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TRANSCRIPT
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Copyright 2017 EKOS Research Associates
Understanding the Shifting
Meaning of the Middle Class
By FRANK GRAVES
March 2017
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Copyright 2017 EKOS Research Associates
» This report represents a synthesis of public opinion findings from EKOS and others to help understand Canadians’ attitudes regarding what it means to be middle class today.
» This report was prepared for the Privy Council Office, and follows a review of the academic literature which looks at the evolving forces shaping the middle class from an economic and sociological perspective.
» The views expressed in this report are those of EKOS Research Associates, Inc., and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Government of Canada.
Introduction
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» Issues related to the middle class are extremely salient to the public.
» The confusion and disagreement evident among commentators does not reflect the clarity and salience within the public.
» The longer-term literature examining structural forces tends to be closer to the public’s view on the middle class crisis.
» There is broad agreement that the ‘middle class dream’ and shared prosperity are not working in the 21st century.
Executive summary (i)
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» Tepid growth and an acceleration of the concentration of wealth and income at the very top of society are critical factors.
» The evidence is that positive intergenerational mobility is declining, particularly as we move from older to younger Canada.
» Self-defined middle class membership has been declining, but the magnitude of the decline needs to be more clearly understood.
» ‘Middle class’ is now all about the conspicuous absence of security, and no longer defined by progress where skills and effort produce forward movement.
Executive summary (ii)
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» The public are increasingly rejecting neo-liberalism and conditionally receptive to a more active role from the state to come up with a blueprint (and action) to restart middle class progress.
» While self-defined class membership is very positively associated with income and education, there are even more powerful linkages to health and happiness.
» Workplaces are a microcosm of the macro problems discussed above.
» While there is a model associated with prosperity and wellbeing in the workplace, the trajectory for the key ingredients of that model is downward.
Executive summary (iii)
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» A foremost concern evident at both the micro and macro levels is declining emphasis on skills and knowledge.
• Despite a consensus that Canada had to become “smarter,” Canadians are less apt to view higher education or the professions requiring it as priorities.
» Of great concern, it appears that the era of stagnation and rising inequality at the top may have mutated into a rise in populism, nativism, and an “ordered” outlook (also known as an “authoritarian” outlook).
» There is an urgent need to provide an updated empirical platform which refreshes and connects these key areas on a unified database, preferably using U.S.-Canada and (possibly other) cross-national comparisons.
Executive summary (iv)
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1) Summary of Literature Review
2) The Meaning of the Middle Class
3) The End of Progress?
4) Sources of Middle Class Decline
5) Conclusions
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Why values?
» The literature review describes a host of factors contributing to stalled middle class progress.
» Rapidly growing income inequality, stagnating incomes, downward intergenerational mobility and jobs that are unsatisfying and poorly paid all factor in.
» Miles Corak underscores two stories – one positive, one negative - that can be drawn from the literature and the statistics.
» He also notes that rising inequality is associated with declining intergenerational mobility.
» Our research first identified the extent of the End of Progress in 2012. The problem appears to have worsened since then.
Literature review (i)
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Why values?
» There are a few particularly important works to note:
• Darren Acemoglu, Why Nations Fail: Shows what happens when incentive systems fail and institutions become extractive, rather than inclusive.
• Thomas Piketty, Capital in the 21st Century: Uses tax data to show the long term patterns of inequality.
• Robert Gordon, Rise and Fall of American Growth: Points to the end of middle class progress in the 1980s as neoliberal policiestook hold and notes how little the “digital revolution” has revolutionized the economy.
Literature review (ii)
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Why values?
» The Brexit vote and the U.S. election have brought even more focus to the issues of middle and working class angst.
» One of the more pertinent post-U.S. election pieces connects the fall of the white working class from the middle class as a critical and misunderstood force. (1)
» There is a clear connection between the literature and the polling data.
» However, the public views the issues through an even darker lens.
Literature review (iii)
(1) Joan C. Williams, “What So Many People Don’t Get About the U.S. Working Class”,
Harvard Business Review, November 10, 2016. Available online at: goo.gl/vYvGJF
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1) Summary of Literature Review
2) The Meaning of the Middle Class
3) The End of Progress?
4) Sources of Middle Class Decline
5) Conclusions
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Copyright 2017 EKOS Research Associates
Meaning of “middle class”
» Where being “middle class” once conveyed a sense of upward mobility and progress within and across generations, this has changed.
» We find the definition of “middle class” has shifted to mean security – in old age, in one’s job, in finances overall.
» Having a better life than one’s parents, knowing that your children will do better and affording luxuries are less important.
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Being middle class is mostlyabout one’s income
Being middle class is mostly astate of mind
DK/NR
BASE: Canadians; July 16-23, 2014 (n=2,620), MOE +/- 1.9%, 19 times out of 20
Meaning of “middle class”
Q. The term "middle class" means different things to different people. Some say
that being a member of the middle class is mostly about one's income
levels, while others say it is mostly a state of mind, which includes a sense
of security and progress. Which of these statements comes closest to your
own point of view?
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151095736122
5250
434844
4336
302826
3238
4246475256
686870
Not important (1-2) Somewhat important (3-5) Important (6-7)
Being able to retire with a secure income
Having a secure job
Being financially secure
Knowing that you will be rewarded for hard work and skill
Having an income that is around the middle levels of society
Owning a house
Having enough income to afford a few luxuries
Knowing that your children will be better off financially than you
Having a better life than your parents
Feeling a sense of a community with the average workers and citizens of society
BASE: Canadians; July 16-23, 2014 (n=2,620), MOE +/- 1.9%, 19 times out of 20
Meaning of “middle class”
Q. How important are the following aspects to your definition of what it means
to be middle class?
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Statistical profile of the middle class
» We conducted an analysis of just who the self-defined middle class are.
» The relationship between self-identified middle class status and income is positive and highly significant (Gamma =.71). This is very important.
» There are a number of clear correlates of middle class membership:
• In addition to the critical income link, there is a powerful connection to education.
• Visible minorities and people with disabilities are less likely to be members but there are little effects by gender and region (apart from Quebec, where more describe themselves as middle class or poor).
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Statistical profile of the middle class (ii)
» There is a fairly strong connection to age with the probability of belonging to middle class dropping as we move from older to younger Canada.
» The results by age support the notion that middle class progress is eroding as the younger generation are less apt to define themselves as middle class.
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3119
203
36
9121110
11
3534
1117
4743
2632
3044
33
2945
6978
4919
5853
5341
50
32
19510
6244
4
Poor Working class Middle class Upper Class
National
<3535-4950-64
65+
<$40K$40-80K
$80-120K$120K+
Vis. Min.Disability
BASE: Canadians; June 30-July 7, 2015 (n=1,067), MOE +/- 3.0%, 19 times out of 20
Self-rated social class
Q. Would you describe you and your household as poor, working class,
middle class or upper class?
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Change in social class vs. 10 years ago
» When respondents are asked what social class would have described them 10 years ago vs. today, the results lean towards downward mobility.
• 18% say they have moved down in social class vs. 10 years ago, while 13% say they have moved up.
» Over 40% of working class say they were middle class a decade ago – this fall from relative privilege is linked to anger, hopelessness and less healthy and happy lives.
» Notably, the smaller poor class shows the most downward mobility with around 2/3s newly joining the poor.
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Copyright 2017 EKOS Research AssociatesBASE: Canadians; Dec. 15, 2016 – Jan. 19, 2017, n=7,188, MOE +/- 1.2%, 19 times out of 20
Change in self-defined social class vs. 10 years ago
Perceived Social Class 10 years agoHow would you have described you and your household
ten years ago?
Downwardly mobile: 67%
Poor
Working class
Middle class
Upper class Upper class: 48%Middle Class: 50%
Working class: 1%Poor: 1%
Upwardly mobile: 52%
Upper class: 3%Middle Class: 81%Working class: 13%
Poor: 2%Upwardly mobile: 15%
Downwardly mobile: 3%
Upper class: 1%Middle Class: 41%
Working class: 51%Poor: 7% Upwardly mobile: 7%
Downwardly mobile: 42%
Upper class: 0%Middle Class: 34%
Working class: 33%Poor: 28%
Current Social ClassWould you describe you and your household as poor,
working class, middle class or upper class?
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Self-rated social class and health
» There is an extremely strong association between class membership and self-rated health and quality of life.
» The data show that as you move up the class ladder, happiness and health dramatically improve.
» By corollary, downward mobility is associated with worse health and happiness.
» This suggests a myriad of critical policy implications.
» Given health and happiness connections this is not simply a matter of economic security; there are profound connections to social policy issues as well.
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5
6
11
35
14
26
34
39
79
68
55
26
Poor (1-2) Fair (3) Good (4-5)
Poor
Upper class
Working class
Middle class
BASE: Canadians; Dec. 15, 2016 – Jan. 19, 2017, n=7,188, MOE +/- 1.2%, 19 times out of 20
Personal health rating by social class
Q. How would you rate your health?
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4
8
19
38
9
13
21
30
87
79
60
32
Dissatisfied (1-4) Neither (5-6) Satisfied (7-10)
Poor
Upper class
Working class
Middle class
BASE: Canadians; Dec. 15, 2016 – Jan. 19, 2017, n=7,188, MOE +/- 1.2%, 19 times out of 20
Life satisfaction by social class
Q. How satisfied are you with your life as a whole right now?
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1) Summary of Literature Review
2) The Meaning of the Middle Class
3) The End of Progress?
4) Sources of Middle Class Decline
5) Conclusions
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Copyright 2017 EKOS Research Associates
Why values?
» In 2005, we first noted that progress was not unfolding as it had in the last half of the 20th
century.
• Since then, this problem has gotten worse, not better.
End of progress?
» Economy has morphed and middle class bargain broken.
» Economic outlook is very bleak, darker for the future.
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Why values?
» Younger generations are much more likely to be falling backward and see an even steeper decline in future.
» Among those younger than 45, downward intergenerational mobility is three times higher than it is among seniors.
» The dominant priority for the public is to create a longer term blueprint to restore middle class progress.
» The core driver of both ‘Brexit’ and the U.S. presidential election outcome was economic stagnation and class resentment.
End of progress?
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15
16
12
Q. Overall, which of the following choices do you believe best describes Canada’s middle class?
BASE (right): Canadians; July 16-23, 2014 (n=2,620), MOE +/- 1.9%, 19 times out of 20
Shrinking
Pessimistic
Growing
Optimistic
(1-3)
(1-3) (5-7)
(5-7)Stayingthe same (4)
Neither (4)
5
86
8Disagree (1-3)Neither (4)Agree (5-7)DK/NR
Q. Please rate the extent to which you agree or disagree with the following statement:
“A growing and optimistic middle class is an essential component of
societal progress”
Proposition 1: IF a healthy society and a strong economy require a growing,
optimistic middle class
Proposition 2: AND IF the middle class is neither growing nor optimistic
Implication: THEN societal health and economic progress will be in peril if these negative conditions persist
BASE (left): December 7-10, 2015 (n=1,811), MOE +/- 2.3%, 19 times out of 20
Why values?A troubling syllogism?
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0
10
20
30
40
50
60
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Worse (1-3) The Same (4) Better (5-7)
5 31 33 32
BASE: Canadians; December 8-11, 2016, n=1,228, MOE +/- 2.8%, 19 times out of 20
Medium-term financial outlook
Q. Thinking ahead over the FIVE YEARS or so, do you think your personal
financial situation will be better or worse than it is today?
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0
10
20
30
40
50
60
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Worse off About the same Better off
5 36 26 33
BASE: Canadians; December 8-11, 2016, n=2,433, MOE +/- 2.0%, 19 times out of 20
Changes in quality of life over last 25 years
Q. Thinking about your overall quality of life, would you say that you are
better off, worse off, or about the same as the previous generation was
25 years ago?
We find very similar results when testing “Standard of Living” as we do with “Quality of Life.”
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59
61
30
28
28
18
13
10
Worse off About the same Better offBASE: Canadians; December 8-11, 2016, n=2,433, MOE +/- 2.0%, 19 times out of 20
» Fears are highest when turned to the future.
» The grey outlook on the present turns almost black as the public ponder the fate of future generations.
» It appears that we have at least temporarily reached the end of progress, the defining achievement of liberal capitalism.
2014
2005
Generational outlook & social class
2016
Q. Thinking about your overall quality of life do you think the next generation will be better off, worse off, or about the same as you are 25 years from now?
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The middle class is shrinkingand falling backward
The middle class is doingreally well
DK/NR
BASE: Canadians; July 16-23, 2014 (n=2,620), MOE +/- 1.9%, 19 times out of 20
Perceived state of Canada’s middle class
Q. Some say that the middle class is shrinking and falling backward and that
restoring middle class progress is the critical challenge of our time. Others
say the middle class is doing really well and that this notion of middle class
crisis has been manufactured by policy wonks and it really isn't an issue at
all. Which statement comes closer to your point of view?
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International comparison
Vietnam 91%
China 88%
Ethiopia 84%
Nigeria 84%
India 74%
Burkina Faso 71%
Chile 67%
Peru 65%
Senegal 64%
Brazil 61%
Ghana 56%
Argentina 55%
Uganda 52%
Indonesia 51%
Israel 51%
Pakistan 51%
Philippines 51%
Russia 48%
Ukraine 48%
South Africa 47%
Kenya 43%
South Korea 43%
Mexico 41%
Turkey 40%
Venezuela 36%
Germany 34%
Poland 34%
Tanzania 33%
Jordan 32%
U.S.A. 32%
Palestine 31%
Spain 31%
Malaysia 30%
Canada 27%Australia 26%
U.K. 25%
Lebanon 24%
Japan 18%
Italy 15%
France 14%
Country Country2015 2015
% saying better off
Q. When children today grow up, will they be
better off financially than their parents?
Source: Pew Research Center, Global Indicators Database (2015)Available online at: goo.gl/iPGgza
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1) Summary of Literature Review
2) The Meaning of the Middle Class
3) The End of Progress?
4) Sources of Middle Class Decline
5) Conclusions
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Why has middle class progress stalled? (i)
1. Incentive systems are broken; rising inequality• For example: superstar economy, burgeoning executive
compensation, huge shift of portion of the economy going to wages versus rent on capital.
2. Public sphere and taxation in decline• As inequality at the top has risen in all OECD countries,
taxation has declined, as has the size of the state.
3. The corrosive economic impacts of the post-9/11 security ethic• Closing of the Canadian (Western) mind?
• The gap between the growth in the first decade of NAFTA and the second decade is enormous ($1 trillion+)
• September 11th bifurcates these two periods, as does the emergence of a ‘security ethic’.
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Why has middle class progress stalled? (ii)
4. Eroding workplaces• Graham Lowe & Frank Graves (2016)(2)
5. Innovation not generating the advances of past innovations• See Robert Gordon (2016)(3)
• See Robert Reich (2015)(4)
(2) Lowe, Graham S., and Frank Graves, “Redesigning Work: a Blueprint for Canada's Future Well-Being and Prosperity”,Toronto: University of Toronto Press, 2016.
(3) Gordon, Robert J., “The Rise and Fall of American Growth: The U.S. Standard of Living Since the Civil War”, Princeton: Princeton University Press, 2016.
(4) Reich, Robert B., “Saving Capitalism for the Many, not the Few”, New York, NY: Knopf, 2015.
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6
4
7
3
2
2
12
22
11
13
3
5
57
45
48
46
38
25
25
29
34
39
57
69
DK/NR Not important (1-2) Somewhat important (3-5) Important (6-7)
Excessive concentration of wealth at the top
Wage and income stagnation
Diminished role of government in providing universal social programs
Sharp decline in corporate and individual tax rates
Decreased unionization
Rising success of “other” economies such as China and India
BASE: Those who say middle class has declined/stagnated; July 16-23, 2014 (n=2,191), MOE +/- 2.1%, 19 times out of 20
Causes of middle class stagnation/decline
Q. How important are each of the following factors in causing the
stagnation or decline of Canada’s middle class?
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Source: Piketty, Thomas, and Arthur Goldhammer. Capital in the twenty-first century. CambridgeMassachusetts: The Belknap Press of Harvard University Press, 2014. Print.
Income inequality in Anglo-Saxon countries
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Copyright 2017 EKOS Research AssociatesBASE: Canadians; July 8-14, 2016, n=1,003, MOE +/- 3.1%, 19 times out of 20
16
2557
2Agree (5-7)
Neither (4)
Disagree (1-3)
DK/NR
Consequences of inequality
Q. Please rate the extent to which you agree or disagree with the following statement:
“If the current patterns of stagnation among all except those at the
very top continue, I would not be surprised to see the emergence of
violent class conflicts”
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2
3
4
2
3
73
21
17
12
10
8
15
9
9
10
17
61
71
77
77
DK/NR Disagree (1-3) Neither agree nor disagree (4) Agree (5-7)
When no one but the super rich are moving forward, it robs the economy of the incentives which drive middle
class progress
Inequality today is not simply the gap between rich and poor, but more about the growing gap between the very
rich and everyone else
I think that almost all economic growth or progress over the past twenty years has ended up in the hands of the
upper one per cent
If the difficulties of younger citizens continue to worsen, I wouldn’t be surprised to see very serious conflicts between younger and older generations in the near
future
Income inequality is not an important public issue
BASE: Canadians; July 16-23, 2014 (n=2,620), MOE +/- 1.9%, 19 times out of 20
Attitudes towards inequality
Q. Please rate the extent to which you agree or disagree with the following statements:
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Why values?
» Governments and taxation in decline as economy stagnates and inequality accelerates.
• Legitimacy crisis?
» Declining support for trickle-down economics and neo-Liberal economic model government has been espousing since 1980s/1990s.
» Right now, the public are onside with an activist government that will renew the public sphere and create shared economic progress.
Role of government & public institutions
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6966
6159
62
57 5754
3134
3941
38
43 4346
25
35
45
55
65
75
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Smaller government Larger government
Why values?
BASE: Canadians; September 21-25, 2014 (n=1,549), MOE +/- 2.5%, 19 times out of 20
Preferred size of government
Q. Generally speaking, which of the following would you say that you favour: 1) a larger
government with higher taxes and more services; or 2) a smaller government with
lower taxes and fewer services?
Note: Figures adjusted to exclude those who skipped the question.
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12
13
18
27
46
47
55
41
42
40
27
32
DK/NR Smaller government Larger government
Poor
Upper class
Working class
Middle class
BASE: Canadians; Dec. 15, 2016 – Jan. 19, 2017, n=7,188, MOE +/- 1.2%, 19 times out of 20
Role of government by self-defined social class
Q. Generally speaking, which of the following would you say that you favour?
1. A larger government with higher taxes and more services
2. A smaller government with lower taxes and fewer services
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202830
434648484851525456
63676869
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80
Home and community care
Arts and heritage activities and institutions
Reducing post-secondary tuition
Renewing urban infrastructure
Targeted tax relief for the middle class
Funding to help businesses dev. products/services
Paying down the debt
Early childhood development
Investments to make progress on climate change
Workplace training
Improving living conditions for indigenous peoples
Across-the-board tax cuts
Loans to attract and retain high tech. businesses
Childcare
New military purchases
Combating terrorist threats such as ISIS
BASE: Canadians; Dec. 15, 2016 – Jan. 19, 2017, n=7,188, MOE +/- 1.2%, 19 times out of 20
Preferred areas of investment
Q. Suppose you were Prime Minister for a day and you had to choose how to invest one
billion dollars over the next 10 years. Which of the following investments would be in
the best interest of the public?*
*Presented in series of paired choices. Figures represent how often each item was selected over the other items tested.
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» At the turn of the 20th century, we saw unbridled enthusiasm for trade and globalization.
» Since then, however, a variety issues has led to more guarded views on globalization and trade:
• Economic stagnation and anxiety about the future
• Geopolitical tensions and security concerns
• Aging
» Hardening attitudes to presence of visible minorities, softening support for trade liberalization, and declining support for foreign direct investment support thesis that we are closing – not opening – as a society.(5)
Closing of the Canadian mind?
(5) Frank Graves, “Understanding the New Public Outlook on the Economy and Middle-Class Decline”,SPP Research Papers, University of Calgary, February 2016. Available online at: goo.gl/D3MEMI
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» Economic anxiety and fears of a vanishing middle class way of life were key themes in the recent U.S. election.
» In the view of many, these concerns “activated” an “ordered” outlook during the campaign. (6)
• The “ordered” outlook is characterised by the desire for swift and decisive action, as well as retribution against those seen as the cause of the problems. (7)
» The precedence of economic factors is evident in the result: there was twice as much economic output in Clinton-won states than in Trump-won states (Brookings institution).
» It is not so much economic determinism as a complex, mutual interaction across economic and cultural factors.
Have economic anxieties given rise to an “ordered” outlook?
(6) The rise of American Authoritarianism, http://www.vox.com/2016/3/1/11127424/trump-authoritarianism(7) Fear and Hope: Understanding the National Mood, http://www.ekospolitics.com/index.php/2016/07/fear-and-hope-understanding-the-national-mood/
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6
80
132
Disagree (1-3)
Neither (4)
Agree (5-7)
DK/NR
BASE: Canadians; December 7-10, 2015 (n=1,811), MOE +/- 2.3%, 19 times out of 20
Perceived need for new blueprint
Q. Please rate the extent to which you agree or disagree with the following
statement:
Canada needs a clearer plan or blueprint to restore a growing
and optimistic middle class
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Why values?
» Workplace values, morale, and quality of working life have all declined
» Confidence in skills has declined as workplace training has declined
» What works for older workers isn’t working for younger workers
» In the midst of this malaise, workers are hunkering down, which evades solutions
Rethinking workplaces
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Why values?
» Troubling increase in ‘precarious’ work.
» Men earning less / Wage stagnation.
» Stress problems much more common.
» Workers less likely to see value in their work/engage in training and innovation.
» Claims about increased labour market instability may be exaggerated.
• A stable 60% of workers have switched careers (meaning 40% have stayed in the same line of work).
Rethinking workplaces
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16 17 2014 14 13
21 20
1417
12 10 12
19
67 6668
76 74 76
5861
46
2117
32
21
11
17
69
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016
Disagree (1-3) Neither (4) Agree (5-7)
21 32 46
Note: Figures adjusted to exclude those who skipped the question.BASE: Canadians; December 8-11, 2016, n=1,209, MOE +/- 2.8%, 19 times out of 20
Confidence in job skills
Q. Please rate the extent to which you agree or disagree with the following statement:
I am confident that I have the skills and knowledge necessary to move
easily in today’s labour market
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1724
3234
4147474748525556
6666
0 20 40 60 80 100
Increase access to fin. so sm. bus. can commercialize research
Encourage greater use of new technology in traditional sectors
Invest in the research capacity of universities
Encourage young Cdns into fields like science/engineering
Tax incentives for companies to invest in R&D
Simplify regulations to allow companies to be more innovative
Increase funding for R&D at gov’t research facilities
Cut corporate taxes
200167646970484954
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BASE: Canadians (online only); October 12-18, 2016, n=1,622, MOE +/- 2.4%, 19 times out of 20
*Presented in series of paired choices. Figures represent howoften each item was selected over the other items tested.
Promote Canada to attract more foreign investments
Promote Canada internationally as centre of innovation
Make it easier for skilled immigrants to get prof. certification 253641
Greater commercial use of discoveries from gov’t/uni. research
Invest in the skills development of Canadians
Increase access to post-secondary education
445237
Best way to improve innovation
Q. If you had to decide what was the best way for the Government of Canada
to improve the overall level of innovation in the country, would it be...
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1) Summary of Literature Review
2) The Meaning of the Middle Class
3) The End of Progress?
4) Sources of Middle Class Decline
5) Conclusions
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» Collapse of middle class bargain defining problem of our age.
• Trickle-down economics has been laid bare as a cruel hoax, in the view of many Canadians.
• The public have given the government a strong mandate to pursue a bolder, more ambitious, more progressive federal government.
• Public have largely abandoned the minimal government model.
Conclusions (i)
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» The public are looking for a new blueprint to restore shared prosperity.
• This blueprint must include a plan for restoring optimism about the next generation.
» The end of progress and middle class decline appear to have activated an “ordered” outlook and desire for decisive leadership.
» Closing of the Canadian mind and growing search for ‘order’ may preclude some of the essential solutions.
» The U.S. election outcome and ‘Brexit’ appear to have been driven to a significant extent by economic stagnation and class resentment.
• At the very least, these were defining themes of the winning campaigns in both contests.
Conclusions (ii)
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» While populism and nativism are important influences, they appear to have been engaged by economic stagnation and a magnified sense of external threat.
• These forces are at play in Canada. Over the past decade, we’ve found a growing proportion of Canadians (41% in 2015) feel that of the immigrants coming to Canada “too many” are visible minorities.(8)
• Attitudes like this are a particular concern given the rights to freedom from religious and cultural discrimination embedded in the Charter of Rights and Freedoms.
• More definitive testing is needed to confirm and explore these findings.
Conclusions (iii)
(8) Understanding the New Public Outlook on the Economy and Middle Class Decline: How FDI Attitudes are
Caught in a Tentative Closing of the Canadian Mind. https://www.policyschool.ca/wp-content/uploads/2016/03/fdi-canada-graves.pdf
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» Workplaces are revealing disturbing declines in morale, skill confidence, and innovation.
• Rising stress and declining work-family balance.
• The problems are more acute for younger workers.
» Sharp decline for federal involvement in education/skills is a problem as Canadians are looking for a smarter, more agile, and value-added economy.
» The dominant view that a smarter Canada would be a more successful Canada has eroded.
Conclusions (iv)
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» While middle class status is tightly connected to income and education, there is an even stronger connection to health and well-being.
» As the movements have clearly been from middle to working and lower class, this suggests a larger problem than simply a stagnant economy.
» A healthy middle class is also a precondition for health and happiness.
Conclusions (v)
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» There are troubling blindspots and there are rapidly shifting perceptions of social class, economic outlook and world view.
» These forces become much clearer in comparative research (e.g., Canada, U.S., U.K.).
» There is little in the way of a single, comprehensive data set of the experiences and attitudes that speak to middle class anxiety.
Suggestions for future research
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» Middle class economic concerns that have given way to an ordered outlook that is poorly understood.
» As the appetite for more active government increases, it remains unclear what the expectations of the federal government are in this new turbulent social context.
Suggestions for future research
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For more information:
FRANK GRAVES
EKOS Research Associates
(613) 235-7215
ekos.comCopyright 2017 EKOS Research Associates