wagner klaus
TRANSCRIPT
Chair of Forest Policy and Forest History
Problems for changing the riskprevention strategy
Persistent attitudes of differentstakeholders
Dr. Klaus Wagner
Lehrstuhl für Forstpolitik und Forstgeschichte
Chair of Forest Policy and Forest History
Steps for the Innovation within aRisk Prevention Strategy
parliaments, politicians
agencies
local stakeholders
implementation of the strategy(secure funding resources)
local actions according to thenew strategy
formulation of a politicalprogram
rethinking the strategy,development of innovations
scientific community;natural hazard community
Chair of Forest Policy and Forest History
Tendencies in Natural HazardManagement
• increasing responsibility of the state (since 19thcentury)– large course corrections– founding of national agencies– national laws
• increasing environmental concerns (since 1970s)
• increasing role of precautionary measures inrelation to technical protection (since 1980s)
• from a security to a risk approach (present time)
Chair of Forest Policy and Forest History
Case Study: Flood Zones inBavaria
parliaments, politicians
agencies
local stakeholders
Bavarian strategy for flood zonemapping
conflicts while designating floodzones at the river Tiroler Achen
laws and administrativeregulations
scientific community;natural hazard community
inhibit increase of damagepotential
Chair of Forest Policy and Forest History
Amendments of Lawsadministrativeregulations
Bavarian Water Act(BayWG)
German FederalWater Act (WHG)
Chair of Forest Policy and Forest History
Amendments of Laws
2005: inhibitincrease of damagepotential
1996: area forwater retention
1957: area forwater run off duringfloods
administrativeregulations
Bavarian Water Act(BayWG)
German FederalWater Act (WHG)
floods on the Rhine1993 and 1995
Elbe flood 2002
Chair of Forest Policy and Forest History
Amendments of Laws
2005: inhibitincrease of damagepotential
1998: new buildingsand plantations areforbidden
1996: area forwater retention
1907: new buildingsare forbidden
1957: area forwater run off duringfloods
administrativeregulations
Bavarian Water Act(BayWG)
German FederalWater Act (WHG)
Chair of Forest Policy and Forest History
Amendments of Laws
2005: inhibitincrease of damagepotential
none1998: new buildingsand plantations areforbidden
1996: area forwater retention
designationprocess and planlayout
1907: new buildingsare forbidden
1957: area forwater run off duringfloods
administrativeregulations
Bavarian Water Act(BayWG)
German FederalWater Act (WHG)
Chair of Forest Policy and Forest History
Conclusion I
• disasters are necessary for amendments• amendments are highly controversial• in Bavaria: increasing uncertainty
Chair of Forest Policy and Forest History
Implementation in Bavaria• declaration of flood zones only at 30% of
the length of the bigger rivers until 1997• since 1997 program for flood zone
mapping with a standardized hydrologicalmodelling procedure
Chair of Forest Policy and Forest History
Conclusion II
• big time gap between formulation of thepolitical program and the implementationof the program
• disasters help to implement the program
Chair of Forest Policy and Forest History
Conflicts on the Local Level
• 100-year flood zone is very large– broader than 4 km
• major conflict issue: What is aplantation?
• Solution:Ordinaryagriculture ispermitted withinthe flood zone
Chair of Forest Policy and Forest History
Root Causes for the Conflict
• value conflict– property rights – common welfare– short term – long term
• No acceptance of the new hazardmanagement strategy
Chair of Forest Policy and Forest History
Conclusion III
parliaments, politicians
agencies
local stakeholders
implementation of the strategy(secure funding resources)
local actions according to thenew strategy
formulation of a politicalprogram
rethinking the strategy,development of innovations
scientific community;natural hazard community
disaster
disaster disaster
disaster
disaster
disaster