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  • US WEEKLY WEATHER OUTLOOK - fbicgroup · 2016-09-06 · EUROPE WEEKLY WEATHER OUTLOOK • May 8–14: Dry and Warm in the North, Rainy and Cool in the South. • May15–21: Back
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1 DEBORAH WEINSWIG, MANAGING DIRECTOR–HEAD OF GLOBAL RETAIL & TECHNOLOGY [email protected] US: 917.655.6790 HK: 852.6119.1779 CN: 86.186.1420.3016 Copyright © 2016 The Fung Group. All rights reserved. May 12, 2016 US WEEKLY WEATHER OUTLOOK • May 8–14: A Warming Trend Boosts Seasonal Demand, Although the Northeast Remains Challenging. Stormy Weather in the Plains. • May 15–21: Western and Central Locations Continue to Be Warm, Supporting Seasonal Demand. The East Remains Cooler than Last Year. US: WEEK OF MAY 8–14 Retail implications: Seasonal demand will be strongest across the Western and Central US as these areas trend warmer than last year for the week. • Last year, this week was warmer than normal: T emperatures were warmer than normal, driven by eastern regions. Rainfall was above normal. • Hot week ahead: The Central US will start the week warm, and the warm temperatures will expand into the East and West as the week progresses. In the Southwest, the desert will see temperatures reaching 100 degrees, while temperatures in the 90s will extend into Texas. • Stormy skies: A system will move out of the Rockies into the Plains at the start of the week, setting off showers and thunderstorms with a chance for severe weather. Over the second half of the week, the system will track to the East, bringing rain at the close of the work week. The West will see mostly dry weather. US: WEEK OF MAY 15–21 Retail implications: Most of the Central and Western US will see temperatures that are slightly above to well above last year’s, resulting in promising comps to last year for seasonal goods such as iced beverages and T-shirts. • Last year, this week’s temperatures were slightly below average: The US was the coolest it had been for the week since 2011. Rainfall during the week was above normal and the most seen since 2013. • A cooler East: It will be cooler than normal and than last year in the eastern half of the country early in the week, and then warmer temperatures will return. The East Coast will stay cooler than last year. • A little rain must fall: Rainfall will be prevalent across the western half of the country as several systems bring showers and thunderstorms from the Pacific Northwest through the Central Plains. Showers and storms will also dot the Deep South throughout the week. IMPACT ON RETAIL: Sunglasses +1% IMPACT ON RETAIL: Shorts +1% Source: Planalytics Inc Source: Planalytics Inc

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Page 1: US WEEKLY WEATHER OUTLOOK - fbicgroup · 2016-09-06 · EUROPE WEEKLY WEATHER OUTLOOK • May 8–14: Dry and Warm in the North, Rainy and Cool in the South. • May15–21: Back

1 DEBORAHWEINSWIG,MANAGINGDIRECTOR–HEADOFGLOBALRETAIL&[email protected]:917.655.6790HK:852.6119.1779CN:86.186.1420.3016Copyright©2016TheFungGroup.Allrightsreserved.

May 12, 2016

US WEEKLY WEATHER OUTLOOK

• May8–14:AWarmingTrendBoostsSeasonalDemand,AlthoughtheNortheastRemainsChallenging.StormyWeatherinthePlains.

• May15–21:WesternandCentralLocationsContinuetoBeWarm,SupportingSeasonalDemand.TheEastRemainsCoolerthanLastYear.

US:WEEKOFMAY8–14Retail implications: Seasonal demandwill be strongest acrosstheWesternandCentralUSastheseareastrendwarmerthanlastyearfortheweek.

• Last year, this week was warmer than normal:Temperatureswerewarmerthannormal,drivenbyeasternregions.Rainfallwasabovenormal.

• Hotweekahead:TheCentralUSwillstarttheweekwarm,and thewarm temperatureswill expand into theEastandWestastheweekprogresses.IntheSouthwest,thedesertwill see temperatures reaching 100 degrees, whiletemperaturesinthe90swillextendintoTexas.

• Stormy skies: A systemwillmove out of the Rockies intothePlainsatthestartoftheweek,settingoffshowersandthunderstormswithachanceforsevereweather.Overthesecondhalfof theweek, thesystemwill track to theEast,bringingrainat thecloseof theworkweek.TheWestwillseemostlydryweather.

US:WEEKOFMAY15–21

Retailimplications:MostoftheCentralandWesternUSwillseetemperatures that are slightly above to well above last year’s,resultinginpromisingcompstolastyearforseasonalgoodssuchasicedbeveragesandT-shirts.

• Lastyear, thisweek’s temperatureswere slightlybelowaverage:TheUSwasthecoolestithadbeenfortheweeksince 2011. Rainfall during the week was above normalandthemostseensince2013.

• AcoolerEast: Itwillbecoolerthannormalandthanlastyear intheeasternhalfof thecountryearly intheweek,andthenwarmertemperatureswillreturn.TheEastCoastwillstaycoolerthanlastyear.

• Alittlerainmustfall:Rainfallwillbeprevalentacrossthewestern half of the country as several systems bringshowers and thunderstorms from the Pacific Northwestthrough theCentral Plains. Showers and stormswill alsodottheDeepSouththroughouttheweek.

IMPACTONRETAIL:Sunglasses+1%

IMPACTONRETAIL:Shorts+1%

Source:PlanalyticsInc

Source:PlanalyticsInc

Page 2: US WEEKLY WEATHER OUTLOOK - fbicgroup · 2016-09-06 · EUROPE WEEKLY WEATHER OUTLOOK • May 8–14: Dry and Warm in the North, Rainy and Cool in the South. • May15–21: Back

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May 10, 2016

DEBORAHWEINSWIG,MANAGINGDIRECTOR–HEADOFGLOBALRETAIL&[email protected]:917.655.6790HK:852.6119.1779CN:86.186.1420.3016Copyright©2016TheFungGroup.Allrightsreserved.

EUROPE WEEKLY WEATHER OUTLOOK • May8–14:DryandWarmintheNorth,RainyandCoolintheSouth.• May15–21:BacktoCoolandBecomingWetter.

EUROPE:WEEKOFMAY8–14

Retail implications: Seasonal demand will be focused in theNorth,whereitwillbewarmeranddryer,andhamperedinthewetter,coolerSouth.

• DryandwarmNorth:HighpressurewilldominatetheNorthfor much of the week, bringing mostly sunny and warmweather. Signs of cooling will push into the far North onFriday.

• Rainy and cool South:Astorm trackwillpersistacross theSouth, keeping the region cool and wet. WarmertemperatureswillreturntotheSoutheastlateintheweek.

EUROPE:WEEKOFMAY15–21

Retail implications: Seasonal demandwill be hampered again,withScandinaviaandTurkeybeingtheonlyexceptions.

• Back to cool: Seasonable to cooler-than-normaltemperatures will spread across Europe once again, whileScandinaviaandTurkeywillstaywarmer.

• Becomingwetter:RainwillfallacrosstheEastearly,thenafront will sweep from west to east, bringing rain to mostareas.

IMPACTONRETAIL:IceCream(Poland)Umbrellas(Spain)

IMPACTONRETAIL:Jumpers(Portugal)Soup(Bulgaria)

Source:PlanalyticsInc

Source:PlanalyticsInc

Page 3: US WEEKLY WEATHER OUTLOOK - fbicgroup · 2016-09-06 · EUROPE WEEKLY WEATHER OUTLOOK • May 8–14: Dry and Warm in the North, Rainy and Cool in the South. • May15–21: Back

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May 10, 2016

DEBORAHWEINSWIG,MANAGINGDIRECTOR–HEADOFGLOBALRETAIL&[email protected]:917.655.6790HK:852.6119.1779CN:86.186.1420.3016Copyright©2016TheFungGroup.Allrightsreserved.

DeborahWeinswig,CPAManagingDirectorFungGlobalRetail&TechnologyNewYork:917.655.6790HongKong:852.6119.1779China:86.186.1420.3016deborahweinswig@fung1937.comAragornHoResearchAssociate

HONGKONG:10thFloor,LiFungTower888CheungShaWanRoad,KowloonHongKongTel:85223002470LONDON:242-246MaryleboneRoadLondon,NW16JQUnitedKingdomTel:44(0)2076168988NEWYORK:1359Broadway,9thFloorNewYork,NY10018Tel:6468397017FBICGROUP.COM


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