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Investor Presentation February 2016

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Page 1: 0, 112, 192 146, 208, 80...192, 80, 77 Investor Presentation February 2016 0, 112, 192 Current Scenario 146, 208, 80 112, 48, 160 255, 192, 0 102, 51, 0 192, 80, 77 2 Contents Journey

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Contents

Journey over last decade

Current Scenario

Cement Industry & Our Region

Financial Performance

Improving Macro Indicators

1

2

3

5

6

What Next 4

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Contents

Journey over last decade

Current Scenario

Cement Industry & Our Region

Financial Performance

Improving Macro Indicators

1

2

3

5

6

What Next 4

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Dalmia Bharat: Snapshot

Corporate Overview

• Third largest cement player in India

• 25 Million Tons of installed cement capacity

• 180.5 MW of captive power capacity

• Strong presence in South, East and North East

• More than 75 years of presence

• Listed on BSE and NSE

Dalmia Bharat Ltd. (DBL)

25 MnT (Cement), 180.5 MW (CPP)

100%

OCL India Ltd. “OCL”

KKR

100%

8.5%

75%

* Calcom Cement India Ltd.

“Calcom”

* Adhunik Cement Ltd. “Adhunik”

76%

100%

Dalmia Power Ltd.

DCBPVL (99 MW)

26%

* Dalmia Cement East Limited

“Bokaro”

100%

Dalmia Cement Bharat Ltd “DCBL”

Corporate Office

Delhi

Listed entities

* Acquired entities

Asset Overview

74%

DCBL

OCL

Calcom

Adhunik

DCEL

Head Office

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Capacity over last 10 Years

2005 2010 2015

Installed Capacity: 1.2 MnT Installed Capacity: 9 MnT Installed Capacity: 25 MnT

#1 plants in #1 states #5 plants in #3 states #11 plants in #8 states

Dalmiapuram Dalmiapuram Ariyalur

Kadapa

Kapilas

Rajgangpur

Meghalaya

Lanka

Bokaro

Medinipur

Belgaum

Dalmiapuram Ariyalur

Kadapa

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Our Markets

2005 2010 2015

7%

% Represents our Market share

4%

11%

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Our Growth has been with a judicious mix of

organic and inorganic expansions

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Organic Expansions

Organic growth from 1.2 MnT in 2006 to more than 11 MnT in 2015

Serves the entire South region including Maharashtra

1

2

3

Enjoys regional leadership position

Set up the state of art plants at replacement costs less than industry average 4

5

Grown organically in Southern Region from 1 state to 3 states

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Inorganic expansion

Strengthening market share in existing markets

Strategic fit to business model

Geographical diversification in growing markets 1

2

3

Replicating operational efficiencies initiatives

Reduced lead distance 4

5

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Board with a thrust on Corporate Governance

An Independent Board to Ensure High Standards of Corporate Governance

Pradeep Kumar Khaitan, Chairman, DBL

• Over 46 years of experience; A partner in Khaitan & Co., Solicitors and Advocates

G.N. Bajpai : Chairman, DCBL

• Former Chairman of SEBI and LIC

Sanjay Nayar: Board Member, DCBL

• CEO - KKR India

• Ex-Head Citibank India

Paul Hugentobler: Board Member, DCBL

• Ex-Member, Holcim Executive Committee

Jai Hari Dalmia: Board Member

• Masters in Electrical Engineering from University of Illinios, Urbana, Champagne

• Over 40 years of experience across industries

Yadu Hari Dalmia: Board Member

• A qualified Chartered Accountant

• Over 39 years of experience in Cement industry

Professionals / Independent Promoters

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…And a Strong Management Team

Judicious mix of experience and youth

Puneet Dalmia : Managing Director & Board Member

• B.tech from IIT Delhi; P.G. from IIM, Bangalore

• Over 11 years of experience in the cement industry

• Conceptualized the growth strategy and governance architecture for the Group and is spearheading the growth plans for

the Group

Gautam Dalmia: Managing Director & Board Member

• B.S. and M.S. degrees in electrical engineering from Columbia University

• 15 years of experience in the cement and sugar industries

• Responsible for leading the operations and execution of cement projects besides providing leadership to the

commercial functions of the group

Mahendra Singhi: Whole time Director & Group CEO – Cement • Chartered Accountant & Science, Law Graduate. • 38 years of experience in Cement Industry including 19 years with Shree Cement Ltd. • Passion for efficiency, people management & sustainability. • Member of Board of Governors of the National Council for Cement & Building Materials. • Served as a leader of Indian Cement Sector Task Force for Energy Conservation, Ministry of Power we well as President of the

Rajasthan Cement Manufacturers Association.

T. Venkatesan: Dy. Managing Director

• Chartered Accountant

• Over 31 yrs of experience in various sectors

• Expertise lies in accelerating growth of large businesses

• Ex-CEO Sterlite Group Copper Segment

Jayesh Doshi: Whole Time Director & Group CFO

• Chartered Accountant and a Law graduate from Bombay University

• Over 28 yrs of experience with 19 yrs experience in cement industry and other industries being pharma, shipping

offshore oil services & real estate

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Contents

Journey over last decade

Current Scenario

Cement Industry & Our Region

Financial Performance

Improving Macro Indicators

1

2

3

5

6

What Next 4

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Current Scenario

Current

Scenario

Third largest player in India with regional leadership position

Diversified locational advantages

Premium Brand Positioning

Moving to Sustainable Business Model

Efficient Deployment of Capital

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66.0 61.4

25.0 24.0 22.8 22.2

15.9 14.7 14.2 13.3

AV Birla H+L Dalmia Shree B K Birla Jaypee IndiaCement

Ramco Chettinad Birla Corp.

14

Leadership Position by Capacity

National

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Diversified Locational Advantages

We are located where it matters!

Proximity to Input Sources Logistics savings vis-a-vis competitors in key markets

Lanka

Meghalaya

Kadapa

Ariyalur

Belgaum

Dalmiapuram

Rajgangpur

Bokaro

Kapilas Road

BCW

MRPL

Tata Steel

Kalinganagar

Plant sites

Input sources

Potential Sources

Bongaigan

TPP 2.5 MW

14%

5% 7% 8% 6% 4%

15%

38%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

Tam

il N

ad

u

Karn

ata

ka

Kera

la

Orissa

West B

eng

al

Jhark

han

d

Assam

Me

gha

laya

North East East South

Lead Distance – 300 kms

South 47%

East 41%

NE 12%

Sales Mix – FY15

Cement Demand Growth

6%

13%

2%

5%

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

FY14 FY15

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Moving towards Sustainability…..

Best practices of sustainability introduced

Lesser use of mineral resources

Lesser use of Fossil Fuel

Conserve water

Reduce usage of energy

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…..Resultant Effect

Power Consumed/T (Kwh) Power & Fuel Cost (Rs/T)

Variable Cost (Rs//T)

Continuous

improvement in

operating efficiencies

Commissioning of new

clinker unit in North

East would result in

further improving

efficiencies in FY16

967 9411027

908

781869

740 726666

FY14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 FY15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16

7475 75

72

69

71

6970

68

FY14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 FY15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16

1647 1618 16581565 1520 1549

1391 1410 1333

FY14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 FY15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16

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Uniform Branding

18

Premium Brand Positioning

Market Leader in core serving markets. Serving 18 states.

Launched

Dalmia Brand

across markets

Improved

Market

Share

Enjoys

premium

pricing

North East South

East

South

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Efficient Deployment of Capital

2010

2012

2015

2012

2014

Comparative Costs ($/T)

140

110

100

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

Present ReplacementCost

Acquisition Our New Greenfield

• Present Replacement Cost – For setting up 1 MnT cement plant

• Acquisition – Average Cost for acquired units

(Adhunik/Calcom/Bokaro/OCL)

• Greenfield – Belgaum Cost

Expansions

Organic Inorganic

Kadapa/Ariyalur

USD 85 / T

Calcom

USD 126 / Ton

OCL

USD 74/ T

Adhunik

USD 112/ T

Jaypee Bokaro

USD 90/ T

2015

Belgaum

USD 100 / T

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Contents

Journey over last decade

Current Scenario

Cement Industry & Our Region

Financial Performance

Improving Macro Indicators

1

2

3

5

6

What Next 4

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Aggregated Financials

10.12 10.78

FY14 FY15

Sales in

MnT

Sales in

MnT

Particulars (Rs. Cr.) Q3 FY15 Q3 FY16 9M FY15 9M FY16

Total Income 1,343 1,474 3,799 4,525

Operating Expenses 1,124 1,126 3,223 3,448

EBITDA 219 348 576 1,077

EBITDA Margin % 16% 24% 15% 24%

Other Income 44 20 93 67

Depreciation 96 116 279 333

EBIT 167 252 390 811

Finance Cost 122 171 331 518

Profit Before Tax 45 81 53 293

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Aggregated Balance Sheet

(Rs. Cr.)

ParticularsAs on

30-Sep-15As on

31-Mar-15

Equity Funds 3,925 3,840

Debt 8,260 8,487

Term Loan 7,535 7,805

Working Capital 725 682

Deferred Tax 493 401

TOTAL 12,678 12,728

Fixed Assets 9,838 9,702

Non Current Investments 104 108

Cash & Equivalents 2,145 2,112

Net Working Capital 591 806

TOTAL 12,678 12,728

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Contents

Journey over last decade

Current Scenario

Cement Industry & Our Region

Financial Performance

Improving Macro Indicators

1

2

3

5

6

What Next 4

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Debt Structure….Facilitating Cash Accumulations

Cost below 9.6% & floating….Distinct advantage for any equity holder!

Optimum leverage….Long maturity with >61% repayment in last 6 years….

Group Debt Repayment (Rs. Cr.)

365 334 448

875

1,368

1,250

997

497 448 367

1,711

4% 4%5%

10%

16%14%

12%

6% 5%4%

20%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

-

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24 FY25 FY26 - FY33

Repayments (Rs.In Crores) Repayment (%)

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Setting Benchmarks

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Summarizing…..

Asset

Sweating

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Contents

Journey over last decade

Current Scenario

Cement Industry & Our Region

Financial Performance

Improving Macro Indicators

1

2

3

5

6

What Next 4

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Other Large & Mid-Cap Players

37%

Small Players17%

Holcim13%

Ultratech15% Jaypee

7%

B K Birla5%

Dalmia6%

Top 5 Players47%

28

Indian Cement Industry Overview

Second largest cement market in the world

Sustained growth of 7% in last five years

Low per capita consumption of ~200 kgs compared to world average of ~400 kgs

Significant consolidation lead to 49% capacity under control of top 5 players

Regional play due to high freight costs

Primarily bagged retail sales driven (65 %)

Location and branding plays a critical role

FY2015 : All India Capacity Distribution FY2009 : All India Capacity Distribution

Small Players 46%

Other Large & Mid-Cap Players

9%

Dalmia 3%

ACC 10%

Ultratech 10%

Grasim 9%

Ambuja 8%

India Cements 5%

Top 5 Players 42%

• 80% capacity under control of top 20 players

DCBL #3 Pan-India Player

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North40%

East23%

North East, 4%

South20%

West (inc. Maha & Goa),

14%

29

Housing Sector Demand Drivers

Urbanisation: India vs. other

developing nations (2011)

31% 34%

51% 51%

78% 85%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

India

Th

aila

nd

Ch

ina

Indon

esia

Me

xic

o

Bra

zil

No. of million plus cities in India

5 9

23

35

53

87

0

20

40

60

80

100

19

51

19

71

19

91

20

01

20

11

20

30

India Population (in Crore)

68.8%

31.2%

61.8%

38.2%

2011 2026E

121.1 Crore 139.9 Crore

Sharp rise in nuclear families; Households with size less than 5 persons has increased to 74% in 2011 from 66% in 2001

– Census of India

>45% shortage in South, East & NE

All India Housing Demand in 2022

All India Housing Shortage

32%

68%

52%

46%

Urban Rural

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Infrastructure – Expected to Fuel Growth

Roads

20,000 km

20 MnT

Railways

5000 km

14 MnT

Hydel Power

10,330 MW

28 MnT

Ports

354 MnT Capacity

35 MnT

Irrigation Projects

100 MnT

Incremental Demand of 200 MnT by 2020

Proposed Capital Expenditure of USD 1 Trillion by 2020

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Infrastructure Sector Demand Drivers

Dedicated Freight Corridor

Mumbai

Chennai

Kolkata

Delhi

1483 Km

1839 Km

1000 Km

260 Km

• Connecting all

Metro cities

• Huge investment in

the periphery of the

corridor such as

Industrial Parks

and Townships and

SEZ’s

• The Largest

Infrastructure

Project in India

Metro Rail

Delhi

(Phase III)

Kolkata

(Phase II)

Chennai

(Phase II)

Mumbai

(Phase II)

Advanced stage of completion

Under construction

Work yet to start

Mono Rail Projects

Thiruvananthapuram

Bengaluru

Roads

• [Currently, 2000 km

of roads laid

annually]

• Acceleration

expected to 3000-

4000 kms annually

• Greater Government

focus seen for

Concrete roads,

going forward

2500

3500

5000

6000

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

FY15E FY16E FY17E FY18E

kms

Ports

• 100% FDI: Automatic

route for port

development projects

• 87 new port projects

sanctioned in the last

4 years; Investment

of INR 430 billion

• SEZs to be

developed in close

proximity to ports

16.7

42

Current 2020E

Total Investment (US$ BN)

300 800

2,500

Current 2020E 2030E

Current Length (kms)

703 545

1,229 1,457 560

352

943 815

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

Capacity Traffic Capacity Traffic

Major Ports Non Major Ports

FY12 FY17E

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Slower Capacity Addition to Increase Utilisations

Planning to Execution

• Environmental clearances

• Forest clearances

• Mining lease

• Land acquisition

• Financial closure

• Talent procurement

• Ordering

• Construction

Conception

Inception

Execution 4 years

2.5 years

• Brand visibility

• Volatile pricing scenario

• Raw material availability

• Logistics Management

The replacement costs are up ~15% (CAGR)-currently at ~$ 140/T

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.... And Stabilization of Cement Prices Expected

333

322

153

317

FY05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 FY15

East (incl North East) South All India

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80 92 90

99 108 114

123 136

149 164

177 197 224

242 257 261 268

8%

15%

-2%

10%9%

6%

8%

10% 10%10%

8%

11%

13%

8%

6%

1%3%

-4%

1%

6%

11%

16%

21%

-

50

100

150

200

250

300

FY 99 FY 00 FY 01 FY 02 FY 03 FY 04 FY 05 FY 06 FY 07 FY 08 FY 09 FY 10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY 14 FY 15

Demand (MnT) Growth34

Demand Supply Gap Narrowing

414

429

444

459 474

489

68% 71%

74% 77%

80%

84%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

360

380

400

420

440

460

480

500

FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20

Supply (MnT) Capacity Utilization

Narrowing demand-supply gap

CAGR Consumption Capacity

FY00 - FY15 (15 Yr) 7% 9%

FY05 - FY15 (10 Yr) 8% 10%

FY10 - FY15 (05 Yr) 6% 7%

FY15 – FY20E (05 Yr) 8% 3%

15 Year demand CAGR 7% 10 Year demand CAGR 8%

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Our Regions

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First phase of Smart Cities

11 out of 20 are in our served markets

Vishakhapatnam

Pune

Kochi

Sholapur

Devangere

Coimbatore

Kakinada

Belagavi

Guwahati

Chennai

Bhubaneswar

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South – Narrowing Demand Supply Gap

• Smart Cities – 35 smart cities to be developed in

Tamilnadu (6), Karnataka (7), Kerala (7), Telangana (5), AP

(4) and Maharashtra (6).

• Amaravathi i.e. New Capital for AP – Situated near

Vijayawada-Guntur region.

• About $ 75 bn will be spent.

• First phase to be completed by June 2018.

• JNPT fourth container terminal – Port of Singapore

authority (PSA) signed Rs.8000 Cr. Agreement for

development of JNPT fourth container terminal at Navi

Mumbai.

• Transharbour Link – Distance of 35.6-km costing $1.3 bn

Capital Investment in next 5 yrs.

Particulars Capacity Cost

($ bn)

Expected

Cement Demand

(in MnT)

Ports 19 no. 5.0 21.7

Power 19160 MW 18.3 14.9

Metro Projects 6 no. 11.7 7.5

Airports 17(1) 5.0 4.2

Steel 6 Mnt 5.0 0.8

Hydel 460 MW 0.3 0.7

Total 45.3 49.8

Upcoming Projects

Tamil Nadu

Karnataka

Kerala

Goa

Bidar

Seemandhra

Bellary - 6 MnT

Telangana

6

7

7

5

4

Amaravathi

(Proposed Capital)

Maharashtra

Hyderabad Metro

Kochi Metro

Bangalore Metro

Metro Line 3 Mumbai

Pune Metro & Intl. Airport

Nagpur Metro & Intl. Airport

6

Navi Mumbai Intl. Airport

JNPT fourth container terminal

Hasan

Note

1) Airports – Low cost (13), International (3), Domestic (1).

Capacity – Steel Plant

No. of Smart Cities in a state

Elections in 2016

Ruled by NDA Govt

International Airports

Metro Projects

Domestic Airport

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East – Expected to Continue Growing

• Coal Allocations – Total funds to be realized from

auctioning of 204 coal mines will be around $ 167 bn

out of which around 85% will be in east region.

• Railway Budget – $ 419 mn for Orissa i.e. 77% higher

then last year.

• Centre to provide Rs.1 lacs crore for Bihar ahead of

polls.

• Smart Cities – 18 Smart cities to be developed in WB

(5), Bihar (5), Orissa (5) and Jharkhand (3).

• East Freight Corridor – Connectivity b/w Ludhiana

and Kolkata, spread over distance of 1839 Kms, out of

which 631 kms is in east region.

• AIIMS in Bihar

Capital Investment in next 5 yrs.

Particulars Capacity Cost

($ bn)

Expected

Cement Demand

(in MnT)

Power 32115 MW 31.7 24.9

Ports 7 no. 5.0 20.0

Steel 36 Mnt 30.0 5.1

Hydel 160 MW 0.3 0.5

Airports 9 no. 0.8 0.6

Total 67.8 51.1

Steel Plants - Capacity in million tons.

Low Cost Airports No. of Smart Cities in a state

Elections in 2016

Upcoming Projects

Orissa

Chhattisgarh

West Bengal

Bihar

Jharkhand

POSCO Paradip (8 Mnt)

Jindal -Patratu (6 Mnt)

Visa Steel – Raigarh (2.5 Mnt)

Jindal Steel - Raipur

(7 Mnt)

Jindal Steel - Angul (12.5 Mnt)

Muzzaffarpur

Hazaribag

Chapra

Bokaro Dhanbad

Brahmpur

Shahdol

Kendujhar

Kolkata

Ludhiana

5

5

5

3

Dharma Port (10,000 Cr.)

Sasaram

East Freight Corridor

Ruled by NDA Govt

The above table excludes investment on metros, railways & East

freight corridor)

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North East – Huge Potential

• Rs 3000 Cr and Rs 1000 Cr specifically allocated for roads

and railways respectively.

• Smart Cities - 10 Smart Cities to be developed in Assam

(5), Sikkim (3) and Manipur (2).

• Upcoming Guwahati Metro – Spread over distance of 196

Km, Estimated cost Rs.1800 Cr.

• Indian institute of Science Education and Research (IISER)

in Nagaland.

• Centre for Film Production, Animation and Gaming in

Arunachal Pradesh.

• AIIMS in Assam

Capacity, no. and cost – Hydel Projects

Capital Investment in next 5 yrs.

Particulars Capacity Cost

($ bn)

Expected

Cement Demand

(in MnT)

Hydel 5626 MW 6.7 12.7

Railways 5.0 10.8

Roads 6418 Kms 5.0 7.00

Power 951 MW 1.0 0.7

Airports 6 no. 0.5 0.4

Total 18.2 31.6

Metro Project

Low Cost Airports No. of Smart Cities in a state

Elections in 2015/16

Arunachal

Pradesh Arunachal Pradesh

2904 MW (5) ,

18844 Cr

Nagaland

Manipur

Mizoram

60 MW (1),

914 Cr

Meghalaya

40 MW (1),

461 Cr

Assam

Sikkim

2622 MW (10),

20271 Cr

Along Tezu

Bomdila

Tezpur

Silchar Guwahati Metro

Jorhat.

2

5

3

Upcoming Projects

• Due to upcoming capital investment in North East

in next 5 yrs., there will be incremental cement

demand of around 5 Mnt every year.

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268 Kgs

142 Kgs

133 Kgs

198 kgs

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Lowest per capita cement consumption in East..

Average All India per capita

consumption is 208 kgs

295 Kgs

70

297

525

391

234

138

283

295

183

280

283

296

208

191

234

133

153

95

133

296

High Consumption > 250

Medium Consumption (200 to 250)

Average Consumption (150 to 200)

Lower Consumption < 150

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Contents

Journey over last decade

Current Scenario

Cement Industry & Our Region

Financial Performance

Improving Macro Indicators

1

2

3

5

6

What Next 4

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Improving Macro Fundamentals Coupled with…

Index for Industrial Production

2.5%

5.6%

-2.7%

5.0%

-4.0%

-2.0%

0.0%

2.0%

4.0%

6.0%

8.0%

Jan-13 Jul-13 Jan-14 Jul-14 Feb-15

Fiscal Deficit

Current Account Deficit

India’s GDP Growth

CPI Inflation

Interest Rates (Repo Rates)

India GDP Growth Stable

Government

• Stable government with large majority

• Focused on governance, development, investments

• 3.99% of GDP in FY15 (4.5% in FY14)

• Target to reach 3.0% of GDP in FY18

• Down to 0.2% of GDP (quarter ended March 2015) from the

highs of 1.6% of GDP (quarter ended December 2014).

• Estimate for FY16: 7.9%

• India will be the world’s fastest growing economy by IMF

• Down to 5.17% for March 2015 from 8.25% in March 2014

• Down ward trend since start of CY2015

• Reduced to 7.25% (June 2015) from 8.0% (January 2014)

Source: World Bank

Source: Bloomberg

6.9%

7.3%

7.6%

7.9%8.0%

FY14 FY15 FY16E FY17E FY18E

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Structural Reforms

S&P BSE Sensex

Subsidies

Taxation

FDI Limits

Impetus to Investments

Make in India / Smart Cities

Others

• Rationalised subsidy policies being worked out with direct transfer

of benefits

• Diesel prices deregulated

• Reduction in corporate tax rate from 30% to 25% in 4 years

• Deferment of GAAR

• Implementation of GST by April 2016

• Increased limits in insurance, defence, railways and liberalisation

of FDI conditions in real estate

• Merger of FDI and FII limits

• Faster clearances to projects

• Coal block auctions completed and gas price subsidy policy

announced for power sector

• Land acquisition ordinances promulgated

• Focus on employment generation through Make in India

• Encourage investments in manufacturing sector

• 100 smart cities planned to accommodate increasing urbanisation

• Ease of doing business with reduced approvals

• Visa on arrival country list increase to 150 from 43 to encourage

tourism

• Fiscal federalism with higher allocation to states

Source: BSE, NSE

CNX Nifty 100

18,865 19,380

22,386

26,630

27,957

26,155

Mar'13 Sep'13 Mar'14 Sep'14 Mar'15 Sep'15

5,683 5,622

7,181

7,906

8,520

7,949

Mar'13 Sep'13 Mar'14 Sep'14 Mar'15 Sep'15

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thankyou

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