14-19 update1 accountability (& study programmes) 3

14-19 update1

Accountability (& study programmes)

3

14-16 Performance Measures

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14-19 update3

KS4 reforms – a reminder

•5A*-C replaced by ‘Progress 8’ for floor standards•Additional reporting of – ‘Attainment 8’–Maths and English–EBacc

•Double weighting of maths and English in Progress 8 and Attainment 8

•New approach applies to all for 2016 results (2014 cohort)

•Opt in opportunity for 2015 results•Schools will get ‘shadow data’ for 2014 results

GROUP 3

‘Open group’

Remaining Ebacc qualifications and other approved qualifications, including second English GCSE

(GCSEs and other approved academic, arts or vocational

qualifications)

GROUP 2

EBacc qualifications

(sciences, computer science, geography, history and languages)

GROUP 1

English: Double weighted*

Maths: Double weighted

*Higher score of English Language or English Literature double weighted if a student has taken both qualifications

Attainment 8 and Progress 8 requirements

4

1 23 4 5 6 7 8

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New points system

•Current points system seen to be complex and lack transparency

•New principles proposed:–The ratio between high and low grades should be large enough to encourage students to focus on high performance

–The difference between grades should be closer to the difference between a fail and the lowest grade

–Point scores for the most common qualifications should appear simple and logical

New points system

GCSE Grade

BTEC grade

Current points

New points

A* Distinction* 58 8

A Distinction 52 7

B Merit 46 6

C Pass 40 5

D 34 4

E 28 3

L1 Pass 25 2.5

F 22 2

G 16 1

U 0 0

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Conversion of the average point score per student to grades for reporting purposes

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Attainment 8 and Progress 8

•Not ‘best 8’•The 8 qualifications which meet the formula•The difference between the actual grade and the ‘target’ grade

•DfE example:–A student has a target of 8 x B–Actual achievement 4 x B and 4 x C–4 grades lower across the 8–VA is -0.5 grade–Average of all learner VA scores for school score

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Calculating Attainment 8

Grade Points Weighted points

Geography A*

English Literature A

BTEC Business Distinction

GCSE Science B

Mathematics B

English Language B

RS B

Art C

BTEC Sport Pass

GCSE Additional Science

D

Weighted attainment

10

Calculating Attainment 8examples are for illustration purposes only


Geography A*

English Literature A 7 14


GCSE Science B

Mathematics B 6 12

English Language B

RS B

Art C

BTEC Sport Pass

Additional Science

D

Weighted attainment

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Calculating Attainment 8 examples are for illustration purposes only


Geography A* 8 8



GCSE Science B 6 6

Mathematics B 6 12

English Language B

RS B

Art C

BTEC Sport Pass

Additional Science

D 4 4

Weighted attainment

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Calculating Attainment 8 examples are for illustration purposes only


Geography A* 8 8


BTEC Business Distinction 7 7

GCSE Science B 6 6

Mathematics B 6 12

English Language B 6 6

RS B 6 6

Art C

BTEC Sport Pass

Additional Science

D 4 4

Weighted attainment

63

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Calculating Progress 8examples are for illustration purposes only

Example 1: The student’s weighted total is 63 points Divide this total by 10 to get the Attainment 8 score 63 ÷ 10 = 6.3 This student’s average attainment is a bit better than a grade B across 8

subjects Assume the average KS4 attainment for students with a similar KS2

performance is 6.0 points Progress 8 is the difference between the actual score and the expected

score Actual = 6.3, expected = 6.0. Progress 8 = 6.3 – 6.0 = +0.3• Calculate mean average of all students’ VA scores to get overall school VA• School VA below -0.5 may lead to intervention

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Calculating Progress 8 – fewer than 8 subjects

•‘It can be of more benefit to less-able students to strive for good grades (and hence score more points) in fewer subjects, with the emphasis on doing well in English and mathematics, than to take more subjects but achieve lower grades overall.’ (DfE Factsheet: Progress 8 measure – February 2014)

•More time available per subject allows additional support in English Language, and mathematics

•More time available to offer larger programmes in subjects which will interest and motivate eg BTEC

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Calculating Progress 8 – fewer than 8 subjectsexamples are for illustration purposes only

Example 2:• Candidate X is predicted 30 points (average E grade) based on KS2 performance• Follows curriculum with just 6 subjects• Actual attainment:


English Language C 5 10

Mathematics D 4 8

Ebacc 1 0

Ebacc 2 0

Ebacc 3 0

BTEC Cert Sport Merit 6 6

BTEC Cert ICT Pass 5 5

BTEC Award Science Pass 5 5

English Literature G 1 0

Weighted attainment 34

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Example 2: The student’s weighted total is 34 points Divide this total by 10 to get the Attainment 8 score 34 ÷ 10 = 3.4 This student’s average attainment is halfway between a grade E and a grade D

across 8 subjects Assume the average KS4 attainment for students with a similar KS2 performance is

3.0 points Progress 8 is the difference between the actual score and the expected score Actual = 3.4, expected = 3.0. Progress 8 = 3.4 – 3.0 = +0.4

Note that the English Literature grade does not contribute because there are three better grades eligible for the third group

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Calculating Progress 8: An alternative scenarioexamples are for illustration purposes only

Example 3:• Candidate Y is predicted 3 points (average E grade) based on KS2 performance• Follows curriculum that conforms to full Progress 8 requirements• Actual attainment:


English Language E 3 6

Mathematics E 3 6

BTEC Award Sport Pass 5 5

BTEC Award ICT Pass 5 5

GCSE Science E 3 3

English Literature G 1 1

History E 3 3

French F 2 2

Weighted attainment 31

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Example 3: The student’s weighted total is 31 points Divide this total by 10 to get the Attainment 8 score 31 ÷ 10 = 3.1 This student’s average attainment is a touch above an E grade across 8 subjects Assume the average KS4 attainment for students with a similar KS2 performance is

3.0 points Progress 8 is the difference between the actual score and the expected score Actual = 3.1, expected = 3.0. Progress 8 = 3.1 – 3.0 = +0.1Candidate X may have the opportunity to progress to L3 study – perhaps choosing a

BTEC National in Sport or IT. Will need to continue with maths, but not much ground to make up

Candidate Y can only progress to L2 study. Will need to continue with maths and English – with considerable ground to make up

Importance of passing mathematics and English first time for 2014 Y10 in particular

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Meeting the various English requirements

• Attainment 8 and Progress 8:o Either English Language or English Literature; no minimum gradeo Points for better grade will be double weighted if both taken• English (and maths) measure:o Either English Language or English Literature; minimum grade Co No requirement to have taken both subjects• Ebacc:o English Language and English Literature must be takeno Grade C required in either• ‘Good pass’ to meet 16-19 study programme requirements:o Grade C in English Language required• For all measures, GCSE in English will also count on its own – 2016

tables only

BTEC Firsts in Science

The BTEC Firsts in Principles of Applied Science and Application of Science may be included in the 2016 Performance Tables in the ‘open group’ of Progress 8 and Attainment 8.

From 2017 onwards, DfE is excluding from the list of qualifications included in key stage 4 performance tables, non-GCSE qualifications whose content is similar to those of English Baccalaureate (EBacc) subjects, namely maths, English, science (including computer science), geography, history and languages. This means that from 2017 the BTEC Firsts in Principles of Applied Science and Application of Science will no longer be included in Progress 8 or Attainment 8

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The first entry rule

• Concerns abouto early entryo multiple entryo multiple results• Covers all subjects and qualifications eligible for

performance tables (Ebacc subjects only for 2014 results, all from 2015)

• Does not cover AS levels

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Defining ‘entry’

• GCSE or L1/2 Certificate ‘entry’ is the date of the first paper taken

• Where there is not a fixed exam date (eg GCSE Drama, Art & Design) the date will be the final date of the assessment window

• BTEC ‘entry’ is the final date for claiming an award (which will lead to a guaranteed result in time for inclusion in performance tables)

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Exception discounting and other quirks

• Qualification ‘families’• Englisho English Language and English Literatureo English

• Scienceo GCSE Core / Additional / Further Additionalo Separate scienceso Certificate double awardso BTEC Principles of Applied Science

• Mathso GCSE Mathematicso Linked pair piloto GCSE Statistics

• Private, transferred and very young candidates

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16-19 Performance Measures

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Post-16 accountability

• New approach applies to reporting of 2016 results• Will cover L2 and below for the first time• Builds on the division of qualifications into Academic,

Applied General and Tech Level• Separate reporting so that strengths and weaknesses can

more easily be identified• Emphasis on progress, as in KS4, but only for Academic

and AG• TL and L2 reporting on combined attainment and

completion• Reporting on maths and English achievement at L2, and

achievement of maths at L3

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Headline measures

• Progress – Academic and Applied General only

o Academic – ‘based on average attainment in GCSEs only

o Applied General – ‘based on all quals achieved at KS4

• Combined attainment / completion (Tech Level and Substantial level 2)

• Attainment

• English and maths GCSE (for students without at least a grade C GCSE at 16)

• Retention

• Destinations

New points system – level 3

Academic (eg A level)

Grade Fail E D C B A A*

Current points 0 150 180 210 240 270 280

New points 0 10 20 30 40 50 60

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Applied General / Tech Level(eg BTEC)

Grade Fail Pass Merit Distinction Distinction*

Current points 0 165 195 225 270

New points 0 15 25 35 50

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Academic qualifications

• A levels• AS levels• Applied A levels• IB• Pre-U• FSMQ• Extended Project

Calculating progress

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KS4 Average grade

Mat

hs A

-leve

l

C

A

Best fit line showing average Maths A-level

result for any given KS4 result

B

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Applied General

• These qualifications are primarily to facilitate progression to HE, and require HE support. Main subjects covered on the AG list are

o Applied Scienceo Art & Designo Business & Financeo Enterpriseo Environmental Sustainabilityo Health & Social Careo ITo Musico Performing Artso Sport & Exercise Science

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Tech Levels

• These qualifications are primarily to facilitate progression into a technical job or further technical education, and require employer support

• Main subjects covered on the TL list are o Art & Designo Constructiono Engineeringo Hair & Beautyo Health & Social Careo Hospitalityo ITo Landbasedo Mediao Music Technologyo Production Artso Travel & Tourism

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Other measures

• Achieving at a higher level of learning• Achievement in qualifications below L3• Tech Bacc• Destinations• Closing the gap• A level attainment• AAB in facilitating subjects• Attainment of L3 maths• Supported internships• Traineeships

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16-19 study programmes

GCSE English and maths

Rules for those who have not achieved A*-C in GCSE English and/or maths by age 16 and will be commencing a post-16 programme in September 2015:

• Those with a grade D will only be funded if they are put on a GCSE course

• Those with lower than grade D will be funded to take a ‘stepping stone’ qualification first but the intention must be that they will be working towards retaking their GCSE

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14-19 update1 accountability (& study programmes) 3

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