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To Appear, Pages 000-000 in D. Chapman and J. Odenkirk, editors. First International Snakehead Symposium, American Fisheries Society, Bethesda, Maryland. Socrates Opens a Pandora’s Box of Northern Snakehead Issues Donald J. Orth Department of Fish and Wildlife Conservation Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University Blacksburg, Virginia 24061 Email: [email protected] Phone: 540-231-5919 Abstract Although the origin, distribution, abundance, and spread of the Northern Snakehead Channa argus in the Potomac River have been studied, management and control plans for other invasive species are increasingly contested in social arenas where stakeholder values differ. Yet, few investigations focus on social or ethical dimensions of the Northern Snakehead. Management actions for Northern Snakehead are currently limited to regulating possession, educating anglers, and encouraging harvest. In this paper I examine ethical questions to guide future decisions and argue for ethical pragmatism and participatory management, which recognize stakeholder values, aim to reduce defensiveness, increases listening, and consciously cultivates a ground of mutual respect and trust among stakeholders, scientists, and managers. Introduction Imagine that Socrates, the first moral philosopher, was alive today and was asked “What is the right thing to do in response to the establishment and spread of Northern Snakehead Channa argus in the Potomac River and Chesapeake Bay Region?” Socrates practiced ethics by questioning and deliberating over the right thing to do, rather than depending on doctrine. For him, human choice was motivated 1

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Page 1: vtechworks.lib.vt.edu€¦  · Web viewi.e., which things are right, wrong, good, or bad (Minteer 2012). Ethical arguments adjudicate among values expressed by cultural norms. We

To Appear, Pages 000-000 in D. Chapman and J. Odenkirk, editors. First International Snakehead Symposium, American Fisheries Society, Bethesda, Maryland.

Socrates Opens a Pandora’s Box of Northern Snakehead Issues

Donald J. OrthDepartment of Fish and Wildlife Conservation

Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State UniversityBlacksburg, Virginia 24061Email: [email protected]

Phone: 540-231-5919

Abstract

Although the origin, distribution, abundance, and spread of the Northern Snakehead Channa argus in the Potomac River have been studied, management and control plans for other invasive species are increasingly contested in social arenas where stakeholder values differ. Yet, few investigations focus on social or ethical dimensions of the Northern Snakehead. Management actions for Northern Snakehead are currently limited to regulating possession, educating anglers, and encouraging harvest. In this paper I examine ethical questions to guide future decisions and argue for ethical pragmatism and participatory management, which recognize stakeholder values, aim to reduce defensiveness, increases listening, and consciously cultivates a ground of mutual respect and trust among stakeholders, scientists, and managers.

Introduction

Imagine that Socrates, the first moral philosopher, was alive today and was asked “What is the right thing to do in response to the establishment and spread of Northern Snakehead Channa argus in the Potomac River and Chesapeake Bay Region?” Socrates practiced ethics by questioning and deliberating over the right thing to do, rather than depending on doctrine. For him, human choice was motivated by a desire for happiness, which was possible through the ability to reason and make choices. Like Socrates, I believe that our personal responsibility to reason and make choices can lead to better policy and governance. Therefore, my purpose here is to explore ethical reasoning to decide the right thing to do in response to appearance and spread of Northern Snakehead in the Potomac River and Chesapeake Bay region. Why do we need to include ethical reasoning in our discussion of the Northern Snakehead? Ethics addresses questions regarding how we should live our lives. Environmental or ecological ethics attempts to enlarge the domain of traditional (i.e., human) ethics by extending our moral concern to non-human entities, to individual animals and plants, and to entire ecosystems (Sarker 2012). Questions that need to be addressed with regards to Northern Snakehead include (1) What guiding principle should be employed when determining the rightness or wrongness of actions? And (2) Is there a single guiding principle for determining moral truths, or is there an irreducible plurality of principles? Invoking practical ethics is critically important as it deals with normativity,

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To Appear, Pages 000-000 in D. Chapman and J. Odenkirk, editors. First International Snakehead Symposium, American Fisheries Society, Bethesda, Maryland.

i.e., which things are right, wrong, good, or bad (Minteer 2012). Ethical arguments adjudicate among values expressed by cultural norms. We need to identify which values and norms to embrace, deliberate over incompatible goals, and following guiding principles for management that are acceptable to all.

Pandora’s box is a metaphor for the Northern Snakehead story. In Greek mythology, gods kept knowledge hidden away from men. Pandora was the first woman created by the gods and she was a curse. Gods offered her many gifts. Zeus gave Pandora a box saying “This is my own special gift to you. But don’t ever open it.” Pandora does open the box and from it flew every trouble known to humanity; strife, sickness, and other ills escaped to afflict men and women forever more. Pandora managed to keep one spirit in the box as she shut the lid. The only thing left was "hope." Pandora’s box is a myth, called a theodicy, which tries to explain why there is evil in the world (Geoghegan 2008). When we go about asking questions about the values associated with the Northern Snakehead, troubles will be released from Pandora’s box — they are the many and divergent opinions of the public that have not been fully exposed.

If we do not anticipate and examine a plurality of human values in the case of Northern Snakehead, we face Cassandra’s dilemma — Cassandra was blessed with the ability to foresee the future but cursed in that no one would believe her (Atkisson 1999). We should foresee that conflicting values will confound management if not explicitly considered. Hope, in the case of Northern Snakehead management, may be found not in foundationalist ethical theories, but in pragmatic ethical frameworks that admit to being fallible as we make and revise management decisions. From a practical perspective, dismissing stakeholders’ views in an emotionally charged environment will almost certainly decrease trust among parties (Wilson 2008). Furthermore, non-participatory planning, such as ‘decide, announce, and defend,’ results in the entrenched tyranny of minority views, prevalence of conflicts of interest, irreconcilable positions, and polarization (López-Bao et al 2017). Ethical pragmatism, however, by recognizing the coexisting core values, aims to reduce defensiveness, increase listening, and to consciously cultivate a ground of mutual respect (Clayton and Myers 2015, p. 155).

I do not focus on whether the Northern Snakehead threatens the natural environment or the economy. Rather, I examine how frameworks, such as value theory, ethical pragmatism, cognitive hierarchy theory, trust theory, and adaptive management, are appropriate guides for management of an invasive species such as the Northern Snakehead. The paper is organized as a series of Socratic questions that introduce these ethical and values frameworks.

WHAT IS THE PROBLEM?

Northern Snakehead is a large, freshwater, piscivorous fish native to China, Amur River and Khanka Lake in Russia, southeastern Siberia, and Korea (Courtenay and Williams 2004). Northern Snakehead was imported to the U.S.A. for the live food-fish market, and unauthorized release of live individuals resulted in its establishment in the Potomac

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River. Northern Snakehead spread rapidly due to rapid maturation rate, parental care, and broad environmental tolerances (Orrell and Weigt, 2005; Wegleitner et al. 2016; Fuller et al. 2018). Their appearance in a pond in Maryland in 2002 garnered substantial attention from the national media (Dolin 2003). Comedian Jon Stewart reported that “In Crofton, Maryland, environmental officials are combating an exotic species of Chinese fish that is extremely aggressive, always hungry, and has a pair of primitive lungs that allows it to wiggle across land for up to three days.” (Dolin 2003, p 144). Even David Letterman had a “Top Ten Little Known Facts about the Snakehead Fish.” (Dolin 2003, p 147).

Since first detected in the Potomac River in 2004, Northern Snakehead populations have become established in portions of the Potomac River, Chesapeake Bay tributaries, Hudson River, Rappahannock River, and Delaware River basins (Fuller et al. 2018). Additionally, Northern Snakehead was introduced in Arkansas and is spreading following a failed eradication effort (Fuller et al. 2018). High genetic diversity in these populations, high reproductive potential, and extensive protection of offspring, resulted in relatively high long-term effective population size (Resh et al. 2018). Education, enforcement, and harvest strategies have done little to reduce the spread (Love and Newhard 2018; Bunch et al. 2019, this volume).

A draft plan for the Northern Snakehead was developed to “Use the best available science and management tools to prevent the future introduction of snakehead into new areas, contain and, where possible, eradicate newly established and localized populations, and minimize impacts in areas where they are established and eradication is not feasible.” (Snakehead Plan Development Committee 2014, p 50). Despite control efforts in Maryland and Virginia, the species is expanding its range from its original introduction location in the Potomac River (Love and Newhard 2018; Bunch et al. this volume).

Despite laws prohibiting transport of live snakeheads, they are moved to new waters, presumably by sport anglers, although the vectors remain highly uncertain. Many characteristics of the species raised concerns about potential harm to the ecosystem, economy, and human health (Courtenay and Williams 2004; Kusek 2007). Northern Snakehead can breathe air by means of a unique suprabranchial chamber, by which the fish respires at the water’s surface using a cough-like mechanism (Duan et al. 2018). This adaptation permits the fish to survive for more than 20 hours out of water, further aiding its expansion. The ability of Northern Snakehead to “walk” on land (Bressman 2019, this volume) generated alarm -- “If they need to, they are capable of walking short distances (up to 75 yards) on their bellies and fins” (Mason 2003). However, expansion of the range of Northern Snakehead to other tributaries of Chesapeake Bay is facilitated by freshwater inflows and human vectors rather than overland movement (Bunch et al. 2019, this volume). First described as voracious feeders that would eat every other fish, their consumption patterns in the Potomac River are similar to those of Largemouth Bass Micropterus salmoides (Saylor et al. 2012; Isel and Odenkirk 2019, this volume), which continue to thrive there (Love and Newhard 2012). Nest spawning and guarding behaviors contribute to its potential for exponential population growth (Jiao et al. 2009). A broad adaptability to a wide range of temperature and salinity means that Northern

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Snakehead have the potential to colonize many waters in North America (Herborg et al. 2007). Rate of expansion may vary by region. Northern Snakehead is expanding from the Potomac introduction (Love and Newhard 2018), but not expanding rapidly in lakes in Queens, New York (Cohen and MacDonald 2016). A lack of societal input itself may be the biggest problem surrounding the issue of Northern Snakehead in the Potomac and Chesapeake Bay regions.

WHAT DO RESEARCH STUDIES ON INVASION SUGGEST?

Three reviews of studies on invasive species are instructive. Jeschke et al. (2012a, 2012b) reviewed empirical studies that examined six major hypotheses in invasion biology. These empirical studies demonstrated that the probability that an introduced species becomes invasive depends on the taxonomic group and habitat in question, not a simple “tens rule” finding. Support for three hypotheses, invasional meltdown (Simberloff and Von Holle 1999), novel weapons (Callaway and Ridenour 2004), and enemy release (Blumenthal et al. 2009), was high whereas support for biotic resistance (Jeschke and Genovesi 2011), tens rule (Jeschke 2008), and island susceptibility (Shea and Chesson 2002) were low and declining over time. Effective policy-making for Northern Snakehead cannot rely solely on general rules from other empirical studies because of the context dependency of effects. Hypothesis generation is ongoing (Ricciardi et al. 2013; Simberloff et al. 2013). A global review of the available evidence leads one to conclude that a very high degree of uncertainty exists. A review by Ricciardi and Ryan (2017) revealed a rise in denialism that was challenged by Sagoff (2018). In the third review of the literature on invasive species, Estévez et al. (2015) reported on the rarity of studies on social dimension of invasive-species issues, a gap previously identified by Lodge and Shrader-Frechette (2003) and Larson et al. (2011).

Studies on the social dimensions of species invasions, though infrequent, expose human values conflicts. The majority (82%) of conflicts identified by Estévez et al. (2015) were derived from value-system disagreements. Consequently, the rise of denialism may indicate alternative ways of thinking (Crowley et al. 2017a; Ricciardi and Ryan 2017, 2018) or definitions of deleterious effects (Jeschke et al. 2014). We need to deliberate in a way that considers that multiple perspectives may be correct. The debate over how to define and deal with invasive species continues with strong views on both sides (Sagoff 2005; Simberloff 2005; Richardson and Riccardi 2013; Russell and Blackburn 2017a, 2017b; Riccardi and Ryan 2017, 2018; Sagoff 2018) and will not be resolved quickly. Yet management plans for Northern Snakehead must be developed and immediately implemented despite anticipated conflict.

WHAT IS “SUCCESSFUL PROBLEM SOLVING” IN THE CONTEXT OF SPECIES INVASIONS?

Management plans for invasive species are successful if their measurable objectives are achieved. However, no measurable objective of performance was explicitly stated in the snakehead management and control plan (SPDC 2014). After an objective is in place,

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success requires passionate leadership, persistence, partnerships, trust, and strategic optimism. While the first two characteristics are possessed by individuals, the other characteristics require participatory engagement to overcome uncertainty and other obstacles. Basically, trust theory posits that trust develops through repeated interactions between parties, may drive collaborations, reduces harmful conflict, and facilitates management (Stern and Coleman 2015).

A Northern Snakehead management plan, to be effective, must anticipate that the multiple parties involved will have strong opinions and values and, therefore, will most certainly clash over management objectives. One or more parties may assert their interests at the expense of others, leading to an entrenched tyranny of minority views (Redpath et al. 2015). Furthermore, effective control and planning related to biological invasions requires a fair process so all peoples may voice their opinions and cooperate in plan development (Olszanska et al. 2016). A top-down, or DAD (Decide, Announce, and Defend), approach to planning has repeatedly been proven to not address the needs of affected parties (Norton 2005, p 423). Recent research on fair participation demonstrated that increased trust through fairness makes conflict resolution a more likely -- though not a certain -- outcome (Stern and Coleman 2015; Young et al. 2016a; López-Bao et al. 2017).

IS THE NORTHERN SNAKEHEAD INVASIVE?

To develop and enact sensible policies, it is crucial to consider two philosophical questions: (1) What exactly makes a species native or exotic, and (2) What values are at stake? (Woods and Moriarty 2001). Based on human introduction, evolutionary origin, and historical range, Northern Snakehead would qualify as “exotic” but evidence for harm to ecosystem, human health, or the economy amounts to academic speculation in need of critical evaluation (Courtenay and Williams 2004). While ecologists define invasive species based on explosive expansion of population size and range (Lockwood et al. 2013), others define invasive precisely as the determination of harm (Woods and Moriarty 2001; ISAC 2006). Adopting a risk-assessment framework which addresses costs and benefits and multiple criteria is needed by managers (Dana et al. 2014). Five major values are of interest: ecosystem health, biodiversity, naturalness, animal welfare, anthropocentric values of nature (recreational and economic values). Davis et al. (2011) argued that agencies and conservation organizations should base management plans on sound empirical evidence, not on unfounded claims of harm caused by non-natives. Jeschke et al. (2014) further maintained that harm by invasive species must be explicitly and unambiguously defined. Some exotic species may, after naturalization, prove beneficial (Schlaepfer et al. 2011). Explicit definition of harm is a major source of uncertainty with regards to the Northern Snakehead. However, a precautionary approach does not preclude action. “Lack of scientific certainty about the environmental, social and economic risk posed by a potentially invasive alien species or by a potential pathway should not be used as a reason for avoiding preventative action against the introduction of potentially invasive alien species. Likewise, lack of certainty

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about the long-term implication of an invasion should not be used as a reason for postponing eradication, containment, or control measures.” (Miller and Gunderson 2004, p. 10).

WHAT ARE HARMS AND BENEFITS FROM NORTHERN SNAKEHEAD?

Removing the Northern Snakehead might be considered as a process of ecological restoration, i.e., “assisting the recovery of an ecosystem that has been degraded, damaged, or destroyed.’’ (SER 2002). One measure of recovery might be biological integrity. However, the definitions of this term are still debatable. Karr and Dudley (1981, p 55) define biological integrity as ‘‘the capability of supporting and maintaining a balanced, integrated, adaptive community of organisms having a species composition, diversity, and functional organization comparable to that of the natural habitat of the region.’’ In contrast, Cairns (1977, p.171) maintains that ‘‘Biological integrity [is] ... the maintenance of the community structure and function characteristic of a particular locale, or deemed satisfactory to society.’’ The inclusion of the “satisfactory to society” criterion is an important recognition of human values. If one accepts the Karr and Dudley (1981) definition, then a hypothesized negative effect of Northern Snakehead on Largemouth Bass (a non-native fish in mid-Atlantic coast drainages) populations (Love and Newhard 2012) would not influence biological integrity. Rather, the hypothesized influence of Northern Snakehead removal would be the negative economic effect on recreational fishing. The competitive influence of Northern Snakehead on Largemouth Bass remains a hotly debated issue of contention, but Northern Snakehead remain abundant in many places in the Potomac where Largemouth Bass are present (Love and Newhard 2018; Bunch et al. 2019, this volume). Both Largemouth Bass and Northern Snakehead fishing (and bowfishing) remain popular recreational activities. Some vocal snakehead anglers see the snakehead as a valuable resource to conserve via creel or size limits (Mathwin 2018), which runs counter to destruction rules in place (Rice 2016). Biodiversity and species richness measures, as used in many invasion studies, exclude or penalize based on the presence of introduced species (Sagoff 2018). Perhaps we are seeing the beginnings of an alien species helping to revive aquatic-based recreation in a long-ignored part of the Chesapeake Bay (Pearce 2015). Alternatively, harm to human health or ecosystem health may still emerge sometime after fourteen years of population expansion. However, concepts such as threat, risk, damage, and harm are normative and involve value judgments and further study (Slobodkin 2001). A new way of thinking may be needed to more effectively help solve the management challenges surrounding the invasion of Northern Snakehead. Local groups, such as the Virginia Snakehead Hunters, Snakehead Stalkers, Virginia Bowhunters Association, sport anglers (Potomac Snakehead Tournament) and local restaurants have exploited local Northern Snakehead populations for sport and food. Although no studies have explored the benefits from these activities for Northern Snakehead, the idea of eating invasive species to control their populations has become popular (Nuñez et al. 2012). Few incentives have been used to encourage harvest of Northern Snakehead, though educational outreach, surveillance and early detection

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appear to be positive aspects of harvest programs (Nuñez et al. 2012). A sport fishery, though not promoted, has found a small following of anglers who advocate for permitting catch-and-release fishing (Mathwin 2018). Because harvest is the primary means for control of Northern Snakehead, a demonstrated lack of success may cause snakehead anglers to question the goal, a response that cannot be detected without better public involvement. The curse of popularity may encourage further introductions of Northern Snakehead, as is suspected for other invasive species such as feral hogs (Caplenor et al. 2017) and studies of human attitudes are needed to judge the public support for control programs (Caplenor et al. 2017).

WHAT IS BEING DONE NOW? Northern Snakehead was listed as injurious wildlife under the Federal Lacy Act in 2002 and Rice (2016) summarized available policy actions as (1) indifference, best suited for states not currently threatened by snakeheads; (2) authorized destruction, suited for states with present threat from snakeheads; and (3) compulsory destruction. Regulations vary by state. Maryland requests absolute destruction and advises anglers to "kill it and DO NOT put it back in the water." (Maryland DNR, no date). Virginia asks anglers to report snakeheads kept, and snakeheads in possession must be dead. The Virginia rule is authorized destruction, i.e., killing snakeheads is not absolutely compulsory, but the Department recommends it (Virginia Department of Game and Inland Fisheries, no date).

Some anglers and bowfishers are targeting snakeheads in the Potomac River (Heggenstaller 2017). Potential recommended activities that favor an invasivorism approach, such as snakehead roundups and contributions to food banks, have not become popular yet. Because more government involvement in snakehead control generally means requiring different behavior from private individuals, this inevitably gives rise to challenges from individuals who are opposed to complying with the new regulations (Rice 2016, p 977).

Although conflicts exist, they have not been resolved. For example, it is possible for one to challenge a rule requiring automatic killing of snakeheads under the Religious Freedom Restoration Act of 1993 (42 U.S.C. § 2000b, Rice 2016). In 2017, the Virginia General Assembly increased the penalty for persons illegally moving (stocking) snakeheads to a class 1 misdemeanor punishable by up to 12 months in jail, a fine of $2500, or both. An additional conflict arises under compulsory destruction rules when anglers are required to remove snakeheads, but the states do not take an active approach to destroying snakeheads and reporting their removals. The principle of transparency requires that the state report their removals and progress toward control.

Additional scrutiny is needed to prevent further spread of Northern Snakehead. Although all snakehead fish can no longer be imported into the U.S. or be transported across state lines without a permit, the effectiveness of penalties on popularity of snakeheads in pet industry and live-fish food market are unknown. Resh et al. (2018) demonstrated high genetic similarity between Potomac River and Philadelphia populations, a finding that is possible only via human-assisted gene flow. The frequency of human-assisted spread of

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the Northern Snakehead from Potomac River could mean that many states managing via policy indifference might soon become states with concerns.

WHAT VALUES ARE AT STAKE OR IN CONFLICT?

Policy actions inevitably favor one group over another. Uncertainty about Northern Snakehead means we need to adopt policies that admit the possibility of being wrong; these are precautionary approaches (Miller and Gunderson 2004; Norton 2005). Indifference may be an acceptable option for states far removed from the Potomac epicenter. The authorized destruction policy recognizes the values of many sport anglers who have developed a strict ethic of practicing catch-and-release fishing. Compulsory destruction rules may lead to legal challenges and conflict (Rice 2016, p. 982). Catch-and-release anglers and others may be morally opposed to killing a snakehead, even if the fish is invasive and the state specifically wishes to reduce their population. This issue is already dividing stakeholders in this region (Mathwin 2018; see Chapman and Odenkirk, this volume).

Unless and until threats are defined and evident, government agencies will be reluctant to prioritize resources for control of snakehead because there is no basis for judging success of the programs. Ecological effects of a species must be weighed against the ecological effects of removing the species, and the economic costs brought about by exotic species must be weighed against the economic costs of removal and restoration programs. Decisions are often made on pragmatic grounds such as which species are easiest to control, the estimated economic costs of control, and effects alleviated. Value conflicts will continue until Northern Snakehead detrimental effects are no longer labeled as uncertain or data deficient, and instead quantified as minimal, moderate, or major (Blackburn et al. 2014). HOW DO VALUES RELATE TO HUMAN BEHAVIORS?

Miller and Gunderson (2004) and others recognized that “ultimate questions about the law and policy with regard to non-indigenous and invasive species reflect deep value preferences, values that reflect more general philosophical tenets that may border on religious beliefs.” Values are enduring and stable beliefs that form the basis of the cognitive hierarchy framework to understand social perceptions of invasive species (Estévez et al. 2015). Attitudes are supported by one or more values and affected by a person’s perception of risk. Finally, behaviors result directly from cultural norms and attitudes. Authorized destruction policies may result in fewer conflicts than compulsory destruction and future research should adopt the cognitive hierarchy theory framework to examine expected behaviors of individuals and groups in the Northern Snakehead case.

Persons with strong utilitarian values may readily agree and adopt positions for compulsory destruction. However, others with differing values will naturally be in conflict. Compulsory destruction programs, which may have greater likelihood to control Northern Snakehead populations, have three requirements: (1) legal obligation to remove

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fish from the water permanently; (2) an alternative to killing the fish; and (3) penalties for releasing a captured fish (Rice 2016). The Maryland rule is ambiguous about whether an angler is specifically disallowed from releasing snakeheads that they catch. In not addressing catch-and-release anglers, the Maryland rule has not adequately included catch-and-release anglers in their deliberations (Mathwin 2018). Furthermore, compulsory destruction may open the state to constitutional objections under the Free Exercise Clause (Thomas 2013, p 25-26) that prevents the government from interfering with the lawful, personal exercise of religion (Rice 2016).

HOW CAN WE DEAL WITH MULTIPLE VALUES?

Values and attitudes will influence beliefs and behaviors regarding Northern Snakehead, so each stakeholder may have different preferences. For example, Epstein (2017) mused that “as an environmentalist we should manage all invasive aquatic species, as a scientist we should manage some, and as a humanist we should manage very few.” In a survey of 422 invasion biologists, responses were split regarding the statement “Any characterization that nonindigenous species are good or bad is a value judgment, not science” (49% agreed, 40% disagreed; Young and Larson 2011:895). The context is, therefore, often the determinant of one’s judgement regarding the value of invasive species (Dickman et al. 2015).

From a humanist perspective it is arguable that we should only concentrate on those invasive species that cause economic or ecosystem service net loss. Even here, we can expect conflicts. Rules reduce people’s freedom to catch and release or even keep snakeheads as captive animals. Simberloff et al. (2013) emphasized that invasive species controversies are rooted in divergent ethical frameworks (Callicott 1980). Ecocentrists will focus on ecological attributes or processes, anthropocentrists do not worry about ecological effects unless they drive economic or social damages, and zoocentrists accord equal moral consideration to every living being and oppose eradication plans. While surveys of the values and attitudes of stakeholders in the Northern Snakehead case have not been initiated, we can expect that a variety of perspectives exist.

Some, perhaps most, individuals will be swayed by the importance of universal principles (i.e., foundationalism), but I argue in the context of the Northern Snakehead that a reliance on principle of fallibalism, recognized by ethical pragmatists, is the preferred option. Fallibalism is the philosophical doctrine that absolute certainty about knowledge is impossible, or at least that all claims to knowledge could, in principle, be mistaken. Fallibalism recognizes the lack of certainty that characterizes other foundational ethics. The limitations of a single ethical principle are becoming obvious as practitioners dealing with invasive species acknowledge and respect multiple values in decision-making (Minteer and Collins 2008; Dana et al. 2014). Because competing ethical principles will be at play, the principle of fair treatment requires that each party to a conflict have sufficient incentive to resolve the dispute (Holland 2015). Furthermore, the treatment of animals has been an emerging value in the code of ethics of professional societies. The code from the Society of Conservation Biology requires its members to “Adhere to the

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highest standards for treatment of animals used in research in a way that contributes most positively to sustaining natural populations and ecosystems.” (SCB 2004).

Environmental pragmatists believe that the diversity of values should be respected to allow for deliberate, creative conflict mediation and social learning in contrast to some quest for ethical perfection (Sharp et al. 2011; Holland 2015). Tadaki et al. (2017) developed a typology of value concepts and argued that all forms of values provide ways of approaching civic engagement. These four concepts—value as a magnitude of preference, value as contribution to a goal, values as individual priorities, and values as relations—are relevant to examining divergent values in the Northern Snakehead case.

Although there are no social-science studies related to the Northern Snakehead in the Chesapeake Bay region, it is reasonable to expect that values and their importance will differ among individuals or groups adopting differing ethical theories (Kellert 1993,1996). Value orientations will often lie along two contrasting dimensions, labeled as domination and mutualism (Manfredo 2008; Manfredo et al. 2009). Domination refers to value orientations that de-personalizes the wild animal and favors killing, while mutualism views the wild animal as special components of nature or community, deserving rights like humans. Making plans for the Northern Snakehead case without this type of values inventory and understanding seems unwise, reminding us of Cassandra’s dilemma. Cassandra’s dilemma is relevant here if one is silent while knowing that the future will bring conflicts if we do not address the plurality of views in our planning. Furthermore, the process of applied-values research requires explicit exploration of attitudes of local stakeholders and experts in the dynamic decision-making process, where classification of nonindigenous species may change over time (Figure 1).

A management and control plan should develop goals by including multiple social and political stakeholders and analyzing benefits and costs to society (Figure 1). In doing so, we will anticipate how preferred interventions vary among stakeholders with differing values as applied to issues of killing invasive animals (Callicott 1980; O’Neill 1997; Varner 2003, 2008). Each ethical theory will be associated with differing rankings of ‘natural values,’ i.e., those that promote the persistence and increase of non-human biota or enhance non-anthropogenic aspects of the physical environment (Sarker 2012, p. 21). We cannot immediately apply this to the Northern Snakehead without a survey of stakeholder values and ethic perspectives. HOW WILL YOU MANAGE CONFLICTS OVER THE NORTHERN SNAKEHEAD?

Success or failure in environmental problem-solving is often determined by the way a problem is formulated and discussed in public discourse (Norton 2005). If there is inherent disagreement on the formulation of the problem and potential solutions, the likelihood of effective intervention is very low. Soon after the introduction of the Northern Snakehead, conflicts among multiple stakeholders with strongly held positions emerged over differing values and objectives (Rice 2016; see transcript of facilitated

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discussion, this volume). The choice language used in framing the problems and prevailing discourse (Caballo-Cárdenas 2016; Fisher 2016; Baynham-Herd et al. 2018) may result in polarization, thereby decreasing the likelihood for passion, persistence, partnerships, trust and strategic optimism to develop (López-Bao et al. 2017). Furthermore, the framework of Novoa et al. (2018) recognizes that classifications as inconsequential, desirable, undesirable, or conflict may change over time (Figure 1). Other practitioners dealing with invasive species have developed approaches to anticipate and transcend barriers via conflict interventions to influence behaviors (Estévez et al. 2015; Redpeth et al. 2015; Fisher 2016; Young et al. 2016a, 2016b; Crowley et al. 2017b; Baynhem-Herd et al. 2018). Conflict interventions are effective only when informed by evidence and underpinned by a valid theory of change that describes the logical and ordered sequence of interventions, actions, and outcomes identified during the planning process (Qiu et al. 2018).

Management of biological invasions may be tame or wicked (Woodford et al. 2016). While science is best equipped to deal with tame problems (Rittel and Webber 1973), a disconnect between perception and reality that influences the likelihood of successful management. Northern Snakehead has both benefits and costs to different parties, which lead to conflicts over their use and management (Figure 1). The Northern Snakehead represents a wicked problem in invasive-species management because there is inherent disagreement on the formulation of the problem and its potential solutions, and number and types of stakeholders are high (Woodford et al. 2016). Young et al. (2016b) proposed a conflict-management tool that may be useful in this context. Examining the six stages of conflict management (Table 1) suggests that we need to examine the social dimensions of the Northern Snakehead case with regards to questions at stages two through five. The draft Snakehead plan (SPDC 2014) did not define criteria for judging success of the plan. Among the multiple criteria that should be developed for decision analysis, almost every desirable criterion must compete with cost or other criteria and tradeoffs must be introduced between them (Norton 2005, p. 595; Gregory et al. 2012; Dana et al. 2014). Stakeholder engagement is a dynamic process that must be dialogue-based and include feedback mechanisms that allow stakeholders to assess their engagement. Many general recommendations for moving forward are summarized in recent literature on participatory decision making (Estévez et al. 2015; Redpeth et al. 2015; Fisher 2016; Young et al. 2016a, 2016b; Crowley et al. 2017b; Baynhem-Herd et al. 2018).

HOW SHOULD WE PRIORITIZE SCARCE RESOURCES?

As invading species proceed through a series of stages (i.e., introduction, establishment, spread, and impact), each of these stages presents opportunities for management (Lodge et al. 2016). Although some actions to prevent further introductions and establishment are in place (SPDC 2014), Northern Snakehead populations are still spreading (Love and Newhard 2018; Morelli 2018; Wise 2018; Bunch et al. 2019, this volume) and management agencies in this region need to discuss approaches to limit the spread.

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McGeoch et al. (2016) emphasized that once an invasive species is established, the focus must move to preventing further spread and protecting high-value sites. As dispersal of the Northern Snakehead continues, budgets to support risk assessment, monitoring, surveillance, and control will remain constrained. Therefore, many actions in the plan (SPDC 2014; Woodford et al. 2016), such as expensive removal actions, will not be implemented and novel approaches may be required. Surveillance and monitoring are important actions in the plan during introduction, establishment, and spread stages (Lodge et al. 2016). Training and engagement of citizen scientists may be cost effective and may help to build trust and create a real-time surveillance system that aids in learning about human-mediated extra-range dispersal (Wilson et al. 2009; Ricciardi et al 2017). These actions also lead to improvements in science literacy and knowledge as well as increased intention to engage in activities (Dickinson et al. 2010; Crall et al. 2012). A new way of thinking is needed for invasive-species problems such as Northern Snakehead (Woodford et al. 2016). A fundamental change in how research is conducted and implemented means that scientists must gain trust of decision makers and citizens. Instead of sending the problem to scientists, we should be working together in the coproduction of knowledge by engaging with those people affected by the problem. Participatory decision-making engages and builds long-term trust among parties (Stern and Coleman 2015; Young et al. 2016a) while maintaining governments accountable to public trust responsibilities (López-Bao et al. 2017). Blurring the lines of authority and separation may allow for practical solutions and ranking the risk of the Northern Snakehead (Norton 2005; Toomey et al. 2016; Bennett et al. 2017). In the process scientists may gain the trust of decisionmakers and citizens. Conflicts should be anticipated by adopting more inclusive citizen participation with the intent of curtailing future spread of Northern Snakehead and overcoming the entrenched tyranny of the minority (Redpath et al. 2015; Crowley et al. 2017b). A top-down education approach ignores differences in social values and risk perceptions (Lute and Gore 2014). Participatory management as applied to other fisheries management concerns may be adopted in some form to manage the Northern Snakehead. The fundamental value of this approach would be that interested parties would not be excluded from meaningful participation in planning and delivery of interventions before conflicts become more destructive (Crowley et al. 2017b). Participatory, also known as community-based, management and full stakeholder participation may lead to accepted rules and responsibilities, enhanced communication, improved surveillance, and trust in governments (Castello et al. 2009; Blythe et al. 2017; Verbrugge et al. 2017). However, this approach will require the intervention of trained facilitator who will examine coexisting core values, reduce defensiveness, increase active listening, and consciously cultivate a ground of mutual respect (Clayton and Myers 2015). Conclusions

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Here, I have opened Pandora’s box, revealing many unanswered questions. However, I have also called attention to some essential steps to improve future plans. Northern Snakehead is a non-native species and yet evidence supporting the supposition of harm to ecosystem, economy, or human health is lacking even as the populations continue to spread. Conflicts over invasive species arise when top-down, decision-making processes lack participation and transparency, a situation that leads local communities to mistrust government agencies (Estévez et al. 2015). A fundamental shift in approach has great potential if we implement a participatory process that anticipates conflict and is informed by evidence and a valid theory of change (Young et al. 2016a; Qiu et al 2018).

Engaging more stakeholders has several benefits. Any examination of human attitudes about Northern Snakehead will benefit from establishing a broader sampling frame for human attitudes. There is potential to develop a citizen-science capacity to monitor and develop early detection capability and surveillance (Crall et al. 2012; Dickinson et al. 2010). Because of time since introduction and variety of stakeholders with polarized views and unexamined costs and benefits, the Northern Snakehead is a conflict species (Woodford et al. 2016). An open, participatory process is desirable to build trust and control further spread of the Northern Snakehead. Global consensus is building among those working with invasive species that we must acknowledge the legitimacy of the diversity of ethical perspectives and overcome our differences by collectively seeking practical solutions (Norton 2005; Simberloff et al. 2013). Research in invasive-species biology has largely ignored social science and humanities (Estévez et al. 2015). Developing a predictive understanding of the differences between disruptive and innocuous invasions is a major research goal for the field of invasion biology (Ricciardi and Ryan 2018). I remain hopeful with regards to the Northern Snakehead, if we choose to proceed with participatory decision making that builds long-term trust among parties, does not duplicate other fisheries management needs, and maintains accountability to public trust responsibilities. Those left out of the policy process may serve as vectors, undermining legal authorities and moving Northern Snakehead to new waters. We need to examine why some want more Northern Snakehead in their local waters.

Scientists engaged in the Northern Snakehead controversy must use neutral language and beware of any value-laden terminology (Colautti and MacIsaac 2004). As we move forward, scientist must use explicit definitions that are in line with accepted policy. The most common definition in the US is “non-native species that causes harm to the economy, to the environment, or to human health (ISAC 2006), yet definitions of deleterious effects have not been formalized in the Northern Snakehead plan. Catastrophic descriptors that pervaded writings during the first introduction of Northern Snakehead have proven to be hyperbole (Mason 2003). We should not adopt or promote such alarmist and evocative metaphors (Larson 2007, 2011; Lidstrom et al. 2015).

We need to beware of oversimplification. Daniel Kahneman has demonstrated through a long series of psychological experiments how humans substitute complexity and

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difficulty with easier narratives that better fit existing preferences (Kahneman 2011). The use of terms “invasive” and “alien” can replace slow deliberative thinking that we need with easy fast thinking about native versus nonnative, or good versus evil. Slow deliberative thinking takes a diverse group of stakeholders who are intimately engaged and knowledgeable about complex webs of ecological, economic, and social relations in waters inhabited by Northern Snakehead.

AcknowledgementsAaron Bunch, Leandro Castello, Corbin Hilling, Michael J. Moore, Duane Chapman, and anonymous reviewers helped refine the message. The author was supported in part by the U.S. Department of Agriculture through the National Institute of Food and Agriculture Program and Virginia Tech University.

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To Appear, Pages 000-000 in D. Chapman and J. Odenkirk, editors. First International Snakehead Symposium, American Fisheries Society, Bethesda, Maryland.

Table 1. Six stages in conflict management and associated questions (Young et al. 2016b)____________________________________________________________________

Stage of conflict Associated Questions____________________________________________________________________

One Is there a conflict?Two Is the context of the conflict understood?Three Is a multi-stakeholder process for conflict management

required and/or suitable?Four Is there a joint understanding of the conflict and its

evidence base?Five Is there a shared goal and agreed process toward reaching

this goal?Six Is monitoring in place?

____________________________________________________________________

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To Appear, Pages 000-000 in D. Chapman and J. Odenkirk, editors. First International Snakehead Symposium, American Fisheries Society, Bethesda, Maryland.

Figure 1. Classification of nonindigenous species based on their potential benefits and costs for society. Arrows indicate potential category changes for a particular species over time (adapted from Novoa et al. 2018).

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