ultra fast broadband update - cip · 2012-04-18 · source: akamai “state of the internet”, q4...

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Ultra Fast Broadband update John Greenhough Chief Technology Officer CommsDay Summit: 27 July 2011

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Page 1: Ultra Fast Broadband update - CIP · 2012-04-18 · Source: Akamai “State of the Internet”, Q4 2010. 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 NZ Broadband vs peers: Akamai NZ well behind leaders on

Ultra Fast Broadband update

John Greenhough Chief Technology Officer 

CommsDay Summit: 27 July 2011

Page 2: Ultra Fast Broadband update - CIP · 2012-04-18 · Source: Akamai “State of the Internet”, Q4 2010. 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 NZ Broadband vs peers: Akamai NZ well behind leaders on

July 2011 2

Topics for today:

• Deployment update• Rollout schedule • Retail Service Provider engagement 

• Driving productivity for end users

• Building demand• Summary 

Page 3: Ultra Fast Broadband update - CIP · 2012-04-18 · Source: Akamai “State of the Internet”, Q4 2010. 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 NZ Broadband vs peers: Akamai NZ well behind leaders on

July 2011 3

UFB: Driving Productivity • World Bank suggests investment in Broadband has high flow‐through to 

nationwide productivity:  – 10% increase in telecommunications penetration via Broadband :

expected to increase economic growth by 1.2% to 1.4%.

• Indirect / induced benefits: 1.71x capex boost into GDP Source: Studies of US, Germany and UK, Raul Katz, Professor at Columbia Business School

Source: Broadband Infrastructure Investment in Stimulus Packages, Qiang, World Bank 2009: http://www.worldbank.org/

0.43

0.60

0.77

1.21

0.730.81

1.12

1.38

0

0.5

1

1.5

Fixed  Mobile  Internet  Broadband 

High income economies

Low & middle income economies 

Page 4: Ultra Fast Broadband update - CIP · 2012-04-18 · Source: Akamai “State of the Internet”, Q4 2010. 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 NZ Broadband vs peers: Akamai NZ well behind leaders on

July 2011 4

NZ Broadband vs peers: OECD

Source: www.oecd.org/sti/ict/broadband. As at December 2010. Fixed broadband only. 

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40Broadband subscriptions per 100 inhabitants

NZ mid‐field on broadband penetration vs OECD peers, but slightly ahead of Australia

Ranked17

Ranked18

Page 5: Ultra Fast Broadband update - CIP · 2012-04-18 · Source: Akamai “State of the Internet”, Q4 2010. 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 NZ Broadband vs peers: Akamai NZ well behind leaders on

July 2011 5

Source: Akamai “State of the Internet”, Q4 2010. 

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

NZ Broadband vs peers: Akamai

NZ well behind leaders on Internet speeds, but also slightly ahead of Australia

Ranked27

Ranked30

Fibre Rich

Average Connection Speed (Mbps) 

Page 6: Ultra Fast Broadband update - CIP · 2012-04-18 · Source: Akamai “State of the Internet”, Q4 2010. 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 NZ Broadband vs peers: Akamai NZ well behind leaders on

July 2011 6

Status of deployment and partners 

• Whangarei:o ~40km already deployed o Beta trial customers connected in June 2011o ~10 schools targeted this year

• Central North Island:  o Hamilton, Tauranga, Wanganui July 2011o Service activation: Q4 2011

• Christchurch:o Deployment expected to commence Q4 2011

• Auckland, Wellington & other locations: o Initial deployment to commence Q4 2011

Page 7: Ultra Fast Broadband update - CIP · 2012-04-18 · Source: Akamai “State of the Internet”, Q4 2010. 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 NZ Broadband vs peers: Akamai NZ well behind leaders on

July 2011 7

UFB deployment underway:

Images: Northpower

25,000km of fibre: • ~40km laid so far • 8 year build to 2019• Priority users by 2015 • Mixture aerial & 

underground • Air‐blown fibre flexibility• Proactive & timely 

community engagement• Safety ethos 

Page 8: Ultra Fast Broadband update - CIP · 2012-04-18 · Source: Akamai “State of the Internet”, Q4 2010. 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 NZ Broadband vs peers: Akamai NZ well behind leaders on

July 2011 8

Local deployment planning: example 

Frankton / Hamilton Lake area

Hamilton: Te Rapa areaSource: UltraFast Broadband Limited

• Priority users in focus• Chorus & Enable footprints will convert to UFB  

• Deployment plans published as agreed 

• Local stakeholder engagement involving RSPs 

Page 9: Ultra Fast Broadband update - CIP · 2012-04-18 · Source: Akamai “State of the Internet”, Q4 2010. 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 NZ Broadband vs peers: Akamai NZ well behind leaders on

July 2011 9

Entity coverage: 

06/2011 06/2012 06/2013 06/2014 06/2015 06/2016 06/2017 06/2018 06/2019 12/20190

200,000 

400,000 

600,000 

800,000 

1,000,000 

1,200,000 

Non‐priority

Priority

Entities Passed

Source: CFH 

Rapid increase in premise coverage expected – both priority (Business, Schools, Health) and non‐priority 

1,400,000 

1.325m entities passed by Dec 2019

Page 10: Ultra Fast Broadband update - CIP · 2012-04-18 · Source: Akamai “State of the Internet”, Q4 2010. 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 NZ Broadband vs peers: Akamai NZ well behind leaders on

July 2011 10

UFB deployment – underground 

Images: Northpower 

Fibre, Whangarei

Underground deployment – preferred deployment for greenfields & areas without poles

Page 11: Ultra Fast Broadband update - CIP · 2012-04-18 · Source: Akamai “State of the Internet”, Q4 2010. 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 NZ Broadband vs peers: Akamai NZ well behind leaders on

July 2011 11

UFB deployment – aerial

Aerial deployment – low cost, low visual impact in areas with existing poles

Images: Northpower 

Fibre, Whangarei

Page 12: Ultra Fast Broadband update - CIP · 2012-04-18 · Source: Akamai “State of the Internet”, Q4 2010. 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 NZ Broadband vs peers: Akamai NZ well behind leaders on

July 2011 12

Alternative deployment: Kelson trial 

Images: Mini‐ & micro‐trenching trial; Chorus / Downer NZ / Marais Lucas, Wellington region Feb 2011. Credits: CFH, Chorus 

Page 13: Ultra Fast Broadband update - CIP · 2012-04-18 · Source: Akamai “State of the Internet”, Q4 2010. 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 NZ Broadband vs peers: Akamai NZ well behind leaders on

July 2011 13

Re‐cap: UFB Product Structure Layer 2 Downstream  • From 30Mbps• From 2.5 Mbit/s CIR

Layer 2   Upstream • From 10Mbps• From 2.5Mbit/s CIR

Video:  Multicast  (IP) &/or Broadcast  (RF)

Quality of Service: • CIR (from 2.5 Mbps)• EIR

Ports:  • 1 x Video (RF), 1 x Wi‐Fi 

(optional)   • 4 x Ethernet • 2 x Phone 

Redundancy / Resilience  products

Service Level AgreementsAvailability, repair time, connect time, Layer 2 traffic

Single  POI

Co‐lo

catio

n

Layer 1 Dark Fibre• Point‐to‐point• Point‐to‐multipoint 

(from 2020)• Non‐building access 

points

Wholesale products include: 30/10 Mbps Entry Level Consumer100/50 Mbps Premium Consumer 100/100 Mbps Small to Medium Business 1G/1Gbps   Big Business10G/10 Gbps  Enterprise

Page 14: Ultra Fast Broadband update - CIP · 2012-04-18 · Source: Akamai “State of the Internet”, Q4 2010. 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 NZ Broadband vs peers: Akamai NZ well behind leaders on

July 2011 14

Product and price: Residential 

TelephonyCommitted Data (CIR) Upstream DataDownstream DataWholesale Price 

Copper POTS (voice) + ADSL2+

1 line 45 Kbps850 Kbps

10‐13 Mbps~$60

Fibre UFB 100/ 50 

2 lines2,500 Kbps50,000 Kbps100 Mbps

$55

Improvement

+100%>60 times>60 times10‐7 times

Note: Wholesale prices per month ex GST. 

• UFB offers vastly superior product for lower wholesale price• Retail prices set by Retail Service Providers but will reflect wholesale input costs

Page 15: Ultra Fast Broadband update - CIP · 2012-04-18 · Source: Akamai “State of the Internet”, Q4 2010. 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 NZ Broadband vs peers: Akamai NZ well behind leaders on

July 2011 15

Downloads: (minutes) Uploads: (hours)

Genuine UFB speeds will greatly improve user experience 

3750 photos 1875 songs DVD 4.7GB

Avatar 3D BluRay 1080p HD: 14GBNote: Example assumes maximum EIR with 10% congestion; UFB 100/50 with 2.5M CIR. 

FlicKr my Photos 32.5GB

Back‐up my Laptop 175GB

Note: Example assumes each product is at maximum available CIR.   

How long does it really take?

Page 16: Ultra Fast Broadband update - CIP · 2012-04-18 · Source: Akamai “State of the Internet”, Q4 2010. 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 NZ Broadband vs peers: Akamai NZ well behind leaders on

July 2011 16

Product and price: Business

$750

$1,500

$380 $455

• UFB offers businesses symmetric services for much less than current prices 

• Will enable: o cloud computing, o improved WAN mgt (particularly WAN 

tails in smaller towns), o IP telephony / unified comms etc.  

• Much wider access for Councils, Businesses, Health providers etc. 

Note: Wholesale prices per month ex GST. 

100 Mbps 1 Gbps

Current market prices (CBD & Metro) 

Year 1 UFB price 

$1200

$600

Page 17: Ultra Fast Broadband update - CIP · 2012-04-18 · Source: Akamai “State of the Internet”, Q4 2010. 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 NZ Broadband vs peers: Akamai NZ well behind leaders on

July 2011 17

UFB productivity benefit: 

Symmetric UFB products will reduce dependence on local hardware:  

• Back up • Business continuity / disaster recovery• Extending Remote Working• Coordination across multiple sites 

Page 18: Ultra Fast Broadband update - CIP · 2012-04-18 · Source: Akamai “State of the Internet”, Q4 2010. 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 NZ Broadband vs peers: Akamai NZ well behind leaders on

July 2011 18

Retail Service Provider engagement 

While a “Reference Offer” wholesale agreement is still being agreed, a number of RSPs have already concluded agreements to sell UFB services  

• January: First draft Wholesale Services Agreement (WSA) released 

• April: Industry workshop chaired by TCF • May: Definitive UFB partnering agreements• June: Further WSA version released• July: 

o Consultation workshops on General Terms chaired by TCF  o Draft Supporting Documents (Ops Manual, Service Descriptions, pricing detail) 

released • August: Further consultation on Supporting Documents. • Late August: Target for completion of WSA and v1.0 Supporting Documents 

Page 19: Ultra Fast Broadband update - CIP · 2012-04-18 · Source: Akamai “State of the Internet”, Q4 2010. 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 NZ Broadband vs peers: Akamai NZ well behind leaders on

July 2011 19

Retail plans emerging:

Example: Uber Group, Whangarei:  • Established wireless broadband provider • Delivering broadband over Northpower fibre since 2010 • New retail plans announced 21st July: 

– 50Mbps symmetric with 150GB data cap: $99 including GST – 50Mbps symmetric with 250GB data cap:  $199 including GST – Offered to both residential and business customers– Free local calling – 12 month term – Available on Northpower UFB

Page 20: Ultra Fast Broadband update - CIP · 2012-04-18 · Source: Akamai “State of the Internet”, Q4 2010. 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 NZ Broadband vs peers: Akamai NZ well behind leaders on

July 2011 20

Critical Success Factors for RSPs:

• Provide services “on net” where possible• Keep contention ratios low• Make data caps substantial – appropriate for UFB speeds• Provide a high quality service, as fairly easy to switch • Support local peering & caching, especially in smaller towns • Bundle & package ancillary services to be a “one stop shop” 

Page 21: Ultra Fast Broadband update - CIP · 2012-04-18 · Source: Akamai “State of the Internet”, Q4 2010. 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 NZ Broadband vs peers: Akamai NZ well behind leaders on

July 2011 21

UFB allows RSP to innovate & manage solution 

NNIONT 

WWWBackbone 

RSP cloud

Cache

PoI

Back‐upVideo Voice 

UFB Candidate Area 1

Security etc. 

PoI

NNICIR

CIRHousehold 

Corporate Office

UFB Candidate Area 2RSP backhaul & cloud

Low contention, “private cloud” offers most likely to succeed

Cache

RSP visibility & network management

Page 22: Ultra Fast Broadband update - CIP · 2012-04-18 · Source: Akamai “State of the Internet”, Q4 2010. 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 NZ Broadband vs peers: Akamai NZ well behind leaders on

July 2011 22

UFB usage: Case Study 

Page 23: Ultra Fast Broadband update - CIP · 2012-04-18 · Source: Akamai “State of the Internet”, Q4 2010. 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 NZ Broadband vs peers: Akamai NZ well behind leaders on

July 2011 23

UFB productivity benefit: 

• Cloud computing• Higher speed WAN tails• IP Video Conferencing • Export‐oriented (ERP, sales & marketing) • Supply chain improvement, cost reduction  • Centralising IT Reducing Cost

CFH / TUANZ survey: 80%+ of surveyed businesses intend to take up UFB within 1 year of availability 

Source: CFH / TUANZ, Dec 2010 

Page 24: Ultra Fast Broadband update - CIP · 2012-04-18 · Source: Akamai “State of the Internet”, Q4 2010. 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 NZ Broadband vs peers: Akamai NZ well behind leaders on

July 2011 24

UFB: Driving Productivity: Auckland/BOP (BERL)

Early rollout = 2012Delayed rollout = 2015 

Source: BERL, Auckland & Bay of Plenty Councils, July 2011. 

Auckland / BOP report expects economic gains, timely roll‐out, adoption and uptake of UFB 

Page 25: Ultra Fast Broadband update - CIP · 2012-04-18 · Source: Akamai “State of the Internet”, Q4 2010. 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 NZ Broadband vs peers: Akamai NZ well behind leaders on

July 2011 25

Demand side initiatives:• Identifying and aggregating demand• Tail substitution – DSL to UFB • Co‐marketing between RSPs & LFCs• Developing usage case studies• Exploring concept for mobile UFB Experience Centre• Researching innovative usage / apps using UFB • Seeding community hubs• Building local ICT capability • Seeking role models & advocates in usage

CFH and UFB deployment partners are building a number of demand side initiatives

Page 26: Ultra Fast Broadband update - CIP · 2012-04-18 · Source: Akamai “State of the Internet”, Q4 2010. 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 NZ Broadband vs peers: Akamai NZ well behind leaders on

July 2011 26

Digital leadership in action 

Whangarei

AucklandHamilton

Tauranga

New Plymouth Napier‐Hastings Wanganui

WellingtonNelson

Christchurch

Dunedin

Invercargill

Digital Leadership Forum in action

Digital Leadership Forum being explored/ instigatedOther digital strategy initiative(s)

Many cities & towns have local initiatives underway to make the most of UFB, RBI and local fibre builds

NOT EXHAUSTIVE

Digital Leadership Forum: Example of digital leadership initiative Purpose: Brings together local stakeholders on demand & supply side to realise UFB benefits 

Objectives: To develop & execute a strategy to realise local economic development goals using UFBOpportunities for TLAs to:  Assist & accelerate deployment  Communicate UFB Map areas of highest demand Source local case studies Lead by example, as fibre users

Page 27: Ultra Fast Broadband update - CIP · 2012-04-18 · Source: Akamai “State of the Internet”, Q4 2010. 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 NZ Broadband vs peers: Akamai NZ well behind leaders on

July 2011 27

Community Awareness Workshops:Purpose: • Education and information sharing • Demand stimulation• Focus on both connection and usage ‐case studies 

• Local point of contact for more info 

Audience:  • Free • Key influencers by sector.  End users. • Business, health, schools, residential 

Information:  • Deployment timetable and process• Local Retail Service Providers • How to get connected

Image: Experience Centre / Spyglass NZ. Not for re‐use

Page 28: Ultra Fast Broadband update - CIP · 2012-04-18 · Source: Akamai “State of the Internet”, Q4 2010. 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 NZ Broadband vs peers: Akamai NZ well behind leaders on

July 2011 28

Summary:  

UFB deployment underway & will gain pace 

New open access industry structure

Simple product structure  Low Wholesale fibre prices RSPs innovating   Productivity benefits for end 

users   Demand building 

Page 29: Ultra Fast Broadband update - CIP · 2012-04-18 · Source: Akamai “State of the Internet”, Q4 2010. 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 NZ Broadband vs peers: Akamai NZ well behind leaders on

July 2011 29

Questions? 

• Thank you • For further questions, please feel free to email Anna 

Verboeket: anna.verboeket <AT> crownfibre.govt.nz