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Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria Gus Jeans Oceanalysis Mark Calverley Fugro GEOS William Jeffery Fugro NPA Chris Jackson Global Ocean Associates Vasiliy Vlasenko University of Plymouth Al Osborne Nonlinear Waves Research Corporation Oceanology International Conference 14 March 2012 NONLINEAR WAVES RESEARCH CORPORATION

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Page 1: Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria - Oceanology · PDF fileOceanology International Conference 14 March 2012 Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria Project Motivation • Prediction

Worldwide Internal Soliton CriteriaGus Jeans OceanalysisMark Calverley Fugro GEOSWilliam Jeffery Fugro NPAChris Jackson Global Ocean AssociatesVasiliy Vlasenko University of PlymouthAl Osborne Nonlinear Waves Research Corporation

Oceanology International Conference14 March 2012

NONLINEAR WAVES RESEARCH CORPORATION

Page 2: Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria - Oceanology · PDF fileOceanology International Conference 14 March 2012 Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria Project Motivation • Prediction

Oceanology International Conference 14 March 2012 Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria

Presentation Structure

Motivation

Data Sources

Project Team

NONLINEAR WAVES RESEARCH CORPORATION

Deliverables

Page 3: Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria - Oceanology · PDF fileOceanology International Conference 14 March 2012 Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria Project Motivation • Prediction

Oceanology International Conference 14 March 2012 Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria

Soliton Impact

Copyright © 2010 Fugro GEOS

Page 4: Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria - Oceanology · PDF fileOceanology International Conference 14 March 2012 Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria Project Motivation • Prediction

Oceanology International Conference 14 March 2012 Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria

Project Motivation

• Prediction

• Quantification

• Enhance soliton desk studies

• Enhance early warning system

• Clarify in-situ measurement recommendations

• Derive more information from satellite data

• Apply recent modelling advances

• OGP Metocean Brainstorming

Page 5: Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria - Oceanology · PDF fileOceanology International Conference 14 March 2012 Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria Project Motivation • Prediction

Oceanology International Conference 14 March 2012 Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria

Levels of Interest

Interest Level Development Phase Reccommended Deliverables 1 Asset Appraisal Preliminary soliton activity desk study

GIS soliton atlas and Metocean strategy 2 Seismic Exploration Soliton quantification and predictability desk study 3 Exploration Drilling

Operations Soliton quantification and predictability desk study In-situ soliton analysis Rig operability desk study

4 Engineering Design In-situ soliton analysis Soliton Design Criteria

Page 6: Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria - Oceanology · PDF fileOceanology International Conference 14 March 2012 Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria Project Motivation • Prediction

Oceanology International Conference 14 March 2012 Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria

Project Team Roles

Fugro GEOS Joint Industry Project ManagementIn-situ Measurement & Analysis

Fugro NPA Oil & Gas Satellite Database

Global Ocean Associates Internal Wave Atlas

University of Plymouth Internal Wave Modelling

Nonlinear Waves Research Soliton Theory & Analysis

Oceanalysis Analysis & Review

Page 7: Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria - Oceanology · PDF fileOceanology International Conference 14 March 2012 Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria Project Motivation • Prediction

Oceanology International Conference 14 March 2012 Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria

Fugro GEOS: Soliton Desk Study Andaman Sea

218 satellite images with 77 images subjected to detailed analysis

Propagation speed and direction calculated (1.7ms-1)

Generation zone identified

Confirmed need for a SEWS

Identified best locations for SEWS moorings

Goff et al (2008)

Page 8: Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria - Oceanology · PDF fileOceanology International Conference 14 March 2012 Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria Project Motivation • Prediction

Oceanology International Conference 14 March 2012 Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria

Fugro GEOS: Soliton Early Warning System

•Oceanor Wavescan Buoy•Iridium data transmission•TRDI 75kHz Longranger ADCP•Aanderaa DCS3900 •3 x Seabird SBE-37 CT Sensors

Thermocline

Jack Bates

Direction of soliton propagation

SEWS#1 SEWS#2

Page 9: Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria - Oceanology · PDF fileOceanology International Conference 14 March 2012 Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria Project Motivation • Prediction

Oceanology International Conference 14 March 2012 Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria

Fugro GEOS: Soliton Early Warning System

Rig tilt observed from Helideck as solitons passed through

NOTE: this was AFTER appropriate action taken

Did the SEWS avoid the previous fate -pushed off location up to 189m and a broken drill string?

Page 10: Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria - Oceanology · PDF fileOceanology International Conference 14 March 2012 Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria Project Motivation • Prediction

Oceanology International Conference 14 March 2012 Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria

Fugro GEOS: Soliton Analysis

0 m

250 m

-12 -10 -8 -6 -4 -2 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 (Hours)Current Velocity (m/s)

Northward Velocity (m/s)

Eastward Velocity (m/s)

Solitons observed at SEWS#2

30º C

0 m

250 m

18º C

-0.6 -0.4 -0.2 0 0.2 0.4 0.6

Page 11: Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria - Oceanology · PDF fileOceanology International Conference 14 March 2012 Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria Project Motivation • Prediction

Oceanology International Conference 14 March 2012 Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria

Fugro GEOS: Soliton Analysis

50

25

0

0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2

Frequency of solitons

Peak current speed (m/s)

No. of solitons

Peak soliton current speeds were predominantly higher at SEWS#1 than at SEWS#2 due to attenuation of energy over the distance travelled from soliton generation zone.

SEWS#1SEWS#2

Page 12: Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria - Oceanology · PDF fileOceanology International Conference 14 March 2012 Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria Project Motivation • Prediction

Oceanology International Conference 14 March 2012 Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria

Fugro GEOS: Soliton Analysis

2.0 m

0 mNovember December January February

Occurrence and magnitude of solitons relative to tide

Peak current speed (m/s)

Maximum soliton speed

Tidal range

1.0 ms-1

0 ms-1

SEWS#1SEWS#2

The number of solitons at SEWS#1 peaked 2-hours after High Water with solitons occurring at SEWS#2 9-hours after High Water.

As expected, solitons were more frequent with higher magnitude around spring tides.

Page 13: Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria - Oceanology · PDF fileOceanology International Conference 14 March 2012 Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria Project Motivation • Prediction

Oceanology International Conference 14 March 2012 Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria

Fugro NPA: Global Satellite Database

Page 14: Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria - Oceanology · PDF fileOceanology International Conference 14 March 2012 Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria Project Motivation • Prediction

Oceanology International Conference 14 March 2012 Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria

Fugro NPA: Sulu Sea

Page 15: Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria - Oceanology · PDF fileOceanology International Conference 14 March 2012 Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria Project Motivation • Prediction

Oceanology International Conference 14 March 2012 Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria

Fugro NPA: South China Sea

Page 16: Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria - Oceanology · PDF fileOceanology International Conference 14 March 2012 Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria Project Motivation • Prediction

Oceanology International Conference 14 March 2012 Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria

Global Ocean Associates: The Atlas

Page 17: Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria - Oceanology · PDF fileOceanology International Conference 14 March 2012 Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria Project Motivation • Prediction

Oceanology International Conference 14 March 2012 Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria

Global Ocean Associates: New Sightings

Page 18: Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria - Oceanology · PDF fileOceanology International Conference 14 March 2012 Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria Project Motivation • Prediction

Oceanology International Conference 14 March 2012 Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria

Global Ocean Associates: Empirical Model

Page 19: Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria - Oceanology · PDF fileOceanology International Conference 14 March 2012 Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria Project Motivation • Prediction

Oceanology International Conference 14 March 2012 Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria

Global Ocean Associates: Empirical Model

Page 20: Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria - Oceanology · PDF fileOceanology International Conference 14 March 2012 Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria Project Motivation • Prediction

Oceanology International Conference 14 March 2012 Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria

University of Plymouth: A Generation Story

Jeans (1998) A Nonlinear Internal Tide on the Portuguese Shelf

Page 21: Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria - Oceanology · PDF fileOceanology International Conference 14 March 2012 Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria Project Motivation • Prediction

Oceanology International Conference 14 March 2012 Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria

Sherwin, Vlasenko, Stashchuk, Jeans and Jones (2002). Along-Slope Generation as an Explanation for Some Unusually Large Internal Tides. Deep-Sea Research I, 49, 1787-1799.

University of Plymouth: Global Generation

Page 22: Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria - Oceanology · PDF fileOceanology International Conference 14 March 2012 Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria Project Motivation • Prediction

Oceanology International Conference 14 March 2012 Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria

WISC Tier One Workflow

Modelling

Satellite

GOA

Plymouth

Fugro NPA

Literature

Participants

Fugro GEOS

GIS Atlas

Fugro NPA

Fugro GEOS

Oceanalysis

Page 23: Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria - Oceanology · PDF fileOceanology International Conference 14 March 2012 Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria Project Motivation • Prediction

Oceanology International Conference 14 March 2012 Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria

WISC Tier One

Applications:

• Asset appraisal

• Exploration planning

• Seismic exploration

• Exploration drilling

Data Sources:

• Literature review

• Satellite data screening and analysis

• Simple internal wave generation models

Page 24: Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria - Oceanology · PDF fileOceanology International Conference 14 March 2012 Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria Project Motivation • Prediction

Oceanology International Conference 14 March 2012 Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria

WISC Tier One Global Deliverables

• GIS Atlas covering offshore oil and gas regions worldwide

• Stand alone ESRI readable product and shapefiles

• Satellite image footprints showing internal wave activity

• Regions of theoretical internal wave generation potential

Page 25: Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria - Oceanology · PDF fileOceanology International Conference 14 March 2012 Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria Project Motivation • Prediction

Oceanology International Conference 14 March 2012 Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria

WISC Tier One Focus Region Deliverables

• Representative set of satellite images illustrating key characteristics

• Identification of likely generation sites and propagation directions

• Engineering focussed description of soliton activity in the region

• Summary of measured soliton current speeds*

• Soliton predictability relative to time of local high water*

• Soliton predictability relative to spring-neaps cycle*

• Assessment of seasonal trends and correlation with stratification*

• Recommended metocean strategy including sampling intervals

• A list of references used in the literature review

* if available

Page 26: Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria - Oceanology · PDF fileOceanology International Conference 14 March 2012 Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria Project Motivation • Prediction

Oceanology International Conference 14 March 2012 Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria

WISC Tier One Global Region Definition

Page 27: Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria - Oceanology · PDF fileOceanology International Conference 14 March 2012 Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria Project Motivation • Prediction

Oceanology International Conference 14 March 2012 Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria

WISC Tier Two

Applications:

• Preliminary engineering

• Engineering design

Data Sources:

• In-situ measurement

• Three dimensional non-linear, non-hydrostatic modelling

• Nonlinear Fourier Analysis

Page 28: Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria - Oceanology · PDF fileOceanology International Conference 14 March 2012 Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria Project Motivation • Prediction

Oceanology International Conference 14 March 2012 Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria

x=250 m; y=1000 m

Grid in horizontal  directions

Grid in vertical direction:z=10 m in upper 500 mz=50 m in the rest of water

x

y

MITgcm Modelling

Page 29: Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria - Oceanology · PDF fileOceanology International Conference 14 March 2012 Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria Project Motivation • Prediction

Oceanology International Conference 14 March 2012 Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria

Nonlinear Fourier Analysis

Page 30: Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria - Oceanology · PDF fileOceanology International Conference 14 March 2012 Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria Project Motivation • Prediction

Oceanology International Conference 14 March 2012 Worldwide Internal Soliton Criteria

Summary

• Solitons represent a major hazard to offshore operations

• Impact remains incompletely understood in some regions

• World class project team assembled for WISC

• Tier One to provide global summary with detail in focus regions

• Overlay literature review, satellite data and generation model in GIS

• Tier Two to consider engineering design