only10% of the total surface is private propriety. Thisshare shall increase significantly, most probablyaround 30%, following the restitution process offorests to former owners.

The long-term government strategy for thissector has as a main objective to increase the af-forestation rate at the national level, having inmind the large area of degraded lands which areimproper for agricultural use.

Community regulations are partially transpo-sed to the national legislation by:• Decree of State Council no. 10/1986 concer-

ning the setting up of the information systemin forestry;

• Order of the Minister of Forestry for approval ofTechnical Instructions no. 10/1988 concerningthe production, certification and genetic con-trol of forestry planting materials;

• Law no. 124/1995 for the approval of Govern-mental Ordinance no. 47/1994 concerningfight against disasters;

• Law no. 212/1997 for the approval of Govern-mental Ordinance no. 60/1997 concerningfight against fires;

• Law no. 26/1996, the Forestry Code;

Policies and Measures to Mitigate Greenhouse Gas Emissions 111

Page 107: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

• Order no. 1654/2000 of the Minister of Waterand Environmental Protection concerning theapproval of the Norms for fire prevention andextinction in the forests;

• Order no. 269/2001 of the Minister of Agri-culture, Food and Forestry for approval of theNational Catalogue of sources for forestry pro-pagating materials in Romania.

Concerning community forest protectionagainst atmospheric pollution the RomanianGovernment ensured the implementation of theEU scheme concerning the protection of forestsagainst atmospheric pollution (Regulation3528/86) by the Ministry of Agriculture, Foodand Forestry through the Institute of ForestsResearch and Arrangements (ICAS) under thesubordination of the National Public Admini-stration of Forests (RNP).

The forest regeneration programme developedin 2002, which was analyzed and approved bythe Board of the National Public Administrationof Forests, provided for the execution of regene-ration works on 17,200 ha of forests. Fromwhich natural regeneration involves 8,200 haand integral afforestation 9000 ha.

In the recent past Romania managed to imple-

ment regeneration activities on 20951 ha forestsadministered by the National Public Admini-stration of Forests based on a specific coordina-tion program. From the total regenerated forestarea 9665 ha were natural regenerations and11286 ha were based on reforestation. The rege-neration works ensure the recovery of forest ve-getation, the increase of forest efficiency forwood production and also the maximization ofthe protection actions provided by the forests.

The National Public Administration of Forestsimplemented the regeneration works with animportant financial effort, with the total cost ofthe works being over 404,3 billion lei (11 millionEuro). From the total value more than 345,3 bil-lion lei have been taken from the ForestsConservation and Regeneration Fund establis-hed in accordance with the provisions of theForestry Code, more than 33,9 billion lei were taken form the budgetary sources and externalcredits, and more than 24,8 billion lei being allo-cated from the land law fund for forest arrange-ments.

The National Public Administration of Forestsactively involved in supporting the developmentof forest regeneration works implemented on ot-her owners forestlands, the total value being 912

112 Romania

Page 108: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

ha. Important support was also provided to otherowners of forestlands by establishing 109 ha offorest belts.

4.2.2.6 Waste

In the last period, the waste sector representedone of the most acute problems of environmen-tal protection in Romania. Large quantities ofwaste are produced annually, both due to the last14 years of development, including the rise ofproduction and consumption activities and dueto the old industrial technologies and installa-tions. All leading to intensive energy and rawmaterials consumption. The inadequate mana-gement of waste leads to numerous cases of con-tamination of soil and underground water andthreatening human health.

Economical components of waste which canbe reused, can be treated and recycled or transfer-red to a treatment plant (in order to diminish thehazardous degree) or to an incinerator (in orderto reduce the volume). The unrecoverable wastesare usually stored.

Each step in waste management may pose apotential risk for the environment due to the dif-ferent management methods involving the dis-charge of some pollutants in the environment.Agriculture, mining, industry and domestic acti-vities are important waste sources as far as thequantitative and environmental impact. Wastemanagement in Romania is based on the „pollu-ter pays” principle. As a result waste manage-ment for both types of activity - industrial wasteand municipal waste - is organized and operatedon economic basis.

According to the provisions of the Law no.462/2001, the Ministry of Water and Environ-mental Protection periodically elaborates theNational Plan for Waste Management based onthe county plans elaborated by the territorialauthorities for environmental protection. Thecounty waste management plans are establishedbased on the plans set out by the local councilsand the waste producers from every county. Thecounty councils coordinate the elaboration of

the local councils plans and adopt the countyplan elaborated by the territorial authority forenvironmental protection.

The present collection/transportation/storagepractices for urban waste are inadequate, genera-ting a negative impact on environmental factorsand facilitating the spreading of pathogen agentsand their borne vector diseases. In particular, in-dustrial waste represents risk sources for humanhealth and the environment, due to their toxicsubstances content, such as heavy metals (lead,cadmium), pesticides, waste oils.

Municipal waste landfills are counted on thelist of sources recognized as impact and risk gene-rators for environment and human health due tolimited arrangements and to the improper ex-ploitation.

The main forms of impact and risk generatedby urban and industrial waste landfills are classi-fied based on the population views as:

Policies and Measures to Mitigate Greenhouse Gas Emissions 113

Page 109: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

• Landscape change and visual discomfort;• Air pollution;• Surface water pollution;• Modification in soil fertility and composition

of the neighbouring lands;• Increasing the global warming process.

During recent years, Romania concentrated itsefforts in some important ways to protect the environment, one of them being the waste pro-blem. Therefore, the Ministry of Water and En-vironmental Protection, through the Directorateof Wastes and Hazardous Chemicals Mana-gement, followed the harmonization of Roma-nian legislation with the European Union legi-slation and initiated the establishment andadoption of a national strategy. At the same timeit supported the implementation of a nationalplan for industrial and urban waste manage-ment.

The following regulations were adopted in thewaste management field in the last period:

• Law no. 426/2001 for approving the Govern-mental Emergency Ordinance no. 78/2000 onwaste management;

• Governmental Decision (GD) no. 662/2001 re-garding the management of exhausted oil (re-vised with GD no. 441/2002);

• Law no. 465/2001 for approving the Govern-mental Emergency Ordinance no. 16/2001 onthe recyclable industrial waste management;

• Governmental Decision no. 1057/2001 on themanagement of batteries and accumulatorscontaining dangerous substances;

• Law no. 139/2002 for approving the Govern-mental Emergency Ordinance no. 87/2001 re-garding the local public services for sanitation;

• Governmental Decision no. 128/2002 regar-ding waste incineration;

• Governmental Decision no. 162/2002 regar-ding waste storage;

• Environment Minister Order no. 867/2002 re-garding the criteria to be followed by waste inorder to be recovered; on the specific list oflandfills; and on the national list of waste typesaccepted in different storage class;

• Governmental Decision no. 349/2002 regar-ding package and waste package management;

• Environment Minister Order no. 1190/2002 re-garding the package and waste package data re-porting procedure;

• Governmental Decision no. 856/2002 regar-ding the waste management evidence and ap-proval of waste types list, including hazardouswastes.

More legislation is necessary to encourage quan-titative reduction of waste at sources, waste reu-tilization and recycling in order to reduce thewaste impact on the environment. The regula-tions must establish ways and means for wastecollection, treatment and storage in safety condi-tions both for human and environment, and en-courage initiatives to recover the land contami-nated by waste.

The essential principles presented below willbe taken into account in order to establish thewaste management strategy.• Source prevention principle;• Polluter pays principle (the costs related to wa-

114 Romania

Page 110: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

ste treatment and discharge are supported bythe waste generators);

• Precautionary principle (the measures takenhave to anticipate the negative effects on envi-ronment);

• Proximity principle (the waste have to be ma-naged near the generation source).

All the possible measures for an adequate wastemanagement have to consider the main optionsin this field, having the following priorities:• Waste minimization/reducing;• Waste reusing, recovering, recycling;• Waste treatment;• Waste storage.

The national waste Strategy and the NationalPlan for Waste Management elaborated by theMinistry of Water and Environmental Protec-tion, as well as all the recommendations regar-ding the adequate waste management considerthe following options of waste policy:• Waste reduction (product redesign, technologi-

cal process improvement, replacing of someraw materials, restrictions regarding some pro-ducts and packages);

• Material reusing, waste recovering and recyc-ling (closing of material cycles, separate collec-tion according with waste types, using the BestAvailable Techniques in technological proces-ses);

• Elaboration of integrated management plansfor waste from company, local and regional le-vel to national level;

• Imposing some restrictions to waste storage,using the best techniques for waste treatment,imposing some thresholds for emissions resul-ted at waste incineration, obligations to moni-tor the waste landfills;

• Reducing the transboundary transport of ha-zardous wastes by respecting the Basel Con-vention conditions and other European UnionDirectives in the same field;

• Respecting all regulations referring to wastemanagement.

The analysis performed in 2001-2002 from allexisted and projected data resulted in the identi-

fication of the optimum number for non-hazar-dous waste landfills (50 landfills) necessary inRomania for the next 20 years. This task will beachieved by implementing the following invest-ments:• Finalizing the construction of those 3 landfills

developed according to the EU Directive99/31/EC provisions, which are now underconstruction;

• Conditioning of the 11 landfills, which followto a great extent the EU Directive 99/31/ECprovisions;

• Extension of the 9 landfills, which do not fol-low the EU Directive 99/31/EC provisions, bycarrying out of some conforming zonal land-fills in the respective establishments;

• Elaboration of documentation, identifying thefinancial sources, building and starting the ex-ploitation of landfills, which are presented inthe National Action Plan for EnvironmentalProtection (ISPA projects in different preparingphases, priority projects, projects mentioned inthe National Plan for Waste Management, ot-her projects with international financing).

In 2002, 252 urban waste landfills were recorded,owned by cities and municipalities, representing27% of the total waste landfills in the country.

Policies and Measures to Mitigate Greenhouse Gas Emissions 115

Page 111: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

The urban landfills cover 800 ha approximately,which represent about 7% of the total surfaces af-fected by the waste storage.

From the total number of landfills screened: • 11 new waste landfills have free storage capa-

city, which are in accordance with the mostpart of the EU Directive 99/31/EC provisions,equivalent with the Governmental Decisionno. 162/2000, regarding the waste storagewhich require operation improvements andmonitoring for a total conformity;

• 238 urban waste landfills with variable freestorage capacity, which do not follow the req-uirements of the EU Directive 99/31/EC andGovernmental Decision no. 162/2000;

• 3 waste landfills were under construction in2002.

The classification under the EU Directive for thetotal 252 landfills screened was performed accor-ding to the landfill owner and operator, to thetype of waste stored, and to the type of industrialactivities developed in the area. Hence, the resultwas that all the 252 landfills screened are classi-fied in „b” storage class (landfills for non-hazar-dous wastes).

From the already mentioned 238 landfills thatdo not follow the EU Directive, 9 landfills have

capacities larger than 500,000 m3 and carry outthe criteria referring to the distance from surfacewater, the distance from populated areas, the un-derground water depth. These establishmentswill be authorized for extension and they couldbe conditioned in order to become zonal land-fills only the approval of the environmental eva-luation (according to the provisions of theNational Plan for Waste Management for the res-pective counties).

4.2.3. Joint Implementationin Romania

Joint Implementation (JI) is one of the three „fle-xible mechanisms” provided by the KyotoProtocol, for achieving the greenhouse gas(GHG) emissions reduction commitments in acost effective manner. Joint Implementation isbased on the Kyoto Protocol's Article 6 and it is aproject-based economic instrument.

GHG emission reductions require considera-ble investments and can be costly in the most in-dustrially developed countries. The most devel-oped economies of the world are normally quiteenergy efficient, so the cost of an emission reduc-tion unit is high. GHG emissions reduction can

116 Romania

Page 112: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

however be much cheaper in less developed eco-nomies, for example in the countries of Centraland Eastern Europe.

International legislation in the climate changefield consists of 2 MEAs (UNFCCC and the KyotoProtocol) and the relevant rules, decisions, mo-dalities, guidelines and procedures adopted thereunder.

The EU legislation provides guidelines for implementing the 2 MEAs, some directions of action on GHG monitoring and inventories anda scheme for GHG emission allowance tradingwithin the Community.

At present, the following EU regulations in theclimate change field are:• Council Decision 1993/389/EEC on monito-

ring and reporting of CO2 and other green-house gas emissions amended by Decision1999/296/EC;

• Council Decision 2002/358/EC, concerningthe approval, on behalf of the EuropeanCommunity, of the Kyoto Protocol to theUnited Nations Framework Convention onClimate Change and the joint fulfilment ofcommitments thereunder,

• Council Directive 2003/87/EC establishing ascheme for GHG emission allowance tradingwithin the Community and amending CouncilDirective 96/61/EC.

The corresponding Romanian legislation is refer-ring to the following pieces of legislation:• Law no. 24/1994 (Official Journal No. 119/

12.05.1994) for the ratification of the UnitedNations Framework Convention on ClimateChange, signed in Rio de Janeiro on 5 June 1992;

• Law no. 3/2001 (Official Journal No. 81/16.02.2001) for the ratification of the KyotoProtocol to the United Nations FrameworkConvention on Climate Change, adopted on11 December 1997;

• Governmental Decision no. 1275/1996 (Offi-cial Journal No. 326/06.12.1996) for establis-hing and functioning of the National Com-mission on Climate Change, a consultativeinter-ministerial body in the coordination ofthe MEWM with the role to promote the neces-sary measures for unitary implementation in

Romania of the objectives of the UNFCCC andKyoto Protocol.

As mentioned before, the short term priorityidentified in the climate change sector is the ela-boration of the Law or Governmental Decisionfor approving the National Strategy on ClimateChange and National Action Plan on ClimateChange.

There are also many legal documents and stra-tegies that indirectly affect JI projects, in particu-lar on setting baseline GHG emissions, which isnot only crucial for eligibility testing as JI for aproject but also determines the amount of ERUsthat can be generated by the project. The mostimportant circumstance in this respect is nodoubt EU accession, and most relevant sectors tobe examined are energy, environment (waste ma-nagement in particular) and forestry (for sinkprojects). As these instruments generally pro-mote higher energy efficiency and stricter envi-ronmental standards, they push baseline emis-sions downwards.

Policies and Measures to Mitigate Greenhouse Gas Emissions 117

Page 113: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

Romania was the first UNFCCC Annex I coun-try (the developed countries and the transitionto market economy countries) that ratified theKyoto Protocol through Law nr. 3/2001, thuscommitting itself to reduce GHG emissions by8% in the first commitment period 2008 - 2012,comparing with the base year (1989), with a viewto harmonize the European Union's measures ofreducing the same percentage. In realizing a su-stained economic growth, Romania's GHG emis-sions are expected to increase slightly untill2008, and also in the first commitment periodunless Romania is able to preserve the reductionsof emissions by implementing energy efficiencyand other GHG emissions reduction measures,and also by decoupling economical developmentand GHG emis- sions trends. Following the sig-ning of the Kyoto Protocol in 1997 Romania star-ted to cooperate with different countries on pre-paring for the implementation of the protocol'sflexible mechanisms. Romania was involvedfirstly in the Activities Implemented Jointly (AIJ)as a „pilot” stage for JI. The main objective of thecooperation between governments in this phasewas the need to understand the possibilities ofimplementing this kind of projects for the furt-her stages. Romania carried out 5 AIJ projects.

Emission Reduction at Power Plants (AIJ)The project consists of three phases, the first ofwhich started at the beginning of 1997. Duringthe first phase of the project, a large number ofpower plants were visited, and then a selectionwas made at which plants the emission reduc-tions would take place. The establishment of thebaselines followed the first phase. After fact-fin-ding was completed, a program of energy conser-vation and CO2 reduction was implemented forabout two years. One of the activities within thisproject was the optimization of the management(periodical measurements and training and re-commendations for policies and measures).

Improvement of Wastewater Infrastructureat Targu Mures (AIJ)The project focused on the improvement of thetechnology used to collect and treat wastewater.Targu Mures municipal water company (RAGCL)had a sound strategy and vision with regard to itsprivatization. The most important elements ofthis strategy were the development of a cost andenergy-effective water treatment system, the up-grading of technology and equipment and thetraining and education of staff. This project ismeant to contribute to the realization of thisstrategy. Another part of the project provided forthe opportunity to disseminate the new techno-logies and management techniques to other wa-ter companies.

Energy Efficiency in Drinking Water Supply (AIJ)The project improved the drinking water supplysystem in the city of Targu Mures. The projectcontributes to the same objectives as the projectabove.

District Heating Project Bistrita and Tirgu Mures: Project identification and feasibility study (AIJ) An identification mission took place for possibleSwiss contributions to the improvement of dis-trict heating systems in the Romanian citiesBistrita and Tirgu Mures. In this project the as-sessment of technical, economic and environ-mental aspects was carried out, including the po-

118 Romania

Page 114: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

tential for Joint Implementation under theKyoto Protocol and transfer of GHG emissionsreduction units generated by the project.

Swiss Thermal Energy Project (STEP), Roma-nia (AIJ) The AIJ project proposed by Switzerland consi-sted in the retrofitting of two district heating sy-stems in Romania. The tasks performed in theproject included participation in the validationprocess, implementation of monitoring proto-col, AIJ-related training of local counterparts.Switzerland proposed to modify the AIJ projectin a Joint Implementation project.

Taking into account the possibilities identifiedin developing JI projects the first Memorandumof Understanding, creating the framework fro JIprojects implementation was signed with theSwitzerland in 1999, and the first JI project star-ted in 2000 (initial as AIJ).

Romania signed recent years several Memo-randa of Understanding with different coun-tries like: the Netherlands, Norway, Denmark, Austria, Sweden and the World Bank's PrototypeCarbon Fund. To date, a total of 11 JI projectshave started being implemented or have alreadybeen finished in Romania, with the investments

from some of the countries mentioned above, aspresented in the table. These important invest-ments will generate over 7.5 million ERUs in thefirst commitment period (2008-2012).

Concluding a bilateral Memorandum ofUnderstanding (MoU) on JI co-operation bet-ween host and investing countries is not a requi-rement under the Kyoto Protocol, but it has be-come a common practice, or often regarded aspre-requisite by Central and Eastern Europeancountries before implementing JI projects. MoUsare normally expected to serve as an alternativeto official rules under the Kyoto Protocol at leastuntil the Protocol becomes operational after itsentry into force.

In other words, if both host and investingcountries can allow the risk of the other party'sinobservance of JI Project Agreement preparedon a project-by-project basis, then MoUs mightnot be absolutely necessary.

The objectives of MoUs are generally to pledgean expedited JI approval process in both hostand investing countries, and to represent a go-vernmental guarantee of ERU transfers from thehost to the investing country under the MoUonce the Kyoto Protocol enters into force and theofficial JI procedure starts functioning.

Policies and Measures to Mitigate Greenhouse Gas Emissions 119

Page 115: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

The approved 11 JI projects break down byproject type as follows:

5 energy efficiency projects, of which • 4 district heating, including 2 co-generation• 1 industrial technology improvement

(cement plants)4 renewable energy projects, of which• 2 hydropower• 1 biomass (sawdust)• 1 geothermal1 landfill gas recovery project1 afforestation project

All projects, especially hydropower ones, requireconsiderable investments and bring revenues inaddition to ERU sales. ERU sales are normally byfar insufficient to cover the cost of abatement.

Marginal cost of GHG emission abatement itselfis very project specific and more importantly, itcannot be an indicator of project's cost effective-ness, which affects the eligibility as JI, since GHGabatement cost is only a part of whole projectcost. Investment in clean technology leads notonly to emission reductions, but also new tech-nology, fuel cost reductions, and new or upgra-ded production facilities for electricity and heat.

ERU sales revenue is most important for co-ge-neration, landfills and afforestation. Closing theold landfills is expensive and cannot be coveredby disposal fees. Afforestation does not havemuch of commercial value, too. Co-generationappears to be the least commercially attractivepart of energy efficiency projects in district hea-ting.

120 Romania

No Project Agreement

1. Swiss Thermal Energy Project in Buzau and Pascani (AIJ/JI) MoU Switzerland

2. Development of the Municipal Utilities - Heating System in Fagaras MoU Norway

3. Modernization of 3 Hydro Units at Portile de Fier I Hydropower Plant ERUPT 2 - the Netherlands

4. Refurbishing of the Cement Factories Alesd and Campulung ERUPT 2 - the Netherlands

5. Modernization of 4 Hydro Units at Portile de Fier II Hydropower Plant ERUPT 3 - the Netherlands

6. „Sawdust 2000” Project MoU Denmark

7. Geothermal Energy Use in Oradea-Area II and Beius District Heating Systems MoU Denmark

8. Afforestation of 7000 ha Degraded Agricultural Land Host Country Agreement- PCF

9. Landfill Gas Recovery in 4 Major Cities ERUPT 4 - the Netherlands(Baia Mare, Satu Mare, Oradea, Sf. Gheorghe)

10. Municipal Cogeneration Targoviste ERUPT 4 - the Netherlands

11. Rehabilitation of Bucharest District Heating System* MoU Switzerland

MoU - Memorandum of Understanding* Project Agreement under negotiation

Table 4.1. Joint Implementation projects in Romania

Swiss Thermal Energy Project in Buzau andPascani (AIJ/JI)The project rehabilitated a part of the districtheating system in the two towns Buzau andPascani as a demonstration project. The maincomponents financed by Switzerland include:

CHP units, thermal substations, electronic ener-gy meters and all materials necessary to replacedistribution pipes.

The investment amounts to EUR 70 millionbetween 2000-2002, of which EUR 7 million wasborn by a Swiss national investment-facilitating

Page 116: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

agency (SECO). GHG emission reductions fromthe project will amount to 139,000 tCO2 equiva-lent in the Kyoto Protocol's first commitment pe-riod.

Development of the Municipal Utilities -Heating System in FagarasThe project is implemented based on the bilate-ral cooperation with Norway aims to rehabilitatethe district heating system in Fagaras city. Eightzonal thermal plants with capacities ranging bet-ween 7.4 and 16 MW will replace a total of 25 oldthermal plants and points. The new system con-sists of high capacity and efficient boilers andpre-insulated pipe system, and meters at eachconsumer. The total investment amounts to USD13 million, of which the emission reduction ac-counts for USD 0.5 million.

The total emissions reductions for the firstcommitment period were estimated at 35,000tCO2 equivalent per year or 175,000 tCO2 equiva-lent in total.

Modernization of 3 Hydro Units at Portile deFier I Hydropower PlantThe project developed based on the cooperationwith the Netherlands consists of the moderniza-tion of three hydro units (out of six) within thePortile de Fier I hydropower plant. The projectaims to increase the unitary active power from175 MW to 194.5 MW, to expand the ancillaryservices and to extend the hydro units life dura-tion by 30 years. The project development bene-fits from the solution that has already been suc-cessfully applied for the modernization of theother three hydro units within the same plant.

The investment amounts to approximatelyEUR 200 million, which will come from the sour-ces of the owner (Hidroelectrica) through energysales, and the support from the Dutch govern-ment through ERUPT 2 programme. The expec-ted ERUs are 1,674,000 tCO2 equivalent in totalfor the first commitment period (or 335,000tCO2 equivalent per year in average).

Reduction of CO2 Emissions at Alesd andCampulung Cement PlantsThe project developed based on the cooperation

with the Netherlands consists of the upgradingof two Holcim's cement plants in Alesd andCimpulung in order to improve the energy effici-ency of cement production process at theseplants. The upgrading includes raw mill feed sy-stem, raw mill grinding, pre-heater tower, coolerand cement mills.

The total cost of the projects has been estima-ted at about EUR 30 million for Alesd plant andabout EUR 5 million for Campulung plant, whileERUs are expected to account for 888,000 tCO2

equivalent in total for the first commitment pe-riod (or 178,000 tCO2 equivalent per year in ave-rage).

Modernization of 4 Hydro Units at Portile deFier II Hydropower PlantThe project developed based on the cooperationwith the Netherlands consists of overhaulingand modernizing the 4 units out of the existing8 within Portile de Fier II hydropower plant. Thescope of the modernization is to increase the eco-

Policies and Measures to Mitigate Greenhouse Gas Emissions 121

Page 117: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

nomic efficiency of the hydropower plant by im-proving its reliability, by raising the power re-serve and the output of the plant, thus meetingthe conditions required for aligning and inclu-ding it into the ancillary service category. Thesupplementary installed power in these four hy-dro-units will be 22 MW, which will lead to asupplementary energy of 212.133 GWh/year.

The investment amounts to approximatelyEUR 200 million and the expected ERUs to betransferred are 850,000 tCO2 equivalent in totalfor the first commitment period.

„Sawdust 2000” ProjectThe project will implement the technology forusing sawdust for district heating as the fuel inthe small to medium towns of Gheorgheni, VatraDornei, Vlahita, Huedin and Intorsura Buzaului,where the existing boiler systems consist of heatonly boilers for production of hot water for spaceheating and for production of domestic hot wa-ter. The project will introduce new automaticallycontrolled biomass boiler systems and a twotrack pre-insulated district heating network pipesystem, construct new or renovate old boilerhouses, and construct sawdust storage.

The overall project cost is over EUR 13 million,of which EUR 2.6 million (20%) is provided bythe Danish Environmental Protection Agencythrough the JI mechanism. Total GHG emissionsreduction until the end of the first commitmentperiod is calculated at 720,000 tCO2 equivalent.GHG emissions reductions are due to the classicfuel substitution and to the CH4 emissions de-crease from the anaerobic digestion of sawdust instock piles.

Geothermal energy The project to be implemented under the bilate-ral cooperation between Romania and Denmarkand it is a fuel-switching project addressing thedistrict heating systems in the city of Oradea -Area II and in the town of Beius aiming to substi-tute fossil fuels (lignite, oil and natural gas) withlocal geothermal energy resources.

The project idea is to increase the use of geot-hermal energy resources in the city of Oradea byerecting a new geothermal heating plant and re-habilitation of existing DH system (pipe net-work, substation installations etc.) in Area II. InBeius the project idea is to increase the supply ofgeothermal energy from the new geothermal DH

122 Romania

Page 118: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

system to public buildings in the town of Beius.The total investment amounts to about EUR 2.2million and the estimated emissions reductionsare 190.000 tCO2 equivalent until the end of thefirst commitment period.

Afforestation of 7000 ha of Degraded Agri-cultural Land Project (JI)

The project is implemented on the basis ofRomania's cooperation with the World Bank'sPrototype Carbon Fund consists of the reforesta-tion of approximately 7000 ha of degraded agric-ultural land (6,728 ha net area without roads andbuildings etc.) and the location is spread acrossseven counties in the Southwestern and South-eastern Romania (Braila, Dolj, Galati, Mehedinti,Olt, Tulcea and Vaslui). The Romanian counter-part and the implementing organization is theNational Public Administration of Forests. Esti-mated emission reduction is over 1 million tCO2

equivalent over the period of 2002 - 2012.

Landfill Gas Recovery in Romania (JI)The project to be developed under the coopera-tion with the Netherlands proposes to build andoperate installations for the extraction of met-hane gas at four landfills in Romania. The extrac-ted biogas will be converted into electricity bygas engines and will in the future be supplied tothe public network or to local users. The invest-ments will be made in gas collection network,permeable pipes, gas domes, gas engines and ot-hers. The project will be financed through the sa-les of ERUs and electricity generated from thecollected biogas.

The approximate initial investment willamount to EUR 32 million, followed by EUR 12.5million for annual operational cost. The ERUsestimated to be generated by the project will be750,000 tCO2 equivalent in total for the firstcommitment period (or 150,000 tCO2 equivalentper year in average).

Targoviste Co-generation ProjectThe project is to be implemented under the bila-teral cooperation with the Netherlands with theaim to build new co-generation facilities (6.5MWe) and rehabilitate the existing heat-only

boilers, the heat transport and distribution net-works in the Municipality of Targoviste. The exi-sting and rather old (around 25-30 years) heatproduction facilities that are scheduled to be re-placed by the project have a very low thermal ef-ficiency, leading to a relatively high consump-tion of natural gas for the heat produced. Theproject is based on a study carried out by theMunicipality of Targoviste and the municipality-owned heat distributing company S.C. TermicaS.A., together with Nuon, the Netherlands.

The total investment amounts to EUR 6,5 mil-lion. The project intends to reduce the GHGemissions by 400,000 tCO2 equivalent until theend of the first commitment period.

District heating system rehabilitation -Bucharest (JI) The project is to be developed based on coopera-tion with Switzerland and is to rehabilitate a partof the district heating system in Bucharest. Thiswill be done by installing automation and con-trol equipment, as well as pumps and frequencyconverters at around 600 thermal points, and byinstalling balancing valves for all final consu-mers connected to about 700 thermal points.The project implementation is expected to saveapproximately 237,400 Gcal/year of thermalenergy, and 20,100 MWh/year of electric energy.

The total investment is EUR 51 million, ofwhich EUR 7 million is provided by SECOthrough the JI mechanism. After full implemen-tation of the rehabilitation program, achievedERUs will be around 69,000 tCO2 equivalent peryear in average during the first commitment pe-riod. For the time being the project agreement isunder negotiation.

All these measures demonstrate the strong willof the Romanian Government to comply withthe commitments resulted from ratifying theUNFCCC and the Kyoto Protocol.

Policies and Measures to Mitigate Greenhouse Gas Emissions 123

Page 119: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

5.1. Introduction

Emission projections in Romania are influencedby the uncertainties related to the privatizationprocess and the continuous efforts for the har-monization of national legislation with the EUacquis communautaire. The assumptions forthese projections are in accordance with the eco-nomical situation in the period 2000-2003, the„Road Map for the energy sector of Romania“elaborated by the Romanian Government onJuly 2003 and the „Romanian Government stra-tegy for the period 2004-2025“.

The evolution of the economic activity in theperiod from 1989 was very much influenced bythe important changes at the political and sociallevel that occurred when Romania entered intothe transition period towards a market-orienta-ted economy. Thus, all Romanian Governmentsafter 1989 considered the deep economic reformas the first objective but the results were affected

by the world economic crisis, the chosen libera-lization policy, the lack of proper legislation, etc.

After 2000 the Romanian Government tookappropriate measures to stop the negative econo-mic trend. Since 2000, the economic environ-ment has undergone a revitalization processthrough a slight increase in economic growth, areduction in inflation and unemployment rates,an improvement of the main macroeconomic in-dicators and financial currency balances and anacceleration of the privatization process.

After 2000 the Romanian Government's po-licy was to support an accelerated growth of theGDP in the view of achieving the strategic objec-tive of economic discrepancy reduction betweenRomania and the EU member states. In relationto this, two scenarios (base and alternative) arepresented in Table 5.1 regarding the GDP growthfor the period 2002-2015 in accordance with the„Road Map for the energy sector of Romania“.

Projections and Asessmentof Measures Effects to Mitigate Greenhouse GasEmissions

Table 5.1. The GDP growth for the period 2000-2015

GDP growth (%)

Achieved in the Forecastperiod 2000-2001 2002-2005 2006-2010 2011-2015 2002-2015

Base scenario 5.2 5.1 6.0 5.2 5.4

Alternative scenario 5.2 4.4 5.5 4.8 4.9

Page 120: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

In the „Road Map for the energy sector ofRomania“ the following important elements areobserved:• the base scenario takes into consideration the

accelerated development of the economy,where industrial development has a key role, aswell as the acceleration of privatization in elec-tricity, gas and oil sectors but also accomplish-ment of the privatization in other sectors of thenational economy;

• the alternative scenario takes into considera-tion the possible negative impact of the trendof the world economy on the Romanian mar-ket which can slow down some economic pro-cess;

• in the basic scenario as provided in the strategyfor energy efficiency, the overall energy inten-sity has to be reduced by 30-50% until the year

2015, in a complex process which involves re-placing technologies with high energy con-sumption and a structural adjustment of theeconomy.

The approval of the „National Strategy for priva-tization“ (1999), the „Energy Efficiency Law“(year 2000), the „National Environmental ActionPlan“ (year 2002), and the „Electricity Law“ (year2003) ensured the suitable conditions for theachieved structural reforms.

126 Romania

Table 5.2. Macroeconomic and energy indicators of Romania for the period 1998-2020

U.M. 1998 1999 2000

Achievements

1. Population 106 loc 22,5 22,5 22,4

2. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) 109 $98 42,1 41,6 42,4

GDP/inhabitant $98/inhabitant 1871 1852 1890

3. Final energy consumption 106 tep 25,13 21,36 22,17

final consumption/inhabitant tep/inhabitant 1,1 1,0 1,0

4. Final electricity consumption TWh 42,23 38,74 39,78

final consumtion/inhabitant kWh/inhabitant 1877 1725 1773

1. Population 106 loc 22,5 22,5 22,4

2. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) 109 $98 42,1 41,6 42,4

GDP/inhabitant $98/inhabitant 1871 1852 1890

3. Final energy consumption 106 tep 25,13 21,36 22,17

final consumtion/inhabitant tep/inhabitant 1,1 1,0 1,0

4. Final electricity consumption TWh 42,23 38,74 39,78

final consumtion/inhabitant kWh/inhabitant 1877 1725 1773

Page 121: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

5.2. Projections of Green-house Gas Emissions

The economical development assessment up to2020 is based on the following main considera-tions:• structural change and modernization of the

economy;• different options for energy supply and for the

development of electricity generation capacityas:- hydro energy (estimated as economically fea-

sible at 500-900 MW);- nuclear energy (unit 2 and 3 at Cernavoda

Power Plant to be finalized);- renewable energy;- new and rehabilitated coal-fired units with

flue gas desulphuration (FGD) devices on lowNOX burners (LNB);

- new combined cycle units on natural gas.• evolution of cogeneration;• energy intensity reduction through:

- losses reduction in heat networks and in thenational power grid;

- increase of efficiency for new generationunits;

- increase of thermal insulation of buildings;- promotion of new and efficient vehicles for

freight and passengers transportation;- development of the public urban transporta-

tion;- increase of energy efficiency in households

and service sectors, etc.

Projections and Asessment of Measures Effects to Mitigate Greenhouse Gas Emissions 127

2001 2002 2003 2005 2010 2015 2020*)

Forecast

Base scenario

22,4 21,8 21,7 22,2 22,4 22,6 22,8

44,6 47,1 49,1 54,5 72,9 93,9 117,5

1990 2161 2259 2455 3254 4155 5154

22,44 23,37 23,80 24,50 29,10 34,20 37,50

1,0 1,1 1,1 1,1 1,3 1,5 1,6

41,13 40,78 41,71 44,14 50,99 57,59 63,58

1835 1871 1919 1988 2276 2548 2789

Alternative scenario

22,4 21,8 21,7 22,2 22,4 22,6 22,8

44,6 47,1 49,1 53 69,3 88,4 110,1

1990 2161 2259 2387 3094 3912 4829

22,44 23,37 23,80 24,9 30,1 35,3 38,7

1,0 1,1 1,1 1,1 1,3 1,6 1,7

41,13 40,78 41,71 44,59 51,35 58,01 64,02

1835 1871 1919 2009 2292 2567 2808

Note: *) Values are established in accordance with Romanian strategy for the period 2004 - 2025.

Page 122: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

Figures 5.1 and 5.2 provide the forecasts of the fi-nal energy demand and the gross domesticenergy consumption.

The adopted measures for the reduction ofGHG emissions were estimated and the projec-tions of GHG emissions for the period 2005-2020were presented using the following scenarios:• reference scenario – defined as „without mea-

sures“ scenario;• low scenario – defined as „with measures“ sce-

nario;• high scenario – defined as „with additional

measures“ scenario.

The starting point for the projections is the in-formation included in the National GHGInventory of Romania submitted in 2003 andprovisional data for the year 2002.

5.2.1. Hypotheses for „With-out Measures“, „With Measu-res“ and „With AdditionalMeasures“ Scenarios

The possible evolution of the GHG emissions hasbeen determined for both energy and non-energy sectors.

The following fields of activity have been stu-died for the non-energy sector:• agriculture – CH4 emissions from enteric fer-

mentation and manure management and N2Oemissions from using natural and chemical fer-tilizers;

• industry – emissions resulting in industrial pro-cesses;

• forestry – atmospheric carbon sequestrationoptions;

• solvents and other products – emissions havebeen determined in correlation with the econo-mic and technological evolution;

Macroeconomic and energy indicators ofRomania for the period 1998-2020 were used inorder to establish the reference scenario definedas „without measures“ scenario, and the scena-rios „with measures“ and „with additional mea-sures“ in accordance with the „Road Map for theenergy sector of Romania“ (Table 5.2).

The projections are based on calculations car-ried out using the ENPEP (Energy and PowerEvaluation Program) package program, devel-

oped by Argonne National Laboratory of USDepartment of Energy (DOE) and distributed toRomania by the International Atomic EnergyAgency (IAEA). The main models used are MAED(Model for Analyses of Energy Demand), WASP(Wiener Automatic Simulation Program), BA-LANCE and IMPACT.

Table 5.3 presents the key assumptions takeninto account in the „without measures“ scenario.

128 Romania

Table 5.3. Key assumptions used for the „without measures“ scenario

Parameter Unit 2005 2010 2015 2020

GDP 109$98 54.5 72.9 93.9 117.5

Population 106loc 22.2 22.4 22.6 22.8

GDP structure % 100 100 100 100• industry % 26.4 26.4 26.4 26.4• agriculture % 12.8 12.8 12.8 12.8• construction % 4.8 4.8 4.8 4.8• services % 56.0 56.0 56.0 56.0

Page 123: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

Projections and Asessment of Measures Effects to Mitigate Greenhouse Gas Emissions 129

20

25

30

35

40

2005 2010 2015 2020 Year

Figure 5.1. Forecast of Final Energy Demand by Scenarios

„Without measures“ scenario „With measures“ scenario

„With additional measures“ scenario

35

40

45

50

2005 2010 2015 2020 Y ear

Figure 5.2. Forecast of Gross Domestic Energy Consumption by Scenarios

„Without measures“ scenario „With measures“ scenario

„With additional measures“ scenario

Mill

. toe

Mill

. toe

Page 124: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

• waste – the management options for liquid andsolid waste.

The following sub-sectors have been analyzedin the energy sector:• energy supply from Romania and imports;• energy conversion - refineries, coke factories,

production of electricity and heat;• energy consumers.

5.2.1.1. „Without Measures“Scenario

The forecast of GHG emission has been determi-ned taking into consideration the various hypot-heses related to the evolution of activities in theenergy sector, which is the most important in theoverall GHG emissions in Romania, and the ot-her non-energy sectors.

Energy sectorFor the energy supply the following assumptionswere made:• total (maximum) domestic energy resources

(including nuclear) are about 24 mil. toe peryear for the period 2005-2015;

• the quantity of lignite used is about 6.1 mil. toein the period 2005-2015;

• the quantity of used hard coal is about 1.2 mil.toe in the period 2005-2015;

• the renewable energy represents about 5%from the total energy resources;

• the import of crude oil and natural gas will beachieved in order to cover the consumers de-mand;

• the demand of oil products will be assured byrefining both the Romanian and importedcrude oil in the country;

• the imported quantity of natural gas will in-crease from 5.8 bill. m3 in 2004 up to 14.4 bill.m3 in 2020;

• the nuclear energy program will be continuedat Cernavoda Nuclear Power Plant by startingthe operation at unit no. 2 in 2006-2007 andunit no. 3 up to 2015;

• the additional economically feasible hydropo-

wer generation capacity, estimated at 500-900MW, will be put in operation in the period2005-2020;

• the new electricity generation capacities will bebuilt and the old capacities will be rehabilitatedor retired;

• the modernization of cogeneration plants aswell as the programme for achieving new capa-cities on natural gas.

The overall picture is presented in table 5.4,the installed power structure in the period 2005-2020 is presented in table 5.5, and the gross elec-tricity production structure for the period 2005-2020 is presented in table 5.6.

The assumptions for the consumption energysectors are established based on the specific fea-tures of the consumers.

The assumptions for households are:• the decrease of persons per dwelling to 2.445 in

2020;• the reduction of useful energy consumption for

house cooking of about 4% during 15 years dueto the use of modern cooking methods by thegradual replacement of non-commercial fuelswith industrial fuels allowing their utilizationin higher efficiency dives;

• the increase of hot water consumption perdwelling by 11% until 2020;

• the increase of the electricity consumption perdwelling with about 100% until 2020 in com-parison with the consumption in 2000;

• the improving of thermal insulation degree ofresidences which determines the reduction ofaverage energy demand by 5% on the foreca-sted period.

The assumptions in the services sector are:• the specific consumption reduction of electri-

city by 20% for old buildings and by 5% fornew buildings;

• a specific consumption reduction for thermalenergy in new buildings due to good insulationby about 20% compared to old buildings.

In the transport sectors the development ofthe activities (goods transport, passengers inter-

130 Romania

Page 125: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

Projections and Asessment of Measures Effects to Mitigate Greenhouse Gas Emissions 131

Table 5.4. Evolution of installed power for new capacities and retired capacities in MW

Sector 2003-2005 2006-2010 2011-2015 2016-2020

New Retired New Retired New Retired New Retiredcapacities capacities capacities capacities capacities capacities capacities capacities

Hydro 129 - 200 - 200 - 500 -• New 99 200 200 500• Rehabilitation 30

Thermal 555 1280 3505 2185 710 - 1500 -• New 1455 500 1500• Rehabilitation 555 2060 210 -

Nuclear 707 707 -

Total 1284 1280 4412 2185 1617 - 2000 -

Note: The figures given for the period 2003-2015 are presented in the Road Map for the energy sector in Romania.

Table 5.5. Installed power structure in MW

2005 2010 2015 2020

TOTAL 15,691 16,838 18,455 20,455

Hydro power plants 6,181 6,381 6,581 7,081

Nuclear power plants 707 1,414 2,121 2,121

Thermal power plants, 8,803 9,043 9,753 11,253of which in units on:• Lignite 4,264 4,064 4,064 4,064• Hard coal 1,005 1,265 1,265 1,265• Hydrocarbons 3,534 3,714 4,424 5,924

Note: The figures given for the period 2005-2015 are presented in the Road Map for the energy sector in Romania.

Table 5.6. Gross electricity production structure in TWh

2005 2010 2015 2020

TOTAL 60.1 64.9 72.9 84.9

Hydro power plants 17.0 17.2 18.0 19.0

Nuclear power plants 5.34 10.68 16.02 16.02

Thermal power plants, 37.76 37.02 38.88 49.88of which:• Lignite 17.8 18.0 18.0 18.0• Hard coal 5.53 5.93 5.93 5.93• Hydrocarbons 14.43 13.09 14.95 25.95

Note: The figures given for the period 2005-2015 are presented in the Road Map for the energy sector in Romania.

Page 126: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

urban transport, passengers urban transport) iscorrelated with the increase of the value added inindustry during the period 2005 - 2020, the po-pulation evolution, the mobility degree increaseand the increase of car participation comparedwith the passenger transport. The assumptionsin this sector are:• the motor fuel consumption/ton*kilometer is

considered to be reduced in the period 2005 -2020 as following:- by 7% for trucks used for local transport;- by 10% for long distance transport;- by 20% for Diesel transport;- by 18% for electric transport;

• the average motor fuel consumption of a carwill decrease in the period 2005 - 2020 by 5%for interurban transport and by 4% for urbantransport;

• the average motor fuel consumption of a buswill decrease in the period 2005 - 2020 by 15%for interurban transport and by 8% for urbantransport.

Non-energy sectorsThe hypotheses taken into account in the agric-ulture sector are:• the agricultural area is about 14.9 mil. ha, out

of which 63% arable land, 23% pastures, 10%hayfields, 2% vineyards, 2% orchards;

• 60% of agricultural residues are incorporated insoil, 25% are used as animal food, 15% are usedin industry;

• the amount of chemical fertilizers per land unitwill increase progressively as following: about280 thou. tons of nitrogenous fertilizers will beused in 2020 in comparison with 239 thou.tons used in 2002;

• livestock populations will increase in the follo-wing mode:- cattle from 2,878 thou. heads in 2003 at 4,600

thou. heads in 2020;- pigs from 5,058 thou. heads in 2003 at 8,000

thou. heads in 2020;- sheep and goats from 7,945 thou. heads in

2003 at 10,000 thou. heads in 2020;- poultry from 77,379 thou. heads in 2003 at

111,000 thou. heads in 2020.

The hypotheses in the forest ecosystems arepresented below:• the forest area is relatively constant, about 6.4

mil. ha until 2020;• the harvested wood volume will increase from

16.4 mil. m3 in 2002 to 18 mil. m3 in 2020;• afforestation and reforestation will increase from

16,448 ha in 2002 to about 200,000 ha in 2020;• all works necessary to regenerate and clean fo-

rests shall be made including the following cut-ting wood areas:- about 55,000 ha regeneration of the cutting

wood covered area;- about 80,000 ha for forest cleaning opera-

tions;- about 25,000 ha for attendance cuttings in

young forests;- about 50,000 ha for accidental cuttings.

The assumptions in the industry sector are re-lated to the evolution of the main industrial pro-cesses. Thus, the production parameters for cast-iron, steel, aluminum, other non-ferrous metals,chemical fertilizers, other chemical products,and cement represent the essential elements thatwere analyzed for the establishment of GHGemissions projections.

The quantity and quality of waste are determi-ned in accordance with the increase of the living

132 Romania

Page 127: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

standard in the period 2005 - 2020. The main ele-ments consist in the growth of the urbanizationrate, the growth of water consumption per houseby refurbishing the drinkable water network inplaces where it exists and extending it to othernew areas, also raising the services standard byexpanding the responsibility for cleaning the en-vironment and the populated areas.

5.2.1.2. „With Measures“ and„With Additional Measures“Scenarios

The measures for the GHG emissions reductionhave been established on each activity sector ta-king into consideration various options, but dif-ferent indirect measures to be developed in thefuture could have an important effect onRomania's GHG emissions.

Energy sectorThe increase of natural gas imported, the devel-opment of the nuclear programme and the in-crease of hydropower and other renewable sour-ces share in the energy production have beenconsidered as alternatives in the energy supplyand electricity generation sector.

The development of industrial and urban co-generation plants by increasing the output withabout 500 MW until 2020 were also taken intoconsideration in the conditions of heat loses re-duction by about 20% in the same period.

In the consumption sectors an alternative wasconsidered in the reduction of energy intensityin accordance with the Road Map for the energysector in Romania. In the energy efficiency stra-tegy, the overall energy intensity is to be reducedby 30 - 50% until the year 2015 in a complex pro-cess, which involves the replacement of high-energy consumption technologies in a structuraladjustment of the economy.

Non-energy sectorsTwo basic options were chosen in the forestrysector, considering the process of carbon seque-stration, namely the increase of areas covered by

forests with about 100 - 200 thou. ha until 2020and the implementation of special measures inrelation with forest management in order tocreate optimum structures.

Several activities were considered in order toreduce methane emission from enteric fermenta-tion in the agriculture sector and the most im-portant could be the improvement of the nutri-tion quality by increasing the protein share andthe improvement of livestock performances. Thedecrease of nitrogenous fertilizers utilization isalso considered in order to reduce the N2O emis-sions due to concentrated agricultural land andthe economically consolidated farms.

Using new and modern installations and in-vestments for environmental protection are con-sidered in the industrial processes sector in orderto reduce the GHG emissions.

Projections and Asessment of Measures Effects to Mitigate Greenhouse Gas Emissions 133

Page 128: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

134 Romania

Table 5.7. Summary of anthropogenic CO2 emissions projections for „without measures“ scenario in Gg

1998 1999 2000

Total emissions 109.006,6 91.800,0 94.576,8out of which:

Energy sector (fossil fuel combustion) 93.122,3 80.326,6 82.452,6• Energy industries 52.413,5 46.009,8 46.122,3• Manufacturing & Construction 20.046,5 17.776,5 18.752,4• Transportation 10.783,7 8.510,2 9.286,8• Other sectors 9.878,7 8.030,0 8.291,2

Industry processes 15.884,2 11.473,4 12.124,2

Agriculture 0 0 0

Waste 0 0 0

Table 5.8. Summary of anthropogenic CO2 emissions projections for „with measures“ scenario in Gg

1998 1999 2000

Total emissions 109.006,6 91.800,0 94.576,8out of which:

Energy sector (fossil fuel combustion) 93.122,3 80.326,6 82.452,6• Energy industries 52.413,5 46.009,8 46.122,3• Manufacturing & Construction 20.046,5 17.776,5 18.752,4• Transportation 10.783,7 8.510,2 9.286,8• Other sectors 9.878,7 8.030,0 8.291,2

Industry processes 15.884,2 11.473,4 12.124,2

Agriculture 0 0 0

Waste 0 0 0

The CO2 emissions level of the base year 1989will not be exceeded up to the year 2020 in allscenarios. So the emissions evaluated for year2020 are 20% below the level of the base year1989 in „without measures“ scenario, 25% belowin „with measures“ scenario and 26% below in„with measures additional“ scenario. In this con-

dition, the Kyoto Protocol commitment of 8%reduction for Romania will be met in the period2008-2012 because at the 2010 level, the CO2

emissions projections represent only about 65-70% of the base year level (1989).

It is worth mentioning that after 2000, a slightincrease of the GHG emissions was observed in

5.2.2. Projections of Anthropogenic CO2 Emissions

Page 129: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

Projections and Asessment of Measures Effects to Mitigate Greenhouse Gas Emissions 135

2001 2002 2005 2010 2015 2020

98.759,3 105.641,2 115.000,0 127.500,0 136.000,0 147.500,0

87.143,2 92.775,4 102.050,0 113.520,0 120.800,0 131.050,049.251,5 49.972,4 55.400,0 59.600,0 63.100,0 67.600,019.263,6 22.637,6 23.884,0 26.704,0 28.184,0 31.184,010.799,4 11.890,6 13.422,0 15.922,0 17.222,0 18.922,07.828,7 8.274,8 9.344,0 11.294,0 12.294,0 13.344,0

11.616,1 12.865,8 12.950,0 13.980,0 15.200,0 16.450,0

0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0

2001 2002 2005 2010 2015 2020

98.759,3 105.641,2 112.000,0 125.000,0 132.000,0 138.000,0

87.143,2 92.775,4 99.100,0 111.520,0 117.560,0 123.050,049.251,5 49.972,4 54.000,0 59.000,0 61.860,0 63.600,019.263,6 22.637,6 23.084,0 26.204,0 27.384,0 29.184,010.799,4 11.890,6 12.822,0 15.422,0 16.622,0 17.922,07.828,7 8.274,8 9.194,0 10.894,0 11.694,0 12.344,0

11.616,1 12.865,8 12.900,0 13.480,0 14.440,0 14.950,0

0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0

all sectors. The most important CO2 emittingsource is the energy sector due to fossil fuel com-bustion. Within the energy sector, CO2 emissionsfrom the energy industries, the manufacturingindustries and construction represent about 80%of the total CO2 emissions.

5.2.2.1. Projections of CO2 Emissions in the Energy Sector

Page 130: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

5.2.2.2. Projections of CO2

Emissions in the Non-EnergySectors

Emissions of CO2 from industrial processes arecalculated in correlation with industrial produc-tion development. The CO2 emissions fromindustrial processes for the three scenarios arepresented in tables 5.7 - 5.9 taking into conside-ration the various degrees of modernization forindustrial technologies and the efficiency in-

crease in the use of raw materials. Thus, the CO2

emissions in the non-energy sectors representonly about 10-15% of the total CO2 emissions.

5.2.2.3. Projections of TotalAnthropogenic CO2 Emissions

Projections for total anthropogenic CO2 emis-sions are presented in the first line of the tables5.7 - 5.9 and in the figure 5.3.

136 Romania

Table 5.9. Summary of anthropogenic CO2 emission projections for "with additional measures" scenario in Gg

1998 1999 2000

Total emissions 109.006,6 91.800,0 94.576,8out of which:

Energy sector (fossil fuel combustion) 93.122,3 80.326,6 82.452,6• Energy industries 52.413,5 46.009,8 46.122,3• Manufacturing & Construction 20.046,5 17.776,5 18.752,4• Transportation 10.783,7 8.510,2 9.286,8• Other sectors 9.878,7 8.030,0 8.291,2

Industry processes 15.884,2 11.473,4 12.124,2

Agriculture 0 0 0

Waste 0 0 0

Page 131: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

Projections and Asessment of Measures Effects to Mitigate Greenhouse Gas Emissions 137

2001 2002 2005 2010 2015 2020

98.759,3 105.641,2 110.000,0 120.000,0 130.000,0 134.400,0

87.143,2 92.775,4 97.120,0 106.900,0 116.460,0 120.450,049.251,5 49.972,4 53.220,0 57.380,0 61.360,0 62.200,019.263,6 22.637,6 22.684,0 25.004,0 27.184,0 28.784,010.799,4 11.890,6 12.422,0 14.522,0 16.422,0 17.522,07.828,7 8.274,8 8.794,0 9.994,0 11.494,0 11.944,0

11.616,1 12.865,8 12.880,0 13.100,0 13.540,0 13.950,0

0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0

0.0

20000.0

40000.0

60000.0

80000.0

100000.0

120000.0

140000.0

160000.0

180000.0

200000.0

2005 2010 2015 2020 Year

REFERENCE year 1989

Figure 5.3. Summary of anthropogenic CO2 emissions projections

„Without measures“ scenario „With measures“ scenario „With additional measures“ scenario

Gg

Page 132: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

138 Romania

Table 5.10. Projections of CH4 emissions from fossil fuel combustion for „without measures“scenario in GgCH4/year

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2005 2010 2015 2020

Total emissions 40,44 37,65 36,40 28,93 30,54 33,00 37,00 40,50 43,00out of which:

Energy industries 1,09 0,93 0,88 0,94 1,02 1,04 1,08 1,10 1,11

Manufacturing & 1,83 1,66 1,73 1,73 2,11 2,66 2,92 3,15 3,29Construction

Transportation 1,60 1,30 1,37 1,68 1,85 2,05 2,3 2,45 2,55

Other sectors 35,91 33,76 32,42 24,58 25,56 27,25 30,7 33,80 36,05

Table 5.11. Projections of CH4 emissions from fossil fuel combustion for „with measures“ scenario in GgCH4/year

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2005 2010 2015 2020

Total emissions 40,44 37,65 36,40 28,93 30,54 32,00 35,50 38,50 41,10out of which:

Energy industries 1,09 0,93 0,88 0,94 1,02 1,02 1,03 1,06 1,09

Manufacturing & 1,83 1,66 1,73 1,73 2,11 2,44 2,68 2,94 3,11Construction

Transportation 1,60 1,30 1,37 1,68 1,85 1,95 2,12 2,25 2,4

Other sectors 35,91 33,76 32,42 24,58 25,56 26,59 29,67 32,25 34,5

Table 5.12. Projections of CH4 emissions from fossil fuel combustion for „with additionalmeasures“ scenario in GgCH4/year

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2005 2010 2015 2020

Total emissions 40,44 37,65 36,40 28,93 30,54 31,50 34,80 37,90 40,10out of which:

Energy industries 1,09 0,93 0,88 0,94 1,02 1,02 1,03 1,05 1,075

Manufacturing & 1,83 1,66 1,73 1,73 2,11 2,4 2,61 2,78 3,01Construction

Transportation 1,60 1,30 1,37 1,68 1,85 1,9 2,05 2,17 2,32

Other sectors 35,91 33,76 32,42 24,58 25,56 26,18 29,11 31,90 33,695

Page 133: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

Projections and Asessment of Measures Effects to Mitigate Greenhouse Gas Emissions 139

5.2.3. Projections of CH4

Emissions

5.2.3.1. Projections of CH4

Emissions from Fossil Fuel Combustion

Projections of CH4 emission from fossil fuel com-bustion are presented in tables 5.10 - 5.12 for allthe three scenarios.

5.2.3.2. Projections of CH4

Fugitive Emissions from Fuels

The annual CH4 fugitive emissions are calculatedfor the following activities:• natural gas drilling, transportation and distri-

bution;• crude oil drilling and processing;• underground coal mining.

Tables 5.13 - 5.15 present the values of projec-ted emissions for „without measures“, „withmeasures“ and „with additional measures“ sce-narios. The CH4 emissions from oil and naturalgas sector represents about 75% of the total fugi-tive emissions.

Table 5.13. Projections of CH4 fugitive emissions for „without measures“ scenario in GgCH4/year

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2005 2010 2015 2020

Total emissions 553,33 508,63 532,71 536,19 521,78 540,0 573,0 597,0 615,0out of which:

Solid Fuels 128,05 111,86 141,16 158,65 145,90 148,6 152,4 157,5 163,6

Oil and Natural gas 425,28 396,77 391,55 377,54 375,88 391,4 420,6 439,5 451,4

Table 5.14. Projections of CH4 fugitive emissions for „with measures“ scenario in GgCH4/year

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2005 2010 2015 2020

Total emissions 553,33 508,63 532,71 536,19 521,78 535,9 562,0 585,0 605,0out of which:

Solid Fuels 128,05 111,86 141,16 158,65 145,90 147,9 150,1 153,8 159,2

Oil and Natural gas 425,28 396,77 391,55 377,54 375,88 388,0 411,9 431,2 445,8

Page 134: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

5.2.3.3. Projections of CH4

Emissions from IndustrialProcesses

The projections of CH4 emissions from industrialprocesses were established taking into accountthe evolution of industrial production and out-comes of the models used are presented in table16 for all the three scenarios.

5.2.3.4. Projections of CH4

Emissions in Agriculture

The projections of CH2 emissions in the agri-culture sector are presented in table 17 for all sce-narios.

140 Romania

Table 5.15. Projections of CH4 fugitive emissions for „with additional measures“ scenario in GgCH4/year

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2005 2010 2015 2020

Total emissions 553,33 508,63 532,71 536,19 521,78 534,0 555,0 577,0 597,0out of which:

Solid Fuels 128,05 111,86 141,16 158,65 145,90 147,1 149,2 151,9 154,8

Oil and Natural gas 425,28 396,77 391,55 377,54 375,88 386,9 405,8 425,1 442,2

Table 5.16. Projections of CH4 emissions from industrial processes in GgCH4/year

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2005 2010 2015 2020

"Without measures" 0,62 0,51 0,99 0,79 0,91 1,06 1,30 1,51 1,80

"With measures" 0,62 0,51 0,99 0,79 0,91 1,02 1,21 1,42 1,65

"With additional 0,62 0,51 0,99 0,79 0,91 1,00 1,14 1,30 1,50measures"

ScenarioYear

Table 5.17. Projections of CH4 emissions in agriculture in GgCH4/year

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2005 2010 2015 2020

"Without measures" 401,01 396,40 369,81 348,23 334,38 375,0 425,0 460,0 485,0

"With measures" 401,01 396,40 369,81 348,23 334,38 370,0 400,0 427,0 450,0

"With additional 401,01 396,40 369,81 348,23 334,38 360,0 390,0 405,0 425,0measures"

ScenarioYear

Page 135: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

5.2.3.5. Projections of CH4

Emissions from WasteManagement

Projections of CH4 emissions from the waste ma-nagement sector were determined based on thenew approach related to waste management andare presented in table 18 for all scenarios.

5.2.3.6. Summary of CH4

Emissions Projections

The CH4 emission projections are summarized intables 5.19 - 5.21 and figure 5.4.

Projections and Asessment of Measures Effects to Mitigate Greenhouse Gas Emissions 141

Table 5.18. Projections of CH4 emissions from waste management in GgCH4/year

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2005 2010 2015 2020

"Without measures" 278,13 281,99 284,73 280,82 270,20 286,0 296,0 300,0 305,0

"With measures" 278,13 281,99 284,73 280,82 270,20 285,0 295,0 299,0 302,0

"With additional 278,13 281,99 284,73 280,82 270,20 282,0 291,0 296,0 299,0measures"

ScenarioYear

Table 5.19. Summary of CH4 emissions projections for „without measures“ scenario in GgCH4/year

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2005 2010 2015 2020

Fuel combustion 40,44 37,65 36,40 28,93 30,54 33,00 37,00 40,50 43,00

Fugitive combustion 553,33 508,63 532,71 536,19 521,78 540,00 573,00 597,00 615,00

Industry processes 0,62 0,51 0,99 0,79 0,91 1,06 1,30 1,51 1,80

Agriculture 401,01 396,40 369,81 348,23 334,38 375,00 425,00 460,00 485,00

Waste management 278,13 281,99 284,73 280,82 270,20 286,00 296,00 300,00 305,00

Total 1273,53 1225,18 1224,63 1194,97 1157,81 1235,06 1332,30 1399,01 1449,80

Table 5.20. Summary of CH4 emissions projections for „with measures“ scenario in GgCH4/year

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2005 2010 2015 2020

Fuel combustion 40,44 37,65 36,40 28,93 30,54 32,00 35,50 38,50 41,10

Fugitive combustion 553,33 508,63 532,71 536,19 521,78 535,90 562,00 585,00 605,00

Industry processes 0,62 0,51 0,99 0,79 0,91 1,02 1,21 1,42 1,65

Agriculture 401,01 396,40 369,81 348,23 334,38 370,00 400,00 427,00 450,00

Waste management 278,13 281,99 284,73 280,82 270,20 285,00 295,00 299,00 302,00

Total 1273,53 1225,18 1224,63 1194,97 1157,81 1223,92 1293,71 1350,92 1399,75

Page 136: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

A continued increase of the overall CH4 emis-sions is observed for all sectors by assessing theprojections calculated in all scenarios. The mostimportant emitting sources of CH4 are oil and natural gas sector and agriculture.

142 Romania

Table 5.21. Summary of CH4 emissions projections for „with additional measures“ scenario in GgCH4/year

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2005 2010 2015 2020

Fuel combustion 40,44 37,65 36,40 28,93 30,54 31,50 34,80 37,90 40,10

Fugitive combustion 553,33 508,63 532,71 536,19 521,78 534,00 550,00 577,00 597,00

Industry processes 0,62 0,51 0,99 0,79 0,91 1,00 1,14 1,30 1,50

Agriculture 401,01 396,40 369,81 348,23 334,38 360,00 390,00 405,00 425,00

Waste management 278,13 281,99 284,73 280,82 270,20 282,00 291,00 296,00 299,00

Total 1273,53 1225,18 1224,63 1194,97 1157,81 1208,50 1266,94 1317,20 1362,60

0.0

300.0

600.0

900.0

1200.0

1500.0

1800.0

2100.0

2400.0

2700.0

2005 2010 2015 2020 Year

REFERENCE year 1989

Figure 5.4. Summary of anthropogenic CH4 emission projections

„Without measures“ scenario „With measures“ scenario „With additional measures“ scenario

Gg

Page 137: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

5.2.4. Projections of N2OEmissions

5.2.4.1. Projections of N2OEmissions from Fossil FuelCombustion

The projections of N2O emission from fossil fuelcombustion have been determined together withCO2 emissions for all scenarios and are presentedin table 5.22.

5.2.4.2. Projections of N2OEmissions from IndustrialProcesses

The projections of N2O emission from industrial pro-cesses are presented in table 5.23 for all scenarios.

5.2.4.3. Projections of N2OEmissions from Agriculture

The projections of N2O emission from the agric-ulture sector are presented in table 5.24 for allscenarios.

Projections and Asessment of Measures Effects to Mitigate Greenhouse Gas Emissions 143

Table 5.22. Projections of N2O emissions from fossil fuel combustion in GgN2O/year

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2005 2010 2015 2020

"Without measures" 1,24 1,10 1,13 1,08 1,17 1,20 1,30 1,31 1,32

"With measures" 1,24 1,10 1,13 1,08 1,17 1,19 1,29 1,30 1,31

"With additional 1,24 1,10 1,13 1,08 1,17 1,17 1,26 1,28 1,29measures"

ScenarioYear

Table 5.23. Projections of N2O emissions from industrial processes in GgN2O/year

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2005 2010 2015 2020

"Without measures" 2,50 3,81 6,54 5,69 4,47 5,0 5,5 6,3 6,6

"With measures" 2,50 3,81 6,54 5,69 4,47 4,7 5,1 5,6 6,2

"With additional 2,50 3,81 6,54 5,69 4,47 4,5 4,9 5,3 5,8measures"

ScenarioYear

Table 5.24. Projections of N2O emissions from agriculture in GgN2O/year

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2005 2010 2015 2020

"Without measures" 14,36 15,28 12,43 14,79 12,91 14,1 15,9 17,0 17,8

"With measures" 14,36 15,28 12,43 14,79 12,91 14,0 15,5 16,5 17,0

"With additional 14,36 15,28 12,43 14,79 12,91 13,8 15,0 16,0 16,8measures"

ScenarioYear

Page 138: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

5.2.4.4. Projections of N2OEmissions from WasteManagement

The projections of N2O emission from the wastemanagement sector are presented in table 5.25for all scenarios.

5.2.4.5. Summary of N2OEmissions Projections

The summary of N2O emissions projections ispresented for all scenarios in tables 5.26 - 5.28and figure 5.5. The sector with the highest N2Oemissions level is agriculture.

144 Romania

Table 5.25. Projections of N2O emissions from waste management in GgN2O/year

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2005 2010 2015 2020

"Without measures" 1,06 1,06 1,06 1,06 1,03 1,04 1,06 1,08 1,10

"With measures" 1,06 1,06 1,06 1,06 1,03 1,03 1,05 1,07 1,09

"With additional 1,06 1,06 1,06 1,06 1,03 1,03 1,04 1,06 1,08measures"

ScenarioYear

Table 5.26. Summary of N2O emissions projections for „without measures“ scenario in GgN2O/year

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2005 2010 2015 2020

Fuel combustion 1,24 1,10 1,13 1,08 1,17 1,2 1,3 1,31 1,32

Industry processes 2,50 3,81 6,54 5,69 4,47 5 5,5 6,3 6,6

Agriculture 14,36 15,28 12,43 14,79 12,91 14,1 15,9 17,0 17,8

Waste 1,06 1,06 1,06 1,06 1,03 1,04 1,06 1,08 1,10

Total 19,15 21,25 21,15 22,61 19,57 21,34 23,76 25,69 26,82

Table 5.27. Summary of N2O emissions projections for „with measures“ scenario in GgN2O/year

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2005 2010 2015 2020

Fuel combustion 1,24 1,10 1,13 1,08 1,17 1,19 1,29 1,30 1,31

Industry processes 2,50 3,81 6,54 5,69 4,47 4,7 5,1 5,6 6,2

Agriculture 14,36 15,28 12,43 14,79 12,91 14,0 15,5 16,5 17,0

Waste 1,06 1,06 1,06 1,06 1,03 1,03 1,05 1,07 1,09

Total 19,15 21,25 21,15 22,61 19,57 20,92 22,94 24,47 25,60

Page 139: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

Projections and Asessment of Measures Effects to Mitigate Greenhouse Gas Emissions 145

Table 5.28. Summary of N2O emissions projections for „with additional measures“ scenarioin GgN2O/year

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2005 2010 2015 2020

Fuel combustion 1,24 1,10 1,13 1,08 1,17 1,17 1,26 1,28 1,29

Industry processes 2,50 3,81 6,54 5,69 4,47 4,5 4,9 5,3 5,8

Agriculture 14,36 15,28 12,43 14,79 12,91 13,75 15,0 16 16,8

Waste 1,06 1,06 1,06 1,06 1,03 1,03 1,04 1,06 1,08

Total 19,15 21,25 21,15 22,61 19,57 20,45 22,20 23,64 24,97

0.0

10.0

20.0

30.0

40.0

50.0

60.0

70.0

80.0

90.0

100.0

2005 2010 2015 2020 Y ear

REFERENCE year 1989

Figure 5.5. Summary of anthropogenic N2O emissions projections

„Without measures“ scenario „With measures“ scenario „With additional measures“ scenario

Page 140: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

5.2.5. Projections of OtherGases Emissions (HFC, PFCand SF6)

The most important sources for other gases suchas HFC, PFC and SF6 are the chemical and manu-facturing industries.

Unfortunately, the emissions of HFC in Ro-mania were not quantified until recently due tothe lack of useful data, but efforts are proceedingto provide information in the near future forthese types of gases.

In accordance with the latest GHG inventorysubmitted, Romania has also a low level of PFCsemissions. The values achieved in the period1989-2002 have been extrapolated for the pro-jections of PFCs emission, taking into considera-tion the uncertainties related to the chemical in-dustry. So the projections of PFCs emission arepresented in table 5.29.

There are various types of power equipmentthat use as insulating medium SF6. The analysisshows that the value of SF6 emission is insignifi-cant and the projections were not elaborated.

146 Romania

Table 5.29. Projections of PFC emissions for all scenarios in GgCO2equivalent/year

Parameter 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2005 2010 2015 2020

PFC emission 488.69 477.06 503.23 508.08 525.06 550.0 570.0 590.0 600.0

5.2.6. Aggregated EmissionsProjections of all GreenhouseGases

The aggregated emissions projections of all GHGare presented in tables 5.30 - 5.32 and figure 5.6for all scenarios.

It is obvious that the total GHG emission levelin 2020 for all scenarios will not exceed theaggregated emission level of the base year (1989)

of 259,914.04 Gg CO2 eq. although all projec-tions show an increasing trend taking into consi-deration the Romanian Government's efforts re-garding economic growth and harmonizationwith the EU acquis communautaire in the socialand economic fields.

The small differences of about 7% and 10%,respectively, between the projections in the „wit-hout measures“ scenario and „with measures“scenario, are presented in figure 5.6. These small

Page 141: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

differences can be explained, as the „withoutmeasures“ scenario is defined without any mea-sures for the reduction of GHG emissions. The„without measures“ scenario reflects the progressof Romania towards a functional market eco-nomy through implemented reforms in order torespond to the requirements of the EU acquiscommunautaire.

If the „without measures“ scenario does notpresent the reorganization of the Romanian eco-nomy and is defined as an inertial scenario,which shows the evolution trends at the level ofyear 1996 without the structural adjustment ofeconomy and the privatization, the differencesbetween projections will be higher and will bet-ter reflect the effects of the adopted measures forthe reduction of GHG emissions.

Thus, maintaining energy intensity at the va-lue achieved in 1996, the total final energy con-sumption will be 58 mil. toe in 2010 and 108 mil.toe in 2020.

These values are about 2-3 times higher thanthe values presented in figure 5.1. The impor-tance of economy reorganization for the reduc-tion of GHG emission was identified as a firstpriority taking into account that the energy sec-tor is the main source of CO2 emissions.

The aggregated emissions projections of allGHG presented in tables 5.30 - 5.32 and in figure5.6 have been calculated taking into account theCO2 removals due to carbon sequestration.

Table 5.33 presents the CO2 removals for allscenarios established on the base of the latest in-ventory submitted, taking also into considera-tion various measures for the increase of carbonsequestration potential. At this moment, the car-bon sinks value represents only about 16% of thetotal aggregated emissions of GHG.

Projections and Asessment of Measures Effects to Mitigate Greenhouse Gas Emissions 147

0.00

50000.00

100000.00

150000.00

200000.00

250000.00

300000.00

2005 2010 2015 2020 Y ear

REFERENCE year 1989

Figure 5.6. Aggregated emissions projections of all GHG

„Without measures“ scenario „With measures“ scenario „With additional measures“ scenario

Page 142: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

148 Romania

Table 5.32. Aggregated GHG Emissions (CO2 eq.) for „with additional measures“ scenario

Parameter 1998 1999 2000

Total CO2 emission 89487,59 73388,34 76891,86

Total CH4 emission 31213,49 30028,92 30015,44

Total N2O emission 6128,0 6800,0 6768,0

Total PFC emission 488,69 477,06 503,23

Total aggregated emissions 127317,77 110694,32 114178,53

Table 5.30. Aggregated GHG Emissions (CO2 eq.) for „without measures“ scenario

Parameter 1998 1999 2000

Total CO2 emission 89487,59 73388,34 76891,86

Total CH4 emission 31213,49 30028,92 30015,44

Total N2O emission 6128,0 6800,0 6768,0

Total PFC emission 488,69 477,06 503,23

Total aggregated emissions 127317,77 110694,32 114178,53

Table 5.31. Aggregated GHG Emissions (CO2 eq.) for „with measures“ scenario

Parameter 1998 1999 2000

Total CO2 emission 89487,59 73388,34 76891,86

Total CH4 emission 31213,49 30028,92 30015,44

Total N2O emission 6128,0 6800,0 6768,0

Total PFC emission 488,69 477,06 503,23

Total aggregated emissions 127317,77 110694,32 114178,53

Table 5.33. CO2 Removals in Gg

1998 1999 2000

"Without measures" 19518,99 18411,67 17684,97

"With measures" 19518,99 18411,67 17684,97

"With additional measures" 19518,99 18411,67 17684,97

Scenario Year

Page 143: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

Projections and Asessment of Measures Effects to Mitigate Greenhouse Gas Emissions 149

in Gg Carbon Dioxide Equivalent/year

2001 2002 2005 2010 2015 2020

80218,13 89669,69 93100,00 101950,00 111400,00 115350,00

29288,77 28378,35 29620,3 31040,0 32283,4 33395,7

7235,2 6262,4 6544,0 7104,0 7564,8 7990,4

508,08 525,06 550,0 570,0 590,0 660,0

117250,18 124835,50 129814,30 140664,00 151838,20 157396,10

in Gg Carbon Dioxide Equivalent/year

2001 2002 2005 2010 2015 2020

80218,13 89669,69 98500,00 110000,00 117950,00 129000,00

29288,77 28378,35 30270,98 32653,35 34287,75 35532,11

7235,2 6262,4 6828,8 7603,2 8220,8 8582,4

508,08 525,06 550,0 570,0 590,0 600,0

117250,18 124835,50 136149,78 150826,55 161048,55 173714,51

in Gg Carbon Dioxide Equivalent/year

2001 2002 2005 2010 2015 2020

80218,13 89669,69 95200,00 107200,00 113550,00 119200,00

29288,77 28378,35 29998,5 31707,9 33108,8 34305,9

7235,2 6262,4 6694,4 7340,8 7830,4 8192,0

508,08 525,06 550,0 570,0 590,0 600,0

117250,18 124835,50 132442,90 146818,70 155079,20 162297,90

2001 2002 2005 2010 2015 2020

18541,20 15971,54 16500,0 17500,0 18050,0 18500,0

18541,20 15971,54 16800,0 17800,0 18450,0 18800,0

18541,2 15971,54 16900,0 18050,0 18600,0 19050,0

Page 144: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

6.1. Introduction

The aspects presented in this chapter resultmainly from the „Country Study on ClimateChange in Romania - Vulnerability Assessmentand Adaptation Options,“ which was developedwith the strong financial and technical supportprovided by the U.S. Government in 1997. Someof this study’s conclusions were presented inRomania’s Second National Communication tothe United Nations Framework Convention onClimate Change, prepared in 1998. During thelast years, due to financial constrains, vulnerabi-lity and adaptation, related research activitieswere developed at a small scale for agriculture,water management and forestry to continue thework initiated in these fields. Thus, a part of theinformation presented in this chapter was takenfrom the study „Potential impact of climatechange in Romania“ (Cuculeanu V., Busuioc A.,Simota C. and others - INMH Bucharest, 2002).

The consequences of global warming on atime scale can only be roughly estimated, especi-ally on the regional level, due to still low perfor-mance of GCMs in simulating the complex cha-racteristics of the climate system and theuncertainties related to emissions scenarios.

As the Third IPCC WG2 Assessment Reportsuggested, among other information needed, animportant area for investigation is the use of ob-servational evidence to detect impacts of obser-ved climate changes on various ecosystems. Likein other regions of Europe, the change in the cli-mate conditions may also affect Romanian agric-ulture, water management, forests, human life

etc. In this respect, the conclusions derived fromobservations, research and studies are mainlypresented in this chapter taking into considera-tion also the selection of the most suitableGCMs, impacts, vulnerability assessment andadaptation measures.

The shift in temperature and precipitationconditions may result in the modification of thevegetation periods and the displacement of theborder-line between the grassland and the forestareas. The change in precipitation regime mayalso increase the erosion and the compaction ofthe soil. It was assumed that extreme weather re-lated events (floods, drought) may appear moreoften and their associated risks and damages maybecome more significant.

Climate Change Impacts,Vulnerability Assessmentand Adaptation Measures

Page 145: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

Improvement of water management and irri-gation systems, change in land use technologies,and hybrids use, together with other measurespresent an integrated approach in a future natio-nal adaptation strategy. These measures are ex-pected to mitigate most of the negative effects ofclimate change in Romania’s agriculture.

6.2. General CirculationModels in the ClimateChange Analysis

General Circulation Models (GCMs) are the mostwidely used tools to generate climate change sce-narios for impact assessments. The experts of theNational Institute of Meteorology, Hydrologyand Water Management - INMH Bucharest devel-oped some studies concerning the validation ofdifferent GCMs on Romania’s territory and theelaboration of several scenarios of climatechange by using the results from a numberGCMs experiments, including both equilibriumand transient ones. The Romanian data used inthese studies were the time series of the monthlyaverages of air temperature and precipitation

from 100 Romanian meteorological stations inthe period 1961-1990. The data sets have beenselected so that the time interval contains as fewmissing data as possible and the observation sitesbeing uniformly distributed over the country’sterritory. The long term mean of the consideredparameters over the observed interval representsthe current climate which is usually called the„baseline“ climate.

The GCM output data refer to multi-annualmonthly mean data (temperature, precipitation)derived by assuming the present level of carbondioxide (1xCO2) and a doubling of actual carbondioxide (2xCO2), as well as to the monthly ave-rage data from several decades for one transientmodel runs. Four equilibrium GCMs were consi-dered by the Romanian experts: GISS (GodardInstitute for Space Studies), GFDL R-30 (Geo-physical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, GFD3),UK89 (United Kingdom Meteorological Office),CCCM (Canadian Climate Center Model) and asa transient GCM the GFDL (GFD1) has beenused.

Current climate outputs from GCMs (1xCO2)were compared with database of observed cli-mate in order to select the models that best re-present current climate, in two steps:

152 Romania

Page 146: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

1. the geographical distribution of the monthlymean temperature and precipitation derivedfrom CGM outputs as well as from the CLIMobserved data set over a large area includingRomania were compared (seasonal patternsand magnitudes of temperature and precipita-tion);

2. the area average derived from GCM gridpoints covering Romania was compared withthe average baseline for Romania derived fromobserved data sets and from the CLIM data set

(annual variation of the temperature and pre-cipitation regime in Romania).

All the models showed the same climate signalsof increasing the air temperature as a conseq-uence of CO2 doubling, but there are some diffe-rences between models regarding the warmingintensity. The next table (Table 1) presents thevariation of the air temperature in all the GCMsconsidered.

Climate Change Impacts, Vulnerability Assessment and Adaptation Measures 153

Table 6.1. Temperature differences between 1xCO2 and 2xCO2 scenarios in Romania

Model Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

CCCM 4.3 4.1 4.9 3.3 3.2 4.0 4.8 4.2 4.0 3.2 3.4 2.8GISS 5.0 5.8 3.9 5.4 3.9 2.4 2.5 2.6 4.5 3.3 5.3 4.4GFD3 2.4 6.1 3.9 4.5 3.8 5.1 5.8 4.1 3.4 3.6 4.3 5.0UK89 3.2 6.6 6.0 5.4 4.1 6.7 7.1 7.4 6.6 6.0 5.2 4.2

Table 6.2. Precipitation differences between 1xCO2 and 2xCO2 scenarios in Romania

Model Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

CCCM 1.2 1.0 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.9 1.0 0.9 0.8 1.2 1.1 1.2GISS 1.2 1.1 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.2 0.7 1.4 1.3 1.1GFD3 1.2 1.5 1.1 0.8 1.0 0.6 0.8 0.7 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.2UK89 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.7 1.1 0.9

The CCCM and GISS models reproduced bestthe climate in Romania, but the GISS model hasa resolution which is too low compared to theRomanian territory. The UK89 and GFD3 modelssimulated a climate much colder than the base-line climate, except the GFD3 model which insome warm months simulated a warmer climate.The annual variation of the GCMs temperaturewas generally similar to the baseline with one ex-ception in the GFD3 model which simulated ahigher temperature in August than in July andthe UK89 model which simulated a lower tempe-rature in February than in January. In principle,all models simulated a climate more continentalthan the observed one.

From the precipitation point of view the pro-blem is more complex. Some models simulatedprecipitation closer to the observed ones in somemonths and other models simulated better in ot-her months. However, the highest differenceswere given by the UK89 model (for overestima-tion cases) and GFD3 model (for underestimationcases) even if the UK89 model simulated betterthe precipitation in summer. The annual varia-tion of the precipitation in Romania was not wellsimulated by any model. Generally, all modelsoverestimated the precipitation in the cold monthsand underestimated the precipitation in thewarm months. The CCCM model provided thelowest differences against the observed climate.

Page 147: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

Therefore it has been concluded that theCCCM model reflected best the current climatein Romania both from the temperature and pre-cipitation point of view. This conclusion resultedalso from other studies on Europe’s climate usingthe same GCMs. All climate change related expe-riments carried out by using the four equilibriumGCMs showed that the doubling of CO2 concen-tration will lead to the same climate consequen-ces, meaning an increase of the air temperaturein Romania. The magnitude of the warming isdifferent from one model to another, the lowestbeing provided by the CCCM and the highest bythe UK89 (especially in the summer).

From the precipitation point of view the cli-mate signal is different from one model to anot-her. The UK89 model presented precipitation de-crease for all the months, especially duringsummer (up to 50%), which is consistent withthe highest temperature increase simulated bythe model in the same season. The GISS modelshowed in generally an increase of the precipita-tion for all months, with the maximum increasebeing noticed in October (40%). The CCCM andGFD3 models showed also an increase of precipi-tation in the cold month and a decrease in thesummer period (Table 2).

It was concluded that all the GCMs used havesome limitations in simulating the current cli-mate in Romania. This may be due in part to therelatively low resolution of the models, which li-mits their ability to simulate the complex topo-graphy such as that of Romania. Additionally,the models used were run assuming the changesonly in the greenhouse gases concentrations.Some new developed GCMs showed that addingthe sulfate aerosols in the greenhouse gases for-cing result in a lower rate of average global war-ming in many mid-latitude areas of the globecompared with the case in which only the green-house gases concentrations were considered.

6.3. Changes in the Roma-nia’s Observed Climate overthe Last Century

The changes in temperature and precipitation regime measured at long-term observational sta-tions are periodically evaluated. The next figure(Figure 1) presents the linear trends of the annualmean temperature and precipitation amount inRomania over the last century (1901-2000).

A significant warming of about 0.8OC wasidentified at some stations in the extra-Car-pathian region, showing the relief influence. Onthe seasonal scale the changes are highest in thewinter season (reaching 1.9OC at Bucharest-Filaret station), and in autumn season a slightlydownward shift in the western part was identi-fied after 1969.

154 Romania

Page 148: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

Climate Change Impacts, Vulnerability Assessment and Adaptation Measures 155

BLACK

SEA

Mouth of th eD

anub

e

Gura Portifiei

LaculBrateç

Brafiul Chilia

Dunårea

Dunårea

Dunårea

Brafiul Sulina

Brafiul Sfintu Gheorghe

Buzåu

Ialomifia

Prahova

Argeç

Argeç

Vedea

Oltefi

Jiu

Olt

Timiç

Mureç

Mureç

Mureç

Mureç

Tirnava Mare

Olt

Olt

Siret

Moldova

Siret

Prut

Bistrifia

Prut

Bîrla

d

Someç

Someç

Someç

Criçul Repede

Cri çul Negra

Criçul A lb

Jiu

Olt

Danube

Danube

S ava

Ialomifia

Dimbovifia

Lacul Sinoe

D unårea

L. IzvorulMuntelui

LaculRazelm

Do

br

uj

a

Mo

ld

av

i

a

Ca

rp

at

hi

an

Mt

sT r a n s y l v a n i a

W a l l a c h ia

T r a n s y l v a n i a n A l p s

Munfiii Cålimani

Munfiii Gurghiu

Munfiii Rodnei

Mfiii. Harghita

Mun

fiiiV

ranc

ei

Mfiii. Cåpåtanii

Mfiii. Cibinului Munfiii Fågåras

Munfiii Retezat

Munfiii Zarand

Mu

nfi i i

Ap

us

en

i

Mu n fi i i P l o p i ç

Mun

fiiiFå

get

Mfiii. Maramureçului

2303 Pietrosul

22791823

18592100

1784

1956

1664

2507 Omul2462

Ezeru

2543Moldoveanu

2144

1445

1378

2108

2509Peleaga

2059

2518

2244 Cîndrelu

1776

1836Vlådeasa

1825 Muntele Mare

1848 Curcubåta

1800

Constanfia

Galafii

Craiova

Cluj-Napoca

Timiçoara

Iaçi

Braçov

Ruse

Debrecen

Belgrade

Chisinau

Pleven

BUCUREÇTI(Bucharest)

Tîrgu JiuBråila

Ploieçti

Oradea

Bacåu

Tulcea

Piteçti

Focçani

BuzåuRîmnicuVîlcea

Sibiu

Tîrgu Mureç

Baia Mare

Alba Iulia

Drobeta-TurnuSeverin

Arad

Satu Mare

Piatra-Neamfi

BotoçaniSuceava

Tîrgoviçte

Reçifia

Cålåraçi

Slobozia

GiurgiuAlexandria

Slatina

ZalåuBistrifia

Sfîntu Gheorghe

Vaslui

Deva

SighetulMarmafiiei

BîrladOneçti

Mediaç

Lugoj

Turda

Hunedoara

Petroçani

Roman

Vîrfu Cîmpului

Dumbråveni

Nicolae Bålcescu

Hîrlåu

Mirçesti

Båltåfieçti

Tårcau

Bistricioara

Ditråu

Sîndominic

Toplifia CiucCristuru

Secuiesc

Iernut

TeacaDipça Borsec

Låzarea Podoleni

Bîrnova

Coropceni

Muntenii de JosSecueni

RåcåciuniDårmåneçti

Sînsimion

Båile Tuçnad

Ghimeç Fåget

Vlåhifia

Hendorf

Ungheni

Ernei

Bålåuçeri

Deda

NåsåudBeclean

Gilåu

Sålciua de Jos

Huedin

Apahida

Cîmpeni

Teiuç

Mihalfi

Abrud

Çard

Çugag

Çeica Mare

NocrichSålisfie

Tålmaciu

Cîineni

Cålineçti

Cålimåneçti

Cumpåna

Galicea

SlimnicÇibot

HafiegSarmizegetusa

Voislova

Ilia

Mociu

Beliç

Albac

Nucet

Beius

Sîmbåta

Chiçineu Criç

Sîntana

Nådlac

AraduNou

VingaOrfiiçoara

Recaç

Giroc Buziaç

Topolovåfiu Fåget

Obreja

Jebel

Gåtaia

Comoriçte Caraçova

Råcåçdia

Baziaç

Voiteg

Mehadia

Lovrin

Radna

Leç

Diosig

Satulung

Halmeu

Livada

Çomcuta Mare

Ocna Çugatag

Hidiçelu de Sus

Sålard

CehuSilvaniei

Mesteacan

Seini

Turt

Ardud

AcîçTåçnad

Surduc

BobotaSårmåçag

GîlgåuIleanda

Jibou

Valealui Mihai

Borç

Dr Petru Groza

Vaçcåu

Vîrfurile

flebea

Beliu

Reteag

Råstolifia

Sascut

Crasna

Dragomireçti

Frasin

PoianaStampei

Cîrlibaba

DorneçtiSiret

Dårmåneçti

Sucevifia

IacobeniSîngeorz BåiTelciu

Valea Viçeului

Vama

BroçteniSabasa

Såveni

OituzLemnia

Buteni

Deta

Dobra

RucårVoineasa

Båbeni Bistrifia

Cerbu

Lunca Corbului

Peretu

Prundeni

Grådiçtea

PucheniPietroçifia

Stîlpeni

CålineçtiTopoloveni

Negreni

Furculeçti

Mågura

Naipu

Dåifia

CålugåreniGhimpafii

Jilava

Råcari

Mihåileçti

Prundu

TigåneçtiCoçereni Cåzåneçti

Padina

Pogoanele

SmeeniCilibia

Fåurei

Çufieçti Traian

CîndeçtiCîndeçti

Ianca

DåeniOstrov

Garvån

Isaccea

Cataloi

Gorgova Sulina

SfîntuGheorgheBabadag

Sarichioi

Baia

Mihai Viteazu

Topraisar

VaduCorbu de Sus

CobadinOstrov

Negru Vodå

23 August

Eforie Sud

MamaiaOvidiu

Ion Corvin

ÇocariciuVlad flepeç

Råsvani

BudeçtiUlmu

Ciulnifia

Cocargeaua

Crucea

Horia

Jurilovca

Viziru

Insuråfiei

BudeçtiLieçti

Bereçti

Tîrgu Bujor

Folteçti

Soveja

Prisaca

Suraia

CiuçleaNereju

GeneralissimulNehoiaçu

Iazu

NalbantCiucurova

Måneciu Ungureni

Drågåneçti

Lipia

Bolintin Vale

Slåveçti

BujoruArsacheBragadiru

Beuca

Viçina Veche

Piatra

Coloneçti

Predeal

Sercaia Feldioara

IntorsuraBuzåului

HoghizRupea

BengesfiiScoarfia

Cåpreni

Melineçti

Radovanu

Segarcea

Bechetu

Rojiçtea

Leu

Galicea Mare

Hinova

Ciovîrnåçani

Balta

Baia de Aramå

Bumbeçti Jiu

Tîrgu CårbuneçtiRovinariPeçteana Jui

MofiåfieiCetate

Vînju Mare

Hurezani

Içalnita

Teregova

Armeniç

Cårbunari

CorneaNovaci

Bîrzava

Såvîrçin

Gurahonfi

Dej

Gherla

Tecuci

Mizil

Urziceni

Buftea

Vålenii de MunteBreazaCurteade Argeç

MotruOrçova

Filiaçi

Calafat Båileçti

Balç

Drågåçani

Drågånesti-Olt

Roçiori de Vede

Videle

Zimnicea

Oltenifia

flåndårei

Måcin

Cernavodå

MedgidiaNåvodari

Techirghiol

Mangalia

Feteçti

Caracal

CorabiaTurnuMågurele

Strehaia

ComarnicSinaia

BuçteniCîmpulung

Båicoi

Costeçti

Gåeçti

CîmpinaPucioasa

Moreni Urlafii

Rîmnicu Sårat

Adjud

Måråçeçti

Såcele

CodleaRîçnov

Zårneçti

Fågåras

Agnita

ReghinToplifia

Sovata

Viçeu de SusSåcel

Baia Sprie

Tîrgu Låpuç

Carei

Negresfii-Oaç

Marghita

ÇimleuSilvaniei

Salonta

Birtin

Borça

Cîmpia Turzii

Ocna MureçTîrnåveni

Ludus

Sighiçoara

Cugir

Bocça

Anina

Moldova Nouå

Oravifia

Lipova

Curtici Ineu

Jimbolia

Sînnicolau Mare

Sebeç

Cisnådie

Blaj

Aiud

OråçtieSimeria

Cålan

Ofielu Roçu

Caransebeç PetrilaVulcan

Lupeni

Brad

OdorheiuSecuiesc

BålanBuhuçi

Vatra Dornei

CîmpulungMoldovenesc

Gura Humorului

Tîrgu Neamfi

Bicaz

Tîrgu Frumos

Roznov

Huçi

ComåneçtiMoineçti

Paçcani

Fålticeni

Dorohoi

Darabani

Rådåufii

Tîrgu-OcnaMiercurea-Ciuc

Gheorghieni

Tîrgu Secuiesc

IALOMIflA

BRÅILA

GALAflIVRANCEA

BUZÅUPRAHOVA

BRAÇOV

DÎMBOVIflA

GIURGIUTELEORMAN

ARGEÇ

VÎLCEA

SIBIU

MUREÇCLUJ

ALBA

HUNEDOARATIMIÇ

ARAD

BIHOR

GORJ

MEHEDINflI

CARAÇ-SEVERIN

BISTRIflA-NÅSÅUD

MARAMURESSATU MARE

SÅLAJ

OLTDOLJ

COVASNA

VASLUIBACÅU

NEAMfl

HARGHITA

IAÇI

BOTOÇANI

SUCEAVA

CÅLÅRAÇI

CONSTANflA

TULCEA

BULGARIA

MOLDOVA

UKRAINE

UKRAINE

BULGARIA

YUGOSLAVIASERBIA

YUGOSLAVAVOJVODINA

HUNGARY

+ 0.7

+ 0.1

- 0.1

+ 0.3

+ 0.8

+ 0.1

- 0.2

- 0.1

+ 0.4

+ 0.2

+ 0.8+ 0.2

+ 0.8

+ 0.5

Figure 6.1. Linear trends of the annual mean temperature (oC) and precipitation amount(mm) in Romania over the last century 1901-2000

BLACK

SEA

Mouth of th eD

anub

e

Gura Portifiei

LaculBrateç

Brafiul Chilia

Dunårea

Dunårea

Dunårea

Brafiul Sulina

Brafiul Sfintu Gheorghe

Buzåu

Ialomifia

Prahova

Argeç

Argeç

Vedea

Oltefi

Jiu

Olt

Timiç

Mureç

Mureç

Mureç

Mureç

Tirnava Mare

Olt

Olt

Siret

Moldova

Siret

Prut

Bistrifia

Prut

Bîrla

d

Someç

Someç

Someç

Criçul Repede

Cri çul Negra

Criçul A lb

Jiu

Olt

Danube

Danube

S ava

Ialomifia

Dimbovifia

Lacul Sinoe

D unårea

L. IzvorulMuntelui

LaculRazelm

Do

br

uj

a

Mo

ld

av

i

a

Ca

rp

at

hi

an

Mt

s

T r a n s y l v a n i a

W a l l a c h ia

T r a n s y l v a n i a n A l p s

Munfiii Cålimani

Munfiii Gurghiu

Munfiii Rodnei

Mfiii. Harghita

Mun

fiiiV

ranc

ei

Mfiii. Cåpåtanii

Mfiii. Cibinului Munfiii Fågåras

Munfiii Retezat

Munfiii Zarand

Mu

nfi i i

Ap

us

en

i

Mu n fi i i P l o p i ç

Mun

fiiiFå

get

Mfiii. Maramureçului

2303 Pietrosul

22791823

18592100

1784

1956

1664

2507 Omul2462

Ezeru

2543Moldoveanu

2144

1445

1378

2108

2509Peleaga

2059

2518

2244 Cîndrelu

1776

1836Vlådeasa

1825 Muntele Mare

1848 Curcubåta

1800

Constanfia

Galafii

Craiova

Cluj-Napoca

Timiçoara

Iaçi

Braçov

Ruse

Debrecen

Belgrade

Chisinau

Pleven

BUCUREÇTI(Bucharest)

Tîrgu JiuBråila

Ploieçti

Oradea

Bacåu

Tulcea

Piteçti

Focçani

BuzåuRîmnicuVîlcea

Sibiu

Tîrgu Mureç

Baia Mare

Alba Iulia

Drobeta-TurnuSeverin

Arad

Satu Mare

Piatra-Neamfi

BotoçaniSuceava

Tîrgoviçte

Reçifia

Cålåraçi

Slobozia

GiurgiuAlexandria

Slatina

ZalåuBistrifia

Sfîntu Gheorghe

Vaslui

Deva

SighetulMarmafiiei

BîrladOneçti

Mediaç

Lugoj

Turda

Hunedoara

Petroçani

Roman

Vîrfu Cîmpului

Dumbråveni

Nicolae Bålcescu

Hîrlåu

Mirçesti

Båltåfieçti

Tårcau

Bistricioara

Ditråu

Sîndominic

Toplifia CiucCristuru

Secuiesc

Iernut

TeacaDipça Borsec

Låzarea Podoleni

Bîrnova

Coropceni

Muntenii de JosSecueni

RåcåciuniDårmåneçti

Sînsimion

Båile Tuçnad

Ghimeç Fåget

Vlåhifia

Hendorf

Ungheni

Ernei

Bålåuçeri

Deda

NåsåudBeclean

Gilåu

Sålciua de Jos

Huedin

Apahida

Cîmpeni

Teiuç

Mihalfi

Abrud

Çard

Çugag

Çeica Mare

NocrichSålisfie

Tålmaciu

Cîineni

Cålineçti

Cålimåneçti

Cumpåna

Galicea

SlimnicÇibot

HafiegSarmizegetusa

Voislova

Ilia

Mociu

Beliç

Albac

Nucet

Beius

Sîmbåta

Chiçineu Criç

Sîntana

Nådlac

AraduNou

VingaOrfiiçoara

Recaç

Giroc Buziaç

Topolovåfiu Fåget

Obreja

Jebel

Gåtaia

Comoriçte Caraçova

Råcåçdia

Baziaç

Voiteg

Mehadia

Lovrin

Radna

Leç

Diosig

Satulung

Halmeu

Livada

Çomcuta Mare

Ocna Çugatag

Hidiçelu de Sus

Sålard

CehuSilvaniei

Mesteacan

Seini

Turt

Ardud

AcîçTåçnad

Surduc

BobotaSårmåçag

GîlgåuIleanda

Jibou

Valealui Mihai

Borç

Dr Petru Groza

Vaçcåu

Vîrfurile

flebea

Beliu

Reteag

Råstolifia

Sascut

Crasna

Dragomireçti

Frasin

PoianaStampei

Cîrlibaba

DorneçtiSiret

Dårmåneçti

Sucevifia

IacobeniSîngeorz BåiTelciu

Valea Viçeului

Vama

BroçteniSabasa

Såveni

OituzLemnia

Buteni

Deta

Dobra

RucårVoineasa

Båbeni Bistrifia

Cerbu

Lunca Corbului

Peretu

Prundeni

Grådiçtea

PucheniPietroçifia

Stîlpeni

CålineçtiTopoloveni

Negreni

Furculeçti

Mågura

Naipu

Dåifia

CålugåreniGhimpafii

Jilava

Råcari

Mihåileçti

Prundu

TigåneçtiCoçereni Cåzåneçti

Padina

Pogoanele

SmeeniCilibia

Fåurei

Çufieçti Traian

CîndeçtiCîndeçti

Ianca

DåeniOstrov

Garvån

Isaccea

Cataloi

Gorgova Sulina

SfîntuGheorgheBabadag

Sarichioi

Baia

Mihai Viteazu

Topraisar

VaduCorbu de Sus

CobadinOstrov

Negru Vodå

23 August

Eforie Sud

MamaiaOvidiu

Ion Corvin

ÇocariciuVlad flepeç

Råsvani

BudeçtiUlmu

Ciulnifia

Cocargeaua

Crucea

Horia

Jurilovca

Viziru

Insuråfiei

BudeçtiLieçti

Bereçti

Tîrgu Bujor

Folteçti

Soveja

Prisaca

Suraia

CiuçleaNereju

GeneralissimulNehoiaçu

Iazu

NalbantCiucurova

Måneciu Ungureni

Drågåneçti

Lipia

Bolintin Vale

Slåveçti

BujoruArsacheBragadiru

Beuca

Viçina Veche

Piatra

Coloneçti

Predeal

Sercaia Feldioara

IntorsuraBuzåului

HoghizRupea

BengesfiiScoarfia

Cåpreni

Melineçti

Radovanu

Segarcea

Bechetu

Rojiçtea

Leu

Galicea Mare

Hinova

Ciovîrnåçani

Balta

Baia de Aramå

Bumbeçti Jiu

Tîrgu CårbuneçtiRovinariPeçteana Jui

MofiåfieiCetate

Vînju Mare

Hurezani

Içalnita

Teregova

Armeniç

Cårbunari

CorneaNovaci

Bîrzava

Såvîrçin

Gurahonfi

Dej

Gherla

Tecuci

Mizil

Urziceni

Buftea

Vålenii de MunteBreazaCurteade Argeç

MotruOrçova

Filiaçi

Calafat Båileçti

Balç

Drågåçani

Drågånesti-Olt

Roçiori de Vede

Videle

Zimnicea

Oltenifia

flåndårei

Måcin

Cernavodå

MedgidiaNåvodari

Techirghiol

Mangalia

Feteçti

Caracal

CorabiaTurnuMågurele

Strehaia

ComarnicSinaia

BuçteniCîmpulung

Båicoi

Costeçti

Gåeçti

CîmpinaPucioasa

Moreni Urlafii

Rîmnicu Sårat

Adjud

Måråçeçti

Såcele

CodleaRîçnov

Zårneçti

Fågåras

Agnita

ReghinToplifia

Sovata

Viçeu de SusSåcel

Baia Sprie

Tîrgu Låpuç

Carei

Negresfii-Oaç

Marghita

ÇimleuSilvaniei

Salonta

Birtin

Borça

Cîmpia Turzii

Ocna MureçTîrnåveni

Ludus

Sighiçoara

Cugir

Bocça

Anina

Moldova Nouå

Oravifia

Lipova

Curtici Ineu

Jimbolia

Sînnicolau Mare

Sebeç

Cisnådie

Blaj

Aiud

OråçtieSimeria

Cålan

Ofielu Roçu

Caransebeç PetrilaVulcan

Lupeni

Brad

OdorheiuSecuiesc

BålanBuhuçi

Vatra Dornei

CîmpulungMoldovenesc

Gura Humorului

Tîrgu Neamfi

Bicaz

Tîrgu Frumos

Roznov

Huçi

ComåneçtiMoineçti

Paçcani

Fålticeni

Dorohoi

Darabani

Rådåufii

Tîrgu-OcnaMiercurea-Ciuc

Gheorghieni

Tîrgu Secuiesc

IALOMIflA

BRÅILA

GALAflIVRANCEA

BUZÅUPRAHOVA

BRAÇOV

DÎMBOVIflA

GIURGIUTELEORMAN

ARGEÇ

VÎLCEA

SIBIU

MUREÇCLUJ

ALBA

HUNEDOARATIMIÇ

ARAD

BIHOR

GORJ

MEHEDINflI

CARAÇ-SEVERIN

BISTRIflA-NÅSÅUD

MARAMURESSATU MARE

SÅLAJ

OLTDOLJ

COVASNA

VASLUIBACÅU

NEAMfl

HARGHITA

IAÇI

BOTOÇANI

SUCEAVA

CÅLÅRAÇI

CONSTANflA

TULCEA

BULGARIA

MOLDOVA

UKRAINE

UKRAINE

BULGARIA

YUGOSLAVIASERBIA

YUGOSLAVAVOJVODINA

HUNGARY

-150

-10

+16

+72

-21

-243

-53

+40

-38

-20

+43-38

+35

-152

Page 149: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

Visible anthropogenic effects were noticed atseveral observational stations (e.g. Bucuresti-Filaret), at these stations the warming beingmore significant. Other local factors influence isoverlapped in the large-scale events. Similarconclusions resulted for mean maximum tempe-rature. Taking into account this picture it is dif-ficult to quantify the global warming contribu-

tion. Annual precipitation amount generally ex-hibits a decreasing trend, except for some sta-tions where anthropogenic and local factors leadto a slightly increase (e.g. Brasov). Seasonal andspatial differences can be revealed.

A spatial extension of the surfaces affected byvarious degrees of dryness was identified in thelast decades in Romania. Drought represents a re-

156 Romania

1920 1940 1960 1980 20008

10

12

14

oC

year

Figure 6.2. Temporal evolution of the annual mean temperature at Bucuresti-Filaret station over the period 1901-2000

1920 1940 1960 1980 2000200

400

600

800

1000

year

Figure 6.3. Temporal evolution of the annual precipitation amount at Brasov station overthe period 1901-2000

Page 150: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

lative frequent phenomenon in Romania, likemany other countries in the south-easternEurope. During history severe drought eventshave caused loss of yields, famine and even de-ath from starvation. Most of the drought eventsaffected only some parts of the Romanian terri-

tory and often in the same time there were areaswith floods. The drought and the floods have oc-curred on the same territory, in the same year.The most drought sensitive area is the south-eastern part of the country, were the aridity in-dex P/EPT is smaller than 0.65.

Climate Change Impacts, Vulnerability Assessment and Adaptation Measures 157

1920 1940 1960 1980 20008

10

12

14

oC

year

Figure 6.4. Temporal evolution of the annual precipitation amount at Baia Mare stationover the period 1901-2000

Figure 6.5. Annual SLP index for Romania

Page 151: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

In the period 1980 - 2000 the drought eventoccurrence increased with more than half of theyears having amounts of precipitation belownormal on the entire Romanian territory (Figure6). Within the same period the years 1986, 1990,1992 and 2000 appear to be the most affected bydrought, with a standardized precipitation index(SPI) below -1.5. In the year 2000, almost the en-tire country was affected by a prolonged droughtevent with high intensity as a result of a very hotand dry summer. (Figure 7).

As a confirmation of the frequent changes inRomania’s climate conditions, important floodshave affected the north-western part of Romaniaat the beginning of 2001. The most importantexcess of precipitation has been recorded inSeptember over a large part of Romania.

The most drought affected areas (SPI index < -2.5) were located in the western south-westernand central part of the country (Figure 8).

In terms of intensity, surface extension andduration, the drought which occurred in 2000was the strongest one in the last century. Thougha similar dry period was recorded in the period1945-1953.

As mentioned above, in the last decades theRomanian climate was characterized by the oc-currence of very short wet events (floods) withinlong dry periods, both of them producing a lot ofeconomic and social damages (e.g. agriculture,transports, energy supply, water management,human health and life). For example, the 1970floods affected 1,053,397 ha and 85,453 house-holds.

The analysis of regional costs due to floods,storms and hail over the period 1992-1998 (ta-king into consideration the losses of 8,153 bil-lion lei -equivalent to 326 million Euro at 2002currency rate) showed that the most vulnerableareas, from a socio-economic point of view, arethe intra-Carpathian region (35% above thecountry average) and the north-eastern part ofRomania (12% above the country average).

A recent research study showed that the ex-treme wet events were most frequently in the se-cond half of the 20th century. Therefore, the an-nual frequency of very wet intervals (one-twodays) exhibits an increasing trend for some re-gions with an upward shift between 1990 and2000.

158 Romania

Figure 6.6. Monthly mean air temperature and precipitation amount in Romania

Page 152: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

Climate Change Impacts, Vulnerability Assessment and Adaptation Measures 159

Figure 6.7. SPI index distribution for Romania in the year 2000

Figure 6.8. Territorial repartition of the maximum annual wind speed in Romania

Page 153: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

On the seasonal scale (winter and summer),the frequency of very wet days started to decreaseslightly in the same pace with the precipitationamount in the last part of century.

Over the last years a decreasing trend in windspeed is observed in Romania, possibly caused bythe increased frequency and persistence of theanticyclone areas over Romania’s territory. Themost relevant example is the wind speed dimi-nishing at Omu’s Peak from 10 m/s (historicalaverage) to 4 m/s in the period 1992-2002. Thisimportant decreasing trend of the wind speed isconnected to the precipitation decrease trendand the increase of the sun shining period, bothparameters confirming the maximization of theanticyclone areas frequency rate against the cy-clone areas.

Meteorological Characterization of the year2002 in RomaniaIn Romania, the year 2002 was warmer with 1.6O

C with respect to the climatologically normal(1961-1990). It was the fifth consecutive yearwith positive anomalies of the average tempera-ture, situated between 0.3OC and 1.8OC. The general thermal characteristic of the year was de-termined through 6 months, extremely warm(February, March, May, June, July and Novem-

ber), which recorded anomalies of 2.3ºC - 5.8ºC.The greatest anomalies were recorded in Febru-ary, when these values exceeded 8ºC in the sout-hern and eastern part of the country. Records ofmaximum daily temperatures were observed andthe highest minimum daily values were reachedat various weather stations over the Romanianterritory. The maximum temperatures in Febru-ary ranged between 4.4ºC (at above 2500 m alti-tude) and 23.8ºC (in the Danube flood plain) andthe minimum temperatures oscillated between -17.7ºC on the highest tops of the Eastern Car-pathians and -1.2ºC along the Black Sea coast.Frosty nights (minimum temperatures: < -10ºC)and winter days (maximum temperatures: < 0ºC)were recorded only in the mountain area. In thesummer months (July), the maximum tempera-tures frequently exceeded 35ºC, with the highestmaximum temperature of the summer (40ºC) re-corded at many weather stations in the southernpart of the country. December had a special re-gime, being extremely cold, with recorded ano-malies reaching 2.6ºC.

Even if the mean annual precipitation amountat the country level (636.6 mm) was close to nor-mal (647 mm), the precipitation regime showeda deficit in the first part of the year and an excessin the second part. The deficits in the first 6months of the year situated between 7.4 % and56.7 %. In the winter months, rainfalls accompa-nied by glaze were frequently recorded. In the se-cond half of the year (July-October), the precipi-tation amounts over the entire country exceededthe normal values between 45% and 65%. Overthis interval, down-pours, accompanied by hail,were recorded in most of the hydrographic ba-sins, causing floods and landslides. AlthoughDecember was, on average, extremely cold, thesevere warming in the last days of the year andthe rainfalls caused floods in the western, centraland northern part of the country. The first snow-falls were recorded in September and October, inthe north of the country, but a significant snowcover was recorded in November in the north ofthe country.

Severe wind gusts occurred over the year 2002,but the strongest storm-like wind gusts occurredat the end March, when in the the wind speed

160 Romania

Page 154: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

exceeded 145 km/h in the Eastern Carpathiansand it gradually intensified to effect of the wholecountry. In this manner the wind gusts were ex-tremely severe in its eastern half of the country.Significant material damages (forests groundingand fires) were recorded. On the night of Augustthe 11th, during strong atmospheric instability,conditions in the east of the Romanian Plain(Facaieni locality - Ialomita county) produced atornado phenomenon which was signaled bet-ween the hours 19:45 and 20:00. Over this re-stricted area, a severe storm with a strong vortex,caused significant material damages, the loss of 3human lives, trees grounding, damaged residen-ces and significant agricultural damage.

Over the year 2002, the severe meteorologicalphenomena in Romania caused 23 deaths andmaterial damages of more than 2,043.3 billion lei(equivalent to 81.5 mil Euro at the 2002 currencyrate). The phenomena affected or destroyedmore than 3,700 residences and dependencies,40,700 ha agricultural land, 228 socio-economicobjectives and 22,615 m3 forest wood.

6.4. Climate ChangesImpacts on Agriculture

As mentioned in the previous sub-chapter,drought related periods (regarding intensity, du-ration and spatial extension) became more freq-uent and severe in the last decade having a verynegative effect upon crop yields. Some ofdrought years may by considered as catastrophicconcerning the impacts upon the mean yield ofwinter wheat and maize crops - the most impor-tant crops in Romania.

Some research studies have shown that thedecline in crop yields reached 40-60%, especiallyin the southern part of the Romanian Plain. Inthe excessive drought years main crop yieldswere partially or entirely compromised in theareas without irrigation systems.

The critical development stage of these crops(formation of the reproductive organs during flo-wering and grain filling) very often coincideswith almost total depletion of the available water

supply in the soil and with the maximum evapo-transpiration demand. The chances of plantsbeing subject to water shortage at this time arehigh, especially if the days of scorching and lowatmospheric humidity are followed by tropicalnights.

A significant impact of climate conditions onmaize was identified by analyzing yields for theperiod 1988-1999, which was the driest period ofthe last century in Romania. Therefore, themaize yields for 1992, 1993 and 1998 were enti-rely compromised in some areas in the southernpart of Romania.

In order to identify the most extreme dry/wetyear, precipitation data at Calarasi agro-meteoro-logical station from 1961-2001 were analyzed. Itis noticed that there is a large variation in preci-pitation during the maize growing season (April-

Climate Change Impacts, Vulnerability Assessment and Adaptation Measures 161

Page 155: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

September) from 164 mm to about 490 mm. In18 years out of 41 the precipitation was belownormal, in 15 years out of 41 years the precipita-tion was over the normal and in 8 years was moreor less close to normal. Over the analyzed 41 yearperiod, the year 2000 was identified as havingthe most extreme dry year (by 43% below thenormal) and 1997 was the most extreme wet year(by 69% above the normal).

Examination of the monthly rainfall duringthe maize growing season (April-September) inall three analyzed years shows considerable va-riations from month to month (Figure 10). In thedry year 2000, the monthly precipitation variesfrom 3 mm in August to about 80 mm in Sep-tember and in the wet year 1997, from 140 mmin April to 20 mm in September, respectively.

More important, the pattern of distributionwithin the season varies considerably from yearto year. The severity of extreme climatic eventsdepends on various other factors, such as air tem-perature, the stage of plant development, soilproperties, etc. For example, in the year 2000,low rainfalls during the maize growing season as-sociated with high temperatures (maximumtemperature over 32OC have represented the ma-jor restrictive factors to the maize growth.

Effects on evapo-transpiration The next figure (Figure 11) shows the results si-mulated with the CROPWAT model for daily evo-

lution of reference evapo-transpiration, waterrequirements, actual crop evapo-transpiration,and irrigation requirements (Irr.Req.) during therainfed maize growing seasons, in both the dryyear 2000 and the wet year 1997. Generally,maize water requirements follow the slope of atypical Kc curve and it rises above the referenceevapo-transpiration curve when the crop coeffi-cient is greater than 1.0. The effective precipita-tion makes the difference between crop waterrequirement and irrigation need. The largest wa-ter shortages in conjunction with high tempera-ture during the months of June, July and the firsthalf of August, which corresponds with the sil-king-grain filling phase with maximum waterrequirements determined significant yield reduc-tion (e.g. the year 2000). The daily values of thethree parameters (ETo, WR and Irr.Req.) are hig-her in 2000 than in 1997, especially irrigationrequirements. Low values of the daily actualevapo-transpiration during the maize growingseason in 2000 indicate a large soil moisture de-ficit, as compared to 1997.

The next table (Table 3) summarizes the out-put of the CROPWAT model and changes in therainfed maize variables for the dry and wet yearversus normal climate conditions.

162 Romania

Table 6.3. Cumulative values of maize variables simulated with CROPWAT model on thewhole vegetation period in the rainfed conditions at Calarasi site. ETo: reference evapo-trans-piration; CWR: crop water requirement; Eff. Rain: effective rainfall - the amount of rainfallthat enters the soil; SMD: soil moisture deficit or irrigation requirement; ETc: actual cropevapo-transpiration; Yield red.: the estimated yield reduction due to crop stress; Changefrom normal year is shown as a percentage.

Years Eto CWR Total Rain Eff. Rain SMD ETc Yield red.(mm) (mm) (mm) (mm) (mm) (mm) (%)

Normal 718 606 242 220 386 259 52%year

2000 +9.3% +5.3% -48.3% -52.3% +32.9% -35.5% +73.1%

1997 -10% -13.5% +34.7% +39.1% -40.9% +52% -51.2%

Page 156: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

Climate Change Impacts, Vulnerability Assessment and Adaptation Measures 163

0

2 0

4 0

6 0

8 0

10 0

12 0

14 0

16 0

IV V V I V I I V II I IX

No rma l y e a r

Y e a r 2 00 0

Y e a r 1 99 7

Figure 6.9. Variation in the daily rainfall distribution and maximum air temperature atCalarasi station during 2000 (top) and 1997 (bottom), with similar seasonal totals

02468

101214161820222426283032343638404244

0

5

1 0

1 5

2 0

2 5

3 0

3 5

4 0

4 5

92 102

112

122

132

142

152

162

172

182

192

202

212

222

232

242

252

262

272

02468

101214161820222426283032343638404244

0

5

1 0

1 5

2 0

2 5

3 0

3 5

4 0

4 5

92 102

112

122

132

142

152

162

172

182

192

202

212

222

232

242

252

262

272

Page 157: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

164 Romania

2000

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

14-A

pr21

-Apr

28-A

pr5-

May

12-M

ay19

-May

26-M

ay2-

Jun

9-Ju

n16

-Jun

23-Ju

n30

-Jun

7-Ju

l14

-Jul

21-Ju

l28

-Jul

4-Au

g11

-Aug

18-A

ug25

-Aug

1-Se

p8-

Sep

Figure 6.10. Daily evolution of the of the reference evapo-transpiration (ETo), water requirement (WR), irrigation requirement (Irr. Req.) and actual evapo-transpiration(ETc) simulated with CROPWAT model during maize growing season, in 2000 and 1997at Calarasi station

1997

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

2-M

ay9-

May

16-M

ay23

-May

30-M

ay6-

Jun

13-Ju

n20

-Jun

27-Ju

n4-

Jul

11-Ju

l18

-Jul

25-Ju

l1-

Aug

8-Au

g15

-Aug

22-A

ug29

-Aug

5-Se

p

WR Irr. Req. ETo ETc

Page 158: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

Figure 12 shows the total amount of referenceevapo-transpiration, maize water requirementsand actual maize evapo-transpiration simulatedwith the CROPWAT model on the whole vegeta-tion period in the three analyzed years. The refe-rence evapo-transpiration and maize water needsdecrease by 10% and 13.5%, respectively in thewet year and slightly increased by about 9% and5% in the dry year, as compared to the normalyear. The actual maize evapo-transpiration gre-

atly increases by 52% in 1997, while in 2000 itdecreases significantly by 36%, comparing to thesame values from the normal year (Table 3 andFigure 12).

Low values of the actual crop evapo-transpira-tion (less than 200 mm) and precipitation (lessthan 150 mm) indicate a large soil moisture defi-cit during the maize growing season in 2000 andin this case the estimated total yield reductionincreases by 73% over the normal year.

Climate Change Impacts, Vulnerability Assessment and Adaptation Measures 165

0

1 0 0

2 0 0

3 0 0

4 0 0

5 0 0

6 0 0

7 0 0

8 0 0

9 0 0

N o r m a l 1 9 9 7 2 0 0 0

E to CWR E Tc

Figure 6.11. The total amount of the reference evapo-transpiration (Eto), crop waterrequirements (CWR) and actual crop evapo-transpiration (ETc) simulated with CROP-WAT model, on the whole maize vegetation period, in the all three studied years

5 0

1 0 0

1 5 0

2 0 0

2 5 0

3 0 0

3 5 0

4 0 0

4 5 0

No rma l ye a r 2000 1997

T o ta l

E ffe c tive

Figure 6.12. Comparison of the total and effective precipitation during the maize-growing season in the all three studied years

Page 159: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

Effects on soil moisture deficit The next figure (Figure 14) illustrates the compa-rison of the difference in the amount and dura-tion of soil moisture deficit during the vegeta-tion period, in the all these three analyzed years.

The results of soil moisture balance analysisshowed that rainfed maize suffered from a lack ofsoil water during the growing season on all thesethree studied years, but with different strengthsaccording to the specific climate conditions of

each year. In the mean climate conditions (nor-mal year) the total water deficit was about 386mm for 84 days (days when the soil moisturefalls below the readily available moisture). In thedry year 2000, the soil moisture deficit was hig-her by 33% and 29 days longer than during anormal year, due mainly to the decreased effec-tive rainfall by 52%. In the wet year 1997, thesoil moisture deficit was lowered 41% and 22days shorter as presented in the figure below.

166 Romania

0

1 00

2 00

3 00

4 00

5 00

6 00

7 00

N o r m a l 1 9 9 7 2 0 0 0

Figure 6.13. Comparison of difference in amount and duration of soil moisture deficitat the normal, dry and wet year in Calarasi station

0

2 0

4 0

6 0

8 0

10 0

12 0

14 0

No r m a l 19 97 20 00

Soil moisture deficit

Duration of soil moisture deficit

Page 160: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

The effects of extreme dry conditions onmaize yields were also analytically detected withthe CERES model. Experts have found that thedrought effects depend on the local condition ofeach area, the severity of extreme dry conditionsand the crop vegetation phase in which tempera-ture and precipitation stress occurred.

High temperature in conjunction with decrea-sed precipitation during the vegetation phases(end leaf growth, began grain filling and grainfilling) lead to significant yield losses, from 4 to90%. This is a consequence of the shortening ofcrop duration associated with the decrease in to-tal seasonal evapo-transpiration and precipita-tion, as compared to the normal condition.

6.5. Vulnerability Assessment

Among the reasons for relevant vulnerability as-sessments is the fact that climate changes are li-kely to happen and many anticipatory measuresthat would be taken in response to climate chan-ges are „no regret actions“ that will produce be-nefits even if the climate does not change.

6.5.1. Agriculture

During the vegetation season, crop vulnerabilitywith respect to the impact of meteorological pa-rameters as risk factors, increases proportionallywith water and temperature requirements,which reach the highest values during the maxi-mum sensitivity period.

Vulnerability was quantified in various vegeta-tion phases depending on the crop response tothe frequency and intensity of risk factors, ex-pressed through the deterioration of the vegeta-tion state, the unusual short length of the vege-tation phases’ duration and the degree of thecrop yields decline.

During the emergence vegetation phase, bar-ley and winter wheat are particularly vulnerableto air and in-soil humidity deficit, but also to pre-cipitation excess. The highest vulnerability is dis-

played by crops in the Vallachian Plain andDobrudja. The lowest vulnerability is associatedwith the northern and central parts of the coun-try, where the covering degree of precipitationnecessary in autumn is optimum.

During the maximum sensitivity period (hea-ding-flowering-grain filling) of winter cereals(wheat, barley) and of the weeding crops (maize,sun flower) which take place in Romania in May-July interval, crop vulnerability increase in thesouth and east of the Vallachian Plain. This isdue to the fact that the negative impact ofdrought is enhanced by the simultaneous effectsof other risk factors like: bright sunshine, exces-sive maximum temperature, and severe air humi-dity deficit.

The strongest droughts affecting the crops inRomania are those occurring in the autumn andsummer. In the years with severe droughts, verysmall yields (below 1000kg/ha) were obtained,with a reduction of 60-70% of the productive po-tential of the areas, and sometimes the yieldswere totally damaged.

Researchers from INMH analyzed the poten-tial climate change impacts on development,grain yield and water balance for the key agricul-tural crops at 6 typical sites located in one of themost vulnerable zones in Romania (the south re-gion). The vulnerability assessment focused onwinter wheat and maize due to the particular im-portance of these crops in the cultivated areasand the difference of their genetic type, reflectedin their distinct physiological response to diffe-rent CO2 concentration level (winter wheat is aC3 crop, while maize is a C4 crop).

Output from 2 equilibrium 2xCO2 general cir-culation models (CCCM and GISS) was used todevelop climate change scenarios. According tothe climate predictions for the south region ofRomania the annual temperature is likely to riseby 3.9 - 4.4OC and monthly variation of precipi-tation ranges from -47% to +81%. Generally, pre-cipitation will increase during the autumn andwinter and decrease during the summer, depen-ding on the scenarios, sites and crop seasons. TheCCCM scenario provides a higher temperatureincrease and a more pronounced decrease in theamount of precipitation. As a result the projected

Climate Change Impacts, Vulnerability Assessment and Adaptation Measures 167

Page 161: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

climate changes will cause positive and negativeimpacts.

The crop growth simulation models used toevaluate the effects of climate change scenarioson the crops cultivated in the southern Romania(winter wheat, maize, soybean, sunflower) were:ACCESS for winter wheat and maize;ARFCWHEAT2 for winter wheat; CERES familyfor winter wheat, maize and soybean; EPIC for allcrops; MAIZE for maize; and SOS for all crops.

Models ARFCWHEAT2, MAIZE and SOS werevalidated for the specific soil and climate condi-tions of Romania. Due to the fact that CERES andEPIC models were validated only for few crops,soil, climate and management conditions speci-fic to Romania, the output of ARFCWHEAT2,MAIZE and SOS models was used to check the in-formation obtained from the CERES and EPICmodels. The crop yields outputs of the simula-tion models were compared for two sites(Fundulea and Craiova) for a 30 year climate seq-uence with experimental crop yield data withtwo crops considered: winter wheat and maize.Experimental data were derived from long timeexperiments on the effect of mineral fertilizerson crop yields.

The simulation models estimated the crop yieldscorresponding to different hierarchical levels ofthe crop system reflected in the crop stress fac-tors considered during the crop yield formation.Therefore three levels of management practiceswere considered:• no fertilizer stresses are allowed (potential

yield). Water and temperature stresses are theonly factors decreasing the crop yields;

• „medium“ technology, allowing nitrogen andphosphorus stresses up to values that are com-pensated by fertilizer amounts currently ap-plied in average farms for the region of interest;

• „low“ input technology with no fertilizer appli-cation.

CERES-type, EPIC and ARFCWHEAT2 modelswere used for all the three hierarchical levels. AC-CESS, MAIZE and SOS were used to estimate onlythe potential yields.

For winter wheat in both locations and for allhierarchical levels, the EPIC simulation modelpredicts crop yields which have statistically sig-nificant different means than the experimentalvalues. The variance of the EPIC-winter wheat yi-eld sample differs from the one of the experi-mental yield sample mainly for medium and lowinput management systems.

For maize no statistically significant differen-ces can be noted between the crop yield samplesderived using various simulation models and thesample consisting in measured crop yields.

The results of crop simulations under 2xCO2

equilibrium GCM scenarios have revealed thefact that climate change effects on development,grain yield and water balance for winter wheatand maize depend on local conditions of eachsite, the severity of changes in climate and the di-rect physiological effects of double CO2 concen-tration. Wheat and maize crops have differentphotosynthetic pathways, so their response toincreased CO2 is different.

Winter wheat could benefit from the doubleCO2 concentration with higher temperatures,while maize appears to be a vulnerable crop toclimate change, especially in the case of a warmand dry scenario (such as CCCM). Wheat yieldsincreased at all sites for both climate change sce-

168 Romania

Page 162: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

narios as a result of large direct effects of doub-ling CO2 on photosynthesis and water use. Thenegative effect of the temperature increase thatcauses a shorter growth period would be counter-balanced by the positive effect of the doublingCO2 concentration.

In the case of winter wheat for medium inputagricultural technologies (allowing nitrogen andphosphorus stress factors up to 50 %) simulationresults show that: • both climate change scenarios used (CCCM,

GISS) induce an increase of grain yield. The in-creases are about 0,7 t ha-1 for CCCM, and 0,4t ha-1 for GISS scenario;

• the grain yield percentage increases are higherfor sites were the yields for the actual climateare lower due to higher water stresses;

• no statistical differences were detected betweenthe standard deviation of the yields for currentclimate and that for climate scenarios. There-fore, the year to year variations of the yieldswill be more or less the same for future doub-ling CO2 conditions and corresponding climatechanges;

• the length of the growing season decreasedwith about 16-27 days;

• the water use efficiency increases with 47-57%than the actual conditions, due mainly to theincreased CO2 assimilation rate;

• the economical risk analysis gives as dominantthe non-irrigated agro-technology, for actualand changed climate;

• no significant changes in yield levels for cli-mate change conditions were detected if the so-wing date were altered by +/-30 days as the ac-tual conditions;

• all the selected sites show the same trend of si-mulated parameters.

The impact on maize is different according to the scenario and the management practices used:

For rainfed maize: • CCCM scenario resulted in an increase in the

grain yield by 1.4-2.1 t ha-1 d.m., than the ba-seline. For GISS scenario the increase is 3.5-5.6t ha-1 d.m. These data show that for GISS sce-nario the CO2 assimilation rate (AMAX) reachesits maximum value. The data are consistentwith the AMAX values obtained in controlledclimate chambers.

• the growing season length decreases by 4-32days for CCCM and by 2-26 days for GISS;

• as compared with the baseline climate theamount of precipitation during the vegetationperiod decreases by 2-19% in the CCCM scena-rio and increases by 1-18% in the GISS scena-rio;

Climate Change Impacts, Vulnerability Assessment and Adaptation Measures 169

Page 163: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

• the total evapo-transpiration during the growthperiod slightly decreases at all sites for both sce-narios (0-19%);

For irrigated maize:• the average grain yield of irrigated maize de-

creases by 4-15% depending on the location,for CCCM scenario. For GISS scenario, the yieldincreases up to 18% at 3 sites or slightly decrea-ses by 2-5% at the other 3 sites;

• water used for irrigation in the locations whereclimate changes induce an evident change ofthe maize yield (Fundulea, Alexandria andCraiova) increases from 17% to 52%, in thecase of CCCM, due to water stress developmentespecially in the grain filling phase. For theGISS scenario water used for irrigation decrea-ses almost in all sites with an average of 14-29%than the base and thus irrigation use efficiencyincreases (the opposite situation as for CCCMscenario).

In summary, for rainfed maize the grain yield in-creases significantly for both scenarios while inthe case of the irrigated maize the grain yield de-creases for CCCM and increases or slightly de-creases depending on the sites, for GISS scenario.Yield decreases are a result of increasing tempera-tures that shorten the season length associatedwith the water stress during the grain filling, aswell as the physiological effect of CO2 double(maize is a C4 crop and therefore benefits littlefrom CO2 doubled). For both crops the cumula-tive evapo-transpiration during the growth sea-son generally decreases, as a result of growingseason shortening, but with different strengthsaccording to the crop type and managementpractices. Also, under climate change conditionsthe water is more efficiently used by the twocrops.

Referring to the crop rotations, simulation re-sults indicate: • as a general trend the benefit increases for all

the crop rotations used in southern Romania,in the case of climate change scenarios corre-sponding to doubling CO2 concentrations;

• the greatest percentage increases correspond tothe short crop rotations (single crop of wheat,wheat-maize), but these crop rotations havethe smallest absolute values of the benefit;

• the mineral fertilizer amount increases withabout 15-20% for climate change conditions inthe case of using the same stress factors for fer-tilizer application;

• no notable changes in the hierarchy of the croprotations according to their benefit was detec-ted in the case of climate change scenarios con-sidering as reference the actual climate;

• the values of the benefit in the best rainfed ma-nagement systems for climate change condi-tions were about the same with the benefit values computed for the best irrigated techno-logies for the baseline climate condition.

The assessment of the direct effects of CO2 oncrop production remains an important researchquestion. Although many studies have confir-med the beneficial effect of CO2 on the mean res-ponses of crops (especially for C3 plants, inclu-

170 Romania

Page 164: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

ding winter wheat), variation in responsivenessbetween plant species persists.

Evaluation of the direct effects of CO2 on cropproduction is an open research issue. Althoughmany studies have confirmed the favorable ef-fect of CO2 upon crops (particularly upon the C3type plants, such as winter wheat), uncertaintiesregarding the intensity of this effect for differentplants persist. Also, the assessment of other adap-tation options requires further studies.

6.5.2. Forests

With a surface of about 238,000 km2, Romaniaoffers very good natural conditions for differentkinds of forest ecosystems. Following the climateconditions, the structure and species composi-tion of the forest depend mainly on elevation.Subsequently, of the forests existing in the plainsand hills the dominated species are broadleaf,and in the mountains resinous species dominate.

From the above mentioned surface nowadaysonly 26.7% represent forested areas with an une-ven distributed over the surface of the country(58.5% of mountain area, 27.3% of hill area, and6.7% of plain area). In the last two centuries clea-rings have produced a severe decrease in the sur-faces covered by forests especially in the plainsand hill. As an example the share of forested areaheld by main forest species has, in the period1950-1992, diminished for beech occupied areasby 144,000 ha, and the oak occupied areas by79,000 ha.

The varied ecological conditions within theseareas and stages show a rich forest flora (withover 700 forest plant species) together with theformation of a wide number of forest ecosystemtypes (more than 150). The biodiversity of Ro-manian forests is still large, ranking among thefirsts in Europe in this respect.

During the last 50 years, some mixture decidu-ous (broadleaf) species have occupied an evernarrower surface, some of them vanishing al-most completely (the beech, elm, maple andcommon maple species).

The country’s forest stock surface is 6,366,888

ha, 6,249,236 of which occupied by forest and117,652 ha allocated to forestry culture produc-tion and management. In regards to forest sur-face, Romania ranks 17th in Europe, with a smal-ler forest share as compared to other temperateclimate European countries (30-40%).

One of the basic principles to sustainable fore-stry is that of ensuring continuity to the wood-mass production to be harvested from exploita-ble stands, usually older than 100 years of age. Tothis aim, it is desirable that the structure by ageclasses should be normal with the forested surfa-ces in each class being even. The present daystructure of Romanian forests is presented in thenext figure (Figure 15). It can be seen that at pre-sent in Romania, young age classes (1-60 years)are in excess, while the middle age class (61-80years), the exploitable stands (over 100 years)and mostly the pre-exploitable stand class (81-100 years) show a deficit.

Climate Change Impacts, Vulnerability Assessment and Adaptation Measures 171

Figure 6.14. Repartition of forests by age classes

1-20 years 22,5%

21-40 years 19,3%

41-60 years 18,1%

61-80 years 14,5%

81-100 years 10,2%

101-120 years 15,4%

Page 165: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

One of the simplest ways to relate vegetationpattern to climate changes is the climate vegeta-tion classification. By assuming that broad-scalepatterns of vegetation are at equilibrium withpresent climate conditions, the distribution ofvegetation types can be correlated with the mainfeatures of the climate. The Holdridge model relates vegetation to climate variables of bio-tem-perature, mean annual precipitation and the ra-tio of potential evapo-transpiration to preci-pitation. The life zones are depicted by a series ofhexagons in a triangular coordinate system. Thismodel is suitable for examining, on one hand,broad-scale patterns of vegetation as they relateto climate and on the other hand, the influenceof climate change on the suitability of a region tosupport different vegetation/forest types.

The Holdridge life zone method does not takeinto account the specific vegetation processesand as such it cannot be used to predict the tem-poral dynamics of species composition and standproductivity. Thus, this approach has limitationsof principles and its use has to be considered as afirst approximation. The current forest distribu-tion is quite similar to the life zones described bythe Holdridge life zones. Taking into account dif-ferent climate change scenarios, the change oflife zones should also be considered. The outputsof four GCMs were used to relate vegetation tothe possible future climate conditions the resultsbeing relevant. The migration of the existing lifezones to higher altitudes was observed and alsothe lower altitudes becoming available for life zo-nes nowadays existing in Minor Asia and in thesouth of the Balkan Peninsula.

Complementary to Holdridge model, theJabowa model, taking into account local condi-tions and species characteristics, was used to pre-dict the dynamics of species composition andproductivity in the climate change scenario.While the Holdridge model incorporates equili-brium models of climate change, Jabowa modelshould incorporate a transient model of GlobalCirculation Model. For the research study con-cerning forests experts used outputs from GFD1model, interpolated in three points of the Ro-manian territory: Bistrita in the hill area, Predealin the mountains and Bucharest in the middle of

the plain. For Bistrita station situated in north ofthe Transylvanian Plateau beech (Fagus sylva-tica) forest is dominant. According to the climateevolution two kinds of biomass evolutions areconsidered: the first for a normal climate evolu-tion, the second for transient GFD1 climate.

The sharp decrease of biomass after 2040 isdue to the enhanced desertification as a result oftemperature rise and precipitation decrease, es-pecially during the summer season. Predeal sta-tion located at 1000 meters elevation in themiddle of the spruce (Picea excelsa), and fir(Abies alba) forests seems to be less affected bythe climate changes.

For mountain areas, under both climate scena-rios, the forest evolution seems to be practicallythe same. As it may be seen, the biomass slightlyincreases during for the analyzed period (2000-2070). More sensative to climate changes seemsto be the oak (Quercus sp.) forest near Bucharest.

The forest in the plain area seems to be as sen-sitive to the climate changes as the forest in thehill area. The oak forest near Bucharest, appear tobe affected by the temperature increase, especi-ally after 2040. Even under current climate con-dition, a negative tendency of the forest shouldbe expected after 2030.

6.5.3. Water management

In view to estimate the impact of climate changeon the hydrological resources due to a doubleamount of CO2 in the atmosphere a mathemati-cal rainfall-runoff model is used and applied tothree pilot basins, representing mountain, hilland plain zones. These zones of relief are foundin all the analyzed basins (Siret, Arges andTarnave) which have been selected for the as-sessment of the vulnerability of water resourcesin these catchments and corresponding adapta-tion measures.

The mathematical model is applied in two ca-ses: present regime (actual climate) and modifiedregime (2xCO2 scenario). The climate scenarioadopted in the assumption of a double amountof CO2 in the atmosphere was determined with

172 Romania

Page 166: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

Climate Change Impacts, Vulnerability Assessment and Adaptation Measures 173

Figure 6.15. Trend in growth at beach forests in Bistrita area

Figure 6.16. Trend in growth at coniferous forests in Predeal area

Figure 6.17. Trend in growth at oak forests near Bucharest

Page 167: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

the CCCM (Canadian Climate Center Model),which has been considered the most suitable forthe climate and relief conditions of Romania.

The river flows at the outlets of the pilot basinssimulated by the model for both scenarios whichare then transferred to several river sections inthe analyzed basins by an up-scaling procedure.

The Romanian VIDRA model was used to si-mulate the runoff for the three pilot river basins(Siret, Arges and Tarnava) (Figure 19).

The VIDRA rainfall-runoff model used for thesimulation of river flow in both scenarios (actualclimate and 2xCO2) is a lumped type model.Consequently, the input meteorological data(precipitation and temperature) and the modelparameters should be considered as average va-lues over the basin area. The application of theVIDRA model as a first step in estimating the cli-mate change impact on the hydrological resour-ces has been performed on three representativesmall basins, named pilot basins.

Three small basins (200-350 km2) were selectedas pilot basins, each of them being located res-pectively in representative mountain, hill andplain areas. The daily flows over the period 1971-1988 were simulated in order to calibrate the mo-del on the pilot basins.

The analyzed basins, Siret and Arges, encompasstwo main zones with different hydrological be-haviour: • Contributing zone which supplies most part of

the total flow volume of the catchment. Thecorresponding basin of this zone is mainly hillyand mountainous.

• Routing zone where the contribution of the ba-sin is minor although its area is significant.

In Tarnava basin the runoff is gradually format-ted over the whole catchment area.

The reference basin is the catchment corre-sponding to the contribution zone.

174 Romania

Figure 6.18. The spatial relief distribution of Romania

Mountain Hill Plain

Page 168: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

An up-scaling procedure of transferring themodel outputs from the pilot basins to the refe-rence basin stations took into consideration therelief configuration of the reference basins,which show a quasi-gradual variation of the areawith the altitude. For these basins which have asignificant relief, the mean altitude represents amorphometric characteristic which integratesthe influence of all climate and physiographicfactors upon runoff formation. The river and ba-sin slopes, hydrographic network density, soilpermeability, vegetation as well as main climatefactors (temperature and precipitation) reveal anobvious variation in the altitude. Thus, themulti-annual specific runoff, defined as the ratiobetween the multi-annual discharge and the ba-sin area, is strongly correlated with the mean al-titude of the basin. Also, there is a good correla-tion between the mean altitude of the basin andthe multi-annual mean specific discharge for agiven month.

By coupling the hypsographic curves of the re-ference basins with the above correlation, themulti-annual monthly mean specific runoffs foreach zone of relief from a reference basin were in-tegrated to obtain the total runoff.

It should be mentioned that the pilot basinsare not located inside the reference basins butthey represent typical relief configurations(mountain, hill and plain) which are similar withthe landscape of them later. Consequently, themeteorological input data (temperature and pre-cipitation) of the model applied for the pilot ba-sins should reflect the climate scenario foreseenfor the reference basins under the circumstancesof doubled CO2 in the atmosphere.

In order to assess these meteorological inputdata, the daily temperature and precipitation va-lues have been corrected with the absolute diffe-rences in temperature and the percentage varia-tion of precipitation, respectively, as indicatedby the CCCM model for the reference basins. Thecomputation of the corrections for the referencebasins have been performed by averaging the va-lues determined by CCCM model in certainpoints for each zone of relief.

The monthly discharge hydrographs at the out-lets of the reference basins have been assessed byapplying the model in the pilot basins and byusing the up-scaling procedure. The followingmain conclusions resulted: • For the climate scenario 2xCO2, a decrease of

runoff occurs as compared to the present one.This is explained by the fact that, although theprecipitation is higher in case of 2xCO2 scena-rio, due to the marked increase of the air tem-perature a significant increase of the evapo-transpiration occurs, leading to the decrease inrunoff.

• For 2xCO2 climate scenario, a redistribution ofthe monthly mean runoff is noticed, with anincrease of the variation coefficients of themonthly mean discharges as compared to themulti-annual monthly discharges, specific tothe mean year.

• In four of the five analyzed basins the variationdomain of the monthly mean discharges de-creased in case of 2xCO2 climate scenario, ascompared to the actual situation.

• The analysis of the monthly frequency of thedischarges above the multi-annual mean hasrevealed the fact that the most affected monthis April, when the most pronounced decrease ofmaximum runoff occurs. It is also noticed thatSeptember is characterized by minimum ru-

Climate Change Impacts, Vulnerability Assessment and Adaptation Measures 175

Page 169: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

noff. Because this implies a possible lack of wa-ter, the necessity for proper water managementis obvious.

• From the analysis of runoff distribution duringthe year in the case of the 2xCO2 climatic sce-nario the following conclusions may be drawn: - the maximum monthly mean dischargesshifts from the spring - summer months to thewinter ones, due to the temperature increasecausing the snow cover melting at a different

phase than precipitation (generally specific forApril-July period); - the minimum monthly mean dischargesshifts during the period October-January to-wards August-October, due to the temperatureincrease (leading to the evapo-transpiration in-crease and the soil moisture decrease) as well asthe marked decrease of the precipitation inSeptember.

176 Romania

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

I II III IV V V I V II V III IX X XI XII

m o nth

Figure 6.19. The changes in the mean temperature and precipitation overages the threetypes of relief presented in Figure 19, derived by using the CCCM (2xCO2 scenario)

- 2 0

- 1 5

- 1 0

- 5

0

5

10

I II III IV V V I V II V III IX X X I X II

m o n th

Air temperature

Prescipitation

Page 170: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

The expected changes in monthly mean tempe-rature and precipitation amount are presented inFigure 20 and the resulted runoff changes arepresented in the following figure (Figure 21).

In order to assess the vulnerability of water re-sources under the climate change conditions, theseries of mean monthly discharges in severalpoints of the analyzed basins were needed. Thesepoints refer to the locations of the water reser-voirs, diversion and restitution works where thewater resources demands budgets are to be per-formed. The assessment of the monthly flows inthese points has been done by means of a corre-lation function between the stations at the out-lets of the reference basin and other gauging sta-tions in the analyzed basins. The correlationfunction has been determined on the basis of therecorded data over a 40-50 year period at the gau-ging stations located in the analyzed basins. Itwas assumed that the correlation function bet-ween discharges in different points of the analy-zed basins, determined for the current climate,maintains in the 2xCO2 scenario.

Taking into account the monthly flow estima-ted as trends of demands in future for agriculture,industry and water supply under the circumstan-

ces of the climate change, a water balance „re-sources-demand“ model was applied. This modelallows the simulation of some storage reservoirexploitation according to some pre-establishedscenarios. For each step the model applies the ba-lance equation for each storage reservoir in thecascade from upstream to downstream.

The application of this model results in the as-sessment of the vulnerability for the analyzed ba-sins: Arges River, Siret River and Tamava River.

Taking into account the existing water mana-gement works, the climate change impact is sen-sitive only for the Arges River Basin, one of themost important for the economic and social de-velopment and environmental issues. The capi-tal of Romania - Bucharest (about 2,000,000 in-habitants) is located within the Arges RiverBasin. The adaptation measures proposed in thisbasin refer to: • Non structural measures: Newly proposed ope-

rational rules for the strategic reservoir Vidraru(live storage 420.106 m3) according to the timedevelopment of the user demands combinedwith a gradual reduction of the water losses inthe water supply network.

Climate Change Impacts, Vulnerability Assessment and Adaptation Measures 177

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

I II III IV V V I V II V III IX X XI XII

m o nth

Figure 6.20. The impact of climate change derived through the CCCM model (2xCO2)upon runoff corresponded to the three types of relief

Runoff

Page 171: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

• Structural measures: From a certain number ofreservoirs and water diversion works possibleto be built in the future 15 combinations of themost economical ones have been analyzed. Onthe basis of an economic analysis 3 sets of com-binations have been selected.

6.6. Adaptation Measures

The adaptation measures to mitigate the effectsof climate changes on agriculture and water ma-nagement in Romania can be roughly classifiedin two groups.

The first group is related to the national deci-sion level and it refers to various governmentallaws regarding the protection, conservation andimprovement of soil and water resources and,therefore, indirectly refers to drought, desertifi-cation and soil degradation. One of the most im-portant is related to the United Nations Con-vention to Combat Desertification, which wasratified by Romania through the Law no.111/1998.

A particular aspect of agriculture in drought-affected areas is connected with the social secu-rity of the local people. Farmers cannot cover thelosses by themselves in years of extreme drought,and especially since insurance companies do not

cover the effects of drought, so there is a need forconsidering some kind of support actions inthese situations.

The second group of strategies refers to thosederived from research studies. In this way, in theagriculture field it was suggested that for unfavo-rable years the dominant strategy to minimizewater stress during sensitive development phaseshas to be the use of irrigation while simultane-ously increasing applied nitrogen levels up to120-160 kg/ha. Irrigation has a maximum bene-ficial effect on yields when it is used during thedevelopment of the floral organs (in the lateshooting, heading and flowering stage).

Results of the vulnerability assessment on win-ter wheat and maize crops presented in the pre-vious sub-chapter showed that maize producti-vity in southern part of Romania can be affectedby future climate change. Other measures are re-lated to the using of some new more drought-to-lerant hybrids with a high grain filling duration,and the sowing in the last 10 days of April usinga density of 5 plants/m2 (for maize).

Effects of irrigation applicationThe negative impacts of climate changes on agri-cultural crops can be reduced by some technologi-cal measures such as the application of irrigation,being the most reliable tool of drought control, re-gardless of drought intensity and duration.

178 Romania

Years Management options Net Irr. Yield red.(mm) (%)

Normal year Rainfed - 52%Irr. fixed int. & depth. (3 x 42mm) 126 36%Irr. fixed int. & depth. (3 x 70mm) 210 20%

2000 Rainfed - 90%Irr. fixed int. & depth. (5 x 42mm) 210 49%Irr. fixed int. & depth. (5 x 70 mm) 350 26%

1997 Rainfed - 25%Irr. fixed int. & depth. (1 x 42mm) 42 16%Irr. fixed int. & depth. (1 x 70mm) 70 10%

Table 6.4. The effect of the rainfed and different irrigation options simulated with CROPWATmodel on estimated total maize yield reduction. Net Irr.: the irrigation depth applied; Yieldred.: the estimated yield reduction due to crop stress

Page 172: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

The effects of different irrigation depths onthe estimated total maize yield reduction wereassessed by the comparison between rainfed andirrigated options and are summarized in the nexttable. The scheduling criterion was the irrigationat fixed intervals of 15 days and at fixed depthsof 42 mm and 70 mm.

The year 2000 was a severe drought year and asa consequence, the yield loss was considerable inthe areas without irrigation, the maize yieldbeing practically compromised. In the wet year1997, the crop stress was small and the estimatedtotal yield reduction was not high, as comparedto the normal year or dry year (Table 4).

Maize being a crop with high water require-ments, by the application of irrigation the yieldlosses due to the crop stress can be significantlyreduced, especially in extremely dry years. Thesimulation results showed that, in the dry year,irrigation decreased the percentage of the estima-ted total yield reduction in rainfed conditionsfrom 90% up to 26% (by applying 5 irrigations of70 mm), from 52% up to 20% in case of a normalyear (by applying 3 irrigations of 70 mm) and inwet year from 25% up to 10% (by applying 1 ir-rigation of 70 mm). In the extremely dry year of2000, maize was the seriously damaged by soil

drought, which occurred as a result of low preci-pitation (125 mm) relative to crop water require-ments (638 mm). In this case, the estimated totalyield reduction due to crop stress was considera-ble (up to 90%) and the maize yield was practi-cally compromised. The agricultural productiongrowth and stabilization could be ensured byusing many methods, in the conditions of theextreme climate events occurrence, such as se-vere droughts. The most important one being ir-rigation, while providing the environmental pre-servation and protection. Simulation resultanalysis suggest that in the case of extreme dryyear, when maize water requirement exceeds thewater supply, the application of irrigation the yi-eld losses due to the crop stress can be signifi-cantly reduced from 90% to 26%.

In the field of water resources, the evolution ofwater demands for population, industry andagriculture (Figure 22) until 2075 were assessedon the basis of some particular socio-economicdevelopment scenarios and on the results obtai-ned at the three pilot basins.

Adaptation measures and strategies for findinga balance between water use - demand and watersupply could be established based on the presen-ted information.

Climate Change Impacts, Vulnerability Assessment and Adaptation Measures 179

Figure 6.21. The evolution of water demand in Romania

Page 173: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

Regarding the water demand the adaptationmeasures refer to:• conservation and improving efficiency;• technological change;• adaptation of lifestyle, crop variety, industrial

recycling;• market/price driven transfers to other activi-

ties.

For the water supply the adaptation options referto:• construction of a new infrastructure to trans-

form hydrological resources into socio-econo-mic resources;

• modification of the existing physical infra-structure;

• inter-basin water transfers;• alternative management of the existing water

supply systems.

180 Romania

Page 174: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

7.1. Introduction

Currently, research activities related to climatechange are not as developed in Romania, as withother countries with economies in transition inthe region due to the lack of financial resources.There are also problems with the communica-tion and dissemination regarding research achie-vements like studies or reports that focus on dif-ferent activities in the variety of climate changerelated fields. These aspects are important for de-velopment of the future national strategy on cli-mate change. Some studies related directly or in-directly to climate change were elaborated in thelast years by some interested research institutesor NGOs.

Science and technology research will contri-bute to the foundation of decision-making con-cerning climate change issues. The most impor-tant actors in the climate change related researchare the Ministry of Environment and WaterManagement through its national research insti-tutes (The National Research and DevelopmentInstitute for Environmental Protection - ICIMBucharest and the National Institute forMeteorology, Hydrology and Water Management- INMH Bucharest) and the Ministry ofEducation and Research. Additionally, some re-search work on climate change related activitieswas initiated by the Romanian AcademyInstitutes, the Academy of Agriculture andForestry Sciences, the National Research andDevelopment Institute for Marine Activities„Grigore Antipa“, the National Institute forGeography, National Institute for Statistics andResearch Institute for Agriculture, Agro-chemis-try and Soil. The National Committee for Global

Environmental Changes, under the RomanianAcademy, coordinates with several institutes andorganizations and provides some opportunitiesfor financial support of the research studies ba-sed on international co-operation and projects.

The systematic observation in Romania is de-veloped on the basis of several projects imple-mented for addressing the reporting commit-ments made by Romania, but still not directlylinked with climate change activities.

7.2. Research

The Ministry of Education and Research, theMinistry of Environment and Water Manage-ment, the Romanian Academy and the Academyof Agriculture and Forestry Sciences are finan-cing climate research related activity in Roma-nia.

The National Research and DevelopmentInstitute for Environmental Protection - ICIMBucharest is carrying out research activities regar-ding the elaboration of national GHG and sinksinventories, the establishment of national emis-sion factors, and the assessment of possible tech-nical measures for GHG emissions mitigation orremovals fostering. The first two NationalCommunications of Romania to the UNFCCCSecretariat were developed by the ICIMBucharest in close co-operation with several in-stitutes, since it is also the only institute to workfor the estimation of GHG inventories using se-veral methodologies (CORINAIR, IPCC).

In December 2002, Romania submitted theNational GHG Inventory for the period 1992-

Research and SystematicObservations

Page 175: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

2000 for the first time in the requested format.The next National GHG Inventory was submit-ted in May 2003, according to schedule, andcomprising the period 1992-2001. This inven-tory has been reviewed by an expert review team(ERT) sent by the UNFCCC Secretariat inRomania in the period 29 September-3 October2003. The ERT identified some problems thatshould be addressed by the next submission.Romania also committed itself to submit the na-tional GHG inventories for the entire period1989-2002 by the end of May 2004, and impro-ving the NIR at the same time. The main conclu-sions of this review are very important for the future development of Romania's GHG invento-ries, in accordance with the IPCC methodology.

In the next couple of years, ICIM Bucharestwill be involved in research activities for the cal-culation of some national emission factors to beused for the GHG emissions inventories. This isbased on the fact that the Revised 1996 IPCCmethodology establishes a general framework forusing as much national emission factors possiblefor all activities and until now Romania used de-fault emission factors for almost all the activities.The results of these studies will support the fu-

ture calculation of the national GHG emissionsinventory for which ICIM will use the nationalemissions factors as determined in the researchstudies.

The climate related research in Romania ismainly developed by the National Institute ofMeteorology, Hydrology and Water Management- INMH Bucharest, which has a long history ofweather related activities behind it.

Meteorological scientific researchINMH focused upon the main fields selected asbeing of national interest and in accordance withEuropean Community demands: atmosphericand pollutant transport modelling, physics ofthe atmosphere, ozone layer, climate studies (cli-mate variability, climate change and impacts oncrops, climate prediction), studies based on satel-lite, remote sensing and GIS techniques. The re-search activity is mostly financed by the statebudget and within the themes and grants provi-ded by the Romanian Academy and the Ministryof Education and Research. Other research stu-dies were achieved through projects financed byNATO and the European Union. The number ofthese projects is quite small compared to the sci-entific potential of the institute. One of the mainstrategies of INMH is to encourage this activitywithin the 6th Framework Program (COST andLIFE) and other international programs. It isworth mentioning the developing activity forthe preparation of the book entitled „RomanianClimate“, which will include a great volume ofwork referring to the climatic parameters proces-sing over the interval 1961-2000 and the elabo-ration of the auxiliary graphic material.

The main research directions approached inclimate variability and the climate change fieldrefer to a better understanding of the mecha-nisms controlling regional climate variability,extreme climate events analysis and climatechange caused by anthropogenic activities (in-crease of the greenhouse effect gas and aerosolsconcentration).

INMH continues the analysis operation of theclimate series homogenization, which began inprevious years in order to obtain qualitative datauseful for carrying out climate research studies.

184 Romania

Page 176: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

In 2002, the issue of the mean seasonal and an-nual temperature data homogenization was ap-proached. Thus, the mean monthly temperaturedata files, coming from a number of 118 weatherstations with full-time observation series wereprepared, for the period 1961-2000 and the inter-comparison of the data sets coming from manyother sources were achieved.

Remote sensing applications Were used to determine the water reserve in thesnow cover during the winter-spring season of2002 in the following basins: Arges, Bistrita,Lotru and Doftana. The water reserve in thesnow cover, on altitude levels and vegetal covertypes, was calculated by using the snow coverdepth values collected in fast flux from the me-teorological weather stations and gauging sta-tions. This was done during the winter time andin the spring months until the thawing of snow.Thus, the experts achieved assessments for thethree hydrographic basins of interest, in January,February and March.

Agro-meteorological studiesThe daily agro-meteorological parameters andthe changes in the soil moisture content at thelevel of plant root systems are monitored in or-der to establish the plant favorableness degree indifferent growing and developing stage of crops.The periods and the agricultural areas affected byextreme events (droughts, intense heat,excess/deficit of water in soil, frost, etc.) are alsoidentified.

The agro-meteorological bulletins includingthe agro-meteorological forecast for the next in-terval, warnings regarding the occurrence ofagro-climatic hazard factors, are elaborated everyweek and month in order to have a current as-sessment of the agro-meteorological parameterseffects upon the soil condition and agriculturalcrops vegetation. Information is accompanied byuseful recommendations, advising farmers inchoosing the corresponding technological solu-tions to prevent and mitigate severe weather ef-fects in different critical vegetation stages of thecrops. Longer-range agro-meteorological fore-casts (based on long-range meteorological fore-

casts) are also elaborated allowing a perspectiveview of the influence of agro-meteorologicalconditions evolution (ex. air and soil hydro-ther-mal regime) upon plants growth, developmentand productivity.

The agro-meteorological information are dis-seminated towards governmental decision-ma-king offices, District Agricultural Agencies,Regional Meteorological Centres and mass-me-dia. This is done in order to make optimal deci-sions for agriculture in due time (e.g. performingploughing, choosing the optimal epochs and theseeding depth, irrigations and rational fertili-zing, introducing the most efficient species accli-matized to the soil-climate conditions availableat local or regional level).

Romanian climate in the 20th centuryIn order to identify the climate characteristics ofRomania for the previous century, the variation

Research and Systematic Observations 185

Page 177: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

trends over the period 1901-2000 were analyzedby INMH. The analysis focused on mean an-nual/seasonal air temperature and annual/seaso-nal precipitation amounts, using the climate se-ries from 14 weather stations which providecomplete data for the mentioned period.Significant warming trends were identified, espe-cially in the extra-Carpathian region, Bucharest-Filaret and Baia Mare stations proving anthropo-genic influences. In the case of the annualprecipitation amounts, a decreasing tendencywas identified, which became stronger after1970, and some light increasing tendencies werealso identified in the south-west.

Extreme climate eventsTaking into account the damages caused by ex-treme climate events occurrence and the resultspresented by the IPCC Assessment Reports regar-ding the increase of extreme climate events inten-sity and frequency over the past decades, INMHinitiated in 2002 the development of evaluationstudies for these events variation tendencies inRomania. Due to the fact that continuous dailydata series were unavailable over long periods,this analysis was performed over shorter periods.Thus, the experts analyzed the temporal evolu-tion of the maximum precipitation amounts, fal-

len in 24, 48 and 72 hours at 8 weather stations,in the period 1926-2000. In the case of air tempe-rature, the annual frequency of the days with ex-treme winter and summer temperatures, for 100stations over the period 1961-2000, showed a de-crease of the extreme winter temperatures freq-uency and a rising of the extreme summer tempe-ratures frequency. This occurrence became moreevident starting with the 1970.

In order to understand the mechanisms con-trolling the regional climate variability, the experts analyzed large scale atmospheric circula-tion and ocean-atmosphere interaction influ-ence upon the climate anomalies in Romania. Itwas concluded that there is an important linkbetween changes in the frequency of the dayswith extreme precipitation amounts in Romaniaand the large scale atmospheric circulation chan-ges, being more significant in the winter andsummer seasons. Thus, the decrease of the ex-treme precipitation amounts frequency, duringthe winter seasons after 1970 is determined by adecrease of the south-western circulation freq-uency over Romania.

Climate change scenariosThe climate change scenarios, due to the increaseof the greenhouse gases and aerosols concentra-

186 Romania

1 8 6 3

1 8 7 5

2 0 0 0

1 9 9 4

1 9 6 61 8 7 2

7

8

9

1 0

1 1

1 2

1 3

1 4

1 8 5 7 1 8 6 5 1 8 7 3 1 8 8 1 1 8 8 9 1 8 9 7 1 9 0 5 1 9 1 3 1 9 2 1 1 9 2 9 1 9 3 7 1 9 4 5 1 9 5 3 1 9 6 1 1 9 6 9 1 9 7 7 1 9 8 5 1 9 9 3 2 0 0 1

Figure 7.1. Variation trend of the annual mean temperature at Bucuresti-Filaret station

Page 178: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

tions were attentively approached. In the last ye-ars, where attention was drawn upon the ex-treme precipitation events frequency in thesouth of the country. Through the use of down-scaling statistic models, based on the link to at-mospheric circulation at the European scale, thechanges in the mentioned events frequency weredetermined for the next 100 years using the cli-mate change scenarios elaborated by HadleyCenter (HadCM3-A2). Significant changes havealso been estimated for the autumn (increase)and summer (regional increases and decreases).For the preceding version of the model(HadCM2), the INMH experts analyzed the chan-ging trends in the mean seasonal air temperatureconditions (winter and summer) and the precipi-tation amounts in the Atlantic-European area,resulting directly from the HadCM2 model inte-

grations, using 3 experiments: control, green-house gases effect without aerosols and green-house gases effect in the presence of sulphate ae-rosols.

In assessing regional climate change uncer-tainty and in order to improve the downscalingstatistic models, in 2002, a stochastic model con-ditioned by large-scale atmospheric circulationwas achieved in order to generate daily precipita-tion amounts.

The model was tested for Bucharest-Filaret sta-tion and by comparing the results obtained andthe unconditioned stochastic model variant.The results indicated that the conditioned sto-chastic model is more suitable for use within cli-mate change studies, because it manages to re-produce the linear technique induced by thecirculation changes at a large scale.

Research and Systematic Observations 187

0

5

1 0

1 5

2 0

2 5

3 0

3 5

4 0

19611963

19651967

19691971

19731975

19771979

19811983

19851987

19891991

19931995

19971999

Figure 7.2. Trend of the annual average number of tropical and winter days in Romania

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

19611964

19671970

19731976

19791982

19851988

19911994

19972000

Trend of the annual average number of tropical days in Romania

Trend of the annual average number of winther days in Romania

Page 179: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

Connection between Romanian climate andENSO/NAO INMH experts identified the key areas in the SSTfield in the Atlantic Ocean, influencing the at-mospheric circulation at the European level andsome preliminary results were obtained regar-ding the ENSO influence upon the thermal andprecipitation regime in Romania. Thus identify-ing certain months in which this influence ismore significant from the statistical point ofview. The North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) roleupon the lower Danube basin discharge charac-teristics was also pointed out, in connection withthe atmospheric circulation and the sea surfacetemperature anomalies at a global scale.

Climate predictabilityThe NAO variability and predictability study hascontinued over the last three years in order to de-velop prediction methodologies for anticipatingwinter season severity in Romania. Significantresults have been obtained, such as including thesnow cover expansion in Eurasia amongst thepredicting elements of the North AtlanticOscillation phase.

The tests regarding obtaining prediction infor-mation referring to the thermal and precipita-tion anomalies in Romania, with an anticipation

of up to 3 seasons, were also continued using astatistic model based on the canonical correla-tion analysis. In 2002, the spring and autumnmodels were carried out and tested.

In order to verify the conditioned probabilitiesmethod performance in estimating the thermaland precipitation anomalies in Romania, INMHbegan the reconstruction of the climate condi-tions over the independent interval 1981-2000and the comparison with real data. The testingwas performed for the Timisoara weather station.A quite large number of uncertain situationswere observed and in certain cases the achievedforecasts percentage was significant.

Impact studies of climate variability uponcropsIn the last years, INMH has continued researchregarding the development and improvement ofmethods for assessing and predicting the climatevariability impact (including extreme events)upon crops growth, development and formation.Using the CropWat 4 model, the irrigation de-mand was determined during the maize vegeta-tion season in the Teleorman-Vlasca area byusing different climate conditions, for a wet(rainy) year (1997), a dry (droughty) year (2000)and a normal one (2001). Thus using different

188 Romania

Page 180: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

agricultural management options: rainfed and ir-rigated with different watering norms, in orderto quantify the drought effect upon production.The crop losses in rainfed and critical irrigatingconditions were assessed in the same time withthe stress upon the irrigation techniques effici-ency in the maize productivity growth. The ex-ceeding precipitation amounts frequency for theMoldova region was also analyzed in the activevegetation season. Critical periods characteristicto the main agricultural species and also the moi-sture dynamics available to the winter wheat andmaize crops over the vegetation season - casestudy for the Moldavian agricultural areas - wereanalyzed.

In order to assess the vegetation phases for dif-ferent agricultural crops, the PROGFENO statisti-cal model was used for elaborating the floweringphenophase forecast of the sun-flower crop andthe appearance of the first mulberry leaves, in cli-mate conditions from the year 2002. A study re-garding the cultivating technologies substantia-tion within the mulberry agro-ecosystem wascarried out within the RELANSIN national rese-arch-development and innovation program, andalso within the AGRAL program. The study focu-sed upon the forecast of honey production at thesun-flower hybrids through the integration ofthe biological, ecological and technological fac-tors.

Research activities in Romania cover also awide range of climate processes and climate sy-stem studies included in the framework of theClimate Variability and Climate PredictionProject (CLIVAR) of the World Climate ResearchProgramme (WCRP) and the InternationalGeosphere-Biosphere Programme (IGBP), focu-sing especially on studies guided on regionalscale. The research activities are characterized byparticipating in national research studies and in-ternational through cooperation.

The following sections describe each of theseelements and provide a brief overview of rele-vant research activities. More details about theobservational network and the Romanian contri-bution to the systematic observation are descri-bed further on.

7.2.1. National ResearchPrograms

The most important national research programs,which include climate change related studies, arebriefly described below:• ORIZONT 2000 - funded by the Ministry of

Education and Research and coordinated bythe ICIM (The National Research and Deve-lopment Institute for Environmental Protec-tion). This program includes the followingmain themes:- air pollution monitoring;- climate change impacts on floods control in

Romania;- variability of climate extremes;- regional predictability of climate risks.

• RESEARCH GRANTS - financed by the Ro-manian Academy its Institutes and the Mini-stry of Education and Research. This programincludes high-level research for small researchteams and some of the climate related fields areaddressed.

• METEOROLOGICAL AND HYDROLOGICALRESEARCH PROGRAM - financed by the Mi-nistry of Environment and Water Manage-ment. This program, coordinated by INMHincludes research on, among others:

Research and Systematic Observations 189

Page 181: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

- climate monitoring system;- climate variability, climate changes, scenarios

and strategies;- climate impacts on agricultural crops and wa-

ter resources;- variability of hydrological and hydro-geologi-

cal processes;- water management and mitigation measures

for floods and droughts control.• COST ACTION 718: „Meteorological Applica-

tions for Agriculture“ (2000-2005) - is an inter-governmental framework for European Co-operation in the field of Scientific andTechnical Research and is supported by theEuropean Science Foundation (ESF). The mainobjective of the Action is to improve the me-teorological applications to agriculture and en-vironmental protection identifying and defi-ning the requirements in terms of scale andtime resolution and end-users' needs.

7.2.2. International co-opera-tion

One of the most important issues in the interna-tional co-operation between the Romanian sci-entists and other international research centers isrelated to the development of regional climatechange scenarios. Scientists from the INMHwere involved in this activity, which includesmainly the developing of mathematical techniq-ues to project the global climate changes on re-gional scale and to validate global climate mo-dels (GCMs) on regional scale. The GCMsimulations elaborated by the international cen-ters with high research and technical potential inestablishing various IPCC (IntergovernmentalPanel on Climate Change) scenarios were used inthe Romanian research studies.

This fruitful international co-operation is theresult of the participation of INMH in the inter-national projects (such as „U.S. Country Stu-dies“) in the bilateral activities (Max PlanckInstitute for Meteorology, GKSS Research Centerin Germany, and Laboratoire de MeteorologyDynamique in France) or by using internationaldata distribution centers (DKRZ, Hadley Center).Romanian researchers collaborated also as ex-perts in other projects such as Swedish projectSWECLIM in the field of regional climate changescenarios construction.

The conclusions resulting from the „CountryStudy on Climate Change in Romania. Vulner-ability Assessment and Adaptation Options“ sup-ported by the U.S. were presented in Romania'sSecond National Communication to the UnitedNations Framework Convention on ClimateChange. It should also be mentioned that themodels available in the U.S. Country StudiesProgram were operated assuming changes onlyin greenhouse gas concentrations. Other studieswere also elaborated using ECHAM3 doublingCO2 concentration scenario. The results are diffe-rent, especially for precipitation. Generally, it isknown that there are uncertainties in climatechange scenarios related both to GCM perfor-mance and emission uncertainties as well as tothe method used for construction of regional cli-mate change scenarios (statistical or dynamical

190 Romania

Page 182: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

downscaling). The Romanian climate changescenarios are based on the statistical downscalingtechnique.

Recent GCM models show that adding sulp-hate aerosols to greenhouse gases results in a lo-wer rate of average global warming in many mid-latitude areas compared to the case in whichonly the greenhouse gases were considered, butthe aerosols lasting time in the atmosphere isshorter. Studies about the projection of climatechange scenarios regarding Romania have star-ted based upon the last version of the coupledocean-atmosphere model elaborated by theHadley Center (HadCM3-A2), and some impactassessment studies will be developed in the nearfuture. The mean temperature changes are morerealistic than those resulted from the older UK89model. Thus, one of the conclusions using thestatistical downscaling models was that the win-ter temperature could increase with about 2ºCaround the year 2100 against the 1990 level.During the summer the increase could be about4OC.

International co-operation is an important com-ponent of the meteorological activity, throughwhich INMH participates in both the world ob-servations and measurements system and inter-national scientific research. The main activitiescan be grouped into 3 categories: • International scientific collaboration pro-

grams;• Bilateral scientific collaboration programs;• Data Exchange programs within international

organizations.

International scientific collaboration pro-grams:• LIFE ASSURE Project (1999-2002) within the

LIFE - ROMANIA Program of the EuropeanCommission - General Agency for Environ-ment, was developed in international partners-hip with METEO-FRANCE, having an innova-ting character in approaching the environ-mental issue at national and international level. The LIFE ASSURE project builds a pilot system for estimating the environmental impacts on the air and hydro fields at the urban

level, in the benefit of the local environmentalauthorities.

• LIFE AIRFORALL Project (2002-2005), also esta-blished in international partnership withMeteo France. The project will approach, forthe first time in Romania, the air quality fore-casts issue in „hot-spot“ areas of the nationalterritory, providing a feedback instrumentupon polluters in the industrial sector withpossible negative impact, and warning the de-cision-making factors at urban level.

• COST Project - ACTION 718 - MeteorologicalApplications for Agriculture (2000-2004) has asgeneral objectives, the improvement of the meteorological applications for agriculture,through identifying the demands for the ope-rational agro-meteorological models develop-ment and their use for optimizing the agricul-tural management and environmental pro-tection, for the remote sensing data integra-tion, in order to improve the performance ofthese models.

• ARENA („A Regional Capacity Building andNetworking Program to Upgrade Monitoringand Forecasting Activity in the Black Sea“), ledby the Oceanographic Institute of Varna,Bulgaria, to which INMH participates in theBlack Sea area research activities together also

Research and Systematic Observations 191

Page 183: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

with other institutes from different countries.The objectives of the project are to exploit andinitiate a preliminary prediction system for theBlack Sea, through developing interdiscipli-nary models coupled with data assimilationschemes.

• NATO Project (Science for Peace) - „Monitoringof the extreme floods in Romania and Hungary,using EO data“ (2001-2004). The partners ofthe project are: Dartmouth Flood Observatory(SUA), Meteorological Service in Hungary, VI-TUKI Institute (Budapest), Water ManagementAuthority, Civil Protection Authorities. Theobjective of this project is to achieve a detec-tion, analysis and mapping system for the areasaffected by floods, through integrating new sa-tellite and GIS technique data and developingadvanced rain-runoff models. This system willimprove the present operational floods foreca-sting and warning system at local level inRomania and Hungary.

• Collaboration with METEO-FRANCE withinthe ALADIN Project. The ALADIN model con-stitutes the basis of the forecasting model usedin INMH.

Bilateral scientific collaboration programs• ADEMA Project - bilateral collaboration with

CNES/SCOT/FRANCE regarding the achieve-ment of a support system for flood manage-ment in Romania (2000- 2002).

• Bilateral collaboration between CEN, METEOFRANCE and INMH: „Developing forecast met-hods of the snow cover evolution in mountainareas for the avalanche hazard forecast and hy-drological effects“.

• IAP Project (Integrated Action Projects) -Brancusi, achieved in partnership with MeteoFrance, has as a main objective the use of thesatellite data integrated to an agro-meteorolo-gical model for assessing the nitrogenous pollu-tion effects, due to agriculture.

• Collaboration with the University of Vigo,Spain, on the theme „European predictive po-tential of the North Atlantic Oscillation“.

Data exchange program within internatio-nal organizations

World Meteorological Organization's Pro-grams:• Global Atmosphere Surveillance - atmospheric

turbidity, total ozone and solar radiation-rela-ted data;

• World Weather Watch (WWW) - synoptic andclimatic data patterns;

• Voluntary Co-operation Program (VCP) - bila-teral exchange of hydro-meteorological dataand specialists between Romania and theRepublic of Moldova, Romania and Yugoslavia,under the concluded collaboration protocolsand also another bilateral protocol of hydro-

192 Romania

Page 184: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

meteorological data exchange has been conclu-ded between Romania and Bulgaria;

• RMDCN (Regional Meteorological Data Collec-ting Network).

• EUMETSAT - The access agreement of INMH tothe new generation satellites was renewedthrough a corresponding licence.

7.2.3. Overview of the mainresearch themes

As mentioned above, research efforts in climatechange related fields in Romania cover a widerange of activities. The main research topics are:• Monitoring and systematic observation - focu-

ses on data collection at national level and datavalidation procedure.

• Climate processes and climate system - invol-ves research studies about the main features ofthe observed climate including the understan-ding of physical mechanisms controlling thelarge scale and regional scale climate variabi-lity.

• Climate changes - includes statistical downsca-ling modelling in order to project global cli-mate change at regional level, validation of theglobal climate model at regional level, and ot-her statistical techniques to identify changes inthe large scale climate variability in the view ofthe future possible GHG concentrations in-crease;

• Research on climate change impacts - involvesresearch on water management, agriculturecrops and ecosystems, in order to choose thebest adaptation measures for mitigating the ad-verse effects of climate change.

7.3. Systematic observation

INMH coordinates the National MeteorologicalObservations Network which includes: 151 sta-tions, 3 aero-logical stations, 7 radar centers, 729pluvial-metrical stations, 60 agro-meteorologicalstations and 8 actinometrical stations.

The National Hydrological Observations Net-work, coordinated by the National Administra-tion „Romanian Waters“, includes 956 hydrome-trical stations, 300 precipitation stations and 57hydrological stations.

Observation systemThe year 2002 celebrated the implementation ofthe new National Integrated MeteorologicalSystem (SIMIN), through installing new equip-ment for real and likely meteorological data ob-servation, processing and displaying (automaticweather stations, radars, satellites, lightning de-tection network). These equipment were instal-led both at the headquarters of INMH and atRegional Forecasting Centers. First of all, SIMINmeans collecting a great amount of data in fastflux at the working place of meteorologist foreca-sters offering them, at the same time, multipleoptions for analyzing the already mentioneddata.

The national observation network is managedby 7 Regional Meteorological Centers (RMCs).The Meteorological Methods Laboratory (MML),Bucharest also brings its contribution to the net-work co-ordination.

Surface networkIn 2003, the national network was composed of150 weather stations and 290 rain gauge stations.The number of the rain gauge stations continued

Research and Systematic Observations 193

Page 185: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

to decrease, so that, at the end of 2001, 16 ofthem did not exist any longer. In exchange, thenumber of the automatic weather stations in-creased in 2002 from 15 to 60. From the 150 we-ather stations, 130 are full-time operational and20 are part-time operational; 52 weather stationshave a special agro-meteorological measure-ments program and 7 stations perform solar ra-diation measurements. In addition to this, at theAtmospheric Physics Observatory on the Afu-mati platform, several measurements are perfor-med like the limit layer and air-electric measure-ments as well as temperature and wind speedgradients in the 0-10 m layer. Fundata station isa GAW (Global Atmospheric Watch) one, whosespecific program is under completion. Withinthe GAW program, Bucharest station has an asso-ciated station status with respect to the totalozone measurements.

The meteorological products and geo-physicalparameters obtained using the satellite receptionstations are available for the Forecasting Service,through the local computer network. TheMeteosat satellite provides digital images (MSG-type reception station) and analogical images(WEFAX) METEOSAT/SDUS and the NOAA pas-sage satellite also provides digital images (NOAA/HRPT-type reception station). The main productsobtained through the images received from theNOAA satellite are the following: the Black Sea

surface temperature, cloud top temperature,cloud cover, clouds analysis, vegetation index,snow cover, soil surface temperature, active firedetection and fire hazard detection.

Communication systemThe collection and dissemination of primary andprocessed meteorological data and information,in national and international fast flux, are achie-ved within the National Center of Commu-nications. Over the year 2002, this unit hasbrought an essential contribution to setup theoperational equipment within the SIMINProject. The Automatic Meteorological MessageSwitching System provides the connection bet-ween INMH and the Regional MeteorologicalData and Communication Network (RMDCN),in accordance with the WMO standards. Onceinstalled and operating the Integrated Meteo-rological Radar System will covering the wholeRomanian territory. A connection to the specificcommunication system was developed to processand transmit in real time both radar and othermeteorological data. The Central Commu-nication System is responsible for the real timesupply of meteorological data belonging to thedatabase systems.

At this moment, the meteorological and hydro-logical system of Romania is improved throughthe following projects: • LIFE-MOSYM Project - was established in 2002

and improves the hydrological and environ-mental data system. Some methods for proces-sing the satellite images of the visible and radardomain were established, to map the floodedand floodable areas. A support system for thedecision-making factors in flood managementwas achieved, through an application in GISenvironment, collecting forecasts and real riverdischarge data at the gauging stations placed inthe test area and interactively representingthem.

• MEDHYCOS Project - within the World Hydro-logical Cycle Observing System (WHYCOS),has the objective to develop an automatic satel-lite transmission network for the hydro-meteo-rological stations;

194 Romania

Page 186: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

• SIMIN PROJECT - developed in collaborationwith Lockheed Martin Company, imposing amodernization of the basic infrastructure tech-nologies within INMH, improving the meteo-rological data sources and integrating the dataautomatically.

• DESWAT Project (Destructive Waters) - aims toachieve the modernization of the hydrologicaldata system and to integrate its infrastructurein the SIMIN Project;

• WATMAN Project (Water Management) - willresult in the integration of data resulted fromSIMIN and DESWAT projects for applying thenational water management strategy in case ofdisasters.

In order to prevent and mitigate the effects ofthe natural disasters (floods, dangerous meteoro-logical phenomena, droughts, accidental pollu-tion, accidents at the hydro-technical structu-res), the Ministry of Environment and WaterManagement together with the NationalAdministration „Romanian Waters“ has takeninto account the elaboration and implementa-tion of a national strategy based on the develop-ment of these projects (SIMIN, DESWAT andWATMAN).

These three projects regarding the moderni-zing of the Meteorological National System andof the Water Management National System are in

the implementation phase and have the follo-wing features:

Integrated Meteorological National System(SIMIN)SIMIN Project was developed with the aim tomodernize the national meteorological infra-structure, so that the data provided by this newsystem together with those from the existed sy-stems in Romania, provides the possibility forthe meteorological and hydrological experts todetect and monitor related phenomena inRomania. It also provides the means of elabora-ting high quality forecasts and of disseminatingall this information through a communicationinfrastructure.

In the framework of the project the followingitems were developed:1. National surface measurements network: esta-

blishing 60 automatically meteorological sta-tions;

2. National meteorological radar's network: esta-blishing 5 Doppler radar in „S“ band in:Bucharest; Craiova; Barnova; Timisoara;Tarnaveni and Medgidia;

3. National detected lightning network: establis-hing 8 detected lightning stations;

4. Reception system of data from meteorologicalsatellite METEOSAT 7.

Research and Systematic Observations 195

Page 187: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

In addition, SIMIN has an „external compo-nent“ for developing and modernizing the servi-ces and interfacing with the most important cli-ent-systems, in order to disseminate data andspecific meteorological products. In this respecta number of 96 terminal stations were establis-hed at the following beneficiaries:• Ministry of Environment and Water Manage-

ment;• Ministry of Defence;• Ministry of Administration and Interior;• Ministry of Transports, Constructions and

Tourism;• The Civil Aeronautical Authority;• National Administration „Romanian Waters“;• Meteorological Service Moldova.

SIMIN project is by far the greatest project in themeteorological field in Romania (approx. USD 55M) being a very complex investment from thetechnical point of view (IT&C) as well as the qua-lity of human resources involved.

SIMIN project assures a great variety of meteo-rological data and products, necessary in the de-velopment of specific activities of each organiza-

tion, both to the meteorological and hydrologi-cal experts in the forecasting field and to thecommon beneficiaries.

SIMIN provides specific meteorological dataand products which can be utilized for speciali-zed processes in the DESWAT project.

In 2002, some INMH experts working in theoperative field were trained in order to use thehi-tech equipment acquired within the SIMINProject. In this sense, an „on-the-job“ trainingcourse was held in Bucharest in August 2002 forthe benefit of the forecasters. Prof. Leslie R.Lemon, from the National Severe StormLaboratory, Norman, Oklahoma, lectured on theAmerican experience in radar use, hail and torna-dos detection and prediction, with direct appli-cation for the event in Facaieni, Romania dated11th August 2002. The American specialists fromLockheed Martin also performed a number oftraining courses, referring to the implementationof the new SIMIN products.

DESWAT ProjectDEStructive WATers - Abatement and Control ofWater Disasters - its main goal is the moderniza-tion of the informational - decisional system inthe hydrology and water pollution field.

The goal of the DESWAT project will be addressedby taking into consideration the collection ofdata through:• 600 automatically stations situated on rivers;• 250 automatically stations for precipitation;• 64 automatically stations for water quality;• development of the River Basin Centers and of

the National Center for hydrological forecast.

Primary data processing will be semi-automa-tically using program products of spatial repre-sentation based on a GIS system. The package ofhydrological forecast programs which will bemodernized and enlarged, and will include semi-automatic processing of warnings, forecasts andinformation products necessary for decision- ma-kers, mass media and population.

A pilot project was realized in the period 2001-2002, in the Lapus River Basin through the im-plementation of 5 automatic stations, from

196 Romania

Page 188: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

which 4 were for hydrological data and one forwater quality.

The DESWAT Project will be developed andimplemented at the national level in the period2003-2007 at a total cost of USD 45 millions.

WATMAN ProjectThe WATer MANagement project will apply thenational water management strategy in case ofdisasters, issued by the Ministry of Environmentand Water Management and the NationalAdministration „Romanian Waters“. This pro-ject will integrate the data resulted from SIMINand DESWAT projects, making it possible toachieve an Integrated Informational andDecisional System in case of water hazards.

The general objective of the WATMAN projectis to rehabilitate the water resources manage-ment system from Romania based on the WaterFramework Directive 2000/60/EU and NationalHazard Protection Program.

The objectives of the project are:• establishment of 11 Quick Intervention Cen-

ters;• modernizing the existing water informational

system and interconnecting with local andcentral administration systems;

• establishing a fixed intervention sections incase of accidental pollution;

• establishing an expert system for water re-source allocation.

Implementation period for the project at thenational level is 2004 - 2007.

In the period 2004 - 2006 there will be deve-loped a pilot project in Arges River Basin.

The final achievement is to integrate the threeprojects: SIMIN, DESWAT and WATMAN intoone expert system which will represent the foun-dation for the water decisional system and willoffer a continuous control of reservoir mainte-nace and operation, dam operation, and otherhydrotechnical works. The cost of this project isabout USD 87 millions.

7.4. Relevant publications

The amount of research on climate related activi-ties has increased over the last couple of years,where one of the most important aspects is theco-operation between Romanian experts and in-ternational experts for developing research stu-dies at both the national and regional scale.

The following publications are very importantfor this research activity in Romania, the publica-tions are in chronological order:• Bojariu R. (1997): Climate variability models

due to ocean-atmosphere interaction in thecentral Atlantic. Tellus.

• Stanescu V. Al., Corbus C. and Simota M.(1997): Upscaling procedure for the assessmentof the potential impact of climate change uponwater resources, XXII General Assembly of theEuropean Geophysical Society, Vienna, Austria.

• Adler M. J., Busuioc A., Mageanu C., Ghioca M.and Nistor G. (1997): The tendency of decrea-sing of the winter water resources in the Balkanregion, European Geophysical Society, AnnalesGeophysicae, part II, vol. 15.

Research and Systematic Observations 197

Page 189: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

• Bojariu R. (1998): Tropical variability ModelsRelated to North Atlantic Oscillation, Roma-nian Journal of Meteorology, Vol. 5, No.1-2, 9-16.

• Busuioc A., von Storch H. and Schnur R. (1999):Verification of GCM generated regional seaso-nal precipitation for current climate and of sta-tistical downscaling estimates under changingclimate conditions, Journal of Climate, vol. 12,258-72.

• Busuioc A, and Tomozeiu R. (1999): Connec-tion between maximum temperature variabi-lity in Romania and the large scale circulation,Romanian J. Meteor vol. 5 no. 1/2, 29-38.

• Adler M. J., Busuioc A. and Stefan S. (1999):Atmospheric processes leading to droughty pe-riods in Romania, International Association ofHydrological Sciences Publication No 255, 48-60.

• Rimbu N., Boroneant C. (1999): Decadal cli-mate variability over Europe during winter andits relation with the Atlantic sea surface tempe-rature, Proceedings of the International Con-

ference on Climate Change and Variability -Past, Present and Future.

• Stanescu V. Al., Corbus C. and Simota M.(1999): Modelling of the climate change im-pacts on water resources, ed. HGA Bucharest.

• Stephenson D., Pavan V. and Bojariu R. (2000):Is the North Atlantic Oscillation a randomwalk?. International Journal of Climatology,20, 1-18, 2000.

• Tomozeiu R., Busuioc A., Marletto V., Zinoni F.and Cacciamani C. (2000): Detection of chan-ges in the summer precipitation time series ofthe region Emilia-Romagna, Italy, Theoreticaland Applied 67, 193-200.

• Busuioc A., (2001): Large-scale mechanisms in-fluencing the winter Romanian climate variabi-lity, in „Detecting and modelling regional cli-mate change“, (Brunet M. and Bonillo D. eds.),333-344.

• Busuioc A., Chen D. and Hellstrom C. (2001):Temporal and spatial variability of precipita-tion in Sweden and its link with large-scale cir-culation, Tellus 53, 348-67.

198 Romania

Page 190: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

• Busuioc A., Chen D. and Hellström C. (2001):Performance of statistical downscaling modelsin GCM validation and regional climatechange estimates: Application for Swedish pre-cipitation, International Journal of Climate 21,557-8.

• Bojariu R., Paliu D. (2001): North AtlanticOscillation projection on Romanian climatefluctuations in the cold season, in „Detectingand Modelling Regional Climate Change andAssociated Impacts“ (Brunet M. and Lopez D.eds.), Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg.

• Rimbu N., Le Treut H., Janicot S., Boroneant C.and Laurent C. (2001): Decadal precipitationvariability over Europe and its relation withsurface atmospheric circulation and sea surfacetemperature, Quart. J. Royal Met. Soc., vol. 127,no. 572, part B, 315-329.

• Cuculeanu V., Busuioc A., Tuinea P., Geicu A.,Simota C., Marica A., Alexandrescu A.,Patrascanu N., Stanescu V. Al., Serban P., TecuciI., Simota M. and Corbus C. (2002): „Potentialimpact of climate change in Romania“,Bucharest.

• Bojariu R., Reverdin G. (2002): Large-scale va-riability modes of freshwater flux and precipi-tation over the Atlantic, Climate Dynamics,18(5), pp. 369-381.

• Tecuci I. (2002): The evaluation of water de-mand in Romania, INMH (National Institute ofMeteorology and Hydrology) Report.

• Tomozeiu R., Busuioc A. and Stefan S. (2002):Changes in seasonal mean maximum air tem-perature in Romania and their connection withlarge-scale circulation, International Journal ofClimatology, 22, 1181-1196.

• Rimbu N., Boroneant C., Buta C. and Dima M.(2002): Decadal variability of the Danube riverstreamflow in the lower basin and its relationwith the North Atlantic Oscillation,International Journal of Climatology, 22, 1169-1179.

• Boroneant C. (2002): „Anthropogenic ClimateInfluences“, in „Natural Resource SystemChallenge II: Climate Change, Human Systemsand Policy“ (Ed. A. Yotova) - Encyclopedia ofLife Support Systems, EOLSS Publishers,Oxford, UK.

• Busuioc A. and von Storch H. (2003):Conditional stochastic model for generatingdaily precipitation time series, ClimateResearch, vol.24:181-195.

• Busuioc A., Boroneant C. and Matei D. (2003):Analysis of the variability of extreme precipita-tion events frequency in Romania.

• Marica A. (2003): Assessment of the effects ofclimate variability on the main components ofwater balance and crop yield“, presented at theWMO-Regional Association VI Working Groupmeting on Agricultural Meteorology.

• Mateescu E., Tanislav N., Vatamanu V. (2003):The impact of drought conditions on thewheat and maize cultivation in the RomanianPlain.

Research and Systematic Observations 199

Page 191: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

8.1. Introduction

In Romania climate change related activities areunder the responsibility of the Ministry ofEnvironment and Water Management which hasundertaken a series of activities in this field inthe last years in close co-operation with foreignpartners like the Netherlands, Switzerland,Denmark and Norway and also with some NGOs.Some of the activities developed in this regardwere related to distributing the Second NationalCommunication to the UNFCCC, preparing theNational GHG Inventory in the specified format(CRF and NIR), re-organizing the NationalCommission on Climate Change, publishingmedia articles on climate change issues, and rai-sing awareness through the ministry web page.Awareness of the causes and effects of climatechange is not yet widespread in Romania due toa lack of capacity and financial resources.

Article 6 of the UNFCCC refers directly to edu-cation, training, public awareness and access toinformation and international co-operation.Several activities in this field were initiated bythe government and also by some RomanianNGOs in cooperation with the government.„TERRA Mileniul III“ is probably the most activeNGO in climate related activities in Romaniaworking on information dissemination, publicparticipation, training and publishing useful in-formation on the matter.

Institutions Involved• Ministry of Environment and Water Management

(MEWM) is the main public administration authority responsible for climate change po-licy.

• National Commission on Climate Change, esta-blished in 1996, has to review the NationalCommunications to the UNFCCC for approval,discuss national programs on the basis ofUNFCCC provisions, approve Joint Implemen-tation projects and promote flexible mecha-nisms, promote awareness activities under theUNFCCC and Kyoto Protocol, produce periodi-cal surveys and inform the competent authori-ties and the public about its findings.

• Environment Inspectorates are local agencies ope-rating under the authority of the Ministry ofEnvironment and Water Management at thecounty level plus Bucharest.

• Infoterra Romania is an autonomous NGO ho-sted by MEWM, representing the focal pointfor environmental information.

• Other Romanian NGOs - associations and foun-dations focused on climate change issues or re-lated issues, such as energy, transport, wastemanagement, agriculture and forestry.

Education, Training andPublic Awareness

Page 192: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

Legal RequirementsIn Romania, the access to information and thepublic participation in environmental decision-making is well regulated through a set of natio-nal laws and ratified international conventions.

• Law 137/1995 - Law for environmental protection.The general principles provide for „trainingand education of population, as well as NGOsparticipation in the elaboration and imple-mentation of decisions“. It is also stipulatedthat „the state guarantees the access to infor-mation regarding the quality of the environ-ment, as well as the right of public consultationin the decision-making process regarding thedevelopment of policies, legislation and envi-ronmental norms and regulations“.

• Law 84/2000 for the ratification of the AarhusConvention. Application norms for the Con-vention have not been issued yet.

• Law 29/1990 guarantees the right to access en-vironmental information and access to justiceon environmental issues.

• Order 1325/2000 of the MEWM Minister regar-ding the participation of the public, through itsrepresentatives, at preparation of the environ-mental plans, programs, policies and legisla-tion.

• Law 544/2001 - Law regarding the free access toinformation of public interest. This law was issuedin October 2001 and entered into force 60 dayslatter.

8.2. Education

The highest authority involved in this field inRomania is the Ministry of Education andResearch. The climate change process is not spe-cifically addressed in the curricula, but it is pre-sented in the broad framework of environmentalprotection and sustainable development educa-tion. Young people in the primary school are thekey target for raising awareness and understan-ding of climate change process and it is very im-portant to know how to present the causes andeffects of the phenomena in an understandablemanner. At the level of secondary school, the pupils areencouraged to explore more on this field in thesame time as outside activities addressing theneed to protect the environment. Unfortunately,there are barriers in the climate change educa-tion area: the lack of trained teachers in this fieldand also the lack of teaching materials, and fewspecial programmes that address climate changerelated activities.

Regarding higher education climate changeactivities are addressed at the environmental de-partments or faculties in state owned or privateuniversities. In the period 1995-2002, severaluniversities in Bucharest and in other importantuniversity centers like Timisoara, Brasov, Cluj,and Iasi established faculties or departments stu-dying environmental science and in this respectthe climate change process was addressed.

202 Romania

Page 193: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

The most important universities involved are:• Polytechnic University Bucharest - Faculty of

Energy;• Academy of Economical Studies - Economy

and Management of Agricultural and FoodProduction - Environmental Dept.;

• Bucharest University - Faculty of Geography -Environmental Science Dept.;

• Bucharest University - Faculty of Biology -Ecology Dept.;

• Technical Construction University - Faculty ofHydromechanics;

• Agricultural Sciences University Bucharest -Faculty of Land Reclamation and Environ-mental Engineering;

• Ecological University Bucharest, private uni-versity.

NGOs - education in schools The association Earth Friends from Galati prepa-red in 2000 a curricula for high school on„Energy and Environment“. The curricula wasimplemented in the Technical College „PaulDimo“ from Galati for two years. In 2001, theyalso produced a manual for teachers which focu-sed on the same topic, and probably in the co-ming years this kind of programmes will be repli-cated in other cities and at the state level.

8.3. Information and PublicAwareness

The Ministry of Environment and WaterManagement use different channels for provi-ding information to relevant target groups: massmedia, NGOs, and the business sector. One of the instruments is the ministry's website -www.mappm.ro. The page contains legislativeinformation, programs and projects developedby the ministry, contacts and other related links.In the near future, climate change responsibleexperts in the ministry in cooperation with fore-ign partners will develop a specific Romanianweb page especially dedicated to the climatechange process.

The ministry organizes press conferences on aweekly basis. After UNFCCC negotiations (COPsand SB meetings), the results of the process arepresented to the media. Also, details about JointImplementation projects are disseminated to thelarge public via mass media.

Interviews and articles dealing with green-house gas emissions and the overall effects of cli-mate change were published the last few years inseveral newspapers. Representatives of the rele-vant departments of the ministry have presentedthe issues of global warming and climate changein many radio transmissions and talk-shows, rai-sing the awareness of the general public on thesematters.

An important contribution to information dis-semination, not only at the national level butalso at the regional level, comes from the envi-ronmental NGO „TERRA Mileniul III“, which co-ordinates the regional NGOs network - ClimateAction Network Central and Eastern Europe(CANCEE). TERRA Mileniul III produced infor-mative materials such as „AIJ/JI List of Criteria“and „Guidelines to Implement Joint Implemen-tation Projects“, as well as the „CANCEE -Climate and Energy Bulletin“.

Education, Training and Public Awareness 203

Page 194: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

Unfortunately, the activities regarding infor-mation dissemination, public awareness andpublic participation are not so developed inRomania, due to the lack of funding for aware-ness campaigns. Nevertheless, funding for publicawareness activities and other public orientatedprogrammes will be addressed in the future onthe basis of Romania's good co-operation in cli-mate change activities (mainly on JointImplementation Projects) with Denmark, theNetherlands, Switzerland and others.

Three NGO working groups on energy, trans-port and agriculture developed several nationalor small scale public awareness campaigns on re-lated issues.

The Romanian Energy Working Group organi-zed in the period 1998-2001 public awarenesscampaigns on energy efficiency and renewableenergy at the national level. Between 2000 and2002, the Romanian Group for SustainableTransport conducted campaigns on raising awa-reness of the public and of the local authoritieson the implications of road traffic at local leveland evaluation of the external costs of roadtransport in six cities having as a main objectivethe development of an alternative sustainablenational transport strategy. The AgricultureWorking Group has been focusing on organicagriculture and demonstrative organic farming.

In 2002, the Romanian Society for EnergyConservation (SOCER) ran a large public aware-

ness campaign called Environment - Energy -Consumer, regarding domestic use of energyand environmental protection.

The Romanian Energy Policy Association(APER) has an important involvement in thisprocess by organizing different workshops andseminars like the APER Forums for dialog and ex-change of experience among the specialists fromthe energy sector, representatives of public admi-nistration, international organizations and con-sulting companies from Romania, EU and USA.APER is and also involved in drawing the linesand involving decision makers in the elaborationof policies, while adapting strategies to interna-tional standards.

The activities organized by APER worth mentio-ning are:• The Impact of Climate Change on Business &

Industry. GEF Projects in Hungary andRomania, 1998;

• Success & Failure of Renewable Energy Policy;Lessons from Greece and Denmark, 1998;

• Developments of Biomass and GeothermalEnergy Sources in Romania, 1998;

• Energy Sector and Romania's CommitmentRelated to Environmental Protection, 1999;

• Need of Correlating the Energy and Environ-mental Policies With the Investment Policy -Clean Energy Now, 2000;

• Kyoto Protocol - Presumable and PossibleInfluence on the Romanian Energy Sector,2001;

• In depth review of energy efficiency and rela-ted environment aspects, 2002;

8.4. Training

Several training programmes and activities weredeveloped in Romania based on direct coopera-tion between the government and NGOs andwith international cooperation:• LEAD (Leadership for Environment and Deve-

lopment) program organized in September1999, a training session with representativesfrom Europe (including Romania), New Ind-

204 Romania

Page 195: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

ependent States and India, regarding Roma-nian-Swiss AIJ/JI project in the city of Buzau;LEAD Associates were selected from govern-ment, industry, commercial enterprises, NGOs,the academy and the media; MEWM contribu-ted with lectors and experts in this training ses-sion.

• The Environmental Protection Agency and theCenter for Clean Air Policy - USA organized inJuly 2000 a training session on EmissionTrading for CEE representatives. Represen-tatives from the Romanian Ministry and NGOstook part in this training.

• In the frame of the program Capacity Buildingin Balkan Countries to Address ClimateChange, developed in Romania by the GreekMinistry for the Environment, PhysicalPlanning and Public Works, a training sessionfor enhancing skills to prepare national inven-tories was organized in April 2002.

• An invited expert from the MEWM participa-ted in September 2002 in the in-country reviewof the GHG inventory of Hungary as an obser-ver in the review. The review was organized bythe UNFCCC Secretariat and provided a greatopportunity for the invited experts to shareviews on the inventory preparation and sub-mission process.

There is still an urgent need for training pro-grammes in Romania in this field and for skilledexperts to work side by side with Romanian ex-perts, and also expert's participation in interna-tional courses and workshops.

8.5. Public Access toInformation

Access to Information and Public Participa-tion in Decisions Affecting Climate ChangeThese activities were performed in the frame ofthe „Capacity for Climate Protection in Centraland Eastern Europe“ project, developed by theREC/WRI partnership in 2001-2002. TERRAMileniul III was the Romanian partner in theproject and carried out the Romanian survey.

The objectives of the program were the follo-wing:• Access to general information about green-

house gases (GHG) emissions and compliance- information from national communications

and inventories;- facility-level information on GHG emissions

or fuel use.• Participation in decision-making affecting cli-

mate change- sector policies, plans and programs;- participation in decisions on Activities

Implemented Jointly (AIJ) and/or JointImplementation (JI).

• Efforts to build the capacity of the public formeaningful participation in climate change-re-lated decision-making- government efforts and investment to sup-

port understanding and participation in deci-sion making affecting climate change

- conditions and capacity of private sector tosupport understanding and meaningful parti-cipation in climate issues

Education, Training and Public Awareness 205

Page 196: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

- sources of general understanding of climatechange issues by the public.

The target groups consisted of authorities (mi-nistries, governmental agencies); business sector(state-owned and private companies, research in-stitutes); non-governmental organizations.

Policies and Measures for GHG EmissionsReduction and Mitigation Strategies in Ro-maniaThe project was carried out by the NGO „TERRAMileniul III“ in the period September 2000 -August 2001.

The aim of the project was to demonstrate thebenefits of implementing policies and measuresfor the reduction and mitigation of greenhousegases (GHG) emissions in the energy sector inRomania, within the context of transition tomarket economy.

The project had the following objectives:a) to assess policies and measures for the energy

sector and carry out a case study in order to de-monstrate „good practices“ for GHG emis-sions reduction;

b) to contribute to the capacity building at indi-vidual and institutional level regarding cli-mate change mitigation in this sector;

c) to disseminate information and compare thepresent status with the situation in othercountries with economies in transition (fromthe region);

d) to facilitate regional sectoral cooperation andexchange of experience.

A seminar and a round table with all stakehol-ders were organized in the frame of the project.

8.6. Public Participation in addressing climate change

Public participation in addressing climatechange is under the responsibility of the MEWMand in the last years increased on the basis of req-uesting public input on Joint Implementation

projects. Some exercises have been developedthrough NGOs initiatives. One public hearingwas run by „TERRA Mileniul III“ in 1999 regar-ding waste management in the district Giulesti -Sarbi, Bucharest.

In September 1999 the Romanian Group forSustainable Transport organized a public debateregarding impact of the transport sector on thepopulation. The event was attended by peoplefrom the „Tudor Arghezi“ street, representativesof the Bucharest City Hall and representatives ofseveral NGOs.

A seminar with local authorities for identify-ing methods to involve civil society in decisionmaking concerning urban transport was organi-zed in September 1999 by the same RomanianGroup for Sustainable Transport.

Two independent reviews of the First andSecond National Communication (1998 and2000) were made by „TERRA Mileniul III“ in theframe of a CANCEE program. In 1999, TERRAMileniul III, on behalf of CANCEE, elaborated aset of criteria for approving AIJ/JI projects fromthe NGOs perspective. The documentation waswidely circulated at the national and internatio-nal level.

8.7. International coopera-tion

Romania has great potential to attract foreign in-vestments through the Joint Implementationmechanism. The investment aim is to bring grea-ter energy efficiency and cost-effective techno-logies to the power, industrial and transport sec-tors.

In this respect, Romania has already signed several Memoranda of Understanding with diffe-rent Annex I country Parties (Switzerland, theNetherlands, Norway, Austria, Denmark, Swe-den) and with World Bank's Prototype CarbonFund - PCF which established the general frame-work for co-operation on the implementation ofconcrete JI projects. Based on these Memoranda,Romania has already 11 JI projects in differentstages of development.

206 Romania

Page 197: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC

Romania is an active participant in internatio-nal meetings like COPs, SB meetings, Annex IExpert Group meetings, and also all major inter-national conferences and workshops in the cli-mate change related fields. Romanian expertswere invited to participate in regional or interna-tional training on Kyoto Protocol's flexible me-chanisms-Joint Implementation and also in thein-depth reviews of National Communicationsand centralized in-country reviews of GHG in-ventories.

The Romanian NGOs also have an importantparticipation in different international works-hops and seminars. The regional CANCEE (NGOnetwork) meeting developed a capacity buildingsession in Romania in September 1999.

Capacity Building Program for Balkan Coun-tries was an important project organized by theGreek Ministry of Environment, Physical Plan-ning and Public Works in Albania, Bosnia-Herzegovina, Bulgaria, FYROM, Romania andYugoslavia.

8.8. Conferences andSeminars organized inRomania

Green Light for Europe Summit on Environment andSustainable Development in the Carpathian andDanube Region, April 29-30, 2001, Bucharest,Romania - The summit was organized by theRomanian Government with the support of theRomanian Chamber of Commerce and Industriesand NGOs, with a special section „Business andNGOs Forum“, which addressed climate changeissues and business opportunities.

Regional Summit on Sustainable Development,preparatory meeting for Rio+10, June 30, 2001 -Held by the Romanian Government, this sum-mit brought together governmental and non-go-vernmental representatives from most of thecountries of the region. It represented a prepara-tion session for the Johannesburg Summit onAugust 2002. The Summit also had workshopcomponents on energy and climate change is-sues.

Capacity Building in Balkan Countries to AddressClimate Change - April 30, 2002 - The NationalResearch and Development Institute for Envi-ronmental Protection (ICIM Bucharest), Foun-dation TERRA Millennium III and the NationalObservatory of Athens organized this seminar inthe frame of a regional project.

Romania GEF Country Dialogue Workshop -September 24-26, 2002 - The workshop was orga-nized in partnership with the MEWM and speci-fic working groups on climate change issues wereorganized, including a training session on wri-ting project proposals.

SAVE II - Energy Efficiency Project Development inRomanian Municipalities 2000-2001 (organized byAPER) - The aim of the activities were to offer atraining program to Romanian municipal experts (engineers, economists and project managers), focusing on the municipal energyplanning - municipal energy issues - projectdevelopment process, including but not limitedto energy audit approach, business planning,energy management.

SCORE - (Financed by SENTER) 2000-2001 andMUNEE - Municipal Network for Energy Efficien-cy 2001-2002 - 51 municipalities, including 73experts and 57 decision makers (both program-mes were organized in cooperation with APER).

Education, Training and Public Awareness 207

Page 198: 18138 Romania bog 4 - UNFCCC