VOICE TO DATA : 5G FOR INCLUSIVEGROWTH

A PARADIGM SHIFT

VOICE TO DATA : 5G FOR INCLUSIVEGROWTH

A PARADIGM SHIFT

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Tilak Raj DuaTilakrajdua@gmail.com+ 91 9810150000

Mobile TelephonyEmbracing growth &Exploiting opportunities

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Wireless Telecom Scenario as of June 2014

• Wireless Subscribers : 914.92 Millions

• Wireless Urban Subscribers : 537.56 Millions

• Wireless Rural Subscribers : 377.36 Millions

• Wireless Urban tele-density : 140.44%

• Wireless Rural tele-density : 43.82%

• Wireless overall tele-density : 73.55%

• Wireless Broad Band Subscribers : 53.86 Millions

• Wireless Subscribers : 914.92 Millions

• Wireless Urban Subscribers : 537.56 Millions

• Wireless Rural Subscribers : 377.36 Millions

• Wireless Urban tele-density : 140.44%

• Wireless Rural tele-density : 43.82%

• Wireless overall tele-density : 73.55%

• Wireless Broad Band Subscribers : 53.86 Millions

Source: TRAI

Various policy initiatives by the Indian Govt. have led to a complete transformationof the industry in the last decade. It has achieved a phenomenal growth during the

last few years and is poised to grow further.

EmpowermentEnablesdisadvantagedgroups to enjoy thefruits of economicgrowth- access toinformation

How does mobile telephony impact our lives ?

Safety & SecurityA powerful tool to stayconnected and secureindividuals during anyexigency

M - EducationMakes knowledgeaccessible to allsections of thesociety

M - HealthMakes services andmedical expertiseavailable to allsections of thesociety

4Source - Telecom Regulatory Authority of India/ Internet and Mobile Association of India/ Indian Market Research Bureau/United Nations Development Program report (2012)/ibef/PWC/UNESCO

Safety & SecurityA powerful tool to stayconnected and secureindividuals during anyexigency

M-GovernanceEnsures governmentservices andschemes reach thepoorest of poor

M - HealthMakes services andmedical expertiseavailable to allsections of thesociety

M - BankingMobile financialtransactional channel,accessible fromanywhere, at anytime

The mobile phone industry in India is likely to contribute US$ 400 billion to the country’s GDP and has thepotential to generate about 4.1million additional jobs by 2020

International Scenario: Mobile subscribers5

Ericsson Mobility Report 2014

Mobile Traffic Growth: Voice and data6

Ericsson Mobility Report 2014

Mobile Traffic Outlook7

Ericsson Mobility Report 2014

Technology and Standards Evolution8

Challenges and Requirements9

The four fundamental requirements for building 5G wirelessnetworks are:• Capabilities for supporting massive capacity and massiveconnectivity

• Support for an increasingly diverse set of services,application and users – all with extremely divergingrequirements for work and life

• Flexible and efficient use of all available non-contiguousspectrum for- wildly different network deployment scenarios

• Low latency and extremely high reliability

The four fundamental requirements for building 5G wirelessnetworks are:• Capabilities for supporting massive capacity and massiveconnectivity

• Support for an increasingly diverse set of services,application and users – all with extremely divergingrequirements for work and life

• Flexible and efficient use of all available non-contiguousspectrum for- wildly different network deployment scenarios

• Low latency and extremely high reliability

5G Requirements10

NTT Docomo

Key Requirements for 5G11

NSN 5G use cases &requirements

5G Symbolic integration of existing & newtechnologies

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NSN 5G use cases &requirements

5G Wish List13

WWRF

Drivers for 5G14

• Number of connections and also the volume of data overwireless networks continuously growing at a significant rate

• Users more demanding on speed & quality

• Sustainability of mobile broadband business(ever increasing traffic and flattening ARPU)

• 3G & 4G both promised improvements in NW capacity, data rate,efficiency, cost and quality

• While previous generations of wireless networks were characterized by fixedradio parameters and spectrum blocks, 5G will allow utilizationof any spectrum and any access technology for the best delivery of services

• 5G needs to embrace a significant leap forward in terms oftargets

• Number of connections and also the volume of data overwireless networks continuously growing at a significant rate

• Users more demanding on speed & quality

• Sustainability of mobile broadband business(ever increasing traffic and flattening ARPU)

• 3G & 4G both promised improvements in NW capacity, data rate,efficiency, cost and quality

• While previous generations of wireless networks were characterized by fixedradio parameters and spectrum blocks, 5G will allow utilizationof any spectrum and any access technology for the best delivery of services

• 5G needs to embrace a significant leap forward in terms oftargets

5G : A paradigm shift & rethinking of mobilebusiness

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Paradigm Shift #116

WWRF

Paradigm Shift # 217

WWRF

Paradigm Shift # 318

WWRF

5G : Paradigm Shifts19

WWRF

Requirements on Technology20

Orange labs

Candidate technology families for 2020families

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Orange labs

5G: LTE evolution or revolution22

Orange labs

European Commission (Memo, 4July 2014)

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5G networks will be a leap, not a step, forward

Vice-President of the European Commission says it’s important tounderstand 5G mobile will be more than just the next step beyond today’s4G networks.“It will also offer totally new possibilities to connect people, and also things– being cars, houses, energy infrastructures. All of them at once, whereveryou and they are.”

According to the roadmap of the 5G Public-Private Partnership, 5Gstandards will allow:

Wireless Capacity : 1000 X higher than 2010Energy savings : up to 90% per serviceService creation time: from 90 hrs. to 90 minutesConnections : from over 7 trillion wireless devices for over 7 billion

people

5G networks will be a leap, not a step, forward

Vice-President of the European Commission says it’s important tounderstand 5G mobile will be more than just the next step beyond today’s4G networks.“It will also offer totally new possibilities to connect people, and also things– being cars, houses, energy infrastructures. All of them at once, whereveryou and they are.”

According to the roadmap of the 5G Public-Private Partnership, 5Gstandards will allow:

Wireless Capacity : 1000 X higher than 2010Energy savings : up to 90% per serviceService creation time: from 90 hrs. to 90 minutesConnections : from over 7 trillion wireless devices for over 7 billion

people

Spectrum Impact24

Other than flexible and efficient use of all available non-contiguous spectrumin different network deployment scenarios, freeing up additional spectrum willalso be required to support thousand-fold capacity increases by 2020 – andeven higher increases looking forward to 2040 and beyond.

But while a global consensus is forming that 500MHz to 1GHz bandwidth ofadditional mobile spectrum is needed, the following considerations will beneed to be addressed:

• Spectrum bands availability by region and the local laws that governtheir usage will need to be harmonized so the global circulation andeconomies-of-scale for mobile devices are not negatively impacted.

• Exactly how all available and new IMT bands will be used to achieve 10Gb/s for an individual end user is a major challenge for designing working5G systems.

Other than flexible and efficient use of all available non-contiguous spectrumin different network deployment scenarios, freeing up additional spectrum willalso be required to support thousand-fold capacity increases by 2020 – andeven higher increases looking forward to 2040 and beyond.

But while a global consensus is forming that 500MHz to 1GHz bandwidth ofadditional mobile spectrum is needed, the following considerations will beneed to be addressed:

• Spectrum bands availability by region and the local laws that governtheir usage will need to be harmonized so the global circulation andeconomies-of-scale for mobile devices are not negatively impacted.

• Exactly how all available and new IMT bands will be used to achieve 10Gb/s for an individual end user is a major challenge for designing working5G systems.

Time Line25

Ensuring spectrum does not impede growth26

• Harmonization at Regional level in line with ITU Recommendations

• Additional harmonized spectrum must be allocated and used.

• 100 MHz of additional spectrum below 1 GHz will provide improvedrural broadband.

• 500 MHZ of additional spectrum between 1 and 5 GHz will providecapacity for data.

• Spectrum shall be dedicated to mobile broadband on a technology-neutral basis.

• Harmonization at Regional level in line with ITU Recommendations

• Additional harmonized spectrum must be allocated and used.

• 100 MHz of additional spectrum below 1 GHz will provide improvedrural broadband.

• 500 MHZ of additional spectrum between 1 and 5 GHz will providecapacity for data.

• Spectrum shall be dedicated to mobile broadband on a technology-neutral basis.

Evolution path for 5G27

5G = LTE enh. + New RAT

• Further LTE enhancement-- Small cell and general cellular enhancements for beyond

Release 12

• Potential New RAT-- Considering new spectrum allocations in WRC-15 and beyond-- should prioritize the achievement of more big gains over

backward compatibility

5G = LTE enh. + New RAT

• Further LTE enhancement-- Small cell and general cellular enhancements for beyond

Release 12

• Potential New RAT-- Considering new spectrum allocations in WRC-15 and beyond-- should prioritize the achievement of more big gains over

backward compatibility

5G roadmap and timeline28

One possible roadmap of 5G technology evolution

Huawei:5G A tech. vision

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Government target:600Million broadband

connections by 2020

~520 million broadbandconnections at a CAGR of29% through 2012-2020

---5.4 million broadbandconnections per month

NOFN :to connect all250,000 Gram panchayats

in the country

3G expansion and 4G rollouts

Being implemented by utilizingexisting fiber of PSU andlaying incremental fiber.

---Non discriminatory access tobe provided to all service

providers.

3G services rolled out in alllicensed circles.

4G rollout initiated.---

Operators investing inexpansion of 3G networks

and rollout of 4G

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Internet and Broad Band key priority for Govt. & Industry

Cumulative capexinvestment of INR 1,300-1,400 Billion by 2020

~520 million broadbandconnections at a CAGR of29% through 2012-2020

---5.4 million broadbandconnections per month

Being implemented by utilizingexisting fiber of PSU andlaying incremental fiber.

---Non discriminatory access tobe provided to all service

providers.

3G services rolled out in alllicensed circles.

4G rollout initiated.---

Operators investing inexpansion of 3G networks

and rollout of 4G

96.3 Million 3G subscribersprojected by 2015 and 4G

expected to gainmomentum.

Estimated to cost INR 200billion to be funded by

USOF.

Connecting and empowering the unconnected for inclusive growth

Digital India30

Cabinet approved: an ambitious programme- Digital India to “transform Indiainto digital empowered society and knowledge economy”. Digital India will be implemented in phases from the current year till 2019. The programme aims at providing digital infrastructure as a utility to everycitizen as well as high-speed internet as a core utility in all gram panchayats. It also envisions providing a “cradle to grave digital identity” that is “unique,lifelong and online”. The overall scope of this programme is “to prepare India for a knowledgefuture”. The programme aims to promote e-governance and transform India into aconnected knowledge economy.

Cabinet approved: an ambitious programme- Digital India to “transform Indiainto digital empowered society and knowledge economy”. Digital India will be implemented in phases from the current year till 2019. The programme aims at providing digital infrastructure as a utility to everycitizen as well as high-speed internet as a core utility in all gram panchayats. It also envisions providing a “cradle to grave digital identity” that is “unique,lifelong and online”. The overall scope of this programme is “to prepare India for a knowledgefuture”. The programme aims to promote e-governance and transform India into aconnected knowledge economy.

Smart Cities31

5G will provide the foundational infrastructure forbuilding smart cities, which will push mobile networkperformance and capability requirements to theirextremes.

Low latency and extremely high reliability, however,will also be essential requirements for the likes ofmobile industrial automation, vehicularconnectivity, and other IoT (Internet of things)applications.

5G will provide the foundational infrastructure forbuilding smart cities, which will push mobile networkperformance and capability requirements to theirextremes.

Low latency and extremely high reliability, however,will also be essential requirements for the likes ofmobile industrial automation, vehicularconnectivity, and other IoT (Internet of things)applications.

Over 50 LTE networks launched this year, total 318 in 111countries

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6.235 billion subscriptions globally using 3GPP systems (GSM, WCDMA-HSPA, LTE)1.564 billion WCDMA subs including HSPA and 245.4 million LTE subs

Summary33

5G is the next frontier of innovation for entire mobile industry

The three major design objectives for 5G:

• Implementation of massive capacity and massive connectivity

• Support for an increasingly diverse set of services, applications and users– all with extremely diverging requirements

• Flexible and efficient use of all available non-contiguous spectrum forwildly different network deployment scenarios

The success of 5G can only be built upon the successof the entire ICT ecosystem.

5G is the next frontier of innovation for entire mobile industry

The three major design objectives for 5G:

• Implementation of massive capacity and massive connectivity

• Support for an increasingly diverse set of services, applications and users– all with extremely diverging requirements

• Flexible and efficient use of all available non-contiguous spectrum forwildly different network deployment scenarios

The success of 5G can only be built upon the successof the entire ICT ecosystem.

Conclusions34

Orange labs

Thank You

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