what does the act mean for development the orbit perspective support/eastern resources/maggie... ·...

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What does the Act mean for development The ORBIT perspective Maggie McCann (Development Director, Orbit East & South)

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Page 1: What does the Act mean for development The ORBIT perspective Support/Eastern resources/Maggie... · ORBIT – Housing Association or Developer 40,000 homes > 1,700 new homes all tenures

What does the Act mean for development

The ORBIT perspective

Maggie McCann (Development Director, Orbit East & South)

Page 2: What does the Act mean for development The ORBIT perspective Support/Eastern resources/Maggie... · ORBIT – Housing Association or Developer 40,000 homes > 1,700 new homes all tenures

ORBIT – Housing Association or Developer

40,000 homes

> 1,700 new homes all tenures in 16/17

Completing 2,000 per annum to 2020

2nd largest development pipeline

Up to 350 market sale pa

Growing PRS

Page 3: What does the Act mean for development The ORBIT perspective Support/Eastern resources/Maggie... · ORBIT – Housing Association or Developer 40,000 homes > 1,700 new homes all tenures

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09/10 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 15/16 16/17 Fcst

East Region Completions

Rent

LCHO

Market sale

Page 4: What does the Act mean for development The ORBIT perspective Support/Eastern resources/Maggie... · ORBIT – Housing Association or Developer 40,000 homes > 1,700 new homes all tenures

Overview

Starter Homes

Right to Buy

Permission in principle

“Pay to Stay”

Page 5: What does the Act mean for development The ORBIT perspective Support/Eastern resources/Maggie... · ORBIT – Housing Association or Developer 40,000 homes > 1,700 new homes all tenures

Housing and Planning Act 2016 - Starter Homes

Minimum 20% Discount ?

Applies to sites over 10 homes

Can be commuted off site

Secured by S106

Takes precedence over other

affordable

EXEMPTIONS

Viability

PRS – off site

Specialist Housing

Affordable led and Regeneration sites ?

Rural

Page 6: What does the Act mean for development The ORBIT perspective Support/Eastern resources/Maggie... · ORBIT – Housing Association or Developer 40,000 homes > 1,700 new homes all tenures

Are Starter Homes Competing with

other sale options?

Rent to Buy

Shared Ownership Shared Equity

Page 7: What does the Act mean for development The ORBIT perspective Support/Eastern resources/Maggie... · ORBIT – Housing Association or Developer 40,000 homes > 1,700 new homes all tenures

Will Starter Homes squeeze out other affordable?

Replaces other tenures in S106 (20%)

Developer builds and sells

5 -10% other affordable tenures

Reduces Orbit programme by 100 per annum (in East)

560 reduction pa nationally

Page 8: What does the Act mean for development The ORBIT perspective Support/Eastern resources/Maggie... · ORBIT – Housing Association or Developer 40,000 homes > 1,700 new homes all tenures

Starter Homes - opportunity

Can we deliver the Starter Homes

Experience of marketing and selling to similar clients

Help to differentiate the product from market sale

Developer needs the cashflow and pre-sales from RP

Why would we want to?

Economies of scale of marketing with Shared ownership?

Buy them at the right discount improve our profits – marginal

On our own market sites we will assess in same way as developers

Page 9: What does the Act mean for development The ORBIT perspective Support/Eastern resources/Maggie... · ORBIT – Housing Association or Developer 40,000 homes > 1,700 new homes all tenures

Housing Planning Act 2016 – Voluntary RTB

Sell the Home

How many?

How much for ?

When do we get reimbursed?

Build the replacement

Where?

What tenure?

Can planning help?

Page 10: What does the Act mean for development The ORBIT perspective Support/Eastern resources/Maggie... · ORBIT – Housing Association or Developer 40,000 homes > 1,700 new homes all tenures

Housing Planning Act 2016 – Voluntary RTB

ORBIT NUMBERS

3,000 existing preserved RTB

39 RTB sales in 2014/15 = £1m profit to reinvest

16,000 immediately eligible

7,000 will become eligible

TOTAL eligible discount £1.3bn

If just 5% buy

£72m discount to be reimbursed.

Page 11: What does the Act mean for development The ORBIT perspective Support/Eastern resources/Maggie... · ORBIT – Housing Association or Developer 40,000 homes > 1,700 new homes all tenures

‘Pay to Stay’

Income over £30k

Level of rents awaiting regulation

Limited households eligible

Page 12: What does the Act mean for development The ORBIT perspective Support/Eastern resources/Maggie... · ORBIT – Housing Association or Developer 40,000 homes > 1,700 new homes all tenures

Funding Impact on Development Programme

HCA prospectus

Emphasis on shared ownership

Limited Rent to Buy

How do we deliver affordable rent?

Reduced S106

Own resources

Page 13: What does the Act mean for development The ORBIT perspective Support/Eastern resources/Maggie... · ORBIT – Housing Association or Developer 40,000 homes > 1,700 new homes all tenures

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16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21

Forecast Future Programme

rent

LCHO

Market rent

PRS

TOTAL

Page 14: What does the Act mean for development The ORBIT perspective Support/Eastern resources/Maggie... · ORBIT – Housing Association or Developer 40,000 homes > 1,700 new homes all tenures

What does the Act mean for development?

It all depends…….

[email protected]