wedp loan portfolio analysis sept 2015. final
DESCRIPTION
Analysis of the WEDP portfolio of MSME loans in Ethiopia for the month of September, 2015.TRANSCRIPT
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Large
Missing Middle
Micro
WEDP Loan Portfolio Analysis
September, 2015
WEDP works with twelve MFI partners (eight
initially selected and four of them joined in second
round of selection in January 2015). Partner-MFIs
began lending in 2014. By September 30, 2015, a
total of 3,445 loans to women worth of ETB 808M
was disbursed by the 12 MFIs. This report analyzes
3,288 loans entered into the WEDP database and
notes the trends.
The Missing Middle WEDP loans target urban, female business owners
within the “missing middle.” Ethiopia’s missing
middle can be defined as businesses requesting
loans between ETB 100,000 – 1,000,000 (Approx.
$5K-$50K). Figure.1 Missing Middle pyramid
At 244,441 ETB, the average WEDP loan does
indeed serve this “missing middle” (Fig. 1), though
it falls within the bottom of the pyramid. Over the
last one year period, changes on the average loan
size was not significant as it was Birr 244,455 in
August, 2014, and Birr 246,978 in June, 2015.
However, WEDP average loan size is by far higher
than the average individual loan size before WEDP
intervention, which was Birr 19,241. The increase in
average loan size is attributed to new opportunities
created for the MSE’s in the missing middle
through complementary TA to the MFIs to come up
with appropriate individual loan product coupled
with dedicated loan capital.
Figure 2. Advanced Vs. Cumulative Disbursed Vs. MFI's Internal Funds Utilized
As indicated on the above figure-2, though the
majority of the WEDP portfolio derives from the
WEDP credit line administered by DBE, four MFIs
(AdCSI, ACSI, SFPI and Harbu) have begun utilizing
their own funds for a total of ETB 101.3M/Out of
the total 808.3M ETB disbursed to WEDP clients/.
WEDP loan has become a significant portion of loan
portfolios for several partner MFIs. WEDP loan
accounts for up 13% for for Harbu and 11% for
ADCSI and SFPI (see Figure 3 for details). Figure 3.
WEDP Loans as a Percent of the MFI's Overall Portfolio
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
Advanced Vs. Disbursed Vs. Internal Fund utilized ( in Millions of ETB)
WEDP Loan FundAdvanced fromDBE/Total/
Cumulative WEDPLoan disbursed towomen borrowers
MFI's Internal fundutilized to WEDPClients
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
WEDP Portfolio as % of MFI's Total Portfolio, June 2015
Loans > ETB 1M
Loans < 100k
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Figure 4. Average WEDP Loan Size as of June, 2015
The smallest WEDP loan was ETB 10,000, the
largest being ETB 2.6 million. The average loan size
vary by business sector (Figure 4) with construction
sector on the high end and agriculture on the
lower. MFIs set their own minimum and maximum
loan amounts. The larger loan sizes are offered by
the bigger MFIs, ACSI and Ocssco, while small MFIs
usually provide loans below 500,000 as constrained
by internal capacity (capital, limited experience,
staff capacity, etc) including limits set by the
regulator
Figure 5: Minimum and Maximum WEDP Disbursements
But the majority of WEDP loans were made on the
lower end of the spectrum (figure 6).
Figure 6. Range of Loan Disbursements
Most WEDP businesses are mature, with an
average age of 6.5 years. Only 0.9 percent of WEDP
businesses are under one year old. The demand is
there for larger loans; however the MFIs are taking
a cautious approach due to liquidity concerns and
that WEDP loans are still a relatively new product
for them.
However, 62% of WEDP borrowers are new to the
MFI. It would appear that WEDP loans are opening
up a new market for participating MFIs. For repeat
borrowers, there was a 103% average increase in
loan size, possibly indicating that these
microfinance borrowers were dramatically
underserved by previously existing loan sizes, but
had no other borrowing options.
Eighty-two percent of WEDP loan disbursements to
date have gone to the service and trade sectors
(Figure 7).
0
100000
200000
300000
400000
Average Loan Size per sector
AverageLoan Size
0
500000
1000000
1500000
2000000
2500000
3000000
Was
asa
SFP
I
OC
SSC
O
Ad
CSI
AC
SI
DEC
SI
Har
bu
OM
O
MET
EMA
MEN
AG
GA
R
Max Vs. Min Loan Size Per MFI
Max LoanSize
Mini LoanSize
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
Number of WEDP borrowers per Loan Size Range
Number of WEDPborrowers per LoanSize Range
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Figure 7. Percent Disbursements by Sector
Collateral requirements were a key barrier to
Ethiopian women accessing credit. Most MFIs
require homes as collateral, and for women this
can be a substantial roadblock. To this end, WEDP
encouraged MFIs to use alternate forms of
collateral where lending decision should mainly be
based on cash flow of the business. (Figure 8),
Figure 8. Collateral Pledged for WEDP Loans, June, 2015
43% of the collateral pledged was other than
personal residences. These include vehicles,
personal guarantees, postdated checks, savings and
combination of these. However, the average
collateral value was ETB 498,660 making the
average collateral coverage of 204%. Why? You
can’t collateralize a fraction of a house, and homes
made up the bulk of the collateral. And the value of
the homes pledged drove up the coverage statistic.
But, over the last one year period, loan to collateral
coverage ratio decreased to 204% (September,
2015) from 221% in August, 2014, which is
encouraging.
Figure 9. Projected Loan Use
The projected loan use averaged ETB 169,606 for
working capital and ETB 156,674 for fixed assets
across all sectors. On average, 54% of the loan
went to working capital and 46% for investment
purposes. A detailed breakdown can be viewed in
Figure 9, above.
WEDP loan terms averaged nearly 33 months
across all sectors – possibly too long, considering so
many loans went for working capital.
Figure 10. WEDP Portfolio at Risk Past 30 Days
With most MFIs, the WEDP PAR30 is less than 1%.
The World Bank standard, which matches the
international standard, is PAR30 should be less
than 5%.
Agriculture 2%
Construction 3%
Trade 47%
Service 35%
Manufacturing 13%
Loan Disbursement per sector (Volume)
House 57%
Others 43%
Types of Collateral Utilized
0%20%40%60%80%
100%120%
Projected Loan Use by sector
FixedAsset/Investment
Working Capital
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
AC
SI
Ad
CSI
DEC
SI
Har
bu
Ocs
sco
OM
O
SFP
I
Was
asa
WEDP Loan PAR>30 Days
WEDP LoanPAR>30 Days
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Staff Trained
334 LOAN officers Trained.
552 MFI staff trained
To assist partner MFIs in transitioning to cash-flow
based lending, WEDP provides on-going training
and mentoring to WEDP-focused loan officers, and
branch and HO staff directly involving in
appraisal/approval of WEDP loan.
Prior to loan disbursement, borrowers were asked
to project the change in number employees after
loan disbursement. Their responses, by sector, are
in Figure 11.
Figure11: Projected Jobs (self-reported, by borrowers)
4513 ENTREPRENEURS Trained.
WEDP partners also provided training to 4513
clients based on input from FEMSEDA.
Impact
According to a recent World Bank baseline survey,
WEDP loans are making a significant, positive
impact on borrower’s businesses. After the first
year of a WEDP loan, the average business
reported a 35.7% increase in profits. WEDP
borrowers also reported an 18.2% increase in
number of employees.
35.7%
01234567
Planned/ projected Jobs (average, by sector per loan)
Planned/projected Jobs(average persector)
INCREASE IN
PROFIT