Occupational Supply and Demand System (OSDS): Design Improvements and Recent Applications

SHEEO/NCES Network Conference and IPEDS WorkshopMay 21, 2009

Presented by:

Mark Schaff, Contributing Labor Economist, National Supply Demand Consortium for OSDS; and,

Les Janis, Director, Georgia Career Information Center, Georgia State University, who Chaired the National Supply Demand Consortium which developed the OSDS.

www.occsupplydemand.org

Units of Analysis contain clusters of related occupations and training programs.

A Unit of Analysis is a starting point for comparing the relative abundance of trained workers related to the demand for those workers.

OSDS contains national and state data.Supply IndicatorsPrograms and SchoolsProgram Completers by Degree Level Program Completers by School and GenderOccupational Licensing Data and Information

Demand IndicatorsOccupational CharacteristicsOccupational ProjectionsWage Trends Occupational Employment by Industry

OSDS also contains:High-Demand, High-Wage, and High-Skill OccupationsCarl D. Perkins Career and Technical Education Improvement Act of 2006 State-specific methodology and criteriaLinked to Supply/Demand Indicators

HIGH-SKILL, HIGH-WAGE AND HIGH-DEMAND OCCUPATIONS PLANNING AND REPORTING REQUIREMENTS PERKINS IV

Guide for the Submission of State Plans

II. PROGRAM ADMINISTRATIONA. Statutory Requirements (excerpted from full list)2. You must describe the career and technical education activities to be assisted that are designed to meet or exceed the State adjusted levels of performance, including a description (f) The criteria that you will use to approve eligible recipients for funds under the Act, including criteria to assess the extent to which the local plan willi. Promote continuous improvement in academic achievement;ii. Promote continuous improvement of technical skill attainment; andiii. Identify and address current or emerging occupational opportunities;(h) How such programs will prepare career and technical education students, including special populations, academically and technically for opportunities in postsecondary education or entry into high-skill, high-wage, or high-demand occupations in current or emerging occupations, and how participating students will be made aware of such opportunities;(i) How funds will be used to improve or develop new career and technical education coursesi. At the secondary level that are aligned with rigorous and challenging academic content standards and student academic achievement standards adopted by the State under section 1111(b)(1) of the Elementary and Secondary Education Act of 1965, as amended;ii. At the postsecondary level that are relevant and challenging; andiii. That lead to employment in high-skill, high-wage, or high-demand occupations;9. You must describe how career and technical education in your State relates to your States and regions occupational opportunities. [Sec. 122(c)(16)]

HIGH-SKILL, HIGH-WAGE AND HIGH-DEMAND OCCUPATIONS PLANNING AND REPORTING REQUIREMENTS PERKINS IV

Guide for the Submission of State Plans (continued)

III. PROVISION OF SERVICES FOR SPECIAL POPULATIONSA. Statutory Requirements1. You must describe your program strategies for special populations listed in Section 3(29) of the Act, including a description of how individuals who are members of the special populations(a) Will be provided with equal access to activities assisted under the Act. (b) Will not be discriminated against on the basis of their status as members of special populations; and(c) Will be provided with programs designed to enable the special populations to meet or exceed State adjusted levels of performance, and how you will prepare special populations for further learning and for high-skill, high-wage, or high-demand occupations. [Sec. 122(c)(9)(A)-(C)] You must describe how funds will be used to promote preparation for high-skill, high-wage, or high-demand occupations and non-traditional fields. [Sec. 122(c)(18)]

IV. ACCOUNTABILITY AND EVALUATIONC. Procedural Suggestions and Planning Reminders Your State is responsible for identifying, using national, state, or regional data, the occupations or professions that it will classify as high-skill, high-wage, or high-demand. See section 113(b)(2)(B)(iv). The U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics, offers a wealth of information and data to assist States in this effort. See http://www.bls.gov/home.htm, as well as the Departments Web site at http://www.edcountability.net.

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Detail Monthly Activity

DateHitsPage ViewsVisits

Mar-0615,4046,472649

Apr-068,9903,175476

May-0624,9233,868464

Jun-0611,9635,486595

Jul-0613,0364,857703

Aug-0612,9614,325941

Sep-0612,4403,913762

Oct-0616,8315,899932

Nov-0615,5496,9861,030

Dec-0616,5606,5831,257

Jan-0717,1106,8471,556

Feb-0717,9914,8171,345

Mar-0716,9605,7131,541

Apr-0718,0776,6451,842

May-0718,1286,1821,835

Jun-0719,5467,9022,160

Jul-0722,5337,8632,652

Aug-0721,9478,0062,002

Sep-0728,9879,0581,953

Oct-0736,02911,9283,350

Nov-0734,44612,9203,481

Dec-0737,83213,1273,454

Jan-0838,22214,8643,789

Feb-0846,75117,6953,005

Mar-0844,74418,7953,748

Apr-0857,97219,0825,337

May-0857,61122,7645,404

Jun-0863,60122,6324,680

Jul-0846,44520,3544,968

Aug-0850,59619,2444,285

Sep-0844,32114,8363,871

Oct-0845,00022,0004,990

Nov-0846,75622,2115,367

Dec-0849,34121,2084,228

Jan-0964,18522,0634,775

Feb-0955,24621,3805,464

Mar-0963,14724,9015,690

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Detail Monthly Activity

DateHitsPage ViewsVisits

Mar-0615,4046,472649

Apr-068,9903,175476

May-0624,9233,868464

Jun-0611,9635,486595

Jul-0613,0364,857703

Aug-0612,9614,325941

Sep-0612,4403,913762

Oct-0616,8315,899932

Nov-0615,5496,9861,030

Dec-0616,5606,5831,257

Jan-0717,1106,8471,556

Feb-0717,9914,8171,345

Mar-0716,9605,7131,541

Apr-0718,0776,6451,842

May-0718,1286,1821,835

Jun-0719,5467,9022,160

Jul-0722,5337,8632,652

Aug-0721,9478,0062,002

Sep-0728,9879,0581,953

Oct-0736,02911,9283,350

Nov-0734,44612,9203,481

Dec-0737,83213,1273,454

Jan-0838,22214,8643,789

Feb-0846,75117,6953,005

Mar-0844,74418,7953,748

Apr-0857,97219,0825,337

May-0857,61122,7645,404

Jun-0863,60122,6324,680

Jul-0846,44520,3544,968

Aug-0850,59619,2444,285

Sep-0844,32114,8363,871

Oct-0845,00022,0004,990

Nov-0846,75622,2115,367

Dec-0849,34121,2084,228

Jan-0964,18522,0634,775

Feb-0955,24621,3805,464

Mar-0963,14724,9015,690

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Occupational Supply Demand System (OSDS)www.occsupplydemand.org

Occupational Projections and Training Data(U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics)www.bls.gov/emp/optd/home.htm

Science and Engineering Indicators 2008(National Science Foundation)www.nsf.gov/statistics/seind08

Seminal Publications and Resources

Occupational Projections and Training Datawww.bls.gov/emp/optd/home.htm

Science and Engineering Indicators 2008www.nsf.gov/statistics/seind08

Programs and Schools (2006 - 2007) Ohio

CIP Code

Program of Study and Training

# Schools

# Programs

Market Share

51.3501

Massage Therapy/Therapeutic Massage

26

37

Schools

Source: National Center for Educational Statistics, Degrees Conferred 2006-07.

Program Completers by Degree Level (2006 - 2007) Ohio

CIP Code

Program Title

Cert1

Cert2

Assc

Assc+

Bach

CertB

Mast

CertM

Doct

1Prof

Total

51.3501

Massage Therapy/Therapeutic Massage

592

295

187

1074

Total

592

295

187

1074

Source: National Center for Educational Statistics, Degrees Conferred 2006-07.

Occupational ProjectionsOhio

Employment

Average Annual Openings

SOC code

Occupation

Est 2006

Proj 2016

Change

Growth

Replace

Total

31-9011

Massage Therapists

3,970

4,740

19.4%

77

44

121

Total

3,970

4,740

19.4%

77

44

121

Wage TrendsOhio

Median Annual Wage

Change

SOC Code

Occupation

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2003 to 2007

31-9011

Massage Therapists

$32,520

$46,240

$37,070

$35,310

$29,620

-8.9%

Benchmarks for Wage Trends(all occupations)

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

Change2003 to 2007

Ohio Median Wage

$28,180

$28,770

$29,260

$30,100

$30,900

9.7%

Ohio Mean Wage

$34,870

$35,570

$36,270

$37,360

$38,640

10.8%

Ohio Mean Wage RSE

0.4%

0.4%

0.4%

0.4%

0.3%

National Median Wage

$28,140

$28,770

$29,430

$30,400

$31,410

11.6%

National Mean Wage

$36,210

$37,020

$37,870

$39,190

$40,690

12.4%

National Mean Wage RSE

0.2%

0.2%

0.1%

0.1%

0.1%

National Consumer Price Index (C-CPI-U)

107.8

110.5

113.7

117.0

119.9

11.2%

Note: Relative Standard Error (RSE) is a measure of the reliability of a statistic; the smaller the relative standard error, the more precise the estimate. Source: U.S. Department of Labor and OSDS at http://occsupplydemand.org. 2009 Georgia Career Information Center, Georgia State University for the U. S. Department of Labor. All rights reserved.

Programs and Schools (2006 - 2007) Ohio

CIP Code

Program of Study and Training

# Schools

# Programs

Market Share

51.2306

Occupational Therapy/Therapist

7

11

Schools

Source: National Center for Educational Statistics, Degrees Conferred 2006-07, IPEDS.

Program Completers by Degree Level (2006 - 2007) Ohio

CIP Code

Program Title

Cert1

Cert2

Assc

Assc+

Bach

CertB

Mast

CertM

Doct

1Prof

Total

51.2306

Occupational Therapy/Therapist

9

30

89

16

144

Total

9

30

89

16

144

Source: National Center for Educational Statistics, Degrees Conferred 2006-07, IPEDS.

2009 Georgia Career Information Center, Georgia State University for the U. S. Department of Labor. All rights reserved. OSDS at http://occsupplydemand.org.

Occupational ProjectionsOhio

Employment

Average Annual Openings

SOC code

Occupation

Est 2006

Proj 2016

Change

Growth

Replace

Total

29-1122

Occupational Therapists

4,210

5,180

23.0%

97

62

159

Total

4,210

5,180

23.0%

97

62

159

Source: U.S. Department of Labor and OSDS at http://occsuplydemand.org.

Wage TrendsOhio

Median Annual Wage

Change

SOC Code

Occupation

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2003 to 2007

29-1122

Occupational Therapists

$54,520

$55,260

$60,800

$64,020

$69,670

27.8%

Benchmarks for Wage Trends(all occupations)

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

Change2003 to 2007

Ohio Median Wage

$28,180

$28,770

$29,260

$30,100

$30,900

9.7%

Ohio Mean Wage

$34,870

$35,570

$36,270

$37,360

$38,640

10.8%

Ohio Mean Wage RSE

0.4%

0.4%

0.4%

0.4%

0.3%

National Median Wage

$28,140

$28,770

$29,430

$30,400

$31,410

11.6%

National Mean Wage

$36,210

$37,020

$37,870

$39,190

$40,690

12.4%

National Mean Wage RSE

0.2%

0.2%

0.1%

0.1%

0.1%

National Consumer Price Index (C-CPI-U)

107.8

110.5

113.7

117.0

119.9

11.2%

Note: Relative Standard Error (RSE) is a measure of the reliability of a statistic; the smaller the relative standard error, the more precise the estimate. Source: U.S. Department of Labor and OSDS at http://occsupplydemand.org.

Ohio Employment Projections, 2006-2016Most Job Openings are Due to Replacement Demands

Employers replace workers who retire, die or leave the labor force for other reasons.

42.2

35.8

21.2

13.9

12.2

4.5

Source: Ohio Department of Job and Family Services, Bureau of Labor Market Information, at http://ohiolmi.com/proj/OhioJobOutlook.htm

6.2

.4

24.9

12.2

Occupational Employment by Industry (Top 5 Industries)National

Occupation Employment

Pct. of Total

SOC Code

Occupation

NAICS Code

Industry

2006

2016

Change

2006

2016

29-2061

Licensed Practical and Licensed Vocational Nurses

623100

Nursing care facilities

193,241

233,033

20.6%

25.8%

27.3%

29-2061

622100

General medical and surgical hospitals, public and private

175,018

159,223

-9.0%

23.4%

18.7%

29-2061

621100

Offices of physicians

92,067

104,391

13.4%

12.3%

12.2%

29-2061

621600

Home health care services

56,610

78,964

39.5%

7.6%

9.3%

29-2061

561300

Employment services

53,801

68,092

26.6%

7.2%

8.0%

2009 Georgia Career Information Center, Georgia State University for the U. S. Department of Labor. All rights reserved. OSDS at http://occsupplydemand.org.

Occupational Supply Demand System (OSDS) Links:

Career Guide to Industries (CGI)

CareerOneStop

CareerOneStop - Employer Locator

National Crosswalk Service Center

National Compensation Survey (NCS)

National Science Foundation (NSF) - Science and Engineering Indicators 2008

O*NET

Occupational Outlook Handbook (OOH)

U.S. Department of Education

U.S. Department of Labor (USDOL)

USDOL - Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS)

USDOL BLS - Occupational Projections and Training Data

USDOL - Employment & Training Administration (ETA)

USDOL - Veterans' Employment & Training Service

Company information for the selected employer:

Company Name:

EASTLAND CARE CTR

Key Contact:

Mike Weeks, Human Resources Executive

Street Address:

2425 Kimberly Pkwy EColumbus, OH 43232-4271

Phone Number:

(614) 868-9306

Web Site:

http://www.voa.org

Business Description:

Convalescent Homes

Primary Industry:

Nursing Care Facilities

Size of Employer:

100 - 249

OSDS Related Research PapersSchaff, Mark, Manual About Applications Of Labor Market Information (LMI) For Economic and Workforce Development, December, 2008.

If your research paper references OSDS and you would like to list it on the OSDS website, please contact: Les Janis (lesjanis@gsu.edu) or Bus. Tel. No. (404) 413-1715

With any questions or comments, please contact:Mark Schaff, Contributing Labor Economist, Occupational Supply Demand System Email: schaff.mark@yahoo.comWebsite: www.occsupplydemand.org

Les Janis, Director, Georgia Career Information Center Georgia State University Desk: (404) 413-1715 Email: lesjanis@gsu.edu Websites: www.gcic.peachnet.eduwww.occsupplydemand.org