Сложная программа проектов: сроки, риски, мотивация...

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How to Tame a Gorilla Program Critical Path 2.0 case study at SanDisk ProjectPro Corp. www.ProjectProCorp.com

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Новую программу проектов в компании SanDisk (производство flash-накопителей) неформально назвали «гориллой» из-за ее объема (более 5000 задач). Продукт нужно вывести на рынок к жестко заданной дате. Как выполнить такую программу и как замотивировать менеджеров проектов? На этот вопрос ответил Эрик Ютеваал (Канада), автор инструмента «Критический путь 2.0», позволяющего с успехом реализовывать такие проекты.

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Page 1: Сложная программа проектов: сроки, риски, мотивация менеджеров проектов

How to Tame a Gorilla ProgramCritical Path 2.0 case study at SanDiskHow to Tame a Gorilla ProgramCritical Path 2.0 case study at SanDisk

ProjectPro Corp.www.ProjectProCorp.com

Page 2: Сложная программа проектов: сроки, риски, мотивация менеджеров проектов

President ProjectPro Corp.

Specializes in Microsoft Project and Project Server

Presenter Intro: Eric Uyttewaal, PMPPresenter Intro: Eric Uyttewaal, PMP

BS, EngineeringMS, Business Administration

Author “Forecast Scheduling with Microsoft Project 2010” & “Dynamic Scheduling with Microsoft Office Project 2003”

Formerly: Executive Director at IIL as developer and manager of the Orange, Blue, Black Belt certification curriculum

Email: [email protected]

Tel: 613-692-7778

© ProjectPro Corp.

Page 3: Сложная программа проектов: сроки, риски, мотивация менеджеров проектов

What Situation Are You In?What Situation Are You In?

Single, Isolated Project

Master- orSubproject

No Resource-loading A B

Resources & Workload-leveled

C D

© ProjectPro Corp.

Page 4: Сложная программа проектов: сроки, риски, мотивация менеджеров проектов

The Challenge of Scheduling ProgramsThe Challenge of Scheduling Programs

© ProjectPro Corp.

Page 5: Сложная программа проектов: сроки, риски, мотивация менеджеров проектов

Drowning in the Data?Drowning in the Data?

© ProjectPro Corp.

Page 6: Сложная программа проектов: сроки, риски, мотивация менеджеров проектов

The SanDisk Situation: As-Is and As-NeededThe SanDisk Situation: As-Is and As-Needed

As-Is:– “System” is not linked to show interaction between

schedules – Manual syncing of dates– Schedules are often suspected of being out-of-date– Resource availability drives schedules– “System” is labor-intensive– Critical Path 1.0 technology

As-Needed:– See complete CP across resource-leveled projects in

program– Find that CP in an easy way: Critical Path 2.0 technology– Optimize the CP– Critical Path 2.0 technology

© ProjectPro Corp.

Page 7: Сложная программа проектов: сроки, риски, мотивация менеджеров проектов

The Program Was Considered to Be “In Control” When (Verbatim)The Program Was Considered to Be “In Control” When (Verbatim) The program schedule has at least ten major

milestones (ten sub networks) All subproject schedules are dynamic models

that forecast the subprojects– “Forecast Scheduling with Microsoft Project 2010 ”

checklist We have a detailed Critical Path to the next

two major milestones We have 90% confidence level (simulation)

the next 2 major milestones would be completed on time

We have a high-level Critical Path (deliverables only) for entire program that forecasts on-time completion © ProjectPro Corp.

1 of 2

Page 8: Сложная программа проектов: сроки, риски, мотивация менеджеров проектов

© ProjectPro Corp.

The Program Was Considered to Be “In Control” When (Visually)The Program Was Considered to Be “In Control” When (Visually) 2 of 2

?? % on time????

90% probability on time

90% probability on time

90% probability on time

90% probability on time

90% probability on time

90% probability on time

90% probability on time

90% probability on time

90% on time!!!

Page 9: Сложная программа проектов: сроки, риски, мотивация менеджеров проектов

Our Reasons to Divide the Program into Multiple SubprojectsOur Reasons to Divide the Program into Multiple Subprojects Delegate to a scheduler closer to the work More than 2,000 tasks in the program Multiple people need to update the master

schedule People are in different countries, in different

time zones and speak different languages

© ProjectPro Corp.

Page 10: Сложная программа проектов: сроки, риски, мотивация менеджеров проектов

Consequences of Multiple Subproject SchedulesConsequences of Multiple Subproject Schedules Multiple schedulers have to adhere to

scheduling guidelines for the program Dependencies between schedules and a

Critical Path that runs across schedules Sharing resources across subprojects, perhaps

even across programs

© ProjectPro Corp.

Page 11: Сложная программа проектов: сроки, риски, мотивация менеджеров проектов

Why Re-integrating the Subproject Schedules?Why Re-integrating the Subproject Schedules?

Integrated Master Schedule

Subprojects with cross-project

dependencies

1. Identify and optimize the Critical Path into next milestone(s)2. Determine appropriate buffers (deadlines) for handoffs3. Report accurate forecasts on the program as a whole

© ProjectPro Corp.

Page 12: Сложная программа проектов: сроки, риски, мотивация менеджеров проектов

Integrated Master Schedule (IMS) and Program Critical PathIntegrated Master Schedule (IMS) and Program Critical Path

© ProjectPro Corp.

Subproject A Subproject B Subproject C

Integrated Master Schedule (IMS)

Page 13: Сложная программа проектов: сроки, риски, мотивация менеджеров проектов

Options for Managing the Dependencies between SubprojectsOptions for Managing the Dependencies between Subprojects

1. Do Not Model Them- Coordinate dates manually in regular meetings!- no Critical Path

2. Model them using Deliverables feature- no Critical Path

3. Model them using Links-between-Projects feature- Links lost, duplicated or slow

4. Model them using PPMS add-in(ProjectPro Program Management Solution)+ Critical Path, links protected

© ProjectPro Corp.

Page 14: Сложная программа проектов: сроки, риски, мотивация менеджеров проектов

PPMS Example Program “Write Book” PPMS Example Program “Write Book”

© ProjectPro Corp.

Page 15: Сложная программа проектов: сроки, риски, мотивация менеджеров проектов

PPMS: Identifying the HandoffsPPMS: Identifying the Handoffs

© ProjectPro Corp.

Provider Project: ‘Publishing’ Receiver Project: ‘Authoring’

Handoff ‘Outline’

OutlinePublisher hands ‘Outline’ to Authors

Task Name HandoffOutline‘Outline’ received

from publisher by Authors

Task Name Handoff

Page 16: Сложная программа проектов: сроки, риски, мотивация менеджеров проектов

PPMS Excel Dashboard - Lists all Handoffs (Links between Subprojects)PPMS Excel Dashboard - Lists all Handoffs (Links between Subprojects)

© ProjectPro Corp.

Dashboard Handoffs Program ‘Write Book’

Page 17: Сложная программа проектов: сроки, риски, мотивация менеджеров проектов

Demo PPMSDemo PPMS

© ProjectPro Corp.

Page 18: Сложная программа проектов: сроки, риски, мотивация менеджеров проектов

How the IMS is GeneratedHow the IMS is Generated

Create project files at function level Identify all cross-project milestones in .MPP’s Copy cross-project dependencies to .XLS file Create cross-project links with PPMS Level workloads at the program level Identify Resource-Critical Path with CCP Optimize Resource-Critical Path Simulate to get high-confidence date (project

buffer)

© ProjectPro Corp.

Page 19: Сложная программа проектов: сроки, риски, мотивация менеджеров проектов

Dealing with Shared ResourcesDealing with Shared Resources

Model with Generic Resources first! Optimize the IMS:

1. Adding idle resources to the most-Critical Path(s)

2. Moving resources from non-Critical to Critical Paths

3. Continue until resourcing is (perfectly) balanced

© ProjectPro Corp.

Page 20: Сложная программа проектов: сроки, риски, мотивация менеджеров проектов

© ProjectPro Corp.

How Leveling Affects the Critical Path 1.0How Leveling Affects the Critical Path 1.0

Harry 9 D

Harry 6 D

write X

write Y

Harry 9 D

leveling

Harry 9 D

Harry 6 DHarry 6 D

write X

write Y

Before leveling:

After leveling:

Page 21: Сложная программа проектов: сроки, риски, мотивация менеджеров проектов

Resource Dependencies Differ from Logical DependenciesResource Dependencies Differ from Logical Dependencies

A logical dependency imposes the sequence:

Harry

Harry

Write X

Write Y

Harry

Harry

Write X

Write Y

Write

Print

OR

A resource dependency is a relationship between two activities where the sequence can be switched. The relationship is the sharing of the same resource:

Source: Forecast Scheduling with Microsoft Project 2010

© ProjectPro Corp.

Page 22: Сложная программа проектов: сроки, риски, мотивация менеджеров проектов

Hunting for the Critical Path in an IMSHunting for the Critical Path in an IMS

Demo CCP in IMS

© ProjectPro Corp.

Page 23: Сложная программа проектов: сроки, риски, мотивация менеджеров проектов

ID Handoff Codes Schedule Code

Blocks Name Resource Names Duration Start Finish Total Slack

77 Start AS Start PM 0 days 1/2/12 1/2/12 106.13 days

39 Start SY Start 0 days 1/2/12 1/2/12 96.13 days

274 AS Blk5 L3 - FE View s, IO, Preliminary IP IO 0 days 6/29/12 6/29/12 40 days

276 AS Blk5 L3 - BE View s, IO, Preliminary IP IO 0 days 6/29/12 6/29/12 40 days

282 AS Blk5 Top Integration for Subsystem Design 3 days 6/29/12 7/3/12 40 days

290 AS Blk5 Top Integration Design 1 day 7/4/12 7/4/12 346 days

328 AS Blk1 Alpha Release, Final Spec Design 0 days 7/14/12 7/14/12 21 days

344 AS Blk1 Top Integration for Subsystem Design 4 days 7/16/12 7/19/12 21 days

346 AS Blk1 BIST Setup DFT 2 days 7/20/12 7/23/12 21 days

347 AS Blk1 BIST Analysis DFT 3 days 7/24/12 7/26/12 21 days

348 AS Blk1 RTL vs. BIST RTL Formal AnalysisDFT 2 days 7/27/12 7/30/12 21 days

349 AS Blk1 Preliminary RTL w ith BIST inserted completeDesign 0 days 7/30/12 7/30/12 21 days

432 AS MS L3 - Preliminary RTL w ith BIST InsertedDesign 0 days 7/30/12 7/30/12 21 days

575 AS Top Top Integration Design 2 days 7/31/12 8/1/12 21 days

576 AS Top Preliminary RTL Design CompleteDesign 0 days 8/1/12 8/1/12 21 days

763 AS Top RTL Verif ication, Preliminary Verif ication 24 days 8/2/12 9/4/12 35 days

764 AS Top RTL Verif ication, Trial Verif ication 39 days 9/5/12 10/29/12 35 days

770 AS Top RTL Verif ication, Final, High PriorityVerif ication[200%] 43 days 10/30/12 12/27/12 40 days

771 AS Top RTL Verif ication, Final, Low PriorityVerif ication[300%] 48 days 10/30/12 1/3/13 35 days

772 AS Top Complete RTL Verif ication Verif ication 0 days 1/3/13 1/3/13 35 days

704 AS Top Final Layout Complete PD 0 days 1/22/13 1/22/13 22 days

705 AS Top Tapeout, Base Layers PD 0 days 1/22/13 1/22/13 22 days

905 AS P0 GDSII into JDV Process 4 days 1/23/13 1/28/13 22 days

906 AS P0 JDV, Base layers Process 3 days 1/29/13 1/31/13 22 days

907 AS P0 Mask Generation, Base layer, 1st maskProcess 7 edays 1/31/13 2/7/13 32.63 edays

908 AS P0 Minesw eeper, Metal Layers Process 4 edays 2/7/13 2/11/13 32.63 edays

909 AS P0 Wafer Fab, P0, FE Process Fab[1] 15 edays 2/11/13 2/26/13 32.63 edays

910 AS P0 Wafer Fab, P0, BE Process Fab[1] 15 edays 2/26/13 3/13/13 32.63 edays

911 AS P0 Shipping effort at Fab Process 3 days 3/14/13 3/18/13 22 days

20 WaferOutP0 AS Wafer Out, Rev P0 (Assumes SHL cycle time)Process 0 days 3/18/13 3/18/13 22 days

14 WaferOutP0 PK Wafer Out, P0 0 days 3/18/13 3/18/13 22 days

53 PK Assembly SDSS (PK) 10 days 3/19/13 4/1/13 22 days

54 PK Ship to US Package Designer 2 days 4/2/13 4/3/13 22 days

20 EVTPartsP0Pack PK EVT Parts, P0 0 days 4/3/13 4/3/13 22 days

55 PK Assembled 256 BGA Parts delivered 0 days 4/3/13 4/3/13 22 days

832 EVTPartsP0Pack AS Ship P0 Pkg Ship [0.1],Pkg 1 day 4/4/13 4/4/13 22 days

833 AS Test (No testing for EVT parts)PE 0 days 4/4/13 4/4/13 22 days

834 AS EVT (Blind Build) Parts availablePE 0 days 4/4/13 4/4/13 22 days

947 AS Parts for Fast Chaz Test (ASIC) 0 days 4/4/13 4/4/13 22 days

949 AS Ship Parts to SDIL for IP validationPE 2 days 4/5/13 4/8/13 22 days

950 AS Fast Chaz PLM SD 10 days 4/9/13 4/22/13 22 days

951 AS SDIL Fast Chaz completed PLM SD 0 days 4/22/13 4/22/13 22 days

971 AS Fast Chaz completed Characterization 0 days 4/22/13 4/22/13 22 days

973 AS Design Updates IP 2 w ks 4/23/13 5/6/13 4.4 w ks

744 AS Generate Split Hex File / Translate ROM Memory / IP QAIP 0.5 days 5/24/13 5/24/13 8 days

745 AS Translate ROM Memory IP 0.5 days 5/24/13 5/24/13 8 days

746 AS Layout w ith ROM change and ECOsPD 4 days 5/27/13 5/30/13 8 days

747 AS Review DRC and Generate POSPD 1 day 5/31/13 5/31/13 8 days

748 AS Metal Layer Tapeout PD 0 days 5/31/13 5/31/13 8 days

737 AS Scan pattern generation and re-simulationDFT[50%] 5 days 6/3/13 6/7/13 8 days

753 AS Scan, Full set of test vector generation / simulationDFT 15 days 6/10/13 6/28/13 8 days

799 AS DFT Vectors completed (milestone)DFT 0 days 6/28/13 6/28/13 8 days

801 AS Test Program release effort for EVT, release ATest (ASIC) 15 days 7/1/13 7/19/13 8 days

802 AS Test Vectors Released, Final TestTest (ASIC) 0 days 7/19/13 7/19/13 8 days

877 AS Test PE[50%] 3 days 7/22/13 7/24/13 8 days

67 DVTPartsA AS Rev A DVT Parts Test (ASIC) 0 days 7/24/13 7/24/13 8 days

878 AS P1 DVT Parts available PE 0 days 7/24/13 7/24/13 8 days

12 DVTPartsA FW DVT Parts, Rev A 0 days 7/24/13 7/24/13 8 days

140 FW Unit Test Resource5 2 days 7/25/13 7/26/13 8 days

147 FW Read ID Resource5 2 days 7/29/13 7/30/13 10 days

148 FW Read Device Parameters Resource5 2 days 7/31/13 8/1/13 8 days

149 FW Get Debug Data Resource5 2 days 8/2/13 8/5/13 6 days

177 FW Bench Test Resource12 3 days 8/6/13 8/8/13 6 days

178 FW Unit Test (Get config commands)Resource12 2 days 8/9/13 8/12/13 6 days

25 FWRelease FW FW Release, System 0 days 8/12/13 8/12/13 6 days

11FWRelease QU FW Release, System 0 days 8/12/13 8/12/13 6 days

29 QU Dow n Load Code System Engineer (QU) 2 days 8/13/13 8/14/13 6 days

38 QU Test w ith Supply #1 Host System Engineer (QU) 5 days 8/22/13 8/28/13 46 days

39 QU Test w ith Supply #2 Host System Engineer (QU) 5 days 8/29/13 9/4/13 41 days

40 QU Test w ith Supply #3 Host System Engineer (QU) 5 days 9/5/13 9/11/13 36 days

41 QU Test w ith Supply #4 Host System Engineer (QU) 5 days 9/12/13 9/18/13 31 days

42 QU Test w ith Supply #5 Host System Engineer (QU) 5 days 9/19/13 9/25/13 26 days

43 QU Test w ith Supply #6 Host System Engineer (QU) 5 days 9/26/13 10/2/13 21 days

44 QU Compatibility Testing Complete System Engineer (QU) 0 days 10/2/13 10/2/13 21 days

30 QU Test at Room Temperature System Engineer (QU) 5 days 10/3/13 10/9/13 16 days

31 QU Test at High Temperature System Engineer (QU) 5 days 10/10/13 10/16/13 11 days

32 QU Test at Low Temperature System Engineer (QU) 5 days 10/17/13 10/23/13 6 days

102 CompatComplete SY Compatibility Testing Complete System Engineer (SY) 0 days 10/23/13 10/23/13 6 days

104 SystemQualCompleteSY L3 - System Qual Complete System Engineer (SY) 0 days 10/23/13 10/23/13 6 days

14 CompatComplete QU Compatibility Testing Complete 0 days 10/23/13 10/23/13 6 days

18 SystemQualCompleteQU System Qual Complete 0 days 10/23/13 10/23/13 6 days

45 QU System Qual Complete, Rev A System Engineer (QU) 0 days 10/23/13 10/23/13 6 days

Buffer 128.1 d w ith task 274

No Predecessor

SNET Constraint: Jun 29

SNET Constraint: Jun 29

Res. dep. of Design, Buffer 7 d w ith assignment Design on task 328

FNET Constraint: Jul 14

Weekend on calendar 'Standard'

Res. dep. of Verification

Buffer 14 d w ith assignment Verification on task 770

Buffer 15 eh with task 911

Elapsed duration on pred. task 910

Res. dep. of IP

Weekend on calendar 'Standard'

Res. dep. of Resource5

Res. dep. of Resource5

Weekend on calendar 'Standard', Res. dep. of System Engineer (QU)

Weekend on calendar 'Standard', Res. dep. of System Engineer (QU)

Weekend on calendar 'Standard', Res. dep. of System Engineer (QU)

Weekend on calendar 'Standard', Res. dep. of System Engineer (QU)

Weekend on calendar 'Standard', Res. dep. of System Engineer (QU)

Weekend on calendar 'Standard', Res. dep. of System Engineer (QU)

Weekend on calendar 'Standard', Res. dep. of System Engineer (QU)

Weekend on calendar 'Standard', Res. dep. of System Engineer (QU)

Weekend on calendar 'Standard', Res. dep. of System Engineer (QU)

S T M F T S W S T M F T S W S T M F T S W S T M F T S W S T M F T S W SAug 7, '11 Oct 30, '11 Jan 22, '12 Apr 15, '12 Jul 8, '12 Sep 30, '12 Dec 23, '12 Mar 17, '13 Jun 9, '13 Sep 1, '13 Nov 24, '13 Feb 16, '14 May 11, '14 Aug 3, '14 Oct 26, '14 Jan 18, '15 Apr 12, '15

IMS Critical Path into Next Major MilestoneWorkload-Leveled

IMS Critical Path into Next Major MilestoneWorkload-Leveled

Page 24: Сложная программа проектов: сроки, риски, мотивация менеджеров проектов

Critical Path Handoffs (PPMS)Critical Path Handoffs (PPMS)ID Handoff Codes Name Schedule Code Resource Names Duration Start Early Finish

681 Place and Route and Final Timing closure AS PD 10 days 12/25/12 1/7/13

698 BIST Verif ication, Gate AS DFT 5 days 1/3/13 1/9/13

703 Compressed / Non-compressed, 1st 10 patterns clean AS DFT 5 days 1/10/13 1/16/13

704 Final Layout Complete AS PD 0 days 1/16/13 1/16/13

705 Tapeout, Base Layers AS PD 0 days 1/16/13 1/16/13

905 GDSII into JDV AS Process 3 days 1/17/13 1/21/13

906 JDV, Base layers AS Process 3 days 1/22/13 1/24/13

907 Mask Generation, Base layer, 1st mask AS Process 7 edays 1/24/13 1/31/13

908 Minesw eeper, Metal Layers AS Process 4 edays 1/31/13 2/4/13

909 Wafer Fab, P0, FE AS Process Fab[1] 15 edays 2/4/13 2/19/13

910 Wafer Fab, P0, BE AS Process Fab[1] 15 edays 2/19/13 3/6/13

911 Shipping effort at Fab AS Process 3 days 3/7/13 3/11/13

20 WaferOutP0 Wafer Out, Rev P0 (Assumes SHL cycle time) AS Process 0 days 3/11/13 3/11/13

14 WaferOutP0 Wafer Out, P0 PK 0 days 3/11/13 3/11/13

53 Assembly PK SDSS (PK) 10 days 3/12/13 3/25/13

54 Ship to US PK Package Designer 2 days 3/26/13 3/27/13

20 EVTPartsP0Pack EVT Parts, P0 PK 0 days 3/27/13 3/27/13

55 Assembled 256 BGA Parts delivered PK 0 days 3/27/13 3/27/13

832 EVTPartsP0Pack Ship P0 AS Pkg Ship [0.1],Pkg 1 day 3/28/13 3/28/13

833 Test (No testing for EVT parts) AS PE 0 days 3/28/13 3/28/13

834 EVT (Blind Build) Parts available AS PE 0 days 3/28/13 3/28/13

947 Parts for Fast Chaz AS Test (ASIC) 0 days 3/28/13 3/28/13

949 Ship Parts to SDIL for IP validation AS PE 2 days 3/29/13 4/1/13

950 Fast Chaz AS PLM SD 10 days 4/2/13 4/15/13

951 SDIL Fast Chaz completed AS PLM SD 0 days 4/15/13 4/15/13

971 Fast Chaz completed AS Characterization 0 days 4/15/13 4/15/13

973 Design Updates AS IP 2 w ks 4/16/13 4/29/13

744 Generate Split Hex File / Translate ROM Memory / IP QA AS IP 0.5 days 4/30/13 4/30/13

745 Translate ROM Memory AS IP 0.5 days 4/30/13 4/30/13

746 Layout w ith ROM change and ECOs AS PD 4 days 5/1/13 5/6/13

747 Review DRC and Generate POS AS PD 1 day 5/7/13 5/7/13

748 Metal Layer Tapeout AS PD 0 days 5/7/13 5/7/13

736 BIST / ROM signature regeneration AS DFT[50%] 2 days 5/8/13 5/9/13

737 Scan pattern generation and re-simulation AS DFT[50%] 5 days 5/8/13 5/14/13

796 Start Rev A test vector effort AS Verif ication 5 days 5/8/13 5/14/13

754 BIST Final test vector and LVDB generation AS DFT 3 days 5/10/13 5/14/13

753 Scan, Full set of test vector generation / simulation AS DFT 15 days 5/15/13 6/4/13

797 Develop J750 Test Vectors AS Verif ication 15 days 5/15/13 6/4/13

798 Special Functional Vectors AS Verif ication 15 days 5/15/13 6/4/13

799 DFT Vectors completed (milestone) AS DFT 0 days 6/4/13 6/4/13

801 Test Program release effort for EVT, release A AS Test (ASIC) 15 days 6/5/13 6/25/13

802 Test Vectors Released, Final Test AS Test (ASIC) 0 days 6/25/13 6/25/13

877 Test AS PE[50%] 3 days 6/26/13 6/28/13

67 DVTPartsA Rev A DVT Parts AS Test (ASIC) 0 days 6/28/13 6/28/13

878 P1 DVT Parts available AS PE 0 days 6/28/13 6/28/13

12 DVTPartsA DVT Parts, Rev A FW 0 days 6/28/13 6/28/13

140 Unit Test FW Resource5 2 days 7/1/13 7/2/13

147 Read ID FW Resource5 2 days 7/3/13 7/4/13

148 Read Device Parameters FW Resource5 2 days 7/5/13 7/8/13

Res. dep. of DFT with task 698

Buffer 15 eh with task 911

Elapsed duration on pred. task 910

Res. dep. of IP with task 973

Res. dep. of DFT with task 754

Weekend on calendar 'Standard'

Res. dep. of Resource5 with task 147

T M F T S W S T M F T S W S T M F T S W S T M F T S W S T M FOct 2, '11 Nov 27, '11 Jan 22, '12 Mar 18, '12 May 13, '12 Jul 8, '12 Sep 2, '12 Oct 28, '12 Dec 23, '12 Feb 17, '13 Apr 14, '13 Jun 9, '13 Aug 4, '13 Sep 29, '13 Nov 24, '13

Page 25: Сложная программа проектов: сроки, риски, мотивация менеджеров проектов

Critical Handoff MilestonesCritical Handoff Milestones

65 handoffs, but only 4 critical handoffs:

Page 26: Сложная программа проектов: сроки, риски, мотивация менеджеров проектов

Critical Path End DateCritical Path End Date

ID Handoff Codes Name Schedule Code Resource Names Duration Start Early Finish

149 Get Debug Data FW Resource5 2 days 7/9/13 7/10/13

177 Bench Test FW Resource12 3 days 7/11/13 7/15/13

178 Unit Test (Get config commands) FW Resource12 2 days 7/16/13 7/17/13

25 FWRelease FW Release, System FW 0 days 7/17/13 7/17/13

11FWRelease FW Release, System QU 0 days 7/17/13 7/17/13

29 Dow n Load Code QU System Engineer (QU) 2 days 7/18/13 7/19/13

38 Test w ith Supply #1 Host QU System Engineer (QU) 5 days 7/22/13 7/26/13

39 Test w ith Supply #2 Host QU System Engineer (QU) 5 days 7/29/13 8/2/13

30 Test at Room Temperature QU System Engineer (QU) 5 days 8/5/13 8/9/13

31 Test at High Temperature QU System Engineer (QU) 5 days 8/12/13 8/16/13

32 Test at Low Temperature QU System Engineer (QU) 5 days 8/19/13 8/23/13

40 Test w ith Supply #3 Host QU System Engineer (QU) 5 days 8/26/13 8/30/13

41 Test w ith Supply #4 Host QU System Engineer (QU) 5 days 9/2/13 9/6/13

42 Test w ith Supply #5 Host QU System Engineer (QU) 5 days 9/9/13 9/13/13

43 Test w ith Supply #6 Host QU System Engineer (QU) 5 days 9/16/13 9/20/13

18 SystemQualComplete System Qual Complete QU 0 days 9/20/13 9/20/13

44 Compatibility Testing Complete QU System Engineer (QU) 0 days 9/20/13 9/20/13

45 System Qual Complete, Rev A QU System Engineer (QU) 0 days 9/20/13 9/20/13

Res. dep. of Resource5 with task 148

Weekend on calendar 'Standard', Res. dep. of System Engineer (QU) with task 29

Weekend on calendar 'Standard', Res. dep. of System Engineer (QU) with task 38

Weekend on calendar 'Standard', Res. dep. of System Engineer (QU) with task 39

Weekend on calendar 'Standard', Res. dep. of System Engineer (QU) with task 30

Weekend on calendar 'Standard', Res. dep. of System Engineer (QU) with task 31

Weekend on calendar 'Standard', Res. dep. of System Engineer (QU) with task 32

Weekend on calendar 'Standard', Res. dep. of System Engineer (QU) with task 40

Weekend on calendar 'Standard', Res. dep. of System Engineer (QU) with task 41

Weekend on calendar 'Standard', Res. dep. of System Engineer (QU) with task 42

T M F T S W S T M F T S W S T M F T S W S T M F T S W S T M FOct 2, '11 Nov 27, '11 Jan 22, '12 Mar 18, '12 May 13, '12 Jul 8, '12 Sep 2, '12 Oct 28, '12 Dec 23, '12 Feb 17, '13 Apr 14, '13 Jun 9, '13 Aug 4, '13 Sep 29, '13 Nov 24, '13

Accumulated Leveling Delay = 72

days !!

Name Pre-leveled Finish

Post-leveledFinish

System Qual Complete, Rev. A 10 Jul 13 20 Sep 13

Page 27: Сложная программа проектов: сроки, риски, мотивация менеджеров проектов

Critical Path Analysis Critical Path Analysis

MS Project 1 CCP 2

Unleveled Critical Path Yes Yes

Workload-Leveled Critical Path

No Yes

Elapsed durations (ed) No Yes

Multiple Calendars No Yes

Logical Dependencies Yes Yes

Resource Dependencies No Yes

Most-Critical Path No Yes

Longest-Path No Yes1 Critical Path 1.0 compliant2 Critical Path 2.0 compliant

Page 28: Сложная программа проектов: сроки, риски, мотивация менеджеров проектов

Tools UsedTools Used

Tool Supplier

Microsoft Project 2010 Microsoft Corp.

PPMS – to Link & Unlink schedules

ProjectPro Corp.

CCP – for Critical Path analysis ProjectPro Corp.

Monte Carlo Simulation Al Rusnak

© ProjectPro Corp.

Page 29: Сложная программа проектов: сроки, риски, мотивация менеджеров проектов

Roadmap for the Pilot ProgramRoadmap for the Pilot Program

Forecast Scheduling and Forecasting Programs training

Review schedules to make sure guidelines are followed

ProjectPro provides software licenses: – ProjectPro Program Management Solution (PPMS)– Complete Critical Paths (CCP)

Create the Integrated Master Schedule (IMS) Identify/optimize Critical Path of next major

milestones Do this for four consecutive weeks (=CSF) Support from ProjectPro during the entire

program© ProjectPro Corp.

Page 30: Сложная программа проектов: сроки, риски, мотивация менеджеров проектов

Program Schedule ProcessProgram Schedule Process

1. Generate Project Schedules

2. Add handoff Milestones and Codes

3. Update Project Schedules and submit to

repository

4. Integrate Project Schedules to Program

(PPMS)

5. Find Resource-Critical Path and Optimize

(CCP)

6. Des-integrate: standalone Project Schedules

(PPMS)

7. Update Handoff Milestone Dates

© ProjectPro Corp.

Page 31: Сложная программа проектов: сроки, риски, мотивация менеджеров проектов

Determining the High-Confidence Date for the ProgramDetermining the High-Confidence Date for the Program

Task Duration Estimates:– 50% Confidence durations– 90% Confidence durations

MS Project Forecasts Finish Date (FF)– Based on 50% confidence durations

High-Confidence Forecast Finish Date (HCFF)– Including 90% confidence durations in Monte Carlo

simulation– HCFF - FF = Program Buffer

Only 1 buffer = Program Buffer

Page 32: Сложная программа проектов: сроки, риски, мотивация менеджеров проектов

Bin Frequency Cumulative %

10/25/13 0 0.00%10/29/13 2 0.20%11/02/13 1 0.30%11/06/13 1 0.40%11/10/13 4 0.80%11/14/13 9 1.70%11/18/13 7 2.40%11/22/13 35 5.90%11/26/13 26 8.50%11/30/13 61 14.60%12/04/13 48 19.40%12/08/13 76 27.00%12/12/13 72 34.20%12/16/13 59 40.10%12/20/13 136 53.70%12/24/13 65 60.20%12/28/13 129 73.10%01/01/14 58 78.90%01/05/14 59 84.80%01/09/14 50 89.80%01/13/14 25 92.30%01/17/14 34 95.70%01/21/14 14 97.10%01/25/14 12 98.30%01/29/14 3 98.60%02/02/14 4 99.00%02/06/14 4 99.40%02/10/14 0 99.40%02/14/14 2 99.60%02/18/14 2 99.80%02/22/14 0 99.80%02/26/14 0 99.80%03/02/14 1 99.90%03/06/14 0 99.90%03/10/14 0 99.90%03/14/14 0 99.90%03/18/14 0 99.90%03/22/14 1 100.00%03/26/14 0 100.00%03/30/14 0 100.00%

More 0 100.00%

Time Simulation Results: Statistical Analysis - Resource leveledTime Simulation Results: Statistical Analysis - Resource leveled

25166445 System Qual Complete, Rev A

Mean 12/19/13

Standard Error .5496

Median 12/19/13

Mode 01/06/14

Standard Deviation 17.3814

Sample Variance 302.1142

Kurtosis .9349

Skewness 0.273146532

Range 145.3097222

Minimum 10/25/13

Maximum 03/19/14

Sum 41627042.5

Count 1000

Largest(1) 03/19/14

Smallest(1) 10/25/13

Confidence Level(95.0%) 1.0786

Page 33: Сложная программа проектов: сроки, риски, мотивация менеджеров проектов

Time Simulation Results:Frequency and Cumulative HistogramTime Simulation Results:Frequency and Cumulative Histogram

Page 34: Сложная программа проектов: сроки, риски, мотивация менеджеров проектов

System Qual Complete, Rev. A

Unleveled, forecast: 10 Jul 2013 Leveled, forecast: 20 Sep 2013 High Confidence: 09 Jan 2014

Program Duration: 542 Calendar Days Leveling Delay: +72 Calendar Days Program Buffer: +85 Work Days

Critical Handoffs 4 out of 65

Time Simulation Results – OverviewProof of Concept SchedulesTime Simulation Results – OverviewProof of Concept Schedules

Page 35: Сложная программа проектов: сроки, риски, мотивация менеджеров проектов

Differences between Single Project Schedule and Subproject Schedule (that is part of IMS)Differences between Single Project Schedule and Subproject Schedule (that is part of IMS)

© ProjectPro Corp.

Single Project Subproject

• Complete Network Logic

• (Often) one Critical Path

• No external dependencies

• Multiple ending points in

network

• Multiple Critical Paths

• Many external dependencies

---

Page 36: Сложная программа проектов: сроки, риски, мотивация менеджеров проектов

Differences Single Project versus IMS scheduleDifferences Single Project versus IMS schedule

Single Project Integrated Master Schedule (IMS)

Network logic

Project schedule has one ending point in its network logic

Subproject schedules have multiple ending points, but IMS has one.

Cross-project dependencies

None Many

Critical Paths of interest

One Multiple, often ten or more

Critical activities

Each schedule has critical activities

Some subproject schedules have program-critical activities, others have none

Resource dependencies

FewMany (for product-development programs in first-to-market companies)

© ProjectPro Corp.

Page 37: Сложная программа проектов: сроки, риски, мотивация менеджеров проектов

Situations and the Tools You NeedSituations and the Tools You Need

Single, Isolated Project

Master with Subprojects

No Resources Critical Path 1.0/2.0MS ProjectCCP recommended

Critical Path 1.0/2.0MS Project + PPMS + CCP

Resources & Workload-leveled

Critical Path 2.0MS Project + CCP

Critical Path 2.0MS Project + PPMS + CCP

© ProjectPro Corp.

CCP = Complete Critical Paths from ProjectProCorp.comPPMS = ProjectPro Program Management Solution from

ProjectProCorp.com

Page 38: Сложная программа проектов: сроки, риски, мотивация менеджеров проектов

Program Forecast Report: Buffer ConsumptionProgram Forecast Report: Buffer Consumption

© ProjectPro Corp.

Page 39: Сложная программа проектов: сроки, риски, мотивация менеджеров проектов

Key Benefits of This Approach for SanDiskKey Benefits of This Approach for SanDisk

Provides complete Critical Paths in workload-leveled programs:– Real visibility on the dynamics in the program– Shows the criticality of the resources (functions)

Allows to optimize resource needs and allocations

Allows to recover from slippages (what-if scenarios!)

Keeps all schedules standalone: – schedules open fast, working offline, easy updating

Allows project-specific resource pools or shared pool

Provides high-confidence forecasts for product release dates © ProjectPro Corp.

Page 40: Сложная программа проектов: сроки, риски, мотивация менеджеров проектов

Integrated Master Schedule: SummaryIntegrated Master Schedule: Summary

Multiple subproject files can be linked The real Resource-Critical Path can be

identified Schedule delays can be decreased or

resolved A 90%-probable commit-date can be

calculated at the program level The program can be forecasted

continuously!

© ProjectPro Corp.

Page 41: Сложная программа проектов: сроки, риски, мотивация менеджеров проектов

Our RecommendationsOur Recommendations

1. Achieve agreement among stakeholders on when program is considered “in control.”

2. The more subproject schedules, the better3. Protect unity of data at all cost!4. Address differences in scheduling styles 5. Create autonomous subproject teams6. Make resource names unique across the program7. Use generic resources first to optimize the

program as a whole (Time-to-Market!)8. Use Critical Path 2.0 and compliant tools (CCP +

PPMS)!9. Standardize the WBS for sub schedules (see next

slide)© ProjectPro Corp.

Page 42: Сложная программа проектов: сроки, риски, мотивация менеджеров проектов

Standardized Levels of the WBSStandardized Levels of the WBS

Level 0 – Subprojects (=major component)– Nouns (without verbs): e.g., ASIC, Firmware, Parts, Test

Software, Reliability, Tested Parts Level 1 – Subcomponents

– Nouns (without verbs): e.g., for ASIC:  Subsystems, Top Design

Level 2 – Function– Nouns (without verbs): e.g., for ASIC:  Logic Design,

Physical Design, FPGA Design, Documentation, Verification, Test Preparation, Package, Foundry, and Design Validation

Level 3 – Tangible Deliverables– Nouns (without verbs): e.g., for ASIC:  Preliminary, Trial

and Final RTL; Preliminary, Trial and Final Synthesis and Layout; RTL, Gate Level Verification and multiple FPGA releases.

Lowest Level – Activities – Use verbs (present/imperative tense)

© ProjectPro Corp.