1 march 2003 asia gas buyer’s summit march 25, 2003
TRANSCRIPT
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1 March 2003
ASIA GAS BUYER’S SUMMITMarch 25, 2003
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Contents
I. Gaz de France as a key LNG player
II. The growing role of LNG in the European market
III. World-wide LNG trade evolution
IV. Conclusion
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I. Gaz de France as a key LNG player
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Gaz de France’s long term LNG supply
Gaz de France holds a long term LNG supply portfolio based on four different projects and 16 bcm/year
Origin End of supply Nominal quantity Deliverybcm/y
Algeria 2013 10,3 FOB
Nigeria 2022 0,5 ex-ship
Egypt 2025 4,8 FOB
Norway 0,7 equity gas
Long term LNG Gaz de France supply
Gaz de France is the largest LNG importer in Europe
Gaz de France and Enel implemented a long term swap deal based on a quantity of 3.5 bcm/year linked with Enel’s LNG supply from Nigeria
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LNG spot operations from 1999 to 2002
Gaz de France purchased spot LNG cargoes from : Algeria Qatar Oman Nigeria
Gaz de France sold spot LNG cargoes to : the US (jointly with Sonatrach)
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Gaz de France’s LNG assets
Liquefaction Snoehvit LNG project in Norway
Gaz de France holds 12 % of the project
Idku LNG project in EgyptGaz de France holds 5 % of the project
Shipping Gaz de France presently manages a fleet of 7 vessels
LNG receiving facilities France
- Montoir de Bretagne- Fos Tonkin
India- Dahej : Gaz de France holds 10 % of Petronet LNG, along with the Indian
companies IOC, GAIL, BPCL and ONGC
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II. The growing role of LNG in the European gas market
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Mte
p
The fifteen countries of the European Union
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
2000 2005 2010 2015 2020
Mte
p
Residential sector Commercial sectorIndustrial sector Power sector
Other
Source : WEFA Source : WEFA
0
50
100
150
200
250
2000 2005 2010 2015 2020
Commercial sectorPower sector
Other
Portugal, Spain, France, Italy, Greece
Residential sectorIndustrial sector
Forecast Growth in Demand for Natural Gas
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Existing and Potential LNGExporting Countries to Europe
Norway3 830
Venezuela4 160
Trinidad & Tobago560
Algeria4 520
CIS55 880
Nigeria4 500
Libya1 310
Angola370
Source : CEDIGAZ
Middle East71 140
Egypt1 560
(quantity : bcm)
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A Growing Role of LNG in Western Europe Gas Supply
In order to face this growing natural gas demand, supply from more and more distant reserves is required
In this context, LNG is an attractive option :
from Europe point of view
from the producers’ point of view
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A Lot of Already Committed and Potential LNG Supply to Europe
New development of LNG to Europe since 1999
New Committed Supply Spain : LNG from T & T, Nigeria, Qatar, Egypt Italy : LNG from Nigeria, Qatar France : LNG from Norway, Egypt
Potential Supply Spain : from Oman Italy : from Qatar, Egypt UK : from Qatar, Algeria Other projects from Angola, Iran, Russia, Venezuela, …
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Growth of Committed LNG Supply
LNG supply to Europe in 2001 : 33.5 bcm (22 % of its imports) Committed supply in 2010 : 60 bcm today
New LNG committed supply for Europe since 19982010 horizon
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002
Bcm
/yea
r
Egypt
Qatar
Norway
T & T
Nigeria
Algeria
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III. World-wide LNG trade evolution
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Distribution of LNG supply from different exporting zones
Africa (Algeria, Nigeria) Latin America (T & T) Middle East (Qatar, Oman and Abu
Dhabi)LNG supply by exporting zones
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
Latin America Africa Middle East
Bcm
/yea
r
Asia
Europe
North America
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Toward an LNG trade globalisation
USA
EUROPE
ASIA
BARENTS SEANorway, Russia ?
LATIN AMERICATrinidad and Tobago,
Venezuela ?
NORTH AFRICAAlgeria, Egypt and Libya
WEST AFRICANigeria, Angola ?
Equatorial Guinea ?
MIDDLE EASTQatar, Oman,
Abu Dhabi, Iran ?
ASIA - OCEANIAIndonesia, Australia, Brunei
and MalaysiaUSA - ALASKA
LNG Consuming Basins LNG Exporting Basins
LNG Long Term ContractsLNG Spot deliveries
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IV. Conclusion
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European market requires supply from more and more distant exporting countries and LNG will be part of that
LNG can supply markets which were formerly disconnected :
growing competition between Europe and the other markets (US, Asia)
growing competition between LNG exporting countries
Even if LNG trade globalisation generates arbitrage opportunities, this industry relies and will rely on long term contracts