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UNFORESEEN CONDITIONS AND COSTS ON GLOBAL PROJECTS: LEARNING TO COPE WITH UNFAMILIAR INSTITUTIONS, EMBEDDEDNESS AND EMERGENT UNCERTAINTY A DISSERTATION SUBMITTED TO THE DEPARTMENT OF CIVIL AND ENVIRONMENTAL ENGINEERING AND THE COMMITTEE ON GRADUATE STUDIES OF STANFORD UNIVERSITY IN PARTIAL FULFILLMENT OF THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THE DEGREE OF DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY Ryan James Orr September 2005

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Page 1: UNFORESEEN CONDITIONS AND COSTS ON GLOBAL PROJECTS ... · Overall, the dissertation offers new data and a fresh conceptual map enabling scholars and managers to foresee the differences

UNFORESEEN CONDITIONS AND COSTS ON GLOBAL PROJECTS: LEARNING TO COPE WITH UNFAMILIAR INSTITUTIONS, EMBEDDEDNESS AND EMERGENT

UNCERTAINTY

A DISSERTATION

SUBMITTED TO THE DEPARTMENT OF

CIVIL AND ENVIRONMENTAL ENGINEERING

AND THE COMMITTEE ON GRADUATE STUDIES

OF STANFORD UNIVERSITY

IN PARTIAL FULFILLMENT OF THE REQUIREMENTS

FOR THE DEGREE OF

DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY

Ryan James Orr September 2005

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© COPYRIGHT BY RYAN J. ORR 2005 ALL RIGHTS RESERVED

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Certifications

I certify that I have read this dissertation and that, in my opinion, it is fully adequate in

scope and quality as a dissertation for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy.

_______________________________

Professor Raymond E. Levitt, Principal Adviser

I certify that I have read this dissertation and that, in my opinion, it is fully adequate in

scope and quality as a dissertation for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy.

_______________________________

Professor Douglass C. North

I certify that I have read this dissertation and that, in my opinion, it is fully adequate in

scope and quality as a dissertation for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy.

_______________________________

Professor W. Richard Scott

Approved for the University Committee on Graduate Studies.

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Executive Summary

This dissertation describes a multi-disciplinary, multi-method inquiry into the unforeseen

costs encountered by firms entering foreign markets to participate on building and

infrastructure projects.

The first contribution is a generic narrative model, based on an inductive analysis of 23

vignettes. It describes how �institutional exceptions��misjudgments, misunderstandings

and conflicts�arise when entrants fail to understand unfamiliar institutions; how

institutional exceptions lead to �unforeseen transaction costs� including time, money,

relational and reputational costs; and how entrants adaptively curb these costs as they

acquire relevant local knowledge, re-script mental models and adapt plans and tactics.

The second contribution is a quantitative analysis of data collected about the number,

nature and strength of dyadic entrant-host entity relations on nine large Asian

infrastructure projects. The analysis verifies the significance of relational friction,

conflict, and unforeseen costs, which generally tend to increase as institutional

differences and interdependencies increase, and decrease as entrant managers gain local

experience and entrant firms develop recurring relations with local entities.

The third contribution concerns strategies to minimize unforeseen costs on projects in

alien markets. The analysis draws on interview data from four types of entrants �

general contractors, developers, systems contractors and project consultants. The findings

indicate that with increasing embeddedness in an alien market context, firms face greater

levels of emergent uncertainty. This affects their strategic decisions such as entry mode,

staffing and centralization of control. These findings reconfirm Chandler�s classic

theorem that a firm�s strategy and structure need to be aligned with its environment; and

they articulate the concept of �general internationalization knowledge.� We find that this

general internationalization knowledge informs three distinct strategies of entrant firms:

increasing the supply of local knowledge, decreasing the demand for local knowledge,

and reducing the impact of a local knowledge deficit. These strategies refute the myth

that entrant performance is tied to climbing a �country learning curve�, but, instead imply

that dodging the need to learn and avoiding the costs of not learning can be equally

effective internationalization strategies for some firms.

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Overall, the dissertation offers new data and a fresh conceptual map enabling scholars

and managers to foresee the differences and similarities across alien markets; to identify

embeddedness, emergent uncertainty, unforeseen transaction costs and the performance

ramifications thereof; and to craft intelligent internationalization strategies.

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Acknowledgements

This dissertation could never have been completed without the preparation, guidance, and

encouragement of many family members, friends, colleagues, informants, and advisors.

First, I want to thank the family members who were involved in preparing me for this

intellectual journey. There are too many to list by name, but I especially want to thank

my mother and father, brother and sister, grandparents, aunts and uncles, and now, new

extended family. My faithful Andrea deserves much praise: putting up with my late

nights at the office and offering lucid versions of my convoluted arguments.

Next, I want to recognize the crucial role that my globally-minded friends have played

in readying me to study foreign markets, cultures, and civilizations. The leaders of the

Global Association of Culture and Peace in Korea, who taught me to appreciate the value

of sports and arts in promoting peace, love, and global unity�Jung Seok, John Yang, and

Chloe Jung. All of my friends from the Ritsumeikan-UBC Exchange program, many of

whom journeyed with me in Thailand, Korea, Japan, and China, and who were

exceedingly patient with my feeble attempts to learn their language�Takeshi Kunimi,

Yoko Mizuma, Tomo Nakai, Takumi Ozawa, Koji Tsuchikura, and Miho Yamada.

I also want to thank the many innovative surveyors, equipment operators, engineers,

managers, and executives who mentored me in the planning, construction, and

management of large engineering projects, when I worked with 360networks (on a trans-

continental fiber optic link), Ledcor Industries (on the Mount Polley Mine), Monad

Contractors (on the Huckleberry Mine), Barrick Gold (on the Goldstrike Mine), and

Newmont Mining (on the Rain Mine)�Scott Ansel, Kerry Bjornson, Bill Bolle, George

Desmarais, Rick Hardy, Dan Harmening, Wayne Helsel, Ron Humphries, Nate Hillman,

Ian Morris, Jack Peterson, and Ron Stevenson.

In addition, there are a great many students, staff, and faculty who have provided

assistance, inspiration, and guidance since I arrived at Stanford in September of 2002.

The researchers at the Center for Integrated Facilities Engineering with whom I have

enjoyed many research-related conversations�Dr. Martin Fischer, Dr. Renate Fruchter,

Dr. John Haymaker, and Dr. John Kunz. The students who took time to read and review

early drafts of the several chapters of this dissertation�John Chachere, Doug

MacKinnon, and Somik Raha. My fellow PhD students in the Collaboratory for Research

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on Global Projects�Dana Gavrieli, Tamaki Horii, Peggy Ho, Rahinah Ibrahim, Ashwin

Mahalingam, and John Taylor. The students in the Center for Integrated Facilities

Engineering�Mauricio Toledo, Claudio Morgues, Arto Kiviniemi, and Ju Gao. The

Management Science and Engineering students with whom I recall many pleasurable

discussions�Chris Bingham, Sandy Kory, Hernan Gouet, Chris Han, and Michael

Helms. And my friends in the Stanford Canadian Club�Mike Ananny, Mohammed

Badi, Michael Dolphin, Steve McBride, Andrew Nigrinis, Jeff Shragge, and Eric Straver.

I also owe a debt of gratitude to more than 100 industry informants at firms like Air

Products, Aker-Kverner, Arup, Barrick Gold, Bechtel, Bombardier, Boston Consulting,

CitiBank, Coudert Brothers LLP, General Electric, IFC, Newmont Mining, Export-

Import Bank, Fluor, Haliburton, JBIC, Obayashi, Skanska, Svendala, Takenaka, Trammel

Crow, USAID, World Bank, and Washington Construction. For reasons of

confidentiality, I cannot list these persons by name, but they know who they are, and I

thank them deeply for answering my persistent questions, providing access to live

projects, reviewing my drafts, and offering many �off the record� insights.

Finally, I want to thank my PhD committee and faculty advisors: Dr. W. Richard

Scott, for schooling me in the theory of institutions and organizations and for his

consistent, careful, and cogent reviews of my early drafts; Dr. Douglass North for

inspiring me with his powerful, practical, and historically-grounded theories of

institutions and economic change, and for connecting me with the scholars at the Ronald

Coase Institute; Dr. Kathy Eisenhardt for providing an extremely beneficial review of

Chapter I, and for leaving many excellent grounded-theory papers as stepping stones in

the literature; Dr. Steve Barley for teaching me his ethnographic-semantic approach to

data collection and analysis. And most notably, I want to thank my principal advisor,

mentor, and friend, Dr. Raymond Levitt, whose weekly advising sessions, late night

emails, and thoughtful insights were a source of unflagging encouragement; and whose

exceptional integrity, work ethic, and wisdom were a fountainhead of inspiration.

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Table of Contents

Certifications..................................................................................................................iii Executive Summary ....................................................................................................... iv Acknowledgements........................................................................................................ vi Table of Contents.........................................................................................................viii Table of Figures ...........................................................................................................xiii Table of Tables ............................................................................................................ xiv Introduction................................................................................................................... 1 OBSERVED PROBLEM ................................................................................................ 2 RESEARCH QUESTION ............................................................................................... 2 CONCEPTUAL OVERVIEW......................................................................................... 3 SCOPE DEFINITION..................................................................................................... 4 REFERENCES ............................................................................................................... 5 I Institutional Exceptions on Global Projects: Ignorance, Sensemaking and Response ........................................................................................................................ 7 INTRODUCTION .......................................................................................................... 7 BACKGROUND ............................................................................................................ 8

Gaps in the Literature.................................................................................................. 8 Institutions ................................................................................................................ 11

Regulative elements............................................................................................... 11 Normative elements............................................................................................... 12 Cultural-cognitive elements. .................................................................................. 12

METHODS................................................................................................................... 13 Method Selection ...................................................................................................... 13 Data Collection ......................................................................................................... 13

Data sources. ......................................................................................................... 13 Informants. ............................................................................................................ 13 Informant selection................................................................................................ 14 Starting-point of investigation. .............................................................................. 14 Interview questions................................................................................................ 14

Data Analysis ............................................................................................................ 15 Inductive philosophy. ............................................................................................ 15 Iterative analysis.................................................................................................... 15 Vignette selection. ................................................................................................. 16 Cross-vignette analysis matrix. .............................................................................. 16

Limitations................................................................................................................ 19 Isolation of institutional elements. ......................................................................... 19 One-sided perspective............................................................................................ 19 Oversimplification of process. ............................................................................... 20

FINDINGS.................................................................................................................... 20 Phase 1. Challenging Host Institutions....................................................................... 20

Institutional ignorance. .......................................................................................... 20

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Deviant act.............................................................................................................22 Outcome of ignorance. ...........................................................................................23

Phase 2. Making Sense of a Host�s Institutions ..........................................................25 Sensemaking..........................................................................................................26 Local knowledge search behavior. .........................................................................27 Outcome of sensemaking. ......................................................................................28

Phase 3. Responding to a Host�s Institutions ..............................................................30 Response................................................................................................................30 Response behavior. ................................................................................................32 Outcome of response..............................................................................................33

Toward A Generic Narrative Model...........................................................................34 How do institutional exceptions arise? ...................................................................34 How are institutional exceptions resolved?.............................................................36 How are costs manifested in this process?..............................................................36 How salient are these costs?...................................................................................36 Can these costs be avoided? ...................................................................................36

CONNECTIONS TO THEORY ....................................................................................37 Transaction Cost Economics......................................................................................37 Game Theoretic View of Institutions .........................................................................37 Sensemaking Theory..................................................................................................38 Theory on Self-Reference Frame and Ethnocentrism .................................................38 Descriptive Theory of Decision Making.....................................................................38 International Management Theory .............................................................................38 Internationalization Theory........................................................................................39 Cultural Globalization................................................................................................39

CONCLUSIONS...........................................................................................................39 Contributions to Knowledge ......................................................................................39 Agenda for Future Research.......................................................................................40 Contributions to Practice............................................................................................41

REFERENCES..............................................................................................................41 APPENDIX 1 ................................................................................................................48

1 Reporting Design Progress�By Whose Milestones, in Korea? ...............................48 2 �Spirit in the Waterfall� in Uganda. ........................................................................48 3 Failed Performance Incentives in China. .................................................................51 4 Sarcastic Comments by American Confuse Japanese. .............................................52 5 US Navy Encounters the Mafia in Albania. .............................................................53 6 Proforma Financial Templates Strain US-European Relations. ................................54 7 Ceremonial Beam Installation Causes Conflict in China..........................................55 8 Disagreements in a US-Israeli Joint Venture. ..........................................................56 9 No Bribes, No Contract: Canadians in Russia. ........................................................57 10 US-UK �Working Design Meetings� Don�t Work, in Korea. ................................58 11 Japanese Focuses on Technical Excellence; One-year Delay in USA. ...................59 12 Operable or inoperable windows?�A High-rise office tower in Berlin. ................61 13 Have Tea before you spark the Dynamite in Turkey. .............................................62 14 Responsibilities for �Shop Drawings� in Spain. ....................................................64 15 Japanese Misunderstanding of a US GMAX Contract. ..........................................66

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16 Meeting the Village Chieftain in Cameroon.......................................................... 67 17 Traditional Hiring Practices in Malaysia. .............................................................. 68 18 Village Protocols & Project Postponement in the Philippines................................ 70 19 Customary Building Material��Woodchip cement sideboard��in Japan............ 72 20 Contract Enforcement in Spain. ............................................................................ 73 21 Japanese �Tabi Shoes� Clash with US Safety Regulation...................................... 74 22 �Memoranda of understanding� in Vietnam (without the understanding). ............. 75 23 Canadian Regulations Catch US Firm Off-guard. ................................................. 77

II Measuring Relational Friction, Interorganizational Conflict and Unforeseen Transaction Costs on Global Projects ........................................................................ 79 INTRODUCTION ........................................................................................................ 79 THEORY & HYPOTHESES ........................................................................................ 81

Large Public Infrastructure Projects........................................................................... 81 Conflict Escalation and Unforeseen Transaction Costs .............................................. 82 Institutional Difference, Conflict Escalation, and Unforeseen Transaction Costs ....... 84 Interdependence, Conflict Escalation, and Unforeseen Transaction Costs.................. 85 Communication Volume, Conflict Escalation, and Unforeseen Transaction Costs ..... 87 Global Experience, Conflict Escalation, and Unforeseen Transaction Costs............... 87 Local Experience, Conflict Escalation, and Unforeseen Transaction Costs ................ 88 Recurring Relations, Conflict Escalation, and Unforeseen Transaction Costs ............ 89 Interfaces and Distinctive Characteristics .................................................................. 90

DATA & METHODS ................................................................................................... 91 Sample ...................................................................................................................... 91 Data Collection ......................................................................................................... 93 LISREL Analysis ...................................................................................................... 94 Constructs and Validity ............................................................................................. 97

Downstream constructs.......................................................................................... 97 Upstream constructs. ............................................................................................. 98 Construct validity. ................................................................................................. 99

RELATIONAL FRICTION, CONFLICT & UNFORESEEN DELAY........................ 100 RELATIONAL PROFILES ........................................................................................ 104 DISCUSSION............................................................................................................. 106

Answers to Research Questions............................................................................... 106 Salience. .............................................................................................................. 106 Antecedents......................................................................................................... 106 Moderators. ......................................................................................................... 106

Further Insights ....................................................................................................... 106 Non-significance of global experience. ................................................................ 107 Asymmetric effects of dependence. ..................................................................... 107 Communication volume....................................................................................... 107 One-time nature of relations. ............................................................................... 108 Procurement delay. .............................................................................................. 108 Political will. ....................................................................................................... 108 Informal coordination. ......................................................................................... 108 Anti-corruption units. .......................................................................................... 109

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Freelance expatriates............................................................................................110 Embeddedness in Social Relations and Institutions ..................................................110

Economics and embeddedness. ............................................................................110 International business and embeddedness.............................................................111

Limitations ..............................................................................................................112 One sided interviews............................................................................................112 Unforeseen delay metric. .....................................................................................112 Blurring of relational profiles. ..............................................................................112 Interconnected relations. ......................................................................................112 Reverse interpretation of findings. .......................................................................113 Competitive versus collaborative conflict.............................................................113 Non-linear escalation of conflict. .........................................................................113

CONCLUSION ...........................................................................................................114 Contributions to Science ..........................................................................................114 Contributions to Practice..........................................................................................114 Areas for Future Research........................................................................................115

REFERENCES............................................................................................................116 APPENDIX 1 ..............................................................................................................128 APPENDIX 2 ..............................................................................................................129 APPENDIX 3 ..............................................................................................................130 APPENDIX 4 ..............................................................................................................131 APPENDIX 5 ..............................................................................................................132 APPENDIX 6 ..............................................................................................................133 APPENDIX 7 ..............................................................................................................134 III Embeddedness, Emergent Uncertainty and Strategies to Succeed in Unfamiliar Markets ......................................................................................................................135 INTRODUCTION.......................................................................................................136 BACKGROUND.........................................................................................................138

Challenges in Foreign Markets.................................................................................138 Learning to Cope with Challenges in Foreign Markets.............................................140

METHODS .................................................................................................................143 Case Study Design...................................................................................................143 Research Setting ......................................................................................................144 Data Sources............................................................................................................144

Focus on projects. ................................................................................................144 Open-ended interviews. .......................................................................................145 Structured interviews. ..........................................................................................145 Administering the structured interviews. ..............................................................145

Data Analysis ..........................................................................................................145 CHALLENGES IN FOREIGN MARKETS.................................................................147

Embeddedness .........................................................................................................147 Embeddedness, by firm type. ...............................................................................149 Consequences of embeddedness...........................................................................152

Emergent Uncertainty..............................................................................................155 Emergent uncertainty, by firm type. .....................................................................158

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FIRM-SPECIFIC STRATEGIES TO COPE IN FOREIGN MARKETS ..................... 160 Firm-Specific Strategies .......................................................................................... 160

GENERAL STRATEGIES TO COPE IN FOREIGN MARKETS............................... 169 Increase the Supply of Local Knowledge................................................................. 169

Increase �starting knowledge.� ............................................................................ 169 Increase learning rate........................................................................................... 170 Increase learning period....................................................................................... 171

Decrease the Need for Local Knowledge ................................................................. 174 Reduce scope of work.......................................................................................... 174 Reduce embeddedness in local context. ............................................................... 174

Reduce the Impact of a Local Knowledge Deficit .................................................... 176 Prepare contingency plans. .................................................................................. 177 Cultivate adaptability........................................................................................... 177 Insure against uncertainties.................................................................................. 180

Towards a Model of Strategies to Succeed in Foreign Environments ....................... 180 Learning How to Circumvent the �Country Learning Curve� .................................. 181

CONCLUSION........................................................................................................... 183 Contribution to Science ........................................................................................... 183 Contribution to Practice........................................................................................... 184 Areas for Future Research ....................................................................................... 184

REFERENCES ........................................................................................................... 186 Conclusion ................................................................................................................. 193 CONTRIBUTIONS TO PRACTICE........................................................................... 194 CONTRIBUTIONS TO SCIENCE ............................................................................. 195 AREAS FOR FUTURE RESEARCH ......................................................................... 200

Describing Institutional Exceptions, Associated Costs and Resolutions ................... 200 Measuring Unforeseen Transaction Costs................................................................ 202 Expanding the Embeddedness Framework............................................................... 202 Other Potential Research Areas ............................................................................... 203

REFERENCES ........................................................................................................... 204

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Table of Figures

Introduction FIGURE 1. Conceptual Overview....................................................................................3 I FIGURE 1. A Generic Narrative Model.........................................................................35 II FIGURE 1. LISREL Structural Model of Hypothesized Relationsa ..............................101 III FIGURE 1. Strategies to Succeed in Foreign Environments.........................................181 Conclusion FIGURE 1. Conceptual Overview................................................................................197

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Table of Tables

I TABLE 1. Summary of Informants, Organizations and Projects Sampled...................... 17 TABLE 2. Condensed Vignette Summaries................................................................... 18 TABLE 3. Ignorance, Deviant Action and Outcomes .................................................... 21 TABLE 4. Sensemaking, Local Knowledge Search and Outcomes ................................ 26 TABLE 5. Response, Response Action and Outcomes .................................................. 31 II TABLE 1A. Sample Description � Projects................................................................... 92 TABLE 1B. Sample Description - Firms ....................................................................... 92 TABLE 1C. Sample Description - Informants & Relations............................................ 92 TABLE 2. The Constructs and Their Indicators............................................................. 95 TABLE 3. Summary of Model Results and Conclusions ............................................. 102 TABLE 4. Profile of Differences between 5 Types of Relations .................................. 105 III TABLE 1. Firm Descriptions ...................................................................................... 143 TABLE 2. Project Descriptions ................................................................................... 146 TABLE 3. Project Engagement Characteristics, by Firm Typea ................................... 146 TABLE 4. Overall Embeddednessa ............................................................................... 18 TABLE 5. Relative Embeddednessa ............................................................................ 149 TABLE 6. Examples of Emergent Uncertainty............................................................ 157 TABLE 7. Indicators of Embeddedness-Strategy-Structure Fit .................................... 168 TABLE 8. Strategies to Increase Supply of Local Knowledge ..................................... 172 TABLE 9. Strategies to Decrease the Need for Local Knowledge................................ 175 TABLE 10. Strategies to Reduce the Impact of a Local Knowledge Deficit................. 179 TABLE 11. Shortcomings of Extant Theory and Contribution of this Article .............. 184 Conclusion TABLE 1. Summary of Contribution........................................................................... 198

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Introduction

-- In the Palace --

Brad Pitt: It�s an honor to meet you your holiness.

Dalai Lama, 14 yrs old: I want to build a movie house.

Brad Pitt: I�m proud to be of service your honor.

-- Several days later, breaking ground for the movie house --

Brad Pitt: What�s the problem? What is the problem here?

Construction Worker: Worms, worms. Please no more hurting worms. Please. In a past life, this innocent worm could have been your mother. Please no more hurting�

it is impossible� Please.

-- Several hours later, in the Palace --

Dalai Lama, 14 yrs old: See, Tibetans believe all living creatures were our mothers in a past life. So, we must show them respect and repay them with kindness. And never, never harm anything that lives. You can�t ask a devout people to disregard a Buddhist teaching.

Brad Pitt: I�m sorry, your honor, but we can�t possibly� <laughter> We can�t possibly rescue all the worms, especially if you want the theatre finished in this lifetime.

Dalai Lama, 14 yrs old: You have a clever mind, think of a solution. And in the meantime, you can explain to me what is an elevator.

�Seven Years in Tibet Directed by J.J. Annaud

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OBSERVED PROBLEM

Entrant firms that participate on global projects report many unforeseen, unexpected,

uncertain, and unknown costs and conditions during planning, design, engineering, and

construction (eg. Chua, Wang & Tan, 2003). Global projects include industrial,

commercial, residential and infrastructure projects that assemble component parts and

organizational participants including financiers, vendors and contractors from around the

world (Chan & Tse, 2003; Levitt et. al., 2004).

Despite the existence of many fruitful examinations of the challenges in managing and

executing large engineering projects, there is still room for incremental scholarly

improvement. Major intellectual landmarks in this literature include Miller and Lessard�s

(2000) rich description of projects as �real-options games;� Flyvbjerg, Bruzelius and

Rothengatter�s (2003) depiction of the delicate interplay between technical methods,

professional ethics, and the politics of urban planning; Loraine�s (1992) elucidation of

contractor responsibilities in mobilization, tendering and construction; and finally,

Stinchcombe and Heimer�s (1985) deep insight into the sociology of political life,

managerial life, and work life and the processes by which project organizations deal with

economic and technical uncertainties. Yet, in spite of this progress, there has been little

analysis of the location-specific context that cradles these projects, how different types of

project participants are embedded in this context to different degrees, how unfamiliar

elements and dynamics in this context can lead to emergent uncertainties and unforeseen

costs, and how different types of firms actually learn to cope with a local knowledge

deficit in an unfamiliar project setting.

RESEARCH QUESTIONS

To address this practical need, this research is organized around three clusters of research

questions:

Chapter I. How do unfamiliar institutions cause institutional exceptions? How

are they resolved? What types of unforeseen transaction costs arise?

Chapter II. How salient are unforeseen transaction costs for firms that enter

global projects in unfamiliar institutional environments? How much do these

costs increase as relations with local entities become more interdependent and

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institutionally diverse? And how much are these costs lessened when an entrant

has global experience, local experience, and recurring relations with local

entities?

Chapter III. What strategies do entrant firms use to reduce these costs and to

overcome the challenge of embeddedness in unfamiliar markets?

CONCEPTUAL OVERVIEW

Figure 1 offers a roadmap of the overall content and organization of the dissertation. The

figure previews the main findings, and shows how the findings are organized into three

chapters.

FIGURE 1 Conceptual Overview

Figure 1 also illustrates the conceptual story that emerged from the research; a story

that was observed across dozens of entrant firms, working across a variety of global

projects, in all major world regions. The story goes as follows. A firm enters a global

project in an unfamiliar host-country market. However, the home-office executives and

managers in charge of mobilization and operations lack a nuanced understanding of the

host-country language, history, organizations, institutions, and other locally-idiosyncratic

elements and dynamics. As a consequence, the firm incurs a basket of unanticipated costs

that reduce the profitability of the venture. As the management team continues to work

globally, they learn to prevent these so-called �unforeseen transaction costs� by

• Knowledge • Institutions • History • Activity

Knowledge Deficit about anUnfamiliar Market Setting

• Ecological Context • Actors & Relations • Technologies • Symbolic Systems

(Orr, 2005a; b; c)

Unforeseen Costs

• Money Costs • Time Costs • Relationship Damage • Reputation Damage

General Strategies to Cope with a Knowledge Deficit

• Increase the Supply of Local Knowledge • Decrease the Need for Local Knowledge • Reduce the Consequence of a Local Knowledge Deficit

Ch.1,2+

- Ch. 2,3

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employing three general strategies in new markets: increasing the supply of local

knowledge, decreasing the need for local knowledge, and reducing the consequence of a

local knowledge deficit. Depending on the specifics of their work, and depending on how

they cobble these three general strategies together, the firm evolves a preferred strategy

for continued global growth and expansion.

SCOPE DEFINITION

While completing this dissertation, I also wrote three working papers (Orr, 2005a; b; c).

The working papers offer a critical examination of foreign markets, identifying the

archetypical modules or constituent parts that exist ubiquitously, albeit in different

configurations, in markets the world over. In contrast, the three chapters here zoom in

specifically on the challenges and strategies that project participants face when they enter

large global infrastructure projects in foreign markets, underscoring the link between

unfamiliar institutions, unforeseen costs and foreign market entry strategies.

While the working papers offer perspective, this dissertation affords depth. The

working papers provide a view from 10,000 feet of the overall constitution and formation

of foreign markets. The three core chapters here focus in on the institutional elements of

foreign markets, and in particular, the challenges that foreign entrants face in

maneuvering effectively and efficiently within the tangle of locally-devised institutional

elements as well as the strategies they develop to achieve this end.

The stark contrast in breadth and depth of the working papers and the three chapters

here reflects the cognitive journey of discovery down which I have traveled as a doctoral

student. Indeed, as my core research on institutional conflicts and costs gained focus,

sharpness and clarity, my foundation of understanding concerning the totality of human

societal systems and their sub-systems continued to grow. Thus, while this dissertation

presents the central emphasis of my focused empirical research effort, the working papers

capture my expanded perspective concerning the comparative organization of societal

systems.

This dissertation is not a study of the organization of large infrastructure projects,

although the data were collected from firms engaged in these projects. Nor is it primarily

about transaction costs (Williamson, 1979), although much of the analysis focuses on the

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unforeseen transaction costs that arise in foreign market environments. Nor are

institutions the exclusive theme, although institutional theory (Scott, 2001; North, 1990)

is a principal theoretical point of departure. Nor is it directly about the

internationalization process of the firm (eg. Johanson & Vahlne, 1977) or the strategies of

the multinational enterprise, i.e. global efficiency, national responsiveness, worldwide

learning, and social embeddedness (eg. London & Hart, 2004), although, it does provide

several theoretical stepping-stones to scholars of international business and strategy.

Finally, this research is not directly about the process of how entrant firms learn about

foreign market characteristics or dynamics broadly defined (eg. Sinkula, 1992), although

it does certainly emphasize the process of how entrant organizations learn specifically

about alien institutions.

This last point requires a few more words of clarification. In order to keep the project

focused and manageable, it was necessary to analyze the link between unfamiliar

institutions and cost growth in relative isolation from the other co-existing and

interdependent elements and dynamics of foreign markets that were identified in the

working paper series � i.e. technologies, actors & relations, symbolic systems,

ecological context, domain knowledge, activity and history (Orr, 2005b). Thus, while the

conceptual model in Figure 1 implies that the �local knowledge deficit�-�unforeseen

cost� relationship holds up with respect to all of the elements of foreign markets, it was

not actually possible to test this broad set of propositions within the scope of this single

dissertation (and that is the reason why the �institutions� element alone is enclosed by a

boxed border in Figure 1).

REFERENCES 1. Chan, E.H.W. and Tse, R.Y.C. (2003) Cultural Considerations in International

Construction Contracts. Journal of Construction, Engineering & Management 129 375-381.

2. Chua, D.K.H., Wang, Y. and Tan, W.T. (2003) Impacts and Obstacles in East Asian Cross-Border Construction. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management 129 131-141.

3. Flyvbjerg, B., Bruzelius, N. and Rothengatter, W. (2003) Megaprojects and Risk: An Anatomy of Ambition, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

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6

4. Johanson, J. and Vahlne, J.E. (1977) The internationalization process of the firm: A model of knowledge development and increasing foreign market commitments. Journal of International Business Studies 8 23-32.

5. Levitt, R.E., Horii, T., Mahalingam, A., Orr, R. and Taylor, J. (2004) Understanding and Managing the Effects of Institutional Differences in Global Projects. Specialty Conference on Management and Leadership in Construction.

6. London, T. and Hart, S.L. (2004) Reinventing strategies for emerging markets: beyond the transnational model. J. of Int�l Business Studies 35, 350-371.

7. Loraine, R.K. (1992) Construction Management in Developing Countries, London, UK: Thomas Telford Ltd.

8. Miller, R. and Lessard, D. (2000) The Strategic Management of Large Engineering Projects: Shaping Institutions, Risks, and Governance, Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.

9. North, D. (1990) Institutions, Institutional Change, and Economic Performance, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

10. Orr, R.J. (2005a) What is a foreign market? Collaboratory for Research on Global Projects Working Paper Series #21, 1-18. Available at: http://crgp.stanford.edu/publications/working.html

11. Orr, R.J. (2005b) Foreign Markets as Subsystems of Civilizations. Collaboratory for Research on Global Projects Working Paper Series #22, 1-29. Available at: http://crgp.stanford.edu/publications/working.html

12. Orr, R.J. (2005c) Two Way Comparison: Validating the "Recombinant DNA" of Civilizations Framework against Commercial Market Intelligence Reports and Analyzing the Reports against the Framework. Collaboratory for Research on Global Projects Working Paper Series #23, 1-13. Available at: http://crgp.stanford.edu/publications/working.html

13. Scott, W.R. (2001) Institutions and Organizations, 2nd Edition Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage.

14. Sinkula, J. (1994) Market Information Processing and Organizational Learning. Journal of Marketing 58 35-45.

15. Stinchcombe, A. and Heimer, C. (1985) Organizational Theory and Project Management: Administering Uncertainty in Norwegian Offshore Oil, Oslo: Norwegian University Press.

16. Williamson, O.E. (1979) Transaction Cost Economics: The Governance of Contractual Relations. Journal of Law and Economics 233-261.

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I

Institutional Exceptions on Global Projects:

Ignorance, Sensemaking and Response1

�When you hear hoof beats, think Horses,

not Zebras�unless you�re in Africa.� �Anonymous

ABSTRACT

How do international managers learn to navigate unfamiliar institutions�beliefs, values,

norms, rules and laws�on large global projects? One way is by trial-and-error. With

institutional theory as a starting-point for interviews, this inductive study of 23 cases�

where an entrant reported unforeseen costs after failing to understand local institutions�

led to propositions and a generic narrative model. These findings contribute to theoretical

knowledge of how institutional exceptions�misjudgments, misunderstandings and

conflicts�are triggered and resolved, by illuminating a recurring pattern of ignorance,

sensemaking and response across all of the critical incident scenarios that were examined.

1 I Financial support for this research was provided, in part, by the National Science Foundation under Grant No. IIS-9907403 . Any opinions, findings, and conclusions or recommendations expressed in this material are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Science Foundation.

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INTRODUCTION

Managers on global projects2 report a shared problem: misjudgments, misunderstandings

and conflicts when participants fail to understand unfamiliar institutions�tacit beliefs;

informal values and norms; and formal rules (North, 1990; Scott, 2001). These so-called

�institutional exceptions� can generate unforeseen costs and strained relations. To

enhance our understanding of how this often-unexpected friction arises and is resolved,

we analyzed a set of 23 �critical incidents��situations where managers at firms like

Bechtel, Walt Disney and the World Bank told of unforeseen costs on a global project,

due to an institutional exception. Our theoretical contribution is a set of propositions and

a generic narrative model to illuminate similarities, and differences, across the 23 cases

and to address three questions: How are institutional exceptions triggered? How are they

resolved? And how are the consequences manifested? Through this work, we hope to

contribute to practical knowledge of how managers learn to navigate�and can be trained

to better cope with�unfamiliar institutions.

BACKGROUND

Gaps in the Literature

This study addresses four key gaps in the literature. The first gap is that expected

correlations between cultural distance and intercultural venture performance have not

been empirically validated. The majority of studies to test this relationship have applied

Hofstede�s (1984) cultural value dimensions, employing the Kogut & Singh (1988)

approach, to calculate an abstract cultural distance metric as an independent variable, and

have hypothesized that this metric should explain various measures of the performance of

cross-cultural collaborations and alliances (eg. Park & Ungson, 1997; Morosini, Shane &

Singh, 1998; Beamish & Kachra, 2004; Barkema et. al., 1997). Two recent studies

conclude that this approach has generated findings that are inconsistent and inconclusive

(Robson, Leonidou & Katsikeas, 2002; Shenkar, 2001). Why haven�t these empirical

2 Global projects include large industrial, commercial, residential and infrastructure projects that assemble component parts and organizational participants including financiers, vendors, engineers, designers and contractors from nations around the world (Chan & Tse, 2003).

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efforts produced the expected correlations? One possible reason3 is that the cultural

distance approach is too narrow to account for all of the potential sources of friction

(Barkema et. al., 1997; Harzing, 2003). Therefore, we adopt a fresh approach, distancing

ourselves from these disembedded, abstract distance variables, to explore in concrete

settings how socially-constructed differences impact project outcomes.

A second shortcoming is that scholars of international business have not drawn much

on recent developments in institutional theory in conducting their empirical studies. A

number of scholars suggest that institutional theory offers a full, robust framework to

study how national differences create relational friction in cross-national alliances

(Westney, 1993; Kostova, 1999; Kostova & Zaheer, 1999; Xu & Shenkar, 2002).

Pioneers of internationalization theory associated with the Uppsala school also support a

more broadly-conceived institutional theory (Melin, 1992). Indeed, Johanson and Vahlne

(1977) first defined �psychic distance� broadly as �the sum of�differences in language,

education, business practice, culture and industrial development�; and Eriksson,

Johanson, Majkgård and Sharma (1997) found strong correlation between executives�

perceptions of lack of institutional knowledge4 and of global expansion costs. Although

promising, these studies have received little notice from researchers who, generally, have

been slow to employ a more robust institutional approach to frame empirical inquiry

A third gap is that few studies, even among those guided by institutional theory, have

focused on the collision of intercultural institutional systems. Considerable research has

been conducted to understand the construction, maintenance and effects of institutional

frameworks. Two core research areas have been the influence of institutions on the long-

term processes of economic change (North, 1990, 2005; Acemoglu, Robinson & Johnson,

2001; Greif, 1994) and the impact of institutions on the structuring of organizations and

organizational fields (Powell & DiMaggio, 1991; Meyer & Scott, 1983; Scott & Meyer,

1994; Aoki, 2001). This work recognizes that institutional conflict exists�that disputes

over jurisdiction create uncertainty about which rules and routines should govern; that

elites within established organizations have a self-interest in enforcing rules and 3 Other reasons also exist in the literature record. Shenkar (2001) notes five theoretical illusions subsumed in the cultural distance metric and advises researchers to focus on friction, rather than distance. Oyserman et. al. (2003) question the basis, validity and measurement of approaches to quantify culture. 4 Measured on two scales: lack of language knowledge, and lack of knowledge of foreign laws/ norms/ standards.

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socializing newcomers (Powell & DiMaggio, 1991:30); and that violence, including

demonstrations, strikes, armed attacks, assassination and industrial disputes are often

caused by institutional disputes (Taylor & Hudson, 1972). Studies pursuing the theme of

institutional conflict have examined differences stemming from competing organizing

logics (e.g., DiMaggio, 1991; Greenwood & Hinings, 1993; Mol 2003; Thornton, 2004),

between sectors (e.g., Heimer, 1999; Stark, 1996), and over time (Fligstein, 1990; Scott,

Ruef, Mendel, and Caronna, 2000). But relatively few studies to date have examined

institutional conflicts that arise during cross-cultural encounters, and fewer still look at

how institutional conflicts unfold at the level of an individual, team or firm. Therefore,

attending to this shortcoming, our fieldwork concentrates on institutional exceptions (a

concept that emerged in this study) as the primary focus of our study, and we seek to

contribute to institutional theory with a micro-analysis of how institutional exceptions

arise, transpire and are managed (or mismanaged).

A fourth inadequacy is that studies of global projects promulgate an overly rational

approach to risks and risk mitigation. Most investigators posit an �undersocialized�

model of the principal actors (Granovetter, 1985), assuming them to be driven by

narrowly conceived cost-benefit models. For example, they do not account for: dogged

political-champions who make, or break, many projects (McCartney, 1988); opposing

bureaucratic/process and outcome orientations of government officials and project

managers, respectively, who battle for control (Mahalingam, 2005); participants with

differing mindsets, logics and rule systems�who misinterpret and misunderstand each

other, causing costs and delays; occupational groups with their varying work traditions

and cultures, who jealously police their turf and defend their work practices; pervasive

informal systems of interpersonal trust, kinship, or communal obligation that complement

and compete with more formal mechanisms for insuring exchange relations; and the

mobilization of suppressed or unrepresented interests that, perhaps in alignment with

transnational NGOs join forces to opposed or redesign projects. These often subtle,

nuanced, non-routine complexities are typically overlooked in favor of relentlessly-

rational discussions of formalized technical, financial, and project delivery contractural

mechanisms (e.g. Stinchcombe and Heimer, 1985). Studies that do address institutional

forces neglect cultural-cognitive and normative elements�the taken-for-granted, often

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tacit, mental models that drive much of human behavior�instead, putting primary

attention on formal regulative institutions and project governability (e.g. Miller &

Lessard, 2000). Similarly, corporate practice is to treat social and political ambiguities as

if they were quantifiable and predictable risks, no different from landslides or

earthquakes in the physical environment. Software vendors and consultants5 who

promote these tools and techniques fail to recognize, whether innocently or intentionally,

that social movements and political actions are outcomes of human interpretation and

judgment, and thus, inherently difficult to predict . (Smith, 2003). To address this gap,

we offer data from �real-world� global projects to investigate �clashes of institutions��

their initiation, resolution and hidden costs.

Institutions

It is essential that we define institutions, and their component elements, since this

provides the starting point for our fieldwork. Institutions are complex and interlocking

sets of beliefs, values, norms, rules and laws concerning what is appropriate behavior in a

given context. These elements are social structures that have attained a high degree of

resilience and that provide meaning, regularity and stability to social life. The �three

pillars� approach to institutions (Scott, 2001) sorts these elements into three analytically

distinct but interdependent categories�regulative, normative and cultural-cognitive.

Regulative elements. Regulative elements include formal regulations and rules for

governing behavior such as constitutions, laws and property rights (Scott, 2001; North,

1990). The regulatory pillar �is distinguished by a prominence given to explicit

regulatory processes: rule setting, monitoring and sanctioning activities. In this view,

regulatory processes involve the capacity to establish rules, inspect another�s conformity

to them, and, as needed, manipulate sanctions�rewards or punishments�in an attempt

to influence future behavior� (Scott, 2001: 52). Regulations may be created and

maintained by trans-national authorities, nation-states, or provinces and local regimes

with power to create rules and sanction deviators. Firms and unions also issue rules,

monitor behavior and attempt to enforce compliance. Economists and political scientists

5 See Control Risks Group (http://www.crg.com/), Pegasus Consulting Inc. (http://www.pegasusconsultinginc.com/), Pertmaster Project Risk (http://www.pertmaster.com) and Palisade (http://www.palisade.com/).

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have directed much attention to regulative institutional elements (Aoki, 2001; Weingast

& Marshall, 1988).

Normative elements. Normative elements include the informal norms, values,

standards, expectations, regimes, roles, conventions, practices, taboos, customs,

traditions, and codes of conduct that guide behavior and decisions (Scott, 2001; North,

1990). �Emphasis here is placed on normative rules that introduce a prescriptive,

evaluative, and obligatory dimension to social life. Normative systems include both

values and norms.� (Scott, 2001: 54) Values are conceptions of the preferred or the

desirable. Norms specify how things should be done; they define legitimate means to

pursue valued ends. Normative systems define goals and objectives (eg. winning the

game, making a profit) but also designate appropriate ways to pursue them (e.g. rules

specifying how the game is to be played, conceptions of fair business practices) Many

occupational groups, both professional and craft-based, generate and enforce work norms

and actively promulgate standards and codes to govern conduct (Van Maanen & Barley

1984; Brunsson & Jacobsson, 2000). Sociologists are particularly likely to emphasize

normative aspects of institutions.

Cultural-cognitive elements. Cultural-cognitive elements�the �operating

mechanisms of the mind� (North, 2005)�include shared beliefs, categories, identities,

schemas, scripts, heuristics, logics of action and mental models (Scott, 2001). These

elements are cultural in the sense that social reality is referenced and rationalized against

external symbolic frameworks and cognitive in the sense that social reality is interpreted

and constructed through internalized frames of meaning-making (Scott, 2001). Thus, both

external cultural benchmarks and internalized interpretive processes shape perceptions

and explanations of social reality. Some of the most important cultural-cognitive

elements provide archetypes for dividing labor, constructing organizations and project

teams, and crafting recipes and routines for conducting work (Greenwood & Hinings,

1993; Whitley; 1992a; 1992b). Cultural anthropologists and organizational theorists

emphasize these cultural-cognitive elements (Douglass, 1986; Geertz, 1973; DiMaggio &

Powell, 1991).

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METHODS

Method Selection

A case-based method was chosen for four reasons. First, it provides a level of in-depth

scrutiny that survey methods omit , thus offering a prospect of new insights into links

among variables (Eisenhardt, 1989; Glaser & Strauss, 1967; Yin, 2003). Second, we

attempt to respond to calls in prior literature for case-based approaches providing insights

into the high incidence of failure and instability in global ventures (Parkhe, 1993; Parke

& Shin, 1991). Third, we seek to address research questions that begin with the word

�how�. This type of question, with a focus on processes in naturally occurring events

over which a researcher has no control, is ideally suited to a case-based research strategy,

with primary data collection by observation and open-ended interview (Yin, 2003).

Finally, as noted above, the method is intended to contrast with earlier studies that use

employ survey methods and employ cultural distance as an abstract metric. Rather, we

examine a set of concrete critical-incidents�and analyze the rich multivariate interaction

of actors, decisions, behaviors, errors, emotions and outcomes.

Data Collection

Data sources. The primary mode of data collection was by interview. The interviews

lasted one to two hours, were digitally recorded for subsequent transcription and review,

and conducted during the 18 months between May, 2003 and November, 2004.

Informants also provided extensive secondary archival data enriching the contextual

background surrounding many of the critical incidents, including newspaper articles,

project briefs, internal memos, email, organization charts, budgets, schedules and other

project documents.

Informants. We interviewed 39 managers�civilian and military�who had worked

on global projects with roles and responsibilities in management, engineering, design and

construction. This sample represented 29 distinct organizations ranging in size from small

consulting companies to the U.S. Navy. In combination, the collection of informants had

experience on projects in over 60 countries in various sectors, including oil and gas,

power, and construction, both civil and manufacturing. The goal of interviewing

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informants from many organizations, in many industry sectors, on many projects, in

many countries was to develop a general descriptive model.

Informant selection. Many factors were considered in the selection of informants. We

sought individuals with direct global experience who agreed to have the interview

recorded. To reduce recall biases, data collection was limited to informants on active

projects, or on projects that had been completed within the last ten years. Another,

practical consideration was access. The Civil Engineering faculty at Stanford University

generously offered leads to alumni and industry affiliates.

Starting-point of investigation. Although we had institutional theory in mind as a

conceptual guide for fieldwork, and a strong sense from reviewing the literature that

institutional gaps would lead to conflicts and costs, we did not know how these situations

actually unfold. Thus, we made every attempt to begin our interviews with a tabula

rasa�an open mind, as recommended by established methodology primers6. Glaser and

Strauss (1967:37) advise, �An effective strategy is, at first, literally to ignore the

theoretical and empirical literature on the area under study, in order to assure that the

emergence of categories will not be contaminated by concepts more suited to different

areas. Similarities and differences with the literature can be established after the analytic

core of categories has emerged.�

Interview questions. The interviews followed an open-ended format. Informants were

encouraged to talk about challenges their organization had faced on a recent global

6 Clearly, this contradicts Yin�s (1989) position that case studies should start with a priori theoretical propositions. Far too often, it seems, researchers engage in unproductive debate over the level of theoretical purity that a researcher should possess when data collection begins. One camp argues that the tabula rasa blank theoretical mind is effectively impossible to achieve (e.g., Parkhe, 1993). The other camp contends that avoiding a priori theoretical constructs prevents conceptual contamination and theoretical capitalism (e.g., Glaser, 1992). However, this debate loses centrality when we recognize that Cressey, Eisenhardt, Glaser and Strauss, Lindeman, and Yin all subscribe to slightly different variations of the same fundamental inductive approach to theory building and that each methodological variation can have a proper place and a proper time. While it may be sensible to begin with a priori constructs if a researcher intends to challenge or refine an existing dominant theory (e.g., Yan & Gray, 1994), this may not be sensible for an exploratory study in a novel domain (e.g., Galunic & Eisenhardt, 2001). Rather than justifying whether one method is right, and one is wrong, it seems fruitful that researchers take a contingency approach to select a starting point for inductive study based on the attributes of the research situation. Such attributes include: characteristics of the research, maturity of extant theory, researcher preference, researcher strengths and researcher domain experience. Such an approach shifts discussion away from �right versus wrong� towards �more or less appropriate� given the situational attributes. Following this logic, we started the present study looking for institutional exceptions, but did our best to avoid any predetermined notion of how these situations would look or transpire.

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project. These interviews began with open-ended questions such as, �Take me on a grand

tour of the project;� or, �Tell me about the challenges on the project that were

surprising.� There are two key points to note about these broad questions. First, by

requesting a grand-tour of a project, including many challenges beyond the scope of the

study, such as challenges with an unfamiliar natural environment or a new technology,

we could direct latter stages of an interview toward specific challenges that had arisen

from the unfamiliar social world�such as differences in beliefs, taboos, protocols or

rules. Second, these general questions created opportunities for spontaneous discussion

around emergent topics. For example, questions like, �No kidding�how much did that

cost?�, or, �Oh�there was a meeting?� encouraged respondents to offer more detail

about costs and resolutions to an exception.

Data Analysis

Inductive philosophy. The data analysis philosophy was grounded-theory building

(Eisenhardt, 1989), analytic induction (Robinson, 1951; Znaniecki, 1934) and the

�constant comparative� method, articulated by Glaser and Strauss (1967:105). This

method entails, �first, coding each incident in the data into as many categories of analysis

as possible and comparing incidents [in] each category; second, integrating categories

and their properties�resulting in a unified and �developing theory; and third, delimiting

the theory�and reformulating it with a smaller set of higher level concepts.� This

approach differs from enumerative induction, which applies statistics to assess the

strength of relationships between variables. Instead, by constant comparison,

�Cumulative growth and development of theory is obtained by formulating a

generalization in such a way that negative cases force us either to reject the generalization

or to revise it� (Lindesmith, 1947:12). In this manner, the exceptional instance serves as

the point where science is extended, refined and forced to grow.

Iterative analysis. With this philosophy, vignette preparation, random-member

checks, analysis, and follow-up interviews were performed in an iterative and dynamic

process. Critical incidents�where an unforeseen challenge on a global project could be

traced back to differing institutions�were written up in vignette format with a

chronological story-like summary of key details and events (Miles & Huberman,

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16

1994:81). As vignettes were completed, random member checks (Lincoln and Guba,

1985) were conducted by email7 to ask informants to verify accuracy and approve the

disguise of traceable details, such as dollar amounts and locations. As analysis

progressed, brief follow-up interviews�from five to 30 minutes�were conducted by

telephone to clarify facts, thicken data and clarify the emerging theory.

Level of analysis. The critical incidents that were analyzed existed between

organizational entities. But in all cases, individual informants acted as spokespersons for

their organizations or for small directly-engaged teams within their larger organizations,

which is common in management science (Galunic & Eisenhardt, 2001; Yan & Gray,

1994).

Vignette selection. Of the 39 informants, 19 were able to confidently describe details

surrounding a critical incident well enough to support the preparation of a vignette. Four

informants provided data for two vignettes. In total, 23 vignettes were written up, and for

each, Table 1 displays major characteristics of the informant, their organization, and the

project. Interviews with the other 20 informants did not yield a detailed critical incident.

Many of these informants talked primarily of technical challenges, unforeseen problems

posed by the natural environment, or discussed in general terms culture, management

styles, or local customs, but did not share in-depth, specific examples of institutional

incidents. Hence, although these interviews did not produce vignettes, they did provide

context for interpreting the problems described by other informants.

Appendix 1 provides the full-length versions of the 23 vignettes, which are also

summarized in Table 2.

Cross-vignette analysis matrix. In order to compare and contrast incidents, we

�stacked comparable cases� so as to summarize categories and codes in a condensed

tabular format (Miles & Huberman, 1994: 69) and unify the factual basis of the �generic

narrative model,� or �typical story� (Abbott, 1992).

7 Excerpt from email to informants: �I would like to publish a story from our interview in a scientific publication. It is important to verify two criteria: (1) That all factual details are accurately represented, and (2) That the content is appropriately disguised to ensure confidentiality of the parties involved. Please read the story and let me know if it meets these criteria. If it needs modification, please suggest appropriate changes.�

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TABLE 2 Condensed Vignette Summaries

ID No. Key Sequence of Events

1 A US architect reported design progress by a US reporting convention that unintentionally mislead a Korean client to interpret design was progressing faster than was the case; this hurt the relationship

2 A foreign proposal to dam a river for hydroelectric power generation infuriated locals who believed in an ancestral spirit in a waterfall on the river that would cease to flow; this caused a public outcry

3 A US firm offered a Chinese workforce a performance incentive that failed because of local beliefs that an excellent employment record might attract government harassment; this damaged productivity

4 A US manager's patterns of informal conversation confused a Japanese manager who misinterpreted a sarcastic statement as an urgent request; he commited resources to a losing course of action

5 A US manager in charge of procuring local materials violated norms of personal exchange in Albania; he faced unexpected extortion from clan members who were responsible for sanctioning deviators

6 A group of US investors imposed a standard US format for the preparation of proforma financial statements on several European partners who at first were unwilling to comply; this hurt the relationship

7 A US project manager threatened to reject a sub-contractor's beam installation on a Chinese holiday associated with good luck and good fortune; this damaged the relationship

8 Joint venture partners had diverging cultural philosophies towards pursuing change orders to return a project that was losing money to profitability; a long-standing dispute destroyed the relationship

9 A Canadian contractor evaluating a project in Russia failed to understand the locally accepted function of paying bribes to secure work; they failed to win a contract they thought had been promised to them

10 A US design team held "working design meetings" with a Korean client whose unfamiliarity with this practice led them to be uncooperative and question the US team's technical ability; this soured relations

11 A Japanese firm's focus on technical excellence and professional duty caused them to fall victim to a US firm's intentional attempts to delay a project by refusing to pass quality inspections; this cost millions

12 A US firm's standard design for a high rise office building was unacceptable to a local partner who refused to collaborate unless the plan was modified; this caused friction in the relationship

13 A US contractor was unfamiliar with protocols of negotiation in Turkey and went ahead with a project without obtaining the necessary local approvals; this hurt the relationship and delayed the project

14 US designers expected a Spanish contractor to prepare shop drawings but the Spanish industry is organized such that contractors do not normally prepare shop drawings; a one year delay was incurred

15 A Japanese firm failed to understand the US process of submitting formal change orders when they over ran the budget on a guaranteed maximum price contract; they lost 15% of the contract value

16 A Canadian engineering team failed to comply with the local protocol of meeting with the villiage chieftain to approve of village projects; they faced sabotoge and other mysterious barriers to productivity

17 A Canadian firm violated the local taboo of promoting employees of a particular ethnicity to positions of management; they faced ostracism and ridicule by other locals

18 A US contractor failed to consider the tribal traditions of a Phillipine patriarchal society; their project was sabotoged and they faced costly delays

19 A US design team tried to persuade a Japanse client to change an expensive, but customary, building material listed on a blue print; this cost several months of negotiation

20 A US team had a Spanish sub-contractor sign a standard contract document; it was deemed unenforcable by Spanish legal counsel and ended up costing the US firm many hundred thousand dollars

21 A US organization forced a Japanese firm to comply with US safety regulations that violated a longstanding Japanese workpractice; this created friction in the relationship

22 Several US organizations tried to invest in projects in Vietnam but were unable to sign exlusive contracts with Vietnemese agents for lack of a modern legal system; they fled Vietnam and wrote-down the investment

23 A US firm developing a new chemical plant in Canada was unaware of a provincial government requirement that called for a local engineer to certify project design drawings; this added unexpected costs and delays

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Limitations

Isolation of institutional elements. In a complex world, it is artificial to isolate

beliefs, norms or rules from other co-occurring and inter-reliant institutional elements

(Hirsch, 1997). Indeed, full-fledged institutional systems exist as a tangled web of

mutually-reinforcing elements. In any human system , tacit beliefs underlie and are

influenced by informal norms, and informal norms give rise to and are changed by formal

rule creation and maintenance (Greif, 1994; North, 2005; Giddens, 1979). Thus, our

analytic differentiation of elements�cultural-cognitive, normative and regulative�is an

oversimplification employed to identify the varying forces at work, but we recognize the

interdependence of these elements and marvel in the complexity of real world systems.

It is equally difficult to unpack and disentangle institutional and technological effects.

For example, do differences in work practices between US and Chinese scaffold workers

reflect differing institutions or differing technologies? While the technologies

(materials, methods) employed are clearly different, it is also the case that these

variations are reinforced by sets of differing institutions among scaffold vendors, workers

and safety inspectors. This is but one of many ways in which technologies are shaped by

social structures and conventions, and vice versa (Bijker, Hughes, and Pinch 1987;

Orlikowski 1992). However, here we attempt to control or bracket the effects of

technological differences in order to concentrate on institutional exceptions.

One-sided perspective. All of the cases were constructed from interviews with an

entrant�admittedly a one-sided point of view.8 The host�s version of the story was not

solicited, so that we were unable to explicitly attend to how host country stakeholders

perceive, interpret or respond to an entrant�s contested actions. Any comments in this

regard reflect our own inferences, based on the informant�s recollections. In the same

vein, our approach captures how foreign firms incur unforeseen costs on global projects

but, unfortunately, neglects those costs incurred by host countries.

8 We use the terms foreign entrant and local host, or just entrant and host, throughout, rather loosely, as

labels to capture the two parties in each critical incident. Our naming convention is that the informant, or the informant�s organization, is always defined as the entrant; and the second party in the cross-cultural interaction is always defined as the host. In most cases the entrant is a foreign consulting, engineering, design or construction firm; and the host is a local firm, interest group or government body. In a few cases, the terms parent and partner may have been more fitting, but for simplicity, we stick with entrant and host throughout.

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Oversimplification of process. The evolution of cooperative teamwork is a complex,

iterative, feedback-driven process (Doz, 1993). When critical incidents interrupt

teamwork, actions, observations, inferences, conclusions and responses occur rapidly,

repeatedly and concurrently. In our analysis, we linearize this process, identifying

discreet, ordered stages. Obviously, reality is more complex, but, this dissection

illuminates ways in which all institutional exceptions are remarkably alike, although we

recognize that each is also different.

FINDINGS

How are institutional exceptions triggered? How are they resolved? And how are the

costs manifested? Vignette analysis revealed a three-phase generic narrative model to

answer these questions. Each phase entails three steps: a mode of thought, an associated

behavior, and a result. These phases and steps emerged from analysis of the cross-

vignette matrix. We develop propositions to sum up each step and note insights that

challenge, and fortify, extant theory.

Phase 1. Challenging Host Institutions

The evidence employed is summarized in Table 3, arranged to show how the first phase

of all 23 critical incidents is described by a three-step sequence: (1) an ignorant entrant,

(2) acts in a way that deviates from local institutions, (3) resulting in signals, attempted

corrections, and costs.

Institutional ignorance. Institutional ignorance has two key aspects: a knowledge

deficit about local institutional elements, and reliance on previously-scripted mental

models. Table 4a reveals that all 23 exceptions were triggered by an entrant�s institutional

ignorance, which precipitated misjudgment, misunderstanding and in many cases outright

conflict. For example, problems were triggered on a project in Albania when a US

manager lacked knowledge about local trading protocols of personal exchange, and

assumed, incorrectly, that US trading practices would be agreeable to local vendors (5 -

case ID number). In other cases, the entrant�s knowledge deficit and assumptions

variously concerned: keywords marking milestones in the design process (1), beliefs in

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ancestral spirits (2), values for traditional building materials (12), habits of hiring and

promotion (17) and norms of contract enforcement (20).

TABLE 3

Ignorance, Deviant Action and Outcomes

A knowledge deficit occurs when an entrant is unfamiliar with local socially-

constructed institutional elements and arrangements. Table 3a indicates that in six cases,

the entrant�s knowledge deficit concerned basic cognitive-cultural institutions; in 13

cases, normative institutions; and in the remaining four cases, regulative institutions.

Table 3a indicates that in all 23 cases, the entrant�s knowledge deficit was exacerbated

when they placed unquestioned reliance in pre-existing�and misleading�mental

models, constructed from experiences in an institutionally-distant setting. Internalized

experiences, mental pictures, rules-of-thumb, presumptions, inferences, expectations,

priorities, taxonomies, know-how, judgments and algorithms are among the many mental

models at the core of personal and professional knowledge. Thus, the cases suggest that

ID No.

ID RN IA FT I ET MC Ignorance1 c X c,am s m rl ID = institutional differences2 c X v,a so w rl, of, s, rp c = cultural-cognitive n = normative 3 c X v,s s d rl, of r = regulative4 c X c o h rl, of RN = reliance on pre-scripted mental modelsa

5 c,n X c so w e6 c,n X c s w rl, of Deviant Action7 c,n X a s h rl IA = take inappropriate action8 c,n X v so d rl, of FT = fail to take required action9 c,n X am,a s w rl, of c = confuses LH; a = angers LH

10 n X c s d rl, of v = violates LH; s = scares LH11 n X po s w of am = accidentally misleads LH12 n X c s h rl, rp po = creates predatory opportunity for LH13 n X c,v so d rl, of14 n X c,am s m rl, of Results of Ignorance15 n X po s m rl, of I = intensity of cues from LH16 n X a v o d rl, of, s s = subtle; o = overt; so = subtle building to overt17 n X v,a o w rl, s, rp ET = elapsed time to recieve cues from LH18 n X a so m rl, s, of, e h = hours; d = days; w = weeks; m = months19 n X c s w rl MC = major associated costs20 r X po so m rl rl = relationship damage; s = sanctions21 r X v o d rl, s of = opportunity forgone; e = extortion22 r X c,s so m rl, of rp = reputation damage23 r X c o w of

a Such as institutional presumptions, experiences, expectations, judgements and rules of thumb.

3a 3b 3c

LegendDeviant Action

Results of IgnoranceIgnorance

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past experience is actually a detriment when non-locally validated and calibrated mental

models lead to inadvertent overconfidence.

Several of the critical-incidents involved an entrant who was confused by an

unfamiliar �social actor� (16,18,22). Social actors refer to legitimate roles and

responsibilities for individuals and organizations (Scott et. al., 2000). In the US, social

actors include lawyers, paralegals, venture capitalists, engineers, corporations, not-for-

profits, states, counties, the FBI and the central bank (indeed, the �nation-state�, itself, is

a social actor). From country to country, social actors exist with a tremendous array of

forms and functions, each with unique rules and logics. Some of the largest unforeseen

costs were reported when a manager could not find an expected social actor, or

encountered, often problematically, an unexpected one. For example, a US manager on a

soccer stadium project in China reported the absence of bonding agencies and trade

unions; and they experienced the unpleasant discovery of a government design institute,

and a government inspection company. Differences in the cast of expected actors, and

their accompanying sets of rules or logics, caused many unbudgeted project costs. To

recap this evidence formally, and link to the next step:

Proposition 1a: When institutions differ between entrant and host, the entrant is

prone to unintentionally deviate from local routines and arrangements.

Proposition 1b: The more institutions differ, the larger or more apparent is an

entrant�s deviations.

Proposition 1c: The greater an entrant�s reliance on previously-scripted mental

models, the larger an entrant�s deviations.

Deviant act. Employing inappropriate premises, in each case, the entrant committed

an unintentional act of deviation�either by commission or omission�that provoked

negative feelings and a response from the host. Commission is an act of committing or

perpetrating an offense against the beliefs, norms or laws of a host. For example, in

Uganda, a US bank enraged locals when they proposed a project that would have

destroyed a waterfall that was thought to house an ancestral spirit (2). Omission is an act

of leaving something out or failing to do something that is required under the host�s

institutions. For example, in Cameroon, a Canadian engineering team angered a village

chieftain by initiating a community development project without seeking his consent, a

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expected practice in that society (16). In other cases, contested acts ranged from applying

a new pay incentive system, which violated local norms (3), to mandating an obligatory

format for pro-forma financials, which confused a host (6), to failing to pay usual bribes,

which misled and angered a host (9), to failing to submit change-orders, which created

predatory opportunities for a host (15).

From the entrant�s frame of reference, few of these actions were considered deviant�

they were seen as entirely routine or rational. Although they were not flagrant violations

within the context of each case, 18 were classified as acts of commission, three were

classified as acts of omission, and two were counted in both categories (see Table 3b).

From the host�s perspective, these contested acts were the source of negative emotions

and responses. Table 3b indicates that in 13 cases, feelings of confusion were triggered;

in 9 cases, the local host felt violated; and in 2 cases each, feelings of fright, deception or

exploitation were provoked. These emotions, along with a complex of other factors�

such as the centrality of the institution broken by the entrant, the host�s culturally-

preferred styles of communication and conflict resolution, and the host�s level of

sensitivity and tolerance towards the entrant�s beliefs, norms and laws�influenced the

host�s response. For example, the angry chieftain in the Cameroon sabotaged equipment

and materials that belonged to the Canadian engineering team. From the engineering

team�s perspective, this response served as a warning flag that something was awry. To

summarize more formally, and to link to the next step,

Proposition 2a: When an entrant�s behavior is viewed as deviant, it will lead to

various kinds of signals and negative reactions from the host, with associated costs for

the entrant.

Proposition 2b: The more central the institution broken by the entrant, the more likely

is the host to react in a severe manner, and the greater the costs for the entrant.

Proposition 2c: The more tolerant and understanding the host, the less likely is the

host to react in an extreme manner, and the less the costs for the entrant.

Outcome of ignorance. The result of an entrant�s deviation is two-fold: after some

period of time, they perceive negative signals from the host; and they suffer a variety of

unexpected costs. For example, at a design meeting on an airport project, a local client

showed visible disapproval through body language and facial expressions with the lack of

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progress on architectural drawings (1). These signals were sufficiently overt that the US-

British designers who had prepared the drawings became instantly aware of a

misunderstanding. But by the time these signals were received, the trust relationship

between the designers and the client was �crippled beyond repair�.

In other cases, signals and hints ranged from a client explaining that a tugboat was

ordered for the wrong day (4), to an angry project sponsor demanding a project be halted

(13), to a client failing to respond to escalating cost reports within a reasonable time

period (15). Associated costs included strained relations and a fee for a tugboat and crew

(4), several days of project delay with senior managers locked in debate (13), and US

$20M in potential cost overruns (15).

When the entrant finally perceives the host�s cues, they recognize that an exception

has arisen. At first, entirely unaware of having failed to comply with a local protocol,

they act surprised (13) or confused (11). In many cases, this point of realization starts

with a �gut-feeling� that things were not going to plan (14,11). As one informant noted,

�the project just wasn�t working out, we knew we had to change our tact (19).�

Table 4c indicates that in cases where a host�s signals were more frequent or overt, the

entrant perceived them more rapidly than when they were more subtle. Overt responses

occurred when a host was frightened and acting in a mode of self-protection (18,2), or

angered and acting in a mode of retaliation (17). In contrast, subtle responses, such as

passive silent treatment (12), or steady pressure to conform to local expectations (6)

typically resulted when a host was troubled or uncertain about how to react (14,19), or

afraid to react at all (3) Among our cases, we classified cues as subtle in eight cases; as

overt in seven; and as subtle escalating to more overt in eight.

Unforeseen costs were associated with each deviant action. Five categories of costs

were identified from the data: relationship damage, reputation damage, opportunities

forgone, sanctions and extortion (Table 4c). Relationship damage occurs when an

entrant�s trust-relationship with local partners is harmed (1). Reputation damage occurs

when an entrant is publicly ostracized, ridiculed or defamed (2). Opportunities forgone

occurs when an entrant unwittingly commits resources to a losing course of action (6).

Sanctions refer to situations in which an entrant faces penalties or punishment as a

consequence of a deviant action (21). Extortion is when an entrant faces threats of

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intimidation, public accusation, exposure or demands for payments of bribes (18). From

an entrant�s outlook, these costs�which are not explicitly written into budgets and

forecasts�are unforeseen, unpredictable and surprising; thus, they can have major

adverse impact on project performance.

Some authors hypothesize that deep cultural-cognitive institutions lead to the most

complex, costly challenges (Hofstede, 1984; Khagram, 2004). However, on projects at

least, our case analysis suggests a different view. When entrants misjudged norms and

rules, the costs were equally unpredictable, and severe, as when they misjudged

cognitive-cultural aspects (see Table 3).

In the end, a better indicator of cost severity appears to be the elapsed time between an

entrant�s contested action and their �point of realization��or first awareness of an

exception. This elapsed time varied tremendously: in three cases, it was hours; in seven,

days; in eight, weeks; and in five, months. The data indicate that the longer this time

period, the more irrevocable were decisions and resource commitments, the more

difficult it was to correct mistakes and repair relations (see Table 4c). Yet, there was no

obvious link between the type of element that caused the exception�cultural-cognitive,

normative or regulative�and the length of this time lag. It appears that relational and

personal dynamics were more central. To summarize and tie to the next step,

Proposition 3a: The longer the lag time from an entrant�s contested act, to their

perception of a host�s cues, the greater the costs for the entrant.

Proposition 3b: The more sensitive an entrant, the sooner they perceive a host�s cues.

Proposition 3c: The more overt are a host�s cues, the sooner an entrant perceives

them.

Proposition 3d: When an entrant perceives a host�s cues, they become aware of an

exception and enter a mode of sensemaking.

Phase 2. Making Sense of a Host�s Institutions

What happens after an entrant perceives hints and signals of disapproval from the local

host? Table 4 depicts a three-step process of sensemaking that applies to all 23 cases: (1)

an entrant�s mindset of sensemaking, (2) compels a search for local knowledge, (3) which

results in improved understanding of local institutions but at the cost of further resources.

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Sensemaking. Sensemaking ranges from open-minded inquiry to close-minded

justification of pre-existing mental models (Weick, 1995). For example, upon realizing

that local natives worshipped a spirit in a waterfall downstream of a proposed dam site, a

US bank was very open-minded and spent several months attempting to understand the

native religious orientations (2). In contrast, the US Navy was close-minded on a project

in Spain�even after a one-year delay they were still confused as to why a Spanish

contractor causing this delay was unable to complete the required shop-drawings (14).9

TABLE 1

Sensemaking, Local Knowledge Search and Outcomes

9 This exception, we think, based on discussions with non-Navy managers who had Spain country-

experience, stemmed from the fact that the US and Spanish AEC industries are organized differently. In Spain, contractors do not have in-house designers, architects or engineers to prepare shop-drawings. Instead, this expertise resides in engineering and design firms. Whereas, in the US, contractors typically have design expertise in-house. Thus, the Spanish firm was confused by the Navy�s demand that they do shop-drawings. But the Navy, being close-minded, could not figure out the root-cause of this exception�even after many complaints from the contractor and a year�s delay.

ID No.

CM IB OM HM SA ET NC AC Sensemaking1 X i,e w 2 m,ct CM = close-minded & rigid adherence2 X i,e g,p m 1 m,c,ct to pre-existing knowledge3 X i,e g,p w 1 m,c,ct OM = open-minded inquiry & adaptation 4 X i,e h 3 m,ct of pre-existing knowledge5 X i,e w 3 m,ct IB = inbetween6 X i,e g m 2 m,ct7 X i h 1 m,c,ct Local Knowledge Search8 X i,e m 3 m,ct HM = hold meetings9 X i,e g d 2 m,ct i = internal; e = external

10 X i,e w 2 m,ct SA = seek answers from third-party locals11 X i,e m 3 m,ct g = general public; p = paid consultants 12 X i,e g m 1 m,ct13 X i,e g d 2 m,ct Results of Sensemaking14 X i,e m 3 m,ct ET = elapsed time in mindset of sensemaking15 X i,e p m 1 m,c,ct h = hours; d = days; w = weeks; m = months16 X i,e g w 1 m,ct NC = new clarity of knowledge of local17 X i,e g w 1 m,ct institutional code18 X i,e p w 2 m,c,ct 1 = high; 2 = med; 3 = low19 X i,e g,p w 1 m,c,ct ACa = associated costs20 X i,e g,p d 2 m,c,ct m = managerial effort; c = consultant fees21 X i,e g,p d 1 m,c,ct ct = communication & travel22 X i,e p m 3 m,c,ct23 X i,e p d 1 m,ct

a A fourth cost is project delay. It is not shown explicitly, as the durations listed under the "ET" category are indicative.

LegendSense-making Local Knowledge Search

Results of Sensemaking

4a 4b 4c

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In cases of open-minded sensemaking, the entrant was consciously inquisitive (3) or

outwardly curious (16). In cases of close-minded sensemaking, the entrant stubbornly

denied it was their mistake (10,11,22), blamed the host (4) or was irritated that a host did

not favorably respond to their repeated attempts to �rectify� the situation (10,11,14). In

other cases, the entrant�s mindset was in-between these extreme modes of thought

(6,15,20).

The cases indicate that sensemaking processes occur both at conscious and

unconscious levels of awareness. Some entrants question, ponder and discuss in groups

the sequence of events, conversations and decisions leading up to an exception. They

introspectively examine the origin and applicability of their own expectations and mental

models. They intentionally seek to observe, evaluate and adapt their behaviors to fit

within the constraints of the local institutional code, much like a chameleon changes

colors to blend into a new environment. Other close-minded entrants outwardly oppose

unfamiliar institutions�justifying their actions against their internal reference-frames

and rationalizing their pre-existing mental models and presumptions (10,22). Not one

informant admitted to a fundamental distaste for the local way of life or business, but, in

many vignettes, it was obvious that prior mental models were at odds with local

institutions and obstructed reflection and adaptation.

In general, the cases suggest that as entrants accumulate global experience, they

become more open-minded in their sensemaking�both more investigative and more

tolerant of new institutions. In contrast, several entrants working abroad for the first time

were obstinately closed-minded (4,12). To summarize more formally, and link to the next

step,

Proposition 4a: The greater an entrant�s global experience, the more open-minded

they are.

Proposition 4b: The more open-minded an entrant, , the more extensive is their search

for local institutional knowledge.

Local knowledge search behavior. The search for local knowledge includes any effort

to understand local institutions. For example, when a US bank became aware that the

locals were unhappy with a project, they sent a cultural anthropologist to explore local

values and beliefs, held �town-hall� meetings to elicit local concerns, and met internally

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to discuss facts, opinions and possible courses of action in a collective process of mutual

consensus-building (2). In other cases, local knowledge search involved seeking advice

from consultants (15), holding formal and informal meetings with colleagues (12) and

local stakeholders (14), talking with friends (19) or members of the local population (16)

and reading about local customs (13).

Many different strategies were applied to learn about unfamiliar institutions.

Informants relied on third-party friends, university alumni or acquaintances who played a

key role as confidantes and were trusted for honest advice because of their third-party

distance from a critical incident (3); local consultants, hired to provide a professional

opinion for large, complicated or confidential exceptions (3,15,18); a local guide

organization or joint venture partner (7); and translators, to assist in clarifying

communications�several noted that due to conflict, they hired their own translator

because they could not trust the host�s translator (7). Finally, the case evidence indicates

that more open-minded entrants triangulated among many sources of local knowledge to

increase the breadth and validity of their understandings (3,16,19). To summarize more

formally, and tie to the next step,

Proposition 5a: The more extensive is an entrant�s local knowledge search, the

greater the clarity of their mental models concerning local institutions.

Outcome of sensemaking. The result of an entrant�s sensemaking is two-fold: after

some period of time, a new clarity of knowledge about local institutions may emerge; and

a variety of unexpected costs may be entailed in this process. For example, on a dam

construction project in Turkey, an entrant reported that the sensemaking period lasted

several days, involving tense negotiations with the project sponsor, internal meetings,

reading a book called �The Arab Mind� and sleepless nights (13). In other cases,

sensemaking resulted in new insight into local building codes (23), a clearer conception

of tribal traditions and values in an indigenous community (18), new awareness of a

traditional Japanese work-practice to wear soft-toed shoes for scaffold work (21), a new

knowledge of Chinese beliefs about good luck (7) and a better sense of how bribes are

used to secure work in Russia (9).

But, not all sensemaking efforts brought clear understandings. In other cases the

entrant remained confused, even after perceiving cues, recognizing an exception and

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attempting to understand the situation. For example, a Japanese contractor was never able

to decipher the use of sarcasm in US conversation (4), the US Navy did not seem to

understand the division of labor in Spain (14), and a US manager could not interpret

protocols of personal exchange in Albania (5).

The primary positive outcome of the sensemaking process is a new clarity of

understanding about unfamiliar institutions. Across the cases, we judged an entrant�s

clarity of knowledge�on a low, medium, high scale�based on how clearly they were

able to answer our �how� and �why� questions about the inner-workings of the local

logics and rule systems. The more open-minded entrants, who had aggressively inquired

about local institutions, were generally able to recount specific details, and explain subtle

nuances of the local systems. For example, when we asked a Canadian manager why he

had been ridiculed on a project in Malaysia for promoting Indian employees to

management positions, he launched into a 25 minute explanation of 100 years of

Malaysian history, how the balance of power had historically been divided between

Chinese, Malays and Indians, and how long-standing Malaysian traditions had influenced

the norms and expectations faced on his specific project (17). In contrast, the entrant�s

who were closed-minded were unable to give clear, coherent, logical accounts (14). The

cases indicate that an entrant�s open-mindedness is linked to the amount of energy they

expend to acquire local knowledge, and thus, the quality and accuracy of the opinions

that they form.

For each case, we estimated the length of time spent in sensemaking. This period

varied tremendously across the cases: in two cases, it consumed a few hours; in five, it

took several days, in eight, several weeks, and in eight, months were required. The cases

where an entrant was close-minded (8, 11, 14, 22), or the stakes were very high (2, 6, 15)

tended to result in longer periods of sensemaking.

Costs of sensemaking include delay, time spent in meetings, communications, travel,

rework and consultant fees. Significant opportunity costs result when exceptions tie-up

senior executives and managers (1, 2, 8, 15, 20). In general, the longer the period of time

spent diagnosing local institutions, the greater the absolute cost of this activity. (Note, the

usefulness of this metric is debatable as there is a relative trade-off between absolute

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costs of local knowledge search and benefits of improving end outcomes.) To summarize

more formally and tie to the next step,

Proposition 6a: The longer the local knowledge search period, the greater are

absolute costs of the sensemaking process (but these may be offset by benefits that

come with greater clarity of local institutional knowledge).

Phase 3. Responding to a Host�s Institutions

After sensemaking, an entrant moves into a mindset of response. We employ the data in

Table 5 to illustrate how the third phase of all 23 critical incidents is described by a three-

step process: (1) an entrant formulates and compares response alternatives, (2) enacts a

response, (3) and achieves some outcome, which often leads to additional costs.

Response. An entrant enters a mindset of response after becoming convinced, either

rightly or wrongly, that they understand local logics, rules and feasible response

possibilities. In this mode, an entrant evaluates and selects a course of action perceived to

best minimize costs of their contested act. For example, a US manager on a soccer

stadium project in China had been angered when a Chinese contractor erected a truss that

failed to meet quality standards. But, after threatening to have the contractor removed

from the project, he learned from a translator that this particular day of the year was a

Chinese holiday associated with good luck, and that the truss had only been erected to

show �symbolic progress� (7). With this new knowledge, the US manager was able to

consider several alternative responses. In other cases, the entrant�s mindset of logical

response focused on repairing a strained relationship (16), recovering an unpaid fee (15),

avoiding the payment of bribes (5,9) improving the productivity of a Chinese workforce

(3) and negotiating an agreeable work plan (13).

The cases suggest a link between an entrant�s clarity of local knowledge at the end of

sensemaking, their reliance on local knowledge during response formulation, and the

number of alternative responses considered. Indeed, in the ten cases where an entrant�s

clarity of knowledge at the end of sensemaking was classified as high (Table 4c), for 8,

the entrant relied heavily on this new local knowledge in response formulation (Table

5a), and in all ten, the entrant consciously weighed the costs and benefits of multiple

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TABLE 2 Response, Response Action and Outcomes

response alternatives (Table 5a). On the other hand, in the six cases where the entrant�s

clarity of knowledge at the end of sensemaking was low (Table 4c), for all 6, the entrant

relied almost solely on pre-existing mental models (Table 5a) and no more than one

response alternative was evaluated (Table 5a).

As with sensemaking, a mindset of response operates along a continuum ranging from

conscious to unconscious. There is an age-old distinction between decisions made by

intuition�fast, effortless, automatic and associative�and those made by reasoning�

slow, controlled, effortful and rule-governed (Kahneman, 2003; Smith, 2003). The cases

indicate that when sensemaking is closed-minded�justifying pre-existing mental

models�then the end response is typically unconscious, or intuitive, without explicit

ID No.

FL W Ac C D M Av IR C Response1 on 1 X i n FL = formulate logical response relying on:2 n 3 X X i r,e o = mostly old non-local institutional knowledge3 n 3 X i n n = mostly new local institutional knowledge4 o 1 X w n on = mix of both5 o 1 X w n W = weigh costs & benefits6 on 2 X wa r,e 1 = one alternative considered7 n 2 X i r 2 = two ore more alternatives considered8 o 1 X X w w9 o 1 X X w w Response Action10 o 1 X w w Ac = acquiesce D = defy11 o 1 X w w,r M = manipulate Av = avoid 12 n 3 X i n C = compromise13 n 2 X i w14 o 1 X X w w,r Results of Responseb

15 on 2 X w w IR = impact on relationship with LH16 n 2 X i r w = worsens; i = improves17 on 3 X X wa n C = associated cost18 o 1 X i r w = write-down costs of ignorance19 n 2 X i r r = further resource commitment20 n 2 X i r e = programs to educate local host21 n 2 X i r,e n = no additional cost22 o 1 X w w23 n 3 X i w,r

a Note, negative relational impact was carefully selected by the entrant as the best possible response given the unique circumstances of the situation.b Although not shown explicitly, all informants indicated some amount of experiential learning.

LegendResponse Response Action

Results of Response

5a 5b 5c

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consideration of alternative courses of action. Alternatively, when sensemaking is open-

minded�usually reflecting greater clarity of local institutional knowledge�then the

decision process is based more on reasoning with conscious consideration of alternative

paths of action. For both response processes, the aim is to minimize impacts and

maximize benefits. The difference is that in an intuitive process, an entrant is not able to

calibrate mental models to match local practices, protocols or regulations. Summarizing

and linking to the next section,

Proposition 7a: The more an entrant�s reliance on local knowledge, the greater their

ability to create and compare alternative responses to fit local institutional

constraints.

Proposition 7b: The more reliance on local knowledge, the more likely that the entrant

will compromise or acquiesce.

Proposition 7c: The less reliance on local knowledge, the more likely that the entrant

will defy or avoid.

Response behavior. A typology proposed by Oliver (1991) consists of five strategic

responses to institutional pressure: acquiesce, defy, compromise, avoid and manipulate.

We found this typology to be useful in sorting out the entrant�s various responses. For

example, after trying for months to get European partners to adopt a standard format for

pro-forma financials, a US developer sent their CFO to train, coach and tutor

(manipulate) the partners to correctly prepare these reports (6). In other cases, the

entrant�s response was to acquiesce, by meeting a village chieftain to seek approval and

give gifts (16); to compromise, by negotiating to have 50% of a cost overrun passed on to

a US client (15) or by re-designing a pay system to make Chinese workers feel

comfortable (3); to avoid a project altogether, because paying bribes was deemed

intolerable (9); or to continue to defy, and thus terminate a soured relationship with a

joint venture partner (6).

The case evidence (Table 5) suggests that acquiescent or compromise strategies

improve host relations host while avoidance or defiance strategies worsen host relations.

For example, in the six cases with an acquiescent strategy, relations improved in four;

and in 11 with a compromise strategy, relations improved in seven. Similarly, in five

cases with a defiance strategy, relations worsened in four, and relations worsened in all

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four cases with an avoidance strategy. Finally, in three cases with a manipulative

strategy, relations worsened in two and improved in one.

There is always dynamic and iterative interaction between an entrant�s strategy and a

host�s response. Acquiescence and defiance strategies always come in pairs: if an entrant

acquiesces, essentially, the host is able to defy; if an entrant defies, the host must

acquiesce, or relations will worsen. A compromise strategy only works if both sides

agree on a mutually beneficial alternative. A manipulative strategy only works if an

entrant provides incentives, or sanctions, to motivate a host to alter beliefs, norms or

rules�or at least behaviors. An avoidance strategy severs interaction, often terminating

relations. To summarize more formally, and link to the next section,

Proposition 8a: With an acquiesce or compromise strategy, host relations likely

improve.

Proposition 8b: With an avoidance or defiant strategy, host relations likely worsen.

Proposition 8c: The greater the lag time between initial deviation and final response,

the less likely are costs reversible, or the relationship repairable.

Outcome of response. Generally speaking, the outcomes of response are improved�

or worsened�host relations, higher costs and enhanced experiential knowledge. For

example, on a dam construction project in Turkey, after US managers grasped and

acquiesced to local norms of negotiation, their relations with a project sponsor were much

healthier. For future negotiations, the informant recalled, �We did it the local way�you

know, sat and had tea, and there were no more problems.� (13) However, the �local way�

turned out to be far more time-consuming than expected, and cost several weeks of

unplanned delay. In other cases, relations with a village chieftain improved, but at the

costs of many gifts and meetings (16); relations with a US client were critically damaged

and a $5M overrun absorbed (15); relations with a Russian client were terminated, and

many months of project feasibility planning written-down as sunk costs (9); and relations

with a joint venture partner were terminated, resulting in one of the �largest losses in

recent history� (6).

An important aspect of the final outcome was whether or not relations with the host

were repaired. Table 5c shows that in 11 cases, relations were improved; in eight,

worsened; and in four, did not change. A key finding is that relational outcome is

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precipitated by an entrant�s sensemaking process. Indeed, the cases suggest a causal chain

from an entrant�s sensemaking mindset, to breadth of local knowledge search, to clarity

of understanding, to reliance on local knowledge in response selection, to response

enactment, to relational result.

Costs of the response phase were sorted into three types: absorbing initial costs of

ignorance when an act of deviance was deemed irreversible (2,23); committing resources

to educate a host (6); and developing alternatives to the original host relation (20).

In the cases where a deviant action was irreversible, the mindset of response was more

about impact minimization than about damage reversal. For example, the logical response

for a Japanese manager, who delivered a tugboat and crew to a jobsite on the wrong day,

was to re-plan delivery for the following week, and to apologize to a US project manager

(4). Or in the case of another Japanese firm, which had missed the legal window to

submit change orders, to admit a misjudgment and plea to recover a US $20M cost

overrun (15).

Finally, the cases indicate that the longer the elapsed time between an entrant�s

deviation, and end response, the more locked-in are costs and irreversible are the

damages. For example, had the Japanese contractor not gone six months before realizing

the need to submit change orders, they might have prevented their large financial loss --

US $10M and professional fee (15).

Toward A Generic Narrative Model

This research has explored how differences in institutions lead to unforeseen costs for

foreign firms. The findings are summarized in a set of propositions, and a generic

narrative model, depicted in Figure 1.

How do institutional exceptions arise? The findings suggest that ignorance�a

knowledge deficit about local institutions, with overconfidence in prior mental models�

is the condition that triggers an entrant to unintentionally take deviant actions�acts of

commission and omission�which provoke negative feelings�confusion, violation,

deception, fright and exploitation�and associated responses from the host. When the

entrant perceives these cues, they recognize an exception and enter a mode of

sensemaking.

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How are institutional exceptions resolved? The findings indicate that sensemaking,

which varies in extent of open-minded exploration, allows an entrant to examine a host�s

institutions (and to reconsider their own assumptions). Internal meetings, external parleys

and talks with locals and consultants all can bring an entrant to a new clarity of

understanding about unfamiliar logics and rules. From this new understanding, an entrant

can shift into a mindset of response and conduct a cost-benefit analysis to select the best

response alternative�acquiesce, defy, compromise, educate, manipulate or avoid. The

end result is either to improve or worsen relations with locals, and to learn, or fail to

better cope with unfamiliar institutions.

How are costs manifested in this process? Costs are incurred in each phase. After a

deviant action, costs are sanctions, damage to relations and reputation, extortion and

opportunity forgone; during sensemaking, costs are delay, time devoted to meetings,

communications, travel, and consultant fees; in response, costs are resources to enact a

response, and to absorb sunk costs. And of course, our one-sided analysis does not

capture all of the costs to the host. It is not always up to the entrant to learn, compromise

and adjust. Indeed, especially when power is asymmetric, it is more likely the host who

bends, and absorbs many unforeseen costs in this process.

How significant are these costs? These costs vary enormously both in type and in

magnitude�from less than 1% (21) to more than 100% (2,15,22) of a firm�s expected

profits on a project; they can quickly erode profit margins because of their unexpected

nature; and they seldom are easy to quantify. While money costs, such as air tickets,

consultant fees and liquidated damages can be captured in a cost accounting system, it is

next to impossible to calculate opportunity costs. How do we begin to estimate the net

present cost of a tarnished public image or soured strategic relationship? Can this cost be

measured in terms of future projects and profits forgone? How do we assess the cost of a

key executive being distracted from operational and strategic roles while resolving an

institutional exception? Is this a cost that can be measured at all?

Can these costs be avoided? Unforeseen institutional costs are largely unpredictable.

Why? Institutional systems are products of human imagination�stunningly diverse and

wonderfully complex around the planet. Each evolves along a path-dependent trace

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through history and continuously changes (North, 2005). Thus, when working in a

country the first time, it is impossible to anticipate the full set of institutional differences

that may cause problems. This is not to say that firms cannot learn to work in unfamiliar

locales. Indeed, many do. But, seldom by preplanning and rational risk assessment, as so

often is presumed, taught and tried. Instead, four strategies that firms use to reduce the

liability of foreignness are to: increase the supply of local knowledge, decrease the need

for local knowledge, improve exception handling, and encode lessons learned in the

corporate memory of policies, routines, manuals and the like (Orr, 2005).

CONNECTIONS TO THEORY

There are several perspectives that complement�and can be complemented by�the

findings.

Transaction Cost Economics

Hayek (1945) recognized that an ability to transact effectively and efficiently in a given

environment improves with increasing ‘‘local knowledge’’. Our study confirms that in the

absence of local knowledge, entrants incur high opportunity and transaction costs.

Game Theoretic View of Institutions

The observations fit closely�but also show a limit�to game theoretic approaches,

which recognize that a set of institutions in a domain evolves to a Nash equilibrium,

where all players earn a maximum payoff so long as they abide within these rules (Greif,

2005). This study confirms the view that unilateral deviation away from a stable set of

institutions results in sanctions and other unforeseen costs. It also exposes a weakness of

game theoretic approaches: the assumption that actors understand the rules. In the cases

we studied, such understanding was often missing. Instead, entrants relied on previous

knowledge and skills that often bore little or no relation to the situations encountered,

creating confusion and conflict.

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Sensemaking Theory

As we analyzed the cases, it became apparent that each vignette presented another

version of the same story�a story of sensemaking as an entrant tried to decode signals

and hints from a host, or nuances of an unfamiliar belief, or norm, or rule. Hence, the

findings suggest a new domain of empirical study for sensemaking theorists (Weick,

1995).

Theory on Self-Reference Frame and Ethnocentrism

A body of scholarly work in marketing recognizes that a self-reference frame, or

ethnocentric mindset, leads to racial prejudice, discrimination or bias (Sharma, Shimp &

Jeongshin, 1995; de Ruyter, van Birgelen & Wetzels, 1998; Yoonhyeung & Cameron,

1995). This study confirms these views, and suggests that an entrant�s pre-existing mental

models, assumptions, and stereotypes impede open-minded inquiry and learning about

unfamiliar institutions.

Descriptive Theory of Decision Making

Tversky and Kahneman (1974) show that manager�s estimates of uncertainties and ranges

are frequently biased towards overconfidence. The present study suggests that biases and

overconfidence are extremely dangerous in a foreign institutional environment, and that

foreign managers make sub-optimal decisions and resource allocations when they base

decisions on non-locally calibrated mental models.

International Management Theory

What are the traits of successful global managers? Many researchers have investigated

this question (eg. Adler & Bartholomew, 1992; Bartlett & Ghoshal, 1992). At the top of

the list one study notes, are cultural empathy, curiosity, active listening, risk acceptance,

humility, self-awareness, and emotional resilience (Wills and Barham, 1994). Why are

these traits valued? Researchers have devoted less effort to this question, but the present

study provides a tenable answer�each of these traits catalyzes a shift from ignorance to

sensemaking.

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Internationalization Theory

Internationalization theory suggests that with global experience, a firm develops a

�know-how�, or tacit ability, to acquire relevant local knowledge upon entering a foreign

environment (Eriksson et. al., 1997; Melin, 1992). The findings here support this view.

Each critical incident is like a learning episode. As experience grows, managers become

both more skilled at anticipating institutional differences, and in handling exceptions.

Cultural Globalization

The world today is dominated asymmetrically by western power and preeminence�the

imperialism of the affluent West (Sen, 2004). It is not a balanced contest. Western

institutions are generally thought to be superior�more effective and more rational. This

may be true in some areas, such as some safety, quality control and technical standards in

construction. But superiority in one area inspires hubris in others. Western economic and

political institutions are also alleged to be superior, and often are backed by world-system

authorities such as the IMF, UN or World Bank who have traditionally forced

institutional archetypes and models on less developed nations (Evans, 2004). Yet, all too

often, these attempts to assist devolve into misunderstandings and recriminations,

escalating costs for all parties.

CONCLUSIONS

Moral Dilemma

Proposition 8a suggests that firms that acquiesce to local expectations, practices and

protocols generally improve relations with local partners. Yet, this conjecture introduces

a deep moral dilemma. When is it not appropriate for entrant firms to bend to local

norms? What if locals engage in bribery, slavery, discrimination (17), unsafe practices,

pollution or non-sustainable resource extraction? It is outside of the descriptive scope of

this article to tackle this ethical dilemma head-on, and yet it is important for firms who

are working in the international arena to charily consider these questions.

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Contributions to Knowledge

This study takes a fresh approach�intentionally broader than earlier cultural distance

approaches�to inspect intercultural friction. By defining institutional exceptions,

investigating how they are resolved and providing a set of propositions and model to

generalize beyond the cases sampled, the study improves upon existing theoretical

understandings of processes of institutional conflict. The study also illuminates the

centrality of sensemaking and response processes in resolving institutional conflicts.

Agenda for Future Research

The sample of cases analyzed in this article illustrates a set of critical-incident scenarios

where institutional differences between entrant and host led to significant unforeseen

transaction costs. However, the sample of cases was intentionally selected with

replication logic to compare and contrast situations where institutional differences had

observable consequences. Thus, based on this sample it is not appropriate to conclude

that all foreign entrants on all global projects are significantly impacted by these costs.

Nor is it appropriate to draw conclusions about the fraction of unforeseen costs arising

from institutional differences versus the fraction of costs arising from differences in

technologies, materials or organizations. Therefore, the next step should be to investigate

a random sample of entrant experiences, to see if these costs are consistently significant

across a large sample of average dyadic relations between entrant firms and host entities.

More broadly, institutional theory holds an unexplored potential to shed light on

global project performance; and global projects offer a splendid natural research

laboratory to study institutional processes. With our colleagues in the Collaboratory for

Research on Global Projects, we are conducting fieldwork in the following areas: to

examine how exceptions vary across settings, phases and sub-systems as a given project

proceeds from planning to completion stages; to identify coping mechanisms�at

interpersonal, inter-team, project, firm and wider levels�to deal with exceptions; to

examine attributes of project leaders who best mollify conflicts; to identify managerial

interventions�in organization structures, contracting practices, staffing policies, or

administrative procedures�to help bridge across institutional gaps; and to trace evidence

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of organizational learning that supports improved performance within and across projects

and firms.

Contributions to Practice

Our advice to managers is three-fold. First, anticipate varied and unpredictable

differences in cultural-cognitive, normative, and regulative institutions on global projects;

and assess these gaps with an open-mind towards �localization� of strategy. Undeniably,

starting in sensemaking is far superior to ignorance. But unlocking oneself from one�s

own cultural prison is not easy. The cases reveal that even when entrants have convinced

themselves that they are adhering to a rational course of action, in many instances,

intuition was rooted in non-locally applicable mental models. Indeed, when navigating

unfamiliar institutions, past experiences may be invalid, assumptions may break down,

rules-of-thumb may require recalibration, knowledge may not bring advantage, local

beliefs, norms and customs may seem odd, and the political, financial and legal systems

may consist of a fully different set of rules, logics and enforcers. As one divisional

president at Bechtel exclaimed in an interview, �the toughest thing [on global projects] is

to train expatriates to see things differently.� This has two profound implications: it is

important�from the perspective of an executive with 45 years of global experience and

wisdom�that expatriate managers anticipate, assess and adapt to institutions in a foreign

location; but it is difficult to inspire such a transformation of mental programming.

Second, work to improve exception-handling capabilities. Exceptions are not always

preventable, so skills and processes to troubleshoot, mediate and reconcile critical

incidents are vital.

Third, understand that working globally is about change. Either locals, or entrants,

have to change their mindsets, practices, or both. Without a meeting of minds, or

practices, joint work is not possible, and development projects of importance, particularly

to local parties, cannot go forward.

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APPENDIX 1 23 Vignettes from Industry Informants

1 Reporting Design Progress�By Whose Milestones, in Korea?

A joint venture (JV) formed between a US engineering firm and a UK architectural

design firm won the bid to design a major intermodal transportation system for a major

international airport in Korea. A problem arose on this project due to a misunderstanding

about how the percentage of design completion should be reported in the design process.

The problem stemmed from the fact that in the US, there are four milestones typically

defined in design process, and in Korea only two are recognized. As the informant noted,

On the Incheon airport project, there were different conceptions about design

milestones, schematic, detailed, etc. Koreans have this definition of basic design as 30-

40% design complete and detailed design as 100% design complete. In contrast, in the

US, concept is 30%, schematic is 60%, detailed 90%, and construction documents are

100% design complete.

This caused a great amount of confusion. The Korean owner misinterpreted the

weekly US production reports and assumed that the design was progressing faster than

was actually the case. Six months in to the project, when the Koreans actually reviewed a

draft of the drawings, they were shocked at the visible lack of detail. As the US manager

remembered, There was a lot of difference in terms of what they meant by basic design and what we meant by

basic design. We thought that �basic design� meant about 10% designs complete. So, six months

into the project we showed them what we had done and it was nowhere near what they expected.

The US manager reported that the miscommunication hurt the level of trust in the

relationship, and noted that,

We spent many days and hours trying to figure out and understand the accepted process of design

in Korea. We also tried to accelerate the project, because the client was unhappy, but this led to

additional misunderstandings related to the change order process, and it all became very

cumbersome. It delayed the project substantially and also the cost escalated.

2 �Spirit in the Waterfall� in Uganda.

The US�based AES Corp., the world�s largest independent power producer, proposed to

construct a US$530�million hydroelectric dam on the Nile River. The informant who told

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this story was an employee of a third-party project review panel, and explained in an

introductory email, There were a lot of economic, social and environmental problems with the proposed dam in

addition to the fact that it would submerge the Bujagali Falls. Bujagali falls is a huge tourist

attraction, national treasure for Uganda, site of some of the best white water rafting in the world

(even better than the Colorado River), and is also known to house a spirit worshiped by the locals.

According to a public website operated by the International Rivers Network10, According to AES's environmental impact assessment, the dam would displace 820 people and

affect an additional 6,000 people, including by submerging communal lands, burial sites or

portions of their land. The Jinja District, where the dam would be built, is one of the most heavily

populated non-urban areas in the country, and replacement land for those who would lose homes

or crops is practically non-existent in the area. Many of the families that would be displaced have

been in the area for generations. Bujagali is also a cultural and religious site, where the "Spirit of

Bujagali" has had a storied association with the Falls for centuries. The Spirit is the cultural

embodiment of the community, and is believed to protect the community from harm by

performing rituals at the Falls. The current spirit�an actual person who lives in a mud hut 100

yards from the Falls�is the thirty-ninth.

After the project was proposed, a group of locals and NGOs, who were upset at the

prospect of the project destroying local cultural and historic sites, submitted two different

request to have the project reviewed by an independent review panel operated by an arm

of the World Bank. It�s a pretty complex set of actors, internally in Uganda, domestically. [There are many] different

groups, with [many] different views. The government officials think very differently from the

displaced people, and they think very differently from the �requestors� who launched the

complaints about the project. So, the issue about the locals is a complex one. There were two

requests. The main issues in the requests were the economic issues, the evaluations that were not

seen as comprehensive enough, the issue of the project being overvalued, the issue of whether the

Ugandans would be able to afford the electricity, the issue of whether it was really a poverty

alleviation project, the issue of whether it would address rural electrification, and all of these other

things. In the second request, it was noted that the local tribe�s people were angered about the loss

of the waterfall, which was said to be a host for a spirit at the center of their religious orientation.

When asked to put the issue of the �spirit in the waterfall� into context with the other

requests that had been made by the locals, the informant noted,

10 http://www.irn.org/programs/bujagali/index.asp?id=/programs/safrica/000117.nile.html

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It was indeed an issue when the request came into the panel. It wasn�t what stopped the project,

but it was what got a lot media attention: here�s this man who claims to mediate between the gods

and the people. The other big questions were hardly mentioned in the press�Is this poverty

alleviation? Are huge private infrastructure projects something that banks should be doing in sub

Saharan Africa? Are the agreements adequately disclosed? Is corruption rampant? �But the

�spirit in the waterfall� was something that people were eager to hear.

The informant described that the �spirit in the waterfall� issue did lead to a long period

of meetings and negotiations, as follows: The bank had sessions with both of the persons who claimed to be representing the spirits. And the

strategy was to hold conversations with �the living Bujagali��the living embodiment of the

spirit�such that it could be said that they tried in a good faith effort to come up with an

alternative. �Can we move the spirits?� was basically the approach. And at first they were told that

they could, then that they couldn�t. This went on for a couple of years. In 1998, the living Bujagali

said that the spirits could accept changes in the landscape, which means the consultations had been

going on for at least, well, quite a while before that. In 2001, of course, it was already said that, no

that�s not possible. That�s three years later. It wasn�t until 2003 that AES withdrew. But there was

still active resistance at that point. So it wasn�t as if the issue was ever solved. It certainly wasn�t

solved. And it�s pretty much unsolvable. Because either the falls are gone or they are not. There

are shrines that could be moved, and such. And depending on what the living Bujagali says, the

spirits could agree to move or not, or agree to a change in the landscape or not. But either the land

is going to be lost, or its not. And if the dam goes forward the land is lost.

The informant cautioned not to distort the significance of the cultural issues, and

stressed the array of broader issues that led to its eventual postponement: So while it is certainly an interesting case study of cultural values conflicting with large-scale

"development" projects�and calling it development has been disputed by those who oppose the

project for economic and environmental reasons�it could just as easily be a case study on

corruption, on clashing development paradigms, or on the effects of lopsided political dynamics

between major international financial institutions, small poor governments, their parliaments, and

civil society. All of these factors may be a bit difficult to disentangle if you're trying to analyze it

as a solely cultural conflict, although it could certainly be argued that even if all of the other

problems weren't there, the cultural constraints alone may have been enough to postpone the

project. But again, the cultural issues are important to a sector of society. I wouldn�t want to

minimize that at all. It is not as if the people don�t care that their gods are going to be submersed,

and that the waterfall is not going to exist.

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Also, the informant noted that the cultural issues tend to get distorted, and used as a

�scapegoat� to excuse other faults, inadequacies, or criticisms linked to a failed project, Something else to look at is why it might be spun as though cultural issues were the main problem.

And something that I know [the vice president] at the [major funding institution] has talked about,

is, this Bujagali project, and he�ll say. �Oh you know. What a tragic thing that happened. We had

this beautifully designed project. And who were we to know that there would be these spirits to

come along that would make it impossible to build.� And it is very convenient to say that the

cultural issue was the problem. Because, then there is no wrong doing on the part of anyone else.

So it can be a convenient scapegoat. It�s very easy to see that no one else will get faulted, if it is

indeed found that the cultural issues are the main problem.

3 Failed Performance Incentives in China.

A US firm entered China to build and operate a manufacturing facility. But they

encountered unexpected challenges with motivating the workers. To overcome these

problems, they hired a Chinese consultant to investigate and advise. A friend of the

consultant told the following story, So they had built this wonderful factory. Operations were underway. And the US managers were

unhappy with production output and offered an incentive program to Chinese factory workers who

contributed to production increases. But after several weeks the new incentive program was not

working� Management of [the US firm] was perplexed as to why it did not seem to motivate the

Chinese workers to increase production levels. It was a program that had worked in other

countries... Not sure what to do, they consulted with [my friend�s organization] to troubleshoot.

After a week or two of talking with the workers, the Chinese consulting group was

said to have provided the following advice, First, Chinese people have been under the rule of communism for such a long time that promotion

incentives do not reinforce behavior, because traditionally people that rise to the top are watched

closely by the government, and occasionally even killed. You know, the quacking duck gets shot,

as the old saying goes. Second, negative reinforcement works more effectively because Chinese

don�t want to lose face� They don�t want to stick out. They don�t want to produce more then

their friends. They want harmony.

Following this advice, the US managers instituted a �performance control program��

to punish non-performance�to replace the ineffective performance incentive program.

As the friend remembered,

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Based on the recommendations, a new program was adopted to punish workers for not meeting a

mandatory performance output quota in their work. This worked extremely well. [All] of the

employees increased their output in unison, and none of the employees felt that they were rising

above the rest, so it worked out well.

4 Sarcastic Comments by an American Confuse a Japanese Manager.

A senior site manager of a large bridge construction project told the following story, You need to know that the Carquinez Bridge replacement project is a new suspension bridge west

of the existing bridges. The existing 1927 bridge will be demolished after the completion of the

replacement bridge and approaches. The bridge spans San Francisco Bay in the State of California,

and is the first long suspension bridge built in the U.S. in about 40 years. The original plan was to

build deck in china, but the Japanese put forward a good price and a lot of favorable terms�i.e.

complete offer of fabrication and payment when delivered. They formed a joint venture with two

U.S. companies in March 2000. The design was the first of its kind in the US: an orthotropic steel

box girder, weighing more than 12,000 tons, fabricated in Japan, and shipped overseas to the site

in California.

The assembly process of installing each of the modular box girder sections involved a

complex operation, as described, After pouring the foundation, erecting the towers, spinning the suspension cables, and hanging the

suspenders, it was time to install the deck girders. This was done by loading the deck sections onto

a barge, pulling them into position with a tugboat, hoisting them with a crane, and fastening them

to the suspenders at the connection points.

The site manager explained a mix-up related to the hoisting of the first deck section: One night, a few days before we were ready to start hanging deck sections, we were standing out

on the deck, looking out over the whole job, before going home for the day. Sarcastically, I joked

to [the Japanese manager] that it would be nice to have the first deck section ready to go for 9am

the next morning. And what do you know, when I got to work the next day, he had mobilized a

huge crew, and he had it all loaded up and four tugs out on the water under the bridge and ready to

go...ready to go for 9am, but we weren�t ready to install for another 3-days. And I wasn�t going to

give him any compensation for putting four tugs out on the water. It was just a joke, a casual

conversation�there had been no formal instruction. [This Japanese manager] completely

misunderstood, and I wouldn't pay him for it.

When asked how the Japanese manager responded, the US manager noted, Well, he called in his tugboats right now, and didn�t really protest much, although he mumbled

about compensation and seemed flat out confused. I guess it was just a genuine communication

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problem. Later I learned that the Japanese language doesn�t include much sarcasm. So, since then,

I�ve tried not to joke around in this way with the Japanese.

5 US Navy Encounters the Mafia in Albania.

An US Navy officer recalled the following series of events, during the procurement of

supplies for a road construction project in Albania, We were building a road in Albania. When we needed to purchase materials. We were buying

crushed stone, food, office supplies, printers, papers, pens, everything was needed. But we ran into

the local mafia�for lack of a better word. We would buy from one guy, and he would say, "Oh,

you're working on a road. You're going to need food and water" and he would say, "I can point

you towards my cousin who has a shop that can provide everything you need."

But the US officers were unfamiliar with how to procure supplies in this marketplace

where family-relations were so strong. As noted, The problem was, they were all so interconnected. And we were thinking, "We�ll just go find four

or five bidders, or find the place with the highest quality stuff and the least cost, some combination

of these two, where we get the best value, not just because we want to support this other guy." But

[when we did this, we ran] into clashes with different groups�vendors, suppliers, or literally

mafia groups that are associated with them�where they are all trying to get a piece of that project,

the money from the project. It�s just different practices, where they don't understand why you can't

just go to his cousin because he recommended it.

After several of weeks of unsuccessfully trying to �obtain low bids and select best

value� in the procurement process, finally the US officers decided to hire a local agent to

do the haggling and negotiation. As described, The way we worked through these things is we hired what we call a husbanding agent�a local

guy. He was more attuned to local politics, and the local economy, and it was his job to help be the

interface between the folks working on the projects�the US company and the host nation. And he

would go into the community, and maybe see some of these other things. He would go along with

us to do purchasing or translation. Or often he would do some of the research ahead of time before

we'd go, and choose a vendor that would make sense and give us the most value in the end. And

then we'd just go that vendor to negotiate. He was a guy who could go bargain in the local

language, knew the local customs, and wouldn't inadvertently give a hand shake with the wrong

hand and tick the guy off so he wouldn�t do business with us. He was a guy who could haggle in

the right way. So that is one of the solutions the military uses. And when you see Dynacor Brown

& Root working in Albania or wherever else, oftentimes they also hire a local agent to do the same

sort thing.

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Finally, when asked to reflect on how this decision to use a husbanding agent effected

the relations with the other local Albanian vendors, he remarked, Well, it�s hard to say. I think a lot of them didn�t like us to begin with. And when we wouldn�t buy

from them, they were even more upset. The whole business environment there�it�s really

mysterious. But it worked for us in the end. We got the road built.

6 Proforma Financial Templates Strain US-European Relations.

A private US development firm (the parent), funded by a large US-based emerging

markets fund and by other private US investors, entered several European countries in the

1990s with a strategy to develop real estate projects. Part of this strategy was to partner

with experienced local development firms in each country.

Once involved with active projects, these local firms were expected to meet the US

investor-driven reporting conventions. On most projects funded by US investors, there is

an insistence that managers comply with certain norms of document preparation. These

conventions included such things as, �how to format a pro-forma, how to put together a

monthly report, and how to prepare a draw-package that goes to investors for funding

approval.� However, on most occasions the local European partners were unfamiliar with

these norms, which had evolved in the distant US marketplace, and they did understand

what was being requested of them. Thus, the proforma documents that they submitted to

the US parent tended to be of objectionable substance, format, or lacking in both areas.

At times, this perceived incompliance created undue strain on relationships and caused

delays in getting projects funded. Since it was out of the question to change the

conventions of the entire US investment community, with its unyielding set of informal

codes and expectations, the parent managers decided it was necessary to re-educate the

European partners to prepare documents with the appropriate content and format. The

first attempt in this effort was to provide the partners with digital document templates to

modify or copy. However, in many cases, even with digital templates, the partners were

still unwilling, or unable, to prepare acceptable pro-forma and other supporting

documents. The next attempt, which was more costly, was to educate the partners one-on-

one. The US executive who related this story noted that: There was definitely some training going on. There was a controller in London and most of his

time was going to all of these countries and the country-heads and just talking to them and training

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them about what the expectations were. And I remember one time [when we had all of the partners

together at an annual meeting] we brought someone in from Chicago who [gave a seminar to]

show�how to put a pro forma together, how to put the assumptions together, and how to do a

forecast of whether a project was going to be successful or not.

Over a period of several months, with continued coaching and tutoring, eventually the

European partners were able to adapt to the US requirements.

7 Ceremonial Beam Installation Causes Conflict in China.

A project manager for a large US contractor told the following story, about a situation he

experienced while managing the construction of a soccer stadium in China: On this project, I demanded international standards. And I won them over, over an eight month

period. The owner was extremely supportive. For example, let me tell you a story about the trusses

on the outside of that stadium. The manufacturing of those trusses, the welding of those trusses, by

our standards was absolutely deplorable. All they care about on welding is that the penetration is

there and it meets the code. They don�t understand about clean steel. They don�t understand about

priming. They don�t understand about painting. Or quality specification. Or even using the right

paint. So when those trusses went up in the air, they didn�t look right. I kept rejecting them, or my

people, they kept rejecting them. We would not allow them to lift these trusses until they did it

right. And we�d go out there and walk around everyone of them. And look at this stuff. And a guy

would put a gauge on it. And finally when number 5 got up there, and they looked at it from a

distance, and the sun was shining on it, and it was twisted. And finally they said, �Oh, now I see

what you were talking about.�

Based on the quality control issues, there was a lot of tension and anxiety in the

relationship between the Chinese steel truss supplier, and the US project management

team. This mood catalyzed the following incident,

The point I want to stress is that misunderstandings lead to bad decisions lead to conflict.

Therefore translators are extremely important, and need to be the highest caliber. Our translators

were kind of mediocre. One example that occurred�and Dr. M just happened to be there, she was

our consultant, a survivor of the cultural revolution in China, and educated in the US, and helps us

with these issues�is that the steel contractor was lifting a truss, after we had rejected it, because it

hadn�t been primed or painted. And I had a knock down drag out fight with the contract manager

of the steel company. And basically I told him that unless that truss was down by the end of the

day, he might as well not come back to the job ever again. So, Dr. M was there, and she had a talk

with this guy, and in a little while came back to me to explain the situation. So, it turned out that

there was an important day, not a festival, but an important date in the Chinese culture that brings

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good luck. So this Chinese contractor just wanted to get the truss up in the air to get good luck in

the relationship.

After realizing the misunderstanding, the project manager explained the following

resolution,

So the way out of this was�if Dr. M wasn�t there, I would not have known there was a

misunderstanding�I let the guy lift it up there and then in a few days I had him take it down again

once the holiday was past. This may sound like a little thing, but it was huge. It was really huge. If

Dr. M wasn�t there, I would have fired that contractor. And it might have taken weeks to replace

him. And a good translator would have picked that up, but like I said, ours were mediocre. So, I

was able to be a good sportsman because she was there, but if not, the outcome would have been

much different.

8 Disagreements in a US-Israeli Joint Venture.

In the late 1990s, a JV between an Israeli firm and a US-British consortium won a lump-

sum bid to complete a major airport construction project in Europe. The US-British group

was a large, highly regarded international contractor and the Israeli firm was smaller and

locally headquartered. As the project went along, the JV managers noticed mistakes in

their estimate calculations and realized that their lump-sum bid price to the owner was

not enough to cover their costs, let alone leave allowance for a profit. While the JV

managers all agreed that the project was on the brink of becoming seriously unprofitable,

they could not reach an agreement about an appropriate plan of action for how to proceed

in this awkward circumstance. One of the JV managers on the US side reported: Contractor A [Israeli] strongly felt they could pursue change-orders into profitability and

Contractor B [US-British] didn�t feel that they should do that sort of thing. So, then it became like

a dysfunctional relationship. Where A and B, who were supposed to work together, had two

opposing philosophies for how they were going to pull off the job. Contractor A was of the notion

that every time the owner coughs, we�re going to go back for more money. And Contractor B said,

no, we can�t do that, we�re a very honorable group and we have a long-term relationship to

uphold. Due to concerns of confidentiality, the informant was not willing to recount the

specific details of the final outcome in this situation. But he did say that as the

relationship soured, there were many months of intense meetings, and arguments, the

situation became very embarrassing for both firms, and as a result of the inability to work

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together and other �cultural and individual issues�, the JV became one of the �largest

losses in recent history� and ended-up losing �excessive amounts of money.�

9 No Bribes, No Contract: Canadians in Russia.

Members of the Russian government approached a Canadian telecommunications

contractor, to invite them to design, supply, and build a new fiber optic backbone, to

connect major cities along the trans-Siberian railroad. The Canadian firm sent an

estimating team to Russia, to fly the route in a helicopter, and to survey the geography

and condition of the existing railroad infrastructure. As a former engineer remembered, It was an exciting trip. We were treated like royalty. The finest Russian vodka, caviar� just like

James Bond. The scenery was matchless�the mountains, the expansive forests. We spent a week,

flying the route at low altitude, surveying the route. Preparing the basis of a price estimate,

counting the road crossings, the condition of the track, and previewing the terrain. When we

survey a new route we measure three types of terrain: mountain, country, and city. Each has a

different price factor. Mountain terrain requires a lot of blasting, so that costs more money;

country terrain is easy plowing; and city work involves a lot of directional drilling and utility

locates and it is the most difficult to estimate.

After the route survey, the Canadian firm returned home, with a promise from the

Russian government sponsors that they would be awarded the project on a negotiated

price basis, without a competitive bidding process. But they also were informed that they

would be required to �share the profits�, as remembered by the engineer,

After the survey, we were all in high spirits. The Russians were happy with our technology. Also,

one of our estimators, he liked Harley Davidson motorcycles. And the lead Russian, he also liked

Harleys, so there was a strong connection. And they agreed to give us the job. But it was a bit odd;

at the end they also mentioned that they expected we would share in the profits. We didn�t know

what they meant at first�I mean, how can we share in the profits? They are the owner? And then

we realized they meant personally, you know, pay them money under the table. They didn�t think

there was anything wrong with it.

The Canadian estimating group returned to Canada, and several of the senior managers

and executives deliberated for some time about the ethical aspects of the Russian

proposal. In the engineers words,

So we returned home, and we talked with our management for a few of days, and also with the

Russians. And it turned out that this is exactly what they wanted. They wanted us to siphon money

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back to them�you know, pay us government cash to do the work, and then we send them cash

into private accounts to return the favor. We talked about this for a number of weeks. It was an

attractive project. But in the end we decided it wasn�t worth the risk to get caught up in these

games. This is how people get killed, you know� So in the end, we submitted a bid to do the

work but refused to pay the bribes. But without an agreement on the bribes, the Russians wouldn�t

take it; they were more interested in the personal kickbacks then in building the backbone. It all

cost us a lot of money.

10 US-UK �Working Design Meetings� Don�t Work, in Korea.

A joint venture (JV) formed between a US engineering firm and a UK architectural

design firm won the bid to design a major intermodal transportation facility for the

Incheon International Airport in Korea. During the design and planning phase of the

project, a �major cultural blockage�, as described by the US informant, emerged between

the JV partners and the Korean client.

The �blockage� concerned the early design meetings, or so-called charettes, planned

by the US-UK JV partners to work alongside the Korean client to prepare a conceptual

design for the project. Having had many years of international experience, the US-UK JV

managers were well aware that cultural differences on the project could lead to

significant consequences. As one US JV manager noted:

Because of the cultural differences, we thought it would be a good idea to have these charettes and

planning sessions to share ideas with the project managers, architects and engineers on both sides.

But these meetings turned out to be extremely ineffective. The concept of a work

meeting was alien to the Korean client representatives, who from the US-UK perspective,

tended to be reluctant to openly express or discuss their interests or concerns during the

charette design sessions. In the end, the American managers ended up dominating most

of the conversations, with little feedback from their Korean client. Reflecting on these

meetings, the US manager explained:

What ended up happening, right from the first meeting, is often times the US side ends up talking

a lot, and the clients and the people who actually know more about how the project should be run,

they are usually silent and they don�t say anything, and they are not used to this kind of a

participatory environment. So, although they have a lot to say, oftentimes, they would not say

anything. Then what would happen is at the end of the charette we would go out for dinner and

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they would start rehashing some of these issues and then they would talk. Or they wouldn�t say

anything for a long time and three months into the project the same question that we asked [and

thought had been a non-issue] would come up again. As the project went on, the US-UK managers eventually began to understand that in a

more informal environment, at dinner in a restaurant for instance, the Korean team was

more open and willing to discuss many of the issues that had been on the agenda for the

formal design charette sessions. They discovered, through the course of these informal

conversations, that the Korean client team had viewed the whole design charette exercise

as a sign of �technical incompetence� on the part of the US-UK JV. They learned that in

Korea, the process of conceptual design preparation does not typically involve design

participatory meetings where a client is expected to give real-time input into the design

plans or possibilities. They discovered that instead, a design firm typically prepares and

series of comprehensive design alternatives, which the client formally reviews and marks

up; and after each design revision, the design firm incorporates the suggested feedback,

suggestions, and ideas. These lessons came at the cost of injury to the relationship very

early on in the project and the time commitment of approximately 20 high level managers

and executives who participated in several ineffective all-day design charette meetings.

Furthermore, because the design charettes were unsuccessful, the US design team never

did reach a clear understanding of the Korean client�s needs, expectations, or concerns,

which in turn, caused a domino effect of problems in the later stages of the project. As

the manager explained:

Ninety percent of the charettes were a failure, and from the beginning we did not have a very clear

conception of what [the client] wanted. Once the US managers realized that the design charettes were ineffective, and started to

find a middle ground more closely in line with the Korean client�s expectations, they

found that the project went forward �more easily�.

11 Japanese Focus on Technical Excellence; One-year Delay in USA.

The project manager who told the story about the tugboat (case number four) also

explained a far deeper culturally rooted misunderstanding and conflict, which had been

triggered by unforeseen ground conditions,

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There was 368-day delay on this project, because of unforeseen ground conditions. What

happened is, the soil conditions were unstable and continually collapsed within the hole while it

was being drilled. The diameter of the hole could not be maintained enough to infill with concrete.

To overcome this adversity, engineers designed an alternative method involving a newly designed

drill head. But this caused a $12 million modification plan, and 368-day delay. And the delay also

impacted the Japanese bridge deck contractor and caused all kinds of problems for them. Well,

actually, [the government client] caused all kinds of problems for them.

The problems were caused by a US consultant, who used this situation to take advantage

of the Japanese culture of professionalism, duty, and attention to technical detail. As the

informant described,

According to the contract [between the government client and the Japanese bridge deck contractor,

the Japanese contractor] had to do a submittal documenting their fabrication procedure. But once

the project was delayed, [the US client] took advantage of this clause, to [intentionally] delay the

Japanese. Instead of accepting the usual standard fab procedure, the US client demanded a 200

page document�and you have to remember, [this Japanese firm] is probably the most qualified

fabricator in the world �to provide details on the entire fab procedure... right from raw steel, to

shop blasting, to pick up and put down, every twist, and every turn, through cutting, hoisting,

painting, and the jacking system. The [government client] claimed that this was necessary because

it was a new technology in the US, and the Japanese, they are very professional, and want to build

a good relationship. They didn�t say anything. They wouldn�t put forward a guy to call bullshit.

This guy [with the US government client], Mr. S, he was an asshole. He had worked with the

Japanese before, and I think he knew how to take advantage of their professionalism. He had got

them to the point where they were not putting forth what they wanted to do; they were putting out

what he wanted them too. And the Japanese wouldn�t call bullshit on this guy. They would have

meetings, and [the Japanese] were very quiet, these meetings would be difficult� The Japanese

were way out of their comfort zone... Mr. S was so arrogant it got to be demeaning. Voices were

raised. The meetings were out of control. And this Mr. S was gonzo. Just demeaning, and asking

for way too much detail. So the government client was trying to control the means and methods of

the fabricator. But, you can't make the Japanese do everything you want them to do and also

expect them to take control of the work, can you? So, it took 1.5 years to get the fabrication issue

approved.

The US engineer explained that the motivation behind the US government client

intentionally delaying the Japanese steel deck supplier was one of self-interest:

The consultant was smart. They knew that there was a 358-day delay because of the ground

conditions, and they knew that every day they could hold up the fab is one less day of storage [for

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the bridge deck sections]. Had the Japanese delivered [the bridge decks] on time, it would have

been 358 days in port. And guess who has to pay for that? It�s the client�s problem. And the

consultant represents the client. Also, these consultants bill by the hour. So they don�t mind taking

a little more time. The more they delay, the more they get paid. I guess you get bad people in

every community. But what�s sad is I don�t think the Japanese ever figured it out.

12 Operable or inoperable windows?11�A High-rise office tower in Berlin.

A well-known US real estate investor and developer, with an asset base valued in excess

of $13 billion, entered Berlin, Germany to build a high-rise office building. The design

phase of this project was characterized by a number of unexpected issues and conflicts.

One such issue was a clash of opinion between the Americans and the Germans

concerning the glass windows. In the USA, most high-rise buildings have internal air-

conditioning systems, and the windows in the glass façade are �inoperable��they have

no moving parts and they are permanently closed to ventilation. On the contrary, in

Western Europe, air-conditioning systems are less common, and windows in high-rise

buildings are generally �operable��they can be opened and closed to regulate the

ambient temperature within the building. As the informant expressed,

[Our firm] has some specific expectations for system performance on the buildings that they build.

Some of these expectations are different in the US and Germany. For instance, in the US buildings

are regulated almost completely by mechanical systems. In Germany there is a more passive

approach to energy usage and consumption substituted by operable windows that you could

open�a more natural approach. In [the] US, buildings are taller, in harsher conditions, and there

is a push towards creating totally air-conditioned environments.

This slight difference in aesthetic preference and standard of architectural design

created confusion and disagreement between the US and German parties. As might be

imagined, the American expatriates and architects preferred the inoperable windows.

Quite the opposite, the German project managers feared that the inoperable windows

would make the building �ugly�, causing a loss of respect among their peers, and making

it difficult to contract with tenants. One of the American expatriate managers described

this scenario as follows,

11 Many thanks to my colleague and friend, Ashwin Mahalingam, who collected this vignette on a data collection trip in Europe in 2002.

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The process of bringing the Germans to see the American point of view, and vice versa, was a

challenge�it would have been foolish to build a US building in Germany�there are examples of

that which have failed! The real goal is to find the best product by combining local architectural

and engineering knowledge, local client expectations, international experience, and international

operating questions. So even before the drawings were made, people sat around the table and

talked about what the project would look like.

Also during this time, there were several heated discussions and meetings with the

German partners, damaging trust, openness, and respect in the relationship. Eventually,

after several months of deliberation, the US firm finally accepted and adopted the

German standard of operable windows. As the informant described,

[We] came from an American perspective, trying to create an American building in Berlin. [But]

we were wrong. In contrast to [our] opening stance of �we will not have these goddamn operable

windows,� we do have them since it�s the right thing to have. It was tough to push ourselves out of

our box. Companies get into their sweet spot and perform, perform, perform, but when you get

into another environment you are forced to come out.

13 Have Tea before you spark the Dynamite in Turkey.

A US contractor was responsible for the foundation engineering on a large dam

construction project in Turkey. As the lead engineer remembered, We had a big dam we were building in Turkey, and it was in caustic limestone. So we had all

kinds of foundation troubles. And so we were driving these adits back in to explore [the strength

of the rock], so we could put in a meaningful cutoff under this dam. It was a 200m high dam. We

were concerned because there were all kinds of caves under this thing, and we were worried we

could lose the whole reservoir through a cave.

The lead engineer reported confusion and misunderstanding in several of the negotiations

with the Turkish project sponsor, as follows: We went in to talk to the general director, to tell him that we needed to extend the adits, which

would cost a lot of money. And� he would nod his head, and his deputies would nod there heads,

and [the next day] our guys would go out and start blasting the [adits]. But, they would say, �Stop!

What are you doing, why are you doing this?� And we said, �We talked about it yesterday, and

you agreed to do it.� But they�d say, �We never agreed to that yesterday�� So, you think you

have a deal, but you don�t really have a deal.

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After the disagreement, the lead engineer remembered several meetings, discussions,

and negotiations that were intended to sort out the misunderstanding, but ended up being

ineffective, and with recurring communication problems.

When we realized they were upset, we meet with the Turkish resident director. We would meet

with him and go through this whole thing with his cadre of engineers. He was a local, with the

Department of Water Resources for Turkey. We had to make sense of why they didn�t understand

us. And we went through that exercise two or three times. And then we realized we just weren�t

getting through in the discussions.

This misunderstanding delayed progress on the project. As the lead engineer recalled,

It stopped one part of the job�and this foundation was such a problem�we had to talk it through,

for a couple of days. There was a track drill, blasting crew, and local contractor with three or four

laborers, sitting idle for two or three days. And it was a confusing thing�

Eventually, they came to understand the local communication style, and cultural

protocols of negotiation. The lead engineer described how this happened, as follows: One of the fellows that was there, he said, you need to read a chapter of the book called the Arab

Mind. There is a chapter in there on making a deal. It was pretty simplistic, and I repeat it to you

because maybe you haven�t heard it before. The gist of it was, when you�re dealing with the Arab

mentality, you discuss things, and you keep discussing them. And when they nod their heads, they

are saying they hear you, it does not mean they agree. They are saying, we hear you, and we

understand you, but we are not saying we agree. When you deal with these fellows, just because

they nod their head doesn�t mean they agree.

Applying this new understanding of the local culture, the US team modified their

negotiation style in the meetings. The lead engineer laughed when he explained,

And we used to sit there drinking Chai, for hours, until you�re almost peeing your pants, drinking

so much tea, talking the same subject, and you say it over again, you say it one way, and you say it

another way, and you say it this way, and you say it upside down, and you show a picture, and you

draw a crude cartoon, and you show a sketch of what you want to do, and finally they say, �yes we

believe it�s a good idea.�

The lead engineer described that from that point on, the negotiations went smoothly and

there were no further delays to the project. In his own words, From then on, that is the way all the meetings went. When we wanted to change something, we�d

get together and we�d go over to the general director�s office and we�d talk to them, and have tea,

until we felt like we got agreement� The general director was also a coach. He was in charge of

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the whole project, and he was also astute enough to say, if we�re going to get this done we�re

going to have to work together. We had at least two or three meetings before we got to understand

just how to do this� After that the negotiations went fairly well. And once we got over it, we felt

a lot better, and I think they felt a lot better. Because we didn�t have misunderstanding or

dissension.

14 Responsibilities for �Shop Drawings� in Spain.

A US Navy officer reported the following sequence of events related to an office-

building construction project on a navy base in Spain: I was the assistant operations officer. So I was in charge of companies in our battalion that had

different jobs in Spain, Italy, and Greece, and I tracked that all that on a daily, weekly, and

monthly basis. I handled the portfolio management and prepared the monthly status reports. For

this Spain project, it was right in my back yard� It was an office building for a tenant on the base.

We were acting as the project managers and the general contractor, and we were self performing a

lot of the work�concrete foundation, site work, steel erection, etc. But there were dozens of

Spanish sub-contractors, from a doors and windows guy, to the concrete guy, to the roof guy, etc.

etc. And the steel fabrication and concrete panels were both from a local supplier. Just about 100%

of the materials were procured locally, except that [the electrical] is built to the 110 US standard,

so those materials had to come from the US.

He related the following details about the project organization structure and process

arrangements,

The US designer does the preliminary basic design. Then we go out to the local marketplace, and

say, �This is what we need built.� And six subcontractors will say, �We can do that,� and we take

the low bid. Then the local subcontractors�who supply steel, concrete panels, etc.�they prepare

shop drawings. They have to say, �here is exactly how we are going to build it, and here are the

tabs that are going to hang on the steel frame.� And they submit these back to the US [designer].

And then the US [designer] says either, �Yes, that fits our requirement�, or, �[No, do it again]�. .

And the US based guys had very strict requirements as to the structural requirements for the

building. Some of it was new after September 11; the building should withstand certain bomb

loads, and that kind of thing.

But the project did not go smoothly. There was considerable delay due to a mix-up

between the US design group, who did not understand the Spanish construction industry

practices, and the Spanish contractors. As the US operations manager explained,

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And we just went through round after round of shop drawings. And they just could never get it

right. And after months of chasing our tails, we realized that no one had ever done it that way

before [in Spain]. So, we just did not have a meeting of the minds. It probably took twice as long

as it should have. The building should have been finished in a year, and it took twice that. The

material price goes up with time. And if you look at the number of hours that it took, it was

enormous.

All of this went on for several months, with meetings, and escalating tension in the

relationship, until the point that the panel contract was terminated. The US officer noted,

The concrete panel contractor would come into our office, and we would talk about shop

drawings, when can you deliver these concrete panels, and we [need timelines] and we need shop

drawings for this day, we need delivery this day. And those dates kept slipping because they

couldn�t get the design right for those panels. No one had ever built them before; it was sort of a

new way of doing it. So every time the shop drawings came in, the [US] designer would look at

them and say, �those tabs won�t work� and it was just kind of an endless cycle�this went on for

several months�a pretty significant chunk of time. [Each of the] meetings was at least an hour.

You�d have the folks from our battalion that were doing the construction. You�d have two or three

people from procurement. Some of them are from the US, but they�ve been in Spain long enough

that they speak Spanish. So there [were] usually 6 to 10 people per meeting. I remember a couple

of meetings on each of those issues. After a year, the concrete panel issue was still unresolved, and

we terminated the contractor.

When asked to speculate on the reason for the delay, the US operations officer said:

I would say it was probably a misunderstanding in design� And I think it was the fragmented

way that we approached the project, with designers based in the US... The US designers thought

that this was a universally used, easily understood system, of building, you know, with 4� thick,

10� by 6� concrete panels that get hung [on the building frame]. They use this system in the US,

where you pre-cast the wall panels and you stand them up with a crane, and the whole thing just

hangs there on these little tabs that act as hangar brackets. Just like the pre-cast panels that you see

in a high-rise� But, instead of getting a little more local knowledge, we went with a design that

we thought would work� based on our experiences in other parts of Europe. 12

When asked if he would do anything differently based on this experience, he replied:

12 Another reason for this delay, based on interviews with other international mangers who had worked in Spain, was that the US and Spanish architecture, engineering, and construction industries may differ in the organization of roles, responsibilities, and the distribution of design expertise across architectural, engineering, and construction firms. In particular, Spanish contractors do not typically employ in-house designers, architects or engineers to prepare shop-drawings. Instead, this expertise typically resides in specialized engineering and design firms. In contrast, US contractors tend to offer in-house design expertise to their clients. If this claim is true, it may to some extent explain why the Spanish firm was confused at the Navy�s demand that they should prepare detailed shop-drawings.

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Maybe utilizing a local Spanish design firm, instead of just using them for the

architectural finish stuff, using them more for�the, how do you build? I think [we had]

this mindset of, �it�s a US building, on a US base, and we�re going to build it to US

standards.� But you [need to gain] an understanding of how the Spanish build it, with

their means and methods� [In fact,] our local Spanish designer [hired for another

project] even recommended, �Why don�t you let me build it with block or something

else. And I can give it to you with half the cost, and twice as fast.�

15 Japanese Misunderstanding of a US GMAX Contract.

A large Japanese building contractor won a design-build bid to retrofit and renovate a

manufacturing facility for a Fortune 100 US high technology firm. Without

comprehending the implications of the decision, they agreed to sign the owner�s contract

form. This contract specified that the final price was �not to exceed� US $43.1M. There

were no clauses in the contract to allow change-orders based on unknown, uncertain,

unexpected, or unforeseen conditions. This so-called guaranteed maximum price

(GMAX) contract form is used commonly in the US construction industry. During an

interview, one of the Japanese managers grimly explained: This is the biggest mistake in the project. Based on past experience, we don�t make a GMAX price

this early, at this stage. If it�s an 18-month project, we might sign a GMAX towards the end. But

signing a GMAX on a retrofit at the beginning is not smart because you don�t know what the final

price will be. So even though we signed the contract, we didn�t understand the meaning at that

time. There is a difference between US and Japanese contractual consciousness. As the project unfolded, many unexpected technical complications related to the

retrofit caused extra costs and the final price ended up at US $62.9 (excluding the

Japanese contractor�s fee). As costs escalated, the Japanese firm continued to submit

budget revisions on a monthly basis to the owner in the form of a cost report. However,

they did not submit a formal change order to request an increase in the contract amount.

We didn�t think to submit a changing order. The owner knew the cost was rising

because we were submitting the cost reports and [even though they were receiving them],

they didn�t say anything. So, we thought it was OK to keep working. We were focused on

doing a highly professional job � it was a difficult project.

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Eventually the project was completed and the Japanese firm submitted the final

invoice to the owner to request payment. But the owner argued that they did not owe any

more than the GMAX price stipulated in the original contract document. A lengthy

negotiation followed and the Japanese firm sought US legal counsel. It was the legal

counsel�s opinion that the Japanese firm should have pressed for a formal change order at

the time they realized the project cost was escalating, and if this had not been granted,

halted all work on the project. Furthermore, in the absence of having submitted formal

change order requests, they determined that the Japanese firm had no basis to file a

lawsuit. In the end, the owner, realizing an honest mistake had been made, agreed to split

the cost over run and awarded the Japanese firm the sum of US $52.8M. However, even

with this extra payment, the Japanese firm ended-up absorbing a US $10.1M charge and

forfeiting their fee on the project.

16 Meeting the Village Chieftain in Cameroon.

In 2002, Engineers Without Frontiers, a not-for-profit organization based in Canada, sent

two engineers to the Cameroon to manage the implementation phase of a project to

provide 12-rural communities with hygiene education, potable drinking water and

latrines. Upon arrival, the Canadian engineers hired local labor and administrative staff to

support the project, and they started latrine construction almost immediately. During the

first few days, the projects encountered a steady and puzzling sequence of problems

including, every night, the disappearance of building materials and tools. It seemed to the

Canadian engineers that the villagers were intentionally sabotaging their progress, and

they were confused by this, because they were in the Cameroon to help, and not hurt, the

locals.

As they got to know the locals better, the engineers learned about local traditions and

customs, about the complicated hereditary and polygamous social structure, and most

importantly, about how to gain the blessing of the village chieftain. But after having

violated local customs, it took some time to re-gain the trust of the people, which

involved many long conversations with trusted villagers who helped them to understand

the taboos and local routines.

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We learned to follow the proper protocol if we wanted our efforts to be effective. First, you need

to know someone on the chieftain�s council. Then you need to get that person to set up an

audience with the chieftain. Then you go meet the chieftain and you have to bring a gift based on

the prestige of the chieftain. It�s a gift giving culture. You have to show that you�re submitting to

his authority. The way that you behave with the king is important. You have to speak to his

majesty with your hands folded in front of your mouth. You have to be spoken to in order to

speak. If we didn�t follow the protocol, we learned the hard way that nothing would work for us. After leaning about the protocols, they made an extra effort to meet with the Chieftain

in each of the 12 villages, and their work was usually approved in just one or two

meetings. As the development project went on, the engineers learned to hold bi-weekly

�audiences� and to give additional gifts to prevent any further mysterious obstacles to

productivity.

17 Traditional Hiring Practices in Malaysia.

A joint-venture (JV) formed by Canadian firms SNC-Lavalin and Bombardier was one of

several international specialty contractors working with local government affiliated

contractors on a US $4B light-rail transit project in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia. The JV

project team included 60 expatriate managers�primarily Canadian, but also Australian,

British and American�and a direct hire workforce of approximately 600 employees of

Indian, Malay, and Chinese decent.

Historically, the social structure in Malaysia has been very complex. The informant,

an engineer and general superintendent in charge of all field personnel, explained that,

In recent years the balance of power in Malaysia has been divided across these three cultures: the

indigenous Malays control the government, the entrepreneurial Chinese own and manage a large

proportion of private enterprise and complain that they are overtaxed by the Malays, and the

community of Indians perform many of the blue-collar functions and feels marginalized and

oppressed by both groups. This ethnic segregation has led to infighting.

So, rising out of this historical context, there were challenges on the project concerning

practices of hiring and promotion. As the engineer explained,

The standard set by nearly all the contractors was to have a Malay partner or partial

owner with political ties, Chinese managers, and Indian labor to accomplish the work. In

the absence of prior experience in Malaysia, the group of managers decided to stick with

the local tradition and hire Indian labor and Chinese managers. But as the project went

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on, we became uncomfortable with how they felt several Chinese managers were [based

on our Canadian standards] mistreating Indian workers. In reaction, we started to

promote and empower competent Indian laborers into managerial positions to replace the

most abusive Chinese managers.

This decision stimulated more cohesion, respect and control and brought about an

overall boost in efficiency because the Indian managers understood the language and

culture of the Indian workforce. Commenting on this decision, the Canadian manger

explained: All of a sudden you�ve got an Indian manager leading an Indian workforce versus a Chinese

manager leading an Indian workforce. You�ve got one of your own � an Indian guy, who knows

the culture, knows the language, treats them with respect � in charge. All of a sudden you�ve got a

much more efficient workforce.

With this excellent result, many more of the Chinese managers were replaced with Indian

managers. At this same time, several local participants on the project who felt that

Indians were culturally incompetent, were �shaking their heads�, criticizing the Canadian

led JV and saying they �were going to fail�.

This shunning and shaming from managers in other firms made the Canadian

expatriate managers question their decision for many weeks and they had many internal

conversations about what to do in response. The outcome of these talks was a decision to

continue promoting Indians to management positions, even if the local peer group found

it unacceptable. In the words of the superintendent:

We didn�t care if you were white, Indian, Chinese, or Malaysian�as long as you had the skill set

to do the job. And [the Indians] had the skill-set to do it and this commanded much better control,

respect and motivation of the workforce. I�d do it again in a heartbeat!!

In fact, contrary to the criticisms, the Canadian JV�s reputation for promoting Indians

traveled quickly within the Indian community and this attracted many of the highest

caliber Indian people to come over from other companies. On the whole, this practice of

promoting Indian managers to run Indian crews brought increased productivity, success,

and profitability to the firm.

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18 Village Protocols & Project Postponement in the Philippines.

In the late 1990s, a multi-purpose redevelopment project in Northern Luzon was initiated

to increase rice production. One of the project consultants told the story as follows, The project was to divert water from two rivers to irrigate the fields, so that in the dry season it

would be possible to have two rice crops. But the project was done in, what we would call the

Philippine jungle�very high ground, mountainous ground, and there were local tribes that at one

point used to be headhunters. So the locals were not exactly friendly to begin with�although

supposedly they hadn�t been headhunters for a while� It was the Philippine government that was

the major developer; it was a US company providing a lot of the funding; and a Korean contractor

who was doing most of the construction. And the local tribe was called the Bugalots.

When, the project was initiated, no one consulted with the local Bugalot tribe�s

people, and as a consequence many problems erupted. In the informant�s own words,

When [the contractor] first started trying to cut the access roads, to get to the main part of the site,

where they could actually do the construction, they would come back to work in the morning and

find that their access roads had been blockaded. They would be blocked with heavy trees that were

very difficult to move, or the road would be torn up, or made impassable with large holes or digs,

or sometimes they would do human blockades� It would take a long time, to stop work, and re-

do the [access road], and get it all back together.

The sabotage to the access road and project delays continued for at least six months, and

according to the informant, all this time, the Korean contractor on the site was,

�portraying a very negative picture of the locals, and basically saying, �They are the problem.�

It�s not like they were trying to hide the problem. They were basically saying, there is going to be

no solution. And this is when the US financier came in, and said, �I just don�t think it is that

difficult.�

Eventually, as the informant remembered, it was the US financier who decided to send

a representative in to investigate. As the US consultant recalled,

Finally it was actually the American company that [realized the locals were unhappy], and they

indicated that they believed that a meeting with the locals was needed, to find out what the locals

wanted. And they would have expected that the Korean contractor would have done this, because the

contractor, of course, is responsible for the construction�to be on time, and on schedule. But the

American company takes great pride in trying to work with local people, and providing private funding

for infrastructure, and that type of thing. And so they actually were the ones who went in, with their

project manager, to set-up meetings� The manager they sent, he was a gentleman that had worked on

their projects all over the world, so he was quite familiar with different cultures, and people, and

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behaviors. What was interesting, while the Koreans didn�t care for his behavior�he was kind of a

cowboy in a way�the locals loved him, because he cared about them.

This whole process went on for several weeks. After several �town hall meetings�, the

US manager learned that the local tribes were angered and annoyed by the fact that they

had not been consulted about the project, as customarily would be the case in their

society, before a project was commenced. The informant recalled that,

They [had] town hall meetings, where they would come in, and meet with the head of the tribe, the

chief, and sit down and have discussions. And what they were able to do, is they were able to

negotiate, and they were able to use some of the local men for construction, and it became a

partnership with the local people. And they learned that the locals needed a schoolhouse. And all

of a sudden the roadblocks went away, and the people were happy�

This whole process involved a number of senior executives and managers within the

US financier�s organization, as noted by the informant,

This definitely was a senior executive level project. I would say that the gentlemen they sent in

was a very senior person, I don�t think he was an executive, but certainly had been with [this firm]

for many, many years. He was I believe, their only onsite rep, and certainly on their A team. And I

know this was problem was a subject of many meetings back at headquarters, and discussed quite

frequently. Obviously there were other problems, particularly the termination of the Korean

contractor for lack of performance, and another contractor hired to finish the project. So it went

through the woes of any typical international project that we see all the time.

After the initial �blockages� were resolved, the informant acknowledged that the

relationship with the locals started to improve, and in the longer-term this relationship

continued to grow stronger,

After the first few weeks it took to solve the main problem, they continued to keep them involved

throughout the remainder of the project. In the end, there were continual meetings�[for example],

to be [certain] there were no further concerns, to announce how things were progressing, or to give

them a status of the project.

The final result was that the relationship with the local community was significantly

improved, and in the and, according to the informant, �the project was very sustainable, and

there was no inequity done at all.�

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19 Customary Building Material��Woodchip cement sideboard��in Japan.

In 2000, the Seabees, an elite force of sea-faring engineers within the US Navy, were

planning to construct a softball diamond and a two-story concession building next to

a US Navy base in Japan. A Japanese engineering group had prepared the design

documents and specifications for the project. Before construction began, the Seabee

officer who was to manage the construction was reviewing the drawings from her US

home office when she noticed an unfamiliar and very expensive material specified for

wall construction � woodchip cement sideboard. None of her American engineering

colleagues were familiar with this product or had any idea about the method of

installation. She decided to contact the Japanese engineering group to ask them to

change the material to a less expensive poured-concrete solution. After a month of

slow email and teleconference communication, with multi-person email exchanges

and long waits between replies, she was unable to convince the Japanese engineer to

change the design. The Seabee officer summarized this experience:

We had never heard of wood chip cement sideboard. We wanted to do it our way and they wanted

to do it that way. We didn�t understand why we should use this method, you know concrete is

cheap, we could have just poured it and put on the fake finish afterwards. Communications were

slow and it took about a month to get a good answer, and to be honest, [this didn�t happen] until I

went there on my site visit and actually got to see it, and understand, and I got a catalog-cut, and

took it back to my guys to see.

Not wanting to make early enemies with an engineering team that would be an

important participant on the project, she finally agreed to use the new product, even

though it seemed more expensive. The Seabee officer explained:

It turns out, it�s just the way they do construction there. Their emails basically said, �Do it this

way because this is how we do it in Japan.� There were a lot of reasons that they wanted to use

this sideboard. And that�s fine; we were there to give them that finished product that they were

specifying. They had a process that worked really well for them and they didn�t want to change it.

Much later, during construction, when the material arrived on site, the Seabees crew

was unclear on the proper method of installation. As the Seabee officer recalled:

There was a felt paper that came with it, and a glue, and an instruction book about 20 pages thick

all in Japanese. So we had a Japanese contractor come out for two days and train our crew.

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After some initial rework, partly due to the unfamiliar product, and partly due to the low

level of experience of the Seabee work crew, the job was completed to the satisfaction of

the Japanese engineers.

20 Contract Enforcement in Spain.

In the 1990s, a US real estate developer was attracted to invest in a new high-rise office

building development in Spain. An agreement was reached with a Spanish sub-contractor

to manage all of the sub-surface excavation, earthmoving, and foundation construction.

To seal the agreement, the US developer had the Spanish sub-contractor review, approve,

and then sign a �standard contract form� for foundation work, a contract form that had

served the US firm well, and had been iteratively refined over decades of project

development work in the United States. Most importantly, the contract form included a

specific clause making the sub-contractor responsible for all adverse and unexpected

ground-conditions. The sub-contractor signed the contract, willingly, without any

objection to this clause, which must have appeared to be very strongly worded in favor of

the US side.

The project went well for several months. But then, without warning, the temporary

shoring structures that had been constructed to buttress and strengthen the walls of the

excavation collapsed. As the walls of the excavation caved inwards, the temporary

structures, formwork, and foundations were buried or destroyed.

After the unexpected and sudden failure, the sub-contractor refused to continue work.

Estimates pegged repair of this failure at tens of thousands of dollars. The sub-contractor

told the US developer that they would only resume work after the walls of the excavation

had been stabilized and the damages repaired.

Not feeling that it was their responsibility to cover the damages, the US developer

went back to the contract that had been signed. They met with the Spanish sub-contractor

to remind them that by signing this contract, they had assumed absolute responsibility for

unexpected site conditions, including the very sort of failure that had occurred.

Additionally, the US developer tried to threaten, stating that they would file a lawsuit

unless the sub-contractor returned to site, repaired the damages, and resumed their work.

But the threats were not successful. The sub-contractor remained defiant and refused to

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return to work. With the parties at an impasse and the project delayed, the US developer

sought advice from a respected Spanish lawyer who specialized in construction claims.

After hearing the story, the legal counsel concluded, �no judge in Spain would enforce

such a ridiculously one-sided contract�. So, with the outcome of a lawsuit looking very

unfavorable, the US developer completed the restabilization work at their own expense,

in order to keep the project on schedule, by hiring a second local subcontractor. Only

after the restabilization work was complete did the Spanish sub-contractor finally return

to the site to resume foundation construction.

21 Japanese �Tabi Shoes� Clash with US Safety Regulation.

In 1999, a US military unit was managing a building construction project on a US

military base in Japan. A few weeks into the project, a US superintendent noticed that

the workers employed by the Japanese scaffolding contractor were not wearing the

necessary steel-toed safety boots. Instead, they were wearing, as the superintendent

described, �thick socks with a rubber sole, and a single split forming two big toes, called

tabi shoes in Japanese.� According to US military contract requirements, all contractors

on US military bases are required to abide by standard US military safety regulations,

which are specified in the Army Corp of Engineer�s Manual. When asked to describe

how this incident unfolded, the US superintendent recalled: So, I went out and told them, �this is unacceptable, you�re on an American job, you agreed to

conform to our regulations, and you need to wear steel-toed boots.� So, the next day, I come back,

and yeah the construction manager has got steel-toed boots on, but the construction workers don�t

have them. So I say, �No, the idea is everybody needs to have these steel-toed boots on.� So

finally the Japanese manager said, �they don�t make these boots in Japan.�

The US manager was not sure if she should believe this comment about steel-toed

boots not being available in Japan, so she asked the Japanese building inspector, who

confirmed that �yes, they do make steel-toed boots in Japan.� The next day, she called a

meeting with the Japanese manager to issue a letter of non-compliance and to show him a

copy of the particular section of the safety manual that by contract, he had agreed to

follow. She also showed him a catalog cut of several pairs of steel-toed boots that she had

obtained from a local shoe store. Finally, after resisting for several weeks, the entire

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Japanese scaffold crew reported to work wearing new low-cut, light-weight sneakers, but

with the necessary steel-toes. The US manager noted:

According to our rules [the sneakers] were acceptable! So they managed to find a way around the

rule. I guess especially scaffold workers really enjoy working with those tabi shoes, because they

say, they are able to feel with their feet better. They do well with these shoes, but it�s just not

according to our regulation because we find it unsafe. It was interesting to me how at first they

pretended to conform to the rule and then they found a way around it. This solution provided a satisfactory tradeoff between the safety regulation and the

comfort of the work crew who preferred to wear the lighter, thin-soled footwear. In the

end, this process of going to site, researching shoe stores, and writing letters cost the US

superintendent a total of two workdays of unplanned coordination effort. Presumably, it

cost the Japanese superintendent a similar delay, in trying to interpret and dodge the

regulation. It also caused strain and anxiety in the relationship between the US and

Japanese parties.

22 �Memoranda of understanding� in Vietnam (without the understanding).

In the early 1990�s, the United States re-established diplomatic relations with Vietnam,

and in just a few years, many US funding institutions sent foreign agents to Vietnam to

explore investment options and possibilities. The informant who told this story had been

working for one of these prospective US investors, and remembered that, This was right before Vietnam re-opened the relationship with the US. Vietnam was under the

communist regime, and the US did [had not had] an embassy in Vietnam [since] the war. So in the

early 1990s, Vietnam was in this mode of trying to open their doors and revitalize their public

infrastructure. So right before the normalization, the Vietnamese government invited a US

consortium to come and look at improving the three major airports in the country�North Hanoi,

Danang, and Saigon�to improve the airport infrastructure. They were looking for a consortium to

fund, design, build�almost like a BOT type of deal. So they invited a consortium from several

countries�from the UK, Japan, France, and I was part of the US consortium. By the time we met,

these other countries had already been through� But [the Vietnamese officials] told us we were

the favorite. By that time, they [were eager] to restart the normalization process with the US, so

they really favored the US company� The Vietnamese really welcomed the US companies

coming in, and we were interested in the large market potential�a population of 70 million, and a

rich natural resource base� So we spent enormous amounts of time. They indicated to us that

Japanese had provided very favorable terms�a loan of almost 0%. But they had a condition�

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they didn�t want any military operation in the airports that they fund. So that was the reason the

Japanese didn�t work out. After some of these initial meetings with other countries, we spent our

own money to prepare a detailed feasibility report� We actually went through the whole

feasibility study process. But from there, we quickly learned that Vietnam�s legal system was still

quite primitive, and that it was lacking a system of contracts and contract enforcement.

So instead of preparing contractual agreements to finalize negotiations and investment

arrangements, the US firm drafted and signed what was called an �exclusive

memorandum of understanding (MOU)�, and returned home to the US, under the

assumption that these memoranda had sealed the arrangements of the various investments

that had been discussed. But this was not the end of the story. Through a local agent, the

US firm learned that the Vietnamese officials had signed duplicate versions of these

supposedly exclusive MOUs with other consortia from the other countries. This eroded

trust, and as the US informant recalled, We had an agent�a lobbyist�in Hanoi. And he was the one that found out that there were

similar MOUs signed. There were Vietnamese, and English MOUs signed side by side, and

there were translations. I think at first we were surprised, and we even laughed. We all knew

when we went in to this market that this was a high-risk endeavor. But the companies we had

involved were very good, and there were some altruistic motivations as well, [to accelerate the

normalization]. So, we went in good faith, and we did a lot of pro bono work. But subsequent

to that we learned from various sources that other consortia had had the same experience, with

these [allegedly] �exclusive� MOUs.

The US agents were not immediately clear on how to interpret the duplicate MOUs on

the part of the Vietnamese government agents. As the informant explained,

We did some investigative work to salvage the project, and to question the rumors. We made two

or three trips, over a period of a year, with about 7 or 8 senior VPs, partners from law firms, and

executives. We met the Minister of the Civil Aviation Authority, the top guy, and the second time

we met a Vice Premier. So we really met at the top level, and they gave us a major reception,

because we were one of the first consortiums to return [to their country]. We realized that things

were loose there, and we laughed about it. Our agent did tell us that despite [the duplicate MOUs],

they were interested in working with a US company. We believed that even if they had signed the

MOUs with all of these other countries, they wanted to work with us. As far as they were

concerned, because they did not have any concept of exclusivity, they had not done anything

wrong.

Of course, the expenses accrued quickly�hundreds of thousands of dollars�during this

project shaping process. The informant described that,

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Travel expense was enormous. Several people making trips. And not just time itself, but several

senior people tied up. And we also invested a lot of money developing this feasibility report on

our own nickel. The upside that we felt, is that when you go into a country and you are the first in

line, the upside in the long run is substantial. But, while we were incurring all of these costs, the

risk and uncertainty did not decrease. And it might have even increased slightly. And we couldn�t

determine if their [MOU] commitment was sincere. So all of a sudden we started to identify

additional risk that we [hadn�t seen] before... And at the same time we were spending money, and

this risk was not decreasing.

Not sure how to proceed, and not wanting to shift any more resources to the project,

eventually they decided to write-down the initial investment, exit Vietnam, terminate the

relationship, and mitigate further costs. In the end, the exclusive MOUs were never

honored, and the proposed projects never completed. As the informant remembered,

What could have been a very interesting period of investment and development in Vietnam ended

completely for lack of a Vietnamese system of contracts and enforcement, and maybe also for lack

of a US familiarity about how to conduct business in this new environment. Ultimately, we backed

away gracefully, maintained a low profile, assigned someone to be a contact person, and let [the

relationship] die a slow death.

23 Canadian Regulations Catch US Firm Off-guard.

An informant from a large US multi-national firm specializing in the providing facilities

for the production and refinement of chemical products told the following story: We built a plant in Winnipeg, Canada, and we did not realize that we needed to have a certified

professional engineer from Manitoba to stamp the drawings etc. etc., and that�s according to the

provincial law of the land.

This misjudgment of the local legal requirements was based on an assumption that

Manitoba would be similar to other provinces in Canada. As the informant remembered, We had built plants in Ontario and Quebec, and assumed it would be the same in Manitoba. And

that is probably a naïve US assumption, because provinces in Canada are probably a little more

independent than states are in the US.

This misinterpretation was recognized early in the design process, and was obvious to correct�

�sort of a no brainer��because it was a matter of compliance with a formal legal requirement. As

the informant recalled, As we got into the design process, the project manager at the time, he understood, as we were

executing the project, he realized that we had not understood the legal requirements�to comply

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with provincial law. We weren�t that far into the design process, maybe a few weeks, when we

realized our mistake, but we had already fixed a price with the customer.

Thus, because the contract with the client, the City of Winnipeg, had been fixed based on

inaccurate assumptions, the overall impact of having misjudged the legal requirement was an

irrecoverable loss in the value of the transaction. As the informant noted, In this long-term contract business, we build and own a plant, and supply chemicals to a customer.

And once you set the price, it is very hard to change. It became pretty apparent once we made a

mistake, but it was too late to re-price the deal� I don�t remember how much this cost, but it was

less than 10% of the total cost� We just ate it, because it was not large enough to be a problem.

In addition to the financial loss, there was a time delay to the project of several weeks,

during which time a local Canadian firm was identified, and the necessary certification

process was carried out to completion.

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II

Measuring Relational Friction, Interorganizational Conflict

and Unforeseen Transaction Costs on Global Projects We cannot confine our analysis to what happens within a single firm. This is what I said in a lecture published in Lives of the Laureates: �The costs of coordination within a firm

and the level of transaction costs that it faces are affected by its ability to purchase inputs from other firms, and their ability to supply these inputs depends in part on their costs of coordination and the level of transaction costs that they face which are similarly affected by what these are in still other firms. What we are dealing with is a complex interrelated structure.� Add to this the influence of the laws, of the social system, and of the culture, [�] and you have a complicated set of interrelationships the nature of which will take

much dedicated work over a long period to discover. �Ronald Coase, 1998: 73

ABSTRACT

This quantitative hypothesis-testing study responds to three research questions: How

salient are unforeseen transaction costs for firms that enter global projects in unfamiliar

institutional environments? How much do these costs increase as relations with local

entities become more interdependent and institutionally diverse? And how much are

these costs lessened when an entrant has global experience, local experience, and

recurring relations with local entities? The data concerning relational attributes and

unforeseen transaction costs was collected by structured-interview with managers and

engineers employed by international contractors and consultants on nine large global

infrastructure projects in five countries in Asia. The data collection instrument offers a

fresh, replicable approach to collecting empirical data for transaction cost analysis. Five

types of dyadic entrant-to-host entity relations were examined: formal regulatory

relations, formal market relations, formal client relations, informal project relations and

informal community relations. The empirical findings confirm the salience of relational

friction, conflict and unforeseen transaction costs for foreign entrants, which extends the

transaction cost view of foreign market entry and re-confirms the value of an

embeddedness perspective in international business and economics.

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INTRODUCTION

Transaction costs are the costs of formulating13 and enforcing agreements (North, 1990)

and arise in the form of direct costs or opportunity costs (Malone, 1987; Masten, Meehan,

& Snyder, 1991). Across countries, transaction costs vary significantly; typically in

relation to variations in institutional and technological development (North, 1990). Even

within countries, researchers have noted tremendous variation in the costs of basic

transactions such as transferring the ownership of an apartment or connecting a telephone

(Benham & Benham, 2001). Generally, as Western societies have advanced, researchers

have identified a steady decline in the cost of individual transactions, while

simultaneously observing a relative increase in the transaction sector of the overall

economy (Wallis & North, 1986).

While many authors have emphasized the link between institutions and transaction

costs, there has been little investigation of firms transacting in alien institutional

environments where they are unfamiliar with the locally-defined matrix of institutions

and transaction costs. In Chapter I, case-study evidence indicated that in dyadic

relationships between foreign entrant firms and local host entities, differences in

regulative, normative, and cultural-cognitive institutions led to misjudgments,

misunderstandings, and conflicts and many unforeseen transaction costs (a concept that

emerged during the course of this earlier study). These costs, which varied from less than

1% to more than 100% of expected project costs, were sorted into four main categories:

money costs, time costs, reputation damage, and relationship damage. While the case-

study evidence strongly suggests the view that unforeseen transaction costs can have a

significant negative impact on new entrant firms, the small sample size was insufficient

to conclude that these costs were in fact significant in the average dyadic relation

between entrant and host entities.

The primary objective of the present chapter is to deepen this investigation; to verify

the statistical significance of unforeseen transaction costs relative to overall project costs.

Verification is accomplished by measuring unforeseen transaction costs in a sample of

dyadic relations on active global infrastructure projects in Asia. The investigation is

13 One major component of the cost of formulating agreements is the cost of measuring the valuable attributes of what is to be exchanged (North, 1990).

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organized around three central research questions: How salient are unforeseen transaction

costs for firms that enter global projects in unfamiliar institutional environments? How

much do these costs increase as relations with local entities become more interdependent

and institutionally diverse? And how much are these costs lessened when an entrant has

global experience, local experience, and recurring relations with local entities?

The evidence presented here confirms that in both formal and informal dyadic

relations with local host entities, foreign entrants experience relational friction and

conflict, which perpetuates unforeseen transaction costs. While unforeseen transaction

costs may arise from a number of differing sources, the focus of this article is on those

that arise from diverging institutional logics and resulting conflicts (Scott, 1995).

Relational friction and conflict are aggravated by interdependence and institutional

differences and assuaged by managers with local country experience and through

recurring relations. The main scientific contribution is to advance the transaction cost

perspective of foreign market entry (eg. Gatignon and Anderson, 1988; Klein et al., 1990;

Hennart, 1991; Erramilli and Rao, 1993; Delios and Beamish, 1999; Brouthers &

Brouthers, 2003), by exposing unforeseen transaction costs as an understudied, yet salient

class of transaction costs, and by identifying crucial antecedents and moderators.

THEORY & HYPOTHESES

Large Public Infrastructure Projects

Large public infrastructure projects�transportation systems, subways, water treatment

facilities, and airports�provide a unique natural experiment for the study of intercultural

interactions among international firms and local host entities.

There have been many fruitful investigations of large engineering projects. This

corpus of research includes studies of temporary organizations that undergo simultaneous

structuring and operations (eg. Thompson, 1967); the quasi-firm and the organization of

the construction industry (eg. Eccles, 1981); mega-projects and the management of

uncertainty (eg. Stinchcombe and Heimer, 1985); construction projects as hierarchies of

contracts (eg. Stinchcombe, 1990); and projects as high-stakes real-options games (eg.

Miller & Lessard, 2000). Despite these many advances, there has been little if any

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emphasis on the unforeseen transaction costs that arise due to intercultural institutional

conflicts between project participants (for an exception, see Khagram, 2004).

Conflict Escalation and Unforeseen Transaction Costs

In Chapter I, we analyzed 23 ‘‘critical incident’’ cases where an entrant firm

reported unforeseen transaction costs. In each case, the costs were triggered when

an entrant firm failed to fully comprehend the significance of local beliefs, norms,

or rules, which in turn led to misunderstandings and conflicts with local entities.

Conflict has been described as an "overt behavior arising out of a process in which

one unit seeks the advancement of its own interests in its relationship with the

others" (Schmidt & Kochan, 1972: 363). Conflict escalation theory offers a strong

theoretical lens to analyze the intensification of friction and conflict in human

interactions.

Pondy (1967) describes a model of conflict escalation involving four stages: (1)

latent conflict where conditions for conflict exist in a relationship, (2) perceived

conflict where parties are aware of conflict conditions but not affected by them, (3)

felt conflict where participants are aware of conflict conditions and feel anxious,

tense, or bothered, and (4) manifest conflict which involves overtly conflicting

behaviors. While many latent conflicts do develop into manifest conflicts, through

good management, many potentially hazardous conflicts are also avoided (Pondy,

1967).

Latent conflict arises from at least three underlying sources that have been defined in

the literature: consensus conflict, resource conflict, and goal conflict. Consensus conflict

occurs when an actor�s opinions, ideas, or beliefs are incompatible with those of another

(Aubert, 1962; Thompson & Hastie, 1990). Resource conflict exists when one person

perceives another as desiring the same scarce resources (Aubert, 1962; Druckman &

Zechmeister, 1973). Goal conflict arises when an actor�s objectives, plans, or goals are

incongruent with those of another (Schmidt & Kochan, 1972; Gray & Starke, 1988).

Rubin et al. (1994) define escalation as ‘‘an increase in the intensity of a conflict

as a whole.’’ In a review of the escalation literature Friedman & Currall (2003)

note that this process involves a perceived divergence of interests, mild actions to

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achieve goals, more aggressive actions such as complaints or demands, and in some

cases, contentious tactics such as harassment and threats that further escalate the

conflict in a vicious cycle. They explain that ‘‘more aggressive tactics may be used

until the desired changes are achieved or the cost of the effort outweighs the

expected benefit.’’ This process of escalation can also involve changes in

perceptions and attitudes, assignment of blame, misinterpretation of ambiguous

actions, reduced empathy, deindividuation, retaliation, and avoidance (Pruitt et al.,

1997). Overall, as conflict escalates, cooperation and trust tend to decrease (Sengir

et al., 2004).

Many factors influence the escalation of conflicts including a lack of existing

social ties, aggressive actions, and the psychological and emotional state of each

party (Rubin et. al., 1994). Other factors include unpleasant behavior (Burgoon et

al., 1995), perceptual biases that make people see themselves as different from the

other (Davidson & Friedman, 1998), perceptual biases that make people see only

evidence that justifies their view of the other (Hastorf & Cantril, 1954), and

‘‘reciprocated contentious communications’’ (Brett et al., 1998).

The case-study evidence in Chapter I proves that conflict causes many

unforeseen transaction costs, including time costs, money costs, reputational

damage, and relational damage. This view fits closely with theoretical arguments that

transaction costs and trust are inversely correlated (Chiles and McMackin, 1996;

Williamson, 1993; Uzzi, 1997).

Based on this review of the escalation of conflicts, which grow from latent,

perceived and felt stages to more overt disputes and stand-offs (Pondy, 1967), and

based on the recognition that conflict in dyadic relations leads to unforeseen

transaction costs, we posit two linked hypotheses:

H1a: The greater the level of relational friction14 in a dyadic relation between an

entrant and a host entity, the greater the conflict15 that erupts.

14 In the rest of this chapter, we adopt the term relational friction in place of Pondy�s term felt conflict. 15 In the rest of this chapter, we adopt the term conflict in place of Pondy’s term manifest conflict.

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H1b: The greater the level of conflict in a dyadic relation between an entrant and

a host entity, the greater the unforeseen transaction costs.

Institutional Difference, Conflict Escalation, and Unforeseen Transaction Costs

Institutions are the cultural-cognitive, normative, and regulative elements that support,

guide, and constrain human behavior and thereby provide stability to social life (Scott,

2001). Cultural-cognitive elements include the �operating mechanisms of the mind

(North, 2005)��the scripts, mental models, cognitive templates, typifications, categories,

and schemas that provide tacit and taken-for-granted meaning in everyday life (Scott,

2001). Normative elements include informal values, norms, protocols, taboos, customs,

and conventions that add an obligatory dimension to social and economic behavior

(North, 1990; Scott, 2001). Regulative elements include formal rules, property rights,

constitutions, regulations, and requirements that are enforced through official sanctions

and incentives (North, 1990; Scott, 2001). Within a single human society, full-fledged

institutional systems consist of a tangle of these elements which evolve endogenously

over time (Greif, 1994).

Institutional differences have been conceptualized in terms of �institutional distance�

(Kostova, 1999; Kostova & Zaheer, 1999; Xu & Shenkar, 2002), a concept that widens

the prior-defined notion of cultural distance, which was operationalized as differences in

national values (Kogut & Singh, 1988; Hofstede, 1984). The main improvement of the

institutional difference perspective, is the recognition that national value differences

represent just one cell in the broader matrix of cognitive-cultural, normative, and

regulative differences, which can operate variously at individual, group, organizational,

organizational-field, national, and supra-national levels (Scott, 2001). For example, an

institutional distance perspective makes it possible to represent many national-level

variations such as differences in property rights (De Soto, 2000), the division of labor

(Taylor, 2005), and industrial organization (Hall & Soskice, 2001), which could not

easily be represented in a narrower cultural distance perspective.

Institutional differences have the potential to complicate relations, interactions, and

transactions between intercultural actors. For example, authors of the GLOBE study

(Javidan & House, 2002) propose that, �From a practical point of view, the complexity of

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cross-national negotiations, mergers, assignments, and leadership probably depends on

the extent of the difference between the two cultures.� One specific way in which

institutional differences complicate intercultural relations is through increased behavioral

uncertainty. For example, an entrant who is unfamiliar with local beliefs, norms, and

rules of the game has only a limited ability to predict, assess, and interpret the actions of

host actors. But as that entrant learns more about the wider institutional context that has

shaped the identities, worldviews, and interests of host actors, then their behavior patterns

probably become less confusing and more knowable. Work in transaction cost analysis

suggests that behavioral uncertainty increases the costs of monitoring transactions (Heide

& John, 1990; Rindfleisch & Heide, 1997).

Past research shows a number of other ways in which institutional differences can

possibly complicate intercultural relations. Differences in institutional perceptions can

cause communication difficulties (Browne, Rugman & Verbeke, 1989; Park & Ungson,

1997), dissatisfaction (Lasserre, 1999) conflict (Sim & Ali, 2000), and uncertain

situations in conflict resolution (Lin & Germain, 1998). In contrast, institutional

similarities can facilitate and enhance the ability of partners to communicate, cooperate,

develop trust, and integrate knowledge (Killing, 1983). From a conflict escalation

perspective, institutional differences represent latent consensus conflicts (Pondy, 1967).

All of these factors probably contribute to increased transaction costs (Shane, 1993). The

case studies in Chapter I confirm that institutional differences can lead to conflicts and an

assortment of unforeseen costs including time costs, money costs, relationship damage,

and reputation damage.

Therefore, based on the case evidence, the theoretical arguments above, and the

earlier discussion of conflict escalation dynamics, we propose three related hypotheses:

H2: The greater the perceived institutional difference in a dyadic relation between

an entrant and a host entity, (a) the greater the relational friction; (b) the greater

the conflict; and (c) the greater the unforeseen transaction costs.

Interdependence, Conflict Escalation, and Unforeseen Transaction Costs

Several varieties of interdependence have been defined in organization research,

including workflow/task interdependence (Thompson, 1967; Van de Ven, Delbecq &

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Koening, 1976), role interdependence (Thomas, 1957; Pennings, 1974), outcome

interdependence (Wageman, 1995) and goal interdependence (Tjosvold et al., 1991). This

study investigates yet another variety, resource interdependence, which occurs when

actors recognize that they have the abilities and resources to affect each other's outcomes

(Thibaut & Kelley, 1969; Deutsch, 1973; Pfeffer & Salanick, 1978; Lawler & Yoon,

1993; 1996). Resource interdependence measures the extent that actors feel dependent on

one another (Tjosvold et al., 2001).

The concept of resource interdependence from organization research, bears an

important resemblance to the notion of transaction specificity, the second of three

transactional dimensions defined by Williamson (1979). Although there are many

differences, both concepts describe the degree to which one actors success is �tied to� a

relationship with another actor. The main difference is that resource interdependence has

traditionally been defined within the hierarchy, between one work unit and another, while

transaction specificity has generally been defined in the market, between a buyer and a

seller.

Both resource interdependence and transaction specificity generate the condition of

close interpersonal coordination, interaction, and negotiation that can lead to relational

friction and conflict. Several researchers in organization research have suggested that

resource interdependencies lead to goal and consensus conflicts that are positively

associated with conflict escalation (De Dreu &Van de Vliert, 1997; Tjosvold et. al.,

2003). Similarly, researchers in economics have found that transaction specificity causes

unilateral and bilateral �hold-ups� between buyers and sellers (Williamson, 1983;

Joskow, 1988; Klein 1988). The term �hold-up� implies a goal or resource conflict and a

potential scenario of conflict escalation. In order to formalize the conflict escalation

dynamics that arise in interdependent interactions, and to account for the bi-directional

nature of dependencies, we propose two clusters of three related hypotheses:

H3: The greater an entrant�s level of dependence on a host entity, (a) the greater

the relational friction; (b) the greater the conflict; and (c) the greater the

unforeseen transaction costs.

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H4: The greater a host entity�s level of dependence on an entrant, (a) the greater

the relational friction; (b) the greater the conflict; and (c) the greater the

unforeseen transaction costs.

Communication Volume, Conflict Escalation, and Unforeseen Transaction Costs

Communication and information sharing are fundamental to most business transactions

(Kapp & Barnett, 1983; Mohr & Nevin, 1990). And different types of transactions require

different levels of inter-firm communication (Rinehart et al., 2004). For example, while

only a few communications are necessary to buy a new home from a home builder,

several hundred communications may be necessary to hire a new builder to construct a

custom home. Communication volume is defined as the total number of interactions

between two actors across a relational or transactional interface. This concept is similar in

many respects to the concepts information exchange and communication frequency,

which are positively correlated to relational longevity (Hallén, Johanson, & Seyed-

Mohamed 1991; Cannon & Homburg, 2001).

There are many benefits that come with increased interaction, such as shared

experiences, mutual understandings, and reduced bargaining asymmetries (Tsang,

Nguyen, Erramilli, 2004; Lin & Germain, 1998), and it is likely that these benefits

increase collaboration and reduce the likelihood of behaviors such as steamrolling and

politicking (Pfeffer, 1981; 1992). But, it is also likely that larger numbers of

communications increase the raw potential for errors and costs (Thomsen, Levitt & Nass,

2005). Larger numbers of communications suggest a more complex task, more emergent

uncertainty, and thus the rise in unexpected contingencies (Galbraith, 1973). Therefore,

we hypothesize that:

H5: Sheer communication volume between an entrant and a host entity will not

impact (a) the level of relational friction; (b) or the level of conflict; but (c) it will

impact the level of unforeseen transaction costs.

Global Experience, Conflict Escalation, and Unforeseen Transaction Costs

Global experience is often associated with the duration, depth, and diversity of exposure

across international markets (Erramilli, 1991). Global experience yields an ability to

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acquire local institutional and business knowledge and to anticipate the costs of

international expansion (Eriksson et al., 1997; Davidson, 1983).

Operating in diverse circumstances has many important benefits (Levitt and March,

1988). One benefit is a broadened base of knowledge, widened mental models, and

expanded repertoires of action (March, 1991; Huber, 1991; Barkema & Vermeulen, 1997;

1998). Others benefits are richer knowledge structures, both of CEOs (Calori, Johnson, &

Sarnin, 1994) and at lower levels within the firm (Walsh, 1995), and stronger technical

capabilities (Cohen & Levinthal, 1989, 1990, 1994). Yet another benefit is the potential

development of an �international dominant logic� shared between managers in the

strategic apex of the firm, which is thought to be a critical antecedent of overall

internationalization performance (Thomas, 2005). Finally, managers with diverse

experiences are more likely to develop many of the relational skills�such as tolerance,

adaptability, active listening, and empathy, (Wills & Barham, 1994)�that are crucial for

collaborating with local staff, partners, and regulators, and that are imperative for

avoiding conflicts (Lin & Germain, 1998).

Therefore, prior studies, albeit implicitly, suggest a link between the international

diversity of managers and their capability to head-off conflicts, maximize collaborative

synergies, and minimize costs in relations with host-country entities. Based on this

observation, and the earlier discussion of conflict escalation dynamics, we draw three

hypotheses:

H6: The greater the diversity of prior global experience of entrant firm managers,

(a) the less the relational friction; (b) the less the conflict; and (c) the less the

unforeseen transaction costs in relations with host-country entities.

Local Experience, Conflict Escalation, and Unforeseen Transaction Costs

Local experience is often associated with the intensity of exposure to factors and forces

that drive local market dynamics (Luo & Peng, 1999), and has been empirically measured

both as the time spent (Barkema & Vermeulen, 1997; Butler, 1995) and the number of

entries (Kogut & Singh, 1989) into a given host market. Local experience yields local

knowledge and an ability to maneuver and transact effectively and efficiently within the

local business and institutional context (Hayek, 1945; Geertz, 1983).

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The view that local experience increases a firm's familiarity with the host country

environment and thereby reduces its liability of foreignness (Li, 1995; Barkema et al.,

1996; Barkema et al., 1997; Mitchell et al., 1994) has been confirmed in a number of

empirical studies. For example, we know that local experience is positively associated

with the performance of MNE subsidiaries (Luo & Peng, 1999), that it increases the

success (and the likelihood) of acquisitions (Barkema et al., 1996; Barkema &

Vermeulen, 1998), and that it positively influences the survival of wholly-owned

subsidiaries (Delios & Beamish, 2001).

This prior evidence suggests that as managers accumulate local knowledge, they are

better informed and prepared to conduct business with local entities in accordance with

generally-accepted norms and practices, and thus the likelihood of misjudgments and

misunderstandings and potential conflict situations are diminished. Based on these prior

findings, and the earlier discussion of conflict escalation dynamics, we propose three

hypotheses:

H7: The greater the intensity of prior local experience of entrant firm managers,

(a) the less the relational friction; (b) the less the conflict; and (c) the less the

unforeseen transaction costs in relations with host-country entities.

Recurring Relations, Conflict Escalation, and Unforeseen Transaction Costs

A third transactional dimension is the degree to which a transaction is one-time,

occasional, or recurrent (Williamson, 1979). As trade relations increase in frequency

between two trade partners, perceptions of opportunism decrease (Parkhe, 1993), trust

rises (McAllister, 1995), and formal legal governance mechanisms become less of a

necessity (Gulati, 1995). The classic example is from Williamson (1979), who recounts a

vignette from the 1800s where a German buyer continued to send anonymous orders to a

British manufacturer, who, based on his recognition of the handwriting, would fill the

orders, despite an ongoing war and a government decree to cease trade relations.

Conceptualizations of transactions in a game theoretic framework (Heide and Miner,

1992; Parkhe, 1993) have confirmed that a relationship�s expected time horizon�the so-

called �shadow of the future,��enhances the evolution of cooperation (Axlerod, 1984).

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Based on this reasoning, and based on the earlier discussion of escalation dynamics, it

seems likely that as relations become more recurrent, relational friction, conflict, and

unforeseen transaction costs decline. More formally,

H8: The greater the duration of prior recurring relations between an entrant and a

host entity, (a) the less the relational friction; (b) the less the conflict; and (c) the

less the unforeseen transaction costs.

Interfaces and Distinctive Characteristics

Within the project management literature, there is a significant body of work on the

linkage between interface management and project success (Morris, 1983; Pavitt & Gibb,

2003; Healy, 1997; Stuckenbruck, 1983; Lock, 1986; Delmon, 2000). Interfaces have

been defined broadly as the formal and informal boundaries and relationships among

people, departments, organizations, or functions (Baker & Baker, 1992), and interface

management has been defined as the management of communication, coordination, and

responsibility across a common boundary between two organizations, phases, or entities

(Wideman, 2002).

Contractors and consultants on global projects manage many interfaces (Miller &

Lessard, 2000). Formal regulatory interfaces include those with various arms and

agencies of government who enforce rules, regulations and requirements such as building

permits, fire inspections, traffic diversion, worksite safety, and the fair treatment of labor

(eg. transport and highways, fire department, police, building department). Informal

project interfaces include dealings with other firms on a project, non-contractual in

nature, that arise by virtue of working side-by-side and sharing limited project resources,

physical workspace, and thus needing to liaise and coordinate physical and phase

dependencies (e.g., foundation, electrical, or elevator subcontractors). Informal

community interfaces include interactions with community groups and stakeholders that

can provide legitimacy to a project (eg. NGOs, school board, shopkeepers guild)

(Flyvberg, Bruzelius, & Rothengatter, 2003).

Perhaps the most widely-recognized type of interface for projects is the formal

transactional interface (Williamson, 1979) with sub-contractors, consultants and vendors

of products and services (e.g. equipment supplier, steel fabricator). According to a study

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by Rinehart et al. (2004) transactional interfaces can be divided into distinct categories�

eg. non-strategic transactions, contractual relations, administered relations, specialty

subcontract relations�which vary along the dimensions of personal character, perceived

dependence, communication frequency, organizational capability, business volume, and

investment.

Building on the findings of Rinehart et al., it is likely that distinct, measurable,

statistically significant differences exist between the varying types of relations managed

by contractors and consultants on global projects. More formally we expect that,

H9: Different types of entrant-local entity relations, i.e. informal community

relations, informal project relations, formal regulatory relations, and formal

transactional relations, exhibit different combinations and levels of the following

attributes: interdependence, perceived institutional difference, communication

volume, relational friction, conflict and unforeseen transaction costs.

DATA & METHODS

A structured-interview approach was employed to gather data on large global

infrastructure projects from expatriate managers and engineers who had been personally

engaged in dyadic relations with local host country entities. The unit of analysis was the

dyadic relation, which is consistent with the early work of Commons (1934) and with

more recent work in transaction cost analysis (eg. Walker & Poppo, 1991).

Sample

Data were examined from 243 dyadic relations, based on descriptions collected from 50

informants employed by 25 unique international firms, on nine large global projects in

five Asian countries.

Table 1a depicts the five Asian countries where the data sites were located. The

countries were selected based on the presence of an on-going infrastructure project, the

availability of a local �champion� to grant project access, and the affordability of airfare.

Table 1b portrays the 25 international firms. They were mainly contractors and

consultants, originating from 11 home countries, with contract packages ranging from

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several hundred thousand to one billion US dollars and scheduled work durations ranging

from two to slightly more than five years (Table 1b).

Table 1c describes the 50 informants (left column) and the 243 reported

relations/interfaces (right column). The informants were mainly managers and engineers,

with roles and responsibilities in project administration, engineering, design and

construction. On average, each informant provided data concerning 4.9 relations. TABLE 1A

Sample Description � Projects

Host Government Type of Project

Pakistan 1 International Airport 1China 3 Metro 2

Thailand 2 Rail (LRT, MRT) 5India 1 Water Treatment 1

Taiwan 2

Total 9 Total 9

TABLE 1B Sample Description - Firms

Japan 6 Systems Contractor 8 < $1Ma 7 < 2 yrs 5UK 5 Project Consultant 6 < $10M 7 < 3 yrs 9

China 3 General Contractor 5 < $100M 6 < 4 yrs 4German 3 Design Sub-Consult. 3 < $1B 5 < 5 yrs 3

US 2 Sub-Contractor 3 $1B + 0 5 yrs + 4Finland 1France 1

Thailand 1Pakistan 1Korea 1India 1

Total 25 Total 25 Total 25 Total 25a All of the contracts in this category were either project consultant or design sub-consultant contracts.

Home Nation Role of Firm Contract Sizea Planned Duration

TABLE 1C Sample Description - Informants & Relations

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93

Project Executives 8 Formal Relations - Market Entities 105 (eg. project director, vice pres., general mgr) (eg. sub-contractors, vendors)Senior Engineers / Designers / Managers 17 Formal Relations - Regulatory Entities 71 (eg. chief resident engineer, contracts mgr) (eg. police, customs agent, roads authority)Middle Engineers / Designers / Managers 13 Formal Relations - Client 9 (eg. station mgr, M&E coordinator) (host-government)Site Engineers / Managers 12 Informal Relations - Interested Stakeholders 29 (eg. QC engineer, site superintendent) (eg. interest groups, schools, NGOs)

Informal Relations - Other Firms on Project 29 (eg. systems contractors, utilities)

Total 50 Total 243

Informants Relations

Data Collection

Data collection was carried out during a three week period in February, 2005. We visited

the project sites spending one to three days at each location, coordinating and conducting

individual face-to-face interviews. Most interviews lasted from 15 to 60 minutes and

were digitally recorded for subsequent analysis. The interviews focused on the perception

of entrant managers concerning dyadic relations with local entities. The entrant managers

had first-hand knowledge of these relations, which is why they were selected as

informants.

Local champions played a crucial role. Approximately 11 of the informants were

contacted and agreed to act as local champions prior to the site-visits. Not only did they

admit project access and act as informants themselves, but in many cases, they also

helped with coordinating travel plans and logistics, certifying the legitimacy of the

research internally within their organizations, and prearranging interviews with

colleagues and other project participants. One especially supportive champion supplied a

master phone list, cell phone, limousine and chauffer and sent an

email of introduction copied to his entire project organization to solicit their keen and

candid participation as informants.

The interviews followed a highly-visual structured-interview protocol, with five main

stages. First, identifying key managers within the informant�s organization and recording

their global and local experience (Appendix 2); second, mapping out local entities on the

Relationship Map (Appendix 3); third, collecting data on 10 of the 14 response items for

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each mapped relation (Appendix 4/5); fourth, collecting general demographic and firm-

level data (Appendix 5); and fifth, associating a manager number to each of the mapped

relations and thereby completing the last response items in one step (Appendix 2/3).

The main feature of this approach was a visual aid called a Relationship Map, a

�wheel-and-spokes� style schematic diagram with ovals at the end of the spokes. In stage

two, informants were asked to record in the ovals the formal and informal local entity

relations that they had been involved with personally on the project. Examples of local

entity relations included the Imam of local mosques, a shopkeeper�s guild, a landscape

contractor, a steel fabricator, the Department of Traffic and the Police. In stage three,

informants were asked to provide characteristics of each local entity relation, such as

unforeseen costs that had arisen, level of conflict, and level of interdependence. Most of

the questions were closed-ended, with a six-point Likert scale, and can be found in

Appendix 4. This protocol was piloted and revised several times over a 12 month period

leading up to actual data collection and offered two distinct advantages compared to

traditional survey approaches. First the visual Relationship Map was more effective in

captivating the informant�s attention and second the format shortened the overall duration

of the response task.

There had been a concern during the pilot stage that an informant�s like or dislike for

certain colleagues might bias their responses, especially concerning unforeseen costs. To

combat this possible effect, the sequence of questions was designed so that the task of

attributing individual managers to particular relations was the very last step, completed

only after all other data was secured.

LISREL Analysis

Data were analyzed using the standard LISREL method (eg. Erikkson et al., 1997;

Erikkson & Sharma, 2003; Blomstermo et al., 2004). LISREL is a software package for

carrying out confirmatory factor analysis and for assessing causal relationships among

latent variables using covariance structure analysis (Anderson & Gerbing, 1988; Jöreskog

& Sörbom, 1989; Bollen, 1989). LISREL version 8.72 was used throughout.

The validity of a structural model is verified with a two-step process (Jöreskog &

Sörbom). The first step is the creation of a measurement model, with latent constructs

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that capture a set of lower-level indicator variables, but without causal relations between

the constructs. The purpose of the measurement model is to test the validity of the

constructs independent of the context of the structural equation model (Anderson and

Gerbing, 1988). Construct validity is tested along two dimensions: convergent validity,

which refers to the homogeneity of latent constructs, and discriminant validity, which

refers to the degree of separation between constructs (Bollen, 1989). To assess

convergent and discriminant validity, the authors of LISREL recommend an investigation

of factor loadings, t values and R2 values (Jöreskog & Sörbom, 1993: 5, 9, 121).

The second step is the creation of the structural model with causal relations between

latent variables. The purpose of the structural model is to test the strength and

significance of the causal relations between latent constructs and the overall fit of the

model to the data, which is called a test of nomological validity (Bollen, 1989). The test

of the overall model accounts both for direct and indirect effects, including counteracting

TABLE 2 The Constructs and Their Indicators

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IDNo.

Constructs IndicatorsScale Typea

Factor loading

t -value R2 value

1 Relational Friction Tension/ anxiety/ stress in relations with this entity (REF) C 1 n.a. 0.84

2 ConflictConflict/ disputes/ hot discussions in relations with this

entity (CON) C 1 n.a. 0.81

3 Relative Unf-oreseen Delay

Days of unforeseen delay this entity has caused our organization (RUD) O 1 n.a. 0.800

4Institutional Difference

It has been difficult at times to understand this entity�s regulations/ rules/ requirements (FOR) C 0.72 5.37 0.52

It has been difficult at times to understand this entity�s expectations/ assumptions/ logics (INF) C 0.87 6.83 0.75

5 They Depend on You

This entity's success dependsb on relations with our firm (TOY)

C 1 n.a. 1

6 You Depend on Them

Our firm's success dependsc on relations with this entity (YOT)

C 1 n.a. 0.74

7 Communication Volume

# of meetings/ phone calls/ face-to-face conversations with this entity (COV) O 1 n.a. 0.80

8 Global Experience

Global experience of the manager(s) in charge of this relation - in number of countries worked (GEC) O 0.81 9.19 0.66

Global experience of the manager(s) in charge of this relation - in years (GEY) O 0.81 8.06 0.66

9Local

ExperienceLocal experience of the manager(s) in charge of this

relation - in number of projects (LEP) O 0.86 16.13 0.79

Local experience of the manager(s) in charge of this relation - in number of years (LEY) O 1.01 15.93 0.89

10 Recurring Relations

Prior relations between your firm and this entity - in number of projects (RRP)

O 0.86 6.66 0.74

Prior relations between your firm and this entity - in number of years (RRY) O 0.90 6.76 0.82

a C = Closed 6 point scale from -3 to +3, Strongly Disagree to Strongly Agree / O = Open scaleb This entity "depends "on our firm if they need knowledge/ information/ resources/ authorization/ legitimation from our firm, that only we can provide.c Our firm "depends "on this entity if we need knowledge/ information/ resources/ authorization/ legitimation from this entity, that only they can provide.

and reinforcing effects between variables. To assess nomological validity, the authors of

LISREL recommend an investigation of the chi-square value, which measures distance

between data and model, and a degrees of freedom probability value, which is a test of a

nonsignificant distance between data and model (Jöreskog & Sörbom, 1993). An

unresolved debate among LISREL modelers (eg. Eriksson & Sharma, 2003) suggests that

several variables may be chosen for assessment of nomological validity (Bollen & Long,

1993), but as Jöreskog & Sörbom (1993) point out, all are functions of the chi-square

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statistic. Eriksson and Sharma (2003) note that three commonly used measures are the

GFI, which checks for sample size effects and should be above .90; (2) the RMSEA,

which measures population discrepancy per degree of freedom and should be below .08;

and (3) the CFI, which checks for non-normal distributions and should exceed .90

(Murtha et al., 1998; Bollen, 1989; Jöreskog & Sörbom, 1993).

Constructs and Validity

Table 1 summarizes the ten latent constructs that are used for structural equation

modeling and testing. The first three are NY, or downstream constructs (i.e. dependent

variables) and the final seven are NX, or upstream constructs (i.e. independent variables).

Downstream constructs. The first two constructs, �relational friction� and �conflict�

are intended to capture the average level of felt and manifest conflict (Pondy, 1967) in

relations between an entrant firm and host entity. Relational friction is approximated as

the level of stress, anxiety, or tension in the relationship. Conflict is approximated as the

level of conflict, disputes, or hot discussions. These measures build on a long lineage of

research to measure both manifest conflict (eg. Brown & Day, 1981; Eliashberg &

Mitchie, 1984; Habib, 1987) and felt conflict (Hunger and Stern, 1976; Etgar,

1979).

The third construct and the main dependent variable, �relative unforeseen delay,� is a

proxy for unforeseen transaction costs; calculated as a unitless ratio of absolute delay

caused by each local entity (measured in days) divided by the as-planned duration of the

overall project (also measured in days). In the past, there have been two main limitations

associated with objective and financial performance measures. First, corporate managers

perceive objective data to be key to competitiveness and confidential, thus, except for

consolidated financial reports, researchers have had difficulty collecting this data in large

samples (Geringer & Herbert, 1989). Second, in the international arena, many financial

measures lack comparability because accounting conventions, tax rates, currencies and

purchasing power parity tend to vary enormously across borders (Lasserre, 1999). In this

study, the unforeseen delay metric addresses both of these limitations. First, unforeseen

delay data is generally non-confidential. Second, it is non-financial. Thus it is easy to

collect and issues of comparability are largely avoided. A further advantage is that

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contractors and consultants actively track project progress against an �as-planned�

schedule (Stinchcombe & Heimer, 1985) and thus delay information is readily

obtainable. However, no single performance measure is without its flaws (Katsikeas,

Leonidou & Morgan, 2000). The main limitation of unforeseen delay as a metric for

unforeseen transaction costs is that it is an incomplete measure. Although it captures time

costs reasonably well, it neglects the reputational, relational, and financial aspects of

these costs that were also identified in Chapter I.

Upstream constructs. The fourth construct is a perceptual measure of �institutional

difference,� with two indicators to assess both formal and informal differences. These

indicators are akin to many subjective measures of cultural and psychic distance that have

proven useful in empirical studies of cross-national interactions (eg. Lasserre, 1999; Lin

& Germain, 1998; Sim & Ali, 1998; Sim & Ali, 2000). What is new here is the formal vs.

informal distinction, which is intended to address both the more obvious regulative

differences in rules, regulations, and requirements; as well as the more subtle normative

and cultural-cognitive differences in assumptions, expectations, and logics (North, 1990;

Scott, 2001).

Constructs five and six, "they depend on you" and �you depend on them,� follow

directly from prior empirical measures of inter-firm bi-directional interdependence. For

example, Tjosvold et al. (2003), had managers rate on a 7-point Likert scale both the

extent that they needed information and ideas from their subcontractors and the extent

that their subcontractors needed information and ideas from them (see also Tjosvold,

Andrews, and Struthers, 1991).

Construct seven, "communication volume," is defined as the number of times the

entrant firm communicates with the host entity, either by telephone, meetings, face-to-

face exchanges, or email. This measure is adapted from marketing studies of buyer-seller

communication (Cannon & Homburg, 2001; Mohr & Nevin, 1990), and from social

network analysis of interaction between entities in complex project teams (Mead, 2001).

Following the tradition in marketing (e.g. Mohr, Fisher & Nevin, 1996), the various

modes of communication (e.g., face-to-face, email) were lumped together into a

composite index.

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Construct eight, �global experience,� captures both the duration and diversity of

international experience of manager(s) responsible for relations with host entities. Prior

research lays the groundwork for this measure. It is common to operationalize global

experience in terms of diversity, or the absolute number of countries entered (Tallman &

Li, 1996; Zahra, Hitt & Ireland, 2000; Eriksson et al., 2000; Vermeulen & Barkema,

2001; Blomstermo et al., 2004). Other measures focus on duration or length of time

abroad (eg. Maclayton, Smith & Hair, 1980; Davidson, 1980). A few studies offer

measures of both scope and length, such as Gencturk & Aulakh (1995) and Erramilli

(1991). In the latter, the two variables are correlated with a coefficient of 0.68, significant

at p < 0.001. In the present study, the global experience construct consists of both

duration and diversity indicators. What is new here is the level of analysis. While prior

studies focus on the firm level, the data here are at the level of the manager responsible

for relations with each host entity; when multiple managers are involved, an arithmetic

mean is computed to approximate the global experience of the management team.

Construct nine, �local experience,� captures both the duration and diversity of local

experience, also at the level of the manager(s) responsible for relations with host entities.

This approach is similar to other measures of local host country experience (e.g. Makino

& Delios, 1996; Barkema and Vermeulen, 1997; Luo & Peng, 1999; Vermeulen &

Barkema, 2001).

The tenth and final construct, �recurring relations,� measures the recurrence of prior

relations between an entrant firm and local entities. This item is adapted from previous

measures of transaction frequency (eg. Anderson & Schmittlein 1984; Maltz 1993; 1994;

Klein, 1989), of which there have been relatively few according to reviewers of empirical

work in transaction cost analysis (Shelanski & Klein, 1995; Rindfleisch & Heide, 1997).

Construct validity. All key statistics for the non-single item constructs support

convergent validity (see Table 1). The t values are all above 5.37, factor loadings are

above 0.72, and the R2 values are above .66. The t values and R2 values indicate good

convergent validity. The correlation matrices of indicator variables and latent constructs

are available in Appendix 6 and 7 respectively. Multicollinearity is not a concern because

standard errors are low, relationships are significant, and all correlations between latent

constructs are less than .70 (Newbold, 1991: 596).

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For latent constructs composed of single indicators, factor loadings are fixed to equal

unity and error variances are fixed according to the approach recommended by Hayduk

(1987: 103, 118) for analysis of covariance structures.16

Finally, several of the variables are non-normal with skewed distributions and high

kurtosis. For example, of the 243 relations analyzed, 140 were non-recurrent (i.e. zero

prior history), and 91 were managed by an entrant manager (or team) with zero years of

prior local experience. Thus, these distributions have high skewness and kurtosis because

of the disproportionately large numbers of zero values.

RELATIONAL FRICTION, CONFLICT & UNFORESEEN DELAY

The results of the statistical analysis are shown in Figure 1. The structural model has a

Satorra-Bentler17 2 of 25.37 with 33 degrees of freedom at a probability 0.83. The 2

statistic is non-significant, indicating a good model fit to the sample variance-covariance

structure. Additional measures support validity since the GFI, RMSEA, and the CFI are

all well above acceptable levels. Since the model fits well, is theoretically consistent, and

provides statistically significant parameter estimates, it is appropriate to discuss the

results in detail.

The model shows that relational friction has a positive effect on conflict (0.33) and

that conflict has a positive effect on unforeseen delay (0.47) thus supporting hypotheses

1a and 1b concerning conflict escalation.

While institutional difference is positively associated with relational friction (0.38)

and conflict (0.34), evidently, it is not significantly associated directly with unforeseen

delay. Thus while hypothesis 2a and 2b are supported, 2c is not.

The model shows that an entrant�s dependence on host entities is positively associated

with relational friction (0.32) and unforeseen delay (0.25), but not directly with conflict.

In the opposite direction, a host entity�s dependence on entrants is associated positively

with relational friction (0.26) and conflict (0.37), but not necessarily with unforeseen

delay. Based on this evidence, we conclude full support for hypotheses 3a and 4a, 4b (but

not 3c), and 3c (but not 4c). 16 Error variance of each indicator is fixed to equal ((1-reliability) * (Variance of the variable)). 17 The Satorra-Bentler chi-square is recommended for small samples (N = 200 to 500), non-normal continuous variables, and high kurtosis (Curran, West, & Finch, 1996; Schumacker & Lomax, 2004).

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FIG

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TABLE 3 Summary of Model Results and Conclusions

Hypothesized Relations Between ConstructsSEM

ModelaMultivariate

Regression Modelb

Relational Friction → Conflict 0.33 (3.65)** n/a H1a supportConflict → Unforeseen delay 0.47 (3.11)** n/a H1b supportInstitutional difference → Relational Friction 0.38 (4.19)** 0.357 ( 6.12)** H2a supportInstitutional difference → Conflict 0.34 (3.56)** 0.417 (7.56)** H2b supportInstitutional difference → Unforeseen delay - 3.241 (4.10)** H2c partialYou depend on them → Relational Friction 0.32 (2.76)** 0.216 (3.71)** H3a supportYou depend on them → Conflict - 0.174 (3.16)** H3b partialYou depend on them → Unforeseen delay 0.25 (2.01)* 2.618 (3.31)** H3c supportThey depend on you → Relational Friction 0.26 (2.57)** 0.257 (3.90)** H4a supportThey depend on you → Conflict 0.37 (3.80)** 0.437 (6.85)** H4b partialThey depend on you → Unforeseen delay - - H4c no supportCommunication volume → Relational Friction - - H5a no supportCommunication volume → Conflict - -0.0000366 (3.71)** H5b partialCommunication volume → Unforeseen delay - 0.000329 (2.33)** H5c partialLocal experience → Relational Friction -0.09 (1.65)* -0.0186 (2.26)* H6a supportLocal experience → Conflict - -0.0234 (3.01)** H6b partialLocal experience → Unforeseen delay - - H6c no supportGlobal experience → Relational Friction - - H7a no supportGlobal experience → Conflict - - H7b no supportGlobal experience → Unforeseen delay - - H7c no supportRecurring relations → Relational Friction -0.18 (2.31)* -0.0157 (2.01)* H8a supportRecurring relations → Conflict - - H8b no supportRecurring relations → Unforeseen delay - - H8c no supportLocal experience → Prior Relations 0.15 (2.19)* n/a n/a logicalGlobal experience → Prior Relations -0.27 (2.43)* n/a n/a logical

* p < 0.05, **p < 0.01 one-tailed test.

Conclusion

a The figures given are standardized solutions with t- values in parentheses.b The figures given are standardized partial regression weights with t -values in parantheses.

Surprisingly, the log18 of communication volume is not significantly associated with

any of the dependent variables. Thus, hypotheses 5a, 5b and 5c are not supported by the

structural model.

The fit of data to model confirms that as managers become more locally experienced,

there is less relational friction with local entities (-0.09) but not necessarily less conflict

18 The raw COV variable caused �non-positive definite� matrix errors in LISREL because of its extremely large variance (3.8x107) relative to the other variables in the analysis. Thus, a log scale transform was conducted to mitigate this effect.

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or unforeseen delay. Thus, the structural model lends support for hypothesis 6a, but not

for 6b or 6c.

Also a surprise, global experience is not significantly associated with a reduction in

relational friction, conflict, or unforeseen delay, thus hypotheses 7a, 7b, and 7c are

unsupported. A possible explanation for this result is discussed in the next section.

Finally, according to the data, recurring relations play a significant role in reducing

relational friction (-0.18), but not directly in reducing conflict or unforeseen delay. Thus

there is support for hypothesis 8a, but not for 8b or 8c. Interestingly, recurring relations

were positively associated with local experience, and negatively associated with global

experience, a logical result that is addressed below in the discussion.

In addition to structural equation modeling, we performed a multivariate regression

analysis. The first purpose of this analysis was to assess the effect of the raw COV

variable (non-log transform) on the dependent variables. This relation was not assessed in

the structural equation model because of the matrix errors previously noted. The findings

of the multivariate regression are shown in Table 3. In addition to verifying the

significant paths identified in the structural equation model, they also show that the

communication volume variable is positively associated with unforeseen delay and

negatively associated with conflict, thus partially supporting hypotheses 5b and 6b.

Furthermore, the model suggests that three of the paths that were non-significant in the

structural equation model, from INF to RUD, from YOT to CON, and from LEY to

CON, are in fact significant at the p < 0.01 level in the regression model. This confirms

partial support for hypothesis 2c that informal institutional differences lead to unforeseen

delay; for hypothesis 3c that dependence on local entities leads to conflict; and for

hypothesis 5c that local experience reduces conflict.19 Overall, the independent variables

in the regression analysis explain 42% of the variance of Relational Friction, 48% of the

19 We choose the term �partial support� because multiple regression analysis, although perfectly acceptable to the scientific community, is not as powerful as structural equation modeling (SEM). Advantages of SEM compared to multiple regression include more flexible assumptions (particularly allowing interpretation even in the face of multicollinearity), use of confirmatory factor analysis to reduce measurement error by having multiple indicators per latent variable, the desirability of testing models overall rather than coefficients individually, the ability to test models with multiple dependents, the ability to model mediating variables, and the ability to model error terms (Garson, 2000). Thus, giving credence to the methodological superiority of SEM, even though the findings of the regression analysis are significant at p < 0.05, we claim only partial support.

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variance of Conflict, and 28% of the variance of Unforeseen Delay. Table 3 contrasts the

results of the regression analysis alongside the results of the structural equation model

and summarizes support for the hypotheses.

The second purpose of the multiple regression was to check for interaction effects.20

Interaction terms were added to the model to incorporate the joint effect of the

institutional difference and dependence variables (i.e., INFxYOT, INFxTOY, FORxYOT,

FORxTOY) on the dependent variables (i.e., REF, CON, RUD). Of the 12 (i.e. 4 x 3)

possible combinations, 10 of the interaction terms provided incrementally significant

increases in the R2 of the regression equation. The only two interaction terms that were

not significant were FORxYOT on RUD, and INFxTOY on REF.

RELATIONAL PROFILES

The evidence in Table 4 verifies that relations with local host entities vary along a

number of key dimensions, thus confirming hypothesis 9. Formal relations with market

entities are generally characterized by low levels of formal and informal institutional

differences, low levels of relational friction and conflict, and extremely high volumes of

communication and email.

Typically, formal relations with regulatory entities exemplify high levels of formal

and informal institutional differences, but low levels of relational friction and conflict,

and the greatest dependency mismatch (i.e. the entrant is highly dependent on the

regulatory entity and the regulatory entity is minimally dependent on the entrant).

Surprisingly, regulatory relations also yield the lowest level of relative unforeseen delay.

Client relations are often the most problematic. They exhibit the greatest levels of

formal and informal institutional differences, relational friction, conflict, and reciprocal

interdependency. In the sample that we analyzed, on the average, client relations led to a

197 day delay, equating to 19% of the as-planned project duration.21

20 It is possible to check for interaction effects with SEM methods, but it is difficult. To model such an interaction, the researcher must add four additional input matrices to LISREL: Kappa, Alpha, Tau-X, and Tau-Y and in them specify a complex series of constraints (see Jaccard and Wan, 1996: 56-57). For simplicity, multiple regression was used to check for interactions. 21 In several cases, the contractor or consultant was reimbursed for the time delay by initiating claims against the client. In one particular case, payments for delay amounted to several tens of millions of dollars.

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In most cases, informal relations with interested stakeholders are distinguished by the

lowest levels of formal and informal institutional differences, low levels of relational

friction and conflict, and low levels of relative unforeseen delay.

Finally, informal project relations are usually characterized by low levels of formal

and informal institutional difference, medium levels of communication and email, and

medium levels of reciprocal interdependence.

Although there are many exceptional instances, the statistical analysis confirms that on

the average, significant differences exist across the relational profiles managed by foreign

entrant contractors and consultants. In the discussion we discuss several implications

linking the different relational profiles, conflict escalation, and unforeseen cost growth.

TABLE 4 Profile of Differences between 5 Types of Relations

Min Max F p

1. AUD - Absolute Un- foreseen Delay (days) 0.0 1080 2.86 0.024 125.4 56.9 197.8 51.7 67.4 92.3

2. RUD - Relative Un- foreseen Delay (%) 0% 67% 4.13 0.003 8% 4% 19% 5% 5% 6%

3. TEN - Tension/ anxiety/ stress -3.0 3.0 4.61 0.001 -0.2 0.0 1.7 -0.4 0.4 0.0

4. CON - Conflict/ dis- putes/ hot discussions -3.0 3.0 2.82 0.026 -0.3 -0.1 1.6 -0.4 0.3 -0.1

5. INF - Informal instit-utional differences -3.0 3.0 13.18 0.000 -0.6 0.6 1.3 -1.1 -0.8 -0.3

6. FOR - Formal inst- itutional differences -3.0 3.0 23.76 0.000 -1.1 0.9 1.4 -1.2 -1.0 -0.4

7. COV - Comm- unication volume 0 54000 3.97 0.004 3514 472 2914 82 1404 1942

8. EMV - Email volume 0 10000 3.13 0.016 751 132 522 58 701 473

9. TOY - Extent that they depend on you 0.0 5.0 50.94 0.000 3.0 1.1 4.1 2.6 2.7 2.4

10. YOT - Extent that you depend on them 0.0 5.0 5.11 0.001 2.6 3.2 4.3 2.2 3.2 2.9

a F and p values calculated with single factor ANOVA test.

Indicator VariableRange Overall

Average(n=243)

Significant Variation Between

Relational Profilesa

Relational ProfilesFormal Informal

Market Relations(n=105)

Regulatory Relations

(n=71)

Client

(n=9)

Community Relations

(n=29)

Project Relations

(n=29)

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DISCUSSION

Answers to Research Questions

This study was motivated by three research questions. How salient are unforeseen

transaction costs for firms that enter global projects in unfamiliar institutional

environments? How much do these costs increase as relations with local entities become

more interdependent and institutionally diverse? And how much are these costs lessened

when an entrant has global experience, local experience, and recurring relations with

local entities?

Salience. The evidence confirms that unforeseen transaction costs are salient. On

average, unexpected delays are 6% of as-planned schedule duration. And this measure

does not include the other unforeseen time, money, relational, and reputational costs

associated with conflicting institutional arrangements and understandings.

Antecedents. The evidence also confirms that formal and informal institutional

differences and two-way dependencies are the ingredients for conflict and unforeseen

delays. But these variables are not always direct antecedents. Instead, the findings tell a

more complex story. These variables interact together to cause relational friction, which

in turn triggers escalating levels of conflict and ultimately leads to unforeseen delay.

Moderators. The evidence confirms that local experience and recurring relations

reduce relational friction, which is a precursor to conflict and delay. This result

corroborates a growing set of studies in the IB literature showing positive benefits of

local experience (Luo & Peng, 1999; Barkema et al., 1996; Barkema & Vermeulen, 1998;

Delios & Beamish, 2001). This result also provides a contribution to transaction cost

analysis, where surprisingly few studies have examined the link between recurring

relations and the reduction of transaction costs (Heide & John, 1990; Rindfleisch &

Heide, 1997).

Further Insights

Beyond the quantitative data collection, the interviews with informants provided many

further insights. In this section, we draw on these insights to enrich the interpretation of

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the findings and to shed light on the dynamics of dyadic relations on large public

infrastructure projects.

Non-significance of global experience. We did not find statistical support for the

hypothesized moderating effect of global experience. However, the interviews provide a

plausible explanation for this surprising result: in general, with increasing global

experience, managers are assigned to oversee increasingly difficult and delicate tasks and

local entity relations. One manager on a metro project summarized this as follows, When things don't go as planned with an installation and we start to fall behind they call me in.

That's why I'm here on this [project]. I'm the globe-trotter who orchestrates the turnarounds. And

here we had fallen way back on schedule because we had overestimated the technical capabilities

of the locals... So even though I�m in charge of all these relations that are behind, it�s not my fault

that they�re behind.

Thus, our results reflect the fact that experienced global managers receive increasingly

challenging task assignments, which counteracts the hypothesized positive benefits of the

capabilities that derive from their experience, which is probably why this variable turns

out not to be non-significant in the structural model.

Asymmetric effects of dependence. The evidence shows that while local entity-to-

entrant dependence leads to relational friction and conflict, it is not directly associated

with delay, whereas, while entrant-to-local entity dependence leads to relational friction

and delay, conflict it typically avoided. This implies that even in the face of high

relational friction and impending delay, an entrant who is dependent on a local entity for

resources, approvals, or legitimacy actively avoids situations of conflict. But in the

opposite case, when a host entity is dependent on an entrant, conflict tends to escalate to

higher levels but without causing delay to the entrant�s work schedule.

Communication volume. The evidence also suggests that communication volume is a

positive correlate of unforeseen delay and a negative correlate of conflict. However,

despite the hypothesized correlations, the link between these variables may be more

complex than we have shown here. Indeed, there are many examples in our sample of

formal market relations where an entrant and host entity exchange 10,000+

communications and complete work well ahead of schedule. And of regulatory relations

with less than 50 communications, but where a building permit, customs clearance, or

traffic diversion approval causes significant delay. Thus, it seems that the association

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between communication volume and unforeseen delay needs to be examined within the

context of the distinctive characteristics of each relational profile.

One-time nature of relations. Williamson (1979) suggested that "few transactions

have a totally isolated, one-time character." However, the data in our study contradict this

view. In our sample of 243 relations, more than 50% were strictly one-time, i.e. the two

parties had no relational history prior to the project. Although it may be unusual to have

one-time relations in other non-project-based industries, in the global project business,

more than half of the relations reported are of a one-time nature.

Procurement delay. A number of the delays reported by informants were associated

with the slower than expected delivery of goods and services to the project site. In many

cases, unrealistic expectations about delivery times stemmed from a lack of

understanding about the institutional context supporting the delivery of goods to the

project site, such as customs processing times, national holidays, acceptable tolerances

for meeting deadlines, and the general reliability of supply chains and the shipping

industry. However, future studies that use unforeseen delay as a metric might consider

measuring procurement delay as a direct independent variable.

Political will. On a project in Pakistan, four corrupt in-fighting governments battling

for control caused a 4.5 year delay. In stark contrast, in Thailand a very powerful Prime

Minister with an 80% majority and with support of the King used his political clout to

convince his government and his country that new infrastructure development was a

national priority. He was able to fast-track what is normally a two-year feasibility and

review period for new projects down to less than six months. On one new airport project,

he would camp out and cook food to motivate the work crews. While the project suffered

two years of internal delays, with the addition of night shifts and thousands of workers, it

still finished more or less on time. These examples suggest that within a host country,

high level political interests tend to filter down and flavor the flexibility of the entire

government system, from permitting, to building inspection, to environmental, to every

other regulative arm and agency.

Informal coordination. Almost thirty of the relations in the sample fall into the

�informal project relations� category. Based on our interviews, these informal relations

can cause many of the most complicated coordination challenges on large projects.

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The dynamics of these relations arise from the way that large projects are structured.

Usually, the host government hires a consultant, who contracts with a set of 20 to 100

designers, sub-consultants, and contractors on behalf of the host government, who each in

turn contract with a collection of sub-subs and sub-sub-subs, until, as one informant

explained, �at the bottom of the tree you have five guys and a truck coming in to do some

work.� As the work proceeds, this arrangement leads to an enormous amount of informal

coordination between contractors, subcontractors, sub-subs and sub-sub-subs. And when

one entity is delayed, there can be a domino effect of unforeseen delays oscillating up and

down the hierarchy.

Based on our interviews with dozens of managers, we found that a disproportionate

number of the most serious project delays stemmed from this hierarchy of contracts

arrangement. There is very little contractual guidance to prescribe how interfirm

coordination should be conducted. Generally, each of the contracts in the hierarchy

contains a clause to the effect of, �your firm is responsible to coordinate and liaise with

all of the other firms on the project.� However, this clause is extremely ambiguous. It

causes dozens of disputes and disagreements that culminate in formal legal claims and

counter claims that pile up until the lawyers get involved at the end of the project. The

ensuing legal battle can go on for months. Overall, this quasi-hierarchy arrangement leads

to complex strategies and gamesmanship involving requests for change orders, denials of

requests, threats of contract termination, and other hold-up situations.

Anti-corruption units. The character of regulative relations is also influenced by the

presence of national Anti-Corruption Units (ACUs), governmental departments that are

formed with a mission of stamping out corruption. In a study of a large metro

construction project in New Delhi, India, Mahalingam (2005) found that the scrutiny of

an Indian ACU had many unintended consequences on the performance of the project.

Bureaucrats were unusually slow to make decisions, overly conservative in following

internal rules and regulations, and afraid to use their professional judgment in cases

where a rule did not exist, all because they were afraid of being arrested, investigated,

and prosecuted by the ACU who had the power to freeze promotions and issue penalties.

In our cross-sectional investigation of projects in Thailand, China, Pakistan, Taiwan

and India, we observed anti-corruption units in all five countries. Confirming and

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generalizing Mahalingam�s findings, these anti-corruption units created a unique and

complex dynamic in the regulatory environment cradling the projects that we studied. In

some countries, warring factions within the government would use the ACU as a strategic

source of power, by forming alliances with ACU investigators and using those alliances

to have opponents investigated.

Freelance expatriates. Across all nine projects in the sample, we observed the

presence of a group of so-called freelance expatriates originating from commonwealth

countries, such as the UK, Canada, New Zealand, Australia and South Africa. These

expatriates, generally hired for their technical expertise, also played a crucial role as

intermediaries between the client and contractor sides of the organization, reducing

delays, pushing the project ahead, and unperturbed by the anti-corruption regimes.

Mahalingam�s (2005) research confirms and expands on the critical role played by these

freelance expatriates from �cricket-playing countries.�

Embeddedness in Social Relations and Institutions

The evidence presented here confirms that foreign entrants incur unexpected costs in

formal and informal relations with local host entities. This finding implies that as entrants

become more embedded with local entities, they face increasing unforeseen costs. This

finding illuminates a key limitation in neoclassical economics, and highlights a key

shortcoming in the current international business literature.

Economics and embeddedness. Coase (1988: 73) has described mainstream

economics as a �study of the circulation of the blood without a body.� For decades,

neoclassical economists have discounted the fact that market interactions are embedded

in social relations and a cultural context (Boulding, 1972; Granovetter, 1985). While this

assumption might serve researchers reasonably well in a mono-cultural market setting

where it can be assumed that all actors speak a common language, hold relatively similar

beliefs and values, and embrace a shared conception of the formal and informal �rules of

the game�, it becomes problematic in a globalized world where transactions span cultural,

legal and political boundaries and where actors with competing institutionalized

understandings are frequently in close contact. It becomes problematic because when an

actor attempts to negotiate, coordinate, or transact in an unfamiliar institutional context or

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with actors from an alien context, evidence from the present study indicates that these

relations create the possibility for institutional exceptions�misjudgments,

misunderstandings, and conflicts�which in turn lead to salient unforeseen transaction

costs. The findings here imply that, in general, the greater an entrant�s level of social

embeddedness with foreign actors, the greater the aggregate potential for relational

friction and inefficient transactions. Therefore, in a rapidly-globalizing world, as the

numbers of transactions across market boundaries and across divergent institutional

logics and rule-systems continues to expand, the soundness of the under-socialized

assumption becomes increasingly suspect.

International business and embeddedness. Recently, international business scholars

have proposed that �social embeddedness� is a strategy that MNEs need to adopt if they

are going to in capture the enormous base of the pyramid market in emerging economies

(London & Hart, 2004). However, in the present paper we provide evidence that social

embeddedness leads to a host of unforeseen transaction costs that negatively impact

performance and profitability. Obviously, there is a divergence of opinion. London and

Hart argue that entrant firms should seek to become more embedded to ensure their

success, and we show evidence that embeddedness leads to unforeseen costs, implying

that entrants should avoid becoming too embedded. Can both views be correct?

Yes, both views can co-exist in harmony. The main difference is the short run versus

long run emphasis. London and Hart focus on continuing business operations (Coca-cola,

GE, Maytag, etc). In contrast, we focus on short-term projects where an entrant goes in,

executes a project, and then exits thereafter without gaining any benefit of establishing a

market presence (Bechtel, Fluor, etc.). In the short run, being too embedded leads to all

kinds of unforeseen costs22�time costs, money costs, reputation damage, relationship

damage�when an entrant fails to understand local tacit beliefs, informal norms, and

formal rules of the game. But in the long run, if an entrant fails to become embedded,

then they never learn to maneuver within the local institutions nor do they develop an

internal stock of localized human-resource capacity. Thus, social embeddedness is like a

double-edged sword�you�re damned if you get embedded to soon, and damned if don�t

22 In this study, we only measured time costs, but in the last chapter we also approximated relationship damage, reputation damage, and money costs.

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get embedded eventually. The key then is to enter alien markets gradually, not too slow,

not to fast, and as the base of operations expands, to build up local human-resource

capabilities to manage the growing number of local entity interfaces and interactions.

Limitations

As with most research efforts, ours has several limitations. We call attention to some of

the most important of which we are aware.

One-sided interviews. The interviews concerning the outcome of the dyadic relations

were one-sided, and did not account for the host entity perspective. This is partly

justified, however, because the goal of the study was to learn about unforeseen costs

incurred by entrant firms and not about the unforeseen costs incurred by local host

entities.

Unforeseen delay metric. The unforeseen delay metric is imperfect. Occasionally a

contractor will intentionally underestimate project duration, knowing that foreseeable

delays will lead to additional opportunities for change orders and profits. Furthermore,

the value of time may differ across projects and entities, which reduces comparability.

Blurring of relational profiles. At the beginning of the study, we had hoped to test the

hypotheses separately for each relational profile. However, SEM methods require a

sample with greater than 200 cases (Schumacker & Lomax, 2004) and the realities of

field-data collection made it impossible to gather a sample this large for each profile.

Interconnected relations. In several cases, the interconnected nature of relations

makes it difficult to untangle the true source of unforeseen delay. For example, on an

elevated rail project in Hong Kong, a Temporary Traffic Management Scheme (TTMS)

was set up by three regulative bodies: the Police Department, the Roads Department, and

the Highways Department. Over the course of the project, the general contractor filed

more than 1000 applications to the TTMS for temporary traffic diversion. Whenever

these permits were not in place, the project was delayed, which happened on more than

fifty occasions. But whose fault was the delay? Was it the government client, who had

contractually guaranteed the general contractor access to the project site? Was it the

virtual and ephemeral TTMS entity that authorized the permits? Or was it one of the three

distinct regulative bodies that backed the TTMS and made it a credible actor? Was it the

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public citizens, who called in complaints to the three regulative bodies, who in turn

would conduct investigations for permit infractions? Was it the subcontractors, the only

party whose work was actually delayed when a permit was out of place? Or was it the

general contractor for failing to think through the implications of this web of

organizational dependencies ahead of time? Who is the offending party? And who should

bear the cost of the project slipping behind schedule? This example highlights just why it

is that delay claims are inordinately complex, and why there is an entire industry of

accountants and lawyers who specialize in preparing construction claims, which can take

months to compile, years to resolve, and be in the magnitude of millions of dollars, often

far exceeding a contractor�s budgeted profit margin. It also highlights the limitation of

examining strictly dyadic relations, when in actuality it is a complex network of

interdependent actors that influence project outcomes.

Reverse interpretation of findings. Our interpretation of the findings may also be

explained in reverse. Technical or economic difficulties may cause unforeseen delay,

which cause conflict and tension, which then magnify perceptions of institutional

difference and interdependencies. However, this was not the direction hypothesized from

theory, so we did not test this alternative.

Competitive versus collaborative conflict. Additionally, we did not account for the

difference between competitive and collaborative conflict (Deutsch, 1973; Tjosvold et al.,

2003). For example, regulatory relations are generally adversarial in nature. But informal

project relations tend to be more collaborative with a common goal of project completion.

So the conflict reported in these two cases may actually have very different theoretical

bases, indicators and impacts.

Non-linear escalation of conflict. After conducting this study, our view is that

conflict cannot be measured on a linear scale. Relational dynamics involve non-linear

effects and spikes of tension and conflict that rise and fall with the progression of time. A

misunderstanding in one relation may actually create 100% more anxiety, stress, tension,

disputes and conflict than any other relation on a project. While most relations go well,

the one that goes wrong tends to really go wrong and in that case, a linear scale can not

capture the true magnitude of the critical incident scenario.

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Selection bias. All data were from nine large public infrastructure projects within

Asia. While the sample of dyadic relations that was drawn from this population was

largely random, this population may not be representative of all infrastructure projects in

other regions of the world or at other points in time. Thus, generalizations of the findings

to other projects in other regions or sectors should keep this potential sample bias in

mind.

CONCLUSION

Contributions to Science

The main contribution of this article is the identification of the existence and salience of

unforeseen transaction costs and their antecedents, correlates and consequences. Drawing

on several literatures, the article presents a more complex story of interdependencies,

institutional differences, conflict escalation, and unforeseen transaction costs than

currently exists in the economics or international business literature. We view this as a

contribution because, in the transaction cost view of foreign market entry (e.g. Gatignon

and Anderson, 1988; Klein et al., 1990; Hennart, 1991; Erramilli and Rao, 1993; Delios

and Beamish, 1999; Brouthers & Brouthers, 2003), authors have not explicitly identified

the existence or significance of unforeseen transaction costs.

In addition to the main contribution, these findings offer several more modest

contributions. They take a small step towards confirming one of Hayek�s (1945)

conjectures about the importance of local knowledge in reducing transaction costs. They

show that at least five distinct types of relational interfaces exist for consultants and

contractors on large projects. Finally, they verify the impacts of intercultural institutional

differences (North, 1990; Scott, 2001) in causing relational friction and conflict, with an

approach that intentionally deviates from the problems (Shenkar, 2001) of using national-

cultural distance as an independent variable (Hofstede, 1984; Kogut and Singh, 1988).

Contributions to Practice

For practice, this study demonstrates the salience of unforeseen transaction costs. They

are not imaginary, immeasurable or insignificant. The evidence suggests that in relations

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with unfamiliar local host entities, entrant firms should anticipate schedule delays ranging

from 4% to 20%, depending on the type of relation.

Host governments need to recognize that they themselves can be a major source of

delay. Bankers need to recognize that budgeted project estimates are often too low.

Project consultants need to understand the complexity that dyadic relations can bring and

design a project to minimize interdependencies and streamline the resolution of

interorganizational disputes and conflicts.

Contractors and consultants need to account for these hidden costs, recognize the

importance of locally experienced personnel, and avoid dependencies where local

experience is inadequate. One strategy to achieve this is to outsource activities embedded

in local institutions to local guides, agents, partners, or subcontractors who have

knowledge to execute according to local protocols and institutional idiosyncrasies.

Finally, by maintaining a market presence, developing recurring network relations, and

cultivating a staff with local knowledge, an entrant contractor or consultant can slowly

learn to maneuver and transact effectively and efficiently within the tangle of locally-

devised institutional enablers and constraints.

Areas for Future Research

Future research might go in a number of fruitful directions. To better understand the

dynamics of each relational profile, researchers might gather larger data samples to test

the hypotheses separately for each of the five groups. To examine the effects of political

will and the strength of anti-corruption units in causing unforeseen delay in relations with

host government regulatory agencies, researchers might develop a set of indicators to

measure these latent constructs. To better understand relational interdependencies,

researchers might develop a finer grained model of dependency by splitting the elements

of our survey question into five individual items: legitimacy, resources, authorization,

knowledge, and information. To better understand the longitudinal process of

internationalization and how unforeseen transaction costs decline as firms become more

internationally experienced, researchers might test the link between the global experience

of the firm and the firm�s ability to acquire relevant local knowledge upon entering a new

environment. To understand the non-linear effects of conflict escalation, researchers

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might use a 100 point scale to measure conflict, with 0 to 10 defined as the normal range,

and 11 to 100 defined as the range of escalation for critical incident scenarios. Finally, to

continue to explore the dynamics of dyadic relations and transaction costs, researchers

might continue to refine the highly visual �hub-and-wheel� approach that was pioneered

in this study and was crucial in being able to collect a large sample of field data about

relational factors and transactional outcomes.

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APPENDIX 1 Data Collection Protocol

1. Complete �Key Manager Form� with actual data

a. Position, local experience (projects, yrs), cross-cultural experience (countries, yrs)

2. Show sample �Relationship Map� to give idea of completed product & then

complete blank �Relationship Map Form� with actual data a. Name of each entity in big bubble b. Number all entities clock-wise (also in big bubble) c. Indicate unforeseen/ surprising/ unexpected delay caused by each entity in

small bubble closest to big bubble* d. Length of prior working relations with each entity (in yrs, second bubble

away from big bubble**; in projects, third bubble away from big bubble***)

3. Complete �Relationship Data Matrix� with actual data

a. I show the list of questions and the anchored-scale b. The informant thinks about the question for each entity on the

Relationship Map, selects a response from the scale, and then goes on to the next entity moving clockwise �around the wheel�

c. I fill in the matrix as they answer each question

4. Complete �Other Factors� a. If �other� is selected for any line-item, ask for details

5. Indicate Mgr # in charge of each entity using data from Key Mgr Form

a. Small bubble**** furthest from big bubble ****Mgr # ***Length of prior relations with this entity (projects) **Length of prior relations with this entity (yrs) *Unforeseen/ surprising/ unexpected delay (days) Name of local entity

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APP

EN

DIX

2

Tra

nsac

tion

Map

R

egul

ator

y Ag

enci

es(F

orm

al R

elat

ions

)(i.

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take

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rmal

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ity/ N

GO

/ int

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irms

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roje

ct(In

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rs(F

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al R

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ions

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egal

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YOU

RFI

RM

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130

APPENDIX 3 Key Manager Form

Mgr 1 Mgr 2 Mgr 3 Mgr 4 Mgr 5 Mgr 6

Local experience - in this country

(yrs / projects)

International experience - all countries

(yrs / countries)

Key Managers

Position

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131

APPENDIX 4 Closed-Ended Questions & Scale

-3 -2 -1 +1 +2 +3STRONGLY DISAGREE DISAGREE MILDLY

DISAGREEMILDLY AGREE AGREE STRONGLY

AGREE

SCALE 1

A. This entity has created high levels of tension/ anxiety/ stress

B. We have had conflict/ disputes/ hot discussions with this entity

C. At times it has been difficult to understand this entity�s regulations/ rules/

requirements

D. At times it has been difficult to understand this entity�s expectations/

assumptions/ logics

E. Estimate # of meetings/ telephone calls/ face-to-face conversations with

this entity.

F. Estimate # of emails sent to this entity.

G. This entity depends23 on relations with our firm to be successful

H. Our firm�s depends24 on relations with this entity to be successful

23 This entity "depends "on our firm if they need knowledge/ information/ resources/ authorization/ legitimation from our firm, that only we can provide 24 Our firm "depends "on this entity if we need knowledge/ information/ resources/ authorization/ legitimation from this entity, that only they can provide

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APPENDIX 5 Relationship Data Matrix & Other Factors

Relationship Data Matrix

B C D E F G H123456789

101112131415161718192021222324252627282930

Other Factors

Type of Firm General Contractor____; Sub____; Hardware Provider____; Developer____; Consultant____; Engineer/Design____; Other____

Entry Mode Importer____; Start-Up____; Partner____; Acquisition____ If partner, what type? Local Gov't____; Local Private Firm____; Foreign Firm____; Other_____ Primary Control Home Office____; Regional Office____; Project Site Office____ Your Position Exec____; Project Mgr____; Site Engineer____; Designer____; Other__ Global Experience Your firm ____ (yrs); The exec responsible for this project _____ (yrs)

___________ (yrs, months, days)

Entity #

As-Scheduled Project Duration

AQuestion

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133

APP

EN

DIX

6

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CON

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3

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134

APPENDIX 7 Latent Constructs - Means, Standard Deviations and Correlations

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

1.1

2.0.67*** 1

3.-0.27*** -0.17** 1

4.0.47*** 0.49*** 0.10 1

5.-0.20** -0.20** 0.21*** -0.08 1

6.0.4*** 0.36*** -0.21*** 0.17** -0.35*** 1

7.0.59*** 0.60*** -0.14* 0.44*** -0.17** 0.45*** 1

8.0.56*** 0.59*** -0.17** 0.27*** -0.11 0.32*** 0.51*** 1

9.0.35*** 0.41*** -0.27*** -0.14** -0.06 0.57*** 0.33*** 0.33*** 1

10.0.09 0.14* -0.28*** -0.11 -0.30*** 0.16** 0.23*** 0.12 0.09 1

* p < 0.05, ** p < 0.01, *** p < 0.001n = 243

They Depend on You

Global Experience

Latent Construct

Local Experience

Communication Volume

You Depend on Them

Relative Unforeseen Delay

Relational Friction

Conflict

Recurring Relations

Institutional Difference

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135

III

Embeddedness, Emergent Uncertainty and Strategies to

Succeed in Unfamiliar Markets

�What is called foreknowledge cannot be elicited from spirits, nor from Gods, not by analogy with past events, nor from calculations. It must be obtained from men who know

the situation.� -- Sun Tzu (500 B.C.)

ABSTRACT

This inductive study investigates the challenges that entrant firms face on large global

development projects � e.g., airports, transportation systems, oil refineries, resorts � in

foreign market environments, and the strategies that they evolve to cope with these

challenges. It uses a multi-case research design with interview data from four types of

firms�Systems Contractors who sell, test and deliver integrated technical systems;

Project Consultants who plan, manage and control large projects on behalf of a client;

General Contractors who undertake responsibility for overall project delivery; and

Developers who finance, acquire land and prepare a site for commercial use. The

research design invokes two logics: a theoretical replication logic, because the level of

embeddedness of the four types of firms varies; and a two-way literal replication logic,

with two firms of each type, each with two projects. The findings indicate that, as firms

become more embedded in an unfamiliar market context, they face a greater local

knowledge deficit and more frequent situations involving emergent uncertainty. As a

result, they are more inclined to use a partner or acquisition entry mode vs. a start-up, to

hire larger numbers of locals relative to expatriate staff and to decentralize control to the

local level. The findings are summarized in 12 formal propositions and reconfirm the

value of Chandler�s classic theorem that a firm�s strategy and structure need to be in

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136

alignment with its environment. The findings also shed light on the existence and nature

of �general internationalization knowledge,� by pinpointing three general strategies that

entrant firms use repeatedly across projects and countries: increasing the supply of local

knowledge; decreasing the demand for local knowledge; and reducing the consequence

of a local knowledge deficit. These general strategies disconfirm the popular myth that an

entrant�s performance is tied to climbing a �country learning curve.� On the contrary,

they suggest that absorbing locals into the firm, avoiding the need to learn and avoiding

the consequence of not learning, are equally effective strategies to improve performance.

Overall, the evidence from this study highlights and addresses six key inadequacies and

inaccuracies within the extant international business literature.

INTRODUCTION

A CEO went to Okinawa for the first time. He was on vacation�to see the beaches, to

experience the local culture and to play golf. After the trip, a researcher asked him a

question: �How much did the success of your trip depend on your knowledge of the local

Japanese context: the language, history, culture, economics and politics?� His answer

was: �Gee. Not very much. I had to count local currency, book a hotel room and I even

learned a few words of Japanese and it was a good holiday.�

A second CEO also went to Okinawa, also for the first time, but with a different

objective. He went to buy land and to build a beachfront hotel and resort. Two years into

the project, he was asked the same question and he offered a far more elaborate reply: It was impossible to know all the risks going in. And even the risks that we thought we knew, it

didn�t mean we knew what to do about them. Our success owes more to our [adaptability] than it

does our ability to predict the risks. And we adapted by making friends with locals and by tapping

local knowledge for each key decision� [Local knowledge includes] all manner of facts and

trends about the local theatre�about real estate activity, capital markets, city bylaws, building

codes, contract protocol, the gray area between the written law and what is enforced� health and

safety standards, the credibility of suppliers, the needs of our customers and so on and so forth.

We made good decisions because we had a steady stream of local knowledge.

These responses are typical of managers who enter foreign markets: they need local

knowledge specific to the purpose for their entry (Geertz, 1982); and generally, the more

embedded they are in the local context, the more local knowledge they need to achieve

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137

their goals. Yet, while the degree of learning engagement seems to influence performance

in foreign markets (Petersen & Pedersen, 2002), there has been little research to explore

how the depth of learning engagement is linked to embeddedness (Melin, 1992; Jones

1993; Luo & Mezias, 2002) or how entrants cope with a local knowledge shortfall

(Sinkula, 1994).

In this article, we begin the empirical investigation of the link between level of

embeddedness in an unfamiliar market context, level of need for local knowledge and

strategies to cope with a local knowledge deficit. In doing so, we seek to develop a

grounded theory by integrating the experiences of managers engaged in the planning,

design and management of large global projects such as airports, oil refineries, and water

treatment facilities.

The concept of embeddedness (Granovetter, 1985) is central to this study. For a

working definition, we define embeddedness as the level of interaction, coordination or

negotiation between an entrant and other entities in a host market environment. This

implies that an entrant�s level of embeddedness is also linked closely to the entrant�s

degree of exposure to local host institutions�the formal rules and regulations, informal

norms and customs and tacit beliefs and values that support, guide and constrain all

aspects of social action (Scott, 2001; North, 1990; 2005).

This approach builds on Granovetter�s platform. His well-known article concerns the

extent to which economic action is embedded in social relations in modern industrial

society. His thesis is that neoclassical economists have tended to understate the

importance of social relations in market interactions�the so-called �under-socialized

view�� preferring instead assumptions of rational, self-interested behavior affected

minimally by social structure; and that sociologists and reformist economists, have

branched to the opposite extreme�the �over-socialized view��which overstates the

centrality of social structure. He concludes by proposing a middle ground�an

�embeddedness view��to �stress the role of concrete personal relations and structures

(or networks) of such relations, in generating trust and discouraging malfeasance.� He

argues that �most economic behavior is closely embedded in networks of interpersonal

relations and that an embeddedness approach avoids the extremes of under- and over-

socialized views of human action.�

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In the present study, we build on this view, but in an orthogonal direction. We take it

for granted that embeddedness can and does exist and, rather than playing it up or down

via theoretical filters, we take the view that embeddedness is a measurable variable. Thus,

having first recognized the existence of embeddedness as a concept, as Granovetter did,

we are equipped to go on to the next step of measuring the level of embeddedness that

entrants face in an unfamiliar market setting.

The present study is organized around two core questions: What challenges does

embeddedness create for foreign entrants? And what strategies do entrants actually use to

cope with different levels of embeddedness? Clearly, these questions are closely allied to

the �big question� on the international business (IB) research agenda: What determines

the international success and failure of firms? (Peng, 2004) By responding to these

questions, we take a small step towards injecting the concept of embeddedness into the

sphere of IB research, by examining the effect of variations in level of embeddedness.

The findings tell a dynamic story. The empirical evidence suggests that different firms

do indeed face different levels of embeddedness, determined dually by the type of work

engagement, and the key strategic decisions of management. The evidence indicates three

generic strategies that managers adopt to cope with high levels of embeddedness:

increasing the supply of local knowledge; decreasing the demand for local knowledge;

and reducing the impact of a local knowledge deficit. By adopting these generic

strategies� which apply to any country or foreign market entry situation�firms learn to

minimize unforeseen costs and improve performance. The evidence indicates that while

experiential learning is crucial to success in foreign markets, it has been overemphasized

in the literature, at the detriment of failing to recognize other key strategies such as

circumventing or avoiding the proverbial learning curve.

BACKGROUND

Challenges in Foreign Markets

Despite differing pragmatic aims and the use of a variety of terms and nuanced

definitions, IB scholars who write about entering foreign markets repeatedly employ key

terms that are conceptually similar. The terms �liability of foreignness� (Hymer, 1976;

Ghoshal & Nohria, 1989; Zaheer, 1995; Hennart, Roehl & Zeng, 2002; Beamish & Lu,

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2004), �liability of newness� (Li & Guisinger, 1991; Lu & Beamish, 2004), �cultural

distance� (Kogut & Singh, 1989; Barkema et. al., 1997; Sim & Ali, 1998; Hennart &

Zeng, 2002), �institutional distance� (Kostova, 1999; Kostova & Zaheer, 1999; Xu &

Shenkar, 2002), �psychic distance� (Johanson & Vahlne, 1977; ) and �political or social

risk� (Goodnow & Hansz, 1972; Kobrin, 1979; Agarwal & Ramaswami, 1992; Barkema

& Vermeulen, 1998; Chua, Wang & Tan, 2003) each have a long and rich history in the

IB literature. Yet all of these terms imply a common assumption: that foreign firms face

challenges and, perhaps, outsider disadvantages, when they enter new or unfamiliar

market settings.

Although there are many variances in these views25, none deals with a key real world

fact. As noted by Melin (1992), they ignore any notion of depth of embeddedness in the

local context. Too many studies suggest, albeit implicitly, that two firms from Country A

who enter Country B will suffer equally from �liabilities of foreignness�, �cultural

distance�, �psychic distance�, �institutional distance� and other forms of �risk�, such as

country risk or political risk. For example, many scholars have discussed the concept of

�foreignness� in a language that implies an amorphous disadvantage or liability that

trickles down and touches all entrants evenly (eg. Zaheer, 1995; Luo & Peng, 1999;

Reuer & Leiblein, 2000; Delios & Beamish, 2001; Guillen, 2002). Similarly, in previous

systematic analyses of the performance of foreign invested affiliates, scholars have

expected to find that �cultural distance�, �psychic distance� or �institutional distance�

would encumber all foreign entrants to the same extent (eg. Park & Ungson, 1997;

Beamish & Kachira, 2004; Barkema et. al., 1997). Likewise, many logical discussions of

�country risk� or �political risk� imply a halo of misfortune that floats down to plague

every venture uniformly within the boundary of a given nation-state (eg. Kobrin, 1979;

Agarwal & Ramaswami, 1992; Barkema & Vermeulen, 1998). But is it really true that

entrants to a foreign market all face the same deficit of and need for local knowledge?

25 One key variance is the oscillation between over-socialized and under-socialized views (Granovetter,

1995). Adherents of �cultural distance�, �psychic distance� and �institutional distance� most always fall to the side of over-socializing IB theory, claiming that differences in social behavior and relations are central to the success of foreign invested affiliates. Meanwhile, the proponents of �risk� generally go towards an under-socialized view, with main emphasis on probabilities and consequences of events, which leaves little room for the dynamics of social realities. Views of a �liability of foreignness� tend to fall somewhere in between these extremes.

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Learning to Cope with Challenges in Foreign Markets

Within the corpus of IB research, from the earliest studies to the present day, scholars

have reached almost universal consensus concerning the premise that entrants into

foreign markets improve performance as they adapt, learn and accumulate experience

(Cyert & March, 1963; Johanson & Vahlne, 1977; Erramilli, 1991; Eriksson et. al., 1997;

Barkema et. al., 1997; Autio, Sapienza & Almeida, 2000; Barkema & Nadolska, 2003).

This pervasive view is clearest in studies that recognize entry into foreign markets as

processes of internationalization (eg. Anderson, 1993; Welch & Luostarinen, 1988)

organization learning (eg. Luo & Peng, 1999; Lord & Ranft, 2000) and evolutionary

strategy development (eg. Melin, 1992; Douglas, 1996). Despite considerable variance

across these views, the dominant perspective is that entrants learn to maneuver and

transact effectively and efficiently within the context of an unfamiliar market

environment as they iteratively acquire market information, adapt to unexpected

conditions, amend mental models and encode lessons-learned into strategies to guide

future action (eg. Sinkula, 1994; Chapter I).

However, these views fail to address two key realities. First, there has been virtually

no acknowledgment that different types of firms face different levels of embeddedness

that affects the depth of their learning engagement. According to Melin (1992), who

quotes (Jones 1991:13) �mainstream theories of the MNC are unable to access the

institutional and social environment �due to their undersocialized construction�.

Second, the content of what is actually learned has never been adequately described

and learning is inferred, rather than empirically investigated (eg. Makino & Delios, 1996;

Barkema et. al., 1997; Luo & Peng, 1999). Lord & Ranft (2000) provide the following

critique: In this literature� the organizational learning process is typically discussed in broad, illustrative

terms and is usually inferred rather than directly and empirically measured. Learning processes

that are described as being complicated and arduous in theory most often are operationalized and

measured using simple proxies�firms are treated as singular, homogenous entities that �learn�

about a new international market as a function of the overall elapsed time or resources spent in a

new country context.

This prevailing paradigm of abstracting out the content of what firms actually learn or

so-called �content-free learning�, can be traced back to general management science

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141

where the �learning curve� or �experience curve� was first developed (Wright, 1936).

The �learning curve� model stems from the observation that as organizations produce

more units of a product (eg. airplanes) the unit cost of production typically falls (eg.

labor-hours per unit produced), but at a decreasing rate (Epple, Argote & Devedas, 1991).

This mathematically definable relationship has frequently been cited as evidence for

learning (eg. Wright, 1936; Hirschmann, 1964; Ghemawat, 1985; Epple, Argote &

Devidas, 1991; Levin, 2000). Further support for �learning curve� models has been cited

from psychology (eg. Lave & March, 1975; Huberman, 2001), where experiments show

that a rat learns to navigate a T-maze according to a similar mathematical �learning

curve� relationship (eg. Tolman & Honzik, 1930, Seward, 1949).

Several IB scholars have implicitly embraced �content-free� models of learning and

have suggested the notion that organizations follow a curve as they learn to work in a

particular host-country environment (Child & Yan, 2003; Isobe, Makino & Montgomery,

2000). However, this notion may be misleading. The reason is that �learning curves� only

evolve when the �learner� is engaged in a standard task. For example, they only evolve in

manufacturing production when the manufacturer has a standard product (Abernathy and

Wayne, 1974) or in �rat-maze performance� when the rat has to negotiate a standard

maze (Staddon, 2003). However, as Ursic and Czinkota (1984) acknowledge, the task of

navigating the foreign market environment involves many non-standard activities.

Furthermore, organization environments are dynamic and turbulent (Aldrich, 1979; Scott,

2003) and in emerging markets volatility is especially problematic (Luo & Peng, 1999).

Thus, speculations that suggest a mathematical learning curve relationship between

length of experience and performance for entry into a particular country may be

questionable.

In addition to having questionable theoretical roots, extant �content-free� theories of

learning fail to address two key questions. The first question is: What is actually learned?

Scholars suggest that learning to succeed in foreign markets involves the accumulation of

at least three distinct types of experience: general, country and business/activity (Kogut

& Singh, 1988; Benito & Gripsrud, 1995). A number of scholars linked to the Uppsala

school corroborate this view, drawing a similar distinction between international

experience, institutional knowledge and business knowledge (Johanson & Vahlne, 1997;

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142

Eriksson et. al., 1997; Petersen & Pedersen, 2002). �Institutional knowledge� consists of

knowledge of the institutional framework, rules, norms and values in a particular market.

�Business knowledge� includes knowledge on counterparts (customers, suppliers,

distributors, competitors) in the foreign region, including knowledge about the local

business cultures. However, despite exhortations to flesh out this more complex story of

experiential learning, there has been little effort to untangle general strategies of

internationalization from those that are specific to a particular country or

business/activity (Luo & Peng, 1999).

The second key question is: How much learning is necessary? The question of depth

of learning has been largely avoided, because with extant �content-free models� it has

been infeasible to compare how entrants face varying levels of need for local knowledge.

One exception is a study by Petersen and Pedersen (2002), which indicates that across

foreign entrants there is significant variation in the depth of the learning engagement�

i.e., the effort and ability necessary to learn how to conduct business in a foreign

environment. As already noted, there has been a general neglect of the concept of

embeddedness in the IB literature, so it is not surprising that scholars have been ill-

equipped to analyze an entrant�s level of need for local knowledge. Without a notion of

embeddedness, the local knowledge deficit is presumed to be equal across all types of

entrants. Furthermore, without a notion of depth of need, there has been no impetus to

investigate how firms facing different levels of need adopt different coping strategies

(expatriate versus local staffing, entry mode, organization structure etc.) across industry

sectors.

Given the lack of existing theory connecting embeddedness, the need for local

knowledge and strategies to overcome local knowledge deficits, this research was

designed to generate new theory, not to test existing theory and the paper is organized to

present a new model rather than to refute an old one. Thus, in the tradition of inductive

research, we do not propose any initial hypotheses. Instead, we go directly to a grounded-

theory methodology.

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METHODS

Table 1 portrays the eight firms studied. All of these firms are in the business of

providing products and services that contribute to the planning, engineering and

construction of large global infrastructure projects. Although not all eight firms would

likely be encountered on any single project, it is conceivable and even likely, that

subgroups of them have collaborated together on past projects, in different countries,

worldwide. TABLE 1

Firm Descriptions

Firm ID Firm Name Firm Type Employ-

eesRevenue

(mil.)aHome

Country Firm AgeGlobal

DiversitybNumber of Interviews

1 Kelso Systems Contractor 33,000 6,800 Finland 90+ 36/110 72 Archer Systems Contractor 76,000 21,000 France 100+ 55/150 43 Duke Developer 1,800 400 US 50+ 5/5 54 Heroic Developer 2,800 750 US 40+ 12/16 135 Marengo Project Consultant 7,000 800 UK 100+ 35/120 56 Phantom Project Consultant 1,300 200 Japan 50+ 17/120 117 Boomerang General Contractor 44,000 16,000 US 100+ 26/140 88 Forester General Contractor 35,000 9000 US 80+ 25/95 7

a The revenue and employee figures aggregate international operations, across several corporate divisions,for the calendar year 2003.b Number of countries with corporate headquarters as of May 2005. / Number of countries with project siteoffices, both past and present.

Case Study Design

The study invokes a multiple case study design. The logic underlying the use of multiple

cases is replication. As Yin (2001) explains, �Each case must be carefully selected so that

it either�predicts similar results to enhance reliability of the findings (a literal

replication) or�produces contrasting results but for predictable reasons (a theoretical

replication).�26 The eight-firm sample was designed to generate four instances of

theoretical replication along the embeddedness dimension (i.e., each of the four types of

firm has a different level of embeddedness); and to generate several literal replications

(i.e., there are two instances of each type of firm, and each firm has at least two projects).

26 Yin�s original language has been modified slightly to fit the context of this particular paragraph.

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Research Setting

Large global projects provide a setting where many international firms congregate, each

with different roles, responsibilities and home country affiliations. Literature related to

large engineering projects includes studies of temporary organizations that undergo

simultaneous structuring and operations (eg. Thompson, 1967); the quasi-firm and the

organization of the construction industry (eg. Eccles, 1981); mega-projects and the

management of uncertainty (eg. Stinchcombe and Heimer, 1985); construction projects as

hierarchies of contracts (eg. Stinchcombe, 1990); and projects as high-stakes, real-options

games that involve the shaping of risks, stability and governability (eg. Miller & Lessard,

2000).

Global construction projects provide a unique research setting for two chief reasons.

First, most international project participants enter the host market expressly to work on a

single project and exit immediately upon completing their work. Thus, they face all of the

short-run downside risk that comes with foreign market entry, yet they enjoy little of the

long-term advantage that comes with establishing a permanent market presence. Second,

many participants face extremely high levels of embeddedness. To execute their work,

they must interact with literally hundreds of local firms and government agencies and

maneuver and transact within a gridlock of locally-devised rules, requirements, standards,

practices, protocols and assumptions related to the building construction industry.

Data Sources

Data collection included open-ended interviews, project visits, structured interviews,

meeting observations and review of project documents.

Focus on projects. We interviewed approximately 50 managers who had worked on

global projects with roles and responsibilities in management, engineering, design and

construction. Table 2 summarizes the projects that were discussed in the interviews. They

ranged in value from $50 million, to $1.7 billion and in scheduled duration from two

years, to just over five years. Table 3 portrays the budget, schedule, staffing, contract and

risk characteristics of the project engagements for each type of firm. At the time of the

interviews, all projects were ongoing or had been completed within the past five years.

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145

Open-ended interviews. The majority of the interviews followed an open-ended

protocol, as recommended by Spradley (1979). They lasted between one and two hours,

were digitally recorded for subsequent transcription and review and were conducted

during an 18-month period between May, 2003 and November, 2004. Informants also

provided more than 200 pages of secondary archival data enriching the contextual

background surrounding many of the critical incidents, including newspaper articles,

project briefs, internal memos, email, formal organization charts, budgets, schedules and

other project documents. Through the process of conducting and analyzing these

interviews, we recognized the critical importance of the embeddedness concept and

subsequently designed structured interviews to deepen the investigation.

Structured interviews. The structured-interview protocol, which was developed to

measure embeddedness, is provided in Appendix 1. The questions were printed on 8.5� x

11� cardstock, in size 18 font, to focus, guide and normalize the interview dialogue.

Administering the structured interviews. Structured interviews were conducted both

by telephone and in face-to-face meetings. In January, 2005, informants at Duke, Heroic,

Boomerang and Forester were interviewed by telephone. In February, 2005, we visited

several large infrastructure projects in Asia to interview informants at Kelso, Archer,

Marengo and Phantom. In addition, these site visits also provided many spontaneous

opportunities to observe meetings, decisions and interactions. Most of the interviews

lasted between 15 and 30 minutes. In the case where an informant did not have an

�instant� answer, they were encouraged to contact a more knowledgeable colleague. For

example, when estimating the number of formal market relations, most informants made

a quick call to the project�s Accounts Payable department.

Data Analysis

We followed the grounded-theory approach recommended by Glaser and Strauss (1967),

Miles & Huberman (1994) and Eisenhardt (1989), analyzing the data in three distinct, yet

highly iterative and interrelated phases. As Glaser and Strauss (1967:105) explain, this

method entails, �first, coding each incident in the data into as many categories of analysis

as possible and comparing incidents [in] each category; second, integrating categories

and their properties�resulting in a unified and �developing theory; and third, delimiting

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TABLE 2 Project Descriptions

Project ID Project Description Firms Present Region Project

DurationProject Value

Site Visit by 1st Author

1 Mass Transit System

Kelso, Archer, Boomerang,

Phantom Asia 61 mo. $700M yes2 International Airport Kelso, Phantom SE. Asia 36 mo. $1.1B yes3 Water Treatment Plant Archer, Marengo Asia 54 mo. $160M yes

4 Rail Transit SystemMarengo,

Boomerang Asia 78 mo. $13B yes5 Resort Complex Duke Asia 36 mo. $1.7B no6 High End Housing Development Heroic E. Europe 24 mo. $30M no7 High End Housing Development Heroic E. Europe 40 mo. $45M no8 Commercial Office Development Heroic W. Europe 28 mo. $100M no9 Commercial Office Development Heroic E. Europe 48 mo. $50M no

10 Motor Way Boomerang E. Europe 42 mo. $260M no11 Petro Chemical Refinery Forester Asia 48 mo. $1.2B no12 Petro Chemical Refinery Forester Middle East 48 mo. $900M no

TABLE 3 Project Engagement Characteristics, by Firm Typea

Activities Project Consultants Systems Contractors General Contractors Developers

Budget $3M - $24M $14M - $79M $50M - $800M $50M - $1.7BWork Schedule 2 - 7 yrs 1 - 3 yrs 2 - 5 yrs 2.5 - 6 yrs

Peak Professional Staff 25 - 190 12-Feb 22 - 82 9 - 250b

Peak Labor Force 0 20 - 120 800 - 3500 0

Type of Contract Professional Fee Lump Sum, Fixed Price

Lump Sum, Fixed Price n/a

Profit Terms Markup on Fee 5% - 40% Contract Value

1% - 5%Contract Value

12% - 25%ROIc

Primary Project Delivery Risks

Contract termination by a dissatisfied

client; liability for professional negligence

Delay caused by other project parties or

customs inspection.

Cost or schedule overrun without

possibility for claims.

Cost or schedule overrun that impacts

ROI profile.

Contingency n/a 2%-8% 2%-5% 5%

aN = 17. Project details are described in Table 2. bHeroic: 9-31; Duke 30-250. cROI stands for return on investment. the theory�and reformulating it with a smaller set of higher level concepts.� Once the

categories had emerged and once we had developed a coherent and parsimonious

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conceptual framework to integrate the categories, we selected illustrative quotes and

vignettes from the interview transcripts to provide telling examples.

CHALLENGES IN FOREIGN MARKETS

Embeddedness

Many IB studies suggest a link between the performance of foreign entrants and

measures of �cultural distance� (Kogut & Singh, 1989; Barkema et. al., 1997; Sim & Ali,

1998; Hennart & Zeng, 2002), �institutional distance� (Kostova, 1999; Kostova &

Zaheer, 1999; Xu & Shenkar, 2002) and �psychic distance� (Johanson & Vahlne, 1977).

Studies that take this perspective make the implicit assumption that cultural, institutional

and psychic distance encumber all foreign entrants equally.

The data from this research suggests that this assumption is mistaken. Certainly, as

extant theories well predict, firms that enter foreign markets face unexpected conditions

and incur unforeseen costs when they misjudge and misunderstand local culture and

institutions (Chapter I, Chapter II). However, these conditions and costs are not uniformly

distributed across all entrants, as previously had been assumed. Instead, our findings

suggest that each type of firm faces a distinct level of embeddedness in the host country

context. Our evidence reveals that the level of embeddedness is different for every

entrant, because every type of entrant has specialized objectives, resource needs,

activities, regulatory requirements, levels of exposure to civil society and industry

affiliations. Our results also indicate that as entrants become more heavily embedded in

the local context, they need more local knowledge in order to anticipate, assess and adapt

to the locally defined ideas, interests and institutions. Consequently, when they fail to

acquire this local knowledge, they face a greater likelihood of unanticipated relational

friction. More formally,

Proposition 1: The more deeply an entrant is embedded in an unfamiliar market

setting, the more local knowledge that entrant needs to achieve its objectives and to

avoid unforeseen costs.

Table 4 and Table 5 display evidence to show that embeddedness varies significantly

for different types of global project entrants. Table 4 illustrates �overall embeddedness,�

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i.e. a measure of the total number of relations between a global project entrant and local

organization entities. The local organization entities are grouped into four categories.

TABLE 4

Overall Embeddednessa

Min Max Mean Min Max Mean Min Max Mean Min Max MeanFormal Regulatory Relations 9 24 17 3 5 4 8 29 14 12 21 16.75Formal Market Relations 12 220 78 9 55 36 50 95 64 640 1600 1123Informal Community Relations 3 55 22 0 0 0 5 15 10 5 28 12Informal Project Relations 12 380 166 6 18 12 0 5 2 12 31 20.75

Total Number of Relations 36 679 282 18 78 52 63 144 90 669 1680 1172

aN = 17. Project details are described in Table 2.

Systems ContractorsType of Relation

DevelopersProject Consultants

General Contractors

Formal regulatory relations include interfaces with local arms and agencies of

government that grant approvals, permits and licenses (e.g., Transport and Highways,

Fire Department, Police, Building Department). Formal market relations include

transactions with local firms in the marketplace that provide products and services (e.g.,

tool suppliers, materials vendors, sub-contractors). Informal community relations include

interactions with community groups and stakeholders that provide legitimacy to a project

(e.g., NGOs, school board, shopkeeper�s guild). Informal project relations include non-

contractual dealings with other firms on a project that arise by virtue of working side-by-

side and sharing limited project resources and physical workspace (e.g., foundation,

electrical or elevator subcontractors). Table 4 reveals that, as a class, General Contractors

bear by far the greatest level of overall embeddedness, with a low of 669, a high of 1680

and a mean of 1172 total relations with local entities. On the other end of the spectrum,

Table 4 indicates that the Systems Contractors face the lowest level of embeddedness,

with a low of 18, a high of 78 and a mean of 52 relations with local entities.

Table 5 illustrates �relative embeddedness,� i.e. the relative level of engagement for a

global project entrant across a set of eight project activities. The evidence indicates that

the relative depth of embeddedness varies considerably across entrants. For example, as a

class, Developers face a much higher level of embeddedness than do Systems

Contractors. This is because Developers need to buy land, understand property rights,

resettle displaced peoples and navigate the often political processes of gaining

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149

entitlements and building permits, all according to local practices and protocols that are

different in every country and often in every city. As one Heroic executive explained, �In

Russia, our project was delayed 1.5 years because we didn�t understand the process of

getting all the necessary approvals and permits and they were a very complex set of

requirements we had to comply with.� In contrast, Systems Contractors who supply,

install and maintain building systems such as elevators enter a country, do their work and

TABLE 5 Relative Embeddednessa

ActivitiesProject

ConsultantsbSystems

ContractorsbGeneral

Contractorsb Developersc

Buying Land 0 1.3 1.3 3.0Handling Resettlement Issues 0 1.5 0.5 1.6Getting Goods through Customs 2.0 1.0 2.5 1.6Applying for Permits and Entitlements 0.5 1.3 1.8 3.0

Procuring Local Labor 1.3 0.5 3.0 2.0

Procuring Local Supplies 3.0 1.5 1.3 1.4

Negotiating with Local Government 0 3.0 2.0 2.0

Entering into Locally-Enforced Contracts 0 2.8 3.0 2Total Relative Engagement 6.8 12.8 15.3 16.6

aValues in cells correspond to relative level of engagement in each activity:0 = None, 1 = Low, 2 = Medium, 3 = High. This scale provides an ordinal indication of a project entrant's level of interaction, negotiation, and coordination with local entities to complete each activity, relative to other project participants.bN = 4; cN = 5. Project details are described in Table 2.

then exit without undertaking many of these difficult, locally-embedded activities. As one

Kelso executive noted, �We have a country manager who sells into each country and

once a sale is committed, there really isn�t a lot that can go wrong.�

Thus, the level of embeddedness is not uniform, although past studies have assumed

uniformity of embeddedness or have ignored its effects. Rather, different types of firms,

with different kinds of work and activities, face dramatically different levels of

engagement with organizations and institutions in the host environment, as evidenced in

Table 5.

Embeddedness, by firm type. Of all firm types, General Contractors face among the

highest levels of embeddedness and hence the greatest outsider disadvantages, when they

enter new markets. For example, on a Motorway project, Boomerang reported more than

20 regulatory relations, more than 200 direct hire sub-contractors, more than 1000

.

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150

vendors and suppliers, more than 25 regulatory relations, more than 20 community

relations and more than 30 informal project relations. One key aspect of this outsider

disadvantage stems from extremely high levels of formal regulation. As one Forester

representative described, The permit requirements are extremely different in every country. And the branches of

government you need to obtain permits from, they differ too. There is no standard government.

Some of the agencies that you find�you just shake your head and wonder why they were ever

created in the first place� On this project, we encountered the Executive of Yuan, the Department

of Tax, the MRT Company, the Department of Economics, the Department of Labor, the

Department of Internal Affairs, the Fire Department, the Police, The Environmental Department,

the Road Authorities, the National Water Company, the National Power Company, the City

Planning Department, the Department of Construction, the Work and Safety Agency, the

Department of Immigration and the Customs & Excise Board and there might be more. And they

all require a permit or an approval or an inspection or [who] knows what.

Another key aspect of this outsider disadvantage stems from high levels of interaction

with the local community. As one Boomerang executive noted, There are a number of groups in the community with whom we coordinate and liaise. The ND

Traders Association (who don�t want their businesses to be disrupted), the local project directors

and investors (who want to be sure contracts are awarded to their FBI clan�friends, buddies & in-

laws), a local environmental conservation group (who are worried about the ecological impacts),

the press and media (who claim corruption), the Imam of local mosques (who complains about

noise), the schools and shops along the metro corridor (who complain about dust and safety),

Members of Parliament and other VIPs (who come to the site for tours), the squatters (who get

into the work area) and all of the clever locals (who decide to file a lawsuit against you). There can

be dozens of them. One by one they take legal action and claim their pound of flesh from the

project. They claim for cracks in their walls, differential settlement of their foundations and

whatever else they can dream up to extract a pay-off.

All of these relations bring significant levels of contact with local beliefs, values,

practices and rules. And vice versa. Since General Contractors face high levels of formal

regulation, informal monitoring and social scrutiny, they also face greater numbers of

obligatory interfaces and a greater necessity, intensity and complexity of negotiation with

local actors. So, the combination of needing to enter large numbers of voluntary relations

with local vendors and suppliers and to comply with an assorted variety of social

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expectations and regulative requirements, prompts a very high level of embeddedness for

General Contractors.

Developers also face high levels of embeddedness. As Table 5 depicts, many activities

that developers undertake are in the early �fuzzy front-end� shaping phase of project

development. Activities such as buying land, handling resettlement issues and negotiating

with local government officials for entitlements, approvals and permits all require a deft

understanding of local politics, historical precedents and power games. In addition,

developers usually work at risk, so the consequence of not understanding these local facts

and trends can be extremely expensive. As one Heroic executive noted, �We spent more

than $1M on conceptual design for a project in Europe and then we learned that the land

title that we thought we had, was in limbo. And we never did build the project.�

Project Consultants also face high levels of embeddedness, as indicated in Table 4.

However, they tend not to face as much of an outsider disadvantage as do General

Contractors or Developers. They generally face much less downside risk, because they

are compensated monthly on a reimbursable cost plus fixed-fee basis, so they get paid

regardless of a particular project outcome. And their product is information�nowadays

often delivered in digital form�so they can do much of the work in their home country

office and transmit their work product to the local country without having to deal with

local customs officials, delivery services and the like. In contrast, General Contractors

and Developers work primarily at risk�with hard-money, fixed-price contracts.

Secondly, Project Consultants, especially on civil infrastructure projects such as dams,

roads, railroads or water supply projects, generally work closely with a local

governmental client in a supporting role. They assist the client in an advisory capacity

with technical, financial and general project management and decisions. Although they

are involved in large numbers of local relations and negotiations, this is usually in

partnership with a client representative who has a long history in the local community

and the benefit of access to all of the host government resources. In contrast, global

General Contractors and Developers work independently at arms length�by design�

and lack the benefit of a collaborative local client to play the role of trusted local guide.

Table 4 and Table 5 indicate that Systems Contractors face the lowest levels of

embeddedness and that the majority of their local relations fall into the �Formal Market

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152

Relations� and the �Informal Project Relations� categories. The bulk of the formal

market relations are with vendors who supply basic materials, hand tools, office furniture

and stationary. In contrast to Developers and General Contractors, very few of the formal

market relations are with subcontractors, primarily because most of the work associated

with installing their systems in a building or infrastructure project is of a very complex

technical nature and thus, not amenable to being outsourced. The large number of

informal project relations is explained by the fact that Systems Contractors provide core

systems, such as elevators and escalators in a building, pumps and piping in a water

treatment facility or signals and track work in a subway. Thus, they need to coordinate

and liaise with other major systems providers and sub-contractors to ensure functional

integration with other systems and structures.

Finally, in many instances the size of an entrant�s project team in a country is a useful

proxy for the number of linkages with local entities. Large contractors who have

hundreds of local employees will also tend to have a larger number of local relations than

do systems contractors who have only a dozen or so local staff.

Consequences of embeddedness. The consequence of embeddedness is that for every

activity associated with local actors or institutions, an entrant requires a certain basic

level of local knowledge about those elements. If the relevant elements are well

understood prior to performing the task, much of the activity can be planned in advance

and the task is accomplished in the most efficient fashion at a minimum level of effort to

the responsible manager (Galbraith, 1973). If these elements are not understood, then

institutional exceptions�misjudgments, misunderstandings and conflict� arise that lead

to changes in priorities, plans and strategies. Our evidence suggests that all of these

changes require sense-making, trial-and-error learning, local knowledge search and

adaptation and a high likelihood of relational friction (Chapter I). Therefore, the greater

an entrant�s knowledge deficit at the outset of a task, the greater the likelihood that sense-

making, trial-and-error learning, rework and adaptation will occur during task execution

to achieve a given level of performance and the greater the probability of unanticipated

relational friction with the locals. Thus, the central effect of an actor�s local knowledge

deficit is a limited ability to anticipate issues, make sense of problems that arise, set

priorities, develop strategies or make decisions about activities in advance of their

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execution. For example, a knowledge deficit with respect to local contract law can lead to

difficulties in relations with local sub-contractors. As one Boomerang informant

described, If we don�t understand the local law and we muddle the language in the first contract or leave

something out, it probably means that we will repeat this mistake in the next 99 contracts, because

we use the first as a template for the others. A mistake like that could spell disaster. It could cause

lawsuits and months and months of unnecessary claims and counter-claims.

Similarly, a knowledge deficit with respect to local work practices can lead to relational

friction with the craft trades. As one Forester executive explained, In Hong Kong, it takes a while to figure out all of the trades and their normal working hours. No

matter how hard you try, you will never get the electricians to come in before 9am. All of the other

trades will come in early, but not the electricians. They feel it is their right to come in at their

leisure. And when we first arrived, this caught us by surprise and we spent weeks chasing our tails

trying to get them to come in early.

Likewise, a knowledge deficit concerning local political games can lead to confusion

about who to believe or trust. For example, one Phantom project executive explained, In Thailand, the newspaper will print anything if you pay them enough baht. It is common practice

for top government officials to buy a nice story about themselves. Or, another common tactic is to

call the newspaper if you want to insult an enemy. And I guess it�s no different from the political

gamesmanship that you see other countries. But this makes life miserable when you�re trying to

run a project, because all of the slanderous stuff that makes its way into the press. And you never

know who to believe or trust. So you spend a lot of time tip-toeing around and getting second

opinions about everything you hear in the news.

Therefore, it is evident from the discussion above and these supporting examples, that

every relation with a local entity brings some level of need for local knowledge. This

local knowledge is necessary to avoid errors, quarrels and confusion and to resolve

relational friction quickly when it begins to escalate. In general, the greater the number of

interfaces with locals, the greater the variety of interfaces and the greater the intensity of

interaction across each linkage, the greater an entrant�s aggregate need for local

knowledge.

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As entrants become more embedded in the local context, a failure to acquire relevant

local knowledge can lead to unforeseen costs. For example, as, one senior VP at

Boomerang described, The four most difficult things you can do in a foreign country are buying land, getting things

through customs, getting permits and enforcing your contracts. And each country you go it�s a

different set of hoops you need to figure out and jump through. And if you don�t figure it out,

these things can add delay to your project and can cost you a whole lot of money. Usually less

than 10% of your total project costs, but that can be a huge amount if you�re operating on a 5%

contingency and 5% profit margin.

Indeed, when an entrant fails to understand local host institutions, misjudgments,

misunderstandings and conflicts inevitably arise, which translate into unforeseen costs for

the entrants: money costs, time delay, relationship damage and reputation damage (Orr &

Scott, 2005). One striking example comes from a water treatment facility project in Asia.

The Marengo consulting engineer who told the story noted that, We split the project into two smaller work packages�no difference in scope. We put them out to

international tender and two different Chinese firms won the bid. So it was a bit of horse race.

Firm One turned around and hired the best local contractor in Pakistan, Habib Rafiq and their

name is as good as credit, to manage the project. So it was basically a Habib Rafiq job from day

one. Firm Two took a different tack. They sent Chinese managers over and tried to self-perform

the work. Well, as you might imagine, Firm One finished right on schedule�more than a year ago

now� and Firm Two is still goofing around getting materials delivered and finding skilled labor.

Finally, although it is tempting to think of embeddedness as an independent variable,

our evidence suggests that it can also be a decision variable. As one Heroic informant

expressed, �you have to decide how embedded you want to get and that depends on your

long term goals.� Another Heroic informant noted, �how embedded you get depends on

your risk profile�the more embedded, the more risk you face on a big [real estate]

development.� A senior Boomerang executive explained, When you win a big project, you can do two [extreme] things. You can farm out the entire job, all

kit-and-caboodle, in one big sub-contract package. Or you can try to self-perform the work and

hire dozens of sub-contractors, who in turn hire hundreds of sub-subcontractors, until at the

bottom of each tentacle you�ve got five guys and a truck coming in to do some work. But

remember, each interface creates some coordination and risk. So, if you adopt this [second]

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155

strategy, you really need to be in tune with the local market, means and methods and you need an

exceptional local staff.

Overall, our evidence suggests that two main factors affect a firm�s level of

embeddedness in the local context: the types of activities that they set-out to achieve; and

the management decisions that are made to allocate responsibility for completing those

activities. For example, decisions to execute activities internally versus to outsource

activities to a local contractor or consultant can have a large impact on an entrant�s level

of embeddedness.

Emergent Uncertainty

Recently, a number of authors (eg. Han & Diekmann, 2001; Chua, Wang & Tan, 2003;

Chan & Tse, 2003; Wade, 2005) have written about political, cultural and social �risks�

in foreign markets in tones that imply a priori predictability. Similarly, many software

vendors and consultants27 suggest in their marketing materials that political instabilities,

cultural conflicts and social uprisings can be assessed and predicted with probabilistic

tools and techniques.

Our findings contradict this view. We find that these approaches, which rely on

subjective assessment of probabilities (Howard & Matheson, 1983), are unreliable

without significant recent country experience. We also find that relational interactions

that are characterized by indeterminacy28 often lead to critical incident scenarios that

cannot possibly be predicted a priori, but, can only be managed if and when they occur.

Thus, we conclude that as entrants face greater levels of embeddedness, they also face

more frequent situations of emergent uncertainty�i.e., situations when unanticipated

27 For example: Control Risks Group (http://www.crg.com/), Pegasus Consulting Inc. (http://www.pegasusconsultinginc.com/), Pertmaster Project Risk (http://www.pertmaster.com) and Palisade (http://www.palisade.com/). 28 Lessard & Miller (2000:76) distinguish between weak uncertainty, strong uncertainty and indeterminacy: �Weak uncertainty holds when managers have enough information to structure problems, estimate distribution and build decision models. Strong uncertainty characterizes situations in which there is such an absence of knowledge and information that decision-making issues are ambiguous. Indeterminacy means that future outcomes are not only difficult to assess but depend on exogenous events or endogenous processes that can lead to multiple possible futures. Indeterminacy is thus a risk that can be partly solved by strategic actions.� Note that this distinction follows from Knight (1921), who first proposed a difference between insurable risk (i.e. weak uncertainty) and uncertainty/ambiguity (i.e. strong/emergent uncertainty).

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factors and dynamics arise in the alien market setting and when complex and interactive

relations yield unexpected outcomes. More formally,

Proposition 2: The more an entrant is embedded in an unfamiliar market setting, the

less likely that a priori risk analysis approaches will help to prevent unforeseen costs.

Proposition 3: The more an entrant is embedded in an unfamiliar market setting, the

more likely that emergent relational dynamics will generate unforeseen costs.

Table 6 illustrates situations where an entrant incurred unforeseen delay as a consequence

of an unanticipated event in a foreign host market. The examples illustrate how each

situation, from the entrant�s perspective, was characterized as unexpected, unforeseen or

surprising. Thus, the examples highlight the weakness of formal risk analysis: without

recent country experience and a foreknowledge of the pertinent risk drivers and

dynamics, an entrant is unable to anticipate many of the main risk factors. Thus, while

formal risk analysis may be helpful as a proactive exercise to stimulate an entrant to

consider risks and consequences, it is only as informative as the experience of the analyst.

The examples suggest that, when an entrant lacks local knowledge about factors like the

capabilities (or lack of capabilities) of local actors, incidences of terrorism, legal

precedents, customs protocols or levels and forms of government corruption, then

unexpected events and consequences can and do arise.

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157

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Emergent uncertainty, by firm type. General Contractors, with the highest level of

absolute embeddedness in the present sample, exhibit little faith in formal risk analysis

and acknowledge that emergent uncertainty is not an exception, but an everyday business

reality. A Forester executive described his view on risk analysis, as follows, It�s like Donald Rumsfeld [the US Defense Secretary] articulated last week. There are known

knowns, there are known unknowns and there are unknown unknowns. And when you�re dealing

with unknown unknowns, then risk analysis isn�t going to do you a damn bit of good. And that�s

what makes our business so unique. If you want to be a general contractor, you�ve got to be

adaptable. I�d say we have to be a lot more adaptable then the consultant or then the systems

contractors, because we�ve got the most exposure to the local mechanics. We�re the most

connected to the moving cogs and gears that drive the project forward.

Reinforcing this point, a second Forester executive noted, Take for example this project in [the Middle East]. It has just been one firefight after another. And

that�s how most of our projects go. A lot of this stuff is unpredictable. Its fire fighting. As you get

one fire contained, you find the next one you need to fight. And sometimes there are two or three

at a time and you have to prioritize. And the faster you get to them, generally the faster you can

douse them, but not always. There was a misunderstanding with the Sheik�s son last month that is

still causing us all kinds of brain damage�and we got to that one right away.

He went on to explain that high levels of embeddedness create large numbers of meetings

and possibilities for emergent uncertainty, You can almost characterize the type of work that we do by the number of meetings that we have.

Meetings here. Meetings there. It shouldn�t be called construction management, it should be called

relationship management. And when you go international, every time you need to use a translator,

the possibility for miscommunication shoots way up. Our business is all about communication and

coordination and anytime you�re dealing with real people on a deadline, there are going to be

disputes to sort through and tough decisions to be made.

Developers, who face relatively high levels of embeddedness, also tend to face high

levels of emergent uncertainty and they also seem to understand intuitively the limits of

formal risk analysis. As the CEO of Heroic acknowledged, in response to his own

question, Can we predict the risks in a foreign market�the cultural, political and market risks? Well,

hindsight says no. Even if we know what the risks are going to be, we�ll never have a clue about

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what to do about them. There is no formula for it. We don�t have any sort of step-by-step or how

to manual�I think, even if you could figure out what the issues were going in, you couldn�t

necessarily figure out how to solve them. So, the short answer is no. So what we do instead, is we

go in and we physically try to find someone who is in the country and who is already effective

there, to be our guide and mentor.

He also alluded to the fact that the level of embeddedness faced by his organization is

much greater than that faced by other internationalizing firms, with the following remark, And we have a lot more to predict going in than a guy who goes in to open up a new coffee shop

or a currency exchange booth. And I used to subscribe to some of the academic journals on

international business. And some of it was good, but so much of it was for the guy that does the

fast food restaurant or the currency booth. And we just face so much more complexity than that.

So eventually I cancelled the subscriptions because what we do is so much more inherently risky.

Strikingly, Project Consultants, who do face lesser consequences of debilitating project

risks, are among the strongest advocates of formal risk analysis tools. When we visited

one Marengo site office, several of the engineers were proud to show off risk analyses

that had been prepared for their project. As one engineer noted, This is a tool we can offer our clients, to help them plan for the unexpected. Good risk analysis is

critical to project success. And we help guide this process. We provide the framework and elicit

their inputs to develop the model, because they know so much more about the situation here in

[Asia].

Finally, the Systems Contractors, who are among the least embedded, are also the most

likely to use formal risk analysis techniques. For example, at Kelso, a risk analysis is

mandatory before every major project, using an MS Excel tool to record the probabilities

and consequences of all the uncertain factors. While demonstrating his firm�s risk

analysis software, one Kelso director of major projects described, This is our risk management approach�Although the tricky part is discerning what to put in here,

in our business, most of the factors stay the same from country to country, so the general template

and the line items don�t tend to change too much from project to project�And that works pretty

well. What�s interesting is to go back after we build out a project and check the precision of our

numbers. Usually they are right on, except in the impossible case when we don�t even know to

anticipate a certain cost factor and it jumps out of the bushes like a snake to bite us.

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Similarly, at Archer, risk analysis was a deeply engrained aspect of the corporate culture.

As one Archer executive expounded, We have had several situations where our risk analysis overlooked the major uncertainties that in

the end were the big ticket cost items. But most of the time, our analysis is pretty good. There isn�t

all that much can go wrong. We have developed our tools and a culture of using the tools to assess

most of the factors well before they cause trouble. So, risk analysis is something we�re really big

on at [Archer].

In summary, our evidence suggests that without knowledge of the local context, an

outsider is unprepared to use risk analysis tools to predict unforeseeables. Our evidence

also suggests that an entrant�s level of emergent uncertainty is connected to their level of

embeddedness in local relations and institutions. In addition, our evidence confirms that

relational uncertainty is an emergent phenomenon, that can be shaped through good

communication and thus is extremely difficult, if not impossible, to predict a priori. For

these reasons, General Contractors and Developers, who are the most embedded, tend to

be far less likely to extol the benefits of formal risk analysis processes than Project

Consultants and Systems Contractors who face much lower levels and consequences of

embedded relations.

FIRM-SPECIFIC STRATEGIES

TO COPE WITH CHALLENGES IN FOREIGN MARKETS

Firm-Specific Strategies

Many studies have examined the process of organizations learning to succeed in foreign

markets (Johanson & Vahlne, 1977; Erramilli, 1991; Eriksson et. al., 1997; Barkema et.

al., 1997; 2004). Other related studies have zoomed in on one specific aspect of this

process, such as, mode of foreign market entry (eg. Erramilli, 1991, Brouthers, 2002);

sequence of foreign market entry (Pan, Li & Tse, 1999), or staffing policies of new

entrant firms (Boyacigiller, 1990; Gong, 2003).

These studies tend to have two key limitations. First, in the empirical studies, we find

high levels of aggregation across industry sub-groups (eg. Erramilli, 1991; Pan, Li & Tse,

1999; Brouthers, 2002), often to ensure a statistically significant sample size, but at the

cost of ignoring the unique drivers, dynamics and strategies that characterize each

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industry sub-group. Second, across all of the studies, we find that embeddedness has not

been seriously considered as a determinant of the level of need for organizational

learning or the market entry strategies that evolve.

In contrast to these studies, our sample explores the effects of variance along the

embeddedness dimension and finds that embeddedness plays an important role in how

different types of organizations perceive and learn about the challenges in foreign

markets. Moreover, our data confirm that embeddedness is a primary determinant of

entry strategy, staffing policy and organization structure. This confirms Melin�s (1992)

observation, that �when studying internationalization within a strategy process

framework, it is crucial to focus on �organizations in their sectors (Child, 1988).�� Our

evidence, which is discussed in detail below by firm type, suggests the following formal

propositions,

Proposition 4: The more an entrant is embedded in an unfamiliar market setting, the

more it needs local knowledge and hence: 4a) the greater the unforeseen costs

associated with a start-up or �green field� investment entry strategy; 4b) the greater

the benefit of an acquisition strategy or partnering entry strategy; 4c) the greater the

advantages of local staff over expatriate staff; and 4d) the greater the benefit of

decentralizing control to the project site office.

Firm-specific strategies, by firm type. Firms in the Systems Contractor category fill a

specialized technical role; they manufacture, ship and install standardized hardware and

equipment systems. They indicate that their international strategy relies primarily on

reducing their level of embeddedness in the foreign market by pre-fabricating equipment

components in their home country or in a third-country, where they are already familiar

with the local actors and institutions. An Archer engineer noted, �if the equipment ships

as designed and the design is good, then our job is easy�we don�t have to do

workarounds29�and that�s important when [we�re] in emerging markets, because the

smallest workarounds can be very costly.� Thus, by adopting this strategy of pre-

fabrication, shipment and assembly, they effectively minimize dependencies on local

organizations, resources and institutions. In particular, they avoid the need for local labor, 29 A �workaround� is a temporary solution used to bypass, mask or otherwise avoid a bug or design-flaw in some system.

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skills, manufacturing plant and supplies; and they avoid having to deal with unfamiliar

norms of quality control, standards of employment and regulations unique to the local

industry. For sales, both Archer and Kelso employ a single specialist in each country or

region to manage sales and to learn, manage and navigate the local interfaces, rules and

requirements. However, a solitary sales representative can also create problems, as one

Kelso executive indicated, Our country managers, with their little black book of contacts, they can be very secretive about

their work and our organization is totally beholden to them and they can create bottle-necks. But

they are hard to replace, because it takes years to get to know a country like they do.

In addition to selling new equipment systems, Kelso and Archer both operate a long-term

maintenance business in many countries and use this arm of their business to generate

new sales leads and to maintain a staff of local technicians. However, while Kelso and

Archer hire and prefer to work with locals wherever possible, their performance on new

projects is not strictly tied to the achievements of local staff. Rather, in a crisis situation

where a job falls behind schedule, both firms quickly revert to sending in highly skilled

expatriates to diagnose, reform and accelerate project completion. Since their work is

mainly of a technical nature, outside expatriates can be a very useful defense against

project delay. For example, on the Mass Transit System project, a Kelso senior project

manager explained, �After I � figured out where things had gone sideways, I sent for 10

or 12 installers from Germany, France and the UK and had them parachuted in to get the

job back on track.�

As for project entry mode, both Archer and Kelso prefer start-ups; typically, when

they do not already have a local maintenance office, they send in a senior expatriate to

rent an office space and to staff-up for an installation. Finally, both firms prefer an

organization structure with control centralized to the home office or to the factory. In

fact, one senior Kelso project manager opined, That�s the biggest problem with the way Kelso is set-up; every single decision has to go through

the factory. If I want to spend $500, I have to call for permission and I�ve been here almost 25

years. Those guys over there from Boomerang, they can spend up to $50,000 with a field purchase

order. Now how do you figure that one out?

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Firms in the Project Consultant category engage in an advisory capacity to assist a project

sponsor in all stages of project implementation, from feasibility, design and tendering,

through construction management, commissioning and subsequent expansion. Phantom

and Marengo indicate that their international strategy relies on a fee and contract

structure such that they avoid the consequences of embeddedness. For example, one

Marengo manager explained, It doesn�t much matter how long a project goes or how much it runs over budget, at the end of the

day, we get paid. Of course, we have our reputation to protect, but as long as we don�t do

something stupid, a delay to a project is usually in our favor. So it doesn�t matter to us how

corrupt or complicated the situation is in whatever country it happens to be�because we always

get paid no matter what.

Thus, even though Project Consultants face medium to high levels of embeddedness in

the local context, they are able to avoid the financial consequences that typically come

with a lack of knowledge about the local market setting. As for sales and business

development, typically a seasoned international executive handles relations with potential

leads and with past clients for repeat business. In Phantom�s case, the Vice President who

fills this sales function speaks five languages and has studied and worked abroad for

more than 40 years. As necessary, Project Developers recruit local professional staff on a

project basis, primarily for design and engineering activities.

When entering new projects, the mode of entry that Marengo and Phantom adopt is

best described as a partnership. But, in some ways, because the partner is with the local

government sponsor, it is far more beneficial than a partnership with a private firm. In

particular, a government partner is often the author and enforcer of the formal

regulations, has access to a large base of tangible and intangible resources and is a

dependable source of payment. In addition, a government sponsor often provides office

space and administrative assistance, as was the case for Marengo and Phantom on

projects 1 through 4. In a crisis situation, Project Consultants tend to defer key decisions

to their client and thus they avoid primary responsibility for events that arise

unexpectedly or for conflicts that escalate beyond a comfortable level. Finally, since most

consultants are very experienced and because projects have unique needs, the

organization structure that Project Consultants adopt permits decentralization to the

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project site office or to a regional office. (For example, in one country, Phantom was

managing both a transport project and an airport project, from a single regional office.) In

fact, Marengo and Phantom consultants in the individual project site offices enjoy a great

deal of autonomy from their head offices in the UK and Japan, respectively. As one

consultant bragged, �The best part of my work is my independence. I plan these projects.

I build these projects. And I have freedom from headquarters.�

General Contractors contract for and assume responsibility for completing

construction projects and they hire, supervise and pay all of the subcontractors. In foreign

markets, the primary strategy that Boomerang and Forester employ is to decrease their

level of embeddedness and to increase their supply of local knowledge. They do this both

by allocating work and responsibility to competent local subcontractors; and by using

local staff, agents, partners and advisors to guide and manage relations with local

subcontractors, vendors, regulators and community stakeholders.

To identify good local suppliers and subcontractors quickly, both Marengo and

Forester have formalized a sophisticated �pre-qualification process,� so that they can

quickly identify which of the local firms are competent and capable and eliminate those

that do not have adequate capacity, skill or capitalization. They win projects in two main

ways: bidding competitively, or negotiating preferred work. On a large infrastructure

project, a General Contractor often directly employs more than 2500 laborers, foremen

and field supervisors and, indirectly, a much larger number. They also hire dozens of

local professional staff, including project administrators, translators, procurement

managers, engineers and project managers. In addition, they are especially attuned to

enlisting the aid of so-called �freelance expatriates, as one Boomerang Project Executive

explained, The Brits Aussies, Kiwis, Canucks. You find them all over Asia. They go from project to

project�They can really play an important role because they've already adapted to the

local culture and they are versed in the Western management systems.

Research by Mahalingam (2005) confirms and expands on the critical role played by

these freelance expatriates from �cricket-playing countries.�

In emergency situations, General Contractors are conditioned to adapt expediently.

They rely both on contingency plans and on the judgments of seasoned expatriates.

These expatriates typically have experience on projects in anywhere from 10 to 50

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countries and are familiar with managing thorny, unpredictable, high-risk situations. The

expatriates usually have very strong personalities, characterized as outgoing, people-

friendly, empathetic, curious and resilient. As one Forester informant noted, �Notice all

of the top managers in the [General Contractors] � they have a high level of emotional

intelligence. Notice all of the top managers in the [Systems Contractors], now they have a

more technical persona. It�s a different set of skills that you need to handle all of these

relationships that we deal with as a [General Contractor].�

In addition, General Contractors rely on local partners and consultants to provide

�localized advice.� One Boomerang informant mentioned the value of seeking counsel

from local branches of international consultancies, such as Ernst & Young, Price

Waterhouse Coopers and HSBC.

As for project entry mode, General Contractors typically implement a single-partner

or multi-partner joint venture strategy, usually with at least one local firm and frequently

with other international contractors as well. As a consequence of their large size and

temporary nature organizational structures of the General Contractors are unique and

utilize a complex array of locals to manage local interfaces and freelance expatriates to

manage aspects of the technology and contract. Although they may be in terms of details,

General Contractors� project organizations tend to include similar elements from project

to project. As one Boomerang executive noted, We have the same basic departments on every project. The same template organization chart, if

you will. And then depending on the size of the project, we hire a greater or lesser number of staff

to fill each box and to balance the workload against the staff that we hire.

Typically, because the pace of change and decision making on a project is very rapid,

project controls are handled directly within the project site office and thus the home

office has little connection with day to day operations.

Firms in the Developer category sponsor, build and operate projects with private funds

and specialize in areas such as design, finance, engineering, construction management

and asset management. A main driver of their international strategy is the need to localize

their operations, because, after they enter and invest in a new market, they usually intend

to stay for a lengthy period of time�often several decades. Like General Contractors,

they face high levels of embeddedness, especially in the front-end, �shaping� phase of a

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project, which involves land acquisition, permitting and seeking government approvals

for new development. When selecting new markets for entry, Duke uses an �income

prequalification� process to prioritize market opportunities based on economic potential.

As one Duke vice president expressed, We are by and large indifferent to world location. We have considered Europe, Asia, Latin

America� What we care most about is a strong customer base with the potential to generate

revenues that will pay-back the investment in the project and to return a profit that satisfies our

executives and our shareholders.

Within Heroic, the process of market selection is far less clearly defined and happens in

two main ways. First, because Heroic is a highly-regarded international developer with

the financial capacity to fund projects, many firms from around the world approach them

with project opportunities. As one Heroic executive said, �Of the projects that come to

us, we pick and choose the ones that are most attractive.� Second, Heroic has two senior

executives who focus on pro-actively generating new investment opportunities via leads

and contacts that come from within their firm and from large personal contact networks

that come from a lifetime of experience in the industry. Both Duke and Heroic hire

professional local staff, but they avoid hiring labor directly. Once they have a project

approved, Heroic prefers to employ a smaller staff of eight to 13 managers, of which one-

half to two-thirds are expatriate and to divide the overall package of work across 10 to a

maximum of 20 local subcontractors.

Concerning crisis management, in a situation where local contractors were not

meeting quality expectations, Duke responded by sending a staff of more than 250 US

engineers to micro-manage every aspect of the design and construction integration.

Heroic, which is far more experienced internationally, takes a more localized approach to

managing crisis situations, which is made possible by their mode of entry approach. As

one Duke Vice President explained, Initially we had a very large expat management group in [the first foreign market that we entered.]

There was [sic] probably seven expats who were directly involved with [this first] project.

Everybody local was middle to lower management. But, we found that was not really the smartest

or most effective way of approaching a country. So, we started to move away from creating

beachheads in these countries with expat groups, to where we were really finding an established

local experienced developer that had been around the block a few times in the country who could

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partner with us, at first; and if that relationship seemed like it was compatible, then we would

either buy out their company or hire the principal away from the company and start a [Heroic]

office using experienced local management to really run the office at a very high management

level and the expats would be purely resource and support to those people, rather than the main

manager or director of those people. And that seemed to be a much more effective way of getting

into a country and making fewer mistakes... And when we did make mistakes, we found that

having a committed local partner was the best way to resolve them.

In order to make the acquisition strategy work, Heroic notes a heavy emphasis on trial

partnerships with potential acquisition targets, education and training to indoctrinate the

local acquisitions in the parent firm�s practices and protocols and eventual transfer of

operating control to locally acquired partners. While Heroic has evolved to prefer an

acquisition entry strategy, Duke, which has far less international experience, has focused

more on partnering with local firms and, in one case, on licensing their brand to a local

firm to develop and operate a resort. Finally, for both firms, after an investment decision

is committed, the structure of local operating units is heavily influenced by the

preferences and expectations of local partners and acquisitions and thus control is highly

decentralized down to the level of the country office. However, given the high-profile

nature of development and the large sums of money involved, the locus of control is not

usually a project site office, but rather, a regional office established in the central

financial district of the nearest major city center.

Learning How to Match Embeddedness, Strategy and Structure

A prominent business historian has argued that a firm�s strategy and structure need be

aligned with the characteristics of its environment (Chandler 1962). Yet, few studies in

the IB literature have built on this classic model (Melin 1992), despite calls for a more

integrated link between the classic management theory and the more recent IB offshoots

(Daniels, 1991; Melin, 1992; Wright, 1994).

Although this classic perspective has been overlooked by IB scholars to date, the

evidence in Table 7 confirms that it may have much to offer scholars of international

management. The evidence provides strong indication that firms in different industry sub-

groups on global projects select their strategies and structures contingent on their level of

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embeddedness in the foreign market environment. Simultaneously, they select an

appropriate level of embeddedness, given their strategic and structural preferences. For

example, Systems Contractors, with low embeddedness repeatedly use a start-up mode of

entry, whereas General Contractors and Developers, with much higher levels of

embeddedness learn to use a partnering or acquisition mode of entry.

The evidence from this study indicates a similar trend for staffing policy and

organization structure. Systems Contractors, with a smaller need for local knowledge,

hire very few locals and control is centralized to the home office or factory; in contrast,

General Contractors and Developers, with a much greater level of embeddedness, hire

many locals into key �local interface� positions and control is decentralized to the project

or regional office. Indeed, our evidence indicates that firms adapt their entry strategies,

subsidiary staffing plans and organization structures, whether consciously or otherwise,

according to their level of embeddedness in the unfamiliar project environment. These

findings reinforce and extend Chandler�s classic theory.

TABLE 7

Indicators of Embeddedness-Strategy-Structure Fit

Systems Contractors Developers Project

ConsultantsGeneral

Contractors

Mean # of embedded relations (Table 4) 52 90 282 1172

Relative embeddedness score (Table 5) 6.8 16.6 12.8 15.3

Main entry strategy Start-Up License/ Partner/Acquisition

Partner with project sponsor

Partner/ Multi-Partner JV

Main defense against institutional exceptions

Country Manager/ Highly

Experienced Expatriates

Partner/ Acquisition/

Highly Experienced Expatriates

PartnerPartners/ Highly

Experienced Expatriates

Use of local partners or agents/ country/ project 0 - 2 3 - 12 1 - 7 3 - 14

Ratio of expatriate to total professional staff 75-90% 40-70% 2-45% 15-40%

Centralization of control Home Regional Project / Regional Project

# countries with regional office / # countries entered < 20% > 70% > 50% 20% - 50%

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GENERAL STRATEGIES

TO COPE WITH CHALLENGES IN FOREIGN MARKETS

There have been many fruitful efforts to investigate the linkage between international

experience and performance in foreign markets (eg. Ursic & Czinkota, 1984; Makino &

Delios, 1996; Barkema et. al., 1997; Luo & Peng, 1999). Yet, despite these advances,

there has been little effort to describe what firms actually learn as they accumulate global

experience or to unpack the black box of �general internationalization knowledge� that

has been alluded to by many prior scholars (eg. Benito & Gripsrud, 1995; Johanson &

Vahlne, 1997; Eriksson et. al., 1997; Petersen & Pedersen, 2002). Specifically, what

types of general strategies do firms devise in order to combat the challenges of

embeddedness and emergent uncertainty in alien market environments?

In response to this question, our evidence suggests that firms evolve multiple variants

of three general strategies: increasing the supply of local knowledge, decreasing the need

for local knowledge and reducing potential impacts of a local knowledge deficit.

Instances of these general strategies are explained in detail on the pages that follow and

were observed repeatedly across all eight firms in our sample, across a wide variety of

market and project settings, in a number of world regions. In formal terms,

Proposition 5: When firms face a knowledge deficit in a foreign market, they can

improve performance by: 5a) increasing the supply of local knowledge; 5b)

decreasing the need for local knowledge; and 5c) reducing the consequence of a local

knowledge deficit.

Increase the Supply of Local Knowledge

Table 8 provides evidence of at least three tactical strategies that foreign entrants use to

increase their supply of local knowledge on a global project in an unfamiliar market: they

increase the level of �initial knowledge� contained within the boundary of their firm prior

to commencing a new project, they accelerate the rate of learning of their existing

members and they increase the period of learning, so that their existing managers have

more time to interpret local realities and to align their strategy accordingly.

Increase �initial knowledge.� Entrants gather intelligence information, prepare

executive briefing reports and identify, investigate and integrate key drivers, indicators,

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170

indices, metrics and trends prior to entering a new market setting. They compile this

information from public and proprietary sources such as industry trade associations,

market research consultants and economic journals. In addition, several informants report

that industry-benchmarking partners are a key source of recent and reliable unit cost and

productivity data for foreign markets.

Entrants also �ingest� locals into their organization, by hiring locally experienced staff

and teaming with local partners, thereby increasing the level of local knowledge stored

within the boundary of their firm. Locally recruited personnel, who are hired as

individuals or acquired en masse through acquisitions, bring a stock of knowledge about

local history, patterns of living, politics and economic trends. Local partners, who range

from individual professionals to formal joint ventures, bring a similar stock of local

knowledge.

Strikingly, some of the best carriers of local knowledge are not locals per se, but are

freelance expatriates�primarily from the UK and other British Commonwealth countries

such as Australia, Canada, India and New Zealand�who play an important role as

cultural intermediaries on many large global projects (Mahalingam, 2005). The freelance

expatriates provide technical expertise and act as negotiators, links and go-betweens to

guide relations between culturally diverse project participants. These professionals show

little allegiance to a particular firm and rove from project to project through a social-

network of acquaintances developed on past projects that is maintained and reinforced by

social clubs such as the �Hash House Harriers� to which many of them belong. Their

unique experience base and skill-set enables them to anticipate, assess and adapt to subtle

differences in a new environment; to unify various organizational, professional and

national cultures; and to mediate disputes and standoffs rooted in differing institutional

logics. A number of the entrants in our sample routinely hire these freelance expatriates

on a project-by-project basis to gain access to their knowledge base, which includes all

three types of knowledge: country/institutional, industry/business and

global/internationalization.

Extend learning rate. Entrants rely on formal training programs, �executive briefing

reports,� and other formal intelligence information to train expatriates quickly with

respect to the local language, history, business practices, economic trends, political

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171

influences and institutions. For example, Duke reported sending expatriates to �charm

school� to be trained in the finer nuances of local social niceties and mores.

Entrants also accelerate their learning by seeking advice from local consultants who act

as mentors and from local guide organizations and agents who provide on-the-job counsel

and guidance. For example, one Boomerang executive noted that many global contractors

rely extensively on local branches of large global financial advisory firms, such as Ernst

& Young, Price Waterhouse Coopers and HSBC.

Increase learning period. Entrants use scaled-down, �trial balloon� and pilot projects

and partnerships to immerse themselves in the host market environment and to assess

potential partnerships under realistic operating conditions, but without the risks.

Experienced managers use this strategy to gain the benefits of trial-and-error learning

before they irrevocably commit resources to a high-risk project or partnership. For

example, by first building a small factory in China, it is possible to work out the kinks,

train the locals, learn the local history, language and institutions, get a feel for the

volatility and dynamics of the marketplace, build a team, and then confidently to proceed

with building the larger factory.

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172

TA

BL

E 8

St

rate

gies

to In

crea

se S

uppl

y of

Loc

al K

now

ledg

e Fi

rm N

ame/

In

form

ant

Posi

tion

Tac

tical

St

rate

gyE

xam

ple

Quo

te fr

om I

nter

view

Boo

mer

ang/

V

ice

Pres

iden

t

Redu

ce

Scop

e of

W

ork

Avo

id ta

king

wor

k th

at e

xcee

ds lo

cal

know

ledg

e ca

paci

ty

"You

hav

e to

beg

in b

y as

king

you

rsel

f if y

ou re

ally

hav

e th

e co

nnec

tions

and

the

capa

city

to p

ull o

ff a

pro

ject

. And

this

may

so

und

like

a si

mpl

e en

ough

thin

g, b

ut it

isn't

sim

ple.

Whe

n do

you

hit

that

poi

nt?

Its a

lway

s goi

ng to

be

a ga

mbl

e, y

ou'll

ne

ver k

now

unt

il yo

u're

fini

shed

. We

had

an o

ffer t

o do

a p

roje

ct fo

r a c

lient

in [A

sia]

but

we

just

had

to sa

y no

, we

wer

en't

ther

e ye

t with

our

team

."

Boo

mer

ang/

V

ice

Pres

iden

t

Red

uce

Embe

dded

- ne

ss in

Loc

al

Con

text

Hire

loca

l age

nts t

o ha

ndle

em

bedd

ed

activ

ities

"For

thin

gs li

ke b

uyin

g la

nd, p

erm

ittin

g an

d hi

ring

labo

r its

bes

t to

outs

ourc

e to

a lo

cal a

gent

... o

r par

tner

, or g

uide

. The

key

is

how

we

set u

p th

e ag

reem

ents

. We

pay

them

a sm

all %

up

front

, som

ewhe

re b

etw

een

10%

and

50%

and

not

ano

ther

pl

ugge

d ni

ckel

unt

il th

ey p

erfo

rm w

hate

ver i

t is w

e ne

ed. W

e bi

nd th

em in

to in

tegr

ity. W

hen

we

need

per

mits

alo

ng a

ra

ilroa

d to

inst

all f

iber

opt

ics,

we

don'

t pay

them

out

unt

il th

ey p

rese

nt u

s with

a b

inde

r with

eve

ry si

ngle

per

mit

in p

lace

. If

we

need

a p

iece

of l

and,

we

don'

t pay

them

out

unt

il th

e tit

le is

in o

ur h

ands

and

we'r

e su

re it

s not

a fa

ke. I

f we

need

a la

bor

forc

e, w

e do

n't p

ay th

em o

ut u

ntil

the

job

is m

ovin

g lik

e cl

ockw

ork

and

we'r

e ce

rtain

that

the

labo

r isn

't go

ing

to [g

oof]

off

afte

r the

y co

llect

a fe

w p

ay c

heck

s."

Her

oic/

Vic

e Pr

esid

ent

"O

utso

urce

to lo

cal

cont

ract

ors

"'[H

eroi

c] w

ould

muc

h ra

ther

pay

a c

ontra

ctor

--w

ith w

hate

ver f

ees h

e w

ould

put

on

top

of v

endo

rs a

nd su

pplie

rs--s

o th

at

ther

e is

a o

ne st

op sh

op. I

f we

are

in a

new

cou

ntry

, in

a ne

w e

nviro

nmen

t, w

e ar

e ab

solu

tely

goi

ng to

wan

t to

push

the

risk

onto

ano

ther

ent

ity. I

ts b

est t

o le

t tha

t loc

al c

ontra

ctor

han

dle

all o

f the

loca

l con

tract

s on

your

beh

alf."

Her

oic/

Vic

e Pr

esid

ent

"Pu

sh le

gal r

isks o

nto

loca

l con

tract

ors

"The

re is

a p

roce

ss in

Eur

ope

calle

d 'n

ovat

ion'

whe

re th

e co

ntra

ctor

act

ually

form

ally

bec

omes

the

desi

gner

on

the

proj

ect.

The

arch

itect

says

, I a

m h

andi

ng o

ver t

o yo

u al

l of m

y w

ork

and

you

assu

me

all r

espo

nsib

ility

and

liab

ility

. So

this

syst

em

mak

es it

a re

al tr

ansf

er o

f lia

bilit

y an

d ris

k, a

s opp

osed

to th

e U

S. S

o in

Rus

sia,

we

hire

d a

loca

l gen

eral

con

tract

or, g

ave

them

all

of th

e de

sign

doc

umen

ts a

nd b

asic

ally

said

, 'W

ith th

is c

ertif

icat

e of

nov

atio

n yo

u ar

e no

w re

spon

sibl

e to

get

all

the

appr

oval

s an

d in

spec

tions

thro

ugh

the

city

.'"

Fore

ster

/ Vic

e Pr

esid

ent

"O

ffsh

ore

fabr

icat

ion

to a

third

-cou

ntry

"We'r

e m

ovin

g qu

ickl

y to

war

ds a

fabr

icat

e an

d as

sem

ble

appr

oach

. If y

ou d

o th

e fa

bric

atio

n in

a d

epen

dabl

e co

mm

unity

w

here

you

und

erst

and

the

labo

r situ

atio

n, th

e un

ions

and

the

type

of q

ualit

y yo

u ca

n ex

pect

, the

n yo

u av

oid

a lo

t of h

assl

es in

th

e fo

reig

n th

eate

r. Th

e as

sem

bly

is e

asy

if al

l of t

he c

ompo

nent

s are

pre

-des

igne

d, p

re-fa

bbed

and

go

toge

ther

like

lego

, you

ca

n do

the

asse

mbl

y an

ywhe

re, o

n th

e m

oon

if yo

u ha

d to

."

Boo

mer

ang/

G

ener

al

Cou

nsel

"O

ffsho

re c

ontra

cts t

o a

third

-cou

ntry

lega

l sy

stem

"One

of t

he k

ey s

trate

gies

use

d in

the

1990

s was

to si

gn c

ontra

cts u

nder

the

juris

dict

ion

of a

third

-cou

ntry

, usu

ally

the

UK

. A

nd th

at w

ay y

ou c

an a

void

the

idio

sync

raci

es o

f loc

al la

w a

nd y

ou h

ave

a cl

ear p

ictu

re o

f the

rule

s. Th

is h

as b

een

espe

cial

ly u

sefu

l in

coun

tries

like

Vie

tnam

, whe

re th

ere

is a

com

plet

e ab

senc

e of

a le

gal f

ram

ewor

k an

d w

hat l

aw th

ey d

o ha

ve is

pub

lishe

d in

the

new

spap

er. A

nd it

als

o ha

s the

eff

ect o

f mak

ing

the

loca

ls le

arn

your

rule

s, in

stea

d of

the

othe

r way

ar

ound

."

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173

TA

BL

E 8

(CO

N�T

) St

rate

gies

to In

crea

se S

uppl

y of

Loc

al K

now

ledg

e

Firm

Nam

e/

Info

rman

t T

actic

al

Stra

tegy

Exam

ple

Quo

te fr

om In

terv

iew

Her

oic/

Vic

e Pr

esid

ent

Incr

ease

"S

tart

Kno

wle

dge"

Proc

ure

a "m

ap"

of

perm

ittin

g pr

oces

ses

prio

r to

entry

"In

Pola

nd p

erm

ittin

g de

laye

d us

a y

ear.

So w

hen

we

wen

t to

Cze

chos

lova

kia,

we

paid

a lo

cal c

onsu

ltant

mor

e th

an

$30,

000U

S to

pre

pare

a d

etai

led

map

of a

ll of

the

steps

to g

et d

evel

opm

ent a

ppro

val.

Let m

e sh

ow it

to y

ou. [

Info

rman

t ru

mm

ages

in fi

le c

abin

et a

nd p

ulls

out a

n 11

" x

17"

flow

-cha

rt di

agra

m w

ith d

ozen

s of b

oxes

and

arr

ows.]

Thi

s was

a li

fe-

save

r. W

ithou

t it ,

we

wou

ldn't

hav

e kn

own

whe

re to

beg

in."

Duk

e/ V

ice

Pres

iden

t"

Prep

are

"exe

cutiv

e br

iefin

g" re

ports

"I p

repa

re a

n ex

ecut

ive

brie

fing

repo

rt be

fore

we

go in

to a

cou

ntry

. I b

egin

with

cur

renc

y. B

ear i

n m

ind,

thes

e br

iefs

are

de

sign

ed fo

r eng

inee

rs w

ho o

ne d

ay g

et a

tap

on th

e sh

ould

er a

nd a

re to

ld, '

you�

re g

oing

to b

egin

to p

artic

ipat

e on

a p

roje

ct

in sa

mpl

e m

arke

t �X

�.' S

o I b

egin

with

a b

asic

des

crip

tion

of th

e co

untry

, its

form

of g

over

nmen

t, its

eco

nom

y fr

om th

e st

andp

oint

of i

s it f

ree,

is it

gov

ernm

ent s

uppo

rted,

that

kin

d of

stuf

f. A

nd th

at�s

all

read

ily a

cces

sible

, the

re�s

not

a w

hole

lot

of m

yste

ry to

find

ing

that

kin

d of

stuf

f. I

use

both

pub

lic a

nd p

rivat

e so

urce

s and

rely

on

trade

-gro

ups l

ike

ASE

AN

, Tr

ansp

aren

cy In

tern

atio

nal,

the

Econ

omist

Inte

llige

nce

Uni

t, th

e IS

O si

te, U

S go

vern

men

t site

s [i.e

. Sta

te D

epar

tmen

t ba

ckgr

ound

not

es, C

IA fa

ct fi

le],

Wor

ld B

ank

stuff,

new

spap

ers,

the

libra

ry a

nd m

ost-i

mpo

rtant

ly o

ur in

tern

al

benc

hmar

king

par

tner

s to

get r

ecen

t uni

t cos

ts w

hich

are

cor

e to

com

petit

iven

ess a

nd y

ou c

an't

just

go

out a

nd b

uy."

Boo

mer

ang/

Tr

ansl

ator

"

Hire

loca

ls fo

r "i

nter

face

role

s" a

nd

brin

g in

exp

atria

tes

to fo

rm "

tech

nica

l co

re"

"[Lo

okin

g at

an

orga

niza

tion

char

t tog

ethe

r.] S

ee th

e w

ay it

is se

t up.

All

of th

e "i

nter

face

role

s" w

e ca

ll th

em, t

hey

are

all

fille

d by

loca

ls. T

he p

rocu

rem

ent m

anag

er, t

he tr

ansl

ator

, the

ass

ista

nt p

roje

ct m

anag

er w

ho g

ets t

he p

erm

its. S

ee th

ere,

that

lit

tle b

ox b

y ea

ch p

erso

ns n

ame,

it sh

ows t

he n

umbe

r of y

ears

of l

ocal

exp

erie

nce

on to

p an

d nu

mbe

r of y

ears

of o

vera

ll ex

perie

nce

on b

otto

m. A

nd se

e, a

ll of

the

role

s in

the

"tec

hnic

al c

ore"

we

call

them

, the

y ar

e fil

led

by o

ur e

xpat

team

."

Boo

mer

ang/

Pr

ojec

t Ex

ecut

ive

"

Hire

"fr

eela

nce

expa

triat

es"

who

ha

ve tw

o-w

ay

cultu

ral k

now

ledg

e

"You

'll n

otic

e th

at w

e hi

re a

lot o

f Brit

s Aus

sies

, Kiw

is, C

anuc

ks. Y

ou fi

nd th

em a

ll ov

er A

sia.

The

y go

from

pro

ject

to

proj

ect.

They

go

from

the

Hon

g K

ong

airp

ort,

to th

e M

alay

sian

mon

o-ra

il, to

Sin

gapo

re a

nd th

en B

angk

ok. A

fter a

pro

ject

en

ds th

ey c

all t

heir

frie

nds a

nd m

ove

on to

the

next

one

. The

y of

ten

mar

ry A

sian

wom

en. S

o th

ey g

et to

the

poin

t whe

re th

ey

are

real

ly g

ood

in a

cul

ture

. So

whe

n w

e sta

rt fr

esh,

if w

e ca

n fin

d a

few

of t

hem

that

hav

e ju

st fin

ished

a p

roje

ct, t

hey

can

real

ly p

lay

an im

porta

nt ro

le b

ecau

se th

ey'v

e al

read

y ad

apte

d to

the

loca

l cul

ture

and

they

also

kno

w th

e W

este

rn

man

agem

ent s

yste

ms."

Boo

mer

ang/

Pr

ojec

t Ex

ecut

ive

"

Hire

loca

l med

ia

prof

essi

onal

to

hand

le th

e "m

edia

sp

in"

"The

guy

that

sits

at th

e ha

ll. W

e hi

red

him

bec

ause

mos

t of h

is e

xper

ienc

e w

as in

new

s cas

ting.

He

had

run

hard

on

his l

uck

and

that

�s w

hy h

e ca

me

to u

s for

a jo

b an

d w

e th

ough

t we

coul

d us

e hi

m to

pla

y th

e m

edia

gam

e. S

o he

act

ually

spen

ds m

ost

of h

is ti

me

wor

king

the

med

ia sp

in. H

e kn

ows a

ll of

the

loca

l rep

orte

rs a

nd if

they

pub

lish

som

ethi

ng a

gain

st u

s he

can

get a

co

unte

r sto

ry o

ut a

lmos

t jus

t as f

ast.

And

he

sele

ctiv

ely

leak

s sto

ries t

o th

e pr

ess,

on th

e co

nditi

on th

ey p

ublis

h hi

s ang

le.

And

he's

real

ly g

ood.

Har

d to

qua

ntify

in n

umbe

rs ju

st w

hat a

guy

like

him

is re

ally

wor

th."

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174

Decrease the Need for Local Knowledge

The evidence provided in Table 9 is organized into two key tactical strategies that foreign

entrants use to reduce their level of need for local knowledge in an unfamiliar market

setting: reducing the scope of work, and reducing their level of embeddedness in the local

context. In many cases, these approaches are used to avoid the need to learn about local

language, history, technologies, and institutions.

Reduce scope of work. Although it seems obvious, the first question an entrant needs

to ask is, �Are we qualified and connected enough to execute this project?� If not, the

best strategy is to avoid accepting responsibility for the project or to sub-contract the

entire work package to a local firm or to another international firm who is more

established and connected within the local market. One Boomerang executive confirmed

that the go/no-go decision is the most difficult and most important of all strategic

decisions in the international contracting business.

Reduce embeddedness in local context. By off-shoring, outsourcing and sub-

contracting, entrants are able to reduce their level of embeddedness in the local context.

A simple example of this strategy is a visitor who hires a taxi-cab to avoid needing to

learn the maze of streets, landmarks and traffic patterns in a new city. For an entrant

organization, the analog is using local agents, guides, partners and acquisitions to avoid

needing to learn the tangled complex of unfamiliar institutions, technologies, actors and

relations and business facts.

Our evidence indicates that entrants use outsourcing and sub-contracting as a strategy

to limit their responsibility contractually for activities that are heavily embedded in the

local regulatory environment, such as buying land, permitting, getting shipments through

customs and hiring a labor force. Heroic, especially, uses this strategy for breaking a

project into sub-packages, such as permitting maps, foundations, buildings and

landscaping, which are procured as complete turnkey packages according to a design

specification. This goes well beyond partnering. A local partnering strategy entails the

use of partners to gain access to local knowledge and counsel. In contrast, an outsourcing

strategy entails the use of contractors and consultants who are contractually obligated to

complete a specific activity or set of activities or to deliver a specified level of service or

performance. Thus entrants report that outsourcing can prevent errors and mistakes when

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175

TA

BL

E 9

St

rate

gies

to D

ecre

ase

the

Nee

d fo

r L

ocal

Kno

wle

dge

Firm

Nam

e/

Info

rman

t Po

sitio

n

Tac

tical

St

rate

gyE

xam

ple

Quo

te fr

om I

nter

view

Boo

mer

ang/

V

ice

Pres

iden

t

Redu

ce

Scop

e of

W

ork

Avo

id ta

king

wor

k th

at e

xcee

ds lo

cal

know

ledg

e ca

paci

ty

"You

hav

e to

beg

in b

y as

king

you

rsel

f if y

ou re

ally

hav

e th

e co

nnec

tions

and

the

capa

city

to p

ull o

ff a

pro

ject

. And

this

may

so

und

like

a si

mpl

e en

ough

thin

g, b

ut it

isn't

sim

ple.

Whe

n do

you

hit

that

poi

nt?

Its a

lway

s goi

ng to

be

a ga

mbl

e, y

ou'll

ne

ver k

now

unt

il yo

u're

fini

shed

. We

had

an o

ffer t

o do

a p

roje

ct fo

r a c

lient

in [A

sia]

but

we

just

had

to sa

y no

, we

wer

en't

ther

e ye

t with

our

team

."

Boo

mer

ang/

V

ice

Pres

iden

t

Red

uce

Embe

dded

- ne

ss in

Loc

al

Con

text

Hire

loca

l age

nts t

o ha

ndle

em

bedd

ed

activ

ities

"For

thin

gs li

ke b

uyin

g la

nd, p

erm

ittin

g an

d hi

ring

labo

r its

bes

t to

outs

ourc

e to

a lo

cal a

gent

... o

r par

tner

, or g

uide

. The

key

is

how

we

set u

p th

e ag

reem

ents

. We

pay

them

a sm

all %

up

front

, som

ewhe

re b

etw

een

10%

and

50%

and

not

ano

ther

pl

ugge

d ni

ckel

unt

il th

ey p

erfo

rm w

hate

ver i

t is w

e ne

ed. W

e bi

nd th

em in

to in

tegr

ity. W

hen

we

need

per

mits

alo

ng a

ra

ilroa

d to

inst

all f

iber

opt

ics,

we

don'

t pay

them

out

unt

il th

ey p

rese

nt u

s with

a b

inde

r with

eve

ry si

ngle

per

mit

in p

lace

. If

we

need

a p

iece

of l

and,

we

don'

t pay

them

out

unt

il th

e tit

le is

in o

ur h

ands

and

we'r

e su

re it

s not

a fa

ke. I

f we

need

a la

bor

forc

e, w

e do

n't p

ay th

em o

ut u

ntil

the

job

is m

ovin

g lik

e cl

ockw

ork

and

we'r

e ce

rtain

that

the

labo

r isn

't go

ing

to [g

oof]

off

afte

r the

y co

llect

a fe

w p

ay c

heck

s."

Her

oic/

Vic

e Pr

esid

ent

"O

utso

urce

to lo

cal

cont

ract

ors

"'[H

eroi

c] w

ould

muc

h ra

ther

pay

a c

ontra

ctor

--w

ith w

hate

ver f

ees h

e w

ould

put

on

top

of v

endo

rs a

nd su

pplie

rs--s

o th

at

ther

e is

a o

ne st

op sh

op. I

f we

are

in a

new

cou

ntry

, in

a ne

w e

nviro

nmen

t, w

e ar

e ab

solu

tely

goi

ng to

wan

t to

push

the

risk

onto

ano

ther

ent

ity. I

ts b

est t

o le

t tha

t loc

al c

ontra

ctor

han

dle

all o

f the

loca

l con

tract

s on

your

beh

alf."

Her

oic/

Vic

e Pr

esid

ent

"Pu

sh le

gal r

isks o

nto

loca

l con

tract

ors

"The

re is

a p

roce

ss in

Eur

ope

calle

d 'n

ovat

ion'

whe

re th

e co

ntra

ctor

act

ually

form

ally

bec

omes

the

desi

gner

on

the

proj

ect.

The

arch

itect

says

, I a

m h

andi

ng o

ver t

o yo

u al

l of m

y w

ork

and

you

assu

me

all r

espo

nsib

ility

and

liab

ility

. So

this

syst

em

mak

es it

a re

al tr

ansf

er o

f lia

bilit

y an

d ris

k, a

s opp

osed

to th

e U

S. S

o in

Rus

sia,

we

hire

d a

loca

l gen

eral

con

tract

or, g

ave

them

all

of th

e de

sign

doc

umen

ts a

nd b

asic

ally

said

, 'W

ith th

is c

ertif

icat

e of

nov

atio

n yo

u ar

e no

w re

spon

sibl

e to

get

all

the

appr

oval

s an

d in

spec

tions

thro

ugh

the

city

.'"

Fore

ster

/ Vic

e Pr

esid

ent

"O

ffsh

ore

fabr

icat

ion

to a

third

-cou

ntry

"We'r

e m

ovin

g qu

ickl

y to

war

ds a

fabr

icat

e an

d as

sem

ble

appr

oach

. If y

ou d

o th

e fa

bric

atio

n in

a d

epen

dabl

e co

mm

unity

w

here

you

und

erst

and

the

labo

r situ

atio

n, th

e un

ions

and

the

type

of q

ualit

y yo

u ca

n ex

pect

, the

n yo

u av

oid

a lo

t of h

assl

es in

th

e fo

reig

n th

eate

r. Th

e as

sem

bly

is e

asy

if al

l of t

he c

ompo

nent

s are

pre

-des

igne

d, p

re-fa

bbed

and

go

toge

ther

like

lego

, you

ca

n do

the

asse

mbl

y an

ywhe

re, o

n th

e m

oon

if yo

u ha

d to

."

Boo

mer

ang/

G

ener

al

Cou

nsel

"O

ffsho

re c

ontra

cts t

o a

third

-cou

ntry

lega

l sy

stem

"One

of t

he k

ey s

trate

gies

use

d in

the

1990

s was

to si

gn c

ontra

cts u

nder

the

juris

dict

ion

of a

third

-cou

ntry

, usu

ally

the

UK

. A

nd th

at w

ay y

ou c

an a

void

the

idio

sync

raci

es o

f loc

al la

w a

nd y

ou h

ave

a cl

ear p

ictu

re o

f the

rule

s. Th

is h

as b

een

espe

cial

ly u

sefu

l in

coun

tries

like

Vie

tnam

, whe

re th

ere

is a

com

plet

e ab

senc

e of

a le

gal f

ram

ewor

k an

d w

hat l

aw th

ey d

o ha

ve is

pub

lishe

d in

the

new

spap

er. A

nd it

als

o ha

s the

eff

ect o

f mak

ing

the

loca

ls le

arn

your

rule

s, in

stea

d of

the

othe

r way

ar

ound

."

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176

they themselves face a local knowledge deficit. By using this strategy of shifting the

burden of responsibility to local contractors and consultants, entrants report a reduced

need to self-learn or to recruit and manage a staff of locals.

Entrants also use off-shoring strategies to reduce their level of need for local

knowledge. By pre-fabricating and assembling modular system components and sub-

components, Kelso and Archer minimize their touch-points, contacts and interfaces with

local actors and institutions. Many equipment and systems providers use this strategy for

products such as elevators, pumps, air conditioners and signaling systems, but this

approach is being used for increasingly larger sub-systems such as structural steel

building frames and bridge decks. Pre-fabricated members or modules are shipped by

barge or inter-modal transport container and are welded or bolted together with minimal

onsite coordination and expertise. Thus, this strategy reduces reliance on local labor,

capabilities and building technologies.

One specific type of off-shoring that was used extensively by Boomerang and Forester

during the 1990s, was the off-shoring of contracts and their enforcement.30 By signing

contracts under the jurisdiction of international law or under the law of a third-country

such as in the UK, rather than under the law in the country where the product or service is

to be provided, there is less need to learn about legal institutions and protocols in the host

country. In addition, there is less dependence on host country legal professionals. The

General Counsel at Boomerang noted during an interview that this strategy has been

especially useful in weak or failed states where legal institutions are unclear and their

enforcement is unpredictable. However, this strategy also has its problems. Decisions in

offshore courts still need to be enforced in the local country, unless the local entity with

which the entrant has a dispute has offshore assets that can be seized to enforce a

judgment (Orr, 2005). It also prevents reform of local institutions.

6 Note that these avoidance strategies�outsourcing and deciding which regimes to operate under�can undermine important controls and create unexpected and unpleasant costs and consequences for local host organizations. Nevertheless, from an entrant�s self-interested perspective these strategies can be very effective.

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177

Reduce the Impact of a Local Knowledge Deficit

The evidence in Table 10 is organized around three tactical strategies that foreign

entrants use repeatedly to reduce the consequence of a local knowledge deficit in a

foreign market setting: prepare contingency plans, cultivate adaptability and insure

against uncertainties.

Prepare contingency plans. Entrants into foreign markets learn, as one Marengo

informant noted, to prepare �mentally and organizationally� for unforeseeable crisis

situations and emergent uncertainties and to get beyond psychological barriers that create

blind spots to unexpected disasters. For example, at Forester, contingency planning

exercises enable executives to envision a wide range of potential disaster or crisis

situations, to ensure that action plans are in place in the event of disaster and to ensure

that resources are available to carry out those action plans.

At Boomerang, unexpected situations are such a fact of life that managers have

developed a process-driven approach to systematically anticipate, assess, monitor and

shape emergent uncertainties as they arise and unfold. As one executive explained,

�Whenever an external threat arises that could affect our ability to win preferred work or

to perform work as sold, we prepare a document called an Issue Paper to re-visit and re-

align our strategy to head-off these threats.� The Issue Paper consists of a concise

summary of the issue, strategic interests, key facts, judgments, goals and objectives (see

Table 9). Within Boomerang, the Issue Paper is viewed as a �living document,� one that

is continuously revised to match the realities of a dynamic and changing project situation.

Thus, a contingency plan plays a significant role in reducing the impact of a knowledge

deficit because it supplies a general framework for organizational action that can

significantly accelerate the rate of organizational response and adaptation in the event of

an unforeseeable event or outcome.

Cultivate adaptability. By cultivating an ability to respond adaptively to conflicts,

crisis and emergent uncertainties, new entrant firms are able to reduce the unforeseen

costs of a local knowledge deficit. In order to endorse and encourage adaptive behaviors,

entrants promote adaptable managers into top managerial positions, avoid formalization

of �best practices,� decentralize control to the front lines, call-on highly experienced

expatriates to �fight fires,� and evolve flexible contract documents.

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178

For example, at Forester, managers who demonstrate an ability to achieve success on

difficult international assignments, are rewarded both formally, through promotions and

pay increases and informally, through corporate-wide recognition in a prestigious

newsletter. In fact, as one vice-president remarked, �At [Forester], if you don�t excel on

the tough international assignments and if you can�t become a cosmopolitan�you won�t

move into the upper ranks. It�s that simple.� In an evolutionary sense, the Forester

organization culture and promotion policies serve as a survival-of-the-fittest mechanism

to ensure that top-managerial and executive positions are filled by individuals with the

highest levels of global experience, cross-cultural savvy and a demonstrated ability to

adapt to complex, unfamiliar and turbulent environments.

At Heroic, executives had discussed the benefits of publishing a corporate manual

outlining best practices for foreign market entry. In the end, they dismissed this plan for

fear of constraining their innovative and entrepreneurial culture and for fear that

managers would be less apt to �trust their own instincts�gut-feeling or intelligence.�

At all of the firms, with the exception of Kelso and Archer, control was decentralized

to the project or regional site office. Local authority to make decisions enables quick,

locally-informed, pro-active decision making, which is crucial for organizations that face

high levels of embeddedness, allowing local operating units to adapt spontaneously to

emergent threats and uncertainties, respond to situational cues and self-correct mistakes.

At Kelso, Archer, Boomerang, Duke and Heroic, several situations were observed in

which experienced expatriates were called in to trouble-shoot or re-organize a project that

was facing internal or external barriers to progress. Boomerang has what is known

internally as a �SWAT team��a group of seasoned expatriates who fly from one

difficult project to the next, as needed, offering advice and guidance. Kelso also retains a

staff of highly experienced managers who perform this function, of �parachuting� in to

fix a project that has exceeded budget or schedule.

Finally, at Boomerang, a strategy to promote adaptability involves the design of

flexible contract documents. Especially for long term contracts, clauses are intentionally

designed to be flexible under conditions of heightened uncertainty and to account for all

possible contingencies�even those that are unforeseeable at the time a contract is drawn

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179

TA

BL

E 1

0 St

rate

gies

to R

educ

e th

e Im

pact

of a

Loc

al K

now

ledg

e D

efic

it Fi

rm N

ame/

In

form

ant

Tac

tical

St

rate

gyE

xam

ple

Quo

te fr

om In

terv

iew

Mar

engo

/ Pr

ojec

t M

anag

er

Prep

are

Con

tinge

ncy

Plan

s

Imag

ine

cris

is

situ

atio

ns a

nd

prep

are

to d

eal w

ith

unex

pect

ed e

vent

s

"Las

t yea

r we

had

terr

oris

ts h

it a

proj

ect i

n K

haza

kast

an a

nd h

avin

g th

e co

ntin

genc

y pl

an is

wha

t sav

ed a

num

ber o

f liv

es. A

lo

t of w

hat w

e kn

ow a

bout

con

tinge

ncy

plan

ning

com

es fr

om S

hell,

the

oil g

iant

. W

e br

ains

torm

eve

ry p

ossi

ble

cris

is

situ

atio

n th

at c

ould

hit

and

we

deve

lop

a co

mpe

nsat

ing

plan

of a

ctio

n. W

ith a

con

tinge

ncy

plan

, we'r

e re

ady

both

men

tally

an

d or

gani

zatio

nally

, to

spot

smol

derin

g fir

es a

nd c

onta

in th

em b

efor

e th

ey o

ut o

f con

trol."

Boo

mer

ang/

V

ice

Pres

iden

t"

Prep

are

an

"Alig

nmen

t Pap

er"

to sh

ape

emer

gent

un

certa

intie

s

"We

wan

t to

be p

roac

tive

rath

er th

an re

activ

e. T

he d

ual n

atur

e of

our

wor

k is

ant

icip

atin

g pr

oble

ms a

nd h

eadi

ng th

em o

ff.

Our

alig

nmen

t pap

er is

our

mos

t im

porta

nt to

ol. I

t has

six

sect

ions

and

look

s lik

e a

bala

nce

shee

t. (1

) Iss

ue: w

e st

ate

the

prob

lem

; (2)

Our

Stra

tegi

c In

tere

sts:

we

mak

e th

e bu

sine

ss c

ase,

as a

ffect

ed b

y th

e is

sue;

(3) K

ey F

acto

rs: w

e st

ate

the

mat

eria

l fac

ts, r

elat

ions

hips

, or o

ther

par

ty in

tere

sts;

(4) J

udgm

ents

: we

go b

eyon

d th

e fa

cts t

o a

prof

essi

onal

est

imat

e of

lik

ely

outc

omes

; (5)

Goa

ls: w

e de

scrib

e th

e go

als w

e sh

ould

try

to a

chie

ve, i

deal

ly, d

riven

by

the

fact

s an

d ju

dgm

ents

; (6)

O

bjec

tives

: we

fix c

oncr

ete

actio

ns...

impl

emen

tatio

n ta

rget

s, p

rogr

ess t

hat c

an b

e m

easu

red.

"

Kel

so/ S

enio

r Pr

ojec

t M

anag

er

Cul

tivat

e A

dapt

ibili

ty

"Par

achu

te"

high

ly

skill

ed e

xpat

riate

s in

to a

pro

ject

to

acce

lera

te p

rogr

ess

"Whe

n th

ings

don

't go

as p

lann

ed w

ith a

n in

stal

latio

n an

d w

e st

art t

o fa

ll be

hind

they

cal

l me

in. T

hat's

why

I'm

her

e on

this

[p

roje

ct].

I'm th

e gl

obe-

trotte

r who

orc

hest

rate

s the

turn

aro

unds

. And

her

e w

e ha

d fa

llen

way

bac

k on

sche

dule

bec

ause

we

had

over

estim

ated

the

tech

nica

l cap

abili

ties o

f the

loca

ls. S

o af

ter I

cam

e in

and

figu

red

out w

here

thin

gs h

ad g

one

side

way

s, I s

ent f

or 1

0 or

12

inst

alle

rs fr

om G

erm

any,

Fra

nce

and

the

UK

and

had

them

par

achu

ted

in to

get

the

job

back

on

track

. Th

is te

am w

as e

xcel

lent

and

they

wer

e he

re fo

r abo

ut th

ree

mon

ths."

Her

oic/

Vic

e Pr

esid

ent

"

Avo

id fo

rmal

izin

g pr

oces

ses t

hat

rest

rict a

dapt

ive

thin

king

"As w

e op

ened

up

coun

tries

, we

talk

ed a

lot a

bout

pre

parin

g a

man

ual,

or a

pro

toco

l, th

at c

ould

be

used

thro

ugho

ut th

e w

orld

. And

we

wer

e se

rious

, but

we

deci

ded

not t

o be

caus

e w

e ar

e ve

ry, v

ery

entre

pren

euria

l. A

nd th

e fe

ar is

, onc

e yo

u pu

t so

met

hing

in w

ritin

g w

ith [t

he p

resi

dent

's na

me

on it

] as

an e

dict

from

the

corp

orat

e le

vel,

peop

le b

egin

to re

fer t

o th

e m

anua

l rat

her t

han

thei

r ow

n gu

t fee

ling

or in

telli

genc

e. A

nd w

e w

orrie

d th

at th

is w

ould

be

a di

sadv

anta

ge in

mar

kets

ab

road

. So

we

deci

ded

not t

o pu

t a m

anua

l tog

ethe

r for

fear

it w

ould

real

ly li

mit

peop

le in

wha

t the

y fe

lt w

as th

e rig

ht

resp

onse

, bec

ause

they

had

this

man

ual t

o fo

llow

."

Boo

mer

ang/

G

ener

al

Cou

nsel

Insu

re

Aga

inst

U

ncer

tain

ties

Buy

pol

itica

l ris

k in

sura

nce

to re

duce

ris

k of

exp

ropr

iatio

n

"Pol

itica

l ris

k in

sura

nce

is p

urch

ased

for t

wo

reas

ons.

From

one

vie

w, t

he p

roje

ct sp

onso

rs tr

y to

pro

tect

them

selv

es fr

om

expr

opria

tion

risk.

At a

noth

er le

vel,

the

spon

sors

are

try

to c

reat

e an

ince

ntiv

e fo

r the

hos

t gov

ernm

ent n

ot to

exp

ropr

iate

fo

r fea

r of c

ompr

omis

ing

thei

r rel

atio

nshi

p w

ith th

e U

S go

vern

men

t (O

PIC

) or M

IGA

who

pro

vide

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180

up. In addition, special clauses are inserted that allow for re-negotiation, should emergent

uncertainties cross pre-determined thresholds.

Insure against uncertainties. Foreign entrants use various insurance schemes to

reduce the consequence of a local knowledge deficit. For example, Duke buys insurance

to alleviate political risks, market risks and currency-exchange risks. Kelso and Archer

buy insurance to guarantee product shipments and secure inventory against fire, theft and

vandalism. In addition to formal insurance markets, firms use powerful connections or

threaten to withhold resources to insure against undesirable events. For example, in many

countries Boomerang relies on top-tier political and military officials to certify payment

and performance of local sub-contractors. Similarly, Marengo has threatened to abandon

semi-completed projects in order to accelerate payment.

Towards a Model of Strategies to Succeed in Foreign Environments

Figure 1 pulls together the strategies discussed on the previous pages, which are

hypothesized to be exhaustive from a knowledge-based perspective, to propose a model

of strategies for coping with embeddedness and emergent uncertainty in foreign

environments. The model displays an array of tactical strategies, all of which converge on

the three general strategies that represent different pathways an entrant can take to

minimize unforeseen costs and maximize project performance.

While the general strategies each offer a theoretically distinct approach to minimizing

the likelihood of unforeseen costs in a foreign market, they are not always separable

when observed in the field. On the contrary, the general strategies often come bundled

together in sets. For example, when an entrant acquires a local firm, the entrant not only

increases its stock of local knowledge by ingesting a team of experienced nationals into

its organizational boundary, but it also decreases its need for self-learning. Moreover,

acquiring a local firm decreases the potential costs associated with resolving emergent

uncertainties such as a contract disputes or terrorist threats, by virtue of having a local

team on-call that is well-prepared to identify, prioritize and mitigate emergent

uncertainties and their hazardous consequences.

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FIGURE 1

Strategies to Succeed in Foreign Environments31

Finally, it is important to point out that none of these strategies comes for free. There

are costs of entering into local partnerships, providing training, hedging and off-shoring

prefabrication. How far do firms want to go in reducing unforeseen transaction costs?

Firms do not attempt to drive transaction costs to zero, but rather they seek to minimize

the sum of production costs and transaction costs by selecting strategies in order of cost-

effectiveness until they reach a point of diminishing marginal returns to additional

investment (North, 1990).

Learning How to Circumvent the �Country Learning Curve�

A number of studies have presented theoretical arguments to suggest a �learning-curve�

or �experience curve� relationship between the time spent in a given host country and

31 The corollary to this strategic objective is to maximize future benefits, which is especially important for ongoing business operations. However, it is not explicitly represented in this particular model because, for a single project, most project entrants go in with a fixed budget and thus their primary concern is cost minimization.

Decrease Need for Local

Knowledge

Reduce Impact of Knowledge

Deficit

Minimize Unforeseen

Costs5

Increase Project

Performance

GENERAL STRATEGIES

Reduce Embeddedness in Local Context

Reduce Scope of Work

Prepare Contingency Plans

Insure Against Exceptions

Increase Supply of Local

Knowledge

Increase Learning Rate

Increase Initial Knowledge

Increase Learning Period

TACTICAL STRATEGIES

STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES

Cultivate Adaptability

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operational performance (Child & Yan, 2003; Isobe, Makino & Montgomery, 2000; Lee,

1999; Luo & Peng, 1999).

Our evidence contradicts this view and presents a more complex story. What we find,

in our sample of highly experienced international firms, is a deft ability to circumvent the

learning curve. Circumvention strategies enable entrants to succeed rapidly upon arriving

in a new host country with only minimal learning about the local business and

institutional environment. Stated more formally,

Proposition 6a: As firms internationalize, they learn to circumvent the country

learning curve, by �ingesting� locals, by reducing the need to learn about local

institutions and by reducing the consequences of not learning.

Proposition 6b: The greater a firm�s diversity of international experience, the greater

their ability to circumvent the learning curve for a new country in achieving objectives

and avoiding unforeseen costs in an unfamiliar market.

Three main �circumvention strategies� were observed. First, purposeful strategies to

avoid learning�e.g., hiring locals, partnering and acquiring local firms�were observed

to increase an entrant�s access to local knowledge without having to learn anything

themselves (see Table 6). As Simon (1991) noted, there are only two ways an

organization ever learns anything: by the learning of the firm�s existing members or by

the ingestion of new members. And thus, by ingesting new members or at least by

partnering with them, an entrant organization gains knowledge as an entity and shifts the

burden of learning away from the existing members. Second, strategies to decrease

exposure to local actors and institutions, such as outsourcing and off shoring, were

observed to reduce an entrant�s need for local learning drastically (see Table 7). Third,

strategies to reduce the severity of unforeseen conditions or events�e.g., planning for

contingencies, designing an adaptable organization and insuring�were observed to

reduce the hazard associated with an entrant�s local knowledge deficit (see Table 8).

Our findings indicate that as firms gain global experience, they enact many variants of

these three general strategies, which seem to be applicable across all markets and

countries. Our findings also indicate that by using variants of these strategies, firms are

able to succeed in unfamiliar markets without encountering the steep learning curve that

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is so often assumed in the literature (eg. Arnold & Quelch, 1998; Stanat, West, & West,

2000). Thus, our findings contribute to the knowledge of how firms learn to work

internationally: they learn to buy local knowledge, they learn to avoid the need for local

knowledge and they learn to avoid the impacts of a local knowledge deficit.

Finally, it is useful to note that each of these general strategies represents an instance

of deutero-learning, the process of learning about learning (Bateson, 1972). Our evidence

suggests that at its heart, internationalization experience is learning about the process of

learning to work in foreign markets. It is learning how to accelerate this process, learning

how to reduce the scope of this process and learning how to reduce the potential

ramifications of this process. As Sinkula (1994) aptly states, �Learning on this level is

essential if the organization is to understand its ability to learn, its speed of learning, the

correctness and relevance of what it learns and ultimately the relationship between what

it learns and how it performs in relevant markets.�

CONCLUSION

This chapter has explored the link between the level of embeddedness an entrant faces in

an unfamiliar market environment, the level of an entrant�s need for germane local

knowledge and the strategies it uses to cope with a (so-called) local knowledge deficit.

Contribution to Theory

This research proposes a new, grounded-theoretic view of the strategies firms actually

develop as they learn to cope with embeddedness and emergent uncertainty in foreign

markets and it identifies a clear link between these strategies and firm performance. Table

11 lays out six contributions of this article to the theory of international business and

highlights the shortcomings of extant theory that are addressed by each contribution. For

the convenience of readers who wish to refer back to the findings presented in the body

of the article, Table 11 is organized by article section/sub-section.

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TABLE 11 Summary of Shortcomings of Extant Theory and the Contribution of this Article

Article Section or Sub-Section

Inadequacy or Inaccuracy of Extant Theory

Contribution

Embeddedness Inaccurate: Assumes equal embeddedness for all entrants.

Show that embeddedness differs by firm-type and is linked closely to the size of an entrant's local knowledge deficit and

the potential for situations of emergent uncertainty.

Emergent Uncertainty Inaccurate: Assumes predictability of risks.

Show that with increasing embeddedness, risks grow, and become less predictable.

Firm-Specific StrategiesInadequate: Ignores

embeddedness, aggregates data across industries.

Show that entrant strategies and structures differ across industries, as a function of an entrant's embeddedness

Learning How to Match Embeddedness, Strategy, and

Structure

Inadequate: Ignores classic management theory.

Show that classic theory is useful, in combination with an embeddedness view, to describe the strategies and structures

that entrants adopt.

General Strategies

Inaccurate: Assumes that internationalization knowledge is tacit, a black box that cannot

be unpacked.

Shows that internationalization knowledge consists of three main strategies: increasing the supply of local knowledge,

decreasing the demand for local knowledge and reducing the consequence of a local knowledge deficit

Learning How to Circumvent the �Country Learning Curve�

Inaccurate: Assumes country learning curves.

Show that in addition to learning about the local context in an unfamiliar country, firms learn to "not learn" and learn to

reduce the consequence of "not learning"

Contribution to Practice

For international business managers, this chapter identifies three complementary

strategies for reducing a firm�s exposure to embeddedness and emergent uncertainty in

foreign markets that form a template for an almost infinite number of tactical variants. It

also presents numerous illustrative examples that provide a sense for how these strategies

have been used by successful international firms. Managers can benefit most by using

these strategic archetypes to craft their own fine-grained internationalization strategies,

customized to the specific time, location and environmental context in which they do

business.

Areas for Future Research

To advance this line of inquiry, other researchers might use the simple proxy for

embeddedness that we have proposed to map out the level of embeddedness that faces

other types of firms in other industry sectors. In addition, it would be beneficial to

develop a set of simple measures to measure the �intensity� of interaction, negotiation

and coordination across each local linkage. Researchers can attempt to replicate or refute

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our results by adding the dimension of embeddedness into their extant data sets�either

using a similar quantitative measure of embeddedness, if data to do this are available or

could be gathered, or simply by categorizing each firm�s level of embeddedness

qualitatively as �low� or �high��and reinterpreting their previous findings. In addition,

researchers might take steps to test the propositions we have proposed using new

quantitative data, larger samples and appropriate methods of statistical inference.

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APPENDIX 1 Structured Interview Protocol

The structured interviews to measure depth of embeddedness involved two questions: 1. Estimate the number of relations that your firm has with each class of local entities?

• Vendors and sub-contractors (eg. materials supplier, concrete subcontractor or any other entity that your firm has paid for products or services in the local market).

• Formal regulative agencies (eg. police, building inspection, customs authority, traffic department, etc.).

• Community organizations (eg. non-governmental organizations, community interest groups, school-board, shopkeeper�s guild, etc.)

• Other entities on the project (eg. architectural designer, power supplier, electrical subcontractor or any other entity with which you lack a formal contract).

2. For a �typical project�, what is your firm�s level of engagement in each of the following types of activities, relative to other types of firms on the project?

• Types of firms: Developers, GCs, project consultants, systems contractors • Types of activities: Buying land, handling resettlement issues, getting goods through

customs, applying for permits and entitlements, procuring local labor, procuring local supplies, negotiating with local government, entering into locally enforced contracts.

• Note on process: This question was presented in accompaniment with a matrix-style visual aid. The matrix displayed �types of firms� across the columns, �types of activities� across the rows and the cells remained blank.

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Conclusion

This is not the end. It is not even the beginning of the end. But it is, perhaps, the end of the beginning.

--Sir Winston Churchill

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CONTRIBUTIONS TO PRACTICE

This dissertation was motivated by a practical problem: firms that enter foreign markets

to work on global projects report many unforeseen, unexpected, uncertain and unknown

costs and conditions during planning, design, engineering and construction. To address

this problem, this dissertation has examined the processes through which these costs are

incurred, the types of costs that are incurred, the magnitude and ramifications of these

costs, and the general strategies that firms adopt to cope with these costs.

For practitioners, there are at least three big takeaways. The key takeaway from

Chapter I, is that, when navigating unfamiliar markets, past experiences may be invalid,

assumptions may break down, rules-of-thumb may require recalibration, knowledge may

not bring advantage, local assumptions, conventions and requirements may seem unusual

and the political, economic and legal systems may consist of an entirely different set of

rules, logics and enforcers. Thus, it is inevitable that institutional exceptions�

misjudgments, misunderstandings and conflicts � will arise. A key to prevention is to

increase awareness about local institutions and business realities. A key to cost

minimization is to quickly perceive, diagnose, mediate and reconcile potential critical

incident scenarios before they escalate.

The key takeaway from Chapter II is that institutional exceptions lead to significant,

quantifiable, project-delaying transaction costs, including time delay, money costs,

reputation damage and relationship damage. These costs are not imaginary, insignificant

or immeasurable. The evidence suggests that in relations with unfamiliar local host

entities, entrant firms should anticipate schedule delay ranging from 4% to 20%,

depending on the type of relation. Contractors and consultants need to be aware of these

hidden costs and their consequences, i.e. sapped project resources, lower profits or even

losses, and in the case of reputation damage, lower prospects of future clients and

projects. To avoid these costs, they need to recognize the importance of locally

experienced personnel and to avoid dependencies where local experience is insufficient.

One strategy to achieve this is to outsource activities embedded in local relations and

institutions to local guides, agents, partners, or subcontractors who have knowledge to

execute according to local protocols and institutional idiosyncrasies. Finally, by

sustaining a market presence over time, developing recurring network relations and

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195

cultivating a staff with local knowledge, an entrant contractor or consultant can gradually

learn to maneuver and transact effectively and efficiently within the tangle of locally-

devised institutional enablers and constraints.

Chapter III, the strategy chapter, may offer the most important insight for

practitioners. The big takeaway in this chapter is a �strategic toolkit� of three general

strategies, and any number of tactical variants, that managers can use to craft their own

context- and industry-specific approaches to internationalization, in order to cope with

embeddedness and emergent uncertainty in foreign markets. The three general strategies

are as follows: increasing the supply of local knowledge, decreasing the demand for local

knowledge and reducing the consequence of a local knowledge deficit. Examples of each

strategy are provided that can be used as mini cases-studies.

CONTRIBUTIONS TO THEORY

Within the present dissertation, several theoretical contributions have been noted. These

new insights are summarized in Table 1, along with related theoretical perspectives,

theoretical shortcomings and research questions.

In addition to offering contributions to extant theoretical perspectives, the present

dissertation also lays the groundwork for a fresh conceptual model summarizing the basic

challenges, costs and strategies associated with encountering unfamiliar institutions in

foreign markets. This overall conceptual model is provided in Figure 132 and pulls

together the core ideas contained in each of the three chapters as well as those from three

additional working papers (Orr, 2005a; b; c). The model shows a positive correlation

between an entrant�s local knowledge deficit and the extent of unforeseen costs, with

compensating strategies as a moderator of this relationship. Overall, the model enriches

our understanding concerning: the types of unforeseen costs that are incurred as a result

of failing to understand alien institutions; and the main strategies that are used to cope

with a local knowledge deficit concerning alien institutions. This conceptual model

unifies the insights contained within each of the individual chapters, and thus, the model

itself offers perhaps the most extensive contribution contained within this dissertation.

32 Note that Figure 1 was also briefly highlighted in the Introduction, where it was labeled a �Conceptual Overview� or roadmap (see Figure 1, page 17).

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For the sake of simplicity, the conceptual model is shown with a minimum number of

boxes and arrows. However, this simple representation omits two important variables and

relationships that deserve mention. First, an entrant�s level of embeddedness in the

foreign market setting influences the extent of its local knowledge deficit (Chapter II &

III); and second, overall project performance is impacted by unforeseen transaction costs

(Chapter I & II). Although these variables and relationships are not explicitly depicted in

the model, they should be self-evident from the discussion up to this point.

The main benefit of the model is its potential broad-ranging applicability. The model

proposes, quite simply, that when an entrant (individual or organization; private or

public) lacks local knowledge about the elements and/or dynamics of a foreign market,

then unforeseen costs are a likely result. This broad conjecture extends well beyond the

empirical contribution of the present dissertation, which was limited to testing the

relationship between an entrant�s lack of institutional knowledge and unforeseen costs.

However, it is expected that this �local knowledge deficit�-�unforeseen cost� relationship

also holds when an entrant runs into other unfamiliar elements and dynamics of markets

that tend to vary systematically across national and regional settings (see Orr, 2005b). For

example, it is not hard to imagine that an entrant�s lack of understanding and

preconceived expectations concerning host country symbolic systems (i.e. language,

signage etc.), local actors (i.e. existence of certain government arms, roles and

responsibilities of positions), relations between actors (i.e. industrial network

configurations, division of labor), and/or technologies (i.e. existence of power, water,

transit infrastructure) would precipitate many additional unforeseen costs. Thus, a

considerable amount of fruitful empirical work could be conducted within the framework

of the conceptual model, to verify the positive association between a local knowledge

deficit and unforeseen costs, with a specific emphasis on these other non-institutional

market elements.

It is also important to point out the main limitation of the conceptual model (and this

dissertation). While it captures many of the short-term challenges and costs of foreign

market entry, it does not provide insight into the overall strategies of the multi-national

enterprise, or the longer-term benefits of global expansion. Thus, the model is

complementary to other research efforts that concentrate on multi-national strategies, i.e.

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197

global efficiency, national responsiveness, and worldwide learning (eg. London and Hart,

2004; Bartlett & Ghoshal, 1989); and also to research efforts that focus on the

opportunities and advantages that come with internationalization, such as increased

market size, diversification, resource control, economies of scale and scope, and

technological learning (eg. Zahra, Ireland, & Hitt, 2000).

FIGURE 1

Conceptual Overview

• Knowledge • Institutions • History • Activity

Knowledge Deficit about anUnfamiliar Market Setting

• Ecological Context • Actors & Relations • Technologies • Symbolic Systems

(Orr 2005a; b; c)

Unforeseen Costs

• Money Costs • Time Costs • Relationship Damage • Reputation Damage

General Strategies to Cope with a Knowledge Deficit

• Increase the Supply of Local Knowledge • Decrease the Need for Local Knowledge • Reduce the Consequence of a Local Knowledge Deficit

Ch.4,5+

- Ch. 5,6

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198

T

AB

LE

1

Sum

mar

y of

Con

trib

utio

n

Cha

p-

ter

Theo

retic

al

Pers

pect

ive

Inad

equa

cy o

r In

accu

racy

Res

earc

h Q

uest

ions

Con

trib

utio

n

IC

ultu

ral

Dist

ance

Inad

equa

te: E

mpi

rical

stud

ies h

ave

gene

rate

d co

ntra

dict

ory

conc

lusi

ons

abou

t the

link

bet

wee

n cu

ltura

l dis

tanc

e an

d pr

ojec

t per

form

ance

.

Con

firm

s tha

t ins

titut

iona

l diff

eren

ces l

ead

to in

stitu

tiona

l exc

eptio

ns--

mis

judg

men

ts, m

isun

ders

tand

ings

and

conf

licts

--tha

t cau

se fo

ur m

ain

type

s of c

osts

--tim

e co

sts,

mon

ey c

osts,

repu

tatio

n da

mag

eand

re

latio

nshi

p da

mag

e--th

at w

eake

n pr

ojec

t per

form

ance

.

IIn

stitu

tiona

l Th

eory

Inad

equa

te: F

ew st

udie

s in

inst

itutio

nal

theo

ry fo

cus o

n th

e co

llisi

on o

f in

terc

ultu

ral i

nstit

utio

nal s

yste

ms.

Prov

ides

a p

roce

ss m

odel

of h

ow in

terc

ultu

ral i

nstit

utio

nal e

xcep

tions

ar

ise

and

are

reso

lved

.

IIn

tern

atio

nal

Bus

ines

s

Inad

equa

te: I

nstit

utio

nal t

heor

y of

fers

pr

omis

ing

pote

ntia

l to

scho

lars

of

inte

rnat

iona

l bus

ines

s, bu

t has

bee

n un

deru

tiliz

ed.

Con

firm

s the

val

ue o

f an

inst

itutio

nal p

ersp

ectiv

e in

inte

rnat

iona

l bu

sine

ss, b

y ve

rifyi

ng th

at in

stitu

tiona

l exc

eptio

ns c

an h

ave

cost

ly

cons

eque

nces

for e

ntra

nt fi

rms.

ILa

rge

Engi

neer

ing

Proj

ects

Inac

cura

te: P

rom

ulga

tes o

verly

ratio

nal

view

of l

arge

pro

ject

s, as

sum

ing

them

to

be d

riven

by

narr

owly

con

ceiv

ed c

ost-

bene

fit m

odel

s.

Show

s tha

t ins

titut

iona

lly ro

oted

exp

ecta

tions

, con

vent

ions

, pr

actic

esan

d pr

otoc

ols h

ave

a he

avy

influ

ence

on

the

inte

ract

ions

be

twee

n pr

ojec

t adm

inis

trato

rs th

at e

ffect

tech

nica

l, co

ntra

ctua

land

m

anag

eria

l pro

cess

es a

nd p

erfo

rman

ce.

IITr

ansa

ctio

n C

ost

Econ

omic

s

Inad

equa

te: F

ails

to c

onsi

der "

unfo

rese

en

trans

actio

n co

sts"

that

aris

e fr

om c

lash

es

in in

stitu

tiona

lized

ass

umpt

ions

, lo

gics

and

rule

s.

Iden

tifie

s "un

fore

seen

tran

sact

ion

cost

s" a

re a

n un

ders

tudi

ed, y

et

salie

nt, c

lass

of t

rans

actio

n co

sts t

hat a

rise

in tr

ansa

ctio

ns b

etw

een

inte

rcul

tura

l age

nts.

IIIn

tern

atio

nal

Bus

ines

s

Inad

equa

te: H

as n

ot b

een

able

to q

uant

ify

the

salie

nce

of c

osts

that

aris

e fr

om

inte

rcul

tura

l fric

tion

and

conf

lict.

Prov

ides

qua

ntita

tive

evid

ence

to sh

ow th

at in

stitu

tiona

l diff

eren

ces

can

and

do c

ause

sign

ifica

nt d

elay

for g

loba

l pro

ject

ent

rant

s, w

hich

in

crea

se in

salie

nce

with

the

frequ

ency

and

inte

nsity

of f

orm

al a

nd

info

rmal

rela

tions

with

loca

l ent

ities

and

dec

reas

e w

ith lo

cal e

xper

ienc

e an

d re

curr

ing

rela

tions

.

How

do

unfa

mili

ar in

stitu

tions

ca

use

inst

itutio

nal e

xcep

tions

? H

ow a

re th

ey re

solv

ed?

Wha

t ar

e th

e co

sts?

" " "

How

salie

nt a

re u

nfor

esee

n in

stitu

tiona

l tra

nsac

tion

costs

fo

r firm

s tha

t ent

er g

loba

l pr

ojec

ts in

new

mar

kets?

"

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199

TA

BL

E 1

(CO

N�T

) Su

mm

ary

of C

ontr

ibut

ion

Cha

p-te

rTh

eore

tical

Pe

rspe

ctiv

eIn

adeq

uacy

or

Inac

cura

cyR

esea

rch

Que

stio

nsC

ontr

ibut

ion

III

Inte

rnat

iona

l B

usin

ess

Inac

cura

te: A

ssum

es e

qual

em

bedd

edne

ss

for a

ll en

trant

s.

Show

s tha

t em

bedd

edne

ss d

iffer

s by

firm

-type

and

is li

nked

clo

sely

to

the

size

of a

n en

trant

's lo

cal k

now

ledg

e de

ficit

and

its p

oten

tial t

o en

coun

ter s

ituat

ions

of e

mer

gent

unc

erta

inty

.

III

Inte

rnat

iona

l B

usin

ess/

R

isk A

naly

sis

Inac

cura

te: A

ssum

es p

redi

ctab

ility

of

risks

.Sh

ows t

hat w

ith in

crea

sing

em

bedd

edne

ss, r

isks

gro

wan

d be

com

e le

ss

pred

icta

ble.

III

Inte

rnat

iona

l B

usin

ess

Inad

equa

te: I

gnor

es e

mbe

dded

ness

, a g

greg

ates

dat

a ac

ross

indu

strie

s.Sh

ows t

hat e

ntra

nt st

rate

gies

and

stru

ctur

es d

iffer

acr

oss i

ndus

tries

, as

a fu

nctio

n of

an

entra

nt's

embe

dded

ness

III

Inte

rnat

iona

l B

usin

ess

Inad

equa

te: I

gnor

es c

lass

ic m

anag

emen

t th

eory

.

Show

s tha

t cla

ssic

theo

ry is

use

ful,

in c

ombi

natio

n w

ith a

n em

bedd

edne

ss v

iew

, to

desc

ribe

the

stra

tegi

es a

nd st

ruct

ures

that

en

trant

s ado

pt.

III

Inte

rnat

iona

l B

usin

ess

Inac

cura

te: A

ssum

es th

at

inte

rnat

iona

lizat

ion

know

ledg

e is

taci

t, a

blac

k bo

x th

at c

anno

t be

unpa

cked

.

Show

s tha

t int

erna

tiona

lizat

ion

know

ledg

e co

nsis

ts o

f thr

ee m

ain

stra

tegi

es: i

ncre

asin

g th

e su

pply

of l

ocal

kno

wle

dge,

dec

reas

ing

the

dem

and

for l

ocal

kno

wle

dge

and

redu

cing

the

cons

eque

nce

of a

loca

l kn

owle

d ge

defic

it

III

Inte

rnat

iona

l B

usin

ess

Inac

cura

te: A

ssum

es c

ount

ry le

arni

ng

curv

es.

Show

s tha

t in

addi

tion

to le

arni

ng a

bout

the

loca

l con

text

in a

n un

fam

iliar

cou

ntry

, firm

s lea

rn to

not

lear

n an

d le

arn

to re

duce

the

cons

eque

nce

of n

ot le

arni

ng

Wha

t cha

lleng

es d

oes

embe

dded

ness

cre

ate

for

fore

ign

entra

nts?

Wha

t st

rate

gies

do

entra

nts u

se to

co

pe w

ith e

mbe

dded

ness

?

" " " " "

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200

AREAS FOR FUTURE RESEARCH

Within each of the individual chapters, several promising areas for future research have

been proposed. For the reader�s convenience, these �next steps� are summarized below,

along with several other areas that became apparent during the research process and

during completion of the working papers (Orr 2005a; b; c).

Describing Institutional Exceptions, Associated Costs and Resolutions

Institutional theory holds an unexplored potential to shed light on global project

performance; and global projects offer an uncommon natural research laboratory to study

processes of institutional conflict and evolution. Further research is necessary to examine:

! to examine how exceptions vary in frequency, intensity and costliness across

settings, phases and sub-systems as a given project proceeds from planning to

completion stages;

! to identify coping mechanisms � at interpersonal, inter-team, project, firm

and wider levels � to deal with exceptions;

! to examine attributes of project leaders who best mollify conflicts;

! to identify managerial interventions � in organization structures, contracting

practices, staffing policies or administrative procedures � that can help

bridge across institutional gaps; and

! to trace evidence of organizational learning that supports improved

performance within and across projects and firms.

Even more broadly, in order to enhance our understanding of institutional processes, it

is necessary to further examine the cause and effects of intercultural institutional

exceptions in other social, political and economic contexts. This analysis might be

conducted at many units of analysis, from more basic conflicts between individuals and

teams, to collisions between organizations, to the most momentous clashes between

countries and entire civilizations (eg. Huntington, 1996). For example, in completing this

PhD dissertation, I uncovered the fact that Saudi Arabia has faced tremendous challenges

in trying to integrate various German, Japanese, British, French and US technical

standards for basic infrastructure systems and components (power, sewer, phone, etc.), to

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201

the point that many of their systems exist today as a hodge-podge of components

connected with localized innovation to bridge the gaps (Westney, 1989), with many

serious incompatibilities that jeopardize overall safety and performance. Not surprisingly,

this leads to many one-time costs of system integration and also many recurring costs that

are difficult to quantify when systems break down or require routine maintenance. These

recurring costs arise because few technicians understand the full gamut of systems or

standards that have been installed, leading to permanent reliance on the most skillful and

costly outside contractors for restorations and repairs.

Measuring Unforeseen Transaction Costs

Future research related to the measurement of unforeseen transaction costs might go in a

number of fruitful directions. To better understand the dynamics of distinctive relational

profiles, researchers might examine each of the five profiles � formal client relations,

formal market relations, formal regulatory relations, informal community relations, and

informal project relations � in isolation. To examine the effects of political will and the

strength of anti-corruption units in causing unforeseen delay in relations with host

government regulatory agencies, researchers might develop a set of indicators to measure

these latent constructs. To better understand relational interdependencies, researchers

might develop a finer grained model of dependency by splitting the elements of our

survey question into five individual bases of dependency: legitimacy, resources,

authorization, knowledge, and information. To investigate the longitudinal process of

internationalization and how unforeseen transaction costs decline as firms become more

internationally experienced, researchers might test the link between the global experience

of the firm, or of the top managers and executives in the strategic apex, and the firm�s

ability to acquire relevant local knowledge, either through partnering, hiring locals, or

acquisitions, upon entering a new environment. To understand the non-linear effects of

conflict escalation, researchers might use a 100 point scale to measure conflict, with 0 to

10 defined as the normal range, and 11 to 100 defined as the range of escalation for

critical incident scenarios. Finally, to continue to explore the dynamics of dyadic

relations and transaction costs, researchers might continue to refine the highly visual

�hub-and-wheel, transaction-map� approach that was pioneered in Chapter II, which was

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202

crucial in collecting a large sample of field data about relational factors and transactional

outcomes.

Finally, an institutional knowledge deficit is not the exclusive source of unforeseen

transaction costs. Rather, a lack of knowledge about any of the local market elements can

lead to these costs. For example, when an entrant is in the market to buy a piece of land,

it needs to understand ground conditions (ecological context), past usage to assess

possible contamination (history), local real estate professionals (actors), norms and

regulations concerning the acquisition of property (institutions), and whether or not the

available building means and methods will allow the site to be productively developed

(technologies). Obviously, a lack of factual information in any of these areas could lead

to unforeseen transaction costs. Therefore, it would be fruitful for future researchers to

test the �unforeseen cost�-�local knowledge deficit� relationship for these other elements

and dynamics of foreign markets, beyond strictly the institutional elements. To achieve

this end, researchers would be advised to take an �activities� approach to analysis, to

have informants map out their project into major activities with precedence relationships,

to analyze the unforeseen costs that arise activity by activity, and then to trace these costs

back to a lack of knowledge concerning supporting elements in the local market setting.

Expanding the Embeddedness Framework

Other researchers might use the simple proxy for embeddedness that has been proposed

in Chapter III as an approach to map out the level of embeddedness that faces other types

of firms in other industry sectors, beyond just firms that are participants on global

projects. In addition, it would be beneficial to develop a set of simple measures to

measure the �intensity� of interaction, negotiation and coordination across each local

linkage. Researchers might add the embeddedness dimension to their extant data sets�

either using a similar quantitative measure of embeddedness, if data to do this are

available or could be gathered or simply by categorizing each firm�s level of

embeddedness qualitatively as �low� or �high��and reinterpreting their previous

findings.

In addition, researchers might take steps to test the propositions we have proposed

using new quantitative data, larger samples and methods of statistical inference. Finally,

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203

researchers might deepen the analysis of strategies to reduce embeddedness (eg.

outsourcing, off shoring) and strategies to reduce the consequence of embeddedness (eg.

cultivating adaptability, insuring, preparing contingency plans), which have been under-

represented in the IB literature.

Casting a wider net, a fruitful frontier of future research lies in expanding the

embeddedness concept beyond social or institutional embeddedness, as a few authors

have begun to do already in articles that define subsidiary embeddedness (Andersson &

Forsgren, 1996), technology embeddedness (Andersson, Forsgren & Pedersen, 2001),

ecological embeddedness (Whiteman & Cooper, 2000) and relational embeddedness

(Dhanaraj et. al., 2004). I can imagine a paper titled, �Embeddedness and the Specificity

of Knowledge,� which examines the link between the number of interdependencies

between an actor or organism in a particular natural or human-devised environment, the

various elements of that environment and the extent of context-specific knowledge that is

necessary to survive and compete effectively and efficiently in that environment. A

useful starting point for this inquiry might be to define embeddedness with respect to the

set of elements identified in Orr (2005b), which would immediately yield six main types

of actor embeddedness: relational embeddedness, institutional embeddedness, symbolic

system embeddedness, technological embeddedness, knowledge embeddedness and

ecological embeddedness.

Other Potential Research Areas

There are several exciting areas for research on global projects. The first is to explore the

impact of political will on the approval and successful completion of large projects. The

second is to examine the dynamics and strategies involved in the �fuzzy front end�

shaping phase of large projects � especially the �coming together phase� when the

project sponsor and main stakeholders get serious about proceeding and many critical

decisions are committed. The third is to analyze the �pre-qualification processes� used by

large contractors and to identify the mechanisms that enable quick and efficient selection

of large numbers of unknown local contractors. The fourth is to analyze the actual

strategies that large contractors use when breaking up projects into smaller sub-contract

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204

packages to minimize risk � How big should packages be? How much redundancy?

Why?

With respect to methodology, the most exciting discovery has been the following

question, �What is similar and what is different, across all human civilizations?� It

sounds simple enough, but this question can be posed for any phenomenon that we

observe in the world around us. For example, next time you are outside, look closely at a

tree and all of its leaves and ask yourself, �What is similar and what is different, across

all leaves?� You will notice that all leaves are remarkably similar, and yet, all leaves are

entirely unique. Indeed, the key to knowing what is a leaf lies in understanding what is

similar about all leaves and what is potentially different about all leaves. Only when you

understand these two things, do you truly understand what a leaf is. This is also true for

trees, humans, ecosystems, organizations, civilizations, ice ages, hurricanes, stock market

collapses, elections, planets, wars or just about any other phenomenon that might be

imaginable. In efforts to classify the animal kingdom, the chemical elements and the

human genome, this was a main underlying question that was addressed across all cases.

This question is crucial to understanding the incredible variation and yet the remarkable

similarity, of so many sets or collections of phenomena that we observe in our universe.

Once you satisfy your curiosities with respect to this first question, a second related

question is, �What are the sources of similarity and what are the sources of difference,

across all human civilizations?� This question is not as easy to answer � for example, in

order to understand the variation in humans, geneticists had to unlock the DNA code; and

to understand the diversity across chemical elements, chemists had to be able to count

atoms, neutrons, protons and electrons. Based on their vast general applicability to

investigations of physical and social phenomenon, these questions are of potential value

to researchers across most fields of science.

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