understanding the dutch tourism...
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Understanding the Dutch tourism market Norway
Index
Understanding the Dutch tourism market
Norway
NBTC-NIPO Research
Auteur Ad Schalekamp
Mimir & Innovative Opplevelser
| © NBTC-NIPO Research
1. The Dutch Holiday market in 2010 p. 4
2. Outbound holiday market p. 9
3. Distribution of the holiday market p. 15
4. The Dutch holiday market tomorrow p. 19
5. Developments on the supply side p. 36
6. Holidays in the future? What does the consumer want? p. 39
7. Forecast key indicators p. 44
8. Holidays in Scandinavia p. 47
9. Dutch visitors profile in Scandinavia p. 61
10.Market potention p. 64
11.Suppliers in the Netherlands of holidays to Norway p. 67
NBTC-NIPO Research (NNR)
Joint venture between TNS NIPO and NBTC (Dutch Tourist board)
USP: combined and in depth knowledge of the tourism market, market research and marketing
Market Research Bureau specialised on the Dutch Travel and leisure market
Established in 2001
Three market monitors:
• Continuous Holiday Survey (CVO)
• Continuous Leisure survey (CVTO)
• Continuous Business Travel Survey (CZO)
We also carry out numerous ad hoc surveys about country images and branding, feasibility studies, segmentation studies etc.
Understanding the Dutch tourism market >
3
The Dutch Holiday market in 2010
Understanding the Dutch tourism market
Methodology
TNS NIPObase
Since 1980
4 measurements a year, each reviewing the past 3 months
n = 6.500, representative for the Dutch population as a whole
short and long holidays
• Each stay away from home for relaxation or pleasure with at least one overnight stay. Staying with family, friends or acquaintances abroad is also considered as a holiday.
Understanding the Dutch tourism market > The Dutch Holiday market in 2010
5
In 30 years, the holiday participation degreased with 11 percentage points.
The average number of holidays undertaken by Dutch, doubled in 2010 compared to 1980
Holiday participation Holiday frequency
* Trend break in 2002 Source: CVO
* Trend break in 2002 Source: CVO
1,842,00
2,432,58 2,57
2,77 2,84
0,00
0,50
1,00
1,50
2,00
2,50
3,00
1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005* 2010*
70% 68%
75%77% 79% 81% 81%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005* 2010*
Participation and frequency
Understanding the Dutch tourism market > The Dutch Holiday market in 2010
6
For the last 30 years, the amount of outbound holidays increased more than the amount of domestic holidays
Since 1980, the biggest grow in holidays is seen in the short and medium range holidays
Holiday destination Holiday duration
NB
x mln. vakanties
x mln. vakanties
NB
11,4 11,1
14,6
16,3 16,717,3 17,7
7,8 7,5
10,8
12,3
13,9
17,1
18,4
0,51,2 1,6
2,22,8
0,0
5,0
10,0
15,0
20,0
1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005* 2010*
Binnenland Buitenland (incl. ICA) Buiten Europa
6,55,8
9,1
10,711,6
12,212,9
4,7 4,7
6,9
7,98,4
10,711,2
8,0 8,1
9,410,1
10,611,5
12,0
0,0
2,0
4,0
6,0
8,0
10,0
12,0
14,0
1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005* 2010*
Kort (2-4 dagen) Middellang (5-8 dagen) Lang (9+ dagen)domestic outbound (including intercontinental
* Trend break in 2002 Source: CVO
outbound – outside of Europe
x mln. holidays
x mln. holidays
* Trend break in 2002 Source: CVO
short (1-4 days)
medium range (5-8 days)
long (9+ days)
Destination and duration
Understanding the Dutch tourism market > The Dutch Holiday market in 2010
7
Holiday spend
13,0
10,4
2,6
13,8
11,1
2,7
15,3
12,6
2,7
15,1
12,3
2,8
15,0
12,2
2,8
0,0
2,0
4,0
6,0
8,0
10,0
12,0
14,0
16,0
18,0
totaal buitenland binnenland
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
x miljard eurox billion Euro
total outbound domestic
Holiday spend decreased in 2010
Understanding the Dutch tourism market > The Dutch Holiday market in 2010
8
Outbound holiday market
Understanding the Dutch tourism market
Development outbound holiday market
Holiday participation riced in 2010. Number of holidays stayed the same level and holiday spend increased
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 +/-
holiday participation 58.3% 59.8% 61.6% 60.5% 61.7% +2%
number of holidays (x million) 16.8 17.6 18.5 18.4 18.4 0%
holiday spend (x billion euro) 10.4 11.1 12.6 12.3 12.2 -1%
Understanding the Dutch tourism market > Outbound holiday market
10
Holiday destination (1)
Neighbour countries Germany, France and Belgium most popular by Dutch
536
616
782
803
1.009
1.168
1.545
1.572
1.996
2.854
3.233
0 500 1.000 1.500 2.000 2.500 3.000 3.500 4.000
Scandinavia
Greece
Great-Britain
Turkey
Italy
Austria
Intercontinental
Spain
Belgium
France
Germany
2010
2009
2008
2007
2006
amount of holidays x 1,000
Understanding the Dutch tourism market > Outbound holiday market
11
Holiday destination (2)
Amount of Intercontinental and Mediterranean Sea holidays increased in 2010
1.545
4.993
11.891
0
2.000
4.000
6.000
8.000
10.000
12.000
14.000
Intercontinental Mediterranean Sea area Rest of Europe
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
amount of holidays x 1,000
Understanding the Dutch tourism market > Outbound holiday market
12
Transport
The number of holidays by airplane increased in 2010 by 5% and the number of outbound holidays by car decreased by 1%
10.034
6.272
660 770 694
0
2.000
4.000
6.000
8.000
10.000
12.000
car airplane train bus other
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
amount of holidays x 1,000
Understanding the Dutch tourism market > Outbound holiday market
13
Accommodation
In 2010 less outbound holidays in apartments and holiday parks. More outbound holidays in hotels and at family and friends places
254
543
742
857
857
992
1.063
1.591
1.805
2.003
7.210
0 2.000 4.000 6.000 8.000
camper
pension / B&B
mobile home
private home
separate holiday house
tent
caravan
family / friends
holiday park
apartment
hotel / motel
2010
2009
2008
2007
2006
amount of holidays x 1,000
Understanding the Dutch tourism market > Outbound holiday market
14
Distribution of the holiday market
Understanding the Dutch tourism market
Organization
Number of package- and tailor-made holidays decreased by 3% in 2010. More holidays with organized transport and organized accommodation via travel organization
6.002
2.166
11.031
7.632
4.591
0
2.000
4.000
6.000
8.000
10.000
12.000
package- and
tailor-made
holidays
organized
transport
accommodation
via travel
organization
accommodation
booked directly
no
arrangements
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
amount of holidays x 1,000
Basis: all touristic holidays
Understanding the Dutch tourism market > Distribution of the holiday market
16
Booking of holiday (1)
69% of the pre-arranges holidays booked via internet
4854 57 61
69
2825 23
2116
16 14 14 13 112 2 2 1 18 7 6 6 5
0
20
40
60
80
100
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
%
other
in writing
agency
telephone
internet
Base: all pre-arranges holidays
Understanding the Dutch tourism market > Distribution of the holiday market
17
Booking of holiday (2)
18.5 million of the pre-arranged holidays booked via internet
11.805
13.78314.980
16.266
18.509
6.935 6.479 6.105 5.5424.3384.007 3.601 3.720 3.497 2.903
0
5.000
10.000
15.000
20.000
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
internet telephone agency
Base: all pre-arranges holidays
holidays x 1,000
Understanding the Dutch tourism market > Distribution of the holiday market
18
The Dutch holiday market tomorrow
Understanding the Dutch tourism market
The market environment model
Climate
change / sustainability Holiday
supply
Demand for
holidays
Demographics
Social Cultural
Geopolitical
Economy
Technology
Social Cultural
Understanding the Dutch tourism market > The Dutch holiday market tomorrow
20
The market environment model - Economy
Climate
change / sustainability Holiday
supply
Demand for
holidays
Demographics
Social Cultural
Geopolitical
Economy
Technology
Social Cultural
Understanding the Dutch tourism market > The Dutch holiday market tomorrow
21
Source: CBS & NBTC-NIPO Research, CVO
Relationship between economy & holidays
100
110
120
130
140
150
160
170
180
'97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09
Economic growth Purchasing power
Number of holidays Holiday spend
CVO trend break
Index, 1997 = 100
Understanding the Dutch tourism market > The Dutch holiday market tomorrow
22
Effects of crisis on holiday market
Number of holidays stabilising, spend falling slightly
Consumer looking for „value for money‟
• Some examples:
• Growth for Turkey and Egypt in 2010 (all-inclusive/costs are clear in advance)
• Increase in short hotel breaks (lot of offers because of lagging business demand)
• Rise of auction sites
More delayed booking behaviour
Understanding the Dutch tourism market > The Dutch holiday market tomorrow
23
Dutch less crisis-sensitive than rest of EU Proportion of the population who are modifying their travel behaviour as a result of the economic crisis
Source: IPK International, 2010
59%
58%
54%
49%
39%
37%
36%
35%
35%
34%
31%
25%
24%
23%
19%
17%
16%
14%
10%
0% 20% 40% 60%
Hungary
Italy
Spain
Great Britain
Russia
France
Belgium
Europe
Slovakia
Czech Republic
Poland
Austria
Germany
Sweden
Netherlands
Finland
Switzerland
Norway
Denmark
Understanding the Dutch tourism market > The Dutch holiday market tomorrow
24
The market environment model - Demographics
Climate
change / sustainability Holiday
supply
Demand for
holidays
Demographics
Social Cultural
Geopolitical
Economy
Technology
Social Cultural
Understanding the Dutch tourism market > The Dutch holiday market tomorrow
25
Stagnation of population growth
The Dutch population will increase from 16.5 million in 2010 to 17 million in 2020, while, in terms of percentage, overall population growth will decrease (due to emigration, declining birth rate, growth primarily among non-Western ethnic minorities)
14,9
15,4
15,9
16,3
16,5
16,8
17,0
17,2
0,0%
0,5%
1,0%
14,5
15,0
15,5
16,0
16,5
17,0
17,5
bevolking NL % groei
NL bevolking (x 1 miljoen) % groei van de bevolking
Source: CBS Dutch population % growth
% population growth Dutch population (x 1 million)
Understanding the Dutch tourism market > The Dutch holiday market tomorrow
26
Changes in the Dutch population
Age 2010 2020 +/-
0-12 2,519 (15%) 2,358 (14%) -6.4%
13-17 989 (6%) 977 (6%) -1.2%
18-24 1,419 (9%) 1,457 (9%) 2.7%
25-34 1,987 (12%) 2,128 (13%) 7.1%
35-44 2,471 (15%) 1,990 (12%) -19.5%
45-54 2,462 (15%) 2,410 (14%) -2.1%
55-64 2,151 (13%) 2,336 (14%) 8.6%
> 65 2,538 (15%) 3,360 (20%) 32.4%
Total 16,536 (100%) 17,014 (100%) 2.9%
Source: CBS
Understanding the Dutch tourism market > The Dutch holiday market tomorrow
27
Changes in household composition
More singles:
• From 2.6 million in 2010 to 3 million in 2020 (+14%)
Household dilution:
• Postponement and abandonment of future child-bearing, more divorces, fewer large families
• Growth in total number of households from 7.35 million in 2010 to 7.86 million in 2020 (+6.9%)
Mixed families:
• More divorces leads to more mixed (patchwork) families
Understanding the Dutch tourism market > The Dutch holiday market tomorrow
28
The market environment model – Social Cultural
Climate
change / sustainability Holiday
supply
Demand for
holidays
Demographics
Geopolitical
Economy
Technology
Social Cultural
Understanding the Dutch tourism market > The Dutch holiday market tomorrow
29
Authentic, conscious, honest and sustainable
From „experience to enrichment‟‟
• The quest for material happiness is replaced by the quest for immaterial values
• Enjoyment remains important!
Return to origins, not global but local
• Becoming aware of one‟s own „roots‟
• Antithesis of globalisation
• „Like-a-local‟
• Authentic experiences
• „Local Cocooning‟ (as a result of the crisis people‟s appreciation for their own living environment is enhanced)
Living more consciously, slow living
• Working to live rather than living to work
Cradle-to-cradle
• Sustainable and honest consumption and living
Understanding the Dutch tourism market > The Dutch holiday market tomorrow
30
Compression of time
Busy, busy, busy
• Full agendas, planned appointments, set holiday periods, “being lived”
Dealing with time as efficiently as possible
• So there is time left for the things that are „really‟ important
• Quality rather than quantity
Digitalisation
• Many things can be arranged faster via the internet than before
• The “new way of working” (see the box at the end of this chapter)
Understanding the Dutch tourism market > The Dutch holiday market tomorrow
31
Individualisation, tribalisation and segregation
Less social cohesion
• More individual desires and needs
Segregation in terms of politics, ethnicity and religion as well as education and income
• The occurence of divides against certain groups
• Rivalry rather than solidarity
Identification with likeminded people
• Solidarity with people you know, with whom you can identify, your „tribe‟
Understanding the Dutch tourism market > The Dutch holiday market tomorrow
32
Networkeconomies and -communities
Rise of communities and networks
• Digital networks, both for private use (Hyves, Facebook) as well as for business use (LinkedIn)
Flexible way of socialising
• Strengthens social contacts with the existing offline network, weaker ties with the periperhal network.
• Intertwining of the offline and online networks (supplements existing contacts)
• The network is not static, befriending and “unfriending”
But there is a desire for stronger family ties
• Albeit not always in the traditional form
Understanding the Dutch tourism market > The Dutch holiday market tomorrow
33
What is the effect on the holiday market?
Authentic, conscious, honest and sustainable:
Need for authentic experiences, journeys and travels
Travelling is an important part of the contemporary lifestyle
Compression of time:
Using holiday time as efficiently as possible
Arranging and looking many things up in advance
More short trips, long weekends
Reducing travel time through faster means of transportation or going on holiday closer to home
Individualisation, tribalisation and segregation:
Individual grouptravel is in demand
Travelling with likeminded people, for example thematic travels
Large differences in type of travels and accompanying budget, demand for both low and high budget travels, certain destinations for certain groups
Networkeconomies and communities:
Making use of holiday advice posted on networksites
Tips and ideas from your own network, approaching locals for information about the holiday destination
Understanding the Dutch tourism market > The Dutch holiday market tomorrow
34
The market environment model Economic growth and purchasing power
Consumer confidence
Unemployment
Stagnation in population growth
Ageing population
Change in composition of households
Appeal of destinations changing
Adaptation and mitigation measures
Change of lifestyle
Developments relating to social media and mobile internet
Transport developments
Authentic, aware, genuine and sustainable
Time compression (busy, busy, busy!)
Individualisation, tribalisation and segregation
Terrorism (threat)
Shift in global power
Unstable regions as a result of crises in the world
-
Climate
change / sustainability Holiday
supply
Demand for
holidays
Demographics
Social Cultural
Geopolitical
Economy
Technology
Social Cultural
Understanding the Dutch tourism market > The Dutch holiday market tomorrow
35
Developments on the supply side
Understanding the Dutch tourism market
Supply developments More air routes, but cost of flying will increase in longer term
More attractive offering from high speed rail (more frequent and faster)
Increase in hotel capacity in the Netherlands and abroad
Growth of holiday parks / concepts abroad
Consumer can book direct with each link in the chain
Developments in the area of e-commerce and CRM mean that consumers are being presented more and more often with an offering which is relevant to them
Rise of new and innovative distribution concepts such as auction and deal sites stimulating holiday buying behaviour
Understanding the Dutch tourism market > Developments on the supply side
37
Distribution developments
Further consolidation of tour operators and travel agencies
Tour operator sector: several large parties based on cost leadership, but also genuine specialists / middle segment is suffering
Consumers can book holidays anywhere / increasing importance of strong brands
Number of travel agencies will decline further (1,000 in the future?)/ function of travel agency is changing from profit centre to service centre (visibility, local reflection, entertainment)
Optimum combination of clicks and bricks is important (in those places where D-Reizen opens a shop, online sales increase)
Live chat / human sales specialists in online channels / instils confidence and creates possibilities for up-selling
Hotelier Airline
Tour operator
Travel agent
Consumer
I
N
T
E
G
R
A
T
I
O
N
The changing business column
Source: From travel agent to travel retailer, Travel Conference, Bangkok, October 2006
Understanding the Dutch tourism market > Developments on the supply side
38
Holidays in the future? What does the
consumer want?
Understanding the Dutch tourism market
Source: Toekomstonderzoek 2010
Holidays in the future: what does the consumer want?
“Imagine that you will have more money to spend over the coming years. On what category will you particularly spend more money?”
28%
24%
12%
7%
9%
7%
3%
3%
8%
28%
28%
12%
7%
8%
7%
2%
3%
5%
0% 10% 20% 30%
Holidays/travel
Home/living
Leisure activities
Clothes
Car
Multimedia
Food & drink
Various
Don‟t know
2010 2007
Understanding the Dutch tourism market > Holidays in the future? What does the consumer want?
40
Source: Toekomstonderzoek 2010
Holidays in the future: what does the consumer want?
“Looking ahead to the next 5 years, would you like to go on holiday more often, the same amount, less often or not at all over the coming years?”
42%
48%
3%
6%
3%
47%
45%
3%
4%
1%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
More often
Same amount
Less often
Not at all
Don‟t know
2010
2007
Understanding the Dutch tourism market > Holidays in the future? What does the consumer want?
41
Source: Toekomstonderzoek 2010
Holidays in the future: what does the consumer want?
“Would you like to take more short holidays or more long holidays?”
23%
47%
27%
1%
1%
24%
47%
28%
1%
0%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
More long
More short
More long and short
Other
Don‟t know
2010
2007
Understanding the Dutch tourism market > Holidays in the future? What does the consumer want?
42
Standard package holiday‟s popularity declining “I think that in the future I will increasingly put together my holiday myself instead of choosing a standard package.”
Source: Toekomstonderzoek NBTC-NIPO Research, 2007 and 2010
12%
35%
28%
12%
5%
8%
12%
40%
27%
11%
5%
5%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
Agree strongly
Agree
Neutral
Disagree
Disagree strongly
Don‟t know
2010 2007
Understanding the Dutch tourism market > Holidays in the future? What does the consumer want?
43
Forecast key indicators
Understanding the Dutch tourism market
Holiday key indicators
2008 2009 2010 2015 2020
Population size* (x mln) 15.5 mln 15.6 mln 15.6 mln 15.8 mln 16.1 mln
Holiday participation 81.6% 81.3% 81.5% 81.7% 82.5%
Holiday frequency 2.84 2.88 2.84 2.87 3.0
Holiday volume (x mln) 35.9 mln 36.4 mln 36.1 mln 37.0 mln 40.0 mln
- Of which short (2-7 days) 18.8 mln 19.7 mln 19.4 mln 20.0 mln 22.5 mln
- Of which long (8+ days) 17.1 mln 16.6 mln. 16.8 mln. 17.0 mln 17.5 mln
*Persons of Dutch nationality in private households, Source: CBS
Understanding the Dutch tourism market > Forecast key indicators
45
Growth forecast all holiday types 2020
2015 and 2016 - 2020 (in quantities and percentages) Growth forecast by type of holiday 2010 -
6,801
1,535
3,768
1,025
4,328
1,929
5,229
6,800
1,690
4,160
1,000
4,780
1,930
4,970
6,970
1,870
5,060
950
5,820
2,030
4,610
0
2,500
5,000
7,500
Holiday park ICA Short hotel Winter sports City trips Sun/fly Med. Camping
2010 2015 2020
Source: Toekomstonderzoek NBTC-NIPO Research
Understanding the Dutch tourism market > Forecast key indicators
46
Holidays in Scandinavia
Understanding the Dutch tourism market
Estimated number of holidays to Scandinavia in 2010
142,000 Dutch people visited Norway in 2010
142,000
37,000
155,000
0,000
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
140,000
160,000
180,000
Norway Sweden Finland
Understanding the Dutch tourism market > Holidays in Scandinavia
48
Holiday season
Nearly half of holidays to Norway in June and July
18% 21%
39%30%
14%
23%
21%
24%
46%
35%
28%27%
23% 20%12%
19%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Norway Sweden Finland Rest outbound
October - February March - MayJune - July August - September
Understanding the Dutch tourism market > Holidays in Scandinavia
49
Length of stay
Norway is a country for long holidays
15%
31%21%
35%
85%
69%79%
65%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Norway Sweden Finland Rest outbound
Short holidays (2-7 days) Long holidays (more than 1 week)
Understanding the Dutch tourism market > Holidays in Scandinavia
50
Transport
Car important as means of transport to Norway. Coach relatively often used
47%
54%
12%
54%
4%
1%
30%
33%
71%
34%
2%
2%
4%
5%9%6%
1% 1%7%
1%
2%
1%
9%
1%
9%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Norway Sweden Finland Rest outbound
Other
Boat
Coach
Train
Airplane
Camper
Car
Understanding the Dutch tourism market > Holidays in Scandinavia
51
Accommodation
Use of accommodation comparable to Sweden except for holiday homes
19% 21%
34%
13%
25% 21%
34%
40%
4%2%
4%
11%
12%
16%
9%
7%
3%
5%
7%
5%
4%
5%
5%
6%
2%
10%
3%
2%
2%17%
14%
2%5%
13%
17%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Norway Sweden Finland Rest outbound
Other
Mobile home
Caravan
Tent
Holiday home/ -bungalow not on a
park
Holiday home/ -bungalow on a
park
Apartment
Hotel/ motel
Holiday home of family/ friends/
privatly owned
Understanding the Dutch tourism market > Holidays in Scandinavia
52
Type of Holiday
10%
28%
13%
26%
6%
3%
16%
15%
20%
1%
15%
24%
25%
3%
0%
6%
7%
7%
10%
1%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%
Winter sports
Touring
Visit family,
friends, relatives
Holiday aimed at
nature
Water-related
holiday
Norway
Sweden
Finland
Rest outbound
Norway very strong in nature and touring holidays
Understanding the Dutch tourism market > Holidays in Scandinavia
53
Attractions visited
70%
41%
54%
15%
53%
33%
59%
21%
53%
28%
44%
7%
32%
21%
50%
28%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80%
Nature area
Museum
Interesting
buildings
Beach
Norway
Sweden
Finland
Rest outbound
Besides nature, also musea are often visited by the Dutch during holidays in Norway
Understanding the Dutch tourism market > Holidays in Scandinavia
54
Activities undertaken Walking and mountain climbing very popular actvities among the Dutch in Norway
53%
77%
38%
22%
13%
70%
69%
51%
31%
4%
80%
61%
36%
19%
4%
74%
60%
50%
43%
2%
0% 25% 50% 75% 100%
Dining
Walking/hiking
Fun shopping
Swimming
Climbing
mountains
Norway
Sweden
Finland
Rest outbound
Understanding the Dutch tourism market > Holidays in Scandinavia
55
Booking the trip: organised or self arranged?
Many trips to Norway organised via TO or TA, but also many off chance trips
30%
45%
35%
21%
43%
11%
22%
14%
6%
24%
5%
12%
3%
18%
22%26%
3%
12%
30%
18%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Norway Sweden Finland Rest outbound
No arrangements
Accomodation booked
directly
Accomodation via travel
organisations
Organised transport
Package tours and tailor
made trips
Understanding the Dutch tourism market > Holidays in Scandinavia
56
Booking the trip: via which intermediary? Touroperator and travel agents important channel for bookings of Norway-holidays
40%
19%
27% 32%
21%
6%
10%
16%
20%
26%11%
12%13%
26%
33%
28%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Norway Sweden Finland Rest outbound
Direct booking with
accomodation
Direct booking with
transport company
Travel agent
Direct booking with tour
operator
Understanding the Dutch tourism market > Holidays in Scandinavia
57
Booking the trip: way of booking
In comparison low share of internetbookings for Norway-holidays
56%
69%
60%65%
13% 14%11% 13%
32%
17%14%
19%
1% 0% 0% 1%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Norway Sweden Finland Rest outbound
Via internet By phone At the desk In writing
Understanding the Dutch tourism market > Holidays in Scandinavia
58
Period between booking and departure
Bookings for Norway-holidays are often made long before departure
4%
13%
10%
8%
11%
18%
23%
14%
12%
10%
9%
12%
15%
20%
18%
19%
40%
34%
27%
26%
12%
12%
11%
11%
6%
3%
2%
10% 1%
1%
2%
3%
3%
5%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Norway
Sweden
Finland
Rest outbound
1 week or shorter 2 to 3 weeks Approx. 1 month
Approx. 2 months 3 to 5 months Approx. 6 months
Between 6 months and 1 year More than 1 year Don't know
Average
Number of days:
105 days
84 days
81 days
98 days
Understanding the Dutch tourism market > Holidays in Scandinavia
59
Expenditure
Spendings PPPH on holidays to Norway nearly twice as high as for holidays to the rest of the world
2008 - 2010 Number of holidays
(x 1,000)
Total expenditure Spendings per
person per holiday
Norway 493 € 555 million € 1,126
Sweden 428 € 280 million € 655
Finland 134 € 188 million € 1,405
Rest outbound 53559 € 35.69 billion € 664
Understanding the Dutch tourism market > Holidays in Scandinavia
60
Dutch visitors profile in Scandinavia
Understanding the Dutch tourism market
Age & Social Class
28%
31%
40%
25%
38%
43%
38%
37%
19%
9%
13%
16%
16%
16%
9%
22%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Norway
Sweden
Finland
Rest outbound
A B-above B-under C/D
12%
3%
5%
9%
17%
12%
22%
18%
13%
11%
8%
18% 17%
9%
20%
5%5%
12%
18%
16%
19%
5%
11%
13%
6%
8%
12%
16%
18%17%
11%
14%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
0-12 years
old
13-17 years
old
18-24 years
old
25-34 years
old
35-44 years
old
45-54 years
old
55-64 years
old
65 or older
Norway Sweden Finland Rest abroad
Visitors of Norway a little ‘upmarket’
and relatively older
Understanding the Dutch tourism market > Dutch visitors profile in Scandinavia
62
Household situation & Place of residence
Older couples (Empty Nesters) strongly represented among
Dutch visitors of Norway
14%
15%
40%
18%
38%
32%
29%
30%
11%
15%
8%
8%
21%
22%
13%
20%
16%
17%
10%
24%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Norway
Sweden
Finland
Rest abroad
Amsterdam, Rotterdam, The Hague Rest of Western Holland
Northern Holland Eastern Holland
Southern Holland
4%
5%
3%
3%
11%
8%
17%
8%
10%
14%
25%
13%
12%
14%
6%
14%
6%
11%
13%
10%
6%
10%
9%
6%
52%
40%
28%
45%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Norway
Sweden
Finland
Rest outbound
Single < 35 years old Single 35+
Family with child(ren) youngest 0-5 years old Family with child(ren) youngest 6-12 years old
Family with child(ren) youngest 13-17 years old Couple, woman < 35 years old
Couple, woman 35+
Understanding the Dutch tourism market > Dutch visitors profile in Scandinavia
63
Market potention
Understanding the Dutch tourism market
Market potention for active and nature holidays (total market)
60
46
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
previous 3 years been on active/adventurous holiday previous 3 years been on nature holiday
%
1,245,000 persons have plans to
go on a active/adventurous
holiday in the next 3 years
1,285,000 persons have
plans to go on a nature
holiday in the next 3 years
60% has been
on a active/
adventurous
holiday in the
previous 3 years
46% has been
on a nature
holiday in the
previous 3 years
Understanding the Dutch tourism market > Market potention
65
Profile potential active and nature holidays (total market)
Potential active holiday makers are more than average:
• Between 18 and 34 year of age
• Single (no partner)
• Young couples without children
• Families with children of 13 years and older
• Living in bigger households (4+ members of household)
Potential nature holidaymakers are more than average:
• Older (55+)
• Families with no children at home (empty nesters)
• From the highest social class
• Higher educated (university and higher professional education)
Understanding the Dutch tourism market > Market potention
66
Suppliers in the Netherlands of holidays to Norway
Understanding the Dutch tourism market
All round and bigger car tour operators All round tour operators:
• Arke.nl (owned by TUI)
• Oad
• Neckermann (owned by Thomas cook)
These big Dutch tour operators have a modest standard Norway offer with city trips (Oslo), car roundtrips (holiday homes and hotels), winter sports and fly/coach tours
NB. De Jong Intravakanties is a medium sized tour operator, who offers fly-coach tours and winter sports holidays to Norway.
Bigger Car holiday tour operators:
• Vrij Uit (owned by Thomas Cook)
• Pharos Reizen (owned by the ANWB, Dutch motorist club)
• Kras (owned by TUI)
Pharos and Kras offer accommodations all over Europe. In Norway only in the southern part). Kras offers also a coach tour to the North Cape. Vrij Uit offers only accommodation in Sweden.
Understanding the Dutch tourism market > Suppliers in the Netherlands of holidays to Norway
68
Norway and Scandinavia-specialists Norway and Scandinavia-specialists:
• Norske Turist Services
• Buro Scandinavia
• Norger Reisen
These are destination specialist with an extensive Norway-offer
Specialists in active holidays and group travel:
• Sawadee (owned by TUI London)
• SRC Cultuurvakanties
• Mambo
• Time Out actieve verre reizen
• SNP Natuurreizen (owned by the ANWB, Dutch motorist club)
• Djoser Reizen (offers at the moment only Finland)
• Vaya.nl
• Snow Leopard Adventures
This is a selection of tour operators, specialized on active holidays, mainly walking in natural areas . They offer some tours to Norway. Their tours are mainly in groups up to 20 people.
Understanding the Dutch tourism market > Suppliers in the Netherlands of holidays to Norway
69
Norway portals in the Netherlands
Norway portals in the Netherlands
• A lot of information is bundled on portals. In the Netherlands we have the following Norway portals:
• www.noorwegenstartpagina.nl
• www.noors.net
Understanding the Dutch tourism market > Suppliers in the Netherlands of holidays to Norway
70
Contact details
NBTC-NIPO Research
Ad Schalekamp (Director)
Grote Bickerstraat 74
1013 KS Amsterdam
+31 20 5335789
+31 6 53673553
Understanding the Dutch tourism market > Suppliers in the Netherlands of holidays to Norway
71
Thank you