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Water Quality Modeling Water Quality Modeling Workshop HWorkshop H--GACGACWorkshop, HWorkshop, H--GACGACOverview of Specific ModelsOverview of Specific Models
Tina Petersen, P.E., Ph.D.Tina Petersen, P.E., Ph.D.
June 30, 2010June 30, 2010
Presentation OutlinePresentation Outline
Background and IntroductionBackground and Introduction– Impairments in H-GAC Region
– Considerations for TMDL Model Selection
Overview of Specific Models– Watershed Models
– River Models
– Estuary/Bay Models
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Typical WQ Impairments in HTypical WQ Impairments in H--GAC GAC RegionRegion
Bacteria: 60% ofBacteria: ~60% of stream milesDO: 20% of stream milesOther concerns:– Nutrients– Dioxins/PCBs– Toxic sediments
From 2008 303(d) ListFrom 2008 303(d) List
Modeling Needs for Modeling Needs for TMDL developmentTMDL development
Loading from sourcesN i t ( b d b )– Nonpoint sources (urban and non-urban)
– Point sources
Determination of TMDL, waste load and load allocationsIn-stream assimilation of loading from sourcessourcesImpact and effectiveness of control strategiesFuture conditions (population, land use changes)
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Water Quality ModelsWater Quality Models
WASPWASPRIVMODRIVMOD
AGNPSAGNPS CECE--QUALQUAL--ICMICM
HSPFHSPFBATHTUBBATHTUB
LSPCLSPC QUALTXQUALTX
QUAL2KQUAL2K
SWMMSWMM
SWATSWATWAMWAM
BLESTBLEST
LDCLDC
GWLFGWLF SLAMMSLAMM
SWATSWAT
SELECTSELECT
EFDCEFDCWAMWAM
WARMFWARMF
Tidal Prism/Box ModelTidal Prism/Box Model
LDCsLDCs
Model Selection ConsiderationsModel Selection Considerations
Maturity of Models for TMDLs/WPPsType of modelParameters of interestCost
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Water Water QualtiyQualtiy Models Applied in Texas Models Applied in Texas & H& H--GAC Region for TMDLs/WPPsGAC Region for TMDLs/WPPs
ArcHydro QUALQUAL--TXTXArcHydroSELECT BLEST HSPF SWAT
QUALQUAL TX TX RMA2 RMA2 TPM TPM EFDC EFDC
WASP
Bacteria Task Force (BTF)Bacteria Task Force (BTF)
Convened in SeptemberConvened in September 2006Goals of task force:
Examine models used in other states
Recommend cost effective d ti ffi i t th dand time efficient methods
for TMDL development
Evaluate models and BST methods and recommend when methods are appropriate
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Recommended models by Bacteria Recommended models by Bacteria Task ForceTask Force
Model Bacteria Task ForceTier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3
LDCs
ArcHydro
SELECT
SPARROW
BIT
BLESTBLEST
HSPF
SWAT
SWMM
WASP
Models for Detailed DiscussionModels for Detailed DiscussionModel Used in TX
WPP/TMDLsIn H-GAC Region BTF
Recommended
LDCs
ArcHydro
Model Applied in TX WPP/TMDLs
Applied In H-GAC Region
BTF Recommended
LDCs
ArcHydro
SELECT
SPARROW
BIT
BLEST
HSPF
SWAT
SWMM
SELECT
SPARROW
BIT
BLEST
HSPF
SWAT
SWMMSWMM
WASP
QUAL-TX/QUAL-2K
TPM
EFDC
SWMM
WASP
QUAL-TX/ QUAL-2KTPM/TBM
EFDC
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Categories of Tools Categories of Tools for TMDL/WPP for TMDL/WPP DevelopmentDevelopment
Watershed Models
River
Lake/ Estuary Models
ModelsLDCsLDCs Spatially Spatially
Explicit/ Explicit/ Mass Mass
BalanceBalance
WatershedWatershed
Rivers, Rivers, BayousBayous
Lakes,Lakes,ReservoirsReservoirs
From Ward & From Ward & BenamanBenaman, 1999, 1999
Estuary, BayEstuary, Bay
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WatershedWatershed– BLEST
– SELECT
Rivers, Rivers, BayousBayous
Lakes,Lakes,ReservoirsReservoirs
Estuary, BayEstuary, Bay
From Ward & From Ward & BenamanBenaman, 1999, 1999
WatershedWatershed– HSPF
– SWAT
Rivers, Rivers, BayousBayous
Lakes,Lakes,ReservoirsReservoirs
– SWMM
From Ward & From Ward & BenamanBenaman, 1999, 1999
Estuary, BayEstuary, Bay
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WatershedWatershed
Rivers, Rivers, BayousBayous
Lakes,Lakes,ReservoirsReservoirs
– QUAL-TX/ QUAL-2K
From Ward & From Ward & BenamanBenaman, 1999, 1999
Estuary, BayEstuary, Bay
WatershedWatershed
Rivers, Rivers, BayousBayous
Lakes,Lakes,ReservoirsReservoirs
– WASP
– EFDC
From Ward & From Ward & BenamanBenaman, 1999, 1999
Estuary, BayEstuary, Bay
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WatershedWatershed
Rivers, Rivers, BayousBayous
Lakes,Lakes,ReservoirsReservoirs
From Ward & From Ward & BenamanBenaman, 1999, 1999
Estuary, BayEstuary, Bay
– Tidal Prism/ Tidal Box Model
WatershedWatershed
Rivers, Rivers, BayousBayous
Lakes,Lakes,ReservoirsReservoirs
– WASP
– SWAT
– HSPF
QUAL TX
From Ward & From Ward & BenamanBenaman, 1999, 1999
Estuary, BayEstuary, Bay
– QUAL-TX, QUAL-2K
– EFDC
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Simulated ParametersSimulated Parameters
Model DO Nutrients Sediment Toxics Bacteria Temp
LDCs
SELECT
BLEST
HSPF
SWAT
SWMM
WASPWASP
QUAL-TX/QUAL-2K
Tidal Prism/Box ModelEFDC
Cost Cost –– Model TypeModel Type
ComplexityComplexity
LDCsLDCs Spatially Spatially ExplicitExplicit
Models/Mass Models/Mass BalanceBalance
WatershedWatershedModelsModels
River/StreamRiver/StreamModelsModels
Estuary Estuary ModelsModels
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Other ConsiderationsOther Considerations
Input data and calibration requirementsInput data and calibration requirementsAvailability of existing modelsSuitability to resolve key questions
Model OverviewModel Overview
LDCs River ModelsRiver ModelsSpatially Explicit/ Mass Balance
BLEST
SELECT
Watershed/River Models
River ModelsRiver ModelsWASPWASPQUALQUAL--TX/QUALTX/QUAL--2K2K
Tidal ModelsTidal ModelsTidal Tidal PrismPrism
HSPF
SWAT
SWMM
EFDCEFDC
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Model OverviewModel Overview
LDCs River ModelsRiver ModelsSpatially Explicit/ Mass Balance
BLEST
SELECT
Watershed/River Models
River ModelsRiver ModelsWASPWASPQUALQUAL--TX/QUALTX/QUAL--2K2K
Tidal ModelsTidal ModelsTidal Tidal PrismPrism
HSPF
SWAT
SWMM
EFDCEFDC
Load Duration Curves (LDCs)Load Duration Curves (LDCs)
From From Buffalo and Whiteoak Bayou TMDL for Fecal PathogensBuffalo and Whiteoak Bayou TMDL for Fecal Pathogens
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Load Duration Curves (LDCs)Load Duration Curves (LDCs)Benefits • Simple to apply (if data are available)
• Based on actual water quality dataChallenges • No insight into specific sources or their loadsChallenges • No insight into specific sources or their loads
• No spatial information regarding sources• Limited ability to use findings for BMP selection
Model suitability • Screening tool• Non-tidal streams• Flow is primary driver of WQ patterns• When sources are clear or anticipate WQ impairment during one particular flow regimeduring one particular flow regime• Conservative parameters (metals, sediment) or bacteria
Modeling needs for TMDLs/WPP addressed
• General sources of bacteria (point, nonpoint source, mixture)• Determination of TMDL, WLA, LA
Cost to run • Low
Model OverviewModel Overview
LDCs River ModelsRiver ModelsSpatially Explicit/ Mass Balance
BLEST
SELECT
Watershed/River Models
River ModelsRiver ModelsWASPWASPQUALQUAL--TX/QUALTX/QUAL--2K2K
Tidal ModelsTidal ModelsTidal Tidal PrismPrism
HSPF
SWAT
SWMM
EFDCEFDC
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BLESTBLEST
From From Buffalo and Whiteoak Bayou TMDL for Fecal PathogensBuffalo and Whiteoak Bayou TMDL for Fecal Pathogens
SELECTSELECT
From From Plum Creek Watershed Protection PlanPlum Creek Watershed Protection Plan
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Spatially Explicit/Mass Balance ModelsSpatially Explicit/Mass Balance Models
Benefits • Moderately simple to apply (if data are available)• Based on literature values (or known data if available)
Challenges • Spatial information regarding sources is lumped by watershed (BLEST only)• Steady state/inventory• No in-stream assimilation of bacteria loads
Model suitability • Watershed inventory of sources• Watersheds where multiple sources of bacteria are active• Bacteria impairments only• Bacteria impairments only
Modeling needs for TMDLs/WPP addressed
• Watershed loading from bacteria sources• General spatial questions about bacteria loading.• Control strategy impact on watershed pollutant loads
Cost to run • Low to Moderate
Model OverviewModel Overview
LDCs River ModelsRiver ModelsSpatially Explicit/ Mass Balance
BLEST
SELECT
Watershed/River Models
River ModelsRiver ModelsWASPWASPQUALQUAL--TX/QUALTX/QUAL--2K2K
Tidal ModelsTidal ModelsTidal Tidal PrismPrism
HSPFSWATSWMM
EFDCEFDC
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HSPFHSPF
From HSPF User’s ManualFrom HSPF User’s Manual
SWATSWAT
From From SWAT User’s ManualSWAT User’s Manual
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SWMMSWMM
SSSS
R R f(t)f(t)
I I f(t)f(t)
SS
Q (t)Q (t)
From From Plum Creek Watershed Protection PlanPlum Creek Watershed Protection Plan
Watershed/River ModelsWatershed/River ModelsBenefits • Continuous results allow \evaluation of multiple
conditions in the watershed• Build-up wash-off simulations provide detailed and d f ibl i t l didefensible nonpoint source loading
Challenges • Require large amounts of data to set up and calibrate• Require time and expertise to set up and operate model• Lumped parameter
Model suitability • In-stream dynamics for non-tidal streams only• Multiple water quality parameters• Urban or agricultural environment
Modeling needs for TMDLs/WPP addressed
• Watershed loading from pollutant sources• Determination of TMDL, WLA, LA• In-stream assimilation of pollutant loading• Control strategy and future condition impact on watershed loads and in-stream pollutant concentrations
Costs to run • Moderate to High
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Model OverviewModel Overview
LDCs River ModelsRiver ModelsSpatially Explicit/ Mass Balance
BLEST
SELECT
Watershed/River Models
River ModelsRiver ModelsWASPWASPQUALQUAL--TX/QUALTX/QUAL--2K2K
Tidal ModelsTidal ModelsTidal Tidal PrismPrism
HSPF
SWAT
SWMM
EFDCEFDC
WASPWASP
Model Preprocessor/Data ServerModel Preprocessor/Data ServerModel Input File (Binary)Model Input File (Binary)
WASPWASPInputInput
BMDBMDEUTROEUTRO
StoredStoredDataData
Hydro Hydro
Binary Model OutputBinary Model OutputModelsModelsHydrodynamicHydrodynamicInterfaceInterface
TOXITOXI
MOVEMMOVEMMercuryMercury
Graphical Post ProcessorGraphical Post ProcessorFrom US EPA Presentation on WASPFrom US EPA Presentation on WASP
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QUALQUAL--TX/QUALTX/QUAL--2K2K
Screen Shot from QUAL2KScreen Shot from QUAL2K
River ModelsRiver ModelsBenefits • Detailed in-stream routing and dynamics
• Detailed eutrophication modelsChallenges • Require large amounts of data to set up and calibrateg q g p
• Require time and expertise to set up and operate model• May require external hydrodynamic or sediment transport models for tidal or 2D/3D applications• Require input from watershed model for runoff loads
Model suitability
• Tidal (WASP only) and non-tidal streams• Multiple water quality parameters• Urban or agricultural environment
Modeling needs for TMDLs/WPP addressed
•Determination of TMDL, WLA, LA• In-stream assimilation of pollutant loading• In-stream changes that occur as result of watershed future conditions and control strategy implementation
Costs to run • Moderate to High
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Model OverviewModel Overview
LDCs River ModelsRiver ModelsSpatially Explicit/ Mass Balance
BLEST
SELECT
Watershed/River Models
River ModelsRiver ModelsWASPWASPQUALQUAL--TX/QUALTX/QUAL--2K2K
Tidal ModelsTidal ModelsTidal PrismTidal Prism
HSPF
SWAT
SWMM
EFDCEFDC
Tidal Tidal Prism/ Tidal Box Prism/ Tidal Box ModelModel
DieDie--off/Lossesoff/Losses
Tidal Tidal ExchangeExchange
Tidal Tidal ExchangeExchange SegmentSegment
Watershed RunoffWatershed Runoff(From HSPF)(From HSPF)
Point SourcePoint SourceLoadingLoading
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EFDCEFDC
From From EFDC User’s ManualEFDC User’s Manual
Estuary ModelsEstuary ModelsBenefits • Simulate tidal fluctuations and impact on water quality
• Sediment digenesis and wetland simulation (for EFDC)• Set up can be completed in MS Excel (Tidal Prism)
Challenges • Require large amounts of data to set up and calibrate• Require time and expertise to set up and operate model• Require input from watershed model for runoff loads• Execution times exceed 12+ hours (for EFDC)
Model suitability
• Tidal conditions (EFDC can also simulate non-tidal)• Multiple water quality parameters• Urban or agricultural environmentg
Modeling needs for TMDLs/WPP addressed
•Determination of TMDL, WLA, LA• In-stream assimilation of pollutant loading• In-stream changes that occur as result of watershed future conditions and control strategy implementation
Costs to run • Moderate to High
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Discussion and QuestionsDiscussion and Questions