vellekoop
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Problem FormulationMain Theorem
Numerical ResultsConclusions
Path-Dependent Dividendsand the American Put Option
M.H. Vellekoop1 J.W. Nieuwenhuis2
1Department of Applied MathematicsUniversity of Twente
2Department of Economics and Business AdministrationUniversity of Groningen
Numerical Methods in Finance, Paris 2009
Vellekoop & Nieuwenhuis Path-Dependent Dividends and the American Put Option
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Problem FormulationMain Theorem
Numerical ResultsConclusions
Outline
1 Problem FormulationStandard Black-Scholes-Merton ModelIncluding DividendsAssumptions
2 Main TheoremEarly Exercise Premium with DividendsCalculating the Optimal Exercise Boundary
3 Numerical ResultsKnock Out Dividend ModelProportional Cash Dividend ModelFixed Cash Dividend Model
Vellekoop & Nieuwenhuis Path-Dependent Dividends and the American Put Option
university-logo
Problem FormulationMain Theorem
Numerical ResultsConclusions
Standard Black-Scholes-Merton ModelIncluding DividendsAssumptions
Standard Equity Model
Consider the standard Black-Scholes-Merton model for stock and bond prices
dSt = rStdt + σStdWt
dBt = rBtdt
for time period t ∈ [0, T ] with
S0, B0, r , σ given strictly positive constants and
W a one-dimensional Brownian Motion on the filtered probability space(Ω,F , (Ft)t∈[0,T ], Q).
Vellekoop & Nieuwenhuis Path-Dependent Dividends and the American Put Option
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Problem FormulationMain Theorem
Numerical ResultsConclusions
Standard Black-Scholes-Merton ModelIncluding DividendsAssumptions
American and European Put Options
Let AP and EP denote the American and European Put price processes forthe maturity T and a strike K > 0:
EPt = EQ[ BtBT
(K − ST )+ | Ft ]def= E(t , St)
APt = ess supτ∈T[t,T ]
EQ[ BtBτ
(K − Sτ )+ | Ft ]def= A(t , St)
where T[t,T ] is the set of all stopping times with values in [t , T ].Optimal stopping problem for American Put has the solution
τ∗ = infu ≥ t : A(u, Su) = (K − Su)+ = infu ≥ t : Su ≤ S∗u
where S∗ denotes what is called the optimal exercise boundary.
Vellekoop & Nieuwenhuis Path-Dependent Dividends and the American Put Option
university-logo
Problem FormulationMain Theorem
Numerical ResultsConclusions
Standard Black-Scholes-Merton ModelIncluding DividendsAssumptions
Early Exercise Premium
The difference between the American and European option price is known asthe Early Exercise Premium
EE(t , s) = A(t , s)− E(t , s)
and it can be characterized as follows:
Early Exercise Representation(Carr et al ’92), (Jacka ’93), (Kim ’90)
EE(t , s) = rK EQ[
∫ T
te−r(u−t)1Su≤S∗u du | St = s ]
Vellekoop & Nieuwenhuis Path-Dependent Dividends and the American Put Option
university-logo
Problem FormulationMain Theorem
Numerical ResultsConclusions
Standard Black-Scholes-Merton ModelIncluding DividendsAssumptions
Dividend Models
We would like to extend these results to the case where dividends areincluded, i.e.
dSt = rStdt + σStdWt − dDSt
with, for example, continuous, proportional or fixed cash dividends
dDSt = qStdt
dDSt = (1− α)St−d1t≥tD
dDSt = mind , St−d1t≥tD.
for a given tD ∈ ]0, T [ and d > 0, q > 0, δ, α ∈ ]0, 1[.
Vellekoop & Nieuwenhuis Path-Dependent Dividends and the American Put Option
university-logo
Problem FormulationMain Theorem
Numerical ResultsConclusions
Standard Black-Scholes-Merton ModelIncluding DividendsAssumptions
Path-Dependent Dividend
Here, we focus on ’knock-out’ version of proportional dividends:
dDSt = (1− α)St−1 min
u∈[0,td ]Su ≥ δS0
d1t≥td
This models the fact that the company which issued the stock will only paydividends if the stock price has not fallen below the level δS0 before thedividend date.
This obviously makes the dividend path-dependent.
Vellekoop & Nieuwenhuis Path-Dependent Dividends and the American Put Option
university-logo
Problem FormulationMain Theorem
Numerical ResultsConclusions
Standard Black-Scholes-Merton ModelIncluding DividendsAssumptions
Path-Dependent Dividend
European Put option with knockout dividends can be priced in closed form:
Lemma
For general α ∈ ]0, 1] and mt ≥ δS0 we have that the European put optionprice E(t , St) with strike K and maturity T equals, for all t ∈ [0, T ],
PK ,T (t , St) + 1t<td Ke−r(T−t)(
htd ,T (δS0, K ) − Lβt htd ,T ( St
Lt, K
L2t))
−1t<td e−r(T−t)(
Htd ,T (δS0, K ) − L2+βt Htd ,T ( St
Lt, K
L2t))
with Lt = δS0St
, β = 2rσ−2 − 1 and
Ht1,t2(x1, x2) = αEQ[St2 1St2
≤x2α
, St1>x1
| Ft ]
− EQ[St2 1St2≤x2, St1
>x1| Ft ]
ht1,t2(x1, x2) = Q(St1 > x1, x2 < St2 ≤x2α| Ft )
where S is the asset process with zero dividends.
Vellekoop & Nieuwenhuis Path-Dependent Dividends and the American Put Option
university-logo
Problem FormulationMain Theorem
Numerical ResultsConclusions
Standard Black-Scholes-Merton ModelIncluding DividendsAssumptions
Dividend Model Assumptions
In more general setup, we assume1 S is an adapted càdlàg semimartingale, Markov, and distribution of St
has a density for all t2 DS is an adapted, increasing càdlàg semimartingale, continuous in all
but countable number of time points3 S/B +
∫dDS/B is a Q-martingale, and the functions
x → EQ[Φ(Su) | St = x ], x → EQ[
∫ u
tdDS
v /Bv | St = x ]
are increasing for all 0 ≤ t < u ≤ T and for all increasing functionsΦ : R → R.
Vellekoop & Nieuwenhuis Path-Dependent Dividends and the American Put Option
university-logo
Problem FormulationMain Theorem
Numerical ResultsConclusions
Standard Black-Scholes-Merton ModelIncluding DividendsAssumptions
Dividend Model Assumptions
These assumptions include the dividend models mentioned earlier, but alsostock-dependent volatility models (Babilua et al. ’07).
They guarantee that if we define
S∗t = infs > 0 : A(t , s) > K − s
then
s > S∗t ⇔ A(t , s) > K − s
i.e. it excludes possibility that thereare several boundaries whichseparate different continuation andstopping regions.
dDSt = minStD−
, max40 − StD−, 0d1t≥tD
Vellekoop & Nieuwenhuis Path-Dependent Dividends and the American Put Option
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Problem FormulationMain Theorem
Numerical ResultsConclusions
Early Exercise Premium with DividendsCalculating the Optimal Exercise Boundary
Early Exercise Premium with Dividends
For stock price models with dividends, the early exercise premium can becharacterized as follows:
Theorem (Early Exercise Representation including Dividends)
Under the assumptions stated above, and the additional assumption that theoptimal exercise boundary S∗ is continuous apart from at most a countablenumber of points, the American and European Put price processes satisfy
APt − EPt = −Bt EQ[
∫ T
t1Su−≤S∗u ∧∆Su=0(d( K
Bu) +
dDSu
Bu) | Ft ].
Continuity of optimal exercise boundary is subject of ongoing research, incollaboration with CERMICS.
Vellekoop & Nieuwenhuis Path-Dependent Dividends and the American Put Option
university-logo
Problem FormulationMain Theorem
Numerical ResultsConclusions
Early Exercise Premium with DividendsCalculating the Optimal Exercise Boundary
Part I
First prove that s → A(t , s) is Lipschitz continuous, uniformly over t
Apply Meyer-Ito formula for convex mappings to the processX = (AP − K + S)/B.
Use the fact that AP/B, as Snell envelope of upper semicontinuousprocess, is a continuous positive supermartingale, and
that S∗t is continuous apart from a countable number of points,
to show that the local time of X in zero equals zero.
Vellekoop & Nieuwenhuis Path-Dependent Dividends and the American Put Option
university-logo
Problem FormulationMain Theorem
Numerical ResultsConclusions
Early Exercise Premium with DividendsCalculating the Optimal Exercise Boundary
Part II
Since S/B +∫
dDS/B is a Q-martingale, it turns out that the remainingtechnical point is to prove that∫ t
01Su−>S∗u d( APu
Bu)
is also a martingale under Q.
We do this by extending earlier defined methods (El Karoui ’79, Karatzas& Shreve ’88, Jacka ’93) for optimal stopping problems, exploiting thefact that we may show that we should never stop in points where S isdiscontinuous.
Vellekoop & Nieuwenhuis Path-Dependent Dividends and the American Put Option
university-logo
Problem FormulationMain Theorem
Numerical ResultsConclusions
Early Exercise Premium with DividendsCalculating the Optimal Exercise Boundary
Integral equation for Optimal Exercise Boundary
Inserting s = S∗t as initial condition at time t gives
Corollary
Under the assumptions of the previous theorem, the optimal exerciseboundary satisfies
K − S∗t =
E(t , S∗t )− Bt EQ[
∫ T
t1Su−≤S∗u ∧∆Su=0(d( K
Bu) +
dDSu
Bu) | St = S∗t ].
Vellekoop & Nieuwenhuis Path-Dependent Dividends and the American Put Option
university-logo
Problem FormulationMain Theorem
Numerical ResultsConclusions
Knock Out Dividend ModelProportional Cash Dividend ModelFixed Cash Dividend Model
Knock Out Dividend Model
Equity model
dSt = rStdt + σStdWt − dDSt
dDSt = (1− α)St−1 min
u∈[0,td ]Su ≥ δS0
d1t≥td.
Parameter values
S0 = K = 100, σ = 0.50, r = 0.125, T = 0.50, tD = 0.30, α = .99, δ = .20.
0 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25 0.3 0.35 0.4 0.45 0.50
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Time
Opt
imal
Exe
rcis
e B
ound
ary
Vellekoop & Nieuwenhuis Path-Dependent Dividends and the American Put Option
university-logo
Problem FormulationMain Theorem
Numerical ResultsConclusions
Knock Out Dividend ModelProportional Cash Dividend ModelFixed Cash Dividend Model
Proportional Cash Dividend Model
Equity model
dSt = rStdt + σStdWt − dDSt
dDSt = (1− α)St−d1t≥tD.
Parameter values
S0 = 100, σ = 0.30, r = 0.04, K = 100, T = 2.00, tD = 1.50, α = 0.98
0 0.5 1 1.5 20
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Time
Opt
imal
Exe
rcis
e B
ound
ary
Vellekoop & Nieuwenhuis Path-Dependent Dividends and the American Put Option
university-logo
Problem FormulationMain Theorem
Numerical ResultsConclusions
Knock Out Dividend ModelProportional Cash Dividend ModelFixed Cash Dividend Model
Fixed Cash Dividend Model
Equity model
dSt = rStdt + σStdWt − dDSt
dDSt = minD, St−d1t≥tD.
results in following integral equation
EEP(t, s) = rK∫ td
te−r(u−t)N(
ln(S∗u /s)−r(u−t)σ√
u−t)du
+ rKe−r(td−t)∫ T
td
∫ ∞z
N(ln(ser(td−t)+xσ
√td−t−D)−ln S∗u +r(u−td )
σ√
u−td)dN(x)du
wherez =
ln(D/s) − r(td − t)
σ√
td − t.
and where N is the cumulative standard normal distribution function.
Vellekoop & Nieuwenhuis Path-Dependent Dividends and the American Put Option
university-logo
Problem FormulationMain Theorem
Numerical ResultsConclusions
Knock Out Dividend ModelProportional Cash Dividend ModelFixed Cash Dividend Model
Fixed Cash Dividend Model
Equity model
dSt = rStdt + σStdWt − dDSt
dDSt = mind , St−d1t≥tD.
Parameter values
S0 = 100, σ = 0.30, r = 0.04, K = 100, T = 2.00, tD = 1.50, d = 5.
0 0.5 1 1.5 20
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Time
Opt
imal
Exe
rcis
e B
ound
ary
Vellekoop & Nieuwenhuis Path-Dependent Dividends and the American Put Option
university-logo
Problem FormulationMain Theorem
Numerical ResultsConclusions
Conclusions
We extended the early exercise representation formula to a rathergeneral model for stocks with ’knock-out’ dividends.
However, we need to assume that the optimal exercise boundary iscontinuous apart from a countable number of points in time.
Establishing how to prove this a priori is known to be hard, and is thesubject of ongoing research.
Vellekoop & Nieuwenhuis Path-Dependent Dividends and the American Put Option
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Appendix References
References I
P. Babilua, I. Bokuchava, B. Dochviri, and M. Shashiashvili.The American put option in a one-dimensional diffusion model withlevel-dependent volatility.Stochastics, 79:5–25, 2007.
P. Carr, R. Jarrow, and R. Myneni.Alternative characterizations of American puts.Mathematical Finance, 2:87–106, 1992.
N. El Karoui.Les aspects probabilistes du contrôle stochastique, Lecture Notes inMathematics 876.Springer-Verlag, Berlin, 1981.
S.D. Jacka.Local times, optimal stopping and semimartingales.Annals of Probability, 21:329–339, 1993.
Vellekoop & Nieuwenhuis Path-Dependent Dividends and the American Put Option
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Appendix References
References II
S. Kallast and A. Kivinukk.Pricing and hedging American options using approximations by Kimintegral equations.European Finance Review, 7:361–383, 2003.
I.J. Kim.The analytical valuation of American options.Review of Financial Studies, 3:547–472, 1990.
G. Peskir.On the American option problem.Mathematical Finance, 15:169–181, 2005.
Vellekoop & Nieuwenhuis Path-Dependent Dividends and the American Put Option