u.s. financial data: week ending: april 18, 1979 · 4/18/1979 · 144.3 145.5 i i i i i 13 1 13 29...
TRANSCRIPT
^//V>a /V£^/>a L. EBA\TX\
Week ending: April 18, 1979
The adjusted monetary base, as computed by this Bank, into account the effects of changes in legal reserve
ratios. When reserve requirement ratios are raised, a Egivfti amount of reserves can support a smaller volume of deposits. Hence, the reserve adjustment magnitude (RAM) decreases. Over short periods of time, especially at times when reserve requirement ratios are changed, changes in RAM can be a large component of the changes in the adjusted monetary base. As shown in the table below; RAM declined $2.5 billion between October and December 1978. This period includes the establishment of the supplementary 2 percent reserve requirement on large-denomination time deposits at member banks.
During periods when legal reserve requirement ratios are unchanged, however, changes in RAM are a small component of the changes in the adjusted monetary base. In the seven-month period prior to the November 1978 reserve requirement change, the adjusted monetary base increased $8.7 billion, only $325 million of which was attributable to a change in RAM. In the three months since the change in reserve requirements, RAM has had essentially no effect on the change in the adjusted base. The change in the adjusted base in both of these periods was dominated by a change in Federal Reserve holdings of U.S. Government securities.
Changes in Factors Influencing the Adjusted Monetary Base
(Not Seasonally Adjusted, Millions of Dollars)
March 1978 October 1978 December 1978to to to
October 1978 December 1978 March 1979
Federal Reserve Credit $18,425 $-3,943 $-3,083U.S. Government 15,541 -6,099 -4,450
SecuritiesLoans 917 - 387 124Float plus other 1,967 2,543 1,243
Federal ReserveAssets
Other Factors -10,024 10,923 - 685Treasury Deposits -10,243 11,017 811
with FederalReserve
Other Items* 219 - 94 - 126
Source Base 8,401 6,980 -2,398RAM 325 -2,504 1Adjusted Monetary Base 8,726 4,476 -2,397
*Includes gold stock, SDRs held by Federal Reserve Banks, Treasury currency outstanding, Treasury cash holdings, and other Federal Reserve liabilities and capital accounts.
Prepared by Federal Reserve Bank of St. LouisReleased: April 20, 1979
Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
2
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
ADJUSTED MONETARY BASEAVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED BY THIS BANK BILLIONS OF DOLLARS M8
1 46 MAR.
144.2___ APR.144.3145.5
I I I I5 19 2 16 30 IS 27 n 25 8 22 6 20 3 17 31 14 2B 14 28 11 25I 13 1 13 29 12 26 10 24 T 21
SEP OCTJUN JUL
! 46
144
142
140
138
136
134
132
130
LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDINGs APRIL 18. 1979
THE ADJUSTED MONETARY BASE CONSISTS OFi ( 1 ) MEMBER BANK RESERVES AT THE FEDERAL RESERVE BANKS, (2) CURRENCY IN CIRCULATION (CURRENCY HELD BY THE PUBLIC AND IN THE VAULTS OF COMMERCIAL BANKS), AND (3) AN ADJUSTMENT FOR RESERVE REQUIREMENT RATIO CHANGES. THE MAJOR SOURCE OF THE ADJUSTED MONETARY BASE IS FEDERAL RESERVE CREDIT. DATA ARE COMMUTED BY THIS BANK. A DETAILED DESCRIPTION OF THE ADJUSTED MOtETARY BASE IS AVAILABLE FROM THIS BANK.
ADJUSTED MONETARY BASE
COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE, AVERAGE OF FOUR WEEKS ENDING!
4/19/78 7/19/78 9/20/78 10/18/78 11/15/78 12/20/78 1/17/79 2/21/79
TO THE AVERAGE OF FOUR WEEKS ENDINGi
9/20/78 9.610/18/78 10.4 10.311/15/78 10. 1 9.7 11.312/20/78 9.5 8.8 9.2 6.81/17/79 9.3 8.6 8.8 7.0 6.72/21/79 8.9 8.2 8.2 6.7 6.5 6.73/21/79 8.5 7.7 7.5 6.2 5.8 5.8 5.04/18/79 8.2 7.4 7. 1 5.9 5.6 5.5 4.8 4. 1
PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS
Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
RATIO 2. 9
MULTIPLIERSADJUSTED FEDERAL RESERVE CREDIT*/
AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES SEASONALLY ADJUSTED
MULT IPLIER
1B2.a RATIO
MAR. 7142128
41 1
-LLli
2.4982.4952.4962.4952.4952.506
J-Mllll*“I 1 1 ■ 1111 111 Jill. 111 -LI. 1 jj 11 -11 1 1 1 1 -11J 1 1 1 1
APR.
Mill
RATIO2.9
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 128 r--------- ,------------- ,------ ILL IONS OF DOLLARS
----------------- ----------- 128COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES
-----OF CHANGE. AVERAGE OFTHE FOUR WEEKS ENDING
“ APRIL 18, 1979 FROM ADJUSTED FEDERAL RESERVE CREDIT-----THE FOUR WEEKS END INGi
- FEB. 21, 1979 3.2JAN. 17, 1979 4.9
— DEC. 20, 1978 6.6_ NOV. 15, 1978 7.1
OCT. 18, 1978 7.8-----JUL. 19, 1978 8.9_ APR. 19, 1978 9.5
iai9. amtPNs
MAR. 14 124.925.324.9
APR.
U 1 I I I I I I I I I U I I1 15 I 13 29 12 26 10 24 7 21 5 19 2 16 30 13 27 11 25FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT
1978LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING: APRIL 18, 1979
8 22 6 20 3 17 31 14 28 14 28 11 25FEB MAR
1/ RATIO OF MONEY STOCK ( Ml ) / ADJUSTED MONETARY BASE
PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUTS
3Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
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fDigitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
MONEY STOCK (Ml )AVtrtAbtS Of- DAILY FIGURES
SEASONALLY ADJUSTEDBILLIONS OF DOLLARS 370 ---------- r—--------- r— BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
-------- ---------------------- 370SILLIONS
__ MAR. 360.2358.8
358.8359.8361.6
i-l I 1 I 1 I1 13 1 13 29 12 26 10 24 7 21 3 10 2 16FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG
1978LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING: APRIL 11, 1979
3 17 31 M 28 14 28 11 23SEP OCT
1979
CURRENT DAT* APPEAR IN THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS’ H.6 RELEASE.
THE MONEY STOCK CONSISTS OF DEMAND DEPOSITS PLUS CURRENCY AND COIN MELD BY THE NONBANK PUBLIC.
MONEY STOCK (Mi )
COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE . AVERAGE OF FOUR WEEKS ENDING:4/12/78 7/1Z/7B 9/13/78 10/11/78 1/8/78 12/13/78 1/10/79 2/14/79
TO THE AVERAGEOF FOUR WEEKSENDING.
9/13/78 9.910/11/78 10. 1 9.511/ 8/78 8.5 6.8 4.812/13/78 7.0 4.9 2.4 -1 . 41/10/79 6.5 4.4 2.2 -0. 42/14/79 4.9 2.5 0. 1 -2.3 -2.5 323/14/79 4.3 2.0 -0.2 -2.24/11/79 4.4 2.4 0.6 -1.0 -0.9 -0.8 -L5 2.0
PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS
5Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
6
YIELDS ON SELECTED SECURITIESAVERAGES OF DAILY RATES ENDED FRIDAY
PRIME BANK LOAN RATE
90 DAY CD’S***1 1 .0
10.0
CORPORATE Aaa BONDS
COMMERCIAL PAPER
1978 1979
PERCENT 12.5
12.0
1 1.5
1 1 .0
10.5
10.0
9.5
9.0
8.5
8.0
7.5
7.0
6.5
6.0
5.5
0
LATEST DATA PLOTTED ARE AVERAGES OF RATES AVAILABLE FOR THE WEEK ENDING: APRIL 20, 1979
197990 DAY
CD'S xxx
PRIME COMMERC1AL
PAPER4-6 MONTH
PRIMEBANKERS'
ACCEPTANCESCORPORATEAaa BONDS
jMUNICIPAL BONOS XX
FE5. 2 10.20 10.07 9.92 9. 19 6.229 10. 13 9.99 10.03 9.23 6.31
16 10.17 1 0.02 9.96 9.25 6.3323 10.16 1 0.03 10.06 9.28 6.38
MAR. 2 10.26 10.03 10.03 9.36 6.429 10. M 10.01 9.97 9.35 6.35
16 10. 16 10.03 10.00 9.38 6.3023 10.20 9.95 9.97 9.38 6.29 ,30 10.09 9.81 9.82 9.35 6.28
APR. 6 9.99 9.85 9.90 9.31 6.2513 10.09 10.05 10.05 9.37 6.3320 * * *** 27
10.27 10.08 9.98 9.39 N. A.
* AVERAGES OF RATES AVAILABLE.it* BOND BUYER’S AVERAGE INDEX OF 20 MUNICIPAL BONDS, THURSDAY DATA.*** SEVEN-DAY AVERAGES OF SECONDARY MARKET RATES FOR THE WEEK ENDING WEDNESDAY TWO DAYS
EARLIER THAN DATES SHOWN. CURRENT DATA APPEAR IN THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS’ H.9 RELEASE. N.A. - NOT AVAILABLE
PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUISDigitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
SELECTED INTEREST RATESAVERAGES OF DAILY RATES ENDED FRIDAY
10 5
FEDERAL FUNDS RATE
10.0
DISCOUNT RATE
3-5 YEARTREASURY SECURITIES
THREE-MONTH TREASURY BILL MARKET YIELD
3 17 3 17 31 14 28 12 26 8 23 7 21
JAN FEB1978
PERCENT11.0
LATEST DATA PLOTTED ARE AVERAGES OF RATES AVAILABLE FOR THE WEEK ENDINGt APRIL 20, 1979
1979FEDERAL
FUNDS 1(9*
3-MONTHTREASURY
BILL
6-MONTH TREASURY BILL *e*9K
1-YEARTREASURY
BILL
3-5 YEAR TREASURY
SECUR1T1ES
LONG-TERM TREASURY
SECUR1T1ES
FEB. 2 10.12 9.28 9.38 9.31 9.02 8.819 10.06 9.24 9.31 9.34 9.07 8.90
1 6 10.15 9.28 9.34 9.35 9.16 8.9623 9.97 9.41 9.37 9.49 9. 25 9.00MAR. 2 10.06 9.44 9.50 9.50 9.32 9.03
9 10.07 9.44 9.42 9.40 9.24 8.9816 10.21 9.51 9.46 9.43 9.24 8.9923 10.09 9. 54 9.48 9.37 9.24 8.9930 10.00 9.46 9. 44 9.29 9.23 8.97
APR. 6 9.95 9.53 9.50 9.26 9. 24 8.971 3 y. 93 9.70 9.57 9.37 9. 34 9.0220 * 27
9.96 9.48 9.63 9.24 9.32 9.03
* AVERAGES OF RATES AVAILABLE.** SEVEN-DAY AVERAGES FOR WEEK ENDING WEDNESDAY TWO DAYS EARLIER THAN DATE SHOWN
^2R^cIiicAIatcFPEAR IN THE B0ARD 0F GOVERNORS’ H.9 RELEASE. '*** NEW ISoUE RATE
C0W,UTED BY THE FEDERAL RESERVE 8ANK 0F ST-L0UIS-
PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS
7Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
8
NET TIME DEPOSITS ALL COMMERCIAL BANKS
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES SEASONALLY ADJUSTED BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
530
520.3520.0521.9523.3525.2
I I I II I I I7 21 3 19 2 16 30 13 27 II 23 8 22 6 20 3 17 31 14 28 14 28 11 231 13 1 13 29 12 26 10 24
FEB MAR APR1978
525
520
515
510
505
500
495
490
485
480
475
470
LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING: APRIL 11. 1979
CURRENT DATA APPEAR IN THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS' H.6 RELEASE.
* NET TIME DEPOSITS ARE DEFINED AS: SAVINGS DEPOSITS. TIME DEPOSITS OPEN ACCOUNT PLUS TIME CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT OTHER THAN NEGOTIABLE TIME CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT ISSUED IN DENOMINATIONS OF 8100,000 OR MORE BY LARGE WEEKLY REPORTING COMMERCIAL BANKS.
NET TIME DEPOSITS
COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE, AVERAGE OF FOUR WEEKS ENDING:
4/12/78 7/12/78 9/13/78 10/11/78 11/8/78 12/13/78 1/10/79 2/14/79
TD THE AVERAGE OF FOUR WEEKS ENDINGi
9/13/7B 1 1.210/11/78 11.2 12.911/ 8/78 11.1 12.2 10.712/13/78 10.6 11.2 9.6 8.91/10/79 9.6 9.6 7.5 6.5 4.82/14/79 9.0 8.8 6.9 5.9 4.7 3.13/14/79 8.8 8.5 6.8 6.0 5.1 4.1 5.44/11/79 8.7 8.5 7.0 6.3 5.6 5.0 6.2 7.3
PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS
Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
DEMAND DEPOSIT COMPONENT OF MONEY STOCKAVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES
billions OF DOLLARS SEASONALLY ADJUSTED billions of dollars
SILL .IONS260.7259.7
259.2APR. 259.8
261.8
11.1 I 11.111 15 I 15 29 12 26 10 24 7 21 5 19 2 16 30 15 27 11 25 8 22 6 20
1978 1979
LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING: APRIL 11, 1979
CURRENT DATA APPEAR IN THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS’ H.6 RELEASE.
DEMAND DEPOSIT COMPONENT OF MONEY STOCK
COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE . AVERAGE OF FOUR WEEKS ENDING:
4/12/78 7/12/78 9/13/78 10/11/78 11/8/78 12/13/78 1/10/79 2/14/79TO THE AVERAGE OF FOUR WEEKS ENDING:
9/13/78 10.010/11/78 10.2 8.711/ 8/78 8.0 5.2 2.712/13/78 6.0 2.8 -0.3 -5.11/10/79 5.3 2.2 -0.5 -3.8 -3.22/14/79 3.0 -0.4 -3.5 -6.5 -6.8 -7.83/14/79 2.3 -0.9 -3.7 -6.2 -6.4 -6.9 -9.54/11/79 2.6 -0.3 -2.5 -4.5 -4.4 -4.2 -5.2 0.0
PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS
9Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
10
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
CURRENCY COMPONENT OF MONEY STOCK
AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES SEASONALLY ADJUSTED BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
IOZ
BILLIONS
99.5
99.499.6
APR 100.099.8
3 10 2 16 30 13 27 11 23l 13 29 12 26 10 24 7 21
1978
LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING: APRIL 11, 1979
CURRENT DATA APPEAR IN THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS* H.6 RELEASE.
CURRENCY
COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE , AVERAGE OF FOUR WEEKS END 1NGi
4/12/78 7/12/78 9/13/78 10/11/78 11/8/78 12/13/78 1/10/79 2/14/79
TO THE AVERAGE OF FOUR WEEKS ENDINGt
9/13/78 9.610/11/78 10. 1 11.711/ 8/78 9.9 10.9 10.812/13/78 10.0 10.7 10.5 9. 41/10/79 9.9 10.6 10.4 9.5 10.02/14/79 9.9 10.5 10.3 9.7 10.0 9.93/14/79 9.7 10. 1 9.7 9. 1 9.3 8.9 8.64/11/79 9.6 9.9 9.5 9.0 9.1 8.8 8.4 7.5
PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS
Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
BORROWINGS FROM FEDERAL RESERVE BANK ALL MEMBER BANKS IN THE NATION
AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES BiLLiOh DOLLARS3.5
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 3 5 r---------1------------- 1-----
1979 MILLIONS
I I 1 I27 11 23 « 22 6 20 3 17 31 14 28 14 28 11 25I 15 1 13 29 12
FEB MAR19791978
LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENOING. APRIL 1 1979
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS144
HZ
MO
138
136
134
132 130
128 126
124
122 120 1 18
0
BUSINESS LOANS( COMMERCIAL AND INDUSTRIAL )
WEEKLY REPORTING LARGE COMMERCIAL BANKS SEASONALLY ADJUSTED BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
144" COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RA— OF CHANGE, AVERAGE 0 _ THE FOUR WEEKS END 1 N<
DECEMBER 27, 1978 FR “ THE FOUR WEEKS END 1 N<I. OCT. 25, 1978 4.7
SEP. 27, 1978 7.9- AUG. 30, 1978 7.7
1—JUL. 26, 1978 7.7_ JUN. 28, 1978 6.8
MAR. 29, 1978 11.9
[ES -
5m -
-
-
-
NO NEW DATA AVAILSUiLE -
- -
- -
- -
- -iSL5 HlimtB
22 139,837 -----29 139,735 -6 139,776 -----
13 139,16620 139,35827 139,471 (11111111111111
-
-
m .mi J.I..I 1111 ui. iiii 111 -I..I I. ■ Ul 1 -l-LL -ui-2 16 SO 14 28 II 23 8 22 8 22 3 1W 3 17 31 14 28 12 26 9 23 6 20 4 18 I 13 29 13 27 10 24NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV OEC JAN
1977 1978 1979
LATEST DATA PLOTTED WEEK ENDING. DECEMBER 27, 1978
PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS
142
140
138
136
134
132
130
128
126
124
122 120 I 18
0
11Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
12
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSITLARGE COMMERCIAL BANKS
WEDNESDAY FIGURES NOT SEASONALLY ADJUSTED IONS OF DOLLARS
104
10Z
100
98
1978
LATEST DATA PLOTTED '•EEK ENDINQ. APRIL H, 1979CURRENT DATA APPEAR IN THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS' H.6 RELEASE.
PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS
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