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INTRODUCTION
ECON204 (A01)
Intermediate Macroeconomics
September 05, 2012
1 Lecture 1: Introduction. ECON204 (A01) Fall 2012. Ahmed A Hoque
Text
N.G. Mankiw and W.M. Scarth, Macroeconomics, Fourth Canadian Edition, Worth Publishers Inc., 2011
Organization of the Book
2 Lecture 1: Introduction. ECON204 (A01) Fall 2012. Ahmed A Hoque
Part I: Introduction(Ch 1-2)
Part II: Economy in the Long run
(Ch 3-6)
Part III:Economy in the very
long run (Ch 7-8)
Part IV:Economy in SR/ Business
Cycle (Ch 9-13)
Part V:Govt & Economy
(Ch 14-15)
Part VI:Microfoundation
(Ch 16-19)
Our Course Outline
Introduction Ch 1: The Sciences of MacroeconomicsCh 2: The Data of Macroeconomics
The Economy in the Long-run
Ch 3: National IncomeCh 4: Money and InflationCh 5: The Open EconomyCh 6: Unemployment
The Economy in the Short- run
Ch 9: Introduction to Economic FluctuationCh 10: AD I: Building the IS-LM ModelCh 11: AD II: Applying the IS-LM ModelCh 12: Open Economy Revisited: The Mundell-Fleming Model and the ER regime
3 Lecture 1: Introduction. ECON204 (A01) Fall 2012. Ahmed A Hoque
The Economy in the Very Long-run
Ch 7: Economic Growth I: Capital Accumulation and Population Growth
Ch 8: Economic Growth II: Technology, Empirics, and Policy
4 Lecture 1: Introduction. ECON204 (A01) Fall 2012. Ahmed A Hoque
Chapter One
THE SCIENCE OF MACROECONOMICS
5 Lecture 1: Introduction. ECON204 (A01) Fall 2012. Ahmed A Hoque
Issues...
What is Macroeconomics?
Why do we study Macroeconomics?
What and how Macroeconomists Study?
Macroeconomic modeling
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What is Economics?Economics is the study of the use of scarce resources to satisfy unlimited human wants.
Macroeconomics?The study of the economy as a whole; or
“Macroeconomics is the study of the determination of economic aggregates, such as total output, total employment, the price level, and the economic growth”.
Issues in MacroeconomicsDeterminants of economic aggregates: output, unemployment, price level
Behaviour of an economy over time:7 Lecture 1: Introduction. ECON204 (A01) Fall 2012. Ahmed A Hoque
short-run fluctuations and long-run economic trend (i.e., growth rate)
Drivers of MacroeconomicsEconomic policiesFiscal policy: GovernmentMonetary Policy: Monetary Authority
Examples: Aggregate production - Growth Aggregate price level - Inflation Unemployment rate Exchange rate
How do economists think?
8 Lecture 1: Introduction. ECON204 (A01) Fall 2012. Ahmed A Hoque
Macroeconomic Modeling: Short run vs Long run
Cycle (about short run) and Trend (about long run)
oBusiness cycle: fluctuation of macroeconomic variables around their long run trends
9 Lecture 1: Introduction. ECON204 (A01) Fall 2012. Ahmed A Hoque
Trend Growth — long run growth path 10 Lecture 1: Introduction. ECON204 (A01) Fall 2012. Ahmed A Hoque
Determined by longer term issues such as savings and investment (capital accumulation)
Population and education (labour force and human capital accumulation)
Resources; and
Economic and political environment
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Figure: Real GDP per Person in the Canadian Economy
Figure: Inflation/Deflation in Canadian economy
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Figure: Unemployment rate in Canada
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2. Economic Variables
Endogenous Variables – explained by the model14 Lecture 1: Introduction. ECON204 (A01) Fall 2012. Ahmed A Hoque
Exogenous Variables – taken as given by the model
Let’s construct a model of the market for pizza
What determines the demand for pizza?
QD = f (P, Y)
What determines the supply of pizza?
QS = f (P, Pm)
Condition for market equilibrium
QD =QS
Figure: Model of Supply and Demand
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Which variables are exogenous?- Income (Y) and the price of materials (Pm)
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Which variables are endogenous?- The price of pizza (P) and the quantity exchanged (Q)
What is the impact of a change in exogenous variables? What happens if
Y changesor
Pm changes?
Is this model realistic?
Macroeconomics Models
Why are there many models in macroeconomics?
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No single model answers all questions Which models will we develop and use?
The assumption about Flexible vs. Sticky prices
Microeconomic thinking behind the macroeconomic model
Micro foundation of Macroeconomic
18 Lecture 1: Introduction. ECON204 (A01) Fall 2012. Ahmed A Hoque