ullman book

7/29/2019 Ullman Book

1/24

Let such teach others who themselves excelAnd censure freely who have written well.

Alexander Pope

To those who may wonder why Richard Ullman should deserveevenrequirethis collection of substantive essays, thisFestschriftwritten by some

of his former students, rather than a more traditional, strictly personal tributeto this extraordinary teacher, the answer is this: When any of us runs intohim, on the streets of Princeton, Washington, or Cambridge, or at a confer-ence, or, now, perhaps on a golf course, our faces light up for two reasons.

We are his friends, like all his former students, as far as we can tell. And weknow that we are about to discuss with him some interesting idea that he hasbeen turning over in his searching mind. For Dick is not only a friend to us.He is a friend to ideasand the difference that ideas can make in a worldabout which he cares with a genuine if gentle passion.

He is a great teacher because he cares not only about his own thoughtsbut also about those of his colleagues and students. One characteristic ofconversations with Dickeven light-hearted onesis an occasional delay inDicks reactionbe it a smile or a counterpointto what you say to him.

He delays, we believe, in order actually to think carefully about what wassaid. This, in part, is why we take him so seriously: because he takes othersseriouslyin some cases, perhaps, more seriously than we deserve.

1

1Richard Ullman andHis Work: An Appreciation

Anthony Lake, David Ochmanek, and Scott Vesel

01-120 Ch 01 9/5/01 11:21 AM Page 1


2/24

It is wrong to have referred to ourselves as his former students, for we re-main his students. Not because we sit at the feet of a didactic instructor, wait-ing for his revealed wisdom. Indeed, one of the hallmarks of Dicks seminarshas always been vigorous debatea tradition that continues with this vol-ume. One or the other of us has disagreed with almost every one of the ideasthat Dick has put forward over the past decades of his extraordinary schol-arly and policy-related work. Rather, we remain his students because of the

way he taught and teaches. From Dick we learned that the bite of the rightquestion is more important than the apparent (and perhaps dangerous) cer-tainty of a glib or dogmatic answer; that the effort to marry the demands ofprinciple and the necessity of the practical is, and always will be, a work inprogress; that this effort is both right and more interesting than findingrefuge in pure idealism, pure pragmatism, or the purely theoretical.

From Dick his students have also learned, if sometimes poorly applied, thelesson of the importance of consistency and honesty in argument, taking thelogic to its rightful conclusion. But also this: a careful skepticism about all hu-man thought and endeavor, even ones own argument. And thus, a willing-ness, an invitation, to work through an issue in a communal search for thebest answer, rather than the sterility of a competitive debate over who isright. Even when we have disagreed with Dicks conclusions, his thoughtshave stimulated his students to search for their own ways to the principledends Dick has outlined.

And from Dick we learned that the making of foreign policy, by a govern-ment or by a society, is an enterprise conducted by idiosyncratic human beings,subject to larger forces of history but not bound by them. Thus, the bad deci-sions of governments are produced more often by chaos than conspiracy. (We

have seen little in our own careers that would contradict this view.) And thus,more important, the health of a democracy is dependent not only on its institu-tions but still more on the civic culture and sense of responsibility of its citizens.

This is not only what Dick has taught in his classes and writings. It is whatDick has been throughout his life and careeran engaged and responsiblecitizen, in the original sense of the word. And it is this, the light of his ex-ample, which has made him such a teacher. And such a friend.

Dick was born in Baltimore, Maryland, on December 12, 1933. He grew upin San Antonio, Texas. As an undergraduate at Harvard, he concentrated inchemistry and physics for three years before the competing pull of publicpolicyhe was editorial page editor of the dailyHarvard Crimsoncausedhim to transfer to the Department of Government, from which he graduated

in 1955. The winner of a Rhodes Scholarship and intending on a career injournalism, he embarked at Oxford on a two-year B.Phil. in politics.

Dick had already accepted a reporters job on the Washington Postwhen,in January of his second Oxford year, an article he published in the journal

2 Chapter 1

01-120 Ch 01 9/5/01 11:21 AM Page 2


3/24

World Politics, The Davies Mission and United States-Soviet Relations,19371941, caught the eye of George F. Kennan, who wrote that he wouldbe in Oxford the following year as Eastman Visiting Professor and hoped tomeet Dick. On the strength of Kennans warm letter, Dick secured a third

year from the Rhodes Trust and the Posts consent to postpone arriving inWashington, and began work on a D.Phil. dissertation aiming to do withAnglo-Soviet relations what Kennan was then in the process of doing withthe early years of U.S.-Soviet relations.

Once embarked on such a course, Dick determined to complete it. To doso he secured a dissertation grant from the Social Science Research Council,a research fellowship at St. Antonys College, Oxford, and another stay fromthePost. The newspapers patience went unrewarded, however. Completelyout of the blue came a letter from the chairman of Harvards Department of

Government. Word had come that Dick was finishing an Oxford doctorate.If so, the department would like to invite him back as an instructor. The ideahad its charms. Dick accepted, bade goodbye to the Post, and began teach-ing in February 1960. Five years later, with his first Anglo-Soviet volume pub-lished, came another offeran associate professorship jointly in PrincetonsDepartment of Politics and its Woodrow Wilson School of Public and Inter-national Affairs. The school was to be Dicks academic home for the re-mainder of his career. In 1988 he was appointed the first David K. E. BruceProfessor of International Affairs.

The Princeton years were to be punctuated with forays outward. Two suchforays were for government servicein the Pentagon and at the National Se-curity Council in 19671968 and in the Department of State in 19992001.

Another was in the world of foreign policy think tanks: He served as direc-

tor of studies at the Council on Foreign Relations from 1973 until 1977. Andyet another was at The New York Times, where during 19771978 Dick wasthe newspapers principal editorial voice on matters of foreign policy and de-fense. His stint at the Timeswas followed by two years as editor of the quar-terly journalForeign Policy.

Finally there was Oxford. Coming full circle from his student days, Dickserved as the George Eastman Visiting Professor in 19911992. For Dick andhis wife, Gail, it was the most enjoyable and stimulating year of their lives. Itbrought Dicks list of Oxford colleges to four: New College, Nuffield, St.

Antonys, and now, with the Eastman chair, Balliol. In 2000, St. Antonys (thecollege closest to his heart) elected him to an Honorary Fellowship.

THE WORK

Even a cursory review of Richard Ullmans published work makes clear that hehas been engaged intellectually in the most salient foreign policy and security

Richard Ullman and His Work 3

01-120 Ch 01 9/5/01 11:21 AM Page 3


4/24

issues of our time. His books, articles, and lectures have dealt with suchproblems as the management of relations between the Soviet Union and the

West; how to reduce the risks of war and, in particular, the danger of nuclearweapons; how to promote peace and stability in such regions as Europe andthe Middle East; and the nature of national security itself. The obvious rele-

vance of these issues notwithstanding, Dicks work has also ranged well be-yond the subjects preoccupying the writers of the days op-ed pages. At leastsince the 1970s, Dick has been concerned with the tensions in U.S. foreignpolicy between the Wilsonian impulse to activism abroad and potential foroverreaching and abuses inherent in such activism. Over this same period,he has also pondered the conditions under which the international commu-nity should intervene to protect the fundamental rights of people being vic-timized by their own governments. In these and other areas, by looking be-

yond the surface phenomena of international relations, Dick has blazedintellectual trails in areas of great relevance to scholars and policy makers to-day.1

The Soviet Union and the WestComing to Terms

Dicks doctoral dissertation at Oxford was published in 1961 by the Prince-ton University Press as Intervention and the War.2 It deals with British pol-icy toward Russia in the twelve months between the Bolsheviks seizure ofpower and the armistice with Germany in November 1918. In it, Dick ex-plores how the interestsperceived and realof the countries involved inthe war against Germany shaped British policy toward the new Soviet state.Dicks analysis goes well beyond a conventional assessment of the interplay

of national interests, however. He examines the bureaucratic dynamics un-derlying British policy, noting that policy making toward Russia at the time

was dominated by the War Office and, hence, largely governed by the im-perative of reopening the Eastern Front. In the immediate aftermath of theRussian Revolution, the British sought some form of accommodation withthe Bolsheviks. As it became clear that this would be impossible, however,Her Majestys Government hatched a grandiose and highly implausible planin which it was hoped that loyal Russians would rally around interveningBritish, American, French, and Japanese troops to fight the Germans.

The improbability of this hoped-for scenario points to two themes that ap-pear elsewhere in Dicks work; namely, the fog in which policy makersfrequently operate due to imperfect information and the ways in which pre-conceived notions shape their interpretation of that information and result-ing policies. In this work Dick also casts a skeptical eye on the notion (cher-ished by conspiracy theorists of all stripes) that grand schemes lie behindmost state policies. More often, the truth lies in a more prosaic incremental-ism: Policies result from isolated choices made on the fly by policy makers

4 Chapter 1

01-120 Ch 01 9/5/01 11:21 AM Page 4


5/24

preoccupied with other matters and coping with the immediate problem athand.

Dicks research at Oxford also led him to observe a tendency that musthave resounded eerily later on when he served in the Johnson administra-tion during the Vietnam War. In attempting to explain the British govern-ments attachment to a policy of intervention that was, in retrospect, so ob-

viously futile (indeed, counterproductive), Dick concluded that the policywas born of a desperate feeling that somethinganythinghad to be doneto relieve the pressure on the Allied forces in the west.3 Feeling such pres-sure, government officials may grasp at straws or take initiatives that give theappearance of purposeful action but that, in actuality, are little more thanempty gestures. Such initiatives are likely to be especially seductive if theyare regarded as cheap. As Dick wrote:

Basically, [the intervention] was a policy aimed at getting something for noth-ingrecreating an Eastern Front without sacrificing any Allied resources whichmight have been brought against the enemy in the west. For that reason, it wasa policy based on so many invalid assumptions; its seeming cheapness induceda blindness to its defects.4

How many times have policy makers in Washington and elsewhere beenseduced into approving actions that seemed attractive because they ap-peared to offer some chance of achieving the desired goal while consumingfew resources and presenting a low level of risk? One thinks of the Bay ofPigs invasion, the dispatch of U.S. Rangers to Mogadishu in 1993, and the ini-tial steps in Washingtons efforts to preserve the independence of South Viet-nam. More often than not, the result has been similar to the British experi-

ence: failure to achieve the desired goal and a set of unforeseen andunintended consequences that left the nation worse off.

Following the publication ofIntervention and the War, Princeton Univer-sity Press asked Dick to produce a second volume examining the years im-mediately following the war. Dick agreed, and when the U.K. governmentthen changed its policy on releasing government documents to a thirty-yearrule, Dick gained access to so much additional material that he decided tosplit the planned second volume into two. The first of these,Britain and theRussian Civil War: November 1919February 1920,5 focuses on theprocess by which a great Power extricated itself from a civil war in which it

was the leading foreign participant, after it became clear that the war couldnot be won without the payment of a wholly unacceptable price.6

Again, Dick found that Britains support for the Whites came about largelyinadvertently, as the original decisions on intervention as a means of bring-ing about a reopening of the Eastern Front led, almost inexorably, to a com-mitment to seek the overthrow of the Bolsheviks. Dick observes that Hav-ing fostered the growth of new anti-Bolshevik administrations in order to


01-120 Ch 01 9/5/01 11:21 AM Page 5


6/24

use them against the Germans, the Allies could not simply let them fall be-fore the Bolsheviks once the War had ended.7 Once again, a series of seem-ingly minor decisions, many of which were made implicitly or by low-levelofficials, created a momentum for intervention that was not tempered by re-flection about what resources would actually be needed to bring the opera-tion to a successful conclusion. Ultimately, the manifest failure of the policyresulted in a consensus in London that the political and military resourcesavailable to the United Kingdom and the other participants in the interven-tion were not sufficient to bring success. The book was awarded the GeorgeLouis Beer prize of the American Historical Association.

The third volume of the trilogy, The Anglo-Soviet Accord,8 examines thepolitics and the policy-making process that took place following Britainsdisengagement from the Russian civil war and the signing of the Trade

Agreement that represented Great Britains de facto recognition of the Sovietgovernment. By 1920, policy toward Russia was no longer dominated by theWar Office; rather, it was shaped primarily by foreign policy and domesticconcerns. Accordingly, the third volume focuses much more closely on in-ternal politics in the United Kingdom than the preceding volumes, payingclose attention to the perceptions, attitudes, and actions of key players suchas Lloyd George, Winston Churchill, and Sir Henry Wilson, chief of the Im-perial General Staff.

In this book, Dick also uncovers the roots of what would become the hall-mark of British foreign policy in the interwar period: appeasement. Hepoints out that, at its origin, Lloyd Georges conception of appeasement was,at least in part, a noble one, based on a desire to reintegrate Germany andRussia into the community of nationssort of the dtente of its day. The

worldview that underpinned this conception was that Britain had no perma-nent enemies and that her interests were best served by balancing off po-tential rivals against one another. Indeed, as Dick observes, many in Britainat the time viewed France and the United States as more serious potential ri-

vals in some dimensions than Germany and Soviet Russia. The Trade Agree-ment between the United Kingdom and Russia was also sought after becausetrade and commerce were seen as means of civilizing the barbaric Sovietregime. In point of fact, trade between the United Kingdom and Russia neveramounted to much, and Lenin and company proved to be far more recalci-trant than Lloyd George and others had hoped.

As in the United States, coming to terms with the Soviets was highly con-troversial in the United Kingdom Lloyd Georges policies were vigorouslyopposed by a number of his political opponents, including Churchill and

Wilson. In one of several historical scoops uncovered by Dick over his ca-reer, chapter VII ofThe Anglo-Soviet Accordbrings to light the story of how

Wilson came to suspect that Lloyd George might be a traitor and a Bolshe-vist. On the strength of these suspicions, Wilson laid the groundwork for a

6 Chapter 1

01-120 Ch 01 9/5/01 11:21 AM Page 6


7/24

conspiracy to bring down the government. In the end, no coup was at-tempted, but the circumstances surrounding the conspiracy and its undoing(Churchill played a pivotal role in scotching it) make for fascinating reading.

Reducing the Nuclear Danger

In 1972, as the third volume of his trilogy was being published, Dick pub-lished an essay inForeign Affairscalling for a policy of no first use of nuclear

weapons.9 In this piece, Dick frankly recognized that a credible no first usepolicy could, at least on the margins, undermine deterrence of conventionalattacks. But he concluded that, on balance, this cost would only be over-

whelmingly high in instances where there exist major tensions that mightlead to conflict, and where there are significant disparities in non-nuclear

military capabilities.10 Dick judged, in 1972, that this combination was notpresent in Central Europe, Korea, or other areas where the United States haddefense commitments. Besides raising the threshold of nuclear use, he feltthat the adoption of a no first use pledge by the United States would havethe added advantage of prompting Americas European allies to spend moreon conventional forces for their own defense, thus bolstering deterrence andalleviating existential doubts about the willingness of American leaders torisk their own cities for Europes security.

The 1972 essay goes on to suggest and to evaluate three ways in which aU.S. no first use pledge might be effectuated: through bilateral or multilateralagreements (in conjunction with the resolution of other arms control issues),through a unilateral declaration, or through a congressional check on theability of the executive to launch a first strike. Dick concluded that each ofthese approaches had differing merits and drawbacks, but that a congres-sional check might be the most feasible. At the time, Congress was consid-ering the adoption of the War Powers Resolution and Dick suggested that thelegislation include a restriction on the presidents ability to cross the nuclearthreshold. Dick argued that, whatever the outcome of the debate, the mo-mentous issue of when and under what circumstances the United Statesmight be prepared to initiate the use of nuclear weapons deserved more se-rious public discussion than it had had up to that point. He concluded:

An unequivocal no first use position undoubtedly entails certain risks. But acareful and thoughtful examination might judge them lesser risks, and risksmore easily hedged against, than those inherent in blurring the line betweenconventional and nuclear weapons, and thus jeopardizing the long-lasting nu-

clear truce.11

Dick returned to the issue of reducing the dangers associated with nuclearweapons in an article inEthics, which appeared in April 1985.12 The central


01-120 Ch 01 9/5/01 11:21 AM Page 7


8/24

point of the piece was that although the genie of nuclear knowledge cannever be put back into the bottle, it may nevertheless be possible to removenuclear weapons as a dominating factor in international relations; that is, todenuclearize international politics. This denuclearization could comeabout if it came to be generally perceived that nuclear weapons were re-tained in national arsenals solely to deter their use by other nations.13 This,in turn, led Dick to argue again for the adoption by the United States of a nofirst use pledge (something Moscow had done in 1982). As before, no firstuse in the West had foundered on the rock of extended deterrenceNATOsreliance on nuclear weapons to offset its inferiority in conventional arms.Hence, Dick argued as well for heightened efforts to achieve a balance be-tween conventional forces in Europe via reductions in Soviet forces.

In theEthicsarticle Dick expressed dissatisfaction with nuclear arms con-

trol negotiations as they had been practiced up to that time, observing thattoo often military-industrial bureaucracies faced with the prospect of cuts inweapons levels had been bought off with the expansion of programs notcovered in the agreements. For this reason, Dick supported the idea of a nu-clear freeze as a basis for subsequent arms reduction negotiations. Finally,Dick returned to a theme foreshadowed in his 1972 articlethe need forsome formal, institutional check on the executive branchs ability to employnuclear weapons. He pointed out that nuclear weapons are fundamentallyincompatible with democratic governance because

They place the most awesome decision an organized society could ever face inthe hands of a very small number of persons who at the moment of decisionwould almost certainly be totally isolated from, and thus unable to consult with,the publics in whose name they would presume to act. 14

By diminishing the incentives and possibilities for nuclear war fighting, Dickargued that his proposals would help diminish some of the most profoundlyantidemocratic aspects of a national nuclear capability.15

Dicks study of nuclear weapons and their implications led him to whatwas perhaps the most remarkable scoop of his career. During the course ofmore than one hundred interviews on both sides of the Atlantic from 1987 to1989, Dick uncovered a long-standing program of covert U.S. assistance tothe French governments nuclear program. He broke the story in an article inthe summer 1989 issue ofForeign Policy.16

From the earliest days of the U.S. nuclear program, Washingtons policyhad been to restrict tightly the dissemination of information about the design

and fabrication of nuclear weapons. Only the government of the UnitedKingdom was permitted access to such information. The Kennedy and John-son administrations both actively opposed nuclear collaboration with Franceon the grounds that, in a crisis, small, vulnerable third country forces couldinvite a preemptive Soviet attack. Dick, in fact, argued that U.S. opposition

8 Chapter 1

01-120 Ch 01 9/5/01 11:21 AM Page 8


9/24

to Frances nascent force de frappeas well as Washingtons refusal to sharewith the allies the power of decision over its nuclear forces were among thekey reasons why de Gaulle withdrew France from NATOs integrated militarycommand in 1966.

Nixon and Kissinger, recognizing the value of Frances nuclear forces toWestern security, reversed this policy. They hoped that by sharing informa-tion about the design of nuclear warheads they could help the French findshort cuts in the costly research and development process and that the moneythus saved would be applied to the modernization of French conventionalforces. In conversations with French Foreign Minister Michel Jobert, Kissingerinitiated a procedure that permitted U.S. experts to provide to their Frenchcounterparts so-called negative guidance. Under this procedure, French en-gineers would describe to American interlocutors what they were planning to

do and the Americans would, in the style of a game of twenty questions, letthe French know whether they were on the right track.Although initiated under the Nixon administration, nuclear cooperation

reached its peak between the two countries under the Carter administration.The concrete results of the effort have been difficult to gauge, as informationabout both countries nuclear programs remains classified. However, it doesnot appear that the French redirected significant resources toward their con-

ventional defenses in the 1970s. Nevertheless, in the judgment of those withwhom Dick spoke in the course of his research, the cooperation contributedmightily to a productive and more trusting security relationship between

Washington and Paris. More broadly, the nuclear cooperation was probablya significant factor in Frances rapprochement with NATO during the 1970sand 1980s, and its de facto reintegration into NATOs command structure via

participation in contingency planning and other activities.While acknowledging that the Franco-American cooperation had yielded

benefits for both sides, Dick criticized the fact that it was undertakencovertly. Covert programs, he wrote, are almost always costly in one senseor another.17 One cost of the tight compartmentalization of the information

was undoubtedly that fewer experts in France would have access to it thanwould otherwise have been the case. Too, the program could have a nega-tive demonstration effect on third countries that might follow the Americanexample of providing covert nuclear assistance behind a facade of nonpro-liferation rhetoric. Finally, Dick asserted that covert cooperation was to beavoided because it could not generate political will. In his view, the mostimportant result of cooperation between democratic allies in the securityarena was that it generated public awareness both of the commitments thatgovernments have made and of the instruments they have adopted to fulfillthem.18 In this way, formal undertakings between governments becomecommitments between societies and, as such, they are more likely to survivethe test of crisis and war.


01-120 Ch 01 9/5/01 11:21 AM Page 9


10/24

Bringing Peace to the Middle East

Dick has long been concerned with the knotty problems of the Arab-Israeliconflict and has sought ways to bring peace to the Middle East. In two provoca-tive articles that appeared in 1975, he argued that a formal U.S. security guar-antee for Israel might be the best way to promote a settlement that met the se-curity needs of all parties to the dispute.19 The articles came on the heels of the1973 Yom Kippur War, the ensuing Arab oil embargo that sent world oil pricesskyrocketing, and the 1974 summit of the Arab League in Rabat that resulted inthe PLOs emergence as a pivotal factor in intra-Arab politics. Dicks analysis ofintra-Arab politics pointed to the need for some initiative to break the cycle of

violence in which Arab political leaders in the confrontation states, Palestin-ian territories, and elsewhere saw overwhelming incentives to take radical,anti-Israeli positions. As Dick put it in the first of his two essays, Revolution-

ary politics favors the extremist and the fundamentalist over the moderate andthe compromiser.20 In this context, Dick saw a U.S. guarantee of Israels secu-rity as a means both of deterring future Arab attacks on Israel and of restrain-ing Israel from provocative actions, including preemptive strikes. Only such aninitiative was likely to solve the overarching dilemma, namely,

To give the Israelis sufficient assurance of future security from Arab attacks sothey will give up the territory they now hold and at the same time satisfy thePalestinians to the extent that they stand firm against the extremists in their ownmidst.21

Assuming that the United States would, under the right circumstances, beprepared to shoulder this burden, the problem would be how to make theguarantee credible to Israelis. As Dick observed, this would require con-

vincing them that the identity of interests between Israel and the UnitedStates was perceived by Washington as being far-reaching indeed, and notone which might be easily disavowed by a future administration.22 Dicksexamination of U.S. interests vis--vis Israel convinced him that a large num-ber of Americans, including many outside the Jewish community, perceivean intrinsic value in the preservation of the Israeli state. He saw these feel-ings as being based partly on the emotional reaction to the fate of the Euro-pean Jews during World War II and partly on the intrinsic value most Amer-icans place on preserving and extending nonauthoritarian government.23

Undertaking a formal commitment to defend the state of Israel would notbe without its drawbacks, and Dick examined them in his essays. Among

these would be the irreducible uncertainties about the willingness of theUnited States to make good on its pledge should the Arabs test it. Here, Dickconcluded that a U.S. commitment, once entered into, would not easily bebroken and that it should be, from the Israelis point of view, at least as sat-isfactory a source of security as continuing to hold occupied territory.24

10 Chapter 1

01-120 Ch 01 9/5/01 11:21 AM Page 10


11/24

The United States and the World

In several articles written between 1975 and 1983, Dick explored ques-tions about the role of the United States in the international system and U.S.national security strategy. On the eve of the bicentennial of American inde-pendence, Dick compared two competing approaches to advancing U.S. in-terests in a turbulent world, positing the two poles of the Washingtonianand Wilsonian approaches.25 Both approaches emphasize American ex-ceptionalism and a desire to protect American democracy. But the former,according to Dick, seeks to secure that objective through detachment fromthe foreign world, while the latter calls for an activist approach that seeks topromote the spread of democracy abroad.

Dicks choice of wordsdetachment as opposed to isolationism, the morecommon label placed on our first presidents prescriptionis significant. In

his essay, Dick did not see much support, either in official circles or in thepublic at large, for crudely drawn approaches that would seek to isolate theUnited States from the rest of the world. He did, however, perceive a ten-dency in some sectors toward unilateralism, and in others a mistrust ofgovernment-sponsored foreign adventures undertaken in the name of na-tional security. The Washingtonian view is animated, in part, by concernsthat as foreign policy grows in scope and importance, it increases inexorablythe power of the executive branch and thereby risks disrupting the balanceessential to the preservation of American liberties. The Wilsonian view, bycontrast (which predates Woodrow Wilsons presidency), springs from theconviction that supporting democracy abroad against the forces of reaction

was the best way to promote peace and, at the same time, make the worldsafe for democracy.

In Dicks view, the Wilsonian approach has generally predominated inU.S. foreign policy since 1945, though at times (including 1975, when he was

writing), the Washingtonian view has come to the fore. At its outset, thestrategy of containment was premised in part on the notion that the survivalof democracy in America depended on its preservation elsewhere, thoughthis idea quickly became distorted in the execution of the strategy. Too of-ten, U.S. preoccupation with anticommunism led to policies that supportedreactionary and repressive regimes so long as they were with us in the strug-gle against communism.26 One result of such policies was the erosion of

American credibility and moral standing in the eyes of democrats at homeand abroad.

In the period following World War II, the key turning point away from am-

bitious Wilsonianism was Vietnam. Wilsons spirit was laid to rest onceagain, wrote Dick, in the ashes of Vietnam (and Watts, Newark, and De-troit?).27 The revelation by the press of unconstitutional policies by theNixon administration, including the abridgment of the rights of Americancitizens, undertaken by agents of the executive from the president on down,


01-120 Ch 01 9/5/01 11:21 AM Page 11


12/24

all in the name of an endless campaign on behalf of freedom,28 highlightedfor many the need to restrain the executive from pursuing far-reaching andambitious foreign adventures. Senator George McGoverns words from hislandmark speech accepting his partys nomination for president in 1972 to,Come home, America expressed this sentiment.

Yet, as is characteristic of his work, Dick saw other nuances in the situation.He perceived that the embers of democratic idealism still glowed in the UnitedStates, noting that the maintenance of public support for foreign policy de-pends on a concern for ends beyond those of accommodation.29 He notedtoo that the crushing of dissent in one nation poses a threat to the well-beingof Americans not only because it sets a negative precedent, but also because itdiminishes the quality of critical discourse worldwide. Repression in one place,therefore, can affect the quality and responsiveness of politics elsewhere.

This critique of a robust and militarily oriented posture of containmentevolved in Dicks thinking and in 1983 he published an influential article thatsparked debate on the nature of security itself.30 In this work, he criticizedthe tendency among American political leaders since the late 1940s to defineU.S. national security in narrow terms, centered on military threats and solu-tions. He wrote that, Politicians have found it easier to focus the attention ofan inattentive public on military dangers, real or imagined, than on nonmil-itary ones.31 Not surprisingly, therefore, political leaders have found it eas-ier to build consensus on military solutions to foreign policy problems thanto get agreement on the use (and therefore, adequate funding) of othermeans of influence.32 Dick warned that this tendency is dangerous both be-cause it causes states to overlook potentially more serious nonmilitarythreats and because it can contribute to a militarization of international rela-

tions, with detrimental effects on regional and global stability and security.Dick formulated this critique of the U.S. approach to foreign policy during

the early 1980s, when the Reagan administration was sharply increasing U.S.defense spending while cutting resources devoted to other dimensions ofsecurity. In order to challenge conventional thinking about the nature of na-tional security, Dick proposed an original definition of what would consti-tute a threat to it. A threat, he wrote, should be conceived as:

An action or sequence of events that (1) threatens drastically and over a rela-tively brief span of time to degrade the quality of life for the inhabitants of astate, or (2) threatens significantly to narrow the range of policy choices avail-able to the government of a state or to private nongovernmental entities (per-sons, groups, corporations) within the state.33

Stated this way, it becomes clear that the government is responsible notonly for protecting its citizens against traditional threats, such as war, re-bellion, or blockade, but that it also has a role in managing the effects of nat-ural disasters, epidemics, droughts, and so on.

12 Chapter 1

01-120 Ch 01 9/5/01 11:21 AM Page 12


13/24

A drastic deterioration in environmental quality . . . [or] urban conflict at home

[may be as consequential as] interruptions in the flow of critical resources, . . .terrorist attacks, or restrictions on the liberty of citizens in order to combat ter-rorism.34

Dick pointed out that there exists a huge disparity in the expendituresmade to prevent or to cope with these various types of threats. For example,expenditures on research that might lead to programs to head off or amelio-rate resource scarcities or environmental degradation are also only a smallfraction of defense expenditures. Dick stated that nongovernmental entitieshave important roles to play in raising public awareness of these and othernonmilitary dangers, but he expressed little optimism that a change in con-sciousness or policy was in the offing any time soon.

In 1998, Dick revised and refined his redefinition of security in a chapter

on relations between Russia and the West after the Cold War. 35 On the se-mantic level, he rejected his previous lumping together of military and non-military threats under the rubric of national security, arguing that the warproblem is conceptually distinct from the threats posed by natural disasters,environmental degradation, or urban violence. On the practical level, how-ever, the public policy dilemma he had sketched out in Redefining Securityremains. Most states, Dick points out, find it extraordinarily difficult to makeeven a rough calculation of benefits and costs between resources devoted tomilitary purposes and those devoted to other societal needs.36 The case inpoint that inspired the article was the trade-off between military expendi-tures and foreign aid for Russia.

The situation, Dick writes, was described quite succinctly by PresidentBush: Democrats in the Kremlin can assure our security in a way nuclearmissiles never could.37Writing in the aftermath of the Russian financial cri-sis, Dick distills from Bushs statement a practical policy question: Whatdoes more to enhance American securitya U.S. contribution of one or fiveor ten billion dollars toward a fund for stabilizing the ruble, or the same ex-penditure on military forces?38Attempting to answer this question is furthercomplicated by the fact that both military expenditures and foreign financialaid are examples of what Dick calls threshold phenomena.39 Expendituresbelow a certain threshold are useless, yet it is impossible to know precisely

where the threshold is.As so often in his writing, Dicks purpose here is not to score academic

points or to make specific policy prescriptions but to raise the level of policydebate. In a section entitled The Changing Problem of Security, Dick

writes:

Not only do the United States and Russia no longer threaten one another: in theinternational order now evolving, the majority of states face literally no tradi-tional military threats to their security. That is what makes it particularly urgent


01-120 Ch 01 9/5/01 11:21 AM Page 13


14/24

that states acquire not only the habit but the techniques and political mecha-

nisms for comparing the contributions to their well-being of military and of non-military spending.40

His main policy recommendation is that the West needs to set an examplefor Russia to follow of how to think through this policy problem and deter-mine the right mix of guns and butter. For the United States an imbalance inexpenditures on military forces and other national priorities results in noth-ing worse than an inefficiency or sub-optimal result. But for Russia, whoseresources are so scarce, it may present a dilemma whose incorrect resolu-tiongetting the mix of guns and butter wrongcan make the differencebetween a successful transition to a stable democracy and a delayed or evenunsuccessful one.

Another Ullman essay on U.S. strategy that has resonance today was a cri-

tique of trilateralisman idea much in vogue in the mid-1970s that advo-cated ever-closer cooperation among the United States, Europe, and Japanon matters relating to their common interests.41 Trilateralism emerged in partout of a reaction to a unilateralist thrust that came to dominate the foreigneconomic policy of the Nixon administration. The OPEC oil embargo andstrident calls by leaders in the Third World for a new international economicorder also prompted some in the industrial democracies to seek greaterunity.

Writing in October 1976, Dick pointed out that the notion of a triangu-lar relationship among the three major democratic-industrial power cen-ters remained more aspirational than real. For one thing, the thick lines oftrade and security links that connected the United States to Europe and to

Japan were largely missing between the latter two vertices. And of thethree, only the United States had a truly global (as opposed to regional)perspective or the military means to act extraregionally. These facts sug-gested that, trilateralist rhetoric notwithstanding, the United States was of-ten going to find it difficult to gain European and Japanese support forU.S. positions and initiatives that reached beyond their immediate, re-gional concerns. This has, in fact, been a central conundrum for U.S. for-eign policy makers in the 1970s, 1980s, and on into the postCold War pe-riod. Dick concluded that there is and will continue to be less totrilateralism than meets the ear.42 But he acknowledged the existence andthe relevance of shared values and interests among the three corners ofthe triangle and suggested that the most effective way to protect those val-ues was to strengthen formal and informal mechanisms that specifically

relate to them. Rather than trying to assert a commonality of interestsacross the board, then, Dick recommended that U.S. leaders work on spe-cific policy areas where that commonality exists, such as in the areas ofhuman rights or trade policy.

14 Chapter 1

01-120 Ch 01 9/5/01 11:21 AM Page 14


15/24

Intervention and Human Rights

Dicks views on intervention in the Third World are nuanced and informedby deeply held humanitarian instincts. Two articles published five yearsapart in Foreign Affairsillustrate this. In this first of these articles, HumanRights and Economic Power: The United States versus Idi Amin, written in1978, Dick called for U.S. leadership to bring down an evil regime througheconomic intervention.43 In the second, At War with Nicaragua, written in1983, he called for an end to U.S. intervention.44 In both cases, his primaryconcern was for the well-being of the people of these countries, while his fo-cus was on U.S. interests, as defined by a distinctly long-term perspective.

Idi Amin ruled Uganda through terror and repression. In this, he was farfrom alone. But the scope of his regimes brutality was exceptional: By 1978it was estimated that the Amin regime was responsible for the death of be-

tween 100,000 and 300,000 Ugandans. In the face of such brutality, Dick sawan imperative for action. Given the reluctance of regional actors to intervene(the Organization for African Unity had long refused to takes sides in the in-ternal affairs of its members), it was up to the West to do something. Fortu-nately, the requisite leverage was at hand: Four fifths of Ugandas hard cur-rency earnings were derived from the export of coffee to the West, and onethird of this came to the United States. Moreover, those export earnings werecontrolled directly by Amin, who used them not to compensate the growersof the coffee but rather to pay off loans to Libya and other Arab countries, tobuy weapons (mostly from the Soviet Union), and to supply his army, po-lice, and civil service with luxury goods.

In light of this, a boycott of Ugandan coffee seemed the perfect way to putpressure on Amin. Surprisingly, the Carter administration had opposed such aboycott on the grounds that it would violate rules of the General Agreementon Trade and Tariffs (GATT) and, therefore, weaken the international tradingregime. Dick challenged the administrations position as being rooted in a con-

viction that the economic and political spheres can be treated separately. Hethen dismissed this distinction as being more rhetorical than real and, in anycase, trivial in comparison to the human stakes involved. A boycott of Ugan-dan coffee, Dick wrote, would indicate that the U.S. government is preparedto say that there are boundaries of decency beyond which other governmentsmust not pass in their treatment of their own citizens.45 This position put Dickat odds not only with the Carter administration but also with more than 300

years of international law on the sovereignty of states. It was a position thatwould wear well more than two decades later, as the international community

confronted atrocities carried out by governments against their own people inthe former Yugoslavia, Rwanda, East Timor, and elsewhere.46

Dicks position against U.S. intervention in Nicaragua was founded ontwo judgments: First, he argued that the regime against which the Reagan


01-120 Ch 01 9/5/01 11:21 AM Page 15


16/24

administration was working was, in many ways, an improvement over theone it had replaced. Nicaragua under the Sandinistas, Dick wrote, is nolonger a state in which the bulk of the population is terrorized by its ownarmed forces. In that respect it is nothing like as repressive as some of its[non-communist] neighbors.47

Second, Dick felt that the means chosen by the administration for under-mining the Sandinistassupporting the Contra rebelswere, in fact, coun-terproductive to U.S. objectives. Having visited Nicaragua in August 1983

with other members of the board of directors of Oxfam America, Dick cameaway with the clear sense that, far from being likely to liberalize or over-throw the communists, the Contras were strengthening the hands of hard-liners in the Sandinista regime and solidifying their support among the peas-ants. In a dozen peasant communities I heard the same thing from scores of

people, Dick wrote, . . . nothing had rallied them to the Sandinist cause asmuch as the Contras had done.48 In light of the injustice of U.S. policy andits perverse consequences for U.S. interests, Dick concluded the article byurging members of Congress to deny the administration funds for continuingthe Contra war.

Ending the Cold War

In fall 1988, on the eve of U.S. presidential elections, Mikhail Gorbachevhad been in power in Moscow for three years. Dick Ullman saw in Gor-bachev the opportunity of a lifetimeliterally to end the Cold War. Accord-ingly, he published in Foreign Policyan article by that title that argued forsome major changes in U.S. foreign and defense policies.49While some have

since argued that the Reagan defense buildup, particularly the Strategic De-fense Initiative (SDI), accelerated the decline and fall of the Soviet Union,Dick took the opposite tack. He took seriously Gorbachevs stated determi-nation to reform and restructure the Soviet economy and society and rea-soned as follows:

Gorbachevs primary focus is in the domestic arena. International affairsespecially military expendituresdistract atten-

tion and resources away from Moscows domestic priorities. Perceived foreign policy failures could bring down Gorbachev and lead

to his replacement by a leader with a less benign agenda. Only international tranquillitya sort of dtente pluscan allow Gor-

bachev to remain focused on domestic imperatives (hence the Sovietleaders emphasis on arms reduction initiatives). The United States therefore should work to create an international en-

vironment supportive of Gorbachevs reform efforts.

16 Chapter 1

01-120 Ch 01 9/5/01 11:21 AM Page 16


17/24

Dick argued that, for the first time, the Soviet Union had the potential tobecome a normal state, one that

Derives few domestic benefits from propagating a view of the international sys-tem that emphasizes the presence of powerful enemies . . . and whose policiesare not driven by . . . an imperative for expansion through the reproduction ofits own political system and ideology.50

Obviously, the transformation of the Soviet Union into a normal state wouldrepresent a boon to the security of the rest of the world. While tensions be-tween the United States and the USSR would remain, the two powers wouldincreasingly see their security in terms other than the zero-sum game thathad characterized their relations through the Cold War.

In order to maximize the probability of achieving this state of affairs, Dick

urged that the West take steps to assuage points of conflict between the So-viet Union and the West and to facilitate economic reform. Specifically, hecalled for an abandonment of President Reagans SDI program and for theUnited States to abide by the ABM Treaty. He also urged support forMoscows application for observer status at the GATT and for some formallink with the International Monetary Fund (IMF). To those who argued thata prosperous bear is a more dangerous bear, Dick responded that eco-nomic liberalization in the Soviet Union would almost certainly be accom-panied by liberalization in the political sphere.

In retrospect, while Dicks analysis of Gorbachevs position led to soundpolicy prescriptions, it (like almost everyone elses at the time) was based ona flawed understanding of the resiliency of the Soviet regime. Dick assertedthat Gorbachevs regime may be the first [in Moscow] secure enough in its

own domestic standing not to feel threatened by questions about the legiti-macy of regimes in Eastern Europe.51Whether Gorbachev and those aroundhim might, in fact, have felt secure in their domestic standing, it is now clearthat the regime he inherited was remarkably fragile. Such was the cynicismof the Soviet people toward their political system that, once the winds ofchange were unloosed, it took little more than a stiff breeze to rip the entirestructure from its foundation. Nevertheless, Dicks call in 1988 for decisivesteps to hasten the end of the Cold War stands out as a clear vision of thepossibilities inherent in the Gorbachev transition and that which followed.

Securing Europe

This vision kept pace with the accelerating pace of change that sweptover the Soviet Union and its empire in the ensuing four years. In 1991, af-ter the Soviet empire abroad had collapsed and just prior to the disintegra-tion of the Soviet Union itself, Dick published Securing Europe, a prescient


01-120 Ch 01 9/5/01 11:21 AM Page 17


18/24

and insightful assessment of the qualitatively new security situation in andaround Europe.52 In this volume, Dick was among the first to recognize thatinternational relations in Europe were entering a period in which historicalmodels and analogies had become largely irrelevant. Dick identified severalfactors that lay behind this transformation. The first was the dual recognitionby the Soviet regime that its most pressing priority was internal reform andthat its future survival was no longer bound up with the preservation ofcommunist regimes in Central and Eastern Europe or with the expansion ofcommunism elsewhere. Because of this, Dick argued, the Soviet leadershipunderstood that it faced no problems for which the external use of militaryforce could provide a solution.

Other factors figured as well in the new, more stable Europe:

The declining value of territory as a military or economic resource The fact that Europes peace had become divisible; that is, that con-flicts in the Balkans or elsewhere in Eastern Europe would be unlikelyto ignite a larger war drawing in the great powers

Germanys transformation (through decades of experience with theWest in the Federal Republic and, finally, through unification) from a re-visionist power to a status quo power

Together, these developments converged to create a situation in whichWestern leaders had the opportunity to banish, perhaps forever, warfareamong the major powers of Europe.53 In this new situation, reductions inmilitary forces, the adoption of more nonoffensive defense postures, andother measures aimed at reducing the risk of inadvertent war were called for.

Dick foresaw that ultimately, if and when Russia evolved into a truly demo-cratic state, NATO would be transformed into a European Security Organi-zation open to all democratic polities in the Euro-Atlantic region. Dick alsorecognized that the focus of European and American defense planners wouldshift to out of area problems on Europes periphery and the need to preventconflicts in these areas from spilling over into the new zone of peacethrough terrorism, the use of weapons of mass destruction, or other means.

Of course, Dick was not the first to proclaim an end to the feasibility ofwar among the major powers in Europe.54 But his analysis pointed to struc-tural changes of such a profound nature that many of us became convincedthat, this time, the optimists had it right. At the same time, there were other

voices decrying the collapse of bipolarity in Europe as a prelude to renewedinstability and conflict.55 Prominent analysts of the so-called Realist school

argued that the reemergence of a multipolar distribution of military power inEurope would lead inexorably to state behavior similar to that which led tocatastrophe in the early decades of this century. We would, wrote one, soonmiss the Cold War.56

18 Chapter 1

01-120 Ch 01 9/5/01 11:21 AM Page 18


19/24

Dick was unsparing in his criticism of this Realist analysis. By focusingalmost exclusively on military structure, he wrote, the Realists exclude fromconsideration the very factors most responsible for the transformation of theinternational system in Europe. He also took issue with the Realist view thatsmall conflicts in Eastern Europe would inevitably draw in larger powers, es-pecially Germany and the Soviet Union.

The revolutionary events of 19891990 have left Germany and the Soviet Unionwith no vital interests in Eastern Europe except the negative one of seeking as-surance that the region will not become a place where threats aimed at them canoriginate. Because neither has claims against the other, or interests that can befurthered only at the expense of the other, neither has any interest in enlistingthe states of Eastern Europe in alliances aimed against any other state. 57

Dick concluded by calling on the governments and the people of the Westto make the most of the opportunities presented by the new situation and to

work vigorously to extend stability and peace outward. This would dependin large measure on helping to rebuild the shattered and demoralized soci-eties of the Communist part of Europe and to realize the latent human po-tential in people who were regimented and suppressed for so long.58

Dicks understanding of the new dynamics of the security situation in Eu-rope have proven to be remarkably accurate. He was thus well-equippedto assess the prospects for and the implications of conflicts in the Balkansduring the 1990s. As editor of The World and Yugoslavias Wars, and au-thor of that books introduction and one of its chapters, Dick stated that acentral lesson of the modern Balkan wars is predicated on his earlier as-sessment that Europes peace today has become divisible.59 He wrote that,

there has, in fact, never been a high probability that any of these scenar-ios for a wider war would become actual.60 Indeed, from the standpointof Western policy makers the biggest problem created by the wars overBosnia and Kosovo has been in getting the leading members of the inter-national community to commit the resources needed to bring the situationunder control. These policy makers are caught on the horns of a dilemma.On the one hand, they recognize that their states have no vital interestsat stake in Yugoslavia. Yet, because of modern communications and agrowing, if still inchoate, sense of responsibility for upholding universallyheld norms against unjust violence, they cannot escape pressure to act tostop the killing. As Dick wrote:

There is a point . . . when interest and embarrassment merge. When televisionsets worldwide nightly show pictures of massacred civilians, governments thatpreviously have not perceived an important interest at stake in a specific out-come of a conflict discover that they have a real interest in ceasing to appearto their own publics and to the worldas not only callous but impotent.61


01-120 Ch 01 9/5/01 11:21 AM Page 19


20/24

Embarrassment, of course, is not a strong basis for policy, and the interna-tional community stumbled badly during the first three years of the conflict inBosnia. Writing after NATOs forcible intervention in Bosnia in 1995, but be-fore Operational Allied Force in Kosovo in 1999, Dick was pessimistic aboutthe prospects for rapid change: States in trouble, he wrote, would be ad-

vised to have other remedies at hand than waiting for international interven-tion.62 The international security institutions that have been set up to preventsuch warsthe United Nations, the Organization for Security Cooperation inEurope (OSCE)were not up to the task. Neither was the United States. Theself-proclaimed indispensable power was, in Dicks words, consistently in-consistent in its policies toward the Bosnian crisis and when it did interveneforcefully, congressional support for U.S. involvement in the ImplementationForce (IFOR) to implement the Dayton Accords was precarious.

In short, the divisibility of peace in Europe that Dick celebrated in 1988has turned out to be a two-sided coin, with the lack of vital interest in theoutcome of out of area conflicts helping to ensure peace among the majorpowers of Europe, but breeding at the same time a certain indifference tosuch horrors as ethnic cleansing. Writing prior to NATOs intervention inKosovo, Dick likened the United States and its allies to bystanders who sitidly by as street crimes are committed before their eyes. NATOs subsequentaction in the Kosovo crisis has altered Dicks judgment somewhat. However,governments will remain generally reluctant to commit military forces to theresolution of conflicts caused by other governments repression of theirown populations.

THE MAN AND THE WORK

What shines through all of Dicks writing is the presence of a large and many-faceted mind at work. We see the mind of a policy maker, weighing the man-ifold and sometimes conflicting interests at stake in complex situations andkeeping them in balance. We see as well in this policy makers mind an ap-preciation for the constraints and pressures under which officials in the real

world must operate and, in light of this, a rejection of superficially appeal-ing or ideologically pure solutions that would ultimately be unworkable.

We see the mind of a scholar, who delights in unraveling complex prob-lems of human relations and in understanding what makes them tick andidentifying the main features of the landscape without either getting lost inthe minutia or oversimplifying the picture. We see, in fact, the mind of the

best sort of scholarone that does not shrink from challenging the conven-tional wisdom if that is where his scholarship takes him.

We see the mind (and heart) of a humanitarian, which prompt a readinessto look beyond narrow, traditional definitions of national interest and to ac-

20 Chapter 1

01-120 Ch 01 9/5/01 11:21 AM Page 20


21/24

cept that the United States and its partner democracies have a real and grow-ing responsibility to help prevent the worst abuses of human dignity in thisimperfect world.

We see the mind of a journalist who relishes the chance to break a goodstory, not for its own sake but for the sake of advancing our knowledge andunderstanding of important events and relationships.

We see the mind of a critic who does not shrink from pointing out the fail-ings of his own country when it falls short of carrying out its responsibilities.But we see too the mind of a patriot who loves what is best and most wor-thy of emulation in his countrys democratic traditions.

And, fortunately for those of us who have had the privilege, we see themind of a teacher who is willing and able to share his hard-won insights withothers and to challenge his students to probe deeply beneath the surface

phenomena of international relations.As policy analyst, scholar, humanitarian, journalist, and critic, Dicks workstands on its own and speaks for itself. As a teacher, the other contributionsin this volume represent a few examples of the nfluence Dick has had on thethinking and the careers of his students.

NOTES

1. This chapter draws on selected works by Richard Ullman. A complete bibliog-raphy is found in the appendix.

2. Richard Ullman, Intervention and the War(Princeton: Princeton UniversityPress, 1961).

3. Intervention, p. 333.4. Intervention, p. 333.5. Richard Ullman,Britain and the Russian Civil War: November 1918February

1920(Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1968).6. Britain, p. viii.7. Britain, p. 3488. Richard Ullman, The Anglo-Soviet Accord (Princeton: Princeton University

Press, 1972).9. Richard Ullman, No First Use of Nuclear Weapons,Foreign Affairs, July 1972.

10. No First Use, p. 673.11. No First Use, p. 683.12. Richard Ullman, Denuclearizing International Politics,Ethics, April 1985.13. Denuclearizing, p. 567.14. Denuclearizing, p. 587.

15. Denuclearizing, p. 587.16. Richard Ullman, The Covert French Connection, Foreign Policy, Summer1989.

17. Covert, p. 27.18. Covert, p. 33.


01-120 Ch 01 9/5/01 11:21 AM Page 21


22/24

19. Richard Ullman, After Rabat: Middle East Risks and American Roles,Foreign

Affairs, January 1975; and Richard Ullman, Alliance with Israel? Foreign Policy,Summer 1975.

20. Rabat, p. 276.21. Alliance, p. 19.22. Rabat, p. 291.23. Rabat, p. 294.24. Alliance, p. 2725. Richard Ullman, The Foreign World and Ourselves: Washington, Wilson, and

the Democrats Dilemma, Foreign Policy, Winter 19751976.26. Washington, Wilson, p. 107.27. Washington, Wilson, p. 110.28. Washington, Wilson, p. 112.29. Washington, Wilson, p. 116.30. Richard Ullman, Redefining Security,International Security, Summer 1983.31. Redefining, p. 129.32. Redefining, p. 129.33. Redefining, p. 13334. Redefining, p. 13435. Richard Ullman, Russia, the West, and the Redefinition of Security, inRussia

and the West: The 21st Century Security Environment, ed. Alexei Arbator, Karl Kaiser,and Robert Legrold (New York: M.E. Sharpe, 1999).

36. Redefinition, p. 190.37. Cited in Redefinition, p. 192.38. Redefinition, p. 192.39. Redefinition, p. 193.40. Redefinition, p. 201.41. Richard Ullman, Trilateralism: Partnership for What?Foreign Affairs, October

1976.42. Trilateralism, p. 16.43. Richard Ullman, Human Rights and Economic Power: The United States ver-

sus Idi Amin,Foreign Affairs, April 1978.44. Richard Ullman, At War with Nicaragua,Foreign Affairs, Fall 1983.45. Idi Amin, p. 540.46. As Dicks article went to press, Congress was debating the adoption of a boy-

cott on Ugandan coffee. The boycott legislation passed. As it happened, not long af-terward the Ugandan armed forces collapsed in the face of a Tanzanian invasion.

47. Nicaragua, p. 46.48. Nicaragua, p. 42.49. Richard Ullman, Ending the Cold War,Foreign Policy, Fall 1988.50. Cold War, p. 132.51. Cold War, p. 135.

52. Richard Ullman, Securing Europe (Princeton: Princeton University Press,1991).53. Securing, p. 153.54. Famously, Norman Angell wrote that the use of military power to advance a

nations economic and political standing belongs to a stage of development out of

22 Chapter 1

01-120 Ch 01 9/5/01 11:21 AM Page 22


23/24

which we have passed . . . that war, even when victorious, can no longer achieve

those aims for which people strive. The year was 1911. Norman Angell, The GreatIllusion (New York: G. P. Putnams Sons, 1911), 381382.

55. See John Mearsheimer, Back to the Future: Instability in Europe After the ColdWar,International Security, Summer 1990.

56. See John Mearsheimer, Why We Will Soon Miss the Cold War, AtlanticMonthly, August 1990.

57. Securing, p. 153.58. Securing, p. 153.59. Richard Ullman, ed., The World and Yugoslavias Wars(New York: Council on

Foreign Relations, 1997).60. Ibid., p. 3.61. Yugoslavia, p. 5.62. Yugoslavia, p. 25.


01-120 Ch 01 9/5/01 11:21 AM Page 23


24/24

01-120 Ch 01 9/5/01 11:21 AM Page 24

ullman book

Documents