zhu xufeng: low carbon cooperation and global leadership
DESCRIPTION
ZHU Xufeng, Associate Professor, NanKai University. Presentation to the UK-China Innovation Workshop for Sustainable and Equitable Development, Tsinghua University, 19 March 2010, co-organised by China Institute for Science and Technology Policy (CISTP) at Tsinghua University and the STEPS Centre. http://anewmanifesto.org/news/china-workshop-presentationschina-workshop-presentations/TRANSCRIPT
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低碳合作与全球领袖地位低碳合作与全球领袖地位 Low Carbon Cooperation and Global Leadership
低碳合作与全球领袖地位低碳合作与全球领袖地位 Low Carbon Cooperation and Global Leadership
朱旭峰 (Xufeng Zhu)
周恩来政府管理学院南开大学
Zhou Enlai School of Governement, Nankai University
中英可持续创新发展高层国际专题研讨会 清华大学 2009 年 3 月 19 日
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中英可持续创新发展高层国际专题研讨会 清华大学 2009 年 3 月 19 日
• Zhu, Xufeng, “Emissions: taking a collaborative lead will work better,” Nature, Vol. 462, 10 December, 2009. (300 words)– This speech is an expanded and updated report for
the review.
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中英可持续创新发展高层国际专题研讨会 清华大学 2009 年 3 月 19 日
Three major players in the climate change initiatives
USAEU
(UK, FR, GER…)
BASIC (Bra, SA, IND, CHN)
The umbrella group
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中英可持续创新发展高层国际专题研讨会 清华大学 2009 年 3 月 19 日
Who is the leader in Climate initiatives
• The Bush Administration– In 2001, President Bush refused to sign on “The
Kyoto Protocol”, resulting the US lost its leadership in climate negotiations.
– The Kyoto Protocol was promoted by the EU after the US withdrawal.
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中英可持续创新发展高层国际专题研讨会 清华大学 2009 年 3 月 19 日
• “Calling for the United States to step up to a leadership role in international climate negotiations”
• (Nature Reports Climate Change 2, 127-129; 2008)
As the then Democratic presidential candidate of the US
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中英可持续创新发展高层国际专题研讨会 清华大学 2009 年 3 月 19 日
Who is the leader in Climate initiatives
• The Obama Administration– Obama’s ambition to step up the leadership role in
climate negotiations.
– The only achievement was “American Clean Energy and Security Act ” approved by the House in June, 2009.
– The Democrats lost a senator seat in Massachusetts to the G.O.P. Scott Brown, a climate skeptic. (59:41)
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中英可持续创新发展高层国际专题研讨会 清华大学 2009 年 3 月 19 日
Who is the leader in Climate initiatives
• The Obama Administration– Jan 27, Obama’s state-of-the-nation address
supports the climate legislation.
– Institutional innovation: “cap and dividend” vs. “cap and trade”
– The mid-term election late 2010 will impact the climate legislation.
– Scholars’ discussions on the feasibility of a climate framework without the US.
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中英可持续创新发展高层国际专题研讨会 清华大学 2009 年 3 月 19 日
Who is the leader in Climate initiatives
• Europe– Achievement to the commitment of the Kyoto
Protocol.
– The pilot Carbon Trade Market for years.
– Some west Europe countries, such as UK’s Pathway toward a Low Carbon Economy.
– Ambition for the leadership in initiatives in addressing climate change.
– But the Copenhagen summit disappointed the EU.
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中英可持续创新发展高层国际专题研讨会 清华大学 2009 年 3 月 19 日
A Leadership Role?
• How to define a Leadership role in addressing climate change? – Not a self-defined concept, but counts on
recognition from developing nations.
– Not just an opinion leader, but the one in actual action.
– Become global leaders of the future low-carbon economy, and have a greater influence on the world stage.
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中英可持续创新发展高层国际专题研讨会 清华大学 2009 年 3 月 19 日
Take a leadership in tech cooperation
• Benefit from the tech cooperation with developing countries– Many carbon emission reduction technologies are still at an
experimental stage. – Some countries are leading other countries in the research
and development of these technologies. – They need to expand the scope of the experiments to test
the feasibility of commercial use of these technologies. – Construction and markets in developing nations.– Tech cooperation offers a good opportunity for developed
countries to apply their newly developed technologies to be “dominant designs”.
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中英可持续创新发展高层国际专题研讨会 清华大学 2009 年 3 月 19 日
Take a leadership in tech cooperation
– Tech cooperation is usually regarded good for developing countries.
– In the long run, tech cooperation with developing countries is helpful for developed countries to obtain their leaderships in the climate change realm
– The industrialized country that technically cooperates best with developing nations will spread their technologies toward the world.
– Retain the leadership in the world technologically, economically, and politically.
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中英可持续创新发展高层国际专题研讨会 清华大学 2009 年 3 月 19 日
Conclusion• Major developing nations are players in the climate
initiatives but do not intend to be leaders.
• Major developing nations can help developed countries to step up the global leadership.
• Europe have practiced tech cooperation with developing countries for years, providing the foundation for the future cooperation.
• Europe can obtain a global leadership role in the future’s low carbon economy.
• Europe, are you ready?
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中英可持续创新发展高层国际专题研讨会 清华大学 2009 年 3 月 19 日
Thanks for your Thanks for your attentionattention