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> Framatome ANP GmbH <
> Framatome ANP GmbH <
Global Perspectivesfor Nuclear Power Generation
Dr. Ralf GüldnerManaging Director, Framatome ANP GmbH
Wolfgang BreyerCorporate Communications, Framatome ANP GmbH
> Framatome ANP GmbH < Dr. Ralf Güldner – Wolfgang Breyer, June 2004 3
Introduction of AREVA
Current Status of Nuclear Power Generation
Nuclear Power Market Trends
Evolution of Reactor Technologies
Nuclear Energy in the Public Debate
> Framatome ANP GmbH < Dr. Ralf Güldner – Wolfgang Breyer, June 2004 4
ReactorsEquipmentServicesNuclear MeasurementConsulting & Information SystemsMechanical SystemsTechnicatome
Reactors&
ServicesDivision
Back EndDivision
Transmission&
DistributionDivision
Front EndDivision
MiningChemistryEnrichmentFuel
ReprocessingRecyclingEngineering Nuclear CleanupLogistics
Energy
Communications Data Consumer AutomotiveElectrical Power InterconnectMicroconnections
Electrical DistributionSystemsTransmission ProjectsMedium VoltageHigh VoltageEnergy Automation & InformationT&D Services
ConnectorsDivision
Organization of the AREVA Group
> Framatome ANP GmbH < Dr. Ralf Güldner – Wolfgang Breyer, June 2004 5
Legal Structure of the AREVA Group
ENERGYENERGY
FRAMATOMEANP
FRAMATOMEANP COGEMACOGEMA FCIFCI Equity
interests
100%66%34% 100%
CONNECTORSCONNECTORS
Pro-forma figures, 2002:
€ 11.5 billion sales
75,000 employees
AREVA T&D
100%
Framatome ANP is an AREVA and Siemens Company
> Framatome ANP GmbH < Dr. Ralf Güldner – Wolfgang Breyer, June 2004 6
Legal Structure of Framatome ANP
intelligeNDT
66 %
Siemens AGSiemens AG
34 %
Framatome ANPS.A.S.France
Framatome ANP Inc.USA
100 %100 %
Framatome ANP GmbH
GermanyANF
JeumontIntercontrôleCERCACEZUSFBFC
100 %(Main French Subsidiaries)
AREVA S.A.AREVA S.A.
Framatome ANP DE&S, Inc.
Framatome ANP Canada Ltd.
> Framatome ANP GmbH < Dr. Ralf Güldner – Wolfgang Breyer, June 2004 7
Introduction of AREVA
Current Status of Nuclear Power Generation
Nuclear Power Market Trends
Evolution of Reactor Technologies
Nuclear Energy in the Public Debate
> Framatome ANP GmbH < Dr. Ralf Güldner – Wolfgang Breyer, June 2004 8
Countries with Reactors in Operation
CanadaUSA
MexicoArgentina
Brazil
FinlandSweden
NetherlandsBelgium
FranceGermany
SwitzerlandSlovenia
SpainUnited
Kingdom
RussiaUkraineBulgariaCzech Rep. SlovakiaHungaryRomaniaLithuaniaArmenia
ChinaJapanSouth-KoreaTaiwanPakistanIndia
South-Africa
Power Generation worldwide by energy source, 2002
Nuclear energy
Natural gas
OilCoal
Hydro and other renewable
energies
16%
20 %
9%36 %
19%
Countries using nuclear power represent 2/3 of the world population
Sour
ce: I
AEA,
WEC
> Framatome ANP GmbH < Dr. Ralf Güldner – Wolfgang Breyer, June 2004 9
Nuclear Power Generation 1970-2002
TWh
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
WorldNorth AmericaWestern EuropeEastern EuropeAsia
> Framatome ANP GmbH < Dr. Ralf Güldner – Wolfgang Breyer, June 2004 10
World Nuclear Power Status, January 2004
Number of NPPs Total In operation Under
constructionPlants MW net
Americas - North America - Latin America
127 121 6
2 - 2
129 121 8
117 710 111 673 6 037
Europe - West - Central & Eastern
209 141 68
10 1 9
219 142 77
181 312 126 693 54 619
Asia 101 20 121 89 243
Africa 2 - 2 1 842
Total
439
32
471
390 107
Source: IAEA, WNA
> Framatome ANP GmbH < Dr. Ralf Güldner – Wolfgang Breyer, June 2004 11
Nuclear Power Generation (in TWh and %)in Leading Industrial (G8) Countries, 2002
811.9 TWh
GER
139.8 TWh
434.7 TWh JAP
164.8 TWh
20.4 %30.6 %
78.0 %
34.3 %
USA
FRA
RUS313.5 TWh
15.4%
GB89.6 TWh
21.9 %
CAN
75.9 TWh
11.8 % Sour
ce: M
cGra
w-H
ill
> Framatome ANP GmbH < Dr. Ralf Güldner – Wolfgang Breyer, June 2004 12
Installed NPP Capacity Worldwide by Reactor Types
0
50.000
100.000
150.000
200.000
250.000
300.000
350.000
400.000
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Year
MW
LWRHWRGCR
LWR (incl. VVER)
400,000
350,000
300,000
250,000
200,000
150,000
100,000
50,000
> Framatome ANP GmbH < Dr. Ralf Güldner – Wolfgang Breyer, June 2004 13
Cumulative Operating Experience with Large-Capacity* Light Water Reactors
5000
* PWRs and BWRs, Pel > 600 MWe1970 72 74 76 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 2000
Rea
ctor
yea
rs
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
4500
Harrisburg accident
Sour
ce: I
AEA,
200
2
13
303 of 439 NPPs worldwide are driven by PWRsand BWRs
> Framatome ANP GmbH < Dr. Ralf Güldner – Wolfgang Breyer, June 2004 14
Introduction of AREVA
Current Status of Nuclear Power Generation
Nuclear Power Market Trends
Evolution of Reactor Technologies
Nuclear Energy in the Public Debate
> Framatome ANP GmbH < Dr. Ralf Güldner – Wolfgang Breyer, June 2004 15
Perspectives for New NPPs
PrerequisitesCompetitive NPPs
Safety enhancement (CDF < 10 -6/a)
Worldwide-acting vendors of NPPs with long-term commitment
Viable sub-supplier base
Ongoing R&D and education in nuclear technology
High-level waste repositories (long-term issue)
Public acceptance
Driving ForcesRising electricity demand and/or need for replacement of aging nuclear and fossil power plantsInstability of international markets for fossil fuelsOngoing commitment to improving the environment and combating climate changeNeed for dependable baseload power generationCompetitive power production costs
> Framatome ANP GmbH < Dr. Ralf Güldner – Wolfgang Breyer, June 2004 16
25 000 Bill. kWh
15 400 Bill. kWh
14 Bill. t HCE1)
6 Bill. Population8 Bill. Population
19 Bill. t HCE1)
1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020
ElectricityPrimary EnergiesWorld Population
World Population, Primary Energy and Electricity Demand
Sour
ce: S
iem
ens
PG, e
igen
eBe
rech
nung
en
1) Hard Coal Equivalent
> Framatome ANP GmbH < Dr. Ralf Güldner – Wolfgang Breyer, June 2004 17
Billion tons of coal equivalent30
25
20
15
10
5
0
Hydro power
Natural gas
Oil
Coal
Nuclear energy
Other renewable energies2050
27,1
2020
19,4
1998
13,7
1990
12,6
1970
7,9
1980
10,4
World Primary Energy Demand (World Energy Council, Reference Scenario)
Sour
ce: W
EC/II
ASA
> Framatome ANP GmbH < Dr. Ralf Güldner – Wolfgang Breyer, June 2004 18
Age Structure of Power Plants in the EU-15(of steam turbine, nuclear and combined-cycle power plants)
138 GW installed capacity is 31 years or older and has to be replaced, starting in ~ 2010
Sour
ce: S
iem
ens
PG
6,3 8,5
18,9
39,6
64,665,6
72,0
83,5
39,0
52,947,8
0
20
40
60
80
100
51 -
55 Y
ears
46 -
50 Y
ears
41 -
45 Y
ears
36 -
40 Y
ears
31 -
35 Y
ears
26 -
30 Y
ears
21 -
25 Y
ears
16 -
20 Y
ears
11-1
5 Ye
ars
6-10
Yea
rs
1 - 5
Yea
rs
GW
> Framatome ANP GmbH < Dr. Ralf Güldner – Wolfgang Breyer, June 2004 19
1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010
AEG
SiemensKWU
Siemens Power Generation
Framatome
Babcock & Wilcox
Framatome ANP
BNFL
Westinghouse
Combustion Engineering
BBC
ASEAABB
General Electric
Hitachi
ToshibaJapan Nuclear Fuel
Global Nuclear Fuel
Nuclear Vendors: A Consolidated Global Market
Year
> Framatome ANP GmbH < Dr. Ralf Güldner – Wolfgang Breyer, June 2004 20
USA: Plant Applications for License Renewal (Status 05/04)
Operating license for 40 years (16 unitshave already applied for renewal)
Operating licence for 60 years (26 units)
20
104 Units, Total Capacity: 111.880 MW
Pressurized Water Reactors
Boiling Water Reactors
> Framatome ANP GmbH < Dr. Ralf Güldner – Wolfgang Breyer, June 2004 21
China: Challenging Nuclear Program Continues
SHANDONGHaijang 6x 1000 MWJIANGSUTianwan 2x 1000 MWTianwan 6x 1000 MW
ZHEJIANGQinshan phase I 300 MWQinshan phase II 2x 600 MWQinshan phase III 2x 700 MWQinshan phase IV 2x 1000 MW
ZHEJIANGSanmen 6x 1000 MWFUJIANGHui An 2x 1000 MWGUANGDONGDaya Bay 2x 984 MWLing Ao 2x 984 MWLing Ao 2x 1000 MWGUANGDONGYangjiang 6x 1000 MW
( 1.3 billion inhabitants( Strong economic growth( Second-largest electricity market:< 1368 billion kWh in 2000< Demand growth rate 10 %/a< 310.000 MW installed capacity< (600.000 MW expected for 2015)< High CO2 emissions (coal production
1.4 billion t)
( Nuclear program (Status 12/2003):< 8 NPP units in operation< 3 units under construction< Another 4 units to be ordered shortly
for Qinshan and Ling Ao< Installed nuclear capacity to reach
about 32.000 MW by 2020
> Framatome ANP GmbH < Dr. Ralf Güldner – Wolfgang Breyer, June 2004 22
Japan: On the Way to Number 2 in Nuclear Power
22
( Fourth-largest energy market, after USA, China und Russia
( High dependence (80%) of primary energyimports
( Nuclear share of electricity > one third( 54 Reactors in operation, installed capacity
totals 45 500 MW( 3 units under construction, 12 more units
planned to go on line by 2015
( New Energy Policy Law of 2002:< Strives for balance between environment,
security of supply and market forces< Heavy reliance on nuclear to reduce
greenhouse gas emissions
> Framatome ANP GmbH < Dr. Ralf Güldner – Wolfgang Breyer, June 2004 23
Nuclear Power in India
> Non-signatory of the 1970 Nuclear Non-ProliferationTreaty (NPT)
Two 150 MW BWRs from USA and two smallCandu PHWRs are under safeguards
> Independent reactor technology and nuclear fuelcycle
> Program based on domestic heavy-water reactors, complemented by fast breeders and importedVVERs
> 14 NPPs (90-200 MWe) in operation, totalling2493 MWe
> 9 NPPs (200 – 950 MWe) under construction, totalling 3688 MWe
> Installed nuclear capacity planned for 2020 is ~ 20.000 MWe
> Nuclear share in electricity: 2001 3,7 %
2005 10 %
> Framatome ANP GmbH < Dr. Ralf Güldner – Wolfgang Breyer, June 2004 24
Russia banks on nuclear energy
50,0
41,1
32,0
21,226,2
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
2000 2015 2020
Capacity,GW
Planned Installed Capacity (replacement and commissioning of additional NPPs)
Source: Concern Rosenergoatom
Ros
tov
1
Kal
inin
3
Ros
tov
2, K
ursk
5
Bal
akov
o5
Bel
oyar
sk4
Kal
inin
4, B
rest
Bal
.6, N
V N
PP 6
2005 2010
> Framatome ANP GmbH < Dr. Ralf Güldner – Wolfgang Breyer, June 2004 25
Sweden: Stop of Phase-out ?
Energy situation:Power intensive, export oriented industryNuclear power has important share 2002: 46 % (hydro 46 %, fossil 8 %)11 NPPs, capacity 8850 MW
Energy politics In 1980 decided: Phase-out to be completed by 2010Now: phase-out date lifted in 1998, no new date definedOnly 1 NPP (615-MW unit Barsebäck 1) shut down in 1999Power uprate of other 11 NPPs until 1999 by 620 MWNo sustainable concept for replacement of nuclear powerDiscussion on lifetime extension for existing NPPs (40 yrs +)Industry and trade unions are pro-nuclear67 % of population are against shut-down of Barsebäck 2Liberal party demands to allow construction of new units
> Framatome ANP GmbH < Dr. Ralf Güldner – Wolfgang Breyer, June 2004 26
New nuclear power plant
Covers partly the additional electricity demand and replaces old power plants
Enables, together with renewables, the fulfilment of the Kyoto commitments
Secures stable and predictable electrical price
Reduced the dependence on electricity import
Finland: Why additional Nuclear Power?
> Framatome ANP GmbH < Dr. Ralf Güldner – Wolfgang Breyer, June 2004 27
Finland: Political Steps to the Approval for the 5th NPP
> 1998 Finnish utilities announce intention to build new NPPto cover demand growth. Feasibility studies showthat nuclear is the most economical option
> 1999 Posiva selects Olkiluoto as site for final repositoryfor spent fuel assemblies
> 2000, Dec. 21 Government approves choice of Olkiluoto for final repository of spent fuel
> 2000, Nov. 15 Utility TVO applies for government approval („decision-in-principle“) of new PWR or BWR in the1000 – 1600 MW range at Olkiluoto or Loviisa
> 2001, March 27 Government decides „National Climate Strategy“ thatrecognizes the construction of new NPPs as an optionfor climate protection
> 2001, May 18 Parliament ratifies almost unanimously (includingmajority of Greens) government decision on spent-fuelrepository site
> 2002, Jan. 17 Government approves new NPP project> 2002, May 24 Parliament ratifies government approval
> Framatome ANP GmbH <
OLKILUOTO , 2009
> Framatome ANP GmbH < Dr. Ralf Güldner – Wolfgang Breyer, June 2004 29
New NPP Projects in Europe to Replace aging NPPs
FranceConstruction of EPR demo plant to be launched in 2004
Replacement of aging NPPs by EPRs starting 2015 - 2020
SwitzerlandUtilities plan to replace Beznau 1 + 2 and Mühleberg by 1 EPR-sized newNPP by 2025
BulgariaTo replace old Kozloduy units, government decided to restart Beleneproject
LithuaniaTo compensate for shut-down of Ignalina (RBMK type, 2 x 1300 MW), a new Western-type NPP project is under consideration
> Framatome ANP GmbH < Dr. Ralf Güldner – Wolfgang Breyer, June 2004 30
Programs for Final Repositoriesfor High-Activity Waste (selected countries)
TuffYucca Mountain
Yucca MountainSite selected in 2002. Licence application plannedfor 2004, start of operation 2010
USA
GraniteClayBenken
GrimselMont Terri
Feasability study for Benken (opalinus clay) completed in 2002
Switzer-land
GraniteGranite
ÖsthammarOskarshamn
Stripa (closed)HRL Äspö
Exploration of two sites underway. Site decisionplanned for 2007
Sweden
GraniteSalt, Clay
Open-Geological survey completed. Site decision after 2010Spain
Rock saltGorleben ?AsseGorleben Site exploration interrupted bymoratorium
Germany
ClayGranite
OpenBure Granite site open
Survey of potential sites underwayFrance
GraniteOlkiluotoSite approved by Parliament. Exploration underway
Finland
GraniteOpenURLConcept demonstrationCanada
ClayOpenHADES URF, MolHADES Underground Research Facility in operationBelgium
GeologyCandidate Site for Final
Repository
Underground Laboratory
Program StatusCountry
> Framatome ANP GmbH < Dr. Ralf Güldner – Wolfgang Breyer, June 2004 31
Forecasts for Worldwide Installed Capacity of NPPs
0
200.000
400.000
600.000
800.000
1.000.000
1.200.000
1.400.000
1.600.000
1.800.000
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Year
MW
WEC Reference Scenario, 1998WEC Scenario High Growth, Coal Intensive, 1998WETO Study, EU, 2003International Energy Outlook 2003, Reference CaseInternational Energy Outlook 2003, Low-Growth CaseInternational Energy Outlook 2003, High-Growth CaseDecommissioning of today's plants, lifetime 40 yearsDecommissioning of today's plants, lifetime 60 years
1,800,000
1,600,000
1,400,000
1,200,000
1,000,000
800,000
600,000
400,000
200,000
> Framatome ANP GmbH < Dr. Ralf Güldner – Wolfgang Breyer, June 2004 32
Introduction of AREVA
Current Status of Nuclear Power Generation
Nuclear Power Market Trends
Evolution of Reactor Technologies
Nuclear Energy in the Public Debate
> Framatome ANP GmbH < Dr. Ralf Güldner – Wolfgang Breyer, June 2004 33
Reactor Generations
+Fusion?
1950 201019901970 2030 2050
EPR / SWR1000 +New Types
Early Prototype Reactors
CommercialPowerReactorsPWR, BWR, CANDU,VVER/RBMK
Reactors with further enhanced safety and increased competitive-ness: Advanced water cooled reactors,e. g. EPR, SWR 1000,ABWR, AP1000
Fusion
Generation IV
Generation III, Generation III+
Generation II
Generation I
FutureAdditional Reactorconcepts:e. g. HTR, FR
*
* incl.. modernization, power increase and life time extension
> Framatome ANP GmbH < Dr. Ralf Güldner – Wolfgang Breyer, June 2004 34
Certification in the U.S.for New Water-cooled Reactors
Reactor Design Lead Vendor(s) Design Category Status at NRC
System 80+ Westinghouse BNFL PWR CertifiedABWR GE, Toshiba, Hitachi BWR CertifiedAP600 Westinghouse BNFL PWR CertifiedAP1000 Westinghouse BNFL PWR CertificationESBWR GE BWR Pre-certificationSWR-1000 Framatome ANP BWR Pre-certificationACR-700 AECL PHWR Pre-certificationIRIS Westinghouse BNFL PWR Pre-certificationEPR Framatome ANP PWR No application decisionACR-1000 AECL PHWR No application decision
Sour
ce: U
S D
OE
EIA
> Framatome ANP GmbH < Dr. Ralf Güldner – Wolfgang Breyer, June 2004 35
EPR, the European 3rd-Generation Reactor
> The EPR results from a Franco-German cooperation since 1993 involving:
Safety Authorities
Utilities
Framatome and Siemens KWU (now merged into Framatome ANP)
> The EPR follows the rules of the French and German safety authorities
> The EPR takes into account the European Utility Requirements (EUR) as well as the Utility Requirements Document (URD) of the U.S. Electric Power Research Institute
> Two-fold goal:Further enhance safety
Improve economics
> Framatome ANP GmbH < Dr. Ralf Güldner – Wolfgang Breyer, June 2004 36
An Evolutionary Design Built on Experience from the Most Recent Reactors
-4060yearsService lifetime
193205241Number of fuel assemblies
444Number of primary loops
34,53437%Efficiency
~14001450~1600MweElectrical power
385042504300MWthThermal power
KonvoiSiemens
N4Framatome
EPR
Chooz 1-2Civaux 1-2
Neckar 2Emsland
Isar 2
> Framatome ANP GmbH < Dr. Ralf Güldner – Wolfgang Breyer, June 2004 37
The EPR Competitiveness
> A very cost-efficient designUnit power increased to about 1,600 MWe
Secondary-side pressure increased to 78 bar, leading to 37% efficiency
Better use of fuel, burn-up more than 60 GWd/t, lower consumption of uranium
Simplified maintenance: accessibility, standardization, in-service maintenance of equipment installed outside the reactor building
Shorter refueling outages for better availability
Lower radiation doses
Service life of 60 years
The EPR-generated MWh cost is 10% lower than in the most recent reactors in operation
> Framatome ANP GmbH < Dr. Ralf Güldner – Wolfgang Breyer, June 2004 38
The EPR Safety Improvements (1/2)
> Reinforced prevention of core meltdown accidentsIncreased water inventory of the primary coolant system Reduced probability of initiating events of internal origin Increased reliability of safeguard systems in particular, through the use of a 4-fold redundant, diversified and separate system
> Protection against the consequences of core meltdownElimination of the risk of core meltdown in the high-pressure reactor vesselSpreading of corium under the reactor vessel and protection of the concrete Hydrogen recombiners
> Protection against external (airplane crash) and internal risks (fire, flood)
> Framatome ANP GmbH < Dr. Ralf Güldner – Wolfgang Breyer, June 2004 39
Main safety systems of the EPR
Molten corespreading area
Containment heat removal
system
4-train redundancy
of mainsafety
systems
Double-wall containmentwith ventilation and filtering system
Water tank insidecontainment
The EPR Safety Improvements (2/2)
> Framatome ANP GmbH < Dr. Ralf Güldner – Wolfgang Breyer, June 2004 40
GoalsInnovative technical options for deployment in 20 - 30 years at the earliestUse of nuclear energy not only for power generation but also for process heat, desalination and H2 productionImprovement of economy, safety, proliferation resistance and minimization of nuclear wasteInclusion of industrialized and developing countries
ProceedingInternational cooperation in substantiating goals, predefinition of criterias Selection of promising reactor types and appropriate nuclear fuel cycles
International Programs for New Reactor Types
> Framatome ANP GmbH < Dr. Ralf Güldner – Wolfgang Breyer, June 2004 41
International Programs for New Reactor Types (cont.)
International Project on Innovative Nuclear Reactors and Fuel Cycles (INPRO)
IAEA special program under considerable Russian influence; participants comprise 12 countries plus the EU CommissionHolistic approach based on various demand scenarios; comprehensive catalog of criteria for economic efficiency, safety, safeguards and waste management currently being developed
Generation IV International Forum (GIF)10 countries, led by USA (Department of Energy)6 reactor types selected, all requiring considerable further development, although in some cases the basic concept has been known for decadesFormation of multilateral development partnerships is a key objective
> Framatome ANP GmbH < Dr. Ralf Güldner – Wolfgang Breyer, June 2004 42
Introduction of AREVA
Current Status of Nuclear Power Generation
Nuclear Power Market Trends
Evolution of Reactor Technologies
Nuclear Energy in the Public Debate
> Framatome ANP GmbH < Dr. Ralf Güldner – Wolfgang Breyer, June 2004 43
Nuclear Power in Germany – Facts & Views
> Framatome ANP GmbH < Dr. Ralf Güldner – Wolfgang Breyer, June 2004 44
Nuclear Power in Germany - the Facts
Most important energy source for electricitygeneration: 31 % of overall power consumption,~ 50 % of baseload power production
Most cost-effective way to generate electricity, key asset in a competitive European Electricity market
Stands for about 40,000 jobs in the nuclear industryand 110,000 in other industries
Avoids about 160 million tons of CO2 every year
18 NPPs in operation, 22,400 MW installed capacityProduction in 2003: 165,1 TWh
> Framatome ANP GmbH < Dr. Ralf Güldner – Wolfgang Breyer, June 2004 45
Nuclear Policy in GermanyGovernment - Utilities Agreement of June 2001
• Lifetime of the 19 operating NPPs limited to 32 years translated into kWh. Total residual generation 2623 billion kWh
• Utilities are free to shift residual generation from older to newer plants
• Government assures politically undisturbed operation of plants
• Government ensures transport of spent fuel
• Utilities build on-site fuel storage facilities to minimize transports
• Exploration of the Gorleben salt dome as final disposal site will be stopped for at least 3 yearsbut not more than 10 years
• No changes in safety requirements, no discriminatory tax rules
• Utilities „take note“ that government intends to introduce legal ban on construction of newNPP
> Framatome ANP GmbH < Dr. Ralf Güldner – Wolfgang Breyer, June 2004 46
Nuclear Policy in GermanyIntentions behind the Government - Utilities Agreement
Government:
• Paying the price for government participation of Green party, while limiting damageto the economy
• „Pacifying“ a field of social conflict marked by violent demonstrations
Utilities:
• Protection of their investment in NPPs, continued profitable operation of their plantsfor maximum time period achievable in negotiations
• Escape from discriminatory treatment experienced in several Länder (German states) in the 1990s („pin-prick policy“)
• Keeping the door open for later change in nuclear policy (no demand for new NPP in this decade)
> Framatome ANP GmbH < Dr. Ralf Güldner – Wolfgang Breyer, June 2004 47
„Which energy sources will make the largest contributionto our energy supply in the next 20 to 30 years?“
[% of Germans interviewed, multiple answers allowed]
Quelle: Allensbach Studie Umwelt 1991, 04/2004
56
32
34
60
22
17
33
64
49
39
37
26
21
18
18
8
Solar
Wind
Hydro power
Natural gas
Nuclear power
Biomass
Oil
Electricity imports
Coal
19912004
*: 1994 nicht befragt
> Framatome ANP GmbH <
0
50
100B
DK
D
GR
ES
F
IRLI L
NL
A
P
FIN
S
UK Eurobarometer poll 2002
... this is what 47% of those interviewed in 2002
in the EU-15 believed
„Do NPPs contribute to global warmingand climate change?“
> Framatome ANP GmbH < Dr. Ralf Güldner – Wolfgang Breyer, June 2004 49
Q: Will we be able to manage the nuclear phase-out, or will it be impossible – also in the long term –to do without nuclear energy?
Source: Capital, November 2003
Germany Average
Industry and
CommercePolitics Admini-
stration
West East
able to manage 30.2 29.6 33.0 22.9 48.8 45.5
impossible 67.8 68.2 66.0 75.4 51.2 48.5
don't know 2.0 2.2 1.0 1.7 6.1
Top Manager
Germany
Views on Nuclear Power: Public Opinion Polls in Germany
> Framatome ANP GmbH < Dr. Ralf Güldner – Wolfgang Breyer, June 2004 50
Do you agree with the following statement?
„Nuclear power is an acceptable source of energy“
Views on Nuclear Power: Public Opinion Polls in Germany
45% 46%40%
58%
33%
55%
35%
42%
55%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
West East m f highest30 - 39
lowest40 - 49
onlyelementarySchool - leavingcertific.
University
Average Germany Sex Age Education
Source: P.M. Magazin / tns emnid, June 2003
> Framatome ANP GmbH < Dr. Ralf Güldner – Wolfgang Breyer, June 2004 51
Conclusions
Nuclear energy further expands in Asia and has maintained its position as a stable and economic basis for power supply in both the U.S. and Europe- even in the new context of the liberalized power markets
The leading industrialized countries count on nuclear power as acontribution for economic competitiveness and sustainable development
The nuclear vendors have developed advanced LWRs which are now ready for construction
Nuclear industry and research institutes develop innovative reactor concepts, which could expand the use of nuclear energy beyond its present boundaries in the long run
Besides technological enhancement, public programs for waste management and transparent performance of the nuclear industry are the key issues in order to (re)gain public acceptance for nuclear power
> Framatome ANP GmbH < Dr. Ralf Güldner – Wolfgang Breyer, June 2004 52
Any questions? Please go ahead!