voting intention poll -...

Voting Intention Poll

Methodology

mailto:[email protected]

http://www.britishpollingcouncil.org/

2016 EU Referendum Vote2014 Referendum Vote2017 GE VoteScotRegionAgeSexTotal

MidDid notCan'tDid notNorth EastWestScotlandCentralSouthHighlands

voteRemainLeaverememberNoYesvoteOtherSNPLDLABCONScotlandLothianScotlandGlasgowand FifeScotlandScotlandand Islands55+35-5416-34FemaleMale

1565152891242343615273474820221114614316019810413262753563772875844361020Unweighted Total

1455222821347538414873005522023315518013313011312592873843402925254901016Weighted Total

37395222736526918423139168196104114102807484605731822713031136467510 - will definitely25.1%75.6%78.7%52.1%76.7%70.0%12.4%54.6%76.8%71.8%76.3%84.2%67.1%63.4%76.7%61.5%65.3%66.7%65.1%65.8%82.8%66.9%44.5%59.1%74.3%66.5%vote

156520-5241112358212318211581191853440326343106910.4%12.5%7.2%-10.9%10.7%7.6%33.8%11.5%13.8%9.3%10.0%11.6%11.7%11.3%6.0%10.1%7.6%19.8%5.5%8.8%11.6%11.1%12.0%8.7%10.4%

825132211811-137123118511562513211929245385.3%4.8%4.6%12.9%4.4%4.6%7.8%-4.3%12.8%5.3%1.5%7.1%4.5%3.4%8.5%4.1%5.0%2.6%5.7%3.4%6.1%6.5%5.4%5.0%5.2%

171571141816-10185117111461631134281947711.5%2.8%2.5%7.7%2.9%4.7%11.0%-3.3%1.5%3.7%2.3%7.1%3.9%1.1%8.8%3.3%4.5%0.9%6.4%0.7%3.1%11.5%5.3%3.9%4.6%

1382-4111215-5248122532111132142569.1%1.6%0.7%-0.9%2.9%7.9%11.5%1.6%-2.5%0.8%2.3%4.3%0.4%1.5%1.4%3.7%3.3%2.7%0.4%3.2%4.4%4.0%0.9%2.5%

12410110917-6-42273983-378202693558.4%0.7%3.7%9.0%2.2%2.3%11.2%-2.1%-1.9%0.8%1.1%3.8%2.2%7.2%6.7%2.8%-3.2%1.8%2.3%6.8%4.9%1.8%3.4%

221-132-1---12-1-1---2222441.1%0.4%0.3%-0.2%0.7%1.7%-0.3%---0.5%1.3%-0.4%-0.7%---0.6%0.9%0.4%0.5%0.4%

-2---13--------1-2---123-33-0.3%---0.2%2.0%--------0.6%-1.7%---0.2%0.8%0.6%-0.3%

41-12-4-----1-11131--437-722.8%0.1%-8.3%0.3%-2.8%-----0.5%-0.8%0.6%0.6%2.0%0.9%--1.1%1.1%1.3%-0.7%

5-1-228----1-13-2-2221763913.3%-0.3%-0.4%0.5%5.7%----0.4%-0.5%2.5%-1.4%-1.9%2.0%0.5%0.2%2.3%1.1%0.7%0.9%

3356141344---2-412268757616303121520 - definitely won’t23.0%1.0%2.1%10.1%0.9%3.4%30.0%---0.9%-2.7%6.6%1.6%4.9%7.0%5.5%5.4%8.6%1.7%4.6%10.2%5.8%4.3%5.1%vote

1455222821347538414873005522023315518013313011312592873843402925254901016SIGMA100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

Voting Intention PollPrepared on behalf of Daily Record

30 Jan 2018Table 1Q1. By Normal WeightingQ1. If there was a UK General Election for the Westminster Parliament tomorrow, on a scale of 0-10, where 10 is will definitely vote and 0 is definitely won’t vote,how likely would you be to vote in the General Election?

Base: Respondents with Age 18+ years

Prepared by Survation on behalf of Daily RecordPage 4





112517276124713711037300552182331501681311241051188779377324263495469964Weighted Total

1310083-16821514911772040341220203021112622475124198Scottish11.5%19.4%30.2%-35.6%5.8%5.3%16.2%1.2%16.2%0.6%76.1%13.4%23.7%26.0%9.9%19.4%17.0%34.4%27.0%29.8%19.2%9.1%15.1%26.3%20.6%Conservative and

Unionist Party

231236711366224-1511739344135363031138728275126103229Scottish Labour20.3%23.8%24.2%12.6%28.9%16.7%23.1%-5.1%2.6%79.4%4.0%22.9%24.2%27.0%29.1%28.8%26.0%15.2%9.8%19.0%25.4%28.5%25.4%22.0%23.7%Party

64012-4874-537563178665313331612342661Scottish Liberal5.6%7.7%4.5%-10.1%1.9%4.3%-1.6%66.7%2.4%2.7%2.1%9.8%6.4%4.5%5.4%4.6%3.1%16.6%8.7%4.9%4.5%7.0%5.6%6.3%Democrats

461848124724839-259217116059415131422825118111107167170337Scottish National41.2%35.5%29.4%19.4%9.9%66.9%37.5%-86.3%3.3%7.7%4.7%40.2%34.9%31.1%40.9%29.7%35.6%32.0%31.3%31.3%34.4%40.9%33.7%36.3%34.9%Party (SNP)

2109-106157-165-256-11588111021Another party2.1%1.9%3.1%-2.2%1.7%0.8%72.3%2.3%-0.4%2.7%3.5%-1.7%4.3%5.9%-1.2%1.1%1.4%2.4%3.1%2.2%2.2%2.2%

20592265925281106212325111012112012103643337834112Undecided17.5%11.4%8.1%54.3%12.5%6.8%27.1%11.5%3.4%11.3%9.5%9.9%16.9%6.7%7.8%9.9%10.7%16.8%14.1%12.2%9.4%13.4%12.6%15.8%7.3%11.6%

2112312-----21-2---2214426Refused1.7%0.2%0.5%13.7%0.7%0.1%1.9%-----1.1%0.7%-1.4%---2.0%0.4%0.3%1.4%0.9%0.3%0.6%

112517276124713711037300552182331501681311241051188779377324263495469964SIGMA100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%


30 Jan 2018Table 2Q2. By Normal WeightingQ2. If there was a General Election for the Westminster Parliament taking place tomorrow, and there was a candidate from all political parties standing in your constituency,which party do you think you would vote for?

Base: Respondents Likely to vote






84493262944734568628653207226140154123111961078172365299219439444883Weighted Total


Unionist Party




2108-106*57-*65-246-11577101020Another party2.2%2.0%3.0%-2.2%1.8%0.6%74.9%2.4%-0.2%2.8%3.7%-1.7%4.0%6.5%-1.3%1.2%1.4%2.4%3.4%2.3%2.2%2.2%

1052194512015*9617222197991697293522602787Undecided12.5%10.5%7.2%44.5%11.4%5.7%21.8%7.5%3.2%11.5%8.3%9.7%15.2%5.6%5.7%8.1%9.3%14.5%11.5%10.0%8.1%11.8%10.0%13.6%6.1%9.8%

1*12211-----1*-1---2212324Refused1.3%0.1%0.5%16.7%0.4%0.1%1.6%-----0.9%0.3%-1.0%---2.2%0.4%0.3%0.9%0.7%0.4%0.5%

84493262944734568628653207226140154123111961078172365299219439444883SIGMA100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%


30 Jan 2018Table 3Q2. Voting Intention Table - By Normal Weighting and LTVQ2. If there was a General Election for the Westminster Parliament taking place tomorrow, and there was a candidate from all political parties standing in your constituency,which party do you think you would vote for?

Base: Respondents Likely to vote






7244124243943255262764719020411714411610087917263334263195376415791Weighted Total


Unionist Party




2108-106*57-*65-246-11577101020Another party2.6%2.3%3.3%-2.5%1.9%0.8%81.0%2.5%-0.3%3.1%4.4%-1.8%4.4%7.1%-1.5%1.3%1.6%2.7%3.8%2.7%2.3%2.5%

7244124243943255262764719020411714411610087917263334263195376415791SIGMA100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%


30 Jan 2018Table 4Q2. Voting Intention Table - By Normal Weighting and LTV with undecided and refused removedQ2. If there was a General Election for the Westminster Parliament taking place tomorrow, and there was a candidate from all political parties standing in your constituency,which party do you think you would vote for?

Base: Respondents Likely to vote with undecided and refused removed






1455222821347538414873005522023315518013313011312592873843402925254901016Weighted Total

594892639445337-73005522023312814612010592958366364286185403432835I voted in the 201740.4%93.6%93.3%74.0%93.5%87.9%-100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%82.7%81.2%90.0%80.3%81.5%76.0%89.7%76.0%94.9%84.2%63.2%76.7%88.0%82.2%Westminster Election

82261722440148-----22299221425101820438510048148I did not vote in56.3%4.9%6.2%17.8%5.1%10.5%100.0%-----14.4%15.9%6.7%16.6%12.2%19.9%10.3%20.7%5.1%12.8%28.9%19.0%9.7%14.5%the 2017 Westminster

Election

581166------554475-3-1023221133Can't remember3.3%1.5%0.5%8.3%1.3%1.6%------3.0%2.9%3.3%3.1%6.3%4.0%-3.3%-3.0%7.9%4.2%2.3%3.3%

1455222821347538414873005522023315518013313011312592873843402925254901016SIGMA100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%


30 Jan 2018Table 5Q3. By Normal WeightingQ3. In the Westminster Election of 2017, 66% of people in Scotland voted, while 34% of people in Scotland did not vote.Thinking back to the Westminster Election in June 2017, can you remember whether or not you voted in that specific election?






624802709392387-73474820221112211414316186985556333315187456379835Unweighted Total

594892639445337-73005522023312814612010592958366364286185403432835Weighted Total

1412295120224-----2333538371527233721127802694139233Scottish24.2%25.0%36.1%12.3%45.4%7.1%-----100.0%27.7%26.1%31.0%14.4%29.0%23.7%44.7%31.2%34.9%27.9%14.1%23.3%32.1%27.9%Conservative and

Unionist Party

1513069213862----220-33373636272616987775512694220Scottish Labour25.2%26.6%26.2%24.2%31.1%18.5%----100.0%-25.7%25.5%30.2%34.0%29.5%27.5%19.0%13.6%24.0%27.1%29.9%31.3%21.8%26.4%Party

24410-477---55--218756251137108193655Scottish Liberal2.6%9.0%3.6%-10.6%2.0%---100.0%--1.7%12.1%5.9%4.9%6.3%1.8%5.5%16.5%10.2%3.4%4.4%4.8%8.3%6.6%Democrats

2617883248236--300---555238462537232310810984147153300Scottish National44.0%36.3%31.4%19.8%10.9%70.0%--100.0%---43.4%35.6%31.5%44.3%27.2%39.1%27.7%35.0%29.6%38.0%45.2%36.4%35.5%36.0%Party (SNP)

223-14-7------2-51---25257Another Party3.9%0.4%1.1%-0.2%1.1%-100.0%------1.4%-4.9%0.8%---0.8%2.5%0.6%1.1%0.8%

-101164------11-1342-15711113Can't remember-2.1%0.6%9.2%1.3%1.2%------0.8%0.7%-1.3%3.1%4.2%3.0%-0.3%1.7%3.5%2.8%0.3%1.5%

-33321------1--1-3-2431347Refused-0.6%1.0%34.5%0.5%0.1%------0.7%--1.0%-2.8%-3.7%1.0%1.0%0.3%0.8%0.9%0.8%

594892639445337-73005522023312814612010592958366364286185403432835SIGMA100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%-100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%


30 Jan 2018Table 6Q4. By Normal WeightingQ4. Thinking back to the Westminster Election in June 2017, can you recall which party you voted for in that election?

Base: Respondents voted in the 2017 Westminster Election






1455222821347538414873005522023315618013513211312596923843403065344951029Weighted Total

68450251642132169426245189209130146115988790747233728019540840481210 - would46.5%86.2%89.0%46.5%88.5%83.6%46.8%54.6%87.2%82.3%86.1%89.7%83.2%81.1%85.8%74.1%76.7%71.9%76.9%78.6%87.9%82.5%63.7%76.4%81.7%78.9%definitely vote

5375324233-195101488754911323191229265593.4%7.0%1.9%20.4%5.0%6.1%2.2%-6.2%9.1%4.4%6.0%5.1%4.7%4.9%3.7%3.2%7.0%11.4%3.5%6.0%5.7%4.0%5.4%5.2%5.3%

121310111161618343773856211291822173988.2%2.4%3.4%6.3%2.2%4.1%10.8%10.5%2.8%6.0%1.8%1.5%4.3%4.1%2.5%5.8%4.4%4.9%1.8%0.9%3.1%2.7%5.8%4.0%3.5%3.8%

1694-12119181654749352211025221436710.8%1.8%1.4%-2.5%3.0%6.3%11.5%2.7%1.4%2.7%2.3%2.3%4.0%2.8%6.8%2.4%4.3%2.0%2.7%0.3%3.0%8.1%4.1%2.9%3.5%

442-123-2-1*22-221--12681962.7%0.7%0.6%-0.2%0.5%2.0%-0.8%-0.4%0.1%1.4%1.0%-1.2%2.0%1.1%--0.2%0.7%1.9%1.6%0.2%0.9%

7642348-1-5-23-265-324151562154.5%1.1%1.4%16.7%0.6%1.0%5.1%-0.3%-2.4%-1.1%1.8%-1.7%5.3%4.3%-2.8%0.5%1.1%5.1%2.9%1.2%2.1%

2-1-2-4---1----231-21-753841.5%-0.5%-0.4%-2.4%---0.6%----1.4%2.5%1.1%-2.1%0.3%-2.2%0.9%0.7%0.8%

21--1-2--1-1---2-1---1221331.1%0.2%--0.1%-1.1%--1.2%-0.2%---1.6%-0.5%---0.2%0.7%0.3%0.2%0.3%

4-1--14-----2-11--22-1643722.9%-0.2%--0.2%2.8%-----1.0%-0.7%0.4%--1.8%2.1%-0.2%2.0%0.7%0.6%0.6%

2-----2-------2-------2-2211.0%-----1.0%-------1.1%-------0.5%-0.3%0.1%

2535136292--3*26344667613182018380 - would definitely17.5%0.5%1.7%10.1%0.6%1.5%19.5%23.4%--1.5%0.2%1.5%3.3%2.1%3.3%3.5%4.8%6.0%7.3%1.6%4.0%6.0%3.7%3.6%3.7%not vote

1455222821347538414873005522023315618013513211312596923843403065344951029SIGMA100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%


30 Jan 2018Table 7Q5. By Normal WeightingQ5. If there was a referendum on Scottish Independence taking place tomorrow, how likely do you think you would be to vote on a scale of 0 to 10?

Base: All Respondents






120520277124733781195300552172321541741321281091199085377326288514477991Weighted Total

60216100343315591253461147066457343622728121135158221193414Yes50.4%41.6%36.0%21.9%9.0%83.5%49.6%21.1%84.4%6.4%28.1%5.9%45.5%38.0%34.4%57.1%39.4%51.6%30.1%33.1%32.1%41.4%55.0%43.0%40.5%41.8%

362631611403353623146133212739380424543575023615691222260483No30.3%50.7%58.0%10.1%85.3%9.2%30.6%35.8%10.4%84.0%61.3%91.4%47.2%53.5%60.6%32.8%41.5%36.4%62.7%58.5%62.5%47.8%31.6%43.2%54.6%48.7%

234014527252421652161115512191466193435672288Undecided19.3%7.6%5.1%45.1%5.7%6.6%19.8%43.1%5.2%8.4%9.6%2.7%7.3%8.5%4.2%9.2%17.2%12.0%7.2%6.5%4.9%10.5%12.3%13.0%4.6%8.9%

-133-3---12---112--2213426Refused-0.1%0.9%22.9%-0.7%---1.2%1.0%---0.8%0.9%1.9%--1.9%0.4%0.3%1.1%0.8%0.3%0.6%

120520277124733781195300552172321541741321281091199085377326288514477991SIGMA100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%


30 Jan 2018Table 8Q6. By Normal WeightingQ6. If there was a referendum tomorrow with the question ''Should Scotland be an Independent country?'', how would you vote?

Base: Respondents likely to vote






100506270104613661005293532092281471671271181011118780370316253483457939Weighted Total

5321197241306531247459136664446941582728120130146209187396Yes52.5%41.8%35.9%23.7%8.8%83.6%52.7%22.8%84.4%6.6%28.1%5.6%44.8%38.2%34.3%58.1%40.5%52.6%30.7%34.8%32.4%41.3%57.5%43.4%40.9%42.2%

332581591397343223145131210729177404442554723315382217251468No33.0%51.0%59.0%10.4%86.0%9.3%32.3%38.6%10.4%84.3%62.5%91.9%48.6%54.4%60.9%33.7%43.8%37.4%63.4%58.3%62.8%48.5%32.4%44.9%54.9%49.8%

15361242424152155196101259151154163124541771Undecided14.5%7.2%4.5%39.6%5.2%6.7%14.9%38.6%5.2%8.7%8.9%2.5%6.6%7.4%3.9%7.6%14.7%9.9%5.9%4.9%4.3%9.9%9.4%11.1%3.8%7.6%

-*23-2---*1---111--2212324Refused-*0.6%26.3%-0.4%---0.4%0.5%---0.8%0.6%1.0%--2.0%0.4%0.3%0.7%0.6%0.3%0.5%

100506270104613661005293532092281471671271181011118780370316253483457939SIGMA100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%


30 Jan 2018Table 9Q6. Voting Intention Table - By Normal Weighting and LTVQ6. If there was a referendum tomorrow with the question ''Should Scotland be an Independent country?'', how would you vote?







86469256343834085327748190223138155121108851008274353283228426438864Weighted Total

5321197241306531247459136664446941582728120130146209187396Yes61.4%45.1%37.9%69.4%9.3%90.0%62.0%37.2%89.0%7.3%31.0%5.8%48.0%41.2%36.0%63.3%48.0%58.4%32.6%37.4%34.0%46.0%64.0%49.1%42.7%45.9%

332581591397343223145131210729177404442554723315382217251468No38.6%54.9%62.1%30.6%90.7%10.0%38.0%62.8%11.0%92.7%69.0%94.2%52.0%58.8%64.0%36.7%52.0%41.6%67.4%62.6%66.0%54.0%36.0%50.9%57.3%54.1%

86469256343834085327748190223138155121108851008274353283228426438864SIGMA100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%


30 Jan 2018Table 10Q6. Voting Intention Table - By Normal Weighting and LTV with undecided and refused removedQ6. If there was a referendum tomorrow with the question ''Should Scotland be an Independent country?'', how would you vote?







145522282134753841407294552182331511731331261121249287384340276510489999Weighted Total

655022781347538467428654203227126158128107911078471371312189433439872I voted in the45.0%96.1%98.6%100.0%100.0%100.0%47.8%62.1%97.3%98.0%92.9%97.5%83.5%91.0%95.8%85.1%81.4%86.0%91.3%82.0%96.6%91.8%68.7%84.9%89.8%87.3%referendum

79183---68381146241661418138131123786744111I did not vote in54.5%3.5%1.0%---48.6%37.9%2.7%2.0%6.4%2.5%15.6%9.0%4.2%11.1%16.3%10.1%8.7%15.3%2.8%6.6%28.2%13.2%8.9%11.1%the referendum

121---5---2-1--535-225910616Can't remember0.4%0.5%0.4%---3.6%---0.7%-1.0%--3.8%2.3%3.9%-2.8%0.6%1.5%3.2%2.0%1.3%1.6%

145522282134753841407294552182331511731331261121249287384340276510489999SIGMA100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%


30 Jan 2018Table 11Q7. By Normal WeightingQ7. In the Scottish independence referendum in September 2014, 85% of Scottish adults voted and 15% did not vote.Did you or did you not vote in the Scottish independence referendum on 18 September 2014?







655022781347538467428654203227126158128107911078471371312189433439872Weighted Total

40204127--384404236762245964506343522429123154107195189384Yes60.4%40.6%45.5%--100.0%60.1%81.4%82.4%12.4%30.7%10.6%46.8%40.6%39.2%58.3%47.2%48.7%27.9%41.5%33.1%49.3%56.5%45.0%43.1%44.0%

25296150-475-2414847138202679477434750583924515377230246475No38.1%58.9%53.8%-100.0%-36.5%18.6%16.9%87.6%68.2%88.9%53.2%59.4%60.0%40.4%51.9%46.9%69.3%54.9%66.1%49.0%40.8%53.0%56.0%54.5%

12213--2-2-21--1115233559413Can't remember1.5%0.4%0.7%100.0%--3.4%-0.7%-1.1%0.5%--0.8%1.3%0.9%4.4%2.8%3.6%0.7%1.6%2.6%2.0%1.0%1.5%

655022781347538467428654203227126158128107911078471371312189433439872SIGMA100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%


30 Jan 2018Table 12Q8. By Normal WeightingQ8. How did you vote in the Scottish independence referendum?

Base: Respondents voted in September 2014 referendum






1455222821347538414873005522023315618013513211312596923843403065344951029Weighted Total

43409228537128935224738166193114125101867586645531924414334536270710 - definitely29.4%78.3%80.9%40.7%78.0%75.4%23.4%27.2%82.4%69.1%75.6%83.0%73.0%69.7%75.5%65.0%66.3%68.6%66.7%59.9%83.2%71.9%46.9%64.5%73.2%68.7%would vote

8531834134822462020191214951117531362345459095.8%10.2%6.4%26.7%8.7%8.9%5.7%33.8%8.1%10.9%9.1%8.4%11.9%6.5%10.5%6.6%4.0%8.7%17.4%5.5%8.2%10.5%7.5%8.5%9.1%8.8%

152011-261715-671111311871072892026332256810.4%3.9%4.0%-5.6%4.3%10.0%-2.1%12.3%4.9%4.6%1.9%6.0%6.0%5.4%8.5%5.7%2.2%8.5%2.5%6.0%8.4%6.2%4.5%5.4%

17137-1213141121858836644421527251944711.5%2.6%2.3%-2.5%3.5%9.2%11.5%4.0%1.3%3.5%2.0%5.3%4.5%2.6%4.6%5.5%2.9%3.9%4.7%0.5%4.5%8.8%4.6%3.8%4.3%

1011419910-737248210222262222193066.9%2.1%1.4%6.6%1.8%2.4%6.5%-2.3%4.6%3.2%0.9%2.6%4.3%1.2%7.6%1.4%1.5%2.0%1.8%1.6%0.7%7.2%4.0%1.8%2.9%

1258-7616-3-423317762545272863558.4%1.0%2.7%-1.4%1.5%10.9%-1.1%-1.9%0.8%1.8%1.9%0.7%5.2%6.4%5.1%1.9%5.9%0.9%1.3%8.8%5.3%1.3%3.4%

4---134------112-----1322442.5%---0.2%0.7%2.5%------0.6%0.7%1.3%-----0.3%0.8%0.3%0.4%0.4%

411-124---2-12-1-2-1-2451632.7%0.1%0.3%-0.2%0.4%2.5%---0.9%-0.5%1.1%-0.4%-1.2%-1.0%-0.5%1.3%1.0%0.1%0.5%

34---142-1--2---2-231-845922.3%0.7%---0.3%2.7%27.4%-1.8%--1.5%---1.7%-1.8%3.1%0.3%-2.6%0.8%1.0%0.9%

4111315---11-13112--32344812.7%0.1%0.5%8.3%0.6%0.2%3.6%---0.6%0.2%-0.5%1.9%0.8%1.1%1.9%--0.7%0.7%1.0%0.8%0.8%0.8%

255425934---1-39146649812212219410 - definitely17.5%1.0%1.5%17.8%1.0%2.3%22.9%---0.4%-1.6%5.0%0.9%3.2%5.1%4.5%4.2%9.6%2.2%3.6%6.8%4.1%3.9%4.0%wouldn’t vote

1455222821347538414873005522023315618013513211312596923843403065344951029SIGMA100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%


30 Jan 2018Table 13Q9. By Normal WeightingQ9. If there was to be an election for the Scottish Parliament tomorrow, on a scale of 0-10, where 10 is definitely would vote and 0 is definitely wouldn’t vote,how likely would you be to vote in those elections?

Base: All Respondents






120517278114713751147300552192331531711331281071209283375327285513475988Weighted Total

1210194-178226181511772638331322203624121682370142212Scottish10.1%19.5%33.7%-37.8%5.8%5.4%16.2%2.6%27.1%0.6%75.9%16.9%22.1%24.7%10.1%20.7%17.1%38.5%29.0%32.2%20.7%8.2%13.6%29.9%21.5%Conservative &

Unionist Party

221196411335722116116512333737303328151364827812995224Scottish Labour17.9%23.1%23.1%11.0%28.2%15.2%18.9%11.5%5.2%1.5%75.2%5.0%21.5%21.6%27.6%23.1%30.6%23.4%15.9%15.3%17.2%25.1%27.3%25.2%20.0%22.7%

73911-4777-530212418846548321213342357Scottish Liberal6.1%7.6%3.9%-9.9%1.9%6.2%-1.6%54.6%1.0%5.2%2.8%10.3%6.2%3.2%5.6%3.8%4.9%9.8%8.5%3.6%4.7%6.7%4.9%5.8%Democrat


444-35233-2112242-122578513Another party3.4%0.7%1.4%-0.6%1.4%1.5%44.9%0.9%-0.9%0.5%0.6%1.0%1.2%3.1%1.4%-1.1%2.9%0.6%1.4%2.3%1.5%1.1%1.3%

2650223522737210716202215121610191092641468428113Undecided21.9%9.7%8.0%30.8%11.1%7.2%32.3%27.4%3.3%11.9%7.4%8.6%14.1%8.5%8.7%12.6%9.5%16.2%11.3%10.4%7.0%12.4%16.0%16.4%5.9%11.4%

2112312----11--3---3215448Refused1.6%0.1%0.2%15.0%0.6%0.1%1.7%----0.2%0.5%--2.6%---4.2%0.4%0.2%1.9%0.7%0.8%0.8%

120517278114713751147300552192331531711331281071209283375327285513475988SIGMA100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%


30 Jan 2018Table 14Q10. By Normal WeightingQ10. In the next Scottish Parliament election you will be given two votes. Your first vote will be for a single person to represent your constituency in the Scottish Parliament.If the election were tomorrow, which party would you be most likely to vote for with your first, constituency vote?







90493265944735381528851205225143158125114961098673362308234460444904Weighted Total


Unionist Party

171156011255418115115511313335272926141162796611988207Scottish Labour18.8%23.3%22.5%11.8%28.1%15.2%22.4%11.3%5.1%1.6%75.3%4.8%21.8%21.2%28.0%23.7%30.0%24.3%16.3%15.0%17.0%25.8%28.2%25.8%19.9%22.9%



444-35133-2111141-122467512Another party3.9%0.8%1.4%-0.6%1.4%1.5%58.2%1.0%-0.9%0.5%0.6%0.8%1.2%3.5%1.5%-1.2%3.3%0.6%1.4%2.6%1.6%1.2%1.4%

1441202452120*951319171181171676223428651884Undecided15.4%8.4%7.5%21.1%10.1%5.9%25.3%7.7%3.1%9.8%6.2%8.4%11.8%7.2%6.5%9.9%7.1%14.4%8.6%8.7%6.0%11.0%12.0%14.2%4.2%9.3%

1*12111----**--2---22*2224Refused0.8%*0.2%17.7%0.3%0.1%0.9%----*0.2%--1.5%---2.7%0.4%*1.0%0.4%0.5%0.4%

90493265944735381528851205225143158125114961098673362308234460444904SIGMA100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%


30 Jan 2018Table 15Q10. Voting Intention Table - By Normal Weighting and LTVQ10. In the next Scottish Parliament election you will be given two votes. Your first vote will be for a single person to represent your constituency in the Scottish Parliament.If the election were tomorrow, which party would you be most likely to vote for with your first, constituency vote?







7545224554013326052794619320612614611710189937965339274204393424817Weighted Total


Unionist Party

171156011255418115115511313335272926141162796611988207Scottish Labour22.5%25.5%24.4%19.2%31.3%16.2%30.3%12.3%5.2%1.8%80.3%5.3%24.7%22.8%30.0%26.7%32.3%28.4%17.8%16.9%18.2%29.0%32.5%30.2%20.8%25.3%



444-35133-2111141-122467512Another party4.7%0.8%1.5%-0.7%1.5%2.0%63.1%1.0%-1.0%0.6%0.7%0.8%1.3%4.0%1.6%-1.3%3.7%0.6%1.6%2.9%1.9%1.2%1.5%

7545224554013326052794619320612614611710189937965339274204393424817SIGMA100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%


30 Jan 2018Table 16Q10. Voting Intention Table - By Normal Weighting and LTV with undecided and refused removedQ10. In the next Scottish Parliament election you will be given two votes. Your first vote will be for a single person to represent your constituency in the Scottish Parliament.If the election were tomorrow, which party would you be most likely to vote for with your first, constituency vote?







120517278114713751147300552192331531711331281071209283375327285513475988Weighted Total

1310169-1572110-911101472536351315133421101603172119192Scottish10.6%19.6%25.0%-33.3%5.6%8.5%-3.1%19.7%4.5%63.1%16.2%21.0%26.3%10.3%14.0%10.5%37.1%25.3%26.9%18.3%10.7%14.1%25.1%19.4%Conservative &

Unionist Party

201045411145718-235124113036282524369569636110389192Scottish Labour16.5%20.0%19.4%13.8%24.3%15.1%16.2%-7.6%9.1%56.8%4.8%19.6%21.0%20.7%19.3%22.5%29.7%10.0%6.2%18.3%19.1%21.4%20.1%18.7%19.5%



15537-184582412203141181810766203326493180Scottish Green Party12.2%10.3%2.5%-3.9%12.1%6.8%22.0%13.8%3.3%9.1%1.4%9.3%6.2%6.1%13.9%9.4%5.8%6.4%7.1%5.5%10.2%9.0%9.5%6.5%8.1%

931511110845*210624761-241114111930UKIP7.7%0.5%5.3%11.0%2.4%2.6%6.6%50.6%1.5%0.6%0.9%4.5%4.1%1.0%3.2%5.8%5.7%1.0%-2.9%1.1%3.5%4.9%2.1%3.9%3.0%

152--7--3-21131121-22345410Another party0.8%1.0%0.7%--1.8%--1.1%-0.8%0.5%0.6%1.5%0.9%0.6%1.7%0.8%-1.9%0.6%1.0%1.4%1.1%0.9%1.0%

35563346634362156292624171516162711114048489937137Undecided28.9%10.9%12.0%39.1%14.1%9.2%31.8%27.4%5.0%10.9%13.0%11.3%15.8%9.8%11.2%12.6%14.7%22.6%11.5%13.6%10.7%14.8%17.0%19.4%7.8%13.8%

1232321---122--2---5333549Refused0.6%0.3%1.1%15.0%0.6%0.5%0.7%---0.6%0.9%1.6%--1.4%---5.5%0.7%1.0%1.1%1.0%0.9%0.9%

120517278114713751147300552192331531711331281071209283375327285513475988SIGMA100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%


30 Jan 2018Table 17Q11. By Normal WeightingQ11. Your second vote will be a party list vote to elect representatives from your region of Scotland by a form of proportional representation. If the election were tomorrow,which party would you be most likely to vote for with your second, regional list vote?







90493265944735381528851205225143158125114961098673362308234460444904Weighted Total


Unionist Party

181015011095416-22511811293327232134956660549684180Scottish Labour19.6%20.5%18.9%14.7%24.4%15.3%19.7%-7.6%9.3%57.4%4.8%20.0%20.9%21.6%20.6%22.0%30.9%10.1%6.8%18.3%19.4%23.3%20.9%18.9%20.0%




72141119534*210623661-24111191726UKIP7.9%0.5%5.3%11.8%2.6%2.5%6.1%67.7%1.5%0.7%0.9%4.5%4.2%1.1%2.2%5.7%6.4%1.0%-2.2%1.0%3.6%4.7%2.0%3.8%2.9%

152--6--3-21131111-2234549Another party0.8%1.0%0.8%--1.8%--1.1%-0.9%0.5%0.6%1.6%1.0%0.7%1.5%0.7%-2.1%0.7%1.0%1.5%1.1%0.9%1.0%

1947303582720*1342325201212111123883541297628104Undecided21.3%9.4%11.4%30.9%12.9%7.7%24.1%7.7%4.7%8.7%11.3%11.2%13.6%7.5%9.7%9.3%11.4%21.1%8.8%11.3%9.6%13.2%12.3%16.5%6.4%11.5%

*23232*---122--2---3331437Refused0.2%0.3%1.1%17.7%0.6%0.5%0.3%---0.7%0.9%1.4%--1.6%---4.2%0.7%1.0%0.5%0.9%0.6%0.8%

90493265944735381528851205225143158125114961098673362308234460444904SIGMA100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%


30 Jan 2018Table 18Q11. Voting Intention Table - By Normal Weighting and LTVQ11. Your second vote will be a party list vote to elect representatives from your region of Scotland by a form of proportional representation. If the election were tomorrow,which party would you be most likely to vote for with your second, regional list vote?







7144523153873246152754718119812214611310185867862325264204380414793Weighted Total


Unionist Party

181015011095416-22511811293327232134956660549684180Scottish Labour24.9%22.7%21.6%28.6%28.2%16.6%26.0%-7.9%10.2%65.2%5.4%23.5%22.6%23.9%23.1%24.9%39.1%11.1%8.0%20.4%22.6%26.7%25.4%20.3%22.7%




72141119534*210623661-24111191726UKIP10.0%0.5%6.1%22.9%3.0%2.8%8.1%73.4%1.6%0.8%1.1%5.2%5.0%1.2%2.4%6.4%7.2%1.2%-2.6%1.1%4.2%5.4%2.4%4.1%3.3%

152--6--3-21131111-2234549Another party1.1%1.1%0.9%--2.0%--1.2%-1.0%0.5%0.7%1.7%1.1%0.8%1.7%0.9%-2.5%0.7%1.2%1.8%1.3%1.0%1.1%

7144523153873246152754718119812214611310185867862325264204380414793SIGMA100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%


30 Jan 2018Table 19Q11. Voting Intention Table - By Normal Weighting and LTV with undecided and refused removedQ11. Your second vote will be a party list vote to elect representatives from your region of Scotland by a form of proportional representation. If the election were tomorrow,which party would you be most likely to vote for with your second, regional list vote?







1455222821347538414873005522023315618013313111312596883843403005314931023Weighted Total

9059301556290338334203143173625211217315611512774201I did not vote in61.7%11.4%10.6%6.6%11.5%16.3%61.1%49.9%12.8%5.9%15.5%8.7%19.6%23.9%13.1%27.1%22.0%16.4%12.4%19.5%8.0%16.5%38.2%24.0%15.0%19.7%the 2016 Holyrood

elections

404312366394288364245481682031151241078272867462343255125325397723I did vote in the27.6%82.4%83.7%47.7%82.8%75.2%24.3%50.1%81.6%87.8%76.4%87.1%73.6%68.8%80.1%62.9%63.6%68.9%76.8%70.7%89.3%75.1%41.7%61.3%80.6%70.6%2016 Holyrood

elections

1632166273322-1731810111391316181091029617822100Can't remember10.7%6.2%5.8%45.7%5.7%8.5%14.7%-5.6%6.3%8.2%4.2%6.7%7.3%6.8%10.0%14.4%14.6%10.8%9.8%2.7%8.4%20.2%14.7%4.4%9.7%

1455222821347538414873005522023315618013313111312596883843403005314931023SIGMA100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%


30 Jan 2018Table 20Q12. By Normal WeightingQ12. In the Scottish Parliament Election of 2016, 56% of people voted, while 44% of people did not vote. Thinking back to the Holyrood Election in May 2016,can you remember whether or not you voted in that specific election?







1455222821347538414873005522023315518013313011312592873843402925254901016Weighted Total

392711224214526-111691571014135121726445729870 - would not vote27.1%5.2%3.9%17.8%5.1%5.6%30.4%23.4%2.0%-5.0%6.8%6.0%8.6%5.6%7.3%12.5%10.7%5.8%14.1%4.4%7.5%15.1%10.9%6.0%8.5%

-2-1111---11-----21--122131-0.4%-9.1%0.2%0.2%0.6%---0.5%0.5%-----1.6%1.2%--0.3%0.7%0.4%0.2%0.3%

4321145-2-213123-1-1155831123.0%0.5%0.7%8.3%0.1%0.9%3.5%-0.6%-0.8%0.2%2.0%0.5%1.5%2.1%-0.9%-1.0%0.2%1.5%1.7%1.4%0.7%1.1%

433-426-*-231412-22-1291031232.4%0.5%0.9%-0.9%0.6%3.8%-0.1%-1.0%1.2%0.6%2.2%0.7%1.8%-2.0%1.9%-0.2%0.7%3.1%1.8%0.5%1.2%

751-64713-11111624-114101241644.6%1.0%0.3%-1.4%1.1%5.0%11.5%1.1%-0.6%0.3%0.8%0.6%0.7%4.5%1.4%3.1%-1.3%0.3%1.2%3.6%2.3%0.8%1.6%

1389161112-10-10155279743682727134159.0%1.5%3.2%6.3%1.4%2.9%8.4%-3.3%-4.7%0.4%3.6%2.7%1.1%5.3%7.5%5.5%4.0%3.1%1.5%2.3%9.3%5.2%2.7%4.0%

353-476-2-412423111-2111861462.0%1.0%1.2%-0.8%1.8%4.2%-0.6%-1.6%0.5%1.6%2.2%1.5%2.1%0.6%0.8%1.2%-0.6%0.3%3.6%1.4%1.3%1.4%

1253-61110-713127435413281815122778.6%0.9%1.0%-1.3%2.9%6.7%-2.5%1.4%1.4%0.5%1.2%3.8%2.8%2.1%4.0%3.0%0.9%3.4%0.5%2.3%6.0%2.9%2.5%2.7%

6126111105-656466342412812814142984.3%2.2%2.3%11.3%2.4%2.6%3.7%-2.0%10.0%2.7%1.6%4.1%3.4%2.4%2.9%1.7%3.4%1.4%1.9%2.2%3.6%2.8%2.8%2.9%2.8%

93511-262561174121475945101422326728285696.0%6.7%3.9%-5.5%6.5%3.7%10.5%5.7%7.0%5.6%6.2%4.9%2.8%6.4%3.3%4.3%7.8%14.9%2.7%5.9%7.7%2.5%5.3%5.8%5.5%

48418233638528744424745168190116132103897777636332324715134537672010 - certain to vote33.1%80.1%82.6%47.2%80.9%74.9%30.0%54.6%82.2%81.6%76.1%81.7%75.3%73.2%77.2%68.4%68.0%61.3%68.7%72.4%84.1%72.7%51.5%65.6%76.6%70.9%

1455222821347538414873005522023315518013313011312592873843402925254901016SIGMA100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%


30 Jan 2018Table 21Q13. By Normal WeightingQ13. If there were to be another referendum on membership of the European Union, on a scale of 0-10, where 10 is ‘certain’ and 0 is 'would not vote', how likely would you be to vote?







10649527111451362103529455209217145164126121991128774367314248468461929Weighted Total

22262342155113232801555107434844343138193114310244126162288Leave21.0%5.2%86.3%18.9%34.4%31.1%22.6%35.5%27.3%27.4%26.3%49.2%29.9%29.0%35.3%28.2%31.7%33.6%21.5%41.5%38.9%32.5%17.6%27.0%35.2%31.0%

63451283276231623202381459891111757661645735208192172297274571Remain59.6%91.1%10.5%26.6%61.2%63.8%60.2%49.4%68.5%69.8%69.3%45.3%62.3%67.7%59.4%63.3%62.1%57.4%65.6%47.2%56.6%61.1%69.2%63.5%59.4%61.5%

211994201918112291211679610117152031432367Undecided19.4%3.8%3.2%39.5%4.4%5.2%17.2%15.0%4.1%2.8%4.4%5.5%7.8%3.3%5.3%7.5%6.2%9.0%12.9%9.1%4.1%6.4%12.7%9.3%5.1%7.2%

---2-----------1---22-1123Refused---15.0%-----------1.0%---2.1%0.4%-0.5%0.3%0.3%0.3%

10649527111451362103529455209217145164126121991128774367314248468461929SIGMA100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%


30 Jan 2018Table 22Q14. By Normal WeightingQ14. Imagine there was a referendum tomorrow with the question ‘'Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union or leave the European Union?'’ How would you vote?







8347325884313387652805319421013515311910791988170356293204419435854Weighted Total

1825225215010520276155110442474232283418301399637118155273Leave22.4%5.3%87.0%25.1%34.9%31.1%26.0%39.6%27.1%28.1%26.2%49.7%31.0%30.7%35.2%30.3%31.2%35.1%22.0%42.0%39.1%32.9%18.2%28.2%35.6%32.0%

52431272264218473193371379585103726858575335203181146270261531Remain63.0%91.0%10.4%26.5%61.1%64.5%62.0%53.6%69.0%69.4%70.2%45.3%62.8%67.3%60.8%63.6%64.0%57.8%65.7%49.4%57.0%61.8%71.6%64.4%60.0%62.2%

12177217159*111710835647104121620301848Undecided14.7%3.7%2.6%28.6%4.0%4.4%12.1%6.7%3.9%2.5%3.6%4.9%6.2%2.1%4.0%5.7%4.8%7.2%12.3%6.3%3.4%5.3%10.0%7.2%4.1%5.6%

---2-----------*---22-**22Refused---19.9%-----------0.4%---2.2%0.4%-0.2%0.1%0.4%0.2%

8347325884313387652805319421013515311910791988170356293204419435854SIGMA100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%


30 Jan 2018Table 23Q14. Voting Intention Table - By Normal Weighting and LTVQ14. Imagine there was a referendum tomorrow with the question ‘'Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union or leave the European Union?'’ How would you vote?







8347325864313387652805319421013515311910691988169355293204419433852Weighted Total

1825225215010520276155110442474232283418301399637118155273Leave22.4%5.3%87.0%31.3%34.9%31.1%26.0%39.6%27.1%28.1%26.2%49.7%31.0%30.7%35.2%30.4%31.2%35.1%22.0%43.0%39.3%32.9%18.2%28.3%35.7%32.0%

52431272264218473193371379585103726858575335203181146270261531Remain63.0%91.0%10.4%33.0%61.1%64.5%62.0%53.6%69.0%69.4%70.2%45.3%62.8%67.3%60.8%63.9%64.0%57.8%65.7%50.6%57.3%61.8%71.7%64.5%60.2%62.3%

12177217159*111710835647104121620301848Undecided14.7%3.7%2.6%35.7%4.0%4.4%12.1%6.7%3.9%2.5%3.6%4.9%6.2%2.1%4.0%5.7%4.8%7.2%12.3%6.4%3.4%5.3%10.0%7.2%4.1%5.6%

8347325864313387652805319421013515311910691988169355293204419433852SIGMA100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%


30 Jan 2018Table 24Q14. Voting Intention Table - By Normal Weighting and LTV with refused removedQ14. Imagine there was a referendum tomorrow with the question ‘'Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union or leave the European Union?'’ How would you vote?

Base: Respondents Likely to vote with refused removed






7045625144143246742695218819912714911410087917164343278183388415804Weighted Total

1825225215010520276155110442474232283418301399637118155273Leave26.2%5.5%89.4%48.6%36.3%32.5%29.5%42.5%28.2%28.8%27.2%52.3%33.0%31.3%36.6%32.3%32.7%37.8%25.1%45.9%40.7%34.7%20.3%30.5%37.2%34.0%

52431272264218473193371379585103726858575335203181146270261531Remain73.8%94.5%10.6%51.4%63.7%67.5%70.5%57.5%71.8%71.2%72.8%47.7%67.0%68.7%63.4%67.7%67.3%62.2%74.9%54.1%59.3%65.3%79.7%69.5%62.8%66.0%

7045625144143246742695218819912714911410087917164343278183388415804SIGMA100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%


30 Jan 2018Table 25Q14. Voting Intention Table - By Normal Weighting and LTV with undecided and refused removedQ14. Imagine there was a referendum tomorrow with the question ‘'Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union or leave the European Union?'’ How would you vote?



Page I

Page Table Title Base Description Base

4 1 Q1. If there was a UK General Election for the Westminster Parliament tomorrow, on a scale of 0-10, where 10 is will definitely vote and 0 is definitely won’t vote, how likely would you be to vote in the General Election?


1020

5 2 Q2. If there was a General Election for the Westminster Parliamenttaking place tomorrow, and there was a candidate from all political parties standing in your constituency, which party do you think you would vote for?

Base: Respondents Likely to vote 968

6 3 Q2. Voting Intention Table - By Normal Weighting and LTV Q2. If there was a General Election for the Westminster Parliamenttaking place tomorrow, and there was a candidate from all political parties standing in your constituency, which party do you think you would vote for?

Base: Respondents Likely to vote 968

7 4 Q2. Voting Intention Table - By Normal Weighting and LTV with undecided and refused removed Q2. If there was a General Election for the Westminster Parliamenttaking place tomorrow, and there was a candidate from all political parties standing in your constituency, which party do you think you would vote for?


846

8 5 Q3. In the Westminster Election of 2017, 66% of people in Scotland voted, while 34% of people in Scotland did not vote. Thinking back to the Westminster Election in June 2017, can you remember whether or not you voted in that specific election?


1020

9 6 Q4. Thinking back to the Westminster Election in June 2017, can you recall which party you voted for in that election?

Base: Respondents voted in the 2017 Westminster Election

835

10 7 Q5. If there was a referendum on Scottish Independence taking place tomorrow, how likely do you think you would be to vote on a scale of 0 to 10?

Base: All Respondents 1029

11 8 Q6. If there was a referendum tomorrow with the question ''Should Scotland be an Independent country?'', how would you vote?

Base: Respondents likely to vote 986

12 9 Q6. Voting Intention Table - By Normal Weighting and LTV Q6. If there was a referendum tomorrow with the question ''Should Scotland be an Independent country?'', how would you vote?


13 10 Q6. Voting Intention Table - By Normal Weighting and LTV with undecided and refused removed Q6. If there was a referendum tomorrow with the question ''Should Scotland be an Independent country?'', how would you vote?


886

Page II


14 11 Q7. In the Scottish independence referendum in September 2014, 85% of Scottish adults voted and 15% did not vote. Did you or did you not vote in the Scottish independence referendum on 18 September 2014?


1007

15 12 Q8. How did you vote in the Scottish independence referendum? Base: Respondents voted in September 2014 referendum

871

16 13 Q9. If there was to be an election for the Scottish Parliament tomorrow, on a scale of 0-10, where 10 is definitely would vote and0 is definitely wouldn’t vote, how likely would you be to vote in those elections?

Base: All Respondents 1029

17 14 Q10. In the next Scottish Parliament election you will be given two votes. Your first vote will be for a single person to represent your constituency in the Scottish Parliament. If the election were tomorrow, which party would you be most likelyto vote for with your first, constituency vote?


18 15 Q10. Voting Intention Table - By Normal Weighting and LTV Q10. In the next Scottish Parliament election you will be given two votes. Your first vote will be for a single person to represent your constituency in the Scottish Parliament. If the election were tomorrow, which party would you be most likelyto vote for with your first, constituency vote?


19 16 Q10. Voting Intention Table - By Normal Weighting and LTV with undecided and refused removed Q10. In the next Scottish Parliament election you will be given two votes. Your first vote will be for a single person to represent your constituency in the Scottish Parliament. If the election were tomorrow, which party would you be most likelyto vote for with your first, constituency vote?


857

20 17 Q11. Your second vote will be a party list vote to elect representatives from your region of Scotland by a form of proportional representation. If the election were tomorrow, which party would you be most likely to vote for with your second, regional list vote?


21 18 Q11. Voting Intention Table - By Normal Weighting and LTV Q11. Your second vote will be a party list vote to elect representatives from your region of Scotland by a form of proportional representation. If the election were tomorrow, which party would you be most likely to vote for with your second, regional list vote?


Page III


22 19 Q11. Voting Intention Table - By Normal Weighting and LTV with undecided and refused removed Q11. Your second vote will be a party list vote to elect representatives from your region of Scotland by a form of proportional representation. If the election were tomorrow, which party would you be most likely to vote for with your second, regional list vote?


834

23 20 Q12. In the Scottish Parliament Election of 2016, 56% of people voted, while 44% of people did not vote. Thinking back to the Holyrood Election in May 2016, can you remember whether or not you voted in that specific election?


1025

24 21 Q13. If there were to be another referendum on membership of theEuropean Union, on a scale of 0-10, where 10 is ‘certain’ and 0 is 'would not vote', how likely would you be to vote?


1020

25 22 Q14. Imagine there was a referendum tomorrow with the question ‘'Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union or leave the European Union?'’ How would you vote?


26 23 Q14. Voting Intention Table - By Normal Weighting and LTV Q14. Imagine there was a referendum tomorrow with the question ‘'Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union or leave the European Union?'’ How would you vote?


27 24 Q14. Voting Intention Table - By Normal Weighting and LTV with refused removed Q14. Imagine there was a referendum tomorrow with the question ‘'Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union or leave the European Union?'’ How would you vote?

Base: Respondents Likely to vote with refused removed

932

28 25 Q14. Voting Intention Table - By Normal Weighting and LTV with undecided and refused removed Q14. Imagine there was a referendum tomorrow with the question ‘'Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union or leave the European Union?'’ How would you vote?


862

voting intention poll -...

Documents