welcomereut institute annual event february 2008 shevat 5768

WelcomeReut Institute Annual Event

February 2008Shevat 5768

Vision Mission Strategy

2008-2010DevelopmentPlan

National Security

CampaignsTestimonials

2007Highlights

ISRAEL15 Campaigns

Reut Institute Annual Assessment

Shevat 5768, February 2008

3

Vision21st Century Zionism

MissionTo Sustain Significant & Substantive Impact

StrategyBe a Primary Address for Decision-Support

Get Our Model EmulatedPlace Strategists in Key Positions



4

Unique Added ValueStrategic Threats and Opportunities

Pro-bono Real-Time Strategic Decision-Support Services

Premier Strategy and Leadership Training Program



5

Our Model of Impact

Community of Decision-

Makers

Identify strategic surprises

Focused Research

Fundamental Change

‘Exit’ when the gov’t enters



6

2008-2010 Development Plan Highlights

Operational Integrity Min one additional team a year Budgetary resilience Institution building

Inputs

Top analysts / decision support. Leading Training Program in Israel. Annual IL15 Conference. Annual QOL Report. Website as Primary Resource.

Outputs

Significant contribution to IL15 Effective agent of change Model Emulated 3-5 key placements

Effects

Leading Training Program in IsraelOperational IntegrityAn additional team a yearBudgetary resilienceInstitution buildingSignificant contribution to IL15Effective agent of changeModel Emulated3-5 key placementsTop analysts / decision supportAnnual IL15 ConferenceAnnual QOL ReportWebsite as Primary Resource



7

Highlights of 2007

InstitutionBuilding

FinancialConduct

Human Capital

Impact &Media

Decision Support

Introducing ‘leapfrogging’ Upgrading National Econ Council Comparative competitive mindset Reframing poverty Annapolis Process – Not risk free Hamas Pyrrhic victory Hamas through a corridor Israel’s implosion/crisis in NSC

Effects



8

Highlights of 2007

InstitutionBuilding

FinancialConduct

Human Capital

Impact &Media

Decision Support

Team on strategy & structure Consolidated training program Overhauled impact team Upgraded DS services

Capacities



9

Highlights of 2007

InstitutionBuilding

FinancialConduct

Human Capital

Impact &Media

Decision Support

+20% decision support 6 national security campaigns IL15: Hausmann visit IL15: 4 campaigns

Outputs



10

Highlights of 2007

InstitutionBuilding

FinancialConduct

Human Capital

Impact &Media

Decision Support

Staff: +6 analysts +50% budget Institution-building

Inputs



11

Highlights of 2007

InstitutionBuilding

FinancialConduct

Human Capital

Impact &Media

Decision Support

Staff: +6 analysts +50% budget Institution-building

Inputs

+20% decision support 6 national security campaigns IL15: Hausmann visit IL15: 4 campaigns

Outputs

Introducing ‘leapfrogging’ Upgrading National Econ Council Comparative competitive mindset Reframing poverty Annapolis Process – Nt risk free Hamas Pyrrhic victory Hamas through a corridor Israel’s implosion/crisis in NSC

Effects

Team on strategy & structure Consolidated training program Overhauled impact team Upgraded DS services

Capacities



12

Highlights of 2007

InstitutionBuilding

FinancialConduct

Human Capital

Impact &Media

Decision Support

Effect: Becoming a primary address for decision-support

Objective 1: Increase in decision supportObjective 2: Enhanced decision support for IL15 community

Government Briefings By Agency

4

20

25

18

4

9

23

9

6

5

10

7

9

15 15 6

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80

2004

2005

2006

2007

Defense Administration Ministry of Foreign Affairs PM OfficeMisc Economic Administration Ministry of Environment Protection

Government Briefings By Rank

8

44

46

29

16

44

2004

2005

2006

2007

Director General & Above Department Heads, Generals



13

Highlights of 2007

InstitutionBuilding

FinancialConduct

Human Capital

Impact &Media

Decision Support

Effect: From media to fundamental change

Objective 1: Increased media profileObjective 2: Enhanced impact capacities for fundamental change

Media References, Hebrew/International

3

42

91

55

85

78

5

2004

2005

2006

2007

Hebrew International

Media References By Campaign

Misc, 26Palestinian

National Unity, 21

Winograd Committee, 21

Annapolis Summit, 21

Hamas Pyrrhic Victory, 20

Iran - 'Grand Bargain', 14

PNA Might Collapse, 10

integrated web policy

(website / blogs)

Web

compromise on capacities in ‘traditional’

outlets

Media

integrating executive and

legislature activities

Lobby

Business people

Outreach

with other non-governmental organizations

Building Coalitions

ongoing client feedback

mechanism

Gov relations



14

Highlights of 2007

InstitutionBuilding

FinancialConduct

Human Capital

Impact &Media

Decision Support

Effect: Further cultivating our human capital

Objective 1: Enhanced training programObjective 2: Launching another decision support team

OJT, 12, 48%

Praxis, 3, 12%

Literature, 1, 4%

Technology, 4, 16%

Reut Training, 2.5,

10%

Prof. Training, 2.5,

10%

$250k annual pledge for 3 years Schustermann & Chais Found.Average Annual Personnel

1

2

4

4

8

9

2

5

8

52004

2005

2006

2007

Admin/Professional Staff National Security Socio-economics



15

Highlights of 2007

InstitutionBuilding

FinancialConduct

Human Capital

Impact &Media

Decision Support

Effect: Increased Budgetary Resilience

Objective 1: Increasing FR by 50% to $1.4MObjective 2: Developing relationship with AFRIObjective 3: 35% of 08 pledged by 12/07Objective 4: Outreach to more Israeli donors

Income By Resource

603,717

940,000 84,800

176,000

31,818

130,922

14,162

10,0002006

2007

AFRI Direct NIF PEF

Gidi Grinstein, Ms. Raia Strauss, Professor Ricardo Hausmann at the ISRAEL15 Business Sector Event, January 2008



16

Highlights of 2007

InstitutionBuilding

FinancialConduct

Human Capital

Impact &Media

Decision Support

Effect: Transforming into an institution

Consolidate management &

oversight

Amended bylaws

Enshrining vision, mission

and values

New Charter

3-year development plans

Strategic plan

Expanding boardAdvisory Board

Board & New CEO

Policy teams independence

Op. Integrity

Delegating authority from Gidi to a team

Management

An organization with the capacity and resilience to serve its mission effectively while transcending context.

This capacity should be sustainable over time and independent of any individual that is part of its community.



17

Springboard Still Under Construction

InstitutionBuilding

FinancialConduct

Human Capital

Impact &Media

Decision Support

Expanding board; Advisory Board; New CEO

Development by team and not CEO

Upgrade team leaders

Effective campaigns for fundamental change

DS Package not fully designed and implementedRPN not operational as a DS tool

Decision SupportFocus

Socio-EconomicDecision SupportCampaign

Mindset Shift:From Growth to

Leapfrogging

Growth Vs. Leapfrogging

GNP Growth

3-5%

3-5 year cycle

~80 cases in 50 yrs

Gradual upgrade

Catching up with wealthy nations

Min 4-6%

Few: Israel, Japan, Germany Ireland, Singapore

A-Cyclical growth, episodes of 15-20 years

Strategic bets

Definition

Rate

Length

Frequent?

ProductSpace

No ImperativeVision?

W - Consensus Each country her wayRecipe?

Mindset Diverging Reality

Time series Comparative-CompetitiveEvaluation

Clashes CollaborationPublic-private

Self-focused Expanding the pieBus. Sec

National Security Decision Support Campaign

Who wants a Palestinian State?

The Inversion towards Palestinian

Statehood

InversionA trend reflecting the fundamental shifts

regarding Palestinian statehood.

In the past, the PL desired a state, even in provisional borders while IL objected.

Nowadays, IL advocates the establishment of a PSBP meeting, Palestinian rejectionSupport for

PSPB

Rejection of 2 State Solution

Ambiguity

Rejection of PSPB

Accepting a 2 State Solution

1988 1999 2004 2005 2008 …

Oslo Process

Support for PSPB

Rejection of 2 State Solution

Ambiguity

Rejection of PSPB

Accepting a 2 State Solution

1988 1999 2004 2005 2008 …

Algiers Declaration accepting the 2ss (181) and calls for PL state

May 1999 Arafat threatens unilateral declaration of PSPB

Sep 04: Reut identifies the trend; develops the ‘unilateral recognition’ alternative

Feb 2005, Abu Mazen officially refuses the PSPB

Roadmap = DeadlockPrice rises, return decreasesThe logic of implosionAnnapolis = Package dealNew 1SS argument

Roadmap: PSPB

IntifadahIsrael rejects a 2SS

PM Olmert: “2SS or Israel might

collapse”

‘Thank you, but No Thank You’

PM Sharon supports PSPB



25

Testimonials

“(..) demonstrated professional and analytical ability (..) Your methodology helped us think strategically (..) and grasp the full picture(..)”

Shai Avital, DG, EPA, February 4 2008

"Your complete dedication to the issue, your professionalism, and the close cooperation with the NEC team (..) are commendable."

Manuel Trajtenberg, Director NEC, Nov. 19, 2007

“They are very influential and highly respected. Their help is not in the content but in the process. They don’t tell you what to think, they tell you how to think. Their alerts sometimes save the day."

Ido Aharoni, Fmr. Advisor to Foreign Minister Livni

"…gratitude (..) for your contribution in helping us institutionalize the NEC (..) and for your devotion. professionalism, & cooperation with our team (..)”Manuel Trajtenberg, NEC Chairman, Nov19, 2007

Permanent Adversity

Exceptional Volatility

Dire need for long term Substantive

input

Short, unstable tenures

Political fragmentation

Incentive for short term, populist, sectarian input

Address for DS

Model to be emulated

Training Strategists

“Israel’s premier strategy policy group”

Thomas Friedman, NYTimes, 03/30/07

welcomereut institute annual event february 2008 shevat 5768

Documents