trends of youth u nemployment in latvia
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Trends of Youth U nemployment in Latvia. Feliciana Rajevska, Dr.pol.sc. Round Table Discussion, Eger, November 12, 2013. Picture by Ralph Hatton, Riga, Latvia. Number of young people in Latvia will reduce by 15% during next 10 years. Number of young people 2007-2025. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
Trends of Youth Unemployment in LatviaFeliciana Rajevska, Dr.pol.sc.Round Table Discussion, Eger, November 12, 2013
Picture by Ralph Hatton, Riga, Latvia
Number of young people in Latvia will reduce by 15% during next 10 years
Number of young people 2007-2025
Ratio of young people 2007-2025
Source: Ministry of Welfare of Latvia
Youth unemployment 15-24
Source: Eurostat and Ministry of Welfare of Latvia
Unemployment in Latvia
Academic evaluation, 2013• Employment has not recovered and unemployment remains high
with large share of long-term unemployed.
• The nature of unemployment: it is more cyclical than structural• . • The level of vacancies in Latvia is very low – in comparison both to
the pre-crisis levels and to other European countries.
• Available vacancies are filled very quickly which is not consistent with the idea of notable mismatches between supplied and demanded skills
• World Bank Scientific Research – Latvia: Who is Unemployed, Inactive or Needy?. An Assesment of Post-Crisis Policy Options. An Evaluation of Active Labor Market Programms (ALMP) and Related Social Benefit Program, 2013
• http://www.lm.gov.lv/text/2562
The best performing programs
• For men : • professional training in manual, as well as service and a sales jobs • employer provided training in non-manual jobs • informal education programs in project management and software• informal education programs for professional drivers of transport
and industrial vehicles• For women:• employer provided training in manual jobs • professional training in manual jobs • IT (basic skills) • state language (categories 2 & 3) and English intermediate level• professional training in manual, as well as service and a sales jobs • Source: WB research
Non/unstable work. Detailed groupings
• Single/Older/Unemployed/Disabled, 45-61 y. O. –22%• Single Young Males With Low Education, 20-29 – 18%• Older unemployed, fit for work, y.o.50+ – 14%• Stay-at-home mums with small child - 11%• Poorly educated rural male, breadwinner, 30-39 - 11%• Self-employed Older men, 40-54 y.o. – 9%• Disabled Older Women with Working Partner, 50+ – 6%• Highly educated stay-at-home mums, 30-39 y.0.- 6%• Disabled older women, partner not working, 50+ - 4%• http://www.lm.gov.lv/text/2562
Single Young Males With Low Education
• 18% of all unemployed in Latvia(2012)
• Young, 20-29 years old
• Very Low Education
• Never married
• No children
• Rural
ERDB about youth unemployment
• High youth unemployment is due to less experience as natural consequence of age
• Younger cohorts, who are already disproportionally affected by the crisis, do not have as much education as older cohorts
• Large share of skilled youth migrated when Latvia joined the EU.
• Improvement of vocational training programs targeted at youth became very acute for labour market inclusive policy in Latvia. (J.Michelle Brock)
• http://www.lm.gov.lv/text/2562
Youth in Latvia
Source: Ministry of Welfare of Latvia
Low level of education, lack of professional competencies and inappropriate profession acquired : 3 main problem groups
78200
170375
48717
33988
94518
2523
Pre-schooleducation
Basiceducation
Secondaryeducation
Vocationaleducation
Highereducation
Doctoralstudies
Interrupted Interrupted learninglearning
16%16%
Interrupted Interrupted learninglearning
16%16%Discontinue Discontinue
learninglearning36%36%
Discontinue Discontinue learninglearning
36%36%
NEETsNEETs15-1715-177.1%7.1%
NEETsNEETs15-1715-177.1%7.1%
Discontinue Discontinue learninglearning
5.4%5.4%
Discontinue Discontinue learninglearning
5.4%5.4%
Source: Ministry of Welfare of Latvia
Youth guarantee – activities 2014-2020 (indicative)
EDUCATION EMPLOYMENT
Carrer guidance support services for young people
Education offer or job
1/1,5 years vocational education programms
forst working place• volunteer work
• workshops for young people• self-employment/ small business launch
Indicative 59 million euro
Source: Ministry of Welfare of Latvia
YOUTH GUARANTEECOOPERATION MECHANISM
Source: Ministry of Welfare of Latvia
Human Investment is crucial
• The government succeeded at making radical changes, but there was a high social cost to it. This lead to erosion of the human capital.
• The most important lesson derived from the crisis is that investing in human capital (lifelong education, re-training, vocational training etc.) has become crucial for economic growth in Latvia.
