10 august brexit hitting london property prices
TRANSCRIPT
There is now clear evidence that Brexit is hitting
London house prices
http://pacificenergyassociates.com/news/there-is-now-clear-evidence-that-brexit-is-hitting-
london-house-prices/
10th August 2016
London's property prices are beginning to slide because
the dampening effect of Brexit is beating the stimulus of low interest
rates.
The UK's vote to leave the European Union helped slice just over
£30,000 ($39,194) off the average London property price in July ,
according to a report from estate agent Haart cited in the Guardian.
The average price fell from £558,760 to £527,349 in London, the
largest month-on-month decline recorded by the company. Nationally
prices shrank by 0.9%.
The Bank of England last week cut interest rates in half to 0.25% in an
effort to reinforce the economy against any Brexit shock. Low interest
rates are generally seen as a way to help buoy up property prices but
the Brexit effect seems to be more powerful.
And it is not just the houses that are losing value, but also the land
earmarked to build them on.
In prime central London, average residential development land prices
fell for the third consecutive quarter, dropping by 6.9%, according to a
report by Knight Frank published on Wednesday. Average values are
down 9.4% on an annual basis, Knight Frank said, returning to 2014
levels.
There is no doubt that Brexit has had an effect on prices and
transaction volume. On Tuesday, property group Savills said earnings
on commercial transactions plunged 23% in six months to June 30, as
investors waited for the outcome of the June 23 referendum.
"In Central London, many of the hitherto significant buyers
(Sovereign Wealth, International Private Equity) elected to remain
largely on the sidelines during this period, which opened the way for
Private Wealth from areas such as the Middle East to transact," Savills
said.
Property prices are increasingly depending on the battle between
political uncertainty and low interest rates. The more political
uncertainty there is, the longer interest rates will stay low and the
easier it becomes to borrow money to buy a house. But high political
uncertainty also makes buying a house in London less appealing for
those who want to invest from abroad or for those looking for a second
property.
The effect on the economy is already starting to be felt. The number of
new available jobs in the the UK's financial centre fell 12% from June
to July to just under 8,000, according to a survey by Morgan
McKinley.
Last month the Royal Institute of Chartered Surveyors said that new
buyer enquiries "declined significantly" in June, with 36% more
chartered surveyors reporting a fall in interest as part of the June
housing survey.
That was the lowest reading since mid-2008 when the financial crisis
was in full swing.
And we're not even two months in.