universal screening the future direction of prevention?
TRANSCRIPT
Universal screening The future direction of prevention?
Prevention of very preterm birth
Working together: Annual conference of the Perinatal and Maternal Mortality Review Committee (PMMRC) Tuesday 28 June 2016 Te Papa Tongarewa Wellington
Dr Katie Groom, MFM Subspecialist National Women’s Health and
University of Auckland
Should we do routine cervical length screening at the time of
the anomaly scan?
Universal screening
Principles and Practice of Screening for Disease James Maxwell Glover Wilson & Gunner Jungner 1968
“The central idea of early disease detection and treatment is essentially simple. However, the path to its successful achievement (on the one hand, bringing to treatment those with previously undetected disease, and, on the other, avoiding harm to those persons not in need of treatment) is far from simple though sometimes it may appear deceptively easy.”
Wilson and Jungner defined screening criteria to guide the selection of conditions that would be suitable for screening based on the capacity to detect the condition
at an early stage and the availability of an acceptable treatment
Principles of screening
1. Important health problem 2. Suitable treatment for condition 3. Facilities for diagnosis and treatment available 4. There should be a latent phase of the disease 5. Suitable test or examination for the condition 6. The test (and treatment) should be acceptable to the population 7. The natural history of the disease should be understood 8. There should be an agreed policy on who to test and treat 9. Costs of case finding economically balance costs of condition 10. Case finding must apply to all and be continuous
Andermann et al. WHO Bulletin 2008 http://www.who.int/bulletin/volumes/86/4/07-050112/en/
Wilson & Jungner 1968
Updated criteria 2008
Should we do it? Limitations of screening:
• Cost & use of medical resources on a majority who do not need
intervention • Adverse effects of screening (e.g. stress/anxiety, discomfort,
surgical/radiation/chemical exposure) • Stress & anxiety of a false positive result • Unnecessary investigation & treatment of false positive result • Stress & anxiety of a positive result by prolonging knowledge of
problem without improving outcome • False sense of security with false negative, may delay final
diagnosis & treatment
Can we do it?
Universal Screening to Prevent Preterm Birth
1. Important health problem
7- 10% of all deliveries 1% deliver <32 weeks 0.005% deliver 23-25 weeks
Preterm birth
NWH data 23-31weeks 2003-2015
RDS, IVH, ROP, NEC, sepsis
CLD, CP, blindness
Developmental delay
Metabolic syndrome
Major cause of morbidity and mortality
National Women’s Health ACR 2014 http://nationalwomenshealth.adhb.govt.nz
Important health problem 7. Natural history of disease understood
Iatrogenic or indicated preterm delivery At least 30% of deliveries <37 weeks are clinically indicated
Preeclampsia, IUGR, diabetes, APH, fetal anomalies
Spontaneous preterm labour/PPROM Large variety of aetiologies
Often multi-factorial
Final common pathway
Uterus/myometrium PGF 2 IL-8 PGF 2α IL1b Contractions
Fetal membranes PGE 2 IL-8 IL1b
ROM
Cervix PGE 2
IL-8 NO
Cervical ripening
Labour is an inflammatory process
Screening will only be effective if can detect disease in a latent phase where intervention is still possible
Labour is an inflammatory process – involving cervix, membranes & myometrium Progressive change which ultimately leads to an open cervix, membrane rupture and myometrial contractility and preterm birth
Cervical shortening likely to proceed PPROM and contractions in many cases of spontaneous PTL/PPROM – this may be the ‘latent phase’
4. Latent phase of the disease
TA scan less sensitive to identify short cervix
Sensitivity to identify TV 25mm length TA 25 mm - 45% TA 36 mm - 96%
Important health problem 5. Suitable test/examination for the condition
Salomon UOG 2009 Transvaginal (TV) cervical length
Heath UOG 1998
• TV is the gold standard • Unaffected by maternal obesity, cervical position,
and fetal part shadowing
• Safe • Reproducible <10% intra- & inter observer variability • Reported nomograms and normal ranges
SMFM Consult Series#40. AmJOG 2016 in press
Important health problem TV Cervical Length Heath UOG 1998
Cervical length (mm)
Del <33/40
(% )
Cervical length
Delivery <33 weeks
≤15mm 52%
15mm 4%
5mm 78%
The shorter the cervix the higher the risk
PREGNANT trial – placebo 16% del <33 weeks (CL 10-20mm at 19-24weeks) Fonseca Study – placebo 34% del <33 weeks (CL≤15mm at 22 weeks)
1st centile = 23mm
Hassan UOG 2011 DOI: 10.1002/uog.9017
Fonseca NEJM 2007; 357:462-9
Important health problem
2. Suitable treatment for condition
Cervical Cerclage? Progesterone? Cervical Pessary?
Important health problem
Cervix open Membranes exposed
Cervical barrier breached
Allows ascending infection
Further stimulation of inflammation
Vicious circle ensues with further cervical ripening and ascending infection
Ultimately leads to membrane rupture and myometrial contractility & PTL
Cervical funnelling
Normal cervix
Phases of parturition and cervical change
Labour is an inflammatory process
Cerclage may offer benefit whether the cervix is a primary or
secondary problem
Important health problem Cerclage for a short cervix
4 RCTs n=607 (low and high risk, twins and triplets) CL≤15mm or <25mm in 3 studies
IPD meta-analysis ‘Cerclage’ vs ‘no cerclage’
Berghella Obstet Gynecol 2005
Del <35w 29% vs 35% (RR 0.8 95%CI 0.7-1.1)
Del <35w 23% vs 39% (RR 0.6 95%CI 0.4-0.9)
Del <35w 25% vs 34% (RR 0.7 95%CI 0.6-0.96)
Important health problem
Cerclage for a short cervix in a general population
Recognised and accepted benefit in women with multiple prior PTB and women with short cervix and prior PTB
Limited evidence to support effectiveness in a general population
No Prior PTB
CL <25mm RR del <35w 0.84 (95% CI 0.6-1.2)
Berghella UOG 2010 DOI: 10.1002/uog.7547
USS indicated cerclage has limited role in a general
population, most beneficial in singleton pregnancies with risk factors for PTB
Contraction associated protein (CAP) OTR, connexin 43, gap junctions
PGF2α R, COX-2, PGDH
Phase 0 Phase 1 Phase 2 Phase 3 Conception
Uterus
Cervix
Contractile unresponsiveness
Preparation for labour
Active labour
Uterine involution
Anabolic metabolism Ripening Catabolic metabolism
Remodelling
Initiation of parturition
Onset of labour
Delivery of fetus
Fertility restored
Membranes Anabolic metabolism Weakening Rupture
Suppressive action on pro-labour CAP genes Inhibits gap junction formation Decreases uterine OT sensitivity Inhibits prostaglandin activity
Inhibitory effect on pro-labour factors allows uterus to enlarge
without increasing uterine contractility
Progesterone
Phases of parturition and progesterone
Progesterone therapy may be effective treatment for preventing PTB
Important health problem Progesterone for a short cervix in a general population
Many studies of progesterone use in women with prior history of PTB
Evidence specific to a singleton general population with a short cervix
• 5 trials in 775 women • Twin pregnancies
included (total 827 infants)
• Mixed risk population
Hassan UOG 2011 DOI: 10.1002/uog.9017 Fonseca NEJM 2007; 357:462-9
Romero AmJOG 2012; 206:124.e1-19
Important health problem Progesterone for a short cervix in a general population
Singleton Pregnancy RR 0.56 (95%CI 0.4-0.8) No benefit in twin pregnancies Significant reduction in short term neonatal outcomes – RDS, NICU, mechanical ventilation No data on long term outcomes and insufficient numbers to test survival
Delivery <33 weeks
Important health problem Progesterone for a short cervix in a general population
Norman Lancet 2016 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(16)00350-0
Largest RCT comparing obstetric, neonatal, and childhood outcomes in high-risk women with singleton pregnancy treated with vaginal progesterone to prevent preterm birth Included 256 women with short cervix <25mm
Rates of preterm birth were higher with CLL <25mm and <15mm but no significant interactions between CL and the effect of progesterone on any obstetric, neonatal, or childhood outcomes
Important health problem Cervical pessary for a short cervix?
Goya Lancet 2012
Spontaneous PTB Pessary Expectant RR (95%CI)
Del <34 weeks 12 (6%) 51 (27%) 0.24* (0.13–0.43)
Del <28 weeks 4 (2%) 16 (8%) 0.25* (0.09–0.73)
Del <37 weeks 41 (22%) 113 (59%) 0.36* (0.27–0.49)
Important health problem
Pessary Expectant OR (95%CI)
55 (12%) 50 (10.8%) 1.1 (0.8–1.7)
Important health problem Cervical pessary for a short cervix?
Nicolaides N Engl J Med 2016;374:1044-52. DOI: 10.1056/NEJMoa1511014
• 932 singleton pregnancies • CL ≤25mm at 20+0 – 24+6 weeks • Pessary or expectant management • All received progesterone if <15mm
Delivery <34 weeks (primary outcome)
Gestational age at delivery
Pessary Expectant p value
38.9 weeks 38.7 weeks 0.4
Important health problem 6. The test (& treatment) should be acceptable
TV cervical length Acceptable to most
Progesterone PV pessaries nocte to 36 weeks Some reports of vaginal itching/ulceration
75% uptake More likely to accept if: - nulliparous versus multiparous (83% vs 68%, p<0.001) - sonographer female versus male (83% vs 42%, p<0.001) No difference if: - "opt-out" vs "opt-in" approach (76% vs 75%, p=0.81) Similar findings in NZ population in the SCOPE study
Compliance within clinical trials Return of unused drug – investigator reported 93% compliance Patient reported compliance diaries – 66% compliant >80% of drug administration
Hassan UOG 2011 DOI: 10.1002/uog.9017
Norman Lancet 2016 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(16)00350-0
Orzechowski Am J Perinatol 2014;31:1057–1062
Important health problem 3. Facilities for test/treatment available
Integration into anomaly scan visit- hospital and private USS provider Published Best Practice Guidelines for measurement Current level of experience insufficient for image acquisition and interpretation
TV cervical length
Quality control study of CL measurements in US academic MFM centres: 25% did not meet published quality criteria
Need standardised formal education and accreditation programme
Iams AmJOG 2013;209:365.e1-5
Progesterone
Utrogestan 100mg pessaries available (200mg dose)
NZ Special Authority (short cervix or prior PTB)
Important health problem 8. Agreed policy on who to test/treat
SMFM Consult Series#40. AmJOG 2016 in press
• Universal screening remains an ‘object of debate’
• ‘cannot yet be universally mandated’ • ‘can be viewed as reasonable and
considered by individual practitioners’
Recommendations • Routine TV CL screening for women with singleton pregnancy & history of prior
spontaneous PTB (grade 1A) • Routine TV CL screening should not be performed for women with cervical cerclage,
multiple gestation, PPROM, or placenta previa (grade 2B) • Sonographers and/or practitioners receive specific training in the acquisition and
interpretation of cervical imaging during pregnancy (grade 2B)
2015 survey of US institutions with MFM Fellowship Programs • Implementation of universal CL screening (singleton with no prior spPTB) • 68% implemented a programme, 47% using TV US
Kahlifeh Obstet Gynecol 2016;127:7s
Important health problem 8. Agreed policy on who to test/treat
• No evidence of long term benefit for the baby • May not just be “absence of evidence” (delay may have adverse
effects if the fetus remains in an adverse intrauterine environment). https://www.rcog.org.uk
https://www.rcog.org.uk/en/guidelines-research-services/guidelines/gtg60/
RCOG endorses current recommendations: In women at high risk of preterm delivery, progesterone administration should be restricted to clinical trials to determine whether its use is associated with improved fetal, neonatal and/or infant outcome
RANZCOG College statement highlights issues only
Australia Making a move to routine universal screening. WA initiative
NZMFMN Statement Not currently endorsing universal screening
Important health problem 9. Economic costs
Case finding must at least economically balance the cost of disease treatment and management
Prematurity has enormous financial costs and so an EFFECTIVE screening test AND intervention is likely to have financial advantages
Limited cost analysis study based on RCT data • No data on outcomes of screen negative so only implied • Accounted for costs of increased morbidity in preterm births on placebo but study did not show increase in neonatal morbidity
Important health problem 10. Continuous case finding
Must be on-going process Apply screening to whole population
Universal Screening to Prevent Preterm Birth
1. Important health problem
2. Suitable treatment for condition
3. Facilities for diagnosis and treatment available
4. There should be a latent phase of the disease
5. Suitable test or examination for the condition
6. The test (and treatment) should be acceptable to the population
7. The natural history of the disease should be understood
8. There should be an agreed policy on who to test and treat
9. Costs of case finding economically balance costs of condition
10. Case finding must apply to all and be continuous
Important health problem Is there a solution?
No single screening test or single treatment to prevent
all preterm births
Screen and treat/manage the modifiable risks
Pre-pregnancy Fertility treatment Smoking and drug use Obesity Management of TOP and miscarriage Caution with LETZ Optimise medical conditions such as; hypertension, diabetes
In pregnancy Aspirin for IUGR and PET risk Smoking and drug use (marijuana) Treat asymptomatic bacteruria Screen and treat chlamydia Control of medical conditions such as; hypertension, diabetes
Cervical length screening with use of progesterone (+/- cerclage) may have a role as part of a prevention programme
Important health problem Preterm Birth Prevention Programme
State-wide campaign which aims to safely lower the rate of preterm birth by combining the latest evidence-based clinical practice with educational outreach programs for health care practitioners and the general public
Western Australian Preterm Birth Prevention Initiative
Collaborative Project: • State Government funding • Women and Newborn Health Service • Women and Infants Research Foundation • University of Western Australia Support from: • State-wide Obstetric Services Unit • Australian Medical Association • RANZCOG • RACGP
Important health problem Preterm Birth Prevention Key Interventions
Research, education (mothers and health care professionals) and implementation
1. Preconception care – BMI, smoking, drug & alcohol use, folate use, optimise medical conditions
2. Individualised management guidelines – identify as low, medium or high risk 3. Progesterone treatment (16-36 weeks) – for women with prior spontaneous PTB 20 -34w
Cervical cerclage - for women with prior spontaneous PTB 20 -34w 4. Measurement of cervical length – routine part of 18-20w scan, TA scan , <35mm proceed
to TV scan. Cervix 10-20mm treat with progesterone, ≤10mm use cerclage 5. Avoid non-medically indicated later preterm birth - No delivery until at least 38 weeks,
unless there are medical or obstetric reasons justifying earlier intervention 6. Reduce tobacco exposure - harness the many strategies available to minimise the chance
of pregnant women smoking, or being exposed to second-hand cigarette smoke 7. Judicious use of fertility treatment – reduce multiple pregnancies 8. Preterm Birth Prevention Clinic –cases at high risk of preterm birth (single centre pilot)
Important health problem Preterm Birth Prevention Key Interventions
Research, education (mothers and health care professionals) and implementation
1. Preconception care – BMI, smoking, drug & alcohol use, folate use, optimise medical conditions
2. Individualised management guidelines – identify as low, medium or high risk 3. Progesterone treatment (16-36 weeks) – for women with prior spontaneous PTB 20 -34w
Cervical cerclage - for women with prior spontaneous PTB 20 -34w 4. Measurement of cervical length – routine part of 18-20w scan, TA scan , <35mm proceed
to TV scan. Cervix 10-20mm treat with progesterone, ≤10mm use cerclage 5. Avoid non-medically indicated later preterm birth - No delivery until at least 38 weeks,
unless there are medical or obstetric reasons justifying earlier intervention 6. Reduce tobacco exposure - harness the many strategies available to minimise the chance
of pregnant women smoking, or being exposed to second-hand cigarette smoke 7. Judicious use of fertility treatment – reduce multiple pregnancies 8. Preterm Birth Prevention Clinic –cases at high risk of preterm birth (single centre pilot)
Important health problem Preterm Birth Prevention Key Interventions
Research, education (mothers and health care professionals) and implementation
1. Preconception care – BMI, smoking, drug & alcohol use, folate use, optimise medical conditions
2. Individualised management guidelines – identify as low, medium or high risk 3. Progesterone treatment (16-36 weeks) – for women with prior spontaneous PTB 20 -34w
Cervical cerclage - for women with prior spontaneous PTB 20 -34w 4. Measurement of cervical length – routine part of 18-20w scan, TA scan , <35mm proceed
to TV scan. Cervix 10-20mm treat with progesterone, ≤10mm use cerclage 5. Avoid non-medically indicated later preterm birth - No delivery until at least 38 weeks,
unless there are medical or obstetric reasons justifying earlier intervention 6. Reduce tobacco exposure - harness the many strategies available to minimise the chance
of pregnant women smoking, or being exposed to second-hand cigarette smoke 7. Judicious use of fertility treatment – reduce multiple pregnancies 8. Preterm Birth Prevention Clinic –cases at high risk of preterm birth (single centre pilot)
Important health problem Summary
• Individualise the care we provide
• Aim to screen and identify risks for all forms of PTB
• Target the use of effective interventions to reduce risk
Should we do universal screening for PTB for all women?
In the future this may include routine cervical length screening at the time of the anomaly scan
Essentials of a screening programme 1. Screening programme should respond to a recognised need 2. Objectives of screening should be defined at the outset 3. A defined target population 4. Scientific evidence of screening programme effectiveness 5. Programme should integrate education, testing, clinical services & programme
management 6. Quality assurance, with mechanisms to minimize potential risks of screening 7. Should ensure informed choice, confidentiality and respect for autonomy 8. Should promote equity and access to screening for the entire target population 9. Programme evaluation should be planned from the outset 10.Overall benefits of screening should outweigh the harm
Emerging screening criteria since 1968
Andermann et al. WHO Bulletin 2008 http://www.who.int/bulletin/volumes/86/4/07-050112/en/