Vision

2050

The new agenda for businessMarcel Engel

Managing Director, Regional

Network

Kiev, 30 August 2011

                                                                                            

     

World Business Council for       Sustainable Development (WBCSD)

Coalition of some 200 leading companies• Market capitalization: 8,000 BUSD• Total member company employees:13 million• Global outreach

– Supplies products and services to half of the world’spopulation every day

3

WBCSD’s Regional Network

BCSD El Salvador

BCSD Argentina

PBE (Philippines)

United States BCSD

EpE (France)

BCSD Thailand

BCSD Malaysia

BCSD Zimbabwe

BCSD Mexico

BCSD Honduras

Vernadsky Foundation

(Russia)

BCSD Croatia

uniRSE (Nicaragua)

BCSD Taiwan

BCA (Australia)BCSD Brazil

BCSD Colombia

respACT BCSD AustriaBCSD 

United Kingdom

BCSD Mongolia

New Zealand

BCSD

APEQUE (Algeria)

FEBCSD Spain

FFA (Spain)

KoreaBCSD

AEEC (Egypt)

BCSD Portugal

Peru 2021

BCSD Ecuador

Excel Partnership (Canada)

NHO (Norway)

FEMA BCSD Mozambique

TERIBCSD India

BCSD Kazakhstan 

Nippon Keidanren 

(Japan)

CII (India)

CentraRSE Guatemala

AED (Costa Rica)

BCSD Bolivia

BCSD Paraguay

BEC (Hong Kong)

BCSD Sri Lanka

BCSD Hungary

DanishBCSD

DERES (Uruguay)

BCSD Pakistan

Curaçao BCSD

Business Europe

RBF (Poland)

BCSD UAE

ChinaBCSD

NBI (South Africa)

BCSDTurkey

econsense (Germany)

Acción RSE  (Chile)

SEV-BCSD Greece

SumaRSE (Panama)

CGLI (Canada/USA)

BCSD Vietnam

Indonesia BCSD

WBCSD Work Program

Vision

2050

The new agenda for business

A collaborative effort involving 29 companies

6

A global business dialogue

Washington DC

7

The different steps of the Vision 2050 project

Business-as-usual outlook to 2050

Vision 2050

Pathway to 2050

Opportunities

8

Business-as-usual Outlook to 2050

“Humanity has largely had an explosive relationship with our planet; we can, and should, aim to make this

a symbiotic one.”Michael Mack, Syngenta International AG

A business-as-usual outlook to 2050: The Growth Story

10

A business-as-usual outlook to 2050: Environmental Degradation

11

BAU projection: We will consume 2.3 Earths in 2050

World is on an unsustainable track

12

Sources: Global Footprint Network, WBCSD Vision 2050

The Vision

The Vision

Vision 2050 is a business response to the challenges the world faces. It is a contribution that is intended to help shape the sustainability agenda, to catalyze action and to provide relevant stakeholders with a platform to bring about change.

“In 2050, some 9 billion people live well, and within the limits of the planet”

0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0

World average biocapacity per person in 2006

World average biocapacity per person in 1961 UN

DP

thre

shold

for hig

h h

um

an

develo

pm

ent

High human developmentwithin the Earth’s limits

2

4

6

8

10

12

Ecolo

gic

al

Footprin

t (

glo

bal

hectares

per

person)

United Nations Human Development Index

African countries

Asian countries

European countries

Latin American andCaribbean countries

North American countries

Oceanian countries

Source: © Global Footprint Network (2009). Data from Global Footprint Network National Footprint Accounts, 2009 Edition; UNDP Human Development Report, 2009

0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0

World average biocapacity per person in 2006

World average biocapacity per person in 1961 UN

DP

thr

esho

ld f

or h

igh

hum

an d

evel

opm

ent

High human developmentwithin the Earth’s limits

2

4

6

8

10

12

Ecol

ogic

al F

ootp

rint

(gl

obal

hec

tare

s per

per

son)

United Nations Human Development Index

African countries

Asian countries

European countries

Latin American andCaribbean countries

North American countries

Oceanian countries

Meeting the dual goals of sustainability High human development and low ecological impact

Pathway to 2050

Vision 2050 Pathway: 9 elements

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From business-as-usual

To a sustainable world in 2050To a sustainable world in 2050

To a sustainable world in 2050

To a sustainable world in 2050To a sustainable world in 2050

To a sustainable world in 2050

Closing the gap: Reaching the vision

Carbon & resourcesHalve CO2 

emissions, double agricultural 

output, 4-10 fold increase in 

resource efficiency

CostsInternalize cost of carbon, water & other ecosystem 

services

ConsumptionChange 

consumption patterns to more 

sustainable lifestyles

CollaborationBuild complex coalitions, co-

innovation

26Vision 2050 – The new agenda for business

Opportunities

Helping change happen

Improving biocapacity & managing ecosystems

Business domains for the next decade – Opportunities and overlaps

Anticipated investment needs for urban infrastructure up to 2030

(US$ trillion)

Ports and airports

Roads and railways

Energy

Water

0 5 10 15 20 25

Building and maintaining cities

29

Systems planning

Mobility

Water Technology

Buildings Financing

Lots of opportunities...

Source: Booz Allen Hamilton, 2007

Huge capacity additions needed for new energy mix

30

Source: IEA/OECD, 2009

Energy infrastructure: ICT will play a key role in the transition to a low-carbon economy

• ICT could deliver up to a 15% reduction of business-as-usual emissions in 2020•This savings in CO2 emissions is more than five times the size of the sector’s own

Building & transforming livelihoods and lifestyles

By 2020 people aged 65 and

above will account for about one-fifth of the total global

population

Products and services for aging populations

From The Economist, 20 November 2010

Conclusions

1. Global challenges will become key strategic drivers for business and innovation

2. Opportunities abound for those who turn sustainability into strategy

3. The race towards more inclusive, low carbon and resource efficient economies is on

More information www.wbcsd.org/web/vision2050.htm