WP4WP4“Integration to European “Integration to European global/regional global/regional forecasting capacity”forecasting capacity”

P.Bahurel - Mercator OceanP.Bahurel - Mercator Ocean

ECOOP Consensus MeetingECOOP Consensus MeetingErdemli, 16-17 March 2005Erdemli, 16-17 March 2005

EC

OO

P M

eeti

ng –

WP

4 –

P.B

ahure

l

WP4: MotivationWP4: Motivation

set upset up an an integrated strategy integrated strategy between between ““open oceanopen ocean” and “” and “coastalcoastal” operational ” operational oceanography : show it is oceanography : show it is feasiblefeasible, and , and worth doingworth doing

ensure full ensure full connectionconnection and integration of and integration of the the regional/coastalregional/coastal seas forecasting seas forecasting capacity considered in capacity considered in ECOOPECOOP to the to the global/regionalglobal/regional capacity, existing or capacity, existing or developed under GMES projects such as developed under GMES projects such as MERSEAMERSEA

EC

OO

P M

eeti

ng –

WP

4 –

P.B

ahure

l

WP4: ObjectivesWP4: Objectives

1.1. demonstratedemonstrate – both on scientific and – both on scientific and operational sides – our capacity to ensure operational sides – our capacity to ensure full full downscalingdownscaling from open ocean to from open ocean to shelf/coastal areas, shelf/coastal areas,

2.2. buildbuild through practical examples through practical examples reference areasreference areas of successful coupling of successful coupling between global/regional operational between global/regional operational forecasting systems and regional/coastal forecasting systems and regional/coastal forecasting systemsforecasting systems

3.3. showshow how coastal how coastal applicationapplication fields fields (coastal pollution, HAB monitoring, etc) (coastal pollution, HAB monitoring, etc) could could benefitbenefit from an efficient connection from an efficient connection between these different systems.between these different systems.

EC

OO

P M

eeti

ng –

WP

4 –

P.B

ahure

l

WP4: Main WP4: Main DeliverablesDeliverables Practical and successful examplesPractical and successful examples of of

implementation of the MERSEA / ECOOP implementation of the MERSEA / ECOOP joint vision for Integrated Coastal joint vision for Integrated Coastal OceanographyOceanography– For the For the UsersUsers (to raise / develop interest in “our” (to raise / develop interest in “our”

operational oceanography)operational oceanography)– For the Supporting For the Supporting AgenciesAgencies (for further projects) (for further projects)

Well Well assessed methodologies and toolsassessed methodologies and tools to ensure downscaling / coupling to ensure downscaling / coupling between open sea and coastal systemsbetween open sea and coastal systems– For development For development teamsteams (for further developments) (for further developments)

EC

OO

P M

eeti

ng –

WP

4 –

P.B

ahure

l

WP4: WP4: Approach/StrategyApproach/Strategy put Application needs first : put Application needs first : Algae Bloom, Oil Spill, Sea Algae Bloom, Oil Spill, Sea

Level Level – not considered if not connected tonot considered if not connected to

select a select a limited numberlimited number of areas, where global ocean of areas, where global ocean meets european shelf and coastal seasmeets european shelf and coastal seas– see criteria next slide see criteria next slide

start from start from pre-existingpre-existing systems and systems and improve through improve through integration :integration : integration of systems, integration of integration of systems, integration of Research inputsResearch inputs– 2-way connection with e.g. WP102-way connection with e.g. WP10

run run end-to-endend-to-end experiments experiments, starting from the open , starting from the open ocean information to reach coastal practical ocean information to reach coastal practical applications and end-users (e.g. HAB alert), with applications and end-users (e.g. HAB alert), with involvement of coastal models, local observations, involvement of coastal models, local observations, downscaling tools ; show downscaling tools ; show sustainablesustainable examples examples– Involve operational agencies Involve operational agencies

EC

OO

P M

eeti

ng –

WP

4 –

P.B

ahure

l

WP4: Criteria for the WP4: Criteria for the selection of Pilot Areasselection of Pilot AreasECOOP Pilot Areas are:ECOOP Pilot Areas are:

1.1. on on coastal coastal areas, but influenced by the areas, but influenced by the open ocean (open ocean (downscalingdownscaling required) required)

2.2. with a with a pre-existing effortpre-existing effort already covered by a long series of already covered by a long series of

observationsobservations already covered by a first version of a coastal already covered by a first version of a coastal

monitoring and forecasting system (with at monitoring and forecasting system (with at least a least a modellingmodelling capacity) capacity)

3.3. of interest for targetted coastal of interest for targetted coastal applicationsapplications (at least one) (at least one) oil drift, sea level, algae bloom, ...oil drift, sea level, algae bloom, ... with a first version of the application with a first version of the application tooltool ready ready

BOOS –BalticMERSEA Baltic

NOOS - North West shelfMERSEA NW Shelves

MedGOOS – MOONMERSEA Med Sea

Black Sea GOOS

IBIS EuroGOOSMERSEA Global

Regional OOSMERSEA areas

opened on deep ocean

open ocean

& shelf

EuroGOOS regions

EC

OO

P M

eeti

ng –

WP

4 –

P.B

ahure

l

WP4: Targeted areas WP4: Targeted areas (tbd)(tbd)IBIS EuroGOOS region (Atlantic IBIS EuroGOOS region (Atlantic

shelves) shelves) AreasAreas

– South: South: IberianIberian Shelf Shelf– East: Gulf of East: Gulf of BiscayBiscay– North: South North: South IrishIrish Shelf Shelf

ApplicationApplication– Oil Spill (post-Prestige effort, ...)Oil Spill (post-Prestige effort, ...)– Algae bloom (HABIT consortium, ...)Algae bloom (HABIT consortium, ...)– Sea Level (met agencies, ...)Sea Level (met agencies, ...)

EC

OO

P M

eeti

ng –

WP

4 –

P.B

ahure

l 12

3

IBIS EuroGOOSMERSEA Global

IberianShelf

Bay of Biscay

Irish shelf

Algae BloomOil Spill

Sea Level

EC

OO

P M

eeti

ng –

WP

4 –

P.B

ahure

l

ExampleExample

Area: « Iberian shelf » Area: « Iberian shelf » Partners: Partners: Puertos del Estado, ICM, MeteoGalicia, IEO, IST, Puertos del Estado, ICM, MeteoGalicia, IEO, IST,

Univ. de Vigo, Météo-France, AZTI, IPIMAR, HydromodUniv. de Vigo, Météo-France, AZTI, IPIMAR, Hydromod Existing effortExisting effort: : Coastal Circulation model : MOHID model Coastal Circulation model : MOHID model

+ assimilation; operational observations ; WQ + oil + assimilation; operational observations ; WQ + oil modulesmodules

DownscalingDownscaling: Coupling with Mercator & ESEOO open sea : Coupling with Mercator & ESEOO open sea systemssystems

ApplicationsApplications : : – HABHAB (biochemical lead : IST ; (biochemical lead : IST ; K. mikimotoiK. mikimotoi , dynophisis lead: , dynophisis lead:

IEO)IEO)– Oil Spill DriftOil Spill Drift, including Prestige area (lead : Puertos), including Prestige area (lead : Puertos)– Storm surgeStorm surge (lead: Puertos) (lead: Puertos)– Downscaling to baysDownscaling to bays

Bilbao bay : model TRIMODENA, coupling, ecoogical model Bilbao bay : model TRIMODENA, coupling, ecoogical model (lead: AZTI)(lead: AZTI)

Ria de Vigo, Baixas : HAB (Dynophisis,Gymnodium Catenatum). Ria de Vigo, Baixas : HAB (Dynophisis,Gymnodium Catenatum). Modelisation : MOHID, monitoring HAB in the ria. Leader : Univ. Modelisation : MOHID, monitoring HAB in the ria. Leader : Univ. VigoVigo

Tage estuary : MOHID model + assimilation ; coupling Tage estuary : MOHID model + assimilation ; coupling Mercator/ESEOO ; HAB ; Sea Level ; Oil Spill (lead IPIMAR).Mercator/ESEOO ; HAB ; Sea Level ; Oil Spill (lead IPIMAR).

EC

OO

P M

eeti

ng –

WP

4 –

P.B

ahure

l

Bilbao Harbour Water pollution

Bay of Biscay HAB

Sea Surface Temperature : 11/2003:2/ 2004Sea Surface Temperature : 11/2003:2/ 2004

Iberian shelf Oil spill

Tagus Storm surge, HAB

Galician shelf HAB

Examples

MERSEA global /Regional system :Atlantic front

Iberian coastal system

BiscayCoastal system Irish shelf

Obs.

Water quality :HAB Water quality : HAB

Obs.Obs.

Bilbao

Rias de Vigo

Tagus

coupling

coupling

coupling

coupling

Pollution/accident:Oil spill

Water quality :HAB

Water quality :HAB

Water quality :harbour

Safety at sea:Storm surge

Obs.

Obs.

Obs.

Iroise

coupling

Safety at sea: Storm surge

Pollution:Oil Spill

Development needed:

Regional system: Regional model in physical sense (includes Gibraltar)TidesShelf/slope interaction …

Coupling : adaptation of coupling tools

Coastal systems :Diminution of layer thicknessTurbulence parametrisationAssimilation …

Development needed:

Regional system: Regional model in physical sense (includes Gibraltar)TidesShelf/slope interaction …

Coupling : adaptation of coupling tools

Coastal systems :Diminution of layer thicknessTurbulence parametrisationAssimilation …

PAN-European (format, database, availability):

To be used by the downscaling/application system :BathymetryRiver fluxesAtm. ForcingsData base (obs. + satellite) …

To be fed by the dowscaling/application system:Data files from regional systemCoupling toolsData files from coastal systems (model + obs.)Data files from local systems (model + obs.)

PAN-European (format, database, availability):

To be used by the downscaling/application system :BathymetryRiver fluxesAtm. ForcingsData base (obs. + satellite) …

To be fed by the dowscaling/application system:Data files from regional systemCoupling toolsData files from coastal systems (model + obs.)Data files from local systems (model + obs.)

Obs.

EC

OO

P M

eeti

ng –

WP

4 –

P.B

ahure

l

WP4 Core activitiesWP4 Core activities

Define and run operational Test cases for Define and run operational Test cases for application application experiments experiments (algae blooms, oil spill, sea level) in the selected (algae blooms, oil spill, sea level) in the selected areasareas– Prepared to use different versions of the « MERSEA-ECOOP » Prepared to use different versions of the « MERSEA-ECOOP »

systemssystems

Organize and improve integrationOrganize and improve integration of pre-existing systems and of pre-existing systems and build up the « build up the « MERSEA-ECOOPMERSEA-ECOOP » system in the selected areas » system in the selected areas– StrenghtenStrenghten the connection between systems, following ECOOP the connection between systems, following ECOOP

inputs inputs – Conduct a specific work on Conduct a specific work on downscaling/couplingdownscaling/coupling (application of (application of

advanced methods, considered in more details in WP10) ; advanced methods, considered in more details in WP10) ; envisage different scenarios (inline/online ; permanent or not ; envisage different scenarios (inline/online ; permanent or not ; unstructured grids vs trad. coupling ; …)unstructured grids vs trad. coupling ; …)

– AssessAssess then our capacity to get from the MERSEA system the then our capacity to get from the MERSEA system the information requested by ECOOP application end-usersinformation requested by ECOOP application end-users

Assess Assess impact on targeted applications of the different impact on targeted applications of the different scenarios ; lessons for scenarios ; lessons for sustainabilitysustainability of the MERSEA-ECOOP of the MERSEA-ECOOP offer ; lessons for offer ; lessons for exportationexportation in other areas in other areas

EC

OO

P M

eeti

ng –

WP

4 –

P.B

ahure

l

WP4: IssuesWP4: Issues

NumberNumber of areas to consider of areas to consider– Is WP4 the only place where « pilot Is WP4 the only place where « pilot

areas » are considered ?areas » are considered ?– Are WP4 criteria considered here OK ?Are WP4 criteria considered here OK ?– Consider other regionsConsider other regions

Level of « Level of « ResearchResearch » activity in  » activity in WP4WP4– e.g. downscaling activity with WP10 e.g. downscaling activity with WP10

Connection with users Connection with users