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Icoachtrader Consulting Servicewww.icoachtrader.weebly.com
WELCOME TO
Trading Boot CampDay 5
David Ha NgoTrading Coach
Phone: 1.650.899.1088Email: [email protected]
The information presented is for education purposes only.The coach does not give trade advice.
Copyright © 2010 Icoachtrader Consulting Service. All rights reserved.Icoachtrader reserves the right to change without notice
Trading Boot Camp
Seminar Agenda
Day 1� Section 1: IPC of Traders 8:00 AM – 11:00 AM� Section 2: A Complete Mechanical Trading System 2:00 PM – 5:00 PM
Day 2� Section 3: Swing Trading 8:00 AM – 11:00 AM� Section 4: Technical Trading 2:00 PM – 5:00 PM
Day 3� Section 5: Fundamental Factors 8:00 AM – 11:00 AM� Section 6: Truth of Day Trading 2:00 PM – 3:30 PM� Section 7: Trade for Life 3:30 PM – 5:00 PM
Day 4� Section 8: Trading Psychology 8:00 AM – 11:00 AM� Section 9: Team Trading 2:00 PM – 5:00 PM
Day 5� Section 10: Intraday Trading 8:00 AM – 11:00 AM
David’s Strategy
My Secret ONE Formula
One Lot
One Percent
One Product
One Direction
Section 10
Intra-day Trading
Table of Contents
� Candlesticks formation
� Introduction� Four Styles of Trading
� Day Trading Defined
� Psychological Requirements
� Foundation� Intra-day Trading Tools
� Intraday Charting
� Moving Average Interpretation
� Buy & Sell Setup
� The Battle Between Bulls and Bears
� Multiple Times Frames
� The Key Concepts� Time Frame (Multiple
Timeframes)
� Candlesticks Simplified
� Candlesticks
� Moving Averages
� Retracements
� Support & Resistance
� Market Timing
� Mastering� Combining Foundations and Key
Concepts for Mastering Intraday Trading
Candlesticks
Market Law #1: The Law of Motion
Candlestick
The Bar by Bar Battle
Candlestick
Winning Candles
Candlesticks
The 3 Non-Color Candles
One Bar
Absolute Control
One Bar
Full Control
One Bar
Good Control
One Bar
Weak Control
One Bar
Loss Control @55%
One Bar
Totally Over 100%
One Bar
Loss Control Forever?
Two Bars
Good Control
Two Bars
Weak Control
Two Bars
Loss Control >55%
There is NO DIFFERENCES
Two Bars
Totally Over 100%
Single Sell/Buy Triggers
Dual Sell/Buy Triggers
Candlesticks
Market Law #2: The Law of Continuous
� During NORMAL market environments, any tradable items cannot move in the same direction more than 3 to 5 bars in a row.
� Different ways to communicate the law:� After a 3 to 5 bar run (up or down) the market tends to sharply
reverse, creating a nice trading opportunity.
� Neither the bulls nor the bears can win more than 5 battles (bars) in a row. After a 3 to 5 bar rally, the bears usually quickly regain control. After a 3 to 5 bar decline, the bulls usually quickly regain control.
� Lastly, this law can be said this way: “After 3 to 5 green bars in a row, the Trader should look to take advantage of an upcoming series of red bars. After 3 to 5 red bars in a row, the Trader should look to take advantage of an upcoming series of green bars.”
Three Major Moving Average Locations
� 8-period Moving Average (8SMA): Best When Trending
� 20-period Moving Average (20SMA): Best When Trending
� 200-period Moving Average (200SMA): Best When Flat
Single Candle 55% Trigger
Dual Bar 55% Triggers
Dual Bar 55% Triggers
Single Candle 100% Triggers
3 to 5 Bar
Buy Rule
3 to 5 Bar
Buy Rule
3 to 5 Bar
Buy Rule Example
3 to 5 Bar
Sell Rule
3 to 5 Bar
Sell Rule
Sell Rule Example
The Powerful 20 SMA
� Trading with 20SMA: Most of your trades should be in sync with the 20ma. If the 20ma is rising in a smooth fashion, your focus should almost always be long. Conversely, if the 20ma is declining in smooth fashion, your focus should almost always be short. If the 20ma is flat, your focus should be to scalp.
The Powerful 20SMA
Riding the 20SMA Buy Long
The Powerful 20 SMA
Riding the 20SMA Buy Long
The Powerful 20 SMA
Riding the 20SMA Sell Short
The Powerful 20 SMA
Riding the 20SMA Sell Short
The All Mighty 200 SMA
� The 200ma is so universally watched, in all time frames, that for all practical purposes: King as Flatness, Use as Support, Use as Resistance, Use as a Magnet.
The All Mighty 200 SMA
Buying Below the 20SMA & 200SMA
The All Mighty 200 SMA
King as Flatness: Resistance
IntroductionFour Styles of Trading
Two Broad Trading Categories
Four Major Impediments
� 4 Types of Trading
� Core
� Swing
� Guerilla
� Day
� Two Broad Trading Categories
� Wealth
� Income
� 4 Major Impediments
� Lack of Professional Training
� Lack of Trading Capital
� Lack of a Forced Discipline
� Fear of Loss
Introduction
Two Broad Trading Categories
� Wealth Trading Styles
� Core Trading
� Weekly Charts
� Weeks to Months
� Swing Trading
� 15 Min, 60Min
� Daily Charts
� Days to Weeks
� Income Trading Styles
� Guerrilla Trading
� 15, 30 & 60 Min
� Hours to Days
� Day Trading
� 5, 15 & 60 Min
� Minutes to Hours
Introduction
Intra-day Trading Defines
What is Intra-day (intraday) Trading?
1. A style that covers a holding period of several minutes to hours.
2. Three forms of Intraday Trading: Scalping, Momentum, and Day.
3. This style of trading has become widely accepted recently.
4. Day Traders use 5 – 15 Min charts to make entries and exits
5. Day Trading is best used on ACTIVE and highly LIQUID markets.
6. Day Traders try to capture smaller gains with minimal dollar risk.
7. Day Trading is a style of trading that MAY NOT BE SUITABE FOR ALL.
Introduction
Psychological Trading Requirements
Confidence Patience Discipline
HOW?
Subjective analysis must be reduced or eliminated.
A systematic objective Method of interpretation is needed.
This builds a thought process which builds Confidence.
Patience Discipline Becomes Your Job!
Foundation
Intra-day Trading Tools
� Charting Tools: 5-, 15- & 60-Min. Intra-day charts displayed in Candlestick form.
� Technical Tools: 20- & 200-period ‘simple’ moving averages.
� A Price Pattern: Buy & Sell Setup.
Foundation
Intraday Charting
Foundation
Buy and Sell Setup
� The setup can be traded in all time frames.
� This combination of bars is a segment or smaller part of the overall pattern.
� It is a set of bars that occurs in a detailed formation.
� It offers high probability with low risk.
Foundation
Price Pattern Recognition
Foundation
Moving Average Guidelines
� Long positions are favored when prices are Above their 20-MA on a 60-Min. chart. Entry points are found on 5-or 15-Min. charts.
� Long positions are considered when prices are extended Below the 20-MA on a 60-Min. chart, but Above their 20-MA on the 5-Min. chart.
� Short positions are favored when prices are Below their 20-MA on a 60-Min. chart. Entry points are found on 5-or 15-Min charts.
� Short positions are considered when prices are extended Above the 20-MA on a 60-Min. chart, but Below their 20-MA on the 5-Min. chart.
Foundation
Moving Average Guidelines
Foundation
Moving Average Guidelines
Foundation
The Battle between Bulls and Bears
Foundation
Buy and Sell Setup
Foundation
Buy and Sell Setup
Time Frames
� Stick with one set of TIME FRAMES of your methodology, take the signal and completely ignore the other time frame.
� Shorter time frames allow you to make better use of margin and have tighter stop losses.
� Larger time frames require bigger stops, thus a bigger account, so you can handle the market swings without facing a margin call.
Time Frames & Trading Types
�Transaction costs will be much higher (more spreads to pay)
�Mentally more difficult due to the need to change biases frequently
�Profits are limited by needing to exit at the end of the day.
�Lots of trading opportunities
�Less chance of losing months
�No overnight risk
�Long-term traders will usually refer to daily and weekly charts.
�Intraday traders use minute charts and hour chart.
�Traders are held intraday and exited by market close.
Intraday
�Transaction costs will be higher (more spreads to pay)
�Overnight risk becomes a facto
�More opportunities for trades
�Less chance of losing months
�Less reliance on one or two trades a year to make money
�Short-term traders use hourly time frames and hold trades for several hours to few days or a week.
Short Term
(Swing)
�Large swings
�Usually 1 or 2 two goods a year so PATIENCE is required.
�Bigger account needed to ride longer term swingsFrequent losing months
�Don’t have to watch the markets intraday
�Fewer transactions mean less times to pay the spread
�More time to think through each trade
�Long-term traders will usually refer to daily and weekly charts.
�The weekly charts will establish the longer term perspective and assist in placing entries in the shorter term daily.
�Trades usually from a few weeks to many months, sometimes years.
Long Term
DisadvantageAdvantageDescriptionTime Frame
Multiple Time Frames
� The largest time frame we consider our main trend -this shows us the big picture of the pair we wannatrade.
� The medium time frame down is what we normally look at, and it signals to us the medium term buy or selling bias.
� The smallest time frame shows the short term trend and helps us find really good entry and exit points.
Multiple Time Frames
XXXLong Term
XXXXMid Term
XXxXXXShort Term
(Swing)
XXXXXIntraday
XXXXXHit and Run
XXXScalping
WeekDay4 Hour1 Hour30 Min15 Min5 Min1 MinTime Frame
Methodology
Key Concepts
Simplified Candle Language
Six Candle Concepts
� Changing of the Guard – COG: all give traders the same message.
� Wire Range Body – WRB: Probability of the current trend changing.
� Narrow Range – NR: Probability of the current trend changing.
� Narrowing Range Bodies – NRB: Probability of the current trend changing.
� Topping Tail – TT: A high probability opportunity may exist to trade.
� Bottoming Tail – BT: A high probability opportunity may exist to trade.
Candlestick Concepts
� Ask yourself, “What does the current candle tell you about the prevailing trend?” Note: A trend = 3-5 bars moving in the same direction.
� Each candle will give us information that either confirms or contradicts that trend.
� Long or Expanding range candles tell us volatility is high or momentum is increasing.
� Short or Narrowing range candles tell us volatility is low or momentum is decreasing.
Candlestick Concepts
COG - Changing of the Guard Bar
� A Bullish COG is defined as three or more consecutive red bars followed by a green bar.
� A Bearish COG is defined as three or more consecutive green bars followed by a red bar.
� Tip: While there are different variations, the message is always the same ! A reversal in momentum has occurred!
Candlestick Concepts
NRB - Narrowing Range Bars
� A series of bars in which the difference between the highs and lows is Narrowing.
� Tip: While there are different variations, the message is always the same ! A slowing in momentum is occurring!
Candlestick Concepts
NR - Narrowing Range Bodies
� Bars in which the body of the candle is small relative to the overall length of the candle. They may have Tails on either sideof the body.
� While there are different variations, the message is always the same ! A slowing in momentum has occurred!
Candlestick Concepts
TT - Topping Tail Bars
� Bars in which prices had been higher, then supply forced prices lower into the lower part of the bars range.
� While there are different variations, the message is always the same ! Distribution has occurred!
Candlestick Concepts
BT – Bottoming Tail Bars
� Bars in which prices had been lower, then demand forced prices higher into the upper part of the bars range.
� While there are different variations, the message is always the same ! Accumulation has occurred!
Candlestick Concepts
WRB – Wide Range Bar
� A Bar in which the Candle Body is relatively wide compared to the most recent bars .
� A Wide Range Bar after a period low volatility ignites momentum in that direction.
� A Wide Range Bar after an extended advance or decline typically happens near the end of a move. An NR or NRB will signal the turn.
Candlestick Concepts
COG - Changing of the Guard Bar
Candlestick ConceptsNRB - Narrowing Range Bodies and NR - Narrowing Range
Moving Average Concepts
The relationship between MAs and/or the relationship between Price and MAs Serve as:
� An Overbought / Oversold Indicator
� A Bullish / Bearish Divergence Indicator
� A Guide to price Support & Resistance
� A Tool to help anticipate where a reversal may occur
� A Risk – Reward Indicator
� A Relative Strength Indicator
Moving Average Concepts
An Overbought/Oversold Indicator
Moving Average ConceptsA Momentum or Bullish/Bearish Divergence Indicator
COGNew Low Divergence
Moving Average Concepts
A Guide to Support & Resistance
Moving Average Concepts
Anticipate Entry/Exit and Risk/Reward
Anticipated Entry
Moving Average Concepts
A Relative Strength Indicator
Comparing the MAs of the above charts, which one will tell us stronger chart (?)
Retracement Concepts
� The retracement levels are used to measure the STRENGTHor WEAKNESS of a move counter to the prevailing trend.
� The retracement levels are a percentage measurement between significant highs and lows.
� The Retracement levels we are concerned with are 40, 50 and 60%.
� The retracement levels alone are not enough to consider entering a position. Our setup is also needed.
� Learn to see retracement levels without drawing them. When trading, analysis must be done quickly.
Retracement Concepts
Levels and Interpretations: 40%
Retracement Concepts
Levels and Interpretations: 50%
Retracement Concepts
Levels and Interpretations: 60%
Retracement Concepts
Levels and Interpretations: >60%
Retracement Concepts
Levels and Interpretations: 80% - 100%
Retracement Concepts
Levels and Interpretations: >100%
Retracements greaterthan 100% negate theprior trend.
They often set up a highprobability reversal point.
A move above a priorhigh signals Strengthbut is a High Risk Entry.
Buying shallow pullbacksof 40 to 50% after a COGis low risk, professionaltrading.
Support and Resistance Concepts
� Actual Support and Resistance “They are guides as to where traders may anticipate a reversal”:
� A series of price bars
� Prior highs / lows / bases
� An unfilled gap between price bars
� Subjective Support and Resistance “Also guides to anticipate reversal points without price points in the same area, these areless significant.”
� Moving Averages
� Retracements
� Time
Support and Resistance Concepts
Unfilled Gap Resistance
Support and Resistance Concepts
Prior High Resistance
Unfilled Gap Support
Support and Resistance Concepts
Resistance at Prior Base
Mastering
Putting It All Together
60 MIN Chart
Start with the longer time frame.
Prices test Support.
A WRB forms. Be Alert!
A COG signals. The decline is over.
Moving Avg. Divergence.
Check Market and look for entry.
Mastering
Putting It All Together
5 MIN ChartOversold MAs Wide.
Deep Retracement above the 20-MA: BUY
Target 200-MA Price Resistance.
Sell at Resistance.
Sellers in Control
Gold Trading
Trendlines, SMA200, SMA20, ADX, RSI
Sellers in Control
Gold Trading
Trendlines, SMA200, SMA20, ADX, RSI
Sellers in Control
Sellers in Control