walter boltz, chairman ergeg gas working group 19th madrid forum 21 march 2011 monitoring report...
TRANSCRIPT
Walter Boltz, Chairman ERGEG Gas Working Group19th Madrid Forum21 March 2011
Monitoring Report Capacity Allocation and Congestion Management
219th Madrid Forum, 21-22 March 2011
Starting point
• DG Competition’s energy sector inquiry report sets out some of the problems in accessing gas transmission capacity• It highlights contractual congestion and presents evidence of this occurring
on a number of key pipelines;
• Access to capacity is key to the development of a competitive
European gas market and facilitation of cross-border gas trade;
• Mechanisms applied today have not been successful in facilitating a
functioning capacity market;
• Two antitrust-settlements by DG Competition against incumbents show
that long-term capacity booking which prevents access of competitors to
infrastructure needed to supply gas to customers can be considered as
abuse of a dominant market position.
319th Madrid Forum, 21-22 March 2011
Experiences with existing measures Art. 5 and 8 Regulation (EC) 1775/2005
• 3 Surveys • NRAs 2008;• NRAs 2009;• TSOs and NRAs 2010 – 21 selected IPs representing a broad majority of EU
capacities.
• Crossing borders is often difficult for shippers• Capacity fully booked in the long-term mostly by incumbents;• Different legal frameworks appear to be an obstacle;• Lack of cooperation between TSOs in capacity calculation.
• Inconsistencies hamper TPA • Different allocation mechanisms: FCFS, pro-rata, auctions; • Short term capacity products exist in most (western) countries;• Different designs for interruptible capacity;• Different nomination procedures;• Implementation of congestion management procedures insufficient.
419th Madrid Forum, 21-22 March 2011
Physical congestion
Source: ERGEG 2010 monitoring
519th Madrid Forum, 21-22 March 2011
Contractual congestion
Source: ERGEG 2010 monitoring
619th Madrid Forum, 21-22 March 2011
FCFS predominately used
Source: ERGEG 2010 monitoring
719th Madrid Forum, 21-22 March 2011
Applied CMPs
Source: ERGEG 2010 monitoring
819th Madrid Forum, 21-22 March 2011
Harmonisation of procedures is limited
Source: ERGEG 2010 monitoring
919th Madrid Forum, 21-22 March 2011
CMP – Problem identification
• All capacity is booked long-term at most IPs but often not fully used;
• Currently, in many countries there are no mechanisms to bring unused capacity back to the market;
• Market participants ask for firm capacity;• The more shippers book the existing capacity the more
severe the impact of contractual congestion will be;• Secondary markets do not work properly.
Capacity should link markets and not result in a barrier to market integration
1019th Madrid Forum, 21-22 March 2011
Macro Economic Effects of CMP Bunde / Bocholtz
Maximum aggregate technical capacity between market areas GTS (The Netherlands) and NCG-H (Germany) is higher than actual flows for most days of the years (contractual congestions)
Implementation of ERGEG principles (option 2) will increase gross social welfare by more than 10 Mio EUR p. a. while additional investments to increase physical capacities seem to have minor impact (< 2 Mio. EUR gross benefit p. a.)
Prices between markets will converge on more than 340 days p. a.
Additional capacity in million kWh p.d.Additional capacity in million kWh p.d.
Pric
e di
ffere
nce
D
A
in €
/MW
hP
rice
diffe
renc
e D
A
in
€/M
Wh Maximum price differenceMaximum price difference
Maximum price differenceMaximum price difference
average price differenceaverage price difference
0
100
200
300
400
500
-150 -100 -50 0 50 100 150
Wel
fare
gai
n i
n T
EU
R p
.d.
Additional gas flows in GWh / d to Germanyto Germanyto The Netherlandsto The Netherlands
Source: E-Bridge
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
1 21 41 61 81 101
days p. a.
Pri
ce d
iffe
ren
ce [
EU
R /
MW
h]:
E
EX
- T
TF
remaining price difference
initial price difference
Remaining price difference after elimination of contractual congestions (option 2)Remaining price difference after elimination of contractual congestions (option 2)
Higher day ahead price in The NetherlandsHigher day ahead price in The Netherlands
1119th Madrid Forum, 21-22 March 2011
Conclusions
• Applied CMPs differ widely throughout Europe• Physical compared to contractual congestion seems to be a
smaller problem;• For ~ 50% of the surveyed IPs the EASEE-gas CBPs for nomination
procedures are not used;• Maximisation of available capacities is done via investment by about
2/3 of the TSOs• Measures which increase the efficient use of existing capacity
are only applied by a minor number of TSOs; • Little information is available on how the reservation for short term
capacity products is achieved.
Harmonised CMPs are essential for well functioning gas markets.
1219th Madrid Forum, 21-22 March 2011
Recommendations
• A wider use of long-term UIOLI procedures appears as a reasonable possibility to reduce the problems linked to congestion for users;
• Further possibilities include the surrender of booked capacity and making available more firm day-ahead capacity;
• Harmonisation at both sides of IPs would decrease shipper’s transaction costs• Only for less than 1/4 of the selected IPs this could be affirmed at the
moment;
• There is further need for harmonisation and for common definitions.
Common CMPs should aim at maximising technical and available capacities on a firm basis.
1319th Madrid Forum, 21-22 March 2011
Thank you for your attention!
www.energy-regulators.eu