1 the european fleet leasing: key trends and challenges, and what they teach us for the development...
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THE EUROPEAN FLEET LEASING:
Key trends and challenges, and what they teach us for the development of the CEE markets
Presented by Vincent Rupied, Prague, February 3rd, 2012
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Leaseurope, the Leasing & Rental Federation
Leaseurope brings together 43 associations in 31 countries throughout Europe
Leaseurope represents the leasing industry, from hire purchases and finance leases to operating leases of all asset types, as well as short term rental, for cars, vans and trucks.
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The Corporate Vehicle Observatory
Free Access Studies
Annual Fleet Barometer in collaboration with
An expert-platform for all fleet professionals:
fleet managers, procurement specialists, manufacturers, fleet leasing companies, advisers, insurers, press, public authorities, researchers etc.
Created by Arval in 2002
Focus: professional Mobility
Neutral & International16 Countries
incl: Czech Republic, Russia, Poland
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Agenda
1. Automotive fleets in the European Leasing Market
2. Full Service Operating Leasing in Europe
3. Trends & Challenges
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Machines & equip
Cars
CVsICT
Big/other
Real estate40%
16%
Leaseurope in the automotive market (2010)
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Source: Leaseurope estimates based on data collected in its 2009 Annual Survey and ACEA new registration figures
Leaseurope passenger cars as % of total car registrations
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
SE
CH EE
DK FI
LV NL
UK
BG
HU SI
SK
AT PT
CZ
FR
NO
DE
BE
RO PL
ES IT
GR
Leasing & ST rental membersLeasing members
25.4%
Leasing & Car Rental penetrations
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0
150
300
450
600
750
900
1 050
1 200
1 350
0 300 600 900 1 200 1 500 1 800 2 100 2 400 2 700 3 000 3 300 3 600 3 900
BUSINESS REGISTRATIONSThousands of units
TOTAL REGISTRATIONSThousands of units
Germany
France
United Kingdom
Brazil
Italy
Spain
India
Belgium
Turkey
Russia
Netherlands
Poland
Austria
Switzerland
Portugal
Czech Republic
Romania
Slovakia
Greece
Hungary
Luxembourg
Morocco
Business vs. Total Registrations
2011*
Size of bubbles =
Business registrations
Sources: Arval, National Associations, ACEA.
* For all countries, best estimate to date.
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24%
68%
49%
73%
56%
10%
6%
3%
5%
4%
EU
BR
RU
IN
TU
IncreaseDecrease Balance 2011
+ 14%
+ 62%
+ 46%
+ 68%
+ 52%
+ 13% - 2% + 21%
2010 2009 2008
Base: companies > 100 employees
Fleet growth potential in the next three years
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Agenda
1. Automotive fleets in the European Leasing Market
2. Full Service Operating Leasing in Europe
3. Trends & Challenges
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Target: Fleet managers in companies of all industries using corporate vehicles
Fieldwork period: H1 2011
Sample: 4 518 interviews including
3 313 in Europe : Belgium, Switzerland, Czech Rep., Germany, Spain, France, Greece, Italy, Poland, Portugal, UK
1 205 in “BRIT” : Brazil, Russia, India, Turkey
Companies with less than 10
employees
Companies with 10 to 99 employees
Companies with 100 to 249 /
499 / 999 employees
CompaniesWith 250 / 500 / 1 000 employees
and +
Note : CVO Barometer Methodology
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Fleet financing in European Large Corporates**
Operating leasingFinance leasingCar creditSelf purchase*
*Self-purchase = outright purchase + credit (other than car credit) ** Large Corporate = over 1000 or 500 employees
RU
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Intention to develop – Intention to reduceIntention to develop – Intention to reduce
Operating leasing
Finance leasingCar creditSelf purchase*
*Self-purchase = outright purchase + credit (other than car credit)
Fleet financing: intentions per size
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The Motivations forFull Service Fleet Leasing
Outsourcing of services and administration
Transfer of risk on maintenance and Residual Value
Budget control
Don’t know
Besides the cost, what is the main added value of your experience with your leasing supplier?Besides the cost, what is the main added value of your experience with your leasing supplier?
Base: companies using Operating Leasing
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% of businesses interested in the following services% of businesses interested in the following services
A Market driven by Service Outsourcing
16Base: companies with 100 employees and more
Don’t know
Integrated provider of services only
Best specific provider for each service
Integrated provider of both services and leasing
% who cover service needs with…% who cover service needs with…
Towards Service Integration
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Agenda
1. Automotive fleets in the European Leasing Market
2. Full Service Operating Leasing in Europe
3. Trends & Challenges
■ Leasing in crisis time
■ The funding challenge
■ Remarketing and residuals
■ Accounting treatment
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IncreaseDecrease
Balance 2011
% who think that this year, cost pressure on the fleet will…% who think that this year, cost pressure on the fleet will…
31%
36%
37%
39%
Leasing in crisis time: Cost pressure
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80.0
85.0
90.0
95.0
100.0
105.0
110.0
115.0
120.0
Used cars Linear (Used cars)
France : LT Used car market index (100 = average Jan. 2007 - Mar. 2008)
The Remarketing Challenge (2/4)
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Used cars market: size per country
Sources: Arval, National associations, ublic statistics.
The Remarketing Challenge (3/4)
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Used cars sales vs new cars sales
Sources: Arval, National associations, ublic statistics.
The Remarketing Challenge (4/4)
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• Overall complexity, low preparation
• Will the leasing charge be
degressive (as proposed)
or constant (as today)?
• Feasibility of recontracting
• Qualification of the Right of Use for Basel II and III (for banks)
Tangible,
Intangible
or a new class of assets (« financial intangible ») as proposed by Leaseurope?
• Transition : possible option
Full Retrospective: FTA, impact on equity, comprehensive recalculation
Prospective: frontloading of charges with contacts regarded as new
At stake for Leasing Customers
The Lease accounting challenge (2/4)
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• Substantial system adjustments to produce required reports
• Major uncertainty of the RV reassessment under the new standard
The Lessors would carry receivables – not vehicles – on the balance sheet
The current gradual prospective depreciation (IAS 16) does not apply to
financial assets
The only possible reassessment would be the impairement of the receivable
(IAS 39) and of the residual asset (IAS 36) : more brutal and procyclical
At stake for Fleet Lessors
The Lease accounting challenge (3/4)
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• Only full service product
• Only mode providing RV risk coverage
• Far lighter on balance sheet than Finance Lease and Purchase
Why Operating Leasing remains by far the best funding for fleets
The Lease accounting challenge (4/4)