transformation in hedging strategy under the new report … · 2018-06-06 · if hedged items and...
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Session 4B, Transformation in Hedging Strategy Under the New Report Standards: IFRS 17, IFRS 9 and Future Drivatives Standard
Presenters: Keumcheol Shin, CPA
Taik-ki Lee, FSA
SOA Antitrust Disclaimer SOA Presentation Disclaimer
Transformation in hedging strategyunder the new reporting standards
24 May 2018
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This paper has been prepared for discussion at an annual symposium held on 24 May 2018 bySociety of Actuaries and does not represent the views of organization that presenters belongto. Anyone who receives a copy of this presentation pack should note that we shall not haveany responsibility to anyone in respect of the information contained in this document.
Disclaimer
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FV Fair ValueFVPL Fair Value through Profit and LossFVOCI Fair Value through Other Comprehensive IncomeAC Amortized costHTM Held To MaturityAFS Available For SaleK-ICS Korea Insurance Capital StandardGM General ModelVFA Variable Fee ApproachInv InvestmentRiskPrem Risk PremiumDRM Dynamic Risk ManagementPRA Portfolio Revaluation Approach
Acronyms
I. Current practice
4
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Required capital is measured based on the durations preset by the solvency regulation. The preset durations are shorterthan real durations. This causes interest rate risk to be underestimated resulting in creating an illusion that hedge is notrequired for interest rate risk.
Source: annual reports of 2017, Insurance industry association
Duration
Duration
Note1 Sensitivity: proposed by the regulator despite the actual sensitivity
Deposits
FVPL
AFS
HTM
Loans
Sum
16.3
1.0
379.6
184.6
184.1
31.2
4.0
2,985.4
1,912.2
771.7
765.6 5,704.5
exposure Sensitivity1categories
Interest sensitive assets
exposure Sensitivity1categories
Interest sensitive liabilities
209.1
494.1
431.2
703.2
2,600.4
2,977.6
Not disclosed
5,578.0
Liability with fixedinterest rate
Liability with floatingcredited rate
Minimum interestrate guaranteed
Sum
7.9 years
7.5 years
Regulator preset interest rate sensitivities are applied to all insurers on a factor basis.→ Interest rate risk is underestimated
Actual duration estimated to increase by 5 to 10 years ascompared to duration under Regulation. Required capitalexpected to significantly increase given that actual sensitivity isapplied to insurance contracts.
(Unit: US$ bil)
I. Current practice1. Underestimated interest risk
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Evolution of regulatory requirements
~2011 ~2021
New capital requirements force insurers to manage their risks in a more sophisticated manner than ever.
Guarantee risk notfactored
Do not measureguarantee options.
Guarantee reserve set aside for variable products• In scope risks: GMDB, GMAB, GMWB, GLWB• Guarantee reserveü Hedged items : guarantee risk claims less guarantee feesü Measuring changes in fair value of combined position of hedged
items and hedging instruments using risk-neutral method
Reflecting hedging activitiesin solvency requirement
• Hedging effect reducesrequired capital
~2017
K-ICSeffective in2021≒Solvency II
Voluntarymanagement
Introduction of newrequirements Stabilisation Enhanced
regulation
Stricter capital requirements and underwriting of products with complex features require morerobust risk management of financial risks than ever.
504 604801 626
1,013
Annualised fees of variable products
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
(Unit: US$ mil)
2. Reform in regulatory requirementsI. Current practice
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Under current GAAPs, there exist constraints for insurers to perform dynamic risk management. Locally there has beenless incentive for Korean insurers to enhance their hedging strategy and method as insurance contracts were required tobe measured on a historic cost basis.
Globallimitation:
under IAS39 orIFRS9
Local limitation:
Specific to Koreaninsurers
Current cost basis accounting for insurancecontracts.
GAAP requirements Constraints
Lack of incentive to apply hedging to riskyproducts. No economic hedging results inincrease in volatility of equity.
Static portfolio of insurance contractsassumed.
Insurance contracts constituting a portfoliochanges due to policy holders’ behavioralfeatures such as lapse and renewal.
One to one designation of a hedgingrelationship between a hedged item and ahedging instrument in contrast to norm ofinsurers’ risk management.
Current portfolio hedge accounting is notpracticable because of strict criteria: Costoutweighs benefits.
Limited to a interest rate risk as a risk inscope of hedging under the currentportfolio hedge.
Other risks such as equity, currency, lapseand expense risks not in scope.
3. Constraints under current accounting standardI. Current practice
II. Hedging under newstandards
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Hedge accounting has been improved to more faithfully represent a financial institution’s risk management activities.
IAS 39(2004)
IFRS9(2018)
IFRS17(2021)
Dynamic RiskManagement
• Under GM, accounting choicegiven to presentation ofmovement in insurance liabilitiesdue to financial risks on the basisof portfolio (PL vs PL & OCI)
• Under VFA, movement ininsurance liabilities due tofinancial risks allowed torecognise in PL instead of CSMto avoid accounting mismatch
• Hedging on an openportfolio basis allowed
• Net risk position of assetsand liabilities designatedas hedged items
• Continuous rebalancingneeded
• Allowed designatingmore items as hedgedones
• More instrumentsdesignated as hedginginstruments
• No 80 to 120 % rulerequired.
• Limitation indesignating hedgeditems and hedginginstruments.
• Strict effectivenessrequirement(eg 80 to 120% rule)
II. Hedging under new standards > 1. Evolution of hedge accountingFaithfully represent real world practice
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If hedged items and hedging instruments were recognised on a different measurement basis, or changes in value ofhedged items or hedging instruments were differently presented, accounting mismatch would take place even in a caseof economically perfect hedging. Hedge accounting needed to eliminate the accounting mismatch in such a case.
Note. Hedge of net investment in a foreign operation is available in addition to fair value hedge and cash flows hedge
Aligning measurement basis and presentation of hedged items to those of hedging instruments► Measuring hedged items on a fair value basis regardless of measurement basis required if hedge accounting
were not applied to the hedged items► Recognising in PL changes in fair value of hedged items would reduce accounting mismatch.
Fair valuehedge
concept100
hedging instrmnts
0
hedged items
100
PL
100
hedging instrmnts
-100
hedged items
0
PL
00
Aligning presentation of hedging instruments to hedged items► Deferring gains or losses arising from hedged items in OCI► OCI recycled to PL as hedged cash flows arising from hedged items affect PLCash flows
hedgeconcept
100hedging instrmnts
0
hedged items
100PL
0
hedging instrmnts
0
hedged items
0
PL
000 0
Concept of hedge accountingII. Hedging under new standards > 2. IFRS9
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For insurance contracts required to apply VFA, hedge accounting is allowed if those contracts are economically hedgedagainst a particular financial risk and required hedge documentation is in place.
Notes1. Allowed choosing to recognise change in value of insurance liabilities due to financial risks in either PL or OCINotes2. Assumed no economic mismatch between assets and liabilities for simplicity
(ie Underlying assets have the same duration and exposure as liabilities)
Linkage(Investmentreturn from
underlying itemsvs benefits to
policy holders)
Accountingmodel
Accounting policies selected to mitigate accounting mismatchesespecially for insurance liabilities 1 Hedge
accountingneeded?
General modelAccounting
choices1. PL or2. disaggregation
between PL &OCI
VFAChanges in valuesdue to financialrisks are treated
as CSM
Accountingmismatch
in PL2
NoIncome from
assets≒
expense fromliability
Yes
Notsubstantial
Substantial
Insurance liabilities
Measurementbasis Effect on PL
FV
Nil(OCI)
Nil(OCI)
PL
FV
Nil(CSM)
Nil(CSM)
Nil(CSM)
No
Yes
Underlying assets
Measurementbasis Effect on PL
AC Nil
FV Nil(OCI)
FV PL
AC Nil
FV Nil(OCI)
FV PL
Classification
AC
FVOCI
FVPL
AC
FVOCI
FVPL
Allowed recognizing insurance liabilitiesmovement due to financial risks in PLinstead of CSM
Hedge under each accounting model (GM vs VFA)II. Hedging under new standards > 3. IFRS17
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VFA is required for insurance contracts from which policyholders’ benefits substantially vary with investment return onthe underlying assets.
Fulfillment cashflows divided into
(+)Premium
(+)Inv return(Policy holder’s share)
(-)Variable fee(GMxB fees,
Risk Premium,Loadings) Expenses PremiumFixed benefits
GMxB claims
Underlying items
Criterion 3Criterion 2
Criterion 1
Criterion 3
Criterion 2
IFRS17 requirements
Underlying items should be clearly identified incontracts terms
Substantial share of fair value returns onunderlying items should be paid to policyholders
Substantial proportion of any changes inamounts to be paid to policy holders varieswith changes in fair value of underlying items
Underlying assets should be separately managed and recorded
The following should constitute a smaller part:ü Entity’s variable fee charged for the service
The following non-varying cash flows should not account forsignificant proportion:ü GMxB claimsü fixed benefitsü expenses
Practical considerations
Cash flows should be analysed to assessif insurance contracts meet criteria for
VFA.
Assessing criteria for VFAII. Hedging under new standards > 3. IFRS17 (Cont’d)
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PL
CSM
③ Variable fee= ① - ②
B104.b
② Fulfillment cash flowsthat do not vary withunderlying items
B104.b.ii
① Fair value of underlyingitems
B104.aPL or OCI
CSM
In scope ofhedge accounting
An adjustment of CSM due to changes in financial risks on the entity’s share of underlying items or fulfillment cash flowsis an object of hedge accounting under IFRS17.
Presentation
Experience adjustment(premiums,investment components)
Changes in estimates of cashflows in liability for remainingclaims
Changes in risk adjustments
û
Disaggregatingcash
flows
Obligation to pay policyholders
B111
GMxB claims
B113
Components
Fixed benefits
Expense
Investment fees
B112 to B113
Risk premium
GMxB fees
Experience adjustment(claims, expenses)
Changes in financial risks andtime value of money
Changes in estimates of cashflows in liability for incurredclaims
û
Identifying items to be hedged under VFAII. Hedging under new standards > 3. IFRS17 (Cont’d)
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Accounting mismatch between hedged items and hedging instruments is eliminated by applying hedge accounting.
§ Designating as hedged items GMxB claims that do not vary with underlying items§ Derivatives (eg interest rate swaps) used to hedge GMxB claims against interest rate risk
Fact Pattern
Hedgeaccountingnot applied
Hedgeaccounting
applied
Accountingmismatcheliminated
Gains
100 100
Hedginginstrum
ents
Hedgeditems
Neteffecton PL
0
Losses
& (+)
100 100
Hedginginstrum
ents
Hedgeditems
Netimpacton PL
0
(-)
&Profits and Losses Balance Sheet
100
100
Gains
100
Hedginginstrum
ents
Hedgeditems
Netimpacton PL
Losses
& (+)
100
Hedginginstrum
ents
Hedgeditems
Netimpacton PL
(-)
&Profits and Losses Balance Sheet
1001000 0
Eliminated accounting mismatchby recognizing changes in fulfillmentcash flows in PL instead of adjusting CSM
Accountingmismatcheliminated
Accountingmismatchoccurred
Illustrative example of hedge accountig under VFAII. Hedging under new standards > 3. IFRS17 (Cont’d)
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IASB proposed a new model (Core model) in November 2017 in response to constituents’ feed back on PortfolioRevaluation approach(PRA) issued in 2014. The new model is conceptually similar to cash flow hedge whereas theprevious model, PRA, is similar to fair value hedge.
Purpose
Progress
• To provide hedging principles to faithfully represent entities’ actual risk management activities
• Managing risks on a portfolio basis• Net risk position of assets and liabilities hedged
• Continuous rebalancing of hedging instruments• Dynamic nature of assets and liabilities considered
Features ofDRM
Discussion paper“Portfolio Revaluation Approach”
Feedback from constituentsincluding EFRAG’s outreach
Staff’s proposed approach– “Core model”
2nd discussion paperto be released
►Conceptually similar to current cash flowshedge
►Phased approach- Core model developed first for major
issues,- Then extension for further issues
DRM
OverviewII. Hedging under new standards > 4.Dynamic Risk Management (DRM)
►Under PRA, assets or liabilities that donot meet criteria for recognitionrecognised in financial statements.è Not consistent with conceptual
framework of financial reporting.
►Financial institutions do not fair valuetheir assets just to apply DRM.
►Similar to current fairvalue hedge in concept
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Mechanics
Under Core model, net risk position of an open portfolio is a target of risk management. New conceptual terms such asasset profile, target profile and performance measurement were introduced in the model.
IFRS9 hedge accounting Proposed DRM model
Hedged item Asset portfolio
Risk management objective Target profile
Hedging instrument DRM derivative instrument
Effectiveness requirements Performance assessment
Criteria for designating arelationship
Criteria for designating arelationship
Disclosure Wider disclosure
Asset:Interest income
from Loans
Liabilities:Interest expense
from deposits
Net risk position:Net interest income
A portfolio of 5 year maturity loans with fixed interest rate
7 year fixed cash flows based on a behavioral analysis of coredeposits,
Two swaps that create 7 year fixed cash flows
Comparing hedged result to Target profile
Hedging instruments respond to hedged items in oppositedirections with similar sensitivity.
Provide an entity’s risk management objective, strategy andhedging outcome
• Deferring changes in derivatives in OCI and recognising the OCI in PL as cash flows of asset profile affect PL→ Net interest income will be stabilised and recognised in PL as desired in Target profile.
Linkage to current principles
Analogous to current cash flows hedge
Example
Key concept of Core modelII. Hedging under new standards > 4.Dynamic Risk Management(Cont’d)
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A Target profile is derived from modeling an entity’s funding structure. DRM derivative instruments are combined withthe entity’s asset profile to create cash flows similar in amount and timing to the Target profile.
Objective • To stabilise entity’s net interest income for 7 years
Hedging
Outcome receive fix(6%)Loans 600 receive fix(6%)• NII stabilised at the interest rate of 6%
for the target period
AS-IS: Asset profile-Loans
Balance 1,000
Maturity (Yrs) 5
Yield Fixed 5%
TO-BE: Target profile
Balance 400 600
Maturity (Yrs) 5 7
Yield Fixed 5% Fixed 6%
DRM derivatives
?5 Yr (Loan) 7 Yr (Target)
Assetprofile
receive fix(5%)Loans 600 receive floating
• No further action required for balance of 400• For 600, fixed 5% of interests received for
5 Yrs. For the subsequent 2 Yrs up to 7th
Yr, floating rate interests received.
DRMderivativeinstrument
pay fix (5%)receive floatingSwap 1 600
receive fix(6%)pay floating
receive fix(6%)pay floating
• Pay leg: Fixed 5% interest arising from 5Yr loan is paid with receipt of floating
• Receive leg: fixed 6% interest receivedfor the target period of 7 Yrs.
Swap 2 600
0
Illustrative example of Core modelII. Hedging under new standards > 4.Dynamic Risk Management(Cont’d)
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Implications
§ More flexibility in selecting items to be hedged (eg a percentage of asset portfolio can be designated ashedged items
§ Behavioral characteristics of a portfolio of liabilities and underlying assets should be considered whenmodeling
§ ALM results can be presented and disclosed in financial statements§ Analysis of cost and benefit of hedging should be performed to determine size and frequency of rebalancing
By linking Core model to insurers’ risk management practice, we can derive the following implications:
Asset profileLoans
Debt securities
Insurance liabilitiesFixed
FloatingTarget profile
DRM instrumentsSwap
ForwardsOptions
Modelling behaviorism for aportfolio of insurance contractsneeded for• Duration• Lapse• Highly probable new business
Behavioralassumptions neededfor• Prepayment• Maturities• Highly probable new
loans
Continuous rebalancingfor a open portfolio
Mitigating rather thaneliminating a particular risk(eg stabilising net interestincome arising frominsurance liabilities andunderlying assets)
What does Core model mean for insurers?II. Hedging under new standards > 4.Dynamic Risk Management(Cont’d)
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IASB takes a phased approach where major issues are addressed in the Core model and then remaining issues are to befurther discussed in the Extended model prior to finalising the 2nd discussion paper.
Remaining topics
Transparency How to present and disclose entities’ DRM purpose, strategy and hedging outcome under new standard?
Eligibility Criteria for designating Asset profile and governing principles for setting Target profile
Dynamic nature How to reflect dynamic natures of asset profile and target profile under new standard?
Performance measurement How to assess performance as a result of hedge?
Extension of Core model
Items to be hedged Loans measured at amortized cost FVOCI
Risks to be hedged Interest rate risk Other risks such as equity, commodities and FX
Hedging instruments Focus on interest rate swaps Other derivatives such as option and futures
Funding source Deposits driven Equity funding
Topics Core model Extended model
Items Key issues
Further issues and Extended modelII. Hedging under new standards > 4.Dynamic Risk Management(Cont’d)
III. Impact analysis
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> Two major types or variable products in Korea:- VA (GMAB/GLWB), VUWL (NLG)
> Fees / Loadings are deducted as a % of AV- Risk Premium, Investment Management Fee, GMxB Fee, Loadings
AccountValue
FixedDeath Benefit
AccountValue
(+ No LapseGtee)
GMAB/GMDB
Fixed Death Benefit
PayoutPhase
< Variable Annuity > < Variable Universal Whole Life>
Typical design of variable products in KoreaIII.1 Product Design
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[Equity shock: –25%]
[Equity Volatility Reduction through Hedging]
> Liability for variable product = AV + Gtee Reserve- Bifurcated Approach
> Change in Reserve is offset by change in hedging asset
III.2 Hedging StrategyUnder current accounting standard
GteeReserve($3,000)
AccountValue
($10,000)
GeneralAccount
Asset($3,000)
Underlying(SeparateAccount)
Assets($10,000)
Hedging Asset($2,500) Gtee
Reserve($5,500)
AccountValue
($7,500)
GeneralAccount
Asset($3,000)
Underlying(SeparateAccount)
Assets($7,500)
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[Hedging Credit for Required Capital]
[Equity –12%]
Req. Capital($5,000)
[Interest- 90bp]
Loss from
Prescribed
Shock
($30,000)
Hedging
Asset
Recovery
($25,000)
FV Reserve($10,000)
Shocked
Gtee Reserve
($40,000)
Reduction in RC
Post-HedgingRC
Pre-HedgingRC
> Under prescribed shock scenarios, increase in reserve is calculatedand that amount is the required capital (RC)
> RC is offset by the amount of asset movement (hedging credit)
Under current accounting standard (Cont’d)III.2 Hedging Strategy
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> BEL can be rearranged as follows:BEL = Death Benefit + Surrender Benefit + Annuity Benefit + Expense – Premium
= AV0 + ∑PV[GMxB Claims(t) + Add’tl DB(t) + InvRet(t) – Fees(t) + Exp(t)]
Expense Premium
100%
AV0 Premium Fees, RiskPrem,LoadingsInv Return ∑AVt
BEL
Rearranging cash flowsIII.3 Hedging Strategy under IFRS17 VFA
DeathBenefit
∑AVt
FixedBenefit
GMDBclaim
Prob[Death]Surrender
BenefitAnnuityBenefit
∑AVt
GMABclaim
∑AVt
Prob[Surrender] Prob[Survival]
VaryingCFs
non-varyingCFs
Rearrange AVt
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How to assess whether VFA criteria is met or not:- B101(b) The entity expects to pay to the policyholder an amount equal to a substantial share of the fair
value returns on the underlying item
VFA requirement (criterion 2)III.3 Hedging Strategy under IFRS17 VFA
Fair Value return
PMT DeathBenefit
SurrenderBenefit
AnnuityBenefit
∑AVtFixed
BenefitGMxBclaim
AV0 Premium Fees, RiskPrem,Loadings
FutureNet Inv Return
FixedBenefit
GMxBclaim
ΔAV
ΔPMT Increase in the amt to be paid to PHRatio of‘Payment to PH’ to‘Fair Value Return’
Need to beSubstantial
Equity+35%
• Higher Fees would reduce the ratio• Deep ITM would reduce the ratio
B104 (a): Obligation to pay the policyholder an amount equal tothe fair value of the underlying items
B104 (b): Variable Fee= Entity’s Share less FCF that do not vary with underlying
B104:Entity’sobligation to thepolicyholder
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[Appendix] Criterion b101(b) for different blocks
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How to assess whether VFA criteria is met or not:- B101(c) The entity expects a substantial proportion of any change in the amounts to be paid to the
policyholder to vary with the change in fair value of the underlying items
VFA requirement (criterion 3)III.3 Hedging Strategy under IFRS17 VFA
Total Payment to PH
PMT DeathBenefit
SurrenderBenefit
AnnuityBenefit
∑AVtFixed
BenefitGMxBclaim
PMT
∑AVt Varying Portion of Payment to PHRatio of‘Varying Payments’ to
‘Total Payments’
Need to beSubstantial
• Higher Fixed Benefit not varying with AVwould reduce the ratio
• Deep ITM would reduce the ratio
Varying Non-Varying
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[Appendix2] Criterion b101(c) for different blocks
98% 93%
72%
36%
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Market changes affect BEL through (assume RA=0) :a) Changes in obligation to pay an amount equal to the fair value of the underlying items -> by B111:
does not adjust CSM, reflected in P&L or OCIb) Changes in the entity’s share of the fair value of the underlying items
-> by B112: adjust CSM, can be reflected in P&Lc) Changes in FCFs that do not vary based on the returns on underlying items
-> B113(b): effect of the TVM and financial risks not arising from underlying items-> Adjust CSM, can be reflected in P&L
AV0
Net Inv Return
a)Fixed
Death Benefit
GMxBclaims
Expense
c)
P&L orOCI
CSM or P&L CSM or P&L
Inv Mgmt FeesRiskPrem,Loadingsb)
GMxB Fees
Not hedging target-Changes in AV is offset by
underlying asset
New Hedging Targetunder IFRS17
Hedging Target undercurrent accounting standard
Changing hedging targetIII.3 Hedging Strategy under IFRS17 VFA
Legend
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Hedging before the transition date could increase equity volatility- Change in Hedging Asset is absorbed by CSM if Fair Value Method is used for CSM calculation- Although net cash flows are effectively hedged, CSM existence can cause accounting mismatch
GMxB claim3,200
Entity Share(8,500)
BEL(10,000)
AV0(10,300)
Inv Return(1,100)
Expense(3,900)
Hedging Asset(700)
Equity(700)
CSM (300)
GMxB claim(2,200)
Entity Share(8,000)
BEL(9,000)AV0
(10,000)
Inv Return(1,000)
Expense(3,800)
Equity = 0
CSM (1000)
LiabilityAsse
t Asse
t Liability
Interest Rate-0.90%
*Note: FVL – BEL = CSM, Assuming FVL = AV
Hedging target (before)3,800+1,000+2,200-8,000= -1,000
Hedging target (after)3,900+1,100+3,200-8,500= -300
Hedging before transition dateIII.3 Hedging Strategy under IFRS17 VFA
IV. Conclusion
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VFACriteria
Cannot lock in accounting equity at transition through hedging for the profitableblock (with positive CSM)ü Economically, hedging still makes sense since it protects CSM at transition
ü It might make more sense to start hedging onerous block with negative CSM to avoid thisaccounting mismatch
Hedging under VFA gives more flexibility, but need to satisfy the requirement evenfor variable productsü Cash flows need to be rearranged to assess the qualification
ü ‘In the money’ block might not satisfy the criteria as the liability does not move as much asmarket changes
Fundamentals of hedging have not changed much, but need toü consider cash flows other than guarantee related
ü think of entire balance sheet, not just liability
HedgingunderIFRS17
Hedgingbefore
Transition
4. Insight into new hedgingIV. Conclusion
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Any Questions?
1st Presenter: KeumCheol Shin, CPAPartner, EY [email protected]
2nd Presenter : Taik-Ki Lee, FSAKyobo Life [email protected]
Facilitator: DaeEun Kang, ASA, CPAManager, EY [email protected]