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Disclosures and Disclaimer : This report must be read with the disclosures in the Disclosure appendix, and with the Disclaimer, which forms part of it. This document does not contain any investment views or opinions.
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Welcome NoteTuesday
05th February, 2019
Title Page No.
Morning Quantum Global 04-07
Top Picks 08-09
Equity Derivatives 10
Daily Pivot Table (Equity) 11
Compass & Navigator 12-14
Daily Pivot Table (Commodities) 15
Disclaimer 16
CONTENTS
Morning Quantum Global
TOP PICKS
COMPASS & NAVIGATOR
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The Right Way to Do the Right Things…Morning Quantum Global newsletter provides insights and themes for Indian equity markets. We also try and cover international themes for the day. This newsletter is quite popular with traders as it covers the most preferred trading strategy for Sensex/Nifty for the day.
In Chart of the day section, we recommend a stock which is likely to move significantly in the short term, clearly defining the supports, the resistances and bias for the stock.
In a nutshell, Morning Quantum Global covers themes and insights for the day.
MORNING Quantum Global
Nifty Outlook
Intraday
Medium Term
Long Term
Key Levels to Watch
Nifty Support
Nifty Resistance
Pivot Level
Nifty
Outlook for the Day
INDICES
Nifty
Bank Nifty
Nifty Auto Index
Nifty FMCG Index
Nifty Infra Index
Nifty IT Index
Nifty Media Index
Nifty Midcap Index
Nifty Metal Index
Nifty Pharma Index
Nifty Reality Index
Nifty Smallcap Index
Sensex
SGX Nifty
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MORNING Quantum Global
Good Morning & Welcome to Tuesday's trading action at Dalal Street, dated
5th February 2019.
SGX Nifty in early action is indicating that our stock markets will open with strong gains amidst a
positive close at Wall Street in Monday's trade.
Our call of the day suggests that Nifty likely to step higher above 11,000 mark. Major hurdles
seen at 11,111 mark. Positive bias on Nifty as long as 10813 support is held.
The bulls likely to celebrate as UK clears Vijay Mallya's extradition to India. Well as
per reports, the entire procedure to bring back Mallya to India may take only 7-8
months if he uses all his legal options.
This morning the renewed optimism is also on backdrop of:
1. Positive developments in U.S-China trade talks. U.S. President Donald Trump's weekend
remarks that trade talks with Beijing are “doing very well”. U.S.-China trade talks will
remain in focus as a March 1 deadline to avoid an increase on tariffs on Chinese imports
looms
2. Sentiments continue to benefit from a dovish Federal Reserve after the central bank last
week signaled rate increases were on hold until further notice.
3. Hopes of a rate cut by RBI at its policy meeting on Thursday, 7th February. The street
expects a softer stance from the central bank in the wake of easing inflation.
Technically speaking, the positive takeaway from yesterday's trade is that Nifty did bounce from
the mentioned support at 10813 mark.
Now judging by this price action at Dalal Street, the benchmark Nifty now needs to close above
11001 mark to fuel further optimism. Above 11001, Nifty will gear up for a big rally which should
take Nifty towards 11111 mark. The must watch support for Nifty from here on is at 10813 mark.
Long story short: Dalal Street is likely to be the much preferred investment destination as long
as Nifty trades above 10,813 zone.
Daily Chart of Nifty:
Outlook for Tuesday: Nifty likely to aim 11111 mark.
Meanwhile, commanding investors attention this week would be Q3 earnings:
• 5-Feb: Mahindra, GAIL, HPCL, ACC, BHEL, Punjab National Bank, Oriental Bank of
Commerce, IDFC First Bank, DLF, Apollo Tyres, Tata Global and Dish TV.
• 6-Feb: Lupin, Cipla, Siemens, Adani Ports, Adani Power, JSW Steel and Allahabad Bank.
• 7-Feb: Tata Motors, Aurobindo Pharma, Britannia, Adani Enterprises, Coffee Day, Cadila
Healthcare, Arvind and Grasim.
• 8-Feb: Mahindra & Mahindra, NHPC, BPCL and Engineers India.
STOCKS TO WATCH:
• Our chart of the day suggests establishing long positions in stocks like RBK BANK,
MAHANAGAR GAS & INDRAPRASTHA GAS (IGL) with interweek perspective.
• BULLISH STOCKS: IGL, MGL, HUL, PNB, UPL, NIIT TECH, REC, PFC, BIOCON, LUPIN,
VOLTAS, TITAN, DIVIS LAB.
10912 0.17%
27187 0.37%
8396 -0.54%
30009 -0.63%
2944 -1.79%
15755 0.19%
2068 -1.38%
4681 -0.83%
2794 -0.75%
8812 -1.76%
229 -0.99%
6044 -1.55%
36583 0.31%
10959 0.43%
Nifty's key hurdles at 11001.
Neutral (10871-10971)
Neutral (10379-11001)
Positive (11501)
10851 & 10739
11001 & 11111
10591
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MORNING Quantum Global
Technical Strategy• BEARISH STOCKS: MRF, MCX, AJANTA PHARMA, BPCL, HPCL, RELIANCE POWER,
RELIANCE CAPITAL, BHEL, NALCO.
• SHOW ME THE MONEY: BUY VOLTAS (CMP 544): VOLTAS is witnessing strong
momentum seen on the upside. The make-or-break support level is at 538. Interweek
Strategy: Buy between 537-541 zone, targeting 575 and then at 589-591 zone. Stop
527.
• Stocks banned in F&O segment for today: DHFL, IDBI.
• As per media reports, Britannia Industries could be the next entrant to the Nifty50 index
in the upcoming index review in February considering the company's free float market-
cap has increased while either Hindustan Petroleum Corporation (HPCL) or Bharti
Infratel are likely to be excluded from Nifty.
FII/DII & OPTIONS DATA:
• As per Friday's provisional data available on the NSE, Foreign Institutional Investors
(FIIs) sold shares worth Rs 112.13 crore and Domestic Institutional Investors sold
shares worth Rs 65.22 crore worth of shares in the Indian equity market on February 4.
• As per option data, Maximum Call Open Interest (OI) stands at 11000 Strike Price,
followed by 11200 Strike Price for 28th February Series. Long build-up was seen at strike
prices 10800-10900. Maximum Put Open Interest (OI) was seen at strike price 10700
followed by 10400 strike price for 28th February series. Short buildup was seen at strike
prices 10500-10900.
GLOBAL CUES:
Wall Street ended Monday's trade with modest gains on backdrop of positive
developments in U.S-China trade talks. Also the street was buoyant after an
unexpectedly strong January jobs report. The U.S. economy created 3.0400 new jobs in
January, well above the consensus estimate of 172,000. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve
signaled that rate increases are on pause and that its next policy move will depend on
economic data. The Fed cited market turbulence as one key consideration for its softer
tone.
As on Friday's trade, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose to extend its winning streak
for a sixth week, the longest since November 2017.
In last week's trade, the Dow Jones Industrial Average ended at 25,063.89, up 1.3% for
the week. The S&P 500 index climbed 1.6% for the week. The Nasdaq Composite Index
closed at 7,263.87 adding 1.4% for the week.
MACRO EVENTS:
• The street will take a cautious stand to governments missed revenue and expenditure
estimates and most importantly, the expansion of ongoing welfare schemes. Complete
tax rebate up to Rs 5 lakh is a populist measure and the loss of tax collection will equal to
around Rs 18,500 crore. Also, the Rs 6,000 per year to farmers to be fully funded by the
central government will cost Rs 75,000 crore for the scheme for FY20.
Modest fiscal slippages seen. Please note, the fiscal deficit for FY19 has breached the
target of 3.3%, touching 3.4%.
• Modi government's interim Budget is aimed at the ballot. We say so because,
it includes myriad sops and schemes for the:
a. Farm sector (A yearly budget of Rs 75,000 to India’s 120 million small and
marginal farmers who benefit with Rs 6,000 as assured income support -- the
transfer of funds directly into their Jan Dhan accounts).
b. Tax-paying middle-income group (The income-tax threshold raised from Rs
2,50,000 to Rs 500,000. Standard deduction limit for the rest has gone up
from Rs 40,000 to Rs 50,000. Capital gains exemption to be available on 2
house properties. Income tax relief on notional rent from unsold houses
extended to 2 years from 1).
The momentum oscillators are shifting in buy
mode and the stock price signaling a major
rebound. The stock price is signaling a break out
from a lower consolidation zone on daily charts.
Major weakness likely only below
intermediate low at 529. Confirmation of
strength above 585.
The sequence of higher highs / lows is intact in
monthly charts, indicating further strength. Also a
flag pattern seen on monthly charts. The stock is
likely to be a big outperformer going forward.
Establishing long positions at CMP, and on any
weakness between 529-533 zone should be the
preferred trading strategy, targeting 585 and
then at 601-605 zone. Stop below 517. Holding
Period: 9 days.
VOLTAS
Action
Target
Support
Resistance
Holding Period
546
BUY
589
529/517
585/605
9 Days
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MORNING Quantum Global
c. The pension scheme targeted for unorganized sector workers. (Pradhan Mantri Shram Yogi Maandhan Yojana for people with
income up to Rs 15,000 a month. The beneficiaries will get Rs 3,000 a month pension after retirement against a contribution of Rs
100 per month).
• Long story short: It's a populist budget aimed to win over rural and urban votes. Stand-in Finance Minister Piyush Goyal has
delivered a budget that's most likely will improve the prospects of the NDA government in the upcoming elections.
Net-net, It as an election budget.
POLITICAL CUES:
• Tricky days lies ahead for investors at Dalal Street. The street is seen entering this time of year with apprehension and anxiety and the only thing
certain for investors’ is uncertainty. Expect volatility to hit the roof amidst uncertainty ahead of general elections in April-May 2019.
Digging deeper, predicting elections in India is a mug’s game and the element of volatility in next three months will depend on the three big
questions:
1. Will Narendra Modi return to power?
2. Will Priyanka/Rahul Gandhi beat expectations and win?
3. Will a Third Front government emerge, as in 1996-98?
Long story short: Dalal Street will simply zoom on the upside if BJP comes back to power, and probably live with a Congress victory, but please note
a imminent crash on cards if the Third Front assumes power.
COMMODITY CUES:
• Gold pauses in Monday's trade. Positive bias as long as 1291 support is held. Hurdles now seen at 1331. Interweek Strategy: Buy between 1297-
1301 zone, targeting 1331 and then at 1351-1368 zone with stop below 1289.
• Crude oil slipped in yesterday's trade amidst profit booking. Key support remains at 49-51 zone. Interweek strategy: Establish buy positions
between 51-52 zone, targeting, 57.50 and then at 59-60 zone with strict stop at 49.
• MCX COPPER: Interweek strategy: Establish buy positions between 429-433 zone, targeting 445 mark and then aggressive targets at 457 with stop
at 421.
CURRENCIES & BONDS:
• In Monday's trade, the Indian Rupee slumped 55 paise and was extremely weak against the dollar to close at 71.80.
Technically, USD/INR faces major hurdles at 72.50. Support now seen at 70.85. Major strength seen above 72.50. Interweek Strategy: Aggressive
traders can look to buy at CMP, targeting 72.50 and then aggressive targets at 73.05 with stop below 69.89.
WHAT TECHNICALS TELLS US ON NIFTY:
In Monday's trade, despite volatility and languishing most part of the session in red, the benchmark Nifty made a spectacular comeback in final hours of
trade to end above the dotted lines, and most importantly ended in green for 3rd consecutive session.
Sensex too ended on a spectacular note and most importantly well above its key psychological 36,500 mark to end at 36583 mark.
• The benchmark indices gained for third day in a row.
• The market breadth, indicating the overall health of the market was negative. The BSE Mid-Cap index rose 0.17% while the BSE Small-Cap index
slipped 1.17%.
• Technically speaking, medium term supports on Nifty are placed at 10501 zone. A move below 10,501 will deteriorate technical conditions further
with aggressive targets at 10,333 mark.
• Intraday supports are placed at 10,871 and then at 10813 zone.
• Medium term hurdles on Nifty at 11001 and finally at 11,111 mark.
• The medium term price action for Nifty is suggesting that we are likely to see an 10601-11,111 range in near term with positive bias.
Bulls Vs. Bears: Time to Pick a Side!!
Positive global cues likely to keep optimism alive at Dalal Street...
Preferred trade on Nifty (10913): Buy between 10900-10915 zone, targeting 11001 and then at 11111-11251 zone with strict stop at 10777.
Preferred trade on Bank Nifty (27187): Key near term supports at 26301. Confirmation of strength only above 27751. Buy between 26951-27001
zone, targeting 27751 and then at 28101-28251 mark with strict stop at 26301.
The Journey of life is sweeter when traveled by…Quantum Global Top Picks
TOP PICKS (F & O) It's like having investment binoculars !
Quantum Global Top Picks: It's like having Investment binoculars!!
When we want to see what's happening far off, we will reach for the binoculars. The binocular helps us to steer out of danger and also accurately spots our targets.
When it comes to trading / investing, that's exactly how Quantum Global Top Picks helps us to identify the best five momentum stocks for the week. This daily newsletter introduces to the momentum stocks from the list of Future & Option segment, defining their support and resistance levels, and attempts to forecast their movement with a short /medium term perspective.
One Stop Investment Avenue
R2STOCKS LTP S1 S2 R1 TRADING STRATEGYBIAS
TOP PICKS (F & O) It's like having investment binoculars !
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HUL is likely to enjoy strong session in near term as the stock is signalling a major breakout on the upside. Key intraday support seen at 1761. Interweek Strategy: Buy at CMP, targeting 1835 and then at 1865-1871 zone. Stop below 1761.
PNB is signaling a major rebound from an oversold zone on the daily charts. Key support seen at 67.50-68 zone. Key hurdles seen at 77.50. Interweek Strategy: Buy at CMP, targeting 77.50 and then at 85-87.50 zone. Stop below 67.50.
The interweek/intermonth risk is on the upside as long as 277 support is held with aggressive upside targets at 311. Interweek Strategy: Buy between 287-291 zone, targeting 301 and then at 307-311 zone with stop below 277.
Momentum osillators continue to signal strength. RBL Bank has closed above a probable flag pattern on the weekly charts. Interweek Strategy: Buy between 577-585 zone, targeting 605 and then more aggressive targets located at 621-627 zone. Stop below 561.
VOLTAS is witnessing strong momentum seen on the upside. The make-or-break support level is at 538. Interweek Strategy: Buy between 537-541 zone, targeting 575 and then at 589-591 zone. Stop 527.
HUL: Pulling the Trigger on the Bullish Trade.
HINDUSTAN UNILEVER (HUL)
PNB
IGL
RBL BANK
VOLTAS
1803 1782.5 1761 1835 1871 Positive
73.15 67.5 66 77.5 87.5 Positive
294.7 285 277 301 311 Positive
594.5 577 561 605 621 Positive
544 531 517.5 575 591 Positive
Derivatives Strategies
Nifty Spot
VIX
Premium
Nifty Future OI
Cash Volumes (INR in Cr.)
YesterdayDay Before Yesterday
Derivatives Vol.(INR in Cr.)
No of contracts
Turnover (Rs. In cr.)
BSE Cash Vol. (Rs. in Cr)
NSE Cash Vol.(Rs. in Cr)
NSE Derivative Vol. (Rs. in Cr)
Index Future Volumes
Stock Future Volumes
Index Option Volumes
Stock Option Volumes
Total
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EQUITY DERIVATIVESLooking into the future from present.
Changes in Open Interest (OI) in yesterday’s trade.
Major Changes in Nifty Options (OI)
Bank Nifty Spot
Bank Nifty OIFuture
Future Call: BUY TCS FEBRUARY FUTURES between 2035-2045
zone. Targets at 2101 and then at 2165. Stop: 1991. Holding
Period: Intraday. Analyst’s Remark: Momentum Play (Voltas
February Futures CMP 554.30).
Option Call: BUY EICHER FEBRUARY CE strike price 21000 at CMP
426.45. Profit: Unlimited. Maximum Loss: Rs. 10,661.25/-. Stop:
Exit Call option if Eicher moves below 19300. (Eicher February
Futures CMP 20259.95).
10912.25 (+0.17%)
27186.60 (+0.37%)
15.7225 (-0.02%)
+25 vs +24
1.83 crores (+1.86%)
14.42 lakhs (+1.40%)
2748.01 3777.57
29790.53 40625.24
608670 914497
237237 15960
863291 45948
8568167 503411
743525 43351
10412220 608670
Calls in lakhs (% Change)
11000 33.68 (+7%)
10900 18.9 (+10%)
11100 15.95 (+24%)
Puts in lakhs (% Change)
10800 25.58 (+26%)
10700 31.23 (+5%)
10500 27.88 (+2%)
Tuesday05th February, 2019
Market Summary:
• Nifty 28th February Futures ended Monday's session at a premium
of +25 against +24.
• The Put- Call Open Interest Ratio was at 1.42 for Nifty whereas it
was 1.54 for Bank Nifty.
• The Put-Call Volume Ratio was at 0.99 for the Nifty and 1.04 for
Bank Nifty.
• For Nifty, Maximum Call Open Interest (OI) stands at 11000 Strike
Price, followed by 11200 Strike Price for 28th February Series.
Long build-up was seen at strike prices 10800-10900.
• Maximum Put Open Interest (OI) was seen at strike price 10700
followed by 10400 strike price for 28th February series. Short
buildup was seen at strike prices 10500-10900.
• For Bank Nifty, Maximum Call Open Interest (OI) stands at 27500
Strike Price and Maximum Put Open Interest stands at 27500
Strike Price.
• As per Monday’s Provisional Data available on the NSE, FII’s sold
shares worth Rs. 112.13 crores in the Indian Equity Market. DIIs
too sold shares worth Rs. 65.22 crores in the Indian Equity
market.
• Long Buildup: RELIANCE, IGL, TITAN, TCS, HDFC.
• Short Buildup: ADANI PORTS, YES BANK, PETRONET, APOLLO
TYRES, IBHSGFIN.
• Short Covering: FEDERAL BANK, EICHER, TORNTPHARM.
• Long Unwinding: DLF, MFSL, CESC, ZEEL.
• Stocks banned in F&O segment for today: DHFL, IDBI.
• New In Ban: DHFL.
• Out of Ban: NIL.
All level indicated above are based on cash market prices.
Pivot Point
PP : Pivot Point : This is trigger point for weekly buy/sell based on the price range of the previous week.R1 : Resistance one : 1st Resistance over PP. R2 : Resistance two : 2nd Resistance over R1.S1 : Support one : 1st support after PP. S2 : Support Two : 2nd support after S1.
As per the tool, the trader should take BUY position just above PP and keep the stop loss of PP and the first target would be R1.If R1 is crossed then R2 becomes the next target with the stop loss at R1.
Similarly if price goes below PP the trader should SELL and keep the PP as Stop loss and the first target would be S1.
If S1 is crossed then S2 becomes the next target with the stop loss at S1.This is a trading tool. The key to use of this tool is the use of STOP LOSS.
Instrument Close S1 S2 R1 R2 200 Day SMA Reversal Point Trend
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DAILY PIVOT TABLE Tuesday05th February, 2019
NIFTY 10909.05 10839.5 10769.95 10953.25 10997.45 10883.7 10846.74 UP
BANKNIFTY 27172.9 26917.7 26662.5 27335.95 27499 27080.75 26509.47 UP
NIFTYMID50 4679.7 4643.07 4606.43 4713.52 4747.33 4676.88 4917.7 DOWN
ACC 1403.8 1390.3 1376.8 1417 1430.2 1403.5 1456.65 DOWN
ADANIENT 121.95 114.53 107.12 136.13 150.32 128.72 135.39 DOWN
ADANIPORTS 335 329.77 324.53 339.52 344.03 334.28 368.32 DOWN
AJANTPHARM 958 940.9 923.8 985.3 1012.6 968.2 1106.4 DOWN
ALBK 43.7 42.98 42.27 44.33 44.97 43.62 42.89 UP
AMARAJABAT 772.35 760.28 748.22 783.43 794.52 771.37 781.01 DOWN
ANDHRABANK 24.95 24.62 24.28 25.52 26.08 25.18 31.46 DOWN
APOLLOTYRE 201 196.18 191.37 206.93 212.87 202.12 248.04 DOWN
ARVIND 87.5 86.43 85.37 88.63 89.77 87.57 124.41 DOWN
ASHOKLEY 82.05 80.97 79.88 83.72 85.38 82.63 122.41 DOWN
ASIANPAINT 1445 1435.07 1425.13 1453.87 1462.73 1443.93 1317.01 UP
AUROPHARMA 760 744.42 728.83 790.27 820.53 774.68 689.09 UP
AXISBANK 721 711.17 701.33 727.67 734.33 717.83 586.07 UP
BAJAJ-AUTO 2647 2584.17 2521.33 2691.12 2735.23 2628.28 2756.95 DOWN
BAJAJFINSV 6007 5961.1 5915.2 6087.45 6167.9 6041.55 6084.67 DOWN
BAJFINANCE 2594.3 2569.82 2545.33 2621.17 2648.03 2596.68 2395.67 UP
BALKRISIND 806 790.87 775.73 823.57 841.13 808.43 1084.8 DOWN
BALRAMCHIN 102.1 101.07 100.03 103.22 104.33 102.18 84.15 UP
BANKBARODA 110.3 107.93 105.57 112.53 114.77 110.17 123.91 DOWN
BANKINDIA 93.45 90.8 88.15 95.7 97.95 93.05 92.39 UP
BATAINDIA 1194.9 1156 1117.1 1214.4 1233.9 1175.5 946.1 UP
BEL 82.4 81.2 80 84.05 85.7 82.85 101.63 DOWN
BEML 793 780.4 767.8 810.2 827.4 797.6 822.81 DOWN
BERGEPAINT 308 298.1 288.2 318.2 328.4 308.3 303.07 UP
BHARATFIN 939.8 918.2 896.6 958.2 976.6 936.6 1079.96 DOWN
BHARATFORG 486.75 481.63 476.52 493.43 500.12 488.32 606.42 DOWN
BHARTIARTL 307.6 302.95 298.3 311.5 315.4 306.85 347.58 DOWN
BHEL 64.95 63.6 62.25 65.8 66.65 64.45 73.37 DOWN
BIOCON 651 644.77 638.53 662.67 674.33 656.43 627.45 UP
BPCL 338.5 335.72 332.93 341.62 344.73 338.83 359.37 DOWN
BRITANNIA 3268.05 3237.37 3206.68 3289.57 3311.08 3258.88 3012.24 UP
CANBK 235.2 230.6 226 239.55 243.9 234.95 257.08 DOWN
CANFINHOME 246.5 241.3 236.1 254.55 262.6 249.35 312.34 DOWN
CAPF 587.2 580.25 573.3 597 606.8 590.05 561.59 UP
CASTROLIND 155.85 153.47 151.08 159.62 163.38 157.23 160.5 DOWN
CEATLTD 1074.1 1059.97 1045.83 1098.32 1122.53 1084.18 1302.09 DOWN
CENTURYTEX 761.05 747.03 733.02 786.28 811.52 772.27 918.8 DOWN
CESC 681 672.5 664 692.15 703.3 683.65 726.24 DOWN
CGPOWER 36.8 36.15 35.5 37.85 38.9 37.2 53.26 DOWN
CHOLAFIN 1223 1194.37 1165.73 1247.27 1271.53 1218.63 1385.8 DOWN
CIPLA 510.05 503.83 497.62 518.63 527.22 512.42 583.96 DOWN
COALINDIA 222.3 220.17 218.03 224.32 226.33 222.18 265.88 DOWN
COLPAL 1291 1279.33 1267.67 1308.33 1325.67 1296.67 1178.38 UP
CONCOR 516 503.17 490.33 540.67 565.33 527.83 514.22 UP
CUMMINSIND 790.2 781.17 772.13 801.07 811.93 792.03 736.68 UP
DABUR 447.5 441.4 435.3 455.8 464.1 449.7 407.43 UP
DALMIABHA 2372.9 2253.3 2133.7 2518.25 2663.6 2398.65 2565.05 DOWN
DCBBANK 179.5 176.3 173.1 181.15 182.8 177.95 170.31 UP
DHFL 115.1 99.03 82.97 128.93 142.77 112.87 442.51 DOWN
DISHTV 23.4 22.35 21.3 24.45 25.5 23.4 57.36 DOWN
DIVISLAB 1615.8 1568.05 1520.3 1641.75 1667.7 1594 1287.45 UP
DLF 163.6 159.22 154.83 166.97 170.33 162.58 187.45 DOWN
DRREDDY 2735.25 2674.33 2613.42 2837.08 2938.92 2776.17 2376.94 UP
EICHERMOT 20160 19586.02 19012.03 20582.97 21005.93 20008.98 26004.31 DOWN
ENGINERSIN 113 111.65 110.3 115.2 117.4 113.85 126.57 DOWN
EQUITAS 120.5 117.68 114.87 122.98 125.47 120.17 134.84 DOWN
ESCORTS 678.6 669.2 659.8 684.5 690.4 675.1 787.76 DOWN
EXIDEIND 223.6 217.57 211.53 228.82 234.03 222.78 259.55 DOWN
FEDERALBNK 87.8 85.55 83.3 89.2 90.6 86.95 84.92 UP
FORTIS 135 134.32 133.63 135.77 136.53 135.08 141.94 DOWN
GAIL 330.2 327.53 324.87 332.33 334.47 329.67 350.67 DOWN
GLENMARK 645.05 635.97 626.88 659.42 673.78 650.33 610.77 UP
GMRINFRA 14.95 14.7 14.45 15.15 15.35 14.9 17.14 DOWN
GODREJCP 698.45 692.63 686.82 707.63 716.82 701.82 790.69 DOWN
GODREJIND 504.85 496.08 487.32 512.28 519.72 503.52 560.43 DOWN
GRANULES 85.5 83.47 81.43 89.17 92.83 87.13 95.32 DOWN
GRASIM 705.2 697.52 689.83 716.37 727.53 708.68 946.8 DOWN
GSFC 92.7 91.58 90.47 94.78 96.87 93.67 110.77 DOWN
HAVELLS 734.25 724.9 715.55 744.8 755.35 735.45 623.15 UP
HCC 11.55 11.3 11.05 12.05 12.55 11.8 12.59 DOWN
HCLTECH 1046 1038.27 1030.53 1055.77 1065.53 1048.03 984.82 UP
HDFC 1975 1950.68 1926.37 1990.63 2006.27 1966.32 1888.46 UP
HDFCBANK 2098.55 2083.13 2067.72 2113.48 2128.42 2098.07 2053.15 UP
HDIL 25.6 24.88 24.17 26.68 27.77 25.97 24.96 UP
HEROMOTOCO 2800 2730.48 2660.97 2857.23 2914.47 2787.72 3224.54 DOWN
HEXAWARE 354.8 348.4 342 361.35 367.9 354.95 401.16 DOWN
HINDALCO 204.1 200.4 196.7 208.85 213.6 205.15 226.55 DOWN
HINDPETRO 226.35 223.23 220.12 230.93 235.52 227.82 262.08 DOWN
HINDUNILVR 1802.65 1790.57 1778.48 1818.87 1835.08 1806.78 1664.14 UP
HINDZINC 258 252.78 247.57 260.88 263.77 255.67 282.96 DOWN
IBREALEST 72.15 70.47 68.78 74.62 77.08 72.93 129.24 DOWN
IBULHSGFIN 650 618.07 586.13 686.47 722.93 654.53 1033.97 DOWN
ICICIBANK 354.7 348.17 341.63 359.07 363.43 352.53 321.32 UP
ICICIPRULI 284 278.98 273.97 287.38 290.77 282.37 364.69 DOWN
ICIL 42.5 41 39.5 44.5 46.5 43 69.89 DOWN
IDBI 49.75 47.9 46.05 52.5 55.25 50.65 60 DOWN
IDEA 29.95 29.23 28.52 30.83 31.72 30.12 47.64 DOWN
IDFC 36.95 35.9 34.85 38.5 40.05 37.45 45.38 DOWN
IDFCFIRSTB 43.3 42.52 41.73 44.42 45.53 43.63 41.37 UP
IFCI 13 12.8 12.6 13.35 13.7 13.15 15.51 DOWN
IGL 294.7 285.78 276.87 301.48 308.27 292.57 268.97 UP
INDIACEM 78.65 77.33 76.02 80.98 83.32 79.67 107.7 DOWN
INDIANB 215.2 210.85 206.5 221.75 228.3 217.4 288.67 DOWN
INDIGO 1161 1128.6 1096.2 1182.9 1204.8 1150.5 1068.55 UP
INDUSINDBK 1505 1479.08 1453.17 1521.18 1537.37 1495.27 1754.57 DOWN
INFIBEAM 36.1 35.27 34.43 37.67 39.23 36.83 121.63 DOWN
INFRATEL 296.6 290.13 283.67 300.43 304.27 293.97 284.04 UP
INFY 755.9 749.23 742.57 762.53 769.17 755.87 666.33 UP
IOC 135.9 134.58 133.27 137.73 139.57 136.42 151.19 DOWN
IRB 138 135.63 133.27 142.63 147.27 140.27 183.63 DOWN
ITC 277.4 275 272.6 280.85 284.3 278.45 283.81 DOWN
JETAIRWAYS 243 237.07 231.13 252.37 261.73 246.43 319.61 DOWN
JINDALSTEL 130.3 126.4 122.5 133 135.7 129.1 197.25 DOWN
JISLJALEQS 54.75 51.32 47.88 58.52 62.28 55.08 80.65 DOWN
JPASSOCIAT 5.95 5.12 4.28 6.77 7.58 5.93 11.43 DOWN
JSWENERGY 67.7 66.77 65.83 68.57 69.43 67.63 69.13 DOWN
JSWSTEEL 272 267.62 263.23 276.42 280.83 272.03 331.12 DOWN
JUBLFOOD 1396.35 1357.93 1319.52 1418.83 1441.32 1380.42 1299.12 UP
JUSTDIAL 480.1 470.4 460.7 487.45 494.8 477.75 509.57 DOWN
KOTAKBANK 1274 1254.43 1234.87 1284.13 1294.27 1264.57 1244.22 UP
KPIT 113.75 111.73 109.72 115.38 117.02 113.37 148.29 DOWN
KSCL 576.5 566.37 556.23 591.27 606.03 581.13 554.59 UP
KTKBANK 117 115.57 114.13 118.37 119.73 116.93 112.42 UP
L&TFH 126.9 125.22 123.53 129.37 131.83 127.68 153.36 DOWN
LICHSGFIN 454.6 448.97 443.33 462.37 470.13 456.73 481.78 DOWN
LT 1307 1297.45 1287.9 1321.7 1336.4 1312.15 1332.59 DOWN
LUPIN 849.5 835.82 822.13 875.92 902.33 862.23 850.32 DOWN
M&M 674.4 667.03 659.67 685.08 695.77 677.72 837.66 DOWN
M&MFIN 401.3 393.35 385.4 411.9 422.5 403.95 455.64 DOWN
MANAPPURAM 91.9 90.6 89.3 93.85 95.8 92.55 96.55 DOWN
MARICO 365 356.45 347.9 379.1 393.2 370.55 345.37 UP
MARUTI 7005.65 6891.87 6778.08 7079.22 7152.78 6965.43 8192.04 DOWN
MCDOWELL-N 557.15 546.07 534.98 563.37 569.58 552.28 614.74 DOWN
MCX 716.35 705.67 694.98 723.37 730.38 712.68 764.41 DOWN
MGL 940.95 922.6 904.25 953.05 965.15 934.7 858.89 UP
MOTHERSUMI 138.2 135.3 132.4 141.55 144.9 138.65 185.83 DOWN
MRF 59840 59112 58384 61256 62672 60528 70600.48 DOWN
MRPL 64.95 63.85 62.75 66.7 68.45 65.6 82.34 DOWN
MUTHOOTFIN 500 487.13 474.27 508.93 517.87 496.07 434.77 UP
NATIONALUM 58.9 58.27 57.63 59.42 59.93 58.78 67.61 DOWN
NBCC 56.05 55.17 54.28 57.27 58.48 56.38 70.47 DOWN
NCC 79.45 77.7 75.95 80.6 81.75 78.85 93.92 DOWN
NMDC 95.05 92.42 89.78 96.77 98.48 94.13 106.74 DOWN
NTPC 137 135.7 134.4 139.35 141.7 138.05 157.61 DOWN
OFSS 3785 3752 3719 3819 3853 3786 3863.79 DOWN
OIL 171.3 169.22 167.13 174.42 177.53 172.33 203.64 DOWN
ONGC 146.45 143.45 140.45 148.45 150.45 145.45 161.91 DOWN
ORIENTBANK 94.55 92.5 90.45 95.75 96.95 93.7 81.58 UP
PCJEWELLER 69.95 68.57 67.18 72.07 74.18 70.68 107.37 DOWN
PEL 2106.55 2064.77 2022.98 2153.82 2201.08 2112.03 2445.54 DOWN
PETRONET 210.95 205.65 200.35 218.65 226.35 213.35 221.04 DOWN
PFC 101 99.53 98.07 103.03 105.07 101.57 87.15 UP
PIDILITIND 1129.05 1105.45 1081.85 1143.3 1157.55 1119.7 1090.47 UP
PNB 73.5 71.67 69.83 74.72 75.93 72.88 78.71 DOWN
POWERGRID 184.2 182.13 180.07 187.88 191.57 185.82 192.96 DOWN
PTC 75.75 74.57 73.38 76.87 77.98 75.68 82 DOWN
PVR 1579.2 1551.82 1524.43 1602.17 1625.13 1574.78 1385.11 UP
RAMCOCEM 595.9 586.37 576.83 605.07 614.23 595.53 674.68 DOWN
RAYMOND 742 731.93 721.87 752.48 762.97 742.42 849.48 DOWN
RBLBANK 600 582.33 564.67 608.83 617.67 591.17 552.37 UP
RCOM 7.55 5.08 2.62 10.23 12.92 7.77 14.62 DOWN
RECLTD 121.25 119.4 117.55 123.75 126.25 121.9 113.07 UP
RELCAPITAL 152.2 137.12 122.03 173.87 195.53 158.78 329.75 DOWN
RELIANCE 1289.5 1255.38 1221.27 1310.28 1331.07 1276.17 1098.98 UP
RELINFRA 227 213.02 199.03 249.37 271.73 235.38 372 DOWN
RPOWER 17.1 14.03 10.97 22.68 28.27 19.62 31.57 DOWN
SAIL 45.65 44.73 43.82 46.43 47.22 45.52 68.8 DOWN
SBIN 284.1 279.57 275.03 286.92 289.73 282.38 276.72 UP
SHREECEM 15870 15602.13 15334.27 16063.38 16256.77 15795.52 16439.18 DOWN
SIEMENS 1015.85 1005.32 994.78 1031.92 1047.98 1021.38 992.31 UP
SOUTHBANK 13.25 13 12.75 13.4 13.55 13.15 18.52 DOWN
SREINFRA 24.75 22.48 20.22 27.88 31.02 25.62 50.64 DOWN
SRF 1964 1944.73 1925.47 1986.13 2008.27 1966.87 1946.64 UP
SRTRANSFIN 1018.9 1004.6 990.3 1038.6 1058.3 1024.3 1274.39 DOWN
STAR 435 425.57 416.13 450.17 465.33 440.73 453.09 DOWN
SUNPHARMA 414.85 408.37 401.88 422.17 429.48 415.68 531.3 DOWN
SUNTV 523.8 514.93 506.07 532.48 541.17 523.62 723.26 DOWN
SUZLON 4.7 4.6 4.5 4.85 5 4.75 7.03 DOWN
SYNDIBANK 36.75 35.87 34.98 37.67 38.58 36.78 40.39 DOWN
TATACHEM 655.15 650.55 645.95 664.2 673.25 659.6 705.53 DOWN
TATACOMM 493.7 487.43 481.17 500.48 507.27 494.22 551.16 DOWN
TATAELXSI 887 878.67 870.33 898.07 909.13 889.73 1173.55 DOWN
TATAGLOBAL 199.1 196.58 194.07 203.03 206.97 200.52 237.97 DOWN
TATAMTRDVR 93.45 91.63 89.82 94.98 96.52 93.17 133.11 DOWN
TATAPOWER 70.75 69.82 68.88 71.42 72.08 70.48 75.26 DOWN
TATASTEEL 474.75 458.3 441.85 484.9 495.05 468.45 555.36 DOWN
TCS 2049.2 2029.65 2010.1 2062.1 2075 2042.55 1912.84 UP
TECHM 751.95 741.62 731.28 757.27 762.58 746.93 697.15 UP
TITAN 1024.5 1005.7 986.9 1046.65 1068.8 1027.85 895.52 UP
TV18BRDCST 32.05 31.5 30.95 32.65 33.25 32.1 44.83 DOWN
TVSMOTOR 498.7 486.53 474.37 512.93 527.17 500.77 562.77 DOWN
UBL 1439 1423.97 1408.93 1453.12 1467.23 1438.08 1251.08 UP
ULTRACEMCO 3441.1 3396.43 3351.77 3491.33 3541.57 3446.67 3917.89 DOWN
UNIONBANK 79.85 78.15 76.45 81.4 82.95 79.7 82.88 DOWN
UPL 769.5 759.98 750.47 777.03 784.57 767.52 695.86 UP
VEDL 162.4 157.6 152.8 166.1 169.8 161.3 224.84 DOWN
VGUARD 195.45 192.35 189.25 198.4 201.35 195.3 207.05 DOWN
VOLTAS 544 534.3 524.6 554.85 565.7 545.15 557.89 DOWN
WIPRO 371 367.83 364.67 374.43 377.87 371.27 302.37 UP
WOCKPHARMA 421.35 409.48 397.62 442.28 463.22 430.42 593.16 DOWN
YESBANK 179.4 175.1 170.8 184.2 189 179.9 280.24 DOWN
ZEEL 346.05 329.45 312.85 362.3 378.55 345.7 497.08 DOWN
One Stop Investment Avenue
The Compass …Direction at a glance
A true Magic Carpet to sail over Global Trends…
with Quantum Global
Compass & Navigator
Compass & Navigator is a daily newsletter that provides technical update on all the major instruments of the world like Gold, Silver, Crude Oil, US Dollar Index and USD/INR. We define their support and resistance levels and attempt to forecast their movement with a short / medium term perspective. Also in the report, a trader will find bias for the mentioned instruments.
This newsletter is also quite popular with a market participant who loves to have insight & theme on MCX Gold, MCX Silver as well MCX Crude-Oil.
TRADING STRATEGYLTP S1 S2 R1 R2 Bias
MCX GOLD
MCX SILVER
MCX CRUDE OIL
MCX COPPER
MCX NATURAL GAS
USD-INR
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The Compass …Direction at a glance
Instrument
Interweek strategy: BUY between 33001-33151 zone, targeting 33901 and then at 34751-35001 zone with stop at 32751.
Interweek strategy: Buy between 40001-40101 zone, targeting 41698 mark and then aggressive targets at 41751-42001 zone with stop at 39301.
Interweek strategy: Aggressive traders can look to establish buy at CMP, targeting 4071 and then at 42751-4315 zone with stop at 3611.
Interweek strategy: Establish buy positions between 429-433 zone, targeting 445 mark and then aggressive targets at 457 with stop at 421.
Natural Gas prices seen at oversold conditions. Support now seen at 185-189 zone. Interweek strategy: Establish long positions at CMP, targeting 211 and then at 231-235 zone with stop at 183.
Technically, USD/INR faces major hurdles at 72.50. Support now seen at 70.85. Major strength seen above 72.50. Interweek Strategy: Aggressive traders can look to buy between 71.05-71.25 zone, targeting 72.50 and then aggressive targets at 73.05 with stop below 69.89.
33388 32861 32155 33901 35101 Positive
40464 40001 38751 41698 42001 Positive
3852 3791 3611 4071 4315 Positive
438 429 421 445 457 Positive
192.00 191.00 185.00 221.00 235.00 Neutral
71.80 71.05 70.00 72.50 75.00 Positive
MCX Gold pauses. Establising long positions on any corrective declines should be the preferred trading strategy.
TRADING STRATEGYLTP S1 S2 R1 R2
GOLD $
SILVER ($)
WTI CRUDE OIL ($ )
EUR/USD
Bias
DOW JONES
US Dollar Index
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The Navigator …Sailing global trend
Instrument
Wall Street witnesses strong rally in Monday's trade. Dow's major hurdles seen at 27100.
Gold pauses in Monday's trade. Positive bias as long as 1291 support is held. Hurdles now seen at 1331. Interweek Strategy: Buy between 1297-1301 zone, targeting 1331 and then at 1351-1368 zone with stop below 1289.
Hurdles now seen at 16.09. Confirmation of major strength only above 16.75. Interweek Strategy: Buy at CMP, targeting 16.09 zone and then at 16.71-16.75 zone with stop below 15.41.
Crude oil slipped in yesterday's trade amidst profit booking. Key support remains at 49-51 zone. Interweek strategy: Establish buy positions between 51-52 zone, targeting, 57.50 and then at 59-60 zone with strict stop at 49.
EUR/USD faces major hurdles at 1.1545. Major weakness seen only below 1.1251. Buying on any extreme weakness should be preferred strategy.
U.S Dollar index faces hurdles at 97.50. Downside well supported at 95. Major weakness now only below 92.75.
Wall Street traded sluggish in yesterday's trade as the street awaited earnings from 91 firms. Some rangebound movement was also on backdrop of China's Lunar New Year celebration. Meanwhile, the U.S. economy created 3.0400 new jobs in January, well above the consensus estimate of 172,000.
1317 1305 1291 1331 1568 Positive
15.84 15.45 14.91 16.09 16.75 Positive
53.46 51 49 57.5 61 Positive
1.1433 1.1251 1.1100 1.1545 1.1777 Neutral
95.82 95.00 92.75 97.50 100.00 Positive
25023 24411 23801 25751 27100 Positive
Close S1 S2 R1 R2200 Day
SMA Reversal
Point TrendCommodityExchange
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DAILY PIVOT TABLE
MCX ALUMINUM
MCX CARDAMOM
NCDEX CASTOR
NCDEX CHANA
MCX COPPER
MCX COTTON
MCX CRUDE-OIL
MCX GOLD
NCDEX GAUR GUM
NCDEX GAUR SEED
NCDEX JEERA
MCX LEAD
MCX MENTHA OIL
MCX NATURAL GAS
MCX NICKLE
NCDEX RM SEED
MCX SILVER
NCDEX SUGAR
NCDEX SOYA BEAN
MCX ZINC
134.15 133.35 132.55 135.6 137.05 144.34 130.5 DOWN
1557.3 1550.53 1543.77 1565.53 1573.77 1252.16 1596.05 UP
5124 5108.67 5093.33 5144.67 5165.33 4748.29 5182 DOWN
4231 4211.33 4191.67 4245.33 4259.67 4012.72 4138 DOWN
438.75 435.52 432.28 440.92 443.08 438.76 426.7 UP
20900 20833.33 20766.67 20963.33 21026.67 22060.35 20960 UP
3963 3855 3747 4030 4097 4487.56 4109 DOWN
33405 33084 32763 33595 33785 30969.96 32503 UP
8597 8537.67 8478.33 8679.67 8762.33 8831.36 8499 UP
4290.5 4265 4239.5 4332 4373.5 4190.52 4482 UP
15820 15723.33 15626.67 15968.33 16116.67 18129.15 16480 DOWN
151.9 150.4 148.9 152.85 153.8 148.86 144.2 DOWN
1557 1543.8 1530.6 1572.6 1588.2 1542.83 1427.4 UP
197.2 194.8 192.4 201.4 205.6 223.55 216.4 UP
906.8 886.23 865.67 917.73 928.67 901.15 852.2 DOWN
3975 3964 3953 3992 4009 4024.96 3919.5 UP
40576 40255.33 39934.67 40841.33 41106.67 38530.95 39560 UP
3050 3050 3050 3050 3050 3614.83 3015 UP
3792 3766.67 3741.33 3832.67 3873.33 3455.62 3751.5 UP
199.5 195.33 191.17 201.88 204.27 189.07 185.15 UP
Tuesday05th February, 2019
CORPORATE OFFICE
Quantum Global Securities Ltd.
2nd Floor, Thakur House, Ashok Nagar,
Kandivali East, Mumbai 400 101
Tel: +91 (22) 4610 6600 / 55, 4543 1600
Email: [email protected]
DISCLAIMER: This is solely for information of clients of Quantum Global Securities Ltd. and does not construe to be an investment advice. It is also not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase and sale of any financial instruments. Any action taken by you on the basis of the information contained herein is your responsibility alone and Quantum Global Securities Ltd., its subsidiaries or its employees or associates will not be liable in any manner for the consequences of such action taken by you. We have exercised due diligence in checking the correctness and authenticity of the information contained in this recommendation, but Quantum Global Securities Ltd. or any of its subsidiaries or associates or employees shall not be in any way responsible for any loss or damage that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the information contained in this recommendation or any action taken on basis of this information.
Technical analysis studies market psychology, price patterns and volume levels. It is used to forecast future price and market movements. Technical analysis is complementary to fundamental analysis and news sources. The recommendations issued herewith might be contrary to recommendations issued by Quantum Global Securities Ltd. Ltd. in the company research undertaken as the recommendations stated in this report is derived purely from technical analysis. Quantum Global Securities Ltd. has based this document on information obtained from sources it believes to be reliable but which it has not independently verified; Quantum Global Securities Ltd. makes no guarantee, representation or warranty and accepts no responsibility or liability as to its accuracy or completeness. The opinions contained within the report are based upon publicly available information at the time of publication and are subject to change without notice. The information and any disclosures provided herein are in summary form and have been prepared for informational purposes. The recommendations and suggested price levels are intended purely for trading purposes. The recommendations are valid for the day of the report however trading trends and volumes might vary substantially on an intraday basis and the recommendations may be subject to change. The information and any disclosures provided herein may be considered confidential. Any use, distribution, modification, copying, forwarding or disclosure by any person is strictly prohibited. The information and any disclosures provided herein do not constitute a solicitation or offer to purchase or sell any security or other financial product or instrument. The current performance may be unaudited. Past performance does not guarantee future returns. There can be no assurance that investments will achieve any targeted rates of return, and there is no guarantee against the loss of your entire investment.
POTENTIAL CONFLICT OF INTEREST DISCLOSURE (as on date of report)Disclosure of interest statement – • Analyst interest of the stock /Instrument(s): - No. • Firm interest of the stock / Instrument (s): - No.
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