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Page 1: Xu Yuan The Chinese University of Hong Kong August 21 ...weather.cityu.edu.hk/SEE/WS-Sustain/YuanXU.pdf · Hotness in shopping malls is more likely to chase away shoppers than coldness,

1

Xu Yuan The Chinese University of Hong Kong

August 21, 2017

@ CityU

Page 2: Xu Yuan The Chinese University of Hong Kong August 21 ...weather.cityu.edu.hk/SEE/WS-Sustain/YuanXU.pdf · Hotness in shopping malls is more likely to chase away shoppers than coldness,

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Energy efficiency gap

Page 3: Xu Yuan The Chinese University of Hong Kong August 21 ...weather.cityu.edu.hk/SEE/WS-Sustain/YuanXU.pdf · Hotness in shopping malls is more likely to chase away shoppers than coldness,

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Research question

Are over-cooling and light pollution in Hong Kong’s shopping malls out of rational energy management decisions?

Page 4: Xu Yuan The Chinese University of Hong Kong August 21 ...weather.cityu.edu.hk/SEE/WS-Sustain/YuanXU.pdf · Hotness in shopping malls is more likely to chase away shoppers than coldness,

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Energy consumption in Hong Kong

0

500

1 000

1 500

2 000

2 500

3 000

Jan-70 Jan-75 Jan-80 Jan-85 Jan-90 Jan-95 Jan-00 Jan-05 Jan-10 Jan-15

Mon

thly

ele

ctric

ity c

onsu

mpt

ion

(mill

ion

kWh)

Time

ResidentialCommercialIndustrial

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

140%

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Aver

age

tem

pera

ture

(℃)

Elec

tric

ity co

nsum

ptio

n (%

of m

onth

ly a

vera

ge)

Month

Electricity consumption

Average temperature

1981-2010

Source: Electrical & Mechanical Services Department, 2017; Hong Kong Observatory, 2012; Census and Statistics Department, 2013

Page 5: Xu Yuan The Chinese University of Hong Kong August 21 ...weather.cityu.edu.hk/SEE/WS-Sustain/YuanXU.pdf · Hotness in shopping malls is more likely to chase away shoppers than coldness,

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① 25.5℃ thermostat setting ② Earth Hour ③ De-lamp (indoor lighting reduction) ④ Voluntary Charter Scheme on external

lighting reduction

Voluntary energy conservation agreements

Page 6: Xu Yuan The Chinese University of Hong Kong August 21 ...weather.cityu.edu.hk/SEE/WS-Sustain/YuanXU.pdf · Hotness in shopping malls is more likely to chase away shoppers than coldness,

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Economic theory on crime and punishment Expected costs Expected benefits

Theoretical framework

Page 7: Xu Yuan The Chinese University of Hong Kong August 21 ...weather.cityu.edu.hk/SEE/WS-Sustain/YuanXU.pdf · Hotness in shopping malls is more likely to chase away shoppers than coldness,

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Behavioral response to thermal comfort

Source: Hwang, R. L., Lin, T. P., & Kuo, N. J., 2006.

Page 8: Xu Yuan The Chinese University of Hong Kong August 21 ...weather.cityu.edu.hk/SEE/WS-Sustain/YuanXU.pdf · Hotness in shopping malls is more likely to chase away shoppers than coldness,

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Dates: from 29 June to 16 August 2015, for every other week from Monday to Thursday and from Saturday to Sunday

Time: between 2:00pm and 7:00pm, with a one-hour break from 4:00pm to 5:00pm

People approached: 4029 Number of samples: 1868 Response rate: 46.4%

Formal survey

Page 9: Xu Yuan The Chinese University of Hong Kong August 21 ...weather.cityu.edu.hk/SEE/WS-Sustain/YuanXU.pdf · Hotness in shopping malls is more likely to chase away shoppers than coldness,

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Selected shopping malls 1. Pacific Place (HK) 2. Harbour City (Kowloon) 3. Festival Walk (Kowloon) 4. New Town Plaza (NT) 5. Uptown Plaza (NT) 6. New Jade Shopping Arcade (HK) 7. Wong Tai Sin Plaza (Kowloon)

Shopping malls

High-end malls

Low-end malls

Page 10: Xu Yuan The Chinese University of Hong Kong August 21 ...weather.cityu.edu.hk/SEE/WS-Sustain/YuanXU.pdf · Hotness in shopping malls is more likely to chase away shoppers than coldness,

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Basic information on samples

Page 11: Xu Yuan The Chinese University of Hong Kong August 21 ...weather.cityu.edu.hk/SEE/WS-Sustain/YuanXU.pdf · Hotness in shopping malls is more likely to chase away shoppers than coldness,

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Income category of local visitors

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Uptown Plaza

New Town Plaza

Wong Tai Sin Plaza

Harbour City

New Jade Shopping Arcade

Pacific Place

Festival Walk

Hong Kong Population

>$60000$30000-$60000<$30000

Page 12: Xu Yuan The Chinese University of Hong Kong August 21 ...weather.cityu.edu.hk/SEE/WS-Sustain/YuanXU.pdf · Hotness in shopping malls is more likely to chase away shoppers than coldness,

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Origins of tourists

Tourists over June-August 2015: 14.9 million in total, 11.7 million (79%) from Mainland China,

6.9 million (46%) overnight visitors Source: HKTB, 2015

Page 13: Xu Yuan The Chinese University of Hong Kong August 21 ...weather.cityu.edu.hk/SEE/WS-Sustain/YuanXU.pdf · Hotness in shopping malls is more likely to chase away shoppers than coldness,

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EXPLAINING COMPLIANCE DECISIONS

Page 14: Xu Yuan The Chinese University of Hong Kong August 21 ...weather.cityu.edu.hk/SEE/WS-Sustain/YuanXU.pdf · Hotness in shopping malls is more likely to chase away shoppers than coldness,

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Thermal sensation and satisfaction toward thermal condition

Page 15: Xu Yuan The Chinese University of Hong Kong August 21 ...weather.cityu.edu.hk/SEE/WS-Sustain/YuanXU.pdf · Hotness in shopping malls is more likely to chase away shoppers than coldness,

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Reaction to coldness and hotness

Page 16: Xu Yuan The Chinese University of Hong Kong August 21 ...weather.cityu.edu.hk/SEE/WS-Sustain/YuanXU.pdf · Hotness in shopping malls is more likely to chase away shoppers than coldness,

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Response to internal lighting

Page 17: Xu Yuan The Chinese University of Hong Kong August 21 ...weather.cityu.edu.hk/SEE/WS-Sustain/YuanXU.pdf · Hotness in shopping malls is more likely to chase away shoppers than coldness,

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The advertisement effect of external lighting

Page 18: Xu Yuan The Chinese University of Hong Kong August 21 ...weather.cityu.edu.hk/SEE/WS-Sustain/YuanXU.pdf · Hotness in shopping malls is more likely to chase away shoppers than coldness,

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0.0%5.0%

10.0%15.0%20.0%25.0%30.0%35.0%40.0%45.0%50.0%

Verydifficult

Difficult Average Easy Very easy

Easiness of information acquisition on the mall’s participation in the agreements

[25.5℃]

[De-lamp]

[Earth Hour]

[Voluntary CharterScheme]

Probability of confirming non-compliance

Page 19: Xu Yuan The Chinese University of Hong Kong August 21 ...weather.cityu.edu.hk/SEE/WS-Sustain/YuanXU.pdf · Hotness in shopping malls is more likely to chase away shoppers than coldness,

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0.00%10.00%20.00%30.00%40.00%50.00%60.00%70.00%80.00%90.00%

100.00%

Morerevisits

No impact Fewerrevisits

No morerevisit

Potential penalty of non-compliance

[25.5℃]

[De-lamp]

[Earth Hour]

[Voluntary CharterScheme]

Voluntary penalty on non-compliance

Page 20: Xu Yuan The Chinese University of Hong Kong August 21 ...weather.cityu.edu.hk/SEE/WS-Sustain/YuanXU.pdf · Hotness in shopping malls is more likely to chase away shoppers than coldness,

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Hotness in shopping malls is more likely to chase away shoppers than coldness, while unsatisfactory lighting conditions are unlikely to chase away mall shoppers. Advertising effects of outdoor lighting are positive and significant on tourists.

Green preference is weak in mall selection and public surveillance is lacked.

Over-cooling and light pollution are indeed out of largely rational energy management decisions.

Conclusion

Variables 25.5 degree Earth Hour External light De-lamp Cost of compliance High Low High Low

Monitoring effectiveness

Low Low Low Low

Voluntary penalty Low Low Low Low

Page 21: Xu Yuan The Chinese University of Hong Kong August 21 ...weather.cityu.edu.hk/SEE/WS-Sustain/YuanXU.pdf · Hotness in shopping malls is more likely to chase away shoppers than coldness,

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Funding for this research was provided by the Hong Kong Central Policy Unit through the Public Policy Research Funding Scheme 2015-16 (2014.A4.004.15A).

Publications: Kwok, T. F., Y. Xu, P. T. Wong, 2017. Complying with

Voluntary Energy Conservation Agreements (II): Lighting in Hong Kong's Shopping Malls. Resources, Conservation and Recycling. 117: 225-234.

Kwok, T. F., Y. Xu, P. T. Wong, 2017. Complying with Voluntary Energy Conservation Agreements (I): Air Conditioning in Hong Kong's Shopping Malls. Resources, Conservation and Recycling. 117: 213-224.

Acknowledgement