1615 l street, nw, suite 700 washington, dc 20036-5631 202 ...€¦ · source: pew hispanic center...
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1615 L Street, NW, Suite 700Washington, DC 20036-5631
202-419-3600(main) 202-419-3608(fax)www.pewresearch.org
• The Pew Research Center is a nonpartisan organization that provides information on the issues, attitudes and trends shaping America and the world
• Public opinion polling• Social science research• Media content analysis
• We strive to be rigorous, timely and relevant.
• We do not take positions on policy issues.
A “Fact Tank”
Migration of Mexicans Into and Out of Mexico(thousands)
636
433
8141,026
440
479
2006-2007 2007-2008 2008-2009
Out of Mexico
Into Mexico
Source: Mexican National Survey of Occupation and Employment, 2006-2009
Migration of Mexicans Into and Out of the U.S. (thousands)
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
2001-2002
2002-2003
2003-2004
2004-2005
2005-2006
2006-2007
2007-2008
2008-2009
Source: U.S. Current Population Survey, 2000-2009
New Arrivals
Emigration
U.S. Border Patrol Apprehensions of Mexicans(thousands)
Source: Department of Homeland Security, 2009
New Arrivals
Emigration
1,169
1,523
1,085
1,637
662
809
981
8821,000
'92 '93 '94 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08
Mexican-Born Population in the U.S.: 1850-2008(thousands)
Source: 1850-1990 -- Gibson, Cambell and Kay Jung, "Historical Census Statistics on the Foreign-Born Population of the United States:1850-2000," U.S. Census Bureau, Population Division, Working Paper No. 81, 2006; 1995-2008 -- Pew Hispanic Center tabulations from augmented March Current Population Surveys adjusted for undercount
13 42 78 222 641 454 760
12,671
9,752
4,500
2,199
1850 1870 1890 1910 1930 1950 1970 1990 2010
A Portrait of the Unauthorized Population in the U.S., 2008
Growth and Dispersion of UnauthorizedImmigrants, 1990-2008
(millions)
Source: Pew Hispanic Center, 2009
11.9
3.5
1990 2008
All other statesCalifornia
States with Largest UnauthorizedImmigrant Populations, 2008
(population in thousands)
Source: Pew Hispanic Center, 2009
Estimated Population Range
U.S. Total 11,900 (11,400 - 12,400)
California 2,700 (2,500 - 2,850)Texas 1,450 (1,300 - 1,550)Florida 1,050 (950 - 1,150)New York 925 (800 - 1,050)New Jersey 550 (500 - 600)
Arizona 500 (475 - 550)Georgia 475 (425 - 500)Illinois 450 (375 - 525)North Carolina 350 (300 - 400)Virginia 300 (275 - 325)
Nearly Half of Unauthorized-ImmigrantHouseholds Are Couples with Children
(% of households that are couples with children for each status group)
Note: Couples may be married or cohabitingSource: Pew Hispanic Center tabulations, 2009
35%
47%
21%U.S. born
Legalimmigrants
Unauthorizedimmigrants
U.S. Population Projections:2005-2050
U.S. Population, Actual and Projected Under Alternative Scenarios: 1960–2050
(in millions)
Source: Pew Research Center, 2008
180
296
496
438
384
1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060
Actual 1960-2000Higher Immigration AlternativeMain ProjectionLower Immigration Alternative
Foreign-Born Share of U.S. Population, Actual and Projected: 1850–2050
(% of total)
Note: Projections for 2005–2050 indicated by broken line.Source: Pew Research Center, 2008; Gibson and Jung (2006)
9.7%
14.8%
4.7%
12%
19%
1840 1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020 2040 2060
U.S. Total Fertility Rate, 1917-2006
1
2
3
4
1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010
Source: Pew Hispanic Center calculations of data from the National Center for Health Statistics
Total Fertility Rates, 2009
2.722.58
2.342.05
1.981.791.78
1.661.58
1.411.41
1.311.21
India
World
Mexico
United States
France
China
Australia
United Kingdom
Canada
Russia
Germany
Italy
Japan
Source: CIA World Factbook, 2009
Population by Race and Ethnicity, Actual and Projected:1960, 2005 and 2050
(% of total)
Note: * indicates race includes only non-Hispanics. Native Americans and mixed-race groups not shown. Projections for 2050 indicated by light brown bars. Source: Pew Research Center, 2008
67%
13%5%
47%
29%
13% 9%
85%
3.5%11%
0.6%
14%
White* Hispanic Black* Asian*1960 2005 20501960 2005 20501960 2005 2050 1960 2005 2050
Elderly Share of U.S. Population, Actual and Projected: 1960–2050
(% of total)
Note: Elderly are ages 65 and older. Projections for 2005–2050 indicated by broken line.Source: Pew Research Center, 2008
8.9%19%
12%
1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060
Total Dependency Ratio, Actual and Projected: 1960-2050(children and elderly per 100 persons of working age)
Note: Children are ages 17 or younger. Working ages are 18 to 64. Elderly are ages 65 and older. Projections for 2005–2050 indicated by broken line.Source: Pew Research Center, 2008
81 59 72
1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060
Working-Age Population by Race and Ethnicity, Actual and Projected: 1960, 2005 and 2050
(% share of population ages 18 to 64)
Note: * indicates race includes only non-Hispanics. Native Americans and mixed-race groups not shown. Projections for 2050 indicated by light brown bars. Source: Pew Research Center, 2008
68%
12%5%
45%
31%
14% 10%
87%
2.9%10%
0.6%
14%
White* Hispanic Black* Asian*
1960 2005 20501960 2005 20501960 2005 2050 1960 2005 2050
Child Population by Race and Ethnicity,Actual and Projected: 1960, 2005 and 2050
(% share of population 17 and younger)
Note: * indicates race includes only non-Hispanics. Native Americans and mixed-race groups not shown. Projections for 2050 indicated by light brown bars. Source: Pew Research Center, 2008
59%
16%5%
40% 35%
14% 10%
81%
5.2%12%
0.7%
20%
White* Hispanic Black* Asian*1960 2005 20501960 2005 20501960 2005 2050 1960 2005 2050
Elderly Population by Race and Ethnicity,Actual and Projected: 1960, 2005 and 2050
(% share of population ages 65 years and older)
Note: * indicates race includes only non-Hispanics. Native Americans and mixed-race groups not shown. Projections for 2050 indicated by light brown bars. Source: Pew Research Center, 2008
82%
8% 3%
63%
17%12% 8%
91%
1.0%7%
0.3%6%
White* Hispanic Black* Asian*
1960 2005 20501960 2005 20501960 2005 2050 1960 2005 2050
Dependency Ratios—Total, Child and Elderly—Actual and Projected:1960–2050
(children and elderly per 100 persons of working age)
Note: Children are ages 17 or younger. Working ages are 18 to 64. Elderly are ages 65 and older. Projections for 2005–2050 indicated by broken line.Source: Pew Research Center, 2008
81725965
4039
1620
32
1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060
Total
Elderly
Child
Dependency Ratio, Actual and ProjectedUnder Alternative Scenarios: 1960–2050
(children and elderly per 100 persons of working age)
Note: Children are ages 17 and younger. Working-ages are 18 to 64. Elderly are ages 65 and older. Source: Pew Research Center, 2008
81
6959
72
75
1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060
Actual 1960-2000
Higher-immigration Alternative
Main Projection
Lower-immigration Alternative
The Changing Face ofSuburban Schools
Distribution of School Enrollment in Suburban School Districts, by Race and Ethnicity, 2006-07 and 1993-94
(share of suburban enrollment, %)
Note: Enrollment distributions do not include Idaho.Source: Pew Hispanic Center analysis of U.S. Department of Education, Common Core of Data (CCD), Public Elementary/Secondary School Universe Surveys
72
59
12
15
11
20
5
6
1993-94
2006-07
White Black Hispanic Asian
Isolation Measure of Typical Student Nationally,by Race and Ethnicity, 2006-07 and 1993-94
(own race share of enrollment at schools nationally, %)
Source: Pew Hispanic Center analysis of U.S. Department of Education, Common Core of Data (CCD), Public Elementary/Secondary School Universe Surveys
77
52
55
23
82
54
52
22
White
Black
Hispanic
Asian
2006-07 1993-94
The 2008 Election: Most Diverse Electorate Ever
Demographic Composition of Voters,by Race and Ethnicity, 1988 to 2008
(% of voters)
Note: Whites include only non-Hispanic whites. Blacks include only non-Hispanic blacks. Asians include only non-Hispanic Asians. Native Americans and mixed-race groups not shown. Asian share not available prior to 1990.Source: Pew Research Center tabulations from the Current Population Survey, November Supplements data
3.8 4.7 5.4 6.0
1.2 1.6 1.8 2.3 2.5
84.9 84.6 82.5 80.7 79.2 76.3
9.8 9.9 10.6 11.5 11.0 12.17.43.6
1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008
White Black Hispanic Asian
Change in Voter Turnout Rates Among Eligible Voters, 2008 and 2004
(%)
2008 2004Change
(% points)
All 63.6 63.8 -0.2
White 66.1 67.2 -1.1
Black 65.2 60.3 4.9
Hispanic 49.9 47.2 2.7
Asian 47.0 44.6 2.4
Note: Whites include only non-Hispanic whites. Blacks include only non-Hispanic blacks. Asians include only non-Hispanic Asians. Native Americans and mixed-race groups not shown. Asian share not available prior to 1990.Source: Pew Research Center tabulations from the Current Population Survey, November Supplements data
Voter Turnout Rates, by Race(%)
66.1
65.2
49.9
47
1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008
White
Asian
Hispanics
Note: Whites include only non-Hispanic whites. Blacks include only non-Hispanic blacks. Asians include only non-Hispanic Asians. Native Americans and mixed-race groups not shown.Source: Pew Hispanic Center Analysis of Current Population Survey November Supplements Percent of Eligible voters
Black
Voter Turnout Rates, 2008
46.947.1
47.9
51.860.7
61.563.664.2
65.767.968.8
Asian female
Asian male
Hispanic male
Hispanic female
Black male
Male
All eligible voters
White male
Female
White female
Black female
Source: Pew Hispanic Center Analysis of Current Population Survey November Supplements Percent of Eligible voters
2008 Presidential Vote
62%
67%
95%
43%
35%
31%
4%
55%
Asian
Hispanic
Black
White
Obama/Biden McCain/Palin
Source: Pew Hispanic Center Analysis of 2008 exit poll results as reported by CNN
2008 Presidential Vote, by Race and Ethnicity(%)
2008 Presidential Vote
45%
50%
52%
66%
53%
49%
46%
32%
65+
45-64
30-44
18-29
Obama/Biden McCain/Palin
Source: Pew Hispanic Center Analysis of 2008 exit poll results as reported by CNN
2008 Presidential Vote, by Age(%)