welcome [] · welcome 1 | q4 2010 earnings ... financial and operating results of alcatel-lucent...
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WELCOME
1 | Q4 2010 Earnings| February 2011
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WELCOME
INTRODUCTORY REMARKSBen Verwaayen - CEO
2 | Q4 2010 Earnings| February 2011
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FEBRUARY 2011
Q4 2010 EARNINGS
Except for historical information, all other information in this presentation consists of forward-looking statements within the meaning of the
US Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, as amended. These forward looking statements include statements regarding the future
financial and operating results of Alcatel-Lucent such as, for example, an adjusted operating margin above 5% for 2011 and continued
market share gains. Words such as "expects," "anticipates," "targets," "projects," "intends," "plans," "believes," "estimates," “aim,” “goal,”
“outlook,” momentum,” “continue,” “reach,”, “confident in,” variations of such words and similar expressions are intended to identify such
forward-looking statements which are not statements of historical facts. These forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future
performance and involve certain risks, uncertainties and assumptions that are difficult to assess. Therefore, actual outcomes and results
may differ materially from what is expressed or forecasted in such forward-looking statements. These risks and uncertainties are based
upon a number of important factors including, among others: our ability to operate effectively in a highly competitive industry with many
participants and to correctly identify and invest in the technologies that become commercially accepted, demand for our products, and
acceptance of the technologies we seek to pioneer; difficulties and delays in our ability to execute on our strategic plan to adjust our
product portfolio by boosting investment in certain segments and reducing spending in others, co-source certain business processes, focus
on cash, and reduce costs; fluctuations in the telecommunications market; exposure to the pricing pressures in the regions in which we
SAFE HARBORFOR FORWARD LOOKING STATEMENTS
3 | Q4 2010 Earnings| February 2011
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on cash, and reduce costs; fluctuations in the telecommunications market; exposure to the pricing pressures in the regions in which we
sell; the pricing, cost and other risks inherent in long-term sales agreements; exposure to the credit risk of customers; reliance on a limited
number of suppliers for the components =we need or a tight market for commodity components; the social, political and economic risks of
our global operations; the costs and risks associated with pension and postretirement benefit obligations; changes to existing regulations or
technical standards; existing and future litigation; difficulties and costs in protecting intellectual property rights and exposure to
infringement claims by others; compliance with environmental, health and safety laws; the economic situation in general (including
exchange rate fluctuations) and uncertainties in Alcatel-Lucent’s customers’ businesses in particular; control of costs and expenses;
conditions and growth rates in the telecommunications industry; and the impact of each of these factors on sales and income. For a more
complete list and description of such risks and uncertainties, refer to Alcatel-Lucent's Annual Report on Form 20-F for the year ended
December 31, 2009, as well as other filings by Alcatel-Lucent with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Except as required under
the US federal securities laws and the rules and regulations of the US Securities and Exchange Commission, Alcatel-Lucent disclaims any
intention or obligation to update any forward-looking statements after the distribution of this presentation, whether as a result of new
information, future events, developments, changes in assumptions or otherwise.
Q4 2010 HIGHLIGHTS
Strong Q4 performance2010 top-line, margin and costs guidance achieved
Increased relevance across our customer base
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Great momentum coming into 2011
Solid order book, market share gains & innovation across the
product portfolio
Increased relevance across our customer base
Acceleration of mobile & fixed
Q4 2010 HIGHLIGHTS: NETWORKSSTRUCTURAL DRIVERS AT WORK
Explosion of data & video trafic
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Acceleration of mobile & fixed
broadband access
Ubiquitous presence of connected devicesall around the world
Q4 2010 HIGHLIGHTS: NETWORKS GREAT MOMENTUM WITH OUR HLN STRATEGY
Outstanding acceleration
of our next generation product sales*
1100
1200
1300
1400
40%
42%
44%
46%
48%
Sales: +72% YoY+35% QoQ
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*Products supporting our HLN strategy:
IP, DWDM, WT, WCDMA, LTE, IPDSLAM, FTT&OLT, IMS Core
600
700
800
900
1000
30%
32%
34%
36%
38%
40%
Q1 2009 Q2 2009 Q3 2009 Q4 2009 Q1 2010 Q2 2010 Q3 2010 Q4 2010
In M Euros In % of Networks Sales
HIGH LEVERAGE NETWORKTM (HLN)SUMMARY OF KEY WINS - Q4’10
Converged service
control
Converged RAN
IMS CoreMobile Backhaul
LTE
2G/3G
6 new/extension contracts
70 references to dateQatar9 contracts
60+ trials to date
9 new/extension contracts
E2E Wireless agreement
10+ new/extension contracts
Small Cells
17 contracts
20+ trials to date
Qatar
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Converged edgeConverged
wireline access
Converged
metro and
aggregation
Converged
backbone
Submarine Networking
4 major wins
100G IP and WDM
30+ references to date
Qatar
Broadband Access (xDSL/xPON)
15+ new/extension contracts
Vectoring, Phantom mode trial
Q4 2010 HIGHLIGHTS: IP DIVISIONSALES AT RECORD LEVEL
19%
49%
30,0%
40,0%
50,0%
60,0%
300
400
500
600
� All-IP network transformation underway in all geographies
� Tremendous sales growth withannualized sales of € 2Bn at year
€%
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-5%
6%
-10,0%
0,0%
10,0%
20,0%
0
100
200
300
Q1'10 Q2'10 Q3'10 Q4'10
IP revenue (€) YoY change (cst curr.)
annualized sales of € 2Bn at yearend
� Leadership in IP/MPLS mobile backhaul; Sprint & America Movilannounced in Q4
Q4 2010 HIGHLIGHTS: OPTICSRECOVERY DRIVEN BY TERRESTRIAL
� Network convergence & metroarea capacity requirements, first roll-out of 100G systems
� Double-digit growth in TerrestrialOptics with WDM up by 50%
€%
1%
-5,0%
0,0%
5,0%
500
600
700
800
900
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Optics with WDM up by 50%
� Leading the 100G era in IP/Optical with 30+ references
� Sustained contracting activity in submarine in Q4
-15%
-18%
-14%
-20,0%
-15,0%
-10,0%
0
100
200
300
400
500
Q1'10 Q2'10 Q3'10 Q4'10
Optics revenue (€) YoY change (cst curr.)
� Subscribers & data traffic growthsupported by 2G & 3G
� Double-digit growth in all technologies
Q4 2010 HIGHLIGHTS: WIRELESSSTRONG MOMENTUM ACROSS THE BOARD
14%
34%
15,0%
20,0%
25,0%
30,0%
35,0%
40,0%
800
1 000
1 200
1 400
€%
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technologies
� First sizeable LTE revenues
� 15+ new or wireless extension contracts in Q4
-8%
0%
-10,0%
-5,0%
0,0%
5,0%
10,0%
15,0%
0
200
400
600
Q1'10 Q2'10 Q3'10 Q4'10
Wireless revenue (€) YoY change (cst curr.)
� Very strong growth in PON technology
� Legacy business decline offsettingbroadband sales growth
Q4 2010 HIGHLIGHTS: WIRELINEPREPARING FOR THE NEXT WAVE OF BROADBAND ROLL-OUT
-9%
15%
0,0%
5,0%
10,0%
15,0%
20,0%
300
400
500
600
€%
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� Continuing fiber & copperinnovation:
New market trials for bonding, vectoring& phantom mode
Industry-first commercial 10G PON solution
-23%
-18%
-9%
-25,0%
-20,0%
-15,0%
-10,0%
-5,0%
0
100
200
300
Q1'10 Q2'10 Q3'10 Q4'10
Wireline revenue (€) YoY change (cst curr.)
HIGH LEVERAGE NETWORKTM (HLN)DRIVING INVESTMENTS ON KEY PROGRAMS ACROSS THE PORTFOLIO
Converged service
control
Converged
RAN
M P R / S A R
integration
CRANLTE
Small CellsSelf-X
IMSCore
WirelessPacketCore
ConvergedIP/Optical
ConvergedNetworkGateway
LightRadio
PolicyManagement
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Converged
edge
Converged
wireline access
Converged
metro and
aggregation
Converged
backbone
Converged service-aware
network management
IP/Opticalbackbone
10G
xPON
Video andcontentdelivery
WDM40G/100Gcoherent
OTN/WDM
CommonManagement
Bonding,
Vectoring,
Phantom
xDSL/xPON familywith
CommonModules
MAPPING THE FUTURE OF MOBILE TECHNOLOGY
TODAY TOMORROW
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InclusiveGreen Invisible
Q4 2010 HIGHLIGHTS: APPLICATIONSREBALANCED PORTFOLIO PAYING OFF
� Next generation portfolio drivinggrowth for App. Networks:
Digital Media distribution
Remote customer management
� New Application Enablement
€%
-0,1%
-0,8%
1,4%
-0,6%
3,5%
-3,5%
1,3%
-8,0%
-6,0%
-4,0%
-2,0%
0,0%
2,0%
4,0%
6,0%
400
600
800
1 000
1 200
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� New Application Enablementpartnership in secured mobile payment
� In Enterprise, strong performance in data networking & growth atGenesys offsetting decline in traditional voice business
-12,9%
-14,0%
-12,0%
-10,0%
-8,0%
0
200
400
Q1'10 Q2'10 Q3'10 Q4'10
Applications revenue (€)
YoY change Enterprise Applications (cst curr.)
YoY change Networks Applications (cst curr.)
� Managed Services maintained a double digit rate of growth
� Maintenance activity remainedmuted
Q4 2010 HIGHLIGHTS: SERVICESCONTINUOUS IMPROVEMENT
2%
3%
-1,0%
0,0%
1,0%
2,0%
3,0%
4,0%
600
800
1 000
1 200
€%
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� Sharp acceleration in Network & System Integration
� Strategic Industries: a key growthcontributor in Services
-4,5%-5,0%
-6,0%
-5,0%
-4,0%
-3,0%
-2,0%
-1,0%
0
200
400
600
Q1'10 Q2'10 Q3'10 Q4'10
Services revenue (€) YoY change (cst curr.)
TransportationTransportation Energy Energy Public Sector
HighwaysRail Oil & GasPower Utilities
Smart GridPublic SafetyDefense e-gov
STRATEGIC INDUSTRIES: A KEY DRIVER FOR THE FUTURE
Airport
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Operationalefficiency
Always-onsecurity
Green & Eco-sustainability
High Leverage Network™
Application Enablement Service Integration capabilities
Q4 2010 HIGHLIGHTSBY GEOGRAPHIES: GROWTH ACROSS ALL REGIONS
+8% yoy growth in Western Europe Acceleration in APAC to
+21% yoy growthChina growing above 50%
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+45% yoy growthin North AmericaStrong growth across
all segments
Resumed growthin Rest Of World at +19% yoyAbove 50% growth in Latam partly compensated
by slight decline in Middle East/Africa
Q4 2010 OPERATIONAL HIGHLIGHTS
Gross Margin supported by our Next. Gen product sales & geographic mix
Structural improvement of the cost structure
€ 300m of fixed costs reduction in 2010
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€ 300m of fixed costs reduction in 2010
Break-even point lowered by € 1Bn
Strengthened balance sheetPositive net cash position end of Q4’10
debt maturity extended
2011 OUTLOOK
Alcatel-Lucent feels confident to grow fasterthan its addressable market
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For 2011 Alcatel-Lucent aims to reach an adjusted operating margin above 5%
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Q4 2010 RESULTSPaul Tufano - CFO
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Q4 ’10 ADJUSTED P&L
In Euro Million Q4 '10 YoY QoQ FY'10 FY '09 YoY
Revenues 4,862 22.6% 19.3% 15,996 15,157 5.5%
Gross profit 1,760 21.0% 27.8% 5,572 5,112 9.0%
Gross margin 36.2% -0.5 pt 2.4 pt 34.8% 33.7% 1.1 pt
R&D Gross (658) 22.8% 3.9% (2,491) (2,376) 4.8%
in % of revenues 13.5% 0.0 pt -2.0 pt 15.6% 15.7% -0.1 pt
Capitalization / Other 1 (12) 4
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Capitalization / Other 1 (12) 4
R&D Net (657) 23.0% 4.5% (2,503) (2,372) 5.5%in % of revenues 13.5% 0.1 pt -1.9 pt 15.6% 15.6% 0.0 pt
SG&A (709) 9.2% 3.2% (2,781) (2,796) -0.5%in % of revenues 14.6% -1.8 pt -2.3 pt 17.4% 18.4% -1.0 pt
Total OPEX (1,366) 15.5% 3.8% (5,284) (5,168) 2.2%in % of revenues 28.1% -1.7 pt -4.2 pt 33.0% 34.1% -1.1 pt
Op. income (loss) 394 45.4% ca 6x 288 (56) nm
Operating margin 8.1 % 1.3 % 6.6 pt 1.8 % -0.4 % 2.2 pt
Q4 & FY’10 REVENUE BREAKDOWN BY OPERATING SEGMENTS
In Euro Million
Revenues
Q4 '10 Q4 '09YoY
Current
YoY
Constant *FY '10 FY '09 YoY
YoY
Constant *
Networks 2,952 2,242 31.7% 23.1% 9,643 9,076 6.2% 1.5%
IP 508 320 58.8% 48.8% 1,464 1,177 24.4% 18.7%
Optics 815 763 6.8% 0.7% 2,655 2,854 -7.0% -11.0%
Wireless 1,156 800 44.5% 34.4% 4,064 3,547 14.6% 9.3%
Wireline 488 398 22.6% 14.8% 1,548 1,619 -4.4% -8.5%
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Wireline 488 398 22.6% 14.8% 1,548 1,619 -4.4% -8.5%
Other & eliminations (15) (39) nm nm (88) (121) nm nm
Applications 575 535 7.5% 1.7% 1,979 1,914 3.4% 0.2%
Enterprise Applications 330 317 4.1% -0.6% 1,205 1,170 3.0% 0.4%
Networks Applications 251 232 8.2% 1.3% 794 777 2.2% -2.2%
Other & eliminations (6) (14) nm nm (20) (33) nm nm
Services 1,140 1,030 10.7% 3.4% 3,743 3,569 4.9% -0.5%
Other & Eliminations 195 160 nm nm 631 598 nm nm
Total 4,862 3,967 22.6% 15.1% 15,996 15,157 5.5% 1.3%
Q4 & FY’10 OPERATING INCOMEBREAKDOWN BY OPERATING SEGMENTS
In Euro Million
Adj. operating income (loss)
Q4 '10 Q4 '09YoY
CurrentFY '10 FY '09
YoY
Current
Networks 229 19 210 187 (297) 484
in % of revenues 7.8% 0.8% 7.0 pt 1.9% -3.3% 5.2 pt
Applications 47 80 (33) 18 (5) 23
in % of revenues 8.2% 15.0% -6.8 pt 0.9% -0.3% 1.2 pt
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in % of revenues 8.2% 15.0% -6.8 pt 0.9% -0.3% 1.2 pt
Services 88 141 (53) 95 203 (108)
in % of revenues 7.7% 13.7% -6.0 pt 2.5% 5.7% -3.2 pt
Other & Eliminations 30 31 (1) (12) 43 (55)
Total 394 271 123 288 (56) 344
in % of revenues 8.1% 6.8% 1.3 pt 1.8% -0.4% 2.2 pt
Q4 ’10 REVENUES GEOGRAPHICAL BREAKDOWN
● Q4 ’10 Total Revenue: €4,862M ● FY’10 Total Revenue: €15,996M
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North America 33 %
Asia Pacific 9 %
Europe 8 %
RoW 12 %
Q4’10 - YoY Revenue ∆ (in local currencies)
North America 17 %
Asia Pacific -9 %
Europe -2 %
RoW -7 %
FY’10 - YoY Revenue ∆ (in local currencies)
BALANCE SHEET HIGHLIGHTS
In Euro MillionDec. 31, '10 sept. 30, '10 Dec. 31, '09
Goodwill 4,370 4,311 4,168
Other intangible assets 2,056 2,096 2,214
Other non-current assets (excl. market. sec & pensions) 2,901 2,762 2,790
Operating working capital 906 890 949
Net assets/(liabilities) held for sale 3 148 50
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Net cash / (debt) 377 (190) 886
Shareholders’ equity - Group share 3,545 2,377 3,740
Minority interests 660 631 569
Net Pensions & OPEB 2,344 3,211 2,643
Non current liabilities (excl.debt & pensions) 1,385 1,373 1,266
Reserves 1,858 1,969 2,122
Other current liabilities/(assets) net 821 456 717
OPERATING WORKING CAPITAL
In Euro Million Dec 31, 2010 Sept 30, 2010 Dec 31, 2009
Net inventories* 2,295 2,567 1,902
Net receivables* 3,664 3,323 3,519
Payables & progress payments (5,053) (5,000) (4,472)
OWC as reported ** 906 890 949
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As % of revenues (12 months) 5.7% 5.9% 6.3%
Trailing 4 quarter revenues 15,996 15,101 15,157
OWC before sales of receivables 1,682 1,524 1,561
As % of revenues (12 months) 10.5% 10.1% 10.3%
* Including amounts related to construction contracts
** Reserves on construction contracts have been reclassified to Provisions in the statement of financial position
CASH FLOW STATEMENT
Q4 '10 Q3 '10 Q4 '09
Net (debt)/cash at beginning of period (190) 107 592
Adjusted operating income 394 61 271
Depreciation & Amort; OP non cash; other 81 275 136
Op. Cash Flow before change in WCR* 475 336 407
Change in operating WCR 2 (82) 100
Change in other WCR 225 (61) 128
Operating Cash Flow** 702 193 635
Interest (12) (92) (17)
Taxes 12 (61) (27)
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Taxes 12 (61) (27)
Cash contribution to pension & OPEB (62) (56) (67)
Restructuring cash outlays (91) (73) (157)
Cash flow from operating activities 549 (89) 367
Capital expenditures (incl. R&D cap.) (230) (184) (194)
Free Cash Flow 319 (273) 173
Discontinued, Cash from financing & Forex 248 (24) 121
Change in net(debt)/cash position 567 (297) 294
Net (debt)/cash at end of period 377 (190) 886
* Before changes in working capital, interest/tax paid, restructuring cash outlay and pension & OPEB cash outlay
**Operating cash flow now defined as cash generated from operations after changes in working capital but before interest/tax paid, restructuring cash outlay
and pension & OPEB outlay
FUNDED STATUS OF ALCATEL-LUCENT PENSIONS & OPEB (IFRS)
In Euro Million
Pensions OPEB Pensions OPEB Pensions OPEB
Fair value of plan assets 27,002 536 27,017 394 24,365 560
(In USD Million) 36,080 716 36,873 538 34,920 803
Benefit obligations (24,720) (3,334) (25,505) (3,315) (22,846) (3,064)
(In USD Million) (33,031) (4,455) (34,809) (4,524) (32,743) (4,391)
2,282 (2,798) 1,512 (2,921) 1,519 (2,504)
Dec 31, '09Dec 31, '10 Sept 30, '10
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2,282 (2,798) 1,512 (2,921) 1,519 (2,504)
Funded Status
(In USD Million)
Asset ceiling (1,828) - (1,802) - (1,658) -
Net balance sheet
(1,412)
(2,643)
(985)
(3,211)
(689)
(2,344)
(1,409)
(1,923)
(516)
CONTINUOUS ACTIONS ON THE COSTS BASE*
(in €)
-550m-300m
-300/-400m
> 7bn
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Around € 1.2Bn of fixed costs reduction expected in 3 yearsAround € 1.2Bn of fixed costs reduction expected in 3 years
2008 2009 2010 2011
* Defined as the sum of R&D, SG&A and Fixed Operation Costs, before FX and var. comp.
2011: PATH TO >5% Adj. Op. MARGIN
GROSSMARGIN
Product mix & Volume growth
Project management & manufacturing
Maintain focus on Next. Gen Areas
€ -300mR&D
Fix.
Var.
Purchases & Logistics
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Next. Gen Areas
2010Costs base
Administrative expenses
IS/IT - Real estate
Organizational
complexity
€ -300mto
€ -400m
R&D
SG&A
Alcatel-Lucent feels confident to grow fasterthan its addressable market
2011 OUTLOOK
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For 2011 Alcatel-Lucent aims to reach an adjusted operating margin above 5%
QUESTIONS & ANSWERS
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ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
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Q4’10 REPORTED AND ADJUSTED RESULTS
Q4 '10
Reported
PPA
impacts
Q4 '10
Adjusted
FY '10
Reported PPA impacts
FY '10
Adjusted
In Euro Million
Revenues 4,862 0 4,862 15,996 0 15,996
Gross profit 1,759 1 1,760 5,571 1 5,572
SG&A (742) 33 (709) (2,907) 126 (2,781)
Net R&D (696) 39 (657) (2,662) 159 (2,503)
Operating income (loss) 321 73 394 2 286 288
Restructuring (60) 0 (60) (375) 0 (375)
Post-retirement benefit plan amendment 0 0 0 30 0 30
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Litigations (22) 0 (22) (28) 0 (28)
Gain/loss on disposals 65 0 65 62 0 62
Financial income (loss) 54 0 54 52 0 52
Share in net income of equity affiliates 2 0 2 14 0 14
Income Tax (9) (28) (37) (37) (111) (148)
Income from discontinued operations 1 0 1 (12) 0 (12)
Net Income 352 45 397 (292) 175 (117)
Minority Interest (12) (12) (42) (42)
Net Income (Group share) 340 45 385 (334) 175 (159)
Diluted EPS, in € 0.13 0.14 (0.15) (0.07)
# shares (Million) 2,956.6 2,956.6 2,259.9 2,259.9
RESTATEMENT OF 2009 BREAKDOWN BY OPERATING SEGMENTS
In Euro Million
Revenues Q1 '10 Q2 '10 Q3 '10 Q4 '10 FY '10 Q1 '09 Q2 '09 Q3 '09 Q4 '09 FY 2009
Networks 1,928 2,304 2,459 2,952 9,643 2,219 2,384 2,231 2,242 9,076
IP 272 318 366 508 1,464 288 286 283 320 1,177
Optics 567 622 651 815 2,655 657 728 706 763 2,854
Wireless 819 1,021 1,068 1,156 4,064 915 972 860 800 3,547
Wireline 298 366 396 488 1,548 393 424 404 398 1,619
Other & eliminations (28) (23) (22) (15) (88) (34) (26) (22) (39) (121)
Applications 416 489 499 575 1,979 444 462 473 535 1,914
Enterprise Applications 271 305 299 330 1,205 276 298 279 317 1,170
Networks Applications 149 188 206 251 794 173 173 199 232 777
Other & eliminations (4) (4) (6) (6) (20) (5) (9) (5) (14) (33)
Services 772 883 948 1,140 3,743 797 873 869 1,030 3,569
Other & Eliminations 131 137 168 195 631 138 186 114 160 598
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Other & Eliminations 131 137 168 195 631 138 186 114 160 598
Total 3,247 3,813 4,074 4,862 15,996 3,598 3,905 3,687 3,967 15,157
Adj. operating income (loss) Q1 '10 Q2 '10 Q3 '10 Q4 '10 FY '10 Q1 '09 Q2 '09 Q3 '09 Q4 '09 FY 2009
Networks (128) 55 31 229 187 (154) (136) (26) 19 (297)
in % of revenues -6.6% 2.4% 1.3% 7.8% 1.9% -6.9% -5.7% -1.2% 0.8% -3.3%
Applications (27) (17) 15 47 18 (55) (30) 0 80 (5)
in % of revenues -6.5% -3.5% 3.0% 8.2% 0.9% -12.4% -6.5% 0.0% 15.0% -0.3%
Services (40) 19 28 88 95 (63) 87 38 141 203
in % of revenues -5.2% 2.2% 3.0% 7.7% 2.5% -7.9% 10.0% 4.4% 13.7% 5.7%
Other & Eliminations 0 (29) (13) 30 (12) 18 17 (23) 31 43
Total (195) 28 61 394 288 (254) (62) (11) 271 (56)
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37 | Q4 2010 Earnings| February 2011
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