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    Thisisascenariowheretheregionsuniversitiesandcollegeshavebecomedisconnectedfromtheirtownsandcities,whohavelikewisebecomelesswellintegratedwitheachother.Theregionseconomyhas

    stagnatedandbecomelessdiverse.ThelocaleconomyreliesontheUniversitiesandCollegesasthe

    primarysourceofemploymentasglobaleconomicdeclineanddisruptivetelecommunicationstechnology

    havehitmanufacturingveryhard.Highunemploymentandpovertymeansthedemandforsocialservices

    ishigh.Despitestalledpopulationgrowth,thequalityandquantityofserviceprovisionislimitedbythe

    lackofresourcesandthecautiousapproachofserviceproviders.Theculturalmalaiseisfeltacutelyinthe

    arts,whichareseenaslessrelevantinthefaceofthesechallenges,andthusbothartistsandart

    institutionsarestrugglingtosurvive.Theenvironment,includingthewatershedandthelocalfood

    production,arealsoconsideredtobelessimportant.

    ATownDivided

    ATOWNDIVIDED

    WATERLOOWELLINGTONSCENARIOS

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    ATownDividedCharacteristics

    Characterisedbylocal,nationalandglobaleconomicstagnation,

    combinedwithlowpopulationgrowthandlowlevelsof

    populationdiversity.

    Housevaluesdecrease. Urbandevelopmentstagnates. Thetaxbasereduces. Asharpdivideopensbetweentheuniversitiesandthewider

    community.

    Universityenrolmentincreases. Thereisahollowingoutofthemiddleoftheage

    demographic.

    Traffic/commutingdecreases. Largeemployersstruggleandsomefail,andtheservice

    industrycontracts.

    Individualcityunitsbecomemorefragmented. Delayedenvironmentalpressurecauseslesscommitmentto

    addressingenvironmentalissues.

    ThereisachangeinResearch&Developmentfocusattheuniversities.

    Thelaidoffworkerscreatesomenewentrepreneurialactivity.

    Thereispressureonconcernedcitizenstoaddresssocialproblems.

    Thedelayinenvironmentalpressuresallowsmoretimeforreflectiononenvironmentalissuesandforincreased

    capacitytoplanandmanageenvironmentalsystems.

    Infrastructurecostsarereducedforexistinghouses. Thereisfocusonthecommongoodbecauseofcompetition

    forscarceresources(socialservices,employment,funding

    etc).

    Socialandeconomicdeclineprovidesasourceofenquiryforartistsbutmakesthecommunitylessreceptivetothearts,

    andcreatesariskierfundingenvironment.

    Atrendthatpersistsintheregionis

    gapsineducationalattainment.

    ComparedtoOntario,theregionhas

    asignificantlyhigherproportionof

    personswithsecondaryeducationor

    less;asimilarnumberofpersons

    withacollegecertificateordiploma;

    and,considerablyfewerpersonswith

    universitycredentials.

    WaterlooWellingtonTraining&

    AdjustmentBoard,TOPReport,Jan

    2009

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    WATERLOO REGION

    Council approves construction of

    new housing project in south end

    - JANUARY 2010

    Experts predict new technology will

    throw telecommunications industry

    into chaos

    - MAY 2011

    RIM SOLD; employees face

    uncertain future as new

    owners plan to downsize

    - FEBRUARY 2012

    Major breakthrough in quantumcomputing- APRIL 2013

    Changes to UW intellectual

    policy likely to reduce future

    university-related

    entrepreneurial endeavors

    - NOVEMBER 2013

    Job LOSSES lead to area

    population decline

    - SEPTEMBER 2014

    Attempts to attract new residents

    fail. Prospective buyers cite rising

    crime, poor health care

    infrastructure as obstacles

    - MARCH 2016

    Government

    revokes A

    Place to Grow

    designation

    - JUNE 2017

    Immigration to

    region continues

    to decline

    - APRIL 2018Economic decline results in

    increased post-secondary

    school applications

    - MARCH 2019Local economy, housing market

    relying on students -MAY 2020

    RECORD

    GUELPH

    MERCURYHEADLINES FROM 2009 - 2020

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    A

    B

    20092012 20132016 20172020

    Social Noexpansionortransformationofpositivecommunityidentity

    Increaseinunemployment,particularlyinmanufacturingsector

    Intensifieddrivebystatusquoaffectsarts,urbanplanning,andthecommunitybecomesmorerigid

    Crisispointsinviolence,poverty,disease,crime,community,reputation,pride,environment,arts

    Reductionsintheprovisionof

    socialservices

    Fewermulticulutralevents,grocers,restaurants,communitygroupsreflectdecliningculturaldiversity

    Lessenedsenseofbelonging

    andreinforcementofnegativestereotypes

    Flightofyouthtoothercities

    Growingdisconnectbetweencommunityandminorities

    Policiesrestrictingimmigration

    unwelcomelaws

    Increasedstudentengagementinenvironmentalissues.

    Generalpopulationdisconnectsfurtherfromtheincreasinglypollutedriver

    Economic Newtechnologyleadstosignificantchangesintelecommunicationsindustryworldwide,andhasahugeimpactonlocalcompanies

    Increaseinstartupsandcorporateentrepreneurship

    Lossoflocaleconomicvitality

    Increasedinterestinlocalfoodproduction

    Communitylosesconfidence,Innovationbrandlost,braindrain,biggerbuildingsemptyout

    Flightofcapital(humanandfinancial)

    Smallerbusinessesbegintoclose

    More,largerchainstoresopen

    Decreaseincommunitysupportprovidedbylocalcompaniesanduniversities

    Localeconomyincreasinglyunstableasitreliesonthelowincome,transientstudentmarket

    Environmental Sewagetreatmentandotherenvironmentalinfrastructureprojectsaredelayed

    Ecosystemresilencedecreasesaffectingwatershedcapacity,health/populationofanimalspecies

    Lackoffundsdelayretrofittingprojects

    Environmentalproblemsplateautemporarilybutdonotimprove.Thisallowsforashifttowardsproactiveplanningofenvironmentalservices/polices

    Universityfocusesmoreresourcesonenvironmentalstudiesinresponsetocrisis

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    ATownDivided

    Waterloo,September2020

    Asclassends,Cindyclosesherlaptopandleavesthelecturehall,herprogresshamperedbythe500otherstudents

    inthecourse,studentsfromallovertheworld.

    "Isn'thegreat?"saysaguy,smilingather.

    Shesmilesback."Yeah.He'soneofthereasonsIcame

    here.Hehasaterrificreputation,notjustasaprof,he'sdone

    someamazingresearch."

    "I'mAlbieTarn,"theboysays,extendinghishand.

    Sheshakesit."Cindy."

    "Whereareyoufrom?"Albieasksastheypassthrough

    thebottleneckofthelecturehalldoorsandoutintothe

    hallway.

    "Here.Waterloo,"shesays.

    "Really?Wow.Ididn'tthink"hecatcheshimself."I'm

    fromVancouver."

    "I'veheardit'sbeautifuloutthere."Sheknowswhathe

    didn'tsay.WhileUWisbooming,especiallysinceitjoinedup

    withGuelphandLaurier,andestablishedthesatellitecampus

    inCambridge,Waterlooitselfisnotveryexciting.It'schanged

    inthepasttenyears.Duringtheglobaleconomiccrisis,

    businessesandindustriescollapsedworldwide,andthispartof

    southwesternOntariowashitprettyhard.It'soneofthe

    reasonsshe'sstudyingeconomics:totrytounderstandwhat

    happened.

    "I'vegottogo,"shesays,"seeyouThursday."She's

    meetingherboyfriendJasonforlunchatthenewcafon

    campus.YesterdayshesawthesignadvertisingTuesdayas

    LebaneseDay.Therearefewdecentrestaurantsintown

    anymoreandJasonlovesMiddleEasternfood.

    Sheskipsdownthewidestonestepsandacrossthe

    Weneedtobreakdownthesebarriersthatlimitourabilityto

    thinkcreativelyandwork

    together.

    ScenarioParticpant

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    browngrass.Therehasn'tbeenalotofrain

    and,withthewatershortage,theydon't

    usesprinklersevenhere,whereeverything

    seemssoopulent.Shestillcan'tgetover

    thedifferencebetweenthecampus,anyof

    thelocaluniversitycampusesactually,and

    thetown.Someoneispouringmoneyinto

    theseacademicinstitutionsandthey

    sparkle.Thenewbuildingsareallstateof

    theartandthearchitectureispretty

    amazing,althoughthereislessgreenspace

    roundcampusthanthereusedtobe.And

    it'shardlysutainabledesign.Butthe

    resourcesavailabletothestudentsandthe

    qualityofteachingaretopnotch,asare

    theotherstudents.It'slikeanotherworld.

    Ifonlysomeofthatmoneywentto

    thetownitself.Withbusinessesclosingand

    peoplerelocatinginsearchofwork,the

    taxbaseisdiminished.Andthere'snonew

    investmentintheregion.Theuniversityhas

    becomemoreconservative,protectingits

    own.Itusedtoseizeopportunitiestoform

    businesspartnershipswithcommunity

    entrepreneurs,butthesedaysnoone

    wantstotakerisks.Assoonasshe

    graduates,she'llbeleavingWaterlootoo.

    Jasononlystaysbecauseofher,butshe

    suspectshe'llsoonfollowinhisparents'

    footstepsandmovetoToronto.Ifonlythe

    electricianheworkedforhadn'tmoved

    awaybeforeJasonfinishedhis

    apprenticeship.IfonlyUWoffered

    scholarshipsforlocals,ortookaninterest

    inthecommunity.Theyoungpeoplewho

    choosetostayinWaterloohavesuchlimitedopportunities.Theyworkinbars

    andrestaurants,garagesandcornerstores

    untiltheycansaveenoughmoneytoleave

    forToronto,oruntiltheytakeoverfailing

    familybusinesses.Someofherclose

    friendsfromhighschoolarestuckinthis

    predicament.Shefeelsforthem.

    Sheflipsopenhercellphone,but

    there'snomessage.It'spastoneo'clock.

    She'slate.Shehurriestowardsthegates.

    NosignofJason.Oneoftheelectricinter

    universityvansglidesby,headedforthe

    Guelphcampus.

    Sheapproachesthesecurityguard.

    "Hi.I'msupposedtomeetmyboyfriend

    here.Handsomeblondguy."Shesmiles.

    "Haveyouseenhim?"

    Theguardsmilesback."Can'tsayI

    have.Whatfaculty?"

    "Oh,he'snotastudent.Helivesin

    town."

    "Youfromhere?"

    "Yes."

    "Metoo.Ijuststartedworkherea

    fewweeksago.Prettygooddeal."

    Cindynods.Theuniversitiespay

    wellandtheyaretheonlyreallybig

    employersintownnow.Tyemandthe

    college."That'sgreat."Scanningthestreet

    outsidethegates,shespotsJasonleaning

    againstatelephonepole."Thereheis!"

    Shenodstothesecurityguard,flashesher

    passbythesensorandstridesoutthegate.

    Jasondoesn'tseeherrightaway.He'sstaringatagroupofstudentswaiting

    bythevanpickup.It'sfunnyhoweasyitis

    todistinguishUWstudentsfromlocals.

    Theydon'tdressverydifferently,but

    theressomething.They'realsomore

    culturallydiverse,lotsofdifferent

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    ethnicities,whereWaterlooisprettywhite.Whiteandpoor.

    AsCindycrossesthestreet,Jasonturnsherway.

    Shetucksherarmthroughhisandkisseshimonthe

    cheek."Hey."

    "You'relate,"hesays.

    Shecan'ttellifhe'sjokingornot."Yeah.Sorry.Class

    endedlate."

    "Nobigdeal."Hesoundsabitpissedoff.

    "So,youupforsomeLebanese?"sheasks.

    "Notreally.Let'sgosomewhereelse."

    "TheBomber?"Thefood'scheapthereandlasttime

    theyhadagoodtime.

    "No.Likeoffcampus."

    Shestaresathim.He'sstillwatchingthestudents.

    "Okay,sure.Letsgo.I'mstarved.AndIhavetobebackfor

    classby2:30."

    TheywalkeastonColumbia.There'ssomefastfood

    placesnearKingStreet,thoughshe'sheardacoupleofthem

    closeddown.Jasonstayssilent.

    "What'sup?"sheasks."Ithoughtyouwantedmiddle

    easternfood?"

    "Yeah.Ijustdon'twanttoeatoncampus.Itbugsme

    thatyouhavetosignmein,likeI'masecondclasscitizen."

    Shechewsherlip.It'sawkwardforher,beingastudent

    andalocal,straddlingbothworlds.Sometimesshe'snotsure

    shebelongstoeither.Shelikeshercoursesandabsolutely

    lovesthefeelingthatshe'sonapositivetrajectory,thatshe'll

    getherdegreeandbeabletomakesomethingofherlife.But

    she'suncomfortablewiththedividebetweenthetownandthe

    university.Shesuspectsalotoflocalsfeellikesecondclass

    Itsnotaboutgettingeverykid

    touniversitybutitisabout

    engagingeveryoneinan

    educationthatsgoingtoleadsomewhere.Thedealhasto

    includeeveryone.

    ScenarioParticipant

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    citizensintheirhometown.Itbugshertoo.

    Shechangesthesubject."Anyluck

    withthejobsearch?"

    Helaughswithouthumour."You

    gottabekidding.Noone'shiring,noteven

    therestaurants."

    "Whataboutattheuniversity?Did

    youfollowuponthatopeninginFood

    Services?"Thesecurityguardwasright.

    UWpayswell,andifJasonworkedon

    campus,he'dhavehisownpass.

    Jasonshakeshishead."No.Idon'tthinkthatwouldwork.Iknowit'sdecent

    workbutIdon'tthinkIcouldhandlebeing

    oncampus,watchingtheeliteenjoying

    themselves,havingtoservethem."

    Shenods.Stupidofhertosuggest

    it.

    Theywalkon,movingeast,away

    fromthecampus.Theypassanapartment

    buildingwithacoupleofbrokenwindows,

    aclosedstorefront.Garbageoverflows

    frombins.Withfewerpeoplepayingtaxes,

    therearefewerservices.Intheory,this

    shouldbeokay,becauseofthepopulation

    decline,butithasn'tquiteworkedoutthat

    way.ThepeoplewhoremaininWaterloo

    havesolittlemoney.Theyneedhelp,but

    there'snoonetosupportthem.

    ItdepressesCindy.Waterlooused

    tobelivelier.Peopleworkedhardandthemunicipalleadersmadedecisionsthat

    helpedpreserveculturaldiversityandthe

    environment.Thensomeofthebig

    companiesrelocatedtheirheadquartersor

    downsizedtheiroperations,likeRIM,

    whichusedtoemploynotjuststudents,

    buttoppeoplefromaroundtheworld,

    peoplewithinnovativeideas.Therearestill

    someinnovatorsonfacultybutthe

    universityislessandlessconnectedtothe

    community.Arealivorytower.Andthe

    sameseemstobetrueinGuelph,

    Cambridge,somanyofthetownsaround

    here.Maybeshecanhelpchangethat

    someday.Rightnow,shejustwantstohelp

    Jason.

    "Iheardtherewassometroublelast

    night,neartheONeils,"hesays.

    "Yeah?"ONeilsisapubcloseto

    Kitchener."Whatkindoftrouble?"

    "RememberDanGeorge?"

    Shenods.Danwasafootballplayer

    attheirhighschool.

    "Well,soundslikehepickedafight

    withsomestudents.Notsurewhatthey

    weredoingdownthere"

    Shelooksathim."Theyhaveas

    muchrighttogothereaswedo."

    Heshrugs."Yeah.Justnotsurewhy

    they'dwantto,whenthey'vegotfancy

    pubsoncampus."

    "Jason!Wouldyoubehappierifkids

    atUWhadabsolutelynothingtodowith

    peoplefromtown?Isn'titbadenoughthat

    thereissolittlemingling?"

    "Sorry.You'reright.I'msorry."He

    halfsmilesather,hisguiltylook.

    Shehugshim."It'sokay."Theykeep

    walking.There'saTimHorton'supahead,

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    notmuchelsearound.Cindyglancesatherwatch:it'salmost

    1:30."YouwannagrabasandwichatTim's?I'mgoingtohave

    togetbacksoon."

    "Sure."

    Acoupleofstudentspassthemonthestreet.

    "Ican'tgetoverhowdeadthisplaceis,"murmursone.

    "Yeah.ImissOttawa.NeverthoughtI'dsaythat!"

    respondstheother.

    CindyandJasonglanceateachother.TheyenterTim's

    andordersandwiches.Whenthefood'sready,theyfinda

    table.Thereareonlyacoupleofpeopleinhere,drinkingcoffee.

    "SowhathappenedwithDan?"asksCindy

    "Notmuch.Hewasdrunk,belligerent"

    "Nothingnew."

    "Yeah,"saysJason."Anyway,hethrewacoupleof

    punches,gotwhathedeservedandthestudentssplit.Nobig

    deal.Ijusthopeitdoesn'tmakemattersworse."

    Cindyknowswhathemeans.Rightnow,mostofthe

    universitystudentshardlythinkaboutthetownatall.It'sjust

    aplacewheretheygotoschool.Eveniftheyliveintown,they

    leadtheirlivesoncampus.Theirfriendsareallstudents.They

    havenoideawhatit'slikeforthelocalresidents,losingtheir

    jobs,feelingsohopeless,andyes,jealousoftheseprivileged

    kidswithsomanyoptions.Butiftheystartgettingangryas

    well,thewholesituationcouldgetprettyugly.

    "IthinkI'mgoingtohavetogetoutofhere,Cindy,"

    saysJason,staringintohiscoffee."It'sdrivingmecrazy."

    Shenods,feelingaholeopenupinside.Hewasgoing

    tostayhere,hangoutwhileshefinisheduniversity,butit'sno

    good.There'snoworkforhimandshecanfeelhimgrowing

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    This is the scenario ofa bedroomcommunitywhere largenumbersofpeople live in the region but

    commutetoworkelsewhere.Despitelocaleconomicdecline,thesecommutersareservedbygoodlocal

    andinterregionalmasstransit,whichattractspeopletotheregionandincreasesthesizeanddiversityof

    thepopulation.Peoplefeellittleconnectiontothecommunitiesinwhichtheylivehowever,asthecities

    andtownshavenotadaptedtothesechanges.Communityparticipationandinterestinlocalpoliticsis

    low,asisthequalityofsocialserviceprovision,whichispoorlydirected.Thereislittlesenseofregional

    identity as the identityof individual townsand cities have been submerged by suburbangrowth and

    proximitytoToronto.

    BedroomCommunity

    BEDROOMCOMMUNITY

    WATERLOOWELLINGTONSCENARIOS

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    BedroomCommunityCharacteristics

    Characterisedbyeconomicstagnationandrapid,diverse

    populationgrowth.

    DevelopmentleadstoCambridge,Kitchener,WaterlooandGuelphmergingintoonesinglecommunity.

    Therearefewerlargeemployers,withgrowingunemploymentstrainingunemploymentinsuranceand

    welfare.

    Transientreductionsinlocaltaxrevenuesleadtoreductionsintheprovisionofpublicservices.

    Thereissomenewentrepreneurialactivity. Thelocaleconomybecomesreliantonservice,retailand

    constructionindustries.

    Trafficandcommutingbothgrowandthecommutergrowthforcesdevelopmentofbetterpublictransitsystems.

    CompetitionforjobsdiminishesdiversityintheworkplaceaslocalemployersarelesslikelytoemployNewCanadians.

    Thewealthgapgrows. Therevitalizationofthecitycoresstops. Theagedemographicbecomesolder. Healthservicesareunderstresscausingwaittimesto

    increase,publichealthtogetworse,andmedicalrecruitment

    tosuffer.

    Thereisreducedinterestinlocalelections. Theenvironmentsuffers. ThereisachangeinResearch&Developmentfocusinthe

    universities.

    Thereispressureonconcernedcitizenstoaddresssocialproblems.

    Commutingtimeinparticulardiminishesthesenseofcommunity,whichimpactsartsandculture.

    Theartsandculturearelesscollaborativeandoperateinanincreasinglycompetitivefundingenvironment.

    Theartscommunityareghettoisedandlessabletoretainorrecruitnewmembers.

    Fromanindividual,personal

    perspective,KitchenerWaterloo,

    CambridgeandGuelphareinter

    connected;youdontreallyhavethatstrongsensethatyoureleaving

    Guelphandthentravellingand

    endingupinCambridge.Ifpeople

    dontrealisethat,theymissthe

    opportunityforthesetypesof

    experientialconnections.Itcouldbe

    areallyrichcollaboration.

    ScenarioParticipant

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    WATERLOO REGION

    RECORD

    GUELPH

    MERCURY

    HEADLINES FROM 2009 - 2020Council approves construction of

    new housing south of Kitchener

    - JANUARY 2010

    Unemployment higher than

    Provincial average

    - APRIL 2011

    Public demands more GO

    Buses, Guelph, KW, Toronto

    - MARCH 2012

    Councillor blames deficit for

    restrictions in local services -

    SEPTEMBER 2014

    Top cop fears increase in

    gang violence

    - MARCH 2016

    Water group opposes

    new development

    - OCTOBER 2017

    Housing shortage forgrowing population

    - JULY2019

    Election turnoutlowest ever -

    NOVEMBER 2020

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    A

    B

    20092012 20132016 20172020

    Social Noexpansionortransformationofpositivecommunityidentity

    Intensivedrivebystatusquoaffectsarts,urbanplanningetc,asthecommunityleadersbecomemorerigid

    Crisispointsinviolence,poverty,disease,crime,community,reputation,pride

    Noadaptivesocialservices,whichleadstocrisis,vulnerability,violence,dropouts

    Nosenseofbelongingandreinforcementofnegativestereotypes

    Policiesrestrictingimmigration

    unwelcomelaws

    EconomicNewtechnologyleadsto

    significantchangesin

    telecommunications

    industryworldwide,and

    hasahugeimpactonlocal

    companies

    Lossofeconomicvitality,particularlyinthelocalfoodeconomy(lossofurban/ruralcohesion)

    Localunemploymentincreasespovertyfornewimmigrants,thereismoreeconomicdisparityandgreaterdemandonresources

    Flightofkeycapital(humanandfinancial)

    Communitylosesconfidence,Innovationbrandlost

    Decreaseincommunitysupportprovidedbylocalcompaniesanduniversities

    Significanterosionofthetaxbase

    Environmental Watercrisis

    Sewageprocessingproblem

    Drasticwaterrationingforhomeandindustry.Agricultureaffectedbydrought:lowermeatproductionandcropyields

    Healthproblemsrelatedtoworseningair/waterresources

    Increasedpressurefornewhousingdevelopments

    Reductioningreenspaceinthecities(parks,recreationalfields)andoutsidethem(agriculturalland,protectedareas).

    Lackofaccesstogreenspaceimpactingqualityoflife

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    LongWayHome

    WaterlooRegion,October2020

    At1:30intheafternoon,anannouncementinterruptedNathalie'stourofJarvisCollegiateInstitute,thefourthToronto

    secondaryschoolshe'dvisitedthatday.

    "Superintendent Wlodarska, please contact the main

    office right away. Superintendent `Wlodarska,please contact

    themainoffice."

    Sheturnedtotheprincipal."I'msorry.I'dbetterfind

    outwhat'sup.Probablysomeirateparent."

    The principal, a young man new to the job and no

    doubteager toimpressher,nodded,but she couldsensehis

    disappointment."Ofcourse."

    They retraced their steps to the office. The secretary

    disentangledherselffromagroupofstudentswithpinkslipsin

    their hands. "My apologies, Superintendent, your admin

    assistant just called to say there's an urgent message from

    yourson'sschool."

    Nathalie tensed. "Thank you. Is there a phone I canuse?"Hercellphonedidn'tworkinsidetheschool.

    Theprincipal said,"Usemyoffice."Heusheredher in

    andleft,closingthedoorbehindhim.

    She dialed the number quickly. She'd made the call

    more times than she liked to remember in the past year.

    "JacobKlein,please.It'sNathalieWlodarska."

    Afterabriefpause,Jacob,theprincipalofTom'sschool,

    cameon."Nathalie,I'msorrytobotheryou"

    Shecuthimoff,heranxietyrising."What'sup,Jacob?"

    "TherewasanincidentwithTomatlunchtime.Heleft

    theschoolandhasn'treturned.Ithoughtyoushouldknow."

    Istillhavesomefeelingsof

    isolation.Thehugefamily

    connectionsarenothere,theyrenotautomaticsoyou

    havetobuildthem(atchurchor

    intheneighbourhood),andyou

    wantthoserelationshipsfor

    yourchildren.

    ScenarioParticipant

    Iremembernoticingthat

    theresneveranybodyofcolour

    inmykidsswimmingclasses.

    Never.SoIaskedwhy?One

    reasonisbecausetherearenosinglegendersessionsinthe

    pool,andtheresnoprivacyin

    thechangerooms.Thisisa

    questionaboutwhetherwetruly

    honourothercultures.

    ScenarioParticipant

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    Assheposedthenextquestion,she

    reviewedthe rapidtransit schedule inher

    head.If shehurried, shecouldcatchaGO

    train to GCKW in half an hour. "What

    happened?"

    "I'm investigating right now, but it

    seems Tom got into an argument with a

    couple of girls outside the school, said

    some inappropriate things. One of them

    reactedbadly,herboyfriendgotinvolved

    "

    "Wasthereafight?"Itwouldn'tbe

    uncommon.Tomhadbeendiagnosedwith

    ADHDseveralyearsagoandhadbeeninaspecial behavioural class for eighteen

    months prior to entering high school. He

    had anger management problems and of

    late, had shown signs of depression. The

    highschool'sresourceswerestretched,and

    inNathalie'sview,Tomwasnotgettingthe

    attention he needed, but she understood

    theschoolboard'slimitations.

    "A few punches thrown on both

    sides.Thenacrowdgathered.I'mafraidit

    sounds like they turned on Tom. He took

    off."

    "In what direction?" If he'd gone

    home, she could call, reassure him and

    finish her tour here. It would be hard to

    rearrange, given her hectic schedule, and

    shehadaresponsibilitytovisiteachofthe

    schoolsshesupervisedtwiceperterm.

    "We're not sure. He headed east,

    butnoonereallypaidattentionandbythe

    timeIheardaboutit,he'ddisappeared."

    "Thanks,Jacob.I'lltrytoreachhim.

    If I can't, I'll be on my way immediately.

    OnceI'moutofthebuilding,youcanreach

    meonmycell.Youhavethenumber?"

    "Yes.We'llcallifwehearanything.

    Andpleaseletusknowifyoulocatehim."

    "I will." She rang off, then dialed

    home.Afterfourrings,shegotvoicemail.

    She hurried out, apologizing to the

    principalassheleft."I'llgetDonnatobook

    anothervisit."

    She hailed a cab outside. It took

    fortyminutestoreachtheGOstation,forty

    minutesforhertocurseTom'sschooland

    the job that took her so far from thesuburban sprawl where she lived. She

    should havemoved toTorontowhenher

    husband died. The schools here had

    superior resources to deal with special

    needsstudents,especiallyatthesecondary

    level, and Tom could have had the

    supportsheneeded. In Toronto, itwould

    alsobeeasiertoobtaindecentfood,fresh

    organic produce. Such produce was

    increasingly scarce in GCKW, and she'd

    recently read a study suggesting the

    chemicals in commercial produce and

    processed foods might well exacerbate

    Tom's condition. Yes, she should have

    movedtoToronto.Butrightafterhisfather

    died, she'd thought consistencywouldbe

    goodforTom.Wrong,wrong,wrong.

    At3:00, she boarded the GO train

    to the suburban sprawl which included

    Guelph, Cambridge and KitchenerWaterloo.Thefourcitieshadamalgamated

    eightyearsagointoGCKW,theacronymas

    anonymousasthecommunity'scharacter.

    As the trainsilently spedwest,she gazed

    gloomily out the window. The only

    noticeable change leaving Toronto was

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    7

    thattherewerefewernewbuilding,fewercompanylogos,less

    signofeconomicprosperity.Itnolongerfeltlikeleavingacity

    for the country.The fields that remainedheldno lushcrops.

    Thefamilyfarmshaddisappearedorstoodvacantandderelict.

    She shook her head, depressed by how quickly things had

    changed when the economy of the region plummeted. So

    manymajorcompanieshadmovedtheirheadquartersoutof

    GCKW.Eachofthefourcitieshadsuffered,butthepopulation

    had continued to grow. It was one of the largest bedroom

    communities in North America, miles of dwellings,

    interspersed with a few small businesses, mostly service

    industry, schools, a couple of hospitals, insufficient for the

    population, and of course the universities, enclaves of

    privilegedlearning.

    She tried calling Tom again, with no luck. Then shecalledhistwoclosestfriends,withthesameresult.Voicemail.

    Nodoubt theirparentsworked elsewhere too and the boys

    would not be home from school yet. Her anxiety mounted.

    TheyshouldmovetoToronto. Itwasn'tdoingTomanygood

    staying inGCKW, eating garbage out ofmachines at school,

    gettingintofights.InTorontohecouldgotoabetterequipped

    school. And she wouldn'tbe so far away. Even if housing in

    Torontoproperwasvirtuallyunaffordable.She'djusthaveto

    findaway.

    ThetrainpassedthroughlittleVienna,anareaonthe

    east edge of Cambridge populated largely by people of

    Europeanextraction.Thehousesweresmallandneat,butall

    toosimilar:anoldstylekeepupwiththeJonesescommunity.

    Stillitwascheerfulcomparedtothedowntownghettos,which

    housed the growing populationsofpoor immigrants. One of

    thefalloutsoflosingsomanythrivingbusinesseswasthatthe

    vibrantmulticulturalismhadfragmented.Thewealthylivedin

    discrete suburban enclaves and instead of mingling and

    celebrating their diversity, the ethnic communities had

    becomemore isolated, each taking care of theirown, or, inmanycases,failingtodoso.

    Severalyearsagopoliticalcandidateshadcampaigned

    onpromises tomakeGCKWasamodelofculturaldiversity.

    Nownooneseemedtocare.Voterturnoutatthelastelection

    had been pathetic, and no wonder, the candidates' visions

    TheCountrySidelineis

    supposedtoaboundaryasreal

    asthecoastline,butsubdivision

    buildersbuildwideroadsthat

    leadsomewhereandcreatetheexpectationofmoregrowth.

    ScenarioParticipant

    Theresalotofevidencethat

    kidswhoarentexposedtonatureareexperiencing

    psychologicalandmedical

    problemsitscalledNature

    DeficitDisorder.

    ScenarioParticipant

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    8

    were narrow, pinched, just like the

    economy.Thebiggestissuewasthelackof

    resourcestodealwiththeoverpopulation.

    The best and brightest from the area, as

    wellasalltheuniversitygraduates,moved

    elsewhere. The arts suffered. Local

    theatresandgalleriesshutdownandmany

    members of the oncethriving creative

    community relocated. It was difficult to

    attract doctors; wait times at hospitals

    wereappalling.She knewtoowell. Ithad

    taken months to get Tom diagnosed and

    they were still waiting for him to see

    psychologist. She had to move. No

    question.

    The trainwas passing through the

    derelict downtown of old Cambridge. It

    being a hot day, people were on the

    streets,meandering andchatting, a rough

    lot, downatheels, a mix of white, black

    and Asian. Most of them probably

    unemployed. Rumor had it this had

    becomesomethingofacriminalhotbed.

    Catching sight of a familiar figure,

    she caught her breath. Was that really

    Tom,miles from home?Themopof dark

    air,tallhunchedformandblack,oversized

    Tshirtconvincedher.Sheroseunsteadily.

    The next stop was only a few minutes

    away, but her car was at the South

    Kitchener station and she needed it. She

    stood twisting her hands together as the

    trainracedonwardandTom,ifitreallywas

    Tom,fadedintothedistance.

    She rode the train to her station,rushed off and leapt into her car.

    Fortunately traffic was light. Most people

    used the excellent transit system in the

    area.Normallyshedidtoo,butshe'dbeen

    latethismorningandnow,itseemed,she

    waslateagain.

    She tried calling home again,

    knowing itwasuseless.He couldnothave

    gothomethatquickly.Shemaneuveredher

    way onto King Street and headed south

    towards Cambridge, passing unfamiliar

    streets, rundown houses, unchaperoned

    children. Finally she reached the place

    where she'd seen Tom. She drove up and

    down,thenbroadened the areaofsearch.

    Nosignofhim.Her head throbbedasshe

    drove on, aimlessly. She called the school

    again, but they'd heard nothing. Heading

    back north on King Street, she passed

    through the disintegrating cores of

    Kitchener and Waterloo. Pausing inConestogaMall's desertedparking lot, she

    dialedthepolice.Asexpected,theytoldher

    theycouldn'tspareanyofficerstolookfora

    boy who had only been missing a few

    hours. Hewas a teenager, right? Probably

    hanging out with friends, they said.When

    shepersisted, the sergeanttoldhertocall

    back if she hadn't found him by morning.

    He couldnt promise anything, their

    caseloadswere backed up, but they could

    put out a call if anyone sawhim. But not

    untiltomorrow.

    As dusk fell, she headed towards

    home.Ithadbeenyearssinceshe'ddriven

    through so much of the city and it

    depressed her immeasurably: too many

    peopledoingnothing,inalmosteveryarea.

    Andsofewgreenspaces;itwasanendless

    concrete jungle.At leastuntil she reached

    the neighbourhood where she now lived.They'd moved from the friendly Polish

    enclaveinnorthKitchenerwhereTomhad

    been born, when she took the job in

    Toronto. Their old neighborhood had

    started going downhill and with her new

    salary, they'd been able toafford a larger

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    9

    house,withayard,inNewDoon,oneofthewealthierpartsof

    GCKW.Sometimesshemissedtheoldhouse,andthegarden

    whereshe'dgrownherowntomatoes,whenwaterwasn'tin

    suchlimitedsupply.Certainlyshemissedthewarmthofthat

    little community, the evenings sitting on porches, the

    backyardgettogethers.Shebarelyknewherneighboursnow.

    Nolightsshowedinthehouse,butthefrontdoorwas

    unlocked. She paused in the front hall. "Tom?" she called

    hopefully.

    Noanswer.He'dprobably forgotten to lockthe door

    whenheleftin themorning.She'dgivehimhellaboutthat,

    whenshefoundhim.

    Sheheardasoundfromupstairs;herheartsqueezedtight."Tom?"Sheranupthestairsandintohisroom,buthe

    wasn't there. Then she heard a crash from the bathroom,

    skitteredacrossthehallandflippedthelightswitch.

    Tomslumpedonthefloor,hiseyesclosed,something

    athisside,somethingshecouldn'tcompute:asyringe.

    "Tom!"Shekneltbyhim,herhandsshaking."Tom,oh

    Tom,areyouallright?"

    His eyes fluttered open for a second, then he

    shuddered.

    "Jesus, Jesus." She stabbed911 onher cell phone. "I

    need an ambulance. Immediately. My son's unconscious

    Halfanhour?That'stoolong.Can'tyoucomefaster?...Idon't

    know,maybe a drug overdose. Please, please hurry!" She

    spitoutheraddress,thenbroketheconnection.

    Shesatonthetiledfloor,cradledinhisheadinherlap,

    andwaited.

    Ihaveabeautifulwebof

    friendsandfamily,andeveryone

    shouldhavethatitscrucial.

    ScenarioParticipant

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    By2020thereisgreaterinterestintheenvironment,andacultureofenvironmentalstewardship

    throughouttheregion.Traditionalbusinessesandindustrieshaveadoptedsustainablepractices,new

    industriesareevolvingtomeetthedemandforcleaner,greenerproductsandservices,protectedareasof

    greenspacearoundthecitiesrestricturbandevelopment,andacommitmenttoandknowledgeofthe

    environmentisencouragedinlocalschools.Asaresult,thelocalfoodeconomyisthrivingandsupportsa

    strongconnectionbetweencitiesandruraltowns.Withinthecities,thereareagrowingnumberofwell

    used,multipurposegreenspacesthatarewellconnectedtoeachotherbypublictransit.Thetwin

    challengesofenvironmentalresourcedepletionandtheneedtoattractnewanddiversepeopletothe

    regionhavegalvanisedthecommunity,andincreasedparticipationinpubliclife.

    GreenTowers

    GREENTOWERS

    WATERLOOWELLINGTONSCENARIOS

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    GreenTowersCharacteristics

    Characterisedbylowpopulationgrowthcombinedwitheconomic

    vibrancy

    Thereareresourcelimits,especiallywater. Greenindustriesbuildontheexistingstrengthsof

    communitiesinregion(hightech/software,newindustrial

    technologieslikewatertreatmentandformsofagribusiness).

    Thelocalfoodeconomyisverystrong. Localindustriespursuelowcarbonfootprint

    policies/technology.

    Economicdiversityisincreasing(includingalternativeeconomieslikeCommunitySupportedAgriculture),utilising

    arts/cultureforgrowth.

    Thereisaccessbyfoot/cycletogreenspacesandlocalservices Thereisgoodlocaltransitwithincentivestolivein

    walking/transitdistancetowork.

    Minimalism(lowerconsumption)ismorecommoncarriedonfromexperiencesduringyoungadulthood.

    Thereareanumberofcommongreenspacesthataremultipurposeandproductive(pickyourown,conversationetc).

    Plannersexercisegreenplanningpractices(greenindustrialparks,lowerimpactsuburbandesign,regulationbasedon

    inclusionoflongtermenvironmentalcosts).

    Theartsanddesignplayaroleindecisionmakingbodies(governmental,industry).

    Thereisurbanintensification. Thereisvisionaryleadershipandaction(ratherthanthe

    dangerofleadersmaintainingthestatusquo).

    Urbangardeningiscommon. Viablelocalfoodsystems,whichincludecarboncostsinfood

    costs,provideaffordablefoodandsupportlocalagriculture.

    Weneedtonoticealltheecologies

    werelivingandworkingin.That

    includestheecologyofhouses,and

    cities.ScenarioParticipant

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    4

    WATERLOO REGION

    RECORD

    GUELPH

    MERCURY

    HEADLINES FROM 2009 - 2020Feds provide Toyota with incentive

    money for green technologies

    - DECEMBER 2009

    Increased Traffic Exhaust andcommon agricultural herbicide

    linked to cancer spike in K-W -

    JULY 2010

    Storm devastates Guelph

    area. Flooding river causes

    sewers to overflow. Water

    declared UNSAFE

    -August 2011

    Province announces tax breaks for

    backyard food growers

    - OCTOBER 2011

    Organic farmersapplaud tax

    incentives

    - MARCH 2012

    Province of Ontariointroduces carbon

    tax on Big Business

    - MAY 2013

    GM opens electric car plant at

    Guelph site; 1600 new jobs

    -JULY 2014

    Guelph backyard food sharingprogram expands throughoutWaterloo Region - SEPTEMBER 2015

    Five-year Region-wide commuter

    bike network officially launched at

    RIM Park - AUGUST2016

    High hydro rates are

    forcing RIM to

    leave the region -

    MAY2017

    Region approvesagriculturalgreen beltaround KW

    Region-

    JANUARY2018

    Report indicates 3,000 fewer

    commuter cars on Regions

    roads -NOVEMBER 2018

    Guelph Organic Restaurant

    Association (GORA) celebrates five

    years of ground-breaking food

    tourism program - MARCH 2020

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    5

    A

    B

    20092012 20132016 20172020

    Social Education/awarenessbuildingaboutculturalinclusionandcriticalengagement

    Reciprocityofcitizenexperience/participationlocalandglobal

    Policiesshiftrecognitionofinternationaleducation,immigration,employmentinclusiveandrelevant

    Increaseinnumber,dependability,levelofcommunicationandadaptabilityofsocialservices

    Increasedopportunityforyouthleadership,expandedskilldevelopment,culturalunderstandandsharedspaces

    PermeableIdentityAppreciationandrecognitionofnecessityofCDtobuildvibrantandresilientcommunityDifferentandequal

    Economic Significantdisruptionintheeconomy,particularlyforthelargebusinesseslocatedlocally,freesalargenumberofcreativeemployees

    Moresustainabilitypracticesandbusinessesthatcapitalizeondemandforgreentechnology

    Increasedconnectivity(socialnetworking,masstransit,urban/ruraletc)

    Emergenceofcommunitybasedandspinoffindustries,rechannelingofentrepreneurialactivity

    Increaseinthenumberoflocaleconomies(CommunitySupportedAgricultureetc)

    Theeconomyisgrowingwithlessenvironmentalimpact

    Environmental Educationchangingsattitudesaboutresourceuse

    Goalsandtargetssettoincreasegreenspace

    Creationofincentivestoattractgreenindustryandconvertmatureindustrytogreentechnology/practices

    Startingtoplanttreestoincreasetreecover Supportforlocalfoodinitiatives Increasesintheamountoffoodgrownandconsumedlocally

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    6

    GreenTowers

    Guelph,June2020

    VishalhelpedGrandfatherintothepassengerseatofhisGMElexCompact.Sunlightdancedonthelushgreenofthe

    parkoppositethestationandagentlebreezeruffledVishal's

    hair.

    Theoldman'sfacewassetinadeepfrownof

    disapproval."Youexpectmetofoldmyselfinhalftogetinto

    thisthing?Whydon'tyouhaveapropercar,Vishal?People

    willthinkyouaretoopoor.Don'tyoumakeenoughmoneyas

    awhatdoyoucallitendiroengineer?"

    "Enviroengineer,Grandfather,"Vishalheldtheold

    man'sarmashemaneuveredhimselfintotheseat.

    Grandfatherseemedtohaveshrunk;hefitquitecomfortably.

    Vishalgotbehindthewheelandstartedthemotor,which

    barelymadeasound."Thisisapropercar,Grandfather.It's

    electric,energyefficient,nonpolluting.Seehowquietitis?"

    "It'stooquiet,"grumbledgrandfather,"doesn'tfeellike

    acaratall."Hepeeredoutthewindow."Infactthiswhole

    townistooquiet.Idon'tknowwhyyouwanttoliveinaplace

    wherethewaterisn'tsafe.YoushouldcomeliveinToronto.That'salivelycity,nohealthproblems,lotsofactionfora

    youngman.AndplentyofIndiangirlstoo."

    Vishalsighed.Likemanyothers,Grandfatherwould

    alwaysassociateGuelphwithwaterproblems.In2011a

    ferociousstormhadstruckthearea,pouringdownsomuch

    rainthatthestormsewersoverflowedandcontaminatedthe

    water.Adozenpeopledied.Ayearlaterareportcameout

    linkingtheuseofherbicideswithhighlevelsofcancerinthe

    area.Itwashardfortheregionbuttheseeventshad

    galvanizedcommunityleaders,whodecidedtocarefully

    managethecity'sgrowthuntiltheconsequencescouldbe

    dealtwithandlongtermplanningputinplace.Almostten

    yearslater,althoughthecityhadnotbeentransformed,itwas

    wellonthewaytobecomingatrulygreencommunity.

    Inthecourseoftheday,Vishalhopedtopersuadehis

    Itsliketheriversbeing

    ignored,andbyignoringtheriveryourealsoignoringany

    problems,whichtheredefinitely

    are.

    ScenarioParticipant

    HOWarewetogrow?Guelph

    doesnothavethewatersupply

    orwasteandsewagecapacityto

    sustainsuchhugegrowth.Our

    community's"natural

    constraints"liketheriversand

    groundwaterwillrestrictsuch

    expansion.

    GrowingQuestionsAbout

    Growth,GuelphMecury,

    November2007

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    8

    ofthecity?"Grandfatherasked.

    "It'sownedbytheUniversity.Theyuseitasagreen

    classroomforareastudents,"saidVishal."Soonafterthe

    flood,enrolmentattheneighborhoodschooldroppedsolow

    theSchoolBoardcloseditandmovedthechildrentoanother

    school.Butpeoplearoundheremissedthechildren.Thenthe

    AgricultureCollegeproducedastudyemphasizingthebenefits

    ofearlyagriculturaleducationforyoungpeopleandforour

    future,andtheUniversitydecidedtofundthisproject,asan

    experiment.Agroupofcommunityvolunteersfixedupthat

    oldbarnandstudentsfromtheUniversitypreparedthe

    gardens.NowmostoftheschoolsinGuelphbringtheir

    studentshereforhalfadayeverycoupleofweeks.Thekids

    tendthegardensandlearnaboutagricultureandsustainable

    practices.Itseemsprettypopular."

    "Hmmm.It'saniceplaceforkids."Grandfather'svoice

    soundedabitshaky.

    "Comeon,"saidVishal,"Letmetakeyouinside.Thisis

    whereIwork."

    Theyenteredthetallbuildingandforthenexttwo

    hours,Vishalfirstledandthen,aftersomeheatedargument

    whenhenoticedGrandfatherlookingpale,pushedhimaround

    inawheelchair.

    "Thisisallabigfake,"Grandfathersputteredatthe

    beginning."Youcan'thaveanindoorfarm,afarminabuilding.

    It'sunnatural."

    Vishalsmiled."You'rerightandnotsoright.They'reall

    naturalprocesses,althoughwehaven'tyetperfectedthem.

    Weraisepigshereandtheirmanuredropsdowntothenext

    levelandfertilizesmushroomsthere.It'salsousedinthe

    greenhouses.Thegraingrownfeedsthechickensoverthere,someforeating,someforlayingeggs.There'sverylittlewaste

    andtheentirebuildingispoweredbywind"

    "Thatthingthere?Itlookslikesomethingfromaspace

    film.Thebladesaresothin,howcanitgeneratepower?"But

    Grandfatherpeereddownatthecluckingchickensand

    Peopleonlysee2typesof

    farmingorganicfarmsrunby

    MomandDad,andfactory

    farms.Therearelotsinbetween

    butifconsumersshoutabout

    onemorethantheother,famers

    willlisten.

    ScenarioPartcipant

    Theresalotofevidencethat

    kidswhoarentexposedto

    natureareexperiencing

    psychologicalandmedical

    problemsitscalledNature

    DeficitDisorder.

    ScenarioParticipant

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    9

    muttered,"Makegoodchickentikka,eh?"

    "Yes,andthat'sanotherthing."

    Vishalwarmedtothistopic."Because

    we'reencouragingdifferentethnicgroups

    tocometothecityandweconcentrateon

    sustainableagricultureandbiodiversity,

    someofyourfavouritevegetablesare

    grownhereandinthegardensdownthere

    bythemarket."Hepointedoutthrough

    thewindow."Andtheproduceissoldto

    restaurants,hereandinToronto.People

    nowcometoGuelphforexoticorganic

    dining."

    "Youarenotinyourrightmind,Vishal."Grandfathershookhishead.

    "PeoplewouldnotcomefromTorontoto

    thisstrangequietplacetogotoa

    restaurant.Perhapsyouspenttoolong

    studying,youdon'tknowanythingnow."

    Vishallaughed."You'reright,not

    toomanycome,butweeatverywellhere,

    betterandhealthierthaninToronto.

    Come,areyouhungry?Iwanttotakeyou

    toonemoreplace,wherepeopleworkand

    farmandcookfineIndiancuisine."

    "Yes,letusgo.I'mtiredfromallthis

    nonsenseandIwouldbehappytohavea

    gooddhalandacupofchai.Ifthatisreally

    possiblehere."

    "Itis.You'llsee."Vishalgrinned.

    Theygotbackintothecaranddrovenorthwest.Grandfathercasta

    beadyeyeonVishal."Therearenotvery

    manypeoplehere,notlikeIremember

    whenyoucametouniversity.Maybeall

    thisfakerealfoodhaskilledthem?"Alittle

    snickerescapedhim.

    "No,buttheregionhasfaced

    challenges.Aftertheflood,therewasalot

    ofillness,especiallyamongchildren,and

    peoplebecameveryconcernedabout

    Guelph'sfuture.Universityandlocalagro

    businessleadersspentalongtimethinking

    abouttheproblemsfacingus,thingslike

    dwindlingwaterandpowersuppliesand

    thepotentialforcontamination.Theycame

    upwithaplanthatwouldrespecttheearth

    andourresources,andencourageethnic

    diversitywhilecontrollingpopulation

    growth.Ithasbeenhardworkmakingthese

    changesandthereisstillmuchtobedone."

    Hewavedproudly."Butwearemakingprogress."

    TheyparkedoutsidetheWillow

    CommunityCenterandmeanderedthrough

    thegardenstothemainbuilding,passing

    peopleontheirway.

    Grandfatherglancedaroundandhis

    gazefixedonayoungwomanwithablack

    eyestaringoffintospace.Hespokeinalow

    voice."Thesepeople,Vishal,theydonot

    lookright.Whatisthematterhere?Isita

    placeforcrazies?"

    Vishalkepthisvoicelowtoo."Many

    differentkindsofpeopleworkhereand

    somearetroubledordisabledorold.There

    areotherswhocareforthemandhelp

    themlearnskills,likefarmingandcooking

    andcrafts.Thisparticularfacilityonly

    openedacoupleofyearsago.It'sanextensionoftheOnwardWillowproject.

    Theideaistohelppeoplerecoverorfind

    meaningintheirlives,whilecontributingto

    thelocaleconomy.It'sworkingquitewell."

    Theypassedagroupofmen,onewitha

    shavedheadandascar,anotherterribly

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    10

    thin.Themenlaughedtogetherastheydugintheground

    withhoes.

    "Andthesepeoplewillmakemydhal?"Grandfather's

    browlowered.

    "Hereweare."Vishalledhimintoacozylittleeaterie

    withwoodentables.Arichspicysmellpermeatedtheair.

    Grandfather'seyesbrightened.

    AnIndianwomanwithalimpgreetedthemand

    usheredthemtoatablelookingoutoverthegardens.

    Grandfatherslumpedinhischair,asheenofsweatonhis

    forehead.

    "Twochai,please,"saidVishal,anxiousthathe'dtiredouthisgrandfather.

    Theteaseemedtorevivetheoldman.Theyordered

    dhalwithriceandchappati.Grandfatherateinsilence,noisily,

    polishingoffeverythingsetbeforehim.Finallyhesaid,"Ah,

    yes.Verygood,Vishal.Remindsmeofhome."

    Vishalsighedwithrelief."ThatiswhatIhoped,

    Grandfather.IknowyoulikeyourapartmentinToronto,butI

    wouldbesopleasedifyouwouldconsidermovinghere,tobe

    closertome."

    "Here!"Grandfather'seyebrowsshotup."Iamnot

    deranged,"hehissed.

    "Neitherarethesepeople,Grandfather.Lookaround.

    Aretheyshoutingorgibbering?"

    Theoldmanpeeredallaroundtherestaurant,then

    outside."No,but"

    VishalreachedoutandlaidahandonGrandfather's

    arm,"Isitnotpeacefulhere?Likethecountryalmost,withthe

    marketandtheparks?"

    Grandfathernoddedgrumpily.

    Itsjustaridiculousnotionthat

    natureandcitiesexistseparate

    fromeachothertheyretotally

    entwined,theyneedeach

    other.ScenarioParticipant

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    By2020theregionhasevolvedintoanetworkofwellconnectedhubs.Citieshaveacentralcorebutare

    madeupaseriesofthesewellservedcentres,whichareinturnlinkedtoruraltownships.Publicspace

    featuresinthesecoreareas,andservethewiderregionalcommunity,whichisitselfmadeupofnumerous

    smalleryetintegratedgroups(e.g.neighbourhoods,cultural/religiousgroups,diasporagroups).Eachoftheseindividualcommunitiesisabletoaccess,directandprovideservicesandresourcestoitsmembers

    as well the wider community. People feel a strong sense of belonging and there are highlevels of

    participationinpubliclife.Strongcrosssectoralcollaborations,particularlybetweentheartsandbusiness,

    have fostered creativity in all three sectors. This has helped the regions economy to diversify and

    innovate, allowed the arts to become more relevant and sustainable, and helped local government

    improve the provision of social services. The focus on cultural changes and the pressures of urban

    developmentmean that environmentalconsiderationsdonotfeatureprominently.Overall, thoughthe

    region has been able toadapt toexternal changes,particularly in the economy, and is culturally very

    vibrant.

    Kaleidosco e

    KALEIDOSCOPE

    WATERLOOWELLINGTONSCENARIOS

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    2

    KaleidoscopeCharacteristics

    Characterisedbyhighpopulationgrowthanddiversitycombined

    withavibrantanddiverseeconomy.

    Thecommunitysidentityreflectsthediversityofdiversities

    thatliveshere.Minorities(ofanydescriptione.g.ethnic,

    sexual,ideological,health)areneitherexcludednor

    vulnerableandtheyareinsteadontheedgebychoice.

    Manymorediverseindividualsandgroupsfeelarealsenseof

    belongingrepresentedinwork,education,media,

    leadershipandthearts.

    Diversityasawayofbeing=tolerance.

    Thedisaggregationofcommunitytastesandinterestsis

    reflectedinnicheculturalbusinesses(specialtygrocers,halalmeats,ethnicrestaurants),nichemarketingexperts,

    consultingbusinessestonavigateandinterpretcultural

    differencesandsmallscaleartsgroups/organisations.

    Localemployersaremorelikelytorecognizeinternational

    qualifications,andtherearemoreservicestohelpnew

    Canadiansgetaccreditation.

    Thereisastrongknowledgebasedeconomy.

    Collaborationshavebeenforgedbetweenbusinessandthe

    artssupportingcreativity,diversityandinnovationinboth

    sectors.

    Incityplanning,newdevelopmentcreatesmultiplehubs

    (services,businesses,transit,publicspacesetc)anddoesnt

    abandontheperiphery(avoidingthereversedonut

    wherebyresourcesareconcentratedentirelyonthecitycore

    leadingtoadeclineinareasontheperiphery).

    Thereisanincreasednumberofcommonbuiltandnatural

    spaces,whichsupportpeoplespendingtimetogether

    exploringartsandculture.

    Artisticpractiseandcreativityaremorediffuse.Artistsare

    lesssiloedasartistsandthecommunityrecognisesa

    broaderdefinitionofwhatconstitutesart.

    Thisisacommunitysteepedin

    historywithastronginfluence,like

    theGermanworkethic,butthatsall

    shiftingnow.Weneedacommunity

    thatstruetoitspastbutcertainly

    willingtolookatitsfuture.Themirrorslookingquitedifferentnow,

    eveninthe20yearsthatIvebeen

    here.

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    4

    `

    A

    B

    20092012 20132016 20172020

    Social Education/awarenessbuildingaboutculturalinclusionandcriticalengagement

    Reciprocityofcitizenexperience/participationlocalandglobal

    Policiesshiftrecognitionofinternationaleducation,immigration,employmentinclusiveandrelevant

    Increaseinnumber,dependability,levelofcommunicationandadaptabilityofsocialservices

    Increasedopportunityfor

    youthleadership,expandedskilldevelopment,culturalunderstandingandsharedspaces

    PermeableIdentity

    AppreciationandrecognitionofnecessityofCDtotobuildvibrantandresilientcommunity

    Differentandequal

    Economic Significantdisruptionintheeconomy,particularlyforthelargebusinesseslocatedlocally,freesalargenumberofcreativeemployees

    Majorartsrelatedeventsattractedtotheregionbycreativepotential

    Highadoptionratesfortechnology(socialnetworking,masstransitetc)

    Emergenceofcommunitybasedandspinoffindustries,rechannelingofentrepreneurialactivity

    Increaseinthenumbercrosssectorcollaborativegroupsandorganisations

    Collaborationsdriveinnovationandcreativityandhelptheeconomytodiversify

    Environmental Sewageprocessingproblemwatercrisis

    Drasticwaterrationingforhomeandindustry.Agricultureaffectedbydrought:lowermeatproductionandcropyields

    Healthproblemsrelatedtoworseningair/waterresources

    Increasedpressurefornewhousingdevelopments

    Reductioningreenspaceinthecities(parks,recreationalfields)andoutsidethem(agriculturalland,protectedareas).

    Lackofaccesstogreenspaceimpactingqualityoflife

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    5

    Healing

    Kitchener,July2020

    Afewminutesbeforesix,Anitashutsdownhercomputerandleansbackatherdesk.It'sbeenagoodday,

    chockfull,butnoonehasdied.Infact,shehasn'tevenseena

    patientwithanillnessshecouldn'ttreat,atleasttemporarily.

    Itworriesherthat,evenhereinthisbubblingmetropolis,she

    isseeingariseinillnessesrelatedtobasichygieneandmedical

    treatment.Eventhenumerousmedicalbreakthroughsinthe

    lastdecadecannotcompensateforthescarcityofresources

    likewater.Thegrowingshortageofhealthcareprofessionals

    doesn'thelpeither.

    Shestaresthroughherofficewindowoutoverthecity,

    admiringthegreenspaces,thecolourfulbuildingsandwide

    streets.ShecanseethenewlytitledArtists'AlleydownCedar

    Street.It'smoreanavenuethananalley,apedestrianstreet

    linedbytreesfullofdecorations,hangingsculpturesand

    mobiles.Eventhepavementispainted,withbrilliantmosaics,

    andpeoplearealreadyjammingthewalkway.Itremindsherof

    LasRamblas,inBarcelonawheresheattendedmedicalschool,

    onlyitisfresher,morecreative.TonighttheHeritageFestival

    begins,withperformances,artsdisplaysanddemonstrations

    ofartistdriveninnovationsinGuelph,KWandCambridge.She'sheadingovertoCambridgefortheirofficialopening.As

    chairoftheplanningcommittee,she'sgivingaspeechonarts

    andprogressthere.Tomorrowherpaintingswillfeatureinone

    ofthemanydigitalmediashowshereintown.It'sanexciting

    timeinthemulticity.

    Herintercomhums.Shesighs.Martashouldhaveleft

    halfanhourago.Shepressesthebutton."Yes?"

    "I..Isorry,Dr.Ferez,There"Martasoundsflustered.

    Itmakesherspeechimpedimentworse.

    "Takeyourtime,Marta."Thewomanisbrightand

    extremelycapable,andAnita'spatientshavegrown

    accustomedtoherspeech,assheknewtheywould.

    "There'sagirlIknowyou'releaving.She'shurt."

    Artists,andsomecultural

    mediators,havemanyideas

    abouthowtoengagecitizensin

    avibrantcommunitythatis

    environmentallymoresensitive,

    sociallymorejustand

    architecturallymorebeautiful.

    Holdingthembackaskeycontributorstothiskindof

    communityisnotalackofideas

    butalackofresourcesand

    abilitytogarnerthese

    resources.

    ScenarioParticipant

    Culturalgroupsarestuckinthemindsetofanotforprofitand

    endupinanSOSsituationevery

    3yrs;butIthinkweshouldrun

    asbusinessesandearnour

    revenue.

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    7

    "Youdidn'twanttogotothehospital?"

    Jamesfrowns."Wedon'tlikemodernmedicine.No

    offense."

    "Nonetaken.ButI'msurprisedyoucamehere.Ido

    practicemodernmedicine."Shetriesasmile.

    Thegirllooksverypale.

    "Iheardthatyoualsorespectthetraditionsofother

    cultures,includingnativeones."Jameswatchesher,hisface

    impassive.

    Martaarriveswiththecanisterandpoursalittlewater

    intoabowl.Anitaappliesalittlesoaptoherhands,andpoursatrickleofwateroverthemtorinsethesudsaway.Thenshe

    returnstoKendra.WithMarta'sassistance,shecleansthe

    wound,superficiallyatleast,andappliesamoreliberalthan

    usualdoseofantiseptic.Martahandsherathreadedneedle.

    "I'mgoingtostitchthisup,"AnitasaystoKendra."It

    willhurtalittle,butit'snecessary.Allright?"

    Forthefirsttime,Kendraseemsanxious.Shelooksup

    atJames.Henodsandholdshergaze.

    Anitaworksquickly,entirelyfocusedonhertask.There

    isalotofblood,butMartawipesitaway,andsoonAnitahas

    finishedstitching.Sheappliesabandageandstandsup."Don't

    getitwetandkeepthebandageonforaweek.Thenyoucan

    comebackandI'llremovethestitches.Martacanmakean

    appointment."Martanodsand,atalookfromAnita,slipsout

    oftheoffice.

    AglanceattheclockshowsAnitasheneedstohurry,

    gethometoherapartment,changeandcatchthehighspeedtransittoCambridge.Shemayhavetotakeacabhome,

    althoughitcouldtakemoretimetofindonethantowalk.

    Despitethegrowthinthecity,ormaybebecauseofit,there

    arefewerandfewermotorizedvehiclesoutthere.Usually

    Anitaapplaudsthisfact.Withsomanypeople,it'scriticalto

    keeptheairascleanaspossible,buttodaysheiseagertoget

    Iminterestedinfindingcreativeandartistictoolstohelp

    peoplethinkdifferentlyabout

    howwedefineeachother.

    ScenarioParticipant

    The10%atthetoparepeople

    whoarecaughtandinterestedin

    somethingandhavepeople

    listentothem.The10%atthe

    bottomarecaughtandinterestedbutalmostnobody

    talkstoorlistenstothem.

    ScenarioParticipant

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    8

    totheFestival.It'sthetenthanniversary

    andtheculturalcollagewillbebreath

    taking.Sheknows,becauseshebookedthe

    artists.Atruecelebrationof

    multiculturalism,onascalethatnoteven

    Torontocouldrival.

    "Thankyou,"saysJames.

    Kendrarisesathisnod.Herface

    turnsasicklyshadeofgreenandherknees

    buckle.Jamescatchesherbeforeshehits

    thefloor.

    TheFestivalforgotten,Anitasays,

    "Here,layherontheexaminingtable."

    Jamesscoopsthegirlupinhisarms

    anddoesasAnitarequests.Lyingonthe

    whitesheet,Kendralookslikean8year

    oldchild,tiny,bonesjuttingout.Hereyes

    flutteropen.Anitaexaminesherquickly,

    thencallsforMarta,whonipsin.

    "Marta,canyoustayherewith

    Kendraforamoment?James,I'dliketo

    talktoyou."

    Foramoment,shethinksJameswill

    refuse,seizehisdaughterandhustleout,

    awayfromherandhermodernmedicine.

    Thenhenodsandsheushershimthrough

    thedoorintotheouteroffice.Outside,the

    settingsunsplashestheskywithgoldand

    orangerays.Throughtheopenwindowshe

    canhearthesoundofabandplayingand

    voices,laughter.PeopleareflockingintothecityfortheFestival.They'vearranged

    fortwiceasmanybusesandtrainsasusual

    fromTorontotoday.

    "Sit,please."Shegesturestoward

    oneofthewaitingroomchairsandperches

    ontheother.

    Hecomplies.

    "Mr.Clearwater,youdaughteris

    very,verythin.Issheill?"

    Hefrowns,shakeshishead.

    "Hassheseenadoctor?Hadtests

    performed?"

    Heshakeshisheadagain,more

    vigorously.

    "Areyounotworried?"

    Helooksdown."Yes."Hespeaksina

    whisper,thentakesadeepbreath."She

    doesn'teat."

    "Noappetite?Doessheget

    headaches?"

    Heshrugs."Idon'tknow.She

    doesn'ttalkaboutit.ButIthinkshedoes

    notwanttoeat.Shelikestobethin."

    "Haveyouaskedher?"

    "No.Ifshewantstospeaktome,

    shewill.Shedoesnot."Hesoundssad,

    resigned.

    Anitamullsonthis,recallinga

    seminarsheattendedaboutnativebeliefs,

    howtheyrespecteachother.Itimpressedheratthetimeandsheadmiredthenative

    healerswhospoke.Nowsheseesagirlin

    desperateneedofhelpandafatherunable

    togiveittoher."Hermother?"sheasks

    gently.

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    9

    "Sheisgone.Someyearsago."

    "James,IcannotsaywithoutfullyexaminingKendra,

    butit'spossibleshehasaneatingdisorderlikeanorexia.This

    canbeveryserious,verydangerous."

    Henods;heknowsthisalready.

    "Thereareclinics"

    "No.Shemuststaywithme.Iwilltrytomakeher

    understand."

    "Youlivehere,inthemulticity?"

    Henods."DownintheAlachi."

    TheAlachi!She'ssurprised.It'sthenewnameforthe

    thrivingareanearFairviewMall,oneofthemostculturally

    diversepartsofthemulticityandahotbedofcreativity.Just

    recentlyshereadaboutagroupofAlachiartistswho'dbeen

    workingasadvisorstoahightechfirm,helpingtheminnovate

    increativenewways.Shekicksherselfmentally.Andwhy

    shouldn'ttheylivethere?Theyareobviouslywellenoughoff

    andwhatdidhesay?He'sasculptor,possiblyevenamember

    ofthatgroup.

    "Mr.Clearwater.Icanseeyoucareaboutyour

    daughter,andIrespectthefactthatyoudonotwanther

    treatedusingmodernmethods.Haveyoueverbeentothe

    HealingCentre?"

    Heshakeshishead.

    "ItisanunusualtreatmentfacilityadjacenttoHomer

    WatsonPark,notfarfromtheFairviewAlachiarea.They

    practiceavarietyofmedicinesthere,Western,Eastern,African,acupuncture,evenanimaltherapy.Theyareaffiliated

    withseveralchurchesandhaveatleastonenativedoctor.I

    believetheyevenhaveasweatlodge.Iunderstandyoumay

    feelsuspiciousorapprehensive,buttheircreedisthatno

    patientiseverforcedtoaccepttreatmentthatgoesagainst

    theirfundamentalbeliefs.Therearesomeverywisepeople

    InToronto,inEurope,youstart

    toseethattheresactually

    communitieshere(incities).

    Wereabitdysfunctionalhere,

    suburbiaissomethingwere

    usedtobutthesearenot

    functioningcommunities.In

    Toronto,peopleliveinand

    aroundwheretheyeat,shopandwork,andiftheyrenotthey

    takepublictransporttoget

    there.

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    workingthere.Wouldyou,atleast,consider,takingKendra

    there?"

    Hegazesatherforseveralmoments.Atlast,henods.

    Shehas,inhercareer,seenhopedawninmanyeyesandshe

    thinkssheseesitnow.

    "Good.I'mglad.Whydon'tIcontactthefacilityand

    whenyoubringKendrabacktohavethestitchesremoved,I

    canhelpsetupanappointment."Shesmiles.

    Herises."Thankyou.Iwouldappreciatethat."

    Astheyleave,heplacesahandonKendra'sshoulder.

    Thegirldoesnotshrugitoff.

    Howdotheseinnovative

    modelsofcreativedevelopment

    thatarebeingpractisedinmusic

    encouragenewsocially

    responsiveformsofcommunitybuildingacrossboundaries,and

    whatroledotheyplayinhelping

    usnegotiatedifferencesand

    acceptthechallengesofriskand

    contingency?

    ScenarioParticipant