virginia healthcare workforce riefs...series 2, issue 51 page 3 ambulatory health care services was...

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Data in this series is not seasonally adjusted and exhibits short-term volatility from fluctuations in holidays, weekends, weather and other seasonal factors. Estimates for the most recent month are preliminary. Virginia’s Health Care & Social Assistance (HC&SA) sector created 600 jobs in March which represents a one-month annualized employment growth rate of 1.7%. During the first quarter of 2016, Virginia’s HC&A sector added 400 new jobs to the state’s economy. The Rest of Virginia created 900 HC&SA jobs in March, while Northern Virginia was not far behind with an HC&SA employment gain of 800 jobs during the month. How- ever these gains were attenuated by losses elsewhere in the state. Richmond’s HC&SA sector lost 700 jobs, while Hampton Roads saw HC&SA employment fall by 400. Nearly all of March’s HC&SA employment growth came from the Ambulatory Health Care Services subsector, which added 1,300 jobs in March. Nursing & Residential Care Facilities also created jobs during the month, although its gain amounted to just 100 new HC&SA jobs. Highlights Data in Brief Healthcare Workforce Healthcare Workforce Data Center Data Center April 2016 Series 2, Issue 51 Virginia Healthcare Workforce Briefs Indicators from the Bureau of Labor Stascs’ Current Employment Stascs Survey Series 2: Regional & Sectoral Employment Inside this Brief: Regional Employment Growth 2 Regional HC&SA Share 3 Subsector Employment Growth 3 Subsector HC&SA Share 4 Region Map 5 About the Data 6 *Seasonally adjusted data are adjusted by the Bureau of Labor Statistics to account for weather and other seasonal changes. Since the US Bureau of Labor Statistics does not provide seasonally adjusted data at this level, this series uses non-seasonally adjusted data exclusively. Seasonal variation may account for some of the variation in time series data. When comparing data in this series to other HWDC series or other publications it is important to note whether the data reported have been seasonally adjusted. Data in this report are not seasonally adjusted. Self-employed persons, including health professionals in private practice, are not included. Not Seasonally Adjusted* Employment, in Thousands Growth Rate, Annualized Mar. 2015 Dec. 2015 Feb. 2016 Mar. 2016 12 Month 3 Month 1 Month Virginia Total Nonfarm 3,780.0 3,926.6 3,861.4 3,888.5 2.9% -3.8% 8.8% Health Care & Social Assistance 413.1 428.2 428.0 428.6 3.8% 0.4% 1.7% Hampton Roads Total Nonfarm 752.3 772.0 753.0 763.1 1.4% -4.5% 17.3% Health Care & Social Assistance 88.0 93.0 92.6 92.2 4.8% -3.4% -5.1% Northern Virginia Total Nonfarm 1,375.0 1,421.7 1,406.7 1,417.4 3.1% -1.2% 9.5% Health Care & Social Assistance 118.6 121.5 121.9 122.7 3.5% 4.0% 8.2% Richmond Total Nonfarm 636.7 670.5 662.5 665.1 4.5% -3.2% 4.8% Health Care & Social Assistance 81.2 83.2 83.6 82.9 2.1% -1.4% -9.6% Rest of Virginia Total Nonfarm 1,016.0 1,062.4 1,039.2 1,042.9 2.6% -7.1% 4.4% Health Care & Social Assistance 125.3 130.5 129.9 130.8 4.4% 0.9% 8.6% Preliminary estimates are italicized

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Page 1: Virginia Healthcare Workforce riefs...Series 2, Issue 51 Page 3 Ambulatory Health Care Services was by far the most sig-nificant contributor to the state’s HC&SA employment growth

Data in this series is not seasonally adjusted and exhibits short-term volatility from

fluctuations in holidays, weekends, weather and other seasonal factors. Estimates for

the most recent month are preliminary.

Virginia’s Health Care & Social Assistance (HC&SA) sector created 600 jobs in March

which represents a one-month annualized employment growth rate of 1.7%. During

the first quarter of 2016, Virginia’s HC&A sector added 400 new jobs to the state’s

economy.

The Rest of Virginia created 900 HC&SA jobs in March, while Northern Virginia was

not far behind with an HC&SA employment gain of 800 jobs during the month. How-

ever these gains were attenuated by losses elsewhere in the state. Richmond’s HC&SA

sector lost 700 jobs, while Hampton Roads saw HC&SA employment fall by 400.

Nearly all of March’s HC&SA employment growth came from the Ambulatory Health

Care Services subsector, which added 1,300 jobs in March. Nursing & Residential Care

Facilities also created jobs during the month, although its gain amounted to just 100

new HC&SA jobs.

Highlights

Data in Brief

Healthcare Workforce Healthcare Workforce Data CenterData Center

April 2016 Series 2, Issue 51

Virginia Healthcare Workforce Briefs Indicators from the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ Current Employment Statistics Survey Series 2: Regional & Sectoral Employment

Inside this Brief:

Regional Employment Growth 2

Regional HC&SA Share 3

Subsector Employment Growth 3

Subsector HC&SA Share 4

Region Map 5

About the Data 6

*Seasonally adjusted data are adjusted by the Bureau of Labor Statistics to account for weather and other seasonal changes. Since the US Bureau of Labor Statistics does not

provide seasonally adjusted data at this level, this series uses non-seasonally adjusted data exclusively. Seasonal variation may account for some of the variation in time

series data. When comparing data in this series to other HWDC series or other publications it is important to note whether the data reported have been seasonally adjusted.

Data in this report are not seasonally

adjusted. Self-employed persons,

including health professionals in

private practice, are not included.

Not Seasonally Adjusted*

Employment, in Thousands Growth Rate, Annualized

Mar. 2015

Dec. 2015

Feb. 2016

Mar. 2016

12 Month 3 Month 1 Month

Virginia

Total Nonfarm 3,780.0 3,926.6 3,861.4 3,888.5 2.9% -3.8% 8.8%

Health Care & Social Assistance 413.1 428.2 428.0 428.6 3.8% 0.4% 1.7%

Hampton Roads

Total Nonfarm 752.3 772.0 753.0 763.1 1.4% -4.5% 17.3%

Health Care & Social Assistance 88.0 93.0 92.6 92.2 4.8% -3.4% -5.1%

Northern Virginia

Total Nonfarm 1,375.0 1,421.7 1,406.7 1,417.4 3.1% -1.2% 9.5%

Health Care & Social Assistance 118.6 121.5 121.9 122.7 3.5% 4.0% 8.2%

Richmond

Total Nonfarm 636.7 670.5 662.5 665.1 4.5% -3.2% 4.8%

Health Care & Social Assistance 81.2 83.2 83.6 82.9 2.1% -1.4% -9.6%

Rest of Virginia

Total Nonfarm 1,016.0 1,062.4 1,039.2 1,042.9 2.6% -7.1% 4.4%

Health Care & Social Assistance 125.3 130.5 129.9 130.8 4.4% 0.9% 8.6%

Preliminary estimates are italicized

Page 2: Virginia Healthcare Workforce riefs...Series 2, Issue 51 Page 3 Ambulatory Health Care Services was by far the most sig-nificant contributor to the state’s HC&SA employment growth

Regional HC&SA Employment Growth, Level

Page 2 Virginia Healthcare Workforce Briefs

Indicators from the Bureau of Labor Statistics’

Current Employment Statistics Survey

Hampton Roads currently has the fastest year-over-year HC&SA employment growth rate at 4.77%, although this growth

rate is down from 5.35% in February. In fact, Hampton Roads now has the fastest year-over-year HC&SA employment

growth rate for nine consecutive months. However, the Rest of Virginia is not far behind as its year-over-year HC&SA em-

ployment growth rate increased from 3.92% to 4.39% in March. Northern Virginia also saw an increase in its year-over-year

HC&SA employment growth rate during the month from 3.13% to 3.46%, nearly reaching a five-year high. Meanwhile,

Richmond’s HC&SA sector saw its year-over-year employment growth rate fall from 3.21% to a seven-month low of 2.09%.

According to preliminary data released on Friday, April 15,

2016 by the U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Sta-

tistics, Virginia’s Health Care & Social Assistance (HC&SA)

sector created 600 jobs in March; this is in addition to the

1,500 jobs created in February. Thanks to these employment

gains over the past two months, the state’s HC&SA sector

has been able to completely erase all of its employment loss-

es from January.

The Rest of Virginia increased HC&SA employment the most

in March with the creation of 900 jobs, while Northern Vir-

ginia’s HC&SA sector was close behind with the addition of

800 new jobs. On the other hand, Richmond saw HC&SA

employment fall by 700 in March, and Hampton Roads lost

400 jobs in the HC&SA sector during the month.

During the first quarter of 2016, Virginia’s HC&SA sector

created 400 jobs. Northern Virginia is the most significant

contributor to this growth, adding 1,200 HC&SA jobs over

the past three months. The Rest of Virginia is the only other

region to have added HC&SA jobs in the quarter.

Year-Over-Year Regional Employment Growth

Figure 1: Annual Change in HC&SA Employment (Not

Seasonally Adjusted, Full-Year Change for 2010-2014,

Jan. to Nov. for 2015).

Figure 2: Year-Over-Year Employment Growth (Not Seasonally Adjusted).

Page 3: Virginia Healthcare Workforce riefs...Series 2, Issue 51 Page 3 Ambulatory Health Care Services was by far the most sig-nificant contributor to the state’s HC&SA employment growth

Subsector Employment Growth

Page 3 Series 2, Issue 51

Ambulatory Health Care Services was by far the most sig-

nificant contributor to the state’s HC&SA employment

growth in March. This subsector created 1,300 jobs during

the month. Nursing & Residential Care Facilities was the

only other HC&SA subsector that created jobs in March,

although it only produced 100 new jobs during the month.

Meanwhile, the Social Assistance subsector gave back

most of its employment gains in February after shedding

600 HC&SA jobs in March. As for Virginia’s Hospitals, this

subsector saw employment fall by 200 during the month.

During the first quarter of 2016, Social Assistance was the

only HC&SA subsector in the state that created jobs. How-

ever, its impressive contribution of 1,500 new jobs more

than offset the losses elsewhere in the HC&SA sector.

Nursing & Residential Care Facilities lost 500 jobs in Q1

2016, the largest loss of any HC&SA subsector in the state.

Meanwhile, both Ambulatory Health Care Services and

Hospitals saw their HC&SA employment fall by 300 jobs

during the quarter.

Figure 4: Annual & YTD Change in HC&SA Subsector Em-

ployment (Not Seasonally Adjusted, Full-Year Change for

2010-2015).

Figure 3: Regional Share of Previous 12-Month Employment Growth in Virginia’s HC&SA Sector, Not Seasonally Adjusted.

Regional Share of 12-month Growth

At the moment, the Rest of Virginia is the highest contributor to the state’s HC&SA employment growth over the past 12

months. In March, the Rest of Virginia’s 12-month HC&SA employment growth share increased from 30.82% to 35.48%,

which represents a one-year high. Hampton Roads remains the second most important contributor to the state’s HC&SA

employment growth with a 12-month growth share of 27.10%, while Northern Virginia’s 12-month HC&SA employment

growth share is not far behind at 26.45%. Meanwhile, Richmond’s HC&SA sector continues to lag behind the other regions

in the state. Richmond’s 12-month HC&SA employment growth share fell from 16.35% to 10.97% in March. This represents

the lowest 12-month growth share for Richmond’s HC&SA sector since June 2011.

Page 4: Virginia Healthcare Workforce riefs...Series 2, Issue 51 Page 3 Ambulatory Health Care Services was by far the most sig-nificant contributor to the state’s HC&SA employment growth

Distribution of Growth by Subsector

Page 4 Virginia Healthcare Workforce Briefs

Indicators from the Bureau of Labor Statistics’

Current Employment Statistics Survey

Not Seasonally Adjusted

Employment, in Thousands Growth Rate, Annualized

Mar. 2015

Dec. 2015

Feb. 2016

Mar. 2016

12 Month 3 Month 1 Month

Virginia

Health Care & Social Assistance 413.1 428.2 428.0 428.6 3.8% 0.4% 1.7%

Ambulatory Health Care Services 163.5 170.2 168.6 169.9 3.9% -0.7% 9.7%

Hospitals 101.9 104.5 104.4 104.2 2.3% -1.1% -2.3%

Nursing & Residential Care Facilities 73.5 75.1 74.5 74.6 1.5% -2.6% 1.6%

Social Assistance 74.2 78.4 80.5 79.9 7.7% 7.9% -8.6%

Hampton Roads

Health Care & Social Assistance 88.0 93.0 92.6 92.2 4.8% -3.4% -5.1%

Hospitals 21.5 22.5 22.4 22.3 3.7% -3.5% -5.2%

Northern Virginia

Health Care & Social Assistance 118.6 121.5 121.9 122.7 3.5% 4.0% 8.2%

Ambulatory Health Care Services 54.9 56.7 56.3 57.3 4.4% 4.3% 23.5%

Hospitals 23.5 23.5 23.8 23.8 1.3% 5.2% 0.0%

Share of 12-Month Growth by Subsector

After its strong job growth in March, Ambulatory Health Care Services now has the highest 12-month HC&SA employment

growth share of any subsector in the state. During the month, its growth share increased from 32.08% to a five-month high

of 41.29%. On the other hand, Virginia’s Social Assistance subsector saw its 12-month HC&SA employment growth share

decline from 40.88% to 36.77% during the month. Together, these two HC&SA subsector have been responsible for more

than three-quarters of all HC&SA employment growth over the past year. The 12-month growth share of Virginia’s Hospi-

tals fell to 14.84%, while the corresponding growth share of Nursing & Residential Care Facilities increased to 7.10%.

Preliminary estimates are italicized

Figure 5: Share of Previous 12-Month Growth in Virginia’s HC&SA Subsectors (Not Seasonally Adjusted).

With its 1,300 new jobs added in March, Ambulatory Health Care Services enjoyed an impressive one-month annualized

employment growth rate of 9.7%. Thanks to this growth, its 12-month employment growth rate increased to 3.9%, which is

just above the 3.8% average growth rate for the overall HC&SA sector in Virginia. Social Assistance continues to enjoy the

fastest 12-month employment growth rate in the state at 7.7%, although its long-term growth was hurt somewhat by its

weak performance in March. The Hospitals subsector has struggled to produce any job growth in the past three months,

but its long-term performance is more positive with a 12-month employment growth rate of 2.3%.

Page 5: Virginia Healthcare Workforce riefs...Series 2, Issue 51 Page 3 Ambulatory Health Care Services was by far the most sig-nificant contributor to the state’s HC&SA employment growth

Region Map

Page 5 Series 2, Issue 51

HWDC Briefing Series 2 uses Federally designated

Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The Hampton

Roads region includes Currituck County, NC. The

Northern Virginia region is a special statistical

area developed by the Bureau of Labor Statistics

from the broader Washington, D.C. MSA. Virginia

does have additional MSAs, but monthly data is

not reported at the HC&SA industry level for these

MSAs. “Rest of Virginia” data is derived by sub-

tracting data from reporting regions from the Vir-

ginia totals.

Counties:

Region Detail

Northern Virginia

Arlington

Clarke

Fairfax

Fauquier

Loudoun

Prince William

Spotsylvania

Stafford

Warren

Cities

Alexandria

Fairfax

Falls Church

Fredericksburg

Manassas

Manassas Park

Counties:

Richmond

Cities

Colonial Heights

Hopewell

Petersburg

Richmond

Counties:

Hampton Roads

Cities

Amelia

Caroline

Charles City

Chesterfield

Cumberland

Dinwiddie

Goochland

Hanover

Henrico

King & Queen

King William

Louisa

New Kent

Powhatan

Prince George

Sussex

Chesapeake

Hampton

Newport News

Norfolk

Poquoson

Portsmouth

Suffolk

Virginia Beach

Williamsburg

Gloucester

Isle of Wight

James City

Mathews

Surry

York

Currituck, NC

Northern VA, (Non-standard CES

Area 94783)

Richmond, VA (MSA 40060) Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport

News, VA-NC (MSA 47260)

Page 6: Virginia Healthcare Workforce riefs...Series 2, Issue 51 Page 3 Ambulatory Health Care Services was by far the most sig-nificant contributor to the state’s HC&SA employment growth

Perimeter Center

9960 Mayland Drive, Suite 300

Henrico, VA 23233-1463

Phone: (804) 367-2115

Fax: (804) 527-4434

E-mail: [email protected]

www.dhp.virginia.gov/hwdc/

The Department of Health Professions Healthcare Workforce Data Center works to improve the data collection and measure-ment of Virginia’s healthcare workforce through regular assess-ment of workforce supply and demand issues among the 80 pro-fessions and 350,000 practitioners licensed in Virginia by DHP.

The HWDC collects data on Virginia’s licensed health profes-

sionals through surveys completed during the online license re-

newal and application process. Survey results and data may be

accessed on our website: www.dhp.virginia.gov/hwdc/.

The HWDC also provides a series of Virginia Healthcare Work-

force Briefs based data collected by the US Department of La-

bor’s Bureau of Labor Statistics and the US Department of Com-

merce’ Bureau of Economic Analysis.

Virginia Healthcare Workforce Briefs:

Series 1: State & National Employment (Monthly)

Series 2: Virginia Regional Employment (Monthly)

Series 3: Income & Compensation (Quarterly)

Healthcare Workforce

Data Center

Data in this report are from the US Department of Labor Bureau of Labor Statistics’ Current Employment Statistics pro-

gram. The CES program surveys about 143,000 businesses and government agencies monthly. Unless otherwise noted, this

series uses data that are not seasonally adjusted. Seasonal variations related to weather, holidays, weekends, seasons and

other predictable variations are apparent in the data. Short-term changes may be related to seasonal changes rather than

underlying trends. Data from recent months is preliminary and subject to revision in future releases from the CES. Revi-

sions will be reported in future editions of this series. Unless otherwise noted, the CES data presented in this series:

About the Data

Includes:

Data on employed individuals drawing a paycheck (payroll

employees).

All employees, regardless of role, occupation or hours

worked.

HC&SA employees in the private sector only.

Persons employed by health professionals in private prac-

tice.

Both government and private sector workers in nonfarm

employment data.

Does not include:

Self-employed workers or volunteers, including

health professionals in private practice.

HC&SA employees in the public sector. (These are

counted as government workers in monthly re-

ports).

Information on hours worked or the quality of em-

ployment.

Government workers in HC&SA level data.

(Government workers, regardless of occupation and

role, are classified as public sector employees).

Follow us on. . .

Tumblr: http://vahwdc.tumblr.com/

HWDC Staff:

Elizabeth Carter, Ph.D.

Executive Director

Yetty Shobo, Ph.D.

Deputy Director

Laura Jackson

Operations Manager

Christopher Coyle

Research Assistant