© blaqwell, inc. 2007 what you should know about the legal business summer, 2007
TRANSCRIPT
2
Introduction
Client needs and the modern law firm
Non-economic forces shaping
law firms
Law as a business
Final thoughts
Outline
3
Introduction
Client needs and the modern law firm
Non-economic forces shaping
law firms
Law as a business
Final thoughts
4
Introduction
Four out of five (80%) 2005 Columbia Law School graduates went into private practice, typically in large law firms
Two out of three (66%) law students nationwide who participated in summer associate programs in 2005 accepted offers to work at the same law firm that employed them during their 2L summer
Of law students who join large law firms on graduation
1% depart after the 1st year
14% leave by the end of the 2nd year
37% leave after three years
77% are gone by the end of the 5th year
This means thatIf you choose to be a 2L summer associate at a law firm in 2008, chances are that you will accept a job there and stay for at least a few years. And if you stay longer, will that firm continue to exist and, if so, what will it look like?
This talk is to help you understand the forces that affect evolution of the legal industry and to help you make better choices among firms
5
Legal industry evolution in the US
The legal industry in the US grows in line with GDP but one sector, comprising the largest firms, is growing revenues and profitability far more quickly
This sector is doing so because it has a relatively benign competitive structure. Though there are some characteristics that may make it less attractive over time – e.g., client pricing pressures, technology – continued revenue and profit expansion is likely
Evolution to date has tracked that of comparable professional service industries, though at slower pace
A key feature of the evolution is that the rich are getting richer – top firms are increasing their share of profit and prominence, and widening a gap with also-rans
The next phase of evolution, already beginning, is likely to be toward greater differentiation in which leaders will develop distinctive value propositions vis-à-vis clients and talent
6
The legal industry as a whole grows in line with GDP but the largest 100 firms grow faster than the market
* Total US legal services output for 1996-2000 and 2006 projected from 2000-2005 dataSources: American Lawyer; Federal Reserve Economic Data; Blaqwell analysis
US GDP and Law Firm Revenues (1996-2006)
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
100
316 (Top 100 US firms’ revenue)
184* (Total US legal services output)
171 (US GDP)
10-Year AnnualizedGrowth Rate
Revenue for Top 100 Firms 12.2 %
Total US Legal Services Output* 6.3 %
US GDP 5.5 %
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For largest 100 US firms, growth in revenue and profits over past seven years has been extraordinary
11.4 12.213.5
15.317.1
19.121.6
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
31.135.1
38.141.7
4650.9
56.7
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
CAGR 11.2%CAGR 10.5%
Total Profitsof US Top 100
($ billions)
Total Revenueof US Top 100
($ billions)
Note: US Top 100 firms comprise the AmLaw 100 – the top 100 US firms ranked by revenue Sources: American Lawyer, Blaqwell analysis
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Industrycompetitors
Generally attractiveindustry
New entrants
BuyersSuppliers
This is due to an attractive industry structure for large firms
History of “gentlemanly club” competitionIncreasing competitiveness, fueled by greater investment in, and reward from brandIncreasing focus on relative economicsSegmentation by AmLaw ranking or equivalent
Significant barriers to entry; no substitute products
Increasing stratification of work by valueIncreasing, but still relatively low, price sensitivity for high end workRapid expansion of high-shareholder-value legal needsIncreasing attention to cross-border issuesPressure for alternative billing arrangements for routine work gaining momentum
Talent markets relatively constrained Law school pool not growing Increased partner and associate mobility —lateral hiring up 19% in ’05 but down 11% in ‘06 Highest-level brand name lawyers ( a quite limited number) becoming more mobile and demandingTemp attorney use doubled between ’02-’03, +48% in ’04, +13% in ‘05
TECHNOLOGYCompetitive impact limited todayFocus on next generation softwareKnowledge management becoming more importantMore advanced financial reporting and management solutions adopted
MACROECONOMICSGenerally positive even through market and economic downturns
REGULATIONRapidly increasing impact on value to clientsA source of massive demand growth
Other Industry-Shaping Factors
Sources: AmLaw Lateral Report 2007, NALP, Blaqwell Analysis
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In contrast to most other industries, legal industry players have not changed significantly in the last 50 years
Sources: “The Wall Street Lawyers,” Fortune (February, 1958), cited in Smigel, 1964.
1957 Rank Largest NY Law Firms in 1957
Today’s AmLaw
Top 20 Top 1001 Shearman & Sterling 2 Cravath 3 White & Case 4 Dewey Ballantine 5 Simpson Thacher 6 Davis Polk 7 Milbank Tweed 8 Cahill Gordon 9 Sullivan & Cromwell
10 Chadbourne, Parke 11 Breed Abbott (merged with Winston & Strawn in 2000) NA NA12 Winthrop Stimson (merged with Pillsbury in 2001) NA NA13 Cadwalader, Wickersham 14 Willkie Farr 15 Donovan Leisure (disbanded in 1998) NA NA16 Lord, Day & Lord (disbanded in 1994) NA NA17 Dwight Royall (became Rogers & Wells, merged with C. Chance in ‘00) NA NA18 Mudge Rose (disbanded in 1996) NA NA19 Kelley Drye
20 Paul Weiss 21 Cleary Gottlieb
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The competition to attract the best talent is fierce
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
Applicants to ABA approved law schools
Admitted Applicants
Matriculants
$0 k
$30 k
$60 k
$90 k
$120 k
$150 k
$180 k
Sources: Law School Admission Council 2006 data; “Salary Trends: A 15 Year Overview”, NALP bulletin, July 2005; NALP Associate Salary Surveys
* = change in data collection procedures began this year
** = preliminary data
Median Starting Salary for Firms with 501+ Lawyers
Law School Applicationsand Matriculation
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The US legal industry seems to be following a typical professional services pattern of evolution
Features Stable growth War for talent
Emergence of winners
Winners dominate
Others disintegrate
Small number of winners at scale
Winning Strategy
Attract talent
Develop clients
Become more business- like
Client penetration
Brand
Fully exploit intellectual capital
Extend reach (typically globally)
Be franchise of choice in a portfolio of high-value business areas
Economics Attractive (but small)
Winners emerging
Volatile
Winnertakes all
Attractive to highly attractive
US Legal Industry
“Cottage Industry”
“Rich get richer” “Differentiated” “Oligopoly”
Sources: Blaqwell analysis
12
Introduction
Client needs and the modern law firm
Non-economic forces shaping
law firms
Law as a business
Final thoughts
13
Why do law firms evolve?
A lawyer’s function, and the structure in which his activity is best organized, depends both on what corporations – that is, the clients – are doing and on the structures in which clients’ activities are being carried out
As a result of profound changes in the underlying configuration of markets and technology, corporations and their corresponding structures may change dramatically
Hence, both the lawyer’s function and the structure of the profession change dramatically from time to time in response to changes in clients’ markets
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Phase 1 (Competition) - Mid- to late-19th century
Competition amongst small ventures
Lawyers active in promotion of companies, negotiating rights-of-way, collection of debts and other routine activities
Strategic litigation an extension of competition – challenges to patents, mining claims, or franchises
Peddling influence and seeking favors in state capitals
“Hustling, aggressive, scrappy, opportunistic, ethically corner-cutting kind of practice”
Phase 2 (Consolidation) - First quarter of 20th century
Many large industries came to be dominated by a few giant firms
Lawyers negotiated alliances, trusts, holding company structures, including increasingly complex corporate debt and equity instruments
Many leading corporate lawyers left litigation
Redesign of legal system to legalize consolidations
Sources: “The Legal Profession,” Robert Gordon
Evolution of legal practice in America
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Phase 3 (Statesmanship) - Second quarter of 20th century
Stabilization and legitimating of client and industry
As lawyers made their clients more respectable they did same for themselves, emphasizing detachment, adopting ethics codes proscribing “client-chasing” and devoted themselves to legal “science”
Phase 4 (Administrative Routine) - Third quarter of 20th century
Corporate lawyers become caretakers of the going system
Practice became more technical and specialized
Law firms locked into long-term relations with loyal clients
Sources: “The Legal Profession,” Robert Gordon
Evolution of legal practice in America
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Phase 5 (Destabilization and reconfiguration) – Last quarter 20th century
International competition, new mobility of capital, and volatility of market for corporate control
Legal relationships characterized by cost-cutting
New style of corporate practice
“ruthlessly competitive, powered almost exclusively by the drive for profits, so demanding as to leave no time or energy for other commitments, very lucrative for lawyers and firms who succeed but also very anxiety producing because so many fail, and mostly indifferent to social responsibility and public values”
Sources: “The Legal Profession,” Robert Gordon
Evolution of legal practice in America
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Features of the American profession
Although a single profession, lawyers in different kinds of practice receive a wide range of prestige and reward
LOWEST STATUS
Practice solo or in small partnerships
Represent individuals in trouble and without much money
Frequently of recent immigrant origin
ELITE
Partners in big city law firms doing specialized work for corporations
Top graduates of elite law schools
Predominantly white male
MIDDLE
Miscellaneous work for middle class individuals
Personal injury, real estate, estate planning, divorce
Human Suffering
Prestige and Reward
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What do law firms do?
Before 1900 leading lawyers were rarely exclusively “corporate” lawyers or litigators. Big Deals, Big Cases, and Big State have created the need for specialist work and given rise to modern multi-specialist firms.
Today the work of the bar varies in interest, complexity and importance
Corporate
Regulatory compliance and
contract administration
Design and negotiation of new
structures of contractual or
regulatory architecture
Litigation
Routine processing of low-stakes
repetitive litigation
Huge “bet-the-company” cases in
bankruptcy, antitrust and mass tort
defenses
Regulatory
Processing routine
applications for administrative
orders
Designing and drafting
legislative and administrative
frameworks
Value
Low
High
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Introduction
Client needs and the modern law firm
Non-economic forces shaping
law firms
Law as a business
Final thoughts
20
Law as a profession
The tasks of professions are to address human problems amenable to solution by application of expert service. They may be individual problems or problems for groups. The degree of resort to experts varies from problem to problem, from society to society, and from time to time
The function of the professionals is to classify a problem (“diagnosis”), to reason about it (“inference”), and to take action on it (“treatment”)
Why is it that lawyers, rather than accountants or consultants or bankers, solve particular problems? Or do they?
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Control of asymmetric relationships / monopoly control
“Asymmetry of expertise” requires client to trust professional and professional to respect both client and colleagues. The “project” of the profession is to ensure maintenance of this collegiality and trust and it does so by various institutional forms – educational requirements, associations, licensure, ethics codes – and assumes that only those who conform will be entitled to deliver the expert advice
Professions do not serve disembodied social needs but rather impose both the definition of needs and the manner of service on atomized customers. Dominance and autonomy, not collegiality and trust, are the true hall marks of a profession. The “project” of the profession is to secure the goal of economic monopoly
Neither approach provides a complete answer to the relationship between organized law and society
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The disappearing middle market
Perception of lawyers as professionals with unique qualifications has led to a privileged position in society
A monopoly to perform certain professional activities – most important, to represent others before the courts
Many rules have evolved to ensure the ability of lawyers to carry out the tasks of their profession effectively. The most important of these are:
The right to privileged communication with clients
The burden of confidentiality imposed upon such communication
Rules relating to potential conflict among clients or potential clients
A prohibition on sharing profit with non-lawyers
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The purpose of ethics
The first ABA ethics code of 1908 stressed the lawyer’s fidelity to the public purposes of the legal system as well as to clients
Since then, every revision of the code has moved it further away from the obligation to balance client’s interests against obligations to the legal system, towards almost-exclusive duties of loyalty, confidentiality, and zealous advocacy of clients
The lawyer must press in his client’s favor every plausibly arguable construction of the law and the known facts. He has almost no affirmative duties to assist adversaries, tribunals, or regulatory agencies to gather facts; to restrain clients from perjury or fraud; or to urge his clients to comply with laws or regulations
This tendency, coupled with the perception of law as a business, is leading to some serious issues within the profession
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Introduction
Client needs and the modern law firm
Non-economic forces shaping
law firms
Law as a business
Final thoughts
25
The disappearing middle market
Law as a business
Modern law firms organize themselves as businesses and that, as with all other businesses, they are motivated to maximize the return to the owners of the business
To understand what you can expect from a law firm, you need to begin to understand how law firms make money and how you fit into the productive machine that is a law firm
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Importance of profit per equity partner (PPP)
If the most important function of the law firm is to maximize return to the proprietors of the business it follows that Profit per Partner (“PPP”) must be the best measure of comparative success among competing law firms
This does indeed turn out to be the case
Most widely followed measure by commentators
Safe harbor for clients -- proxy for quality
Fundamental to attract best talent
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Top 20 firms by PPP (2006)
Rank Firm PPEP
1 Wiley Rein* $4,434,426
2 Wachtell $3,974,026
3 Cravath $3,017,241
4 Cadwalader $2,901,316
5 Sullivan & Cromwell $2,820,122
6 Cahill Gordon $2,571,429
7 Simpson Thacher $2,496,914
8 Paul, Weiss $2,495,413
9 Quinn Emanuel $2,433,824
10 Kirkland $2,268,868
Rank Firm PPEP
11 Milbank, Tweed $2,166,667
12 Schulte $2,157,895
13 Cleary Gottlieb $2,118,785
14 Skadden $2,091,837
15 Willkie Farr $2,032,520
16 Dechert $1,988,166
17 Weil, Gotshal $1,900,000
18 Latham $1,856,448
19 Davis Polk $1,819,728
20 Debevoise $1,806,818
Note: Indicates the firm received high contingency fees during the year
Sources: AmLaw 100, Blaqwell analysis
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Consistency in top 20 firms
Rank
Firm PPEP 2006 1996 1986
Wiley Rein* $4,434,426 1 -- --
Wachtell $3,974,026 2 3 1
Cravath $3,017,241 3 1 2
Cadwalader $2,901,316 4 18 25
Sullivan & Cromwell $2,820,122 5 4 6
Cahill Gordon $2,571,429 6 2 3
Simpson Thacher $2,496,914 7 5 8
Paul, Weiss $2,495,413 8 14 15
Quinn Emanuel $2,433,824 9 -- --
Kirkland $2,268,868 10 11 12
Milbank, Tweed $2,166,667 11 16 18
Schulte $2,157,895 12 21 --
Cleary Gottlieb $2,118,785 13 9 14
Skadden $2,091,837 14 8 4
Willkie Farr $2,032,520 15 10 11
Dechert $1,988,166 16 58 72
Weil, Gotshal $1,900,000 17 15 7
Latham $1,856,448 18 13 8
Davis Polk $1,819,728 19 6 5
Debevoise $1,806,818 20 7 16
Note: Indicates the firm received high contingency fees during the year
Sources: AmLaw 100, Blaqwell analysis
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Cash generation
Because firms charge for the time of their professionals on an hourly basis, it is possible to calculate how much revenue they can generate (“maximum fee capacity”). The result is a function of the number of professionals at different levels in the organization, their utilization on billable work, and their respective charge-out rates.
Note: Indicates firm with leverage of 2 associates to 1 partner working at maximum capacity
Sources: Blaqwell analysis
Level of Organization# of
ProfessionalsTarget Hours
Hourly Rate (US$)
Fee Capacity (US$)
Equity Partner 20 2,000 650 26,000,000
Non-Equity Partner 5 2,400 500 6,000,000
Sr. Associate 5 2,400 400 4,800,000
Mid-Level Associate 15 2,200 300 9,900,000
Jr. Associate 30 2,000 200 12,000,000
Legal Staff 75 58,700,000
Paralegals 10 1,500 125 1,875,000
Total 85 60,575,000
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Maximum fee capacity
Maximum fee capacity is a budgetary device, not a ceiling on the amount of revenue that a firm can generate
An organizing technique to enable firm to predict and manage firm revenue on basis of assumptions relating to number of fee earners, hours that each of them will work, rates they will charge and success in billing and collection
Realizing maximum fee capacity requires the firm to balance
Maximizing billable hours recorded by each lawyer within the firm (“Utilization”)
Maximizing rate charged to clients for each billable hour recorded (“Charging Rates”)
Maximizing realization of revenue for each recorded hour (“Realization Rate”)
Optimizing the mix of senior and junior time spent in the execution of each engagement (“Leverage”)
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The bottom line: from fee capacity to PPP (the return to the proprietors)
Fee capacity must be converted into PPP. This is a multi-stage process involving lawyers and managers. Law firms seek to optimize the conversion and, in so doing, affect every aspect of practice.
Fee Capacity
Revenue or
Gross Margin
DirectCost
ContributionMargin
Overhead
Operating Profit
InvestmentCosts
NetIncome
Unconverted Fee Capacity & Uncollected
Bills Net IncomeNumber Of
Equity Partners
PPP=
Sources:Blaqwell analysis
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Controlling hours
1 Necessary activities included are Sleeping (365x8), Eating (365x3), Bodily (365x1), Errands (365x1)2 Discretionary activities included are Exercise, Family, Illness, Hobbies, Romance, Vacation, Continuing Education
Activity Case I Case II Case III
Total Hours Per Year 8,760 8,760 8,760
Necessary 1 4,745 4,745 4,745
Remaining Hours 4,015 4,015 4,015
Working Hours 2,500 3,000 3,500
(Billable Hours 1,667 2,000 2,333
Discretionary 2 1,515 1,015 515
Hours Per Day (weeks) 4.2 (9) 2.8 (6) 1.4 (3)
Sources:Blaqwell analysis
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Controlling rates
Sources: Inside Counsel 17th Annual Survey of General Counsel July 2006
52% of general counsel reported
“reduce cost” as the most important
thing firms could do to improve their
client relationships52%
35
Controlling leverage
Firm PPEP Leverage 2000 (EP’s/ lawyers
Leverage 2006 (EP’s/ lawyers)
Wachtell $3,974,026 1.03 2.51
Cravath $3,017,241 3.30 4.67
Cadwalader $2,901,316 3.62 7.30
Sullivan & Cromwell $2,820,122 2.90 3.51
Cahill Gordon $2,571,429 2.83 3.84
Simpson Thacher $2,496,914 3.20 4.12
Paul, Weiss $2,495,413 3.18 5.26
Kirkland & Ellis $2,268,868 4.17 5.21
Milbank, Tweed $2,166,667 3.60 4.16
Schulte $2,157,895 3.43 5.24
Cleary Gottlieb $2,118,785 2.79 4.61
Skadden $2,091,837 3.77 4.31
Willkie Farr $2,032,520 2.53 4.21
Dechert $1,988,166 2.18 5.31
AmLaw 100 average: 2.77 4.13
Sources:AmLaw 100, Blaqwell analysis
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Note: 1994 is the first year for which AmLaw reports non-equity partner figures
Sources: AmLaw, Blaqwell analysis.
Adjusting the partnership structure: growth of non-equity partnership in the AmLaw 100
8078
73
45
33.7%
13.3%
31.4%
22.2%
0
20
40
60
80
100
1994* 2000 2005 2006
Am
La
w F
irm
s
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
% T
ota
l Pa
rtn
ers
Firms with NEP's Total NEP's as % of all partners
37
Introduction
Client needs and the modern law firm
Non-economic forces shaping
law firms
Law as a business
Final thoughts
38
The disappearing middle market
The profession is increasingly troubled as traditional values clash with the imperative to make money
Many lawyers are disaffected
Public regard for lawyers is low
Many lawyers do not enjoy the quality or the quantity of their work
Loss of professionalism
Hyper-adversarial behavior
Incivility
Ethical corner-cutting
Greed
Competition and loss of autonomy
39
Final words
Lawyers never stop learning
To be successful you will need to develop the following capabilitiesMaturity and judgmentWork ethicInitiative and entrepreneurshipInnovationAttitudePrior career successInterpersonal skillsLeadershipTeamworkCross-cultural exposure/ sensitivity
These are not all learned at Law School – your first employer is the next stop along the path to attaining these capabilities
Choose wisely